CN107958344A - A kind of power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis method based on AHP and SWOT - Google Patents
A kind of power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis method based on AHP and SWOT Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a kind of power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis method based on AHP and SWOT, it is characterised in that：Two methods of AHP and SWOT are combined in the Study of developing strategy applied to province domain power distribution network.Using development strategy as destination layer, system layer is used as using the advantage, inferior position, opportunities and challenges of SWOT methods, it is indicator layer by the advantage of province domain power distribution network itself, inferior position, the specific influence factor of opportunities and challenges, is determined by weight and the calculating of proportional system determines strategic type.The present invention gives each influence factor of province domain power distribution network indicator layer, the system of power distribution network strategic analysis method is formd.Can be into the power distribution network strategic analysis of province domain by the method, and reduce influence of the subjective factor to weighted value.The present invention provides a kind of effective analysis method and means for province domain power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of analysis method of province domain power distribution network developing direction, belongs to power industry Electric Power Network Planning technology neck
Domain.
Background technology
The electric power resource distribution of China various regions is uneven, and power distribution network power infrastructures are overall weak.It is mainly manifested in distribution
Basis, operation present situation and the investment policy of net cannot preferably match electric power development demand.However as expanding economy, power distribution network
Effect in power grid gradually highlights.The strategic research developed for the important step of this connection power grid and user becomes power grid
Company service economic construction and the task of top priority of development.
Conventional power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis method is mostly to propose rectification for a certain single content or carried according to present situation
Go out planning and Proposal for update, lack systematic analysis means and method.With the development of power distribution network, there are some for complete
The analysis method of state's scope, but these methods provide development tactics often by qualitative analysis influence factor, it is impossible to meet
For the apparent accurately power distribution network analysis of strategies requirement in units of saving domain, propose that one kind is based on AHP based on this present invention
With the power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis method of SWOT, as province domain power distribution network development tactics research provide analysis means and
Method.
The content of the invention
The present invention proposes a kind of power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis method based on AHP and SWOT.This analysis method area
It is not in other methods：Calculated using two methods of the combination of AHP and SWOT and proportional system so that this method can be to saving
Domain power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis more targetedly and general applicability.
The technical solution adopted in the present invention is：
First, analytic hierarchy process (AHP)（Analytical Hierarchy Process, AHP）
So-called analytic hierarchy process (AHP), refers to using a complicated decision-making problem of multi-objective as a system, is more by goal decomposition
A target or criterion, and then it is decomposed into multi objective（Or criterion, constraint）Some levels, pass through qualitative index Fuzzy Quantifying
Calculate Mode of Level Simple Sequence（Flexible strategy）Sort with total, using the systems approach as target, multi-scheme Optimal Decision-making.Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) master
Want content as follows.
1. establish hierarchical structure model, during with AHP analysis decision problems, problem methodization, a level are first had to
Change, construct a structural model having levels, these levels can be divided into three classes：It is top（Destination layer）, intermediate layer（System
Layer）, the bottom（Indicator layer）, detailed degree that the complexity and needs of hierachy number and problem in recursive hierarchy structure are analyzed
Related, general hierachy number is unaffected, and the element that each element is dominated in each level does not exceed 9 generally.
2. all judgment matrixs in each level are constructed, the ratio shared in target measurement of each criterion in destination layer
Weight might not be identical, and in the mind of policymaker, they respectively occupy certain ratio, quotes numeral 1~9 and its conduct reciprocal
Scale defines judgment matrix。
1 judgment matrix scale of table defines
3. Mode of Level Simple Sequence, i.e., to being calculated according to the judgment matrix of construction in corresponding model for certain factor of last layer time, this layer
The weight of secondary all factors associated therewith；While in order to ensure the conclusion reasonable of step analysis, it is necessary to judging
Matrix carries out consistency check, introduces the negative average value of remaining characteristic root beyond judgment matrix maximum eigenvalueCI：
（1）
Wherein,For the maximum eigenvalue of judgment matrix,nFor the dimension of judgment matrix；WhenCIWhen=0, judgment matrix has had
Full uniformity, test ending；WhenCIWhen ≠ 0, random consistency ratio need to be carried outCRCalculate：
（2）
Wherein,RIIt is as shown in table 2 for the Aver-age Random Consistency Index of judgment matrix, value.IfCR＜ 0.1, it is believed that judge
The uniformity of matrix can receive, and Mode of Level Simple Sequence result can reflect this level factor to the relatively important of the last layer factor
Property；If it is unsatisfactory forCR＜ 0.1, then need the value of adjustment judgment matrix element, until with satisfied uniformity position.
