CN105103168A - Estimation device and estimation method - Google Patents

Estimation device and estimation method Download PDF

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CN105103168A
CN105103168A CN201380074946.6A CN201380074946A CN105103168A CN 105103168 A CN105103168 A CN 105103168A CN 201380074946 A CN201380074946 A CN 201380074946A CN 105103168 A CN105103168 A CN 105103168A
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data
energy
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electric power
storage part
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大泽淳司
井上博之
北原满雄
原田真宏
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Daiwa House Industry Co Ltd
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Daiwa House Industry Co Ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
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    • G06Q10/0637Strategic management or analysis, e.g. setting a goal or target of an organisation; Planning actions based on goals; Analysis or evaluation of effectiveness of goals

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Abstract

An objective of the present invention is to make an estimation, with good precision, residential electricity rates which reflects the presence of an HEMS, an accumulator system, or a V2H wherein power is mutually exchanged between an electric vehicle and a residence. A computer which makes an estimation of residential electricity rates comprises: a candidate presenting unit (2) which presents to a user whether an HEMS, an accumulator system, and/or a V2H are available as candidates relating to residence specifications; and an estimation unit (4) which reads from a storage unit (6) residence-related data which denotes user adoption results with respect to the candidates which the candidate presenting unit (2) has presented, and makes an estimation of the electricity rates according to the adoption results which the data denotes. When the residence-related data which denotes availability for each system is stored in the storage unit (6), the estimation unit (4) reads out master management data which is stored in the storage unit (6) and which denotes a usage state of each system and makes the estimation of the electricity rates with the usage state which the data denotes as input information thereof.

Description

Estimating device and evaluation method
Technical field
The present invention relates to estimating device and the evaluation method of the usage charges estimating the energy used at buildings, particularly relate to estimating device and the evaluation method that can estimate and buildings be imported to the energy usage charges under each system situation.
Background technology
The level of interest that people are taken for photo-thermal is higher, and particularly Japan is after the Japanese violent earthquake in east, and because nuclear energy power generation stops degradation reason under the power supply capacity caused, the unit price of electric power sharply rises, and the level of interest taken for photo-thermal improves further.Therefore, the technology estimating that the photo-thermal corresponding with the life style of oneself or living environment takes exactly is needed.
In addition, in recent years, in the building lot of buildings, arrange the situations such as individual generating set and waste heat recovery apparatus increasing always.That is, when construction and the transformation of planning buildings, can inquire into and introduce individual generating set or waste heat recovery apparatus, generally, determine whether introducing by introducing cost and comparing balance by the energy reduction effect that equipment is introduced.In addition, in order to have a power failure and disaster time etc. the possible period of want or need, also have and inquire into the Importation situation of the said equipment.
Under above-mentioned background, in recent years, the technology (for example, referring to patent documentation 1 to 3) of prediction photo-thermal expense when introducing solar power plant or central heating equipment is invented.Program disclosed in patent documentation 1 to 3, according to the life style of occupant or house specification prediction photo-thermal time-consuming, consider can estimate photo-thermal expense introducing the energy reduction effect in solar power plant or central heating equipment situation.
If utilize above-mentioned photo-thermal expense predictor, with reference to the estimation result of take in the plan construction of buildings or the photo-thermal of alteration stage, can be suitable on the basis of this estimation result judge whether introduction solar power plant or central heating equipment.That is, can as the judgement material inquired into when whether introducing solar power plant or central heating equipment by the predicted value of the photo-thermal expense of program estimation disclosed in patent documentation 1 to 3.
Patent documentation 1: JP 2010-282546 publication
Patent documentation 2: patent No. 4068931 publication
Patent documentation 3: patent No. 4153897 publication
Summary of the invention
On the other hand, in recent years, as the equipment of the energy behaviour in service improved in buildings, monitoring with Smart Home be energy behaviour in service in the buildings such as the house of representative and building energy management system, the stored energys such as accumulator are set, be developed to the load supply energy-autarchic system of energy in buildings and the mutual feed system of the energy mutually carrying out Power supply between thing and buildings of taking as V2H (VehicletoHome) so as required.Certainly can have an impact to photo-thermal expense when introducing these systems, but disclosed in patent documentation 1 to 3 program, due to not corresponding with the presence or absence of above-mentioned Operation system setting, reflection relevant information estimates that photo-thermal expense is very difficult.Therefore, under existing conditions, when whether discussion introduces said system, can not get useful information (judgement material).
In addition, in recent years, unit price about the supply electric power (hereinafter also referred to as systematic electricity) from source power supply sets multiple charge plan, the charge plan that electricity consumer can be therefrom suitable according to the life style of oneself, concrete energy expenditure model selection.On the other hand, in above-mentioned energy management system, energy-autarchic system and the mutual feed system of energy, when introducing any system, what accompany with it is the change of the consumption figure of systematic electricity, about most suitable charge plan, exist according to said system arrange have unconverted possibility.
Therefore, the present invention is in view of above-mentioned problem, its object is to provide the presence or absence of reflection above-mentioned energy management system, energy-autarchic system and energy mutual feed system homenergic interconnected system, and can accurately estimate at the estimating device of the energy usage charges of buildings and evaluation method.
In addition, other objects of the present invention are, when the unit price about systematic electricity sets multiple charge plan, according to the most suitable charge plan of presence or absence prompting of above-mentioned energy interconnected system.
Described problem is solved by following manner.According to estimating device of the present invention, it is the estimating device of the usage charges of the energy that a kind of estimation uses between floors, there is the candidate prompting part to user's prompting candidate relevant to described buildings specification, store the storage part represented for the 1st data of the employing result of the user of the described candidate suggested by this candidate prompting part, described 1st data are read from this storage part, estimate the estimating portion of the described usage charges corresponding with the described employing result represented by the 1st data, described candidate prompting part, by energy management system, energy-autarchic system, and the presence or absence of the setting of at least one system in the mutual feed system of energy is pointed out as described candidate, this energy management system notice is at the energy usage of described buildings, this energy-autarchic system storage energy the load be supplied in described buildings, the mutual feed system of this energy carries out Power supply mutually in taking between thing and described buildings of also running from described buildings received energy, when representing that described 1st data of the system of at least one described in being provided with are stored in described storage part, described estimating portion read be stored in described storage part expression described in the 2nd data utilizing form of at least one system, and using the described form that utilizes of the 2nd data representation as usage charges described in input data-evaluation.
According to above-mentioned estimating device, in energy management system, energy-autarchic system, the mutual feed system of energy, when buildings being provided with to the system of at least one, consider that the form that utilizes of this system can estimate energy usage charges.That is, if above-mentioned estimating device, the presence or absence of reflection energy interconnected system accurately can estimate the energy usage charges at buildings.
In addition, at above-mentioned estimating device, described energy management system is that notice is while the electricity usage amount of described buildings, notify the electric power management system of the advisory information in order to reduce described electricity usage amount, the presence or absence of the setting of described electric power management system is pointed out as described candidate by described candidate prompting part, when representing that described 1st data being provided with described electric power management system are stored in described storage part, described estimating portion reads from described storage part and represents and follow the degree of described advisory information and described 2nd data of parameter that change corresponding to user, and the described parameter represented by the 2nd data is also passable as usage charges described in input data-evaluation.
The degree of following of the advisory information notified for electric power management system according to user (such as, follow advisory information as far as possible, follow or do not follow completely in a way) electricity usage amount change, the electricity charge also change together with it.Even this situation, if above-mentioned formation, the degree that reflection user follows advisory information accurately can estimate the electricity charge.
In addition, at above-mentioned estimating device, described energy-autarchic system has store power while, the electric power stored is carried out the electric power self-contained unit of the electrical storage device discharged towards the load of described buildings, the presence or absence of the setting of described electric power self-contained unit is pointed out as described candidate by described candidate prompting part, when representing that described 1st data being provided with described electric power self-contained unit are stored in described storage part, described estimating portion reads described 2nd data of at least one information represented the capacity of described electrical storage device and the operation schedule of described electrical storage device from described storage part, and using also passable as usage charges described in input data-evaluation at least one information described in represented by the 2nd data.
According to above-mentioned formation, can reflect and whether be provided with electrical storage device or the capacity of electrical storage device and storage time when arranging, and accurately can estimate the electricity charge.
In addition, at above-mentioned estimating device, the presence or absence of the setting carrying out the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) of power generation in the building lot of described buildings is pointed out as described candidate by described candidate prompting part further, described storage part stores described 2nd data of the described operation schedule represented when being provided with described Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT), represent described 1st data being provided with described energy-autarchic system, and, when representing that the 1st data being provided with described Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) are stored in described storage part, described estimating portion reads described 2nd data representing described operation schedule from described storage part, and using also passable as usage charges described in input data-evaluation for the described operation schedule had when described Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) is arranged represented by the 2nd data.
According to above-mentioned formation, accurately can estimate that electrical storage device is with Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) and the electricity charge of used time.
In addition, at above-mentioned estimating device, the mutual feed system of described energy is taking the mutual feed system of the electric power mutually carrying out electric power supply between the electric automobile of thing and described buildings as described, the presence or absence of the setting of mutual for described electric power feed system is pointed out as described candidate by described candidate prompting part, when representing that described 1st data being provided with the mutual feed system of described electric power are stored in described storage part, described estimating portion utilizes the time from the described electric automobile of described storage part reading expression, to the duration of charging of described electric automobile and described 2nd data of carrying out at least one time among electric power service time from described electric automobile to described buildings, and using also passable as usage charges described in input data-evaluation at least one time described in represented by the 2nd data.
According to above-mentioned formation, what can reflect electric automobile utilizes the time, to the duration of charging of electric automobile and carry out electric power service time from electric automobile to buildings and accurately estimate the electricity charge.
In addition, at above-mentioned estimating device, described storage part will represent the unit price data of the unit price of the electric power supplied from source power supply, stored respectively by the charge plan of multiple setting according to for described unit price, described estimating portion reads described unit price data from described storage part respectively according to described charge plan, and according to the described charge plan of difference, the described unit price represented by these unit price data is estimated that described usage charges are also passable as input information respectively.
According to above-mentioned formation, when the unit price about systematic electricity sets multiple charge plan, estimating the electricity charge respectively for each charge plan, most suitable charge plan can be determined by comparing estimation result between charge plan.That is, be above-mentioned formation, when the unit price about systematic electricity sets multiple charge plan, most suitable charge plan can be pointed out according to the presence or absence of energy interconnected system.
