CN117273438A - Risk assessment method and system for production project - Google Patents

Risk assessment method and system for production project Download PDF

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CN117273438A
CN117273438A CN202311100842.XA CN202311100842A CN117273438A CN 117273438 A CN117273438 A CN 117273438A CN 202311100842 A CN202311100842 A CN 202311100842A CN 117273438 A CN117273438 A CN 117273438A
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false
project
item
price
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袁娴枚
虢韬
李欢
朱镜勋
张迅
杨涛
王冕
范强
黄军凯
陶黎明
林轩安
张洋
颜康
曾蓉
李鑫卓
赵圆圆
李长兴
杨明波
董伟
马雪颜
刘军
黄映南
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Guizhou Power Grid Co Ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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    • G06Q10/063Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0635Risk analysis of enterprise or organisation activities
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0639Performance analysis of employees; Performance analysis of enterprise or organisation operations
    • G06Q10/06393Score-carding, benchmarking or key performance indicator [KPI] analysis
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/10Office automation; Time management
    • G06Q10/103Workflow collaboration or project management
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q30/00Commerce
    • G06Q30/02Marketing; Price estimation or determination; Fundraising
    • G06Q30/0201Market modelling; Market analysis; Collecting market data
    • G06Q30/0206Price or cost determination based on market factors

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Abstract

The invention relates to the technical field of risk assessment, in particular to a risk assessment method of a production project, and discloses a risk assessment method and a risk assessment system of the production project, wherein the risk assessment method comprises the steps of collecting and processing data; formulating an evaluation index of the production project; performing comprehensive risk assessment based on the assessment index; the invention realizes the technical effect of accurately identifying whether false conditions exist in the production project by comparing the actual achievement with the expected goal and combining the rationality coefficient of progress; the situation that whether settlement is false in production projects is realized through measurement of settlement accuracy and consideration of financial audit compliance coefficients; the state of the project can be comprehensively known by acquiring the data related to the production project in real time, so that potential risks can be found early; by converting various risk factors into specific assessment indicators, the accuracy and consistency of assessment can be ensured.

Description

Risk assessment method and system for production project
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of risk assessment, in particular to a risk assessment method for production projects.
Background
Production projects are complex and risky in different industries. In order to effectively manage and reduce risks, a reliable risk assessment method and system are required to be established. The method and system should be capable of continuously evaluating and identifying risks from planning to implementation at different stages of the project, and providing real-time and accurate information for decision makers so as to take appropriate measures to cope with the risks.
In the past, risk assessment was typically based on experience and intuition, lacking in systemicity and data support. However, with advances in technology and digitization of information, new background art has emerged that provides a more accurate and reliable method for risk assessment of production items.
Disclosure of Invention
The present invention has been made in view of the above-described problems.
Therefore, the invention provides a risk assessment method for production projects, which realizes the technical effect of accurately identifying whether false conditions exist in the production projects by comparing actual achievements with expected targets and combining rationality coefficients of progress; through the measurement of settlement accuracy and the consideration of financial audit compliance coefficients, the situation that whether settlement is false exists in the production project is realized.
In order to solve the technical problems, the invention provides the following technical scheme: a risk assessment method for a production project comprises the following steps,
collecting and processing data;
formulating an evaluation index of the production project;
and performing comprehensive risk assessment based on the assessment index.
As a preferable mode of the risk assessment method of a production item of the present invention, wherein: the collection of data is to accomplish the collection of data to the production project, the collection of data includes, the data collection of project source, the data collection of project operation state, the data collection of project operation type, the data collection of project operation task, the data collection of project working mode, the data collection of project unit main part, whether the data collection of associated project, the data collection of uploading visa, the data collection of price information and the data collection of settlement information.
As a preferable mode of the risk assessment method of a production item of the present invention, wherein: the evaluation indexes of the formulated production items comprise false items, false prices, false acceptance and false settlement; the false item means that false achievement, progress and target exist in the production item, the false price means that the provider and the seller provide false price information in the purchasing and trading processes, the false acceptance means that the acceptance party fails to accurately evaluate the production item according to the locally specified standard in the acceptance process, so that unqualified achievement passes acceptance, and the false settlement means that false financial records and trading information exist in the financial settlement process.
