CN111880099A - Method and system for predicting service life of battery monomer in energy storage power station - Google Patents

Method and system for predicting service life of battery monomer in energy storage power station Download PDF

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CN111880099A
CN111880099A CN202010621694.6A CN202010621694A CN111880099A CN 111880099 A CN111880099 A CN 111880099A CN 202010621694 A CN202010621694 A CN 202010621694A CN 111880099 A CN111880099 A CN 111880099A
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CN111880099B (en
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林达
唐雅洁
张杨
赵波
张雪松
章雷其
李志浩
赵显赫
耿光超
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Zhejiang University ZJU
Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co Ltd
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Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co Ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G01MEASURING; TESTING
    • G01RMEASURING ELECTRIC VARIABLES; MEASURING MAGNETIC VARIABLES
    • G01R31/00Arrangements for testing electric properties; Arrangements for locating electric faults; Arrangements for electrical testing characterised by what is being tested not provided for elsewhere
    • G01R31/36Arrangements for testing, measuring or monitoring the electrical condition of accumulators or electric batteries, e.g. capacity or state of charge [SoC]
    • G01R31/367Software therefor, e.g. for battery testing using modelling or look-up tables
    • GPHYSICS
    • G01MEASURING; TESTING
    • G01RMEASURING ELECTRIC VARIABLES; MEASURING MAGNETIC VARIABLES
    • G01R31/00Arrangements for testing electric properties; Arrangements for locating electric faults; Arrangements for electrical testing characterised by what is being tested not provided for elsewhere
    • G01R31/36Arrangements for testing, measuring or monitoring the electrical condition of accumulators or electric batteries, e.g. capacity or state of charge [SoC]
    • G01R31/392Determining battery ageing or deterioration, e.g. state of health
    • GPHYSICS
    • G01MEASURING; TESTING
    • G01RMEASURING ELECTRIC VARIABLES; MEASURING MAGNETIC VARIABLES
    • G01R31/00Arrangements for testing electric properties; Arrangements for locating electric faults; Arrangements for electrical testing characterised by what is being tested not provided for elsewhere
    • G01R31/36Arrangements for testing, measuring or monitoring the electrical condition of accumulators or electric batteries, e.g. capacity or state of charge [SoC]
    • G01R31/396Acquisition or processing of data for testing or for monitoring individual cells or groups of cells within a battery
    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
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    • Y02EREDUCTION OF GREENHOUSE GAS [GHG] EMISSIONS, RELATED TO ENERGY GENERATION, TRANSMISSION OR DISTRIBUTION
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    • Y02E60/10Energy storage using batteries

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Abstract

本发明公开了一种储能电站站内电池单体循环寿命预测方法及系统。本发明预测方法采用的技术方案为:采集多个电池容量循环退化的历史测试数据,提取反映电池退化信息的初步特征,通过弹性网络对初步特征进行筛选,提取对电池循环寿命预测结果影响的敏感程度高的二次特征作为最终训练特征,以防止训练的过拟合,接着利用筛选出的二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,最终求出神经网络模型的最优权值矩阵,并利用训练完毕的神经网络模型对电池未来寿命进行预测。本发明可以无视电池的具体类型,直接利用其运行数据进行预测,而不用考虑电池内部的具体结构和构造,与电池模型预测方法相比,具有更好的普适性和简洁性。

Figure 202010621694

The invention discloses a method and a system for predicting the cycle life of a battery cell in an energy storage power station. The technical scheme adopted in the prediction method of the present invention is as follows: collecting a plurality of historical test data of battery capacity cycle degradation, extracting preliminary features reflecting battery degradation information, screening the preliminary features through an elastic network, and extracting the sensitivity to the impact of battery cycle life prediction results. The secondary features with a high degree are used as the final training features to prevent overfitting of training, and then the neural network model is trained by using the selected secondary features, and finally the optimal weight matrix of the neural network model is obtained, and the training is used to train the neural network model. The completed neural network model predicts the future battery life. The invention can ignore the specific type of the battery and directly use its operation data for prediction without considering the specific structure and structure inside the battery. Compared with the battery model prediction method, the invention has better universality and simplicity.

Figure 202010621694

Description

一种储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测方法及系统A method and system for predicting the life of battery cells in an energy storage power station

技术领域technical field

本发明属于电池状态评估领域,具体涉及一种基于数据驱动的储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测方法及系统。The invention belongs to the field of battery state evaluation, and in particular relates to a data-driven battery cell life prediction method and system in an energy storage power station station.

背景技术Background technique

目前,电化学储能电站以其快速充放、控制灵活的特点,已经广泛应用于电力系统之中,在辅助新能源并网、参与电网调峰、负荷需求侧响应等各个场景中发挥着不可或缺的重要作用。然而,随着电化学储能电站站内电池单体的循环使用与频繁充放,其可用性会遭到不同程度的破坏,电池的寿命会随着不断地使用而衰减,使用过度老化的电池不仅会降低用电设备的使用效率,还会对用储能电站本身的寿命造成巨大的损害。因此,如何利用电池的历史运行情况,对电池的健康状态进行合理有效的评估,准确地预测电池的未来使用寿命,对电池服务对象的高效使用、及时检修与电源更替都有着不可或缺的重要作用。At present, electrochemical energy storage power stations have been widely used in power systems due to their fast charging and discharging and flexible control. or lack of important role. However, with the cyclic use and frequent charging and discharging of the battery cells in the electrochemical energy storage power station, their availability will be damaged to varying degrees, and the battery life will be attenuated with continuous use. Reducing the use efficiency of electrical equipment will also cause huge damage to the life of the energy storage power station itself. Therefore, how to use the historical operation of the battery to reasonably and effectively evaluate the health status of the battery and accurately predict the future service life of the battery is indispensable for the efficient use, timely maintenance and power replacement of the battery service objects. effect.

现有的主流电池寿命预测方法大多基于电池模型来对其寿命进行预测,具有不精确、不准确的缺陷,另外,电池模型的建立需要深入理解电池内部的机理及其电化学反应过程,具有一定的复杂性,而不同类型的电池具有不同的模型,因而不具备普适性。Most of the existing mainstream battery life prediction methods are based on battery models to predict their lifespans, which have inaccurate and inaccurate defects. In addition, the establishment of battery models requires a deep understanding of the internal mechanism of the battery and its electrochemical reaction process, which has certain limitations. The complexity of the battery, and different types of batteries have different models, so they are not universal.

随着大数据和人工智能技术的发展,利用电池海量历史运行和量测数据来预测电池使用寿命已经成为可能。With the development of big data and artificial intelligence technology, it has become possible to predict battery life using massive historical battery operation and measurement data.

发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

本发明的目的是提供一种基于数据驱动的储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测方法及系统,其利用电池历史循环充放电数据来预测电化学储能电站站内电池单体在未来的使用中,其寿命随着循环充放电次数的增加的变化情况。The purpose of the present invention is to provide a data-driven method and system for predicting the life of a battery cell in an energy storage power station, which utilizes historical battery cycle charge and discharge data to predict the future use of a battery cell in an electrochemical energy storage power station. The change of its life with the increase of the number of cycles of charge and discharge.

