CN106384198A - Method for selecting evaluation indexes of transmission and transformation project of intelligent power grid - Google Patents

Method for selecting evaluation indexes of transmission and transformation project of intelligent power grid Download PDF

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CN106384198A
CN106384198A CN201610825652.8A CN201610825652A CN106384198A CN 106384198 A CN106384198 A CN 106384198A CN 201610825652 A CN201610825652 A CN 201610825652A CN 106384198 A CN106384198 A CN 106384198A
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index
candidate
transmitting
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converting electricity
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陈仲伟
黄来
王逸超
陈剑
徐志强
肖振锋
葛鸿翔
裴俊翔
章文俊
韦明唯
单鸿涛
金奕婷
汪振宇
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
State Grid Hunan Electric Power Co Ltd
Shanghai University of Engineering Science
Economic and Technological Research Institute of State Grid Hunan Electric Power Co Ltd
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
State Grid Hunan Electric Power Co Ltd
Shanghai University of Engineering Science
Economic and Technological Research Institute of State Grid Hunan Electric Power Co Ltd
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Abstract

The invention discloses a method for selecting evaluation indexes of a transmission and transformation project of an intelligent power grid, and the method comprises the steps: selecting and scoring candidate evaluation indexes; constructing a structural entropy matrix; calculating and ordering the total acquaintance degrees of all candidate evaluation indexes; judging whether the static structural entropy matrix of the candidate evaluation indexes is suitable for factor analysis or not; obtaining the capability condition table, suitable for the factor analysis, of each common factor for the explanation of the total variance of the static structural entropy matrix, and extracting common factors with the feature values being greater than one; judging the maximum factor load of the candidate indexes and optimizing the maximum factor load; carrying out the standardization processing and combined credibility and average variance extraction inspection of candidate index factor load matrixes before and after optimization, and judging the reasonability of the candidate indexes; and selecting the optimized candidate indexes which pass through the verification as the final evaluation indexes. The method solves problems that the prior art is short of necessary data and the subjectivity in index selection is bigger, reduces the mutual redundancy in index evaluation, reduces the model computing and solving time, improves the precision, and is good in adaptability.

Description

The evaluation index choosing method of intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity
Technical field
Present invention relates particularly to a kind of evaluation index choosing method of intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity.
Background technology
Development with China's economic technology and the raising of people's living standard, electric energy has had become as people's daily life In one of the requisite energy, and people are also increasing for the demand of electric energy.
And current, China's power grid construction and transformation lag behind China's expanding economy for a long time, there is existing Net Frame of Electric Network thin Weak, conveying capacity is limited, the equipment general level of the health is low and the low problem of safety and economic operation level.Power department takes multiple sides Formula strengthens electric network reconstruction technology, and develops intelligent grid.Wherein, engineering comprehensive evaluation is requisite part.Engineering comprehensive Evaluation can prove the reference frame of the whether feasible offer science of project for project administrator, can strengthen to engineering construction simultaneously The comprehensive management of project, provide reference and reference for same type engineering construction, and provide experience and religion for later project decision Instruction, is favorably improved the returns of investment of project.
However, existing carry out overall merit to project of transmitting and converting electricity, during index for selection, generally do not account for presence between index Correlation, and choose evaluation index only by the subjective experience of appraiser, and treat evaluation engineering and evaluated.Substantially , the choosing method of existing evaluation index relies on subjective experience, leads to the random of selecting index and not scientific, and respectively There may be redundancy between individual index thus have impact on speed and the precision of calculating, so that the workload of evaluation is increased.
Content of the invention
It is an object of the invention to provide a kind of intelligence electricity that is scientific and reasonable, considering relation between each evaluation index The evaluation index choosing method of net project of transmitting and converting electricity.
