CN110428123A - A kind of operation of power networks state is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system - Google Patents

A kind of operation of power networks state is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system Download PDF

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CN110428123A
CN110428123A CN201910480385.9A CN201910480385A CN110428123A CN 110428123 A CN110428123 A CN 110428123A CN 201910480385 A CN201910480385 A CN 201910480385A CN 110428123 A CN110428123 A CN 110428123A
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accident
submodule
management
prediction
function
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张元胜
苗增强
唐健
阳晟
陈新凌
沈梓正
宋吉峰
杨有慧
谢代钰
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Guangxi Power Grid Co Ltd
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Abstract

The present invention relates to dispatching of power netwoks technical fields, it is checked more particularly to a kind of operation of power networks state and accident prediction dynamic generating system, the system includes electrical network parameter management module, operation of power networks condition intelligent check module, intelligent scheduling program management module, accident prediction database management module;The invention has the benefit that a kind of operation of power networks state proposed through the invention is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system, it is horizontal that operation of power networks condition managing can be improved, power grid accident disposal process is improved, realizes the function structure and key technology of the operating status check and accident prediction dynamic generating system under bulk power grid state;Realize that bus operating status dynamic checks function;Establish various dimensions intelligence prediction scheme expert model, realize the logic intension of the information such as intelligently parsing Regulations, operation data, and powernet safety analysis is combined to calculate, scheduling accident prediction dynamic generation and verifying function are realized, to ensure the safe and stable operation of electric system.

Description

A kind of operation of power networks state is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system
Technical field
The present invention relates to dispatching of power netwoks technical fields, and in particular to a kind of operation of power networks state is checked and accident prediction dynamic Generation system.
Background technique
As the expansion of power grid scale and operation of power networks characteristic are increasingly sophisticated, the pressure that management and running face also gradually increases It is big: on the one hand to need accurately to monitor the especially bus running manner variation of operation of power networks state, be run at present in bus When state temporary variations, memory, the record of dispatcher can only be relied on to ensure to restore normal operating condition, it is easy to generate omission Cause security risk;On the other hand it is carried out to quickly need to write a large amount of dispatch reserve plan auxiliary to power grid exception and failure Electric network accident management, and lean on dispatcher's manual compiling entirely at present, not only writes that task is heavy, the actual effect of prediction scheme, accuracy, with Objectively there is also different degrees of differences for the goodness of fit of physical fault, cause prediction scheme operability not strong.
The research of patent through the invention, to improve in business such as operation of power networks condition managing, program management, failure disposition Scene intelligentization is horizontal.
Summary of the invention
A kind of operation of power networks state of being designed to provide of the embodiment of the present invention is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system, It is horizontal that operation of power networks condition managing can be improved, ensure the safe and stable operation of electric system.
To achieve the above object, in a first aspect, the embodiment of the invention provides a kind of check of operation of power networks state and accidents Prediction scheme dynamic generating system, the system include electrical network parameter management module, operation of power networks condition intelligent check module, intelligent scheduling Program management module, accident prediction database management module;
The electrical network parameter management module calculates the base with algorithm every in evaluation process for maintenance schedule prediction scheme intellectual analysis Plinth, which calculates, participates in device action policy information;
The operation of power networks condition intelligent checks module and uses figure application technology, in conjunction with power grid bus and disengaging wiretap, mother The practical layout and inner link of connection switch key equipment data intelligence reasoning power grid bus and its charge circuit, and be automatically performed Bus and route modeling, generate using bus pel as core node, and route is the operation of power networks figure of interconnection;
Intelligent scheduling program management module is by establishing various dimensions intelligence to the check of operation of power networks state and the emulation of power grid accident Can Scheduling experts model, realize intellectual analysis power grid accident in logical communication link, and combine power grid security analytical calculation, realize Dispatch accident prediction dynamic generation and verifying function;
The accident prediction database management module is realized to scheduling accident prediction management, in the graphical frame and electric topology of system Under the support of parser, the programmed function of the emergency preplan of management and running department is provided, intelligent auxiliary, workflow management are provided With statistical query function.
Preferably, the electrical network parameter management module further includes line parameter circuit value management submodule, main transformer parameter management Submodule, unit parameter management submodule, stable cross section manage submodule;
The line parameter circuit value management submodule realizes the underlying parameter maintenance management of the transmission line of electricity of pipe adjusted to power grid, can support System introducing, export, the newly-increased of data, editor, deletion and query function;
The main transformer parameter management submodule realize the substation of pipe adjusted to power grid, stand in the basis of main transformer and customer charge join Maintenance management is counted, can support EXCEL importing, export, the newly-increased of data, editor, deletion and query function;
Unit parameter management submodule realizes that the underlying parameter to the plant information in power grid scope and unit in factory is safeguarded It manages, can support EXCEL importing, export, the newly-increased of data, editor, deletion and query function;
The stable cross section management submodule, which is realized, unites to the basic maintenance function of stable cross section data and the inquiry of Historic Section Function is counted, wherein stable cross section data can be propped up with OMS system interface timing acquisition, parsing import system or manual typing Hold the newly-increased of profile data, editor, deletion, inquiry, EXCEL export and function of statistic analysis.
