CN116304957A - On-line identification method for monitoring state mutation of power supply and transformation equipment - Google Patents
On-line identification method for monitoring state mutation of power supply and transformation equipment Download PDFInfo
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- 230000035772 mutation Effects 0.000 title claims abstract description 90
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- 239000004973 liquid crystal related substance Substances 0.000 claims description 36
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- G06F17/14—Fourier, Walsh or analogous domain transformations, e.g. Laplace, Hilbert, Karhunen-Loeve, transforms
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Abstract
The invention relates to the technical field of power supply and transformation equipment monitoring, in particular to an online identification method for power supply and transformation equipment monitoring state mutation, which comprises the following steps: acquiring real-time monitoring data of equipment to represent original time sequence data of the equipment, and dividing the original time sequence data into a plurality of time sequence data; decomposing the time sequence data to obtain a difference component and a mean component; constructing a binary tree model based on the original time sequence, and searching the difference component and the mean component through the binary tree model to obtain mutation point positions and corresponding mutation time sequence data; and carrying out anomaly identification on the mutation time sequence data to obtain the mutation reason of the equipment. The invention can improve the accuracy of the on-line monitoring data of the power supply and transformation equipment and can accurately identify the source of the mutation data.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of power supply and transformation equipment monitoring, in particular to an online identification method for power supply and transformation equipment monitoring state mutation.
Background
With the rapid expansion of railway construction scale, the health status evaluation of most power supply and transformation equipment depends on a power failure preventive test, and on-line monitoring of the power supply and transformation equipment is required to detect and determine the running state of the equipment. At present, the quality of on-line monitoring data is low, the reasons for mutation of the monitoring data mainly include primary equipment abnormality, on-line monitoring equipment abnormality or environmental interference, and part of mutation data is not generated by primary equipment degradation and cannot be directly used for equipment operation and maintenance analysis. Therefore, the accuracy of identifying the mutation points only through the mean value or the trend is low, and the aim of cleaning the data cannot be achieved. Based on the above, in order to improve the accuracy and availability of the on-line monitoring data and accurately identify the source of the mutation data, we have designed an on-line identification method for the mutation of the monitoring state of the power supply and transformation equipment.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to provide an on-line identification method for monitoring state mutation of power supply and transformation equipment, which improves the accuracy of on-line monitoring data of the power supply and transformation equipment and can accurately identify the source of the mutation data.
The embodiment of the invention is realized by the following technical scheme:
an online identification method for monitoring state mutation of power supply and transformation equipment, comprising the following steps:
acquiring real-time monitoring data of equipment to represent original time sequence data of the equipment, and dividing the original time sequence data into a plurality of time sequence data;
decomposing the time sequence data to obtain a difference component and a mean component;
constructing a binary tree model based on the original time sequence data, searching the difference component and the mean component through the binary tree model respectively, and obtaining mutation point positions and corresponding mutation time sequence data;
and carrying out anomaly identification on the mutation time sequence data to obtain the mutation reason of the equipment.
Optionally, the decomposing the time series data specifically includes decomposing the time series data through a Haar wavelet transform, and a calculation formula of the Haar wavelet transform is as follows:
wherein, the liquid crystal display device comprises a liquid crystal display device,for mean component>For the difference component +.>,/>Is a time sequenceLength of->。
Optionally, the binary tree model is specifically divided into a TcA model and a TcD model, the difference component is searched through the TcD model, and the mean component is searched through the TcA model, wherein the specific steps of searching the difference component are as follows:
setting the difference component as non-leaf nodes, wherein each non-leaf node comprises a leaf node IAnd leaf node two->;
Based onScreening and searching non-leaf nodes through a TcD model, judging whether the searching is successful, and if not, carrying out statistical fluctuation searching on mean components through a TcA model, wherein +.>Is a threshold value; if yes, continuing the next step;
and judging whether searching to the last non-leaf node, if not, re-screening and searching the non-leaf node through a TcD model, and if so, outputting the non-leaf node.
Optionally, the specific step of searching the mean component for statistical fluctuation includes:
setting the mean component as non-leaf nodes, wherein each non-leaf node corresponds to the statistical fluctuation quantity、/>;
Based on the principle of statistical test of double-sample KSScreening the mean component by TcA model and determining whether the search is successful, wherein ∈>For confidence interval, ++>According to the significance level->Inquiring in a statistical table;
if not, judging that no mutation point exists, and ending;
if so, judging whether the last non-leaf node is searched, if not, screening and searching the mean component through a TcA model until the last non-leaf node is searched, outputting the non-leaf node, and if so, outputting the non-leaf node.
