CN109685348A - A kind of power equipment typical mode of operation determines method - Google Patents

A kind of power equipment typical mode of operation determines method Download PDF

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Publication number
CN109685348A
CN109685348A CN201811536027.7A CN201811536027A CN109685348A CN 109685348 A CN109685348 A CN 109685348A CN 201811536027 A CN201811536027 A CN 201811536027A CN 109685348 A CN109685348 A CN 109685348A
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China
Prior art keywords
vector
state vector
state
power equipment
typicalness
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CN201811536027.7A
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Inventor
许海林
田翔
罗颖婷
鄂盛龙
黄勇
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Guangdong Power Grid Co Ltd
Electric Power Research Institute of Guangdong Power Grid Co Ltd
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Guangdong Power Grid Co Ltd
Electric Power Research Institute of Guangdong Power Grid Co Ltd
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Priority to CN201811536027.7A priority Critical patent/CN109685348A/en
Publication of CN109685348A publication Critical patent/CN109685348A/en
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0639Performance analysis of employees; Performance analysis of enterprise or organisation operations
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06FELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
    • G06F18/00Pattern recognition
    • G06F18/20Analysing
    • G06F18/23Clustering techniques
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00Systems or methods specially adapted for specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/06Electricity, gas or water supply

Abstract

The embodiment of the present application discloses a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation and determines method, comprising: according to the preset state vector space, the state vector of the corresponding preset state vector space is extracted from the operation data of similar power equipment;Parameter of the state vector extracted in each dimension is normalized;According to default classification number, to treated, state vector is clustered, and determines cluster result;For every one kind in cluster result, typicalness vector of the nearest state vector of distance-like center vector as current class is extracted, the corresponding operational mode of typicalness vector is the typical mode of operation of power equipment;Solves not representative enough the technical problem of transformer typicalness that existing method is determined.The embodiment of the present application also provides a kind of power equipment present mode of operation evaluation method and a kind of state prediction of the development trend methods of power equipment.

Description

A kind of power equipment typical mode of operation determines method
Technical field
This application involves equipment O&M technical field more particularly to a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation determine method, A kind of state prediction of the development trend method of power equipment present mode of operation evaluation method and a kind of power equipment.
Background technique
Core equipment of the large-scale power transformer as electric system, on-going commitment the transformation and transmitting function of electric energy, Its healthy and stable operation is to guarantee one of the deciding factor of power system security.
As gradually the concern and attention by each field, Utilities Electric Co. set up the big of oneself to big data technology one after another Data platform, the data barrier between the equipment of big physical extent are also constantly weakened.The development of big data is so that transformer allusion quotation The extraction of type operational mode is more representative, helps to formulate reasonable power equipment O&M strategy.
In the existing appraisal procedure to running state of transformer, the transformer typicalness provided is that subjectivity is set It is fixed, some intermediate state with general character during state evolution are had ignored, cause the transformer typicalness determined inadequate It is representative.
Summary of the invention
The embodiment of the present application provides a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation and determines method, and it is true to solve existing method Not representative enough the technical problem of the transformer typicalness made.The embodiment of the present application also provides a kind of power equipments to work as A kind of state prediction of the development trend method of preceding operational mode evaluation method and power equipment.
In view of this, the application first aspect, which provides a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation, determines method, comprising:
According to the preset state vector space, the corresponding preset shape is extracted from the operation data of similar power equipment The state vector of state vector space;
Parameter of the state vector extracted in each dimension is normalized;
According to default classification number, to treated, the state vector is clustered, and determines cluster result;
For every one kind in cluster result, allusion quotation of the nearest state vector of distance-like center vector as current class is extracted Type state vector, the corresponding operational mode of the typicalness vector are the typical mode of operation of the power equipment;
Wherein, parameter of the class center vector in each dimension be, where the class center vector in class each state to Measure the median of the parameter of corresponding dimension.
Preferably, the default classification number of the basis, to treated, the state vector is clustered, and determines cluster result It specifically includes:
The default classification number of S1, basis, to treated, the state vector is clustered, and obtains cluster result;
S2, according to Calinski-Harabasz criterion, calculate the corresponding cluster score of the cluster result;
If S3, the cluster score are greater than target fractional, the cluster result is determined, otherwise, adjust the default classification Number, returns to the S1.