In addition, at above-mentioned estimating device, Dynamic Pricing is comprised at described charge plan, this Dynamic Pricing is, described unit price changed among one day, and, the peak value of described unit price needs according to the electric power for described source power supply of the application Japan and China of this peak value and determined, described storage part stores needs relevant statistics to described electric power, described estimating portion predicts described electric power needs based on the described statistics read from described storage part, described peak value is determined from predicting the outcome of needing of described electric power, and the described peak value determined is also passable as the described usage charges inputted when charge plan described in data-evaluation is set to described Dynamic Pricing.
According to above-mentioned formation, from the peak value of the statistics determination electric power unit price that electric power needs, based on peak value, estimate the electricity charge when charge plan is set to Dynamic Pricing.That is, be above-mentioned formation, the electricity charge planned when being set to Dynamic Pricing that assess a fee that can be suitable.
Described problem is solved by following manner.Evaluation method according to the present invention is a kind of evaluation method using computing machine to estimate the usage charges of the energy used between floors, there are described computing machine reads the employing result of the user represented for described candidate the 1st data to the step of user's prompting candidate relevant to the specification of described buildings, described computing machine from the storage part in described computing machine, and estimate the step of the described usage charges that basis is corresponding with the described employing result of described 1st data representation, pointing out in the step of described candidate to user, described computing machine, energy usage is notified system, energy-autarchic system, and the presence or absence of the setting of at least one system in the mutual feed system of energy is pointed out as described candidate, this energy usage notice notifications are at the energy usage of described buildings, this energy-autarchic system storage energy the load be supplied in described buildings, the mutual feed system of this energy carries out Power supply mutually in taking between thing and described buildings of also running from described buildings received energy, when representing that described 1st data being provided with at least one system described are stored in described storage part, in the step of the described usage charges of estimation, described computing machine read be stored in described storage part expression described at least one the 2nd data utilizing form, and using the described form that utilizes represented by the 2nd data as usage charges described in input data-evaluation.
According to said method, in energy management system, energy-autarchic system, the mutual feed system of energy, when buildings being provided with to the system of at least one, utilizing form and accurately estimating energy usage charges of this system can be considered.
According to the present invention, each presence or absence of reflection energy management system, energy-autarchic system, the mutual feed system of energy accurately can estimate the energy usage charges at buildings.
In addition, according to the present invention, when the unit price about systematic electricity sets multiple charge plan, the presence or absence according to energy interconnected system can point out most suitable charge plan.
Accompanying drawing explanation
Fig. 1 is the concept map representing the estimating device relating to one embodiment of the present invention.
Fig. 2 is the figure representing that the hardware of the estimating device relating to one embodiment of the present invention is formed.
Fig. 3 is the figure of the formation representing the estimating device relating to one embodiment of the present invention from functional surfaces.
Fig. 4 is the figure of the formation of the data representing the storage part being stored in the estimating device relating to one embodiment of the present invention.
Fig. 5 is the figure (one) of the example of the input picture representing estimation necessary information.
Fig. 6 is the figure (its two) of the example of the input picture representing estimation necessary information.
Fig. 7 is the figure of the example representing territorial environment data.
Fig. 8 is the figure of the example representing electric power unit price data.
Fig. 9 is the figure of the example representing house construction data.
Figure 10 is the figure of the example representing reduction rate table.
Figure 11 is the figure of the example representing battery data.
Figure 12 represents that EV utilizes the figure of an example of data.
Figure 13 A is the figure of the example represented about solar cell power generation device data.
Figure 13 B is the figure of the example represented about fuel cell power generating system data.
Figure 14 is the figure of order when representing the annual electricity charge of estimation.
Figure 15 represents the figure (one) about the estimation process flow process of the annual electricity charge.
Figure 16 is the figure (its two) of the estimation process flow process represented about the annual electricity charge.
Figure 17 is the figure (its three) of the estimation process flow process represented about the annual electricity charge.
The figure of computation sequence when Figure 18 is electric power unit price peak value when representing that Dynamic Pricing is selected.
Figure 19 is the figure of the change example representing reduction rate table.
Embodiment
Below, with reference to while accompanying drawing, the estimating device of a kind of embodiment that the present invention relates to (following, present embodiment) and evaluation method are described.In addition, in the following description, enumerate the usage charges of the energy used at the house of the example as buildings, particularly estimate that the example of the electricity charge is described.But house is an example of buildings, the present invention is also applicable to estimate the buildings except house, as the situation of the usage charges of the energy in the buildings in commercial mansion, factory, shop.In addition, house refers to outside the house of independent building, also comprises the concept in a room in the condominiums such as apartment.
Relate to the estimating device of present embodiment and the summary of evaluation method.
First, summarize about the estimating device and evaluation method that relate to present embodiment.
The estimating device relating to present embodiment is (following, this device) 1, such as, as Housing Company sales support instrument and be utilized, as shown in Figure 1, to user's prompting in the photo-thermal expense of house, particularly at the device of the estimation result of the annual cost of use (the annual electricity charge) of the electric power of residential usage.Here, user refer to the people of the estimation result utilizing the annual electricity charge, specifically, be considering to purchase house and the client of finishing, or described laterly considering the client introducing HEMS, battery system and V2H homenergic interconnected system.
In addition, the annual electricity charge are the electricity charge calculated in units of 1 year, the electricity charge that calculated in units of one month add up to the expense in 12 month, the electricity charge that calculated in units of 1 day add up to any one among the expense of 365 days just passable.
And the unique point of this device 1 is, whether introduce HEMS described later, battery system and V2H homenergic interconnected system, when introduction, consider that it utilizes form to estimate the electricity charge.Here, energy interconnected system is its presence or absence quoted or utilizes form to the power consumption of premises and the influential thing of the annual electricity charge.
User such as considers whether will introduce energy interconnected system while consideration house-purchase or finishing, by the feature of this device 1 from can be suitable after the introduction effect of the estimation results verification energy interconnected system of the electricity charge judge whether introduce homologous ray.
Illustrate, as shown in Figure 1, the annual electricity charge (at Fig. 1, introducing the annual electricity charge in HEMS and battery system situation) when energy interconnected system are introduced in estimation to this device 1, point out its estimation result to user.In addition, this device 1 estimates the annual electricity charge of not introducing completely in energy interconnected system situation, its result is pointed out as with reference to expense to user.Further, under this device 1 calculates and introduces energy interconnected system situation and do not introduce the difference (being labeled as value in Fig. 1) of the annual electricity charge in energy interconnected system situation, and this difference of user is notified.Its result, user can confirm to quote the annual electricity charge in energy interconnected system situation and introduce effect, can judge whether to introduce energy interconnected system on the basis of these information.
But this device 1 is, as shown in Figure 1, by computing machine, the PC P that shop-assistant's (following, office worker) of Housing Company is all is specifically formed, and calculator memory contains for estimating the data that the electricity charge need or program.
In other words, evaluation method of the present embodiment is the method utilizing computing machine to estimate the electricity charge, specifically, by reading and the program of logout in computing machine, can run the process of the estimation electricity charge.
In addition, the computing machine of structure cost apparatus 1 is not limited to all PC P of office worker, such as, also can be the situation utilizing so-called cloud service.That is, all PC P of office worker is connected through the internet to external server (such as, the ASP server of Housing Company's management), and this external server estimation electricity charge, its estimation result can be received at all PC P side joints of office worker.In addition, computing machine is not limited to PC P, also can utilize the mobile terminal such as smart mobile phone and panel computer.
In addition, when estimating the electricity charge, all PC P of office worker receives the input operation of users by machine entered such as keyboard, mouse or contact panels.When this input operation estimates the electricity charge to input, required information performs, and specifically, is performed by the input picture of aftermentioned Fig. 5, Fig. 6.
In addition, about above-mentioned input operation, user can directly perform, and also can office worker after listening to consumers' opinions, replace user to perform.
About the formation of this device.
Next, the formation about this device 1 is described.
This device 1, as previously described, the PC P all by office worker is formed, and is described the hardware of this PC P, as shown in Figure 2, has CPU10, ROM11, RAM12, hard disk 13, machine entered 14 and output device 15.CPU10 reading is stored in the program of ROM11 and hard disk 13 to run various process, and this program comprises the program (following, estimation program) of the estimation electricity charge.
In RAM12, store CPU10 run data required for various process, related data comprises the data of the input information of the expression user received by machine entered 14.
Hard disk 13 is one of auxilary units, the various data (specifically, estimation database 20 described later) needed when storing the various program headed by above-mentioned estimation program therein or run estimation program.In addition, about auxilary unit, also can use the medium beyond hard disk 13, such as, SSD (SolidStateDrive) or flash memory etc. can from the media of PC P handling.
Machine entered 14 is made up of the positioning equipment such as keyboard, mouse, as described above, receives to input information required for the estimation electricity charge and the user operation that performs.In addition, machine entered 14 also can receive to again write the data being stored in hard disk 13 and the operation performed.
The printer being used for performing the input picture of input operation, the display device representing the estimation result of the electricity charge, estimation result are printed as the media such as papery is made up of user by output device 15.
About the formation of this device 1 of above-mentioned explanation, be described from functional surfaces at this.
This device 1, as shown in Figure 3, in order to allow user input information required for the estimation electricity charge, have point out house specification to be correlated with candidate prompting part 2 from candidate to user, receive user and adopt result and the operation acceptance division 3 of operation that performs to represent relative to the candidate suggested by candidate prompting part 2.In addition, this device 1 has the estimating portion 4 estimating the annual electricity charge, the estimation result notification unit 5 annual electricity charge of estimation being notified user by the output devices such as display device 15.Further, this device 1 has the storage part 6 of the data of the estimation electricity charge such as the data of the expression user operation content that storage operation acceptance division 3 receives.The functional realiey of the PC P that each inscape of these these devices 1 (that is, candidate prompting part 2, operation acceptance division 3, estimating portion 4, estimation result notification unit 5 and storage part 6) is possessed by office worker.
Below, each inscape about this device 1 is described respectively.
Candidate prompting part 2 is realized by CPU10, the ROM11 of PC P, RAM12, hard disk 13, output device 15 and above-mentioned estimation program, points out house specification to be correlated with candidate to user.
