CN110516951A - A kind of integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval - Google Patents

A kind of integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval Download PDF

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CN110516951A
CN110516951A CN201910776326.6A CN201910776326A CN110516951A CN 110516951 A CN110516951 A CN 110516951A CN 201910776326 A CN201910776326 A CN 201910776326A CN 110516951 A CN110516951 A CN 110516951A
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窦迅
王俊
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Nanjing Tech University
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Abstract

The invention discloses a kind of integrated energy system dispatching methods of dynamic interval, include the following steps, establish the integrated energy system Scheduling Framework based on dynamic interval Model Predictive Control;Establish integrated energy system scheduling model a few days ago;Establish in a few days scheduling " trajector deviation-control energy-control cost " performance indicator based on Model Predictive Control;Establish dynamic interval decision index system;Establish energy conversion unit, heat supply network model, gas pessimistic concurrency control, electric network model.Beneficial effects of the present invention: consider that being conducive to performance indicator has enough adjustable nargin, copes with different scene demands with the integrated energy system dispatching method for the dynamic interval that " trajector deviation-control energy-control cost " is performance indicator;Dynamic interval decision index system is considered, the time of day for even having occurred and that large error will be occurred by being conducive to reflection system, provide decision index system for whether system needs to assign dispatch command.

Description

A kind of integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval
Technical field
The present invention relates to the technical fields of integrated energy system scheduling, more particularly to one kind to be based on dynamic interval model The integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval.
Background technique
With a large amount of accesses of renewable energy, integrated energy system is the important channel realizing high efficiency of energy and utilizing.It is comprehensive The Optimized Operation for closing energy resource system is the key technology realizing all kinds of energy harmonizings and utilizing.In Optimized Operation, dispatching party The accuracy of case is heavily dependent on the levels of precision of internal loading dispatching cycle prediction, and net load prediction inevitably exists certain Error, and increase with the increase of dispatching cycle, predict that influence of the error to Optimized Operation can be by dispatching cycle It divides to reduce.However the response speed of electric power networks, natural gas network and the instruction of heating power network degree of exchanging is different, electric power System inertia is minimum, and adjustment speed is fast, and natural gas system takes second place, and hot (cold) system is most slow, since comprehensive energy subsystem is dynamic There are significant differences for step response, workload demand/response characteristic etc., when adding same on discontinuity surface, different sub-systems Schedulable resource is also different, these factors bring challenge to the selection of integrated energy system dispatching cycle, if dispatching cycle It is too long, lead to that there are large errors with the actual operational process of system, if dispatching cycle is too small, meaningless increase system development and Operating cost.Therefore, the rational management time how is selected, comprehensive energy is realized by scheduling in necessary and correct time section The resources effective utilization of system is current the problem of being badly in need of research.
It is at this stage based on Fixed Time Interval, the day of optimization system mostly about the scheduling research of integrated energy system Before/in a few days scheduling strategy be with Fixed Time Interval and to consider rail mostly in terms of the dispatching method based on Model Predictive Control The performance indicator of mark deviation, but these researchs seldom consider the dispatching method of the Model Predictive Control of dynamic interval.
Summary of the invention
The purpose of this section is to summarize some aspects of the embodiment of the present invention and briefly introduce some preferable implementations Example.It may do a little simplified or be omitted to avoid our department is made in this section and the description of the application and the title of the invention Point, the purpose of abstract of description and denomination of invention it is fuzzy, and this simplification or omit and cannot be used for limiting the scope of the invention.
In view of above-mentioned existing problem, the present invention is proposed.
Therefore, it is an object of the present invention to provide a kind of integrated energy system dispatching methods of dynamic interval.
In order to solve the above technical problems, the invention provides the following technical scheme: a kind of comprehensive energy of dynamic interval System scheduling method includes the following steps, establishes the integrated energy system scheduling based on dynamic interval Model Predictive Control Frame obtains the scheduling principle of the integrated energy system based on dynamic interval Model Predictive Control;Establish comprehensive energy system System scheduling model a few days ago, obtain a few days ago operation plan as the reference locus in a few days dispatched;It establishes based on Model Predictive Control In a few days dispatch " trajector deviation-control energy-control cost " performance indicator, the objective function as in a few days optimizing scheduling;It establishes Dynamic interval decision index system, judges whether scheduling interval needs to change;Reference locus correction index is established, is judged with reference to rail Whether mark, which needs, corrects;Energy conversion unit, heat supply network model, gas pessimistic concurrency control, electric network model are established, integrated energy system tune is obtained Degree constraint condition obtains the in a few days scheduling scheme of integrated energy system in the case where meeting constraint condition.
A kind of preferred embodiment of integrated energy system dispatching method as dynamic interval of the present invention, In: the integrated energy system Scheduling Framework of the foundation based on dynamic interval Model Predictive Control, when obtaining based on dynamic Between gap model PREDICTIVE CONTROL integrated energy system scheduling principle it is further comprising the steps of, dispatched a few days ago to run minimized Cost is target making hour service capacity plan in lower day and issues.And in a few days rolling optimal dispatching is then in terms of to dispatch a few days ago It divides reference locus w (k+i) into, carries out rolling optimization by initial value of running power output.Shape is run according to the system at k moment State sequence u (k), the system mode sequence based on the prediction model prediction k+1 momentSystem mode sequenceWith The system mode error sequence e (k) at k moment collectively forms output prediction linkOn the one hand output prediction link passes through Cross dynamic interval decision index system ξt, judge whether the instruction for needing to assign amendment operation plan, on the other hand by a few days Reference locus corrects indexJudge whether to need to be modified reference locus w (k+i).
A kind of preferred embodiment of integrated energy system dispatching method as dynamic interval of the present invention, In: it is described to establish integrated energy system scheduling model a few days ago, obtain a few days ago operation plan as the reference locus in a few days dispatched also Include the following steps, dispatching a few days ago and optimizing scheduling by target of economic optimum, objective function is as follows:
In formula: T is the Optimized Operation period a few days ago, is taken for 24 hours, time interval 1h;U is generating set set;V is natural gas Source set;Eu,tFor the active power output of t moment generating set u, Gv,tFor the gas production of t moment gas source v;For generating set u's Cost of electricity-generating,For the Gas Prices of gas source v.
