CN111507603A - Method and system for evaluating current environmental risk situation of in-production enterprise - Google Patents

Method and system for evaluating current environmental risk situation of in-production enterprise Download PDF

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CN111507603A
CN111507603A CN202010283455.4A CN202010283455A CN111507603A CN 111507603 A CN111507603 A CN 111507603A CN 202010283455 A CN202010283455 A CN 202010283455A CN 111507603 A CN111507603 A CN 111507603A
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enterprise
risk
environmental risk
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李刚
李敏
陈宝兰
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Suzhou Dupan Environmental Safety Technology Co ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0635Risk analysis of enterprise or organisation activities
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0639Performance analysis of employees; Performance analysis of enterprise or organisation operations
    • G06Q10/06393Score-carding, benchmarking or key performance indicator [KPI] analysis
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/067Enterprise or organisation modelling

Abstract

The invention provides a method for evaluating the current environmental risk situation of a production enterprise, which comprises the following steps: generating a certain amount of in-process enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation indexes; classifying the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise, and establishing an auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise; assigning a score range and a corresponding score standard for the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risks of the enterprises; optimizing a calculation model of the existing risk assessment system; and acquiring online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters in real time or periodically, and calculating to obtain the real-time risk level of the enterprise. The method can automatically screen a certain amount of auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise by combining site reconnaissance and the implementation conditions of enterprise compliance, industrial risk, production process risk, pollution prevention and treatment measures and risk prevention measures on the basis of risk potential, optimize the existing risk evaluation model, comprehensively evaluate the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise, and calculate to obtain more accurate environmental risk level of the in-production enterprise.

