CN114022021A - 一种基于集成学习的在线机组负荷预测方法 - Google Patents

一种基于集成学习的在线机组负荷预测方法 Download PDF

Info

Publication number
CN114022021A
CN114022021A CN202111357431.XA CN202111357431A CN114022021A CN 114022021 A CN114022021 A CN 114022021A CN 202111357431 A CN202111357431 A CN 202111357431A CN 114022021 A CN114022021 A CN 114022021A
Authority
CN
China
Prior art keywords
unit load
model
load prediction
prediction method
features
Prior art date
Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
Pending
Application number
CN202111357431.XA
Other languages
English (en)
Chinese (zh)
Inventor
周东阳
曹军
万松森
王承文
郑小刚
刘爱君
安玉强
唐贝
张骁
王帆
宋志坚
蔡连成
Current Assignee (The listed assignees may be inaccurate. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the list.)
Xian Thermal Power Research Institute Co Ltd
Original Assignee
Xian Thermal Power Research Institute Co Ltd
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by Xian Thermal Power Research Institute Co Ltd filed Critical Xian Thermal Power Research Institute Co Ltd
Priority to CN202111357431.XA priority Critical patent/CN114022021A/zh
Publication of CN114022021A publication Critical patent/CN114022021A/zh
Priority to PCT/CN2022/131741 priority patent/WO2023088212A1/fr
Pending legal-status Critical Current

Links

Images

Classifications

    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0631Resource planning, allocation, distributing or scheduling for enterprises or organisations
    • G06Q10/06312Adjustment or analysis of established resource schedule, e.g. resource or task levelling, or dynamic rescheduling
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06NCOMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N3/00Computing arrangements based on biological models
    • G06N3/02Neural networks
    • G06N3/04Architecture, e.g. interconnection topology
    • G06N3/044Recurrent networks, e.g. Hopfield networks
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06NCOMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N3/00Computing arrangements based on biological models
    • G06N3/02Neural networks
    • G06N3/04Architecture, e.g. interconnection topology
    • G06N3/045Combinations of networks
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06NCOMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N3/00Computing arrangements based on biological models
    • G06N3/02Neural networks
    • G06N3/08Learning methods
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/04Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0631Resource planning, allocation, distributing or scheduling for enterprises or organisations
    • G06Q10/06313Resource planning in a project environment
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/06Energy or water supply

Landscapes

  • Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • Human Resources & Organizations (AREA)
  • Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Theoretical Computer Science (AREA)
  • Economics (AREA)
  • General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Strategic Management (AREA)
  • Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Entrepreneurship & Innovation (AREA)
  • General Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • Marketing (AREA)
  • Life Sciences & Earth Sciences (AREA)
  • Tourism & Hospitality (AREA)
  • General Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Evolutionary Computation (AREA)
  • Game Theory and Decision Science (AREA)
  • Molecular Biology (AREA)
  • Data Mining & Analysis (AREA)
  • Computational Linguistics (AREA)
  • Quality & Reliability (AREA)
  • Operations Research (AREA)
  • Biophysics (AREA)
  • Mathematical Physics (AREA)
  • Software Systems (AREA)
  • Biomedical Technology (AREA)
  • General Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Artificial Intelligence (AREA)
  • Development Economics (AREA)
  • Computing Systems (AREA)
  • Educational Administration (AREA)
  • Primary Health Care (AREA)
  • Water Supply & Treatment (AREA)
  • Public Health (AREA)
  • Biodiversity & Conservation Biology (AREA)
  • Management, Administration, Business Operations System, And Electronic Commerce (AREA)
CN202111357431.XA 2021-11-16 2021-11-16 一种基于集成学习的在线机组负荷预测方法 Pending CN114022021A (zh)

Priority Applications (2)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN202111357431.XA CN114022021A (zh) 2021-11-16 2021-11-16 一种基于集成学习的在线机组负荷预测方法
PCT/CN2022/131741 WO2023088212A1 (fr) 2021-11-16 2022-11-14 Procédé de prédiction d'unité de charge en ligne fondé sur un apprentissage ensembliste

Applications Claiming Priority (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN202111357431.XA CN114022021A (zh) 2021-11-16 2021-11-16 一种基于集成学习的在线机组负荷预测方法

Publications (1)

Publication Number Publication Date
CN114022021A true CN114022021A (zh) 2022-02-08

Family

ID=80064606

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
CN202111357431.XA Pending CN114022021A (zh) 2021-11-16 2021-11-16 一种基于集成学习的在线机组负荷预测方法

Country Status (2)