Preferably, the state vector described to treated cluster and is specifically included:
By K-means method, to treated, the state vector is clustered.
Preferably, after the described pair of state vector extracted is normalized further include:
It is pre- whether the judgement interval that treated between the state vector corresponding sampling time and current time is greater than If the time cycle;
If so, deleting the state vector.
Preferably, after the described pair of state vector extracted is normalized further include:
Whether parameter in judgement treated the state vector in each dimension and the difference of corresponding predetermined normal level Greater than the X% of predetermined normal level;Wherein, the X% is the first default percentage;
If so, deleting the state vector.
Preferably, after the described pair of state vector extracted is normalized further include:
It is all the same with the presence or absence of two parameters in each corresponding dimension in judgement treated the state vector State vector;
If so, deleting one in two state vectors.
Preferably, specific packet is normalized in parameter of the described pair of state vector extracted in each dimension It includes:
According to formula
Parameter of the state vector extracted in each dimension is normalized;
Wherein, xi={ xi1,…,xij,…,ximIt is the i-th bar state vector, xijIt is the i-th bar state vector in j dimension Parameter.
Preferably, it is described extract the nearest state vector of distance-like center vector as current class typicalness vector it Afterwards further include:
If the state vector sample number of class is less than the total number of samples of Y% where the typicalness vector, by the typical case State vector is labeled as to be evaluated;Wherein, the Y% is the second default percentage.
The application second aspect provides a kind of power equipment present mode of operation evaluation method, the typical case of equipment to be evaluated Operational mode is that a kind of application such as described in any item power equipment typical mode of operation of above-mentioned first aspect determine that method determines , comprising:
Obtain the state vector of equipment to be evaluated;
It calculates between the state vector that gets each typicalness vector corresponding with the equipment to be evaluated First distance;
Extract the minimum range in the first distance;
If the minimum range extracted is less than or equal to the corresponding target typicalness vector institute of the minimum range In the maximum radius of class, the present mode of operation of the equipment to be evaluated is included into the corresponding allusion quotation of the target typicalness vector Type operational mode, the evaluation of the corresponding typical mode of operation of the evaluation of the equipment present mode of operation to be evaluated;
Wherein, the maximum radius is where the target typicalness vector in class, and each state vector sample is into class The maximum value of the distance of Heart vector.
The application third aspect provides a kind of state prediction of the development trend method of power equipment, the allusion quotation of equipment to be predicted Type operational mode is that a kind of application such as described in any item power equipment typical mode of operation of above-mentioned first aspect determine that method is true Fixed, comprising:
From past first moment to current time, multiple state vectors of equipment to be predicted are extracted with preset interval;
According to least square method, first direction vector and the calculating of the multiple state vector corresponding states variation are calculated Second direction vector and second distance of the multiple state vector to each typicalness vector;
Calculate the angle of the first direction vector Yu the second direction vector;
The product for calculating the second distance Yu the angle obtains the predicted value for corresponding to each typicalness vector;
The minimum value in the predicted value is extracted, and determines the corresponding typical case of the corresponding typicalness vector of the minimum value Operational mode is the state that the equipment to be predicted is intended to development.
As can be seen from the above technical solutions, the embodiment of the present application has the advantage that
In the embodiment of the present application, provides a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation and determine method, comprising: according to preset The state vector space extracts the state vector of the corresponding preset state vector space from the operation data of similar power equipment; Parameter of the state vector extracted in each dimension is normalized;According to default classification number, to treated shape State vector is clustered, and determines cluster result;For every one kind in cluster result, the nearest shape of distance-like center vector is extracted Typicalness vector of the state vector as current class, the corresponding operational mode of typicalness vector are the typical operation of power equipment Mode;Wherein, parameter of the class center vector in each dimension is that each state vector corresponds to dimension in class where class center vector The median of parameter.
Method provided by the embodiments of the present application passes through when determining such as typical mode of operation of transformer power equipment The source of an allusion is determined by each parameter state vectorization of power equipment, then by cluster and the means calculated at a distance from class center vector Type state vector, and then determine typical mode of operation.Method compared to existing subjective setting typicalness is more objective, The typical mode of operation determined is more representative closer to truth, also, the means clustered have also contemplated state and drill The intermediate state of general character during change, makes the typical mode of operation determined more have researching value.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is the flow chart that a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation that the application one embodiment provides determines;
Fig. 2 is the process that a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation that second embodiment of the application provides determines method Figure;
Fig. 3 is a kind of process for power equipment present mode of operation evaluation method that the application third embodiment provides Figure;
Fig. 4 is a kind of process of the state prediction of the development trend method for power equipment that the 4th embodiment of the application provides Figure.