为实现上述发明目的,本发明解决其技术问题所采用的技术方案是:一种储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测方法,其采集多个电池容量循环退化的历史测试数据,提取反映电池退化信息的初步特征,通过弹性网络对初步特征进行筛选,提取对电池剩余使用寿命预测结果影响程度高的二次特征作为最终训练特征,以防止训练的过拟合,接着利用筛选出的二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,最终求出神经网络模型的最优权值矩阵,并利用训练完毕的神经网络模型对电池未来寿命进行预测。In order to achieve the above purpose of the invention, the technical solution adopted by the present invention to solve the technical problem is: a battery cell life prediction method in an energy storage power station, which collects a plurality of historical test data of cyclic degradation of battery capacity, and extracts information reflecting battery degradation. The initial features are screened through the elastic network, and the secondary features that have a high degree of influence on the prediction results of the remaining battery life are extracted as the final training features to prevent over-fitting of training, and then use the filtered secondary features to The neural network model is trained, and the optimal weight matrix of the neural network model is finally obtained, and the trained neural network model is used to predict the future life of the battery.

本发明首次考虑将电池运行时量测的一次特征进行筛选,提取出对预测结果影响程度高的特征作为二次特征,从而有效避免了数据的维数灾以及训练的过拟合,并利用二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,该方法可以无视电池的具体类型,直接利用其运行数据进行预测,而不用考虑电池内部的具体结构和构造,与电池模型预测方法相比,具有更好的普适性和简洁性。For the first time, the present invention considers the screening of primary features measured during battery operation, and extracts features with a high degree of influence on the prediction results as secondary features, thereby effectively avoiding the dimensionality disaster of data and over-fitting of training, and utilizes the second feature. This method can ignore the specific type of the battery and directly use its operating data to make predictions without considering the specific structure and structure inside the battery. Compared with the battery model prediction method, it has better generality. Suitability and simplicity.

进一步地,储能电站站内电池寿命是指:从测试时起,在电池健康状态达到电池最低允许容量与电池出厂最大容量的比值前,电池可进行的最大循环充放电次数,所述的比值在工业中一般取值为80%;Further, the battery life in the energy storage power station refers to: from the time of the test, before the battery health state reaches the ratio of the minimum allowable capacity of the battery to the maximum capacity of the battery at the factory, the maximum number of cycles of charging and discharging the battery can perform, and the ratio is in In the industry, the general value is 80%;

所述的提取用于输入弹性网络的初步特征,其具体为:通过电池单体在前n个周期循环充/放电过程中的测试数据,初步提取20个特征作为用于输入弹性网络进行迭代的初始特征;The extraction is used to input the preliminary features of the elastic network, which is specifically: through the test data of the battery cell during the charging/discharging process of the first n cycles, preliminary extraction of 20 features is used as the input for the elastic network to iterate. initial features;

所述的通过弹性网络对初步特征进行筛选,其具体为:在代价函数J(β)中引入正则项Pa(β),求解使代价函数最小时的正则化线性回归模型的系数,其中a为弹性网络的系数,β为正则化线性回归系数向量;The screening of the preliminary features through the elastic network is specifically: introducing a regular term P a (β) into the cost function J (β), and solving the coefficient of the regularized linear regression model that minimizes the cost function, where a is the coefficient of the elastic network, and β is the regularized linear regression coefficient vector;

所述的提取对电池循环寿命预测结果影响的敏感程度高的二次特征作为最终训练特征,其具体为:筛选已求得的回归系数向量β中不为0的系数所对应的二次特征X,用于神经网络模型的训练;The quadratic feature with high sensitivity to the impact of the battery cycle life prediction result is extracted as the final training feature, which is specifically: screening the quadratic feature X corresponding to the coefficient that is not 0 in the obtained regression coefficient vector β , used for training the neural network model;

所述的利用筛选出的二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,其具体为:将电池前n个周期的二次特征X作为模型的输入,寿命Y作为模型的输出,采用贝叶斯迭代的方法,利用(X,Y)求解神经网络模型的最优权值矩阵W;The training of the neural network model by using the selected secondary features is specifically as follows: the secondary feature X of the first n cycles of the battery is used as the input of the model, the life span Y is used as the output of the model, and the Bayesian iterative method is adopted. method, using (X, Y) to solve the optimal weight matrix W of the neural network model;

所述的利用训练完毕的神经网络模型对电池未来寿命进行预测,其具体为:以提取用于训练神经网络模型的电池二次特征X的相同方式从待预测寿命电池的前n个周期循环充/放电过程数据中提取二次特征Xp,即先从待预测寿命电池的前n个周期循环充/放电过程数据中提取20个初始特征,再通过同一弹性网络筛选出二次特征Xp,作为神经网络模型输入,神经网络模型将输出该电池未来寿命预测结果。The described use of the trained neural network model to predict the future life of the battery is specifically: in the same way of extracting the secondary feature X of the battery used for training the neural network model, the battery is charged from the first n cycles of the battery to be predicted. Extract secondary features X p from the data of the discharge process, that is, first extract 20 initial features from the data of the first n cycles of cyclic charge/discharge process data of the battery to be predicted, and then filter out the secondary features X p through the same elastic network, As the input of the neural network model, the neural network model will output the prediction result of the future life of the battery.

更进一步地,所述的电池允许的最低放电容量与电池的初始最大放电容量的比值表达式为:Further, the expression of the ratio of the minimum allowable discharge capacity of the battery to the initial maximum discharge capacity of the battery is:

Figure BDA0002563240600000031
Figure BDA0002563240600000031

其中,Qi,min为电池允许的最低放电容量,Qi,0为电池的初始最大放电容量,i为电池序号。Among them, Qi ,min is the minimum discharge capacity allowed by the battery, Qi ,0 is the initial maximum discharge capacity of the battery, and i is the battery serial number.

更进一步地,所述的初步特征为:Further, the preliminary features described are:

特征1,电池的初始最大放电容量Qi,0Feature 1, the initial maximum discharge capacity Q i,0 of the battery;

特征2,电池的第n次循环的最大放电容量Qi,nFeature 2, the maximum discharge capacity Q i,n of the nth cycle of the battery;

特征3,电池第n次循环的最大放电容量与初始最大放电容量之差Qi,n-Qi,0Feature 3, the difference Q i,n -Q i,0 between the maximum discharge capacity of the battery in the nth cycle and the initial maximum discharge capacity;

特征4,电池在第一个周期充放电后的电池最大容量变化Qi,1-Qi,0Feature 4, the maximum capacity change Q i,1 -Q i,0 of the battery after the battery is charged and discharged in the first cycle;

特征5,电池的前n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的一次项系数;Feature 5, the first-order coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first n cycles of the battery;

特征6,电池的前n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的常数项系数;Feature 6, the constant term coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first n cycles of the battery;

特征7,电池的前90次到第n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的一次项系数;Feature 7, the first-order coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first 90 to the nth cycle of the battery;

特征8,电池的前90次到第n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的常数项系数;Feature 8, the constant term coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first 90 to the nth cycle of the battery;

特征9,电池的前n次循环过程中的温度最小值TiminFeature 9, the minimum temperature T imin during the first n cycles of the battery;

特征10,电池的前n次循环过程中的温度最大值TimaxFeature 10, the maximum temperature T imax during the first n cycles of the battery;

特征11,电池的前n次循环过程中温度×时间的平均值:

Figure BDA0002563240600000041
其中,ti为第i次循环所耗时间,Ti为第i次循环过程中的温度;Feature 11, the average value of temperature × time during the first n cycles of the battery:
Figure BDA0002563240600000041
Wherein, t i is the time spent in the i-th cycle, and T i is the temperature during the i-th cycle;

特征12,电池前n次循环过程中放电的平均时间

Figure BDA0002563240600000042
Feature 12, the average time to discharge the battery during the first n cycles
Figure BDA0002563240600000042

特征13,电池的前n次循环过程中的总时间

Figure BDA0002563240600000043
Feature 13, the total time during the first n cycles of the battery
Figure BDA0002563240600000043

特征14,电池在不同电压下容量变化的最小值;Feature 14, the minimum value of the capacity change of the battery under different voltages;

特征15,电池在不同电压下容量变化的平均值;Feature 15, the average value of the capacity change of the battery under different voltages;

特征16,电池在不同电压下容量变化的散度值;Feature 16, the divergence value of the capacity change of the battery under different voltages;

特征17,电池在不同电压下容量变化的峰态系数值;Feature 17, the kurtosis coefficient value of the capacity change of the battery under different voltages;

特征18,电池初始的内阻值

Figure BDA0002563240600000044
Feature 18, the initial internal resistance value of the battery
Figure BDA0002563240600000044

特征19,电池的第n次循环的内阻值

Figure BDA0002563240600000045
Feature 19, the internal resistance value of the nth cycle of the battery
Figure BDA0002563240600000045

特征20,电池的前n次循环中内阻最大值与最小值的差。Feature 20, the difference between the maximum value and the minimum value of the internal resistance in the first n cycles of the battery.

