CN117034588A - Industrial carbon emission space simulation method and system based on noctilucent remote sensing and interest points - Google Patents

Industrial carbon emission space simulation method and system based on noctilucent remote sensing and interest points Download PDF

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CN117034588A
CN117034588A CN202310948453.6A CN202310948453A CN117034588A CN 117034588 A CN117034588 A CN 117034588A CN 202310948453 A CN202310948453 A CN 202310948453A CN 117034588 A CN117034588 A CN 117034588A
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郭远游
叶玉瑶
王长建
刘郑倩
卢秦
吕丹娜
李升发
许吉黎
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Abstract

本发明公开了一种基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法和系统,方法包括:获取产业能源消耗量和对应碳排放因子系数;计算产业年度碳排放总量;获取产业兴趣点数据和夜光遥感数据;计算归一化分值;获取第一指标,构建面板数据矩阵,所述第一指标包括夜间灯光总值和所述产业年度碳排放总量,所述面板数据矩阵包含所述第一指标;计算每项所述第一指标的权重;计算碳排放的空间模拟化结果。本发明实现了区域的产业碳排放的空间模拟,提高了碳排放空间分布结果的精度,揭示了产业碳排放在地理空间中的分布特征及规律。本发明可广泛应用于碳排放处理技术领域。

The invention discloses a method and system for spatial simulation of industrial carbon emissions based on night-light remote sensing and points of interest. The method includes: obtaining industrial energy consumption and corresponding carbon emission factor coefficients; calculating the total annual carbon emissions of the industry; and obtaining industrial interest point data. and night light remote sensing data; calculate the normalized score; obtain the first indicator and construct a panel data matrix. The first indicator includes the total value of nighttime lighting and the total annual carbon emissions of the industry. The panel data matrix includes the The first indicator; calculate the weight of each first indicator; calculate the spatial simulation results of carbon emissions. The invention realizes the spatial simulation of regional industrial carbon emissions, improves the accuracy of spatial distribution results of carbon emissions, and reveals the distribution characteristics and rules of industrial carbon emissions in geographical space. The invention can be widely used in the technical field of carbon emission treatment.

Description

基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法和系统Industrial carbon emission spatial simulation method and system based on nighttime light remote sensing and points of interest

技术领域Technical field

本发明涉及碳排放处理技术领域,尤其涉及基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法和系统。The invention relates to the technical field of carbon emission processing, and in particular to an industrial carbon emission spatial simulation method and system based on nighttime remote sensing and points of interest.

背景技术Background technique

目前碳排放增加引起的气候变暖深刻影响着人们的生活和健康,为了应对气候变暖导致的严重后果,需要采取一系列遏制气候变暖、减少人为二氧化碳排放的措施。碳排放核算体系主要从统计学角度,针对区域层面、行业企业层面、产品层面三类核算对象展开,但欠缺准确的系统核算,造成碳排放分布不清、机理不明、调控能力薄弱,不同层面、不同尺度、不同行业的海量碳排放数据缺乏统一的基准,难以整合利用。The current climate warming caused by increased carbon emissions has a profound impact on people's lives and health. In order to deal with the serious consequences of climate warming, a series of measures need to be taken to curb climate warming and reduce man-made carbon dioxide emissions. The carbon emission accounting system is mainly developed from a statistical perspective and targets three types of accounting objects: the regional level, the industry and enterprise level, and the product level. However, it lacks accurate systematic accounting, resulting in unclear carbon emission distribution, unclear mechanisms, and weak regulatory capabilities. At different levels, Massive carbon emission data from different scales and industries lack a unified benchmark and are difficult to integrate and utilize.

传统基于统计数据的碳排放核算体系存在不足,统计数据仅提供特定区域的相关要素的数字记录,只通过统计数值来进行研究是不够全面的。相关技术中,碳排放核算方法研究的角度太过单一,生成的碳排放空间分布结果精度较低。The traditional carbon emission accounting system based on statistical data has shortcomings. Statistical data only provides digital records of relevant elements in a specific area, and it is not comprehensive enough to conduct research only through statistical values. In related technologies, the research perspective of carbon emission accounting methods is too single, and the spatial distribution results of carbon emissions generated have low accuracy.

发明内容Contents of the invention

以下是对本文详细描述的主题的概述。本概述并非是为了限制权利要求的保护范围。The following is an overview of the topics described in detail in this article. This summary is not intended to limit the scope of the claims.

本发明实施例提供了一种基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法和系统,能够有效地提高碳排放空间分布结果的计算精度,从而揭示了产业碳排放在地理空间中的分布特征及规律。Embodiments of the present invention provide a method and system for spatial simulation of industrial carbon emissions based on night-light remote sensing and points of interest, which can effectively improve the calculation accuracy of spatial distribution results of carbon emissions, thereby revealing the distribution characteristics of industrial carbon emissions in geographical space. and rules.

一方面,本发明实施例提供了基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法,包括以下步骤:On the one hand, embodiments of the present invention provide a spatial simulation method of industrial carbon emissions based on nighttime remote sensing and points of interest, including the following steps:

获取产业能源消耗量和对应碳排放因子系数;Obtain industrial energy consumption and corresponding carbon emission factor coefficients;

根据所述产业能源消耗量和所述对应碳排放因子系数,计算产业年度碳排放总量;Calculate the total annual carbon emissions of the industry based on the industrial energy consumption and the corresponding carbon emission factor coefficient;

获取产业兴趣点数据和夜光遥感数据;Obtain industrial interest point data and night light remote sensing data;

根据所述产业兴趣点数据和所述夜光遥感数据,计算归一化分值;Calculate a normalized score based on the industrial interest point data and the night light remote sensing data;

获取第一指标,构建面板数据矩阵,所述第一指标包括夜间灯光总值和所述产业年度碳排放总量,所述面板数据矩阵包含所述第一指标;Obtain the first indicator and construct a panel data matrix. The first indicator includes the total value of nighttime lighting and the total annual carbon emissions of the industry. The panel data matrix includes the first indicator;

根据所述面板数据矩阵,计算每项所述第一指标的权重;Calculate the weight of each first indicator according to the panel data matrix;

根据所述产业年度碳排放总量、所述归一化分值及所述权重,计算碳排放的空间模拟化结果。Calculate the spatial simulation results of carbon emissions based on the total annual carbon emissions of the industry, the normalized score and the weight.

