CN107783944A - A kind of multi-model self calibration Unscented kalman filtering method - Google Patents
A kind of multi-model self calibration Unscented kalman filtering method Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The present invention provides a kind of multi-model self calibration Unscented kalman filtering method, and step is as follows:One:Establish system fundamental equation;Two:Initialization is filtered to system;Three:Time renewal is carried out to system;Four:It is iterated variable update;Five:Carry out measurement renewal;Six:It is iterated calculating;Pass through step 1 to step 6, the present invention takes full advantage of the result of calculation of two methods of Unscented kalman filtering and self calibration Unscented kalman filtering, rely on the Multiple model estimation theory based on Bayes principle, automatic distinguishing Unknown worm is zero section and non-zero section, so as to accurately select wherein most suitable result as the prior estimate of itself;The most important is that, the present invention be directed to strongly non-linear system exploitation, face is more extensive for benefiting from practical implementation, has very positive application value.
Description
【Technical field】
The present invention provides a kind of multi-model self calibration Unscented kalman filtering method, belongs to Robust Kalman Filter technology neck
Domain.
【Background technology】
The problem of system state equation is influenceed by Unknown worm is the problem of generally existing in engineering.Traditional Kalman filtering
Method either linear system or nonlinear system, it is accurate to require system equation, therefore can not be solved above-mentioned
It is difficult.Document " self calibration Kalman filter method [J] aviation power journal .2014,29 (06):1363-1368 " proposes one
Kind self calibration kalman filter method (Self-calibration Kalman Filter, SKF), this method is according to original shape
While state equation is iterated computing, Unknown worm item is estimated, so that the influence of Unknown worm automatically derives benefit
Repay.On this basis, researcher has successively developed self calibration EKF method (Self-calibration again
Extended Kalman Filter, SEKF) and self calibration Unscented kalman filtering method (Self-calibration
Unscented Kalman Filter, SUKF), self-calibration technique has been promoted the use of non-linear field by them.But due to
The presence of system uncertain factor, Unknown worm also promising zero possibility.In this case, self calibration kalman filter method
Due to introducing the estimation to Unknown worm item in prior estimate, although the estimate very little, its filtering accuracy is still too late not to be had
There is the standard Kalman filtering method for considering that Unknown worm influences.
It is based on to further lift self calibration Kalman filtering in the filtering accuracy that Unknown worm is zero section, researcher
Multiple model estimation theory, it is proposed that multi-model self calibration kalman filter method (Multiple-model Self-
Calibration Kalman Filter, MSKF).This method is filtered using KF and SKF simultaneously, according to Bayes' theorem
The weight of both real-time updates prior estimate, final state estimation is obtained by Weighted Fusion, has given full play to two
Kind method is in the respective advantage of different phase.In addition, by the way that nonlinear system is linearized, a kind of multi-model self calibration expansion card
Kalman Filtering method (Multiple-model Self-calibration Extended Kalman Filter, MSEKF) quilt
Developing, it can solve state estimation problem of the weakly non-linear system under the influence of Unknown worm, but in engineering
The relevant issues run into common strongly non-linear system, this method do not apply to simultaneously.
【The content of the invention】
It is an object of the invention to provide a kind of multi-model self calibration Unscented kalman filtering method (Multiple-model
Self-calibration Unscented Kalman Filter, MSUKF), it is by the way that Multiple model estimation theory is incorporated into
In SUKF, MSKF application strong nonlinearity field has been extended to.It is calculated using UKF and SUKF simultaneously, in real time
The two weight of renewal, and then obtain state estimation.
