CN116957635A - Electricity price acquisition method, device, electronic equipment and storage medium - Google Patents
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Abstract
Description
技术领域Technical field
本公开涉及电力价格预测技术领域,尤其涉及一种电力价格获取方法、装置、电子设备及存储介质。The present disclosure relates to the technical field of electricity price prediction, and in particular, to an electricity price acquisition method, device, electronic equipment and storage medium.
背景技术Background technique
省间电力现货交易是我国多层次统一电力市场体系的重要组成部分,是落实国家能源战略、推动电力市场化改革的重要举措。省间电力现货交易的不断壮大与发展,对实现新型电力系统建设过程中的电力保供和低碳转型目标具有重要意义。省间电力现货交易与各地区的电力供需关系息息相关,而随着全球气候变化,供需变化趋势更加难以判断,省间现货价格的发展趋势难以预测,比如2022年迎峰度夏期间,受持久高温、用电需求增加、电力供应紧张等多重因素影响,省间现货价格攀升。这导致市场环境更加复杂,加剧了市场主体的交易难度,提高了交易门槛。Inter-provincial power spot trading is an important component of my country's multi-level unified power market system and an important measure to implement the national energy strategy and promote the power market reform. The continuous growth and development of inter-provincial power spot trading is of great significance to achieving the goals of ensuring power supply and low-carbon transformation during the construction of new power systems. Inter-provincial electricity spot transactions are closely related to the electricity supply and demand in each region. With global climate change, the supply and demand change trend is more difficult to judge, and the development trend of inter-provincial spot prices is difficult to predict. For example, during the peak summer period in 2022, due to persistent high temperatures Affected by multiple factors such as increased electricity demand and tight power supply, inter-provincial spot prices have risen. This has led to a more complex market environment, intensified the difficulty of transactions for market entities, and raised transaction thresholds.
发明内容Contents of the invention
本公开旨在至少在一定程度上解决相关技术中的技术问题之一。The present disclosure aims to solve one of the technical problems in the related art, at least to a certain extent.
为此,本公开的一个目的在于提出一种电力价格获取方法。To this end, one object of the present disclosure is to propose a method for obtaining electricity prices.
本公开的第二个目的在于提出一种电力价格获取装置。The second object of the present disclosure is to provide an electric power price acquisition device.
本公开的第三个目的在于提出一种电子设备。The third object of the present disclosure is to provide an electronic device.
本公开的第四个目的在于提出一种非瞬时计算机可读存储介质。A fourth object of the present disclosure is to provide a non-transitory computer-readable storage medium.
本公开的第五个目的在于提出一种计算机程序产品。A fifth object of the present disclosure is to provide a computer program product.
为达上述目的,本公开第一方面实施方式提出了一种电力价格获取方法,包括:获取待预测的供给节点和使用节点的用电数据;基于所述用电数据获取所述供给节点向所述使用节点输电的目标交易路径,以及所述使用节点的第一申报价格;基于所述目标交易路径计算折算参数,并基于所述折算参数和所述第一申报价格,确定所述供给节点的第二申报价格;基于所述第一申报价格和所述第二申报价格,确定目标输电价格。In order to achieve the above purpose, the first embodiment of the present disclosure proposes a method for obtaining electricity prices, which includes: obtaining the electricity consumption data of the supply nodes and usage nodes to be predicted; and obtaining the electricity price of the supply nodes to all the supply nodes based on the electricity consumption data. The target transaction path of the power transmission using the node, and the first declared price of the using node; calculate the conversion parameter based on the target transaction path, and determine the supply node based on the conversion parameter and the first declared price. The second declared price; determine the target transmission price based on the first declared price and the second declared price.
根据本公开的一个实施方式,所述基于所述目标交易路径计算折算参数,包括:获取目标中间折算变量;基于所述目标交易路径确定折算参数。According to an embodiment of the present disclosure, calculating the conversion parameters based on the target transaction path includes: obtaining a target intermediate conversion variable; and determining the conversion parameters based on the target transaction path.
根据本公开的一个实施方式,所述基于所述目标交易路径确定折算参数,包括:获取所述目标交易路径的多段跨区通道和每一段所述跨区通道对应的输电网损率;将1减去所述输电网损率,以获取每一段所述跨区通道的有效输电率;将所有跨区通道的有效输电率进行相乘,以计算获得所述折算参数。According to an embodiment of the present disclosure, determining the conversion parameters based on the target transaction path includes: obtaining multiple cross-region channels of the target transaction path and the transmission grid loss rate corresponding to each segment of the cross-region channel; converting 1 Subtract the transmission network loss rate to obtain the effective power transmission rate of each section of the cross-region channel; multiply the effective power transmission rates of all cross-region channels to calculate and obtain the conversion parameter.
根据本公开的一个实施方式,所述获取目标中间折算变量,包括:针对任一跨区通道,获取所述跨区通道子折算参数和输电价格;将所述输电价格和所述子折算参数进行相乘,以获取子中间折算变量;将所有子中间折算变量进行相加,以获取所述目标中间折算变量。According to an embodiment of the present disclosure, obtaining the target intermediate conversion variable includes: for any cross-region channel, obtaining the sub-conversion parameter and the power transmission price of the cross-region channel; Multiply to obtain the sub-intermediate conversion variables; add all sub-intermediate conversion variables to obtain the target intermediate conversion variable.