wherein, the liquid crystal display device comprises a liquid crystal display device,,/>,/>,/>is a time series variable->,i∈[a,aM],/>,/>Is a time series variable->,i∈[aM+1,c];
optionally, the specific step of obtaining the mutation point position includes:
the last non-leaf node outputting the TcA model or the TcD model, wherein the two statistical fluctuation amounts corresponding to the non-leaf node、/>And characterizing the calculation formula of the mutation points through an empirical cumulative distribution function:
wherein, the liquid crystal display device comprises a liquid crystal display device,is a variable->For real number set +.>Is->To be expressed as statistical fluctuation amount +.>,/>Is->To be expressed as statistical fluctuation amount +.>。
Optionally, the abnormality recognition is performed on the mutation time series data, specifically, the characteristic quantity recognized as the abnormality cause through the variation coefficient CV and the data offset rate CR.
Optionally, the calculation formula of the variation coefficient CV is:
wherein, the liquid crystal display device comprises a liquid crystal display device,is the standard deviation of mutation interval->Is the mean value of the mutation interval.
Optionally, the calculation formula of the data offset rate CR is:
wherein, the liquid crystal display device comprises a liquid crystal display device,for the offset rate of the ith data, +.>For the current i-th data value, +.>For the offset of the initial data, +.>Is the offset rate of the last data.
The technical scheme of the embodiment of the invention has at least the following advantages and beneficial effects:
according to the embodiment of the invention, by establishing the binary tree model, whether the data mutation caused by environmental disturbance, abnormal monitoring equipment or the data mutation caused by primary equipment degradation is distinguished according to the feature analysis for the time sequence fragments with the mutation points, the running condition of the equipment can be truly reflected by the on-line monitoring data for equipment state analysis and fault diagnosis, the misjudgment rate of fault diagnosis is reduced, and the accuracy of equipment state analysis is improved.
Drawings
Fig. 1 is a logic flow diagram of an online identification method for monitoring a sudden change of a power supply and transformation device according to an embodiment of the present invention;
fig. 2 is a schematic flow chart of a binary tree model of a method for online identifying a mutation of a monitoring state of power supply and transformation equipment according to an embodiment of the present invention.
Detailed Description
For the purpose of making the objects, technical solutions and advantages of the embodiments of the present invention more apparent, the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the accompanying drawings in the embodiments of the present invention, and it is apparent that the described embodiments are some embodiments of the present invention, but not all embodiments of the present invention. The components of the embodiments of the present invention generally described and illustrated in the figures herein may be arranged and designed in a wide variety of different configurations.
As shown in fig. 1, fig. 1 is a logic flow diagram of an online identification method for monitoring a sudden change of a state of a power supply and transformation device according to an embodiment of the present invention.
In some embodiments, the present invention provides an online identification method for monitoring a sudden change in a power supply and transformation device, which can be applied to online monitoring of data change in a normal operation state of the power supply and transformation device, wherein the sudden change in data in the present embodiment is a phenomenon of "jumping" from one relatively stable state or stable continuous change trend to another stable state or stable continuous change trend.
In this embodiment, taking transformer oil chromatographic data as an example, there are many reasons for data distortion caused by unstable operation or interference of the monitoring device: the gas permeability of the oil-gas separation polymer film changes along with the temperature, the semiconductor gas sensor ages, the carrier gas is not replaced timely, and the chromatographic column is fixed and lost. The anomalies caused by these reasons are mostly in the field, and are characterized by various characteristics, low regularity, and numerical outliers, data steps and the like.
The mutation recognition of the embodiment mainly comprises two parts of mutation position recognition and mutation reason recognition, wherein the basic principle is that the position of a mutation point is firstly determined, and then the mutation reason is determined by analyzing the time slice data of the mutation point. The on-line monitoring data can be taken as a time sequence, a sliding window is adopted to intercept the data stream, wavelet transformation and double-sample KS inspection are combined to identify the mutation position, and then device abnormality identification is carried out on the interval data with abnormal mutation points, so that it can be understood that the whole mutation identification method is to determine the mutation position by utilizing the change condition of the time sequence, and the real-time on-line monitoring data of the power supply and transformation equipment is described herein, but not a specific quantity, for example, the CO2 of a transformer is used as a monitoring quantity.
Therefore, the present embodiment describes specific steps in combination with the above.
An online identification method for monitoring state mutation of power supply and transformation equipment, comprising the following steps:
acquiring real-time monitoring data of the equipment to represent original time series data of the equipment and dividing the original time series data into a plurality of time series data, wherein in the embodiment, the equipment is specifically set as primary equipment;
decomposing the time sequence data to obtain a difference component and a mean component;
constructing a binary tree model based on the original time sequence data, searching the difference component and the mean component through the binary tree model respectively, and obtaining mutation point positions and corresponding mutation time sequence data;
and carrying out anomaly identification on the mutation time sequence data to obtain the mutation reason of the equipment.
