CN104570161B - Typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA automates forecasting procedure - Google Patents
Typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA automates forecasting procedure Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
Forecasting procedure is automated the invention discloses a kind of typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA, has gathered Typhoon Route Forecast, debarkation point forecast, intensity of typhoon forecast three zones.On the basis of typhoon EC/JMA forecast data is obtained, cyclone center is found out according to cyclone wind field structure feature, by judging the wind field structure and circulation strength of all cyclones, the cyclone center for the condition that is unsatisfactory for is removed.Solar or lunar halo strength characteristic around center is obtained further according to polar coordinates interpolation method.This method considers the situation of the multiple multiple cyclone centers of period appearance of typhoon simultaneously.In the case where obtaining Typhoon Route Forecast information, with reference to coastline data, the coastline point around the intersection point in forecast path and coastline in the range of 0.5 longitude and latitude is obtained as the debarkation point of typhoon track.
Description
Technical field
Forecasting procedure is automated the present invention relates to typhoon, it is more particularly to a kind of based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA
Typhoon automation forecasting procedure.
Background technology
During Activities of Tropical Cyclone, often with blast, heavy rain, billow and storm tide.To mitigate tropical cyclone
The major disaster brought and the loss that causes with intensity to the path of tropical cyclone, it is necessary to carry out accurate forecast.In typhoon hair
In terms of the research of hair tonic exhibition, in conventional research, more using full Wind Data or Value of Remote Sensing Data, and eye recognition is combined
Method differentiate boiling pot, but this method is often with certain subjective error, and it is quite cumbersome to work.With
Gradually the enriching of typhoon detection means, typhoon theoretical level is stepped up, computing power and Numerical Prediction Models it is quick
Development, typhoon track is gradually developed into based on numerical forecast, and using man-machine dialogue system system as platform, integrated application is a variety of
The forecasting technique route of data and method.
And in terms of intensity of typhoon forecast, make slow progress so far.At present important guiding status is accounted in practical business be still
Statistics specialty.Japan and the U.S. have carried out the business that intensity change in typhoon is forecast using Numerical Prediction Method, but effect is not
It is preferable.The domestic method on intensity of typhoon numerical forecast is not also overripened.
As business system, the correlative study work that some units and department were carried out, such as Wu Jinta establishes good fortune
Province's typhoon protection landscape real-time system for monitoring and pre-warning is built, the system is caught emphatically to typhoon landscape and forecast aspect has carried out hardware and built
If the realization with communication networking plan, and Typhoon Route Forecast, early warning paid close attention to us etc. is to be related to.Jiang Chunfa etc. is used
GIS technology establishes Xiamen City's typhoon tracking and early warning system, in the rich side of typhoon tracking and monitoring, more mainly cartographic information
Face is than more prominent, but the system is limited primarily to the foundation of typhoon database and the display application aspect in GIS-Geographic Information System,
The need for function still can not meet meteorological department's typhoon business.
The content of the invention
In order to solve the problems such as traditional meteorological department manually forecasts typhoon identification error and cumbersome process in the prior art, this
Invention provide it is a kind of provide Typhoon Route Forecast product, solar or lunar halo forecast of intensity product and the integration of debarkation point forecast model products from
Dynamicization forecasting procedure.
In order to solve the above problems, the technical solution used in the present invention is：
Typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA automates forecasting procedure, it is characterised in that including：Step
One, Typhoon Route Forecast step, the cyclone center's point engraved when being forecast by finding carries out polar coordinates interpolation, obtains nearly center
Maximum wind velocity, according to the data frequency received, generate corresponding typhoon track；
Step 2, intensity of typhoon forecast step, polar coordinates are interpolated to by cyclone center's point natural coordinates of generation, it is determined that in
Air speed value in heart point peripheral extent；
The typhoon track of generation and coastline data are carried out Distance Judgment, protected by step 3, Landed Typhoon point judgment step
The intersection point with coastline is stayed, the point for being unsatisfactory for logging in condition is rejected, obtains the logging zone scope of debarkation point, and determine debarkation point
Landing time scope.