As a preferable mode of the risk assessment method of a production item of the present invention, wherein: the specific judgment rules of the evaluation indexes of the production items are as follows:
when the evaluation index X of the production project 1 The formula is satisfied:
X 1 =a 1 ∧b 1 ∧e 1 ∧f 1 ∧(d 1 ∨d 2 ∧d 3 )∧(g 2 ∨h 2 ) When the production item is a false item;
when the evaluation index X of the production project 2 The formula is satisfied:
X 2 =(a 1 ∨a 2 ∨a 3 )∧b 1 ∧(c 1 ∨c 2 )∧(d 1 ∨d 2 ∨d 3 )∧e 1 (f 1 ∨f 2 )∧(g 2 ∨h 2 ) When the production project is false acceptance;
when the evaluation index X of the production project 3 Satisfy the formula p 1 -p 2 At > 0, the price offered by the supplier is greater than the market price, and the production item is a false price;
when the evaluation index X of the production project 4 The formula is satisfied:
X 4 =(q 1 ∨q 4 )∧(q 2 ∨q 3 )∧(q 2 ∨q 4 ) When the production project is false settlement;
wherein a is 1 Represents a rush-repair project, a 2 Representing annual general projects, a 3 Representing annual urgent project a 3 ,b 1 Indicating the completed state, d 1 Representing defect list operation plan d 2 Represents hidden trouble single number operation plan, d 3 Representing a fault list operation plan e 1 Indicating the power failure work, f 1 Represents the outer unit working body, f 2 Representing the main body of large collective work g 2 Represents unassociated items, h 2 Representing a visa photo not uploaded, p 1 Representing the price offered by the supplier, p 2 Represent market price, q 1 Representing a real financial record, q 2 Representing false financial records, q 3 Representing real invoice information, q 4 Representing false invoice information.
As a preferable mode of the risk assessment method of a production item of the present invention, wherein: the comprehensive risk assessment based on the assessment index is achieved by calculating false item assessment index, false acceptance assessment index, false price assessment index and false settlement assessment index of the production item, so that comprehensive risk assessment of the production item is achieved;
the false item evaluation index of the production item is calculated by calculating the ratio of false items, so that the false item risk evaluation of the production item is completed, and the specific calculation formula is as follows:
wherein A is n Representing the actual achievement of the production project, P n Indicating the expected achievement of the production project,indicating the rationality coefficient of the production project for judging whether the progress of the production project is reasonable, when +.>When the value of (2) is 1, the production project is absolutely reasonable in progress, and the project is carried out as expected, when +.>When the value of (2) is 0, the progress of the production project is unreasonable, and related reasons need to be checked;
the specific rules for false item risk assessment of production items are as follows:
when (when)And FPR (FPR) p At > 0, the production project has no risk of spurious projects;
when (when)But FPR p When < 0, the production project is at risk of false projects;
when (when)And when the production project is in a state of unreasonable progress, the risk of false projects exists in the production project.
As a preferable mode of the risk assessment method of a production item of the present invention, wherein: the false acceptance assessment index of the production project is calculated by calculating the coincidence degree of the actual acceptance result and the expected acceptance standard, so that false acceptance risk assessment of the production project is completed, and the specific calculation formula is as follows:
wherein A is a Representing the actual acceptance result, A p Indicating that the result of the intended acceptance is to be determined,representing the acceptance specification coefficient of the production item for measuring whether the production item is compliant, when +.>When the value of (1) is 1, it indicates that the production project is fully compliant, when +.>When the value is 0, the production project is not compliant;
the specific rules for completing false acceptance risk assessment of the production project are as follows:
when (when)And FPR (FPR) a At > 0, the production project has no risk of false acceptance;
when (when)But FPR a When the value is less than 0, false acceptance risks exist in the production project;
when (when)And when the production project is not compliant, the risk of false acceptance exists in the production project.
As a preferable mode of the risk assessment method of a production item of the present invention, wherein: the false price evaluation index of the production item is calculated by calculating the ratio between the actual price and the market price, so that the false price risk evaluation of the production item is completed, and the specific calculation formula is as follows:
wherein P is a Representing the actual price, P p The market price is represented by a market price,representing a provider confidence coefficient for measuring whether the provider is authentic, when +.>When the value is 1, the provider is expressed as being absolutely trusted, when +.>When the value is 0, the provider is not trusted;
the specific rules for completing the false price risk assessment of the production project are as follows:
when (when)But P is a -P p When less than 0, the actual price of the production item is lower than the market price, and the production item has no risk of false price;
when (when)And P is a -P p When the price is more than 0, the actual price of the production item is higher than the market price, and the risk of false price exists in the production item;
when (when)When the production item provider is not trusted, the production item has false priceRisk.