Preferably, the line parameter circuit value management submodule is also with the following functions: providing total by data importing, data Enjoy the import feature that multiple interfaces mode realizes line parameter circuit value information, including EXCEL, XML file format;Line parameter circuit value letter is provided The newly-increased of breath, editor and deletion function, and realize that PDF, EXCEL multiple format export;
The main transformer parameter management submodule is also with the following functions: providing through data importing, data sharing multiple interfaces side Formula realize substation, stand in main transformer and the import feature of customer charge information, including EXCEL, XML file format;Power transformation is provided Main transformer and the newly-increased of customer charge information, editor and deletion function in standing, standing, and realize that PDF, EXCEL multiple format export;
The unit parameter management submodule, which is provided, realizes plant information by data importing, data sharing multiple interfaces mode And in factory unit information import feature, including EXCEL, XML file format;Unit parameter information in plant information and factory is provided Newly-increased, editor and delete function, and realize that PDF, EXCEL multiple format export;
The stable cross section management submodule, which is provided, realizes leading for stable cross section data information by Webservise interface mode Enter function;The newly-increased of stable cross section data information, editor are provided and delete function, and realizes that PDF, EXCEL multiple format export;
The line parameter circuit value management submodule, main transformer parameter management submodule, unit parameter manage submodule, stable cross section management Submodule, four modules all provide the management of equipment naming rule and verifying function, guarantee device name, site name for EMS system One naming method;Offer can control the permission for filling in field during modification, retain trace;Classified inquiry statistics function is provided Can, fuzzy search inquiry and accurate query function are provided, and provide inquiry, the export of statistical result and Excel, PDF, Word Format export and printing function.
Preferably, it further includes SVG graphics management submodule, electric network model pipe that the operation of power networks condition intelligent, which checks module, It manages submodule, telemetry management submodule, operation of power networks real-time exhibition submodule, operate normally graphics management submodule, electricity Net is operating abnormally monitoring submodule.
Preferably, the SVG graphics management submodule is by integrated with OCS/EMS system, and periodically acquisition is from peace The SVG graphic file in the full area I, including electric network current diagram and station wiring diagram, obtaining frequency is that update is primary daily;By artificial Maintenance, initialization management bus mode of connection type, completes bus under the different bus modes of connection for system and route is built The relationship of mould;
The electric network model management submodule periodically obtains the rack from the safe area I by integrated with OCS/EMS system Model file, i.e. CIM model file, obtaining frequency is to update daily once;
The telemetry management submodule periodically obtains the telemetering from the safe area I by integrated with OCS/EMS system Data file, i.e. E formatted file, obtaining frequency is every 5 minutes primary;
The operation of power networks real-time exhibition submodule analyzes power grid bus and inlet-outlet line is opened by obtaining power grid telemetry in real time It closes, bus connection switch key equipment state, based on Net Frame of Electric Network model structure, intelligent inference power grid bus and its charge circuit Practical layout and inner link, result will be analyzed and be applied in the SVG graphic file voluntarily safeguarded of system, bus is automatically performed And the modeling of route, it generates using bus pel as core node, route is the operation of power networks figure of interconnection;
The normal operation graphics management submodule is for safeguarding under power grid normal operating condition, using bus pel as core section Point, route are the operation of power networks figure of interconnection;
The mapping comparison in real time of operation of power networks abnormal monitoring submodule intelligence normally with real time execution equipment state difference, in reality Shi Yunhang figure Intelligent flickering demarcates abnormal point, main to pass through scheduling day in combination with the inducement feature that real-time running state is common Will investigation, solution cyclization investigation, OCS overhaul listed state and carry out assessment and type decision to abnormal point potential risk, realize basis Abnormal feature, push in real time is reminded or warning;System intelligent positioning exception simultaneously pushes prompting or warning, if belonging to plan model The temporary unusual fluctuation of interior operating status is enclosed, mark extremely disappears after user can accept prompting, also can hand if content needs additional attention It is dynamic to promote concern rank, it is promoted to warning;If belonging to unplanned outage causes operating status unusual fluctuation, system automatically tracks the warning Event, save the warning from accept to operating status reset in real time during all processing information.
Preferably, the intelligent scheduling program management module is by imitating the check of operation of power networks state and power grid accident Very, establish various dimensions intelligent scheduling expert model, realize in intellectual analysis power grid accident logical communication link, and power grid is combined to pacify Complete analysis calculates, and realizes scheduling accident prediction dynamic generation and verifying function;The intelligent scheduling program management module further include: EMS and BPA model management submodule, fault set management submodule, power networks risk assess submodule, intelligent scheduling expert's mould Type manages submodule, operation of power networks accident handling scheme submodule, prediction scheme self checking management submodule.
Preferably, EMS the and BPA model management submodule realizes in tidal current analysis between EMS model and BPA model Mapping relations management, provide the foundation support for system, support the newly-increased of data, editor, deletion and query function;
Fault set management submodule has fault set maintenance management function, including to fault set it is newly-increased, delete, modification, It consults, query function;
Power networks risk assessment submodule be used for power networks risk caused by under maintenance plan or specified failure into Row analysis, evaluates damage sequence, carries out the quantitative evaluation of power networks risk, determines that grade is drawn to venture influence and risk probability Point, judge quantification gradation locating for venture influence and risk probability;
The intelligent scheduling expert model management submodule is at operation of power networks accident for safeguarding intelligent scheduling expert model library It sets scheme and decision recommendation is provided, comprising: whether preferably consider the adjustment method of operation, such as put into route, or close bus connection switch;It is Element near no preferential adjustment faulty equipment, such as website or route near first search fault point;Equipment is subjected to piece Division, The adjustment method of operation preferentially carries out section equipment adjustment;Whether adjustment voltage levels equipment is paid the utmost attention to;
The operation of power networks accident handling scheme submodule realizes to the rack in risk assessment there are power networks risk, in conjunction with Intelligent scheduling expert model generates corresponding operation of power networks accident handling prediction scheme;
The prediction scheme self checking management submodule is realized based on the accident prediction self checking under present or future state;Work as electric network composition After changing, by artificial or regular setting, self checking will be carried out to the prediction scheme collection to enter into force in the past, when finding unreasonable Automatic prompt alarm, provides the more new suggested of prediction scheme, requests artificial check and approve;Verification experts database is relied on to carry out the automatic Verification of prediction scheme Unreasonable auxiliary strategy is fallen in assessment, locking, while prompting locking reason.