A kind of preferred embodiment of integrated energy system dispatching method as dynamic interval of the present invention, In: described in a few days scheduling " trajector deviation-control energy-control cost " performance indicator of foundation based on Model Predictive Control is made Objective function in a few days optimizing scheduling is further comprising the steps of, the reference locus w (k+i) dispatched a few days ago and output predictionAfter scene Recognition, optimized according to performance indicator, performance indicator is the objective function of rolling optimization.Performance Target function considers trajector deviation, control energy, control cost, as shown in formula:
Being expressed as matrix form is formula:
Wherein, T is prediction time domain, and M is control time domain, Q=diag [q1, q2..., qT], R=diag [r1, r2..., rM]、 S=diag [s1, s2..., sM] be different scenes under weight matrix,To predict that output matrix, W (k+1) are reference Track matrix, Δ p (k) are controlling increment matrix, and C (k) is control Cost matrix.Predict output matrix and reference locus matrix packet The active power output and gas production of equipment are included, controlling increment matrix is regulated quantity of the equipment in plan a few days ago, controls Cost matrix The cost of load is supplied for equipment.
A kind of preferred embodiment of integrated energy system dispatching method as dynamic interval of the present invention, In: it is described to establish dynamic interval decision index system, judge scheduling interval whether need to change it is further comprising the steps of, based on to Decision-making period predict time domain in integrated energy system overall situation operating cost in a few days under reference locus the overall situation operating cost deviation Rate establishes dynamic interval decision index system ξt.Global cost is shown below:
S in formular,tIndicate that decision period and the global cost for predicting time domain, A indicate the unit of 1 row T column to t moment Battle array, P indicate that decision period and prediction time domain regulate and control moment matrix, p in t momentlT,tIndicate t moment Demand-side and system side resource Regulation amount of the l in prediction time domain T, C expression Cost matrix, clIndicate the cost coefficient regulated and controled to l.
Dynamic interval decision index system ξtShown in being expressed as follows:
Wherein, Sw,tIndicate the global cost of reference locus.
When the deviation between the actual path and reference locus after the optimizing scheduling based on Model Predictive Control is to complete Office's operating cost will trigger dynamic interval decision when producing bigger effect, change control room every, in advance to control time domain into Row, which optimizes, simultaneously executes dispatch command, when influencing smaller, does not then trigger decision, and control room reduces unnecessary holds every will be late by Row instruction.
A kind of preferred embodiment of integrated energy system dispatching method as dynamic interval of the present invention, In: it is described to establish reference locus correction index, judge that whether reference locus needs to correct further comprising the steps of, works as actual motion When the deviation that scene and prediction scene are likely to occur, the reference significance for being intended to be reference locus a few days ago is just reduced.Therefore will Actual path is compared with reference locus, establishes reference locus correction index.Operation plan essentially dictates unit a few days ago Start and stop and combination plan, if therefore current time occur relatively large deviation, Unit Commitment or combination plan should be adjusted in time, then In a few days reference locus corrects indexIt can indicate are as follows:
Wherein,For actual path,For in a few days reference locus.
A kind of preferred embodiment of integrated energy system dispatching method as dynamic interval of the present invention, In: it is described to establish energy conversion unit, heat supply network model, gas pessimistic concurrency control, electric network model, obtain integrated energy system schedule constraints item Part, in the case where meeting constraint condition, the in a few days scheduling scheme for obtaining integrated energy system is further comprising the steps of, the energy It measures converting unit and considers energy balance constraint;The heat supply network model considers that node flow balance, node power fusion, load are taken Characteristic, supply and return water temperature constraint and pipeline section heat-transfer character;The gas pessimistic concurrency control consideration pipeline flow constrains, gas source point constrains, Flow equilibrium constraint, compressor constraint and node pressure constraint;The electric network model considers node power balance, unit output Constraint, Climing constant and Branch Power Flow constraint.
Beneficial effects of the present invention: when considering the dynamic with " trajector deviation-control energy-control cost " for performance indicator Between the integrated energy system dispatching method that is spaced, being conducive to performance indicator has enough adjustable nargin, and coping with different scenes needs It asks;Dynamic interval decision index system is considered, being conducive to reflection system will occur even to have occurred and that the true of large error Real state provides decision index system for whether system needs to assign dispatch command;In a few days reference locus correction index is considered, favorably In the deviation of reply actual scene and prediction scene, real now forecast time domain global optimization scheduling facilitates the popularization of this programme With implementation.
Detailed description of the invention
In order to illustrate the technical solution of the embodiments of the present invention more clearly, required use in being described below to embodiment Attached drawing be briefly described, it should be apparent that, drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the invention, for this For the those of ordinary skill of field, without any creative labor, it can also be obtained according to these attached drawings other Attached drawing.Wherein:
Fig. 1 is the bulk flow of the integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval described in first embodiment of the invention Cheng Tu;
Fig. 2 is the integrated energy system based on dynamic interval Model Predictive Control described in first practical example of the invention Scheduling Framework figure;
Fig. 3 is the test example figure of integrated energy system described in first embodiment of the invention;
Fig. 4 is that the integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval described in first embodiment of the invention is calculated in test Scheduling scheme a few days ago in example;
Fig. 5 is that the integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval described in first embodiment of the invention is calculated in test In a few days scheduling scheme in example;
Fig. 6 is the integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval described in second embodiment of the invention and is based on solid It fixes time gap model comparing result schematic diagram;
Fig. 7 is that performance indicator described in second embodiment of the invention is shown with the result of variations of dynamic interval decision index system It is intended to;
Fig. 8 be second embodiment of the invention described in dynamic interval integrated energy system dispatching method with do not consider The dynamic interval model comparing result schematic diagram of reference locus correction index;
Fig. 9 is that performance indicator described in second embodiment of the invention is illustrated with the result of variations that reference locus corrects index Figure.
