CN108596439A - A kind of the business risk prediction technique and system of knowledge based collection of illustrative plates - Google Patents

A kind of the business risk prediction technique and system of knowledge based collection of illustrative plates Download PDF

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Publication number
CN108596439A
CN108596439A CN201810271489.4A CN201810271489A CN108596439A CN 108596439 A CN108596439 A CN 108596439A CN 201810271489 A CN201810271489 A CN 201810271489A CN 108596439 A CN108596439 A CN 108596439A
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China
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enterprise
knowledge
company
illustrative plates
information
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李鹏飞
徐俊刚
董航
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Beijing Zhongxing Tong Network Polytron Technologies Inc
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Beijing Zhongxing Tong Network Polytron Technologies Inc
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0635Risk analysis of enterprise or organisation activities

Abstract

The invention discloses a kind of business risk prediction technique of knowledge based collection of illustrative plates and system, this method step includes:1) it builds the entity of Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and establishes the relationship between entity and entity, knowledge extraction is carried out from each setting data source, forms Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates;2) all kinds of news informations with enterprise and associated entity are captured, and the news information of crawl is handled based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, mark the relationship of related entities and event;By in markup information storage to the knowledge base of structuring, Company News information knowledge mapping is formed;3) it is based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and carries out business risk prediction with Company News information knowledge mapping.The present invention has filled up current knowledge mapping in the blank of business risk analysis field, and the Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and Company News information knowledge mapping of structure have compared with high practicability.

Description

A kind of the business risk prediction technique and system of knowledge based collection of illustrative plates
Technical field
Application the present invention relates to knowledge mapping in business risk early warning analysis field, particular by knowledge mapping to enterprise One kind itself and affiliated enterprise's risk is found and early warning point that portion's management data and real-time event are extracted and analyzed in the industry The method of analysis.
Background technology
With the continuous development of artificial intelligence (Artificial Intelligence, AI) technology, base of the data as AI Plinth is increasingly paid attention to by enterprise, data can be made to form considerable value by algorithm mining analysis, and the core of AI is to grind Study carefully and how with the easy-to-handle mode of computer to indicate various knowledge, which results in since 2017 " knowledge " or The attraction of person's " knowledge mapping " has greatly exceeded " data " in itself.
Knowledge mapping (Knowledge Graph) is also known as mapping knowledge domains, is explicit knowledge's development process and structure A series of a variety of different figures of relationship are excavated, analyze, build, are painted with visualization technique Description of Knowledge resource and its carrier System and explicit knowledge and connecting each other between them.
The Conceptual evolution of knowledge mapping have passed through the stages such as semantic network, ontology, Web, semantic net, link data, and It was proposed in 2012 by Google, Google wishes to build follow-on search engine by knowledge mapping, to which optimization is searched Hitch fruit.In general meaning, the main target of knowledge mapping is for describing various entities present in real world and general Thought and the incidence relation between them.However, knowledge mapping is not a completely new thing, but in pervious technology Or one carried out in theoretical foundation redefines.Knowledge mapping can regard as done on the basis of ontology one it is abundant And expansion, the ontology describing data pattern of knowledge mapping, the dynamic characteristic of ontology impart knowledge mapping dynamic data schema The ability of support.Knowledge mapping has benefited from the development of Web, has from the representation of knowledge, natural language processing, more of Web, AI The gene of aspect.Knowledge mapping is the foundation stone of artificial intelligence, theoretically for each AI scene be knowledge mapping scene, Including search, chat robots, question and answer, decision support, wearable device etc..A knowledge mapping not instead of single subject, Including Knowledge Extraction, the representation of knowledge, knowledge fusion, knowledge crowdsourcing, knowledge reasoning, knowledge linking, visualization, semantic search, know Know the synthesis of the relevant technologies such as question and answer.Knowledge mapping plays bridge beam action, Ke Yigeng between data and artificial intelligence Good passes through knowledge by Various types of data (text data, structural data, multi-medium data, sensing data, crowdsourcing data etc.) Fusion forms the knowledge that machine is appreciated that, so that artificial intelligence is more intelligent.