The evaluation index choosing method of this intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity that the present invention provides, comprises the steps:
S1. choose the candidate evaluations index of intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity to be evaluated, and waited according to each by expert group Select evaluation index that the significance level of intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity to be evaluated is scored:Candidate evaluations index is to be evaluated Intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity importance bigger, then the scoring to candidate evaluations index is higher;
The score of each candidate's index S2. being obtained according to step S1, structural texture entropy matrix;
The structure entropy matrix of each candidate's index S3. being obtained according to step S2, calculates averagely recognizing of each candidate's index Knowledge and magnanimity and understanding darkness, obtain the general cognition degree of each candidate's index, and each candidate's index are ranked up:Index total Realization knowledge and magnanimity are less, illustrate that the information content of this index reflection is bigger, representative stronger;
S4. the static structure entropy matrix of candidate's index is standardized processing, and carries out appropriateness inspection and spherical inspection Test, judge the static structure entropy matrix of each candidate's index if appropriate for carrying out factorial analysis:The value of appropriateness inspection is bigger, then get over It is appropriate to factorial analysis;
S5. step S4 is confirmed to be appropriate to the static structure entropy matrix of factorial analysis, using PCA to time Select index to carry out orthogonal rotation, obtain the capabilities might table that each common factor explains population variance, and extract the public affairs that characteristic value is more than 1 The factor;
S6. explain the capabilities might table of population variance according to each common factor that step S5 obtains, judge each candidate's index Maximum factor loading, and be optimized according to the maximum factor loading of each candidate's index;
The Factor load-matrix of the candidate's index before and after the optimization that S7. step S6 obtains is standardized processing, then carries out Combination reliability and the inspection of average variance extraction amount, judge the reasonability of candidate's selecting index;And to the candidate's index after optimizing Test again, the evaluation index that the candidate upchecking selecting index is final intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity.
Structural texture entropy matrix described in step S2, specifically includes following steps:
1) each expert constitutes an index set to the evaluation of candidate's index, is designated as U={ u1,u2,…,un, n is to wait Select index number;This index set corresponding typical case sorting data is denoted as { ai1,ai2,…,ain};It is made up of the index set of k position expert Ordinal matrix be designated as A={ aij}k×n, wherein aijRepresent i-th expert evaluation to j-th index, i=1,2 ..., k;J= 1,2…,n;
2) construction entropy model is as follows:
μ ( I ) = - l n ( m - I ) ( m - 1 ) = - l n ( P n ( I ) )
In formula, μ (I) is aijCorresponding membership function value, I, m are Transformation Parameters amount, make I=q+1, m=q+2 then have
P n ( I ) = ( q + 2 ) - ( q - 1 ) ( q + 2 ) - 1 = 1 q + 1
In formula, q is the importance ranking to candidate's index for the expert:What sequence was more forward shows project of transmitting and converting electricity is affected more Greatly;Q value is n, and n is the number of candidate's index;
Can be obtained according to above formula:
μ ( I ) = - l n ( 1 q + 1 )
By a in ordinal matrix AijIt is updated toIn, obtain aijStructure entropy bij(bij=μ (aij)), it is consequently formed structure entropy matrix, be designated as B={ bij}k×n.
The general cognition of the average understanding degree, understanding darkness and candidate's index of each candidate's index of calculating described in step S3 Degree, specifically includes and includes following steps:
A. set k estimator to index μjRanking results identical, then to k estimator with regard to index μjAverage understanding Degree is calculated, and is denoted as bj,
bj=(b1j+b2j+…+bkj)/k
B. define estimator to factor μjThe uncertainty being produced by cognition, referred to as recognizes darkness, is denoted as QjIt is clear that Qj≥ 0;
Qj==| | max (b1j,b2j,…,bij)-bj|+|min(b1j,b2j,…,bij)-bj|}/2|
C. according to estimator with regard to index μjAverage understanding degree and understanding darkness, calculate k estimator to index μjTotal Realization knowledge and magnanimity, are denoted as xj
xj=bj(1-Qj)
D. by xjThe general cognition degree to given index for all estimators can be formed, be denoted as X, then X=(x1,x2,…,xn).
Described in step S4 appropriateness inspection and sphericity test be Kaiser-Meryer-Olkin sampling appropriateness inspection with Bartlett sphericity test.
Judging whether described in step S4 is appropriate to factorial analysis, is when Kaiser-Meryer-Olkin sampling is suitable Property inspection value be more than 0.6 when, be judged to be appropriate to factorial analysis.
Orthogonal described in step S5 rotates to be the orthogonal rotation of Varimax variance.
The maximum factor loading according to each candidate's index described in step S6 is optimized, for retaining each candidate's index Candidate's index that middle maximum factor loading is more than 0.040, and other candidate's indexs are deleted.
The reasonability judging candidate's selecting index described in step S7, is to recognize when the combination reliability of candidate's index is more than 0.5 It is rational for this candidate's index.
The candidate's index after optimizing is tested again described in step S7, is that the candidate's index after optimizing is carried out Kaiser-Meryer-Olkin sampling appropriateness inspection.