更进一步地,所述的代价函数J(β)以及正则项Pα(β)的表达式为:Further, the expressions of the cost function J(β) and the regular term P α (β) are:

Figure BDA0002563240600000051
Figure BDA0002563240600000051

Figure BDA0002563240600000052
Figure BDA0002563240600000052

其中,yi为第i次循环中用于训练的电池集合的寿命,xi T为第i次循环中初步提取的特征,β0为回归系数向量的初值,β为待求解的回归系数向量,λ为正则项系数,α为弹性网络的系数,β1、β2分别为β的1-范数和2-范数;利用上述表达式,设置合理的λ与α,求出使J(β)最小的回归系数向量β。Among them, y i is the life of the battery set used for training in the i-th cycle, x i T is the feature initially extracted in the i-th cycle, β 0 is the initial value of the regression coefficient vector, and β is the regression coefficient to be solved. vector, λ is the regular term coefficient, α is the coefficient of the elastic network, β 1 , β 2 are the 1-norm and 2-norm of β, respectively; using the above expression, set reasonable λ and α, to find the J (β) The smallest regression coefficient vector β.

更进一步地,所述的神经网络模型简化表述为:Further, the neural network model is simplified as:

W=g(X,Y),W=g(X,Y),

其中,g代表BP神经网络模型的训练过程,模型采用贝叶斯方法迭代求解。Among them, g represents the training process of the BP neural network model, and the model is iteratively solved by the Bayesian method.

本发明采用的另一种技术方案为:一种储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测系统,其包括:Another technical solution adopted by the present invention is: a battery cell life prediction system in an energy storage power station, which includes:

历史测试数据采集单元:采集多个电池容量循环退化的历史测试数据;Historical test data collection unit: collects historical test data of cyclic degradation of battery capacity;

初步特征提取单元:提取反映电池退化信息的初步特征;Preliminary feature extraction unit: extracts preliminary features reflecting battery degradation information;

二次特征提取单元:通过弹性网络对初步特征进行筛选,提取对电池剩余使用寿命预测结果影响程度高的二次特征作为最终训练特征;Secondary feature extraction unit: Screen the preliminary features through the elastic network, and extract the secondary features that have a high degree of influence on the prediction results of the remaining battery life as the final training features;

神经网络模型训练单元:接着利用筛选出的二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,最终求出神经网络模型的最优权值矩阵;Neural network model training unit: then use the selected secondary features to train the neural network model, and finally obtain the optimal weight matrix of the neural network model;

电池未来寿命预测单元:利用训练完毕的神经网络模型对电池未来寿命进行预测。Future battery life prediction unit: Use the trained neural network model to predict the future battery life.

本发明具有的有益效果是:首次考虑将电池运行时量测的一次特征进行筛选,提取出对电池循环寿命预测结果影响的敏感程度高的特征作为二次特征,从而有效避免了数据的维数灾以及训练的过拟合,并利用二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,利用训练完毕的神经网络模型对电池未来寿命进行预测。本发明可以无视电池的具体类型,直接利用其运行数据进行预测,而不用考虑电池内部的具体结构和构造,与电池模型预测方法相比,具有更好的普适性和简洁性。The present invention has the beneficial effects of screening the primary features measured during battery operation for the first time, and extracting features with high sensitivity to the battery cycle life prediction result as secondary features, thereby effectively avoiding the dimensionality of the data Disaster and overfitting of training, and use the secondary feature to train the neural network model, and use the trained neural network model to predict the future life of the battery. The invention can ignore the specific type of the battery and directly use its operation data for prediction without considering the specific structure and structure inside the battery. Compared with the battery model prediction method, the invention has better universality and simplicity.

附图说明Description of drawings

图1是本发明储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测方法的流程图;Fig. 1 is the flow chart of the battery cell life prediction method in the energy storage power station of the present invention;

图2为本发明应用例中磷酸铁锂电池寿命预测结果与真实寿命对比图(图2a为利用训练样本预测的寿命与真实寿命的对比图,图2b为利用测试样本预测的寿命与真实寿命的对比图,图2c为利用全部样本预测的寿命与真实寿命的对比图);Fig. 2 is the comparison chart of the life expectancy result of lithium iron phosphate battery and the real life life in the application example of the present invention (Fig. 2a is the contrast chart of the life expectancy and the real life expectancy using the training sample prediction, Fig. 2b is the life expectancy using the test sample prediction and the real life span Comparison chart, Figure 2c is a comparison chart between the predicted lifespan and the real lifespan using all samples);

图3为本发明应用例中磷酸铁锂电池寿命预测误差分布情况图;FIG. 3 is a graph showing the distribution of life prediction errors of lithium iron phosphate batteries in an application example of the present invention;

图4是本发明储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测系统的结构框图。FIG. 4 is a structural block diagram of a battery cell life prediction system in an energy storage power station according to the present invention.

具体实施方式Detailed ways

下面结合附图和实施例对本发明做进一步阐述和说明。本发明中各个实施例的技术特征在没有相互冲突的前提下,均可进行相应组合。The present invention will be further elaborated and described below with reference to the accompanying drawings and embodiments. The technical features of the various embodiments of the present invention can be combined correspondingly on the premise that there is no conflict with each other.

实施例1Example 1

本实施例提供一种基于数据驱动的储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测方法,其内容为:采集多个电池容量循环退化的历史测试数据,提取反映电池退化信息的初步特征,通过弹性网络对初步特征进行筛选,提取对电池循环寿命预测结果影响的敏感程度高的二次特征作为最终训练特征,以防止训练的过拟合,接着利用筛选出的二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,最终求出神经网络模型的最优权值矩阵,并利用训练完毕的神经网络模型对电池未来寿命进行预测。This embodiment provides a data-driven method for predicting the life of a battery cell in an energy storage power station. Preliminary features are screened, and secondary features that are highly sensitive to the impact of battery cycle life prediction results are extracted as final training features to prevent overfitting of training, and then the selected secondary features are used to train the neural network model, and finally The optimal weight matrix of the neural network model is obtained, and the trained neural network model is used to predict the future life of the battery.

上述预测方法的具体步骤如下:The specific steps of the above prediction method are as follows:

首先,规定电池允许的最低放电容量与电池的初始最大放电容量的比值表达式为:First, the ratio of the minimum discharge capacity allowed by the battery to the initial maximum discharge capacity of the battery is specified as:

Figure BDA0002563240600000071
Figure BDA0002563240600000071

其中,Qi,min为电池允许的最低放电容量,Qi,0为电池的初始最大放电容量,i为电池序号。电池的寿命即为从测试时起,电池的健康状态达到SOHi,min时的循环充放电次数。Among them, Qi ,min is the minimum discharge capacity allowed by the battery, Qi ,0 is the initial maximum discharge capacity of the battery, and i is the battery serial number. The life of the battery is the number of cycles of charge and discharge when the battery's health status reaches SOH i,min from the time of the test.