Currently, enterprise has become the mainstay of national economy, become the great power for pushing national development.State Family is constantly updating the reform of the industrial structure of industry-by-industry and optimization policy, and enterprise is responding and coordinating these political affairs of implementation While plan, the opportunity and risk for needing the development according to enterprise itself to find that new policy may be brought in time, because safety, It is efficient to carry out the basis that Production Gain is each enterprise.But no due to scope of the enterprise, property, the industry etc. Together, enterprise itself can all have some risk problems, and national policy and relevant regulations update are very fast, this allows for enterprise and is locating Certain loophole and error are had when managing relevant issues, and these loopholes and error are likely to cause not the normal operation of enterprise Good or even ill effect, this is all not desired to occur for enterprise itself and country.Business risk mainly relies on enterprise certainly Body related data and its associated data, and these data have certain particularity and professional, only rely on the theory of profession These data could be handled with practical knowledge, to find enterprise in time, there may be risks, this just needs to slap in time The information such as enterprise's initial data, industry data and Policy Conditions are held, and this is more difficult for enterprise administrator, simultaneously But also the cost of enterprise itself can greatly improve, this is more difficult for some venture companies or medium-sized and small enterprises 's.But can efficiently realize that the early warning analysis of business risk has higher meaning for enterprise's own operations, this for The sound development of enterprise plays certain protective effect.
Due to the problems such as professional knowledge is short of, business data dimension is high and business data amount is big, there is presently no preferable Method realize effective forecast analysis carried out to business risk, for potential wind existing for enterprise itself, affiliated enterprise of enterprise Danger can not give warning in advance, and enterprise can not accomplish effective risk averse, this is likely to result in the bad development of enterprise.
Since knowledge mapping the relevant technologies system proposes that the time is not grown, entire technical system is also not perfect enough, and enterprise's wind Dangerous forecast analysis is more and more important for enterprise and national development, including the companies such as Google, Baidu, Ali are all endeavouring It is preferably serviced in being provided enterprise by knowledge mapping technology.However, with the rapid growth of business data scale, in reality Some urgent problems in the application of border also expose therewith, wherein the demand in terms of business risk forecast analysis is the most aobvious It writes, forecast analysis is carried out to business risk by using knowledge mapping, industry is almost or blank.Therefore known by building enterprise Knowing collection of illustrative plates and carrying out forecast analysis to business risk just seems particularly urgent.
Invention content
It is of the invention for the application blank of prior art defect and knowledge mapping in terms of business risk forecast analysis It is designed to provide a kind of the business risk prediction prediction technique and system of knowledge based collection of illustrative plates.To solve business risk prediction The problem of high cost, poor efficiency, high threshold and low timeliness for analyzing.
The technical scheme is that:
A kind of business risk prediction technique of knowledge based collection of illustrative plates, step include:
1) it builds the entity of Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and establishes the relationship between entity and entity, carried out from each setting data source Knowledge is extracted, and Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates is formed;
2) all kinds of news informations with enterprise and associated entity are captured, and based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates to grabbing The news information taken is handled, and the relationship of related entities and event is marked;By the knowledge base of markup information storage to structuring In, form Company News information knowledge mapping;
3) it is based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and carries out business risk prediction with Company News information knowledge mapping.
Further, the method for forming the Company News information knowledge mapping is:All kinds of news informations are carried out first Acquisition and storage, and build text data table;Then by natural language processing method to the information in text tables of data into Row participle and mark form corresponding entity/relational sequence by the method that pipeline model and deep learning combine, and to entity Vectorization expression is carried out, the entity vector value that will be obtained in entity/relational sequence and Company Knowledge figure are then calculated by vector The entity vector value of spectrum compares, to filter out that vector value is equal or the difference of vector value is less than the entity pair of setting value, then again Entity to filtering out determines identical two entities pair and using correspondent entity as structure Company News money to being compared The mark entity for interrogating knowledge mapping stores mark entity in the form of the knowledge base of structuring, forms real-time enterprise Domestic News knowledge mapping.
Further, the entity includes enterprise, people, patent, product;In the Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, each entity tool There is an attributed graph of oneself, mutual relational graph is constituted by setting attribute between entity.
Further, the business risk is predicted as corporate tax risk profile, and method is:In conjunction with receiving for enterprise's former years Storage of the tax affairs in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, and the storage to the tax affairs of enterprise at this stage in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates Knowledge mapping association analysis is carried out, if the difference of pay taxes project and the amount of money in pay taxes project and the amount of money and former years at this stage is big In given threshold, then corporate tax risk information warning is generated.
