CN105229893B - Managing device, device management method, management system - Google Patents
Managing device, device management method, management system Download PDFInfo
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- CN105229893B CN105229893B CN201480027349.2A CN201480027349A CN105229893B CN 105229893 B CN105229893 B CN 105229893B CN 201480027349 A CN201480027349 A CN 201480027349A CN 105229893 B CN105229893 B CN 105229893B
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J3/00—Circuit arrangements for ac mains or ac distribution networks
- H02J3/003—Load forecast, e.g. methods or systems for forecasting future load demand
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J3/00—Circuit arrangements for ac mains or ac distribution networks
- H02J3/12—Circuit arrangements for ac mains or ac distribution networks for adjusting voltage in ac networks by changing a characteristic of the network load
- H02J3/14—Circuit arrangements for ac mains or ac distribution networks for adjusting voltage in ac networks by changing a characteristic of the network load by switching loads on to, or off from, network, e.g. progressively balanced loading
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J2310/00—The network for supplying or distributing electric power characterised by its spatial reach or by the load
- H02J2310/10—The network having a local or delimited stationary reach
- H02J2310/12—The local stationary network supplying a household or a building
- H02J2310/16—The load or loads being an Information and Communication Technology [ICT] facility
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- Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
- Y02—TECHNOLOGIES OR APPLICATIONS FOR MITIGATION OR ADAPTATION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
- Y02B—CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO BUILDINGS, e.g. HOUSING, HOUSE APPLIANCES OR RELATED END-USER APPLICATIONS
- Y02B70/00—Technologies for an efficient end-user side electric power management and consumption
- Y02B70/30—Systems integrating technologies related to power network operation and communication or information technologies for improving the carbon footprint of the management of residential or tertiary loads, i.e. smart grids as climate change mitigation technology in the buildings sector, including also the last stages of power distribution and the control, monitoring or operating management systems at local level
- Y02B70/3225—Demand response systems, e.g. load shedding, peak shaving
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- Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
- Y04—INFORMATION OR COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES HAVING AN IMPACT ON OTHER TECHNOLOGY AREAS
- Y04S—SYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
- Y04S20/00—Management or operation of end-user stationary applications or the last stages of power distribution; Controlling, monitoring or operating thereof
- Y04S20/20—End-user application control systems
- Y04S20/222—Demand response systems, e.g. load shedding, peak shaving
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- Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
- Power Engineering (AREA)
- Remote Monitoring And Control Of Power-Distribution Networks (AREA)
- Supply And Distribution Of Alternating Current (AREA)
- Power Sources (AREA)
Abstract
It is an object of the present invention in managing device, device management method, management system, the reduction effect of the consumption electric power in equipment is obtained while the comfort of user is ensured.Managing device (1) possesses：Storage part (11) is stored with a variety of operation modes for equipment；And prediction section (12), using the actual value of the consumption electric power in the equipment measured by measuring appliance (3), every the accumulated value of the consumption electric power in the equipment in the prediction first period second phase shorter than first period.In addition, the managing device (1) possesses selector (13), the selection portion (13) in the case where the predicted value of the prediction section (12) is more than first threshold, by units of the second phase come by make the predicted value compared with first threshold be more than rate be below the first feasible value in a manner of select operation mode from a variety of operation modes.Also, the managing device (1) possesses control unit (14), and the control unit (14) is according to the operation mode selected by the selector (13) come control device.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of managing device of the management equipment in a manner of the consumption electric power in equipment to be made to be inhibited, set
Standby management method, management system.
Background technology
In the past, it is proposed that following (electric power) managing device：Prediction is controlled using amount of power based on set target
The action of equipment (power consumption apparatus) is (referring for example to Japanese Unexamined Patent Publication No 2012-19579 (hereinafter referred to as " documents
1”))。
Managing device recorded in document 1 is recorded to calculate from detecting that consumption (makes based on using the detection history of electric power
With) electric power when to the prediction at the end of during pre-determined target use amount of power.The managing device is based on being calculated
Prediction using amount of power and pre-determined target using amount of power, come calculate from when detecting consumption (use) electric power to mesh
That terminates during mark is predetermined using electric power, current when using electric power more than making a reservation for using electric power, to the power mode of equipment
Controlled the action for carrying out limiting device.It is predetermined using electric power by the unit interval come represent to reach target can using amount of power
The maximum power used.
In addition, it is also described in document 1：Managing device sets the target of multiple ladders using amount of power, which uses
The upper limit during amount of power is target uses amount of power.Such as during target in units of 1 month in the case of, management dress
Install make surely in the same month, 1 use amount of power be multiplied by 0.9 obtained from standard target and make standard target be multiplied by 0.9 and
Obtained effort target.In this case, managing device is obtaining initially using not readily accessible effort target as current target
Know the time point for being unable to reach and making great efforts target, target is reset to standard target.
But in the managing device recorded in document 1, if current consumption (use) electric power is more than to make a reservation for using electricity
Power, with regard to the action of limiting device, therefore even if consumption electric power be temporarily increased under such circumstances also can limiting device action.
Thus, the action of equipment is exceedingly limited, so as to which the comfort with user is damaged.
In addition, the managing device is knowing that being unable to reach the time point for making great efforts target reduces target, therefore once it is judged as
Effort target is unable to reach, even if can also reduce target in the case where that can retrieve, as a result, in the presence of can not fully obtain
The possibility of the reduction effect of consumption electric power in equipment.
The content of the invention
It is an object of the invention to provide it is a kind of obtain equipment while the comfort of user is ensured in consumption electric power
The managing device of reduction effect, device management method, management system.
The managing device of the present invention is characterized in that possessing：Storage part is stored with a variety of operational modes for equipment
Formula；Prediction section using the actual value of the consumption electric power in the equipment measured by measuring appliance, is predicted every the second phase
The accumulated value of the consumption electric power in the equipment in first period, wherein, the second phase is shorter than the first period；Choosing
Portion is selected, in the case where the predicted value of the prediction section is more than first threshold, is come in units of the second phase so that should
Predicted value is more than that rate or the predicted value are more than that the probability of the first threshold is the first feasible value compared with the first threshold
Following mode selects operation mode from a variety of operation modes；And control unit, it is selected according to by the selector
The operation mode that goes out controls the equipment.
The device management method of the present invention is characterized in that having：Prediction process, the equipment using being measured by measuring appliance
In consumption electric power actual value, every the second phase prediction first period in the equipment in consumption electric power accumulation
Value, wherein, the second phase is shorter than the first period；Selection course is more than first in the predicted value of the prediction process
In the case of threshold value, come in units of the second phase so that the predicted value is more than rate compared with the first threshold or should
Predicted value is more than that the probability of the first threshold is the mode below the first feasible value from a variety of operation modes of the equipment
Select operation mode；And control process, it is controlled according to the operation mode selected by the selection course described
Equipment.