通过电池单体在前n个周期循环充/放电过程中的测试数据,初步提取20个特征作为用于输入弹性网络进行迭代的初始特征,初步特征具体为:According to the test data of the battery cell during the charging/discharging process of the first n cycles, 20 features are initially extracted as the initial features for inputting the elastic network for iteration. The initial features are as follows:

特征1,电池的初始最大放电容量

Figure BDA0002563240600000072
其中i为电池序号;Feature 1, the initial maximum discharge capacity of the battery
Figure BDA0002563240600000072
where i is the battery serial number;

特征2,电池的第n次循环的最大放电容量

Figure BDA0002563240600000073
Feature 2, the maximum discharge capacity of the nth cycle of the battery
Figure BDA0002563240600000073

特征3,电池第n次循环的最大放电容量与初始最大放电容之差

Figure BDA0002563240600000074
Feature 3, the difference between the maximum discharge capacity of the nth cycle of the battery and the initial maximum discharge capacity
Figure BDA0002563240600000074

特征4,电池在第一个周期充放电后的电池最大容量变化;Feature 4, the maximum capacity change of the battery after the battery is charged and discharged in the first cycle;

特征5,电池的前n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的一次项系数;Feature 5, the first-order coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first n cycles of the battery;

特征6,电池的前n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的常数项系数;Feature 6, the constant term coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first n cycles of the battery;

特征7,电池的前90次到第n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的一次项系数;Feature 7, the first-order coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first 90 to the nth cycle of the battery;

特征8,电池的前90次到第n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的常数项系数;Feature 8, the constant term coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first 90 to the nth cycle of the battery;

特征9,电池的前n次循环过程中的温度最小值TiminFeature 9, the minimum temperature T imin during the first n cycles of the battery;

特征10,电池的前n次循环过程中的温度最大值TimaxFeature 10, the maximum temperature T imax during the first n cycles of the battery;

特征11,电池的前n次循环过程中温度×时间的平均值

Figure BDA0002563240600000081
其中,ti为第i次循环所耗时间;Feature 11, the average value of temperature × time during the first n cycles of the battery
Figure BDA0002563240600000081
Among them, t i is the time consumed by the i-th cycle;

特征12,电池前n次循环过程中放电的平均时间

Figure BDA0002563240600000082
Feature 12, the average time to discharge the battery during the first n cycles
Figure BDA0002563240600000082

特征13:电池的前n次循环过程中的总时间

Figure BDA0002563240600000083
Feature 13: Total time during the first n cycles of the battery
Figure BDA0002563240600000083

特征14:电池在不同电压下容量变化的最小值;Feature 14: The minimum value of the capacity change of the battery under different voltages;

特征15:电池在不同电压下容量变化的平均值;Feature 15: The average value of battery capacity changes under different voltages;

特征16:电池在不同电压下容量变化的散度值;Feature 16: Divergence value of battery capacity change under different voltages;

特征17:电池在不同电压下容量变化的峰态系数值;Feature 17: The kurtosis coefficient value of the battery capacity change under different voltages;

特征18:电池初始的内阻值

Figure BDA0002563240600000084
Feature 18: The initial internal resistance value of the battery
Figure BDA0002563240600000084

特征19:电池的第n次循环的内阻值

Figure BDA0002563240600000085
Feature 19: Internal resistance value of the nth cycle of the battery
Figure BDA0002563240600000085

特征20:电池的前n次循环中内阻最大值与最小值的差。Feature 20: The difference between the maximum value and the minimum value of the internal resistance in the first n cycles of the battery.

接下来,根据上述特征,构造代价函数J(β):Next, according to the above features, construct the cost function J(β):

Figure BDA0002563240600000086
Figure BDA0002563240600000086

其中,yi为第i次循环中用于训练的电池集合的寿命,xi T为第i次循环中初步提取的特征,β0为回归系数的初值,β为待求解的回归系数,λ为正则项系数,Pα(β)为正则项,其表达式为:Among them, y i is the life of the battery set used for training in the ith cycle, x i T is the feature initially extracted in the ith cycle, β 0 is the initial value of the regression coefficient, β is the regression coefficient to be solved, λ is the regular term coefficient, P α (β) is the regular term, and its expression is:

Figure BDA0002563240600000087
Figure BDA0002563240600000087

其中,α为弹性网络的系数,β1、β2分别为β的1-范数和2-范数。利用上述表达式,选取合理的λ与α,求解使J(β)最小的β。Among them, α is the coefficient of the elastic network, and β 1 and β 2 are the 1-norm and 2-norm of β, respectively. Using the above expressions, select reasonable λ and α, and solve the β that minimizes J(β).

接着,筛选已求得的回归系数向量β中不为0的系数所对应的特征,作为用于模型训练的二次特征X。利用筛选出的二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,将电池前n个周期的二次特征X作为模型的输入,寿命Y作为模型的输出,采用贝叶斯迭代的方法,利用(X,Y)求解神经网络模型的最优权值矩阵W;Next, the features corresponding to the coefficients that are not 0 in the obtained regression coefficient vector β are selected as the secondary features X used for model training. Use the selected secondary features to train the neural network model, take the secondary features X of the first n cycles of the battery as the input of the model, and the life Y as the output of the model, using the Bayesian iteration method, using (X, Y ) to solve the optimal weight matrix W of the neural network model;

W=g(X,Y)。W=g(X,Y).

最后,利用训练完成的神经网络模型对同类的储能电站站内电池单体的寿命进行预测。以提取用于训练神经网络模型的电池二次特征X的相同方式从待预测寿命电池单体的前n个周期循环充/放电过程数据中提取二次特征Xp,即先从待预测寿命电池的前n个周期循环充/放电过程数据中提取20个初始特征,再通过同一弹性网络筛选出二次特征Xp,作为神经网络模型的输入,神经网络模型将输出该电池未来寿命预测结果。Finally, the trained neural network model is used to predict the lifespan of battery cells in the same type of energy storage power station. Extract the secondary feature Xp from the first n cycle charge/discharge process data of the battery cell to be predicted in the same way as the secondary feature X of the battery used for training the neural network model, that is, firstly from the battery to be predicted life 20 initial features are extracted from the first n cycles of cyclic charge/discharge process data, and then the secondary features X p are screened out through the same elastic network as the input of the neural network model, which will output the battery's future life prediction results.

应用例Application example

下面本发明以斯坦福大学的电池循环寿命测试公有数据集为例,具体阐述本发明的方法。The method of the present invention is specifically described below by taking the public data set of battery cycle life test of Stanford University as an example.

该测试集包括124个磷酸铁锂电池单体循环寿命测试数据。该数据集使用额定电压3.3V,容量1.1Ah的磷酸锂铁电池单体在不同电流下进行循环寿命测试,电池的寿命从150到2300循环充放电周期不等,数据包含了各电池单体在循环充/放电过程中电压、电流、容量、温度、时间、内阻等数据。The test set includes 124 lithium iron phosphate battery cell cycle life test data. The data set uses lithium iron phosphate battery cells with a rated voltage of 3.3V and a capacity of 1.1Ah to conduct cycle life tests at different currents. The battery life ranges from 150 to 2300 cycles of charge and discharge cycles. Data such as voltage, current, capacity, temperature, time, internal resistance, etc. during cyclic charge/discharge.