Specific embodiment
In order to make the foregoing objectives, features and advantages of the present invention clearer and more comprehensible, right with reference to the accompanying drawings of the specification A specific embodiment of the invention is described in detail, it is clear that and described embodiment is a part of the embodiments of the present invention, and It is not all of embodiment.Based on the embodiments of the present invention, ordinary people in the field is without making creative work Every other embodiment obtained, all should belong to the range of protection of the invention.
In the following description, numerous specific details are set forth in order to facilitate a full understanding of the present invention, but the present invention can be with Implemented using other than the one described here other way, those skilled in the art can be without prejudice to intension of the present invention In the case of do similar popularization, therefore the present invention is not limited by the specific embodiments disclosed below.
Secondly, " one embodiment " or " embodiment " referred to herein, which refers to, may be included at least one realization side of the invention A particular feature, structure, or characteristic in formula." in one embodiment " that different places occur in the present specification not refers both to The same embodiment, nor the individual or selective embodiment mutually exclusive with other embodiments.
Combination schematic diagram of the present invention is described in detail, when describing the embodiments of the present invention, for purposes of illustration only, indicating device The sectional view of structure can disobey general proportion and make partial enlargement, and the schematic diagram is example, should not limit this herein Invent the range of protection.In addition, the three-dimensional space of length, width and depth should be included in actual fabrication.
Simultaneously in the description of the present invention, it should be noted that the orientation of the instructions such as " upper and lower, inner and outer " in term Or positional relationship is to be based on the orientation or positional relationship shown in the drawings, and is merely for convenience of description of the present invention and simplification of the description, and It is not that the device of indication or suggestion meaning or element must have a particular orientation, be constructed and operated in a specific orientation, therefore It is not considered as limiting the invention.In addition, term " first, second or third " is used for description purposes only, and cannot understand For indication or suggestion relative importance.
In the present invention unless otherwise clearly defined and limited, term " installation is connected, connection " shall be understood in a broad sense, example Such as: may be a fixed connection, be detachably connected or integral type connection;It equally can be mechanical connection, be electrically connected or be directly connected to, Can also indirectly connected through an intermediary, the connection being also possible to inside two elements.For the ordinary skill people of this field For member, the concrete meaning of above-mentioned term in the present invention can be understood with concrete condition.
Embodiment 1
In terms of integrated energy system Optimized Operation, current research can establish setting for separate unit and coupling unit On the basis of standby physical model, economic model and electric power, natural gas, heating power energy subsystem steady-state load flow model, needle is realized To the comprehensive energy Optimized Operation of the particular systems such as electric-gas, electric-thermal, also it is capable of forming excellent including energy transition equipment Change and adjust strategy, robust cooperative scheduling optimization can also be carried out for the uncertain problem of the renewable energy such as wind-powered electricity generation, also can The responding ability of user is excavated by pricing information and formulates a few days ago/in a few days operation plan, but these Optimization Schedulings are most It is to optimize scheduling controlling for sometime section or more periods, still falls within static optimization.For electric system, naturally Gas system and therrmodynamic system also have correlative study can be to electricity-in the fast dynamics and slow motion step response of different time scales The particular systems such as gas, electric-thermal carry out in a few days/ultra-short term rolling optimal dispatching, but still are open loop Optimization Scheduling, by right Load prediction precision can be improved in the division of time scale, but current research is not counted and real system operation is to optimal control The influence of process.It is with one day for 24 hours for scheduling time domain, 15min is most small step but the present invention is based on Model Predictive Control principle Long, the optimal value of current time variable has an impact the variate-value of following instant, belongs to dynamic optimization, setting output prediction loop Section is fed back, and the optimization of moment variable considered the influence to following instant variable at that time, belonged to closed-loop optimization.Last is defeated Out the result is that one day for 24 hours in multiple moment dispatch value.
Influence of the real system operation to optimal control process is that " it is pre- that load can be improved by the division to time scale Survey precision ", time scale can be divided into the several seconds, but so will not frequently be controlled when real system operation, can increase Add very big scheduling cost.By temperature when actual motion, many factors such as pressure influence, and there are certain loss, effective supplies There are certain deviations for value and operation plan value.
The deficiency on anti-interference ability and robustness, Model Predictive Control (Model are dispatched for open loop Predictive Control, MPC) method is gradually applied on Optimized Operation.MPC is as a kind of system optimization controlling party Method, it is different from refinement time scale Optimization Scheduling, quantity of state feedback compensation link is introduced, prediction error etc. can be corrected Optimized Operation deviation caused by factor obtains the optimum control variable of current and future period, so that following export and refer to rail Mark deviation is minimum, has extremely strong anti-interference ability and robustness.MPC method has applied to family lan, micro-capacitance sensor, has matched All kinds of grid load frequency controls such as power grid and supply of cooling, heating and electrical powers type microgrid, cool and thermal power association system and electric power, comprehensive energy The Optimized Operation in field, and good effect is obtained in terms of stability contorting and system robust, but mostly between the set time It is divided into and rolls the period and using trajector deviation as performance indicator rolling optimization is successively carried out to current time, it is difficult to accurate description load The influence to the flowing of integrated energy system self-energy such as prediction, renewable energy power output, in the scheduling track of multistage time scale Amendment, the scene correction of different time section, control room study deep not enough, less consideration every adjustment etc..This implementation Example can only describe the system mode at given at the time of point by Fixed Time Interval, that is, can only carry out in specific point Scheduling, and these points not necessarily (assigning dispatch command or not assigning dispatch command and scheduling is tied there is an urgent need to scheduling The influence of fruit is little).Dispatch command, shadow are exactly assigned in the scheduling of dynamic interval when system is there is an urgent need to dispatch Ringing little point, there is no need to reschedule.