The management system of the present invention is characterized in that possessing：Multiple equipment；Measuring appliance measures disappearing in the equipment
Power consumption power；And managing device, the equipment is controlled, wherein, the managing device has：Storage part is stored with and is directed to
A variety of operation modes of the equipment；Prediction section uses the consumption electric power in the equipment measured by the measuring appliance
Actual value, every the accumulated value of the consumption electric power in the equipment in the prediction first period second phase, wherein, described the
It is shorter than the first period during two；Selector, in the case where the predicted value of the prediction section is more than first threshold, with institute
The second phase is stated to come for unit so that the predicted value compared with the first threshold is more than that rate or the predicted value are more than described the
The probability of one threshold value selects operation mode for the mode below the first feasible value from a variety of operation modes；And control
Portion controls the equipment according to the operation mode selected by the selector.
The present invention predicted value be more than first threshold in the case of, come in units of the second phase so that predicted value compared with
First threshold is more than that rate or predicted value select operation mode more than the probability of first threshold for the mode below the first feasible value.
As a result, while predicted value is allowed to be more than first threshold, the reduction effect of the consumption electric power in equipment is obtained, therefore has been existed
Advantages below：The reduction effect of the consumption electric power in equipment is obtained while the comfort of user is ensured.
Description of the drawings
The preferred embodiment of the present invention is described in further detail.It then can be more preferable with reference to the following detailed description and attached drawing
Understand other features and advantages of the present invention.
Fig. 1 is the general block diagram of the management system involved by embodiment 1 and 2.
Fig. 2 is the definition graph of electricity Unit Price.
Fig. 3 is the definition graph of the distribution for the predicted value for representing the prediction section involved by embodiment 2.
Specific embodiment
The management system illustrated in following embodiments is in a manner of the consumption electric power in equipment to be made to be inhibited pair
The system that equipment is managed.In the following, it is illustrated by taking following situation as an example：As electricity needs person's (facility)
Management system is used in detached house.
Here, as the electricity needs person using management system with carrying out the Utilities Electric Co. of power generation and power transmission or instead of electric power
Company carries out an example of the contract between the service provider of electrical management, using electricity Unit Price with the increase of electricity usage amount
And the staged electricity charge of stepped rising.In this example embodiment, electricity Unit Price is each defined according to electricity needs person
Electricity usage amount during one and determine.Specifically, first is applied if electricity usage amount is below first threshold
Ladder expense, be more than first threshold if electricity usage amount and for below second threshold if using the second ladder expense (>First rank
Terraced expense), if electricity usage amount be more than second threshold if using the 3rd ladder expense (>Second ladder expense).In addition, second
Threshold value is set to be greater than first threshold.
Such as in the case where first period is this 1 year 1~December 31 of January, as shown in Fig. 2, in the time of August
Point, the accumulated value (electricity usage amount) of the consumption electric power from January in the same year are more than first threshold E1, and thus electricity Unit Price is from first
Ladder expense R1 is changed into the second ladder expense R2.Also, at the time point in October, consumption electric power from January in the same year it is tired
Product value (electricity usage amount) be more than second threshold E2 (>E1), thus electricity Unit Price is changed into the 3rd rank from the second ladder expense R2
Terraced expense R3.In addition, in fig. 2, transverse axis represents the electricity usage amount in first period, the longitudinal axis represents electricity Unit Price, oblique line portion
Area be equivalent to the electricity charge.
Therefore, management system is in order to which the electricity Unit Price for locating electricity needs person is pressed low and inhibits setting for electricity needs person place
Consumption electric power in standby so that use the amount of power of each first period is no more than preset desired value (first threshold, the
Two threshold values).Wherein, management system is not limited to use in detached house, can be used for each resident family, the affairs of such as collective residence
The electricity needs persons such as institute, shop.
In addition, the electricity charge that Fig. 2 only instantiates some electricity needs person are used as the demonstration for illustrating the staged electricity charge
Case, objective simultaneously do not lie in situation about limiting using management system, and first period is also not necessarily limited to 1 year, such as can also be 30
Minute, 1 month etc..In addition, on the contract used between the electricity needs person of management system and Utilities Electric Co. or service provider
About, the above-mentioned staged electricity charge are only an examples, can also use other expenditure mode.
As shown in Figure 1, management system 10 possesses (following, the general name when not distinguishable from one another of multiple equipment 21,22,23,24 ...
For " equipment 2 "), the measuring appliance 3 of consumption electric power in measuring apparatus 2 and the managing device 1 of control device 2.
Managing device 1 possesses storage part 11 and prediction section 12.The storage of storage part 11 is for a variety of operation modes of equipment 2.
Prediction section 12 uses the actual value of the consumption electric power in the equipment 2 measured by measuring appliance 3, every than second phase prediction first
During equipment 2 in consumption electric power accumulated value, wherein, the second phase is shorter than first period.Also, managing device 1
Possesses selector 13.Selector 13 is in the case where the predicted value of prediction section 12 is more than first threshold, in units of the second phase
Come so that predicted value compared with first threshold is more than that rate or predicted value are more than the probability of first threshold for below the first feasible value
Mode select operation mode from a variety of operation modes.Also, managing device 1 possesses control unit 14.Control unit 14 according to by
The operation mode that selector 13 is selected carrys out control device 2.
It is further preferred, that there is no meet make the predicted value of prediction section 12 compared with first threshold be more than rate or
In the case that predicted value is more than operation mode of the probability of first threshold for this condition below the first feasible value, selector 13 is such as
Select operation mode down.Namely it is preferred that there is no the operation modes for meeting above-mentioned condition in a variety of operation modes
In the case of, selector 13 by units of the second phase come in a manner of making predicted value for below second threshold from a variety of operation modes
Middle selection operation mode, wherein, second threshold is more than first threshold.
And, it is preferred that there is no meet to make the predicted value of prediction section 12 for this condition below second threshold
In the case of operation mode, selector 13 selects operation mode as follows.Namely it is preferred that in a variety of operation modes not
In the presence of in the case of the operation mode for meeting above-mentioned condition, selector 13 so that predicted value compared with second threshold be more than rate or
Predicted value is more than that the probability of second threshold selects operation mode for the mode below the second feasible value.In such a situation it is preferred that
It is that selector 13 selects operation mode in units of the second phase from a variety of operation modes.