A kind of foregoing typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA automates forecasting procedure, it is characterised in that
The Typhoon Route Forecast step includes：
Step 1a, it is determined that forecast data generation area, EC Grid datas used are at intervals of 2.5 longitudes and latitudes, JMA lattice
Point data break is 1.25 longitudes and latitudes；
Step 1b, finds out all cyclone centers engraved during each forecast.Assuming that each lattice point center is zoning
Center（Cyclone center）, using the lattice point of the angle point of central point 4 as " circle ", carry out judging 2 ~ 3 circles from inside to outside, it is adjacent with central point
4 lattice points be first lap, continuous 4 points meet preferable cyclonic circulation condition, then the point is cyclone center, and it is the torrid zone to retain the point
The judgement of cyclone center；
Step 1c, seeks cyclone pericenter maximum wind velocity value.According to cyclone center's point longitude and latitude under required natural coordinates,
Air speed value carries out polar coordinates interpolation, obtains after polar coordinates air speed value in the range of the cyclone center outside 500km of point, interpolation on polar coordinates
Maximum wind velocity is the paracentral maximum wind velocity value of cyclone of requirement；
Step 1d, judges complete typhoon track, a complete Typhoon Route Forecast, several pre- is given the correct time by continuous
What cyclone center's point of section was judged, if cyclone center's point of two neighboring period is closer to the distance, meet same typhoon
Distance range, it is the point on same paths to give tacit consent to this 2 points.Opposite 2 points are distant, then give tacit consent to wherein for the
Point in two typhoon tracks, if in this forecasting process, the point is an isolated moment point, then exclude the paths can
Energy.
A kind of foregoing typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA automates forecasting procedure, it is characterised in that
Solar or lunar halo grade around step 2, central point, polar coordinates are interpolated to by cyclone center's point natural coordinates of generation, determine central point week
Enclose the air speed value in the range of 500km；
A kind of foregoing typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA automates forecasting procedure, it is characterised in that
Landed Typhoon point judgment step, including：
3a, coastline data is chosen, and whether the development in order to judge typhoon has an impact to inland, it is necessary to be directed to typhoon track
The coastline data of selection, data used include the latitude and longitude information file in coastline, and land and ocean mark personality
Dot file, 0 is ocean, and 1 is land；
3b, debarkation point judges, Distance Judgment will be carried out between each cyclone center's point and coastline point first, if distance
Less than or equal to 0.2 longitude and latitude, then it is assumed that cyclone center's point may be login point；Then the significant of land and ocean is passed through
File, judges the flag states 1/0 around cyclone center's point, if being 0 before cyclone center's point, behind be 1, then can be with
Judge that cyclone center's point is logged in.2 cyclone center's point lines before and after cyclone center's point in typhoon track are set up into straight line side
Journey, if having intersection point with coastline between 2 cyclone center's points, judges the intersection point for debarkation point, takes closest to land point
An intersection point be debarkation point, obtain the coastline point around debarkation point in the range of 0.5 longitude and latitude as logging zone scope；
Then by judging that the login point accounts for the distance between 2 cyclone center's points ratio, it is determined that logging in the time range of point；
A kind of foregoing typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA automates forecasting procedure, it is characterised in that
Also include in step 1b：For weaker cyclone, multiple central points can be judged using the above method, recorded in each cyclone
The starting solar or lunar halo for meeting condition of heart point, the starting solar or lunar halo of which central point then retains the point for cyclone center near center
Point, remaining cyclone center's point is removed.If there are obvious double division centers in cyclone simultaneously, judge Liang Ge cyclone centers point whether away from
From farther out, if more than more than 5 lattice points of Liang Ge cyclone centers point distance, two central points are retained simultaneously, judge that appearance is double
The situation of typhoon.