Another object of the present invention is to provide a risk assessment system for a production project, which can comprehensively understand the status of the project by acquiring data related to the production project in real time, so as to help discover potential risks early; by converting various risk factors into specific assessment indicators, the accuracy and consistency of assessment can be ensured.
As a preferred embodiment of the risk assessment system for a production item of the present invention, wherein: the system comprises a data collection and processing module, an evaluation index formulation module and a comprehensive risk evaluation module; the data collection and processing module is used for collecting and processing data related to production projects; the evaluation index making module is used for making an evaluation index of the production project through the data processed by the data collecting and processing module; the comprehensive risk assessment module is used for completing comprehensive risk assessment of the production project based on the assessment indexes formulated by the assessment index formulation module.
A computer device comprising a memory and a processor, the memory storing a computer program, characterized in that the processor, when executing the computer program, implements the steps of a risk assessment method of a production item.
A computer readable storage medium, on which a computer program is stored, characterized in that the computer program, when being executed by a processor, implements the steps of a risk assessment method of a production item.
The invention has the beneficial effects that: the invention realizes the technical effect of accurately identifying whether false conditions exist in the production project by comparing the actual achievement with the expected goal and combining the rationality coefficient of progress; the situation that whether settlement is false in production projects is realized through measurement of settlement accuracy and consideration of financial audit compliance coefficients; the state of the project can be comprehensively known by acquiring the data related to the production project in real time, so that potential risks can be found early; by converting various risk factors into specific assessment indicators, the accuracy and consistency of assessment can be ensured.
Drawings
In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention, the drawings required for the description of the embodiments will be briefly described below, it being obvious that the drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the present invention, and that other drawings may be obtained according to these drawings without inventive effort for a person skilled in the art. Wherein:
FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram showing the overall steps of a risk assessment method for a production project according to the present invention.
FIG. 2 is a schematic diagram of the overall structure of a risk assessment system 2 for a production project according to the present invention.
Detailed Description
So that the manner in which the above recited objects, features and advantages of the present invention can be understood in detail, a more particular description of the invention, briefly summarized above, may be had by reference to the embodiments, some of which are illustrated in the appended drawings. All other embodiments, which can be made by one of ordinary skill in the art based on the embodiments of the present invention without making any inventive effort, shall fall within the scope of the present invention.
In the following description, numerous specific details are set forth in order to provide a thorough understanding of the present invention, but the present invention may be practiced in other ways other than those described herein, and persons skilled in the art will readily appreciate that the present invention is not limited to the specific embodiments disclosed below.
Further, reference herein to "one embodiment" or "an embodiment" means that a particular feature, structure, or characteristic can be included in at least one implementation of the invention. The appearances of the phrase "in one embodiment" in various places in the specification are not necessarily all referring to the same embodiment, nor are separate or alternative embodiments mutually exclusive of other embodiments.
While the embodiments of the present invention have been illustrated and described in detail in the drawings, the cross-sectional view of the device structure is not to scale in the general sense for ease of illustration, and the drawings are merely exemplary and should not be construed as limiting the scope of the invention. In addition, the three-dimensional dimensions of length, width and depth should be included in actual fabrication.
Also in the description of the present invention, it should be noted that the orientation or positional relationship indicated by the terms "upper, lower, inner and outer", etc. are based on the orientation or positional relationship shown in the drawings, are merely for convenience of describing the present invention and simplifying the description, and do not indicate or imply that the apparatus or elements referred to must have a specific orientation, be constructed and operated in a specific orientation, and thus should not be construed as limiting the present invention. Furthermore, the terms "first, second, or third" are used for descriptive purposes only and are not to be construed as indicating or implying relative importance.
The terms "mounted, connected, and coupled" should be construed broadly in this disclosure unless otherwise specifically indicated and defined, such as: can be fixed connection, detachable connection or integral connection; it may also be a mechanical connection, an electrical connection, or a direct connection, or may be indirectly connected through an intermediate medium, or may be a communication between two elements. The specific meaning of the above terms in the present invention will be understood in specific cases by those of ordinary skill in the art.
Example 1
Referring to fig. 1, for a first embodiment of the present invention, there is provided a risk assessment method of a production item, including the steps of,
s1: and collecting and processing data.
