CN109829607A - A kind of integrated evaluating method of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System - Google Patents
A kind of integrated evaluating method of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System Download PDFInfo
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- CN109829607A CN109829607A CN201811542761.4A CN201811542761A CN109829607A CN 109829607 A CN109829607 A CN 109829607A CN 201811542761 A CN201811542761 A CN 201811542761A CN 109829607 A CN109829607 A CN 109829607A
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Abstract
The invention discloses a kind of integrated evaluating methods of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System, belong to City Traffic Transport System Development Assessment field, comprising the following steps: (1) according to TISP framework establishment assessment indicator system, and evaluation result are classified；(2) according to relevant national standard, the grade scale of index is determined according to city size；(3) numerical characteristic of cloud model is calculated in conjunction with Multidimensional Cloud Model theory according to each Index grading standard；(3) cloud model numerical characteristic is inputted, multidimensional forward direction normal state cloud generator generates the normal random number for corresponding to evaluation grade；(4) AHP method parameter weight is used；(5) measured value for inputting Traffic Systems index, the degree of certainty for being under the jurisdiction of each rank is calculated using comprehensive degree of certainty formula, determines overall merit grade according to maximum degree of certainty principle.Step of the present invention is concise, calculates efficiently, as a result clearly, has important reference significance to the Sustainable Development Evaluation of City Traffic Transport System.
Description
Technical field
The invention belongs to City Traffic Transport System Development Assessment field, in particular to a kind of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System
Integrated evaluating method.
Background technique
Currently, China is in the transition period of " traffic big country " to " traffic power ", transport development emphasis is by " scale expands
Turn to " enhancing efficiency " greatly ".In order to alleviate the various problems in urban transportation, the modernization carrier of sustainable development is established
Be it is very necessary, the urban transportation comprehensive assessment of Development Zone for sustainable development is one of important step.
Urban transportation comprehensive assessment influence factor is numerous, and it is more difficult to establish reasonable evaluation index system.Traditional friendship
In terms of logical overall merit lays particular emphasis on traffic congestion and accessibility more, the finger of the urban transportation comprehensive assessment of Development Zone for sustainable development
Mark, which is chosen, to be waited to study.
The selection of appraisal procedure is also an importance in Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System comprehensive assessment, and traditional comments
Estimating has Field Using Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment, Gray Correlation, BP neural network method etc..Although these calculation methods have with certain
Effect property, but Field Using Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment has ignored the uncertainty of membership function itself, and Gray Correlation objectivity is poor, BP
Neural network needs a large amount of sample data as support, therefore is being applied to Evaluation of Urban Traffic Sustainable Development
When all there is some shortcomings.The invention proposes a kind of integrated evaluating methods of Traffic Systems sustainable development thus.
Summary of the invention
Goal of the invention: for ignore correlation between each index in Traditional measurements method, objectivity is poor the problems such as defect, this hair
It is bright that a kind of integrated evaluating method of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System is provided, it calculates succinct efficient, while considering between multi objective
Correlation reduces the susceptibility that traditional fuzzy evaluation method fluctuates weight, as a result clear and intuitive.
Technical solution: the present invention proposes a kind of integrated evaluating method of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System, includes the following steps:
In order to solve problem above, the present invention provides a kind of integrated evaluating method of Traffic Systems sustainable development,
Specific step is as follows:
(1) according to TISP framework establishment assessment indicator system, and evaluation result is divided into l grade；
(2) according to relevant national standard, the grade scale of n index is determined according to city size；
(3) numerical characteristic of cloud model is calculated in conjunction with Multidimensional Cloud Model theory according to each Index grading standard；
(4) AHP method parameter weight is used；
(5) numerical characteristic of cloud model is inputted into multidimensional forward direction normal state cloud generator, generates l for corresponding to l grade
N ties up normal random number；
(6) measured value for inputting n index of Traffic Systems is under the jurisdiction of each using comprehensive degree of certainty formula calculating
The degree of certainty of rank determines overall merit grade according to maximum degree of certainty principle；
(7) obtained overall merit grade is used to instruct the system of traffic pollution control regulation and public transport admission fee scheme
It is fixed.
Further improvement of the present invention, in the step (1), Traffic Systems sustainable development evaluation index system
For four layered tower index systems, it is divided into destination layer, rule layer, element layer and indicator layer.
Further improvement of the present invention, the step (1) include the following steps:
(1.1) from Traffic Systems angle of sustainable development selection environment, society, the overall goal of economic field；
(1.2) it according to the overall goal in each field, is chosen for reaching the criterion that the target should establish；
(1.3) it according to each criterion, is chosen for reaching the element that the criterion should be focused on；
(1.4) reasonable index that can quantify each element is chosen.
Further improvement of the present invention, in the step (2), relevant national standard includes that " urban traffic management is commented
Valence index system " etc. the professional standard that is subordinate to of Traffic Evaluations standard and each index.Part index number determines evaluation criterion grade or more
When boundary, need to select after classifying to city size according to completed region of the city area, urban population, urban district GDP corresponding
Grade scale.
Further improvement of the present invention, in the step (3), three numerical characteristics are desired Ex, entropy En, super entropy He.
Further improvement of the present invention, the step (3) include the following steps:
(3.1) according to formula
Ex=(Cmax+Cmin)/2
Expectation Ex is calculated, wherein CmaxAnd CminIndex is respectively represented in the bound of the level evaluation standard；
(3.2) according to formula
En=Exmax/3；
Entropy En is calculated, wherein ExmaxRepresent the maximum value it is expected in Ex that index corresponds to each assessment grade；
(3.3) according to formula
He=0.01En
Calculate super entropy He；
(3.4) step (3.1)-(3.3) are repeated, until all numbers for calculating n index corresponding to l rank are special
Sign；
Further improvement of the present invention, the step (4) include the following steps:
(4.1) index for constructing n × n compares matrix R, and the element in matrix R is known as Aij.Wherein, if index i relative to
Index j is even more important, then according to significance level to AijCarry out assignment.From small to large according to significance level gap, AijSuccessively value
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,9.Conversely, if index j is even more important relative to index i,
(4.2) the feature vector p of judgment matrix R is calculated, and feature vector p is normalized, according to formulaObtain index weights；
(4.3) according to formula
CR=CI/RI
Matrix consistency inspection is carried out, wherein CI=(λmax- n)/(n-1), RIIt is mean random index of conformity.
Further improvement of the present invention, the step (6) include the following steps:
(6.1) according to formula
Calculate the degree of certainty that Traffic Systems Sustainable Development Level is under the jurisdiction of each grade；Wherein, μk[x(x1,
x2..., xn)] (k=1 2 ..., l) represents the degree of certainty that the system is under the jurisdiction of kth grade；ExjkIt is j-th of index in kth
Expectation in grade；En′jkTo tie up j-th of numerical value in Gauss number corresponding to the n of kth grade.
(6.2) according to maximum degree of certainty principle, the maximum value in each grade degree of certainty is chosen, the corresponding grade of the value is city
The comprehensive assessment grade of city's Sustainable Development of Transportation System.
It is an object of the present invention to the overall merits of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System to provide a kind of comprehensive index system, and change
Ignore correlation between each index in kind Traditional measurements method, the problems such as objectivity is poor.Method provided by the invention, to city void
The evaluation of sustainable development of urban traffic network has greater significance in quasi- traffic test platform.
The present invention by adopting the above technical scheme, has the advantages that
(1) under the background of modernization transportation system for nowadays building sustainable development energetically, the present invention considers ring comprehensively
Border, society, economic field target of sustainable development, establish comprehensive Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System comprehensive evaluation index
System.
(2) present invention constructs the Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System integrated evaluating method based on cloud model, calculates succinct high
Effect, while the correlation between multi objective is considered, the susceptibility that traditional fuzzy evaluation method fluctuates weight is reduced, is tied
Fruit is clear and intuitive, has important reference significance to the formulation of Urban Transport Policy.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is flow chart of the invention.
Specific embodiment
Combined with specific embodiments below, the present invention is furture elucidated, it should be understood that these embodiments are merely to illustrate the present invention
Rather than limit the scope of the invention, after the present invention has been read, those skilled in the art are to various equivalences of the invention
The modification of form falls within the application range as defined in the appended claims.
The present invention provides a kind of integrated evaluating method of Traffic Systems sustainable development, and it is an object of the present invention to cities
The overall merit of Sustainable transportation development provides a kind of comprehensive index system, and improves and ignore each finger in Traditional measurements method
Correlation between mark, the problems such as objectivity is poor.Method provided by the invention, to urban transportation in the virtual traffic test platform of city
The evaluation of sustainable development of network has greater significance.
As one embodiment, it is known that the index of correlation value in certain A class city year is commented using method provided by the invention
Estimate the Sustainable Development Level in the city.
As shown in Figure 1, a kind of integrated evaluating method of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System of the present invention, to the city
Transport development index value is handled, and is included the following steps:
(A) according to TISP framework establishment assessment indicator system, and evaluation result is divided into l grade, included the following steps:
(A1) from Traffic Systems angle of sustainable development selection environment, society, the overall goal of economic field；
(A2) it according to the overall goal in each field, is chosen for reaching the criterion that the target should establish；
(A3) it according to each criterion, is chosen for reaching the element that the criterion should be focused on；
(A4) reasonable index that can quantify each element is chosen.
Evaluation of Urban Traffic Sustainable Development index system is as shown in table 1.Evaluation result is divided into 5 grades in this example,
It is referred to as I, II, III, IV, V grade from high to low according to Sustainable Development Level.
1 Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System index system of table
(B) according to relevant national standard, the grade scale of n index is determined according to city size；
The grade scale of 17 indexs in A class city is as shown in table 2.
2 Evaluation of Urban Traffic Sustainable Development Index grading standard of table
(C) numerical characteristic of cloud model is calculated, including such as in conjunction with Multidimensional Cloud Model theory according to each Index grading standard
Lower step:
(C1) according to formula
Ex=(Cmax+Cmin)/2
Expectation Ex is calculated, wherein CmaxAnd CminIndex is respectively represented in the bound of the level evaluation standard；
(C2) according to formula
En=Exmax/3；
Entropy En is calculated, wherein ExmaxRepresent the maximum value it is expected in Ex that index corresponds to each assessment grade；
(C3) according to formula
He=0.01En
Calculate super entropy He；
(C4) step (C1)-(C3) is repeated, until calculating whole numerical characteristics that n index corresponds to l rank；
The corresponding numerical characteristics at different levels of each index in the city are as shown in table 3.
The numerical characteristic of 3 cloud model of table
(D) AHP method parameter weight is used, comprising the following steps:
(D1) index for constructing n × n compares matrix R, and the element in matrix R is known as Aij.Wherein, if index i is relative to finger
It is even more important to mark j, then according to significance level to AijCarry out assignment.From small to large according to significance level gap, AijSuccessively value
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,9.Conversely, if index j is even more important relative to index i,
(D2) the feature vector p of judgment matrix R is calculated, and feature vector p is normalized, according to formulaObtain index weights；
(D3) according to formula
CR=CI/RI
Matrix consistency inspection is carried out, wherein CI=(λmax- n)/(n-1), RIIt is mean random index of conformity.
Each index weights in the city are as shown in table 4.
4 Evaluation of Urban Traffic Sustainable Development index weights of table
(E) numerical characteristic of cloud model is inputted into multidimensional forward direction normal state cloud generator, generates l n for corresponding to l grade
Tie up normal random number；
(F) measured value for inputting n index of Traffic Systems is under the jurisdiction of each grade using comprehensive degree of certainty formula calculating
Other degree of certainty determines overall merit grade according to maximum degree of certainty principle, comprising the following steps:
(F1) according to formula
Calculate the degree of certainty that Traffic Systems Sustainable Development Level is under the jurisdiction of each grade；Wherein, μk[x(x1,
x2..., xn)] (k=1,2 ..., l) represent the degree of certainty that the system is under the jurisdiction of kth grade；ExjkIt is j-th of index in kth
Expectation in grade；En′jkTo tie up j-th of numerical value in Gauss number corresponding to the n of kth grade.
(F2) according to maximum degree of certainty principle, the maximum value in each grade degree of certainty is chosen, the corresponding grade of the value is city
The comprehensive assessment grade of city's Sustainable Development of Transportation System.
The index measured value in the city is shown in Table 5.
Specifically evaluate data in 5 city of table
Each membership function in the city is as shown in table 6.
The city integrated evaluation result of table 6
According to maximum degree of certainty principle, it is known that the comprehensive assessment grade of the Traffic Systems sustainable development is I grades.
The above described is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention, being not the limit for making any other form to the present invention
System, and made any modification or equivalent variations according to the technical essence of the invention, still fall within present invention model claimed
It encloses.
Claims (7)
1. a kind of integrated evaluating method of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System, which comprises the steps of:
(1) according to TISP framework establishment assessment indicator system, and evaluation result is divided into l grade；
(2) grade scale of n index is determined according to city size；
(3) cloud model comprising l grade of n index is calculated in conjunction with Multidimensional Cloud Model theory according to each Index grading standard
Numerical characteristic；
(4) AHP method parameter weight is used；
(5) numerical characteristic of cloud model is inputted into multidimensional forward direction normal state cloud generator, generates and is tieed up just corresponding to l n of l grade
State random number；
(6) measured value for inputting n index of Traffic Systems is under the jurisdiction of each rank using comprehensive degree of certainty formula calculating
Degree of certainty determines overall merit grade according to maximum degree of certainty principle；
(7) obtained overall merit grade is used to instruct the formulation of traffic pollution control regulation and public transport admission fee scheme.
2. a kind of integrated evaluating method of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System according to claim 1, which is characterized in that described
The assessment indicator system constructed in step (1) is four layered tower index systems, is divided into destination layer, rule layer, element layer and index
Layer.
