CN113537636A - Earthquake destructive power prediction method and device based on bidirectional gating circulation unit - Google Patents

Earthquake destructive power prediction method and device based on bidirectional gating circulation unit Download PDF

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CN113537636A
CN113537636A CN202110927660.4A CN202110927660A CN113537636A CN 113537636 A CN113537636 A CN 113537636A CN 202110927660 A CN202110927660 A CN 202110927660A CN 113537636 A CN113537636 A CN 113537636A
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seismic
destructive power
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earthquake
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陈增顺
汪亚泰
许叶萌
赵智航
徐振钢
张利凯
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Chongqing University
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Abstract

The invention relates to a seismic destructive power prediction method based on a bidirectional gating circulation unit, which comprises the following steps: acquiring seismic motion time-course data from an open source seismic motion database to obtain sample data and a sample label; decomposing various data included in the seismic motion time-course data into a plurality of intrinsic mode function components respectively through an empirical mode decomposition algorithm; taking each intrinsic mode function component obtained by decomposition as an input characteristic of the BiGRU model, and training by combining with a sample label to obtain an EMD-BiGRU model; and predicting the earthquake destructive force through the model. In the invention, the BiGRU model is used as a basic model to predict the earthquake destructive power level, so that the past and future seismic wave data can be linked with the current seismic wave prediction, and the model prediction is more facilitated; the EMD is combined with the BiGRU model, the new model comprises local characteristic signals of seismic data at different time scales, and high prediction accuracy can be achieved.

Description

Earthquake destructive power prediction method and device based on bidirectional gating circulation unit
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of earthquake destructive power prediction, and relates to an earthquake destructive power prediction method and device based on a bidirectional gating circulation unit.
Background
After an earthquake occurs, the earthquake damage condition of the disaster area is rapidly and accurately acquired, and the method is very important for timely and reasonably scheduling rescue force and reducing casualties and loss of the disaster area. The uncertainty of earthquake disaster occurrence and the high complexity of disaster area environment lead to the difficulty of accurately and timely predicting disaster area earthquake damage conditions. Besides seismic parameters, numerous factors such as fault development, structural environment, seismic distance and the like may influence the final prediction result. Traditional machine learning methods such as Support Vector machine (Support Vector machine), Decision Tree (Decision Tree), etc. are not suitable for processing high-dimensional time series data such as seismic destructive power.
Seismic destructive power based on numerical simulations there are now mainly two approaches. One is a vulnerability Analysis method (framework Analysis), which simplifies seismic motion intensity indexes and a region structure model, is difficult to comprehensively reflect complex time-domain and frequency-domain characteristics of seismic motion, and has high prediction speed but insufficient accuracy. A Nonlinear Time-history Analysis (NLTHA) has good retention on seismic parameters and building structures and high prediction accuracy, but the method has large calculation amount, needs a high-performance computer and has certain defect on prediction timeliness.
Disclosure of Invention
In view of the above, the present invention provides a method and an apparatus for predicting earthquake destructive power based on a bidirectional gated loop unit.
In order to achieve the purpose, the invention provides the following technical scheme:
a seismic destructive power prediction method based on a bidirectional gating cycle unit comprises the following steps:
s1, acquiring seismic motion time-course data from an open source seismic motion database, and establishing the database as sample data;
step S2, carrying out destructive power analysis on the sample data to divide destructive power grades, and taking the destructive power grades as sample labels;
step S3, decomposing the seismic motion time-course data into a plurality of intrinsic mode function components through an empirical mode decomposition algorithm;
step S4, defining a loss function of the BiGRU model, taking each intrinsic mode function component obtained by decomposition as an input characteristic of the BiGRU model, and training the intrinsic mode function component by combining a sample label;
step S5, when the value of the loss function of the BiGRU model converges to a fixed value and keeps unchanged, ending the training to obtain an EMD-BiGRU model;
and step S6, inputting seismic motion data acquired by a sensor or seismic motion data acquired through a seismic motion monitoring network into an EMD-BiGRU model, and predicting through the EMD-BiGRU model to obtain the seismic destructive power grade.
