CN112598173B - Self-organizing learning modeling method for time sequence data of energy storage system under cloud platform - Google Patents

Self-organizing learning modeling method for time sequence data of energy storage system under cloud platform Download PDF

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CN112598173B
CN112598173B CN202011524755.3A CN202011524755A CN112598173B CN 112598173 B CN112598173 B CN 112598173B CN 202011524755 A CN202011524755 A CN 202011524755A CN 112598173 B CN112598173 B CN 112598173B
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cloud platform
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CN112598173A (en
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黄乐
江思伟
袁宏亮
林栋�
王珺
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Wotai Energy Co ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
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    • G06F30/00Computer-aided design [CAD]
    • G06F30/20Design optimisation, verification or simulation
    • G06F30/27Design optimisation, verification or simulation using machine learning, e.g. artificial intelligence, neural networks, support vector machines [SVM] or training a model
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06NCOMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N20/00Machine learning

Abstract

The invention provides a self-organizing learning modeling method of time sequence data of energy storage systems under a cloud platform, which is characterized in that operation data generated by each energy storage system is stored in the cloud platform and used as training data; preprocessing training data, removing abnormal data in the training data, normalizing the data, and outputting the data as time sequence data; judging whether a history learning model exists or not, and if so, directly predicting by using the learning model; if the history learning model does not exist, entering the next step; according to the length of time series data generated by different energy storage systems under the cloud platform, corresponding self-organizing learning modeling is carried out, and a model is obtained and used for load prediction and peak value prediction of the energy storage systems; the method can solve the problems of occupation of a large amount of resources and unreasonable allocation caused by time series data learning modeling of the energy storage equipment under the cloud platform.

Description

Self-organizing learning modeling method for time sequence data of energy storage system under cloud platform
Technical Field
The invention relates to a self-organizing learning modeling method of time sequence data of an energy storage system under a cloud platform.
Background
The time series data shows the state that one variable value or a plurality of variable values continuously change along with the change of another variable, wherein the time series data mainly changes along with the change of time, and has two forms for the data, namely, a unit time series refers to a state sequence of single variable values which change along with the change of time, and a multi-element time series refers to a state sequence of multi-variables which change along with the change of time. In general, time series data can be abstracted into the form of a binary group (t, d), wherein t represents a time variable, d represents a data variable, the variable reflects a variable value and an actual meaning of a data unit, and the variable can represent the operation condition of an energy storage system. The energy storage systems are connected with each other in a distributed mode, and operation data of each energy storage system are uploaded to the cloud platform.
Because of its low cost and openness, cloud platform technology is being widely used in various fields such as commerce, military, and academia, which makes the reliability of the overall resources of the cloud platform particularly important. The effective data learning method and strategy can efficiently use calculation and network resources, reduce unnecessary cost waste and provide a reliable environment with high availability for users.
The existing time series data learning modeling method under the cloud platform has the problems of no consideration of resource occupation and unreasonable allocation, and the existing technology aims at increasing the investment of the cloud platform or dynamically increasing the memory capacity of the cloud platform, thereby increasing the cost and being a great burden for enterprises with insufficient funds.
The above-mentioned problem is a problem that should be considered and solved in the design process of the self-organizing learning modeling method of time-series data of the energy storage system under the cloud platform.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to provide a self-organizing learning modeling method for time series data of an energy storage system under a cloud platform, which solves the problems of large resource occupation and unreasonable allocation caused by time series data learning modeling of energy storage equipment under the cloud platform in the prior art.
The technical scheme of the invention is as follows:
a self-organizing learning modeling method of time sequence data of an energy storage system under a cloud platform, which comprises the following steps,
s1, storing operation data generated by each energy storage system in a cloud platform to serve as training data;
s2, preprocessing training data, removing abnormal data in the training data, normalizing the data, and outputting the normalized data as time sequence data;
s3, judging whether a history learning model exists, and if so, directly predicting by using the learning model; if the history learning model does not exist, entering the next step;
and S4, performing corresponding self-organizing learning modeling according to the length of time sequence data generated by different energy storage systems under the cloud platform to obtain a model for load prediction and peak prediction of the energy storage systems.
Further, the self-organizing learning modeling method of the time sequence data of the energy storage system under the cloud platform is characterized by comprising the following steps of: in step S4, corresponding self-organizing learning modeling is performed, specifically,
s41, judging the length of the time series data, if the length of the time series data is smaller than a set value, performing online learning on the data, and directly using a model obtained by learning for load prediction and peak prediction of an energy storage system; if the length of the time series data is not less than the set value, entering the next step;
s42, if the length of the time series data is not smaller than a set value, performing offline learning on the time series data, querying the energy storage system under the cloud platform again, querying whether a history learning model exists, and if the history learning model does not exist, storing the learned model parameters, and using the model parameters for load prediction and peak prediction; when the same energy storage system performs more than two times of prediction, the previous model parameters are directly used for prediction, the time series data of the energy storage system are periodically learned to obtain a corresponding model, the corresponding model is updated and reserved, and the learned model is used for load prediction and peak value prediction of the energy storage system.
The beneficial effects of the invention are as follows: according to the self-organizing learning modeling method for the time series data of the energy storage system under the cloud platform, the corresponding self-organizing learning modeling is selected according to the sizes of the time series data generated by different energy storage systems under the cloud platform, so that the problems that a large amount of resources are occupied and the distribution is unreasonable during the time series data learning modeling of the energy storage device under the cloud platform can be solved.
Drawings
Fig. 1 is a frame diagram of an energy storage system based on a cloud platform in an embodiment.
Fig. 2 is a flow chart of a self-organizing learning modeling method of time series data of an energy storage system under a cloud platform according to an embodiment of the invention.
Detailed Description
Preferred embodiments of the present invention will be described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings.
Examples
A self-organizing learning modeling method of time sequence data of an energy storage system under a cloud platform, which comprises the following steps,
s1, storing operation data generated by each energy storage system in a cloud platform to serve as training data;
s2, preprocessing training data, removing abnormal data in the training data, normalizing the data, and outputting the normalized data as time sequence data;
s3, judging whether a history learning model exists, and if so, directly predicting by using the learning model; if the history learning model does not exist, entering the next step;
and S4, performing corresponding self-organizing learning modeling according to the length of time sequence data generated by different energy storage systems under the cloud platform to obtain a model for load prediction and peak prediction of the energy storage systems.
S41, judging the length of the time series data, if the length of the time series data is smaller than a set value, performing online learning on the data, and directly using a model obtained by learning for load prediction and peak prediction of an energy storage system; if the length of the time series data is not less than the set value, entering the next step; in one embodiment, the set point is preferably 1 month.
S42, if the length of the time series data is not smaller than a set value, performing offline learning on the time series data, querying the energy storage system under the cloud platform again, querying whether a history learning model exists, and if the history learning model does not exist, storing the learned model parameters, and using the model parameters for load prediction and peak prediction; when the same energy storage system performs more than two times of prediction, the previous model parameters are directly used for prediction, the time series data of the energy storage system are periodically learned to obtain a corresponding model, the corresponding model is updated and reserved, and the learned model is used for load prediction and peak value prediction of the energy storage system.
According to the self-organizing learning modeling method of the time series data of the energy storage system under the cloud platform, different self-organizing learning modeling methods can be selected according to the sizes of the time series data generated by different energy storage systems under the cloud platform, if the time series data generated by the energy storage system is larger and the time scale span is longer, model parameters are obtained through off-line learning, the model parameters are stored in the cloud platform, when the load of the energy storage system is predicted, the model parameters are directly used, the data are periodically re-learned off-line, and the model parameters are updated; if the time series data generated by the energy storage system is smaller, the time series data is studied online when the scale is shorter, so that the problems that a large amount of resources are occupied and the distribution is unreasonable in the time series data study modeling of the energy storage equipment under the cloud platform are solved, and the system model parameters after the study are reasonably utilized to conduct load prediction, peak value prediction and the like on the energy storage system.
According to the self-organizing learning modeling method for the time series data of the energy storage system under the cloud platform, the corresponding self-organizing learning modeling is selected according to the sizes of the time series data generated by different energy storage systems under the cloud platform, so that the problems that a large amount of resources are occupied and the distribution is unreasonable during the time series data learning modeling of the energy storage device under the cloud platform can be solved. The self-organizing learning modeling method of the time sequence data of the energy storage system under the cloud platform can solve the problems that the running data of the energy storage system is continuously increased along with the increase of the time scale under the cloud platform, the running data is used as the time sequence data, the resources occupied by online learning are large, and the energy storage system is connected through distributed construction, and if multiple users carry out load prediction on the energy storage system, the resource blockage and uneven distribution are easy to cause.