Signal referring to Fig.1 illustrates that is proposed in the present embodiment considers the integrated energy system multiclass of system reserve value The overall flow figure of type energy storage configuration method, the also as comprehensive energy of dynamic interval described in first embodiment of the invention The overall flow figure of system scheduling method is made of in specific implementation procedure following steps:
S100: the integrated energy system Scheduling Framework based on dynamic interval Model Predictive Control is established, is referring to Fig. 2 Integrated energy system Scheduling Framework figure described in the present embodiment based on dynamic interval Model Predictive Control is obtained based on dynamic The scheduling principle of the integrated energy system of time interval Model Predictive Control.Specifically, it is further comprising the steps of in this step,
It is dispatched a few days ago using the cost that runs minimized as target making hour service capacity plan in lower day and is issued.And in a few days Rolling optimal dispatching is then to be rolled using operation plan a few days ago as reference locus w (k+i) using running power output as initial value Dynamic optimization.
The scheduling principle for being namely based on Model Predictive Control of scheduling principle description.This method of Model Predictive Control itself It is not intended to do and dispatch, be a kind of control theory.Had one in electric power system dispatching, the scheduling of supply of cooling, heating and electrical powers type microgrid later A little applications, then we also apply it in the scheduling of integrated energy system.
Dispatching method of the invention is based on " Model Predictive Control " first, and feature or innovative point are " dynamic times Interval ".Scheduling principle is exactly the principle that Model Predictive Control is applied to integrated energy system scheduling, is with operation plan a few days ago Reference locus.System in future state is predicted by prediction model, and collectively forms output in advance with the state error of system Link is surveyed, output prediction link enters dynamic interval decision index system, judges whether to need to correct scheduling interval, then carry out The optimization of performance indicator;Another aspect output prediction link also enters in a few days reference locus and corrects index, judges whether needs pair Reference locus is modified.
It is specific as follows: according to the system running state sequence u (k) at k moment, to be based on what prediction model predicted the k+1 moment System status switch, system mode sequence and the system mode error sequence e (k) at k moment collectively form output prediction link, output On the one hand prediction link passes through dynamic interval decision index system ξt, judge whether the instruction for needing to assign amendment operation plan, This judgement herein is to need to provide a judgment criteria according to system requirements, and the result that standard difference then optimizes is different, quite Then an input parameter.I can list 5 groups of dynamic interval decision index system ξ t of setting in example below, and respectively 0.04, 0.08,0.12,0.16,0.20, scheduling result is compared, it is the parameter of an input that judgment criteria is provided according to the demand of system, Different reference locus correction indexs is considered in example, and 5 groups of reference locus are set and correct indexRespectively 0.04,0.08, 0.12,0.16,0.20, it is scheduled the comparative analysis of result.On the other hand index is corrected by a few days reference locusJudgement Whether need to be modified reference locus w (k+i).
The instruction for correcting operation plan is according to the calculation formula of index ξ t, this index at computing system current time Value is then adjusted on the basis of needing in the operation plan that reference locus provides at current time when reaching given standard Degree adjustment, assigns new dispatch command, if not up to given standard, current time according to script reference locus scheduling Plan, does not need additionally to assign dispatch command.
Track correct is according to indexCalculation formula, this index value at computing system current time, when reach to It when fixed standard, then needs to be modified the operation plan that reference locus provides at current time, changes reference locus, specifically Operation is the scheduling result at the moment before, re-starts optimizing scheduling a few days ago, updates current time and tune a few days ago later Degree plan, that is, reference locus.If not up to given standard, current time still use script reference locus.
Difference with dynamic interval decision index system is:
Reference locus corrects index, and correction is reference locus itself, and dynamic interval decision index system is modified to be No needs are in a few days dispatched at current time according to reference locus.The Model Predictive Control mainly includes three parts prediction mould Type, feedback compensation and rolling optimization.Prediction model is exactly the result according to scheduled good period prediction following sessions.
It should also be noted that, prediction result is a sequence, it is not a value.For example, there are within one day 96 15min, 8 points of (k+1 moment) this moment are scheduled, just 8 points are once predicted at 7: 45 (k moment).Based on 8 points it Preceding 32 data (this 32 data are k moment, that is, 7: 45 already existing operation datas) predict 64 numbers below According to this sequence (the system mode sequence at k+1 moment) of output includes 96 that 32 data and 64 data form together Data.This is to predict the sequence come.And system mode error sequence only has 7: 45 and its data before, that is, 32 Error information, this 32 error informations constitute the state error sequence at 7: 45 (k moment).That is, 7: 45 to not Come at 8 points to be predicted, 8 points of prediction result is original existing 32 data+subsequent 96 data, wherein containing at 8 points Predicted value.But there was only 32 data in 7: 45 error information, there is no 8 points of error informations.So state error sequence Column are the k moment, and the system mode sequence of prediction is the k+1 moment.It is by 96 data when then carrying out performance index optimization Optimize together (7: 45 and scheduling numerical value before will not change, mainly to the scheduling numerical value after 8 points and 8 points Optimization), guarantee global optimum, but only carry out the optimizing scheduling at 8 o'clock as a result, although later point is optimized, but It is not execute, the waiting time is rolled to following time interval.It to be scheduled to 8: 15,8: 15 become k+1, and 8 points become K is once predicted again 8: 15, that is, based on 33 data before, predict subsequent 63 data, behind with 8 points Scheduling it is identical.
S200: establishing integrated energy system scheduling model a few days ago, obtain a few days ago operation plan as the reference in a few days dispatched Track.It is specific further comprising the steps of,
It dispatches a few days ago and optimizes scheduling by target of economic optimum, objective function is as follows:
In formula: T is the Optimized Operation period a few days ago, is taken for 24 hours, time interval 1h;U is generating set set;V is natural gas Source set;Eu,tFor the active power output of t moment generating set u, Gv,tFor the gas production of t moment gas source v;For generating set u's Cost of electricity-generating,For the Gas Prices of gas source v.Scheduling model a few days ago is solved, tune hourly under obtaining 1 day for 24 hours Degree plan, that is, the power output of each equipment per hour.Operation plan is equivalent to be the rank as unit of hour a few days ago for this Jump signal.Then in a few days scheduling is exactly using this step signal dispatched a few days ago as reference locus, in the base of this step signal It is adjusted on plinth.