Further, the input features of the BiGRU model at any time are seismic motion time-course data or a vector formed by values of all eigenmode function components of each item of data included in the seismic motion data at the time.
Furthermore, in the BiGRU model, a hidden layer unit h of GRUtThe calculation formula of (2) is as follows:
rt=σ(Wrxt+Urht-1)
zt=σ(Wzxt+Uzht-1)
Figure BDA0003209728740000021
Figure BDA0003209728740000022
wherein, the sigma is a Sigmoid function; tan h is a hyperbolic tangent function; r istTo reset the gate; z is a radical oftTo update the door;
Figure BDA0003209728740000023
is a candidate activation state at time t; h ist-1Hidden layer unit at time (t-1); h istA hidden layer unit at the time t; wr、Ur、Wz、WzW, U is a training parameter matrix;
Figure BDA0003209728740000024
representing the multiplication of corresponding elements; x is the number oftRepresenting the input characteristics at time t.
Further, the calculation formula of the BiGRU model is as follows:
Figure BDA0003209728740000031
Figure BDA0003209728740000032
Figure BDA0003209728740000033
Figure BDA0003209728740000034
wherein x istAn input feature representing time t; (ii) a
Figure BDA0003209728740000035
Representing a backward propagation hidden state at time t;
Figure BDA0003209728740000036
represents a backward propagation hidden state at time (t + 1);
Figure BDA0003209728740000037
representing a forward propagation hidden state at time (t-1);
Figure BDA0003209728740000038
representing a forward propagation hidden state at time t; o istRepresenting a hidden layer state at time t; alpha is alphatRepresenting the hidden layer output weight of the forward transmission GRU unit at the time t; beta is atRepresenting the output weight of the hidden layer of the backward transmission GRU unit at the time t; btRepresenting the offset corresponding to the hidden layer state at the time t; w is atA weight coefficient representing a hidden layer state; y represents the final output prediction result.
Further, the loss function l (x, y) of the BiGRU model is defined as:
Figure BDA0003209728740000039
where N represents the number of samples, xiRepresenting the actual seismic destructive power level, y, of the ith sampleiRepresenting the predicted seismic destructive power level of the ith sample model.
An earthquake destructive power prediction device based on a bidirectional gating cycle unit comprises:
the earthquake motion data acquisition module is used for acquiring earthquake motion data in real time or acquiring the earthquake motion data through an earthquake motion monitoring network and transmitting the earthquake motion data to the analysis module;
the analysis module is used for analyzing the seismic motion data sent by the seismic motion data acquisition module and predicting the destructive power of the earthquake to obtain the destructive power grade of the earthquake; and
and the prediction data output module is used for outputting the destructive power level of the earthquake.
The early warning module is used for comparing the earthquake destructive power grade predicted by the analysis module with a preset earthquake destructive power grade threshold value, and sending out an early warning signal when the predicted earthquake destructive power grade is greater than or equal to the earthquake destructive power grade threshold value.
The early warning system further comprises a propagation module, wherein the propagation module is used for transmitting the early warning signal and the predicted earthquake destructive power level to specific equipment when the early warning module sends out the early warning signal.
Further, the analysis module comprises a data preprocessing unit, an EMD-BiGRU model and an output unit;
the data preprocessing unit is used for reading the seismic motion data acquired by the seismic motion data acquisition module and performing format conversion;
the EMD-BiGRU model comprises an empirical mode decomposition module and a BiGRU model, wherein the empirical mode decomposition module is used for decomposing seismic motion time-course data into a plurality of intrinsic mode function components through an empirical mode decomposition algorithm, and vectors formed by the intrinsic mode function components are used as input features of the BiGRU model; the BiGRU model is used for predicting the damage level of the earthquake according to the input characteristics;
and the output unit is used for sending the predicted earthquake destructive power grade to the predicted data output module and the early warning module.