Preferably, the accident prediction database management module further includes accident prediction management submodule, history prediction scheme inquiry Module, accident prediction whole process visualize submodule;
The accident prediction management submodule realizes automatically generating, manually adjust, auditing approval, publication stream for scheduling accident prediction Flow intendance, the check function of accident prediction are realized in journey management;
The history prediction scheme inquiry submodule realizes having access to immediately for history prediction scheme, and system reads the fault element in EMS system, Automatically the accident prediction under the fault condition, assistant regulating and controlling personnel's accident handling decision are had access to;Prediction scheme based on primary connection figure It has access to, system is associated with power grid primary connection figure figure by prediction scheme, and figure uses EMS graphical model, as unit of substation It carries out prediction scheme and safeguards graphical association;Power grid primary connection figure can be checked during establishment prediction scheme, carried out prediction scheme and had access to;
The accident prediction whole process visualization submodule realizes that the whole process analysis result visualization of accident prediction shows, system Show accident prediction overall process information, including method of operation analytic process, the subsequent method of operation and result, accident treatment are built in advance View and reason, accident impact assess each step and analyze result.
Preferably, the history prediction scheme inquiry submodule further includes following functions: being realized according to electric power safety accident emergency Overall plan carries out the management of scheduling emergency preplan;
Realize record and manage all kinds of complete emergency preplans, realize the establishment of emergency preplan, preliminary hearing, check, audit, approval, The orderly management of publication, simultaneously containing maintenance, update, classification and inquiry miscellaneous function;
It realizes emergency preplan objectification programmed function, emergency preplan is subjected to object fractionation, is carried out in a manner of structural data Storage;
The version management for realizing emergency preplan can set multiple emergency preplan versions according to the similar prediction failure classification of power grid, and Support prediction scheme version issuing function, after the publication of new version prediction scheme, the prediction scheme of early version ceases to be in force automatically, while providing artificial adjustment life The prediction scheme version function of effect;
The basic content of forecasting edited includes following element: accident prediction title, prediction scheme number, general introduction, the in advance method of operation, event Barrier setting, the subsequent method of operation, subsequent risk analysis, mainly control target, incident processing procedure and main points, accident impact are commented Estimate, remarks;
It realizes the regular automatic refreshing of prediction scheme and submits and confirm, give specified time interval or by the way of triggering by hand, make System obtains real time operation mode information from OCS system automatically, is generated with real-time running data and grid structure auxiliary and current The emergency preplan that the method for operation matches, to realize that the timing of emergency preplan automatically updates;
Emergency preplan classification is provided and carries out customized directory management, including always adjust, it is middle adjust, adjust it is different classes of;
Realize the establishment of emergency preplan, preliminary hearing, each profession check, mutually school, maintenance, audit, approval, publication between each professional the superior and the subordinate Orderly management, can realize that direct Word edits or mount attachment in each link, and can check flow chart, process Track and circulation journal function;
Realization specific people can carry out revised to approved prediction scheme, guarantee that prediction scheme dynamic updates, and prediction scheme is being worked out, examined Core records operation log when revising, abrogating operation, while realizing the inquiry and export function of operation log;
Realize the automatic issuing function of emergency preplan, the emergency preplan for saving emergency preplan and special item for net carries out classification hair Cloth, when publication, need clear search key;
Emergency preplan after realizing circulation can report superior unit, and superior unit summarizes the emergency preplan that subordinate unit reports, And the closed loop management of superior unit is reported again;
Emergency preplan full-text search function is realized, to meet the requirement that user of service quickly consults emergency preplan;
Realize emergency preplan by regulating and controlling mechanism emergency disposal prediction scheme, regulating and controlling mechanism operation troubles Response project, scheduling automated System failure handling program major class, then presses unit, center, sections' level Classification Management again, provides the compound query function of each classification Energy;
It realizes to be released news according to real-time Electrical Safety Risk-warning and formulates emergency preplan, establishment, examination & approval including emergency preplan, Publication, accident can be supported to be associated with emergency preplan when occurring, and prompt the decision scheme of disposition accident;
Realize the export function of emergency preplan, export supports PDF, Excel file format;
Realize the printing and issuing function of emergency preplan.
On the other hand, the invention also provides a kind of computer equipment, including memory, processor and it is stored in memory Computer program that is upper and can running on a processor, the processor realize a kind of above-mentioned power grid fortune when executing described program Row state is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system.
Beneficial effects of the present invention are a kind of check of operation of power networks state and accident prediction dynamic proposed through the invention Generation system can be improved operation of power networks condition managing level, improve power grid accident disposal process, realize the fortune under bulk power grid state Row state is checked and the function structure and key technology of accident prediction dynamic generating system;Realize that bus operating status dynamic is checked Function;Various dimensions intelligence prediction scheme expert model is established, is realized in the logics of information such as intelligently parsing Regulations, operation data Contain, and powernet safety analysis is combined to calculate, scheduling accident prediction dynamic generation and verifying function is realized, to ensure electric power The safe and stable operation of system.
Detailed description of the invention
It, below will be to specific in order to illustrate more clearly of the specific embodiment of the invention or technical solution in the prior art Embodiment or attached drawing needed to be used in the description of the prior art are briefly described.In all the appended drawings, similar element Or part is generally identified by similar appended drawing reference.In attached drawing, each element or part might not be drawn according to actual ratio.
Fig. 1 is a kind of operation of power networks state check and the structural representation of accident prediction dynamic generating system provided by the invention Figure.