Illustrate, when estimating the annual electricity charge by this device 1, the data of the input picture such as represented by Fig. 5 are read in candidate prompting part 2, represent this input picture on the display apparatus.On correlated inputs picture, the trade name of the house that Housing Company provides (in the drawings, be labeled as commodity X, commodity Y) be prompted as the relevant candidate of house specification outside, build the candidate of the region of house (in the drawings, be labeled as A region, B region, C region) or the candidate (in the drawings, being labeled as Utilities Electric Co. L, Utilities Electric Co. M, Utilities Electric Co. N) of Utilities Electric Co. that utilizes also be prompted.
In addition, about the candidate illustrated in Fig. 5, a just example, the candidate outside Fig. 5 diagram also can be prompted.In addition, about the number of the candidate pointed out at each specification items, can be different number illustrated from Fig. 5.Further, about the candidate of Utilities Electric Co. suggested when being estimated the annual electricity charge by this device 1, bundle mutually with the construction region of house, select the construction region of prompting, the Utilities Electric Co. that can utilize in this region can automatically limit and point out.Or the liberalization of reflection electric power, be not limited to the construction region of house, national all Utilities Electric Co.s can point out as candidate.
Therefore, at this device 1, candidate prompting part 2 is by each system about HEMS (HomeEnergyManagementSystem), battery system and V2H (VehicletoHome) shown in Fig. 5, and its presence or absence arranged is pointed out to user as candidate.
HEMS is an example of energy management system, by constructing network collection in premises about the information of the energy usage at premises, is notified afterwards by this energy usage visualization (visual).Particularly, the HEMS as candidate that candidate prompting part 2 is pointed out is equivalent to the relevant information of power supply and demand of collecting premises, by premises terminal to the electric power management system of occupant's notice at the power consumption of house.
Therefore, generally, electricity usage amount when arranging HEMS compares with electricity usage amount when not arranging HEMS, is set as minimum reduction 5%.Therefore, have when being provided with this input operation of HEMS, with power consumption compared with when not arranging, be only reduced to prerequisite with certain reduction rate estimates the annual electricity charge to this device 1.
Further, at the HEMS as candidate that this device 1 is pointed out about candidate prompting part 2, being equivalent to notice while the power consumption of house, notifying the electric power management system of the advisory information in order to cut down power consumption.
Therefore, this device 1 considers that user estimates the electricity charge after to what extent following above-mentioned advisory information.That is, about the annual electricity charge estimation by this device 1, the degree that user follows the advisory information from HEMS notice is reflected.Therefore, candidate prompting part 2, as shown in Figure 5, point out about the candidate (in figure, being labeled as " following Saving energy as far as possible ", " following Saving energy in a way ", " substantially not following Saving energy ") being equivalent to the economize on electricity level of interest following above-mentioned advisory information degree at input picture.
Battery system is an example of the energy-autarchic system of load (electric power load) in stored energy housing, specifically, be the electric power self-contained unit while that there is store power, the electric power of storage being carried out the accumulator (example of electrical storage device) discharged towards the load of premises.Here, about the presence or absence that battery system is arranged, impact is had on the alteration mode of the power supply and demand balance of premises in a day, the words further illustrated, the supply electric power (hereinafter also referred to as systematic electricity) come from source power supply according to the charging of accumulator, electric discharge schedule is by time period of using at most and the use amount respective change with the time period.According to such reason, this device 1 reflects the annual electricity charge of presence or absence estimation that battery system is arranged.
In addition, at this device 1, as shown in Figure 5, multiple prompting is carried out to the candidate when having battery system and arranging in candidate prompting part 2, specifically, carries out multiple prompting to the model (in figure, being labeled as model 1, model 2) of accumulator.That is, this device 1 is except the presence or absence that battery system is arranged, and reflects the model of the accumulator that homologous ray uses and estimates the annual electricity charge.
V2H is from house received energy and the example taking the mutual feed system of the energy mutually carrying out Power supply between thing and house run, specifically, as taking the mutual feed system of electric power mutually carrying out electric power supply between the electric automobile (hereinafter also referred to as EV) of thing and house.Here, about the presence or absence that V2H is arranged, there is impact to the variation of the power supply and demand balance of premises, further illustrate, utilize form in the use amount respective change of the systematic electricity of each time period according to EV.According to such reason, this device 1 reflects the annual electricity charge of presence or absence estimation that V2H is arranged.
In addition, about V2H, it is not the system of the mutual supply electric power be defined between EV and house, such as, replace EV, also can as plug-in hybrid automobile (PHV), fuel cell car (FCV) or the system mutually supplying electric power between kart and house.
In addition, in this device 1 candidate prompting part 2, as shown in Figure 5, add HEMS, battery system and V2H system, the candidate of the presence or absence of the setting of the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) generated electricity in the building lot of house as house specification is pointed out further.About the setting of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT), have impact to the variation of the power supply and demand balance of premises, more specific description, with above-mentioned battery system and when, the operation schedule of accumulator adjusts according to the operation schedule of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT).According to such reason, this device 1 reflects the annual electricity charge of presence or absence estimation that Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) is arranged.More specific description, this device 1 considers whether also estimate the annual electricity charge by battery system and Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT).
And, in this device 1 candidate prompting part 2, as shown in Figure 5, multiple candidate is pointed out as the candidate had when Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) is arranged, specifically, point out as the solar cell of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT), fuel cell and the situation with both as candidate.That is, whether this device 1 is considered and by battery system and Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT), and when reflect that the kind of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) estimates the annual electricity charge.
In addition, about the candidate of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT), be not limited to solar cell and Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT), Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) in addition, such as gas engine formula Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) also can be pointed out as candidate.
Operation acceptance division 3 is that CPU10, ROM11 according to PC P, RAM12, machine entered 14, output device 15 and estimation program realize, and receives the input operation of user, the data of the content representing this input operation are stored in storage part 6.Here, in the input operation of the user that operation acceptance division 3 receives, the input operation that user performs in order to the candidate pointed out for candidate prompting part 2 represents employing result is included.
Represent as the candidate in order to point out for candidate prompting part 2 and adopt result and the input operation carried out, such as, click the radio button in the input picture shown in Fig. 5.Such as, but about input operation, be not defined especially, the candidate of projects is shown with drop-down menu sheet, also the operation selected from this menu can be performed as input operation.
In addition, the input operation that acceptance division 3 receives the consumption power mode performed by the illustrated input picture of Fig. 6 is operated.Here, consumption power mode is the action model of taking action about the electricity consumption the premises user of a day, represents which time period to have consumed how much electric power in.
About the words that the input operation of consumption power mode is described, after being terminated by the input operation of the illustrated input picture of Fig. 5, user clicks table is shown in picture switching push button in same picture (in Fig. 5, be labeled as the button of " next step "), the input picture of the illustrated consumption power mode of Fig. 6 can be represented.User is by the consumption power mode of this input picture input oneself.Illustrate, about each time period in one day, whether each room inputting house according to room respectively uses.
Be described with reference to while Fig. 6, in input picture, click the hurdle corresponding with the time period used about each room user, this hurdle can indicate zero mark.Then, user's operation clicked in picture completes button (in Fig. 6, being labeled as the button of " completing ").This series of operation is the result received by operation acceptance division 3, and generate the data (following, consumption power mode data) of the consumption power mode representing user's input, these consumption power mode data are stored in storage part 6.
In addition, about consumption power mode, suppose on ordinary days different with off-day situations, need on ordinary days can input respectively with off-day as shown in Figure 6.At this moment, as shown in Figure 6, consider the situation that the electric power unit price of Utilities Electric Co. is different according to what day, more need to specify be equivalent on ordinary days what day and be equivalent to what day of off-day.
In addition, the occupant comprising user's house is multiple situation, can according to occupant's input electric power consumption mode respectively.
And, at input picture, be designed with as about the project beyond consumption power mode, as illustrated in Fig. 6 project, such as, go out the time (not time) and go out etc., input the hurdle of the lifestyle information relevant to electricity consumption, the annual electricity charge can be estimated based on relevant information.
Estimating portion 4 realizes according to CPU10, ROM11, RAM12 of PC P and estimation program, reads the estimation data being stored in the annual electricity charge of storage part 6, and the information of this data representation is as the year electricity charge of input data-evaluation.
Illustrate, the information parameter of estimation data representation that estimating portion 4 will read from storage part 6, by after the estimation rule of information determines, the parameter obtained and computation rule should being applicable to certain computing formula and estimating the annual electricity charge.In addition, the computing formula about parameterized method and the annual electricity charge is not particularly limited, such as, and the parametric method that Housing Company also can be utilized to set and computing formula.
In addition, in this device 1 estimating portion 4 using the annual electricity charge when not introducing HEMS, battery system and V2H homenergic interconnected system completely as with reference to while costimating, calculate introduced in (being provided with) energy interconnected system situation with annual electricity charge difference between the two when not introducing (setting).
Further, when the unit price about systematic electricity sets multiple charge plan, estimating portion 4 can estimate the annual electricity charge of each charge plan respectively according to charge plan.Then, estimating portion 4 contrasts the estimation result of each charge plan, concerning most suitable charge plan user in selected multiple charge plan, is exactly the charge plan determining that the annual electricity charge are the most cheap in simple terms.
Estimation result notification unit 5 is CPU10, ROM11 according to PC P, RAM12, output device 15 and estimation program realize, and represents the estimation result of estimating portion 4 in display device etc.Further illustrate, estimation result notification unit 5, as shown in Figure 1, the annual electricity charge calculated, the completely difference do not introduced as the annual electricity charge during energy interconnected system estimated with reference to expense and these expenses are represented at same picture.But, be not limited thereto, also each estimation result can be represented at each picture respectively.
In addition, estimation result notification unit 5 is by the estimation result of the annual electricity charge when display device represents, the precondition that estimating portion 4 is suitable for when estimating the annual electricity charge, in simple terms, the presence or absence about each the setting of HEMS, battery system and V2H represents in the lump.
Further, when the unit price about systematic electricity is set with multiple charge plan, as previously described, estimating portion 4 estimates the annual electricity charge respectively for each charge plan, and the most cheap charge plan of the annual electricity charge is determined.Under correlation circumstance, estimation result notification unit 5, as shown in Figure 1, the most cheap charge plan of the annual electricity charge determined according to estimating portion 4 represents in display device as most suitable charge plan.