根据本公开的一个实施方式,所述获取所述跨区通道子折算参数,包括:计算所述供给节点至所述跨区通道的子有效输电率;将所有所述供给节点至所述跨区通道的子有效输电率进行相乘,以计算获得所述跨区通道子折算参数。According to an embodiment of the present disclosure, obtaining the sub-conversion parameters of the cross-region channel includes: calculating the sub-effective power transmission rate from the supply node to the cross-region channel; The sub-effective power transmission rates of the channel are multiplied to calculate the sub-conversion parameters of the cross-region channel.
根据本公开的一个实施方式,所述基于所述折算参数、所述目标中间折算变量和所述第一申报价格计算所述第二申报价格,包括:将所述第一申报价格和所述折算参数进行相乘,并将乘积与所述目标中间折算变量进行相减,以计算获得所述第二申报价格。According to an embodiment of the present disclosure, calculating the second declaration price based on the conversion parameter, the target intermediate conversion variable and the first declaration price includes: combining the first declaration price and the conversion price The parameters are multiplied, and the product is subtracted from the target intermediate conversion variable to calculate and obtain the second declared price.
根据本公开的一个实施方式,基于所述用电数据获取所述使用节点的第一申报价格,包括:获取所述用电数据中所述使用节点的所有历史输电价格;基于所述历史输电价格确定所述第一申报价格。According to an embodiment of the present disclosure, obtaining the first declared price of the usage node based on the power usage data includes: obtaining all historical power transmission prices of the usage node in the power usage data; based on the historical power transmission price Determine the first declared price.
为达上述目的,本公开第二方面实施例提出了一种电力价格获取装置,包括:获取模块,用于获取待预测供给节点和使用节点的用电数据和电力现货交易模型;调用模块,用于将所述用电数据输入至所述电力现货交易模型中,以获取目标交易路径和所述使用节点的第一申报价格;确定模块,用于基于所述目标交易路径和所述第一申报价格,确定所述供给节点的第二申报价格;制定模块,用于基于所述第一申报价格和所述第二申报价格,确定目标交易策略。In order to achieve the above purpose, the second embodiment of the present disclosure proposes an electricity price acquisition device, which includes: an acquisition module, used to acquire the power consumption data of supply nodes and usage nodes to be predicted and the power spot transaction model; a calling module, using Input the electricity consumption data into the electric power spot trading model to obtain the target transaction path and the first declaration price of the usage node; a determination module is used to determine the target transaction path and the first declaration price based on the target transaction path and the first declaration price. Price, determine the second declaration price of the supply node; and a formulation module, used to determine a target transaction strategy based on the first declaration price and the second declaration price.
为达上述目的,本公开第三方面实施例提出了一种电子设备,包括:至少一个处理器;以及与所述至少一个处理器通信连接的存储器;其中,所述存储器存储有可被所述至少一个处理器执行的指令,所述指令被所述至少一个处理器执行,以实现如本公开第一方面实施例所述的电力价格获取方法。To achieve the above object, a third embodiment of the present disclosure provides an electronic device, including: at least one processor; and a memory communicatively connected to the at least one processor; wherein the memory stores information that can be used by the Instructions executed by at least one processor, the instructions being executed by the at least one processor, to implement the electricity price obtaining method as described in the embodiment of the first aspect of the present disclosure.
为达上述目的,本公开第四方面实施例提出了一种存储有计算机指令的非瞬时计算机可读存储介质,其中,所述计算机指令用于实现如本公开第一方面实施例所述的电力价格获取方法。In order to achieve the above object, the fourth embodiment of the present disclosure provides a non-transient computer-readable storage medium storing computer instructions, wherein the computer instructions are used to implement the electric power as described in the first embodiment of the present disclosure. Price acquisition method.
为达上述目的,本公开第五方面实施例提出了一种计算机程序产品,包括计算机程序,所述计算机程序在被处理器执行时用于实现如本公开第一方面实施例所述的电力价格获取方法。In order to achieve the above object, the fifth embodiment of the present disclosure provides a computer program product, including a computer program. When executed by a processor, the computer program is used to implement the electricity price as described in the first embodiment of the present disclosure. Get method.
由此,通过将预测生成目标交易路径和使用节点的第一申报价格,计算折算参数,基于计算折算参数确定使用节点的第二申报价格,并通过第一申报价格和第二申报价格生成目标输电价格,以此可以从供给节点和使用节点以及二者之间的交易路径三个维度,制定更加准确的输电价格,为后续的制定电价、招标等工作提供准确的数据。Thus, by predicting the target transaction path and the first declared price of the usage node, the conversion parameter is calculated, the second declaration price of the usage node is determined based on the calculated conversion parameter, and the target power transmission is generated by the first declaration price and the second declaration price. Price, in this way, a more accurate transmission price can be formulated from the three dimensions of supply node, user node and the transaction path between the two, and accurate data can be provided for subsequent power price setting, bidding and other work.