S300: it establishes in a few days scheduling " trajector deviation-control energy-control cost " performance based on Model Predictive Control and refers to Mark, the objective function as in a few days optimizing scheduling.It is specific further comprising the steps of,
The reference locus w (k+i) dispatched a few days ago and output predictionReference locus is adjusted according to optimization a few days ago The result of degree obtains, and output prediction is obtained by system mode sequence and system mode error sequence, after scene Recognition, foundation Performance indicator optimizes, which refers to the minimum of performance indicator, and min F can embody in formula, and performance indicator is just It is F, comprising trajector deviation, control energy and control cost three parts, performance indicator is the objective function of rolling optimization.Performance refers to Scalar functions consider trajector deviation, control energy and control cost, as shown in formula:
Being expressed as matrix form is formula:
Wherein, T is prediction time domain, and M is control time domain, Q=diag [q1, q2..., qT], R=diag [r1, r2..., rM]、 S=diag [s1, s2..., sM] be different scenes under weight matrix,To predict that output matrix, W (k+1) are reference Track matrix, Δ p (k) are controlling increment matrix, and C (k) is control Cost matrix.Predict output matrix and reference locus matrix packet The active power output and gas production of equipment are included, controlling increment matrix is regulated quantity of the equipment in plan a few days ago, controls Cost matrix The cost of load is supplied for equipment.
S400: establishing dynamic interval decision index system, judges whether scheduling interval needs to change;It further include following step Suddenly,
Based on to integrated energy system in decision period forecasting time domain, (" be based on dynamic interval Model Predictive Control " be The method of scheduling, " to decision period forecasting time domain " are the global operating cost under this method, when carrying out in a few days rolling optimization An expression) global operating cost and operating cost global under in a few days reference locus deviation ratio, establish between dynamic time Every decision index system ξt.Global cost (the global cost of t moment decision period and prediction time domain, i.e. Sr, t) is shown below:
S in formular,tIndicate that decision period and the global cost for predicting time domain, A indicate the unit of 1 row T column to t moment Battle array, P indicate that decision period and prediction time domain regulate and control moment matrix, p in t momentlT,tIndicate t moment Demand-side and system side resource Regulation amount of the l in prediction time domain T, C expression Cost matrix, clIndicate the cost coefficient regulated and controled to l.
Dynamic interval decision index system ξtShown in being expressed as follows:
Wherein, Sw,tIndicate the global cost of reference locus.
When the deviation between the actual path and reference locus after the optimizing scheduling based on Model Predictive Control is to complete Office's operating cost will trigger dynamic interval decision when producing bigger effect, change control room every, in advance to control time domain into Row, which optimizes, simultaneously executes dispatch command, when influencing smaller, does not then trigger decision, and control room reduces unnecessary holds every will be late by Row instruction.
S500: reference locus correction index is established, judges whether reference locus needs to correct.It is further comprising the steps of,
When the deviation that actual motion scene and prediction scene are likely to occur, it is intended to be the reference meaning of reference locus a few days ago Justice just reduces.Therefore actual path and reference locus are compared, establishes reference locus correction index.
Operation plan essentially dictates the start and stop and combination plan of unit a few days ago, if therefore occurring at current time larger inclined Difference should then adjust Unit Commitment or combination plan in time, then in a few days reference locus corrects indexIt can indicate are as follows:
Wherein,For actual path,For in a few days reference locus.
S600: establishing energy conversion unit, heat supply network model, gas pessimistic concurrency control and electric network model, obtains integrated energy system tune Degree constraint condition obtains the in a few days scheduling scheme of integrated energy system in the case where meeting constraint condition.Above-mentioned establishes three A model, these models are mainly physical model, that is, need to meet energy conversion unit, heat supply network, gas net, power grid object Reason constraint, when being then scheduled to integrated energy system, needs to meet these constraint conditions.The constraint condition refers to energy Converting unit, heat supply network, gas net and power grid need the physical constraint met, and the boundary that different systems needs to meet can be different, Which boundary I can indicate in example below.
In a few days scheduling scheme refer mainly to all fired power generating units power output and natural air-air source air demand (heat be also pass through Electricity, natural gas are by heating equipment supply, and the energy input of most original is exactly that electricity is gentle, so final scheduling scheme sums up For the power output of fired power generating unit and the air demand of natural air-air source).
It is further more specifically, wherein further comprising the steps of in S600,
S601: energy conversion model of element is established.
The energy conversion unit of integrated energy system passes through Coupling device for electric system, natural gas system and heating power system System connects, and the energy conversion unit of the present embodiment building mainly includes cogeneration of heat and power (CHP), power transformer (T), heat exchange Device (HE), heat regenerator (HR), electricity turn gas (P2G), electricity refrigeration (EC) and absorption refrigeration (AC) equipment, energy-balance equation (energy conversion model of element) are as follows:
Wherein Le、Lg、Lh、LeRespectively electricity, air and heat, cold load consumption, ηCHP、ηHE、ηT、ηHR、ηAC、ηP2G、ηECFor The efficiency of CHP, HE, T, HR, AC, P2G, EC, φCHPFor the hotspot stress of CHP, λe,1、λe,2、λe,3For the electric power distribution ratio of input Example, λg,1、λg,2For the natural gas distribution ratio of input, PgFor gas consumption, PeFor electric power consumption.
S602: establishing the heat supply network model of integrated energy system, herein heat supply network model be not a simple expression formula or Figure, but need to meet certain physical constraint in pipeline, the hot water flow of node, temperature, it is following to specifically describe:
Heating system often uses steam and hot water as heat-carrying agent.Regard heat supply network as fluid network, mainly considers node-flow Amount balance, node power fusion, load take characteristic, supply and return water temperature constraint and pipeline section heat-transfer character.Specifically, as follows:
1. node flow balances, for any node in heat supply network, the sum of hot water flow of inflow be equal to outflow flow it With that is,In formula,WithRespectively it is connected with node i and from node i starting and ending pipeline Set;For hot water quality's flow in period t pipeline j.