进一步地,所述产业年度碳排放总量的计算公式如下:Further, the calculation formula for the total annual carbon emissions of the industry is as follows:

式中,CE为产业年度碳排放总量,Ki为能源i的碳排放因子系数,Ei为能源i的产业能源消耗量,p为能源种类数量。In the formula, CE is the total annual carbon emissions of the industry, K i is the carbon emission factor coefficient of energy i, E i is the industrial energy consumption of energy i, and p is the number of energy types.

进一步地,所述根据所述产业兴趣点数据和所述夜光遥感数据,计算归一化分值,包括以下步骤:Further, calculating the normalized score based on the industrial interest point data and the night light remote sensing data includes the following steps:

对所述产业兴趣点数据进行核密度分析,得到产业兴趣点核密度栅格图像;Perform kernel density analysis on the industrial interest point data to obtain an industrial interest point kernel density raster image;

对所述夜光遥感数据进行分析,得到夜光遥感图像;Analyze the luminous remote sensing data to obtain luminous remote sensing images;

根据所述产业兴趣点核密度栅格图像和所述夜光遥感图像,计算所述归一化分值,所述归一化分值的计算公式如下:The normalized score is calculated based on the industrial interest point kernel density raster image and the night-light remote sensing image. The calculation formula of the normalized score is as follows:

式中,Ijk为第j项所述第一指标在第k个栅格的归一化分值,Rjk为第j项所述第一指标在第k个栅格的栅格图像像素值,f为第j项所述第一指标的栅格图像的总像元数量。In the formula, I jk is the normalized score of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the k-th raster, and R jk is the raster image pixel value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the k-th raster. , f is the total number of pixels of the raster image of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item.

进一步地,所述获取第一指标,构建面板数据矩阵,包括以下步骤:Further, obtaining the first indicator and constructing a panel data matrix includes the following steps:

对所述夜光遥感数据进行计算,得到所述夜间灯光总值;Calculate the nighttime light remote sensing data to obtain the total nighttime lighting value;

构建面板数据矩阵,所述面板数据矩阵的计算公式如下:Construct a panel data matrix. The calculation formula of the panel data matrix is as follows:

式中,rij为第j项所述第一指标在第i年的面板数据值,m为面板数据的年份总数量,n为所述第一指标总数量。In the formula, r ij is the panel data value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the i-th year, m is the total number of panel data years, and n is the total number of the first indicator.

进一步地,所述根据所述面板数据矩阵计算每项所述第一指标的权重,包括以下步骤:Further, calculating the weight of each first indicator according to the panel data matrix includes the following steps:

根据所述面板数据矩阵计算标准化指标;Calculate standardized indicators based on the panel data matrix;

根据所述标准化指标,计算每项所述第一指标的熵值;Calculate the entropy value of each of the first indicators according to the standardized indicators;

根据所述熵值,计算每项所述第一指标的权重。According to the entropy value, the weight of each first indicator is calculated.

进一步地,所述标准化指标的计算公式如下:Further, the calculation formula of the standardized index is as follows:

或者,or,

式中,xij为标准化后第j项所述第一指标在第i年的值,Maxj{rij}为第j项所述第一指标的最大值,Minj{rij}为第j项所述第一指标的最小值,rij为第j项所述第一指标在第i年的面板数据值。In the formula, x ij is the value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item after standardization in the i-th year, Max j {r ij } is the maximum value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item, and Min j {r ij } is the value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item. The minimum value of the first indicator mentioned in item j, r ij is the panel data value of the first indicator mentioned in item j in year i.

进一步地,所述熵值的计算公式如下:Further, the calculation formula of the entropy value is as follows:

式中,ej为第j项所述第一指标的熵值,pij为第j项所述第一指标在第i年的指标值比重,且当pij=0时,pij·lnpij=0,n为所述第一指标总数量,k为系数;In the formula, e j is the entropy value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item, p ij is the index value proportion of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the i-th year, and when p ij =0, p ij ·lnp ij =0, n is the total number of the first indicators, k is the coefficient;

式中,m为面板数据矩阵的行数,即数据的年份总数量;In the formula, m is the number of rows of the panel data matrix, that is, the total number of years of data;

式中,pij为第j项所述第一指标在第i年的指标值比重,xij为面板数据标准化后第j项所述第一指标在第i年的值,m为面板数据矩阵的行数。In the formula, p ij is the index value proportion of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the i-th year, x ij is the value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the i-th year after panel data standardization, and m is the panel data matrix. number of rows.

进一步地,所述权重的计算公式如下:Further, the calculation formula of the weight is as follows:

式中,wj为第j项所述第一指标的权重值,ej为第j项所述第一指标的熵值,n为所述第一指标总数量。In the formula, w j is the weight value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item, e j is the entropy value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item, and n is the total number of the first indicators.

进一步地,所述碳排放的空间模拟化结果的计算公式如下:Further, the calculation formula of the spatial simulation result of carbon emissions is as follows:

式中,Fk为第k个栅格的综合权重值,wj为第j项所述第一指标的权重,Ijk为第j项所述第一指标在第k个栅格的归一化分值,n为所述第一指标总数量;In the formula, F k is the comprehensive weight value of the k-th grid, w j is the weight of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item, and I jk is the normalized value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the k-th grid. value, n is the total number of the first indicators;

式中,CEk为空间化后第k个栅格内的碳排放量,CE为栅格所在研究区的产业年度碳排放总量,Fk为第k个栅格的综合权重值,u为栅格总数量。In the formula, CE k is the carbon emissions in the k-th grid after spatialization, CE is the total annual carbon emissions of the industry in the research area where the grid is located, F k is the comprehensive weight value of the k-th grid, and u is The total number of rasters.