2 Aver-age Random Consistency Index RI of table
Total hierarchial sorting, that is, utilize the result of the single sequence of all levels in same level and the weight of all factors of last layer time
To calculate the weighted value of all factors of relative target layer；The consistency ratio of total hierarchial sorting is defined as：
（3）
Wherein,For in last layer time thenThe weighted value of a factor, whenCR＜ 0.1, it is believed that total hierarchial sorting the result is that full
Meaning.
2nd, SWOT analysis method.
SWOT is the typical assay of strategical planning, its core content is the advantage for analyzing internal enterprise resources
(Strengths) with inferior position (Weaknesses), find influence corporate strategy important environment opportunity (Opportunities) with
Challenge (Challenge).Organically combined by internal resource, external environment condition clearly to determine the resources advantage of analyzed object
And defect, faced opportunities and challenges are understood, to the chance in the advantage, inferior position and environment of enterprise with choosing in strategy formulation
War carries out pair analysis, forms the strategy flexibility of response environment and carries out lasting competitive advantage inspection, finally determines suitable enterprise
The strategy of development environment.
SWOT analysis method is typically used to formulate group's development strategy and analyzes rival's situation, in strategic analysis,
It is one of most common method.When carrying out SWOT analysis, mainly there is the content of the following aspects：
1. analysis environments factor
The factor influenced using the method for investigation, the environment residing for finishing analysis company on corporate decision, is internal money
The superiority and inferiority in source and the opportunities and challenges of external environment condition.Internal resource factor is company's itself existing product in its development
Pole and negative factor, belong to active element, external environmental factor be development of the external environment condition on company it is directly influential favourable and
Unfavorable factor, belongs to objective factor.When investigating and analysing these factors, history and present situation are not only considered, but also more to examine
Consider future development problem.
2. construct SWOT matrixes
The various factors drawn will be investigated according to sortords such as the order of importance and emergency or influence degrees, construct SWOT matrixes.Cross herein
Cheng Zhong, those has development of company influence factor prioritization direct, important, substantial amounts of, urgent, remote go out
Come, and behind those indirect, secondary, fraction of, not anxious, of short duration influence factors are arranged in.
3. formulate action plan
After the construction of Environmental factor analysis and SWOT matrixes is completed, corresponding action plan can be made.Make a plan
Basic ideas be：Make the most of the advantage factor, overcome weakness factor, utilize chance factor, dissolve deterrent；Consider the past, stand
Foot is current, has future in mind.With the comprehensive analysis method of network analysis, the various environmental factors for arranging with considering are mutually matched
Get up to be combined, draw a series of optional countermeasure of company's future developments.
3rd, power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis method
The present invention is combined by SWOT analysis method with analytic hierarchy process (AHP), considers that power distribution network develops a variety of key factors, comprehensive analysis
Determine province domain power distribution network development strategy, refer to shown in attached drawing 1.Its particular content is as follows：
1. according to SWOT methods, province domain power distribution network company is investigated, finishing analysis influence the principal element of province domain electric power development, the present invention
Determine principal element as shown in subordinate list 1.It is divided into four groups according to advantage, inferior position, opportunity, challenge.
2. according to AHP methods, to save domain electric power development strategy as general objective layer, using advantage, inferior position, opportunity, challenge as system
Layer, using each factor for influencing each index of system layer as indicator layer, establishes province domain electric power development AHP Model.Index of correlation
Shown in factor and Analytic Hierarchy Process Model as attached drawing 2.
Seeked advice from 3. taking to power specialty associated specialist, and province domain electric company is investigated extensively, special
The relative importance of each factor of each level of model is judged on the basis of family's marking, and will determine that and showed with numerical value,
Form judgment matrix A, S, W, O, T.The relative importance of influence factor judges that can reduce subjective factor must influence weighted value.