It is further preferred, that there is no meet to make the predicted value be more than compared with second threshold in a variety of operation modes
In the case that rate or predicted value are more than operation mode of the probability of second threshold for this condition below the second feasible value, selector
13 are acted as following.Namely it is preferred that selector 13 is changed in a variety of operation modes stored in storage part 11
At least one operation mode.Or, it is preferred that there is no meet to make predicted value compared with the second threshold in a variety of operation modes
Value is more than rate or predicted value is more than situation of the probability of second threshold for the operation mode of this condition below the second feasible value
Under, selector 13 is acted as following.Namely it is preferred that selector 13 is configured to change second threshold.
And, it is preferred that prediction section 12 is configured to come using the specification information of equipment 2 and the duration of runs table of equipment 2
The accumulated value of consumption electric power in pre- measurement equipment 2.
It is further preferred, that managing device 1 is also equipped with obtaining the acquisition unit 15 of meteorological data, prediction section 12 is configured to make
With the meteorological data got by acquisition unit 15 come the accumulated value of the consumption electric power in pre- measurement equipment 2.
(embodiment 1)
In the management system 10 involved by present embodiment, multiple equipment 2 be used at electricity needs person it is various
Home appliance, equipment machine etc., in the example in fig 1 including air conditioner (air-conditioning device) 21, electric heater 22, refrigerator 23 and
Miscellaneous equipment 24 etc..As miscellaneous equipment 24, there are IH electromagnetic ovens, electric cooker, micro-wave oven, air purifier, total-heat exchanger, photograph
Funerary objects tool etc..
Here, be configured at least can be bigger in the smaller energy saver mode of consumed energy and consumed energy for each equipment 2
Normal mode the two operation modes between switch.That is, the operation mode of each equipment 2 is not a kind of, each 2 structure of equipment
As can switch between more than two operation modes of different sizes of consumed energy.
For example, setting temperature when design temperature of the air conditioner 21 when refrigeration operation is less than set point of temperature or warming operation
It is normal mode when degree is higher than set point of temperature, when the design temperature when refrigeration operation is higher than set point of temperature or warming operation
Design temperature is energy saver mode when being less than set point of temperature.If electric heater 22, if hot water amount of then seething with excitement is more than specified amount
It talks about as normal mode, if boiling hot water amount is less than being energy saver mode if specified amount.On refrigerator 23, if the setting in refrigerator
Temperature is then normal mode less than set point of temperature, is energy saver mode if the design temperature in refrigerator is higher than set point of temperature.
Electricity needs person place is provided with the distribution board 4 being connected with the lead-in of system power supply (source power supply) 41.Distribution board 4
In be accommodated with main breaker (not shown) and branch circuit breaker (not shown), which is inserted into and system power supply
The trunk system of 41 connections, the branch circuit breaker are inserted into from multiple branch systems of the primary side branch of main breaker
Each branch system.
Measuring appliance 3 is arranged in distribution board 4, is measured the actual value of the consumption electric power in each equipment 2 and is sent out measurement result
It is sent to managing device 1.Measuring appliance 3 measures flow to the current value of trunk system and each branch system and the electricity of trunk system respectively
The survey by being set at the assigned position of trunk system and each branch system is obtained based on these current values and voltage value in pressure value
The power value (instant electrical power) that amount point is supplied.Also, measuring appliance 3 carries out the accumulated process of power value, not only calculates instantaneous
Electric power also calculates amount of power (cumulative power).
Measuring appliance 3 has the communication unit (not shown) that communicates between managing device 1, in the form of regularly or sound
The form of requests of the Ying Yu from managing device 1 sends measurement result (instant electrical power and accumulation electricity from communication unit to managing device 1
Power).In addition, measuring appliance 3 is incorporated in together with other internal units (main breaker, branch circuit breaker) in distribution board 4, but
The structure is not limited to, can also in parallel be set with distribution board 4.In addition, as long as measuring appliance 3 is in each equipment 2 of measurement
The actual value of consumption electric power and the function that measurement result is output to managing device 1, such as can also be such as intelligence instrument
The meter reading instrument like that with communication function, the intelligent socket with measurement and communication function etc..
In the present embodiment, display terminal 5 is used as showing various information or accepting from user by managing device 1
Operation input user interface.Therefore, managing device 1 for its own do not have display unit, accept it is from the user operation it is defeated
The structure of the operation inputting part entered, but can also be in its own setting display unit, operation inputting part.Display terminal 5 is using tactile
Panel display is touched, shows the information that is got from managing device 1 or to the output of managing device 1 and the operation input phase of user
The signal answered.Managing device 1 can also be replace dedicated display terminal 5 and by tablet terminal, smart phone, individual calculus
The mechanical, electrical structure for being used as user interface regarding receiver etc..
In addition, managing device 1 is connected to the networks such as internet 61 via router 6.Managing device 1 is configured to connecting
It is connected to sent-received message between the server 7 of network 61.
<The structure of managing device>
Managing device 1 possesses storage part 11, prediction section 12, selector 13 and control unit 14 as described above, at this
Acquisition unit 15 and display control unit 16 are also equipped in embodiment.In addition, managing device 1 is also equipped with and multiple equipment 2 and display
It the first communication unit 111 for communicating between terminal 5, the second communication unit 112 to communicate between measuring appliance 3 and is connected
In the third communication unit 113 of router 6.
Here, the first communication unit 111 and the second communication unit 112 are each via the wireless communication that electric wave is used as to transmission medium
It bidirectionally communicates between communication counterpart, third communication unit 113 and router 6 wired connection.As side wireless communication
Formula, for example, using the specific low-power wireless of 400MHz frequency bands, the specific low-power wireless of 900MHz frequency bands, Wi-Fi (registered trademark),
The modes such as Bluetooth (registered trademark).But the first communication unit 111 and the second communication unit 112 are each between communication counterpart
Communication be not limited to wireless communication or wire communication, it can in addition contain be the communication via repeater.
In the present embodiment, managing device 1 with microcomputer (microcomputer) be main structure, by performing memory (not
Diagram) in the regulated procedure of storage realize the function in each portion.
As the basic function of the managing device 1 in present embodiment, which has following functions：Pass through control
Portion 14 processed controls equipment 2；And by display control unit 16 display of display terminal 5 is made to be based on getting from measuring appliance 3
Equipment 2 in consumption electric power actual value display information.
In short, managing device 1 is as HEMS (Home Energy Management System：Home energy source management system
System) controller and function, equipment 2 is controlled or the consumption electric power in equipment 2 made to visualize (visualization).Cause
This, management system 10 according to the present embodiment can be managed the consumption situation of the electric power in equipment 2, so as to
Inhibit the extra power consumption in equipment 2.