The evaluation index choosing method of this intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity that the present invention provides, first adopts selection of specialists to wait Select index, and candidate's index scored, then using mathematics and statistical method to selection of specialists and subjective scoring candidate Index carries out selecting index, deletes and the less index of the project of transmitting and converting electricity degree of correlation, retains comment related to engineering evaluation core Valency index, solves and lacks necessary data in prior art and selecting index has the disadvantage of larger subjectivity, simultaneously this Bright method can effectively reduce the mutual redundancy in evaluation index, reduce the calculating of model and solve the time, increase result of calculation Precision, and different engineering evaluation indexs can be formulated for different user or project, applicability is good.
Brief description
Fig. 1 is method of the present invention flow chart.
Specific embodiment
It is illustrated in figure 1 method of the present invention flow chart:The commenting of this intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity that the present invention provides Valency selecting index method, comprises the steps:
S1. choose the candidate evaluations index of intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity to be evaluated, and waited according to each by expert group Select evaluation index that the significance level of intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity to be evaluated is scored:Candidate evaluations index is to be evaluated Intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity importance bigger, then the scoring to candidate evaluations index is higher;
The score of each candidate's index S2. being obtained according to step S1, structural texture entropy matrix:
1) each expert constitutes an index set to the evaluation of candidate's index, is designated as U={ u1,u2,…,un, n is to wait Select index number;This index set corresponding typical case sorting data is denoted as { ai1,ai2,…,ain};It is made up of the index set of k position expert Ordinal matrix be designated as A={ aij}k×n, wherein aijRepresent i-th expert evaluation to j-th index, i=1,2 ..., k;J= 1,2…,n;
2) construction entropy model is as follows:
μ ( I ) = - l n ( m - I ) ( m - 1 ) = - l n ( P n ( I ) )
In formula, μ (I) is aijCorresponding membership function value, I, m are Transformation Parameters amount, make I=q+1, m=q+2 then have
P n ( I ) = ( q + 2 ) - ( q - 1 ) ( q + 2 ) - 1 = 1 q + 1
In formula, q is the importance ranking to candidate's index for the expert:What sequence was more forward shows project of transmitting and converting electricity is affected more Greatly;Q value is n, and n is the number of candidate's index;
Can be obtained according to above formula:
μ ( I ) = - l n ( 1 q + 1 )
By a in ordinal matrix AijIt is updated toIn, obtain aijStructure entropy bij(bij=μ (aij)), it is consequently formed structure entropy matrix, be designated as B={ bij}k×n
The structure entropy matrix of each candidate's index S3. being obtained according to step S2, calculates averagely recognizing of each candidate's index Knowledge and magnanimity and understanding darkness, obtain the general cognition degree of each candidate's index:
A. set k estimator to index μjRanking results identical, then to k estimator with regard to index μjAverage understanding Degree is calculated, and is denoted as bj,
bj=(b1j+b2j+…+bkj)/k
B. define estimator to factor μjThe uncertainty being produced by cognition, referred to as recognizes darkness, is denoted as QjIt is clear that Qj≥ 0;
Qj==| | max (b1j,b2j,…,bij)-bj|+|min(b1j,b2j,…,bij)-bj|}/2|
C. according to estimator with regard to index μjAverage understanding degree and understanding darkness, calculate k estimator to index μjTotal Realization knowledge and magnanimity, are denoted as xj
xj=bj(1-Qj)
D. by xjThe general cognition degree to given index for all estimators can be formed, be denoted as X, then X=(x1,x2,…,xn);
After obtaining the general cognition degree of candidate's index, each candidate's index is ranked up:The general cognition degree of index is got over Little, illustrate that the information content of this index reflection is bigger, representative stronger;
S4. the static structure entropy matrix of candidate's index is standardized processing, and carries out KMO (Kaiser-Meryer- Olkin) the inspection of sampling appropriateness and Bartlett sphericity test, judge the static structure entropy matrix of each candidate's index if appropriate for Carry out factorial analysis:The value of appropriateness inspection is bigger, then be more appropriate to factorial analysis, specially work as Kaiser-Meryer- When the value of Olkin sampling appropriateness inspection is more than 0.6, it is judged to be appropriate to factorial analysis;
S5. step S4 is confirmed to be appropriate to the static structure entropy matrix of factorial analysis, using PCA to time Select index to carry out the orthogonal rotation of Varimax variance, obtain the capabilities might table that each common factor explains population variance, and extract feature The common factor more than 1 for the value;
S6. explain the capabilities might table of population variance according to each common factor that step S5 obtains, judge each candidate's index Maximum factor loading, and be optimized according to the maximum factor loading of each candidate's index:Retain in each candidate's index Candidate's index that big factor loading is more than 0.040, and other candidate's indexs are deleted;
The Factor load-matrix of the candidate's index before and after the optimization that S7. step S6 obtains is standardized processing, then carries out Combination reliability and the inspection of average variance extraction amount, judge the reasonability of candidate's selecting index:The combination reliability of candidate's index is big Think that this candidate's index is rational when 0.5;And Kaiser-Meryer-Olkin is carried out again to the candidate's index after optimizing Sampling appropriateness inspection, the evaluation index that the candidate upchecking selecting index is final electrical network project of transmitting and converting electricity.