Further, the business risk is predicted as the grading prediction of bidding enterprise qualification, and method is:According to bidding Information, the related several affiliated enterprises of enterprise A of searching and call for bid in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, and pass through Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates Obtain information of these affiliated enterprises in terms of management, determine in affiliated enterprise itself there are the didding enterprise of risk into Row early warning.
Further, the business risk is predicted as affiliated enterprise's interaction risk profile, and method is:Based on Company Knowledge Collection of illustrative plates generates enterprise's social graph of Target Enterprise;The most short relation path between enterprise is inquired according to enterprise's social graph, It determines the close relation degree between each enterprise, affiliated enterprise's interaction risk is predicted.
Further, the business risk is predicted as abnormal investment risk prediction, and method is:Based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates In investment and financing event occur time sequencing, record the financing development course of enterprise;Then according to financing development course to enterprise The abnormal investment risk of industry carries out early warning analysis, and abnormal investment risk prediction is carried out to enterprise based on early warning analysis result.
Further, the business risk is predicted as the buying business risk prediction of enterprise, and method is:According to knowledge graph Upstream-downstream relationship between Pu Zhong enterprises and enterprise determines the buying enterprise B of enterprise A;Pass through Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and enterprise The association of Domestic News knowledge mapping obtains enterprise B itself harmful effect information or related to enterprise B and can be caused to enterprise B Dysgenic news information predicts enterprise A according to obtained information.
Further, the knowledge of the relationship and extraction using RDF triple store formats between entity, entity carries out Storage, generates the Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates.
Further, the information in the Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates includes enterprise's summary info, business background information, enterprise's hair Open up information, judicial risk information, business risk information, management state information, intellectual property information, launch information industry and commerce information.
A kind of business risk forecasting system of knowledge based collection of illustrative plates, which is characterized in that generate mould including Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates Block, Company News information knowledge mapping generation module and business risk prediction module;Wherein,
The Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates generation module, entity for building Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates are simultaneously established between entity and entity Relationship, from each setting data source carry out knowledge extraction, formed Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates;
The Company News information knowledge mapping generation module, for the news to all kinds of and enterprise and associated entity Information is captured, and is handled the news information of crawl based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, and related entities and event are marked Relationship;By in markup information storage to the knowledge base of structuring, Company News information knowledge mapping is formed;
The business risk prediction module is looked forward to for being based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates with Company News information knowledge mapping Industry risk profile.
The present invention builds corresponding Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates first against enterprise.Pass through basic information, the letter of complaint to enterprise Breath, lawsuit, the various dimensions associated data such as break one's promise are integrated, and realize Knowledge Extraction and the storage of Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates.Then lead to It crosses knowledge mapping and analysis is associated to enterprise's related data, enterprise itself and related information are built finally by knowledge mapping Displaying, realize association analysis to real time information, to have found that it is likely that existing risk factors, provide risk profile analysis knot Fruit, and eventually by figure calculate the methods of structure science, rigorous business risk system, effectively evade potential business risk, Financial risks equivalent risk.
The present invention has extensively studied the building process of Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates.First, Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates entity is built, including The related entities such as enterprise, people, patent, product then build the relationship between entity and entity, and analysis, pass are associated in the later stage System's excavation, Risk-warning etc. can all be carried out according to the relationship iteration between these entities and entity, such as enterprise and enterprise Between existing upstream-downstream relationship, ownership and membership relations, investment by investment relation etc., there are ownership and membership relations, legal persons between enterprise and people , there is kinship etc. in relationship, supervisor's relationship etc., existing belonging relation etc. between enterprise and patent between men, these Relationship between entity and entity will shortest path discovery, interindustrial relations analysis and enterprise practical control between carrying out enterprise It is utilized when people.Finally, by carrying out knowledge extraction in the data to separate sources, different structure, wherein data source includes work Quotient data, tax data, law DOC DATA, public sentiment data etc., data structure mainly include structural data (including link number According to, enterprise database data), semi-structured data (including list data, table data, data etc. with certain format), Plain text data, to these data respectively by scheming mapping, D2R (Database to RDF) conversion, wrapper, information extraction Knowledge Extraction is realized etc. existing mature technology, and forms knowledge and is deposited into Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, is used in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates Existing RDF (Resource Description Framework) triple store format is stored.Ultimately form packet Include enterprise's summary info, business background information (including essential information, business connection, key personnel, shareholder's information, investments abroad, Branch etc.), enterprise development information (financing history, Core Team, business event, investment event etc.), judicial risk information (lawsuit, legal, the people that breaks one's promise, executed person, announcement of court session etc.), business risk information (manage abnormal, administrative service Penalize, break the law on a serious scale, equity pledge, chattel mortgage, tax arrear bulletin, judicial auction etc.), management state information (bidding, bond letter Breath, the grading of land purchase information, recruitment information, the tax, sampling observation inspections, product information, inlet and outlet credit, qualification certificates etc.), knowledge produces Weigh information (trademark information, patent, software copyright, Copyright, website are put on record), launch information industry and commerce information (stock Market participate in holding, listing bulletin, ten big shareholders, equity structure, capital stock variation, dividend situation by shares etc.) etc. enterprise including information Knowledge mapping, as shown in Figure 1.
