CN111091712A - Traffic flow prediction method based on cyclic attention dual graph convolution network - Google Patents
Traffic flow prediction method based on cyclic attention dual graph convolution network Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a traffic flow prediction method based on a convolution network of a circular attention dual graph, which comprises the following steps: 1) constructing a traffic flow time sequence according to traffic flow data collected by road coil sensors on an urban traffic network, and preprocessing the traffic flow time sequence; 2) constructing a dual graph to represent a spatial dependency relationship, wherein the dual graph comprises a node graph and an edge graph, wherein a single sensor is regarded as a node, the node graph is constructed according to the road network distance between the sensors, edges in the node graph represent the relationship between the sensors, the edges in the node graph are regarded as the nodes to construct the edge graph, and the edges in the edge graph represent the mutual influence of the relationship between the sensors; 3) inputting the preprocessed traffic flow time sequence into a convolution network of the circular attention dual graph, and predicting the traffic flow of a future traffic network. The traffic flow prediction method can realize the prediction of the traffic flow of the traffic network, and has wide application prospect in the fields of travel planning, traffic management and the like.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to the field of intelligent traffic systems, in particular to a traffic flow prediction method based on a convolution network of a circular attention dual map.
Background
With the continuous promotion of urbanization and industrialization, the number of automobiles is continuously increased, and urban traffic gradually becomes congested. The urban disease affects daily trips of people, and brings great challenges to urban road planning and traffic management of relevant departments. The method can effectively guide people to plan a travel route by accurately predicting the future traffic flow of the traffic network, and can also provide powerful data support for traffic management, so that the traffic flow prediction becomes an extremely valuable research direction in an intelligent traffic system.
Early traffic flow prediction methods mostly use traditional linear sequence models to predict the traffic flow of a single node, such as autoregressive moving average model (ARMIA), Kalman Filtering (Kalman Filtering), and the like. However, such methods ignore non-linear relationships in traffic flow data, and do not take into account spatial dependencies between multiple nodes.
In order to model complex space-time dependency, researchers have proposed deep learning based traffic flow prediction methods. Some methods model temporal dependencies using Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) while modeling spatial dependencies using Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). Such a traffic flow prediction method based on CNN can only represent the spatial dependency relationship in a regular grid structure, but the spatial dependency relationship between nodes is often represented as a non-european relationship subject to the constraint of an irregular traffic network. Therefore, the latest deep learning-based method uses a Graph structure to represent the spatial dependency relationship among nodes, edges in a Graph represent the connection relationship of the nodes in a traffic Network, and a Graph Convolutional Network (GCNs) is introduced to aggregate information of a certain node and its neighbor nodes, so as to model the non-european dependency relationship, and the prediction accuracy is higher compared with the CNN-based method.
However, most of the recent traffic flow prediction methods based on the GCN use an unweighted graph or a weighted graph with fixed weight to represent the relationship between nodes, thereby excessively simplifying the complex spatial dependency relationship in the actual traffic network. Additionally, these methods aggregate information within a given neighborhood range (e.g., nodes within a k-hop range), however, different neighborhood ranges tend to exhibit different traffic characteristics, e.g., neighbors within a small range can represent local spatial dependencies and neighbors within a large range tend to reflect overall traffic patterns over a relatively large area. The existing method ignores the influence of different neighbor ranges and cannot model a multi-range spatial dependency relationship.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to solve the technical problem of how to model the complex space-time dependency relationship in traffic flow data, provides a traffic flow prediction method based on a convolution network of a circular attention dual graph, and aims to solve the defects of the prior art in the background technology.
In order to solve the above problems, the present invention provides a traffic flow prediction method based on a convolutional network of a cyclic attention dual graph, which comprises the following steps:
step 4, according to the node mapAnd edge graph GeConstructing a convolution network of a dual graph, and dividing the time tTraffic flow XtInputting k layers of the convolutional network of the dual graph, and expressing the node of each layer output as
Step 5, the output nodes of each layer of the convolution network of the dual graph represent input multi-range attention network for fusion, and the output fusion represents Ut;
Step 6, the past T is processed′Fused representation of individual moments U(s-T′+1):sThe coding and decoding structure long-time memory network shared among the input nodes outputs traffic flow predicted values at T moments in the future
According to the method, not only the dependency relationship among the nodes is considered when the spatial dependency relationship is modeled, but also the mutual influence of the relationships among the nodes is considered, and meanwhile, an attention mechanism is introduced to model the multi-range spatial dependency relationship. Compared with the prior method, the method has the advantages that:
1) and constructing a node graph according to the road network distance between the sensors, constructing an edge graph according to the edge influence mode, and modeling the relationship between the nodes and the relationship between the edges by using a dual graph convolution network display mode, thereby modeling a more complex spatial dependence relationship.