Specific embodiment
In order to make those skilled in the art more fully understand application scheme, below in conjunction in the embodiment of the present application Attached drawing, the technical scheme in the embodiment of the application is clearly and completely described, it is clear that described embodiment is only this Apply for a part of the embodiment, instead of all the embodiments.Based on the embodiment in the application, those of ordinary skill in the art exist Every other embodiment obtained under the premise of creative work is not made, shall fall in the protection scope of this application.
The embodiment of the present application provides a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation and determines method, excavates by clustering method The typical mode of operation of power equipment, it can be found that some intermediate state with general character during state evolution, thus more Aggregation behaviour that is objective and comprehensively describing power equipment.
The embodiment of the present application also provides a kind of power equipment present mode of operation evaluation methods, are set based on above-mentioned electric power Standby typical mode of operation determines method, can determine which kind of typical mode of operation is equipment to be evaluated be in, to set to be evaluated Standby state in which is evaluated.
The embodiment of the present application also provides a kind of state prediction of the development trend methods of power equipment, equally based on above-mentioned Power equipment typical mode of operation determines method, and can predict equipment to be predicted will develop toward which kind of typical mode of operation, from And guidance can be provided to subsequent O&M strategy.
Under request in person participation Fig. 1, Fig. 1 is that a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation that the application one embodiment provides is true Fixed flow chart, this method comprises:
Step 101, according to the preset state vector space, extract that corresponding this is pre- from the operation data of similar power equipment If the state vector space state vector.
Power equipment usually have it is numerous can be with the parameter of indexing.Such as transformer comprising oil chromatography (H2 content, C2H4 content, CO content, ratioRatioRatioRatio), electrical test (absorptance, winding Dielectric loss, winding D.C. resistance, core clamping earth current, partial discharge etc.), oil test (micro- water etc.), operating condition (operation temperature Degree, overvoltage, overload, short-circuit conditions etc.), the parameters of the various aspects such as fortune inspection information (make an inspection tour situation, all kinds of maintenance situations etc.).
By way of state vector, various parameters can be merged together, a kind of parameter correspondence is made to be incorporated into state In one dimension of vector.The preset state vector space may be considered the frame of the state vector set, according to This frame can be convenient and directly mention from the operation data (including daily monitoring data and fortune inspection data) of similar power equipment Take out the state vector for meeting this frame.
Parameter of the state vector extracted in each dimension is normalized in step 102.
Since numerical value has a long way to go between the parameter on different dimensions, but the ratio of the variable quantity of parameter is identical.Cause This, can be normalized the parameter in each dimension of state vector, so that state vector, in cluster, each parameter is to poly- The influence degree of class result corresponds to percentage shared by its numerical value and nonumeric size itself, the quality of cluster result are protected Card.
Specifically, can be normalized according to the following formula.
Wherein, xi={ xi1,…,xij,…,ximIndicate a state vector, xijIndicate the i-th bar state vector in j dimension On parameter.
The default classification number of step 103, basis, to treated, state vector is clustered, and determines cluster result.
The algorithm clustered has very much, such as K-means clustering procedure, mean shift clustering procedure, Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering method Deng these clustering methods may be applicable to technical solution provided by the present application.
Default classification number is the quantity of preset class, can be limited cluster result.But in view of different The default corresponding cluster result of number of classifying is different, optimal for cluster result of which kind of the determining default classification under several, can be by more The secondary default classification number of adjustment is realized, is specifically illustrated in subsequent embodiment.
Step 104, for every one kind in cluster result, extract the nearest state vector of distance-like center vector as working as The typicalness vector of preceding class.
It should be noted that it includes to belong to this in every one kind that state vector, which will be aggregated into multiple classes, after the completion of cluster The state vector of class, class center vector are a virtual vectors having in every one kind, remaining state vector as sample There are same frame, but the middle position of its parameter for corresponding to dimension for each state vector where it in class in the parameter in each dimension Number.For example, having x in certain one kind1、x2、x3Three state vectors, the then parameter that the first of such class center vector is tieed up are x11、x21、x31Median, two-dimensional parameter be x12、x22、x32Median (xijIndicate the i-th bar state vector in j dimension On parameter) ... in this way, formed a class center vector, take away from nearest state vector be such typicalness to Amount.