According to the method, the EMD and the BiGRU model are combined to obtain the EMD-BiGRU model for predicting the earthquake destructive power level, and as GRUs capture long sequence semantic association, gradient disappearance or explosion can be effectively inhibited, the effect is better than that of the traditional RNN, and the calculation complexity is smaller than that of LSTM. Considering that the seismic wave development is associated with the seismic wave data at the previous moment, the current hidden layer state of the bidirectional gating circulation unit (BiGRU) is obtained by weighting and summing the forward hidden layer state and the reverse hidden layer state, the past seismic wave data, the future seismic wave data and the current seismic wave prediction can be linked, and the model prediction is facilitated. In addition, each IMF component decomposed by EMD contains local characteristic signals of seismic data at different time scales, so that the EMD-BiGRU model obtained by combining the EMD with the BiGRU model can achieve higher prediction accuracy. Moreover, the EMD algorithm and the BiGRU model have low requirements on hardware and low implementation cost.
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For the purposes of promoting a better understanding of the objects, aspects and advantages of the invention, reference will now be made to the following detailed description taken in conjunction with the accompanying drawings in which:
FIG. 1 is a flow chart of a preferred embodiment of a seismic destructive power prediction method based on a bidirectional gated cyclic unit according to the invention;
FIG. 2 is a schematic diagram of EMD decomposition;
FIG. 3 is a schematic diagram of the structure of the EMD-BiGRU model;
FIG. 4 is a schematic structural diagram of a single neuron architecture of a GRU;
fig. 5 is a block diagram of the earthquake destructive power prediction device based on the bidirectional gating cycle unit according to a preferred embodiment of the invention.
Detailed Description
The embodiments of the present invention are described below with reference to specific embodiments, and other advantages and effects of the present invention will be easily understood by those skilled in the art from the disclosure of the present specification. The invention is capable of other and different embodiments and of being practiced or of being carried out in various ways, and its several details are capable of modification in various respects, all without departing from the spirit and scope of the present invention. It should be noted that the drawings provided in the following embodiments are only for illustrating the basic idea of the present invention in a schematic way, and the features in the following embodiments and examples may be combined with each other without conflict.
As shown in FIG. 1, a preferred embodiment of the seismic destructive power prediction method based on a bidirectional gated cyclic unit of the present invention comprises the following steps:
and step S1, acquiring seismic motion time-course data from the open-source seismic motion database, and establishing the database as sample data. For example: the Japanese K-NET database and the American PEER NGA database are open source earthquake motion databases and store massive earthquake motion data.
And step S2, carrying out destructive power analysis on the sample data, and dividing destructive power grades according to national standards to be used as sample labels. For example: the destructive power Analysis can be carried out on the sample data by a City-Scale online Time History Analysis (City-Scale NLTHA) method which is widely accepted in the field of civil engineering and has high precision.
Step S3, decomposing each item of data included in the seismic time-course data into a plurality of IMF (Intrinsic Mode Functions) components by an EMD (Empirical Mode Decomposition) algorithm. The earthquake motion time-range data comprises earthquake motion acceleration data, earthquake motion speed data, earthquake motion displacement data and other data.
The IMF component satisfies the following two conditions:
(1) in the whole time range of the function, the number of the extreme points is equal to or different from the number of the zero crossing points by 1;
(2) at any time point, the mean of the upper envelope and the lower envelope is 0.
The EMD algorithm is realized through a screening process; the non-linear data can be decomposed into a linear combination of a finite number of IMF components with frequencies from high to low by an EMD algorithm, and each decomposed IMF component contains local characteristic signals of different time scales of the original signal. The EMD algorithm specifically comprises:
step S11, obtaining an original signal x (t) according to one of the data in the earthquake time-course data, wherein t represents time; the original signal x (t) is a function of time t. For example, the seismic acceleration data may be decomposed first, and then the original signal x (t) may be obtained first according to the seismic acceleration data.
And step S32, screening the original signal x (t). The screening process is to subtract the average envelope function of the signal to obtain a new function; the method specifically comprises the following steps: finding out all maximum value points of the original signal x (t), and fitting an upper envelope line of the original signal x (t) by using a cubic spline function; finding out all minimum value points of the original signal x (t), and fitting a cubic spline function into a lower envelope curve of the original signal x (t); calculating the mean value of the upper envelope and the lower envelope to obtain a first mean envelope function m1(t); subtracting the first average envelope function m from the original signal x (t)1(t) obtaining a first intermediate component function d1,1(t)。
Step S33, determining the intermediate component function d1,1(t) whether two conditions for the IMF component are satisfied, and if so, d1,1(t) is denoted as the first IMF component IMF1(t) of the original signal; if not, continue to step S12 paird1,1(t) performing screening until the intermediate component function satisfies the condition of the IMF component. Assuming a medium component function d obtained after K screening1,k(t) if the IMF component is satisfied, d is1,k(t) is denoted as the first IMF component IMF1(t) of the original signal.
