CN109905255A - A kind of system for cloud computing method for predicting and device based on timing statistical sectional - Google Patents

A kind of system for cloud computing method for predicting and device based on timing statistical sectional Download PDF

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Publication number
CN109905255A
CN109905255A CN201711286862.5A CN201711286862A CN109905255A CN 109905255 A CN109905255 A CN 109905255A CN 201711286862 A CN201711286862 A CN 201711286862A CN 109905255 A CN109905255 A CN 109905255A
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sequence
statistical
time
cloud computing
virtual machine
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CN201711286862.5A
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张鹏飞
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Shanghai Instrument Electric (group) Co Ltd Central Research Institute
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Shanghai Instrument Electric (group) Co Ltd Central Research Institute
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Abstract

The present invention relates to a kind of system for cloud computing method for predicting based on timing statistical sectional, resource occupation amount statistics at times is carried out to the virtual machine in system for cloud computing, Markov state model is established according to statistical result, the predicting network flow of subsequent period is carried out according to model.Compared with prior art, the present invention is for acyclic network behavior, time series data analysis and prediction are carried out by the result to network boundary bandwidth monitor, identify the discharge characteristic of different business and timing trend in network, and then a possibility that judging network " adjacent flow interference " hidden danger in following a period of time, to optimize resource adjusting strategies, avoid excessively frequently dispatching and adjusting.

