CN116663402A - A method for predicting the quality of concrete in a mixing plant based on digital twins - Google Patents
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Abstract
Description
技术领域technical field
本发明属于数字孪生技术领域,涉及一种基于数字孪生的拌和站混凝土质量预测方法。The invention belongs to the technical field of digital twins, and relates to a method for predicting the quality of concrete in a mixing plant based on digital twins.
背景技术Background technique
现有的混凝土生产过程中,整个生产线按照项目设计要求生产出满足项目部位浇筑强度的混凝土,生产线既包含拌和站这样的生产中枢,也包括了原料和成品混凝土的存储与运输,质量检验环节所对应部门,由各部门彼此协同完成混凝土的生产工作。为确保交付混凝土合格。拌和站与各个部门往往互相交流配合,对混凝土的质量存在多次交叉检验以保证混凝土质量优良。In the existing concrete production process, the entire production line produces concrete that meets the pouring strength of the project site according to the project design requirements. The production line includes not only the production center such as the mixing station, but also the storage and transportation of raw materials and finished concrete. Corresponding departments, each department cooperates with each other to complete the production of concrete. In order to ensure that the delivered concrete is qualified. The mixing station and various departments often communicate and cooperate with each other, and there are multiple cross-checks on the quality of the concrete to ensure the quality of the concrete.
但当前混凝土的生产与质量管理分别由生产环节的不同单位完成,关系相对松散,对质量问题的协调管理能力差。例如,对于各大基础设施建设工程配套的混凝土拌和站,由于大型工程往往建设于高山峡谷,网络覆盖少,通讯能力差,大多数工作均采用人工的方式完成,任一环节的人工疏忽均可能导致混凝土质量不合格,而溯源极为困难。However, the current concrete production and quality management are completed by different units in the production process, the relationship is relatively loose, and the ability to coordinate and manage quality issues is poor. For example, for the concrete mixing plants supporting major infrastructure construction projects, since large-scale projects are often built in high mountains and valleys, with little network coverage and poor communication capabilities, most of the work is done manually, and manual negligence in any link may The quality of concrete is unqualified, and traceability is extremely difficult.
数字孪生技术以现实场景中的物理实体作为关注对象,通过建立多物理场、多尺度虚拟模型,借助于二者间信息的映射反馈,使虚拟模型作为物理实体的数字化镜像,始终保持与物理实体状态的一致性,通过数据融合分析、人工智能等手段,实现对物理实体的维护、优化等目的。The digital twin technology takes the physical entity in the real scene as the focus object. By establishing a multi-physics field and multi-scale virtual model, with the help of the mapping feedback of information between the two, the virtual model is used as a digital mirror image of the physical entity, and it is always consistent with the physical entity. The consistency of the state, through data fusion analysis, artificial intelligence and other means, to achieve the maintenance and optimization of physical entities.
数字孪生技术能够实现覆盖整个生产环节的管理,有力地提高混凝土生产过程对数据的利用程度,通过人工智能的引入实现对混凝土质量的超前判断,为品质管理与配比优化提供依据。Digital twin technology can realize the management covering the entire production process, effectively improve the utilization of data in the concrete production process, realize the advanced judgment of concrete quality through the introduction of artificial intelligence, and provide a basis for quality management and ratio optimization.
鉴于现有技术的上述技术缺陷,迫切需要研制一种基于数字孪生的拌和站混凝土质量预测方法。In view of the above-mentioned technical defects of the existing technology, it is urgent to develop a method for predicting the concrete quality of a mixing plant based on digital twins.
发明内容Contents of the invention
本发明的目的在于克服现有技术中存在的缺点,提供一种基于数字孪生的拌和站混凝土质量预测方法,以解决当前生产过程中在混凝土质量保障方面存在的问题。The purpose of the present invention is to overcome the shortcomings existing in the prior art, and provide a method for predicting the concrete quality of a mixing plant based on digital twins, so as to solve the problems existing in the quality assurance of concrete in the current production process.
为了实现上述目的,本发明提供如下技术方案:In order to achieve the above object, the present invention provides the following technical solutions:
一种基于数字孪生的拌和站混凝土质量预测方法,其特征在于,包括以下步骤:A method for predicting the quality of concrete in a mixing plant based on digital twins, characterized in that it comprises the following steps:
1)、获取拌和站各子物理实体的属性参数,建立拌和站数字孪生体的几何模型;1) Obtain the attribute parameters of each sub-physical entity of the mixing plant, and establish the geometric model of the digital twin of the mixing plant;
2)、实时采集拌和站在运行期间的生产状态数据,构建拌和站数字孪生体的数据模型;2) Real-time collection of production status data of the mixing station during operation, and construction of a data model of the digital twin of the mixing station;
3)、将所述数据模型与所述几何模型相结合,建立拌和站数字孪生体;3), combining the data model with the geometric model to establish a digital twin of the mixing station;
4)、实时获取拌和站的生产记录数据,将所述生产记录数据与所述生产状态数据按照生产批次建立关联,得到每一生产批次混凝土的详细过程记录数据,将所述详细过程记录数据进行存储,生成混凝土生产电子台账;4), obtain the production record data of the mixing station in real time, associate the production record data with the production state data according to the production batch, obtain the detailed process record data of each production batch of concrete, and record the detailed process The data is stored and the electronic ledger for concrete production is generated;
5)、由所述拌和站的数字孪生体对所述混凝土生产电子台账进行处理,得到拌和站的生产虚拟影像;5), process the concrete production electronic ledger by the digital twin of the mixing station, and obtain the production virtual image of the mixing station;
6)、从所述混凝土生产电子台账中挖掘历史数据,在线训练机器学习模型,用训练后的机器学习模型对后续生产的混凝土质量进行预测。6), mining historical data from the concrete production electronic ledger, online training machine learning model, predicting the concrete quality of follow-up production with the machine learning model after training.