Specific embodiment
Following will be combined with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention, and technical solution in the embodiment of the present invention carries out clear, complete Site preparation description, it is clear that described embodiments are some of the embodiments of the present invention, instead of all the embodiments.Based on this hair Embodiment in bright, every other implementation obtained by those of ordinary skill in the art without making creative efforts Example, shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
Referring to FIG. 1, being a kind of operation of power networks state check provided by the invention and accident prediction dynamic generating system Structural schematic diagram.In a first aspect, the embodiment of the invention provides a kind of check of operation of power networks state and accident prediction dynamic generations System, the system include electrical network parameter management module, operation of power networks condition intelligent check module, intelligent scheduling program management mould Block, accident prediction database management module;
The electrical network parameter management module calculates the base with algorithm every in evaluation process for maintenance schedule prediction scheme intellectual analysis Plinth, which calculates, participates in device action policy information;
The operation of power networks condition intelligent checks module and uses figure application technology, in conjunction with power grid bus and disengaging wiretap, mother The practical layout and inner link of connection switch key equipment data intelligence reasoning power grid bus and its charge circuit, and be automatically performed Bus and route modeling, generate using bus pel as core node, and route is the operation of power networks figure of interconnection;
Intelligent scheduling program management module is by establishing various dimensions intelligence to the check of operation of power networks state and the emulation of power grid accident Can Scheduling experts model, realize intellectual analysis power grid accident in logical communication link, and combine power grid security analytical calculation, realize Dispatch accident prediction dynamic generation and verifying function;
The accident prediction database management module is realized to scheduling accident prediction management, in the graphical frame and electric topology of system Under the support of parser, the programmed function of the emergency preplan of management and running department is provided, intelligent auxiliary, workflow management are provided With statistical query function.
Preferably, the electrical network parameter management module further includes line parameter circuit value management submodule, main transformer parameter management Submodule, unit parameter management submodule, stable cross section manage submodule;
The line parameter circuit value management submodule realizes the underlying parameter maintenance management of the transmission line of electricity of pipe adjusted to power grid, can support System introducing, export, the newly-increased of data, editor, deletion and query function;
The main transformer parameter management submodule realize the substation of pipe adjusted to power grid, stand in the basis of main transformer and customer charge join Maintenance management is counted, can support EXCEL importing, export, the newly-increased of data, editor, deletion and query function;
Unit parameter management submodule realizes that the underlying parameter to the plant information in power grid scope and unit in factory is safeguarded It manages, can support EXCEL importing, export, the newly-increased of data, editor, deletion and query function;
The stable cross section management submodule, which is realized, unites to the basic maintenance function of stable cross section data and the inquiry of Historic Section Function is counted, wherein stable cross section data can be propped up with OMS system interface timing acquisition, parsing import system or manual typing Hold the newly-increased of profile data, editor, deletion, inquiry, EXCEL export and function of statistic analysis.
Preferably, the line parameter circuit value management submodule is also with the following functions: providing total by data importing, data Enjoy the import feature that multiple interfaces mode realizes line parameter circuit value information, including EXCEL, XML file format;Line parameter circuit value letter is provided The newly-increased of breath, editor and deletion function, and realize that PDF, EXCEL multiple format export;
The main transformer parameter management submodule is also with the following functions: providing through data importing, data sharing multiple interfaces side Formula realize substation, stand in main transformer and the import feature of customer charge information, including EXCEL, XML file format;Power transformation is provided Main transformer and the newly-increased of customer charge information, editor and deletion function in standing, standing, and realize that PDF, EXCEL multiple format export;
The unit parameter management submodule, which is provided, realizes plant information by data importing, data sharing multiple interfaces mode And in factory unit information import feature, including EXCEL, XML file format;Unit parameter information in plant information and factory is provided Newly-increased, editor and delete function, and realize that PDF, EXCEL multiple format export;
The stable cross section management submodule, which is provided, realizes leading for stable cross section data information by Webservise interface mode Enter function;The newly-increased of stable cross section data information, editor are provided and delete function, and realizes that PDF, EXCEL multiple format export;
The line parameter circuit value management submodule, main transformer parameter management submodule, unit parameter manage submodule, stable cross section management Submodule, four modules all provide the management of equipment naming rule and verifying function, guarantee device name, site name for EMS system One naming method;Offer can control the permission for filling in field during modification, retain trace;Classified inquiry statistics function is provided Can, fuzzy search inquiry and accurate query function are provided, and provide inquiry, the export of statistical result and Excel, PDF, Word Format export and printing function.
Preferably, it further includes SVG graphics management submodule, electric network model pipe that the operation of power networks condition intelligent, which checks module, It manages submodule, telemetry management submodule, operation of power networks real-time exhibition submodule, operate normally graphics management submodule, electricity Net is operating abnormally monitoring submodule.
Preferably, the SVG graphics management submodule is by integrated with OCS/EMS system, and periodically acquisition is from peace The SVG graphic file in the full area I, including electric network current diagram and station wiring diagram, obtaining frequency is that update is primary daily;By artificial Maintenance, initialization management bus mode of connection type, completes bus under the different bus modes of connection for system and route is built The relationship of mould;
The electric network model management submodule periodically obtains the rack from the safe area I by integrated with OCS/EMS system Model file, i.e. CIM model file, obtaining frequency is to update daily once;
The telemetry management submodule periodically obtains the telemetering from the safe area I by integrated with OCS/EMS system Data file, i.e. E formatted file, obtaining frequency is every 5 minutes primary;
The operation of power networks real-time exhibition submodule analyzes power grid bus and inlet-outlet line is opened by obtaining power grid telemetry in real time It closes, bus connection switch key equipment state, based on Net Frame of Electric Network model structure, intelligent inference power grid bus and its charge circuit Practical layout and inner link, result will be analyzed and be applied in the SVG graphic file voluntarily safeguarded of system, bus is automatically performed And the modeling of route, it generates using bus pel as core node, route is the operation of power networks figure of interconnection;
The normal operation graphics management submodule is for safeguarding under power grid normal operating condition, using bus pel as core section Point, route are the operation of power networks figure of interconnection;
The mapping comparison in real time of operation of power networks abnormal monitoring submodule intelligence normally with real time execution equipment state difference, in reality Shi Yunhang figure Intelligent flickering demarcates abnormal point, main to pass through scheduling day in combination with the inducement feature that real-time running state is common Will investigation, solution cyclization investigation, OCS overhaul listed state and carry out assessment and type decision to abnormal point potential risk, realize basis Abnormal feature, push in real time is reminded or warning;System intelligent positioning exception simultaneously pushes prompting or warning, if belonging to plan model The temporary unusual fluctuation of interior operating status is enclosed, mark extremely disappears after user can accept prompting, also can hand if content needs additional attention It is dynamic to promote concern rank, it is promoted to warning;If belonging to unplanned outage causes operating status unusual fluctuation, system automatically tracks the warning Event, save the warning from accept to operating status reset in real time during all processing information.