Description

Method and system for evaluating current environmental risk situation of in-production enterprise
Technical Field
The invention relates to the field of risk assessment, in particular to a method and a system for assessing the environmental risk status of a production enterprise.
Background
The environmental risk evaluation aims at preventing and controlling the acute damage of the hazardous material environment caused by sudden accidents, analyzes, predicts and evaluates the environmental risk of the construction project, provides measures for preventing, controlling and slowing down the environmental risk, determines the requirements of environmental risk monitoring and emergency advice, and provides scientific basis for the environmental risk prevention and control of the construction project.
At present, before construction of a construction project, environmental risks of the construction project are analyzed, predicted and evaluated, the environmental risks of the construction project are pre-evaluated only according to inherent factors such as substances related to the construction project, risks of a process system and environmental sensitivity of a location, and the probability of occurrence of environmental emergencies of an enterprise is greatly different due to artificial factors such as actual construction production conditions of the enterprise, differences of management levels, implementation conditions of environmental protection measures and risk precautionary measures, and the artificial factors cannot be estimated and evaluated in environmental impact evaluation.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to provide an on-site enterprise environmental risk status evaluation method and system, which can automatically screen a certain amount of on-site enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation indexes by combining with the aspects of site reconnaissance, enterprise compliance, industrial risk, production process risk, pollution prevention and control measures, risk prevention and control measure implementation situations and the like on the basis of risk potential, optimize the existing risk evaluation model and system calculation model, comprehensively evaluate the on-site enterprise environmental risk, and calculate to obtain more accurate on-site enterprise environmental risk level.
To achieve the above objective, with reference to fig. 1, the present invention provides a method for assessing a current situation of environmental risk of a manufacturing enterprise, the method comprising the following steps:
s1, combining the current state of the enterprise and the calculation model of the existing risk assessment system to generate a certain amount of auxiliary assessment indexes of the environmental risk of the enterprise; the existing risk assessment system calculation model is used for pre-evaluating the environmental risk of the production enterprise according to inherent factors including substances involved in the production enterprise, the risk of a process system and the environmental sensitivity of the location;
s2, classifying the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise, and establishing an auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise, wherein each classification corresponds to one evaluation module;
s3, assigning a score range and a corresponding score standard to the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the production enterprise of each evaluation module of the auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the production enterprise;
s4, optimizing the existing risk assessment system calculation model by adopting the in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary assessment model given the score, and establishing a final in-production enterprise environmental risk assessment calculation model;
and S5, acquiring online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters in real time or periodically, importing the online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters into an in-production enterprise environmental risk assessment calculation model, and calculating to obtain the in-production enterprise real-time risk level.
As a preferred example, in step S1, the generating a quantitative auxiliary risk assessment index in the manufacturing facility environment refers to:
combining the current situation and the historical data of the enterprise, and obtaining a plurality of initial auxiliary evaluation indexes by adopting a big data analysis technology;
analyzing the existing risk assessment system calculation model, and calculating the influence coefficient of each initial auxiliary assessment index, wherein the influence coefficient is used for reflecting the influence coefficient of the corresponding initial auxiliary assessment index on the existing risk assessment system calculation model;
and setting the initial auxiliary evaluation index higher than the preset influence threshold as an auxiliary evaluation index of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise.
As a preferred example, in step S2, the classified auxiliary risk assessment indicators in the manufacturing enterprise environment refer to:
all in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation indexes are divided into five types, including enterprise compliance indexes, industrial risk indexes, production process risk indexes, pollution prevention and treatment measure indexes and risk prevention and treatment measure indexes.
As a preferred example, in step S3, the assigning of the score range and the corresponding scoring criteria to the in-process enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation indexes of the respective evaluation modules of the in-process enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation model includes:
setting an assessment total score for each classification according to enterprise characteristics;
and (4) assigning a score range and a corresponding score standard to the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the production enterprise under each classification by combining the corresponding influence coefficient and the evaluation total of the classification.
As one preferred example, in step S4, the real-time risk level of the production enterprise is classified into five levels from high to low.
As a preferred example, the auxiliary evaluation model for environmental risk of the enterprise in production is as follows:
Figure BDA0002447577050000021
in the formula, AiIs the total score of the evaluator module corresponding to the ith classification,
Figure BDA0002447577050000022
the score of the jth in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation index of the evaluation module corresponding to the ith classification is shown, and i and j are positive integers which are more than or equal to 1.
As a preferred example, in step S5, the final in-process enterprise environmental risk assessment calculation model is:
S=S0*∏Ai
in the formula, S0Is the risk potential score.