Below in conjunction with a specific embodiment, the present invention is further described:
The a certain project of transmitting and converting electricity to intelligent grid, chooses the evaluation index 18 of candidate, specifically as shown in table 1 altogether:
Table 1 candidate evaluations index illustrates table
The evaluation index asking 10 experts to be candidate altogether is scored, and the typical ordinal matrix being obtained according to appraisal result is such as Shown in table 2:
Expert analysis mode typical case's ordinal matrix table of table 2 candidate evaluations index
Structural texture entropy matrix, calculates the average understanding degree of each candidate's index, recognizes darkness and calculate general cognition degree, And according to general cognition degree, each candidate's index is ranked up, specifically as shown in table 3:
The structure entropy matrix sort table of each candidate's index of table 3
Static State Index structure entropy matrix through standardization is carried out with KMO (Kaiser-Meryer-Olkin) sampling Appropriateness inspection and Bartlett sphericity test, assay shows, the KMO value of achievement data is spherical for 0.834, Bartlett The χ of inspection2It is worth for 152.320 (free degree is 136).It is generally believed that when KMO value is more than 0.60, the availability of data is described Higher, factorial analysis can be carried out.Afterwards, using PCA, the related data that the index judging primary election is gone or stayed is entered The orthogonal rotation of row Varimax variance, obtains each common factor after orthogonal and explains population variance capabilities might table, such as table 4.Extract special The common factor that value indicative is more than 1, wherein, the maximum explanation degree highest to intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity of characteristic value.
Table 4 index common factor explains population variance capabilities might table
Explain the capabilities might table of population variance according to each common factor obtaining, judge the maximum factor of each candidate's index Load, and be optimized according to the maximum factor loading of each candidate's index:Retain maximum factor loading in each candidate's index Candidate's index more than 0.040, and other candidate's indexs are deleted, obtain Factor load-matrix and index optimization result such as table 5 Shown:
Table 5 Factor load-matrix and index optimization result
The Factor load-matrix of the candidate's index before and after the optimization obtaining is standardized processing, then is combined reliability With the inspection of average variance extraction amount, judge the reasonability of candidate's selecting index:The combination reliability of candidate's index is recognized when being more than 0.5 It is rational for this candidate's index;And Kaiser-Meryer-Olkin sampling is carried out again suitably to the candidate's index after optimizing Property inspection, the evaluation index that the candidate upchecking selecting index is final intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity, concrete as table 6 Shown:
Table 6 intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity optimum results

Claims (9)

1. a kind of evaluation index choosing method of intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity, comprises the steps:
S1. choose the candidate evaluations index of intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity to be evaluated, and commented according to each candidate by expert group Valency index scores to the significance level of intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity to be evaluated:Candidate evaluations index is to intelligence to be evaluated The importance of energy electrical network project of transmitting and converting electricity is bigger, then the scoring to candidate evaluations index is higher;
The score of each candidate's index S2. being obtained according to step S1, structural texture entropy matrix;
The structure entropy matrix of each candidate's index S3. being obtained according to step S2, calculates the average understanding degree of each candidate's index With understanding darkness, obtain the general cognition degree of each candidate's index, and each candidate's index is ranked up:Total realization of index Knowledge and magnanimity are less, illustrate that the information content of this index reflection is bigger, representative stronger;
S4. the static structure entropy matrix of candidate's index is standardized processing, and carries out appropriateness inspection and sphericity test, sentence The static structure entropy matrix of each candidate's index of breaking is if appropriate for carrying out factorial analysis:The value of appropriateness inspection is bigger, then more suitable Carry out factorial analysis;
S5. step S4 is confirmed to be appropriate to the static structure entropy matrix of factorial analysis, using PCA, candidate is referred to Mark carry out orthogonal rotation, obtain each common factor explain population variance capabilities might table, and extract characteristic value be more than 1 public affairs because Son;
S6. explain the capabilities might table of population variance according to each common factor that step S5 obtains, judge each candidate's index Big factor loading, and be optimized according to the maximum factor loading of each candidate's index;
The Factor load-matrix of the candidate's index before and after the optimization that S7. step S6 obtains is standardized processing, then is combined Reliability and the inspection of average variance extraction amount, judge the reasonability of candidate's selecting index;And to the candidate's index after optimizing again Test, the evaluation index that the candidate upchecking selecting index is final intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity.