2) The multi-range attention mechanism can aggregate information of a plurality of neighbor ranges, and simultaneously learn a self-adaptive weight for different neighbor ranges, so that the expression capability of the model is further improved.
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In order to more clearly illustrate the embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art, the drawings used in the description of the embodiments or the prior art will be briefly described below, it is obvious that the drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the present invention, and for those skilled in the art, other drawings can be obtained according to these drawings without creative efforts.
Fig. 1 is an overall flowchart of a traffic flow prediction method based on a convolutional network of a cyclic attention dual graph according to an embodiment of the present invention;
fig. 2 is an edge influence mode provided by an embodiment of the present invention, in which (a) is an upstream and downstream connection relationship edge influence mode, and (b) is a competition relationship edge influence mode;
FIG. 3 is a block diagram of a convolutional trellis diagram for a dual graph according to an embodiment of the present invention;
fig. 4 is a schematic diagram illustrating a fusion of a multi-range attention network according to an embodiment of the present invention;
fig. 5 is a coding and decoding LSTM network according to an embodiment of the present invention.
Detailed Description
In order to make the objects, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention more apparent, the present invention will be further described in detail with reference to the accompanying drawings and examples. It should be understood that the detailed description and specific examples, while indicating the scope of the invention, are intended for purposes of illustration only and are not intended to limit the scope of the invention.
Fig. 1 is an overall flowchart of a traffic flow prediction method based on a convolutional network of a cyclic attention dual graph according to an embodiment of the present invention. The traffic flow prediction method is intended to realize the following tasks: let the current time be s, and according to the past T of N nodes on the traffic network′Traffic flow of every momentPredicting traffic flow at T moments in the future Referring to fig. 1, the traffic flow prediction method includes the steps of:
Road coil sensors are widely used for road vehicle detection, vehicle type identification. Counting the number of vehicles detected by the coil sensor in a time window, and obtaining the traffic flow passing through the road node where the coil sensor is located in the time window. The number of coil sensors on the road network is N,is represented by the formula (T ═ s-T)′+1,s-T′+2, …, s) time, and processing missing values and abnormal values for the traffic flow by using a linear interpolation method. Let the current time be s, count the past T′The traffic flow of each moment and the time sequence of the traffic flow is constructedThis is taken as input data.
(a) building a node graphNode set V ofn={v1,v2,…,vNIn which, | VnN, node set VnOne element in (1) corresponds to one road node;
(b) calculating the road network distance between any two road nodes, dist (v)i,vj) The shortest road network distance from road node i to road node j is shown, and attention is paid to the fact that the road nodes areThe way tends to be directional, dist (v)i,vj)≠dist(vj,vi);
(c) Calculation based on road network distance between nodesAdjacent matrix A ofnWherein the adjacent matrix AnThe calculation formula of (2) is as follows:
wherein σ2D is a threshold value set manually, and when the shortest road network distance from a road node i to a road node j is greater than d, the graph is ignoredThe edge from the middle road node i to the road node j, the guarantee graphSparsity of (3) to prevent over-fitting of the model.
(d) Building a node graphEdge set E ofn={(i→j)|0≤i,j≤N,Ai,j>0, where (i → j) represents an edge with i as the head node and j as the tail node.
wherein, an edge graph G is constructedeComprises the specific steps of:
(a) Constructing a boundary graph GeNode set V ofeEdge graph G ═ EeThe node in (1) corresponds to the node mapAn edge of (1);
(b) for the path: defining the connection relationship between the upstream and the downstream as follows: (i → j) is the upstream side of (j → k), and (j → k) is the downstream side of (i → j), and defines AeThe weight of the upstream and downstream connection relationship between (i → j) and (j → k);
considering that a road segment (represented as an edge in a node map) in a traffic network is influenced by the road segments upstream and downstream, the upstream and downstream connection relation is introduced when the edge map is constructed;
taking fig. 2(a) as an example, when the degree of the connecting node j between (i → j) and (j → k) is larger, the influence relationship between (i → j) and (j → k) is weaker because the influence relationship is susceptible to influence of other neighbors, and in view of the above characteristics, a is definedeThe weight of the upstream and downstream connection relationship between (i → j) and (j → k) is as follows:
wherein deg is-(. and deg)+(. to) denote the in-degree and out-degree of the node, respectively2Representing the variance of the node degrees.