In addition, at this device 1, annual electricity charge when being suitable for above-mentioned most suitable charge plan, in the annual electricity charge of each charge plan of estimating portion 4 estimation, only represent on the display apparatus by estimation result notification unit 5.But be not limited thereto, the whole annual electricity charge of each charge plan also estimating portion 4 can estimated represent in display device.
Storage part 6 is made up of the CPU10 of PC P, ROM11, RAM12, hard disk 13, and store the data of estimation required for the annual electricity charge.The words illustrated, estimate that the data required for the annual electricity charge are stored by data base system at storage part 6, this database (following, estimation database 20), as shown in Figure 4, house related data 21, consumption power mode data 22, main management data 23 are included.
Below, be specifically described about each data in estimation database 20.
House related data 21 is the data input operation performed by the illustrated input picture of Fig. 5 being received by operation acceptance division 3 and generate.In other words, house related data 21 is equivalent to represent that the user of the candidate pointed out on input picture for candidate prompting part 2 adopts the 1st data of result.The words illustrated, as shown in Figure 4, house related data 21 adopts multiple condition data of result to form by expression user, and this condition data includes regional condition 21A, Utilities Electric Co. condition 21B, Residence Design condition 21C, HEMS utilize condition 21D, economize on electricity level of interest condition 21E, battery system utilizes condition 21F, V2H utilizes condition 21G and Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) utilizes condition 21H.
Regional condition 21A is the data of the employing result of the candidate represented for the region building house.Utilities Electric Co. condition 21B is the data of the employing result of the candidate represented for the Utilities Electric Co. utilized.Residence Design condition 21C is the data of the employing result of the candidate (specifically, as the trade name of the house of candidate) representing the house provided as commodity for Housing Company.
HEMS utilizes condition 21D to represent the data of employing result for candidate with presence or absence of arranging about HEMS.Economize on electricity level of interest condition 21E represents that having user when HEMS is arranged follows degree, i.e. the data of the employing result of the candidate for economize on electricity level of interest of user for this HEMS in order to what cut down the advisory information of the electricity usage amount notice of premises.
Battery system utilizes condition 21F to represent the presence or absence arranged for battery system and the data had for the employing result of the candidate of the model of the accumulator used when this battery system is arranged.V2H utilizes condition 21G to represent the data of employing result for candidate with presence or absence of arranging about V2H.Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) utilizes condition 21H to represent the presence or absence arranged for Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) and the data had for the employing result of the candidate of the kind of this Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) when Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) is arranged.
Consumption power mode data 22 are the data being received by operation acceptance division 3 by the input operation of the consumption power mode of the illustrated input picture execution of Fig. 6 and generate.
Main management data 23 are data that the various candidates pointed out with the input picture at Fig. 5 are associated, and generate when foregoing estimation program is installed in PC P, are stored in storage part 6.In addition, about main management data 23, be stored in the data at initial stage time (acquiescence) that estimation program is mounted, user can rewrite renewal by not shown input picture by correction.
Further illustrate about main management data 23, as shown in Figure 4, include territorial environment data 31A, unit price data 31B, house construction data 31C, reduction rate table 31D, battery data 31E, EV utilize data 31F and Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) data 31G.
Territorial environment data 31A is the data be associated with the candidate of the construction region about house (such as, A region, B region, C region), and the candidate according to each region prepares respectively.Be described with reference to while Fig. 7, territorial environment data 31A is the statistics of the environment representing the region (about the data of Fig. 7, being associated with A region) that same data 31A associates.
Further illustrate, the region that territorial environment data 31A is associated at same data 31A, need about temperature on average, insolation amount and electric power, respectively with the day moon and its passing of time representation.Here, temperature on average is daily mean temperature, and insolation amount is the insolation amount directly passed on, and in present embodiment, adopts the insolation amount of the representative day each time in each moon.In addition, about insolation amount, such as, preferably respectively provide according to the position angle taking due south as benchmark.In addition, electric power needs to be the electric power needs for source power supply, more specifically, in the requirement of the ground domain representation systematic electricity be associated with territorial environment data 31A.In addition, electric power needs can be total electricity requirement at certain day, or also can be the power requirement needing the time period of peaking at certain day electric power.
Unit price data 31B is the data of the unit price representing systematic electricity, is associated with the candidate (such as, Utilities Electric Co. L, Utilities Electric Co. M, Utilities Electric Co. N) about the Utilities Electric Co. utilized.That is, at storage part 6, represent that the data of the unit price of the systematic electricity that each Utilities Electric Co. sets alone are stored respectively according to each Utilities Electric Co..In addition, in Utilities Electric Co., have the unit price about systematic electricity to set the situation of multiple charge plan, about the electric power unit price of associate power company, unit price data 31B is stored respectively by according to each charge plan.
The words be described while unit price data 31B reference Fig. 8 about each charge plan, such as, Utilities Electric Co. L by " generic schema ", " period planning ", " peak value moving projection " and " Dynamic Pricing " sets as charge plan when, relative to these 4 charge plan, the unit price data 31B of Utilities Electric Co. L is stored in storage part 6.In addition, 4 above-mentioned charge plan are an example, also can be set as charge plan other than the above.
Here, " generic schema " is the charge plan from amount type, and according to monthly total use amount of power, electric power unit price changed in the multistage (example shown in Fig. 8 is 3 stages)." period planning " is the charge plan different according to different time sections, removing basic charge, electric power unit price sets different numbers respectively according to the time period (example shown in Fig. 8 is time period in addition when 17-23 (during 7-10 and) in section in the daytime in section at night (when 23-next day 7 time), daily life time (when 10-17 time), daily life time)." peak value moving projection " is different charge plan according to Various Seasonal different time sections, identical with " period planning ", removing basic charge, and electric power unit price is different according to the time period.Further, about " peak value moving projection ", different between summer and season in addition at regular hour section (example shown in Fig. 8 be in the daytime section (when 10-17 time)) electric power unit price.
" Dynamic Pricing " is that electric power unit price changed in 1 day, and the peak value (in Fig. 8, being labeled as CPP) of electric power unit price is suitable at this peak value the charge plan needing according to the electric power for source power supply day to determine.In addition, example shown in Fig. 8, electric power unit price when peak value with different during non-peak, and, about during peak value unit price (, the peak C PP of electric power unit price), change in 3 stages (such as, being discontented with 20GWh, 20-30GWh, more than 30GWh) according to the size that electric power needs.
Therefore, this device 1 is when estimating annual electricity charge when Dynamic Pricing being adopted as charge plan, and estimating portion 4 predicts electric power needs on the basis of aforesaid territorial environment data 31A, predicts the outcome determine the peak C PP of electric power unit price from it.And the peak C PP of electric power unit price that determines as input information, is estimated annual electricity charge when charge plan being set as Dynamic Pricing by estimating portion 4.In addition, about the operation steps determining electric power unit price peak C PP, can describe in detail below.
In addition, at this device 1, as shown in Figure 8, add the unit price data 31B representing systematic electricity unit price, when making electric power from unit price when house side direction source power supply side counter-current flow, in simple terms, represent that the unit price data 31B of purchase volume when Utilities Electric Co. buys dump power from house is stored.Owing to storing the purchase unit price of dump power like this, this device 1 is when estimating the annual electricity charge in generation dump power situation, (following from the use amount according to systematic electricity, also referred to as buying electricity) the annual electricity charge that determine, the purchase volume deducted according to dump power is (following, sell electricity) the year's purchase volume that determines calculates the clean annual electricity charge, and these clean annual electricity charge are notified user as estimation result.
In addition, at this device 1, the electric power of purchase object is defined through the electric power of individual's generating, when generation power exceedes the electric power load of house, calculates the year's purchase volume according to dump energy.But, be not limited thereto, such as, outside the electric power of individual's generating, comprise and calculate year's purchase volume from the dump power of self-supporting power supply (electric power supply by the electric power supply device of the house side) entirety of the supply electric power of accumulator or EV as purchase object.
In addition, at this device 1, the purchase unit price of dump power is certain, but is not limited thereto, and also can be set as according to the presence or absence of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) and the different number of operating condition thereof.To give one example explanation, during solar electrical energy generation from the purchase unit price battery discharging situation from can be different from the purchase unit price battery discharging situation when there is no a solar electrical energy generation.
In addition, about the setting of the electric power unit price of each charge plan shown in Fig. 8, an only example, it can be the setting of more detailed unit price, such as, house is the situation of complete electrified house or arranges the situation of accumulator, can be suitable for certain discount when meeting some requirements.In addition, define set for the variation adjustment electric power unit price of the fuel price such as based on crude or LNG fuel adjustment expense, add that the environmental tax of the electricity charge, Utilities Electric Co. are applied to the expense (solar electrical energy generation promotes that additional cost, renewable energy power generation promote additional cost) of the electric power person of needs when buying the dump power of solar electrical energy generation or renewable energy power generation, can estimate the electricity charge based on these information.
House construction data 31C is the data relevant with the candidate of commerical residence (such as, specifically as the trade name that candidate is enumerated), prepares respectively according to the candidate of each commodity.With reference to the words that Fig. 9 is described simultaneously, house construction data 31C comprises the commercial building thing shape datas such as the construction zone data of the attribute (such as, heat insulation region is distinguished) represented about the construction region of house, the shape representing house or size, represents that the window data of the number of window etc. and expression form the heat insulation specification data of the heat-proof quality of each building materials of house.These data are data of the Q value (heat loss factor of house) in order to calculate input information when estimating the annual electricity charge.
In addition, Fig. 9 illustrated house construction data 31C is an example, also can comprise and representing the data beyond the illustrated data of the influential Fig. 9 of Q value.
Reduction rate table 31D follows degree, namely relevant to the candidate of the economize on electricity level of interest of user data for HEMS in order to what cut down the advisory information user that notifies in the electricity usage amount of premises, is equivalent to represent that HEMS's utilizes form the 2nd data.