The present embodiment relates to the identification of mutation positions (i.e., mutation points):
the identification of the on-line monitoring mutation position is based on statistical analysis of time slices, the collected on-line monitoring data is a data stream with time characteristics, and the data stream needs to be preprocessed to ensure the identification efficiency and effect. It can be appreciated that the preprocessing includes several processing modes, and the details are not described in this embodiment.
In this embodiment, in order to ensure timeliness and recognition rate of mutation position recognition, the window length cannot be too long and too short, the window length l=16 is selected according to the comprehensive recognition rate and timeliness of the experimental result, and the analyzed time-series data segment is determined through a sliding window。
More specifically, the points identified in the initial sliding window are mutation points, the mutation points in the subsequent sliding window and the previous sliding window are taken as difference sets by mutation time, and repeated pushing of the mutation points can be avoided.
Decomposing a time series data segment into difference components of data by Haar wavelet transformAnd mean componentThe binary tree model (TcA model and TcD model) is built in combination with the original time sequence to search for mutation points, and the calculation formula of Haar wavelet transformation is as follows:
wherein, the liquid crystal display device comprises a liquid crystal display device,for mean component>For the difference component +.>,/>Is a time sequenceLength of->。
Fig. 2 is a schematic flow chart of a binary tree model of a method for identifying a mutation of a monitoring state of power supply and transformation equipment according to an embodiment of the present invention.
And (3) searching for the fluctuation of the difference value based on the TcD model, namely, according to the fluctuation condition of the difference value reflecting data, if the absolute value of the difference value is larger, the fluctuation of the data is more severe, and considering that a mutation point possibly appears in the part with larger fluctuation, and searching for a selected path. Assume a non-leaf nodeThere are two leaf nodes->,/>Corresponding to two time sequences, ifWherein->And selecting the non-leaf node with the highest mutation probability as a threshold value to search, and discarding the other two nodes until the last non-leaf node is searched. Otherwise, a second search rule is selected for searching, and the non-leaf nodes are the data of the penultimate row in fig. 2 as reference, and any non-leaf node can divide the time sequence X into two parts, such as cA1,2, and divide the X sequence into a left sequence { X1, X2, X3} and a right sequence { X4, X5, … xN }.
The second search rule is based on TcA model statistical fluctuation search, which is to compare the difference between two time series distribution functions according to the double-sample KS statistical test principle to judge whether mutation occurs or not, and to judge the non-leaf nodeCorresponding statistical fluctuation amount->、/>。
wherein, the liquid crystal display device comprises a liquid crystal display device,,/>,/>,/>is a time series variable->,i∈[a,aM],/>,/>Is a time series variable->,i∈[aM+1,c]。
if it isWherein->For confidence interval, ++>According to the significance level->Inquiring in the statistical table, selecting the non-leaf node with the highest mutation probability to search, and discarding the other two nodes until the last non-leaf node is searched. If->And judging that the mutation points are temporarily absent.
Searching the last non-leaf node (the binary tree walks to the last non-leaf node according to the threshold judgment flow and the other nodes are discarded) through a TcA model or a TcD model, wherein at the moment, the two statistical fluctuation amounts corresponding to the non-leaf node、/>Can be made of->、/>Indicating (I)>、/>Are respectively->Andis a cumulative distribution function of experience of (a). Due to->And->The largest statistical difference of (a) occurs before or after a signal jump, so the mutation should be expressed as:
wherein, the liquid crystal display device comprises a liquid crystal display device,is a variable->For real number set +.>Is->To be expressed as statistical fluctuation amount +.>,/>Is->To be expressed as statistical fluctuation amount +.>。
And selecting a leaf node with the largest statistical fluctuation in the last non-leaf node as a mutation point.
Identification of the cause of the mutation:
in the present embodiment, the coefficient of variation CV and the data rate of deviation CR are used as feature amounts for abnormality recognition, and the coefficient of variation and the rate of deviation are calculated for time-series data in which a mutation point occurs.
The coefficient of variation CV is a statistical parameter for measuring the degree of dispersion of the observed value, the magnitude of the coefficient of variation is not only influenced by the degree of dispersion of the variable value, but also influenced by the average level of the variable, and the calculation formula of the coefficient of variation CV is as follows:
wherein, the liquid crystal display device comprises a liquid crystal display device,is the standard deviation of mutation interval->Counting the operation data of the historical power supply and transformation equipment to obtain the minimum threshold value T of the variation coefficient of the monitoring data caused by the unstable operation of the on-line monitoring as the average value of the mutation interval, and if CV>T, the on-line monitoring shows pollution or aging in long-term use, and data deviation and miscellaneous peaks are caused by performance degradation.