Preferably, the intelligent scheduling program management module is by imitating the check of operation of power networks state and power grid accident Very, establish various dimensions intelligent scheduling expert model, realize in intellectual analysis power grid accident logical communication link, and power grid is combined to pacify Complete analysis calculates, and realizes scheduling accident prediction dynamic generation and verifying function;The intelligent scheduling program management module further include: EMS and BPA model management submodule, fault set management submodule, power networks risk assess submodule, intelligent scheduling expert's mould Type manages submodule, operation of power networks accident handling scheme submodule, prediction scheme self checking management submodule.
Preferably, EMS the and BPA model management submodule realizes in tidal current analysis between EMS model and BPA model Mapping relations management, provide the foundation support for system, support the newly-increased of data, editor, deletion and query function;
Fault set management submodule has fault set maintenance management function, including to fault set it is newly-increased, delete, modification, It consults, query function;
Power networks risk assessment submodule be used for power networks risk caused by under maintenance plan or specified failure into Row analysis, evaluates damage sequence, carries out the quantitative evaluation of power networks risk, determines that grade is drawn to venture influence and risk probability Point, judge quantification gradation locating for venture influence and risk probability;
The intelligent scheduling expert model management submodule is at operation of power networks accident for safeguarding intelligent scheduling expert model library It sets scheme and decision recommendation is provided, comprising: whether preferably consider the adjustment method of operation, such as put into route, or close bus connection switch;It is Element near no preferential adjustment faulty equipment, such as website or route near first search fault point;Equipment is subjected to piece Division, The adjustment method of operation preferentially carries out section equipment adjustment;Whether adjustment voltage levels equipment is paid the utmost attention to;
The operation of power networks accident handling scheme submodule realizes to the rack in risk assessment there are power networks risk, in conjunction with Intelligent scheduling expert model generates corresponding operation of power networks accident handling prediction scheme;
The prediction scheme self checking management submodule is realized based on the accident prediction self checking under present or future state;Work as electric network composition After changing, by artificial or regular setting, self checking will be carried out to the prediction scheme collection to enter into force in the past, when finding unreasonable Automatic prompt alarm, provides the more new suggested of prediction scheme, requests artificial check and approve;Verification experts database is relied on to carry out the automatic Verification of prediction scheme Unreasonable auxiliary strategy is fallen in assessment, locking, while prompting locking reason.
Preferably, the accident prediction database management module further includes accident prediction management submodule, history prediction scheme inquiry Module, accident prediction whole process visualize submodule;
The accident prediction management submodule realizes automatically generating, manually adjust, auditing approval, publication stream for scheduling accident prediction Flow intendance, the check function of accident prediction are realized in journey management;
The history prediction scheme inquiry submodule realizes having access to immediately for history prediction scheme, and system reads the fault element in EMS system, Automatically the accident prediction under the fault condition, assistant regulating and controlling personnel's accident handling decision are had access to;Prediction scheme based on primary connection figure It has access to, system is associated with power grid primary connection figure figure by prediction scheme, and figure uses EMS graphical model, as unit of substation It carries out prediction scheme and safeguards graphical association;Power grid primary connection figure can be checked during establishment prediction scheme, carried out prediction scheme and had access to;
The accident prediction whole process visualization submodule realizes that the whole process analysis result visualization of accident prediction shows, system Show accident prediction overall process information, including method of operation analytic process, the subsequent method of operation and result, accident treatment are built in advance View and reason, accident impact assess each step and analyze result.
Preferably, the history prediction scheme inquiry submodule further includes following functions: being realized according to electric power safety accident emergency Overall plan carries out the management of scheduling emergency preplan;
Realize record and manage all kinds of complete emergency preplans, realize the establishment of emergency preplan, preliminary hearing, check, audit, approval, The orderly management of publication, simultaneously containing maintenance, update, classification and inquiry miscellaneous function;
It realizes emergency preplan objectification programmed function, emergency preplan is subjected to object fractionation, is carried out in a manner of structural data Storage;
The version management for realizing emergency preplan can set multiple emergency preplan versions according to the similar prediction failure classification of power grid, and Support prediction scheme version issuing function, after the publication of new version prediction scheme, the prediction scheme of early version ceases to be in force automatically, while providing artificial adjustment life The prediction scheme version function of effect;
The basic content of forecasting edited includes following element: accident prediction title, prediction scheme number, general introduction, the in advance method of operation, event Barrier setting, the subsequent method of operation, subsequent risk analysis, mainly control target, incident processing procedure and main points, accident impact are commented Estimate, remarks;
It realizes the regular automatic refreshing of prediction scheme and submits and confirm, give specified time interval or by the way of triggering by hand, make System obtains real time operation mode information from OCS system automatically, is generated with real-time running data and grid structure auxiliary and current The emergency preplan that the method for operation matches, to realize that the timing of emergency preplan automatically updates;
Emergency preplan classification is provided and carries out customized directory management, including always adjust, it is middle adjust, adjust it is different classes of;
Realize the establishment of emergency preplan, preliminary hearing, each profession check, mutually school, maintenance, audit, approval, publication between each professional the superior and the subordinate Orderly management, can realize that direct Word edits or mount attachment in each link, and can check flow chart, process Track and circulation journal function;
Realization specific people can carry out revised to approved prediction scheme, guarantee that prediction scheme dynamic updates, and prediction scheme is being worked out, examined Core records operation log when revising, abrogating operation, while realizing the inquiry and export function of operation log;
Realize the automatic issuing function of emergency preplan, the emergency preplan for saving emergency preplan and special item for net carries out classification hair Cloth, when publication, need clear search key;
Emergency preplan after realizing circulation can report superior unit, and superior unit summarizes the emergency preplan that subordinate unit reports, And the closed loop management of superior unit is reported again;
Emergency preplan full-text search function is realized, to meet the requirement that user of service quickly consults emergency preplan;
Realize emergency preplan by regulating and controlling mechanism emergency disposal prediction scheme, regulating and controlling mechanism operation troubles Response project, scheduling automated System failure handling program major class, then presses unit, center, sections' level Classification Management again, provides the compound query function of each classification Energy;
It realizes to be released news according to real-time Electrical Safety Risk-warning and formulates emergency preplan, establishment, examination & approval including emergency preplan, Publication, accident can be supported to be associated with emergency preplan when occurring, and prompt the decision scheme of disposition accident;
Realize the export function of emergency preplan, export supports PDF, Excel file format;
Realize the printing and issuing function of emergency preplan.