优选地,由所述拌和站的数字孪生体对所述混凝土生产电子台账进行处理还包括:判定所述混凝土生产电子台账中所反映的拌和站的工作状态是否存在异常,若显示工作状态存在异常,则对异常状况作出警示。Preferably, the processing of the concrete production electronic ledger by the digital twin of the mixing station further includes: determining whether the working status of the mixing station reflected in the concrete production electronic ledger is abnormal, and if the working status is displayed If there is an abnormality, a warning will be given to the abnormal situation.
优选地,步骤1)中的获取拌和站各子物理实体的属性参数,建立拌和站数字孪生体的几何模型具体包括;Preferably, in step 1), the attribute parameters of each sub-physical entity of the mixing plant are obtained, and the geometric model of the digital twin of the mixing plant is specifically included;
1.1)、将拌和站按照功能划分为若干个子物理实体,包括储料系统、计量系统、输送系统、供液系统、气动系统、搅拌系统、主楼、控制室和除尘系统;1.1), divide the mixing station into several sub-physical entities according to their functions, including material storage system, metering system, conveying system, liquid supply system, pneumatic system, mixing system, main building, control room and dust removal system;
1.2)、获取拌和站的属性参数,基于所述属性参数构建拌和站数字孪生体的几何模型,所述属性参数包括各子物理实体的外观形状、尺寸大小、内部结构、空间位置、姿态与装配关系。1.2), obtain the attribute parameters of the mixing station, build the geometric model of the digital twin of the mixing station based on the attribute parameters, and the attribute parameters include the appearance shape, size, internal structure, spatial position, posture and assembly of each sub-physical entity relation.
优选地,步骤4)中实时获取的拌和站的生产记录数据包括原料配比信息、原材料监测信息、投料误差、混凝土强度等级、坍落度和生产方量。Preferably, the production record data of the mixing station acquired in real time in step 4) includes raw material ratio information, raw material monitoring information, feeding error, concrete strength grade, slump and production volume.
优选地,步骤6)中从所述混凝土生产电子台账中挖掘历史数据,在线训练机器学习模型,用训练后的机器学习模型对后续生产的混凝土质量进行预测具体包括:Preferably, in step 6), mining historical data from the concrete production electronic ledger, online training machine learning model, predicting the concrete quality of follow-up production with the machine learning model after training specifically includes:
6.1)、利用所述混凝土生产电子台账中的生产记录数据构建数据集,通过主成分分析法分别分析能够对混凝土各项强度指标造成显著影响的变量,将其确定为混凝土各项强度指标的主变量;6.1), use the production record data in the concrete production electronic ledger to construct a data set, analyze the variables that can significantly affect the various strength indicators of the concrete through the principal component analysis method, and determine it as the variable of the various strength indicators of the concrete main variable;
6.2)、采用增量式机器学习算法分别建立混凝土各项强度指标的机器学习模型,用所述混凝土各项强度指标的主变量作为自变量分别对所述混凝土各项强度指标的机器学习模型进行训练;6.2), adopt the incremental machine learning algorithm to set up the machine learning model of each strength index of concrete respectively, use the main variable of each strength index of the concrete as an independent variable to carry out the machine learning model of each strength index of the concrete respectively train;
6.3)、用训练后的混凝土各项强度指标的机器学习模型对后续生产的混凝土质量进行预测。6.3), use the machine learning model of each strength index of the trained concrete to predict the quality of the concrete in subsequent production.
优选地,所述混凝土各项强度指标包括抗压强度、抗拉强度、抗冻强度和抗渗强度。Preferably, the various strength indicators of the concrete include compressive strength, tensile strength, frost resistance and impermeability.
优选地,所述混凝土生产电子台账每存储一生产批次混凝土的详细过程记录数据后,即从新的详细过程记录数据中提取新的混凝土各项强度指标的主变量,并利用新的混凝土各项强度指标的主变量对所述混凝土各项强度指标的机器学习模型进行训练,完成所述混凝土各项强度指标的机器学习模型的参数更新。Preferably, after each detailed process record data of a production batch of concrete is stored in the concrete production electronic ledger, the main variables of the new concrete strength indicators are extracted from the new detailed process record data, and the new concrete each The main variable of each strength index trains the machine learning model of each strength index of concrete, and completes the parameter update of the machine learning model of each strength index of concrete.