A kind of multi-model self calibration Unscented kalman filtering method of the present invention, it includes following six step:
Step 1:Establish system fundamental equation
Multi-model self calibration Unscented kalman filtering is using self calibration Unscented kalman filtering and Unscented kalman filtering two
Kind of method carries out computing, therefore system includes two state equations, and first is the state equation containing Unknown worm item, second
For the nonlinear state equation of standard, its expression is
Zk=hk(Xk)+Vk (3)
In formula, XkThe state vector of expression system,WithKinetic model and standard containing Unknown worm are corresponded to respectively
Kinetic model, ZkRepresent system measurements vector, fk() and hk() is respectively nonlinear state recurrence equation and measurement side
Journey, bkRepresent Unknown worm, WkWith VkRespectively system noise vector sum measures noise vector, and its variance matrix is respectively QkWith
Rk, and meet
In formula, Cov [] is covariance, and E [] is mathematic expectaion, δkjFor δ functions, as k=j, δkj=1, as k ≠ j
When, δkj=0;
Step 2:Initialization is filtered to system
Set the initial value of state estimation and estimation error variance matrix as
Meanwhile in order to complete the fusion of two model estimated results, it is also necessary to set the probability initial value of two kinds of models
Pr(1|Z3)=Pr (2 | Z3)=0.5 (7)
And the probability initial value Pr for iterative calculationmaxAnd Prmin;Initialize PrmaxAnd PrminThe reason for it is as follows:
In multiple-model estimator calculating process, some models can be eliminated due to the gradual convergence of corresponding probability for zero,
Therefore the model quantity N for participating in computing is constantly reducing, this can reduce adaptability of the system to complex environment;For the present invention only
Choose two kinetic models and priori estimates are chosen using maximum probability method, it is only necessary to the probability of two kinds of models of qualitative analysis
For size without accurate the characteristics of calculating probable value, multi-model self calibration kalman filter method does not use what is be calculated
Conditional probability value is iterated, but sets the probability initial value Pr of two determinationsminAnd Prmax=1-Prmin;Filtered in each step
Before ripple, it is assigned to two models by the size by comparing previous step probability results respectively, and is updated using them as initial value
The model probability at current time;Due to PrminIt is not minimum as probability lower limit, therefore can be recovered with guarantee probability
Speed, so that the real-time of Kalman filtering is guaranteed;
Step 3:Time renewal is carried out to system
If the state estimation and varivance matrix at k-1 moment are respectivelyAnd Pk-1, system is carried out based on them
Time updates, that is, calculates the state one-step prediction at k momentWith one-step prediction varivance matrix Pk/k-1;Based on without mark card
The general recurrence formula of Kalman Filtering, firstly the need of calculating Sigma point sets { χ in time renewal processi}
As k=1,2
State one-step prediction value
Xk/k-1,i=f (χk-1,i) (9)
In formula, λ=α2(n+ κ)-n is the scale parameter of Sigma points, and n is state vector XkDimension, κ is adjustment parameter,
It is general take 0 or 3-n, α be another adjustment parameter;
One-step prediction varivance matrix
In formula,For covariance weight coefficient, its calculation formula is
As k > 2
State one-step prediction value
One-step prediction varivance matrix
In formula
J=argmaxjPr(j|Zk) (15)
Wherein, function argmax [f (x)] returns to the value of the x when f (x) is maximum, and
In above-mentioned calculating process, the one-step prediction result of formula (18) and formula (21) offer self calibration state equation, formula
(20) and formula (21) provides the one-step prediction result that standard state equation calculates, and then passes through the ratio of probability size in formula (15)
It is right, final one-step prediction value is completed by formula (13) and screened;The calculating of probability size relies on Bayes principle, compare be
In the case of current time measuring value is known, the conditional probability of two kinds of models, as shown in formula (23) and formula (24);
Step 4:Iteration variable updates
There are many intermediate variables to need real-time update in step 3, it is therefore necessary to obtain their recurrence formula, enter
And ensure being smoothed out for whole filtering;These iteration variables include:
Each model measurement renewal
In formula
Each Model Condition probability is reset
Pr(J|Zk)=Prmax (32)
Pr[(3-J)|Zk]=Prmin(33);
Step 5:Measure renewal
First, based on state one-step predictionWith one-step prediction varivance matrix Pk/k-1, filtered according to Unscented kalman
The general recurrence formula of ripple carries out resampling to system mode, obtains new Sigma point sets { χk/k-1,i}
Then, according to { χk/k-1,iCalculate measurement estimate
Zk/k-1,i=h (χk/k-1,i) (35)
Calculated by formula (35) and formula (36) and measure varivance matrix PZZ
By formula (34), formula (35) and formula (36) calculation error covariance matrix PXZ
Gain matrix is calculated by formula (37) and formula (38)
Then, final state estimation and state estimation varivance matrix are obtained by measuring renewal
;
Step 6:Iterative calculation
According to the state estimation at k momentWith varivance matrix Pk, repeat step three, step 4 and step 5, enter
And the state estimation and varivance matrix at k+1 moment are obtained, reciprocal iteration, until filtering terminates;
By step 1 to step 6, the present invention takes full advantage of Unscented kalman filtering and the filter of self calibration Unscented kalman
Two methods of the result of calculation of ripple, relies on the Multiple model estimation theory based on Bayes principle, and automatic distinguishing Unknown worm is zero
Section and non-zero section, so as to accurately select wherein most suitable result as the prior estimate of itself;The most important
Be, the present invention be directed to strongly non-linear system exploitation, in practical implementation to benefit from face more extensive, have very
Positive application value.