附图说明Description of the drawings
图1是本公开一个实施方式的一种电力价格获取方法的示意图;Figure 1 is a schematic diagram of an electricity price obtaining method according to an embodiment of the present disclosure;
图2是本公开一个实施方式的另一种电力价格获取方法的示意图;Figure 2 is a schematic diagram of another electricity price acquisition method according to an embodiment of the present disclosure;
图3是本公开一个实施方式的一种电力价格获取装置的示意图;Figure 3 is a schematic diagram of an electricity price acquisition device according to an embodiment of the present disclosure;
图4是本公开一个实施方式的一种电子设备的示意图。Figure 4 is a schematic diagram of an electronic device according to an embodiment of the present disclosure.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
下面详细描述本公开的实施例,所述实施例的示例在附图中示出,其中自始至终相同或类似的标号表示相同或类似的元件或具有相同或类似功能的元件。下面通过参考附图描述的实施例是示例性的,旨在用于解释本公开,而不能理解为对本公开的限制。Embodiments of the present disclosure are described in detail below, examples of which are illustrated in the accompanying drawings, wherein the same or similar reference numerals throughout represent the same or similar elements or elements having the same or similar functions. The embodiments described below with reference to the accompanying drawings are exemplary and intended to explain the present disclosure and are not to be construed as limitations of the present disclosure.
图1为本公开提出的一种电力价格获取方法的一种示例性实施方式的示意图,如图1所示,该电力价格获取方法包括以下步骤:Figure 1 is a schematic diagram of an exemplary implementation of an electricity price acquisition method proposed by the present disclosure. As shown in Figure 1, the electricity price acquisition method includes the following steps:
S101,获取待预测的供给节点和使用节点的用电数据。S101. Obtain the power consumption data of the supply node and the usage node to be predicted.
本申请实施例的电力价格获取方法可应用于电力现货交易或者报价的场景中,本申请实施例的电力价格获取的执行主体可为本申请实施例的电力价格获取装置,该电力价格获取装置可以设置在电子设备上。The electricity price acquisition method in the embodiment of the present application can be applied in the scenario of electricity spot trading or quotation. The execution subject of the electricity price acquisition in the embodiment of the present application can be the electricity price acquisition device in the embodiment of the present application. The electricity price acquisition device can Set on electronic device.
需要说明的是,供给节点为供电源所在地,该节点可为供电源所在的省份。使用节点为需要被供电的所在地,该节点可为需要被供电所在的省份。It should be noted that the supply node is the location of the power supply source, and the node can be the province where the power supply source is located. The use node is the location that needs to be powered, and the node can be the province that needs to be powered.
在本公开实施例中,供给节点和使用节点的用电数据可包括多种,此处不作任何限定,具体可根据实际的设计需要进行限定。举例来说,可包括历史交易价格、预测时间、竞价空间、新能源出力、气温、风速、买卖双方电价电量等信息。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the power consumption data of the supply node and the usage node may include multiple types, and there is no limitation here. The specific limitation may be based on actual design needs. For example, it can include information such as historical transaction prices, forecast time, bidding space, new energy output, temperature, wind speed, electricity prices between buyers and sellers, and so on.
需要说明的是,用电数据可通过获取交易中心披露数据进行提取获得,也可通过历史的交易记录进行获取,此处不作任何限定。It should be noted that the electricity consumption data can be extracted by obtaining the data disclosed by the trading center, or it can be obtained through historical transaction records. There are no restrictions here.
S102,基于用电数据获取供给节点向使用节点输电的目标交易路径,以及使用节点的第一申报价格。S102: Obtain the target transaction path of power transmission from the supply node to the user node based on the power consumption data, and the first declared price of the user node.
在本公开实施例中,基于电数据确定使用节点的第一申报价格的方法可为多种,此处不做任何限定。举例来说,可基于电数据中的历史买房价格,确定第一申报价格;还可通过将电数据输入至使用节点价格生成模型中,以获取第一申报价格。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, there may be multiple methods for determining the first declared price of the usage node based on electrical data, and there is no limitation here. For example, the first declared price can be determined based on the historical house purchase price in the electricity data; the first declared price can also be obtained by inputting the electricity data into the node price generation model.
在本公开实施例中,供给节点向使用节点的交易路径可为多条,目标交易路径为当前所有路径中符合条件的最优路径。该条件可为多种,此处不做任何限定。举例来说,可为经过所有设定地点的交易路径,还可为距离最短的交易路径,还可为电损耗最低的交易路径。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, there may be multiple transaction paths from the supply node to the user node, and the target transaction path is the optimal path that meets the conditions among all current paths. This condition can be of many kinds and is not limited here. For example, it can be a transaction path that passes through all set locations, it can be a transaction path with the shortest distance, or it can be a transaction path with the lowest power loss.
在一种可能实现的方式中,在将电数据输入至电力现货交易模型中,以获取目标交易路径。电力现货交易模型为提前训练好的,并存储在电子设备的存储空间中,以方便在需要时调取使用。该电力现货交易模型是用来预测未来时间段内特定区域的买方申报价格。In one possible implementation manner, the electrical data is input into the electricity spot trading model to obtain the target trading path. The electricity spot trading model is trained in advance and stored in the storage space of the electronic device to facilitate retrieval and use when needed. This electricity spot trading model is used to predict the buyer's declared price in a specific area in the future time period.
