CN107944621A - A kind of load prediction selecting index method and instrument - Google Patents
A kind of load prediction selecting index method and instrument Download PDFInfo
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- CN107944621A CN107944621A CN201711166690.8A CN201711166690A CN107944621A CN 107944621 A CN107944621 A CN 107944621A CN 201711166690 A CN201711166690 A CN 201711166690A CN 107944621 A CN107944621 A CN 107944621A
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q50/00—Systems or methods specially adapted for specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
- G06Q50/06—Electricity, gas or water supply
Abstract
Description
Claims (10)
- A kind of 1. load prediction selecting index method, it is characterised in that including:Data preparation step:The load prediction index in each plot in selection area, and according to the distant view saturation in each plot of load prediction index calculating Load;The affiliated industry in each plot is set;Identify the setup state in each plot;Index calculation procedure:According to the distant view saturation loading in each plot, the industry and setup state, index result of calculation is obtained;Reasonability judgment step:Index result of calculation is matched with the index section of the region location, obtains the matching of each grid in region As a result, and reasonability judgement is carried out to the matching result of each grid;Index set-up procedure:When the reasonability judging result for having grid is that zone index is relatively low or zone index is higher, adjustment is corresponding to the grid Plot load prediction index;Iterated revision step:Repeat the distant view saturation loading according to each plot of load prediction index calculating;According to the distant view saturation in each plot Load, the industry and setup state, obtain index result of calculation;By index result of calculation and the index of the region location Section is matched, and obtains the matching result of each grid in region, and the matching result progress reasonability to each grid is sentenced It is disconnected;When the reasonability judging result for having grid is that zone index is relatively low or zone index is higher, adjustment is corresponding to the grid Plot load prediction index the step of, until the reasonability judging result of each grid in region is that zone index is appropriate When, determine the load prediction index in each plot in region.
- 2. load prediction selecting index method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that the index result of calculation includes The load delivery rate and load maturity in region;The matching result to each grid carries out the step of reasonability judgement, is specially:With load maturity in index section, if the reasonability judging result of the grid is the load delivery rate of grid Zone index is appropriate;If the load delivery rate of grid is all higher than index section, the reasonability of the grid with load maturity Judging result is relatively low for zone index;If the load delivery rate of grid is respectively less than index section with load maturity, the net The reasonability judging result of lattice is higher for zone index.
- 3. load prediction selecting index method according to claim 2, it is characterised in that the index result of calculation is also wrapped The load total amount in region and the rate that is constructed and put into operation are included, also,Load delivery rate (built-up areas)=peak load (present situation)/(peak load (distant view) * be constructed and put into operation rate);Load maturity (present situation)=peak load (present situation)/peak load (prediction).
- 4. load prediction selecting index method according to claim 3, it is characterised in that the calculating of the rate that is constructed and put into operation Formula is:Be constructed and put into operation rate=built operation block area/subregion construction land gross area (being free of land use for greening).
- 5. load prediction selecting index method according to claim 1 or 2, it is characterised in that the construction shape in the plot State include it is ripe, sell, purpose, removal, it is built, building and do not building.
- A kind of 6. load prediction selecting index instrument, it is characterised in that including:Data preparation module, is used for:The load prediction index in each plot in selection area, and according to the distant view saturation in each plot of load prediction index calculating Load;The affiliated industry in each plot is set;Identify the setup state in each plot;Index computing module, is used for:According to the distant view saturation loading in each plot, the industry and setup state, index result of calculation is obtained;Reasonability judgment module, is used for:Index result of calculation is matched with the index section of the region location, obtains the matching of each grid in region As a result, and reasonability judgement is carried out to the matching result of each grid;Index adjusts module, is used for:When the reasonability judging result for having grid is that zone index is relatively low or zone index is higher, adjustment is corresponding to the grid Plot load prediction index;Iterated revision module, is used for:Repeat the distant view saturation loading according to each plot of load prediction index calculating;According to the distant view saturation in each plot Load, the industry and setup state, obtain index result of calculation;By index result of calculation and the index of the region location Section is matched, and obtains the matching result of each grid in region, and the matching result progress reasonability to each grid is sentenced It is disconnected;When the reasonability judging result for having grid is that zone index is relatively low or zone index is higher, adjustment is corresponding to the grid Plot load prediction index the step of, until the reasonability judging result of each grid in region is that zone index is appropriate When, determine the load prediction index in each plot in region.