Specifically, managing device 1 is configured to：It is communicated, and passed through with each equipment 2 by the first communication unit 111
Second communication unit 112 communicates with measuring appliance 3, the measurement result being hereby based in measuring appliance 3 come by control unit 14 from
It is dynamic that each equipment 2 is controlled.Also, managing device 1 also has following functions：According to enterprising in display terminal 5 by user
The operational order for operating and generating as defined in row, controls the equipment 2 for becoming object.That is, managing device 1 passes through
First communication unit 111 communicates with display terminal 5, thus obtains operational order from display terminal 5, from the first communication unit 111 right
Control command corresponding with the operational order is sent as the equipment 2 of object, performs the control of the equipment 2.
In addition, managing device 1 is configured to：It is communicated by the first communication unit 111 with display terminal 5, from there through
Display control unit 16 makes display terminal 5 show the display information based on the measurement result in measuring appliance 3.Managing device 1 for example will
Consumption electric power (electric power of trunk system) in all devices 2 of electricity needs person as the measurement result in measuring appliance 3 with
And the consumption electric power of each branch system is as showing information, and the transmission data sending of the display information will be represented to display terminal
5.Here, managing device 1 is in each measuring appliance 3, with Fixed Time Interval (such as being spaced for 5 seconds), (consumption is electric for update measurement result
Power) when, transmission data are sent to be updated to the display information shown by display terminal 5.
Furthermore it is possible to pass through the display information for being operable to show on switching display terminal 5 to display terminal 5, user
Can make the consumption electric power of the consumption electric power in all devices 2 of electricity needs person and each branch system switching show or
Person makes instant electrical power and cumulative power show with switching.
Then, the details in each portion of the managing device 1 involved by present embodiment are illustrated.
Storage part 11 is stored with a variety of operation modes for equipment 2.Operation mode said here represents multiple equipment
21st, the combination of 22,23,24 ... operating state.That is, for an operation mode, the action of multiple equipment 2 is corresponding with
The combination of state.But it is without being limited thereto, it can also be for an operation mode only corresponding operating state there are one equipment 2.It is dynamic
Make operation mode when difference and the operating of operating (work)/stopping of the state including each equipment 2.Therefore, as air conditioner
21st, electric heater 22, refrigerator 23 operation mode an example, there are air conditioner 21 be normal mode, electric heater 22 is energy saving
Pattern, the combination that refrigerator 23 is operating state as normal mode.Also, operation mode can also include for example making equipment 2
(work) being operated as " operating within 1 day (work) until when 6 is small ", " only operating (work) in 20 points~24 points of period "
Temporal limitation.Storage part 11 is previously stored with this variety of operation modes for equipment 2.
Arbitrary operation mode is selected in a variety of operation modes that selector 13 is stored from storage part 11.Control unit 14 is pressed
According to the operation mode selected by selector 13 come control device 2.In the present embodiment, 13 default choice of selector is all sets
Standby 2 operation mode is operation mode as normal mode.But it is also possible to by user using display terminal 5 arbitrary
The operation mode is simultaneously stored in advance in storage part 11 by the operation mode of ground setting 13 default choice of selector.
Prediction section 12 is configured to：Using the actual value of the consumption electric power in the equipment 2 measured by measuring appliance 3, every than
First period it is short the second phase prediction first period in equipment 2 in consumption electric power accumulated value.Here, in equipment 2
The accumulated value of consumption electric power is the accumulated value of the consumption electric power (electric power of trunk system) in all devices 2 of electricity needs person.
In the present embodiment, as an example, it is assumed that first period be this 1 year 1~December 31 of January, the second phase 0：00~
24：00 this 24 it is small when (1 day).
That is, the institute that prediction section 12 predicts 1~December 31 January then using the measurement result of measuring appliance 3 daily
There is the accumulated value of the consumption electric power in equipment 2.In addition, prediction section 12 is configured to daily (such as 0 at the time of determined：00) it is pre-
Survey the accumulated value of the consumption electric power in all devices 2 then.
Specifically, 0 at the time of current point in time to be for example set to April 1：When 00, for (January 1 day~12 then
Months 31 days) in January 1 to March 31 (the previous day of current point in time) during, exist and disappeared by what measuring appliance 3 was measured
The actual value of power consumption strength.Therefore, during prediction section 12 is for the current point in time (April 1) in then to December 31,
Speculated power consumption in units of 1 day.At this point, prediction section 12 is pushed away using the operation mode currently selected by selector 13
Current point in time in surveying then is to the power consumption during December 31.When prediction section 12 arrives current by making January 1
Between put during the power consumption in power consumption (actual value) each day later with the current point in time that is deduced (push away
Measured value) it is added, to predict the accumulated value of the consumption electric power in all devices 2 then.
Here, the prediction section 12 in present embodiment is configured to the duration of runs of the specification information and equipment 2 using equipment 2
Table carrys out the accumulated value of the consumption electric power in pre- measurement equipment 2.That is, measurement result of the prediction section 12 except using measuring appliance 3
In addition, the specification information and table of the specification of each equipment 2 are also represented using rated electrical, stand-by electric of each operation mode etc.
Show weekly the predetermined duration of runs table of the operating of the equipment 2 of several, each period, to predict the accumulated value of consumption electric power then.
On specification information, duration of runs table, managing device 1 can both pass through mark of the third communication unit 113 based on equipment 2
Know symbol (model etc.) to obtain from server 7 via network 61, the information that user can also be used to input by display terminal 5.Separately
Outside, the measurement result of measuring appliance 3 can also be at any time stored in storage part 11 by managing device 1, be obtained based on statistics
Specification information, duration of runs table.
Also, the meteorological data that the prediction section 12 of present embodiment is configured to obtain from server 7 using acquisition unit 15 is come
The accumulated value of consumption electric power in pre- measurement equipment 2.Acquisition unit 15 is configured to through third communication unit 113 via network 61 from service
Device 7 obtains the meteorological datas such as seasonal forecasting, and in prediction section 12, which is used in the prediction of the accumulated value of consumption electric power
In.
Here, the estimation method of the power consumption in the later each day of current point in time also according to equipment 2 classification without
Together, it is as follows for the estimation method of representative equipment 2.
Such as the air conditioner 21 during for warming operation, prediction section 12 pass through A11·(ΔT)2+A12·(ΔT)+A13·P11
To estimate power consumption.Here, A11、A12、A13It is coefficient, Δ T is design temperature-outside atmosphere temperature, P11It is warming operation
When air conditioner 21 rated consumption electric power.Air conditioner 21 during for refrigeration operation, prediction section 12 pass through A14·(ΔT)2+
A15·(ΔT)+A16·P12To estimate power consumption.Here, A14、A15、A16It is coefficient, Δ T is outside atmosphere temperature-setting
Temperature, P12The rated consumption electric power of air conditioner 21 when being refrigeration operation.