In summary, beneficial effects of the present invention include
(1) Multiple model estimation theory is incorporated into self calibration Unscented kalman filtering method, has been derived by multi-model
The complete procedure of self calibration Unscented kalman filtering method.
(2) Unscented kalman filtering method and oneself can be played respectively using automatic identification Unknown worm as zero section and non-zero section
Calibrate the respective advantage of Unscented kalman filtering method.
(3) filtering accuracy when nonlinear system is influenceed by Unknown worm is further increased, while improves and filtered
The stability of journey, enhance the robustness of system.
【Brief description of the drawings】
Fig. 1 is the inventive method schematic flow sheet.
Fig. 2 is the step 3 time to update schematic flow sheet.
Sequence number, symbol, code name are described as follows in invention:
Xk:The state vector of system
The state vector of kinetic model containing Unknown worm
The state vector of Standard kinetic model
Zk:System measurements vector
f(·)、h(·):Nonlinear Vector function
bk:Unknown worm
Wk:System noise vector
Vk:Measure noise vector
Qk:System noise vector variance matrix
Rk:Measure noise vector variance matrix
Cov[·]:Covariance
E[·]:Mathematic expectaion
δkj:δ functions
{χi}:Sigma point sets
λ:The scale parameter of Sigma points
n:The dimension of state vector
κ、α:Adjustment parameter
Average weight coefficient
Pr(1|Zk)、Pr(2|Zk):The probability initial value of iterative calculation
Prmax、Prmin:Probability initial value for iterative calculation
Pk/k-1:One-step prediction varivance matrix
Covariance weight coefficient
argmax[f(x)]:Function maxima return function
Measure estimate
PZZ:Error in measurement variance matrix
PXZ:Error co-variance matrix
State estimation
【Embodiment】
The present invention is elaborated below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.
The present invention proposes a kind of multi-model self calibration Unscented kalman filtering method, and its flow chart is as shown in figure 1, the time
Flow chart is updated as shown in Fig. 2 it includes following six step:
Step 1:Establish system fundamental equation
Zk=hk(Xk)+Vk (43)
In formula, XkThe state vector of expression system,WithKinetic model and standard containing Unknown worm are corresponded to respectively
Kinetic model, ZkRepresent system measurements vector, fk() and hk() is respectively nonlinear state recurrence equation and measurement side
Journey, bkRepresent Unknown worm, WkWith VkRespectively system noise vector sum measures noise vector, and its variance matrix is respectively QkWith
Rk, and meet
In formula, Cov [] is covariance, and E [] is mathematic expectaion, δkjFor δ functions, as k=j, δkj=1, as k ≠ j
When, δkj=0.
Step 2:Filtering initialization
Set the initial value of state estimation and estimation error variance matrix as
Meanwhile set the probability initial value of two kinds of models
Pr(1|Z3)=Pr (2 | Z3)=0.5 (47)
And the probability initial value Pr for iterative calculationmaxAnd Prmin。
Step 3:Time renewal is carried out to system
As k=1,2
State one-step prediction value
Xk/k-1,i=f (χk-1,i) (49)
In formula, λ=α2(n+ κ)-n is the scale parameter of Sigma points, and n is state vector XkDimension, κ is adjustment parameter,
It is general take 0 or 3-n, α be another adjustment parameter.