Secondly, the present invention has extensively studied the building process of Company News event collection of illustrative plates.So-called event refers to the thing occurred Feelings usually have the attributes such as time, place, participant, and the generation of event is probably due to a generation acted or system shape The change of state.Event extraction is exactly that (language that i.e. people is appreciated that, form include voice, word etc., interior from natural language form It includes evental news to hold) evental news in extract the interested event information of user, and showed in the form of structuring Come.In the present invention, by all kinds of News Finance and Economy websites, enterprise official website, government website, industrial and commercial taxation website, patent network, method The real time monitoring for restraining document related web site, captures all kinds of news informations with enterprise and associated entity, and use Pipeline carries out the news information of crawl on the basis of Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates with the method that deep learning is combined related Processing, and finally by treated, news information is stored into the knowledge base of structuring, to form real-time Company News money Knowledge mapping is interrogated, it is specific as follows:All kinds of news informations are acquired and are stored first, and build text data table, by certainly Right language processing method is segmented and is marked, and forms corresponding reality by the method that Pipeline and deep learning combine Body/relational sequence, and vectorization expression is carried out to entity, the reality in entity/relational sequence then will be obtained by vector calculating Body vector value and the entity vector value of Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates compare, equal or close to (such as vector value to filter out vector value Difference be less than setting value) entity pair, then again to the entity that filters out to being compared, to will be with invalid or inefficient information It excludes, finally determine identical two entities pair and returns, and using correspondent entity as structure Company News information knowledge mapping Mark entity, complete the information high to accuracy and mark entity stored in the form of the knowledge base of structuring, finally Real-time Company News information knowledge mapping is formed, and Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates can be reached by the entity and provided with Company News News knowledge mapping is mutually related purpose.Its process is as shown in Figure 2.
Finally, the present invention has studied the business risk based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and Company News information knowledge mapping and predicts Analysis method.Knowledge mapping is the graph model structure of entity and its correlation, it can more intuitively show entity and reality Relationship between body, and it can be found that by relation transmission the potential relationship between entity and entity.In the present invention, pass through Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and Company News information knowledge mapping are established, in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, enterprise, people, patent etc. have certainly Oneself attributed graph, and mutual relational graph is constituted by a certain attribute between enterprise and enterprise (or with people, patent etc.). Business risk prediction, basic ideas can be carried out based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and Company News information knowledge mapping:Enterprise is known Know collection of illustrative plates be associated by entity attribute with Company News information knowledge mapping, enterprise have directly (enterprise itself) or When connecing the media event generation (with relevant enterprise of enterprise or individual), the phase in entity associated triggering Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates can be passed through It closes entity directly to be analyzed by the entity attributes value of Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, is finding news When the value in the attributed graph with Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates in description is variant, the difference of such value will be analyzed according to practical business Whether risk can be caused to enterprise, risk profile is carried out if meeting, if it is not, subsequent indirect analysis can be carried out, led to It crosses entity attributes value and entity relationship diagram is associated analysis, risk is carried out to all entities being associated to realize Prediction.It can pass through single attribute or combination by the attributed graph in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and in conjunction with respective associated analysis rule Attribute is analyzed, for example, enterprise relates to the management state for telling that information may influence enterprise, relate to tell that information has update when, Need whether it can cause undesirable influence to the operation of enterprise by analyzing judgement;In another example industrial and commercial information, the tax of enterprise Information, assets information need and the essential information of enterprise is mutually unified, if a certain or a variety of in preceding several information is occurring It when variation, needs to analyze the essential information of enterprise, judges whether it meets the essential information of enterprise, if with enterprise Essential information has conflict, then needs to be updated essential information or the industrial and commercial information to enterprise, tax information and assets are believed Breath is verified, and enterprise is avoided to have illegal behavior;Furthermore the patent information of enterprise may be to a variety of letters of enterprise Breath impacts, if the scientific achievement information of enterprise changes, may to the financing situation of enterprise, stock price with And product sales situation