令λ=0.00369,α=0.9,通过弹性网络迭代,从20个特征值中筛选出了10个对结果影响较大的主要特征值,分别为特征1、3、4、5、10、11、13、15、19、20,其中特征15的对电池寿命测影响程度最高,选取上述特征作为本实验的二次特征。Let λ=0.00369, α=0.9, through elastic network iteration, 10 main eigenvalues that have a great influence on the result are screened out from 20 eigenvalues, which are features 1, 3, 4, 5, 10, 11, 13, 15, 19, 20, among which feature 15 has the highest influence on battery life measurement, and the above features are selected as the secondary features of this experiment.

获取上述二次特征后,利用磷酸铁锂电池训练数据集对神经网络模型进行训练,在模型训练完毕后,分别将用于训练和用于测试的磷酸铁锂电池的历史数据集的二次特征作为输入,预测124个电池的寿命,并和真实寿命进行对比,预测如图2所示。对用于训练的电池单体进行寿命预测,训练样本的拟合度R=0.99224(见图2a),测试样本的的拟合度R=0.96536>0.95(见图2b),具有较高的准确性,全部样本的拟合度R=0.98995(见图2c)。After obtaining the above secondary features, the neural network model is trained using the lithium iron phosphate battery training data set. After the model training is completed, the secondary features of the historical data sets of the lithium iron phosphate battery used for training and testing are respectively used. As input, the lifetimes of 124 batteries are predicted and compared with the real lifetimes. The predictions are shown in Figure 2. For the life prediction of the battery cells used for training, the fitting degree of the training sample is R=0.99224 (see Figure 2a), and the fitting degree of the test sample is R=0.96536>0.95 (see Figure 2b), with high accuracy The fitting degree of all samples is R=0.98995 (see Figure 2c).

样本预测误差如图所示,从图3中可以看出,训练样本的预测误差大部分集中在[-60,60]的区间内,最大预测不差不超过127,测试样本的误差大部分集中在[-14,64]的区间内,最大误差不超过115。The sample prediction error is shown in the figure. It can be seen from Figure 3 that the prediction error of the training sample is mostly concentrated in the interval of [-60,60], the maximum prediction is not more than 127, and the error of the test sample is mostly concentrated. In the interval [-14,64], the maximum error does not exceed 115.

实施例2Example 2

本实施例提供一种储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测系统,其包括:This embodiment provides a battery cell life prediction system in an energy storage power station, which includes:

历史测试数据采集单元:采集多个电池容量循环退化的历史测试数据;Historical test data collection unit: collects historical test data of cyclic degradation of battery capacity;

初步特征提取单元:提取反映电池退化信息的初步特征;Preliminary feature extraction unit: extracts preliminary features reflecting battery degradation information;

二次特征提取单元:通过弹性网络对初步特征进行筛选,提取对电池剩余使用寿命预测结果影响程度高的二次特征作为最终训练特征;Secondary feature extraction unit: Screen the preliminary features through the elastic network, and extract the secondary features that have a high degree of influence on the prediction results of the remaining battery life as the final training features;

神经网络模型训练单元:接着利用筛选出的二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,最终求出神经网络模型的最优权值矩阵;Neural network model training unit: then use the selected secondary features to train the neural network model, and finally obtain the optimal weight matrix of the neural network model;

电池未来寿命预测单元:利用训练完毕的神经网络模型对电池未来寿命进行预测。Future battery life prediction unit: Use the trained neural network model to predict the future battery life.

储能电站站内电池寿命是指:从测试时起,在电池健康状态达到电池最低允许容量与电池出厂最大容量的比值前,电池可进行的最大循环充放电次数;The battery life in the energy storage power station refers to: from the time of the test, before the battery health state reaches the ratio of the minimum allowable capacity of the battery to the maximum capacity of the battery at the factory, the maximum number of cycles of charge and discharge that the battery can perform;

所述的提取反映电池退化信息的初步特征,其具体为:通过电池单体在前n个周期循环充/放电过程中的测试数据,初步提取20个特征作为用于输入弹性网络的初始特征;The extraction of preliminary features reflecting the battery degradation information is specifically as follows: through the test data of the battery cell during the first n cycles of cyclic charge/discharge, 20 features are initially extracted as the initial features for inputting the elastic network;

所述的通过弹性网络对初步特征进行筛选,其具体为:在代价函数J(β)中引入正则项Pa(β),求解使代价函数最小时的正则化线性回归的系数,其中a为弹性网络的系数,β为正则化线性回归系数向量;The screening of the preliminary features through the elastic network is specifically: introducing a regular term P a (β) into the cost function J (β), and solving the coefficient of the regularized linear regression when the cost function is minimized, where a is Coefficient of elastic network, β is a vector of regularized linear regression coefficients;

所述的提取对电池剩余使用寿命预测结果影响程度高的二次特征作为最终训练特征,其具体为:筛选已求得的回归系数向量β中不为0的系数所对应的二次特征X,用于神经网络模型的训练;The extraction of the secondary features with a high degree of influence on the prediction result of the remaining service life of the battery is used as the final training feature. For training of neural network models;

所述的利用筛选出的二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,其具体为:将电池前n个周期的二次特征X作为模型的输入,寿命Y作为模型的输出,采用贝叶斯迭代的方法,利用(X,Y)求解神经网络模型的最优权值矩阵W;The training of the neural network model by using the selected secondary features is specifically as follows: the secondary feature X of the first n cycles of the battery is used as the input of the model, the life span Y is used as the output of the model, and the Bayesian iterative method is adopted. method, using (X, Y) to solve the optimal weight matrix W of the neural network model;

所述的利用训练完毕的神经网络模型对电池未来寿命进行预测,其具体为:以提取用于训练神经网络模型的电池二次特征X的相同方式从待预测寿命电池的前n个周期循环充/放电过程数据中提取二次特征Xp,即先从待预测寿命电池的前n个周期循环充/放电过程数据中提取20个初始特征,再通过同一弹性网络筛选出二次特征Xp,作为神经网络模型的输入,神经网络模型将输出该电池未来寿命预测结果。The described use of the trained neural network model to predict the future life of the battery is specifically: in the same way of extracting the secondary feature X of the battery used for training the neural network model, the battery is charged from the first n cycles of the battery to be predicted. Extract secondary features X p from the data of the discharge process, that is, first extract 20 initial features from the data of the first n cycles of cyclic charge/discharge process data of the battery to be predicted, and then filter out the secondary features X p through the same elastic network, As the input of the neural network model, the neural network model will output the prediction result of the future life of the battery.

所述的电池允许的最低放电容量与电池的初始最大放电容量的比值表达式为:The expression of the ratio of the minimum allowable discharge capacity of the battery to the initial maximum discharge capacity of the battery is:

Figure BDA0002563240600000121
Figure BDA0002563240600000121

其中,Qi,min为电池允许的最低放电容量,Qi,0为电池的初始最大放电容量,i为电池序号。Among them, Qi ,min is the minimum discharge capacity allowed by the battery, Qi ,0 is the initial maximum discharge capacity of the battery, and i is the battery serial number.