On the other hand, the invention also provides a kind of computer equipment, including memory, processor and it is stored in memory Computer program that is upper and can running on a processor, the processor realize a kind of above-mentioned power grid fortune when executing described program Row state is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system.
Those of ordinary skill in the art may be aware that list described in conjunction with the examples disclosed in the embodiments of the present disclosure Member and algorithm steps, can be realized with electronic hardware, computer software, or a combination of the two, in order to clearly demonstrate hardware With the interchangeability of software, each exemplary composition and step are generally described according to function in the above description.This A little functions are implemented in hardware or software actually, the specific application and design constraint depending on technical solution.Specially Industry technical staff can use different methods to achieve the described function each specific application, but this realization is not It is considered as beyond the scope of this invention.
In several embodiments provided herein, it should be understood that disclosed device and method can pass through it Its mode is realized.For example, the apparatus embodiments described above are merely exemplary, for example, the division of the unit, only Only a kind of logical function partition, there may be another division manner in actual implementation, such as multiple units or components can be tied Another system is closed or is desirably integrated into, or some features can be ignored or not executed.In addition, shown or discussed phase Mutually between coupling, direct-coupling or communication connection can be through some interfaces, the INDIRECT COUPLING or communication of device or unit Connection is also possible to electricity, mechanical or other form connections.
The unit as illustrated by the separation member may or may not be physically separated, aobvious as unit The component shown may or may not be physical unit, it can and it is in one place, or may be distributed over multiple In network unit.Some or all of unit therein can be selected to realize the embodiment of the present invention according to the actual needs Purpose.
It, can also be in addition, the functional units in various embodiments of the present invention may be integrated into one processing unit It is that each unit physically exists alone, is also possible to two or more units and is integrated in one unit.It is above-mentioned integrated Unit both can take the form of hardware realization, can also realize in the form of software functional units.
If the integrated unit is realized in the form of SFU software functional unit and sells or use as independent product When, it can store in a computer readable storage medium.Based on this understanding, technical solution of the present invention is substantially The all or part of the part that contributes to existing technology or the technical solution can be in the form of software products in other words It embodies, which is stored in a storage medium, including some instructions are used so that a computer Equipment (can be personal computer, server or the network equipment etc.) executes each embodiment the method for the present invention All or part of the steps.And storage medium above-mentioned includes: U disk, mobile hard disk, read-only memory (ROM, Read-Only Memory), random access memory (RAM, Random Access Memory), magnetic or disk etc. are various can store The medium of program code.
The above description is merely a specific embodiment, but scope of protection of the present invention is not limited thereto, any Those familiar with the art in the technical scope disclosed by the present invention, can readily occur in various equivalent modifications or replace It changes, these modifications or substitutions should be covered by the protection scope of the present invention.Therefore, protection scope of the present invention should be with right It is required that protection scope subject to.

Claims (10)

1. a kind of operation of power networks state is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system, it is characterised in that: the system includes power grid ginseng Number management module, operation of power networks condition intelligent check module, intelligent scheduling program management module, accident prediction database management module;
The electrical network parameter management module calculates the base with algorithm every in evaluation process for maintenance schedule prediction scheme intellectual analysis Plinth, which calculates, participates in device action policy information;
The operation of power networks condition intelligent checks module and uses figure application technology, in conjunction with power grid bus and disengaging wiretap, mother The practical layout and inner link of connection switch key equipment data intelligence reasoning power grid bus and its charge circuit, and be automatically performed Bus and route modeling, generate using bus pel as core node, and route is the operation of power networks figure of interconnection;
Intelligent scheduling program management module is by establishing various dimensions intelligence to the check of operation of power networks state and the emulation of power grid accident Can Scheduling experts model, realize intellectual analysis power grid accident in logical communication link, and combine power grid security analytical calculation, realize Dispatch accident prediction dynamic generation and verifying function;
The accident prediction database management module is realized to scheduling accident prediction management, in the graphical frame and electric topology of system Under the support of parser, the programmed function of the emergency preplan of management and running department is provided, intelligent auxiliary, workflow management are provided With statistical query function.
2. a kind of operation of power networks state according to claim 1 is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system, feature exist In:
The electrical network parameter management module further includes line parameter circuit value management submodule, main transformer parameter management submodule, unit Parameter management submodule, stable cross section manage submodule;
The line parameter circuit value management submodule realizes the underlying parameter maintenance management of the transmission line of electricity of pipe adjusted to power grid, can support System introducing, export, the newly-increased of data, editor, deletion and query function;
The main transformer parameter management submodule realize the substation of pipe adjusted to power grid, stand in the basis of main transformer and customer charge join Maintenance management is counted, can support EXCEL importing, export, the newly-increased of data, editor, deletion and query function;
Unit parameter management submodule realizes that the underlying parameter to the plant information in power grid scope and unit in factory is safeguarded It manages, can support EXCEL importing, export, the newly-increased of data, editor, deletion and query function;
The stable cross section management submodule, which is realized, unites to the basic maintenance function of stable cross section data and the inquiry of Historic Section Function is counted, wherein stable cross section data can be propped up with OMS system interface timing acquisition, parsing import system or manual typing Hold the newly-increased of profile data, editor, deletion, inquiry, EXCEL export and function of statistic analysis.