Specifically, the collection of data is to complete the collection of data of production projects, and the collection of data comprises data collection of project sources, data collection of project operation states, data collection of project operation types, data collection of project operation tasks, data collection of project working modes, data collection of project unit main bodies, data collection of whether related projects, data collection of uploading visas, data collection of price information and data collection of settlement information.
Further, the data processing is to perform classification marking on the collected data, and specific classification marking rules are as follows:
the data of the project source is marked as A, which comprises the first-aid repair project a 1 Annual general item a 2 Annual emergency project a 3
The data of the project job state is marked as B, and comprises a completed state B 1 Incomplete state b 2
The data of the project job type is marked as C, and comprises a rush repair job C 1 Operation c of eliminating deficiency 2
The data of the project job task is marked as D and comprises a defect single number job plan D 1 Hidden danger single number operation plan d 2 Failure list operation plan d 3
The data of the project work mode is marked as E and comprises a power failure work E 1 Live work e 2
The data of the project unit body is marked as F and comprises an outer unit work body F 1 Large collective work body f 2
The data of the associated item is marked as G, including the associated item G 1 Item g not related to 2
The data of whether to upload visa is marked as H, including uploaded visa photo H 1 Non-uploaded visa photo h 2
The data of the price information is marked as P and comprises the price P provided by the supplier 1 Market price p 2
The data of the settlement information is marked as Q and comprises a real financial record Q 1 False financial records q 2 Real invoice information q 3 False invoice information q 4
S2: and (5) formulating an evaluation index of the production project.
Specifically, the evaluation indexes for making production projects include false projects, false prices, false acceptance and false settlement.
Further, the false item means that false achievement, progress and goal exist in the production item, the false price means that the provider and the seller provide false price information in the purchasing and trading process of the production item, the false acceptance means that the acceptance party fails to accurately evaluate the production item according to the locally specified standard in the acceptance process, so that unqualified achievement passes acceptance, and the false settlement means that false financial records and trade information exist in the financial settlement process.
Further, the specific judgment rule of the evaluation index of the production project is as follows:
when the evaluation index X of the production project 1 The formula is satisfied:
X 1 =a 1 ∧b 1 ∧e 1 ∧f 1 ∧(d 1 ∨d 2 ∧d 3 )∧(g 2 ∨h 2 ) When the production item is a false item;
when the evaluation index X of the production project 2 The formula is satisfied:
X 2 =(a 1 ∨a 2 ∨a 3 )∧b 1 ∧(c 1 ∨c 2 )∧(d 1 ∨d 2 ∨d 3 )∧e 1 (f 1 ∨f 2 )∧(g 2 ∨h 2 ) When the production project is false acceptance;
when the evaluation index X of the production project 3 Satisfy the formula p 1 -p 2 At > 0, the price offered by the supplier is greater than the market price, and the production item is a false price;
when the evaluation index X of the production project 4 The formula is satisfied:
X 4 =(q 1 ∨q 4 )∧(q 2 ∨q 3 )∧(q 2 ∨q 4 ) And when the production item is false settlement.
S3: and performing comprehensive risk assessment based on the assessment index.
Specifically, the comprehensive risk assessment based on the assessment index is to calculate a false item assessment index, a false acceptance assessment index, a false price assessment index and a false settlement assessment index of the production item, so as to complete the comprehensive risk assessment of the production item.
Further, the calculating the false item evaluation index of the production item is to calculate the ratio of false items so as to complete the false item risk evaluation of the production item, and the specific calculation formula is as follows:
wherein A is n Representing the actual achievement of the production project, P n Indicating the expected achievement of the production project,indicating the rationality coefficient of the production project for judging whether the progress of the production project is reasonable, when +.>When the value of (2) is 1, the production project is absolutely reasonable in progress, and the project is carried out as expected, when +.>When the value of (2) is 0, the progress of the production project is unreasonable, and related reasons need to be checked;
the specific rules for false item risk assessment of production items are as follows:
when (when)And FPR (FPR) p At > 0, the production project has no risk of spurious projects;
when (when)But FPR p When < 0, the production project is at risk of false projects;
when (when)And when the production project is in a state of unreasonable progress, the risk of false projects exists in the production project.