One-step prediction varivance matrix
In formula,For covariance weight coefficient, its calculation formula is
As k > 2
State one-step prediction value
One-step prediction varivance matrix
In formula
J=argmaxjPr(j|Zk) (55)
Wherein, function argmax [f (x)] returns to the value of the x when f (x) is maximum, and
Its time renewal schematic flow sheet is as shown in Figure 2;
Step 4:Iteration variable updates
Each model measurement renewal
In formula
Each Model Condition probability is reset
Pr(J|Zk)=Prmax (72)
Pr[(3-J)|Zk]=Prmin (73)
Step 5:Measure renewal
Resampling is carried out to system mode, obtains new Sigma point sets { χk/k-1,i}
Calculate and measure estimate
Zk/k-1,i=h (χk/k-1,i) (75)
Calculate and measure varivance matrix PZZ
Calculation error covariance matrix PXZ
Calculate gain matrix
Calculate state estimation
Step 6:Iterative calculation
K=k+1 (83)
Repeat step three, step 4 and step 5, until filtering terminates.
Claims (1)
- A kind of 1. multi-model self calibration Unscented kalman filtering method, it is characterised in that:It includes following six step:Step 1:Establish system fundamental equationMulti-model self calibration Unscented kalman filtering is using self calibration Unscented kalman filtering and two kinds of sides of Unscented kalman filtering Method carries out computing, therefore system includes two state equations, and first is the state equation containing Unknown worm item, and second is mark Accurate nonlinear state equation, its expression are<mrow> <msubsup> <mi>X</mi> <mi>k</mi> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <msub> <mi>f</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>X</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>b</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>W</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>...</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <msubsup> <mi>X</mi> <mi>k</mi> <mn>2</mn> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <msub> <mi>f</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>X</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>2</mn> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>W</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>Zk=hk(Xk)+Vk·············(3)In formula, XkThe state vector of expression system,WithCorresponding kinetic model and standard containing Unknown worm is dynamic respectively Mechanical model, ZkRepresent system measurements vector, fk() and hk() is respectively nonlinear state recurrence equation and measurement equation, bkRepresent Unknown worm, WkWith VkRespectively system noise vector sum measures noise vector, and its variance matrix is respectively QkAnd Rk, and And meet<mrow> <mfenced open = "{" close = ""> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>E</mi> <mo>&lsqb;</mo> <msub> <mi>W</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>&rsqb;</mo> <mo>=</mo> <mn>0</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>C</mi> <mi>o</mi> <mi>v</mi> <mo>&lsqb;</mo> <msub> <mi>W</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>,</mo> <msub> <mi>W</mi> <mi>j</mi> </msub> <mo>&rsqb;</mo> <mo>=</mo> <mi>E</mi> <mo>&lsqb;</mo> <msub> <mi>W</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <msubsup> <mi>W</mi> <mi>j</mi> <mi>T</mi> </msubsup> <mo>&rsqb;</mo> <mo>=</mo> <msub> <mi>Q</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <msub> <mi>&delta;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mi>j</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>E</mi> <mo>&lsqb;</mo> <msub> <mi>V</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>&rsqb;</mo> <mo>=</mo> <mn>0</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>C</mi> <mi>o</mi> <mi>v</mi> <mo>&lsqb;</mo> <msub> <mi>V</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>,</mo> <msub> <mi>V</mi> <mi>j</mi> </msub> <mo>&rsqb;</mo> <mo>=</mo> <mi>E</mi> <mo>&lsqb;</mo> <msub> <mi>V</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <msubsup> <mi>V</mi> <mi>j</mi> <mi>T</mi> </msubsup> <mo>&rsqb;</mo> <mo>=</mo> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <msub> <mi>&delta;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mi>j</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>C</mi> <mi>o</mi> <mi>v</mi> <mo>&lsqb;</mo> <msub> <mi>W</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>,</mo> <msub> <mi>V</mi> <mi>j</mi> </msub> <mo>&rsqb;</mo> <mo>=</mo> <mi>E</mi> <mo>&lsqb;</mo> <msub> <mi>W</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <msubsup> <mi>V</mi> <mi>j</mi> <mi>T</mi> </msubsup> <mo>&rsqb;</mo> <mo>=</mo> <mn>0</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> </mfenced> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>4</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>In formula, Cov [] is covariance, and E [] is mathematic expectaion, δkjFor δ functions, as k=j, δkj=1, as k ≠ j, δkj=0;Step 2:Initialization is filtered to systemSet the initial value of state estimation and estimation error variance matrix as<mrow> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mn>0</mn> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <mi>E</mi> <mo>&lsqb;</mo> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mn>0</mn> </msub> <mo>&rsqb;</mo> <mo>...</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>5</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <msub> <mi>P</mi> <mn>0</mn> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <mi>E</mi> <mo>&lsqb;</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mn>0</mn> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mn>0</mn> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mn>0</mn> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mn>0</mn> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>T</mi> </msup> <mo>&rsqb;</mo> <mo>...