Step S34, subtracting the first IMF component IMF1(t) from the original signal x (t) to obtain a first residual component function r1(t); the first residual component function r1(t) continuing to decompose (i.e., decompose the IMF component from the signal by repeated sieving) according to steps S12 and S13 to obtain a second IMF component IMF2 (t); using a first residual component function r1(t) subtracting the second IMF component IMF2(t) to obtain a second residual component function r2(t) of (d). Continuing to apply the second residual component function r according to steps S12 and S132(t) carrying out decomposition; suppose that after n decompositions, the nth residual component function r is obtainedn(t) is a monotonic function, the decomposition is not continued, and the residual component function r is usedn(t) as residual amount RES; therefore, the decomposition of the seismic dynamic acceleration data is completed. The original signal can be represented as:
Figure BDA0003209728740000071
and S35, obtaining an original signal x (t) according to the earthquake vibration velocity data, the earthquake vibration displacement data and other earthquake motion time range data in sequence, returning to S12 to decompose the original signal x (t) formed by the data, and stopping decomposition until all the data included in the earthquake motion time range data are decomposed into IMF components and residual quantities RES. It should be noted that the time-lapse vibration time-course data may be decomposed from any one of the data included therein when decomposed, and a specific order is not required.
As shown in fig. 2, it is a schematic diagram of EMD decomposition of various items of data included in seismic motion time-course data. Compared with Fourier transform and wavelet decomposition, the EMD does not need to set a basis function, has self-adaptability, and can effectively eliminate the fluctuation of original data to make the data more stable.
And S4, defining a loss function of the BiGRU model, and training each IMF component obtained by decomposition as an input feature of the BiGRU model. The BiGRU, i.e., a two-way GRU (Gated recovery Units), is formed by combining two independent GRUs (i.e., a forward GRU and a backward GRU), has a function of capturing front and rear information characteristics, and is shown in fig. 3, which is a schematic structural diagram of an EMD-BiGRU model.
Wherein the loss function l (x, y) of the BiGRU model can be defined as:
Figure BDA0003209728740000072
where N represents the number of samples, xiRepresenting the actual seismic destructive power level, y, of the ith sampleiRepresenting the predicted seismic destructive power level of the ith sample model.
The input characteristics of the BiGRU model at any moment in time are that the values of each IMF component at that moment in time constitute a vector. Compared with the traditional RNN, the BiGRU does not clear previous information along with time, can effectively capture semantic association between long sequences, and relieves the phenomena of gradient disappearance or explosion. Considering that seismic wave development will have some correlation with seismic wave data at the last time, linking the current seismic wave data with the past seismic wave data in the prediction process will help the model to predict more. The working process of the BiGRU model comprises the following steps:
step S401, according to the input characteristic xtCalculating to obtain a hidden layer unit h of the GRUt. As shown in FIG. 4, the architecture of a single neural unit of a GRU includes a reset gate and an update gate, a hidden layer unit h of the GRUtCan be calculated by the following formula:
rt=σ(Wrxt+Urht-1)
zt=σ(Wzxt+Uzht-1)
Figure BDA0003209728740000081
Figure BDA0003209728740000082
wherein, the sigma is a Sigmoid function; tan h is a hyperbolic tangent function; r istTo reset the gate; z is a radical oftTo update the door;
Figure BDA0003209728740000083
candidate activation states for time t (i.e., the current time); h ist-1The hidden layer unit at the last moment (t-1 moment in forward transmission and t +1 moment in backward transmission); h istA hidden layer unit at the current time (namely, time t); wr、Ur、Wz、WzW, U is a training parameter matrix;
Figure BDA0003209728740000084
representing the multiplication of corresponding elements; x is the number oftAnd the input characteristic representing the time t moment is a vector formed by the values of all eigenmode function components of each item of data included in the seismic motion time-course data at the time t moment.