For unstable operation of the monitoring device caused by short-time environmental interference, when the interference end data return to normal, the calculation formula of the data offset rate CR is as follows:
if the short-term disturbance is caused by the environment, the product of the initial data offset rate and the end data offset rate of the time series is positive.
Wherein, the liquid crystal display device comprises a liquid crystal display device,for the offset rate of the ith data, +.>For the current i-th data value, +.>For the offset of the initial data, +.>For the shift rate of the last data, the mutation point which does not satisfy the above condition is determined as a mutation caused by the degradation of the primary device.
The above is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention, and is not intended to limit the present invention, but various modifications and variations can be made to the present invention by those skilled in the art. Any modification, equivalent replacement, improvement, etc. made within the spirit and principle of the present invention should be included in the protection scope of the present invention.
Claims (9)
1. The online identification method for the monitoring state mutation of the power supply and transformation equipment is characterized by comprising the following steps of:
acquiring real-time monitoring data of equipment to represent original time sequence data of the equipment, and dividing the original time sequence data into a plurality of time sequence data;
decomposing the time sequence data to obtain a difference component and a mean component;
constructing a binary tree model based on the original time sequence data, searching the difference component and the mean component through the binary tree model respectively, and obtaining mutation point positions and corresponding mutation time sequence data;
and carrying out anomaly identification on the mutation time sequence data to obtain the mutation reason of the equipment.
2. The online identification method for the power supply and transformation equipment monitoring state mutation according to claim 1, wherein the time series data is decomposed, specifically through Haar wavelet transformation, and the calculation formula of the Haar wavelet transformation is as follows:
3. The online identification method for the power supply and transformation equipment monitoring state mutation according to claim 1, wherein the binary tree model is specifically divided into a TcA model and a TcD model, a difference component is searched through the TcD model, and a mean component is searched through the TcA model, wherein the specific steps of searching the difference component are as follows:
setting the difference component as non-leaf nodes, wherein each non-leaf node comprises a leaf node IAnd the second leaf node;
Based onScreening and searching non-leaf nodes through a TcD model, judging whether the searching is successful, and if not, carrying out statistical fluctuation searching on mean components through a TcA model, wherein +.>Is a threshold value; if yes, continuing the next step;
and judging whether searching to the last non-leaf node, if not, re-screening and searching the non-leaf node through a TcD model, and if so, outputting the non-leaf node.
4. The online identification method for the mutation of the monitoring state of the power supply and transformation equipment according to claim 3, wherein the specific steps of searching the mean component for statistical fluctuation are as follows:
setting the mean component as non-leaf nodes, wherein each non-leaf node corresponds to the statistical fluctuation quantity、/>;
Based on the principle of statistical test of double-sample KSScreening the mean component by TcA model and determining whether the search is successful, wherein ∈>For confidence interval, ++>According to the significance level->Inquiring in a statistical table;
if not, judging that no mutation point exists, and ending;
if so, judging whether the last non-leaf node is searched, if not, screening and searching the mean component through a TcA model until the last non-leaf node is searched, outputting the non-leaf node, and if so, outputting the non-leaf node.
5. The power supply and transformation equipment monitoring state mutation online identification method according to claim 4, wherein the power supply and transformation equipment monitoring state mutation online identification method is characterized in thatThe calculation formula of (2) is as follows:
wherein, the liquid crystal display device comprises a liquid crystal display device,,/>,/>,/>is a time series variable->,i∈[a,aM],/>,/>Is a time series variable->,i∈[aM+1,c];
6. the method for on-line identification of power supply and transformation equipment monitoring state mutation according to claim 5, wherein the specific acquisition step of the mutation point position is as follows:
the last non-leaf node outputting the TcA model or the TcD model, wherein the two statistical fluctuation amounts corresponding to the non-leaf node、/>And characterizing the calculation formula of the mutation points through an empirical cumulative distribution function:
7. The online identification method for the power supply and transformation equipment monitoring state mutation according to any one of claims 1-6, wherein the abnormality identification is performed on mutation time series data, specifically by using a mutation coefficient CV and a data offset rate CR as feature quantities for abnormality cause identification.
8. The online identification method for the power supply and transformation equipment monitoring state mutation according to claim 7, wherein the calculation formula of the variation coefficient CV is as follows:
9. The power supply and transformation equipment monitoring state mutation online identification method according to claim 8, wherein the calculation formula of the data offset rate CR is:
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CN117251804B (en) * | 2023-11-17 | 2024-04-19 | 天津中电华利电器科技集团有限公司 | Substation operation state monitoring data processing system and method |
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