Illustrate, reduction rate table 31D is the list data representing the economize on electricity level of interest of user and the corresponding relation of reduction rate.Here, reduction rate represents the reduction rate utilizing the electricity usage amount of an example of form as HEMS, is equivalent to the parameter of user according to the change of economize on electricity level of interest.Be described with reference to Figure 10 simultaneously, because the effect of HEMS has a great difference according to the economize on electricity level of interest of user's (specifically, the occupant of house), set the reduction rate of multiple electricity usage amount according to economize on electricity level of interest.Describe in detail, at this device 1, about follow as far as possible HEMS notice advisory information time reduction rate be 15%, being 10% when following advisory information in a way, is 5% when substantially not following advisory information.
In addition, about the illustrated reduction rate of Figure 10, just an example, can set arbitrarily.Here, about effect during introduction HEMS, generally, by using the electricity usage amount of the electrical equipment outside cooking appliance or water heater to cut down 1 one-tenth, relatively good as reference settings reduction rate.
Battery data 31E is the data relevant to the model with the accumulator used when battery system is arranged, and is equivalent to the 2nd data utilizing form representing battery system.
Illustrate, battery data 31E prepares respectively according to the model of each accumulator, defines specification and the operating conditions of accumulator.Be described with reference to Figure 11, battery data 31E defines capacity, the availability of accumulator and runs schedule simultaneously.Here, the availability of accumulator is the index that the capacity remaining charge capacity representing for accumulator can discharge when becoming how many %.In addition, the operation schedule of accumulator defines duration of charging and the discharge time of accumulator in 1 day, strictly speaking, defines charging start time, charging end time, electric discharge start time and electric discharge end time.In addition, these information is just for specifying the example running schedule, such as when set discharged power use until exhausted make electric discharge continue this operation schedule, do not specify the end time of discharging, define the surplus of charge capacity when terminating electric discharge.
In addition, about operation schedule, as shown in figure 11, to respectively provide and by the situation of battery system and Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) with do not arrange the situation that Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) utilizes separately battery system.Which reflects the corresponding variation of operation schedule having no storage battery according to Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT).Illustrate, the battery data 31E shown in Figure 11, relative to when being set as 10 the discharge time of the accumulator utilized separately in battery system situation to 23 time, and with when being set as 18 the discharge time in solar cell situation to 23 time.In addition, battery system and fuel cell and when, 7 time to 23 time time period preferentially generate electricity, not enough part is from battery discharging.
At this device 1, although battery data 31E is the whole data representing the capacity of above-mentioned accumulator, availability and run schedule, as long as it is just passable to run the data of the information representing at least one party in schedule at the capacity of accumulator and accumulator.In addition, about battery data 31E, also can be comprise the information beyond foregoing (capacity, availability and operation schedule), to the influential information of the annual electricity charge, such as, maximum discharged power amount, charged electrical strength, discharging efficiency, charge efficiency, fractional load efficiency, stand-by electric etc.
EV utilizes data 31F to be equivalent to represent that V2H utilizes the 2nd data of form, specifically, specifies the specification of EV and service condition.Be described with reference to Figure 12 simultaneously, EV utilize data 31F be represent the capacity of EV, distance that every day travels, fuel consumption and utilize the data of schedule.Here, utilize schedule refer to EV utilize the time (being departure time and the time of going home strictly speaking), EV duration of charging (be strictly speaking charging the start time and charging the end time) and carry out from EV to house electric power supply power-on time (be strictly speaking power supply the start time and power supply the end time).In addition, about above-mentioned 3 times, it is desirable to can set multiple time period separately.
At this device 1, although EV utilize data 31F be represent EV utilize the time, EV duration of charging and carry out whole data of power-on time of electric power supply from EV to house, as long as represent that in these 3 times the data of the time of at least one are just passable.In addition, utilize data 31F about EV, also can be comprise foregoing (capacity, every day travel distance, fuel consumption and utilize schedule) beyond information, on the annual electricity charge by the information affected, such as, could power to house, efficiency for charge-discharge, EV utilize object etc.
In addition, EV utilize schedule when on ordinary days and be different between off-day, it is desirable on ordinary days can input respectively with off-day.
Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) data 31G is the data relevant with the candidate of the kind of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) (such as, solar cell, fuel cell), prepares respectively according to the such as various species shown in Figure 13 A and 13B.Be described with reference to Figure 13 A and 13B, Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) data 31G is equivalent to the 2nd data with design specification, setting model and the operator scheme etc. that represent this device when Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) is arranged simultaneously.
Further illustrate, the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) data 31G about solar cell defines the setting angle arranging number and plate of the capacity of solar panels, the shape arranging the roof of solar panels, each orientation plate.On the other hand, the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) data 31G about fuel cell defines generating output and operator scheme.Here, about the operator scheme of fuel cell, the kind of fuel cell determines, such as, about polymer electrolyte fuel cell (PEFC), takes the operator scheme according to the generating of heat load, usually, when every day 7 to 23 time between generate electricity.In addition, about Solid Oxide Fuel Cell (SOFC), the operator scheme generated electricity for 24 hours is taked in principle.
In addition, above-mentioned content is an example of the information that Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) data 31G represents, also can be the suitable content set according to the kind of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT).
About the estimation process according to this device.
Next, the estimation process of the annual electricity charge performed according to this device 1 is described.
Above-mentioned estimation process is by such as, and user or office worker perform certain operation (such as, picture being clicked certain icon) and start that estimation program starts on PC P.That is, along with the starting of estimation program, each portion of this device 1, namely candidate prompting part 2, operation acceptance division 3, estimating portion 4 and estimation result notification unit 5 start running.
The words illustrated, in order to the necessary information allowing user input electricity charge estimation, illustrated for Fig. 5 input picture represents in face by candidate prompting part 2 on the display apparatus, the candidate that the candidate pointing out the construction region of house to be correlated with to user, the Utilities Electric Co. of utilization are correlated with, the candidate that house specification is relevant.Therefore, for the candidate that candidate prompting part 2 is pointed out, user is in order to represent that employing result performs the words of input operation, operation acceptance division 3 receives this input operation, generate the data (that is, house related data 21) representing above-mentioned employing result, be stored in storage part 6.In addition, operation acceptance division 3 receives the input operation of the consumption power mode that user is performed by the illustrated input picture of Fig. 6, generates the data (that is, consumption power mode data 22) representing this input content, is stored in storage part 6.
Then, estimating portion 4 reads house related data 21 and consumption power mode data 22 from storage part 6, the annual electricity charge of the information of estimation represented by these data (specifically, user is for the employing result of each candidate or consumption power mode).Therefore, at this device 1, estimating portion 4 reflect HEMS, battery system and V2H and so on energy interconnected system presence or absence estimation the annual electricity charge.
The words of more specific description, the HEMS that estimating portion 4 reads house related data 21 from storage part 6 utilizes condition 21D, battery system utilizes condition 21F, V2H utilizes condition 21G, and the setting about each energy interconnected system determines the employing result of user for the candidate of prompting.Therefore, when representing that the data being provided with any energy interconnected system are stored in storage part 6, estimating portion 4 read represent this energy interconnected system utilize the data of form (specifically, reduction rate table 31D, battery data 31E, EV utilize data 31F), will form be utilized as the year electricity charge of input data-evaluation represented by these data.
The words of simple declaration, (namely expression is provided with the data of HEMS, HEMS utilizes condition 21D) when being stored in storage part 6, estimating portion 4 reads the data (that is, economize on electricity level of interest condition 21E) of the economize on electricity level of interest representing user from storage part 6.Further, estimating portion 4 reads reduction rate table 31D from storage part 6.Then, estimating portion 4 determines the economize on electricity level of interest of user from the economize on electricity level of interest condition 21E read, and determines the reduction rate corresponding with the economize on electricity level of interest determined from reduction rate table 31D.By above step, estimating portion 4 the most at last according to the reduction rate of the economize on electricity level of interest of user as the year electricity charge of input data-evaluation.Illustrate, electricity usage amount is only deducted the part being equivalent to above-mentioned reduction rate by estimating portion 4, and the electricity usage amount after cutting down estimates the annual electricity charge.
In addition, (namely expression is provided with the data of battery system, battery system utilizes condition 21F) when being stored in storage part 6, estimating portion 4 reads from storage part 6 and represents the specification of accumulator and the data (that is, battery data 31E) of operating conditions.Then, estimating portion 4 using the information represented by battery data 31E as input data-evaluation year the electricity charge.Illustrating, estimating portion 4, such as, during battery discharging, by offsetting from buying electricity the electricity of buying that discharge capacity etc. calculates each time period corresponding with the operation schedule of accumulator, estimating the annual electricity charge from the electricity of buying calculated.
In addition, battery data 31E respectively provided battery system and Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) and the operation schedule of used time accumulator and utilize separately battery system time accumulator operation schedule.Therefore, estimating portion 4 is when estimating the annual electricity charge had when battery system is arranged, and the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) reading house related data 21 utilizes condition 21H, the kind having the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) that it's too late is arranged installed and put of determining to generate electricity.
Therefore, estimating portion 4 is when utilizing condition 21H to determine that having Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) is arranged from the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) read, in the operation schedule of the accumulator represented by battery data 31E, determine the operation schedule had when Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) is arranged, using this operation schedule as the year electricity charge of input data-evaluation.At this moment, estimating portion 4 reads the data (that is, Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) data 31G) of the specification representing Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) etc. further from storage part 6, using the information represented by these data as the year electricity charge of input data-evaluation.
Conversely, when estimating portion 4 utilizes condition 21H to determine do not have Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) to arrange from the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) read, run in schedule at the accumulator represented by battery data 31E, determine operation schedule when not having Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) to arrange, using this operation schedule as the year electricity charge of input data-evaluation.
In addition, when representing that the data (that is, V2H utilizes condition 21G) being provided with V2H are stored in storage part 6, estimating portion 4 reads the data (that is, EV utilizes data 31F) representing EV specification and operating conditions from storage part 6.Then, EV utilizes the information represented by data 31F as the annual electricity charge of input data-evaluation by estimating portion 4.Illustrate, estimating portion 4, such as, when powering from EV to house, by from buy electricity offset discharge capacity etc. calculate EV utilize schedule or each time period corresponding with operating range buy electricity, estimate the annual electricity charge from the electricity of buying calculated.
Just as described above, at this device 1, estimating portion 4 can reflect HEMS, battery system and V2H and so on energy interconnected system presence or absence estimation the annual electricity charge.
Further, when estimating portion 4 sets multiple charge plan about the unit price of systematic electricity, the annual electricity charge can be estimated respectively according to charge plan.