Based on the method, the invention also provides an on-production enterprise environmental risk status assessment system, which comprises an auxiliary assessment model management module, a risk assessment system calculation model management module and an on-line enterprise environmental risk assessment parameter acquisition module;
the auxiliary evaluation model management module comprises:
the unit is used for generating a certain amount of in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation indexes by combining the current enterprise situation and the existing risk evaluation system calculation model;
the unit is used for classifying the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise and establishing an auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise;
the unit is used for assigning a score range and a corresponding score standard to the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the production enterprise of each evaluation module of the auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the production enterprise;
the risk assessment system calculation model management module is used for optimizing an existing risk assessment system calculation model by adopting an in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary assessment model given a score value, and establishing a final in-production enterprise environmental risk assessment calculation model;
the online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameter acquisition module is used for acquiring online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters in real time or periodically, importing the online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters into an in-production enterprise environmental risk assessment calculation model, and calculating to obtain an in-production enterprise real-time risk level.
Compared with the prior art, the technical scheme of the invention has the following remarkable beneficial effects:
(1) on the basis of risk potential, a certain amount of auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise can be automatically screened out by combining with the aspects of site survey, comprehensive enterprise compliance, industrial risk, production process risk, pollution prevention and control measures, risk prevention and control measure implementation situations and the like, the existing risk evaluation calculation model and the system calculation model are optimized, the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise is comprehensively evaluated, and more accurate environmental risk level of the in-production enterprise is obtained through calculation.
(2) According to the existing risk assessment calculation model, the environment risk auxiliary assessment index with the maximum relevance in the production enterprise is automatically screened out, the optimization direction is clear, and the calculation amount is small.
(3) The auxiliary evaluation model for the environmental risk of the production enterprise is correlated with the existing risk evaluation calculation model and is relatively independent, so that the expansion is facilitated, the change is timely according to the actual condition, and the applicability is wide.
It should be understood that all combinations of the foregoing concepts and additional concepts described in greater detail below can be considered as part of the inventive subject matter of this disclosure unless such concepts are mutually inconsistent. In addition, all combinations of claimed subject matter are considered a part of the presently disclosed subject matter.
The foregoing and other aspects, embodiments and features of the present teachings can be more fully understood from the following description taken in conjunction with the accompanying drawings. Additional aspects of the present invention, such as features and/or advantages of exemplary embodiments, will be apparent from the description which follows, or may be learned by practice of specific embodiments in accordance with the teachings of the present invention.
Drawings
The drawings are not intended to be drawn to scale. In the drawings, each identical or nearly identical component that is illustrated in various figures may be represented by a like numeral. For purposes of clarity, not every component may be labeled in every drawing. Embodiments of various aspects of the present invention will now be described, by way of example, with reference to the accompanying drawings, in which:
FIG. 1 is a flow chart of a method for assessing the status of environmental risk of a manufacturing enterprise according to the present invention.
Detailed Description
In order to better understand the technical content of the present invention, specific embodiments are described below with reference to the accompanying drawings.
In this disclosure, aspects of the present invention are described with reference to the accompanying drawings, in which a number of illustrative embodiments are shown. Embodiments of the present disclosure are not necessarily defined to include all aspects of the invention. It should be appreciated that the various concepts and embodiments described above, as well as those described in greater detail below, may be implemented in any of numerous ways, as the disclosed concepts and embodiments are not limited to any one implementation. In addition, some aspects of the present disclosure may be used alone, or in any suitable combination with other aspects of the present disclosure.
Detailed description of the preferred embodiment
With reference to fig. 1, the present invention provides a method for evaluating the current environmental risk status of a manufacturing enterprise, the method comprising the following steps:
s1, combining the current state of the enterprise and the calculation model of the existing risk assessment system to generate a certain amount of auxiliary assessment indexes of the environmental risk of the enterprise; the existing risk assessment system calculation model is used for pre-evaluating the environmental risk of the production enterprise according to inherent factors including substances involved in the production enterprise, the danger of a process system and the environmental sensitivity degree of a place.
And S2, classifying the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the production enterprise, and establishing an auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the production enterprise, wherein each classification corresponds to one evaluation module.
And S3, assigning a score range and a corresponding score standard to the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the enterprise in each evaluation module of the auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the enterprise.
And S4, optimizing the existing risk assessment system calculation model by adopting the in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary assessment model given the score, and establishing a final in-production enterprise environmental risk assessment calculation model.