Typicalness vector contains the parameters of power equipment, and corresponding operational mode is the typical case of power equipment Operational mode.
Wherein, parameter of the class center vector in each dimension be, where the class center vector in class each state to Measure the median of the parameter of corresponding dimension.
A kind of power equipment present mode of operation evaluation method provided in this embodiment is set in determining such as transformer electric power When standby typical mode of operation, by by each parameter state vectorization of power equipment, then by cluster and calculate and class center The means of the distance of vector determine typicalness vector, and then determine typical mode of operation.Compared to existing subjective setting The method of typicalness is more objective, and the typical mode of operation determined is more representative closer to truth, and And the means of cluster have also contemplated the intermediate state of general character during state evolution, there is the typical mode of operation determined more Researching value.
The above are a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation provided the application one embodiment to determine specifically It is bright, Fig. 2 is referred to below, and Fig. 2 is a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation determination side that second embodiment of the application provides The flow chart of method, this method comprises:
Step 201, according to the preset state vector space, extracted from the operation data of similar power equipment it is corresponding described in The state vector of the preset state vector space.
The step is identical as the step 101 in above-mentioned one embodiment.
Parameter of the state vector extracted in each dimension is normalized in step 202.
The step is identical as the step 102 in above-mentioned one embodiment.
Whether the interval between step 203, the judgement state vector corresponding sampling time extracted and current time is big In preset period of time, if so, the bar state vector is deleted, if it is not, not dealing with.
If the state vector and current time interval in view of extracting are too long, the ginseng of the operating status of state vector reflection Examining value will substantially reduce, and therefore, the state vector for being more than preset period of time apart from current time of this part can be deleted It removes.For example, preset period of time can be set as 15 days according to 15 days tour vacuum phases of regulation, if a then newest tour Before being recorded as 20 days, then it is assumed that the data invalid deletes its corresponding state vector.
Parameter in step 204, judgement treated state vector in each dimension and the difference of corresponding predetermined normal level Whether the X% of predetermined normal level is greater than, if so, the bar state vector is deleted, if it is not, not dealing with.
Further, can exist in state vector it is some have obvious degradation trend, the confidence level of the partial status vector It is lower, it is in particular in parameter, the parameter in each dimension has big difference with predetermined normal level, and difference is greater than default normal The X%'s of value, reference value is very low, can delete.Wherein, X% is the first default percentage, such as 20%.
It is homogeneous with the presence or absence of two parameters in each corresponding dimension in step 205, judgement treated state vector Same state vector, if so, one in two bar state vectors is deleted, if it is not, not dealing with.
To have duplicate state vector sample when avoiding cluster, duplicate two bar states vector if it exists then can be with Delete one in the two.
The default classification number of step 206, basis, to treated, the state vector is clustered, and obtains cluster result.
Step 207, according to Calinski-Harabasz criterion, calculate the corresponding cluster score of cluster result.
It should be noted that Calinski-Harabasz criterion is the algorithm that marking evaluation can be carried out to cluster result, Cluster score can be calculated by the following formula out.
Wherein, SSB is inter-class variance, and SSW is variance within clusters,For complexity, VRCk is cluster score.VRCk is got over Greatly, Clustering Effect is better.
If step 208, calculated cluster score are greater than target fractional, cluster result is determined, otherwise, adjust default classification Number, return step 206.
If calculated cluster score is greater than target fractional, it is believed that cluster result has reached requirement, determines the cluster As a result, the numerical value of the default classification number of readjustment influences cluster result, directly otherwise it is assumed that the setting of default classification number is unreasonable Meet target fractional to cluster score.
Step 209, for every one kind in cluster result, extract the nearest state vector of distance-like center vector as working as The typicalness vector of preceding class.
The step is identical as the step 104 in above-mentioned one embodiment.
If the state vector sample number of class is less than total sample of Y% where step 210, the typicalness vector extracted Number, by the typicalness vector labeled as to be evaluated.
After the completion of cluster, it is understood that there may be the seldom class of state vector sample number, the typicalness extracted in these classes Vector is not necessarily effective, it is possible to belong to invalid noise, therefore can first be marked as to be evaluated, facilitate and subsequent ask industry Expert to the typicalness vector carry out deeper into analysis.
