CN112464468A - Reliability evaluation method for power supply system of weapon equipment - Google Patents
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Abstract
One embodiment of the invention discloses a reliability evaluation method of a weaponry system, the method comprising: s1: acquiring the structure of a power supply system of the weapon equipment and the requirement of a task section of each stage of the power supply system of the weapon equipment in a task period; s3: establishing a reliability model of the power supply system of the weapon equipment according to the system structure and the requirements; s5: and calculating the reliability of the power system of the weapon equipment under the multi-stage task profile in the whole task period according to the reliability model.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of reliability evaluation. And more particularly, to a weaponry power system reliability evaluation method.
Background
The reliability of the weaponry is an important factor influencing the combat effectiveness of the weaponry, the requirement is carried out in the whole equipment development process, the reliability is one of important indexes for measuring the combat readiness integrity and the task success rate of a weaponry system, and the reliability is an important guarantee for outputting high-quality and long-life weaponry. With the continuous progress of scientific technology and the continuous improvement of the operation requirements of modern war weapons such as informatization, quick response and the like, the modern battlefield environment is more and more complex, and the functional structure of weaponry is more and more precise. Weaponry often exhibits multiple performance level states under different environmental conditions and requires the completion of multiple different phase tasks. The complex and changeable battlefield environment promotes the improvement of the fighting performance of weapons and the enhancement of environmental adaptability, and simultaneously provides new requirements for the reliability level of the equipment. How to evaluate and improve the reliability of the weapon equipment system in different combat environments becomes a key concern for scholars at home and abroad.
At present, the research on the reliability of the weaponry only focuses on the combat phase of the weaponry, and the influence of the reliability of the weaponry on the system reliability level in the whole mission period in the combat duty phase is not considered. And under the actual operation environment, the supply vehicle generating set often has the power generation performance level of a plurality of different states, leads to whole system state space constantly to increase, and the degree of difficulty of analysis whole system state level is great.
Disclosure of Invention
In view of the above, a first embodiment of the present invention provides a method for reliability evaluation of a weaponry system, including: s1: acquiring the structure of a power supply system of the weapon equipment and the requirement of a task section of each stage of the power supply system of the weapon equipment in a task period;
s3: establishing a reliability model of the power supply system of the weapon equipment according to the system structure and the requirements;
s5: and calculating the reliability of the power system of the weapon equipment under the multi-stage task profile in the whole task period according to the reliability model.
In a specific embodiment, the S1 includes:
the weapon equipment power supply system consists of n multi-state power supply vehicles, wherein each power supply vehicle comprises a first generator set and a second generator set;
the weapon equipment power supply system comprises a task cycle: two stage tasks of a combat readiness duty stage and a combat stage, wherein the combat readiness duty stage requires at least k1A power supply vehicle is arranged atA normal patrol state; the requirement of at least k in the battle stage2The trolley is in a normal working state, and k1,k2≤n。
In a specific embodiment, the S3 includes:
s31: acquiring performance parameters of each power supply vehicle;
s33: constructing a reliability model of the power supply vehicle according to the composition mode of the generator set of the power supply vehicle;
s35: according to task requirements of each stage, constructing a reliability model of the power supply system of the weapon equipment under a task section of each stage;
s37: and according to the requirements of the task profiles of all stages, constructing a reliability model of the power system of the weapon equipment under the task profile of the whole stage in a task period.