首先通过电力现货交易模型构建交易网络图,其中各个供给节点、使用节点作为图中的节点,连接节点的边即为交易路径,基于输电价格、网损率、通道容量、电压等级等信息将节点的特征与其邻居节点的特征进行聚合,得到节点的新特征表示。通过构造谱域图卷积的局部一阶近似计算处理不规则的图结构数据,学习节点和边的嵌入表示,捕捉节点之间的结构和关系:First, a trading network graph is constructed through the power spot trading model, in which each supply node and usage node are used as nodes in the graph. The edges connecting the nodes are the transaction paths. The nodes are divided based on information such as power transmission price, network loss rate, channel capacity, and voltage level. The features of the node are aggregated with the features of its neighbor nodes to obtain a new feature representation of the node. Process irregular graph structure data by constructing local first-order approximation calculations of spectral domain graph convolution, learn the embedding representation of nodes and edges, and capture the structure and relationship between nodes:
其中,是第l层网络的输入;/>,n为图/>中的节点数量;每个节点使用d 维的特征向量进行表示; A 是无向图的邻接矩阵;/>;/>为n 阶单位矩阵;/>是无向图的度矩阵,/>;/>为待训练的参数;h是输出维度;/>为相应的激活函数Relu。in, Is the input of the l-th layer network;/> ,n is the picture/> The number of nodes in; each node is represented by a d-dimensional eigenvector; A is the adjacency matrix of the undirected graph;/> ;/> is the n-order identity matrix;/> is the degree matrix of the undirected graph,/> ;/> is the parameter to be trained; h is the output dimension;/> is the corresponding activation function Relu.
选定送端省份、受端省份,并界定好通道数量J以及输出结果K后,通过图神经网络自动输出前K条且通道数量不高于J的目标交易路径组合并在地图中展示。除了自动输出目标交易路径以外,也可以直接使用输电价格等单一变量对交易路径组合进行排序(如输电价格从最低到最高的前K条且通道数量不高于J的交易路径组合),展示的内容包括送端、受端、交易路径、输电价格、总网损、交易路径的组成,用来查看该通道的市场空间变化趋势的通道市场空间信息,检修天数、检修时间、通道限额等月度检修计划,输电能力、最大输电容量、可用容量、已用容量等通道输电容量信息。After selecting the sending province and the receiving province, and defining the number of channels J and the output result K, the first K target transaction path combinations with the number of channels no higher than J are automatically output through the graph neural network and displayed on the map. In addition to automatically outputting the target transaction path, you can also directly use a single variable such as transmission price to sort the transaction path combinations (such as the top K transaction path combinations from the lowest to the highest transmission price and the number of channels is not higher than J), as shown The content includes the sending end, receiving end, transaction path, transmission price, total network loss, transaction path composition, channel market space information used to view the market space change trend of the channel, maintenance days, maintenance time, channel limit and other monthly maintenance Plan, transmission capacity, maximum transmission capacity, available capacity, used capacity and other channel transmission capacity information.
需要说明的是,第一申报价格为使用节点的最优报价或者结合历史交易数据的预测报价。It should be noted that the first declaration price is the optimal quotation of the using node or the predicted quotation combined with historical transaction data.
S103,基于目标交易路径计算折算参数,并基于折算参数和第一申报价格,确定供给节点的第二申报价格。S103. Calculate the conversion parameters based on the target transaction path, and determine the second declaration price of the supply node based on the conversion parameters and the first declaration price.
需要说明的是,从供给节点到使用节点的历交易路径中可能跨区通道、省间联络线或区域共用电网,在传输的过程中,可能存在电量的损耗、电能的传输成本等因素,折算参数就是用来描述这些影响电能成本的参数。需要说明的是,折算参数越大,则说明运输成本越高,相应影响供给节点的第二申报价格越高。It should be noted that the historical transaction path from the supply node to the user node may include cross-regional channels, inter-provincial tie lines or regional shared power grids. During the transmission process, there may be factors such as power loss and power transmission costs. Parameters are used to describe these parameters that affect the cost of electricity. It should be noted that the larger the conversion parameter, the higher the transportation cost, and the higher the second declaration price that affects the supply node.
在本公开实施例中,在获取到目标交易路径计算折算参数的方法可为多种,此处不作任何限定。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, there are many methods for calculating the conversion parameters after obtaining the target transaction path, and there is no limitation here.
可选地,可通过将目标交易路径输入至折算参数生成模型中,以获取供给节点的第二申报价格。该折算参数生成模型为提前训练好的,并存储在电子设备的存储空间中,以方便在需要时调取使用。Optionally, the second declaration price of the supply node can be obtained by inputting the target transaction path into the conversion parameter generation model. The conversion parameter generation model is trained in advance and stored in the storage space of the electronic device to facilitate retrieval and use when needed.
可选地,还可通过预设的处理条件对目标交易路径进行处理,以获取折算参数。该处理条件可为多种,此处不作任何限定,举例来说,该处理条件可为通过确定目标交易路径上的电损耗,以获取折算参数。Optionally, the target transaction path can also be processed through preset processing conditions to obtain the conversion parameters. The processing conditions can be multiple, and there are no limitations here. For example, the processing conditions can be to obtain the conversion parameters by determining the electrical loss on the target transaction path.
S104,基于第一申报价格和第二申报价格,确定目标输电价格。S104: Determine the target transmission price based on the first declared price and the second declared price.