优选地,所述增量式机器学习算法为霍夫丁树算法,并且,所述混凝土各项强度指标的机器学习模型是在霍夫丁树模型的基础上了添加滑动窗口,同时设置霍夫丁树模型在每个节点的后台利用滑动窗口内数据训练备用子树,当备用子树的节点分裂增益显著大于当前子树时,完成节点的分裂。Preferably, the incremental machine learning algorithm is the Houghding tree algorithm, and the machine learning model of the various strength indicators of the concrete is based on the Houghding tree model with a sliding window added, and the Houghting tree model is set at the same time The Ding tree model uses the data in the sliding window to train the backup subtree in the background of each node. When the node splitting gain of the backup subtree is significantly greater than the current subtree, the node splitting is completed.
优选地,所述基于数字孪生的拌和站混凝土质量预测方法进一步包括通过用户前端对所述生产虚拟影像和后续生产的混凝土质量的预测结果进行展示。Preferably, the method for predicting the concrete quality of a mixing plant based on digital twins further includes displaying the production virtual image and the prediction results of the subsequent produced concrete quality through the user front end.
与现有技术相比,本发明的基于数字孪生的拌和站混凝土质量预测方法具有如下有益技术效果中的一者或多者:Compared with the prior art, the digital twin-based concrete quality prediction method of the mixing plant of the present invention has one or more of the following beneficial technical effects:
1、本发明基于拌和站的数字孪生体对所述拌和站运行的电子台账数据以及采集到的当前状态数据进行处理,得到拌和站的虚拟影像数据,能够反馈回用户前端并直接展示给混凝土生产现场的操作人员,有助于操作人员实时掌握拌和站的生产状态,使得拌和站内产生的异常状态经由采集到的状态数据反映出来,便于操作人员对故障的及时发现。1. Based on the digital twin of the mixing station, the present invention processes the electronic ledger data of the operation of the mixing station and the collected current state data to obtain the virtual image data of the mixing station, which can be fed back to the user front end and directly displayed to the concrete The operators on the production site help the operators to grasp the production status of the mixing plant in real time, so that the abnormal status generated in the mixing plant can be reflected through the collected status data, which is convenient for the operators to find out the fault in time.
2、本发明借助于拌和站运行的电子台账数据中保存的翔实数据,利用增量式机器学习方法在线训练混凝土的强度预测模型,将预测模型与数字孪生体紧密结合,通过对新拌和的混凝土的强度指标进行预测,协助操作人员对照判断混凝土质量的合格性,且能够根据理论拌和强度与预测强度存在的误差,不断优化投料配比方案。2. With the help of the detailed data stored in the electronic ledger data operated by the mixing station, the present invention uses the incremental machine learning method to train the concrete strength prediction model online, and closely combines the prediction model with the digital twin. Predict the strength index of concrete, assist operators to judge the qualification of concrete quality by comparison, and can continuously optimize the feeding ratio scheme according to the error between theoretical mixing strength and predicted strength.
附图说明Description of drawings
图1是本发明的基于数字孪生的拌和站混凝土质量预测方法的流程图。Fig. 1 is a flow chart of the method for predicting the concrete quality of a mixing plant based on digital twins in the present invention.
图2是本发明采用的霍夫丁树算法的流程图。Fig. 2 is a flow chart of the Houghting tree algorithm adopted by the present invention.
图3是以混凝土的抗压强度预测为例,改进前后的霍夫丁树算法在经过300次迭代的预测指标结果对比图。Figure 3 takes the prediction of the compressive strength of concrete as an example, and the comparison chart of the prediction index results after 300 iterations of the Hofding tree algorithm before and after the improvement.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
下面结合附图和实施例对本发明进一步说明,实施例的内容不作为对本发明的保护范围的限制。The present invention will be further described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and examples, and the contents of the examples are not intended to limit the protection scope of the present invention.
针对当前生产过程中在混凝土质量保障方面存在的问题,本发明提供一种基于数字孪生的拌和站混凝土质量预测方法,其能够提高拌和站操作人员对各个生产环节的可见性,从而有助于制定更为准确的混凝土配比方案,实现生产过程的精细化管理,解决当前混凝土拌和站存在的盲目生产、粗放管理的问题。Aiming at the problems existing in concrete quality assurance in the current production process, the present invention provides a method for predicting the concrete quality of a mixing plant based on digital twins, which can improve the visibility of mixing plant operators to each production link, thereby helping to formulate A more accurate concrete proportioning scheme realizes refined management of the production process and solves the problems of blind production and extensive management in current concrete mixing plants.
图1示出了本发明的基于数字孪生的拌和站混凝土质量预测方法的流程图。如图1所示,本发明的基于数字孪生的拌和站混凝土质量预测方法包括以下步骤:Fig. 1 shows a flow chart of the method for predicting the concrete quality of a mixing plant based on digital twins of the present invention. As shown in Figure 1, the concrete quality prediction method of mixing plant based on digital twin of the present invention comprises the following steps:
一、获取拌和站各子物理实体的属性参数,建立拌和站数字孪生体的几何模型。1. Obtain the attribute parameters of each sub-physical entity of the mixing plant, and establish the geometric model of the digital twin of the mixing plant.