A kind of power equipment present mode of operation evaluation method provided in this embodiment is set in determining such as transformer electric power It, will be invalid by by each parameter state vectorization of power equipment, and by three kinds of pretreatments when standby typical mode of operation State vector is rejected, and clustering result quality is improved;And when being clustered by clustering algorithm, also use cluster score evaluation cluster Effect adjusts default classification number when cluster score is not up to standard, Clustering Effect is made to reach requirement;Finally, calculating shape in every one kind State vector determines typicalness vector at a distance from class center vector, and then determines typical mode of operation.Compared to existing The method of subjectivity setting typicalness is more objective, and the typical mode of operation determined has more generation closer to truth Table, also, the means clustered have also contemplated the intermediate state of general character during state evolution, make the typical operation mould determined Formula more has researching value.
The above are a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation provided second embodiment of the application to determine the detailed of method It describes in detail bright, refers to Fig. 3 below, Fig. 3 is that a kind of power equipment present mode of operation that the application third embodiment provides is commented The flow chart of valence method.
It is understood that any reality provided using above-mentioned the application one embodiment or second embodiment Power equipment typical mode of operation under existing mode determines method, can determine a kind of typical mode of operation of power equipment, For example, each typical mode of operation of transformer can be determined.In order to which typical mode of operation is used, typical can run Mode carries out preparatory evaluation.
Specifically, can ask industry specialists is that various typical mode of operation carry out marking evaluation, naturally it is also possible to take and beat Other evaluation methods other than point.The score that each typical mode of operation obtains can characterize the excellent of the typical mode of operation It is bad.After being evaluated in advance typical mode of operation, can use its to by by the state vector of certain equipment and typicalness to Amount is matched, so that it is determined that it evaluates the present mode of operation of power equipment, the specific method is as follows:
Step 301, the state vector for obtaining equipment to be evaluated.
The state vector of equipment to be evaluated should have the identical state vector space with typicalness vector, i.e., in each dimension It is corresponded in the parameter of degree.It is also possible to be normalized as needed.
Between state vector each typicalness vector corresponding with equipment to be evaluated that step 302, calculating are got First distance.
Equipment to be evaluated has corresponding multiple typicalness vectors to require to calculate for each typicalness vector First distance between remaining state vector.
Minimum range in step 303, extraction first distance.
It extracts in multiple first distances apart from shortest minimum range.
If step 304, the minimum range extracted are less than or equal to the corresponding target typicalness vector institute of minimum range In the maximum radius of class, the present mode of operation of equipment to be evaluated is included into the corresponding typical operation of the target typicalness vector Mode, the evaluation of the corresponding typical mode of operation of the evaluation of equipment present mode of operation to be evaluated.
It should be noted that being obtained in cluster result in the application one embodiment and second embodiment, every one kind All it is corresponding with a maximum radius, in a maximum radius i.e. class, the distance of each state vector sample to class center vector is most Big value.If minimum range is less than or equal to such maximum radius, the state vector of equipment to be evaluated belongs to such, can incite somebody to action Itself and such typicalness vector association, corresponding, the present mode of operation of equipment to be evaluated can be included into target typical case The corresponding typical mode of operation of state vector, and the evaluation of equipment present mode of operation to be evaluated then corresponds to the typical mode of operation Evaluation.The evaluation of typical mode of operation can be obtained by preparatory expert opinion, can specifically be referred to and be described above.
In the present embodiment, a kind of power equipment present mode of operation evaluation method is provided, utilizes above-mentioned the application Power equipment typical mode of operation determination side under any implementation that one embodiment or second embodiment provide Method determines the typical mode of operation of the power equipment type of equipment to be evaluated, recycle the state vector of equipment to be evaluated with Typicalness vector is matched, and may thereby determine that the present mode of operation of equipment to be evaluated is close or it is typical which kind of belongs to Operational mode provides guidance meaning further, it is possible to evaluate the superiority and inferiority of its present mode of operation for the subsequent O&M of equipment to be evaluated See.
The above are a kind of the detailed of the power equipment present mode of operation evaluation method provided the application third embodiment It describes in detail bright, refers to Fig. 4 below, Fig. 4 is a kind of state development trend for power equipment that the 4th embodiment of the application provides The flow chart of prediction technique.