2. node temperature merges, the hot water of different temperatures is mixed after different pipeline flow-direction same node points, after mixing The hot water temperature for flowing into different pipelines from same node is identical, i.e.,In formula,For period t pipe Hot water outlet temperature in road j;For hot water inlet's temperature in period t pipeline k.
3. load takes characteristic, for the heat supply network branch comprising heat user, load bus i is in period t consumption of calorie Flowing through load bus mass flow isWater by supply water temperatureIt is down to return water temperatureI.e.
4. supply and return water temperature constrains, in order to guarantee the heating quality of heat source and heat user, need to heat source and heat user It is limited for, return water temperature, i.e.,
5. pipeline section heat-transfer character, the flowing that heat supply network relies on hot water realizes that energy transmission, the sluggishness of delivery may be led Several minutes of power transmission delays not waited to a few hours are caused, this dispatches the ultra-short term of integrated energy system, and there may be significant It influences.Steady state heat transfer characteristic is expressed as:In formula, x be on pipeline section certain point and pipeline section head end away from From;R is the thermal resistance of pipeline section unit length, and Ts, Te, Ta is respectively the head end temperature of a root canal section, temperature and ambient temperature at x, f For hot water flow.Transient state heat-transfer character is as follows: for apart from the closer place of heat source, transient process is shorter, Primary regulation it Afterwards, before adjusting next time, pipeline section temperature has reached stable state, and the transient state heat-transfer character of pipeline section can indicate at these points are as follows:
In formula, Ti(x, t) is temperature of the heat-net-pipeline in the i-th period, at heat source x in t moment;WithPoint It Wei not ti-1Moment and ti-2The temperature of moment heat source;I=1,2,3 ....
For apart from the farther away place of heat source, transient process is longer, and after Primary regulation, stable state is had not yet been reached in temperature, under Primary regulation has begun, and the transient state heat-transfer character of pipeline section can indicate at these points are as follows:
In formula, Ti(x, t) is temperature of the heat-net-pipeline in the (i-1)-th period, at heat source x at the ti-1 moment;I=1, 2,3 ....
S603: establishing the gas pessimistic concurrency control of integrated energy system, be on natural gas network, it is natural in pipeline, node The physical constraint that throughput, pressure need to meet, described below:
Gas pessimistic concurrency control mainly includes pipeline flow constraint, gas source point constraint, flow equilibrium constraint, compressor constraint and section Press force constraint.
1. pipeline flow constrains, natural gas line flow equation is related with pipe ends pressure and many physical characteristics of pipeline, General form is had no, the gas flow under particular condition is usually described with nonlinear equation.Gas pipeline is insulated for ideal, is examined Consider natural gas two-way flow, flow equation may be expressed as:In formula, Indicate that t moment flows through the average flow rate of pipeline ij, whereinThe respectively first section natural gas filling of t moment pipeline ij becomes a mandarin Amount and end natural gas output flow;Cij is the related constants such as pipeline ij efficiency, temperature, length, internal diameter, compressibility factor; pi,t、pj,tRespectively t moment first and last node i, the pressure value of j.
2. gas source point constrains,Wherein,The natural gas of respectively gas source point n supplies Answer flow bound.
3. flow equilibrium constrains,Wherein,For t moment node Gas source feed flow on i;Turn gas gas supply flow for the electricity in t moment node i;For combustion gas wheel in t moment node i The gas discharge of machine consumption;For the natural gas load in t moment node i;It is consumed for CCHP in t moment node i Gas discharge.
4. compressor constrains, using simplified compressor model are as follows: pl,t≤βcompi,t, in formula, pl,tFor the pressure of compressor Contracting coefficient.
5. node pressure constrains,Wherein,Respectively node i pressure value is upper and lower Limit.
S604: establish integrated energy system electric network model (at the route, node of power grid, power, voltage, phase angle need Meet certain physical constraint).
Power system modeling mainly include node power balance, unit output constraint, Climing constant and Branch Power Flow about Beam.
1. node power balances,Wherein,For The active power output of fired power generating unit in t moment node i;For the active power output of Wind turbines in t moment node i;When for t Carve the active power output of gas turbine in node i;For the burden with power in t moment node i;Pij,tFor on t moment route ij Active power;For the idle power output of fired power generating unit in t moment node i;For the load or burden without work in t moment node i;Qij,t For the reactive power on t moment route ij.
2. unit output constrains,Wherein,Fired power generating unit is contributed respectively in node i Bound.
3. Climing constant,Wherein, RUi、RDiFor fired power generating unit in node i Climbing and descending grade amplitude.
4. Branch Power Flow constrains,
Wherein, Vi,tFor the voltage magnitude in t moment node i;Voltage magnitude is upper and lower respectively in node i Limit;θijFor t moment node i, the phase difference of voltage of j;The respectively bound of t moment node i j phase difference of voltage; GijFor the conductance between node i j;BijFor the susceptance between node i j;Route is active between respectively node i j The bound of power transmission.
Embodiment 2
Referring to the signal of Fig. 3, it is illustrated as based on improved IEEE14 node power distribution net system, 11 node natural gas distribution systems It unites, the example test macro for the integrated energy system that the therrmodynamic system of 11 nodes is built, i.e. test example figure.By gas discharge It is converted into power unit according to heating value of natural gas, operation plan is illustrated as the comprehensive of dynamic interval referring to the signal of Fig. 4 a few days ago Close a few days ago scheduling scheme of the energy resource system dispatching method in test example.This few days ago scheduling scheme this be also in a few days operation plan Reference locus, in a few days scheduling scheme is obtained based on dispatching method, referring to the signal of Fig. 5, takes the day of 18:00-20:45 period Interior scheduling result is as displaying.
System is when state error is lesser, it is possible to reduce dispatch command issues, reduce scheduling cost, error in When plan difference is larger a few days ago, then need to be modified the reference locus planned a few days ago.