For electric heater 22, prediction section 12 passes through A21·(ΔT)2+A22·(ΔT)+A23·P2To estimate consumption electric power
Amount.Here, A21、A22、A23It is coefficient, Δ T is design temperature-water supply (tap water) temperature, P2It is that the specified of electric heater 22 disappears
Power consumption power.For refrigerator 23, prediction section 12 passes through A31·(ΔT)2+A32·(ΔT)+A33·P3To estimate power consumption.
This, A31、A32、A33It is coefficient, Δ T is indoor temperature-design temperature, P3It is the rated consumption electric power of refrigerator 23.
For IH electromagnetic ovens, prediction section 12 passes through A41·T+A42·P4To estimate power consumption.Here, A41、A42It is to be
Number, T are design temperatures, P4It is the rated consumption electric power of IH electromagnetic ovens.For temperature independent miscellaneous equipment 2, prediction section 12
Pass through A51·P5To estimate power consumption.Here, A51It is coefficient, P5It is the rated consumption electric power of equipment 2.
In addition, predetermining the initial value of above-mentioned each coefficient based on statistical data, by each electricity needs person, it is based on
Actual value simultaneously changes above-mentioned each coefficient by regression analysis etc. at any time.
In the following, the accumulated value of the consumption electric power in the equipment 2 then that will be predicted by prediction section 12 is known as " predicted value ".
Prediction section 12 predicted value be more than first threshold in the case of, selector 13 come in units of the second phase so that
Predicted value is more than that rate selects operation mode for the mode below the first feasible value compared with first threshold.That is, selector 13 will
The predicted value (predicted value of the accumulated value of the consumption electric power in equipment 2 in first period) of prediction section 12 and defined first threshold
Value is compared, according to as a result, selecting the operation mode of equipment 2 in units of the second phase.
Here, first threshold is to be switched to the second ladder from the first ladder expense in the staged electricity charge as described above
The electricity usage amount of expense, is stored in advance in after being set by user using display terminal 5 in storage part 11.First feasible value is for example
The value that user arbitrarily sets in the range of 0~100 (%), after being set by user using display terminal 5 with first threshold into
It is stored in advance in storage part 11 to group.
If the predicted value of prediction section 12 is below first threshold, selector 13 continues to select currently selected operating
Pattern.That is, if predicted value is below first threshold, selector 13 does not change operation mode.On the other hand, if
The predicted value of prediction section 12 is more than first threshold, then selector 13 is come in units of the second phase so that predicted value is compared with first
Threshold value is more than that rate selects operation mode for the mode below the first feasible value.
Specifically, when predicted value is more than first threshold, selector 13 makes prediction section 12 make choice storage part 11
The emulation in the case of the operation mode beyond current selection in interior multiple operation modes, by predicted value in this case with
First threshold is compared.As a result, selector 13 selects to make in units of the second phase predicted value compared with first threshold
It is more than that rate is such operation mode below the first feasible value.Make predicted value compared with the super of first threshold if there is multiple
Rate is crossed as the operation mode below the first feasible value, then selector 13 select the predicted value in the plurality of operation mode it is maximum,
That is the operation mode that the action limitation of equipment 2 most mitigates.
Here, it is more than rate that predicted value is calculated as following compared with first threshold.
That is, predicted value is calculated compared with by making predicted value compared with the first threshold amount of being more than divided by first threshold
One threshold value is more than rate.That is, predicted value compared with first threshold be more than rate be represented as be more than rate=(predicted value-
First threshold)/(first threshold) × 100 (%), such as if 1.1 times that predicted value is first threshold be more than rate be " 10% ".
Managing device 1 select to make as described above predicted value compared with first threshold be more than rate for the first feasible value with
Under operation mode, therefore allow predicted value with set by user the first feasible value determine in the range of more than the first threshold
Value.That is, operation mode is selected by selector 13 as described above, it is more than the first threshold to allow predicted value to a certain extent
Value substantially simultaneously obtains the reduction effect of the consumption electric power in the equipment 2 in first period.
In addition, it is also possible in the multiple operation modes stored in storage part 11 there is no meet make predicted value compared with
First threshold is more than operation mode of the rate for this condition below the first feasible value.Therefore, in the present embodiment, do not depositing
Make predicted value compared with first threshold be more than rate for the operation mode below the first feasible value in the case of, selector 13 with
The second phase is unit to select operation mode in a manner of making predicted value for below the second threshold more than first threshold.
Here, second threshold is more than first threshold, it is as described above in the staged electricity charge from the second ladder expense
The electricity usage amount of the 3rd ladder expense is switched to, is stored in advance in after being set by user using display terminal 5 in storage part 11.
Specifically, if there is no the operation mode for meeting above-mentioned condition, then selector 13 is carried out by prediction section 12
The emulation in the case of the operation mode beyond the current selection in multiple operation modes in storage part 11 is selected, by the feelings
Predicted value under condition is compared with second threshold.As a result, selector 13 selected to make predicted value in units of the second phase
For such operation mode below second threshold.Make predicted value if there is multiple for the operation mode below second threshold, then
Selector 13 selects the operation mode that predicted value maximum, i.e. equipment 2 the action limitation in the plurality of operation mode most mitigates.
In addition, it is also possible to which there is no meet to make the pre- of prediction section 12 in the multiple operation modes stored in storage part 11
Measured value is the operation mode of this condition below second threshold.Therefore, in the present embodiment, there is no make prediction section 12
In the case that predicted value is the operation mode below second threshold, selector 13 is come in units of the second phase so that predicted value phase
It is more than that rate selects operation mode for the mode below the second feasible value for second threshold.
Here, the second feasible value is, for example, the value that user arbitrarily sets in the range of 0~100 (%), used by user
Display terminal 5 is stored in advance in second threshold in storage part 11 in groups after setting.
Specifically, if there is no the operation mode for meeting above-mentioned condition, then selector 13 is carried out by prediction section 12
The emulation in the case of the operation mode beyond the current selection in multiple operation modes in storage part 11 is selected, by the feelings
Predicted value under condition is compared with second threshold.As a result, selector 13 selected to make predicted value in units of the second phase
It is more than that rate is such operation mode below the second feasible value compared with second threshold.Make predicted value opposite if there is multiple
It is more than rate for the operation mode below the second feasible value in second threshold, selector 13 selects pre- in the plurality of operation mode
The operation mode that measured value is maximum, i.e. the action limitation of equipment 2 most mitigates.