Illustrate in further detail, estimating portion 4, when estimating the annual electricity charge, reads the Utilities Electric Co. condition 21B of house related data 21, determines the Utilities Electric Co. that user adopts from the candidate of Utilities Electric Co. from storage part 6.Then, estimating portion 4, in the data (that is, unit price data 31B) of expression electric power unit price being stored in storage part 6, reads the unit price data 31B corresponding with the Utilities Electric Co. determined.Here, when the corresponding different charge plan of unit price data 31B of reading exists multiple, estimating portion 4 will represent that the electric power unit price of each unit price data 31B estimates the annual electricity charge as input information according to different charge plan.
In addition, when comprising foregoing Dynamic Pricing in charge plan, estimating portion 4 predicts the electric power needs of the construction region at house, predicts the outcome determine the peak C PP of electric power unit price from this.Then, the annual electricity charge when peak C PP determined is set as Dynamic Pricing as input data-evaluation charge plan by estimating portion 4.
The words of more detailed explanation, during the annual electricity charge of estimating portion 4 when the plan configuration that assesses a fee is Dynamic Pricing, read the regional condition 21A of house related data 21 from storage part 6, determine the employing result of the candidate user for the construction ground field prompt about house.Then, estimating portion 4 extracts the territorial environment data 31A corresponding with the construction region determined from storage part 6, with in data, reads the statistics that electric power needs.Estimating portion 4 analyzes this statistics, and the scope (specifically, being discontented with 20GWh, 20-30GWh, more than 30GWh) needed according to each electric power corresponding with each peak C PP of electric power unit price, calculates this corresponding annual number of days respectively.Above step is equivalent to the step at the construction region of house prediction electric power needs.
Then, estimating portion 4 reads the unit price data 31B of Dynamic Pricing from storage part 6, determines each peak C PP of electric power unit price.Further, estimating portion 4, according to the annual number of days calculated by above-mentioned steps, determines the annual number of days that each peak C PP is suitable for.Finally, estimating portion 4 is suitable for based on the corresponding relation of number of days by the peak C PP of electric power unit price and its, the annual electricity charge when plan configuration that assesses a fee is Dynamic Pricing.
Further, when estimating portion 4 calculates the annual electricity charge respectively according to different charge plan, determine concerning most suitable charge plan user in multiple charge plan, that is, the charge plan that the annual electricity charge are the most cheap.
The process of above-mentioned explanation is performed by estimating portion 4, and finally, the estimation result of the annual electricity charge is represented on the display apparatus by estimation result notification unit 5.Here, when estimating the annual electricity charge respectively according to different charge plan, the charge plan that the electric power unit price be suitable for when estimating with the most cheap annual electricity charge and this annual electricity charge is corresponding, in other words, as the plan that the annual electricity charge are the most cheap, represent the charge plan that estimating portion 4 is determined.
In addition, when this device 1 estimating portion 4 using annual electricity charge when not introducing energy interconnected system completely as with reference to while costimating, calculate the difference of the annual electricity charge of the situation introducing energy interconnected system and situation about not introducing.Then, about these result of calculation, be also represented in face on the display apparatus by estimation result notification unit 5.
The estimation order of the year electricity charge.
Next, the estimation order in the estimation process year electricity charge is described.In addition, the estimation order below illustrated is equivalent to be applicable to the flow process of the estimation process of the evaluation method of present embodiment.That is, the following description is the content of the evaluation method about present embodiment.
After the annual electricity charge of estimation, estimating portion 4 successively calculates desired value as shown in figure 14.Illustrate, in estimation process, first estimating portion 4 calculates the Q value of house.Then, estimating portion 4 calculates the load of the air-conditioning of house on the basis of the Q value calculated.In addition, estimating portion 4 calculates the use amount of the systematic electricity in each time on the basis of the consumption power mode represented by the same data (specifically consumption power mode data 22) being stored in storage part 6 of the air-conditioning load calculated, and namely buys electricity.At this moment, when there is dump power when there is battery system or Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) arranges, calculating the purchase volume of dump power in the lump, namely selling electricity.
Then, estimating portion 4 from calculate buy electricity and electric power unit price calculates the annual electricity charge.Illustrate, estimating portion 4 calculates the electricity charge of every day, obtains the electricity charge of every month according to its result of calculation.Here, the electricity charge about every day can calculate respectively according to the different dates, also can calculate the electricity charge of the representative day (strictly speaking, on ordinary days with representative day separately on off-day) of each moon.Finally, by the electricity charge of every month are calculated the annual electricity charge with the estimation of 12 month.In addition, buy electricity with sell electricity calculate simultaneously when, estimating portion 4 deducts from the annual electricity charge calculated on the basis of buying electricity the annual dump power calculated on the basis of selling electricity and buys volume, calculates the clean annual electricity charge.
In addition, as previously described, at this device 1, when setting multiple charge plan about electric power unit price, above-mentioned a series of calculating performs respectively according to different charge plan, as a result, calculates the annual electricity charge of different plan.
Below, each step about estimation process is described.
Estimation process is undertaken, first, from the illustrated input picture of Fig. 5 or Fig. 6 (S001) the place that the display device of PC P represents by the such as order shown in Figure 15,16,17.This step S001 is equivalent to this device 1 (more detailed words are candidate prompting parts 2) to point out about the candidate of the construction region of house, about the candidate of Utilities Electric Co., the step about the candidate of house specification that utilize to user.At this step S001, the presence or absence that the presence or absence of the setting of each system about HEMS, battery system and V2H and Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) are arranged is pointed out as the candidate about house specification by this device 1.
Then, user carries out input operation by above-mentioned input picture, and this device 1 (more detailed words are operation acceptance divisions 3) receives above-mentioned input operation (S002).Its result, generates the data of content representing this input operation, that is, house related data 21 and consumption power mode data 22 be stored in storage part 6 (S003).That is, these step S002 and S003 are the equal of the data obtaining the employing result candidate pointed out at abovementioned steps S001 being represented to user, and represent user consumption power mode data and be stored in the step of storage part 6.
Afterwards, this device 1 (more detailed words are estimating portion 4) reads house related data 21 and consumption power mode data 22 from storage part 6, estimates the annual electricity charge corresponding with the information represented by these data.Namely, the a series of step illustrated afterwards is equivalent to this device 1 represents the employing result of user house related data 21 from storage part 6 candidate read for house specification, estimates the step of the annual electricity charge corresponding with the employing result of the user of this data representation.
The words illustrated in further detail, when estimating the annual electricity charge, the estimating portion 4 of this device 1 reads the regional condition 21A of house related data 21 from storage part 6, determine the construction region of the house that regional condition 21A represents, and determine the territorial environment data 31A corresponding with this region and read (S004) from storage part 6.In addition, estimating portion 4 reads the Residence Design condition 21C of house related data 21, determines the trade name of the house that Residence Design condition 21C represents, and determines the house construction data 31C corresponding with this trade name and read (S005) from storage part 6.
Afterwards, estimating portion 4 calculates the Q value (S006) of house from the information that the territorial environment data 31A read and house construction data 31C is represented respectively, further, the basis of the Q value obtained calculates the air-conditioning load (S007) of house.After calculating air-conditioning load, estimating portion 4 reads consumption power mode data 22 to determine the consumption power mode that user inputs from storage part 6, calculates the electric power load (S008) of house each time based on the air-conditioning load calculated according to this consumption power mode and abovementioned steps S007.In addition, electric power load and electricity usage amount equivalent in meaning.
Next, estimating portion 4 from storage part 6 read house related data 21 to energy interconnected system relevant data are set, specifically, be that HEMS utilizes condition 21D, battery system utilizes condition 21F, V2H utilizes condition 21G, determine the information represented by these data.
Illustrate, estimating portion 4 reads HEMS from storage part 6 and utilizes condition 21D, and the candidate for the presence or absence prompting arranged about HEMS determines the employing result (S009) of user.Here, when representing that the HEMS being provided with HEMS utilizes condition 21D to be stored in storage part 6 (be Yes at S010), estimating portion 4 reads the economize on electricity level of interest condition 21E of house related data 21 further from storage part 6, determine the economize on electricity degree of attentiveness (S011) of the user of this data representation.Afterwards, estimating portion 4 reads the reduction rate table 31D be stored in from storage part 6, determines the reduction rate (S012) corresponding with the economize on electricity level of interest determined.Then, estimating portion 4 only reduces the part corresponding with the reduction rate determined, the electric power load (S013) that correction calculates according to step S008 above in order to electric power load, and step below uses the electric power load after correction.
On the other hand, when representing that not having HEMS that HEMS arranges utilizes condition 21D to be stored in storage part 6 (be No at S010), above-mentioned step S011, S012, S013 are omitted, and directly carry out step below.In addition, do not have HEMS when arranging, owing to not using the step of reduction rate correction electric power load, step below uses does not have the electric power load of correction (the electric power load in the stage in other words, calculated according to step S008 above).
In addition, estimating portion 4 reads battery system from storage part 6 and utilizes condition 21F, and the candidate for the presence or absence prompting arranged about battery system determines the employing result (S014) of user.Here, when representing that the battery system being provided with battery system utilizes condition 21F to be stored in storage part 6 (be Yes at S015), the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) that estimating portion 4 reads house related data 21 further from storage part 6 utilizes condition 21H, determines the presence or absence (S016) that the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) represented by these data is arranged.
Then, when representing that the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) being provided with Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) utilizes condition 21H to be stored in storage part 6 (be Yes at S017), estimating portion 4 reads the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) data 31G corresponding with this kind from storage part 6 determine the kind of the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) arranged from same data after.Accordingly, estimating portion 4 is determined (S018) such as the specifications of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) on the basis of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) data 31G.In addition, these information determined are used to calculation procedure below (specifically, calculating buying electricity and selling the step S024 of electricity of each time).
Further, the battery system that estimating portion 4 reads from step S014 above utilizes condition 21F to determine the model of accumulator, reads the battery data 31E corresponding with this model from storage part 6, determines the capacity of the accumulator represented by same data and runs schedule.At this moment, there is (be Yes at S017) when Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) is arranged, in the operation schedule of the accumulator represented by battery data 31E, with Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) and when operation schedule determined (S019).On the other hand, do not have (be No at S017) when Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) is arranged, in the operation schedule of the accumulator represented by battery data 31E, battery system is determined (S020) by the operation schedule under independent utilization power.
