CN107480403A - A kind of simulation method and confession power distribution simulation simulation system - Google Patents
A kind of simulation method and confession power distribution simulation simulation system Download PDFInfo
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- CN107480403A CN107480403A CN201710806466.4A CN201710806466A CN107480403A CN 107480403 A CN107480403 A CN 107480403A CN 201710806466 A CN201710806466 A CN 201710806466A CN 107480403 A CN107480403 A CN 107480403A
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Abstract
The embodiment of the invention discloses a kind of simulation method and power distribution simulation simulation system is supplied, including：Communicated for power distribution simulation simulation system with for distribution real system, obtain the real-time running data for distribution real system, according to real-time running data to carrying out real-time analog simulation, follow-up operation state of the prediction for distribution real system for the running status of distribution real system.Due to constituting parallel system for power distribution simulation simulation system and for distribution real system, real-time running data can be obtained, real-time analog simulation is carried out according to real-time running data, therefore, not only analog result is more accurate for the power distribution simulation simulation system that supplies in the embodiment of the present invention, it can accomplish that real simulation supplies the running status of distribution real system, it can also accomplish to carry out advanced prediction to the follow-up operation state for distribution real system, with reply for the follow-up various possible running statuses of distribution real system, avoid the generation of accident, ensure the safe and stable operation for distribution real system.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to confession distribution technique field, more particularly to a kind of simulation method and confession power distribution simulation simulation system
System.
Background technology
In recent years, with the gradual increase of the business such as internet, finance, the scale of enterprise data center is increasing, IT
The rapid growth of number of devices brings huge pressure to the power supply of data center, refrigeration, space management etc., particularly
Information technoloy equipment power consumption in data center is significantly increased.To ensure the safe and reliable operation of data center, the operation of power supply-distribution system
Safeguard with analysis optimization it is very important.But data center's power supply-distribution system is increasingly sophisticated, equipment is more and more in system,
Logic between equipment itself and equipment and equipment also becomes increasingly complex.The system of each equipment composition interconnects, and runs into thing
Part is corresponding mutually, coverage is wider.Power supply-distribution system is the power resources of information technoloy equipment, for large-scale data center, one
Denier powers off, and consequence is hardly imaginable.
At present, the cause of accident of data center's power supply-distribution system is broadly divided into internal cause, external cause and artificial origin
Deng three classes.On the one hand, common accident is mainly outside former by the internal causes such as equipment self deterioration and outer city's electro-mechanical wave etc.
Caused by, the randomness for the accident generation that this two classes reason is triggered is larger, therefore, is not only needed in reply relatively complete
Standby emergent flow, because produced problem has the particularity for being difficult to reappear in power system, it is also necessary to establish analog simulation
System is simulated to the failure of generation, the reason for search problem.On the other hand, also a kind of accident is in data center
Power supply-distribution system when carrying out system and device upgrade, maintenance and transformation, due to estimating deficiency to various situations in advance, temporarily
Emergency mechanism does not play caused.Because this kind of accident and human factor there are much relations, therefore, it is necessary to pass through before operation
Simulation system is made a prediction to various corresponding situations, to estimate the effect of operation, in order to avoid occur influenceing information technoloy equipment operation
Event, cause production accident.
However, the mode that analogue simulation system of the prior art usually relies on artificial input data carries out simple simulation
Emulation, and the data of institute's foundation are also only some electric information parameters, and this make it that analogue simulation system of the prior art can not
Completely true simulation power supply-distribution system, so as to which the accuracy of the analog result drawn is also poor.
Therefore, need badly at present and want a kind of simulation method, can not to solve analogue simulation system of the prior art
Completely true simulation power supply-distribution system, so as to the technical problem that the accuracy of the analog result drawn is poor.
The content of the invention
The present invention provides a kind of simulation method and supplies power distribution simulation simulation system, to solve to emulate in the prior art
Simulation system can not completely true simulation power supply-distribution system, the poor technical problem of the analog result accuracy that draws.
A kind of simulation method provided in an embodiment of the present invention, methods described are applied and supply power distribution simulation simulation system, institute
State for power distribution simulation simulation system with forming parallel system for distribution real system, methods described includes：
It is described to supply power distribution simulation simulation system to be obtained described actual for distribution by being communicated with described for distribution real system
The real-time running data of system；
It is described for power distribution simulation simulation system according to the real-time running data to the operation for distribution real system
State carries out real-time analog simulation, and predicts the follow-up operation state for distribution real system.
Alternatively, it is described to include multiple power equipments for distribution real system；
It is described the real system for distribution is predicted according to the real-time running data for power distribution simulation simulation system after
Continuous running status, including：
The probability for being in each abnormal operating condition according to each power equipment for power distribution simulation simulation system, and
The real-time running data for distribution real system carries out simulation and prediction, draws the follow-up operation for distribution real system
State, and determine when the follow-up operation state is responsive measures when any power equipment is in any abnormal operating condition.
Alternatively, the probability that each power equipment is in each abnormal operating condition is to obtain in the following way
's：
It is described to supply power distribution simulation simulation system according to described any for any abnormal operating condition of any power equipment
The package scoring of power equipment and a variety of external factor cause any power equipment any misoperation occur
Shape probability of state, show that any power equipment is in the probability of any abnormal operating condition, wherein, any electricity
The package scoring of power equipment is the appraisal result of any power equipment is obtained according to multiple default dimensions.