需要说明的是,目标输电价格为当前目标交易路径下,最符合用户需求的电能价格。该用户需求可包括多种,举例来说,可包括用户需求的利润率、亏损率等,具体可根据实际的设计需要进行限定。It should be noted that the target transmission price is the electric energy price that best meets user needs under the current target transaction path. The user requirements may include a variety of requirements. For example, the user requirements may include profit margins, loss rates, etc., which may be specifically limited based on actual design needs.
在本公开实施例中,基于第一申报价格和第二申报价格,确定目标输电价格的方法可为多种,此处不作任何限定。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, based on the first declared price and the second declared price, there may be multiple methods for determining the target transmission price, which are not limited here.
可选地,可通过对第一申报价格和第二申报价格分别设置权重参数,并基于权重参数分配第一申报价格和第二申报价格在目标输电价格中的比例,以确定目标输电价格。需要说明的是,该权重参数可根据实际的设计需要进行设定,此处不作任何限定。Optionally, the target transmission price can be determined by setting weight parameters for the first declared price and the second declared price respectively, and allocating the proportions of the first declared price and the second declared price in the target transmission price based on the weight parameters. It should be noted that this weight parameter can be set according to actual design needs, and there is no limitation here.
可选地,还可通过将第一申报价格和第二申报价格输入至输电价格生成模型中,以获取目标输电价格。该输电价格生成模型为提前训练好的,并存储在电子设备的存储空间中,以方便在需要时调取使用。Optionally, the target transmission price can also be obtained by inputting the first declared price and the second declared price into the transmission price generation model. The transmission price generation model is trained in advance and stored in the storage space of the electronic device to facilitate retrieval and use when needed.
在本公开实施例中,首先获取待预测的供给节点和使用节点的用电数据,然后基于用电数据获取供给节点向使用节点输电的目标交易路径,以及使用节点的第一申报价格,而后基于目标交易路径计算折算参数,并基于折算参数和第一申报价格,确定供给节点的第二申报价格,最后基于第一申报价格和第二申报价格,确定目标输电价格。由此,通过将预测生成目标交易路径和使用节点的第一申报价格,计算折算参数,基于计算折算参数确定使用节点的第二申报价格,并通过第一申报价格和第二申报价格生成目标输电价格,以此可以从供给节点和使用节点以及二者之间的交易路径三个维度,制定更加准确的输电价格,为后续的制定电价、招标等工作提供准确的数据。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the power consumption data of the supply node and the usage node to be predicted are first obtained, and then the target transaction path of power transmission from the supply node to the usage node and the first declared price of the usage node are obtained based on the power usage data, and then based on The target transaction path calculates the conversion parameters, and determines the second declaration price of the supply node based on the conversion parameters and the first declaration price. Finally, the target transmission price is determined based on the first declaration price and the second declaration price. Thus, by predicting the target transaction path and the first declared price of the usage node, the conversion parameter is calculated, the second declaration price of the usage node is determined based on the calculated conversion parameter, and the target power transmission is generated by the first declaration price and the second declaration price. Price, in this way, a more accurate transmission price can be formulated from the three dimensions of supply node, user node and the transaction path between the two, and accurate data can be provided for subsequent power price setting, bidding and other work.
在本公开实施例中,基于用电数据获取使用节点的第一申报价格,可首先获取用电数据中使用节点的所有历史输电价格,然后基于历史输电价格确定第一申报价格。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, to obtain the first declared price of the usage node based on the power consumption data, all historical power transmission prices of the usage node in the power usage data may be first obtained, and then the first declared price may be determined based on the historical power transmission price.
在本公开的一个实施例中,在获取到目标交易路径后,还可根据通道名称、输电价格、网损率、通道容量、电压等级、通道数量等通道信息,进行全网交易通道和交易路径组合两个模块的展示。其中,全网交易通道通过地图中不同色块来展示东北电网、华北电网、西北电网、华东电网、华中电网,选中色块后显示通道数量、通道名称、输电价格、网损率、通道容量、电压等级等通道信息。以此,可以将预测结果更加清晰具象的展示给用户,提升用户的使用体验。In an embodiment of the present disclosure, after obtaining the target transaction path, the entire network transaction channel and transaction path can also be determined based on channel information such as channel name, power transmission price, network loss rate, channel capacity, voltage level, and number of channels. A presentation that combines two modules. Among them, the whole network transaction channel uses different color blocks in the map to display the Northeast Power Grid, North China Power Grid, Northwest Power Grid, East China Power Grid, and Central China Power Grid. After selecting the color block, the number of channels, channel name, transmission price, network loss rate, channel capacity, Channel information such as voltage level. In this way, the prediction results can be displayed to users more clearly and concretely, improving the user experience.
上述实施例中,基于目标交易路径计算折算参数,还可通过图2进一步解释,该方法包括:In the above embodiment, the calculation of conversion parameters based on the target transaction path can be further explained through Figure 2. The method includes:
S201,获取目标中间折算变量。S201: Obtain the target intermediate conversion variable.
在本公开实施例中,中间折算变量用于表示电力在基于目标交易路径运输的途中的损耗。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the intermediate conversion variable is used to represent the loss of electricity during transportation based on the target transaction path.