And S5, acquiring online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters in real time or periodically, importing the online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters into an in-production enterprise environmental risk assessment calculation model, and calculating to obtain the in-production enterprise real-time risk level.
Step one, automatically screening a certain amount of auxiliary evaluation indexes of in-production enterprise environmental risks
In the process of enterprise risk assessment, auxiliary assessment indexes are generally related to inherent factors including substances involved in a production enterprise, risks of a process system and environmental sensitivity of a location, and influence modes are related to enterprise types, products, raw materials and the like. The more auxiliary evaluation factors are introduced, the more complex the model is, and the greater the optimization difficulty is. Therefore, in order to avoid introducing too many auxiliary evaluation factors with small correlation, the invention proposes the following scheme:
as a preferred example, in step S1, the generating a quantitative auxiliary risk assessment index in the manufacturing facility environment refers to:
and combining the current situation and the historical data of the enterprise, and obtaining a plurality of initial auxiliary evaluation indexes by adopting a big data analysis technology.
Analyzing the existing risk assessment system calculation model, and calculating the influence coefficient of each initial auxiliary assessment index, wherein the influence coefficient is used for reflecting the influence coefficient of the corresponding initial auxiliary assessment index on the existing risk assessment system calculation model.
And setting the initial auxiliary evaluation index higher than the preset influence threshold as an auxiliary evaluation index of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise.
After a proper amount of auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise are screened out,
step two, classifying the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise and establishing an auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise
In order to improve the evaluation efficiency, after the auxiliary evaluation indexes are determined, based on the tendency of each auxiliary evaluation index, the invention provides that all auxiliary evaluation indexes are classified, corresponding evaluation modules are respectively established from several directions, and then an auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the production enterprise is established.
For example, in step S2, the classifying at-production-facility environmental risk auxiliary evaluation index includes: all in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation indexes are divided into five types, including enterprise compliance indexes, industrial risk indexes, production process risk indexes, pollution prevention and treatment measure indexes and risk prevention and treatment measure indexes.
Preferably, the enterprise compliance indexes assist in assessing risks from the perspective of enterprise management, for example, whether environmental protection procedures, safety procedures, relevant risk management systems and the like are complete, whether major dangerous sources of hazardous chemicals are recorded or not, and the like, and such indexes laterally affect environmental risks in the enterprise, for example, whether major dangerous sources of hazardous chemicals are recorded or not directly affect risk assessment of substances and process systems involved in the enterprise.
The industrial risk index carries out auxiliary evaluation on risks from the perspective of the whole industry and the perspective of the intra-industry risk early warning psychology, such as whether safety and environmental accidents occur within nearly 3 years, the grade and the frequency of the accidents and the like. This factor directly affects the degree of environmental sensitivity of the locus.
The risk index of the production process performs auxiliary evaluation on risks from the perspective of equipment management of a production enterprise, such as equipment aging condition judgment, whether daily operation maintenance and management regulations of production facilities are met, whether explosion-proof facilities are adopted, whether fire alarm is complete, and the like. Such indicators directly affect risk assessment of the process system.
The pollution prevention and treatment measures index carries out auxiliary assessment on risks from the perspective of pollutant and treatment equipment management, such as whether the waste gas environmental protection equipment normally operates, whether self-monitoring is carried out according to requirements and the like.
The risk precaution measures indexes perform auxiliary evaluation on risks from relevant implementation states of the risk precaution measures, such as whether toxic gas leaks from the emergency treatment device or not, whether rainwater drainage openings meet requirements or not, and the like.
As can be seen from the foregoing examples, almost all of the auxiliary evaluation indexes of environmental risk of the manufacturing enterprise affect the final result of environmental risk evaluation of the manufacturing enterprise, but the auxiliary evaluation indexes of environmental risk of the manufacturing enterprise have the following two characteristics: (1) the final environmental risk assessment result is indirectly influenced by influencing the inherent factors, and (2) most of the environmental risk assessment result is subjective factors, influence ways are different, and quantitative assessment is difficult. And the second step aims to automatically correct the final risk evaluation result by analyzing the auxiliary evaluation indexes one by one and converting subjective factors into objective factors.
Step three, endowing a score range and a corresponding score standard for the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risks of the enterprises in production of each evaluation module of the auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risks of the enterprises in production
As a preferred example, in step S3, the assigning of the score range and the corresponding scoring criteria to the in-process enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation indexes of the respective evaluation modules of the in-process enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation model includes:
s31, an assessment summary score is set for each classification based on business characteristics.
And S32, assigning a score range and a corresponding score standard to the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the production enterprise under each classification by combining the corresponding influence coefficient and the total evaluation index of the classification.
Step four, optimizing the existing risk assessment system calculation model, and establishing the final in-production enterprise environment risk assessment calculation model