The capacity of the accumulator that above step S019, S020 determine and operation schedule are used to step (specifically, calculating the step S024 buying electricity and sell electricity) below.
In addition, when representing that not having battery system that battery system arranges utilizes condition 21F to be stored in storage part 6 (be No at S015), above-mentioned step S016, S017, S018, S019, S020 are omitted, and directly carry out step below.
In addition, estimating portion 4 reads V2H and utilizes condition 21G, and the candidate for the presence or absence prompting arranged about V2H determines the employing result (S021) of user.Here, when representing that the V2H being provided with V2H utilizes condition 21G to be stored in storage part 6 (be Yes at S022), estimating portion 4 reads EV from storage part 6 and utilizes data 31F, and the EV determining represented by same data 31F utilizes the time or from EV to information (S023) such as the power-on times of house.In addition, these information determined are used to calculation procedure below (specifically, calculating buying electricity and selling the step S024 of electricity of each time).
On the other hand, when representing that not having V2H that V2H arranges utilizes condition 21G to be stored in storage part 6 (be No at S022), above-mentioned step S023 is omitted, and directly carries out step below.
The words that above-mentioned step terminates, estimating portion 4 with the electric power load calculated according to step S008 or according to the electric power load after the correction of step S013 correction, with the energy interconnected system determined with aforesaid step utilize the information of morphologic correlation (specifically, the capacity of the generating dutation of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) or capacity etc., accumulator or run schedule, EV utilize time or power-on time) based on, calculate the use amount of the systematic electricity of each time, namely buy electricity (S024).At this moment, buy electricity for time negative, namely, when exceeding electric power load generation dump power by the electric power of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT), calculate the purchase volume of this dump power, namely sell electricity.
Afterwards, estimating portion 4 reads the Utilities Electric Co. condition 21B of house related data 21 and determines the Utilities Electric Co. represented by Utilities Electric Co. condition 21B, and determine the unit price data 31B corresponding with this Utilities Electric Co., read same data 31B (S025) from storage part 6.Then, estimating portion 4 calculates the electricity charge (S026) of every day based on the electric power unit price buying represented by electricity and unit price data 31B calculated by step S024 above.Further, estimating portion 4 calculates the electricity charge of every month from the electricity charge of the every day obtained above, by this result of calculation is calculated the annual electricity charge (S027) with the estimation of 12 month.
In addition, as previously described, when step S024 above calculate simultaneously buy electricity and sell electricity, estimating portion 4, to buy the purchase volume that the annual electricity charge calculated based on electricity deduct the dump power to sell the year calculated based on electricity, calculates the clean annual electricity charge., about the purchase volume of the year residue electricity charge, obtain the purchase volume of every day from the purchase volume of the dump power of buying represented by electricity and unit price data 31B calculated here, by being obtained with estimation in 365 days by this volume.
Here, providing multiple charge plan from the Utilities Electric Co. that Utilities Electric Co. condition 21B determines about electric power unit price, estimating portion 4 reads unit price data 31B respectively according to different charge plan, calculates the electricity charge of every day and the annual electricity charge respectively according to different charge plan.That is, when being associated with multiple unit price data 31B for the Utilities Electric Co. determined from Utilities Electric Co. condition 21B, estimating portion 4 estimates the annual electricity charge respectively according to different charge plan.
In addition, when multiple charge plan that Utilities Electric Co. provides comprise Dynamic Pricing, estimating portion 4 according to the peak C PP of step determination electric power unit price as shown in figure 18, annual electricity charge when charge plan to be set as Dynamic Pricing as input data-evaluation by the peak C PP determined.
The words more specifically described, estimating portion 4 is when estimating annual electricity charge when charge plan being set as Dynamic Pricing, the statistics that electric power needs is read from the territorial environment data 31A read according to step S004 above, discontented 20GWh, 20-30GWh, various situations more than 30GWh are needed for electric power, calculates corresponding annual number of days (S051) respectively.Afterwards, after estimating portion 4 determines each peak C PP of electric power unit price from the unit price data 31B of Dynamic Pricing, determine according to the annual number of days calculated by step S051 above the annual number of days (S052) that each peak C PP is suitable for.
By above order, estimating portion 4 determines that the peak C PP of electric power unit price is suitable for the corresponding relation of number of days with it, annual electricity charge when being set to Dynamic Pricing from the plan of assessing a fee of this corresponding relation.
Calculating the step S026 of the electricity charge of every day about described above and calculate the step S027 of the annual electricity charge, is repetition about whole charge plan to the estimation of the annual electricity charge terminates (S028).Then, about whole charge plan, the estimation of the annual electricity charge terminates, and estimating portion 4 determines the charge plan that the annual electricity charge are the most cheap from multiple charge plan, i.e. most suitable charge plan (S029).
A series of step described above terminates, and the most suitable charge plan determined by step S029 above and the annual electricity charge estimated by this charge plan are represented (S030) in display device by estimation result notification unit 5.At this moment, with presence or absence of the energy interconnected system as precondition of estimation result notification unit 5 when representing the annual electricity charge of estimation is arranged simultaneously, the difference of the annual electricity charge of annual electricity charge when not importing energy interconnected system completely and the relevant annual electricity charge and being the most cheaply worth of calculating (that is, by the annual electricity charge that above-mentioned a series of step calculates) represents in the lump.
About the validity of present embodiment.
Validity about present embodiment is described, and first is, about each energy interconnected system of HEMS, battery system and V2H, and the having that it's too late and consider that under facilities, it utilizes form and estimates the annual electricity charge of house of setting.Reflect the presence or absence of energy interconnected system like this and estimate the result of the annual electricity charge, accurately the annual electricity charge of estimation become possibility.
Second point is, when estimation has annual electricity charge when HEMS is arranged, that considers the advisory information that user points out for HEMS follows degree, that is, consider the economize on electricity level of interest of user and estimate the annual electricity charge.Here, due to the words that the economize on electricity level of interest of user changes, the electricity usage amount change of premises, the annual electricity charge of accompanying with it also can change, if the words of the formation of present embodiment, the economize on electricity level of interest of user is reflected in the estimation of the annual electricity charge, estimates that the annual electricity charge become possibility more accurately.
Thirdly be, the capacity of the accumulator that what reflection battery system was arranged have that it's too late under facilities or discharge and recharge time also estimate the annual electricity charge.In addition, at battery system and Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) and with in situation, according to the discharge and recharge time fluctuation of the generating dutation accumulator of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT), if the words of the formation of present embodiment, consider on the basis of this situation, accurately estimation electrical storage device and Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) the electricity charge of used time become possibility.
4th is, what reflection V2H was arranged have that it's too late under facilities EV utilizes the time, estimates the annual electricity charge to the duration of charging of EV and from EV to the power-on time of house.
5th is, when setting multiple charge plan about systematic electricity unit price, estimates the electricity charge respectively for each charge plan, determines most suitable charge plan by comparing estimation result between charge plan.Accordingly, consider the presence or absence that energy interconnected system is arranged and estimate the annual electricity charge of each charge plan, the presence or absence arranged according to each energy interconnected system informs the user most suitable charge plan becomes possibility.
In addition, even if charge plan comprises the situation of Dynamic Pricing, if the formation of present embodiment, from the peak value of the statistics determination electric power unit price that electric power needs, the basis of this peak value is estimated the annual electricity charge of Dynamic Pricing become possibility.
Other embodiments.
At above-mentioned embodiment, about estimating device of the present invention and evaluation method, be illustrated for an example.But above-mentioned embodiment is in order to an easier understanding example of the present invention, and non-limiting the present invention.The present invention does not depart from its purport, and while change, improvement, invention comprises its equivalent is a matter of course.
At above-mentioned embodiment, although estimate the electricity charge, the usage charges of other energy as the usage charges of energy, such as, estimating that combustion gas expense or lam-oil take, the time-consuming the present invention of hydrogen can be suitable for equally.Further, also by totals such as the electricity charge and combustion gas expenses, and this aggregate value can be notified.
In addition, at above-mentioned embodiment, estimate the annual electricity charge and inform the user, but being not limited thereto, any one expense in the electricity charge of every day, the electricity charge weekly, the electricity charge monthly, the electricity charge between the several years can be estimated.
In addition, at above-mentioned embodiment, about notice in the electricity usage amount of house and in order to cut down the HEMS of the advisory information of electricity usage amount, its presence or absence arranged is pointed out as the candidate about house specification.Therefore, at above-mentioned embodiment, when there is HEMS and arranging this input operation, consider degree of the following estimation electricity charge of user to the advisory information of HEMS.Illustrate, determine the reduction rate corresponding with the degree of following to advisory information, the reduction rate determined uses as the input information of the estimation electricity charge.
On the other hand, there is the type that automatically can control the running status of the electrical equipment of premises according to the power supply and demand balance of premises in HEMS.Exist and the HEMS of correlation type is pointed out as candidate, there is this HEMS when this input operation is set, also can estimate the electricity charge by the reflection automatic control whether run for electrical equipment.Specifically, determine the reduction rate corresponding with the presence or absence of the operation automatically controlled for electrical equipment, the input information of the reduction rate determined as the estimation electricity charge is used.
The words be more clearly described, as the candidate of Land use models with this HEMS when HEMS is arranged, also can point out only by visual for the power supply and demand of premises and notification mode, will automatically control the pattern of the electrical equipment of premises while notifying the power supply and demand of energy-conservation advisory information pattern, notice premises and energy-conservation advisory information while visual for the power supply and demand of premises notice.Here, about each pattern, correspondingly with reduction rate to associate, when user selects one from above-mentioned pattern, determined with the corresponding reduction rate associated of pattern selected.In such formation, from the Land use models determination reduction rate that user selects, also can using this reduction rate as the year electricity charge of input data-evaluation.
Further, about reduction rate, as shown in figure 19, also can arrange respectively according to concrete power-saving method.The words illustrated, the data of the expression reduction rate corresponding with the degree of following of the advisory information of HEMS, namely, reduction rate table 31D together time, or, replace reduction rate table 31D, represent that the table data (following, other reduction rate table) of the reduction rate corresponding with concrete power-saving method are stored also passable.The words be described while reduction rate table reference Figure 19 about other, in same table, relative to about at the major electrical equipment of premises or each power-saving method of stand-by electric, heating installation when defining normal reduction rate in using air-condition situation and normal time heating installation use outside the air-conditioning such as combustion gas or kerosene stove case of machines under reduction rate.Therefore, during the estimation electricity charge, in the input of input picture and corresponding whether the adopting of each power-saving method above-mentioned, the reduction rate corresponding with the power-saving method adopted is determined, the reduction rate determined is as the year electricity charge of input data-evaluation.