Specifically, the in a few days scheduling of script is the fixed intervals of 15min, in 19:30-20 referring again to the signal of Fig. 5: 00 this 30min is a scheduling interval, has ignored the scheduling interval of script 19:45.This is because load fluctuation and ring at this time Border variation is smaller, and the error generated to system is smaller.In the electricity power output reference locus and 20:00-20:45 of 18:00-19:00 Natural gas power output track corrected, this is because the load of the two periods and environmental factor and the feelings predicted a few days ago Relatively large deviation has occurred in condition, is affected to system cost.Final scheduling cost is
Dispatching method of the invention is compared with based on Fixed Time Interval model, that is, does not consider dynamic interval The scene of decision index system.As a result excellent although the system mode in this 30min of 19:30-20:00 is highly stable referring to the signal of Fig. 6 The deviation very little of power and reference locus is dissolved, system is still to carry out successively dispatch command every 15 minutes, and dispatch each time Instruction has corresponding energy variation, causes to control energy and controls increased costs, final scheduling cost is Compared with dispatching method of the invention, scheduling cost is increased.
Influence of the different dynamic interval decision index systems to scheduling result is compared, considers different dynamic intervals 5 groups of dynamic interval decision index system ξ are arranged in decision index systemt, the value of triggering is respectively 0.04,0.08,0.12,0.16, 0.20.If the dynamic interval decision index system value of current state is less than the value, dynamic interval decision is not triggered, such as Fruit is greater than, then triggers.Performance indicator with dynamic interval decision index system result of variations referring to Fig. 7 signal.Dynamic time The different numerical value for being spaced decision index system can generate different influences to the optimization of system performance index.When dynamic interval decision It is unobvious to the variation detection of system mode error when index is excessive, cause trajector deviation to increase, and then performance indicator increases. It is higher to the precision of system mode error when dynamic interval decision index system is too small, cause scheduling excessively frequent, although having Conducive to reduction trajector deviation, but control energy and control cost are increased, and then performance indicator increases.According to Fig. 7, with dynamic The increase of time interval decision index system, performance indicator first reduce, then increase.First reduce is because of dynamic interval decision index system Amplification, reduce control energy and control cost.Increase again is because dynamic interval decision index system is further amplified So that system trajectory deviation greatly increases.And the part increased is more, it is seen that dynamic interval decision index system size is more Ground affects this partial properties index of trajector deviation.
Dispatching method of the invention is compared with the dynamic interval model for not considering reference locus correction index.As a result Referring to the signal of Fig. 8, do not consider that reference locus corrects index, system is then excellent according to performance indicator progress based on reference locus always Change scheduling, it is difficult to guarantee global optimum of the system in prediction time domain.According to Fig. 8, the electric generating optimization of 18:00-19:00 and On the natural gas generating optimization of 20:00-20:45, due to being corrected without reference to trajectory corrector index so that actual path with The deviation of reference locus is larger, causes system cost larger, and final scheduling cost isCompared with S1, increase Scheduling cost.
Influence of the different reference locus correction indexs to scheduling result is compared, considers different reference locus correction indexs, 5 groups of reference locus correction indexs are setThe value of triggering is respectively 0.04,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.20.If current state Reference locus correction index value be less than the value, then do not trigger dynamic interval decision, if it is greater, then triggering.Performance refers to Mark corrects signal of the result of variations referring to Fig. 9 of index with reference locus.The different numerical value of reference locus correction index will affect In a few days to the correction situation planned a few days ago when Optimized Operation.When reference locus correction index is larger, to actual path and reference The deviation nargin of track is larger, may lose certain necessary corrections, increases the trajector deviation in performance indicator.When reference rail It is smaller to the deviation nargin of actual path and reference locus when mark correction index is smaller, some unnecessary schools may be executed Just, increase the control energy and control cost in performance indicator.According to Fig. 9, with the increase of reference locus correction index, performance Index first increases and then decreases.First reducing is the amplification because of deviation nargin, and control energy and control cost are minimized.After increase It is because deviation nargin is further amplified so that the trajector deviation of system considerably increases.
The present embodiment is based on Model Predictive Control Theory, the integrated energy system dispatching method of research trends time interval. Using trajector deviation-control energy-control cost as performance indicator, dynamic interval decision index system is established, it is ensured that based on being The promptly and accurately scheduling of system time of day.Time of day and the accurate scheduling following embody:
1, the output prediction link based on Model Predictive Control feeds back system call, is based on system mode progressive The optimization of energy index;
2, dynamic interval decision index system is capable of the size of reaction system state change, small and to system shadow when changing When ringing little, it is possible to reduce scheduling times, when variation is big and big, the then publication dispatch command in time to systematic influence.
Establish reference locus correction index, it is ensured that system realizes the global optimization tune of incorporation time scale in prediction time domain Degree.Elaborate the integrated energy system scheduling flow based on dynamic interval Model Predictive Control.
Example gives the scheduling scheme based on dispatching method of the present invention.
The technical solution of the present embodiment is used, it can be achieved that following the utility model has the advantages that considering with " trajector deviation-control energy-control Be made this " be performance indicator dynamic interval integrated energy system dispatching method, be conducive to performance indicator have it is enough Adjustable nargin copes with different scene demands;Dynamic interval decision index system is considered, being conducive to reflection system will occur The time of day for even having occurred and that large error, provides decision index system for whether system needs to assign dispatch command;It considers In a few days reference locus corrects index, is conducive to cope with actual scene and predicts that the deviation of scene, the real now forecast time domain overall situation are excellent Change scheduling, facilitates the popularization and implementation of this programme.Adjustable nargin is that performance indicator includes trajector deviation, control energy and control Cost three parts, requirement having differences property of the different scenes to three, some scenes are more demanding to trajector deviation, some fields Scape is higher to control cost requirement, and the optimization range of tuning performance index can be carried out by adjusting the weight coefficient between three, To adapt to more scene demands.
It should be noted that the above examples are only used to illustrate the technical scheme of the present invention and are not limiting, although referring to preferable Embodiment describes the invention in detail, those skilled in the art should understand that, it can be to technology of the invention Scheme is modified or replaced equivalently, and without departing from the spirit and scope of the technical solution of the present invention, should all be covered in this hair In bright scope of the claims.