Country Link
CN (1) CN114022021A (fr)
WO (1) WO2023088212A1 (fr)

Cited By (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN114444821A (zh) * 2022-04-12 2022-05-06 国网湖北省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 面向电力物联网的集成学习负荷预测方法、系统及介质
WO2023088212A1 (fr) * 2021-11-16 2023-05-25 西安热工研究院有限公司 Procédé de prédiction d'unité de charge en ligne fondé sur un apprentissage ensembliste

Families Citing this family (5)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN116544931B (zh) * 2023-06-27 2023-12-01 北京理工大学 基于集成片段变换和时间卷积网络的电力负荷分布预测方法
CN116632842B (zh) * 2023-07-26 2023-11-10 国网山东省电力公司信息通信公司 基于聚类特性的台区分布式光伏负荷概率预测方法及系统
CN117239731B (zh) * 2023-09-21 2024-02-27 山东工商学院 基于混合模型的节假日短期电力负荷预测方法
CN117078047B (zh) * 2023-10-16 2024-02-23 华能济南黄台发电有限公司 一种基于lstm的热负荷预测与分配优化方法及系统
CN117909928B (zh) * 2024-03-19 2024-05-28 国网四川省电力公司成都供电公司 基于大数据分析的空调负荷预测方法及系统

Family Cites Families (4)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
US9639643B2 (en) * 2014-06-06 2017-05-02 General Electric Company Method and system for generating electric load models
CN110084424A (zh) * 2019-04-25 2019-08-02 国网浙江省电力有限公司 一种基于lstm与lgbm的电力负荷预测方法
CN113205207A (zh) * 2021-04-19 2021-08-03 深圳供电局有限公司 一种基于XGBoost算法的用电短期负荷波动预测方法及系统
CN114022021A (zh) * 2021-11-16 2022-02-08 西安热工研究院有限公司 一种基于集成学习的在线机组负荷预测方法

Cited By (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
WO2023088212A1 (fr) * 2021-11-16 2023-05-25 西安热工研究院有限公司 Procédé de prédiction d'unité de charge en ligne fondé sur un apprentissage ensembliste
CN114444821A (zh) * 2022-04-12 2022-05-06 国网湖北省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 面向电力物联网的集成学习负荷预测方法、系统及介质

Also Published As

Publication number Publication date
WO2023088212A1 (fr) 2023-05-25

Similar Documents

Publication Publication Date Title
CN114022021A (zh) 一种基于集成学习的在线机组负荷预测方法
CN108388962B (zh) 一种风电功率预测系统及方法
CN108053082B (zh) 基于温度区间分解的电网中长期负荷预测方法
CN108764568B (zh) 一种基于lstm网络的数据预测模型调优方法及装置
CN112149879B (zh) 一种计及宏观波动性分类的新能源中长期电量预测方法
CN109615124B (zh) 一种基于深度学习的scada主站负荷预测方法
CN112926770A (zh) 一种基于数字孪生的统一数据计量采集系统
CN111241755A (zh) 电力负荷预测方法
CN110197296B (zh) 一种基于时间序列相似性的机组负荷预测方法
CN116167527B (zh) 纯数据驱动的电力系统静态安全运行风险在线评估方法
CN113988481B (zh) 一种基于动态矩阵预测控制的风功率预测方法
CN113919545A (zh) 一种多数据模型融合的光伏发电功率预测方法和系统
CN115587672A (zh) 一种配变负荷预测及重过载预警方法及系统
CN112085285A (zh) 母线负荷预测方法、装置、计算机设备和存储介质
CN111340305A (zh) 一种建筑运行能耗预测方法
CN115860177A (zh) 基于组合式机器学习模型光伏发电功率预测方法及其应用
CN116167531A (zh) 一种基于数字孪生的光伏发电预测方法
CN115222106A (zh) 一种自适应模型的用户日前负荷预测方法
CN115115127A (zh) 一种基于深度学习的低压台区智能调控方法及系统
CN116014722A (zh) 基于季节分解和卷积网络的次日光伏发电预测方法及系统
CN112232570A (zh) 一种正向有功总电量预测方法、装置及可读存储介质
CN116562454A (zh) 一种应用于bim的长短时注意力机制网络的造价预测方法
CN116191412A (zh) 电力负荷预测方法
CN116402194A (zh) 一种基于混合神经网络的多时间尺度负荷预测方法
CN111612255B (zh) 一种基于支持向量回归的风电场功率曲线建模方法

Legal Events

Date Code Title Description
PB01 Publication
PB01 Publication
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination