CN107621594B - A kind of electric network failure diagnosis method based on fault recorder data and Bayesian network - Google Patents

A kind of electric network failure diagnosis method based on fault recorder data and Bayesian network Download PDF

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CN107621594B
CN107621594B CN201711115714.7A CN201711115714A CN107621594B CN 107621594 B CN107621594 B CN 107621594B CN 201711115714 A CN201711115714 A CN 201711115714A CN 107621594 B CN107621594 B CN 107621594B
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failure
probability
fault
electronic component
node
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CN107621594A (en
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焦邵麟
曾耿晖
李一泉
刘玮
屠卿瑞
张智锐
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Electric Power Dispatch Control Center of Guangdong Power Grid Co Ltd
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Electric Power Dispatch Control Center of Guangdong Power Grid Co Ltd
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Abstract

The electric network failure diagnosis method based on fault recorder data and Bayesian network that the invention discloses a kind of, includes the following steps: S1: determining fault zone by protective device action message, breaker information and the fault recorder data in SCADA system information;S2: establishing Bayesian network diagnostic model according to fault zone, obtains the probability of malfunction G1 of each element;S3: the probability of malfunction G2 of each element is obtained by fault diagnosis principle using fault recorder data;S4: the different weight of G1 and G2 is assigned according to expert method, the probability of malfunction G3 of each element is obtained by weighted average method.Compared with prior art, the present invention the diagnosis to failure is more accurate, and can adjust the weight of two methods according to the actual situation, there is very high practicability.

Description

A kind of electric network failure diagnosis method based on fault recorder data and Bayesian network
Technical field
The present invention relates to electric network failure diagnosis fields, are based on fault recorder data and Bayes more particularly, to one kind The electric network failure diagnosis method of network.
Background technique
SCADA (operation supervisory control and data aquisition system) system is equipment indispensable in control centre, it can be Auxiliary dispatching person's electric power monitoring system when Power System Steady-state is run, also can provide fault message in failure for dispatcher.Work as hair When raw failure, SCADA system can provide the outlet action message of switching information and protection for staff, but this is not able to satisfy Demand of the fault diagnosis to information.Also, existing dispatch automated system can only acquire data in the system failure, not to letter Breath, which is screened and processed, is just supplied directly to dispatcher, and dispatcher is caused to have little time to judge and handle.When generation complex fault When, if only using the data that SCADA system reports, diagnostic system can not provide satisfactory result.In order to guarantee What is diagnosed is accurate, needs to find new diagnostic message source and diagnostic method.
Summary of the invention
The present invention overcomes the technological deficiencies of above-mentioned existing method for diagnosing faults, provide a kind of based on fault recorder According to the electric network failure diagnosis method with Bayesian network.The present invention passes through fault recorder data, breaker actuation information and electronics Each element current direction matrix when element fault acquisition of information failure, forms suspicious element collection;Pass through Bayesian network simultaneously, Electric network failure diagnosis is carried out, forms suspicious element collection, the weight distribution provided using expert method is carried out using weighted average model Diagnosis.
In order to solve the above technical problems, technical scheme is as follows:
A kind of electric network failure diagnosis method based on fault recorder data and Bayesian network, includes the following steps:
S1: it is determined by protective device action message, breaker information and the fault recorder data in SCADA system information Fault zone;
S2: establishing Bayesian network diagnostic model according to fault zone, obtains the probability of malfunction G1 of each element;
S3: the probability of malfunction G2 of each element is obtained by fault diagnosis principle using fault recorder data;
S4: the different weight of G1 and G2 is assigned according to expert method, the failure of each element is obtained by weighted average method Probability G3.
In a preferred solution, the S2 includes following below scheme:
S2.1: corresponding Bayesian network diagnostic model is established to the node in fault zone;The node includes mother Line, route, electronic component, breaker and protective device;
S2.2: for the Bayesian network diagnostic model of each electronic component, the failure prior probability of each node is solved;
S2.3: failure prior probability is associated with posterior probability, obtains the probability of malfunction G1 of element.
In a preferred solution, the failure prior probability of each node in the S2.2 includes following calculating stream Journey:
S2.2.1: it for the failure prior probability of electronic component, is calculated by the year failure-frequency of equipment, i.e. equipment Continuous operation for a period of time after, the probability that breaks down;The failure prior probability P of electronic component1It is asked by following formula It takes:
P1=P { 0 < t }=1-ewt
In formula, w is element year failure rate, and t is that element overhauls number.
S2.2.2: for the failure prior probability P of breaker and protective device linkage2, P2It is asked by following formula It takes:
In formula, parent (Xi) indicate electronic component node.
In a preferred solution, the probability of malfunction G1 of the element is sought by following formula:
In formula, P (Y) indicates the failure prior probability of electronic component, i.e. P (Y)=P1;P (X) indicates breaker node and protects The failure prior probability of protection unit linkage, i.e. P (X)=P2;P (Y | X) indicate the item acted in known breaker and protective device Under part, the probability of electronic component failure;P (X | Y) indicate breaker and protective device under conditions of known electronic element fault The probability of the failure of linkage.
In a preferred solution, the S3 includes following below scheme:
S3.1: for the node x in fault recorder data1, x2..., xn-1, xn, adopted by Lagrange's interpolation insertion Sampling point is handled, and the polynomial equation y=f (x) across n node is obtained;
S3.2: failure is carried out using mutation quantity algorithm for the sampled point of the Lagrange's interpolation in fault recorder data Differentiate;
S3.3: fault component extraction is carried out to malfunctioning node, obtains positive negative voltage and current component phase;
S3.4: by positive negative voltage and current component phase, differentiate current direction, form element current directional correlation square Battle array, obtains the probability of malfunction G2 of each element according to current direction matrix.
In a preferred solution, secondary Lagrange's interpolation is used in the S3.1 to be handled, specifically Content is as follows:
For the node x in fault recorder data1, x2..., xn-1, xn, interpolation point x and corresponding three points are set xi-1,xi,xi+1, the i sought by following formula:
According to x, xi-1,xi,xi+1Obtain secondary Lagrange interpolation polynomial y=f (x), the y=f (x) by with Lower formula is sought:
In a preferred solution, four sampled values are used in the S3.2 be mutated quantity algorithm, four samplings Value mutation quantity algorithm content is as follows:
Δ i (k)=[i (k)-i (k-N)]-[i (k-N)+i (k-2N)]
In formula, Δ i (k) is current change quantity, and i (k) is the current sampling data of this week interim k-th of sampled point, i (k-N) For the current sampling data of k-th of sampled point in a upper period, i (k-2N) is the current sample of k-th of sampled point in upper two cycles Value;
Fault initiating discrimination formula:
Δ i (k) > Iset
In formula, IsetIt is preset value.If Δ i (k) > Iset, then judge node for malfunctioning node.
In a preferred solution, the IsetIt is sought by following formula:
Iset=k1Δi(k)+k2IN
In formula, k1And k2It is preset value, INIt is the load current value before corresponding electronic component failure.
In a preferred solution, the S3.3 includes following calculation process:
S3.3.1: fault component i is extractedg(t), the ig(t) it is sought by following formula:
ig(t)=i (t)-i (t-nN)
In formula, i (t) be failure when current sampling data, i (t-nN) be failure before current sampling data, and i (t-nN) with I (t) is separated by n period, and N is each cycle sampling number;
S3.3.2: in fault component ig(t) corresponding positive negative voltage and current component phase is obtained on.
Compared with prior art, the beneficial effect of technical solution of the present invention is:
It is each when the present invention is by fault recorder data, breaker actuation information and electronic component failure acquisition of information failure Element current direction matrix forms suspicious element collection;Simultaneously by Bayesian network, electric network failure diagnosis is carried out, is formed suspicious Element collection, the weight distribution provided using expert method, is diagnosed using weighted average model.The present invention and prior art phase Than, it is more accurate to the diagnosis of failure, and the weight of two methods can be adjusted according to the actual situation, have very high practical Property.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is the present embodiment flow chart.
Specific embodiment
The attached figures are only used for illustrative purposes and cannot be understood as limitating the patent;
To those skilled in the art, it is to be understood that certain known features and its explanation, which may be omitted, in attached drawing 's.
The following further describes the technical solution of the present invention with reference to the accompanying drawings and examples.
As shown in Figure 1, a kind of electric network failure diagnosis method based on fault recorder data and Bayesian network, including it is as follows Step:
S1. fault zone is determined by SCADA system information;
Event is determined by protective device action message, breaker information and the fault recorder data in SCADA system information Hinder region.
S2. corresponding Bayesian network diagnostic model is established to the node in fault zone;
Node includes bus, route, electronic component, breaker and protective device.
S3. the failure prior probability of each node is solved;
For the failure prior probability of electronic component, calculated by the year failure-frequency of equipment, i.e., equipment is continuously transported After row a period of time, the probability that breaks down;The failure prior probability P of electronic component1It is sought by following formula:
P1=P { 0 < t }=1-ewt
In formula, w is element year failure rate, and t is that element overhauls number, takes t=2 in the present embodiment;
For the failure prior probability P of breaker and protective device linkage2, P2It is sought by following formula:
In formula, parent (Xi) indicate electronic component node.
S4. failure prior probability is associated with posterior probability, obtains the probability of malfunction G1 of element;
The probability of malfunction G1 of element is sought by following formula:
In formula, P (Y) indicates the failure prior probability of electronic component, i.e. P (Y)=P1;P (X) indicates breaker node and protects The failure prior probability of protection unit linkage, i.e. P (X)=P2;P (Y | X) indicate the item acted in known breaker and protective device Under part, the probability of electronic component failure;P (X | Y) indicate breaker and protective device under conditions of known electronic element fault The probability of the failure of linkage.
S5. Lagrange's interpolation is used to the node in fault recorder data;
For the node x in fault recorder data1, x2..., xn-1, xn, interpolation point x and corresponding three points are set xi-1,xi,xi+1, the i sought by following formula:
According to x, xi-1,xi,xi+1Obtain secondary Lagrange interpolation polynomial y=f (x), the y=f (x) by with Lower formula is sought:
S6. fault distinguishing is carried out using four sampled values mutation quantity algorithm for the sampled point in fault recorder data;
It is as follows that four sampled values are mutated quantity algorithm content:
Δ i (k)=[i (k)-i (k-N)]-[i (k-N)+i (k-2N)]
In formula, Δ i (k) is current change quantity, and i (k) is the current sampling data of this week interim k-th of sampled point, i (k-N) For the current sampling data of k-th of sampled point in a upper period, i (k-2N) is the current sample of k-th of sampled point in upper two cycles Value;
Fault initiating discrimination formula:
Δ i (k) > Iset
Iset=k1Δi(k)+k2IN
In formula, k1And k2It is preset value, INIt is the load current value before corresponding electronic component failure.If Δ i (k) > Iset, then judge node for malfunctioning node.
S7. fault component extraction is carried out to malfunctioning node, obtains positive negative voltage and current component phase;
Fault component i is extracted to malfunctioning nodeg(t), ig(t) it is sought by following formula:
ig(t)=i (t)-i (t-nN)
In formula, i (t) be failure when current sampling data, i (t-nN) be failure before current sampling data, and i (t-nN) with I (t) is separated by n period, and N is each cycle sampling number;
In fault component ig(t) corresponding positive negative voltage and current component phase is obtained on.
S8. by positive negative voltage and current component phase, the probability of malfunction G2 of each element is obtained;
By positive negative voltage and current component phase, current direction is differentiated, form element current directional correlation matrix, root The probability of malfunction G2 of each element is obtained according to current direction matrix.
S9. the different weight of G1 and G2 is assigned according to expert method, the failure of each element is obtained by weighted average method Probability G3;
In the present embodiment, 40% weight is assigned to G1, assigns 60% weight to G2.
The same or similar label correspond to the same or similar components;
The terms describing the positional relationship in the drawings are only for illustration, should not be understood as the limitation to this patent;
Obviously, the above embodiment of the present invention be only to clearly illustrate example of the present invention, and not be pair The restriction of embodiments of the present invention.For those of ordinary skill in the art, may be used also on the basis of the above description To make other variations or changes in different ways.There is no necessity and possibility to exhaust all the enbodiments.It is all this Made any modifications, equivalent replacements, and improvements etc., should be included in the claims in the present invention within the spirit and principle of invention Protection scope within.