另一方面,本发明实施例提供了基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟系统,包括:On the other hand, embodiments of the present invention provide an industrial carbon emission spatial simulation system based on nighttime remote sensing and points of interest, including:

第一模块,用于获取产业能源消耗量和对应碳排放因子系数;The first module is used to obtain industrial energy consumption and corresponding carbon emission factor coefficients;

第二模块,用于根据所述产业能源消耗量和所述对应碳排放因子系数,计算产业年度碳排放总量;The second module is used to calculate the total annual carbon emissions of the industry based on the industrial energy consumption and the corresponding carbon emission factor coefficient;

第三模块,用于获取产业兴趣点数据和夜光遥感数据;The third module is used to obtain industrial interest point data and night light remote sensing data;

第四模块,用于根据所述产业兴趣点数据和所述夜光遥感数据,计算归一化分值;The fourth module is used to calculate a normalized score based on the industrial interest point data and the night light remote sensing data;

第五模块,用于获取第一指标,构建面板数据矩阵,所述第一指标包括夜间灯光总值和所述产业年度碳排放总量,所述面板数据矩阵包含所述第一指标;The fifth module is used to obtain the first indicator and construct a panel data matrix. The first indicator includes the total value of nighttime lighting and the total annual carbon emissions of the industry. The panel data matrix includes the first indicator;

第六模块,用于根据所述面板数据矩阵,计算每项所述第一指标的权重;The sixth module is used to calculate the weight of each first indicator according to the panel data matrix;

第七模块,用于根据所述产业年度碳排放总量、所述归一化分值及所述权重,计算碳排放的空间模拟化结果。The seventh module is used to calculate the spatial simulation results of carbon emissions based on the total annual carbon emissions of the industry, the normalized score and the weight.

本发明所具有的有益效果如下:The beneficial effects of the present invention are as follows:

本发明基于夜光遥感和兴趣点数据,首先获取产业能源消耗量和对应碳排放因子系数,计算产业年度碳排放总量,然后获取产业兴趣点数据和夜光遥感数据,计算归一化分值,然后获取第一指标,构建面板数据矩阵,计算每项第一指标的权重,最后计算碳排放的空间模拟化结果,实现了区域的产业碳排放的空间模拟,提高了碳排放空间分布结果的精度,揭示了产业碳排放在地理空间中的分布特征及规律。Based on luminous remote sensing and point of interest data, this invention first obtains industrial energy consumption and corresponding carbon emission factor coefficients, calculates the total annual carbon emissions of the industry, then obtains industrial interest point data and luminous remote sensing data, calculates the normalized score, and then Obtain the first indicator, construct a panel data matrix, calculate the weight of each first indicator, and finally calculate the spatial simulation results of carbon emissions, realizing the spatial simulation of regional industrial carbon emissions and improving the accuracy of the spatial distribution results of carbon emissions. It reveals the distribution characteristics and rules of industrial carbon emissions in geographical space.

本发明的其它特征和优点将在随后的说明书中阐述,并且,部分地从说明书中变得显而易见,或者通过实施本发明而了解。本发明的目的和其他优点可通过在说明书、权利要求书以及附图中所特别指出的结构来实现和获得。Additional features and advantages of the invention will be set forth in the description which follows, and in part will be apparent from the description, or may be learned by practice of the invention. The objectives and other advantages of the invention may be realized and obtained by the structure particularly pointed out in the written description, claims and appended drawings.

附图说明Description of the drawings

为了更清楚地说明本申请实施例中的技术方案,下面将对实施例描述中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍,显而易见地,下面描述中的附图仅仅是本申请的一些实施例,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其他的附图。In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present application, the drawings needed to be used in the description of the embodiments will be briefly introduced below. Obviously, the drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the present application. For those of ordinary skill in the art, other drawings can also be obtained based on these drawings without exerting creative efforts.

图1为本发明实施例提供的基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法的流程图;Figure 1 is a flow chart of an industrial carbon emission spatial simulation method based on nighttime light remote sensing and points of interest provided by an embodiment of the present invention;

图2为本发明实施例的一种能源消耗碳排放系数表的示意图;Figure 2 is a schematic diagram of an energy consumption carbon emission coefficient table according to an embodiment of the present invention;

图3为本发明实施例提供的基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法中根据面板数据矩阵计算每项第一指标的权重的流程图;Figure 3 is a flow chart for calculating the weight of each first indicator based on the panel data matrix in the spatial simulation method of industrial carbon emissions based on nighttime light remote sensing and points of interest provided by the embodiment of the present invention;

图4为本发明实例提供的某区域内2020年产业碳排放空间化指标及权重的示意图;Figure 4 is a schematic diagram of the spatial indicators and weights of industrial carbon emissions in a certain region in 2020 provided by the example of the present invention;

图5为本发明实施例提供的基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟系统的示意图。Figure 5 is a schematic diagram of an industrial carbon emission spatial simulation system based on nighttime remote sensing and points of interest provided by an embodiment of the present invention.

具体实施方式Detailed ways

下面详细描述本发明的实施例,所述实施例的示例在附图中示出,其中自始至终相同或类似的标号表示相同或类似的元件或具有相同或类似功能的元件。下面通过参考附图描述的实施例是示例性的,仅用于解释本发明,而不能理解为对本发明的限制。Embodiments of the present invention are described in detail below, examples of which are illustrated in the accompanying drawings, wherein the same or similar reference numerals throughout represent the same or similar elements or elements with the same or similar functions. The embodiments described below with reference to the drawings are exemplary and are only used to explain the present invention and cannot be understood as limiting the present invention.