impacts, the variation of this single attribute may be caused by other attributes, including science research input, personnel Input etc., but it equally causes the variation of a variety of attributes.It can pass through a certain attribute or group of enterprise by relational graph Other associated entities (enterprise, individual, patent etc.) are analyzed in the variation for closing attribute, for example, relating to for enterprise tells information more When new, it may affect to downstream distributor thereon and shareholder enterprise or individual, it can be very by relational graph Fast finds these enterprises or individual, then causes to analyze to it;In another example shareholder's information or the equity structure letter of enterprise Breath change, may affect to its cooperative enterprise or individual, shareholder's factor may influence enterprise and enterprise Cooperative relationship between (individual), this just need by relational graph find with the relevant enterprise of the enterprise shareholder or individual, both It needs enterprise itself to accomplish that business risk is taken precautions against, is also required to understand this information in time simultaneously for cooperative enterprise or individual, With judge whether to continue will the business tie-up;Furthermore the variation of the information such as product, patent, the software copyright of enterprise, same meeting Influencing its affiliated enterprise, either individual but will allow especially for the enterprise or individual, the change of these information for investing the enterprise Investment enterprise or it is personal understand the enterprise whether benign development, it is invested whether rationally beneficial, or even is related to and whether needs Increase investment etc..The methods of by the combination of Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and Company News information knowledge mapping, and utilize figure calculating, In conjunction with structure of knowledge structure science, the rigorous business risk evaluation system of profession, effectively evade potential business risk and money Golden risk.It is specifically including but not limited to:
(1) corporate tax risk profile:In conjunction with the storage of the tax affairs in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates in enterprise's former years, and Knowledge mapping association analysis is carried out to the storage of the tax affairs of enterprise at this stage in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, if at this stage The difference of pay taxes project and the amount of money in project of paying taxes and the amount of money and former years is more than given threshold, then there may be tax wind for enterprise Danger carries out risk warning, to avoid the generation of the unreasonable tax affairs caused by maloperation to enterprise and the tax authority;
(2) the buying business risk audit of enterprise:By the upstream-downstream relationship between enterprise and enterprise in knowledge mapping Embodiment, it is and new by Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and enterprise if finding the buying enterprise B of enterprise A in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates The association for hearing information knowledge mapping finds that enterprise B itself or other and enterprise B related news information may cause enterprise B The harmful effect of fund, operation, law etc., then by enterprise A and incidence relation of the enterprise B in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, Enterprise A can be allow to understand concrete condition in time, if enterprise B itself be implicitly present in operation or financial risks (such as Enterprise B itself capital chain rupture, then its can not continue buying production raw material used, i.e. product will stop production, if enterprise A to Enterprise B carries out product purchasing, then enterprise B can not carry out product delivery in theory, this can cause to prolong to the work of enterprise A Mistake or direct losses), then enterprise A needs to consider whether such risk can cause harmful effect to itself, to realize to enterprise The risk of industry B is audited;
(3) bidding enterprise qualification is graded:By the bidding information between enterprise and enterprise, bid enterprise A can be It realizes in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and to be associated with the didding enterprises such as enterprise B, enterprise C, enterprise D, and pass through Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates Concrete condition of these enterprises in terms of management is analyzed in real time, and finding in these enterprises itself in time, there are the bids of risk Enterprise carries out early warning, and bid enterprise is avoided to cause unnecessary loss;
(4) customer resources Classification Management:In Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, enterprise A can throw its all upstream and downstream firms, trick Mark enterprise, investment enterprise, industry relevant enterprise carries out resource management and potential customers seek, and helps enterprise A to find in advance potential Client and bad client, avoid capital loss;
(5) enterprise's social graph is inquired:Based on investment, tenure, patent, bidding, the relationship of telling is related to using Target Enterprise as core The heart is spread layer by layer outward, forms a cyberrelationship figure, and intuitive solid shows being associated between enterprise and enterprise, enterprise and personnel Relationship;
(6) enterprise finally controls people's inquiry:The maximum shareholder of shareholding ratio is found with equity investment relationship, it is final to trace To natural person or management of state-owned property department, determine that enterprise finally controls people, auxiliary carries out forecast analysis to business risk;