It is similar with above-mentioned third embodiment, it is equally to a kind of power equipment provided by the present application in the present embodiment Typical mode of operation determines the further utilization for the typical mode of operation that method is determined, can obtain further by calculating The degree of association of the corresponding each typical mode of operation of the state of some particular device, so as to predict which it would tend to Kind typical mode of operation development.
Specifically method includes:
Step 401, from past first moment to current time, multiple states of equipment to be predicted are extracted with preset interval Vector.
For example, extracting and conforming to from the corresponding operation data of equipment to be predicted every day to today before 10 days The state vector asked, the requirement of state vector are identical as the requirement in any of the above-described a embodiment.
Step 402, according to least square method, calculate multiple state vector corresponding states variations first direction vector and Calculate multiple state vectors to each typicalness vector second direction vector and second distance.
Specifically, linear function fitting can be carried out using least square method, calculate in recent a period of time (i.e. from mistake The first moment to current time gone), the state vector of equipment to be predicted according to the state change of time sequencing first direction to Measure dx, meanwhile, calculate multiple state vectors to each typicalness vector second direction vector dyp=yp-xt.Between dx and dyp Angle:
Step 403, the angle for calculating first direction vector and second direction vector.
It can be according to formula:
Calculate the angle of first direction vector Yu second direction vector.Obviously, each corresponding typicalness vector is equal There is calculated corresponding angle.
Step 404, the product for calculating second distance and angle, obtain the predicted value for corresponding to each typicalness vector.
Deviate the degree of a certain typical mode of operation using the product of second distance and angle as equipment to be predicted.
Minimum value in step 405, extraction predicted value, and determine the corresponding allusion quotation of the corresponding typicalness vector of the minimum value Type operational mode is the state that equipment to be predicted is intended to development.
Predicted value is the smallest, it is believed that it is minimum that equipment to be predicted deviates the corresponding typicalness vector of the predicted value, most It is possible that being intended to the corresponding typical mode of operation development of the typicalness vector.
In the present embodiment, a kind of state prediction of the development trend method of power equipment is provided, based on provided by the present application A kind of power equipment typical mode of operation determines method, realizes and would tend to which kind of typical fortune to the state of certain power equipment The prediction of row mode development.Further, according to prediction result, corresponding O&M strategy can be formulated in advance, so that prevention is each The generation of kind accident, improves power supply reliability.
The description of the present application and term " first " in above-mentioned attached drawing, " second ", " third ", " the 4th " etc. are (if deposited ) it is to be used to distinguish similar objects, without being used to describe a particular order or precedence order.It should be understood that use in this way Data are interchangeable under appropriate circumstances, so that embodiments herein described herein for example can be in addition to illustrating herein Or the sequence other than those of description is implemented.In addition, term " includes " and " having " and their any deformation, it is intended that Cover it is non-exclusive include, for example, containing the process, method, system, product or equipment of a series of steps or units need not limit In step or unit those of is clearly listed, but may include be not clearly listed or for these process, methods, produce The other step or units of product or equipment inherently.
It should be appreciated that in this application, " at least one (item) " refers to one or more, and " multiple " refer to two or two More than a."and/or" indicates may exist three kinds of relationships, for example, " A and/or B " for describing the incidence relation of affiliated partner It can indicate: only exist A, only exist B and exist simultaneously tri- kinds of situations of A and B, wherein A, B can be odd number or plural number.Word Symbol "/" typicallys represent the relationship that forward-backward correlation object is a kind of "or"." at least one of following (a) " or its similar expression, refers to Any combination in these, any combination including individual event (a) or complex item (a).At least one of for example, in a, b or c (a) can indicate: a, b, c, " a and b ", " a and c ", " b and c ", or " a and b and c ", and wherein a, b, c can be individually, can also To be multiple.
The above, above embodiments are only to illustrate the technical solution of the application, rather than its limitations;Although referring to before Embodiment is stated the application is described in detail, those skilled in the art should understand that: it still can be to preceding Technical solution documented by each embodiment is stated to modify or equivalent replacement of some of the technical features;And these It modifies or replaces, the spirit and scope of each embodiment technical solution of the application that it does not separate the essence of the corresponding technical solution.