3. a kind of operation of power networks state according to claim 1 is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system, feature exist In:
The line parameter circuit value management submodule is also with the following functions: providing through data importing, data sharing multiple interfaces side Formula realizes the import feature of line parameter circuit value information, including EXCEL, XML file format;Newly-increased, the volume of line parameter circuit value information are provided It collects and deletes function, and realize that PDF, EXCEL multiple format export;
The main transformer parameter management submodule is also with the following functions: providing through data importing, data sharing multiple interfaces side Formula realize substation, stand in main transformer and the import feature of customer charge information, including EXCEL, XML file format;Power transformation is provided Main transformer and the newly-increased of customer charge information, editor and deletion function in standing, standing, and realize that PDF, EXCEL multiple format export;
Unit parameter management submodule provide imported by data, data sharing multiple interfaces mode realizes plant information and The import feature of unit information in factory, including EXCEL, XML file format;Unit parameter information in plant information and factory is provided Newly-increased, editor and deletion function, and realize that PDF, EXCEL multiple format export;
The stable cross section management submodule, which is provided, realizes leading for stable cross section data information by Webservise interface mode Enter function;The newly-increased of stable cross section data information, editor are provided and delete function, and realizes that PDF, EXCEL multiple format export;
The line parameter circuit value management submodule, main transformer parameter management submodule, unit parameter manage submodule, stable cross section management Submodule, four modules all provide the management of equipment naming rule and verifying function, guarantee device name, site name for EMS system One naming method;Offer can control the permission for filling in field during modification, retain trace;Classified inquiry statistics function is provided Can, fuzzy search inquiry and accurate query function are provided, and provide inquiry, the export of statistical result and Excel, PDF, Word Format export and printing function.
4. a kind of operation of power networks state according to claim 1 is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system, feature exist In:
The operation of power networks condition intelligent check module further include SVG graphics management submodule, it is electric network model management submodule, distant Measured data manages submodule, operation of power networks real-time exhibition submodule, operates normally graphics management submodule, operation of power networks prison extremely Control submodule.
5. a kind of operation of power networks state according to claim 4 is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system, feature exist In:
The SVG graphics management submodule is periodically obtained the SVG from the safe area I and is schemed by integrated with OCS/EMS system Shape files, including electric network current diagram and station wiring diagram, obtaining frequency is to update daily once;Pass through manual maintenance, initialization Bus mode of connection type is managed, completes the relationship of bus and route modeling under the different bus modes of connection for system;
The electric network model management submodule periodically obtains the rack from the safe area I by integrated with OCS/EMS system Model file, i.e. CIM model file, obtaining frequency is to update daily once;
The telemetry management submodule periodically obtains the telemetering from the safe area I by integrated with OCS/EMS system Data file, i.e. E formatted file, obtaining frequency is every 5 minutes primary;
The operation of power networks real-time exhibition submodule analyzes power grid bus and inlet-outlet line is opened by obtaining power grid telemetry in real time It closes, bus connection switch key equipment state, based on Net Frame of Electric Network model structure, intelligent inference power grid bus and its charge circuit Practical layout and inner link, result will be analyzed and be applied in the SVG graphic file voluntarily safeguarded of system, bus is automatically performed And the modeling of route, it generates using bus pel as core node, route is the operation of power networks figure of interconnection;
The normal operation graphics management submodule is for safeguarding under power grid normal operating condition, using bus pel as core section Point, route are the operation of power networks figure of interconnection;
The mapping comparison in real time of operation of power networks abnormal monitoring submodule intelligence normally with real time execution equipment state difference, in reality Shi Yunhang figure Intelligent flickering demarcates abnormal point, main to pass through scheduling day in combination with the inducement feature that real-time running state is common Will investigation, solution cyclization investigation, OCS overhaul listed state and carry out assessment and type decision to abnormal point potential risk, realize basis Abnormal feature, push in real time is reminded or warning;System intelligent positioning exception simultaneously pushes prompting or warning, if belonging to plan model The temporary unusual fluctuation of interior operating status is enclosed, mark extremely disappears after user can accept prompting, also can hand if content needs additional attention It is dynamic to promote concern rank, it is promoted to warning;If belonging to unplanned outage causes operating status unusual fluctuation, system automatically tracks the warning Event, save the warning from accept to operating status reset in real time during all processing information.
6. a kind of operation of power networks state according to claim 1 is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system, feature exist In:
The intelligent scheduling program management module is by establishing various dimensions to the check of operation of power networks state and the emulation of power grid accident Intelligent scheduling expert model, realize in intellectual analysis power grid accident logical communication link, and combine power grid security analytical calculation, it is real Now dispatch accident prediction dynamic generation and verifying function;The intelligent scheduling program management module further include: EMS and BPA model It manages submodule, fault set management submodule, power networks risk assessment submodule, intelligent scheduling expert model and manages submodule Block, operation of power networks accident handling scheme submodule, prediction scheme self checking manage submodule.