Claims (1)

1. A self-organizing learning modeling method of time sequence data of an energy storage system under a cloud platform is characterized by comprising the following steps of: comprises the steps of,
s1, storing operation data generated by each energy storage system in a cloud platform to serve as training data;
s2, preprocessing training data, removing abnormal data in the training data, normalizing the data, and outputting the normalized data as time sequence data;
s3, judging whether a history learning model exists, and if so, directly predicting by using the learning model; if the history learning model does not exist, entering the next step;
s4, performing corresponding self-organizing learning modeling according to the length of time sequence data generated by different energy storage systems under the cloud platform to obtain a model for load prediction and peak prediction of the energy storage systems; the corresponding self-organizing learning modeling is carried out, specifically: s41, judging the length of the time series data, if the length of the time series data is smaller than a set value, performing online learning on the data, and directly using a model obtained by learning for load prediction and peak prediction of an energy storage system; if the length of the time series data is not less than the set value, entering the next step; s42, if the length of the time series data is not smaller than a set value, performing offline learning on the time series data, querying the energy storage system under the cloud platform again, querying whether a history learning model exists, and if the history learning model does not exist, storing the learned model parameters, and using the model parameters for load prediction and peak prediction; when the same energy storage system performs more than two times of prediction, the previous model parameters are directly used for prediction, the time series data of the energy storage system are periodically learned to obtain a corresponding model, the corresponding model is updated and reserved, and the learned model is used for load prediction and peak value prediction of the energy storage system.
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Citations (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN110225075A (en) * 2019-03-25 2019-09-10 北京快电科技有限公司 A kind of building energy internet wisdom operation cloud operating system
CN111415027A (en) * 2019-01-08 2020-07-14 顺丰科技有限公司 Method and device for constructing component prediction model

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US20200151014A1 (en) * 2018-11-09 2020-05-14 Solecular, Inc. Methods and systems for forecasting upcoming resource requirement

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* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN111415027A (en) * 2019-01-08 2020-07-14 顺丰科技有限公司 Method and device for constructing component prediction model
CN110225075A (en) * 2019-03-25 2019-09-10 北京快电科技有限公司 A kind of building energy internet wisdom operation cloud operating system

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