</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>6</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>Meanwhile in order to complete the fusion of two model estimated results, it is also necessary to set the probability initial value of two kinds of modelsPr(1|Z3)=Pr (2Z3)=0.5 (7)And the probability initial value Pr for iterative calculationmaxAnd Prmin;Two kinetic models are only chosen for the present invention and are adopted Priori estimates are chosen with maximum probability method, it is only necessary to which the probability size of two kinds of models of qualitative analysis calculates generally without accurate The characteristics of rate value, multi-model self calibration kalman filter method do not use the conditional probability value being calculated and are iterated, and It is the probability initial value Pr for setting two determinationsminAnd Prmax=1-Prmin;Before the filtering of each step, by comparing previous step It is assigned to two models by the size of probability results respectively, and the model probability at current time is updated using them as initial value;By In PrminIt is not minimum as probability lower limit, therefore can guarantee that the speed that probability recovers, so that Kalman filtering Real-time is guaranteed;Step 3:Time renewal is carried out to systemIf the state estimation and varivance matrix at k-1 moment are respectivelyAnd Pk-1, based on them is carried out to system the time Renewal, that is, calculate the state one-step prediction at k momentWith one-step prediction varivance matrix Pk/k-1;Based on Unscented kalman The general recurrence formula of filtering, firstly the need of calculating Sigma point sets { χ in time renewal processi}As k=1,2State one-step prediction value<mrow> <msub> <mi>&chi;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <mfenced open = "{" close = ""> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msqrt> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&lambda;</mi> <mo>)</mo> <msub> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </msqrt> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>i</mi> </msub> </mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>n</mi> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msqrt> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&lambda;</mi> <mo>)</mo> <msub> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </msqrt> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>i</mi> </msub> </mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> </mfenced> <mo>...</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>8</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>Xk/k-1,i=f (χk-1,i)············(9)<mrow> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </munderover> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>m</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msubsup> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>10</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>In formula, λ=α2(n+ κ)-n is the scale parameter of Sigma points, and n is state vector XkDimension, κ is adjustment parameter, typically Take 0 or 3-n, α be another adjustment parameter;One-step prediction varivance matrix<mrow> <msub> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </munderover> <mo>{</mo> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>c</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msubsup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>T</mi> </msup> <mo>}</mo> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>Q</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>11</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>In formula,For covariance weight coefficient, its calculation formula is<mrow> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>c</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <mfenced open = "{" close = ""> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <mfrac> <mn>1</mn> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&lambda;</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> </mfrac> </mtd> <mtd> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>&NotEqual;</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <mfrac> <mi>&lambda;</mi> <mrow> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&lambda;</mi> </mrow> </mfrac> <mo>+</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>-</mo> <msup> <mi>&alpha;</mi> <mn>2</mn> </msup> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&beta;</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> </mfenced> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>12</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>As k > 2State one-step prediction value<mrow> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>J</mi> </msubsup> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>13</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>One-step prediction varivance matrix<mrow> <msub> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>J</mi> </msubsup> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>14</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>In formulaJ=argmaxjPr(j|Zk)···········(15)<mrow> <msubsup> <mi>&chi;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <mfenced open = "{" close = ""> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msqrt> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&lambda;</mi> <mo>)</mo> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> </mrow> </msqrt> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>i</mi> </msub> </mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>n</mi> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msqrt> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&lambda;</mi> <mo>)</mo> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> </mrow> </msqrt> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>i</mi> </msub> </mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> </mfenced> <mo>...</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>16</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <msubsup> <mi>&chi;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <mfenced open = "{" close = ""> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msqrt> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&lambda;</mi> <mo>)</mo> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> </mrow> </msqrt> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>i</mi> </msub> </mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>n</mi> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msqrt> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&lambda;</mi> <mo>)</mo> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> </mrow> </msqrt> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>i</mi> </msub> </mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> </mfenced> <mo>...</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>17</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <msubsup> <mi>X</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <mi>f</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>&chi;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>+</mo> <msubsup> <mi>&chi;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> <mo>-</mo> <mi>f</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>&chi;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>18</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <msubsup> <mi>&chi;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mn>2</mn> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <mfenced open = "{" close = ""> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>2</mn> </msubsup> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msqrt> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&lambda;</mi> <mo>)</mo> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>2</mn> </msubsup> </mrow> </msqrt> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>i</mi> </msub> </mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>n</mi> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>2</mn> </msubsup> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>2</mn> </msubsup> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msqrt> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&lambda;</mi> <mo>)</mo> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msubsup> </mrow> </msqrt> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>i</mi> </msub> </mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> </mfenced> <mn>....