As one preferred example, in step S4, the real-time risk level of the production enterprise is classified into five levels from high to low.
As a preferred example, the auxiliary evaluation model for environmental risk of the enterprise in production is as follows:
Figure BDA0002447577050000051
in the formula, AiIs the total score of the evaluator module corresponding to the ith classification,
Figure BDA0002447577050000052
the score of the jth in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation index of the evaluation module corresponding to the ith classification is shown, and i and j are positive integers which are more than or equal to 1.
Tables 1-6 are examples of one of the aided assessment models.
Table 1 shows a basic score calculation model of the model calculation of the present invention, and gives a parameter description of the model and a calculation mode of the basic score.
TABLE 1 basic submodel (Risk potential score)
Figure BDA0002447577050000053
Table 2 shows an enterprise compliance coefficient model, which introduces evaluation coefficients, parameter conventions, and calculation methods of enterprise compliance coefficients corresponding to submodules in different compliance modules.
TABLE 2 Enterprise compliance coefficient model
Figure BDA0002447577050000054
Figure BDA0002447577050000061
Table 3 is an industry risk coefficient model introducing evaluation coefficients, parameter conventions, and calculation modes of industry compliance coefficients corresponding to the sub-modules in different compliance modules.
TABLE 3 industry Risk coefficients model
Figure BDA0002447577050000062
Table 4 shows a risk coefficient model of the production process, which introduces evaluation coefficients, parameter conventions, and calculation methods of risk coefficients of the production process corresponding to the submodules of different compliance modules.
TABLE 4 production Process Risk coefficient model
Figure BDA0002447577050000063
Figure BDA0002447577050000071
Table 5 shows a risk coefficient model of the pollution control measure, which introduces the evaluation coefficients, parameter conventions, and calculation methods of the risk coefficients of the pollution control measure corresponding to the sub modules in different compliance modules.
TABLE 5 model of Risk coefficients for pollution control measures
Figure BDA0002447577050000072
Table 6 shows a risk coefficient model of risk precautionary measures, which introduces evaluation coefficients, parameter conventions, and calculation methods of risk coefficient of risk precautionary measures corresponding to the submodules in different compliance modules.
TABLE 6 Risk coefficient model for risk precautions
Figure BDA0002447577050000073
Figure BDA0002447577050000081
It should be understood that the score range and the scoring criterion in the foregoing example are for convenience of description of step S3, and in practical applications, the score range and the scoring criterion setting need to be performed in combination with the influence of each auxiliary evaluation index on the intrinsic factor, and then calculating the influence thereof on the final risk evaluation. For part of newly created auxiliary evaluation models, an evaluation total score can be set for each classification according to enterprise characteristics, and a score range and a corresponding score standard are given to the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risks of the production enterprises under each classification according to the corresponding influence coefficient and the evaluation total score of the classification, so that the setting process of the whole score range is accelerated. In the subsequent model optimization process, when new auxiliary evaluation factors are introduced or the scores of part of the auxiliary evaluation factors are unreasonable, the new auxiliary evaluation factors or unreasonable auxiliary evaluation factors can be analyzed one by one, the influence of the new auxiliary evaluation factors or unreasonable auxiliary evaluation factors on each inherent factor is analyzed, and a more optimal score range is calculated.
Step five, acquiring online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters in real time or periodically, and calculating to obtain real-time risk level of the enterprise in production
As a preferred example, in step S5, the final in-process enterprise environmental risk assessment calculation model is:
S=S0*∏Ai
in the formula, S0Is the risk potential score.
Table 7 shows the environmental risk classification model of the enterprise. The model lists the enterprise environmental risk levels and the risk degrees corresponding to the enterprise environmental risk values in different ranges.
TABLE 8 Enterprise Risk value and Credit level mapping Table
Figure BDA0002447577050000082
Detailed description of the invention
Based on the method, the invention also provides an on-production enterprise environmental risk status assessment system, which comprises an auxiliary assessment model management module, a risk assessment system calculation model management module and an on-line enterprise environmental risk assessment parameter acquisition module.
The auxiliary evaluation model management module comprises:
(1) and the unit is used for generating a certain amount of auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risks of the in-production enterprises by combining the current conditions of the enterprises and the calculation models of the existing risk evaluation systems.
(2) And the unit is used for classifying the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise and establishing an auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise.
(3) And the unit is used for assigning a score range and a corresponding score standard to the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the production enterprise of each evaluation module of the auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the production enterprise.
And the risk evaluation system calculation model management module is used for optimizing the existing risk evaluation system calculation model by adopting the in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation model given with the value, and establishing a final in-production enterprise environmental risk evaluation calculation model.
The online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameter acquisition module is used for acquiring online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters in real time or periodically, importing the online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters into an in-production enterprise environmental risk assessment calculation model, and calculating to obtain an in-production enterprise real-time risk level.
Although the present invention has been described with reference to the preferred embodiments, it is not intended to be limited thereto. Those skilled in the art can make various changes and modifications without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention. Therefore, the protection scope of the present invention should be determined by the appended claims.