为了使本发明的目的、技术方案及优点更加清楚明白,下面结合附图和具体实施例对本发明做进一步的详细说明。对于以下实施例中的步骤编号,其仅为了便于阐述说明而设置,对步骤之间的顺序不做任何限定,实施例中的各步骤的执行顺序均可根据本领域技术人员的理解来进行适应性调整。In order to make the purpose, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention more clear, the present invention will be further described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments. The step numbers in the following embodiments are only set for the convenience of explanation. The order between the steps is not limited in any way. The execution order of each step in the embodiments can be adapted according to the understanding of those skilled in the art. sexual adjustment.

除非另有定义,本发明实施例所使用的所有的技术和科学术语与属于本发明的技术领域的技术人员通常理解的含义相同。本发明实施例中所使用的术语只是为了描述本发明实施例的目的,不是旨在限制本发明。Unless otherwise defined, all technical and scientific terms used in the embodiments of the present invention have the same meanings as commonly understood by those skilled in the technical field of the present invention. The terms used in the embodiments of the present invention are only for the purpose of describing the embodiments of the present invention and are not intended to limit the present invention.

如图1所示,本发明实施例提供了基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法,其包括的步骤如下所示:As shown in Figure 1, the embodiment of the present invention provides a spatial simulation method of industrial carbon emissions based on nighttime light remote sensing and points of interest, which includes the following steps:

步骤S11、获取产业能源消耗量和对应碳排放因子系数。Step S11: Obtain industrial energy consumption and corresponding carbon emission factor coefficients.

具体地,以某区域内2016-2020年纺织业、石油、煤炭及其他燃料加工业、化学原料和化学制品制造业、非金属矿物制品业、汽车制造业、计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业、电力、热力生产和供应业等7类产业为对象,收集2016-2020年该区域内工业部门的7类产业能源终端消费数据,从该产业能源终端消费数据中可以获取到产业能源消耗量和对应的碳排放因子系数。Specifically, based on the textile industry, petroleum, coal and other fuel processing industry, chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry, non-metallic mineral products industry, automobile manufacturing industry, computer, communications and other electronic equipment manufacturing industry in a certain region from 2016 to 2020 7 types of industries, including electricity, heat production and supply industries, are used as targets to collect energy terminal consumption data of 7 types of industrial sectors in the region from 2016 to 2020. From the energy terminal consumption data of this industry, the industrial energy consumption and energy consumption can be obtained. The corresponding carbon emission factor coefficient.

步骤S12、根据产业能源消耗量和对应碳排放因子系数,计算产业年度碳排放总量。Step S12: Calculate the total annual carbon emissions of the industry based on the industrial energy consumption and the corresponding carbon emission factor coefficient.

具体地,碳排放的核算采用碳排放因子法,根据如图2所示的《2006温室气体排放清单》的各类化石能源的碳排放系数表,结合地区的能源终端消费数据,选择原煤、汽油、柴油、燃料油以及热力、电力等能源终端消费量来估算地区产业能源消耗产生的二氧化碳排放量,计算公式如下:Specifically, carbon emissions are calculated using the carbon emission factor method. Based on the carbon emission coefficient table of various fossil energy sources in the "2006 Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory" as shown in Figure 2, combined with regional energy terminal consumption data, raw coal and gasoline are selected. , diesel, fuel oil, heat, electricity and other energy terminal consumption to estimate the carbon dioxide emissions generated by regional industrial energy consumption. The calculation formula is as follows:

式中,CE为产业年度碳排放总量,单位为t;Ki为能源i碳排放因子系数,单位为(104t碳)/(104t标准煤),Ki值来源于碳排放计算指南缺省值,原始数据单位为J,为与统计数据单位一致,将其转化成标准煤,转化系数为1×104t标准煤等于2.93×105GJ;Ei为能源i的产业能源消耗量,按标准煤计,单位为104t;p为能源种类数量。In the formula, CE is the total annual carbon emissions of the industry, the unit is t; K i is the carbon emission factor coefficient of energy i, the unit is (10 4 t carbon)/(10 4 t standard coal), the K i value comes from carbon emissions The default value of the calculation guide is that the original data unit is J. In order to be consistent with the statistical data unit, it is converted into standard coal. The conversion coefficient is 1×10 4 t standard coal which is equal to 2.93×10 5 GJ; E i is the industry of energy i Energy consumption, based on standard coal, unit is 10 4 t; p is the number of energy types.

进一步地,根据公式(1)逐年计算七类产业的总碳排放量。经计算七类产业2016-2020年的总碳排放量分别为3272.83、3569.63、3662.27、3749.86、3776.10万吨。Furthermore, the total carbon emissions of the seven industries are calculated year by year according to formula (1). It is calculated that the total carbon emissions of the seven categories of industries from 2016 to 2020 are 3272.83, 3569.63, 3662.27, 3749.86, and 37.761 million tons respectively.

步骤S13、获取产业兴趣点数据和夜光遥感数据。Step S13: Obtain industrial interest point data and night light remote sensing data.

具体地,通过调用互联网地图软件供应商的软件开发工具包爬取获得2020年某区域内7类产业的兴趣点数据,并获取2016-2020年的NPP-VIIRS全球夜光遥感数据。Specifically, by calling the Internet map software supplier's software development toolkit to crawl, the point-of-interest data of seven types of industries in a certain region in 2020 was obtained, and the NPP-VIIRS global nighttime remote sensing data from 2016 to 2020 was obtained.

步骤S14、根据产业兴趣点数据和夜光遥感数据,计算归一化分值。Step S14: Calculate the normalized score based on the industrial interest point data and night light remote sensing data.