</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>19</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <msubsup> <mi>X</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mn>2</mn> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <mi>f</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>&chi;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mn>2</mn> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>20</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </munderover> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>m</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msubsup> <msubsup> <mi>X</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>21</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </munderover> <mo>{</mo> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>c</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msubsup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>X</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>-</mo> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>X</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>-</mo> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mi>1</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>T</mi> </msup> <mo>}</mo> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>Q</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>22</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>Wherein, function argmax [f (x)] returns to the value of the x when f (x) is maximum, and<mrow> <mi>Pr</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>j</mi> <mo>|</mo> <msub> <mi>Z</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>=</mo> <mfrac> <mrow> <mi>p</mi> <mi>d</mi> <mi>f</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>Z</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>|</mo> <mi>j</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>Pr</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>j</mi> <mo>|</mo> <msub> <mi>Z</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> <mrow> <munderover> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>N</mi> </munderover> <mi>p</mi> <mi>d</mi> <mi>f</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>Z</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>|</mo> <mi>i</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>Pr</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>i</mi> <mo>|</mo> <msub> <mi>Z</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> </mfrac> <mo>...</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>23</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <mi>p</mi> <mi>d</mi> <mi>f</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>Z</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>|</mo> <mi>j</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>&ap;</mo> <mfrac> <mrow> <mi>exp</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mo>-</mo> <msubsup> <mi>r</mi> <mi>k</mi> <mi>T</mi> </msubsup> <msubsup> <mi>T</mi> <mi>k</mi> <mrow> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msubsup> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>/</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> <mrow> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mi>&pi;</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mrow> <mi>q</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </msup> <mo>|</mo> <msub> <mi>T</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <msup> <mo>|</mo> <mrow> <mn>1</mn> <mo>/</mo> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </msup> </mrow> </mfrac> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>24</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>In above-mentioned calculating process, formula (18) and formula (21) provide the one-step prediction result of self calibration state equation, formula (20) and Formula (21) provides the one-step prediction result that standard state equation calculates, then by the comparison of probability size in formula (15), by formula (13) final one-step prediction value screening is completed;The calculating of probability size relies on Bayes principle, and what is compared is when current In the case of carving known to measuring value, the conditional probability of two kinds of models, as shown in formula (23) and formula (24);Step 4:Iteration variable updatesThere are many intermediate variables to need real-time update in step 3, it is therefore necessary to obtain their recurrence formula, Jin Erbao Demonstrate,prove being smoothed out for whole filtering;These iteration variables include:Each model measurement renewal<mrow> <msubsup> <mi>K</mi> <mi>k</mi> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>X</mi> <mi>Z</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>Z</mi> <mi>Z</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mrow> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msup> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>25</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mi>k</mi> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mi>/</mi> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>+</mo> <msubsup> <mi>K</mi> <mi>k</mi> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>Z</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>Z</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mi>/</mi> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>...</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>26</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mi>k</mi> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>-</mo> <msubsup> <mi>K</mi> <mi>k</mi> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>Z</mi> <mi>Z</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>K</mi> <mi>k</mi> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>T</mi> </msup> <mo>...