Alternatively, the multiple default dimension comprises at least critical piece, equipment brand, service condition, safeguards degree, again
Want any of degree or a variety of；
The package scoring of any power equipment is to any power equipment according to multiple default dimensions
What appraisal result obtained, including：
The scoring that the multiple default dimension is scored the power equipment for power distribution simulation simulation system
As a result it is weighted, draws the package scoring of any power equipment.
Alternatively, a variety of external factor comprise at least any of emergency situations, man's activity, knowledge and environment
It is or a variety of；
It is described for power distribution simulation simulation system according to the scoring of the package of any power equipment and it is a variety of it is outside because
Element causes any power equipment the probability of any abnormal operating condition occur, show that any power equipment is in
The probability of any abnormal operating condition, including：
It is described to cause any power equipment to occur respectively a variety of external factor for power distribution simulation simulation system
The scoring of the package of the probability of any abnormal operating condition and any power equipment is weighted, and draws institute
State the probability that any power equipment is in any abnormal operating condition.
Based on same inventive concept, the embodiments of the invention provide one kind to supply power distribution simulation simulation system, described one kind
Include for power distribution simulation simulation system：
Communication module, for being communicated with for distribution real system, obtain the real time execution number for distribution real system
According to；
Processing module, it is real for being carried out according to the real-time running data to the running status for distribution real system
When analogue simulation, and predict the follow-up operation state for distribution real system.
Alternatively, it is described to include multiple power equipments for distribution real system；
The processing module is specifically used for：
The probability of each abnormal operating condition, and the reality for distribution real system are according to each power equipment
When service data carry out simulation and prediction, draw the follow-up operation state for distribution real system, and determine when described follow-up
Running status is responsive measures when any power equipment is in any abnormal operating condition.
Alternatively, the processing module is specifically additionally operable to：
For any abnormal operating condition of any power equipment, scored according to the package of any power equipment
Cause any power equipment the probability of any abnormal operating condition occur with a variety of external factor, draw described any
Power equipment is in the probability of any abnormal operating condition, wherein, the package scoring of any power equipment is
The appraisal result of any power equipment is obtained according to multiple default dimensions.
Alternatively, the multiple default dimension comprises at least critical piece, equipment brand, service condition, safeguards degree, again
Want any of degree or a variety of；
The processing module is specifically additionally operable to：
The appraisal result that the multiple default dimension is scored the power equipment is weighted, draws institute
State the package scoring of any power equipment.
Alternatively, a variety of external factor comprise at least any of emergency situations, man's activity, knowledge and environment
It is or a variety of；
The processing module is specifically used for：
Any power equipment is caused any abnormal operating condition occur respectively a variety of external factor
The scoring of the package of probability and any power equipment is weighted, and show that any power equipment is in described
The probability of any abnormal operating condition.
Another embodiment of the present invention provides a kind of emulator, and it includes memory and processor, wherein, the storage
Device instructs for storage program, and the processor is used to call the programmed instruction stored in the memory, according to the journey of acquisition
Sequence performs any of the above-described kind of simulation method.
Another embodiment of the present invention provides a kind of computer-readable storage medium, and the computer-readable recording medium storage has
Computer executable instructions, the computer executable instructions are used to make the computer perform any of the above-described kind of analogue simulation side
Method.
In the embodiment of the present invention, for power distribution simulation simulation system by being communicated with for distribution real system, acquisition supplies distribution
The real-time running data of real system, and the running status for distribution real system is imitated in real time according to real-time running data
True simulation, follow-up operation state of the prediction for distribution real system.Due to for power distribution simulation simulation system and for the actual system of distribution
System constitutes parallel system, real-time running data can be obtained with being communicated for distribution real system, according to the real time execution number of acquisition
Real-time analog simulation is carried out according to the running status for distribution real system, therefore, power distribution simulation is supplied in the embodiment of the present invention
Not only analog result is more accurate for simulation system, can accomplish that real simulation supplies the running status of distribution real system, can also do
Advanced prediction is carried out to the follow-up operation state for distribution real system, the subsequently various possibility of distribution real system are supplied with reply
Running status, avoid the generation of accident, ensure the safe and stable operation for distribution real system.
Brief description of the drawings
Technical scheme in order to illustrate the embodiments of the present invention more clearly, make required in being described below to embodiment
Accompanying drawing is briefly introduced, it should be apparent that, drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the present invention, for this
For the those of ordinary skill in field, without having to pay creative labor, it can also be obtained according to these accompanying drawings
His accompanying drawing.
Fig. 1 is the structural representation of the power supply-distribution system of data center in the embodiment of the present invention；
Fig. 2 is the system architecture diagram that distribution real system is supplied in the embodiment of the present invention；
Fig. 3 is the schematic flow sheet corresponding to a kind of simulation method in the embodiment of the present invention；
Fig. 4 is that the running status for distribution real system is surpassed for power distribution simulation simulation system in the embodiment of the present invention
Schematic flow sheet corresponding to the method for preceding prediction；
Fig. 5 is the structural representation for power distribution simulation simulation system in the embodiment of the present invention.
Embodiment
In order that the object, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention are clearer, the present invention is made below in conjunction with accompanying drawing into
One step it is described in detail, it is clear that described embodiment, only part of the embodiment of the present invention, rather than whole implementation
Example.Based on the embodiment in the present invention, what those of ordinary skill in the art were obtained under the premise of creative work is not made
All other embodiment, belongs to the scope of protection of the invention.
Simulation method in the embodiment of the present invention is applied to data center, and the power supply-distribution system of the data center is by supplying
Power distribution simulation simulation system and confession distribution real system two parts composition, wherein, for power distribution simulation simulation system and data center
Constitute parallel system for distribution real system.
The concept of parallel system involved in the embodiment of the present invention is briefly introduced below.
Parallel system generally refers to some natural real system (or physical system) and corresponding multiple void
Plan or the common system that preferably manual system (or analogue system) is formed.Compared with other control theories, parallel control reason
By the status for changing manual system and being subordinated to real system, manual system can be parallel on an equal basis with real system, and to actual system
The operation of system provides guidance.Parallel control theory using the viewpoint of entirety to analyze complication system the problem of, and for actual
The change of the behavior of system or people, manual system can constantly learn new method, and exploring improves control strategy.In addition, artificial system
System can seek optimal solution by continuous experiment with computing.
Method system under parallel control theory includes manual system, experiment with computing and parallel control three parts.Its is basic
Principle is the foundation manual system of equal value with real system, by experiment with computing understanding real system and manually in manual system
Rule and interaction relationship between system under various states.By the comparison and analysis of the behavior to both, study to each
From estimating for future, seek respective regulation strategy, make respective control and response.Finally by parallel control
System is reduced the generation of fortuitous event under normal circumstances, recover normal operation rapidly under abnormal condition, improve emergent
Controlled level.
The embodiment of the present invention is described in further detail with reference to Figure of description.
In the embodiment of the present invention, based on parallel control theory, the power supply-distribution system of data center is designed for distribution reality
Border system and the manual system for power distribution simulation simulation system composition.Fig. 1 is the confession distribution of data center in the embodiment of the present invention
The structural representation of system, as shown in figure 1, power supply-distribution system and two big systematic affinity equality of confession power distribution simulation simulation system, mutually
It is parallel, two-way data interaction can be carried out, and mutual guidance can be realized.
Specifically, include configurations, operation maintenance and Optimizing Reconstruction three parts for distribution real system, for protecting
Demonstrate,prove and transformation is optimized to power supply-distribution system on the basis of safe and reliable, stable operation.Wherein, configurations specifically include again
The parts such as system architecture, high-low pressure equipment, monitoring system, operation maintenance may particularly include accident analysis, general maintenance, meet an urgent need again
Rehearsal, cross-system failure part, the Optimizing Reconstruction such as study and judge and may particularly include capacity analysis, optimization design, PUE (Power again
Usage Effectiveness, energy use efficiency) part such as improvement, distribution dilatation, here is omitted.
Fig. 2 is the system architecture diagram for distribution real system in the embodiment of the present invention, as shown in Fig. 2 steady in order to ensure
Fixed operation, this employs the system architecture of 2N redundancies for distribution real system, and so-called 2N redundant systems framework refers to any electric power
It is identical that equipment is respectively provided with One function, set location etc., with its mutually redundant same type power equipment.In answering for reality
With in scene, the two power equipments only have that a power equipment is in running order, and when in running order electric power is set
For when breaking down, it can switch on the power equipment of backup and work on, and make the operation of whole system unaffected.
Such as Fig. 2 as can be seen that this includes polytype power equipment, including high-voltage board, mother for distribution real system
Join switch, transformer, ATS automatic transfer switch, diesel-driven generator, low tension switch, UPS uninterrupted power sources, computer room power distribution cabinet etc.
Deng.
Specifically, including function library, model library, database, the major part of repository four for power distribution simulation simulation system, it is adopted
With with supplying distribution real system identical 2N redundant system frameworks, for carrying out real-time simulation, advanced for distribution real system
Prediction and lags analysis, i.e., by the modes such as experiment with computing come verify the response mechanism of real system under various regimes and mutually
Interactively, research and analyse the operation conditions of current system, the past state of system is reappeared, the operation following to system
Estimated, and then reduce the generation of chance failure, system is resumed operation rapidly under abnormal condition, improve system
Ability of emergency management.
Wherein, function library includes data acquisition, equipment control, energy management, data analysis, experimental evaluation, Training and Learning
Etc. module, for realizing the various functions for distribution real system, reach the purpose of parallel simulation.
Model library is used for establishing and running the simulation model for distribution real system, makes more to become for power distribution simulation simulation system
Real system is bordering on, reaches parallel purpose.Specifically, for distribution real system simulation model may particularly include again it is system-level
Model and the class of device level model two, device level model refer to high-voltage board, bus connection switch, transformer, ATS automatic transfer switch, bavin
The simulation model of the power equipments such as fry dried food ingredients motor, low tension switch, UPS uninterrupted power sources, computer room power distribution cabinet, by these power equipments
Simulation model integrate, constitute system-level model.
In the embodiment of the present invention, simulation model is run using hardware in loop technology, is run and emulated by real-time processor
Model simulates the running status of controll plant.Hardware in loop technology mainly include hardware platform, experiment management software, in real time it is soft
Part model three parts.Hardware platform mainly includes real-time processor, I/O interfaces, communication interface, FPGA module etc..Experiment management
Software can realize hardware configuration management, third party's modeling environment, create Visual Intelligent Interface Model, import control algolithm or system
Model etc..Real-time software model uses development platform, supports a variety of simulation models, including UPS uninterrupted power sources, low tension switch,
Generator model etc..Because hardware in loop technology belongs to prior art, have some Related products at present and apply in automobile, micro- electricity
In the analog simulations of system such as net, here is omitted.
Database and confession distribution real system, and for being connected between power distribution simulation simulation system by correspondingly interface, its
Concrete implementation mode can be Mysql or other kinds of databases, and here is omitted.
It is mainly used to preserve and produce various types of data in database.On the one hand, divided from time dimension, data
Data in storehouse include real time data, historical data, prediction data three types.Wherein, real time data is confession under directions distribution reality
System and the equipment for the system-level or each power equipment for gathering and transmitting in real time for power distribution simulation simulation system, including digital quantity
With analog quantity etc., the corresponding real-time simulation function for power distribution simulation simulation system.Historical data is confession under directions power distribution simulation simulation system
System is gathered and deposited in history from the data for gathering and storing in distribution real system, and for power distribution simulation simulation system itself
The data of storage, main corresponding lags analysis function.Prediction data is confession under directions power distribution simulation simulation system according to for the actual system of distribution
System and the real-time and historical data of itself predict the following issuable data come, for the operation conditions to system
Make prediction, main corresponding advanced prediction function.On the other hand, functionally divide, the data in database can also be divided into electricity
Gas class data and the data related to a variety of external factor, will be explained in greater detail below.
Repository includes the modules such as hardware interface, software interface, software runtime environment, standard criterion.Hardware interface is confession
Distribution real system and the required hardware interface that communicated for power distribution simulation simulation system, for providing hardware condition, including data
Acquisition module, optical fiber, ether and corresponding all kinds of translation interfaces, cable etc..Software interface is with supplying for distribution real system
Software interface needed for the communication of power distribution simulation simulation system, for providing software condition.Software runtime environment supplies power distribution simulation
Simulation system operation needed for software runtime environment, for providing software condition for manual system, can develop specific software to
Support, including Mysql, C language etc..Standard criterion is that real system communicates each class standard followed with manual system, including
TCP/IP, MODBUS etc., manual system strictly observe protocol contents with real system, ensure that real system communicates with manual system
Normally.
Fig. 3 is the schematic flow sheet corresponding to the simulation method in the embodiment of the present invention, as described in Figure 1, the side
Method includes：
Step S301：It is described to supply power distribution simulation simulation system by being communicated with described for distribution real system, described in acquisition
For the real-time running data of distribution real system；
Step S302：It is described that the actual system of distribution is supplied to described according to the real-time running data for power distribution simulation simulation system
The running status of system carries out real-time analog simulation, and predicts the follow-up operation state for distribution real system.
, can be with supplying the actual system of distribution due to constituting parallel system for power distribution simulation simulation system and for distribution real system
System communication obtains real-time running data, real to being carried out for the running status of distribution real system according to the real-time running data of acquisition
When analogue simulation, therefore, in the embodiment of the present invention for power distribution simulation simulation system, not only analog result is more accurate, can do
The running status of distribution real system is supplied to real simulation, can also accomplish to carry out the follow-up operation state for distribution real system
Advanced prediction, with reply for the follow-up various possible running statuses of distribution real system, the generation of accident is avoided, guarantee supplies distribution
The safe and stable operation of real system.
In step S301, it can be obtained for power distribution simulation simulation system by the communication connection with supplying distribution real system
The real-time running data for distribution real system.And then the real-time running data that basis is got in step s 302,
Corresponding system is run in model library and device model carries out real-time model, with real-time to being carried out for the operation of distribution real system
Monitoring, this part correspond to the real-time simulation function for power distribution simulation simulation system.
In addition, for power distribution simulation simulation system can also according to the real-time running data for distribution real system got,
For the follow-up operation state of distribution real system, this part correspondingly supplies the advanced prediction function of power distribution simulation simulation system for prediction.
Specifically include：The probability of each abnormal operating condition is according to each power equipment, and it is described real for distribution
The real-time running data of border system, simulation and prediction is carried out by the system in moving model storehouse and equipment and model, drawn described
For the follow-up operation state of distribution real system, and determine when the follow-up operation state is that any power equipment is in any different
Responsive measures during normal running status.
Due to including a variety of power equipments for distribution real system, for any power equipment therein, its
There can be a variety of possible abnormal operating conditions, each possible abnormal operating condition can be regarded as a kind of failure, to any
For the possible abnormal operating condition of kind, it can cause the abnormal operating condition Producing reason with a variety of again.Therefore, this hair
In bright embodiment, for any abnormal operating condition of any power equipment, according to the package of any power equipment
Scoring and a variety of external factor cause any power equipment the probability of any abnormal operating condition occur, draw described
Any power equipment is in the probability of any abnormal operating condition.
Because the structure of different power equipments, brand, service condition, maintenance degree, significance level are different, in order to more
Add really to carrying out parallel simulation for distribution real system, the embodiment of the present invention adds equipment state scoring in database
Subsystem and equipment operation predicting subsystem.