2. the evaluation index choosing method of intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity according to claim 1 is it is characterised in that step Structural texture entropy matrix described in S2 specifically includes following steps:
1) each expert constitutes an index set to the evaluation of candidate's index, is designated as U={ u1,u2,…,un, n refers to for candidate Mark number;This index set corresponding typical case sorting data is denoted as { ai1,ai2,…,ain};The row being made up of the index set of k position expert Sequence matrix is designated as A={ aij}k×n, wherein aijRepresent i-th expert evaluation to j-th index, i=1,2 ..., k;J=1, 2…,n;
2) construction entropy model is as follows:
In formula, μ (I) is aijCorresponding membership function value, I, m are Transformation Parameters amount, make I=q+1, m=q+2 then have
In formula, q is the importance ranking to candidate's index for the expert:What sequence was more forward shows bigger on project of transmitting and converting electricity impact;q Value is n, and n is the number of candidate's index;
Can be obtained according to above formula:
By a in ordinal matrix AijIt is updated toIn, obtain aijStructure entropy bij(bij=μ (aij)), by This forms structure entropy matrix, is designated as B={ bij}k×n.
3. the evaluation index choosing method of intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity according to claim 1 is it is characterised in that step The general cognition degree of the average understanding degree, understanding darkness and candidate's index of each candidate's index of calculating described in S3 specifically includes and includes Following steps:
A. set k estimator to index μjRanking results identical, then to k estimator with regard to index μjAverage understanding degree enter Row calculates, and is denoted as bj,
bj=(b1j+b2j+…+bkj)/k
B. define estimator to factor μjThe uncertainty being produced by cognition, referred to as recognizes darkness, is denoted as QjIt is clear that Qj≥0;
Qj==| | max (b1j,b2j,…,bij)-bj|+|min(b1j,b2j,…,bij)-bj|}/2|
C. according to estimator with regard to index μjAverage understanding degree and understanding darkness, calculate k estimator to index μjTotal realization Knowledge and magnanimity, are denoted as xj
xj=bj(1-Qj)
D. by xjThe general cognition degree to given index for all estimators can be formed, be denoted as X, then X=(x1,x2,…,xn).
4. the evaluation index choosing method of the intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity according to one of claims 1 to 3, its feature exists Described in step S4 appropriateness inspection and sphericity test be Kaiser-Meryer-Olkin sampling appropriateness inspection with Bartlett sphericity test.
5. the evaluation index choosing method of the intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity according to one of claims 1 to 3, its feature exists Judging whether described in step S4 is appropriate to factorial analysis, is when Kaiser-Meryer-Olkin sampling appropriateness inspection Value be more than 0.6 when, be judged to be appropriate to factorial analysis.
6. the evaluation index choosing method of the intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity according to one of claims 1 to 3, its feature exists Orthogonal described in step S5 rotates to be the orthogonal rotation of Varimax variance.
7. the evaluation index choosing method of the intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity according to one of claims 1 to 3, its feature exists The maximum factor loading according to each candidate's index described in step S6 is optimized, maximum in each candidate's index for retaining Candidate's index that factor loading is more than 0.040, and other candidate's indexs are deleted.
8. the evaluation index choosing method of the intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity according to one of claims 1 to 3, its feature exists The reasonability judging candidate's selecting index described in step S7, is to think this time when the combination reliability of candidate's index is more than 0.5 Index is selected to be rational.
9. the evaluation index choosing method of the intelligent grid project of transmitting and converting electricity according to one of claims 1 to 3, its feature exists The candidate's index after optimizing is tested again described in step S7, is to carry out Kaiser- to the candidate's index after optimizing Meryer-Olkin sampling appropriateness inspection.
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CN112070603A (en) * 2020-09-11 2020-12-11 重庆誉存大数据科技有限公司 Grading card model, configuration system thereof and grading processing method
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