A kind of foregoing typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA automates forecasting procedure, it is characterised in that
The global lattice point forecast material forms of the EC/JMA are 2-D data（X/Y）, wherein EC data lattice point is 145*37, JMA data
For 113*73, deposited in micaps forms, for 24h once, JMA data temporal resolution is preceding 48 to EC data temporal resolution
Hours every 6 hours once with every 12 hours latter 36 hours once.
A kind of foregoing typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA automates forecasting procedure, it is characterised in that
The step 1a, it is determined that forecast data generation area, for tropical cyclone of northwestern Pacific Ocean multi-activity in the troposphere of low latitudes
Low layer, therefore data scope is limited in the range of 0~50 ° of N, 100~180 ° of E.
A kind of foregoing typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA automates forecasting procedure, it is characterised in that
Data generation area according to weather report, coastline data scope is 5~45 ° of N, 100~125 ° of E.
The beneficial effect that the present invention is reached：The present invention utilizes the model predictions product of typhoon warning center（EC/JMA）,
The automation forecast of Typhoon Route Forecast product, solar or lunar halo forecast of intensity product and the integration of debarkation point forecast model products is provided.Pass through
The research and development of this method, significantly lifting region typhoon forecast business and real-time disaster alarm ability.
Brief description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is that the typhoon of the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA automates the overall structure figure of forecast platform
Fig. 2 is that the yardstick of cyclone in the wind field structure of preferable cyclone, figure meets the yardstick condition of tropical cyclone.
Fig. 3 is to calculate wind field cyclone center schematic diagram.
Fig. 4 is boiling pot positioning schematic diagram.
Fig. 5 is a Typhoon Process course guidance schematic diagram.
Fig. 6 is solar or lunar halo graded forecast schematic diagram.
Fig. 7 is logged on a forecast schematic diagram.
Embodiment
The invention will be further described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.Following examples are only used for clearly illustrating the present invention
Technical scheme, and can not be limited the scope of the invention with this.
As shown in figure 1, the typhoon automation forecast platform based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA includes three submodules
Block：Typhoon Route Forecast module, intensity of typhoon forecast module, Landed Typhoon point forecast module.
Typhoon Route Forecast module, including the real-time accesses of data, boiling pot judge, center maximum wind velocity is sentenced
It is disconnected, and product generation and issue.Choose the full Wind Datas of 850hpa（In dimensional wind data in meteorological research generally
One of height layer data, corresponding sea level on the average is about 1500 meters）, it is daily to pinpoint from meteorological observatory's download.Will
The data downloaded carry out cyclone center's judgement.The cyclone in the Northern Hemisphere has the characteristics of wind field counterclockwise, circulation structure are closed.Reason
The wind field for thinking cyclone is symmetrical, and the transmeridional wind direction in center is respectively south east south wind and north/northeaster, north-south difference
For west/northwester and east/southeaster, generally the yardstick of cyclone is smaller, and central pressure is lower, and intensity is stronger, wind field knot
Structure more meets ideal conditions（Fig. 2）.According to cyclone feature, synchronization may find out multiple cyclone centers, it is necessary to by judging
The wind field structure and circulation strength of all cyclones, remove the cyclone center for the condition that is unsatisfactory for.The cyclone center finally retained, is carried out
Polar coordinates interpolation, obtains paracentral maximum wind velocity.According to the data frequency received, corresponding typhoon track product is generated simultaneously
Issue.
Intensity of typhoon forecast module, including polar coordinates interpolation, solar or lunar halo grade determine, and product generation and issue.Will
Cyclone center's point natural coordinates of generation is interpolated to polar coordinates, determines the wind speed of 500km scopes around central point.
Landed Typhoon point module, includes the acquisition of coastline data, and coastline Distance Judgment, debarkation point time judge, with
And the generation and issue of product.The typhoon track product of generation and coastline data are subjected to Distance Judgment, retained and coastline
Intersection point, reject and be unsatisfactory for logging in the point of condition.The point around debarkation point in the range of 0.5 longitude and latitude is taken as debarkation point, and
Determine the landing time scope of debarkation point.