Furthermore, the calculating the false acceptance assessment index of the production project is to calculate the coincidence degree of the actual acceptance result and the expected acceptance standard, so as to complete the false acceptance risk assessment of the production project, and the specific calculation formula is as follows:
wherein A is a Representing the actual acceptance result, A p Indicating that the result of the intended acceptance is to be determined,representing the acceptance specification coefficient of the production item for measuring whether the production item is compliant, when +.>When the value of (1) is 1, it indicates that the production project is fully compliant, when +.>When the value is 0, the production project is not compliant;
the specific rules for completing false acceptance risk assessment of the production project are as follows:
when (when)And FPR (FPR) a At > 0, the production project has no risk of false acceptance;
when (when)But FPR a When the value is less than 0, false acceptance risks exist in the production project;
when (when)And when the production project is not compliant, the risk of false acceptance exists in the production project.
Specifically, the calculating the false price evaluation index of the production item is to calculate the ratio between the actual price and the market price, so as to complete the false price risk evaluation of the production item, and the specific calculation formula is as follows:
wherein P is a Representing the actual price, P p The market price is represented by a market price,representing a provider confidence coefficient for measuring whether the provider is authentic, when +.>When the value is 1, the provider is expressed as being absolutely trusted, when +.>When the value is 0, the provider is not trusted;
the specific rules for completing the false price risk assessment of the production project are as follows:
when (when)But P is a -P p When less than 0, the actual price of the production item is lower than the market price, and the production item has no risk of false price;
when (when)And P is a -P p When the price is more than 0, the actual price of the production item is higher than the market price, and the risk of false price exists in the production item;
when (when)Indicating that the production item provider is not trusted, the production item is at risk of a false price.
Furthermore, the calculating the false settlement evaluation index of the production item is to complete the false settlement risk evaluation of the production item by calculating the consistency of the invoice and the transaction record, and the specific calculation formula is as follows:
wherein S is a Representing invoice records during production projects, S p Representing a transaction record during the course of a production project,representing a financial audit compliance factor for measuring compliance of a financial audit, when +.>When the value is 1, the financial audit is completely compliant, when +.>And when the value is 0, the financial audit is not compliant.
The specific rules for completing the false settlement risk assessment of the production project are as follows:
when (when)And FPR (FPR) s When the value is more than 0, the invoice record and the transaction record in the production project process keep forward consistency, and the production project has no false acceptance risk;
when (when)But FPR s When < 0, it means rawThe invoice records and the transaction records in the production project process are in accordance with negative consistency, and false acceptance risks exist in the production project;
when (when)And when the financial audit of the production project is not compliant, the risk of false settlement exists in the production project.
Example 2
Referring to fig. 2, a risk assessment system for a production project according to a second embodiment of the present invention includes a data collection and processing module, an assessment index formulation module, and a comprehensive risk assessment module;
specifically, the data collection and processing module is used for collecting and processing data related to production projects; the evaluation index making module is used for making an evaluation index of the production project through the data processed by the data collecting and processing module; the comprehensive risk assessment module is used for completing comprehensive risk assessment of the production project based on the assessment indexes formulated by the assessment index formulation module.
Furthermore, the data collection and processing module not only can collect and process data related to production projects, but also can extract key information from a large amount of data through an intelligent data analysis technology so as to better support evaluation index formulation and comprehensive risk evaluation; the evaluation index making module can also introduce data mining and machine learning technologies when making an evaluation index by using the data processed by the data collecting and processing module, can automatically identify potential risk factors by analyzing historical data, and provides more refined support for the evaluation index making module; the comprehensive risk assessment module not only carries out simple comprehensive assessment on assessment indexes, but also can introduce a risk priority ranking technology, and can calculate the priorities of different risk factors based on weights and risk grades of different indexes, so that the risk with the greatest influence on production projects can be accurately identified.
Furthermore, in order to verify the beneficial effects of the present invention, the data comparison table is further embodied, and the specific table is as follows:
through the comparison table, after the my invention is adopted, the data speed of the data, the establishment of evaluation indexes and the accuracy of risk evaluation are both established, and the my invention is improved compared with the conventional technical means.
Still further, the functions, if implemented in the form of software functional units and sold or used as a stand-alone product, may be stored in a computer-readable storage medium. Based on this understanding, the technical solution of the present invention may be embodied essentially or in a part contributing to the prior art or in a part of the technical solution, in the form of a software product stored in a storage medium, comprising several instructions for causing a computer device (which may be a personal computer, a server, a network device, etc.) to perform all or part of the steps of the method according to the embodiments of the present invention. And the aforementioned storage medium includes: a U-disk, a removable hard disk, a Read-only memory (ROM), a random access memory (RAM, random Access Memory), a magnetic disk, or an optical disk, or other various media capable of storing program codes.