In a specific embodiment, the performance parameters include:
generating performance G of first unit and second unit1And G2The total power generation performance G of the power supply vehicle is G1+G2The total power demand W of the power supply vehicle,
the first unit has a1The power generation performance state is recorded as
Wherein i1＝1,2,...,a1The corresponding state probability is noted as
The second unit has a2The power generation performance states of different power generation levels are recorded as
The corresponding state probability is noted as
The power supply vehicle has b different power consumption demand states which are marked as wjWherein j is 1,2, and b, corresponding to the above formulaThe state probability is p (W ═ W)j)＝qj。
In one specific embodiment, when surplus generated energy D of each power supply vehicle under different operation environments and task requirements is G-W ≧ 0, the power supply vehicle is considered to be reliable, and the reliability model is Rd＝P(D≥0)。
In one embodiment, the combat readiness shift phase is a k consisting of the power source vehicle1A/n (G) system when there is at least k1The stage is reliable when the vehicle power supply vehicle works normally;
the combat phase is a k consisting of power supply vehicles2A/n (G) system when there is at least k2The stage is reliable when the vehicle power supply vehicle works normally;
the reliability models of the combat readiness duty stage and the combat stage can be calculated by the reliability model of the k/n (G) system and are respectively expressed as follows:
in one particular embodiment, a reliability model of the entire weaponry power system is established. The combat readiness duty stage and the combat stage are in a series structure, and the reliability model of the weapon power supply system under one mission section is as follows:
R＝Rzb×Rzz。
in a specific embodiment, the S5 includes:
s51: calculating the power supply quantity of each multi-state generator set of the power supply vehicle and the total power supply quantity of the power supply vehicle;
the power supply state of the first unit is set as
Corresponding state probability set as
The power supply state of the second unit is set as
Corresponding state probability set as
The power supply amount of the first unit is:
the power supply amount of the second unit is as follows:
the total power supply quantity of each power supply vehicle is as follows:
wherein a represents a total a power supply performance states of the power supply vehicle, and when the power supply vehicle is in a certain performance state gjProbability of time being pj；
S53: calculating the required electric quantity of each power supply vehicle at a plurality of state levels
Acquiring the total electric energy demand state set of the power supply vehicle as { w1,w2,...,wbThe corresponding state probability set is { q }1,q2,...,qbAnd the total required electric quantity of the power supply vehicle is as follows:
s55: calculating the total surplus electric quantity of each power supply vehicle as
Wherein the content of the first and second substances,
in order to construct an operator, the surplus electric quantity of the power supply vehicle after polynomial operation has R state levels, wherein R is 1, 2. T when surplus electric quantity is in staterCorresponding probability of αr，
S57: and calculating the reliability of each power supply vehicle, the reliability of the power supply system of the weapon equipment under each stage of task profile and the reliability of the power supply system of the weapon equipment under the multi-stage task profile in the whole task period.
In a specific embodiment, the reliability of the power supply vehicle is the sum of the probabilities that all the electric energy surplus states are greater than or equal to 0, that is, the reliability of the power supply vehicle is
Wherein, I (t)r) For an illustrative function:
in one embodiment, the reliability of the power system of the weapon equipment in one mission cycle is obtained according to the reliability of the power system of the weapon equipment in the combat readiness duty stage and the combat stage
The invention has the following beneficial effects:
the reliability evaluation method of the power supply system of the weapon equipment is constructed by considering the characteristic of multi-state performance level of the power supply system under different combat environments aiming at a plurality of task profiles of the power supply system of the weapon equipment in one task period. The method comprehensively considers the characteristics of multiple stages and multiple states of the system, can effectively combine the multi-state performance of the system in different operational environments and different task stages with the corresponding state probability value, quickly calculates all possible performance levels and reliability indexes of the power supply system of the weapon equipment under various environmental conditions, has the characteristics of high calculation efficiency, strong practicability and high engineering application value, and provides an effective theoretical basis for evaluating the reliability of the power supply system of the weapon equipment under different environment multi-stage task profiles in engineering practical application.
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In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention, the drawings needed to be used in the description of the embodiments will be briefly introduced below, and it is obvious that the drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the present invention, and it is obvious for those skilled in the art to obtain other drawings based on these drawings without creative efforts.
FIG. 1 shows a flowchart of a method for reliability assessment of a weaponry system in accordance with an embodiment of the present invention
FIG. 2 illustrates a schematic diagram of the components of the weaponry power system of one embodiment of the present invention.
FIG. 3 is a block diagram illustrating weaponry power system reliability during a mission cycle in accordance with an embodiment of the present invention.
FIG. 4 illustrates a weaponry power system mission configuration reliability block diagram of an embodiment of the present invention.
Detailed Description
In order to make the technical solutions and advantages of the present invention more apparent, embodiments of the present invention will be described in detail with reference to the accompanying drawings.
As shown in fig. 1, a reliability evaluation method of a weaponry system includes:
s1: acquiring the structure of a power supply system of the weapon equipment and the requirement of a task section of each stage of the power supply system of the weapon equipment in a task period;
and defining the functional structure of the power system of the weapon equipment. The weapon equipment power supply system consists of n multi-state power supply vehicles, and each power supply vehicle is provided with two generator sets. The power supply vehicle has a plurality of power supply levels in different states under different combat environmental conditions, and has a plurality of different power demand states.