</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>27</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>In formula<mrow> <msubsup> <mi>Z</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <mi>h</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>&chi;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>...</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>28</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>Z</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </munderover> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>m</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msubsup> <msubsup> <mi>Z</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>29</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>Z</mi> <mi>Z</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </munderover> <mo>{</mo> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>c</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msubsup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>Z</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>-</mo> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>Z</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>Z</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>-</mo> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>Z</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>T</mi> </msup> <mo>}</mo> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>30</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow><mrow> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>X</mi> <mi>Z</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </munderover> <mo>{</mo> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>c</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msubsup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>&chi;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>-</mo> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>Z</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>-</mo> <msubsup> <mover> <mi>Z</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </msubsup> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>T</mi> </msup> <mo>}</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>31</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>Each Model Condition probability is resetPr(J|Zk)=Prmax············(32)Pr[(3-J)|Zk]=Prmin···········(33);Step 5:Measure renewalFirst, based on state one-step predictionWith one-step prediction varivance matrix Pk/k-1, according to Unscented kalman filtering General recurrence formula carries out resampling to system mode, obtains new Sigma point sets { χk/k-1,i}<mrow> <msub> <mi>&chi;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <mfenced open = "{" close = ""> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msqrt> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&lambda;</mi> <mo>)</mo> <msub> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </msqrt> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>i</mi> </msub> </mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>n</mi> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mrow> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msqrt> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&lambda;</mi> <mo>)</mo> <msub> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </msqrt> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>i</mi> </msub> </mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> </mfenced> <mo>...</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>34</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>Then, according to { χk/k-1,iCalculate measurement estimateZk/k-1,i=h (χk/k-1,i)···········(35)<mrow> <msub> <mover> <mi>Z</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </munderover> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>m</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msubsup> <msub> <mi>Z</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>36</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>Calculated by formula (35) and formula (36) and measure varivance matrix PZZ<mrow> <msub> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>Z</mi> <mi>Z</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </munderover> <mo>{</mo> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>c</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msubsup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>Z</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mover> <mi>Z</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>Z</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mover> <mi>Z</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>T</mi> </msup> <mo>}</mo> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>37</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>By formula (34), formula (35) and formula (36) calculation error covariance matrix PXZ<mrow> <msub> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>X</mi> <mi>Z</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </munderover> <mo>{</mo> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>c</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msubsup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>&chi;</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>Z</mi> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mover> <mi>Z</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>T</mi> </msup> <mo>}</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>38</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>Gain matrix is calculated by formula (37) and formula (38)<mrow> <msub> <mi>K</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <msub> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>X</mi> <mi>Z</mi> </mrow> </msub> <msubsup> <mi>P</mi> <mrow> <mi>Z</mi> <mi>Z</mi> </mrow> <mrow> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msubsup> <mo>...</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>39</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>Then, final state estimation and state estimation varivance matrix are obtained by measuring renewal<mrow> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <msub> <mover> <mi>X</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>K</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>Z</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mover> <mi>Z</mi> <mo>^</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>...</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>40</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>;</mo> </mrow> ;Step 6:Iterative calculationAccording to the state estimation at k momentWith varivance matrix Pk, repeat step three, step 4 and step 5, and then To the state estimation and varivance matrix at k+1 moment, reciprocal iteration, until filtering terminates.
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