(7) path discovery between enterprise:Based on equity, tenure, patent, bidding, relates to and tell etc. that the network that relationships are formed closes In system, inquire enterprise between most short relation path, weigh enterprise between close relation degree, to affiliated enterprise interact risk into Row forecast analysis, can help revenue department investigate and prosecute tax evasion, illegal fund transfer situations such as;
(8) newly established enterprise's financing development course:Based in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates investment and financing event occur time sequencing, The financing development course of enterprise is recorded, helps enterprise preferably to show self-growth process, equally helps other investment enterprise straight It sees and checks the development course of enterprise, (such as enterprise A has possessed more wheel financings in early period, but does not obtain to abnormal investment Apparent achievement and profit are obtained, then proves enterprise A from being problematic in operation or management aspect, this is to subsequent throwing Money has larger risk) carry out early warning analysis;, abnormal investment risk prediction is carried out to enterprise based on early warning analysis result;
(9) marketing enterprises share price early warning analysis:Based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and Company News information knowledge mapping to upper The news data of enterprise of city is associated analysis, and early warning analysis is carried out to the abnormal of its stock share price.
Implementation procedure of the present invention is as follows, as shown in Figure 3:
(1) Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates physical model is built, existing relationship between all kinds of entities is marked.
(2) by business taxation report, industrial and commercial report, relate to and tell the open source resources such as bulletin, media event text to these enterprises The example of the relevant structural data of industry, semi-structured data, the Knowledge Extraction realization physical model of text data, relational model Change, forms Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, and stored in the form of RDF triples.
(3) structure reptile captures all kinds of enterprise web sites in real time, is captured to news information, and relational database is arrived in storage In.
(4) it uses at news information of the method that Pipeline (pipeline model) is combined with deep learning to crawl Reason is extracted relevant event information and forms Company News information knowledge mapping, and stored in the form of RDF triples, together When by the unique mark (such as identification card number of enterprise name or social credibility Unicode, people) of entity by itself and Company Knowledge Collection of illustrative plates is associated, and marks the relationship of related entities and event;By in markup information storage to the knowledge base of structuring, enterprise is formed Industry Domestic News knowledge mapping.
(5) kinds of relationships in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates is analyzed, including equity relationship between enterprise and enterprise, on Between investment relation, actual controller, employer-employee relationship between downstream relationship etc., enterprise and people etc., enterprise and intellectual property The kinds of relationships such as the belonging relation between belonging relation, people and intellectual property, in conjunction with pass of the types of applications model between entity Connection relationship carries out iteration analysis, and by the transmission, verification and storage of analysis result implementation relation, is that the enterprise in later stage closes It is that atlas analysis, the analysis of Company News information knowledge mapping and risk profile analysis etc. provide data support.
(6) Company News information knowledge mapping is analyzed, and combines the Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates being associated, according to enterprise The analysis result of kinds of relationships in industry knowledge mapping, between affiliated enterprise and enterprise, enterprise and people and enterprise and other realities Correlation between body carries out profound iterative analysis, and finally will likely existing business risk progress early warning.
(7) Various types of data, model and risk profile analysis situation are shown by Web browser.
Compared with prior art, the present invention has the advantage that:
(1) high innovative.The present invention is concrete application of the knowledge mapping in business risk forecast analysis field, has filled up mesh Preceding knowledge mapping is in the blank of business risk analysis field, Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and Company News information the knowledge mapping tool of structure There is higher practicability, the model construction and analysis work for Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates had both combined current knowledge mapping field Advanced technology, while also preferably in conjunction with the particularity of business data and professional business risk forecast analysis model is carried out The analysis of various dimensions is verified, and has certain novelty.
(2) low threshold.Since the business risk prediction analysis method of knowledge based collection of illustrative plates of the present invention is to finally using Family makes to be used to say that black box, terminal user are not necessarily to be concerned about the building process of Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, it is only necessary to according to specific need It to be associated analysis in conjunction with Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and Company News information knowledge mapping and can be obtained corresponding analysis result, this Outside, a large amount of analysis model has been had been built up, disclosure satisfy that the needs of user substantially.The present invention, will be each by web interface simultaneously The analysis result of class model is supplied to user by data with the means that visualization is combined, and analysis is intuitively checked convenient for user As a result, greatly reducing the use threshold of user.