Fig. 4 is in the embodiment of the present invention, and the running status for distribution real system is carried out for power distribution simulation simulation system
Schematic flow sheet corresponding to the method for advanced prediction, as shown in figure 4, equipment state scoring subsystem and equipment operation prediction
System is connected, and equipment state scoring subsystem is used for the current equipment state for considering power equipment, from multiple default dimensions pair
Equipment state is scored, and draws the package scoring of each power equipment；And then equipment operation predicting subsystem according to
The package scoring of each power equipment, show that each power equipment is each with reference to the simulation of the external factor such as man's activity, environment
Kind possible running status, and each power equipment draw prediction data in the probability under each abnormal operating condition,
On this basis, analogue simulation is carried out in conjunction with real time data, historical data, to find solution, responds, reach in advance
To the purpose of advanced prediction, in addition, can also reduce fault rate, automaticity is improved.
The calculating process to score below the package of any power equipment is specifically introduced.
In the embodiment of the present invention, multiple default dimensions comprise at least critical piece, equipment brand, service condition, safeguard journey
Any of degree, significance level are a variety of.
Scoring is carried out from the dimension of critical piece to any power equipment to refer to split power equipment, according to its main portion
The quantity of part is scored.In general, any power equipment includes multiple critical pieces, and critical piece is more, and equipment is got over
Complexity, the probability of failure are also bigger.For example, UPS critical piece includes rectifier, inverter, wave filter, and filters
Ripple device is again comprising inductance, electric capacity, fan etc., it is seen then that what UPS will be complicated compared to low tension switch is more.It is main in the embodiment of the present invention
Wanting the appraisal result of part, critical piece is more, and its scoring is also higher equal to the quantity of the critical piece of any power equipment.
The dimension of slave unit brand carries out scoring to any power equipment and refers to score to the brand of power equipment, lifts
For example, the UPS for example middle Schneider of brand, Ai Mosheng will good Yushan Hill it is special.In general, the appraisal result of this item rating can root
Come according to any power equipment of the device attribute of any power equipment, and each equipment brand in conventional working condition true
It is fixed.In the embodiment of the present invention, those skilled in the art can specifically be set to the appraisal result of each equipment brand, scoring
As a result numerical value in the range of 1~5, appraisal result it is lower, represent equipment brand it is better.
Any power equipment score from the dimension of service condition and refers to the design period to power equipment, used
The operation of the time limit and equipment and failure situation carry out comprehensive grading, for example, UPS design period is usually 10 years, is made
Increased year by year with more than 10 years probabilities of malfunction.In the embodiment of the present invention, do not occur event in the normal operation of any power equipment
In the case of barrier, the appraisal result of service condition is equal to the numerical value that equipment years already spent subtracts equipment design period, when the number
When value is more than 0, then 0 is taken.
Scoring is carried out to any power equipment from maintenance degree to refer to score to the maintenance condition of power equipment, is illustrated
For, monthly carry out maintaining UPS do not carried out than 2 years maintaining UPS it is relatively reliable.The embodiment of the present invention
In, the appraisal result of plant maintenance degree determines according to the actual maintenance situation of power equipment, the numerical value of appraisal result 1~
In the range of 5, numerical value is lower, represents that the maintenance condition of power equipment is better.
Scoring is carried out to any power equipment from significance level and refers to that the part significance level of power equipment scores, is lifted
For example, if UPS inverter disorderly closedown, then UPS is by machine of integrally delaying, if wave filter disorderly closedown, main frame is run
Influence little.In the embodiment of the present invention, the appraisal result of significance level is according to the important journey of each critical piece of power equipment
Spend and determine, for the numerical value of appraisal result in the range of 1~5, numerical value is higher, represents that power equipment is more important.
In the embodiment of the present invention, after the appraisal result of each default dimension is drawn, equipment state scoring subsystem
The package scoring of any power equipment can be calculated by the way of weighting, i.e.,：Package scoring=weight coefficient 1*
The appraisal result of appraisal result+weight coefficient 3* service conditions of the appraisal result of critical piece+weight coefficient 2* equipment brands+
Weight coefficient 4* safeguards the appraisal result of appraisal result+weight coefficient 5* significance levels of degree.
If the package scoring of a certain power equipment is higher, represent that the power equipment is more important, but the power equipment
State is poorer.By taking the UPS and bus connection switch of data center as an example：If UPS package scoring is 2.95, and bus connection switch
Package scoring is 1.45, poor compared to the state of bus connection switch in the state for representing UPS, therefore, can be in follow-up simulation
The failure that UPS is likely to occur is paid close attention in simulation process, actual purpose is more bonded to reach.
In the embodiment of the present invention, in order to ensure the appraisal result of any power equipment is respectively positioned in rational number range,
Those skilled in the art can specifically be set to weight coefficient corresponding to any default dimension, and the present invention does not do specific to this
Limitation.As a kind of optional implementation, weight coefficient 1 can be arranged to 0.1, weight coefficient 2 is arranged to 0.15, weighting system
Number 3 is arranged to 0.15, and weight coefficient 4 is arranged to 0.3, and weight coefficient 5 is arranged to 0.3.
In the embodiment of the present invention, it can be that the package of each power equipment is respectively arranged with the effect time, that is, set
In the range of fixed effective time, the package of the power equipment is effective, and after beyond the effective time scope of setting,
The package scoring of the power equipment is then changed into invalid, it is necessary to be recalculated as procedure described above.
Below to being commented according to polytype external factor the various possible running statuses of any power equipment
The process estimated is specifically introduced.