具体地,建立拌和站数字孪生体的几何模型包括以下;Specifically, the establishment of the geometric model of the digital twin of the mixing station includes the following;
1、将拌和站按照功能划分为若干个子物理实体。其中,这些子物理实体包括储料系统、计量系统、输送系统、供液系统、气动系统、搅拌系统、主楼、控制室和除尘系统等,它们分别用以完成混凝土原材料的储存、计量、输送、搅拌、出料、控制等各种任务。1. Divide the mixing plant into several sub-physical entities according to their functions. Among them, these sub-physical entities include material storage system, metering system, conveying system, liquid supply system, pneumatic system, mixing system, main building, control room and dust removal system, etc., which are used to complete the storage, metering, conveying, Stirring, discharging, controlling and other tasks.
2、获取拌和站的属性参数,基于所述属性参数构建拌和站数字孪生体的几何模型。所述属性参数包括各子物理实体的外观形状、尺寸大小、内部结构、空间位置、姿态与装配关系。2. Obtain the attribute parameters of the mixing station, and build a geometric model of the digital twin of the mixing station based on the attribute parameters. The attribute parameters include the appearance shape, size, internal structure, spatial position, posture and assembly relationship of each sub-physical entity.
所述拌和站的属性参数可以从拌和站的设计文档中获得,也可以测量等获得。The attribute parameters of the mixing station can be obtained from the design document of the mixing station, or can be obtained by measurement or the like.
二、实时采集拌和站在运行期间的生产状态数据,构建拌和站数字孪生体的数据模型。2. Collect the production status data of the mixing station during operation in real time, and construct the data model of the digital twin of the mixing station.
在本发明中,可以利用布置在拌和站的各个子物理实体的各项传感器获取混凝土拌和站运行期间的生产状态数据,有了生产状态数据,即可以构建拌和站数字孪生体的数据模型。In the present invention, various sensors arranged in each sub-physical entity of the mixing plant can be used to obtain the production status data during the operation of the concrete mixing plant. With the production status data, the data model of the digital twin of the mixing plant can be constructed.
三、将所述数据模型与所述几何模型相结合,建立拌和站数字孪生体。3. Combining the data model with the geometric model to establish a digital twin of the mixing station.
根据预设的映射关系,将采集的生产状态数据代入所述几何模型中,动态更新几何模型的状态,即可得到拌和站数字孪生体。According to the preset mapping relationship, the collected production status data is substituted into the geometric model, and the status of the geometric model is dynamically updated to obtain the digital twin of the mixing station.
四、实时获取拌和站的生产记录数据,将所述生产记录数据与所述生产状态数据按照生产批次建立关联,得到每一生产批次混凝土的详细过程记录数据,将所述详细过程记录数据进行存储,生成混凝土生产电子台账。4. Obtain the production record data of the mixing station in real time, associate the production record data with the production state data according to the production batch, obtain the detailed process record data of each production batch of concrete, and record the detailed process data Store and generate electronic ledgers for concrete production.
在本发明中,实时获取的拌和站的生产记录数据包括原料配比信息、原材料监测信息、投料误差、混凝土强度等级、坍落度和生产方量等。通过生产记录数据,可以得到拌和站的生产能力。In the present invention, the production record data of the mixing station acquired in real time includes raw material ratio information, raw material monitoring information, feeding error, concrete strength grade, slump and production volume, etc. Through the production record data, the production capacity of the mixing station can be obtained.
五、由所述拌和站的数字孪生体对所述混凝土生产电子台账进行处理,得到拌和站的生产虚拟影像。5. The digital twin of the mixing station processes the concrete production electronic ledger to obtain a production virtual image of the mixing station.
将所述混凝土生产电子台账实时输入到所述拌和站的数字孪生体中,实时更新所述拌和站的数字孪生体的生产状态和生产记录,从而可以获得拌和站的生产虚拟影像。The concrete production electronic ledger is input into the digital twin of the mixing station in real time, and the production status and production records of the digital twin of the mixing station are updated in real time, so that the production virtual image of the mixing station can be obtained.
当然,由所述拌和站的数字孪生体对所述混凝土生产电子台账进行处理还包括:判定所述混凝土生产电子台账中所反映的拌和站的工作状态是否存在异常,若显示工作状态存在异常,则对异常状况作出警示。Of course, the processing of the concrete production electronic ledger by the digital twin of the mixing station also includes: determining whether there is any abnormality in the working status of the mixing station reflected in the concrete production electronic ledger. If it is abnormal, it will give a warning to the abnormal situation.