7. a kind of operation of power networks state according to claim 6 is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system, feature exist In:
EMS the and BPA model management submodule realizes the mapping relations in tidal current analysis between EMS model and BPA model Management provides the foundation support for system, supports the newly-increased of data, editor, deletion and query function;
Fault set management submodule has fault set maintenance management function, including to fault set it is newly-increased, delete, modification, It consults, query function;
Power networks risk assessment submodule be used for power networks risk caused by under maintenance plan or specified failure into Row analysis, evaluates damage sequence, carries out the quantitative evaluation of power networks risk, determines that grade is drawn to venture influence and risk probability Point, judge quantification gradation locating for venture influence and risk probability;
The intelligent scheduling expert model management submodule is at operation of power networks accident for safeguarding intelligent scheduling expert model library It sets scheme and decision recommendation is provided, comprising: whether preferably consider the adjustment method of operation, such as put into route, or close bus connection switch;It is Element near no preferential adjustment faulty equipment, such as website or route near first search fault point;Equipment is subjected to piece Division, The adjustment method of operation preferentially carries out section equipment adjustment;Whether adjustment voltage levels equipment is paid the utmost attention to;
The operation of power networks accident handling scheme submodule realizes to the rack in risk assessment there are power networks risk, in conjunction with Intelligent scheduling expert model generates corresponding operation of power networks accident handling prediction scheme;
The prediction scheme self checking management submodule is realized based on the accident prediction self checking under present or future state;Work as electric network composition After changing, by artificial or regular setting, self checking will be carried out to the prediction scheme collection to enter into force in the past, when finding unreasonable Automatic prompt alarm, provides the more new suggested of prediction scheme, requests artificial check and approve;Verification experts database is relied on to carry out the automatic Verification of prediction scheme Unreasonable auxiliary strategy is fallen in assessment, locking, while prompting locking reason.
8. a kind of operation of power networks state according to claim 1 is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system, feature exist In:
The accident prediction database management module further includes that accident prediction management submodule, history prediction scheme inquiry submodule, accident are pre- Case whole process visualizes submodule;
The accident prediction management submodule realizes automatically generating, manually adjust, auditing approval, publication stream for scheduling accident prediction Flow intendance, the check function of accident prediction are realized in journey management;
The history prediction scheme inquiry submodule realizes having access to immediately for history prediction scheme, and system reads the fault element in EMS system, Automatically the accident prediction under the fault condition, assistant regulating and controlling personnel's accident handling decision are had access to;Prediction scheme based on primary connection figure It has access to, system is associated with power grid primary connection figure figure by prediction scheme, and figure uses EMS graphical model, as unit of substation It carries out prediction scheme and safeguards graphical association;Power grid primary connection figure can be checked during establishment prediction scheme, carried out prediction scheme and had access to;
The accident prediction whole process visualization submodule realizes that the whole process analysis result visualization of accident prediction shows, system Show accident prediction overall process information, including method of operation analytic process, the subsequent method of operation and result, accident treatment are built in advance View and reason, accident impact assess each step and analyze result.
9. a kind of operation of power networks state according to claim 1 is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system, feature exist In:
The history prediction scheme inquiry submodule further includes following functions: realizing and is carried out according to electric power safety accident emergency overall plan Dispatch the management of emergency preplan;
Realize record and manage all kinds of complete emergency preplans, realize the establishment of emergency preplan, preliminary hearing, check, audit, approval, The orderly management of publication, simultaneously containing maintenance, update, classification and inquiry miscellaneous function;
It realizes emergency preplan objectification programmed function, emergency preplan is subjected to object fractionation, is carried out in a manner of structural data Storage;
The version management for realizing emergency preplan can set multiple emergency preplan versions according to the similar prediction failure classification of power grid, and Support prediction scheme version issuing function, after the publication of new version prediction scheme, the prediction scheme of early version ceases to be in force automatically, while providing artificial adjustment life The prediction scheme version function of effect;
The basic content of forecasting edited includes following element: accident prediction title, prediction scheme number, general introduction, the in advance method of operation, event Barrier setting, the subsequent method of operation, subsequent risk analysis, mainly control target, incident processing procedure and main points, accident impact are commented Estimate, remarks;
It realizes the regular automatic refreshing of prediction scheme and submits and confirm, give specified time interval or by the way of triggering by hand, make System obtains real time operation mode information from OCS system automatically, is generated with real-time running data and grid structure auxiliary and current The emergency preplan that the method for operation matches, to realize that the timing of emergency preplan automatically updates;
Emergency preplan classification is provided and carries out customized directory management, including always adjust, it is middle adjust, adjust it is different classes of;
Realize the establishment of emergency preplan, preliminary hearing, each profession check, mutually school, maintenance, audit, approval, publication between each professional the superior and the subordinate Orderly management, can realize that direct Word edits or mount attachment in each link, and can check flow chart, process Track and circulation journal function;
Realization specific people can carry out revised to approved prediction scheme, guarantee that prediction scheme dynamic updates, and prediction scheme is being worked out, examined Core records operation log when revising, abrogating operation, while realizing the inquiry and export function of operation log;
Realize the automatic issuing function of emergency preplan, the emergency preplan for saving emergency preplan and special item for net carries out classification hair Cloth, when publication, need clear search key;
Emergency preplan after realizing circulation can report superior unit, and superior unit summarizes the emergency preplan that subordinate unit reports, And the closed loop management of superior unit is reported again;
Emergency preplan full-text search function is realized, to meet the requirement that user of service quickly consults emergency preplan;
Realize emergency preplan by regulating and controlling mechanism emergency disposal prediction scheme, regulating and controlling mechanism operation troubles Response project, scheduling automated System failure handling program major class, then presses unit, center, sections' level Classification Management again, provides the compound query function of each classification Energy;
It realizes to be released news according to real-time Electrical Safety Risk-warning and formulates emergency preplan, establishment, examination & approval including emergency preplan, Publication, accident can be supported to be associated with emergency preplan when occurring, and prompt the decision scheme of disposition accident;
Realize the export function of emergency preplan, export supports PDF, Excel file format;
Realize the printing and issuing function of emergency preplan.
10. a kind of computer equipment including memory, processor and stores the meter that can be run on a memory and on a processor Calculation machine program, which is characterized in that the processor realizes a kind of power grid described in one of claim 1-9 when executing described program Operating status is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system.
CN201910480385.9A 2019-06-04 2019-06-04 A kind of operation of power networks state is checked and accident prediction dynamic generating system Pending CN110428123A (en)

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Application publication date: 20191108