Claims (8)

1. A method for evaluating the current situation of environmental risk of a production enterprise is characterized by comprising the following steps:
s1, combining the current state of the enterprise and the calculation model of the existing risk assessment system to generate a certain amount of auxiliary assessment indexes of the environmental risk of the enterprise; the existing risk assessment system calculation model is used for pre-evaluating the environmental risk of the production enterprise according to inherent factors including substances involved in the production enterprise, the risk of a process system and the environmental sensitivity of the location;
s2, classifying the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise, and establishing an auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise, wherein each classification corresponds to one evaluation module;
s3, assigning a score range and a corresponding score standard to the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the production enterprise of each evaluation module of the auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the production enterprise;
s4, optimizing the existing risk assessment system calculation model by adopting the in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary assessment model given the score, and establishing a final in-production enterprise environmental risk assessment calculation model;
and S5, acquiring online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters in real time or periodically, importing the online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters into an in-production enterprise environmental risk assessment calculation model, and calculating to obtain the in-production enterprise real-time risk level.
2. The method for assessing the status quo of environmental risk of a manufacturing enterprise as claimed in claim 1, wherein in step S1, the generating of the quantitative auxiliary assessment index of environmental risk of a manufacturing enterprise means:
combining the current situation and the historical data of the enterprise, and obtaining a plurality of initial auxiliary evaluation indexes by adopting a big data analysis technology;
analyzing the existing risk assessment system calculation model, and calculating the influence coefficient of each initial auxiliary assessment index, wherein the influence coefficient is used for reflecting the influence coefficient of the corresponding initial auxiliary assessment index on the existing risk assessment system calculation model;
and setting the initial auxiliary evaluation index higher than the preset influence threshold as an auxiliary evaluation index of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise.
3. The method for assessing the status of environmental risk of a manufacturing enterprise as claimed in claim 1, wherein in step S2, the classifying the auxiliary assessment indicators of environmental risk of the manufacturing enterprise is:
all in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation indexes are divided into five types, including enterprise compliance indexes, industrial risk indexes, production process risk indexes, pollution prevention and treatment measure indexes and risk prevention and treatment measure indexes.
4. The method for assessing the status of environmental risk of a manufacturing enterprise as claimed in claim 2, wherein in step S3, the step of assigning a score range and a corresponding scoring criterion to the auxiliary assessment index of environmental risk of a manufacturing enterprise of each assessment module of the auxiliary assessment model of environmental risk of a manufacturing enterprise means:
setting an assessment total score for each classification according to enterprise characteristics;
and (4) assigning a score range and a corresponding score standard to the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the production enterprise under each classification by combining the corresponding influence coefficient and the evaluation total of the classification.
5. The method for assessing the status quo of environmental risk of a production enterprise as claimed in claim 1, wherein in step S4, the real-time risk level of the production enterprise is classified into five levels from high to low.
6. The in-process enterprise environmental risk status quo evaluation method according to claim 1, wherein the in-process enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation model is:
Figure FDA0002447577040000011
in the formula, AiIs the total score of the evaluator module corresponding to the ith classification,
Figure FDA0002447577040000012
the score of the jth in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation index of the evaluation module corresponding to the ith classification is shown, and i and j are positive integers which are more than or equal to 1.
7. The in-process enterprise environmental risk status quo evaluation method according to claim 1, wherein in step S5, the final in-process enterprise environmental risk evaluation calculation model is:
S=S0*∏Ai
in the formula, S0Is the risk potential score.
8. The system for evaluating the current environmental risk situation of the in-production enterprise is characterized by comprising an auxiliary evaluation model management module, a risk evaluation system calculation model management module and an online enterprise environmental risk evaluation parameter acquisition module;
the auxiliary evaluation model management module comprises:
the unit is used for generating a certain amount of in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary evaluation indexes by combining the current enterprise situation and the existing risk evaluation system calculation model;
the unit is used for classifying the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise and establishing an auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the in-production enterprise;
the unit is used for assigning a score range and a corresponding score standard to the auxiliary evaluation indexes of the environmental risk of the production enterprise of each evaluation module of the auxiliary evaluation model of the environmental risk of the production enterprise;
the risk assessment system calculation model management module is used for optimizing an existing risk assessment system calculation model by adopting an in-production enterprise environmental risk auxiliary assessment model given a score value, and establishing a final in-production enterprise environmental risk assessment calculation model;
the online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameter acquisition module is used for acquiring online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters in real time or periodically, importing the online enterprise environmental risk assessment parameters into an in-production enterprise environmental risk assessment calculation model, and calculating to obtain an in-production enterprise real-time risk level.
CN202010283455.4A 2020-04-13 2020-04-13 Method and system for evaluating current environmental risk situation of in-production enterprise Pending CN111507603A (en)

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CN113360835A (en) * 2021-06-08 2021-09-07 京师天启(北京)科技有限公司 Suspected pollution land block oriented pollution potential evaluation method
CN114154817A (en) * 2021-11-18 2022-03-08 南京大学 Automated enterprise environment risk assessment method and device
CN116128277A (en) * 2022-09-28 2023-05-16 北京市生态环境保护科学研究院 Dynamic early warning method and system for classification and grading of fixed pollution sources

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* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN112926864A (en) * 2021-03-05 2021-06-08 浪潮云信息技术股份公司 Configuration-based risk assessment method and system
CN113360835A (en) * 2021-06-08 2021-09-07 京师天启(北京)科技有限公司 Suspected pollution land block oriented pollution potential evaluation method
CN114154817A (en) * 2021-11-18 2022-03-08 南京大学 Automated enterprise environment risk assessment method and device
CN114154817B (en) * 2021-11-18 2022-07-19 南京大学 Automated enterprise environment risk assessment method and device
CN116128277A (en) * 2022-09-28 2023-05-16 北京市生态环境保护科学研究院 Dynamic early warning method and system for classification and grading of fixed pollution sources

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