In the embodiment of the present invention, a variety of external factor comprise at least appointing in emergency situations, man's activity, knowledge and environment
One or more, correspondingly, equipment operation predicting subsystem include event module, man's activity module, knowledge module and ring
Border module, being respectively used to simulation emergency situations, man's activity, knowledge and each factor of environment causes any power equipment to occur certain
A kind of probability of abnormal operating condition.
Wherein, event module is specifically used for simulation for the various possible emergency situations of distribution real system (including failure, alarm
Deng) occur probability, and simulation when for distribution real system occur emergency situations when emergency response mechanism.Such as outer civil power
When having a power failure suddenly, how to ensure that data center supplies the normal operation of distribution real system.
Man's activity module is used for comprehensive simulated human activity to influence caused by confession distribution real system, including due to right
The reason for setting of device parameter, artificial maloperation etc. are artificial causes any power equipment the general of any abnormal operating condition occur
Rate, for example, when being safeguarded to ups system, man's activity module can simulate due to operation is unskilled or maloperation and
The probability for causing UPS to shut down.In addition to data on comprising behavior, it can also be included caused by thought in man's activity module
Influence.It should be noted that the difference of man's activity module emphasis reflection manual system and traditional analog analogue system, will be artificial
System is personalized, and future can also be combined with manual intelligent, manual system is more leveled off to truly.
Knowledge module is used to simulate influence of the cognition under existence conditions to power supply-distribution system, including available data center supplies
The reasons such as infrastructure configuration, technical method, implementation means and the development trend in future of distribution system cause any electric power
There is the probability of any abnormal operating condition in equipment.For example, when summer load is higher, outer line voltage is relatively low, and power plant may
Voltage is improved by way of adjusting sagging coefficient, moment has an impact to UPS primary voltages and then causes what UPS protections were shut down
Probability.
Environment module is used for the environment reasons such as the weather in analogue data center location, temperature to data center air-conditioner system
Influence.Because weather, temperature can influence the electric power of air-conditioning system in data center, and the power equipment such as transformer
Running temperature, therefore, the change of power supply-distribution system operation reserve and state when environment module can also be used to simulate Changes in weather.Example
Such as when summer weather is hot, whether air conditioning electricity power rise, upstream transformer has overload risk, if overload trip should be as
What is responded.
, can be by a variety of external factor for power distribution simulation simulation system for any abnormal operating condition of any power equipment
Any power equipment is caused the comprehensive of the probability of any abnormal operating condition and any power equipment occur respectively
Close equipment scoring to be weighted, show that any power equipment is in the probability of any abnormal operating condition, obtain
Go out prediction data.That is, there is probability=weight coefficient 1* of any abnormal operating condition due to emergency situations in any power equipment
Any power equipment is caused probability+weight coefficient 2* of any abnormal operating condition occur because man's activity causes this
There is probability+weight coefficient 3* of any abnormal operating condition because knowledge factor causes any electric power to set in one power equipment
It is standby probability+weight coefficient 4* of any abnormal operating condition occur because environmental factor causes any power equipment to be somebody's turn to do
The package scoring of the probability of any abnormal operating condition+weight coefficient 5* any power equipment.
For example, under summer high temperature weather, UPS occur rectifier shut down the probability of this abnormal operating condition=plus
Probability+weight coefficient 5* that probability+weight coefficient 3* voltage pulsations of the outer civil power power-off of weight coefficient 1* cause protectiveness to be shut down is set
Standby condition grading=10*0.00001+1*0.05+0.01*2.95=0.0796.
And then can be by obtained prediction data, the real time execution number for distribution real system for power distribution simulation simulation system
According to, and for power distribution simulation simulation system and supply the historical data of distribution real system to input together for power distribution simulation simulation system
Model library in system and device model in carry out analogue simulation, with draw when for distribution real system follow-up operation state
For any abnormal operating condition when responsive measures.
, can also be according to the history run for distribution real system for power distribution simulation simulation system in the embodiment of the present invention
Data, the failure occurred for distribution real system is reappeared, failure cause is drawn by data analysis.
It can be seen that due to for add in power distribution simulation simulation system the emphasis in manual system add artificial, environment,
The influence factors such as equipment state so that for power distribution simulation simulation system can truly, the operation of Real-time Simulation System, in addition, also
Realize the post analysis to the advanced prediction sum for distribution real system, therefore, the safety and stability of effective guarantee power supply-distribution system
In running, improve the ability that system recovers rapidly under abnormal condition, and solve available data center power supply-distribution system by
In high to safety and stability requirement and be difficult to test, run into failure and be difficult to the problem of reason is searched in artificial reproduction.
Based on same inventive concept, the embodiment of the present invention also provides one kind and supplies power distribution simulation simulation system, and Fig. 5 is this hair
A kind of structural representation for power distribution simulation simulation system in bright embodiment, as shown in figure 5, described for power distribution simulation simulation system
System 500 includes：
Communication module 501, for being communicated with for distribution real system, obtain the real time execution for distribution real system
Data；
Processing module 502, for being entered according to the real-time running data to the running status for distribution real system
Row real-time analog simulation, and predict the follow-up operation state for distribution real system.
Alternatively, it is described to include multiple power equipments for distribution real system；
The processing module 502 is specifically used for：
The probability of each abnormal operating condition, and the reality for distribution real system are according to each power equipment
When service data carry out simulation and prediction, draw the follow-up operation state for distribution real system, and determine when described follow-up
Running status is responsive measures when any power equipment is in any abnormal operating condition.