需要说明的是,从供给节点到使用节点的历交易路径中可能跨区通道、省间联络线或区域共用电网,其中,每一个跨区通道的输电损耗、电价可为不同,因此,需要根据每一跨区通道进行分别分析,以确定目标中间折算变量。It should be noted that the historical transaction path from the supply node to the user node may include cross-regional channels, inter-provincial tie lines or regional shared power grids. The transmission loss and electricity price of each cross-regional channel may be different. Therefore, it needs to be based on Each cross-region channel is analyzed separately to determine the target intermediate conversion variable.
在本公开实施例中,可通过针对任一跨区通道,获取跨区通道子折算参数和输电价格,然后将输电价格和子折算参数进行相乘,以获取子中间折算变量,最后将所有子中间折算变量进行相加,以获取目标中间折算变量。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the cross-region channel sub-conversion parameters and power transmission prices can be obtained for any cross-region channel, and then the transmission price and sub-conversion parameters are multiplied to obtain the sub-intermediate conversion variables, and finally all sub-intermediate conversion variables are obtained. The conversion variables are added to obtain the target intermediate conversion variable.
需要说明的是,获取跨区通道子折算参数,可首先计算供给节点至跨区通道的子有效输电率,然后将所有供给节点至跨区通道的子有效输电率进行相乘,以计算获得跨区通道子折算参数。It should be noted that to obtain the cross-region channel sub-conversion parameters, you can first calculate the sub-effective power transmission rate from the supply node to the inter-region channel, and then multiply the sub-effective power transmission rates from all supply nodes to the inter-region channel to calculate and obtain the cross-region channel. Area channel sub-conversion parameter.
在本公开实施例中,可通过如下公式计算目标中间折算变量:In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the target intermediate conversion variable can be calculated through the following formula:
其中,为目标中间折算变量,N为跨区通道总数量,/>为标号为r的跨区通道的子有效输电率,/>为跨区通道的输电价格,m为当前需要计算的跨区通道的序号。in, is the target intermediate conversion variable, N is the total number of cross-region channels,/> is the sub-effective power transmission rate of the cross-region channel labeled r,/> is the power transmission price of the cross-region channel, and m is the serial number of the cross-region channel that currently needs to be calculated.
S202,基于目标交易路径确定折算参数。S202: Determine the conversion parameters based on the target transaction path.
在本公开实施例中,可首先获取目标交易路径的多段跨区通道和每一段跨区通道对应的输电网损率,然后将1减去输电网损率,以获取每一段跨区通道的有效输电率,最后将所有跨区通道的有效输电率进行相乘,以计算获得折算参数。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, multiple cross-region channels of the target transaction path and the transmission network loss rate corresponding to each cross-region channel can be first obtained, and then the transmission network loss rate is subtracted from 1 to obtain the effective transmission network loss rate of each cross-region channel. Transmission rate, and finally multiply the effective transmission rates of all cross-region channels to calculate the conversion parameters.
在本公开实施例中,可通过如下公式计算折算参数:In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the conversion parameter can be calculated through the following formula:
其中,为折算参数,N为跨区通道总数量,m为当前需要计算的跨区通道的序号,/>标号为m的跨区通道的子有效输电率。in, is the conversion parameter, N is the total number of cross-region channels, m is the serial number of the cross-region channel that currently needs to be calculated,/> The sub-effective power transmission rate of the cross-region channel labeled m.
在本公开实施例中,首先获取目标中间折算变量,然后基于目标交易路径确定折算参数。由此,通过将目标交易路径划分为多个跨区通道,并单独进行分析,可以获取更加准确的折算参数,提升数据的准确性。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the target intermediate conversion variable is first obtained, and then the conversion parameters are determined based on the target transaction path. Therefore, by dividing the target transaction path into multiple cross-region channels and analyzing them separately, more accurate conversion parameters can be obtained and the accuracy of the data can be improved.
在本公开实施例中,基于第一申报价格和第二申报价格,确定目标输电价格,可首先将第一申报价格和折算参数进行相乘,并将乘积与目标中间折算变量进行相减,以计算获得第二申报价格。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, to determine the target transmission price based on the first declared price and the second declared price, the first declared price and the conversion parameter may be multiplied first, and the product may be subtracted from the target intermediate conversion variable to obtain Calculate and obtain the second declared price.
可通过如下公式计算二申报价格。The second declaration price can be calculated by the following formula.
其中,为目标中间折算变量,/>为折算参数,/>为买方节点在t时段的第一申报价格,/>为买方节点在t时段的第二申报价格。in, is the target intermediate conversion variable,/> is the conversion parameter,/> is the first declared price of the buyer node in period t,/> is the second declared price of the buyer node in period t.
在本公开实施例中,基于第一申报价格和第二申报价格,确定最优交易策略,还可通过获取供给节点的出售价格,然后基于出售价格和第二申报价格,调整预测报价,并制定最优交易策略。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the optimal trading strategy is determined based on the first declaration price and the second declaration price, and the sales price of the supply node can also be obtained, and then the predicted quotation is adjusted based on the sales price and the second declaration price, and the formulation Optimal trading strategy.
需要说明的是,还可参考预设的限定条件制定最优交易策略。其中,预设的限定条件的可为多种,此处不作任何限定。举例来说,限定条件可包括回报率、优选路线等。It should be noted that the optimal trading strategy can also be formulated with reference to the preset limiting conditions. There can be a variety of preset limiting conditions, and there are no limitations here. For example, limiting conditions may include rate of return, preferred routes, etc.