具体地,根据产业兴趣点数据和夜光遥感数据,计算归一化分值,包括以下步骤:Specifically, calculating the normalized score based on industrial interest point data and nighttime light remote sensing data includes the following steps:

对产业兴趣点数据进行核密度分析,得到产业兴趣点核密度栅格图像;Perform kernel density analysis on industrial interest point data to obtain a kernel density raster image of industrial interest points;

具体地,利用ArcGIS10.6软件对每个产业的兴趣点数据进行核密度分析,得到产业兴趣点核密度栅格图像;Specifically, ArcGIS10.6 software was used to conduct kernel density analysis on the interest point data of each industry, and a kernel density raster image of industrial interest points was obtained;

对夜光遥感数据进行分析,得到夜光遥感图像;Analyze night light remote sensing data to obtain night light remote sensing images;

具体地,对夜光遥感数据进行预处理、裁剪,得到该区域内2016-2020年的NPP-VIIRS夜光遥感图像;Specifically, the nighttime light remote sensing data were preprocessed and cropped to obtain the NPP-VIIRS nighttime light remote sensing images in the area from 2016 to 2020;

根据产业兴趣点核密度栅格图像和夜光遥感图像,计算归一化分值;Calculate the normalized score based on the industrial interest point kernel density raster image and night light remote sensing image;

具体地,对产业兴趣点核密度栅格图像和夜光遥感图像进行栅格像元值归一化,得到归一化分值,归一化分值的计算公式如下:Specifically, the raster pixel values of the industrial interest point kernel density raster image and the night-light remote sensing image are normalized to obtain the normalized score. The calculation formula of the normalized score is as follows:

式中,Ijk为第j项第一指标在第k个栅格的归一化分值,Rjk为第j项第一指标在第k个栅格的栅格图像像素值,f为第j项第一指标的栅格图像的总像元数量。In the formula, I jk is the normalized score of the j-th first indicator in the k-th raster, R jk is the raster image pixel value of the j-th first indicator in the k-th raster, and f is the raster image pixel value of the j-th first indicator in the k-th raster. The total number of pixels in the raster image of the first indicator of item j.

步骤S15、获取第一指标,构建面板数据矩阵,其中,第一指标包括夜间灯光总值和产业年度碳排放总量,面板数据矩阵包含第一指标。Step S15: Obtain the first indicator and construct a panel data matrix, where the first indicator includes the total value of nighttime lighting and the total annual carbon emissions of the industry, and the panel data matrix includes the first indicator.

具体地,获取第一指标,构建面板数据矩阵,包括以下步骤:Specifically, obtaining the first indicator and constructing a panel data matrix includes the following steps:

对夜光遥感数据进行计算,得到夜间灯光总值;Calculate the night light remote sensing data to obtain the total value of night light;

具体地,根据夜光遥感数据,运用ArcGIS10.6的像元统计数据功能,计算区域的夜光遥感的夜间灯光总值;Specifically, based on the nighttime remote sensing data, the pixel statistical data function of ArcGIS10.6 is used to calculate the total nighttime light value of the regional nightlight remote sensing;

构建面板数据矩阵;Construct a panel data matrix;

具体地,结合夜间灯光总值和每个产业的年度碳排放总量,组成面板数据矩阵,面板数据矩阵的计算公式如下:Specifically, the total value of nighttime lighting and the total annual carbon emissions of each industry are combined to form a panel data matrix. The calculation formula of the panel data matrix is as follows:

式中,rij为第j项第一指标在第i年的面板数据值,m为面板数据的年份总数量,n为第一指标总数量。In the formula, r ij is the panel data value of the j-th first indicator in the i-th year, m is the total number of panel data years, and n is the total number of the first indicator.

步骤S16、根据面板数据矩阵计算每项第一指标的权重。Step S16: Calculate the weight of each first indicator based on the panel data matrix.

具体地,采用熵权法,它能根据自己提供的信息确定指标的权重,一个指标提供的信息越多,熵越低,指标的权重就越大;其作为一种重要的评价方法被应用,它能够克服人为确定权重的主观性及多指标变量信息的重叠带来的负面影响且客观性强。如图3所示,根据面板数据矩阵计算每项第一指标的权重,包括以下步骤:Specifically, the entropy weight method is used, which can determine the weight of the indicator based on the information it provides. The more information an indicator provides, the lower the entropy, and the greater the weight of the indicator; it is used as an important evaluation method. It can overcome the subjectivity of artificially determined weights and the negative impact caused by the overlap of multi-index variable information, and is highly objective. As shown in Figure 3, calculating the weight of each first indicator based on the panel data matrix includes the following steps:

步骤S301、根据面板数据矩阵计算标准化指标。Step S301: Calculate the standardized index according to the panel data matrix.

具体地,各种第一指标的设定角度不同,导致数据的变化趋势和单位存在差异。为了排除指标量纲差异对于结果的影响,有必要将主要数据统一为没有测量单位的统一值。采用极值方法来统一第一指标,由于夜间灯光与碳排放量具有正相关的关系,因此本实例的指标均为正向指标,标准化指标的计算公式如下:Specifically, the setting angles of various first indicators are different, resulting in differences in the changing trends and units of the data. In order to eliminate the influence of differences in indicator dimensions on the results, it is necessary to unify the main data into a unified value without measurement units. The extreme value method is used to unify the first indicator. Since nighttime lighting has a positive correlation with carbon emissions, the indicators in this example are all positive indicators. The calculation formula of the standardized indicator is as follows:

或者,or,

式中,xij为标准化后第j项第一指标在第i年的值,Maxj{rij}为第j项第一指标的最大值,Minj{rij}为第j项第一指标的最小值,rij为第j项第一指标在第i年的面板数据值。公式(4)为正向指标,表示指标的值越高越有重要的表现;公式(5)为负向指标,表示指标越低越有重要表现。In the formula, x ij is the value of the j-th first indicator in the i-th year after standardization, Max j {r ij } is the maximum value of the j-th first indicator, and Min j {r ij } is the j-th first indicator. The minimum value of the indicator, r ij is the panel data value of the j-th first indicator in the i-th year. Formula (4) is a positive indicator, indicating that the higher the value of the indicator, the more important the performance; Formula (5) is a negative indicator, indicating that the lower the value of the indicator, the more important the performance is.

步骤S302、根据标准化指标,计算每项第一指标的熵值。Step S302: Calculate the entropy value of each first index according to the standardized index.