4. the weight that each factor of indicator layer in judgment matrix A, S, W, O, T is calculated according to analytic hierarchy process (AHP) carries out single level row
Sequence, and consistency check is carried out, work as satisfactionCRDuring ＜ 0.1, the result and all factors of system layer of the single sequence of indicator layer are utilized
Weight calculate the weighted value of all factors of relative target layer, carry out total hierarchial sorting, and carry out consistency check, that is, work asCRDuring ＜ 0.1, pass through consistency check.
5. determining province domain power distribution network development strategy type, it is divided into following steps：
（1）Respectively tieed up with S, W, O, T for half, form right angle coordinate system, by the middle-level total weight order value of each group of S, W, O, T most
Big factor is labeled in corresponding reference axis respectively, is sequentially connected with to form a strategic quadrangle S1W1O1T1, such as the institute of attached drawing 3
Show.
（2）Determine strategy quadrangle S1W1O1T1Center of gravity G, G reflect S, W, O, T comprehensive function as a result, being strategic class
The foundation of type selection, i.e., go to push up strategic type, its coordinate calculation formula is according to the quadrant where center of gravity G coordinates：
（4）
Wherein, i=S1, W1, O1, T1；Quadrant where strategic quadrangle center of gravity is corresponding with corresponding strategic type.
6. by the utilization to above method, present situation factor analysis is carried out to province domain power grid, and obtain by analysis method
Strategy orientation, analyzes province domain power distribution network development tactics according to strategy orientation, is determined to the advantage relied on（Advantage
And opportunity）Or improved unfavorable conditions（Inferior position and challenge）, province domain company combine own situation carry out strategy carry out strategy study,
Make the most of the advantage, neutralizing challenge.
The invention will be further described with reference to the accompanying drawings and detailed description.
Brief description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is the power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis method flow diagram of AHP and SWOT in the present invention；
Fig. 2 is electric power Analytic Hierarchy Process Model figure in Zhong Sheng domains of the present invention；
Fig. 3 is electric power development strategy quadrangle figure in the present invention；
Embodiment
1. according to province domain situation carry out investigate, based on influence factor listed by attached drawing 1, by the electric power development of province domain it is main because
Element is divided into four groups according to advantage, inferior position, opportunity, threat, and suitably adjusts influence factor to strengthen accuracy.
2. listed factor is divided into general objective layer, system layer and indicator layer according to AHP methods, province domain electric power development layer is established
Secondary analysis model.
3. seeked advice to power specialty associated specialist, to each factor of each level of model on the basis of expert estimation
Relative importance judges, and will determine that and showed with numerical value, Judgement Matricies A, S, W, O, T.
4. calculating the weight of each factor in judgment matrix A, S, W, O, T, single sequence is carried out, and carry out consistency check；
Determine that each each factor of level to the weight of simulated target layer, carries out total hierarchial sorting and consistency check in model.
5. carrying out electric power development strategy type analysis according to total hierarchial sorting, construction strategy quadrangle, determines four sides of strategy
The center of gravity of shape.To think first to determine province's domain electric power development strategy type where center of gravity.
6. being analyzed according to strategy orientation province domain power distribution network development tactics, formulate and develop with reference to own actual situation
Strategy, makes the most of the advantage, neutralizing challenge.
Claims (3)
- A kind of 1. power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis method based on AHP and SWOT, it is characterised in that：Pass through two kinds of AHP and SWOT The province's domain power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis that is combined into of method provides a kind of analysis means and method.
- 2. according to a kind of power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis method based on AHP and SWOT described in claim 1, its feature exists In：, will using the advantage, inferior position, opportunities and challenges of SWOT methods as system layer by province domain power distribution network development strategy as destination layer The deeper influence factor of power distribution network of system layer is influenced as indicator layer, and the level for forming province domain power distribution network development strategy divides Analyse model.
- 3. according to a kind of power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis method based on AHP and SWOT described in claim 2, its feature exists In：By selecting influence factor group, form power distribution network Analytic Hierarchy Process Model, judge matrix, carry out total hierarchial sorting and Consistency check, determines power distribution network development strategy type, forms complete power distribution network Development Strategy Analysis method and steps.
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| CN111222751A (en) * | 2019-11-27 | 2020-06-02 | 河南城建学院 | Design method for planning mining area based on SWOT analysis method |
| CN115115303A (en) * | 2022-06-02 | 2022-09-27 | 中交机电工程局有限公司 | Bulk cargo management and control integrated system and method based on intelligent port |
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Application publication date: 20180424 |