Logic and/or steps represented in the flowcharts or otherwise described herein, e.g., a ordered listing of executable instructions for implementing logical functions, can be embodied in any computer-readable medium for use by or in connection with an instruction execution system, apparatus, or device, such as a computer-based system, processor-containing system, or other system that can fetch the instructions from the instruction execution system, apparatus, or device and execute the instructions. For the purposes of this description, a "computer-readable medium" can be any means that can contain, store, communicate, propagate, or transport the program for use by or in connection with the instruction execution system, apparatus, or device.
More specific examples (a non-exhaustive list) of the computer-readable medium would include the following: an electrical connection (electronic device) having one or more wires, a portable computer diskette (magnetic device), a Random Access Memory (RAM), a read-only memory (ROM), an erasable programmable read-only memory (EPROM or flash memory), an optical fiber device, and a portable compact disc read-only memory (CDROM). In addition, the computer readable medium may even be paper or other suitable medium on which the program is printed, as the program may be electronically captured, via, for instance, optical scanning of the paper or other medium, then compiled, interpreted or otherwise processed in a suitable manner, if necessary, and then stored in a computer memory.
Furthermore, in an effort to provide a concise description of the exemplary embodiments, all features of an actual implementation may not be described (i.e., those not associated with the best mode presently contemplated for carrying out the invention, or those not associated with practicing the invention).
It should be appreciated that in the development of any such actual implementation, as in any engineering or design project, numerous implementation-specific decisions may be made. Such a development effort might be complex and time consuming, but would nevertheless be a routine undertaking of design, fabrication, and manufacture for those of ordinary skill having the benefit of this disclosure.
It should be noted that the above embodiments are only for illustrating the technical solution of the present invention and not for limiting the same, and although the present invention has been described in detail with reference to the preferred embodiments, it should be understood by those skilled in the art that the technical solution of the present invention may be modified or substituted without departing from the spirit and scope of the technical solution of the present invention, which is intended to be covered in the scope of the claims of the present invention.

Claims (10)

1. A risk assessment method for a production project, characterized by: comprises the steps of,
collecting and processing data;
formulating an evaluation index of the production project;
and performing comprehensive risk assessment based on the assessment index.
2. A method of risk assessment for a production item according to claim 1, wherein: the collection of data is to accomplish the collection of data to the production project, the collection of data includes, the data collection of project source, the data collection of project operation state, the data collection of project operation type, the data collection of project operation task, the data collection of project working mode, the data collection of project unit main part, whether the data collection of associated project, the data collection of uploading visa, the data collection of price information and the data collection of settlement information.
3. A method of risk assessment for a production item according to claim 2, wherein: the evaluation indexes of the formulated production items comprise false items, false prices, false acceptance and false settlement; the false item means that false achievement, progress and target exist in the production item, the false price means that the provider and the seller provide false price information in the purchasing and trading processes, the false acceptance means that the acceptance party fails to accurately evaluate the production item according to the locally specified standard in the acceptance process, so that unqualified achievement passes acceptance, and the false settlement means that false financial records and trading information exist in the financial settlement process.
4. A method of risk assessment for a production item according to claim 3, wherein: the specific judgment rules of the evaluation indexes of the production items are as follows:
when the evaluation index X of the production project 1 The formula is satisfied:
X 1 =a 1 ∧b 1 ∧e 1 ∧f 1 ∧(d 1 ∨d 2 ∧d 3 )∧(g 2 ∨h 2 ) When the production item is a false item;
when the evaluation index X of the production project 2 The formula is satisfied:
X 2 =(a 1 ∨a 2 ∨a 3 )∧b 1 ∧(c 1 ∨c 2 )∧(d 1 ∨d 2 ∨d 3 )∧e 1 (f 1 ∨f 2 )∧(g 2 ∨h 2 ) When the production project is false acceptance;
when the evaluation index X of the production project 3 Satisfy the formula p 1 -p 2 At > 0, the price offered by the supplier is greater than the market price, and the production item is a false price;
when the evaluation index X of the production project 4 The formula is satisfied:
X 4 =(q 1 ∨q 4 )∧(q 2 ∨q 3 )∧(q 2 ∨q 4 ) When the production project is false settlement;
wherein a is 1 Represents a rush-repair project, a 2 Representing annual general projects, a 3 Representing annual urgent project a 3 ,b 1 Indicating the completed state, d 1 Representing defect list operation plan d 2 Represents hidden trouble single number operation plan, d 3 Representing a fault list operation plan e 1 Indicating the power failure work, f 1 Represents the outer unit working body, f 2 Representing the main body of large collective work g 2 Represents unassociated items, h 2 Representing a visa photo not uploaded, p 1 Representing the price offered by the supplier, p 2 Represent market price, q 1 Representing a real financial record, q 2 Representing false financial records, q 3 Representing real invoice information, q 4 Representing false invoice information.