Assuming that when the seismic motion acceleration data is decomposed into four IMF components including IMF1(t), IMF2(t), IMF3(t) and IMF4(t), the seismic motion velocity data is decomposed into four IMF components including IMF1'(t), IMF2' (t), IMF3'(t) and IMF4' (t), and the seismic motion displacement data is decomposed into four IMF components including IMF1 "(t), IMF 2" (t), IMF3 "(t) and IMF 4" (t), … …; then at t0Time of day, x0Represented as a vector [ IMF1(t)0),IMF2(t0),IMF3(t0),IMF4(t0),IMF1'(t0),IMF2'(t0),IMF3'(t0),IMF4'(t0),IMF1”(t0),IMF2”(t0),IMF3”(t0),IMF4”(t0),……](ii) a At tiTime of day, xiRepresented as a vector [ IMF1(t)i),IMF2(ti),IMF3(ti),IMF4(ti),IMF1'(ti),IMF2'(ti),IMF3'(ti),IMF4'(ti),IMF1”(ti),IMF2”(ti),IMF3”(ti),IMF4”(ti),……]. Of course, the number of IMF components decomposed by the seismic displacement data, the seismic acceleration data and the seismic velocity data may be different.
Step S402, obtaining a forward propagation hidden layer state according to a hidden layer unit calculation formula of a GRU
Figure BDA0003209728740000091
The calculation formula is as follows:
Figure BDA0003209728740000092
wherein x istAn input feature representing time t;
Figure BDA0003209728740000093
representing a forward propagation hidden state at time (t-1);
Figure BDA0003209728740000094
representing the forward propagating hidden state at time t.
Step S403, obtaining a backward propagation hidden layer state according to a hidden layer unit calculation formula of GRU
Figure BDA00032097287400000912
The calculation formula is as follows:
Figure BDA0003209728740000095
wherein the content of the first and second substances,
Figure BDA0003209728740000096
representing a backward propagation hidden state at time t;
Figure BDA0003209728740000097
represents (t +1)The hidden state is propagated backwards in time.
Step S404, propagating the hidden layer state forward
Figure BDA0003209728740000098
And propagating hidden states backwards
Figure BDA0003209728740000099
Superposed and combined to obtain a hidden layer state Ot(ii) a The calculation formula is as follows:
Figure BDA00032097287400000910
wherein, OtRepresenting a hidden layer state at time t; alpha is alphatRepresenting the hidden layer output weight of the forward transmission GRU unit at the time t; beta is atRepresenting the output weight of the hidden layer of the backward transmission GRU unit at the time t; btAnd represents the offset corresponding to the hidden layer state at the time t.
Step S405, obtaining a prediction result Y according to the weight of each hidden layer state; the calculation formula is as follows:
Figure BDA00032097287400000911
wherein, wtA weight coefficient representing a hidden layer state; y represents the final output prediction result.
Step S5, in the training process of the BiGRU model, when the value of the loss function converges to a fixed value and keeps unchanged, the parameter of the BiGRU model at the moment is considered to be the optimal model parameter, and the model training is stopped.
And step S6, acquiring earthquake motion data in real time through a sensor or acquiring quasi-real-time earthquake motion data through an earthquake motion monitoring network, inputting the earthquake motion data into an EMD-BiGRU model, and predicting to obtain the earthquake destructive power grade through the EMD-BiGRU model.
In the embodiment, the BiGRU model is used as the basic model to predict the earthquake destructive power level, and the GRU can effectively inhibit gradient disappearance or explosion when capturing long sequence semantic association, so that the effect is better than that of the traditional RNN, and the calculation complexity is smaller than that of the LSTM. Considering that the seismic wave development is associated with the seismic wave data at the previous moment, the current hidden layer state of the bidirectional gating circulation unit (BiGRU) is obtained by weighting and summing the forward hidden layer state and the reverse hidden layer state, the past seismic wave data, the future seismic wave data and the current seismic wave prediction can be linked, and the model prediction is facilitated. In addition, each IMF component decomposed by EMD contains local characteristic signals of the original signal in different time scales, so that the EMD-BiGRU model obtained by combining the EMD and the BiGRU model can achieve higher prediction accuracy.