在本发明中,可以基于预先设定的规则对所述混凝土拌和站工作状态进行判定。例如,检测气路压力与砼拱气压是否处于合理区间,能够判断空压机运转是否正常;检测液体流量能够判断出供水系统与外加剂系统的运转管路是否通畅。通过判定,可以对混凝土拌和站各子物理实体呈现的异常工作状态进行记录与警示。In the present invention, the working state of the concrete mixing plant can be judged based on preset rules. For example, detecting whether the air path pressure and the air pressure of the concrete arch are within a reasonable range can determine whether the air compressor is operating normally; detecting the liquid flow can determine whether the operating pipelines of the water supply system and the admixture system are smooth. Through the judgment, the abnormal working status of each sub-physical entity of the concrete mixing plant can be recorded and warned.
六、从所述混凝土生产电子台账中挖掘历史数据,在线训练机器学习模型,用训练后的机器学习模型对后续生产的混凝土质量进行预测。6. Mining the historical data from the concrete production electronic ledger, training the machine learning model online, and using the trained machine learning model to predict the quality of the concrete in subsequent production.
在本发明中,从所述混凝土生产电子台账中挖掘历史数据,在线训练机器学习模型,用训练后的机器学习模型对后续生产的混凝土质量进行预测具体包括:In the present invention, mining historical data from the concrete production electronic ledger, online training machine learning model, and using the trained machine learning model to predict the quality of concrete for subsequent production specifically includes:
1、利用所述混凝土生产电子台账中的生产记录数据构建数据集,通过主成分分析法分别分析能够对混凝土各项强度指标造成显著影响的变量,将其确定为混凝土各项强度指标的主变量。1. Utilize the production record data in the concrete production electronic ledger to construct a data set, analyze the variables that can significantly affect the various strength indicators of the concrete through the principal component analysis method, and determine it as the main factor of the various strength indicators of the concrete. variable.
其中,所述混凝土各项强度指标包括抗压强度、抗拉强度、抗冻强度和抗渗强度等。Wherein, the various strength indicators of the concrete include compressive strength, tensile strength, frost resistance and impermeability.
通过主成分分析法,可以从利用所述混凝土生产电子台账中的生产记录数据构建的数据集中获得能够对混凝土的抗压强度、抗拉强度、抗冻强度、抗渗强度等造成显著影响的变量,并将其作为主变量。Through the principal component analysis method, the data set that can significantly affect the compressive strength, tensile strength, frost resistance, and impermeability of concrete can be obtained from the data set constructed by using the production record data in the concrete production electronic ledger. variable, and use it as the main variable.
也就是,将所述混凝土各项强度指标,例如抗压强度、抗拉强度、抗冻强度或抗渗强度分别作为预测目标,分别利用主成分分析法分析数据集中哪些数据对预测目标有显著影响,将其作为预测目标的主变量。That is, each strength index of the concrete, such as compressive strength, tensile strength, frost resistance or impermeability strength, is used as the prediction target respectively, and the principal component analysis method is used to analyze which data in the data set have a significant impact on the prediction target , which is used as the main variable for predicting the target.
具体地,利用所述混凝土生产电子台账中已有的记录构建数据集,通过主成分分析法计算每个主成分的方差贡献率,选取其中贡献率高的主成分作为主变量。Specifically, the existing records in the concrete production electronic ledger are used to construct a data set, the variance contribution rate of each principal component is calculated by principal component analysis, and the principal component with a high contribution rate is selected as the main variable.
提取所述混凝土生产电子台账中当前时刻已存在记录,利用其中的变量构建样本阵,所构建样本阵为n个p维向量的集合,对样本阵元进行标准化变化如式(1)所示:Extract the existing records in the concrete production electronic ledger at the current moment, use the variables in it to construct a sample array, the constructed sample array is a set of n p-dimensional vectors, and standardize the changes of the sample array elements as shown in formula (1) :
其中,xij表示第j个特征中的第i个取值,表示第j个特征的平均值,得到标准化阵Z。Among them, x ij represents the i-th value in the j-th feature, Indicates the average value of the jth feature, Get the normalized matrix Z.
对于标准化阵Z,求出其相关系数矩阵如式(2)所示:For the standardized matrix Z, its correlation coefficient matrix is obtained as shown in formula (2):
其中 in
解样本相关矩阵R的特征方程|R-λIp|=0,得到p个特征根,确定出主成分信息利用率达到设定指标的m个主成分。Solve the characteristic equation |R-λI p |=0 of the sample correlation matrix R, get p characteristic roots, and determine the m principal components whose information utilization rate of the principal components reaches the set index.
2、采用增量式机器学习算法分别建立混凝土各项强度指标的机器学习模型,作为各项强度指标的预测模型,用所述混凝土各项强度指标的主变量作为自变量分别对所述混凝土各项强度指标的机器学习模型(也就是,各项强度指标的预测模型)进行训练。2. Adopt the incremental machine learning algorithm to set up the machine learning models of the various strength indexes of the concrete respectively, and use the main variables of the various strength indexes of the concrete as the independent variables to calculate the strength indexes of the concrete respectively as the predictive models of the various strength indexes. The machine learning model of the item intensity index (that is, the prediction model of each intensity index) is trained.