And, it is also possible in the multiple operation modes stored in storage part 11 there is no meet make predicted value compared with
Second threshold is more than operation mode of the rate for this condition below the second feasible value.Therefore, in the present embodiment, selector
13 are configured to：There is no predicted value is made to be more than feelings of the rate for the operation mode below the second feasible value compared with second threshold
Under condition, at least one operation mode in a variety of operation modes stored in storage part 11 is changed.
Specifically, if there is no the operation mode for meeting above-mentioned condition, then selector 13 is to cut down disappearing in equipment 2
The mode of power consumption power changes the operation mode in storage part 11.For existing operation mode, selector 13 for example increases stopping
Equipment 2 or it is additional make equipment 2 such as " 1 day operating (work) until when 6 is small ", " only in 20 points~24 points of period operating
The temporal limitation of (work) " so operating (work), thus changes operation mode.That is, selector 13 is to storage
The content (operating state of equipment 2) set in an operation mode in existing a variety of operation modes in portion 11 itself into
Row change.Selector 13 can make predicted value compared with second threshold be more than that rate is by selecting the operation mode after changing
Below second feasible value.In addition, in the case where changing more than two operation modes, selector 13 is carried out by prediction section 12
Using the emulation of more than two operation modes after change, select the predicted value in more than two operation modes maximum
, i.e. the operation mode that most mitigates of action limitation of equipment 2.
Alternatively, selector 13 can also be configured to：There is no make the predicted value of prediction section 12 compared with second threshold
In the case of being the operation mode below the second feasible value more than rate, second threshold is changed.
Specifically, if there is no the operation mode for meeting above-mentioned condition, then selector 13 is so that second threshold becomes larger
Mode change second threshold in storage part 11.At this point, selector 13 can both change second threshold automatically, can also pass through
User is made to set new second threshold to change second threshold.Prediction section 12 can be made by the second threshold after application change
Predicted value is more than that rate is below the second feasible value compared with second threshold.
<The action of managing device>
Then, illustrate the action of the managing device 1 involved by present embodiment, use the equipment management of managing device 1
Method.Here, it is said in case of first threshold is set to 3600kWh, second threshold is set to 5400kWh
It is bright.In addition, the first feasible value is arbitrarily set by electricity needs person, it is assumed that is set at the first electricity needs person
100%, 70% is set at the second electricity needs person, 0% is set at the 3rd electricity needs person.Second feasible value
It is arbitrarily set by electricity needs person, it is assumed that be set to 80% at the first electricity needs person, needed in the second electric power
The person of asking place is set to 10%, and 0% is set at the 3rd electricity needs person.
Managing device 1 uses the actual value of the consumption electric power in the equipment 2 measured by measuring appliance 3 first, every than
The accumulated value (prediction process) of the consumption electric power in equipment 2 during one in the prediction first period short second phase.
In the case where predicted value is more than first threshold, managing device 1 is come in units of the second phase so that predicted value phase
It is more than to select operation mode in a variety of operation modes of the rate for the mode slave device 2 below the first feasible value for first threshold
(selection course).That is, predicted value be more than 3600kWh in the case of, managing device 1 so that predicted value compared with 3600kWh's
More than selecting operation mode in a variety of operation modes of the rate for the mode slave device 2 below the first feasible value.
Here, at the first electricity needs person the first feasible value be 100%, therefore selection make predicted value compared with
3600kWh is more than that rate is the operation mode that less than 100%, i.e. predicted value is below 7200kWh.At the second electricity needs person
First feasible value is 70%, therefore it compared with 3600kWh is more than that rate is for less than 70%, i.e. predicted value to select to make predicted value
The operation mode of below 6120kWh.The first feasible value is 0% at the 3rd electricity needs person, therefore selection makes predicted value opposite
It is more than that rate is the operation mode that 0%, i.e. predicted value is below 3600kWh in 3600kWh.
Afterwards, managing device 1 according to the operation mode selected by selection course come control device 2 (control process).
In addition, in the selection process, there is no predicted value is made compared with first threshold to be more than that rate is the first feasible value
In the case of following operation mode, managing device 1 is come in units of the second phase so that predicted value is below second threshold
Mode selects operation mode.Also, in the case of there is no predicted value is made for the operation mode below second threshold, management dress
Put 1 by units of the second phase come by make predicted value compared with second threshold be more than rate for below the second feasible value in a manner of select
Select operation mode.
Here, the second feasible value is 80% at the first electricity needs person, therefore selection makes predicted value compared with 5400kWh
It is more than that rate is the operation mode that less than 80%, i.e. predicted value is below 9720kWh.Second allows at the second electricity needs person
Be worth for 10%, thus select to make predicted value compared with 5400kWh be more than rate for less than 10%, i.e. predicted value be 5940kWh with
Under operation mode.The second feasible value is 0% at the 3rd electricity needs person, therefore selection makes predicted value compared with 5400kWh
It is more than that rate is the operation mode that 0%, i.e. predicted value is below 5400kWh.
<The effect of present embodiment>
The management system 10 of present embodiment from the description above is more than first threshold in the predicted value of prediction section 12
In the case of, selector 13 come in units of the second phase so that predicted value compared with first threshold be more than rate be the first feasible value
Following mode selects operation mode.It is more than first threshold to allow predicted value as a result, while obtains the consumption electric power in equipment 2
Reduction effect, therefore manage system 10 there are advantages below：Disappearing in equipment 2 is obtained while the comfort of user is ensured
The reduction effect of power consumption power.
In addition, there is no make the predicted value of prediction section 12 compared with first threshold be more than rate for the first feasible value below
Operation mode in the case of, selector 13 in units of the second phase in a manner of making predicted value for below second threshold to be selected
Select operation mode.Thus, though there is no make predicted value compared with first threshold be more than rate for the first feasible value below
In the case of operation mode, target also can be reduced to second threshold to obtain in equipment 2 by management system 10 from first threshold
Consumption electric power reduction effect.
Also, in the case of there is no the predicted value of prediction section 12 is made for the operation mode below second threshold, selection
Portion 13 by units of the second phase come by make predicted value compared with second threshold be more than rate for below the second feasible value in a manner of
Select operation mode.Thus, even if in the case of there is no predicted value is made for the operation mode below second threshold, management system
It is more than second threshold that system 10 can also allow predicted value to a certain extent, and fully obtains cutting for the consumption electric power in equipment 2
Decreasing effect fruit.