与上述几种实施例提供的电力价格获取方法相对应,本公开的一个实施例还提供了一种电力价格获取装置,由于本公开实施例提供的电力价格获取装置与上述几种实施例提供的电力价格获取方法相对应,因此上述电力价格获取方法的实施方式也适用于本公开实施例提供的电力价格获取装置,在下述实施例中不再详细描述。Corresponding to the electricity price obtaining methods provided by the above embodiments, one embodiment of the present disclosure also provides an electric power price obtaining device. Corresponding to the electricity price acquisition method, the above implementation of the electricity price acquisition method is also applicable to the electricity price acquisition device provided by the embodiments of the present disclosure, and will not be described in detail in the following embodiments.
图3为本公开提出的一种电力价格获取装置的示意图,如图 3所示,该电力价格获取装置300,包括:获取模块310、调用模块320、确定模块330和制定模块340。Figure 3 is a schematic diagram of an electricity price acquisition device proposed by the present disclosure. As shown in Figure 3, the electricity price acquisition device 300 includes: an acquisition module 310, a calling module 320, a determination module 330 and a formulation module 340.
其中,获取模块310,用于获取待预测的供给节点和使用节点的用电数据。Among them, the acquisition module 310 is used to acquire the power consumption data of supply nodes and usage nodes to be predicted.
调用模块320,用于基于用电数据获取供给节点向使用节点输电的目标交易路径,以及使用节点的第一申报价格。The calling module 320 is used to obtain the target transaction path of power transmission from the supply node to the using node based on the power consumption data, and the first declared price of the using node.
确定模块330,用于基于目标交易路径计算折算参数,并基于折算参数和第一申报价格,确定供给节点的第二申报价格。The determination module 330 is configured to calculate the conversion parameter based on the target transaction path, and determine the second declaration price of the supply node based on the conversion parameter and the first declaration price.
制定模块340,用于基于第一申报价格和第二申报价格,确定目标输电价格。The formulating module 340 is configured to determine the target transmission price based on the first declared price and the second declared price.
在本公开实施例中,确定模块330,还用于:获取目标中间折算变量;基于目标交易路径确定折算参数。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the determination module 330 is also used to: obtain the target intermediate conversion variable; and determine the conversion parameters based on the target transaction path.
在本公开实施例中,确定模块330,还用于:获取目标交易路径的多段跨区通道和每一段跨区通道对应的输电网损率;将1减去输电网损率,以获取每一段跨区通道的有效输电率;将所有跨区通道的有效输电率进行相乘,以计算获得折算参数。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the determination module 330 is also used to: obtain multiple cross-region channels of the target transaction path and the transmission network loss rate corresponding to each cross-region channel; subtract the transmission network loss rate from 1 to obtain each segment. The effective power transmission rate of cross-region channels; multiply the effective power transmission rates of all cross-region channels to calculate the conversion parameters.
在本公开实施例中,确定模块330,还用于:针对任一跨区通道,获取跨区通道子折算参数和输电价格;将输电价格和子折算参数进行相乘,以获取子中间折算变量;将所有子中间折算变量进行相加,以获取目标中间折算变量。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the determination module 330 is also used to: for any cross-region channel, obtain the sub-conversion parameter and the power transmission price of the cross-region channel; multiply the transmission price and the sub-conversion parameter to obtain the sub-intermediate conversion variable; Add all child intermediate conversion variables to obtain the target intermediate conversion variable.
在本公开实施例中,确定模块330,还用于:计算供给节点至跨区通道的子有效输电率;将所有供给节点至跨区通道的子有效输电率进行相乘,以计算获得跨区通道子折算参数。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the determination module 330 is also used to: calculate the sub-effective power transmission rate from the supply node to the inter-region channel; and multiply the sub-effective power transmission rates from all supply nodes to the inter-region channel to calculate and obtain the inter-region channel. Channel sub-conversion parameters.
在本公开实施例中,确定模块330,还用于:将第一申报价格和折算参数进行相乘,并将乘积与目标中间折算变量进行相减,以计算获得第二申报价格。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the determination module 330 is also used to multiply the first declared price and the conversion parameter, and subtract the product from the target intermediate conversion variable to calculate and obtain the second declared price.
在本公开实施例中,制定模块340,还用于:获取用电数据中使用节点的所有历史输电价格;基于历史输电价格确定第一申报价格。In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the formulation module 340 is also used to: obtain all historical power transmission prices of the nodes used in the power consumption data; and determine the first declared price based on the historical power transmission prices.
由此,通过将预测生成目标交易路径和使用节点的第一申报价格,计算折算参数,基于计算折算参数确定使用节点的第二申报价格,并通过第一申报价格和第二申报价格生成目标输电价格,以此可以从供给节点和使用节点以及二者之间的交易路径三个维度,制定更加准确的输电价格,为后续的制定电价、招标等工作提供准确的数据。Thus, by predicting the target transaction path and the first declared price of the usage node, the conversion parameter is calculated, the second declaration price of the usage node is determined based on the calculated conversion parameter, and the target power transmission is generated by the first declaration price and the second declaration price. Price, in this way, a more accurate transmission price can be formulated from the three dimensions of supply node, user node and the transaction path between the two, and accurate data can be provided for subsequent power price setting, bidding and other work.