Claims (7)

1. a kind of integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval, it is characterised in that: include the following steps,
The integrated energy system Scheduling Framework based on dynamic interval Model Predictive Control is established, the comprehensive energy system is obtained The scheduling principle of system;
Establish the scheduling model a few days ago of the integrated energy system, obtain a few days ago operation plan as the reference rail in a few days dispatched Mark;
In a few days scheduling " trajector deviation-control energy-control cost " performance indicator based on Model Predictive Control is established, as day The objective function of interior optimizing scheduling;
Dynamic interval decision index system is established, judges whether scheduling interval needs to change;
Reference locus correction index is established, judges whether reference locus needs to correct;
Energy conversion unit, heat supply network model, gas pessimistic concurrency control and electric network model are established, integrated energy system schedule constraints item is obtained Part obtains the in a few days scheduling scheme of integrated energy system in the case where meeting constraint condition.
2. the integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval as described in claim 1, it is characterised in that: the foundation Integrated energy system Scheduling Framework based on dynamic interval Model Predictive Control obtains pre- based on dynamic interval model The scheduling principle of the integrated energy system of observing and controlling is further comprising the steps of,
It is dispatched a few days ago using the cost that runs minimized as target making hour service capacity plan in lower day and is issued.And it in a few days rolls Optimized Operation is then roll using running power output as initial value excellent using operation plan a few days ago as reference locus w (k+i) Change.According to the system running state sequence u (k) at k moment, the system mode sequence based on the prediction model prediction k+1 momentSystem mode sequenceOutput prediction link is collectively formed with the system mode error sequence e (k) at k momentOn the one hand output prediction link passes through dynamic interval decision index system ξt, judge whether that needing to assign amendment adjusts The instruction of plan is spent, on the other hand corrects index by a few days reference locusJudge whether to need to reference locus w (k+i) It is modified.
3. the integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval as described in claim 1, it is characterised in that: the foundation Integrated energy system scheduling model a few days ago, obtaining operation plan a few days ago as the reference locus in a few days dispatched further includes following step Suddenly,
It dispatches a few days ago and optimizes scheduling by target of economic optimum, objective function is as follows:
In formula: T is the Optimized Operation period a few days ago, is taken for 24 hours, time interval 1h;U is generating set set;V is gas source collection It closes;Eu,tFor the active power output of t moment generating set u, Gv,tFor the gas production of t moment gas source v;For the power generation of generating set u Cost,For the Gas Prices of gas source v.
4. the integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval as described in claim 1, it is characterised in that: the foundation In a few days scheduling " trajector deviation-control energy-control cost " performance indicator based on Model Predictive Control, it is excellent as in a few days dispatching The objective function of change is further comprising the steps of,
The reference locus w (k+i) dispatched a few days ago and output predictionAfter scene Recognition, according to performance indicator It optimizes, performance indicator is the objective function of rolling optimization.Performance index function considers trajector deviation, control energy, control Cost, as shown in formula:
Being expressed as matrix form is formula:
Wherein, T is prediction time domain, and M is control time domain, Q=diag [q1, q2..., qT], R=diag [r1, r2..., rM], S= diag[s1, s2..., sM] be different scenes under weight matrix,To predict that output matrix, W (k+1) are with reference to rail Mark matrix, Δ p (k) are controlling increment matrix, and C (k) is control Cost matrix.Prediction output matrix and reference locus matrix include The active power output and gas production of equipment, controlling increment matrix are regulated quantity of the equipment in plan a few days ago, and control Cost matrix is The cost of equipment supply load.
5. the integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval as claimed in claim 2, it is characterised in that: the foundation Dynamic interval decision index system, judge scheduling interval whether need to change it is further comprising the steps of,
Based on to integrated energy system overall situation operating cost in decision period forecasting time domain and operation global under in a few days reference locus The deviation ratio of cost establishes dynamic interval decision index system ξt.Global cost is shown below:
S in formular,tIndicate that decision period and the global cost for predicting time domain, A indicate the unit matrix of 1 row T column, P to t moment Indicate that decision period and prediction time domain regulate and control moment matrix, p in t momentlT,tIndicate that t moment Demand-side and system side resource l exist Predict the regulation amount of time domain T, C indicates Cost matrix, clIndicate the cost coefficient regulated and controled to l.
Dynamic interval decision index system ξtShown in being expressed as follows:
Wherein, Sw,tIndicate the global cost of reference locus.
When the deviation between the actual path and reference locus after the optimizing scheduling based on Model Predictive Control transports the overall situation When row cost produces bigger effect, dynamic interval decision will be triggered, changes control room every excellent to control time domain progress in advance Change and execute dispatch command, when influencing smaller, then do not trigger decision, control room reduces unnecessary execution and refers to every will be late by It enables.
6. the integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval as described in claim 1, it is characterised in that: the foundation Reference locus correct index, judge reference locus whether need to correct it is further comprising the steps of,
When the deviation that actual motion scene and prediction scene are likely to occur, it is intended to be the reference significance of reference locus a few days ago just It reduces.Therefore actual path and reference locus are compared, establishes reference locus correction index.Operation plan is main a few days ago Determine the start and stop and combination plan of unit, if therefore current time occur relatively large deviation, Unit Commitment should be adjusted in time Or combination plan, then in a few days reference locus corrects indexIt can indicate are as follows:
Wherein,For actual path,For in a few days reference locus.
7. the integrated energy system dispatching method of dynamic interval as described in claim 1, it is characterised in that: the foundation Energy conversion unit, heat supply network model, gas pessimistic concurrency control, electric network model obtain integrated energy system scheduling constraint, are meeting about In the case where beam condition, the in a few days scheduling scheme for obtaining integrated energy system is further comprising the steps of,
The energy conversion unit considers energy balance constraint;
The heat supply network model consider node flow balance, node power fusion, load take characteristic, supply and return water temperature constraint and Pipeline section heat-transfer character;
The gas pessimistic concurrency control considers pipeline flow constraint, gas source point constraint, flow equilibrium constraint, compressor constraint and node pressure Force constraint;
The electric network model considers node power balance, unit output constraint, Climing constant and Branch Power Flow constraint.
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