具体地,熵值的计算公式如下:Specifically, the calculation formula of entropy value is as follows:

式中,ej为第j项第一指标的熵值,pij为第j项第一指标在第i年的指标值比重,且当pij=0时,pij·lnpij=0,n为第一指标总数量,k为系数;In the formula, e j is the entropy value of the j-th first indicator, p ij is the index value proportion of the j-th first indicator in the i-th year, and when p ij =0, p ij ·lnp ij =0, n is the total number of first indicators, k is the coefficient;

式中,m为面板数据矩阵的行数,即数据的年份总数量;In the formula, m is the number of rows of the panel data matrix, that is, the total number of years of data;

式中,pij为第j项第一指标在第i年的指标值比重,xij为面板数据标准化后第j项第一指标在第i年的值,m为面板数据矩阵的行数。In the formula, p ij is the index value proportion of the j-th first indicator in the i-th year, x ij is the value of the j-th first indicator in the i-th year after panel data standardization, and m is the number of rows of the panel data matrix.

步骤S303、根据熵值,计算每项第一指标的权重。Step S303: Calculate the weight of each first indicator based on the entropy value.

具体地,根据公式(9)计算每项第一指标的权重,产业碳排放空间化评价指标体系及权重如图4所示,第一指标的权重和为1,权重的计算公式如下:Specifically, the weight of each first indicator is calculated according to formula (9). The spatial evaluation index system and weight of industrial carbon emissions are shown in Figure 4. The sum of the weights of the first indicator is 1, and the calculation formula of the weight is as follows:

式中,wj为第j项第一指标的权重值,ej为第j项第一指标的熵值,n为第一指标总数量。In the formula, w j is the weight value of the j-th first indicator, e j is the entropy value of the j-th first indicator, and n is the total number of first indicators.

步骤S17、根据产业年度碳排放总量、归一化分值及权重,计算碳排放的空间模拟化结果。Step S17: Calculate the spatial simulation results of carbon emissions based on the total annual carbon emissions of the industry, the normalized score and the weight.

具体地,根据产业年度碳排放总量CE、归一化分值Ijk及权重wj,计算碳排放的空间模拟化结果,碳排放的空间模拟化结果的计算公式如下:Specifically, the spatial simulation results of carbon emissions are calculated based on the total annual carbon emissions CE of the industry, the normalized score I jk and the weight w j . The calculation formula of the spatial simulation results of carbon emissions is as follows:

式中,Fk为第k个栅格的综合权重值,wj为第j项第一指标的权重,Ijk为第j项第一指标在第k个栅格的归一化分值,n为第一指标总数量;In the formula, F k is the comprehensive weight value of the k-th grid, w j is the weight of the j-th first indicator, I jk is the normalized score of the j-th first indicator in the k-th grid, n is the total number of first indicators;

式中,CEk为空间化后第k个栅格内的碳排放量,CE为栅格所在研究区的产业年度碳排放总量,Fk为第k个栅格的综合权重值,u为栅格总数量。In the formula, CE k is the carbon emissions in the k-th grid after spatialization, CE is the total annual carbon emissions of the industry in the research area where the grid is located, F k is the comprehensive weight value of the k-th grid, and u is The total number of rasters.

实施本发明实施例的有益效果包括:本发明基于夜光遥感传统数据,融合了兴趣点这一地理空间大数据,通过地理空间信息技术实现了碳排放的空间化模拟,聚焦于空间的维度以及具体的行业尺度,建立高空间分辨率的二氧化碳碳排放空间网格数据,帮助建立具体区域、行业、部门的排放清单和空间数据库,揭示了产业碳排放在地理空间中的分布特征及规律。The beneficial effects of implementing the embodiments of the present invention include: the present invention is based on traditional nighttime light remote sensing data, integrates geospatial big data of points of interest, realizes spatial simulation of carbon emissions through geospatial information technology, and focuses on spatial dimensions and specific At the industry scale, we establish high spatial resolution spatial grid data of carbon dioxide emissions, help establish emission inventories and spatial databases for specific regions, industries, and departments, and reveal the distribution characteristics and patterns of industrial carbon emissions in geographical space.

此外,本发明实施例在统计数据的基础上,结合空间地理大数据及地理信息空间分析技术实现了区域内产业层面的碳排放空间模拟,可以建立区域的产业碳排放空间数据集,为产业绿色转型升级、优化产业结构、促进产业低碳发展提供关键的基础数据支撑,同时在空间低碳管控、精确减碳等领域具有广阔的应用前景。In addition, on the basis of statistical data, the embodiment of the present invention combines spatial geographical big data and geographical information spatial analysis technology to realize the spatial simulation of carbon emissions at the industrial level in the region, and can establish a regional industrial carbon emission spatial data set to provide industrial green services. It provides key basic data support for transformation and upgrading, optimizing industrial structure, and promoting low-carbon development of industries. It also has broad application prospects in fields such as space low-carbon control and precise carbon reduction.

如图5所示,本发明实施例还提供了基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟系统,包括:As shown in Figure 5, embodiments of the present invention also provide an industrial carbon emission spatial simulation system based on nighttime remote sensing and points of interest, including:

第一模块51,用于获取产业能源消耗量和对应碳排放因子系数;The first module 51 is used to obtain industrial energy consumption and corresponding carbon emission factor coefficients;

第二模块52,用于根据产业能源消耗量和对应碳排放因子系数,计算产业年度碳排放总量;The second module 52 is used to calculate the total annual carbon emissions of the industry based on the industrial energy consumption and the corresponding carbon emission factor coefficient;

第三模块53,用于获取产业兴趣点数据和夜光遥感数据;The third module 53 is used to obtain industrial interest point data and night light remote sensing data;

第四模块54,用于根据产业兴趣点数据和夜光遥感数据,计算归一化分值;The fourth module 54 is used to calculate the normalized score based on industrial interest point data and night light remote sensing data;

第五模块55,用于获取第一指标,构建面板数据矩阵,第一指标包括夜间灯光总值和产业年度碳排放总量,面板数据矩阵包含第一指标;The fifth module 55 is used to obtain the first indicator and construct a panel data matrix. The first indicator includes the total value of nighttime lighting and the total annual carbon emissions of the industry. The panel data matrix includes the first indicator;

第六模块56,用于根据面板数据矩阵,计算每项第一指标的权重;The sixth module 56 is used to calculate the weight of each first indicator based on the panel data matrix;

第七模块57,用于根据产业年度碳排放总量、归一化分值及权重,计算碳排放的空间模拟化结果。The seventh module 57 is used to calculate the spatial simulation results of carbon emissions based on the total annual carbon emissions of the industry, the normalized score and the weight.

