CN106779147A - 一种基于自适应层次时间序列聚类的用电负荷预测方法 - Google Patents
一种基于自适应层次时间序列聚类的用电负荷预测方法 Download PDFInfo
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- CN106779147A CN106779147A CN201611018576.6A CN201611018576A CN106779147A CN 106779147 A CN106779147 A CN 106779147A CN 201611018576 A CN201611018576 A CN 201611018576A CN 106779147 A CN106779147 A CN 106779147A
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- 238000000034 method Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 46
- 230000006978 adaptation Effects 0.000 title claims abstract description 18
- 238000013139 quantization Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 12
- 230000000630 rising effect Effects 0.000 claims abstract description 6
- 230000015572 biosynthetic process Effects 0.000 claims description 9
- 240000002853 Nelumbo nucifera Species 0.000 claims description 7
- 235000006508 Nelumbo nucifera Nutrition 0.000 claims description 7
- 235000006510 Nelumbo pentapetala Nutrition 0.000 claims description 7
- 230000009467 reduction Effects 0.000 claims description 5
- 230000008569 process Effects 0.000 claims description 3
- 238000012804 iterative process Methods 0.000 claims 1
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- 238000005516 engineering process Methods 0.000 description 3
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- 230000004048 modification Effects 0.000 description 2
- 238000012986 modification Methods 0.000 description 2
- 230000009286 beneficial effect Effects 0.000 description 1
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- 235000013399 edible fruits Nutrition 0.000 description 1
- 238000013277 forecasting method Methods 0.000 description 1
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Classifications
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
- G06Q50/06—Energy or water supply
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J3/00—Circuit arrangements for ac mains or ac distribution networks
-
- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J3/00—Circuit arrangements for ac mains or ac distribution networks
- H02J3/003—Load forecast, e.g. methods or systems for forecasting future load demand
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- Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
- Y04—INFORMATION OR COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES HAVING AN IMPACT ON OTHER TECHNOLOGY AREAS
- Y04S—SYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
- Y04S10/00—Systems supporting electrical power generation, transmission or distribution
- Y04S10/50—Systems or methods supporting the power network operation or management, involving a certain degree of interaction with the load-side end user applications
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- General Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
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- Power Engineering (AREA)
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- Game Theory and Decision Science (AREA)
- Entrepreneurship & Innovation (AREA)
- Operations Research (AREA)
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Abstract
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Priority Applications (1)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
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CN201611018576.6A CN106779147B (zh) | 2016-11-18 | 2016-11-18 | 一种基于自适应层次时间序列聚类的用电负荷预测方法 |
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CN201611018576.6A CN106779147B (zh) | 2016-11-18 | 2016-11-18 | 一种基于自适应层次时间序列聚类的用电负荷预测方法 |
Publications (2)
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CN106779147A true CN106779147A (zh) | 2017-05-31 |
CN106779147B CN106779147B (zh) | 2020-09-29 |
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Cited By (4)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN108596654A (zh) * | 2018-04-10 | 2018-09-28 | 广州供电局有限公司 | 用电信息采集方法、装置、计算机设备和存储介质 |
CN109390938A (zh) * | 2018-11-13 | 2019-02-26 | 国网天津市电力公司电力科学研究院 | 一种智能园区需求侧短期负荷预测方法及其装置 |
CN112256766A (zh) * | 2020-11-02 | 2021-01-22 | 浙江八达电子仪表有限公司 | 用于能源采集终端的用电行为分析方法 |
CN114549095A (zh) * | 2022-04-25 | 2022-05-27 | 江西师范大学 | 一种基于时间序列的滑动窗口式售电量预测方法 |
Citations (4)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN102999791A (zh) * | 2012-11-23 | 2013-03-27 | 广东电网公司电力科学研究院 | 一种电力行业中基于客户分群的电力负荷预测方法 |
CN103218675A (zh) * | 2013-05-06 | 2013-07-24 | 国家电网公司 | 一种基于聚类和滑动窗口的短期负荷预测方法 |
US20140156322A1 (en) * | 2012-08-10 | 2014-06-05 | Itron, Inc. | Unified Framework for Electrical Load Forecasting |
CN104881706A (zh) * | 2014-12-31 | 2015-09-02 | 天津弘源慧能科技有限公司 | 一种基于大数据技术的电力系统短期负荷预测方法 |
-
2016
- 2016-11-18 CN CN201611018576.6A patent/CN106779147B/zh active Active
Patent Citations (4)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
US20140156322A1 (en) * | 2012-08-10 | 2014-06-05 | Itron, Inc. | Unified Framework for Electrical Load Forecasting |
CN102999791A (zh) * | 2012-11-23 | 2013-03-27 | 广东电网公司电力科学研究院 | 一种电力行业中基于客户分群的电力负荷预测方法 |
CN103218675A (zh) * | 2013-05-06 | 2013-07-24 | 国家电网公司 | 一种基于聚类和滑动窗口的短期负荷预测方法 |
CN104881706A (zh) * | 2014-12-31 | 2015-09-02 | 天津弘源慧能科技有限公司 | 一种基于大数据技术的电力系统短期负荷预测方法 |
Cited By (5)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN108596654A (zh) * | 2018-04-10 | 2018-09-28 | 广州供电局有限公司 | 用电信息采集方法、装置、计算机设备和存储介质 |
CN109390938A (zh) * | 2018-11-13 | 2019-02-26 | 国网天津市电力公司电力科学研究院 | 一种智能园区需求侧短期负荷预测方法及其装置 |
CN112256766A (zh) * | 2020-11-02 | 2021-01-22 | 浙江八达电子仪表有限公司 | 用于能源采集终端的用电行为分析方法 |
CN114549095A (zh) * | 2022-04-25 | 2022-05-27 | 江西师范大学 | 一种基于时间序列的滑动窗口式售电量预测方法 |
CN114549095B (zh) * | 2022-04-25 | 2022-08-09 | 江西师范大学 | 一种基于时间序列的滑动窗口式售电量预测方法 |
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CN106779147B (zh) | 2020-09-29 |
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Effective date of registration: 20220424 Address after: 158100 No. 140, group 2, Jiguanshan Committee, Jiguan District, Jixi City, Heilongjiang Province Patentee after: Bai Peng Address before: 400065 Chongwen Road, Nanshan Street, Nanan District, Chongqing Patentee before: CHONGQING University OF POSTS AND TELECOMMUNICATIONS |
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Effective date of registration: 20230823 Address after: Room 602, 6th Floor, Building 29, Yard 1, Jinghai Fifth Road, Beijing Economic and Technological Development Zone (Tongzhou), Daxing District, Beijing, 101100 Patentee after: Beijing shengfulun Electric Technology Co.,Ltd. Address before: 158100 No. 140, group 2, Jiguanshan Committee, Jiguan District, Jixi City, Heilongjiang Province Patentee before: Bai Peng |