In order to finally give the product of the typhoon automation forecast based on EC/JMA data, operational use, this hair are put into
Three modules are forecast in bright Typhoon Route Forecast, intensity of typhoon forecast, and the debarkation point of being integrated with, and ultimately generate typhoon automation pre-
Report product.
The forecast step of a module is described below
1st, Typhoon Route Forecast step
EC/JMA material forms are 2-D data（X/Y）, wherein EC data lattice point is 145*37, and JMA data is 113*73,
Deposited in micaps forms.EC data temporal resolution be 24h once, JMA data temporal resolution is first 48 hours every 6 small
Shi Yici and every 12 hours latter 36 hours are once.Data is read for convenience, and this method uses F90 programmings.For wind field
Each lattice point of data, carries out following calculate：
1）, determine generation area.For tropical cyclone of northwestern Pacific Ocean multi-activity in the LOWER TROPOSPHERE of low latitudes, therefore
Data scope is limited in the range of 0 ~ 50 ° of N, 100 ~ 180 ° of E.EC Grid datas used are at intervals of 2.5 longitudes and latitudes, JMA lattice
Point data break is 1.25 longitudes and latitudes.
2）, find out all cyclone centers engraved during each forecast.As shown in Figure 3, it is assumed that each lattice point center is meter
Calculate regional center（Cyclone center）, using the lattice point of the angle point of central point 4 as " circle ", carry out judging 2 ~ 3 circles from inside to outside, with center
4 adjacent lattice points of point are first lap, and continuous 4 points meet preferable cyclonic circulation condition, then the point is cyclone center, retains the point
For the judgement of boiling pot.
Weaker at the formation initial stage of tropical cyclone and latter stage circulation yardstick, wind field structure is often asymmetric, and center wind field has
When it is more chaotic, to avoid yardstick from meeting condition and the weaker cyclone of circulation, it is ensured that first retain these cyclone centers, then pass through
Several steps judge progressively to reject the cyclone center for the condition that is unsatisfactory for below.For weaker cyclone, above method can often be judged many
Individual cyclone center's point（Possible two neighboring lattice point is satisfied by conditions above）, therefore also need to further correct.Correction method is
Record the starting solar or lunar halo for meeting condition of each cyclone center's point, the starting solar or lunar halo of which cyclone center's point near center,
Then retain cyclone center's point, remaining cyclone center's point is removed.For example adjacent 2 points, the circle of point 1 the 3rd is the starting wind for the condition that meets
Circle, the circle of point 2 the 2nd is the starting solar or lunar halo for the condition that meets, then retention point 2 removes point 1.The foundation so judged is closest in cyclone
The heart, its wind field cyclonic circulation feature is more notable（Fig. 4）.If obvious double division centers occurs in cyclone, Liang Ge cyclone centers are judged
Whether point is distant, and such as Liang Ge cyclone centers point distance, if exceeding, meets condition same whether more than more than 5 lattice points
When retain Liang Ge cyclone centers point, judge the situation of binary typhoons occur.
3）, centering point maximum wind velocity value.Boiling pot maximum wind velocity, carries out polar coordinates by cyclone center's point and inserts
Value, specific practice is first in the range of the cyclone center outside 500km of point, to obtain the warp that natural coordinates is converted under polar coordinates
The offset of broadwise, the accumulation amount of offset latitude and longitude value corresponding with central point is the longitude and latitude size under polar coordinates.Correspondence
Polar coordinates air speed value, completed by polar coordinates interpolation algorithm, such as by corresponding wind speed on 37*145 lattice point of EC Forecast Modes,
Be converted to the wind speed size under correspondence polar coordinates longitude and latitude.Maximum wind velocity is the cyclone center that we require on polar coordinates after interpolation
Maximum wind velocity value.