Description

A kind of system for cloud computing method for predicting and device based on timing statistical sectional
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of network flow prediction methods, more particularly, to a kind of cloud computing based on timing statistical sectional Network flow prediction method and device.
Background technique
Since the business carried in cloud computing environment and application are many kinds of, and different application is for the demand of Internet resources Different, particularly, in the cloud computing environment that nowadays mostly application coexists, a distinct issues are " adjacent flow interference " (Noisy Neigbour) problem, since the isolation and scheduling of resource are incomplete, leads to some that is, while shared resource It applies to generate adjacent and relevant other application when generating vast resources demand or generating a large amount of network flows and do It disturbs, influences the stability of other application.
In order to solve adjacent flow interference on Internet resources to the influence of other users, current countermeasure mainly has The modes such as empty machine scheduling, network scheduling, resource isolation, but these have regular hour expense, i.e., cannot accomplish to become network The real-time response of change, while certain influence, such as virtual machine (vm) migration itself may also be generated to network performance itself and may require that Certain network bandwidth, therefore it is unable to frequent progress adjustment.
Therefore, want in actual operations within the following certain time network flow and interference traffic conditions into The certain prediction of row avoids excessively frequently dispatching and adjusting to optimize resource adjusting strategies.
Summary of the invention
It is an object of the present invention to overcome the above-mentioned drawbacks of the prior art and provide one kind to be counted based on timing The system for cloud computing method for predicting and device of segmentation.
The purpose of the present invention can be achieved through the following technical solutions:
A kind of system for cloud computing method for predicting based on timing statistical sectional, to the virtual machine in system for cloud computing into The resource occupation amount statistics of row at times, establishes Markov state model according to statistical result, carries out lower a period of time according to model The predicting network flow of section.
The resource occupation amount includes flow and/or bandwidth usage.
Further, the method includes following below scheme:
Traffic statistics, the flow of virtual machine changes with time in statistical server node, obtains current-time sequence;
The sequence of unsegmented in window is carried out current-time sequence using sliding window mechanism by sequence segment Segmentation makes every section of resource occupation amount statistical property difference be not less than given threshold, then window sliding to current point in time, after It is continuous that the sequence of unsegmented is segmented;
Sequence statistic carries out the network bandwidth occupancy characteristic statistics based on segmentation, obtains each to the sequence being segmented The holding time ratio in heterogeneous networks bandwidth section of the virtual machine within its corresponding period;
Piecewise prediction describes the state transfer spy of each user, each virtual machine according to the statistical nature in the period Property, the hiding Markov model of building state transfer carries out the prediction of next period according to established model, predicts Content includes duration and resource occupation amount.
In the sequence segment, using top-down sequence segment method, specifically: sequence is first divided into two sections, is made Statistical property difference between two sections is maximum, the statistical property difference then to every section of progress recursive segmentation, between two sections Reach setting range.
A kind of system for cloud computing volume forecasting device based on timing statistical sectional, comprising:
Flow statistical module, the flow of virtual machine changes with time in statistical server node, obtains current-time sequence Column;
Sequence segment module, for current-time sequence, using sliding window mechanism, by the sequence of unsegmented in window It is segmented, so that every section of resource occupation amount statistical property difference is not less than given threshold, then window sliding to current time Point continues to be segmented the sequence of unsegmented;
Sequence statistic module carries out the network bandwidth occupancy characteristic statistics based on segmentation, obtains to the sequence being segmented The holding time ratio in heterogeneous networks bandwidth section of each virtual machine within its corresponding period;
Piecewise prediction module describes the state transfer of each user, each virtual machine according to the statistical nature in the period The hiding Markov model of characteristic, building state transfer carries out the prediction of next period, in advance according to established model Surveying content includes duration and resource occupation amount.
The device further includes confidence interval detection module, carries out real-time statistical check, gained ratio to prediction result To result feed back input into piecewise prediction module.
Compared with prior art, the present invention is for acyclic network behavior, by network boundary bandwidth monitor As a result time series data analysis and prediction are carried out, identifies the discharge characteristic of different business and timing trend in network, and then sentence It a possibility that network " adjacent flow interference " hidden danger in following a period of time of breaking, to optimize resource adjusting strategies, avoids Excessively frequently scheduling and adjustment.
For current-time sequence, using sliding window mechanism and top-down sequence syncopation, realize dynamic Model foundation process, the state variable to be differed greatly between each other can accurately find practical tenant's behavior to net The influence stage of network flow and material time point improve the accuracy of model prediction.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is the structure principle chart of the present embodiment prediction meanss;
Fig. 2 is the present embodiment time Series Processing algorithm flow.
Specific embodiment
The present invention is described in detail with specific embodiment below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.The present embodiment is with technical solution of the present invention Premised on implemented, the detailed implementation method and specific operation process are given, but protection scope of the present invention is not limited to Following embodiments.
Embodiment
As shown in Figure 1, a kind of system for cloud computing volume forecasting device based on timing statistical sectional, comprising:
Flow statistical module 1 is deployed in each server node of cloud computing, each virtual machine in statistical server node Transmitting-receiving flow changes with time, and obtains the accurate transformation period sequence of each virtual machine network bandwidth usage at any time;
Sequence segment module 2, for current-time sequence, using sliding window mechanism, by the sequence of unsegmented in window It is segmented, so that every section of resource occupation amount statistical property difference is not less than given threshold, then window sliding to current time Point continues to be segmented the sequence of unsegmented;
Sequence statistic module 3, based on the time slice learnt as a result, carrying out the network based on segmentation for time series Bandwidth usage characteristic statistics obtain the holding time in heterogeneous networks bandwidth section of each virtual machine in its corresponding timeslice Ratio;
Piecewise prediction module 4 describes each tenant, each virtual machine according to the network flow statistic feature in timeslice State transfer characteristic, its hiding Markov model shifted using situation state is constructed, and according to this model prediction Duration, state tag and the corresponding network flow statistic probability distribution of next time slice;
Confidence interval detection module 5 carries out real-time statistical check to prediction result, and gained comparison result feed back input is extremely In piecewise prediction module 4, meanwhile, the assessment of the confidence interval based on existing model is provided for current prediction result.
A kind of system for cloud computing method for predicting based on timing statistical sectional, including following below scheme:
Traffic statistics, the flow of virtual machine changes with time in statistical server node, obtains current-time sequence;
The sequence of unsegmented in window is carried out current-time sequence using sliding window mechanism by sequence segment Segmentation makes every section of resource occupation amount statistical property difference be not less than given threshold, then window sliding to current point in time, after It is continuous that the sequence of unsegmented is segmented;Specifically, using top-down sequence segment method, specifically: first sequence is divided into Two sections, keep the statistical property difference between two sections maximum, then to every section of progress recursive segmentation, the statistics between two sections is special Sex differernce reaches setting range, and it is bright the time series of lasting variation can be divided into bandwidth occupancy statistical nature difference in real time in this way Aobvious different phase can accurately find influence stage and material time point of the practical tenant's behavior to network flow;
Sequence statistic carries out the network bandwidth occupancy characteristic statistics based on segmentation, obtains each to the sequence being segmented The holding time ratio in heterogeneous networks bandwidth section of the virtual machine within its corresponding period;
Piecewise prediction describes the state transfer spy of each user, each virtual machine according to the statistical nature in the period Property, the hiding Markov model of building state transfer carries out the prediction of next period according to established model, predicts Content includes duration and resource occupation amount.
As shown in Fig. 2, time Series Processing process provided by the present embodiment mainly includes the following steps: with method
1. for the time series of input, using sliding window mechanism, by the Sequence being segmented in sliding window from It is rejected in window, window forward slip is read in into time series data;
2., using top-down window segmentation algorithm, being by window cutting for specific sliding window sometime Two sections, so that the traffic statistics property difference between two sections is maximum.To every section of progress recurrence cutting after cutting, between two sections Until flow difference characteristic is less than given threshold value
3. after the completion of cutting, in addition to final stage time series, before all split time sequences filings enter statistics Information storage;Time window slides into current time sequence of points, re-starts step 2.
4. for the timeslice statistical information filed, settling time piece state transition model, to facilitate long-term forecast.