Set reduction rate as above-mentioned relative to concrete power-saving method, calculating the electricity charge whether corresponding with the employing of this power-saving method becomes possibility.
In addition, at above-mentioned embodiment, about HEMS, battery system and V2H, it is pointed out to user with or without the candidate as house specification.Therefore, at above-mentioned embodiment, at above-mentioned embodiment, each presence or absence arranged of reflection HEMS, battery system and V2H, about the system had when arranging be homologous ray utilize form, and estimate the annual electricity charge.But, can be also the whole of HEMS, battery system and V2H, but the system of at least one in these, its presence or absence arranged is pointed out as candidate.That is, about the system of one or two in HEMS, battery system and V2H, also can reflect its presence or absence arranged, estimate the annual electricity charge with the form that utilizes of the system with setting.
In addition, at above-mentioned embodiment, HEMS, battery system and V2H add that the presence or absence of Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) is pointed out to user as the candidate of house specification.But, above-mentioned content is not limited to the project that user points out about the candidate as house specification, as long as also can be the influential system of electricity usage measurer to premises, its presence or absence arranged is as candidate prompting, and what reflect the setting of this system has that it's too late and have utilizing form and estimating the annual electricity charge of homologous ray when arranging.In addition, to the influential system of electricity usage measurer of premises, such as, central heating system or Waste Heat Recovery System (WHRS).
In addition, about to the influential house specification of the electricity usage measurer of premises, also can enumerate the example such as cooking method or heating installation method beyond above-mentioned project, also can point out user using relevant item as candidate.Such as, also can be can list " gas cooking ", " electricity culinary art ", " combustion gas electricity with " about cooking method as candidate, reflect employing result for each candidate and estimate the annual electricity charge.
In addition, at above-mentioned embodiment, when estimating the annual electricity charge by this device 1, receive the input operation of the user about consumption power mode.Therefore, at above-mentioned embodiment, as the service time in each room of consumption power mode input house, but be not limited thereto, such as, also can input the service time of the electrical equipment in each corresponding room respectively according to each room.Or, represent the statement of life style (such as, " be in the daytime " or " only having be in night " etc.) selectively multiple expression, user therefrom selects the statement coincide with the life style of oneself, also can be automatically made the consumption power mode of registered in advance for the life style selected.
Further, also can make except consumption power mode, the hot water supplying mode of the gas consumption pattern representing each time period combustion gas use amount or the hot water supply representing each time period, as input receives information, reflects that these also estimate the annual electricity charge.
In addition, at above-mentioned embodiment, the presence or absence that reflection HEMS, battery system and V2H homenergic interconnected system are arranged also estimates the annual electricity charge, informs the user this estimation result.Further, at above-mentioned embodiment, inform the user the annual electricity charge do not arranged completely in energy interconnected system situation, there is the difference of annual electricity charge when energy interconnected system is arranged and when not having energy interconnected system to arrange.But, above-mentioned content is not limited to about the estimation result (result of calculation) informed the user, such as, also can estimate the introduction cost or operating cost (comprising maintenance cost) with this system when each energy interconnected system is arranged, notify this estimation result.
In addition, at above-mentioned embodiment, the project allowing user input when estimating the annual electricity charge is the illustrated project in the prompting of input picture of Fig. 5, specifically, respectively for the candidate about the construction region of house, Utilities Electric Co. and house specification, the employing result of user, and, the consumption power mode of user.But these projects are an example only, also can using the content beyond above-mentioned project as cuit, such as, respectively about the item utilizing form of HEMS, battery system and V2H, user also can by the input of input picture oneself.
Symbol description
1 device (estimating device)
2 candidate prompting parts
3 operation acceptance divisions
4 estimating portion
5 estimation result notification units
6 storage parts
10CPU
11ROM
12RAM
13 hard disks
14 machine entered
15 output devices
20 estimation databases
21 house related datas (the 1st data)
21A regional condition
21B Utilities Electric Co. condition
21C Residence Design condition
21DHEMS utilizes condition
21E economize on electricity level of interest condition
21F battery system utilizes condition
21GV2H utilizes condition
21H Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) utilizes condition
22 consumption power mode data
23 main management data (the 2nd data)
31A territorial environment data
31B unit price data
31C house construction data
31D reduction rate table
31E battery data
31FEV utilizes data
31G Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) data
P PC

Claims (8)

1. estimate an estimating device for the usage charges of the energy used between floors, it is characterized in that:
There is the candidate prompting part to user's prompting candidate relevant to the specification of described buildings;
Store the storage part represented for the 1st data of the employing result of the user of the described candidate suggested by this candidate prompting part;
Read described 1st data from this storage part, estimate the estimating portion of the described usage charges corresponding with the described employing result represented by the 1st data;
Described candidate prompting part, the presence or absence of the setting of at least one system in energy management system, energy-autarchic system and the mutual feed system of energy is pointed out as described candidate, this energy management system notice is at the energy usage of described buildings, this energy-autarchic system storage energy the load be supplied in described buildings, the mutual feed system of this energy is from described buildings received energy and taking between thing and described buildings of running carries out Power supply mutually;
When representing that described 1st data being provided with at least one system described are stored in described storage part, described estimating portion read be stored in described storage part expression described in the 2nd data utilizing form of at least one system, and using the described form that utilizes of the 2nd data representation as usage charges described in input data-evaluation.
2. estimating device according to claim 1, is characterized in that:
Described energy management system notifies while the electricity usage amount of described buildings, notifies the electric power management system of the advisory information in order to reduce described electricity usage amount;
The presence or absence of the setting of described electric power management system is pointed out as described candidate by described candidate prompting part;
When representing that described 1st data being provided with described electric power management system are stored in described storage part, described estimating portion reads from described storage part and represents and follow the degree of described advisory information and described 2nd data of parameter that change corresponding to user, and using the described parameter represented by the 2nd data as usage charges described in input data-evaluation.
3., according to the estimating device that claim 1 or 2 is recorded, it is characterized in that:
Described energy-autarchic system has store power while, the electric power stored carried out the electric power self-contained unit of the electrical storage device discharged towards the load of described buildings;
The presence or absence of the setting of described electric power self-contained unit is pointed out as described candidate by described candidate prompting part;
When representing that described 1st data being provided with described electric power self-contained unit are stored in described storage part, described estimating portion reads described 2nd data of at least one information represented the capacity of described electrical storage device and the operation schedule of described electrical storage device from described storage part, and using at least one information described in represented by the 2nd data as usage charges described in input data-evaluation.
4. estimating device according to claim 3, is characterized in that:
The presence or absence of the setting carrying out the Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) of power generation in the building lot of described buildings is pointed out as described candidate by described candidate prompting part further;
Described storage part stores described 2nd data of the described operation schedule represented when being provided with described Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT);
Represent described 1st data being provided with described energy-autarchic system, and, when representing that the 1st data being provided with described Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) are stored in described storage part, described estimating portion reads described 2nd data representing described operation schedule from described storage part, and using represented by the 2nd data be provided with described Blast Furnace Top Gas Recovery Turbine Unit (TRT) time described operation schedule as usage charges described in input data-evaluation.
5., according to the estimating device that any one in Claims 1-4 is recorded, it is characterized in that:
The mutual feed system of described energy is taking the mutual feed system of the electric power mutually carrying out electric power supply between the electric automobile of thing and described buildings as described;
The presence or absence of the setting of mutual for described electric power feed system is pointed out as described candidate by described candidate prompting part;
When representing that described 1st data being provided with the mutual feed system of described electric power are stored in described storage part, described estimating portion from described storage part read represent described electric automobile utilize the time, to the duration of charging of described electric automobile and described 2nd data of carrying out at least one time among electric power service time from described electric automobile to described buildings, and using at least one time described in represented by the 2nd data as usage charges described in input data-evaluation.
6., according to the estimating device that any one in claim 1 to 5 is recorded, it is characterized in that:
Described storage part, by representing the unit price data of the unit price of the electric power supplied from source power supply, is stored by the charge plan of multiple setting respectively according to for described unit price;
Described estimating portion reads described unit price data from described storage part respectively according to described charge plan, and the described unit price represented by these unit price data is estimated described usage charges as input information respectively according to the described charge plan of difference.
7. estimating device according to claim 6, is characterized in that:
Comprise Dynamic Pricing at described charge plan, this Dynamic Pricing is, described unit price changed among one day, and the peak value of described unit price needs according to the electric power for described source power supply of the application Japan and China of this peak value and determined;
Described storage part stores needs relevant statistics to described electric power;
Described estimating portion predicts described electric power needs based on the described statistics read from described storage part, described peak value is determined from predicting the outcome of needing of described electric power, and described usage charges when the described peak value determined is set to described Dynamic Pricing as charge plan described in input data-evaluation.
8. use computing machine to estimate a kind of evaluation method of the usage charges of the energy used between floors, it is characterized in that: there is the candidate relevant to the specification of described buildings pointed out by step from described computing machine to user;
Described computing machine reads the 1st data represented for the employing result of the user of described candidate from the storage part in described computing machine, and estimates the step of the described usage charges corresponding with the described employing result of described 1st data representation; Pointing out in the step of described candidate to user, described computing machine, energy usage is notified the presence or absence of the setting of at least one system in system, energy-autarchic system and the mutual feed system of energy is pointed out as described candidate, this energy usage notice notifications are at the energy usage of described buildings, this energy-autarchic system storage energy the load be supplied in described buildings, the mutual feed system of this energy is from described buildings received energy and taking between thing and described buildings of running carries out Power supply mutually;
When representing that described 1st data being provided with at least one system described are stored in described storage part, in the step of the described usage charges of estimation, described computing machine read be stored in described storage part expression described at least one the 2nd data utilizing form, and using the described form that utilizes represented by the 2nd data as usage charges described in input data-evaluation.
CN201380074946.6A 2013-03-27 2013-03-27 Estimation device and estimation method Pending CN105103168A (en)

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