Alternatively, the processing module 502 is specifically additionally operable to：
For any abnormal operating condition of any power equipment, scored according to the package of any power equipment
Cause any power equipment the probability of any abnormal operating condition occur with a variety of external factor, draw described any
Power equipment is in the probability of any abnormal operating condition, wherein, the package scoring of any power equipment is
The appraisal result of any power equipment is obtained according to multiple default dimensions.
Alternatively, the multiple default dimension comprises at least critical piece, equipment brand, service condition, safeguards degree, again
Want any of degree or a variety of；
The processing module 502 is specifically additionally operable to：
The appraisal result that the multiple default dimension is scored the power equipment is weighted, draws institute
State the package scoring of any power equipment.
Alternatively, a variety of external factor comprise at least any of emergency situations, man's activity, knowledge and environment
It is or a variety of；
The processing module 502 is specifically used for：
Any power equipment is caused any abnormal operating condition occur respectively a variety of external factor
The scoring of the package of probability and any power equipment is weighted, and show that any power equipment is in described
The probability of any abnormal operating condition.
The embodiments of the invention provide a kind of emulator, the emulator is specifically as follows desktop computer, portable
Computer etc..The emulator can include central processing unit (Center Processing Unit, CPU), memory, defeated
Enter/output equipment etc., input equipment can include keyboard, mouse, touch-screen etc., and output equipment can include display device, such as
Liquid crystal display (Liquid Crystal Display, LCD), cathode-ray tube (Cathode Ray Tube, CRT) etc..
Memory can include read-only storage (ROM) and random access memory (RAM), and provide storage to processor
The programmed instruction and data stored in device.In embodiments of the present invention, memory can be used for storing above-mentioned simulation method
Program.
By calling the programmed instruction of memory storage, processor is used to perform according to the programmed instruction of acquisition processor
State the program of simulation method.
The embodiment of the present invention additionally provides a kind of computer-readable storage medium, for saving as used in above-mentioned monitoring storage device
Computer program instructions, it, which is included, is used to perform the program of above-mentioned simulation method.
The computer-readable storage medium can be any usable medium or data storage device that computer can access, bag
Include but be not limited to magnetic storage (such as floppy disk, hard disk, tape, magneto-optic disk (MO) etc.), optical memory (such as CD, DVD,
BD, HVD etc.) and semiconductor memory (such as it is ROM, EPROM, EEPROM, nonvolatile memory (NAND FLASH), solid
State hard disk (SSD)) etc..
By the above it can be seen that：
In the embodiment of the present invention, for power distribution simulation simulation system by being communicated with for distribution real system, acquisition supplies distribution
The real-time running data of real system, and the running status for distribution real system is imitated in real time according to real-time running data
True simulation, follow-up operation state of the prediction for distribution real system.Due to for power distribution simulation simulation system and for the actual system of distribution
System constitutes parallel system, real-time running data can be obtained with being communicated for distribution real system, according to the real time execution number of acquisition
Real-time analog simulation is carried out according to the running status for distribution real system, therefore, power distribution simulation is supplied in the embodiment of the present invention
Not only analog result is more accurate for simulation system, can accomplish that real simulation supplies the running status of distribution real system, can also do
Advanced prediction is carried out to the follow-up operation state for distribution real system, the subsequently various possibility of distribution real system are supplied with reply
Running status, avoid the generation of accident, ensure the safe and stable operation for distribution real system.
It should be understood by those skilled in the art that, embodiments of the invention can be provided as method, system or computer program
Product.Therefore, the present invention can use the reality in terms of complete hardware embodiment, complete software embodiment or combination software and hardware
Apply the form of example.Moreover, the present invention can use wherein includes the meter of computer usable program code at one or more
The computer journey that calculation machine usable storage medium is implemented on (including but is not limited to magnetic disk storage, CD-ROM, optical memory etc.)
The form of sequence product.
The present invention is the flow with reference to method according to embodiments of the present invention, equipment (system) and computer program product
Figure and/or block diagram describe.It should be understood that can be by every first-class in computer program instructions implementation process figure and/or block diagram
Journey and/or the flow in square frame and flow chart and/or block diagram and/or the combination of square frame.These computer programs can be provided
The processors of all-purpose computer, special-purpose computer, Embedded Processor or other programmable data processing devices is instructed to produce
A raw machine so that produced by the instruction of computer or the computing device of other programmable data processing devices for real
The function of being specified in present one flow of flow chart or one square frame of two or more flow and/or block diagram or two or more square frame
Device.
These computer program instructions, which may be alternatively stored in, can guide computer or other programmable data processing devices with spy
Determine in the computer-readable memory that mode works so that the instruction being stored in the computer-readable memory, which produces, to be included referring to
The manufacture of device is made, the command device is realized in one flow of flow chart or two or more flow and/or one side of block diagram
The function of being specified in frame or two or more square frame.
These computer program instructions can be also loaded into computer or other programmable data processing devices so that counted
Series of operation steps is performed on calculation machine or other programmable devices to produce computer implemented processing, so as in computer or
The instruction performed on other programmable devices is provided for realizing in one flow of flow chart or two or more flow and/or square frame
The step of function of being specified in one square frame of figure or two or more square frame.
Although preferred embodiments of the present invention have been described, but those skilled in the art once know basic creation
Property concept, then can make other change and modification to these embodiments.So appended claims be intended to be construed to include it is excellent
Select embodiment and fall into having altered and changing for the scope of the invention.