5. The method of risk assessment for a production item of claim 4, wherein: the comprehensive risk assessment based on the assessment index is achieved by calculating false item assessment index, false acceptance assessment index, false price assessment index and false settlement assessment index of the production item, so that comprehensive risk assessment of the production item is achieved;
the false item evaluation index of the production item is calculated by calculating the ratio of false items, so that the false item risk evaluation of the production item is completed, and the specific calculation formula is as follows:
wherein A is n Representing the actual achievement of the production project, P n Indicating the expected achievement of the production project,indicating the rationality coefficient of the production project for judging whether the progress of the production project is reasonable, when +.>When the value of (2) is 1, the production project is absolutely reasonable in progress, and the project is carried out as expected, when +.>When the value of (2) is 0, the progress of the production project is unreasonable, and related reasons need to be checked;
the specific rules for false item risk assessment of production items are as follows:
when (when)And FPR (FPR) p At > 0, the production project has no risk of spurious projects;
when (when)But FPR p When < 0, the production project is at risk of false projects;
when (when)And when the production project is in a state of unreasonable progress, the risk of false projects exists in the production project.
6. The method for risk assessment of a production item of claim 5, wherein: the false acceptance assessment index of the production project is calculated by calculating the coincidence degree of the actual acceptance result and the expected acceptance standard, so that false acceptance risk assessment of the production project is completed, and the specific calculation formula is as follows:
wherein A is a Representing the actual acceptance result, A p Indicating that the result of the intended acceptance is to be determined,representing the acceptance specification coefficient of the production item for measuring whether the production item is compliant, when +.>When the value of (1) is 1, it indicates that the production project is fully compliant, when +.>When the value is 0, the production project is not compliant;
the specific rules for completing false acceptance risk assessment of the production project are as follows:
when (when)And FPR (FPR) a At > 0, the production project has no risk of false acceptance;
when (when)But FPR a When the value is less than 0, false acceptance risks exist in the production project;
when (when)And when the production project is not compliant, the risk of false acceptance exists in the production project.
7. The method of risk assessment for a production item of claim 6, wherein: the false price evaluation index of the production item is calculated by calculating the ratio between the actual price and the market price, so that the false price risk evaluation of the production item is completed, and the specific calculation formula is as follows:
wherein P is a Representing the actual price, P p The market price is represented by a market price,representing a provider confidence coefficient for measuring whether the provider is authentic, when +.>When the value is 1, the provider is expressed as being absolutely trusted, when +.>When the value is 0, the provider is not trusted;
the specific rules for completing the false price risk assessment of the production project are as follows:
when (when)But P is a -P p When < 0, the production item is representedThe actual price is lower than the market price, and the production project has no risk of false price;
when (when)And P is a -P p When the price is more than 0, the actual price of the production item is higher than the market price, and the risk of false price exists in the production item;
when (when)Indicating that the production item provider is not trusted, the production item is at risk of a false price.
8. A system adopting the risk assessment method of the production item according to any one of claims 1 to 7, characterized by comprising a data collection and processing module, an assessment index formulation module and a comprehensive risk assessment module;
the data collection and processing module is used for collecting and processing data related to production projects;
the evaluation index making module is used for making an evaluation index of the production project through the data processed by the data collecting and processing module;
the comprehensive risk assessment module is used for completing comprehensive risk assessment of the production project based on the assessment indexes formulated by the assessment index formulation module.
9. A computer device comprising a memory and a processor, the memory storing a computer program, characterized in that the processor implements the steps of the method of any of claims 1 to 7 when the computer program is executed.
10. A computer readable storage medium, on which a computer program is stored, characterized in that the computer program, when being executed by a processor, implements the steps of the method of any of claims 1 to 7.
CN202311100842.XA 2023-08-30 2023-08-30 Risk assessment method and system for production project Pending CN117273438A (en)

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