(3) have specific aim, accuracy high.The present invention is different from this stage carrying out business risk by artificial means pre- Survey the mode of analysis, data scale and data accuracy higher, more targetedly.Pass through the side of big data and deep learning Method is trained all kinds of methods in model, forms ripe scoring model, and the method by scheming to calculate is to knowledge mapping In all kinds of knowledge carry out mining analysis, actively discover some potential relationships, can than artificial means faster, deeper into discovery Risk that may be present, it is also more rapid direct to the processing of data knowledge, and to visualize in such a way that data are combined Terminal user is showed, the risk profile analysis result that enterprise is faced can be more intuitively embodied, avoid to the greatest extent Performance bottleneck caused by human factor so that analytical performance is maximized with accuracy.
(4) stable, it is expansible.This method is that knowledge based graphical spectrum technology is realized, and knowledge mapping has high expand Malleability enables to knowledge mapping scale increasing in conjunction with all kinds of Knowledge Extractions and Knowledge Fusion Technology, is based on RDF ternarys The storage mode of group can support cross-platform mode, can the stable operation under Spark platforms, and can be flat by Spark GraphX under platform, which is realized, to be excavated and analyzes to the figure of knowledge mapping, and efficiency is more preferable.And the mode of RDF triples support it is a variety of The extension of form can preferably increase new knowledge in the case where not influencing existing knowledge collection of illustrative plates, also can be to working as The update of preceding knowledge mapping.
Description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is the knowledge type figure of the present invention;
Fig. 2 is that the media event of the present invention extracts flow chart;
Fig. 3 is the overall flow figure of the present invention.
Specific implementation mode
Below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings with specific implementation case, the present invention is furture elucidated, it should be understood that these case study on implementation are only used for Illustrate the present invention rather than limit the scope of the invention, after having read the present invention, those skilled in the art are to the present invention The modifications of various equivalent forms fall within the application range as defined in the appended claims.
As shown in figure 3, the present invention carries out the model construction of Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, including physical model and relationship mould first Type then instantiates physical model and relational model by information collection, the information of acquisition include enterprise's summary info, Business background information (including essential information, business connection, key personnel, shareholder's information, investments abroad, branch etc.), enterprise Industry Information of Development (financing history, Core Team, business event, investment event etc.), judicial risk information (lawsuit, law Announce, the people that breaks one's promise, executed person, announcement of court session etc.), business risk information (manages exception, administrative penalty, breaks the law on a serious scale, equity Pledge, chattel mortgage, tax arrear bulletin, judicial auction etc.), management state information (bidding, bond information, land purchase information, recruitment Information, sampling observation inspections, product information, imports and exports credit, qualification certificates etc. at tax grading), intellectual property information (trademark information, Patent, software copyright, Copyright, website are put on record), launch information industry and commerce information (stock market, participate in by shares it is holding, on City's bulletin, ten big shareholders, equity structure, capital stock variation, dividend situation etc.) etc., it is specific as shown in Figure 2.
Secondly, by all kinds of News Finance and Economy websites, enterprise official website, government website, industrial and commercial taxation website, patent network, method The real time monitoring for restraining document related web site captures all kinds of media events, and combines Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, builds Company News information Knowledge mapping;
Third carries out entity associated to Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and Company News information knowledge mapping;
Finally, it is excavated and is divided by the figure of figure mining analysis and Company News information knowledge mapping to Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates The association analysis to basic model is realized in analysis, is shown to the relationship of all kinds of entity occurrences, to by Company News information knowledge mapping The event of triggering is associated analysis, carries out forecast analysis to risk that may be present, and all kinds of analysis results are fed back to use Family.
It is above to implement to be merely illustrative of the technical solution of the present invention rather than be limited, the ordinary skill people of this field Member can be modified or replaced equivalently technical scheme of the present invention, without departing from the spirit and scope of the present invention, this hair Bright protection domain should be subject to described in claims.

Claims (10)

1. a kind of business risk prediction technique of knowledge based collection of illustrative plates, step include:
1) it builds the entity of Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and establishes the relationship between entity and entity, knowledge is carried out from each setting data source Extraction forms Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates;
2) all kinds of news informations with enterprise and associated entity are captured, and based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates to crawl News information is handled, and the relationship of related entities and event is marked;Markup information is stored into the knowledge base of structuring, shape At Company News information knowledge mapping;
3) it is based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and carries out business risk prediction with Company News information knowledge mapping.