为了实现上述实施例,本公开实施例还提出一种电子设备400,如图4所示,该电子设备400包括:处理器401和处理器通信连接的存储器402,存储器402存储有可被至少一个处理器执行的指令,指令被至少一个处理器401执行,以实现如本公开第一方面实施例的电力价格获取方法。In order to implement the above embodiments, an embodiment of the present disclosure also proposes an electronic device 400. As shown in Figure 4, the electronic device 400 includes: a processor 401 and a memory 402 communicatively connected to the processor. The memory 402 stores information that can be used by at least one The instructions executed by the processor are executed by at least one processor 401 to implement the electricity price obtaining method according to the embodiment of the first aspect of the present disclosure.
为了实现上述实施例,本公开实施例还提出一种存储有计算机指令的非瞬时计算机可读存储介质,其中,计算机指令用于使计算机实现如本公开第一方面实施例的电力价格获取方法。In order to implement the above embodiments, embodiments of the present disclosure also provide a non-transient computer-readable storage medium storing computer instructions, wherein the computer instructions are used to cause the computer to implement the electricity price acquisition method as in the first embodiment of the present disclosure.
为了实现上述实施例,本公开实施例还提出一种计算机程序产品,包括计算机程序,计算机程序在被处理器执行时实现如本公开第一方面实施例的电力价格获取方法。In order to implement the above embodiments, embodiments of the present disclosure also provide a computer program product, which includes a computer program. When the computer program is executed by a processor, the computer program implements the electricity price obtaining method according to the embodiment of the first aspect of the present disclosure.
在本公开的描述中,需要理解的是,术语“中心”、“纵向”、“横向”、“长度”、“宽度”、“厚度”、“上”、“下”、“前”、“后”、“左”、“右”、“竖直”、“水平”、“顶”、“底”“内”、“外”、“顺时针”、“逆时针”、“轴向”、“径向”、“周向”等指示的方位或位置关系为基于附图所示的方位或位置关系,仅是为了便于描述本公开和简化描述,而不是指示或暗示所指的装置或元件必须具有特定的方位、以特定的方位构造和操作,因此不能理解为对本公开的限制。In the description of the present disclosure, it should be understood that the terms "center", "longitudinal", "transverse", "length", "width", "thickness", "upper", "lower", "front", " "Back", "Left", "Right", "Vertical", "Horizontal", "Top", "Bottom", "Inside", "Outside", "Clockwise", "Counterclockwise", "Axis", The orientations or positional relationships indicated by "radial direction", "circumferential direction", etc. are based on the orientations or positional relationships shown in the drawings, and are only for the convenience of describing the present disclosure and simplifying the description, and do not indicate or imply the referred devices or elements. Must have a specific orientation, be constructed and operate in a specific orientation and therefore are not to be construed as limitations on the disclosure.
此外,术语“第一”、“第二”仅用于描述目的,而不能理解为指示或暗示相对重要性或者隐含指明所指示的技术特征的数量。由此,限定有“第一”、“第二”的特征可以明示或者隐含地包括一个或者更多个该特征。在本公开的描述中,“多个”的含义是两个或两个以上,除非另有明确具体的限定。In addition, the terms “first” and “second” are used for descriptive purposes only and cannot be understood as indicating or implying relative importance or implicitly indicating the quantity of indicated technical features. Therefore, features defined as "first" and "second" may explicitly or implicitly include one or more of these features. In the description of the present disclosure, "plurality" means two or more than two, unless otherwise expressly and specifically limited.
在本说明书的描述中,参考术语“一个实施例”、“一些实施例”、“示例”、“具体示例”、或“一些示例”等的描述意指结合该实施例或示例描述的具体特征、结构、材料或者特点包含于本公开的至少一个实施例或示例中。在本说明书中,对上述术语的示意性表述不必须针对的是相同的实施例或示例。而且,描述的具体特征、结构、材料或者特点可以在任一个或多个实施例或示例中以合适的方式结合。此外,在不相互矛盾的情况下,本领域的技术人员可以将本说明书中描述的不同实施例或示例以及不同实施例或示例的特征进行结合和组合。In the description of this specification, reference to the terms "one embodiment," "some embodiments," "an example," "specific examples," or "some examples" or the like means that specific features are described in connection with the embodiment or example. , structures, materials, or features are included in at least one embodiment or example of the present disclosure. In this specification, the schematic expressions of the above terms are not necessarily directed to the same embodiment or example. Furthermore, the specific features, structures, materials or characteristics described may be combined in any suitable manner in any one or more embodiments or examples. Furthermore, those skilled in the art may combine and combine different embodiments or examples and features of different embodiments or examples described in this specification unless they are inconsistent with each other.
尽管上面已经示出和描述了本公开的实施例,可以理解的是,上述实施例是示例性的,不能理解为对本公开的限制,本领域的普通技术人员在本公开的范围内可以对上述实施例进行变化、修改、替换和变型。Although the embodiments of the present disclosure have been shown and described above, it can be understood that the above-mentioned embodiments are illustrative and should not be construed as limitations to the present disclosure. Those of ordinary skill in the art can make modifications to the above-mentioned embodiments within the scope of the present disclosure. The embodiments are subject to changes, modifications, substitutions and variations.
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