Claims (6)

1. a kind of system for cloud computing method for predicting based on timing statistical sectional, which is characterized in that in system for cloud computing Virtual machine carry out at times resource occupation amount statistics, Markov state model is established according to statistical result, according to model Carry out the predicting network flow of subsequent period.
2. a kind of system for cloud computing method for predicting based on timing statistical sectional according to claim 1, feature It is, the resource occupation amount includes flow and/or bandwidth usage.
3. a kind of system for cloud computing method for predicting based on timing statistical sectional according to claim 1, feature It is, including following below scheme:
Traffic statistics, the flow of virtual machine changes with time in statistical server node, obtains current-time sequence;
The sequence of unsegmented in window is segmented current-time sequence using sliding window mechanism by sequence segment, Make every section of resource occupation amount statistical property difference not less than given threshold, then window sliding to current point in time, continues pair The sequence of unsegmented is segmented;
Sequence statistic carries out the network bandwidth occupancy characteristic statistics based on segmentation to the sequence being segmented, and obtains each virtual The holding time ratio in heterogeneous networks bandwidth section of the machine within its corresponding period;
Piecewise prediction describes the state transfer characteristic of each user, each virtual machine, structure according to the statistical nature in the period The hiding Markov model for building state transfer carries out the prediction of next period, predictive content packet according to established model Include duration and resource occupation amount.
4. a kind of system for cloud computing method for predicting based on timing statistical sectional according to claim 3, feature It is, in the sequence segment, using top-down sequence segment method, specifically: sequence is first divided into two sections, makes two sections Between statistical property difference it is maximum, then to every section of progress recursive segmentation, the statistical property difference between two sections reaches Setting range.
5. a kind of system for cloud computing volume forecasting device based on timing statistical sectional characterized by comprising
Flow statistical module, the flow of virtual machine changes with time in statistical server node, obtains current-time sequence;
The sequence of unsegmented in window is carried out current-time sequence using sliding window mechanism by sequence segment module Segmentation makes every section of resource occupation amount statistical property difference be not less than given threshold, then window sliding to current point in time, after It is continuous that the sequence of unsegmented is segmented;
Sequence statistic module carries out the network bandwidth occupancy characteristic statistics based on segmentation, obtains each to the sequence being segmented The holding time ratio in heterogeneous networks bandwidth section of the virtual machine within its corresponding period;
Piecewise prediction module describes the state transfer spy of each user, each virtual machine according to the statistical nature in the period Property, the hiding Markov model of building state transfer carries out the prediction of next period according to established model, predicts Content includes duration and resource occupation amount.
6. a kind of system for cloud computing volume forecasting device based on timing statistical sectional according to claim 5, feature It is, further includes confidence interval detection module, real-time statistical check, gained comparison result feed back input is carried out to prediction result Into piecewise prediction module.
CN201711286862.5A 2017-12-07 2017-12-07 A kind of system for cloud computing method for predicting and device based on timing statistical sectional Pending CN109905255A (en)

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Cited By (5)

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CN110659681A (en) * 2019-09-17 2020-01-07 上海仪电(集团)有限公司中央研究院 Time sequence data prediction system and method based on pattern recognition
CN113538026A (en) * 2020-04-15 2021-10-22 北京京东振世信息技术有限公司 Traffic calculation method and device
CN113673822A (en) * 2021-07-15 2021-11-19 微梦创科网络科技(中国)有限公司 Elastic scheduling method and system
CN114070757A (en) * 2021-11-15 2022-02-18 南方电网数字电网研究院有限公司 Data traffic change monitoring method for cloud computing management control platform
CN115037642A (en) * 2022-03-30 2022-09-09 武汉烽火技术服务有限公司 Method and device for identifying flow bottleneck

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Cited By (9)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN110659681A (en) * 2019-09-17 2020-01-07 上海仪电(集团)有限公司中央研究院 Time sequence data prediction system and method based on pattern recognition
CN113538026A (en) * 2020-04-15 2021-10-22 北京京东振世信息技术有限公司 Traffic calculation method and device
CN113538026B (en) * 2020-04-15 2023-11-03 北京京东振世信息技术有限公司 Service amount calculation method and device
CN113673822A (en) * 2021-07-15 2021-11-19 微梦创科网络科技(中国)有限公司 Elastic scheduling method and system
CN113673822B (en) * 2021-07-15 2023-08-11 微梦创科网络科技(中国)有限公司 Elastic scheduling method and system
CN114070757A (en) * 2021-11-15 2022-02-18 南方电网数字电网研究院有限公司 Data traffic change monitoring method for cloud computing management control platform
CN114070757B (en) * 2021-11-15 2023-08-08 南方电网数字电网研究院有限公司 Data flow change monitoring method for cloud computing management control platform
CN115037642A (en) * 2022-03-30 2022-09-09 武汉烽火技术服务有限公司 Method and device for identifying flow bottleneck
CN115037642B (en) * 2022-03-30 2023-11-21 武汉烽火技术服务有限公司 Method and device for identifying flow bottleneck

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