Obviously, those skilled in the art can carry out the essence of various changes and modification without departing from the present invention to the present invention
God and scope.So, if these modifications and variations of the present invention belong to the scope of the claims in the present invention and its equivalent technologies
Within, then the present invention is also intended to comprising including these changes and modification.
Claims (12)
1. a kind of simulation method, it is characterised in that described to be simulated for power distribution simulation applied to confession power distribution simulation simulation system
With forming parallel system for distribution real system, methods described includes system：
It is described to supply power distribution simulation simulation system to be obtained described for distribution real system by being communicated with described for distribution real system
Real-time running data；
It is described for power distribution simulation simulation system according to the real-time running data to the running status for distribution real system
Real-time analog simulation is carried out, and predicts the follow-up operation state for distribution real system.
2. according to the method for claim 1, it is characterised in that the confession distribution real system includes multiple electric power and set
It is standby；
It is described that the rear reforwarding for distribution real system is predicted according to the real-time running data for power distribution simulation simulation system
Row state, including：
The probability for being in each abnormal operating condition according to each power equipment for power distribution simulation simulation system, and it is described
Simulation and prediction is carried out for the real-time running data of distribution real system, draws the follow-up operation shape for distribution real system
State, and determine when the follow-up operation state is responsive measures when any power equipment is in any abnormal operating condition.
3. according to the method for claim 2, it is characterised in that each power equipment is in each abnormal operating condition
Probability obtain in the following way：
It is described to supply power distribution simulation simulation system according to any electric power for any abnormal operating condition of any power equipment
The package scoring of equipment and a variety of external factor cause any power equipment any abnormal operating condition occur
Probability, show that any power equipment is in the probability of any abnormal operating condition, wherein, any electric power is set
Standby package scoring is the appraisal result of any power equipment is obtained according to multiple default dimensions.
4. according to the method for claim 3, it is characterised in that the multiple default dimension comprises at least critical piece, set
Spare unit board, service condition, safeguard any of degree, significance level or a variety of；
The package scoring of any power equipment is according to scoring of multiple default dimensions to any power equipment
As a result obtain, including：
The appraisal result that the multiple default dimension is scored the power equipment for power distribution simulation simulation system
It is weighted, draws the package scoring of any power equipment.
5. according to the method for claim 3, it is characterised in that a variety of external factor comprise at least emergency situations, people
For any of influence, knowledge and environment or a variety of；
It is described to be led for power distribution simulation simulation system according to the scoring of the package of any power equipment and a variety of external factor
Cause any power equipment the probability of any abnormal operating condition occur, show that any power equipment is in described
The probability of any abnormal operating condition, including：
It is described to cause a variety of external factor described in any power equipment appearance respectively for power distribution simulation simulation system
The scoring of the package of the probability of any abnormal operating condition and any power equipment is weighted, and draws described appoint
One power equipment is in the probability of any abnormal operating condition.
6. one kind supplies power distribution simulation simulation system, it is characterised in that described to include for power distribution simulation simulation system：
Communication module, for being communicated with for distribution real system, obtain the real-time running data for distribution real system；
Processing module, for being imitated in real time the running status for distribution real system according to the real-time running data
True simulation, and predict the follow-up operation state for distribution real system.
7. system according to claim 6, it is characterised in that the confession distribution real system includes multiple electric power and set
It is standby；
The processing module is specifically used for：
The probability of each abnormal operating condition, and the real-time fortune for distribution real system are according to each power equipment
Row data carry out simulation and prediction, draw the follow-up operation state for distribution real system, and determine to work as the follow-up operation
State is responsive measures when any power equipment is in any abnormal operating condition.
8. system according to claim 7, it is characterised in that the processing module is specifically additionally operable to：
For any abnormal operating condition of any power equipment, scored according to the package of any power equipment and more
Kind external factor causes any power equipment the probability of any abnormal operating condition occur, draws any electric power
Equipment is in the probability of any abnormal operating condition, wherein, the package scoring of any power equipment is basis
Multiple default dimensions obtain to the appraisal result of any power equipment.
9. system according to claim 8, it is characterised in that the multiple default dimension comprises at least critical piece, set
Spare unit board, service condition, safeguard any of degree, significance level or a variety of；
The processing module is specifically additionally operable to：
The appraisal result that the multiple default dimension is scored the power equipment is weighted, draws described appoint
The package scoring of one power equipment.
10. system according to claim 8, it is characterised in that a variety of external factor comprise at least emergency situations, people
For any of influence, knowledge and environment or a variety of；
The processing module is specifically used for：
Any power equipment is caused the probability of any abnormal operating condition occur respectively a variety of external factor
Package scoring with any power equipment is weighted, and show that any power equipment is in described any
The probability of abnormal operating condition.
A kind of 11. emulator, it is characterised in that including：
Memory, instructed for storage program；
Processor, for calling the programmed instruction stored in the memory, according to acquisition program perform as claim 1 to
Method any one of 5.
12. a kind of computer-readable storage medium, it is characterised in that the computer-readable recording medium storage has computer can perform
Instruction, the computer executable instructions are used to make the computer perform the side as any one of claim 1 to 5
Method.
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| CN201710806466.4A CN107480403A (en) | 2017-09-08 | 2017-09-08 | A kind of simulation method and confession power distribution simulation simulation system |
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