在本发明中,采用增量式机器学习算法-霍夫丁树算法分别建立混凝土各项强度指标的机器学习模型,也就是,抗压强度机器学习模型、抗拉强度机器学习模型、抗冻强度机器学习模型、抗渗强度机器学习模型等,作为抗压强度、抗拉强度、抗冻强度和抗渗强度等的预测模型。基于现有数据,也就是,所述混凝土各项强度指标的主变量,进行对应强度指标的预测模型的训练。In the present invention, the incremental machine learning algorithm-Hovding tree algorithm is used to respectively establish the machine learning models of the various strength indexes of concrete, that is, the compressive strength machine learning model, the tensile strength machine learning model, the frost resistance strength Machine learning model, anti-seepage strength machine learning model, etc., as prediction models for compressive strength, tensile strength, frost resistance and impermeability strength, etc. Based on the existing data, that is, the main variables of the various strength indexes of the concrete, the training of the prediction model corresponding to the strength indexes is carried out.
霍夫丁树模型利用霍夫丁界,能够在相对小规模的训练数据中确定节点上的最佳分割属性。霍夫丁界的表达式如式(3)所示:The Hofting tree model utilizes the Hofting bound, which enables the determination of optimal splitting properties on nodes in a relatively small-scale training data. The expression of the Höffding bound is shown in formula (3):
考虑一个实值随机变量r,其值域范围为R,假定已经对该变量进行了n次独立观察,并计算了它们的平均值根据霍夫丁不等式,在概率大小设定1-δ的前提下,变量的均值计算结果至少为/> Consider a real-valued random variable r with range R, assume that n independent observations have been made of the variable, and calculate their mean According to Hofferding's inequality, under the premise that the probability is set to 1-δ, the calculation result of the mean value of the variable is at least
霍夫丁界具有独立于生成观测值的概率分布的特性,这种特性的代价是其边界比依赖分布的边界更保守,达到相同的δ和ε需要更多观测值。令G(Xi)为信息增益的计算方法,其中的Xa和Xb为信息增益最大的两个属性,两个属性的信息增益差表示为如式(4)所示:The Höffding bound has the property of being independent of the probability distribution from which the observations are generated, at the cost of its bounds being more conservative than distribution-dependent bounds, requiring more observations to achieve the same δ and ε. Let G(X i ) be the calculation method of information gain, where X a and X b are the two attributes with the largest information gain, and the information gain difference between the two attributes is expressed as As shown in formula (4):
如果两个属性的信息增益差大于霍夫丁界,即则可以证明Xa作为信息增益最大的属性的置信度为1-δ,此时可以选取Xa作为分裂点,将该叶子结点变成分支节点。If the information gain difference of the two attributes is larger than the Hoeffding bound, that is Then it can be proved that the confidence degree of X a as the attribute with the largest information gain is 1-δ. At this time, X a can be selected as the split point to turn the leaf node into a branch node.
在霍夫丁树模型中,利用信息增益来选择根节点和内部节点上的最佳拆分属性。信息增益IG是信息熵H(D)和相应的条件熵H(D|X)之间的差异。信息熵与条件熵的计算如式(5)、(6)、(7)所示:In the Hofting tree model, information gain is used to select the best split attribute on the root node and internal nodes. The information gain IG is the difference between the information entropy H(D) and the corresponding conditional entropy H(D|X). The calculation of information entropy and conditional entropy is shown in formulas (5), (6) and (7):
IG=H(D)-H(D|X) (7)IG=H(D)-H(D|X) (7)
构造霍夫丁树模型时,在一个叶子节点上观测到m个独立对象后,令Xa为IG值最高的属性IG(Xa),Xb为IG值第二高的属性IG(Xb),然后通过IG(Xa)减去IG(Xb)可以得到一个新的变量ΔIG。如果ΔIG大于ε,则选择Xa作为分裂属性,如果ΔIG不明显,则需要很长时间才能确定最佳拆分属性。本发明应用霍夫丁树模型处理回归问题时,选择方差减少量取代分类树中的信息增益函数,如式(8)和(9)所示,令S为节点当中的数据,数据总量为N,选取数据的属性A并以hA为界能够将当前节点分为两部分,其中SR和SL分别为两部分当中的数据,数据量分别为NR和NL,即S=SL+SR,N=NL+NR。When constructing the Hofferding tree model, after observing m independent objects on a leaf node, let X a be the attribute IG(X a ) with the highest IG value, and X b be the attribute IG(X b ), and then subtract IG(X b ) from IG(X a ) to get a new variable ΔIG. If ΔIG is larger than ε, X a is selected as the splitting attribute, and if ΔIG is not obvious, it will take a long time to determine the best splitting attribute. When the present invention uses the Hofferding tree model to deal with the regression problem, the variance reduction is selected to replace the information gain function in the classification tree, as shown in formulas (8) and (9), let S be the data in the node, and the total amount of data is N, select the attribute A of the data and use h A as the boundary to divide the current node into two parts, where S R and S L are the data in the two parts, and the data volumes are N R and N L respectively, that is, S=S L + S R , N=N L +N R .