3. a kind of integrated evaluating method of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System according to claim 2, which is characterized in that described
In step (1), according to TISP framework establishment assessment indicator system, and evaluation result is divided into l grade specific step is as follows:
(1.1) from Traffic Systems angle of sustainable development selection environment, society, the overall goal of economic field；
(1.2) it according to the overall goal in each field, is chosen for reaching the criterion that the target should establish；
(1.3) it according to each criterion, is chosen for reaching the element that the criterion should be focused on；
(1.4) reasonable index that can quantify each element is chosen.
4. a kind of integrated evaluating method of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System according to claim 1, which is characterized in that described
In step (3), the numerical characteristic of cloud model includes three, respectively expectation Ex, entropy En, super entropy He.
5. a kind of integrated evaluating method of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System according to claim 4, which is characterized in that described
In step (3), specific step is as follows for the numerical characteristic of cloud model of the calculating comprising l grade of n index:
(3.1) according to formula
Ex=(Cmax+Cmin)/2
Expectation Ex is calculated, wherein CmaxAnd CminIndex is respectively represented in the bound of the level evaluation standard；
(3.2) according to formula
En=Exmax/3
Entropy En is calculated, wherein ExmaxRepresent the maximum value it is expected in Ex that index corresponds to each assessment grade；
(3.3) according to formula
He=0.01En
Calculate super entropy He；
(3.4) step (3.1) to (3.3) are repeated, until calculating whole numerical characteristics that n index corresponds to l rank.
6. a kind of integrated evaluating method of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System according to claim 1, which is characterized in that described
Using AHP method parameter weight, specific step is as follows in step (4):
(4.1) index for constructing n × n compares matrix R, and the element in matrix R is known as Aij；Wherein, if index i is relative to index j
It is even more important, then according to significance level to AijCarry out assignment；From small to large according to significance level gap, AijSuccessively value 1,2,
3,4,5,6,7,9；Conversely, if index j is even more important relative to index i,
(4.2) the feature vector p of judgment matrix R is calculated, and feature vector p is normalized, according to formula
Obtain index weights；
(4.3) according to formula
CR=CI/RI
Matrix consistency inspection is carried out, wherein CI=(λmax- n)/(n-1), RIIt is mean random index of conformity.
7. a kind of integrated evaluating method of Sustainable Development for Urban Traffic System according to claim 1, which is characterized in that described
The degree of certainty for being under the jurisdiction of each rank is calculated in step (6) using comprehensive degree of certainty formula, is determined according to maximum degree of certainty principle
Specific step is as follows for overall merit grade:
(6.1) according to formula
Calculate the degree of certainty that Traffic Systems Sustainable Development Level is under the jurisdiction of each grade；Wherein, μk[x(x1, x2...,
xn)] (k=1 2 ..., l) represents the degree of certainty that the system is under the jurisdiction of kth grade；ExjkIt is j-th of index in kth grade
It is expected that；En′jkTo tie up j-th of numerical value in Gauss number corresponding to the n of kth grade；
(6.2) according to maximum degree of certainty principle, the maximum value in each grade degree of certainty is chosen, the corresponding grade of the value is city friendship
The comprehensive assessment grade of way system sustainable development.
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Cited By (4)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN111798159A (en) * | 2020-07-17 | 2020-10-20 | 中国矿业大学(北京) | Method for evaluating coal resource sustainability |
| CN112734283A (en) * | 2021-01-21 | 2021-04-30 | 上海海事大学 | Method for evaluating layout grade of urban comprehensive transportation hub |
| CN113128872A (en) * | 2021-04-22 | 2021-07-16 | 长安大学 | Urban expressway traffic safety evaluation method |
| CN114418389A (en) * | 2022-01-17 | 2022-04-29 | 安徽省道路运输管理服务中心 | Construction method of traffic transportation development index model based on evaluation index system |
-
2018
- 2018-12-17 CN CN201811542761.4A patent/CN109829607A/en active Pending
Cited By (5)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN111798159A (en) * | 2020-07-17 | 2020-10-20 | 中国矿业大学(北京) | Method for evaluating coal resource sustainability |
| CN111798159B (en) * | 2020-07-17 | 2023-08-08 | 中国矿业大学(北京) | Evaluation method for sustainable force of coal resources |
| CN112734283A (en) * | 2021-01-21 | 2021-04-30 | 上海海事大学 | Method for evaluating layout grade of urban comprehensive transportation hub |
| CN113128872A (en) * | 2021-04-22 | 2021-07-16 | 长安大学 | Urban expressway traffic safety evaluation method |
| CN114418389A (en) * | 2022-01-17 | 2022-04-29 | 安徽省道路运输管理服务中心 | Construction method of traffic transportation development index model based on evaluation index system |
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Application publication date: 20190531 |