The two generator sets of the power supply vehicle are structurally connected in parallel, and can supply power to different devices in a single machine mode, a double-machine independent mode or a double-machine parallel mode so as to meet power consumption requirements in different states. The generator is not limited, and the type of the generator is not limited, and the generator may be a diesel generator or other generator suitable for a power vehicle.
And defining the task requirements of the task profile of each stage in one task cycle of the power system of the weapon equipment. One task cycle of the power supply system of the weapon equipment is divided into two stages of tasks, namely a combat readiness duty stage and an combat stage. The standby duty period requires at least k1The trolley power supply is in a normal patrol state; the requirement of at least k in the battle stage2The trolley is in a normal working state, k1,k2N is less than or equal to n. The composition and mission phase structure of the weaponry power system is shown in FIG. 2.
S3: establishing a reliability model of the power supply system of the weapon equipment according to the system structure and the requirements;
s31: acquiring performance parameters of each power supply vehicle;
wherein the performance parameters include:
generating performance G of first unit and second unit1And G2The total power generation performance G of the power supply vehicle is G1+G2The total power demand W of the power supply vehicle is reliable when the generated energy of the power supply vehicle meets the power demand, namely G is more than or equal to W,
the first unit has a1The power generation performance state is recorded as
Wherein i1＝1,2,...,a1The corresponding state probability is noted as
The second unit has a2The power generation performance states of different power generation levels are recorded as
The corresponding state probability is noted as
The power supply vehicle has b different power consumption demand states which are marked as wjWherein j is 1,2, and b, and the corresponding state probability is p (W is W)j)＝qj。
S33: constructing a reliability model of the power supply vehicle according to the composition mode of the generator set of the power supply vehicle;
when surplus generated energy D of each power supply vehicle in different operation environments and under different task requirements is equal to or larger than 0, the power supply vehicle is considered to be reliable, and the reliability model is Rd＝P(D≥0)
S35: according to task requirements of each stage, constructing a reliability model of the power supply system of the weapon equipment under a task section of each stage;
the combat readiness on duty stage is a k consisting of power vehicles1A/n (G) system when there is at least k1The phase is reliable when the vehicle power supply vehicle works normally. The combat phase is a k consisting of power supply vehicles2A/n (G) system when there is at least k2The phase is reliable when the vehicle power supply vehicle works normally. The reliability models of the combat readiness duty stage and the combat stage can be calculated by the reliability model of the k/n (G) system and are respectively expressed as follows:
s37: and according to the requirements of the task profiles of all stages, constructing a reliability model of the power system of the weapon equipment under the task profile of the whole stage in a task period.
The sections of the two task stages in one task cycle are in a structure connected in series. Namely, when the power supply systems of the weaponry are reliable in the combat readiness duty stage and the combat stage, the power supply systems of the weaponry are reliable in one mission period. Fig. 3 shows a block diagram of a reliability structure of a power system of a weapon equipment in a mission cycle, and a reliability model of the power system of the weapon equipment in a mission section is as follows:
R＝Rzb×Rzz
s5: and calculating the reliability of the power system of the weapon equipment under the multi-stage task profile in the whole task period according to the reliability model.
S51: calculating the power supply quantity of each multi-state generator set of the power supply vehicle and the total power supply quantity of the power supply vehicle;
the power supply state of the first unit is set as
Corresponding state probability set as
The power supply state of the second unit is set as
Corresponding state probability set as
The power supply amount of the first unit is:
the power supply amount of the second unit is as follows:
the total power supply quantity of each power supply vehicle is as follows:
wherein a represents a total a power supply performance states of the power supply vehicle, and when the power supply vehicle is in a certain performance state gjProbability of time being pj；
S53: calculating the required electric quantity of each power supply vehicle at a plurality of state levels
Acquiring the total electric energy demand state set of the power supply vehicle as { w1,w2,...,wbThe corresponding state probability set is { q }1,q2,...,qbAnd the total required electric quantity of the power supply vehicle is as follows:
s55: calculating the total surplus electric quantity of each power supply vehicle as
Wherein the content of the first and second substances,
in order to construct an operator, the surplus electric quantity of the power supply vehicle after polynomial operation has R state levels, wherein R is 1, 2. T when surplus electric quantity is in staterCorresponding probability of αr，
S57: and calculating the reliability of each power supply vehicle, the reliability of the power supply system of the weapon equipment under each stage of task profile and the reliability of the power supply system of the weapon equipment under the multi-stage task profile in the whole task period.