4）, judge complete typhoon track.As shown in figure 5, a complete Typhoon Route Forecast, is by continuous several
What cyclone center's point of forecasting period was judged, if cyclone center's point of two neighboring period is closer to the distance, meet same
The distance range of bar typhoon, it is the point on same paths to give tacit consent to this 2 cyclone center's points.For example whether distance is in 5 lattice points
Within, if judging to enclose same typhoon in 5 lattice points, more than more than 5 lattice points if in reservation two simultaneously if meeting condition
Heart point, judges to be likely to occur the situation of binary typhoons.
Opposite 2 cyclone centers point is distant, then it is the point in Article 2 typhoon track to give tacit consent to one of point.If
In this forecasting process, the point is an isolated moment point, then excludes the possibility of the paths.Sentenced by the distance of cyclone center's point
It is disconnected, a fullpath at forecast moment is obtained, and distinguished the influence of binary typhoons.
2. intensity of typhoon is forecast
1）, determine cyclone center's point solar or lunar halo grade.As shown in fig. 6, the cyclone center's point wind speed found out for the above method
Polar coordinates interpolation of carry out of value, that is, obtain around the central point solar or lunar halo size in the range of 500km.
3. debarkation point is forecast
1）, coastline data choose.Whether the development in order to judge typhoon has an impact to inland, it is necessary to be directed to typhoon track
The path product of module generation, judges to forecast whether path logs in coastline, and debarkation point time etc..The coastline of selection
Data scope is 5 ~ 45 ° of N, and 100 ~ 125 ° of E, data used include the latitude and longitude information file in coastline, and land and ocean
Significant lattice point file（0 is ocean, and 1 is land）.
2）Debarkation point judges.Distance Judgment will be carried out between each cyclone center's point and coastline point first, if distance
Less than or equal to 0.2 longitude and latitude, then it is assumed that cyclone center's point may be login point.Then the significant of land and ocean is passed through
File, judges the flag states 1/0 around cyclone center's point, that is to say, that if before cyclone center's point be 0, behind be
1, then it may determine that the point is logged in.2 cyclone center's points set up linear equation before and after path cyclone center's point will be forecast, if
There is intersection point with coastline between 2 cyclone center's points, then judge the intersection point for debarkation point, take one closest to land point
Intersection point is debarkation point.The coastline point around debarkation point in the range of 0.5 longitude and latitude is obtained as logging zone scope（Fig. 7, ash
Color region is registered scope）.Then by judging that the debarkation point accounts for the distance between 2 cyclone center's points ratio, it is determined that logging in
The time range of point.
Algorithm process by 3 modules realizes the operation of EC/JMA typhoon forecasts automation.In routine work, JMA is pre-
The every day operation of report pattern 4 times, including 2 points, 8 points, 14 points, and 20: 4 time points.The every day operation of EC Forecast Modes 2 times, bag
Include at early 8 points and late at 20 points.Finally give the typhoon track document products of txt forms, solar or lunar halo grade products around cyclone center's point,
And debarkation point information products.
Typhoon Route Forecast product is called time name with rising for data, including is called time, and typhoon number number is given the correct time in advance
Between, latitude, longitude, maximum wind velocity, maximum wind power grade, weather system grade.Maximum wind power grade is forecast since 7 grades.
The product of solar or lunar halo is then deposited in the file to act name of calling time automatically by algorithm, and distinguishes binary typhoons,
There are 2 typhoons in such as current typhoon forecast path, then this two typhoon solar or lunar halo are deposited in into file 1 and file 2 respectively
Interior, wherein solar or lunar halo data are sorted name, such as 1.txt in time progressive mode；2.txt；3.txt…….Solar or lunar halo data
Discharge order be：Latitude, longitude, wind scale.Wherein, less than 6 grades wind speed are represented with class 6.
Debarkation point information products have included calling time, typhoon number number, latitude, longitude, debarkation point starting are called time, stepped in advance
Land point termination is called time in advance, maximum wind velocity, maximum wind power grade, weather system grade.