(c) For the path: a road node i to a road node k denoted as (i → k), a road node j to a road node k denoted as (j → k), i.e., (i → k) and (j → k) share the same end node, are defined as competing relationships, and define AeThe weight of the competitive relationship between (i → k) and (j → k);
considering that road segments connected to the same node in a traffic network compete for downstream traffic resources, a competitive relationship is introduced when constructing the edge graph. Taking fig. 2(b) as an example, when the out-degree of the upstream nodes i and j is large, the vehicle will have multiple routes to select when passing through the nodes i and j, so that the vehicle will have multiple routes to select when passing through the nodes i and jThe competition relationship is weak. In view of the above characteristics, define AeThe weight of the competitive relationship between (i → k) and (j → k) is as follows:
(d) constructing a boundary graph GeEdge set E ofeWherein E iseWherein the element is GeThe edge of (2).
Step 4, according to the node mapAnd edge graph GeConstructing a convolution network of a dual graph and calculating the traffic flow X at the time ttInputting k layers of the convolutional network of the dual graph, and expressing the node of each layer output as
The graph convolutional network is a deep neural network for processing graph structure data, can model message transmission among nodes, and is widely applied to application scenarios such as social network analysis and chemical molecular modeling. Let graph G be (V, E, a), a typical graph convolution network is calculated as follows:
wherein the content of the first and second substances,for the input node characteristics, N is the number of nodes, P is the characteristic dimension of each node,for the parameters of the graph convolution network,to take into account self-connected adjacency matrices, INIs an identity matrix of size N x N,is composed ofP (-) is a non-linear activation function. The one-layer graph convolution network can aggregate the messages of the 1-hop neighbors for each node, and the range of the message-passing neighbors can be enlarged by stacking the multi-layer graph convolution networks.
As shown in FIG. 3, the invention designs a dual graph convolution network with graph convolution network as a component, which comprises k layers of node graph convolution network and k-1 layers of edge graph convolution network, can simultaneously model the message transmission of nodes and edges, and uses the dual graph convolution network to process the traffic flow at t momentThe specific steps (for simplicity of notation, the variables of steps (a) - (d) omit the subscript t without causing ambiguity) are:
(a) constructing node-edge mapping matricesTo represent the correspondence between road nodes and edges, where each row of M represents a road node, each column represents an edge, and M is defined as: mi,(i→j)=M j,(i→j)1, and the other positions are 0;
(b) m pairs of node maps according to node-edge mapping matrixInput X of(0)Linear transformation is performed on X and mapped to edge graph GeInput Z of(0):
Z(0)=MTX(0)Wb(5)
Wherein, WbIs a learnable mapping matrix;
(c) side map GeInput Z of(0)Inputting k-1 layers of edge graph convolution networks, and outputting edge representations of each layer:
wherein ★ G represents a graph convolution operation,parameters for convolution of the l +1 th layer edge map, Z(l)And Z(l+1)Edge representations respectively representing the output of the l < th > layer and l +1 < th > layer edge graph convolutional networks;
(d) mixing X(0)Inputting a k-layer node graph convolution network, and outputting node representations of all layers, wherein the first-layer node graph convolution network does not consider edge representation, and a back k-1-layer network considers edge representation:
wherein the content of the first and second substances,is the parameter of the l +1 level node graph convolution [, ]]Indicating a splicing operation, X(l)And X(l+1)Node representations representing the output of the l-th layer and l + 1-th layer node graph convolution network respectively;
(e) taking the output of the node graph convolution network as the output of the dual graph convolution network, and outputting node representation of k layers of the dual graph convolution network at t timeThe output of each layer represents information for a different neighbor range, where F is the dimension of the output node representation.