可见,上述方法实施例中的内容均适用于本系统实施例中,本系统实施例所具体实现的功能与上述方法实施例相同,并且达到的有益效果与上述方法实施例所达到的有益效果也相同。It can be seen that the contents in the above-mentioned method embodiments are applicable to this system embodiment. The specific functions implemented by this system embodiment are the same as those in the above-mentioned method embodiments, and the beneficial effects achieved are also the same as those achieved by the above-mentioned method embodiments. same.

以上是对本发明的较佳实施进行了具体说明,但本发明并不局限于上述实施方式,熟悉本领域的技术人员在不违背本发明精神的前提下还可作出种种的等同变形或替换,这些等同的变形或替换均包含在本发明权利要求所限定的范围内。The above is a detailed description of the preferred implementation of the present invention, but the present invention is not limited to the above-mentioned embodiments. Those skilled in the art can also make various equivalent modifications or substitutions without violating the spirit of the present invention. Equivalent modifications or substitutions are included within the scope of the claims of the present invention.

Claims (10)

1.基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法,其特征在于,包括以下步骤:1. A spatial simulation method of industrial carbon emissions based on nighttime light remote sensing and points of interest, which is characterized by including the following steps: 获取产业能源消耗量和对应碳排放因子系数;Obtain industrial energy consumption and corresponding carbon emission factor coefficients; 根据所述产业能源消耗量和所述对应碳排放因子系数,计算产业年度碳排放总量;Calculate the total annual carbon emissions of the industry based on the industrial energy consumption and the corresponding carbon emission factor coefficient; 获取产业兴趣点数据和夜光遥感数据;Obtain industrial interest point data and night light remote sensing data; 根据所述产业兴趣点数据和所述夜光遥感数据,计算归一化分值;Calculate a normalized score based on the industrial interest point data and the night light remote sensing data; 获取第一指标,构建面板数据矩阵,所述第一指标包括夜间灯光总值和所述产业年度碳排放总量,所述面板数据矩阵包含所述第一指标;Obtain the first indicator and construct a panel data matrix. The first indicator includes the total value of nighttime lighting and the total annual carbon emissions of the industry. The panel data matrix includes the first indicator; 根据所述面板数据矩阵,计算每项所述第一指标的权重;Calculate the weight of each first indicator according to the panel data matrix; 根据所述产业年度碳排放总量、所述归一化分值及所述权重,计算碳排放的空间模拟化结果。Calculate the spatial simulation results of carbon emissions based on the total annual carbon emissions of the industry, the normalized score and the weight. 2.根据权利要求1所述的基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法,其特征在于,所述产业年度碳排放总量的计算公式如下:2. The spatial simulation method of industrial carbon emissions based on night-light remote sensing and points of interest according to claim 1, characterized in that the calculation formula of the total annual carbon emissions of the industry is as follows: 式中,CE为产业年度碳排放总量,Ki为能源i的碳排放因子系数,Ei为能源i的产业能源消耗量,p为能源种类数量。In the formula, CE is the total annual carbon emissions of the industry, K i is the carbon emission factor coefficient of energy i, E i is the industrial energy consumption of energy i, and p is the number of energy types. 3.根据权利要求1所述的基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法,其特征在于,所述根据所述产业兴趣点数据和所述夜光遥感数据,计算归一化分值,包括以下步骤:3. The industrial carbon emission spatial simulation method based on night-light remote sensing and points of interest according to claim 1, characterized in that the normalized score is calculated based on the industrial interest point data and the night-light remote sensing data, Includes the following steps: 对所述产业兴趣点数据进行核密度分析,得到产业兴趣点核密度栅格图像;Perform kernel density analysis on the industrial interest point data to obtain an industrial interest point kernel density raster image; 对所述夜光遥感数据进行分析,得到夜光遥感图像;Analyze the luminous remote sensing data to obtain luminous remote sensing images; 根据所述产业兴趣点核密度栅格图像和所述夜光遥感图像,计算所述归一化分值,所述归一化分值的计算公式如下:The normalized score is calculated based on the industrial interest point kernel density raster image and the night-light remote sensing image. The calculation formula of the normalized score is as follows: 式中,Ijk为第j项所述第一指标在第k个栅格的归一化分值,Rjk为第j项所述第一指标在第k个栅格的栅格图像像素值,f为第j项所述第一指标的栅格图像的总像元数量。In the formula, I jk is the normalized score of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the k-th raster, and R jk is the raster image pixel value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the k-th raster. , f is the total number of pixels of the raster image of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item. 4.根据权利要求1所述的基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法,其特征在于,所述获取第一指标,构建面板数据矩阵,包括以下步骤:4. The industrial carbon emission spatial simulation method based on night-light remote sensing and points of interest according to claim 1, characterized in that obtaining the first indicator and constructing a panel data matrix includes the following steps: 对所述夜光遥感数据进行计算,得到所述夜间灯光总值;Calculate the nighttime light remote sensing data to obtain the total nighttime lighting value; 构建面板数据矩阵,所述面板数据矩阵的计算公式如下:Construct a panel data matrix. The calculation formula of the panel data matrix is as follows: 式中,rij为第j项所述第一指标在第i年的面板数据值,m为面板数据的年份总数量,n为所述第一指标总数量。In the formula, r ij is the panel data value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the i-th year, m is the total number of panel data years, and n is the total number of the first indicator. 5.根据权利要求1所述的基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法,其特征在于,所述根据所述面板数据矩阵计算每项所述第一指标的权重,包括以下步骤:5. The industrial carbon emission spatial simulation method based on night-light remote sensing and points of interest according to claim 1, characterized in that calculating the weight of each first indicator according to the panel data matrix includes the following steps: 根据所述面板数据矩阵计算标准化指标;Calculate standardized indicators based on the panel data matrix; 根据所述标准化指标,计算每项所述第一指标的熵值;Calculate the entropy value of each of the first indicators according to the standardized indicators; 根据所述熵值,计算每项所述第一指标的权重。