The invention also provides a seismic destructive power prediction device based on the bidirectional gating circulation unit, and as shown in fig. 5, a preferred embodiment of the seismic destructive power prediction device based on the bidirectional gating circulation unit comprises a seismic motion data acquisition module, an analysis module, a prediction data output module, an early warning module and a propagation module.
The earthquake motion data acquisition module can adopt a sensor module, and the sensor module is integrated with a sensor for acquiring data such as displacement, acceleration, speed and the like, so that earthquake motion data are acquired in real time; the seismic data acquisition module can also adopt a module which can be linked to a seismic monitoring network, so that quasi-real-time seismic data can be acquired through the seismic monitoring network.
The analysis module is used for analyzing the seismic motion data sent by the seismic motion data acquisition module and predicting the destructive power of the earthquake to obtain the destructive power grade of the earthquake. The analysis module comprises a data preprocessing unit, an EMD-BiGRU model and an output unit.
The data preprocessing unit is used for reading the earthquake motion data acquired by the earthquake motion data acquisition module and performing format conversion.
The EMD-BiGRU model comprises an empirical mode decomposition module and a BiGRU model, wherein the empirical mode decomposition module is used for decomposing seismic motion time-course data into a plurality of intrinsic mode function components through an empirical mode decomposition algorithm, and vectors formed by the intrinsic mode function components are used as input features of the BiGRU model; the BiGRU model is used for predicting the destructive power level of the earthquake according to the input features.
And the output unit is used for sending the predicted earthquake destructive power grade to the predicted data output module and the early warning module.
The prediction data output module is used for outputting the predicted earthquake destructive power grade and related data. The predictive data output module preferably employs a visualization module, such as a display, to visually output the seismic destructive power level and associated data.
The early warning module is used for comparing the earthquake destructive power grade predicted by the analysis module with a preset earthquake destructive power grade threshold value, and sending out an early warning signal when the predicted earthquake destructive power grade is greater than or equal to the earthquake destructive power grade threshold value. The propagation module is used for transmitting the early warning signal and the predicted earthquake destructive power grade to a rescue command center or other specific equipment in time when the early warning module sends the early warning signal, so that rescue work can be carried out in time conveniently.
In this embodiment, the analysis module adopts an EMD algorithm and a BiGRU model, and has low requirements on calculation and storage capabilities, low requirements on hardware, and low implementation cost.
Finally, the above embodiments are only intended to illustrate the technical solutions of the present invention and not to limit the present invention, and although the present invention has been described in detail with reference to the preferred embodiments, it will be understood by those skilled in the art that modifications or equivalent substitutions may be made on the technical solutions of the present invention without departing from the spirit and scope of the technical solutions, and all of them should be covered by the claims of the present invention.

Claims (9)

1. A seismic destructive power prediction method based on a bidirectional gating cycle unit is characterized by comprising the following steps:
s1, acquiring seismic motion time-course data from an open source seismic motion database, and establishing the database as sample data;
step S2, carrying out destructive power analysis on the sample data to divide destructive power grades, and taking the destructive power grades as sample labels;
step S3, decomposing the seismic motion time-course data into a plurality of intrinsic mode function components through an empirical mode decomposition algorithm;
step S4, defining a loss function of the BiGRU model, taking each intrinsic mode function component obtained by decomposition as an input characteristic of the BiGRU model, and training the intrinsic mode function component by combining a sample label;
step S5, when the value of the loss function of the BiGRU model converges to a fixed value and keeps unchanged, ending the training to obtain an EMD-BiGRU model;
and step S6, inputting seismic motion data acquired by a sensor or seismic motion data acquired through a seismic motion monitoring network into an EMD-BiGRU model, and predicting through the EMD-BiGRU model to obtain the seismic destructive power grade.
2. The method of claim 1, wherein the input features of the BiGRU model at any time are seismic time-course data or a vector formed by values of all eigenmode function components of each item of data included in the seismic data at that time.