所述的初步特征为:The preliminary features described are:

特征1,电池的初始最大放电容量Qi,0Feature 1, the initial maximum discharge capacity Q i,0 of the battery;

特征2,电池的第n次循环的最大放电容量Qi,nFeature 2, the maximum discharge capacity Q i,n of the nth cycle of the battery;

特征3,电池第n次循环的最大放电容量与初始最大放电容量之差Qi,n-Qi,0Feature 3, the difference Q i,n -Q i,0 between the maximum discharge capacity of the battery in the nth cycle and the initial maximum discharge capacity;

特征4,电池在第一个周期充放电后的电池最大容量变化Qi,1-Qi,0Feature 4, the maximum capacity change Q i,1 -Q i,0 of the battery after the battery is charged and discharged in the first cycle;

特征5,电池的前n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的一次项系数;Feature 5, the first-order coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first n cycles of the battery;

特征6,电池的前n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的常数项系数;Feature 6, the constant term coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first n cycles of the battery;

特征7,电池的前90次到第n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的一次项系数;Feature 7, the first-order coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first 90 to the nth cycle of the battery;

特征8,电池的前90次到第n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的常数项系数;Feature 8, the constant term coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first 90 to the nth cycle of the battery;

特征9,电池的前n次循环过程中的温度最小值TiminFeature 9, the minimum temperature T imin during the first n cycles of the battery;

特征10,电池的前n次循环过程中的温度最大值TimaxFeature 10, the maximum temperature T imax during the first n cycles of the battery;

特征11,电池的前n次循环过程中温度×时间的平均值:

Figure BDA0002563240600000122
其中,ti为第i次循环所耗时间,Ti为第i次循环过程中的温度;Feature 11, the average value of temperature × time during the first n cycles of the battery:
Figure BDA0002563240600000122
Wherein, t i is the time spent in the i-th cycle, and T i is the temperature during the i-th cycle;

特征12,电池前n次循环过程中放电的平均时间

Figure BDA0002563240600000131
Feature 12, the average time to discharge the battery during the first n cycles
Figure BDA0002563240600000131

特征13,电池的前n次循环过程中的总时间

Figure BDA0002563240600000132
Feature 13, the total time during the first n cycles of the battery
Figure BDA0002563240600000132

特征14,电池在不同电压下容量变化的最小值;Feature 14, the minimum value of the capacity change of the battery under different voltages;

特征15,电池在不同电压下容量变化的平均值;Feature 15, the average value of the capacity change of the battery under different voltages;

特征16,电池在不同电压下容量变化的散度值;Feature 16, the divergence value of the capacity change of the battery under different voltages;

特征17,电池在不同电压下容量变化的峰态系数值;Feature 17, the kurtosis coefficient value of the capacity change of the battery under different voltages;

特征18,电池初始的内阻值

Figure BDA0002563240600000133
Feature 18, the initial internal resistance value of the battery
Figure BDA0002563240600000133

特征19,电池的第n次循环的内阻值

Figure BDA0002563240600000134
Feature 19, the internal resistance value of the nth cycle of the battery
Figure BDA0002563240600000134

特征20,电池的前n次循环中内阻最大值与最小值的差。Feature 20, the difference between the maximum value and the minimum value of the internal resistance in the first n cycles of the battery.

所述的代价函数J(β)以及正则项Pα(β)的表达式为:The expression of the cost function J(β) and the regular term P α (β) is:

Figure BDA0002563240600000135
Figure BDA0002563240600000135

Figure BDA0002563240600000136
Figure BDA0002563240600000136

其中,yi为第i次循环中用于训练的电池集合的寿命,xi T为第i次循环中初步提取的特征,β0为回归系数向量的初值,β为待求解的回归系数向量,λ为正则项系数,α为弹性网络的系数,β1、β2分别为β的1-范数和2-范数;利用上述表达式,设置合理的λ与α,求出使J(β)最小的回归系数向量β。Among them, y i is the life of the battery set used for training in the i-th cycle, x i T is the feature initially extracted in the i-th cycle, β 0 is the initial value of the regression coefficient vector, and β is the regression coefficient to be solved. vector, λ is the regular term coefficient, α is the coefficient of the elastic network, β 1 , β 2 are the 1-norm and 2-norm of β, respectively; using the above expression, set reasonable λ and α, to find the J (β) The smallest regression coefficient vector β.

所述的神经网络模型简化表述为:The neural network model is simplified as:

W=g(X,Y),W=g(X,Y),

其中,g代表BP神经网络模型的训练过程,模型采用贝叶斯方法迭代求解。Among them, g represents the training process of the BP neural network model, and the model is iteratively solved by the Bayesian method.

尽管本发明的内容已经通过上述优选实施例作了详细介绍,但应当认识到上述的描述不应被认为是对本发明的限制。在本领域技术人员阅读了上述内容后,对于本发明的多种修改和替代都将是显而易见的。因此,本发明的保护范围应由所附的权利要求来限定。While the content of the present invention has been described in detail by way of the above preferred embodiments, it should be appreciated that the above description should not be construed as limiting the present invention. Various modifications and alternatives to the present invention will be apparent to those skilled in the art upon reading the foregoing. Accordingly, the scope of protection of the present invention should be defined by the appended claims.

Claims (10)