Step 5, the nodes output by each layer of the convolution network of the dual graph represent input multi-range attention networks to be fused, and output fusion is carried outCombined expression Ut。
The multi-range attention network is shown in fig. 4, and the specific steps of fusing node representations output by k layers of the convolutional network of the dual graph by using the attention network (for simplifying the labeling, the variable from the step (a) to the step (c) omits a subscript t without causing ambiguity) are as follows:
(a) node representation X for each layer output of the convolutional network of the dual graph(l)A linear transformation is performed, mapping it to the metric space:
Q(l)=X(l)Wa(9)
wherein the content of the first and second substances,in order for the mapping matrix to be learnable,is a node representation after mapping to the metric space.
(b) Representation after mapping to metric space for node i of l-th layer Is Q(l)Is computed with a learnable global neighbor-wide context representationAnd performing SoftMax normalization between layers to obtain the normalized weight represented by each layer of nodes:
wherein the content of the first and second substances,andexpressed as non-normalized and normalized weights, respectively.
(c) Using normalized weightsCarrying out weighted summation on the single node representations of each layer and outputting a fused representation of the single nodes
Wherein the content of the first and second substances,is X(l)Represents the representation of the level i node.
Step 6, the past T is processed′Fused representation of individual moments U(s-T′+1):sInputting a coding and decoding structure Long-time Memory (LSTM) network shared among nodes, and outputting traffic flow predicted values at T moments in the future
LSTM networks are a class of recurrent neural networks that can be used to model temporal dependencies in time series data. To effectively extract the features of time series data, a multi-layer LSTM network is generally adopted to enhance the nonlinear capability of the model. In order to balance the fitting capability and complexity of the model, the invention adopts two layers of LSTM networks to model the traffic flow time sequence. As shown in fig. 5, the present invention is based onLSTM constructs a coding and decoding frame shared among nodes, wherein the step length of an encoder LSTM network is T′The step size of the decoder LSTM network is T. Will pass T′Fused representation of individual moments U(s-T′+1):sInputting the encoder and the decoder to output predicted traffic flow values at T time points in the future
The traffic flow prediction method uses the dual graph to display and represent the dependency relationship between the nodes and the mutual influence of the relationships between the nodes, and simultaneously introduces the attention mechanism to model the multi-range spatial dependency relationship, so as to model the complex spatial dependency relationship in the traffic flow data, thereby predicting the traffic flow of a traffic network, and having wide application prospects in the fields of trip planning, traffic management and the like.
The above-mentioned embodiments are intended to illustrate the technical solutions and advantages of the present invention, and it should be understood that the above-mentioned embodiments are only the most preferred embodiments of the present invention, and are not intended to limit the present invention, and any modifications, additions, equivalents, etc. made within the scope of the principles of the present invention should be included in the scope of the present invention.
Claims (6)
1. A traffic flow prediction method based on a convolution network of a cyclic attention dual graph comprises the following steps:
step 1, constructing a traffic flow time sequence according to traffic flow data collected by road coil sensors on an urban traffic network, and preprocessing the traffic flow time sequence;
step 2, calculating the road network distance between the coil sensors, and constructing a node map according to the road network distanceWherein, VnIs a set of nodes, EnIs a set of edges, AnIs a contiguous matrix;
step 3, node mapEdge E innDefining two edge influence modes of upstream and downstream connection relation and competition relation as the nodes of the edge graph, constructing the edges of the edge graph according to the two edge influence modes, and then constructing an edge graph Ge=(Ve,Ee,Ae) Wherein V iseIs a set of nodes, EeIs a set of edges, AeIs a contiguous matrix;
step 4, according to the node mapAnd edge graph GeConstructing a convolution network of a dual graph and calculating the traffic flow X at the time ttInputting k layers of the convolutional network of the dual graph, and expressing the node of each layer output as
Step 5, the output nodes of each layer of the convolution network of the dual graph represent input multi-range attention network for fusion, and the output fusion represents Ut;
2. The traffic flow prediction method based on the cyclic attention pair graph convolutional network according to claim 1, wherein in step 1, the number of coil sensors on the road network is N,indicating that the traffic path ended within the time window at time tAnd (3) processing the missing value and the abnormal value of the traffic flow of N nodes on the network by using a linear interpolation method.