3. The method for predicting seismic destructive power based on bidirectional gating cyclic unit of claim 1, wherein in the BiGRU model, the hidden layer unit h of GRUtThe calculation formula of (2) is as follows:
rt=σ(Wrxt+Urht-1)
zt=σ(Wzxt+Uzht-1)
Figure FDA0003209728730000011
Figure FDA0003209728730000012
wherein, the sigma is a Sigmoid function; tan h is a hyperbolic tangent function; r istTo reset the gate; z is a radical oftTo update the door;
Figure FDA0003209728730000021
is a candidate activation state at time t; h ist-1A hidden layer unit at the previous moment; h istA hidden layer unit at the current moment; wr、Ur、Wz、WzW, U is a training parameter matrix;
Figure FDA0003209728730000022
representing the multiplication of corresponding elements; x is the number oftRepresenting the input characteristics at time t.
4. The method for predicting seismic destructive power based on the bidirectional gating cyclic unit according to claim 3, wherein the calculation formula of the BiGRU model is as follows:
Figure FDA0003209728730000023
Figure FDA0003209728730000024
Figure FDA0003209728730000025
Figure FDA0003209728730000026
wherein x istAn input feature representing time t; (ii) a
Figure FDA0003209728730000027
To representBackward propagating hidden layer state at time t;
Figure FDA0003209728730000028
represents a backward propagation hidden state at time (t + 1);
Figure FDA0003209728730000029
representing a forward propagation hidden state at time (t-1);
Figure FDA00032097287300000210
representing a forward propagation hidden state at time t; o istRepresenting a hidden layer state at time t; alpha is alphatRepresenting the hidden layer output weight of the forward transmission GRU unit at the time t; beta is atRepresenting the output weight of the hidden layer of the backward transmission GRU unit at the time t; btRepresenting the offset corresponding to the hidden layer state at the time t; w is atA weight coefficient representing a hidden layer state; y represents the final output prediction result.
5. The method of claim 1, wherein the BiGRU model loss function i (x, y) is defined as:
Figure FDA00032097287300000211
where N represents the number of samples, xiRepresenting the actual seismic destructive power level, y, of the ith sampleiRepresenting the predicted seismic destructive power level of the ith sample model.
6. An earthquake destructive power prediction device based on a bidirectional gating cycle unit, comprising:
the earthquake motion data acquisition module is used for acquiring earthquake motion data in real time or acquiring the earthquake motion data through an earthquake motion monitoring network and transmitting the earthquake motion data to the analysis module;
the analysis module is used for analyzing the seismic motion data sent by the seismic motion data acquisition module and predicting the destructive power of the earthquake to obtain the destructive power grade of the earthquake; and
and the prediction data output module is used for outputting the destructive power level of the earthquake.
7. The earthquake destructive power prediction device based on the bidirectional gating cyclic unit as claimed in claim 6, further comprising an early warning module for comparing the level of the earthquake destructive power predicted by the analysis module with a preset earthquake destructive power level threshold value, and sending an early warning signal when the predicted earthquake destructive power level is greater than or equal to the earthquake destructive power level threshold value.
8. The apparatus of claim 7, further comprising a propagation module for transmitting the early warning signal and the predicted seismic destructive power level to a specific device when the early warning signal is emitted by the early warning module.
9. The apparatus of claim 6, wherein the analysis module comprises a data preprocessing unit, an EMD-BiGRU model and an output unit;
the data preprocessing unit is used for reading the seismic motion data acquired by the seismic motion data acquisition module and performing format conversion;
the EMD-BiGRU model comprises an empirical mode decomposition module and a BiGRU model, wherein the empirical mode decomposition module is used for decomposing seismic motion time-course data into a plurality of intrinsic mode function components through an empirical mode decomposition algorithm, and vectors formed by the intrinsic mode function components are used as input features of the BiGRU model; the BiGRU model is used for predicting the damage level of the earthquake according to the input characteristics;
and the output unit is used for sending the predicted earthquake destructive power grade to the predicted data output module and the early warning module.
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Application publication date: 20211022