1.一种储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测方法,其特征在于,采集多个电池容量循环退化的历史测试数据,提取反映电池退化信息的初步特征,通过弹性网络对初步特征进行筛选,提取对电池剩余使用寿命预测结果影响程度高的二次特征作为最终训练特征,接着利用筛选出的二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,最终求出神经网络模型的最优权值矩阵,并利用训练完毕的神经网络模型对电池未来寿命进行预测。1. A method for predicting the life of battery cells in an energy storage power station, characterized in that, collecting a plurality of historical test data of cyclic degradation of battery capacity, extracting preliminary features reflecting battery degradation information, screening the preliminary features through an elastic network, and extracting The secondary features that have a high degree of influence on the prediction results of the remaining service life of the battery are used as the final training features, and then the selected secondary features are used to train the neural network model, and finally the optimal weight matrix of the neural network model is obtained. The completed neural network model predicts the future battery life. 2.如权利要求1所述的储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测方法,其特征在于,2. The method for predicting the life of a battery cell in an energy storage power station according to claim 1, wherein, 储能电站站内电池寿命是指:从测试时起,在电池健康状态达到电池最低允许容量与电池出厂最大容量的比值前,电池可进行的最大循环充放电次数;The battery life in the energy storage power station refers to: from the time of the test, before the battery health state reaches the ratio of the minimum allowable capacity of the battery to the maximum capacity of the battery at the factory, the maximum number of cycles of charge and discharge that the battery can perform; 所述的提取反映电池退化信息的初步特征,其具体为:通过电池单体在前n个周期循环充/放电过程中的测试数据,初步提取20个特征作为用于输入弹性网络的初始特征;The extraction of the preliminary features reflecting the battery degradation information is specifically as follows: through the test data of the battery cell during the first n cycles of cyclic charge/discharge, preliminary extraction of 20 features is used as the initial features for inputting the elastic network; 所述的通过弹性网络对初步特征进行筛选,其具体为:在代价函数J(β)中引入正则项Pa(β),求解使代价函数最小时的正则化线性回归的系数,其中a为弹性网络的系数,β为正则化线性回归系数向量;The screening of the preliminary features through the elastic network is specifically: introducing a regular term P a (β) into the cost function J (β), and solving the coefficient of the regularized linear regression when the cost function is minimized, where a is Coefficient of elastic network, β is a vector of regularized linear regression coefficients; 所述的提取对电池剩余使用寿命预测结果影响程度高的二次特征作为最终训练特征,其具体为:筛选已求得的回归系数向量β中不为0的系数所对应的二次特征X,用于神经网络模型的训练;The extraction of the secondary features with a high degree of influence on the prediction result of the remaining service life of the battery is used as the final training feature. For training of neural network models; 所述的利用筛选出的二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,其具体为:将电池前n个周期的二次特征X作为模型的输入,寿命Y作为模型的输出,采用贝叶斯迭代的方法,利用(X,Y)求解神经网络模型的最优权值矩阵W;The training of the neural network model by using the selected secondary features is specifically as follows: the secondary feature X of the first n cycles of the battery is used as the input of the model, the life span Y is used as the output of the model, and the Bayesian iterative method is adopted. method, using (X, Y) to solve the optimal weight matrix W of the neural network model; 所述的利用训练完毕的神经网络模型对电池未来寿命进行预测,其具体为:以提取用于训练神经网络模型的电池二次特征X的相同方式从待预测寿命电池的前n个周期循环充/放电过程数据中提取二次特征Xp,即先从待预测寿命电池的前n个周期循环充/放电过程数据中提取20个初始特征,再通过同一弹性网络筛选出二次特征Xp,作为神经网络模型的输入,神经网络模型将输出该电池未来寿命预测结果。The described use of the trained neural network model to predict the future life of the battery is specifically: in the same way of extracting the secondary feature X of the battery used for training the neural network model, the battery is charged from the first n cycles of the battery to be predicted. Extract secondary features X p from the data of the discharge process, that is, first extract 20 initial features from the data of the first n cycles of cyclic charge/discharge process data of the battery to be predicted, and then filter out the secondary features X p through the same elastic network, As the input of the neural network model, the neural network model will output the prediction result of the future life of the battery. 3.如权利要求2所述的储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测方法,其特征在于,所述的电池允许的最低放电容量与电池的初始最大放电容量的比值表达式为:3. The method for predicting the life of a battery cell in an energy storage power station according to claim 2, wherein the expression of the ratio of the minimum allowable discharge capacity of the battery to the initial maximum discharge capacity of the battery is:
Figure FDA0002563240590000021
Figure FDA0002563240590000021
其中,Qi,min为电池允许的最低放电容量,Qi,0为电池的初始最大放电容量,i为电池序号。Among them, Qi ,min is the minimum discharge capacity allowed by the battery, Qi ,0 is the initial maximum discharge capacity of the battery, and i is the battery serial number.
4.如权利要求2所述的储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测方法,其特征在于,所述的初步特征为:4. The method for predicting the life of battery cells in an energy storage power station station according to claim 2, wherein the preliminary features are: 特征1,电池的初始最大放电容量Qi,0Feature 1, the initial maximum discharge capacity Q i,0 of the battery; 特征2,电池的第n次循环的最大放电容量Qi,nFeature 2, the maximum discharge capacity Q i,n of the nth cycle of the battery; 特征3,电池第n次循环的最大放电容量与初始最大放电容量之差Qi,n-Qi,0Feature 3, the difference Q i,n -Q i,0 between the maximum discharge capacity of the battery in the nth cycle and the initial maximum discharge capacity; 特征4,电池在第一个周期充放电后的电池最大容量变化Qi,1-Qi,0Feature 4, the maximum capacity change Q i,1 -Q i,0 of the battery after the battery is charged and discharged in the first cycle; 特征5,电池的前n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的一次项系数;Feature 5, the first-order coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first n cycles of the battery; 特征6,电池的前n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的常数项系数;Feature 6, the constant term coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first n cycles of the battery; 特征7,电池的前90次到第n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的一次项系数;Feature 7, the first-order coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first 90 to the nth cycle of the battery; 特征8,电池的前90次到第n次循环过程中最小二乘法线性拟合的常数项系数;Feature 8, the constant term coefficient of the least squares linear fitting during the first 90 to the nth cycle of the battery; 特征9,电池的前n次循环过程中的温度最小值TiminFeature 9, the minimum temperature T imin during the first n cycles of the battery; 特征10,电池的前n次循环过程中的温度最大值TimaxFeature 10, the maximum temperature T imax during the first n cycles of the battery; 特征11,电池的前n次循环过程中温度×时间的平均值:
Figure FDA0002563240590000031
其中,ti为第i次循环所耗时间,Ti为第i次循环过程中的温度;
Feature 11, the average value of temperature × time during the first n cycles of the battery:
Figure FDA0002563240590000031
Wherein, t i is the time spent in the i-th cycle, and T i is the temperature during the i-th cycle;
特征12,电池前n次循环过程中放电的平均时间
Figure FDA0002563240590000032
Feature 12, the average time to discharge the battery during the first n cycles
Figure FDA0002563240590000032
特征13,电池的前n次循环过程中的总时间
Figure FDA0002563240590000033
Feature 13, the total time during the first n cycles of the battery
Figure FDA0002563240590000033
特征14,电池在不同电压下容量变化的最小值;Feature 14, the minimum value of the capacity change of the battery under different voltages; 特征15,电池在不同电压下容量变化的平均值;Feature 15, the average value of the capacity change of the battery under different voltages; 特征16,电池在不同电压下容量变化的散度值;Feature 16, the divergence value of the capacity change of the battery under different voltages; 特征17,电池在不同电压下容量变化的峰态系数值;Feature 17, the kurtosis coefficient value of the capacity change of the battery under different voltages; 特征18,电池初始的内阻值
Figure FDA0002563240590000034
Feature 18, the initial internal resistance value of the battery
Figure FDA0002563240590000034
特征19,电池的第n次循环的内阻值
Figure FDA0002563240590000035
Feature 19, the internal resistance value of the nth cycle of the battery
Figure FDA0002563240590000035
特征20,电池的前n次循环中内阻最大值与最小值的差。Feature 20, the difference between the maximum value and the minimum value of the internal resistance in the first n cycles of the battery.
5.如权利要求2所述的储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测方法,其特征在于,所述的代价函数J(β)以及正则项Pα(β)的表达式为:5. The method for predicting the life of a battery cell in an energy storage power station according to claim 2, wherein the expression of the cost function J(β) and the regular term P α (β) is:
Figure FDA0002563240590000041
Figure FDA0002563240590000041
Figure FDA0002563240590000042
Figure FDA0002563240590000042