- 7. load prediction selecting index instrument according to claim 6, it is characterised in that the index result of calculation includes The load delivery rate and load maturity in region;The reasonability judgment module, is used for:With load maturity in index section, if the reasonability judging result of the grid is the load delivery rate of grid Zone index is appropriate;If the load delivery rate of grid is all higher than index section, the reasonability of the grid with load maturity Judging result is relatively low for zone index;If the load delivery rate of grid is respectively less than index section with load maturity, the net The reasonability judging result of lattice is higher for zone index.
- 8. load prediction selecting index instrument according to claim 7, it is characterised in that the index result of calculation is also wrapped The load total amount in region and the rate that is constructed and put into operation are included, also,Load delivery rate (built-up areas)=peak load (present situation)/(peak load (distant view) * be constructed and put into operation rate);Load maturity (present situation)=peak load (present situation)/peak load (prediction).
- 9. load prediction selecting index instrument according to claim 8, it is characterised in that the calculating of the rate that is constructed and put into operation Formula is:Be constructed and put into operation rate=built operation block area/subregion construction land gross area (being free of land use for greening).
- 10. the load prediction selecting index instrument according to claim 6 or 7, it is characterised in that the construction shape in the plot State include it is ripe, sell, purpose, removal, it is built, building and do not building.
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Citations (4)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
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CN101299251A (en) * | 2008-05-07 | 2008-11-05 | 天津理工大学 | Middle and long period power load prediction method based on probability inverse conversion method |
US20120197921A1 (en) * | 2011-01-28 | 2012-08-02 | Fujitsu Limited | Information matching apparatus, information matching system, method of matching information, and computer readable storage medium having stored information matching program |
CN103108049A (en) * | 2013-02-20 | 2013-05-15 | 杭州东信北邮信息技术有限公司 | Method for providing personalized page for mobile terminal user |
CN104751249A (en) * | 2015-04-15 | 2015-07-01 | 国家电网公司 | Space load prediction method |
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2017
- 2017-11-21 CN CN201711166690.8A patent/CN107944621A/en active Pending
Patent Citations (4)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN101299251A (en) * | 2008-05-07 | 2008-11-05 | 天津理工大学 | Middle and long period power load prediction method based on probability inverse conversion method |
US20120197921A1 (en) * | 2011-01-28 | 2012-08-02 | Fujitsu Limited | Information matching apparatus, information matching system, method of matching information, and computer readable storage medium having stored information matching program |
CN103108049A (en) * | 2013-02-20 | 2013-05-15 | 杭州东信北邮信息技术有限公司 | Method for providing personalized page for mobile terminal user |
CN104751249A (en) * | 2015-04-15 | 2015-07-01 | 国家电网公司 | Space load prediction method |
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CB03 | Change of inventor or designer information | ||
CB03 | Change of inventor or designer information |
Inventor after: Feng Lei Inventor before: Feng Lei Inventor before: Du Peiren Inventor before: Lin Shaosheng Inventor before: Wang Xiaolei |
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TA01 | Transfer of patent application right | ||
TA01 | Transfer of patent application right |
Effective date of registration: 20200918 Address after: 650000 No. 73 East extension Road, Yunnan, Kunming Applicant after: YUNNAN POWER GRID Co.,Ltd. Address before: 650000 No. 73 East extension Road, Yunnan, Kunming Applicant before: YUNNAN POWER GRID Co.,Ltd. Applicant before: HANGZHOU HONGSHENG ELECTRIC POWER DESIGN CONSULTING Co.,Ltd. |
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RJ01 | Rejection of invention patent application after publication | ||
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Application publication date: 20180420 |