2. the method as described in claim 1, which is characterized in that the method for forming the Company News information knowledge mapping is: All kinds of news informations are acquired and are stored first, and build text data table;Then pass through natural language processing method pair Information in text tables of data is segmented and is marked, and is formed accordingly by the method that pipeline model and deep learning combine Entity/relational sequence, and vectorization expression is carried out to entity, then it will be obtained in entity/relational sequence by vector calculating Entity vector value and the entity vector value of Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates compare, and to filter out, vector value is equal or the difference of vector value is less than The entity pair of setting value, then again to the entity that filters out to being compared, determining identical two entities pair and corresponding to Entity as structure Company News information knowledge mapping mark entity, in the form of the knowledge base of structuring to mark entity into Row storage, forms real-time Company News information knowledge mapping.
3. method as claimed in claim 1 or 2, which is characterized in that the entity includes enterprise, people, patent, product;It is described In Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, each entity has the attributed graph of oneself, constitutes mutual pass by setting attribute between entity System's figure.
4. the method as described in claim 1, which is characterized in that the business risk is predicted as corporate tax risk profile, Method is:In conjunction with the storage of the tax affairs in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates in enterprise's former years, and the feelings of paying taxes to enterprise at this stage Storage of the condition in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates carries out knowledge mapping association analysis, if paying taxes project and the amount of money and former years at this stage The difference of pay taxes project and the amount of money be more than given threshold, then generate corporate tax risk information warning.
5. the method as described in claim 1, which is characterized in that it is pre- that the business risk is predicted as the grading of bidding enterprise qualification It surveys, method is:According to bidding information, searches in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and looked forward to the related several associations of bid enterprise A Industry, and information of these affiliated enterprises in terms of management is obtained by Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, it determines in affiliated enterprise There are the didding enterprises of risk to carry out early warning for itself.
6. the method as described in claim 1, which is characterized in that it is pre- that the business risk is predicted as affiliated enterprise's interaction risk It surveys, method is:Enterprise's social graph of Target Enterprise is generated based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates;According to enterprise's social graph inquiry Most short relation path between enterprise, determines the close relation degree between each enterprise, predicts affiliated enterprise's interaction risk.
7. the method as described in claim 1, which is characterized in that the business risk is predicted as abnormal investment risk prediction, Method is:Based on the time sequencing that the investment and financing event in Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates occurs, the financing development course of enterprise is recorded;So Early warning analysis is carried out to the abnormal investment risk of enterprise according to financing development course afterwards, enterprise is carried out based on early warning analysis result Abnormal investment risk prediction.
8. the method as described in claim 1, which is characterized in that the buying business risk that the business risk is predicted as enterprise is pre- It surveys, method is:According to the upstream-downstream relationship in knowledge mapping between enterprise and enterprise, the buying enterprise B of enterprise A is determined; By Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and Company News information knowledge mapping be associated with to obtain enterprise B itself harmful effect information or with enterprise Industry B is related and dysgenic news information can be caused to enterprise B, is predicted enterprise A according to obtained information.
9. the method as described in claim 1, which is characterized in that using RDF triple store formats between entity, entity Relationship and the knowledge of extraction are stored, and the Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates is generated;Information in the Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates includes Enterprise's summary info, business background information, enterprise development information, judicial risk information, business risk information, management state letter Breath, intellectual property information, launch information industry and commerce information.
10. a kind of business risk forecasting system of knowledge based collection of illustrative plates, which is characterized in that generate mould including Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates Block, Company News information knowledge mapping generation module and business risk prediction module;Wherein,
The Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates generation module, entity for building Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates simultaneously establish the pass between entity and entity System carries out knowledge extraction from each setting data source, forms Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates;
The Company News information knowledge mapping generation module, for the news information to all kinds of and enterprise and associated entity It is captured, and the news information of crawl is handled based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates, mark the relationship of related entities and event; By in markup information storage to the knowledge base of structuring, Company News information knowledge mapping is formed;
The business risk prediction module, for carrying out enterprise's wind based on Company Knowledge collection of illustrative plates and Company News information knowledge mapping Danger prediction.
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