Calculating the reliability of each power supply vehicle: when the power supply quantity meets the power utilization requirement, the power supply vehicle is reliable. Therefore, the reliability of the multi-state power vehicle can be represented as the sum of the probabilities that all the electric energy surplus states are greater than or equal to 0. The reliability of the power supply vehicle is as follows:
wherein, I (t)r) For an illustrative function:
and (3) calculating the reliability of the power supply system under the task profile of each stage: and solving the reliability of the power supply system under the task profile of each stage. The combat readiness on duty stage is k consisting of power vehicles1A/n (G) system, the combat phase is k composed of power supply vehicles2A/n (G) system. According to the reliability model of the k/n (G) system, the reliability of the power supply vehicle is respectively substituted into the reliability models of the standby duty stage and the combat stage, so that the reliability of the power supply system of the weaponry in the standby duty stage and the combat stage is respectively as follows:
calculating the reliability of the power supply vehicle in one task period: the task sections of two stages of the power supply system of the weapon equipment in one task period are in a series structure, and the reliability of the power supply system of the weapon equipment in one task period can be obtained according to a reliability model of the series system
In one embodiment, a weaponry power system includes 6 power cars, each of which includes two banks, a first bank and a second bank connected in parallel. Under different environmental conditions and battle scenes, the generator set has different power generation states, and the supply vehicle has different power consumption demands. The unit 1 has 3 power generation state levels {0w, 50w, 100w }, and the corresponding state probabilities are {1/6, 2/6, 3/6 }; the unit 2 has 2 power generation state levels {0w, 80w }, and the corresponding state probability set is {1/5, 4/5 }; the power demand state of the power supply vehicle is {40w, 60w }, and the state probability set is {2/3, 1/3 }.
The weaponry system needs to complete two-stage tasks in one task period, namely a combat readiness duty stage and an operation stage. When the combat readiness duty stage is reliable, at least 2 power supply vehicles are required to be in a normal patrol state; when the combat stage is reliable, at least 5 power supply vehicles are required to be in a normal working state. When both phases are reliable, the whole task period is reliable. The reliability structure block diagram of the power supply system of the weapon equipment is shown in FIG. 4. And calculating the reliability of the power system of the weapon equipment under the multi-stage task profile in one task period.
The power supply amount of the first unit and the second unit is as follows:
calculating the total supply power generation amount of each power-supply vehicle can be expressed as:
calculating the total required power consumption of each power supply vehicle as follows:
step four: the total surplus power UGF for each power source vehicle can be expressed as:
computingReliability R of each power supply vehicledNamely, the sum of probability values of surplus electric quantity state being greater than or equal to 0 is calculated.
The power supply vehicles in the standby duty stage form an 2/6(G) system, the power supply vehicles in the operation stage form a 5/6(G) system, and the reliability of the power supply systems of the weaponry in the standby duty stage and the operation stage is respectively as follows:
calculating the reliability of the power system of the weapon equipment in one task period as follows:
R＝Rzb×Rzz＝0.999994×0.959554＝0.959549
according to the process, the reliability evaluation method for the power supply system of the weapon equipment under the multi-stage task profile can efficiently calculate the reliability of the multi-state system under the multi-stage task profile, and has the characteristics of high calculation efficiency, strong practicability and high engineering application value.
It should be understood that the above-mentioned embodiments of the present invention are only examples for clearly illustrating the present invention, and are not intended to limit the embodiments of the present invention, and it will be obvious to those skilled in the art that other variations or modifications may be made on the basis of the above description, and all embodiments may not be exhaustive, and all obvious variations or modifications may be included within the scope of the present invention.
Claims (10)
1. A method for reliability assessment of a weaponry system, comprising:
s1: acquiring the structure of a power supply system of the weapon equipment and the requirement of a task section of each stage of the power supply system of the weapon equipment in a task period;
s3: establishing a reliability model of the power supply system of the weapon equipment according to the system structure and the requirements;
s5: and calculating the reliability of the power system of the weapon equipment under the multi-stage task profile in the whole task period according to the reliability model.