其中,yi为第i次循环中用于训练的电池集合的寿命,xi T为第i次循环中初步提取的特征,β0为回归系数向量的初值,β为待求解的回归系数向量,λ为正则项系数,α为弹性网络的系数,||β||1、||β||2分别为β的1-范数和2-范数;利用上述表达式,设置合理的λ与α,求出使J(β)最小的回归系数向量β。Among them, y i is the life of the battery set used for training in the i-th cycle, x i T is the feature initially extracted in the i-th cycle, β 0 is the initial value of the regression coefficient vector, and β is the regression coefficient to be solved. vector, λ is the regular term coefficient, α is the coefficient of the elastic network, ||β|| 1 and ||β|| 2 are the 1-norm and 2-norm of β respectively; using the above expression, set a reasonable λ and α are used to obtain the regression coefficient vector β that minimizes J(β).
6.如权利要求2所述的储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测方法,其特征在于,所述的神经网络模型简化表述为:6. The method for predicting the life of a battery cell in an energy storage power station according to claim 2, wherein the neural network model is simplified as: W=g(X,Y),W=g(X,Y), 其中,g代表BP算法的DNN神经网络模型的训练过程,模型采用贝叶斯方法迭代求解。Among them, g represents the training process of the DNN neural network model of the BP algorithm, and the model is iteratively solved by the Bayesian method. 7.一种储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测系统,其特征在于,包括:7. A battery cell life prediction system in an energy storage power station, characterized in that it comprises: 历史测试数据采集单元:采集多个电池容量循环退化的历史测试数据;Historical test data collection unit: collects historical test data of cyclic degradation of battery capacity; 初步特征提取单元:提取反映电池退化信息的初步特征;Preliminary feature extraction unit: extracts preliminary features reflecting battery degradation information; 二次特征提取单元:通过弹性网络对初步特征进行筛选,提取对电池剩余使用寿命预测结果影响程度高的二次特征作为最终训练特征;Secondary feature extraction unit: Screen the preliminary features through the elastic network, and extract the secondary features that have a high degree of influence on the prediction results of the remaining battery life as the final training features; 神经网络模型训练单元:接着利用筛选出的二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,最终求出神经网络模型的最优权值矩阵;Neural network model training unit: then use the selected secondary features to train the neural network model, and finally obtain the optimal weight matrix of the neural network model; 电池未来寿命预测单元:利用训练完毕的神经网络模型对电池未来寿命进行预测。Future battery life prediction unit: Use the trained neural network model to predict the future battery life. 8.根据权利要求7所述的储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测系统,其特征在于,8 . The battery cell life prediction system in an energy storage power station according to claim 7 , wherein, 储能电站站内电池寿命是指:从测试时起,在电池健康状态达到电池最低允许容量与电池出厂最大容量的比值前,电池可进行的最大循环充放电次数;The battery life in the energy storage power station refers to: from the time of the test, before the battery health state reaches the ratio of the minimum allowable capacity of the battery to the maximum capacity of the battery at the factory, the maximum number of cycles of charge and discharge that the battery can perform; 所述的提取反映电池退化信息的初步特征,其具体为:通过电池单体在前n个周期循环充/放电过程中的测试数据,初步提取20个特征作为用于输入弹性网络的初始特征;The extraction of the preliminary features reflecting the battery degradation information is specifically as follows: through the test data of the battery cell during the first n cycles of cyclic charge/discharge, preliminary extraction of 20 features is used as the initial features for inputting the elastic network; 所述的通过弹性网络对初步特征进行筛选,其具体为:在代价函数J(β)中引入正则项Pa(β),求解使代价函数最小时的正则化线性回归的系数,其中a为弹性网络的系数,β为正则化线性回归系数向量;The screening of the preliminary features through the elastic network is specifically: introducing a regular term P a (β) into the cost function J (β), and solving the coefficient of the regularized linear regression when the cost function is minimized, where a is Coefficient of elastic network, β is a vector of regularized linear regression coefficients; 所述的提取对电池剩余使用寿命预测结果影响程度高的二次特征作为最终训练特征,其具体为:筛选已求得的回归系数向量β中不为0的系数所对应的二次特征X,用于神经网络模型的训练;The extraction of the secondary features with a high degree of influence on the prediction result of the remaining service life of the battery is used as the final training feature. For training of neural network models; 所述的利用筛选出的二次特征对神经网络模型进行训练,其具体为:将电池前n个周期的二次特征X作为模型的输入,寿命Y作为模型的输出,采用贝叶斯迭代的方法,利用(X,Y)求解神经网络模型的最优权值矩阵W;The training of the neural network model by using the selected secondary features is specifically as follows: the secondary feature X of the first n cycles of the battery is used as the input of the model, the life span Y is used as the output of the model, and the Bayesian iterative method is adopted. method, using (X, Y) to solve the optimal weight matrix W of the neural network model; 所述的利用训练完毕的神经网络模型对电池未来寿命进行预测,其具体为:以提取用于训练神经网络模型的电池二次特征X的相同方式从待预测寿命电池的前n个周期循环充/放电过程数据中提取二次特征Xp,即先从待预测寿命电池的前n个周期循环充/放电过程数据中提取20个初始特征,再通过同一弹性网络筛选出二次特征Xp,作为神经网络模型的输入,神经网络模型将输出该电池未来寿命预测结果。The described use of the trained neural network model to predict the future life of the battery is specifically: in the same way of extracting the secondary feature X of the battery used for training the neural network model, the battery is charged from the first n cycles of the battery to be predicted. Extract secondary features X p from the data of the discharge process, that is, first extract 20 initial features from the data of the first n cycles of cyclic charge/discharge process data of the battery to be predicted, and then filter out the secondary features X p through the same elastic network, As the input of the neural network model, the neural network model will output the prediction result of the future life of the battery. 9.根据权利要求8所述的储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测系统,其特征在于,所述的电池允许的最低放电容量与电池的初始最大放电容量的比值表达式为:9. The battery cell life prediction system in an energy storage power station according to claim 8, wherein the expression of the ratio of the minimum allowable discharge capacity of the battery to the initial maximum discharge capacity of the battery is:
Figure FDA0002563240590000061
Figure FDA0002563240590000061
其中,Qi,min为电池允许的最低放电容量,Qi,0为电池的初始最大放电容量,i为电池序号。Among them, Qi ,min is the minimum discharge capacity allowed by the battery, Qi ,0 is the initial maximum discharge capacity of the battery, and i is the battery serial number.
10.根据权利要求8所述的储能电站站内电池单体寿命预测系统,其特征在于,所述的代价函数J(β)以及正则项Pα(β)的表达式为:10. The battery cell life prediction system in an energy storage power station according to claim 8, wherein the expression of the cost function J(β) and the regular term P α (β) is:
Figure FDA0002563240590000062
Figure FDA0002563240590000062
Figure FDA0002563240590000063
Figure FDA0002563240590000063
其中,yi为第i次循环中用于训练的电池集合的寿命,xi T为第i次循环中初步提取的特征,β0为回归系数向量的初值,β为待求解的回归系数向量,λ为正则项系数,α为弹性网络的系数,||β||1、||β||2分别为β的1-范数和2-范数;利用上述表达式,设置合理的λ与α,求出使J(β)最小的回归系数向量β。Among them, y i is the life of the battery set used for training in the i-th cycle, x i T is the feature initially extracted in the i-th cycle, β 0 is the initial value of the regression coefficient vector, and β is the regression coefficient to be solved. vector, λ is the regular term coefficient, α is the coefficient of the elastic network, ||β|| 1 and ||β|| 2 are the 1-norm and 2-norm of β respectively; using the above expression, set a reasonable λ and α are used to obtain the regression coefficient vector β that minimizes J(β).
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CN112731159A (en) * 2020-12-23 2021-04-30 江苏省电力试验研究院有限公司 Method for pre-judging and positioning battery fault of battery compartment of energy storage power station
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CN113011633A (en) * 2021-02-05 2021-06-22 国网湖南省电力有限公司 Overhead transmission line engineering cost prediction method, device and medium
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CN113076701A (en) * 2021-06-07 2021-07-06 湖南博匠信息科技有限公司 Health information-based terminal equipment life prediction method and system
CN113743661A (en) * 2021-08-30 2021-12-03 西安交通大学 Method, system, equipment and storage medium for predicting online capacity of lithium ion battery
CN114646891A (en) * 2022-03-10 2022-06-21 电子科技大学 Residual life prediction method combining LSTM network and wiener process
CN114646891B (en) * 2022-03-10 2023-05-30 电子科技大学 A Remaining Lifetime Prediction Method Combining LSTM Network and Wiener Process
CN115114878A (en) * 2022-07-26 2022-09-27 中国长江三峡集团有限公司 Method and device for online prediction of battery life of energy storage power station and storage medium
CN116879753A (en) * 2023-06-21 2023-10-13 重庆邮电大学 Big data-based battery life prediction method
CN116774057A (en) * 2023-08-18 2023-09-19 南京大全电气研究院有限公司 A method and device for training a battery life prediction model and predicting battery life
CN116774057B (en) * 2023-08-18 2023-11-14 南京大全电气研究院有限公司 Method and device for training battery life prediction model and predicting battery life
CN118897194A (en) * 2024-07-10 2024-11-05 深圳计算科学研究院 A method, device, equipment and medium for predicting battery cell capacity

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