General principle, principal character and the advantage of the present invention has been shown and described above.The technical staff of the industry should
Understand, the present invention is not limited to the above embodiments, the original for simply illustrating the present invention described in above-described embodiment and specification
Reason, without departing from the spirit and scope of the present invention, various changes and modifications of the present invention are possible, these changes and improvements
It all fall within the protetion scope of the claimed invention.The claimed scope of the invention is by appended claims and its equivalent circle
It is fixed.
Claims (7)
1. the typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA automates forecasting procedure, it is characterised in that including：
Step one, Typhoon Route Forecast step, the cyclone center's point engraved when being forecast by finding carries out polar coordinates interpolation, obtained
Paracentral maximum wind velocity is obtained, according to the data frequency received, corresponding typhoon track is generated；
Step 2, intensity of typhoon forecast step, is interpolated to polar coordinates by cyclone center's point natural coordinates of generation, determines central point
Solar or lunar halo intensity in peripheral extent；
The typhoon track of generation and coastline data are carried out Distance Judgment by step 3, Landed Typhoon point judgment step, retain with
The intersection point in coastline, rejects the point for being unsatisfactory for logging in condition, obtains the logging zone scope of debarkation point, and determine stepping on for debarkation point
Land time range；
Wherein, the Typhoon Route Forecast step includes：
Step 1a, it is determined that forecast data generation area, EC Grid datas used are at intervals of 2.5 longitudes and latitudes, JMA Grid datas
At intervals of 1.25 longitudes and latitudes；
Step 1b, finds out all cyclone centers engraved during each forecast：Assuming that each lattice point center is calculates cyclone center,
Using the lattice point of the angle point of central point 4 as " one circle ", carry out judging 2~3 circles from inside to outside, 4 lattice points adjacent with central point are the
One circle, continuous 4 points meet preferable cyclonic circulation condition, then the point is cyclone center, retain the point sentencing for boiling pot
It is disconnected；
Step 1c, seeks cyclone pericenter maximum wind velocity value：According to cyclone center's point longitude and latitude, wind speed under required natural coordinates
Value carries out polar coordinates interpolation, obtains maximum on polar coordinates after polar coordinates air speed value in the range of the cyclone center outside 500km of point, interpolation
Wind speed is the paracentral maximum wind velocity value of cyclone of requirement；
Step 1d, judges complete typhoon track, a complete Typhoon Route Forecast is by continuous several forecasting periods
Cyclone center's point is judged, if cyclone center's point of two neighboring period is closer to the distance, meet same typhoon away from
From scope, it is the point on same paths to give tacit consent to this 2 points, and opposite 2 points are distant, then it is wherein second to give tacit consent to
Point in bar typhoon track, if in this forecasting process, the point is an isolated moment point, then excludes the possibility of the paths.
2. a kind of typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA according to claim 1 automates forecasting procedure,
Characterized in that, step 2 further comprises the steps, cyclone center's point solar or lunar halo grade is determined, is carried out according to cyclone center's point
Polar coordinates interpolation, it is determined that the solar or lunar halo intensity in the range of surrounding 500km.
3. a kind of typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA according to claim 2 automates forecasting procedure,
Characterized in that, Landed Typhoon point judgment step, including：
3a, coastline data is chosen, and whether the development in order to judge typhoon has an impact to inland, it is necessary to be chosen for typhoon track
Coastline data, data used include the latitude and longitude information file in coastline, and land and ocean significant lattice point text
Part, 0 is ocean, and 1 is land；
3b, debarkation point judge, will carry out Distance Judgment between each cyclone center's point and coastline point first, if apart from less than
Equal to 0.2 longitude and latitude, then it is assumed that cyclone center's point may be login point；Then the significant text on land and ocean is passed through
Part, judges the flag states 1/0 around cyclone center's point, if before cyclone center's point be 0, behind be 1, then can sentence
Disconnected cyclone center's point is logged in, and 2 cyclone center's point lines before and after cyclone center's point in typhoon track are set up into linear equation,
If having intersection point with coastline between 2 cyclone center's points, the intersection point is judged for debarkation point, takes one closest to land point
Individual intersection point is debarkation point, obtains the coastline point around debarkation point in the range of 0.5 longitude and latitude as logging zone scope；Then
By judging that the login point accounts for the distance between 2 cyclone center's points ratio, it is determined that logging in the time range of point.