2. The method according to claim 1, wherein the S1 includes:
the weapon equipment power supply system consists of n multi-state power supply vehicles, wherein each power supply vehicle comprises a first generator set and a second generator set;
the weapon equipment power supply system comprises a task cycle: two stage tasks of a combat readiness duty stage and a combat stage, wherein the combat readiness duty stage requires at least k1The trolley power supply is in a normal patrol state; the requirement of at least k in the battle stage2The trolley is in a normal working state, and k1,k2≤n。
3. The method according to claim 1 or 2, wherein the S3 includes:
s31: acquiring performance parameters of each power supply vehicle;
s33: constructing a reliability model of the power supply vehicle according to the composition mode of the generator set of the power supply vehicle;
s35: according to task requirements of each stage, constructing a reliability model of the power supply system of the weapon equipment under a task section of each stage;
s37: and according to the requirements of the task profiles of all stages, constructing a reliability model of the power system of the weapon equipment under the task profile of the whole stage in a task period.
4. The method of claim 3, wherein the performance parameters comprise:
generating performance G of first unit and second unit1And G2The total power generation performance G of the power supply vehicle is G1+G2The total power demand W of the power supply vehicle,
the first unit has a1The power generation performance state is recorded as
Wherein i1＝1,2,...,a1The corresponding state probability is noted as
The second unit has a2The power generation performance states of different power generation levels are recorded as
The corresponding state probability is noted as
The power supply vehicle has b different power consumption demand states which are marked as wjWherein j is 1,2, and b, and the corresponding state probability is p (W is W)j)＝qj。
5. The method as claimed in claim 4, wherein each power supply vehicle is considered to be reliable when surplus power generation D-G-W is larger than or equal to 0 under different operation environments and task requirements, and the reliability model is Rd＝P(D≥0)。
6. The method of claim 3, wherein the readiness shift phase is a k-shift consisting of a power truck1A/n (G) system when there is at least k1The stage is reliable when the vehicle power supply vehicle works normally;
the combat phase is a k consisting of power supply vehicles2A/n (G) system when there is at least k2The stage is reliable when the vehicle power supply vehicle works normally;
the reliability models of the combat readiness duty stage and the combat stage can be calculated by the reliability model of the k/n (G) system and are respectively expressed as follows:
7. the method of claim 6, wherein a reliability model of the entire weaponry power system is established. The combat readiness duty stage and the combat stage are in a series structure, and the reliability model of the weapon power supply system under one mission section is as follows:
R＝Rzb×Rzz。
8. the method according to claim 3, wherein the S5 includes:
s51: calculating the power supply quantity of each multi-state generator set of the power supply vehicle and the total power supply quantity of the power supply vehicle;
the power supply state of the first unit is set as
Corresponding state probability set as
The power supply state of the second unit is set as
Corresponding state probability set as
The power supply amount of the first unit is:
the power supply amount of the second unit is as follows:
the total power supply quantity of each power supply vehicle is as follows:
wherein a represents a total a power supply performance states of the power supply vehicle, and when the power supply vehicle is in a certain performance state gjProbability of time being pj；
S53: calculating the required electric quantity of each power supply vehicle at a plurality of state levels
Acquiring the total electric energy demand state set of the power supply vehicle as { w1,w2,...,wbThe corresponding state probability set is { q }1,q2,...,qbAnd the total required electric quantity of the power supply vehicle is as follows:
s55: calculating the total surplus electric quantity of each power supply vehicle as
Wherein the content of the first and second substances,
in order to construct an operator, the surplus electric quantity of the power supply vehicle after polynomial operation has R state levels, wherein R is 1, 2. T when surplus electric quantity is in staterCorresponding probability of αr，
S57: and calculating the reliability of each power supply vehicle, the reliability of the power supply system of the weapon equipment under each stage of task profile and the reliability of the power supply system of the weapon equipment under the multi-stage task profile in the whole task period.
9. The method according to claim 8, wherein the reliability of the power supply vehicle is the sum of the probabilities that all the electric energy surplus states are greater than or equal to 0, namely the reliability of the power supply vehicle is
Wherein, I (t)r) For an illustrative function:
10. the method of claim 1,
according to the reliability of the power supply system of the weapon equipment in the combat readiness duty stage and the combat stage, the reliability of the power supply system of the weapon equipment in one task period is obtained
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