According to the entropy value, the weight of each first indicator is calculated. 6.根据权利要求5所述的基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法,其特征在于,所述标准化指标的计算公式如下:6. The spatial simulation method of industrial carbon emissions based on night-light remote sensing and points of interest according to claim 5, characterized in that the calculation formula of the standardized index is as follows: 或者,or, 式中,xij为标准化后第j项所述第一指标在第i年的值,Maxj{rij}为第j项所述第一指标的最大值,Minj{rij}为第j项所述第一指标的最小值,rij为第j项所述第一指标在第i年的面板数据值。In the formula, x ij is the value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item after standardization in the i-th year, Max j {r ij } is the maximum value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item, and Min j {r ij } is the value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item. The minimum value of the first indicator mentioned in item j, r ij is the panel data value of the first indicator mentioned in item j in year i. 7.根据权利要求5所述的基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法,其特征在于,所述熵值的计算公式如下:7. The spatial simulation method of industrial carbon emissions based on nighttime light remote sensing and points of interest according to claim 5, characterized in that the calculation formula of the entropy value is as follows: 式中,ej为第j项所述第一指标的熵值,pij为第j项所述第一指标在第i年的指标值比重,且当pij=0时,pij·lnpij=0,n为所述第一指标总数量,k为系数;In the formula, e j is the entropy value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item, p ij is the index value proportion of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the i-th year, and when p ij =0, p ij ·lnp ij =0, n is the total number of the first indicators, k is the coefficient; 式中,m为面板数据矩阵的行数,即数据的年份总数量;In the formula, m is the number of rows of the panel data matrix, that is, the total number of years of data; 式中,pij为第j项所述第一指标在第i年的指标值比重,xij为面板数据标准化后第j项所述第一指标在第i年的值,m为面板数据矩阵的行数。In the formula, p ij is the index value proportion of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the i-th year, x ij is the value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the i-th year after panel data standardization, and m is the panel data matrix. number of rows. 8.根据权利要求5所述的基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法,其特征在于,所述权重的计算公式如下:8. The spatial simulation method of industrial carbon emissions based on night-light remote sensing and points of interest according to claim 5, characterized in that the calculation formula of the weight is as follows: 式中,wj为第j项所述第一指标的权重值,ej为第j项所述第一指标的熵值,n为所述第一指标总数量。In the formula, w j is the weight value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item, e j is the entropy value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item, and n is the total number of the first indicators. 9.根据权利要求1所述的基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟方法,其特征在于,所述碳排放的空间模拟化结果的计算公式如下:9. The spatial simulation method of industrial carbon emissions based on night-light remote sensing and points of interest according to claim 1, characterized in that the calculation formula of the spatial simulation results of carbon emissions is as follows: 式中,Fk为第k个栅格的综合权重值,wj为第j项所述第一指标的权重,Ijk为第j项所述第一指标在第k个栅格的归一化分值,n为所述第一指标总数量;In the formula, F k is the comprehensive weight value of the k-th grid, w j is the weight of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item, and I jk is the normalized value of the first indicator mentioned in the j-th item in the k-th grid. value, n is the total number of the first indicators; 式中,CEk为空间化后第k个栅格内的碳排放量,CE为栅格所在研究区的产业年度碳排放总量,Fk为第k个栅格的综合权重值,u为栅格总数量。In the formula, CE k is the carbon emissions in the k-th grid after spatialization, CE is the total annual carbon emissions of the industry in the research area where the grid is located, F k is the comprehensive weight value of the k-th grid, and u is The total number of rasters. 10.基于夜光遥感和兴趣点的产业碳排放空间模拟系统,其特征在于,包括:10. An industrial carbon emission spatial simulation system based on nighttime remote sensing and points of interest, which is characterized by: 第一模块,用于获取产业能源消耗量和对应碳排放因子系数;The first module is used to obtain industrial energy consumption and corresponding carbon emission factor coefficients; 第二模块,用于根据所述产业能源消耗量和所述对应碳排放因子系数,计算产业年度碳排放总量;The second module is used to calculate the total annual carbon emissions of the industry based on the industrial energy consumption and the corresponding carbon emission factor coefficient; 第三模块,用于获取产业兴趣点数据和夜光遥感数据;The third module is used to obtain industrial interest point data and night light remote sensing data; 第四模块,用于根据所述产业兴趣点数据和所述夜光遥感数据,计算归一化分值;The fourth module is used to calculate a normalized score based on the industrial interest point data and the night light remote sensing data; 第五模块,用于获取第一指标,构建面板数据矩阵,所述第一指标包括夜间灯光总值和所述产业年度碳排放总量,所述面板数据矩阵包含所述第一指标;The fifth module is used to obtain the first indicator and construct a panel data matrix. The first indicator includes the total value of nighttime lighting and the total annual carbon emissions of the industry. The panel data matrix includes the first indicator; 第六模块,用于根据所述面板数据矩阵,计算每项所述第一指标的权重;The sixth module is used to calculate the weight of each first indicator according to the panel data matrix; 第七模块,用于根据所述产业年度碳排放总量、所述归一化分值及所述权重,计算碳排放的空间模拟化结果。The seventh module is used to calculate the spatial simulation results of carbon emissions based on the total annual carbon emissions of the industry, the normalized score and the weight.
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