4. a kind of typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA according to claim 3 automates forecasting procedure,
Characterized in that, also including in step 1b：For weaker cyclone, multiple central points can be judged using the above method, recorded
The starting solar or lunar halo for meeting condition of each cyclone center's point, the starting solar or lunar halo of which central point is near center, then retaining should
Point is cyclone center's point, and remaining cyclone center's point is removed, if while the obvious double division centers of cyclone appearance, judge two gas
Whether distant central point is revolved, if more than more than 5 lattice points of Liang Ge cyclone centers point distance, two centers are retained simultaneously
Point, judges the situation of binary typhoons occur.
5. a kind of typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA according to claim 4 automates forecasting procedure,
Characterized in that, the global lattice point forecast material forms of the EC/JMA are 2-D data, wherein EC data lattice point is 145*37,
JMA data is 113*73, is deposited in micaps forms, and EC data temporal resolution for 24 hours once, divide by the JMA data times
Resolution be every 6 hours first 48 hours once with every 12 hours latter 36 hours once.
6. a kind of typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA according to claim 5 automates forecasting procedure,
Characterized in that, the step 1a, it is determined that forecast data generation area, for tropical cyclone of northwestern Pacific Ocean multi-activity in low latitude
The LOWER TROPOSPHERE of degree, therefore data scope is limited in the range of 0~50 ° of N, 100~180 ° of E.
7. a kind of typhoon based on the global lattice point forecast data of EC/JMA according to claim 6 automates forecasting procedure,
Characterized in that, data generation area according to weather report, coastline data scope is 5~45 ° of N, 100~125 ° of E.
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| CN105182450B (en) * | 2015-10-15 | 2018-01-02 | 成都信息工程大学 | A kind of strong convective weather nowcasting warning system |
| CN109271474B (en) * | 2018-10-09 | 2019-05-17 | 珠江水利委员会珠江水利科学研究院 | A kind of Forecasting of Tropical Cyclone method based on grid big data statistical method |
| CN109444989B (en) * | 2018-12-28 | 2020-07-07 | 中山大学 | Typhoon forecasting method, typhoon forecasting system, readable storage medium and readable storage equipment |
| CN109840634B (en) * | 2019-01-29 | 2019-09-03 | 宁波市气象台 | Log in the probability forecast method of Ningbo strong convective weather in the outer―region circulation of Fujian |
| CN111722306A (en) * | 2020-07-27 | 2020-09-29 | 郑州航空工业管理学院 | Typhoon landing intensity prediction method and system based on TCN network model |
| CN112748480A (en) * | 2020-12-21 | 2021-05-04 | 华能国际电力股份有限公司浙江清洁能源分公司 | Offshore tropical cyclone center positioning method and device, equipment and storage medium |
| CN113671599A (en) * | 2021-08-25 | 2021-11-19 | 华北电力大学 | Global climate mode-based login cyclone identification method |
| CN113805252B (en) * | 2021-09-15 | 2023-03-31 | 中国气象科学研究院 | System for forecasting gale in tropical cyclone landing process based on ensemble forecasting model |
| CN114088100B (en) * | 2022-01-11 | 2022-05-06 | 中科星图智慧科技有限公司 | Path planning method and device based on complex conditions |
| CN114637806B (en) | 2022-04-11 | 2022-10-18 | 中国气象局上海台风研究所(上海市气象科学研究所) | Visual analysis method for tropical cyclone forecast inspection index data |
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