霍夫丁树算法建立在一个前提假设下,即算法所分析处理的数据流是平稳分布的,霍夫丁树模型本身并没有针对已经过时的样本完成模型自身更新的设计,导致霍夫丁树模型无法处理数据流中的样本数据特征偏移问题。本发明在霍夫丁树模型的基础上添加滑动窗口结构,使霍夫丁树模型能够不断更新关注的数据范围,同时设置霍夫丁树模型在每个节点的后台利用滑动窗口内数据训练备用子树,当备用子树的节点分裂增益显著大于当前子树时(例如,三倍于当前子树时),完成节点的分裂。图2所示为本发明的霍夫丁树算法流程图。The Hofding tree algorithm is built on a premise that the data stream analyzed and processed by the algorithm is distributed smoothly. The Hofding tree model itself does not complete the design of updating the model itself for outdated samples, resulting in the Hoffding tree The model cannot handle sample data feature shifts in the data stream. The present invention adds a sliding window structure on the basis of the Hofding tree model, so that the Hofding tree model can continuously update the range of data concerned, and at the same time, the Hofding tree model is set to use the data in the sliding window in the background of each node for training. subtree, when the node splitting gain of the standby subtree is significantly greater than that of the current subtree (for example, three times that of the current subtree), the splitting of the node is completed. Fig. 2 shows the Hoffding tree algorithm flow chart of the present invention.
在本发明的改进的霍夫丁树模型中,树中的每个内部节点都有一个替换子树列表,子树在数据流发生概念漂移时开始训练,即发现节点上某一其它属性的信息增益好过当前属性增益时启动一个替代子树的生成,新的属性增益差满足并且/>时完成子树的替换,改进的霍夫丁树模型使模型免于受到产生较早的过时数据的影响,同时保持预测模型的轻量性。以混凝土的抗压强度预测模型为例,改进前后的模型在经过300次迭代的预测指标结果对比如图3所示。In the improved Hofting tree model of the present invention, each internal node in the tree has a list of replacement subtrees, and the subtrees start training when the concept drift occurs in the data flow, that is, information about some other attribute on the node is found When the gain is better than the current attribute gain, start the generation of an alternative subtree, and the new attribute gain difference satisfies and /> When the replacement of subtrees is completed, the improved Hofding tree model protects the model from the impact of earlier outdated data, while maintaining the lightness of the prediction model. Taking the concrete compressive strength prediction model as an example, the comparison of the prediction index results after 300 iterations of the model before and after the improvement is shown in Figure 3.
综上可知,霍夫丁树模型是一种经典的增量式在线学习算法。由于在线学习不同于离线学习以批量数据调节模型参数的学习策略,造成模型更容易不稳定,霍夫丁树算法采用霍夫丁界确保节点样本能以任意精度逼近于总体分布,霍夫丁树本身应用于分类问题,本发明通过改变原始算法的信息增益函数,改变后的霍夫丁树模型能够用于混凝土强度指标预测此类回归问题。In summary, the Hofding tree model is a classic incremental online learning algorithm. Because online learning is different from offline learning, which uses batch data to adjust model parameters, the model is more likely to be unstable. The Hofding tree algorithm uses the Hofding boundary to ensure that the node samples can approximate the overall distribution with arbitrary precision. The Hofding tree The method itself is applied to the classification problem. By changing the information gain function of the original algorithm, the modified Hofferding tree model can be used to predict such regression problems of the concrete strength index.
同时,霍夫丁树模型本身并没有剪枝设计,意味着算法仅能处理平稳分布的数据流,当数据流动态变化时,霍夫丁树模型无法对树结构中过时的部分进行调整。本发明对此算法的改进主要包括了两个方面,首先在数据流中添加概念漂移检测器(滑动窗口结构),模型得以仅考虑滑动窗口内所包含的近期数据,而之前模型需要考虑节点上的全部历史数据,改进使模型免于受过时数据的影响。其次,节点中当前属性的增益下降时,模型开始在后台为对应节点训练一棵备用子树,备用子树选取属性的增益显著高于当前属性增益时,完成子树的替换。这与新节点分裂的过程非常相似,但要求更为严格,从而有效防止过多的替换子树的生成。替换子树的分裂生长方式与决策树相同,各个替换子树会获得它的对应节点所获取到的数据流进行子树的训练,通过以上改进,实质上增强了预测模型的自适应性,保持了模型的轻量性,在利用现有数据以混凝土抗压强度为例进行的测试中取得了更好的预测效果。At the same time, the Hofding tree model itself does not have a pruning design, which means that the algorithm can only handle smoothly distributed data flow. When the data flow changes dynamically, the Hofding tree model cannot adjust the outdated part of the tree structure. The improvement of this algorithm in the present invention mainly includes two aspects. First, a concept drift detector (sliding window structure) is added to the data stream, so that the model can only consider the recent data contained in the sliding window, while the previous model needs to consider The entire historical data, the improvement makes the model immune to the influence of obsolete data. Secondly, when the gain of the current attribute in the node decreases, the model starts to train a backup subtree for the corresponding node in the background. When the gain of the selected attribute of the backup subtree is significantly higher than the gain of the current attribute, the replacement of the subtree is completed. This is very similar to the process of new node splitting, but the requirements are stricter, so as to effectively prevent the generation of too many replacement subtrees. The split growth method of the replacement subtree is the same as that of the decision tree. Each replacement subtree will obtain the data stream obtained by its corresponding node for subtree training. Through the above improvements, the adaptability of the prediction model is substantially enhanced, maintaining This improved the lightness of the model and achieved better predictive results in tests using existing data on concrete compressive strength as an example.