Claims (5)

1. a kind of electric network failure diagnosis method based on fault recorder data and Bayesian network, which is characterized in that including as follows Step:
S1: failure is determined by protective device action message, breaker information and the fault recorder data in SCADA system information Region;
S2: establishing Bayesian network diagnostic model according to fault zone, obtains the probability of malfunction G1 of each electronic component;
S3: the probability of malfunction G2 of each electronic component is obtained by fault diagnosis principle using fault recorder data;
S4: the different weight of G1 and G2 is assigned according to expert method, the failure of each electronic component is obtained by weighted average method Probability G3;
The S2 includes following below scheme:
S2.1: corresponding Bayesian network diagnostic model is established to the node in fault zone;The node includes bus, line Road, electronic component, breaker and protective device;
S2.2: for the Bayesian network diagnostic model of each electronic component, the failure prior probability of each node is solved;
S2.3: failure prior probability is associated with posterior probability, obtains the probability of malfunction G1 of electronic component;
The failure prior probability of each node in the S2.2 includes following calculation process:
S2.2.1: it for the failure prior probability of electronic component, is calculated by the year failure-frequency of equipment, i.e., equipment is continuous After running a period of time, the probability that breaks down;The failure prior probability P of electronic component1It is sought by following formula:
P1=P { 0 < t }=1-ewt
In formula, w is electronic component year failure rate, and t is that electronic component overhauls number;
S2.2.2: for the failure prior probability P of breaker and protective device linkage2, failure prior probability P2Pass through following formula It is sought:
In formula, parent (Xi) indicate electronic component node;
The probability of malfunction G1 of the electronic component is sought by following formula:
In formula, P (Y) indicates the failure prior probability of electronic component, i.e. P (Y)=P1;P (X) indicates that breaker node and protection fill Set the failure prior probability of linkage, i.e. P (X)=P2;P (Y | X) it indicates under conditions of known breaker and protective device act, The probability of electronic component failure;P (X | Y) it indicates under conditions of known electronic element fault, breaker and protective device link Failure probability;
The S3 includes following below scheme:
S3.1: for the node x in fault recorder data1, x2..., xn-1, xn, sampled point is inserted by Lagrange's interpolation It is handled, obtains the polynomial equation y=f (x) across n node;
S3.2: failure is carried out using mutation quantity algorithm for the sampled point of the Lagrange's interpolation in fault recorder data and is sentenced Not;
S3.3: fault component extraction is carried out to malfunctioning node, obtains positive negative voltage and current component phase;
S3.4: by positive negative voltage and current component phase, differentiating current direction, forms electronic component current direction and is associated with square Battle array, obtains the probability of malfunction G2 of each electronic component according to current direction matrix.
2. electric network failure diagnosis method according to claim 1, which is characterized in that use secondary drawing in the S3.1 Ge Lang interpolation method is handled, and particular content is as follows:
For the node x in fault recorder data1, x2..., xn-1, xn, interpolation point x and corresponding three points x is seti-1,xi, xi+1, the i sought by following formula:
According to x, xi-1,xi,xi+1Secondary Lagrange interpolation polynomial y=f (x) is obtained, the y=f (x) passes through following public affairs Formula is sought:
3. electric network failure diagnosis method according to claim 2, which is characterized in that use four samplings in the S3.2 Value mutation quantity algorithm, the four sampled values mutation quantity algorithm content are as follows:
Δ i (k)=[i (k)-i (k-N)]-[i (k-N)+i (k-2N)]
In formula, Δ i (k) is current change quantity, and i (k) is the current sampling data of this week interim k-th of sampled point, and i (k-N) is upper The current sampling data of k-th of sampled point in one period, i (k-2N) are the current sampling data of k-th of sampled point in upper two cycles;
Fault initiating discrimination formula:
Δ i (k) > Iset
In formula, IsetIt is preset value, if Δ i (k) > Iset, then judge node for malfunctioning node.
4. electric network failure diagnosis method according to claim 3, which is characterized in that the IsetBy following formula into Row is sought:
Iset=k1Δi(k)+k2IN
In formula, k1And k2It is preset value, INIt is the load current value before corresponding electronic component failure.
5. electric network failure diagnosis method according to claim 3 or 4, which is characterized in that the S3.3 includes following meter Calculate process:
S3.3.1: fault component i is extractedg(t), the ig(t) it is sought by following formula:
ig(t)=i (t)-i (t-nN)
In formula, current sampling data when i (t) is failure, i (t-nN) is the current sampling data before failure, and i (t-nN) and i (t) It is separated by n period, N is each cycle sampling number;
S3.3.2: in fault component ig(t) corresponding positive negative voltage and current component phase is obtained on.
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