In addition, there is no predicted value is made to be more than rate compared with second threshold for the operation mode below the second feasible value
In the case of, selector 13 changes at least one operation mode in a variety of operation modes stored in storage part 11.Thus, i.e.,
Make there is no make predicted value compared with second threshold be more than rate for the operation mode below the second feasible value in the case of, pipe
Reason system 10 can also change operation mode to obtain the reduction effect of the consumption electric power in equipment 2.
Alternatively, there is no make the predicted value of prediction section 12 compared with second threshold be more than rate for the second feasible value below
Operation mode in the case of, selector 13 change second threshold.Thus, even if there is no make predicted value compared with the second threshold
Value is more than in the case that rate is the operation mode below the second feasible value, and management system 10 can also change second threshold and come
To the reduction effect of the consumption electric power in equipment 2.
Also, prediction section 12 is configured to carry out pre- measurement equipment 2 using the specification information of equipment 2 and the duration of runs table of equipment 2
In consumption electric power accumulated value, therefore compared with without using the situation of specification information, duration of runs table, the consumption in equipment 2
The precision of prediction of the accumulated value of electric power becomes higher.
In addition, prediction section 12 using the meteorological data got by acquisition unit 15 Lai the consumption electric power in pre- measurement equipment 2
Accumulated value, therefore compared with the situation without using meteorological data, the precision of prediction of the accumulated value of the consumption electric power in equipment 2 becomes
It is high.
(embodiment 2)
The management system 10 of present embodiment is different from the management system 10 of embodiment 1 in the following areas：In prediction section
In the case that 12 predicted value is more than first threshold, selector 13 is come in units of the second phase so that predicted value is more than the first threshold
The probability of value selects operation mode for the mode below the first feasible value.In the following, pair structure identical with embodiment 1 mark is altogether
Same mark, suitably omits the description.
That is, in embodiment 1 in the case where predicted value is more than first threshold, selector 13 is so that predicted value is opposite
It is more than that rate selects operation mode for the mode below the first feasible value in first threshold.On the other hand, in present embodiment
In, in the case where predicted value is more than first threshold, selector 13 is so that the probability that predicted value is more than first threshold is the first appearance
Perhaps it is worth following mode and selects operation mode.
Here, the probability that predicted value is more than first threshold is calculated as following.
That is, represent that predicted value is more than the probability of first threshold using probability density function as shown in Figure 3.As before it
It carries, the value that predicted value is not to determine, and can be used various according to uncertain elements such as life pattern, the meteorological datas of user
Value.In this, it is assumed that predicted value is in normal distribution.
Therefore, in the present embodiment, by+3 σ of μ represented with the average value mu and standard deviation of predicted value and the first threshold
Value E1 is compared, by+3 σ of μ>The predicted value that the situation of E1 is defined as prediction section 12 is more than the situation of first threshold.In short, in μ
+3σ>In the case of E1, selector 13 is come in units of the second phase so that the probability that predicted value is more than first threshold is the first appearance
Perhaps it is worth following mode and selects operation mode.
By be more than first threshold E1 scope probability density function area (area of the oblique line portion of Fig. 3) ×
100 (%) come represent predicted value be more than first threshold probability.Such as if the average value of predicted value is first threshold E1, is predicted
Value is " 50% " more than the probability of first threshold.
In addition, it is also possible to which there is no meet predicted value is made to be more than the in the multiple operation modes stored in storage part 11
The probability of one threshold value is the operation mode of this condition below the first feasible value.Therefore, in the present embodiment, there is no make
Predicted value is more than in the case that the probability of first threshold is the operation mode below the first feasible value, and selector 13 is with the second phase
For unit come by make predicted value be below second threshold in a manner of select operation mode.
In addition, in the present embodiment, there is no make the predicted value of prediction section 12 for the operational mode below second threshold
In the case of formula, selector 13 is come in units of the second phase so that the probability that predicted value is more than second threshold is the second feasible value
Following mode selects operation mode.
Also, in the present embodiment, selector 13 is configured to：There is no make predicted value be more than second threshold probability
In the case of the operation mode below the second feasible value, the operation mode stored in storage part 11 is changed.Alternatively, selector 13
Can also be with lower structure：There is no predicted value is made to be more than the probability of second threshold for the operation mode below the second feasible value
In the case of, change second threshold.
<The effect of present embodiment>
The management system 10 of present embodiment from the description above is more than first threshold in the predicted value of prediction section 12
In the case of, selector 13 is come in units of the second phase so that the probability that predicted value is more than first threshold is below the first feasible value
Mode select operation mode.It is more than first threshold to allow predicted value as a result, while obtains cutting for the consumption electric power in equipment 2
Decreasing effect fruit, therefore there are advantages below for management system 10：The consumption electricity in equipment 2 is obtained while the comfort of user is ensured
The reduction effect of power.
In addition, it is being more than the probability of first threshold for the fortune below the first feasible value there is no the predicted value for making prediction section 12
In the case of rotary-die type, selector 13 in a manner of making predicted value for below second threshold in units of the second phase to select to transport
Rotary-die type.Thus, even if there is no predicted value is made to be more than the probability of first threshold for the operation mode below the first feasible value
In the case of, target also can be reduced to second threshold to obtain the electricity of the consumption in equipment 2 by management system 10 from first threshold
The reduction effect of power.
Also, in the case of there is no the predicted value of prediction section 12 is made for the operation mode below second threshold, selection
Portion 13 in units of the second phase in a manner that the probability that predicted value is made to be more than second threshold is below the second feasible value to select
Operation mode.Thus, even if in the case of there is no predicted value is made for the operation mode below second threshold, manage system 10
Also it is more than second threshold that predicted value can be allowed to a certain extent, and fully obtains the reduction of the consumption electric power in equipment 2
Effect.
In addition, there is no predicted value is made to be more than feelings of the probability of second threshold for the operation mode below the second feasible value
Under condition, selector 13 changes at least one operation mode in a variety of operation modes stored in storage part 11.Thus, even if
In the case of being the operation mode below the second feasible value there is no the probability that predicted value is made to be more than second threshold, system 10 is managed
Also operation mode can be changed to obtain the reduction effect of the consumption electric power in equipment 2.
Alternatively, it is being more than the probability of second threshold for the fortune below the second feasible value there is no the predicted value for making prediction section 12
In the case of rotary-die type, selector 13 changes second threshold.Thus, though there is no make predicted value be more than second threshold it is general
In the case that rate is the operation mode below the second feasible value, management system 10 can also change second threshold to obtain equipment 2
In consumption electric power reduction effect.
Other structures and function are identical with embodiment 1.