3. The traffic flow prediction method based on the convolutional network of circular attention dual map as claimed in claim 1, wherein in step 2, a node map is constructedThe method comprises the following specific steps:
(a) building a node graphNode set V ofn={v1,v2,…,vNIn which, | VnN, node set VnOne element in (1) corresponds to one road node;
(b) calculating the road network distance between any two road nodes, dist (v)i,vj) Representing the shortest road network distance from the road node i to the road node j;
(c) calculation based on road network distance between nodesAdjacent matrix A ofnWherein the adjacent matrix AnThe calculation formula of (2) is as follows:
wherein σ2D is a manually set threshold value for the variance of the road network distance between all road nodes;
4. The traffic flow prediction method based on the convolutional network of circular attention dual map as claimed in claim 1, wherein in step 3, a boundary map G is constructedeThe method comprises the following specific steps:
(a) constructing a boundary graph GeNode set V ofeEdge graph G ═ EeThe node in (1) corresponds to the node mapAn edge of (1);
(b) for the path: defining the connection relationship between the upstream and the downstream as follows: (i → j) is the upstream side of (j → k), and (j → k) is the downstream side of (i → j), and defines AeThe weight of the upstream and downstream connection relationship between (i → j) and (j → k) is as follows:
wherein deg is-(. and deg)+(. to) denote the in-degree and out-degree of the node, respectively2A variance representing a degree of a node;
(c) for the path: a road node i to a road node k denoted as (i → k), a road node j to a road node k denoted as (j → k), i.e., (i → k) and (j → k) share the same end node, are defined as competing relationships, and define AeThe weight of the competitive relationship between (i → k) and (j → k) is as follows:
(d) constructing a boundary graph GeEdge set E ofeWherein E iseWherein the element is GeThe edge of (2).
5. The traffic flow prediction method based on the convolutional network of the cyclic attention pair graph according to claim 1, wherein step 4 isThe dual graph convolution network comprises a k-layer node graph convolution network and a k-1 layer edge graph convolution network, simultaneously models the message transmission of nodes and edges, and processes the traffic flow at the t moment by using the dual graph convolution networkThe method comprises the following specific steps:
(a) constructing node-edge mapping matricesTo represent the correspondence between road nodes and edges, where each row of M represents a road node, each column represents an edge, and M is defined as: mi,(i→j)=Mj,(i→j)1, and the other positions are 0;
(b) m pairs of node maps according to node-edge mapping matrixInput X of(0)Linear transformation is performed on X and mapped to edge graph GeInput Z of(0):
Z(0)=MTX(0)Wb(4)
Wherein, WbIs a learnable mapping matrix;
(c) side map GeInput Z of(0)Inputting k-1 layers of edge graph convolution networks, and outputting edge representations of each layer:
wherein ★ G represents a graph convolution operation,parameters for convolution of the l +1 th layer edge map, Z(l)And Z(l+1)Edge representations respectively representing the output of the l < th > layer and l +1 < th > layer edge graph convolutional networks;
(d) mixing X(0)Inputting k-layer node graph convolution network, outputting eachNode representations of layers, wherein the first layer node graph convolutional network considers edge representations, and the k-1 layer network considers edge representations:
wherein the content of the first and second substances,is the parameter of the l +1 level node graph convolution [, ]]Indicating a splicing operation, X(l)And X(l+1)Node representations representing the output of the l-th layer and l + 1-th layer node graph convolution network respectively;
(e) taking the output of the node graph convolution network as the output of the dual graph convolution network, and outputting node representation of k layers of the dual graph convolution network at t timeThe output of each layer represents information for a different neighbor range, where F is the dimension of the output node representation.
6. The traffic flow prediction method based on the circular attention dual graph convolutional network as claimed in claim 1, wherein in step 5, the specific step of fusing the node representations of the k-layer output of the dual graph convolutional network by using the attention network is as follows:
(a) node representation X for each layer output of the convolutional network of the dual graph(l)A linear transformation is performed, mapping it to the metric space:
Q(l)=X(l)Wa(8)
wherein the content of the first and second substances,in order for the mapping matrix to be learnable,is the node representation after mapping to the metric space;
(b) representation after mapping to metric space for node i of l-th layer Is Q(l)Is computed with a learnable global neighbor-wide context representationAnd performing SoftMax normalization between layers to obtain the normalized weight represented by each layer of nodes:
wherein the content of the first and second substances,andexpressed as non-normalized and normalized weights, respectively;
(c) using normalized weightsCarrying out weighted summation on the single node representations of each layer and outputting a fused representation of the single nodes
Wherein the content of the first and second substances,is X(l)Represents the representation of the l-th level node i;
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