此外,在本发明中,优选地,所述混凝土生产电子台账每存储一生产批次混凝土的详细过程记录数据后,即从新的详细过程记录数据中提取新的混凝土各项强度指标的主变量,并利用新的混凝土各项强度指标的主变量对所述混凝土各项强度指标的机器学习模型进行训练,完成所述混凝土各项强度指标的机器学习模型的参数更新。In addition, in the present invention, preferably, after the detailed process record data of a production batch of concrete is stored in the concrete production electronic ledger, the main variables of the new concrete strength indexes are extracted from the new detailed process record data , and use the main variables of the new concrete strength indexes to train the machine learning models of the concrete strength indexes, and complete the parameter update of the machine learning models of the concrete strength indexes.
由此,所述混凝土生产电子台账每完成一次混凝土生产的完整记录后,即从新的记录中提取主成分特征向量作为新的样本,利用新的样本对预测模型进行训练,完成模型的参数更新,从而使得模型更符合实际情况。Therefore, after the concrete production electronic ledger completes a complete record of concrete production, it extracts the principal component eigenvector from the new record as a new sample, uses the new sample to train the prediction model, and completes the parameter update of the model , so that the model is more in line with the actual situation.
三、用训练后的混凝土各项强度指标的机器学习模型对后续生产的混凝土质量进行预测。3. Use the machine learning model of each strength index of the trained concrete to predict the quality of the subsequent produced concrete.
在建立和训练好混凝土各项强度指标的机器学习模型后,可以从生产过程中实时产生的所述混凝土生产电子台账中提取所述混凝土各项强度指标的主变量,并将其输入到对应的机器学习模型中,即可获得拌和站混凝土质量预测结果。After establishing and training the machine learning model of each strength index of concrete, the main variables of each strength index of concrete can be extracted from the concrete production electronic ledger generated in real time during the production process, and input into the corresponding In the machine learning model of the machine learning model, the prediction results of the concrete quality of the mixing plant can be obtained.
要实现本发明的基于数字孪生的拌和站混凝土质量预测方法,需要配合相应的基于数字孪生的拌和站混凝土质量预测系统。其中,所述预测系统包括数据采集端、服务器端、用户前端以及后台反馈端。In order to realize the method for predicting the concrete quality of a mixing plant based on a digital twin of the present invention, it is necessary to cooperate with a corresponding concrete quality prediction system for a mixing plant based on a digital twin. Wherein, the prediction system includes a data collection terminal, a server terminal, a user front end and a background feedback terminal.
所述数据采集端包括了混凝土拌和站分布于各子物理实体中的传感器及相关智能终端设备。所述数据采集端获取的数据向所述服务器端实时传输,由所述服务器端按照预先建立的数字孪生体的映射关系,完成数据在数字孪生体中的实时映射,对拌和站的异常生产状态进行警示,并由所述后台反馈端向拌和站主控台发送异常信号。所述服务器端还将生产状态数据与生产记录数据进行关联并保存在混凝土生产电子台账中,提取所述电子台账中的数据进行预测模型的训练。操作人员能够在所述用户前端中查看当前拌和站中的生产状态以及对混凝土的强度指标的预测结果,从而在一定程度上解决传统混凝土生产中存在的盲目生产、粗放式管理问题。The data acquisition terminal includes sensors and related intelligent terminal equipment distributed in each sub-physical entity of the concrete mixing plant. The data acquired by the data acquisition terminal is transmitted to the server in real time, and the server completes the real-time mapping of the data in the digital twin according to the pre-established mapping relationship of the digital twin, and the abnormal production status of the mixing station A warning is issued, and the background feedback terminal sends an abnormal signal to the main console of the mixing station. The server also associates the production status data with the production record data and saves them in the concrete production electronic ledger, and extracts the data in the electronic ledger to train the prediction model. Operators can view the current production status of the mixing plant and the prediction results of concrete strength indicators in the user front end, thereby solving the problems of blind production and extensive management in traditional concrete production to a certain extent.
本发明的上述实施例仅仅是为清楚地说明本发明所作的举例,而并非是对本发明的实施方式的限定。对于所属领域的普通技术人员来说,在上述说明的基础上还可以做出其它不同形式的变化或变动。这里无法对所有的实施方式予以穷举。凡是属于本发明的技术方案所引伸出的显而易见的变化或变动仍处于本发明的保护范围之列。The above-mentioned embodiments of the present invention are only examples for clearly illustrating the present invention, rather than limiting the implementation of the present invention. For those of ordinary skill in the art, other changes or changes in different forms can be made on the basis of the above description. All the implementation manners cannot be exhaustively listed here. All obvious changes or variations derived from the technical solutions of the present invention are still within the protection scope of the present invention.
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