In addition, in embodiment 1, selector 13 is so that predicted value compared with first threshold is more than that rate is allowed for first
Be worth following mode and select operation mode, in addition, so that predicted value compared with second threshold be more than rate for the second feasible value with
Under mode select operation mode.That is, in embodiment 1, selector 13 is equal for first threshold and second threshold
So that predicted value is more than that rate selects to transport for the mode of feasible value (the first feasible value or the second feasible value) below compared with threshold value
Rotary-die type.
On the other hand, in embodiment 2, selector 13 is so that the probability that predicted value is more than first threshold is the first appearance
Perhaps it is worth following mode and selects operation mode, in addition, so that the probability that predicted value is more than second threshold is below the second feasible value
Mode select operation mode.That is, in embodiment 2, selector 13 for first threshold and second threshold with
It is more than that the probability of threshold value selects operation mode for the mode of feasible value (the first feasible value or the second feasible value) below to make predicted value.
It is however not limited to above-mentioned example, it can also be by the structure of embodiment 1 and appropriate group of the structure of embodiment 2
It closes.That is, selector 13 can also select operation mode as follows：For the side in first threshold and second threshold, make
Predicted value is more than that rate is below feasible value compared with threshold value, for the opposing party in first threshold and second threshold, makes prediction
Value is below feasible value more than the probability of threshold value.
The present invention is described by several preferred embodiments, but those skilled in the art can not depart from the present invention
It carry out various modifications and deforms the spirit and scope of script, i.e. claims.
Claims (9)
1. a kind of managing device, which is characterized in that possess：
Storage part is stored with a variety of operation modes for equipment；
Prediction section, it is pre- every the second phase using the actual value of the consumption electric power in the equipment measured by measuring appliance
The accumulated value of the consumption electric power in the equipment in first period is surveyed, wherein, the second phase is shorter than the first period；
Selector in the case where the predicted value of the prediction section is more than first threshold, is come in units of the second phase
By make the predicted value compared with the first threshold be more than rate be below the first feasible value arbitrarily set by user in a manner of
Operation mode is selected from a variety of operation modes；And
Control unit controls the equipment according to the operation mode selected by the selector.
2. managing device according to claim 1, which is characterized in that
The selector is configured to：There is no make the predicted value of the prediction section compared with described in a variety of operation modes
First threshold is more than in the case that rate is the operation mode below first feasible value, to be come in units of the second phase
Operation mode is selected from a variety of operation modes in a manner of making the predicted value for below second threshold, wherein, described the
Two threshold values are more than the first threshold.
3. managing device according to claim 2, which is characterized in that
The selector is configured to：There is no make the predicted value of the prediction section for described second in a variety of operation modes
In the case of operation mode below threshold value, come in units of the second phase so that the predicted value is compared with second threshold
Value is more than that rate or the predicted value are more than that the probability of the second threshold is mode below the second feasible value from a variety of fortune
Operation mode is selected in rotary-die type.
4. managing device according to claim 3, which is characterized in that
The selector is configured to：There is no make the predicted value of the prediction section compared with described in a variety of operation modes
Second threshold is more than that rate or the predicted value are more than the probability of the second threshold for the operation mode below the second feasible value
In the case of, change at least one operation mode in a variety of operation modes stored in the storage part.
5. managing device according to claim 3, which is characterized in that
The selector is configured to：There is no make the predicted value of the prediction section compared with described in a variety of operation modes
Second threshold is more than that rate or the predicted value are more than the probability of the second threshold for the operation mode below the second feasible value
In the case of, change the second threshold.
6. the managing device according to any one of Claims 1 to 5, which is characterized in that
The prediction section is configured to：Described set is predicted using the specification information of the equipment and the duration of runs table of the equipment
The accumulated value of consumption electric power in standby.
7. the managing device according to any one of Claims 1 to 5, which is characterized in that
It is also equipped with obtaining the acquisition unit of meteorological data,
The prediction section is configured to：Disappearing in the equipment is predicted using the meteorological data got by the acquisition unit
The accumulated value of power consumption power.
8. a kind of device management method, which is characterized in that have：
Prediction process, using the actual value of the consumption electric power in the equipment measured by measuring appliance, every second phase prediction the
The accumulated value of the consumption electric power in the equipment during one, wherein, the second phase is shorter than the first period；
Selection course, in the case where the predicted value of the prediction process is more than first threshold, in units of the second phase
Come so that the predicted value compared with the first threshold is more than that rate is side below the first feasible value arbitrarily set by user
Formula selects operation mode from a variety of operation modes of the equipment；And
Control process controls the equipment according to the operation mode selected by the selection course.
9. a kind of management system, which is characterized in that possess：
Multiple equipment；
Measuring appliance measures the consumption electric power in the equipment；And
Managing device controls the equipment,
Wherein, the managing device has：
Storage part is stored with a variety of operation modes for the equipment；
Prediction section, using the actual value of the consumption electric power in the equipment measured by the measuring appliance, every the second phase
Between predict first period in the equipment in consumption electric power accumulated value, wherein, the second phase is than the first phase
Between it is short；
Selector in the case where the predicted value of the prediction section is more than first threshold, is come in units of the second phase
By make the predicted value compared with the first threshold be more than rate be below the first feasible value arbitrarily set by user in a manner of
Operation mode is selected from a variety of operation modes；And
Control unit controls the equipment according to the operation mode selected by the selector.
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| JP2013101337A JP2014222396A (en) | 2013-05-13 | 2013-05-13 | Management device, equipment management method, and management system |
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| PCT/JP2014/002279 WO2014185014A1 (en) | 2013-05-13 | 2014-04-23 | Management apparatus, device management method, and management system |
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| WO2018168646A1 (en) * | 2017-03-13 | 2018-09-20 | パナソニックＩｐマネジメント株式会社 | Power control device and power system |
| CN107689671A (en) * | 2017-08-31 | 2018-02-13 | 珠海格力电器股份有限公司 | Power consumption control method and device |
| JP7052520B2 (en) * | 2018-04-18 | 2022-04-12 | 株式会社デンソー | Terminals, programs, and energy management systems |
| WO2024194981A1 (en) * | 2023-03-20 | 2024-09-26 | 日本電気株式会社 | Power consumption calculation device, method, and computer-readable medium |
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| CN102668300A (en) * | 2009-09-29 | 2012-09-12 | 松下电器产业株式会社 | Electric power management system |
| CN102279297A (en) * | 2010-05-13 | 2011-12-14 | Ls产电株式会社 | Apparatus and method for energy management |
Also Published As
| Publication number | Publication date |
|---|---|
| WO2014185014A1 (en) | 2014-11-20 |
| CN105229893A (en) | 2016-01-06 |
| JP2014222396A (en) | 2014-11-27 |
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