Claims (10)

1. a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation determines method characterized by comprising
According to the preset state vector space, extracted from the operation data of similar power equipment the corresponding preset state to The state vector of quantity space;
Parameter of the state vector extracted in each dimension is normalized;
According to default classification number, to treated, the state vector is clustered, and determines cluster result;
For every one kind in cluster result, typical shape of the nearest state vector of distance-like center vector as current class is extracted State vector, the corresponding operational mode of the typicalness vector are the typical mode of operation of the power equipment;
Wherein, parameter of the class center vector in each dimension is each state vector pair in class where the class center vector Answer the median of the parameter of dimension.
2. a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation according to claim 1 determines method, which is characterized in that the basis Default classification number, to treated, the state vector is clustered, and determines that cluster result specifically includes:
The default classification number of S1, basis, to treated, the state vector is clustered, and obtains cluster result;
S2, according to Calinski-Harabasz criterion, calculate the corresponding cluster score of the cluster result;
If S3, the cluster score are greater than target fractional, the cluster result is determined, otherwise, adjust the default classification number, return Return the S1.
3. a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation according to claim 2 determines method, which is characterized in that at described pair The state vector after reason carries out cluster and specifically includes:
By K-means method, to treated, the state vector is clustered.
4. a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation according to claim 1 determines method, which is characterized in that described pair mentions After the state vector taken out is normalized further include:
When whether the judgement interval that treated between the state vector corresponding sampling time and current time is greater than default Between the period;
If so, deleting the state vector.
5. a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation according to claim 4 determines method, which is characterized in that described pair mentions After the state vector taken out is normalized further include:
Whether the parameter in judgement treated the state vector in each dimension is greater than with the difference of corresponding predetermined normal level The X% of predetermined normal level;Wherein, the X% is the first default percentage;
If so, deleting the state vector.
6. a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation according to claim 5 determines method, which is characterized in that described pair mentions After the state vector taken out is normalized further include:
The state all the same with the presence or absence of two parameters in each corresponding dimension in judgement treated the state vector Vector;
If so, deleting one in two state vectors.
7. a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation according to claim 1 determines method, which is characterized in that described pair mentions Parameter of the state vector taken out in each dimension, which is normalized, to be specifically included:
According to formula
Parameter of the state vector extracted in each dimension is normalized;
Wherein, xi={ xi1,…,xij,…,ximIt is the i-th bar state vector, xijFor ginseng of the i-th bar state vector in j dimension Number.
8. a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation according to claim 1 determines method, which is characterized in that the extraction After the nearest state vector of distance-like center vector is as the typicalness vector of current class further include:
If the state vector sample number of class is less than the total number of samples of Y% where the typicalness vector, by the typicalness Vector is labeled as to be evaluated;Wherein, the Y% is the second default percentage.
9. a kind of power equipment present mode of operation evaluation method, which is characterized in that the typical mode of operation of equipment to be evaluated is Determine what method determined using a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation as claimed in any one of claims 1 to 8, comprising:
Obtain the state vector of equipment to be evaluated;
Calculate first between the state vector that gets each typicalness vector corresponding with the equipment to be evaluated Distance;
Extract the minimum range in the first distance;
If the minimum range extracted is less than or equal to class where the corresponding target typicalness vector of the minimum range Maximum radius, the present mode of operation of the equipment to be evaluated is included into the target typicalness vector is corresponding typical to be transported Row mode, the evaluation of the corresponding typical mode of operation of the evaluation of the equipment present mode of operation to be evaluated;
Wherein, the maximum radius is where the target typicalness vector in class, each state vector sample to class center to The maximum value of the distance of amount.
10. a kind of state prediction of the development trend method of power equipment, which is characterized in that the typical mode of operation of equipment to be predicted To apply a kind of power equipment typical mode of operation as claimed in any one of claims 1 to 8 to determine what method determined, comprising:
From past first moment to current time, multiple state vectors of equipment to be predicted are extracted with preset interval;
According to least square method, calculate described in first direction vector and the calculating of the multiple state vector corresponding states variation Second direction vector and second distance of multiple state vectors to each typicalness vector;
Calculate the angle of the first direction vector Yu the second direction vector;
The product for calculating the second distance Yu the angle obtains the predicted value for corresponding to each typicalness vector;
The minimum value in the predicted value is extracted, and determines the corresponding typical operation of the corresponding typicalness vector of the minimum value Mode is the state that the equipment to be predicted is intended to development.
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