CN104213534B - Merge step reservoir Adaptive synthesis dispatching patcher and the dispatching method of multi-source information - Google Patents

Abstract

The present invention relates to a kind of step reservoir Adaptive synthesis dispatching patcher merging multi-source information and dispatching method, described dispatching patcher includes that external source information access module, endogenous information acquisition module, distributed information transport module, multi-source information integration module, dispatching effect check module, adaptive optimization module and remote control center.The present invention is unit based on reservoir upstream sub basin and downstream river course controlling section, it is provided that the monitoring of multi-source information and transfer function, and realizes dynamically analyzing and checking function of step reservoir integrated dispatch effect on the basis of merging described multi-source information；By the nonlinear response relation function between reservoir dispatching letdown flow and downstream river course controlling section flow, water level, water quality, the self adaptation optimizing and the feedback that provide step reservoir integrated dispatch improve function, the method have the characteristics that comprehensive benefits such as being obviously improved the flood control of step reservoir, generating, shipping, ecology, water environment.

Description

Merge step reservoir Adaptive synthesis dispatching patcher and the dispatching method of multi-source information

Technical field

The present invention relates to Hydraulic and Hydro-Power Engineering Optimum Scheduling Technology field, merge particularly to one The step reservoir Adaptive synthesis dispatching patcher of multi-source information and dispatching method.

Background technology

China's hydraulic power potentials enriches, and position is at the forefront in the world.Effectively develop hydraulic power potentials, Can either increase energy supply, ensure Chinese energy safety, also be reduce greenhouse gas emission, Successfully manage the Important Action of Global climate change.In addition to water power calculation, Hydraulic and Hydro-Power Engineering Have the several functions such as flood control, water supply, shipping, ecological protection concurrently toward contact, be economic society The important leverage of development.As can be seen here, the paces that Hydraulic and Hydro-Power Engineering is built are accelerated, for carrying High water resource utilization efficiency, energy resource structure of improving, protection water ecological environment, promotion economic development, The effect of actively promoting will be played.Through years development, China in the Changjiang river, Jinsha jiang River, refined Substantial amounts of step water-control project has been built up in the basins such as rice huller river, Dadu River, the Wujiang River.The highest Effect these step reservoirs of rational management, give full play to their comprehensive benefit, are current water conservancy water One important issue in electrical engineering Optimum Scheduling Technology field.

It is preferential that traditional reservoir operation is usually Technological Economy, generally uses maximum generating watt to weigh The benefit in power station, Hengshui, and do not take into full account the comprehensive effect of upstream and downstream difference section, different interests Benefit.Although having carried out certain exploration and practice in terms of reservoir dispatching both at home and abroad, but Also lack a set of effective step reservoir synthesis scheduling system and implementation.Cause this present situation Main cause has:

1, step reservoir integrated dispatch relates to the multiple reservoir of upstream and downstream, cover the most simultaneously flood control, The many-sides such as generating, shipping, water supply, ecology, have the characteristic of multiple target, multiple constraint, are The system engineering that one class is complicated；When implementing reservoir dispatching, not only go up between lower step past Toward influencing each other, also tend to mutually restrict between different regulation goals；Therefore, step reservoir Integrated dispatch, is no longer traditional single storehouse power benefit scheduling problem, but is related to multiple water The comprehensive benefits such as the flood control in storehouse, navigation, ecology and generating play, and need to take into full account each side Balance；

2, it is different from the scheduling mainly for single reservoir of the traditional scheduler technology, implements step reservoir The meteorology of each sub basin, the hydrology, reservoir running state parameter need to be carried out in real time by integrated dispatch Monitoring, store and transmit, coverage is wide, and monitoring parameter is many, to message transmission capability requirement High；

3, step reservoir integrated dispatch coverage is wider, not can determine that factor is more, conventional tune Degree technology comes with some shortcomings dynamically adjusting in terms of intelligence optimizing, needs seek more to have for Property, more intelligent lexical analysis technology, to realize dispatching step reservoir quantitatively, in real time, Play its optimal comprehensive benefit.

In sum, it is provided that the step reservoir self adaptation of a kind of significantly more efficient fusion multi-source information Synthesis scheduling system and dispatching method, become those skilled in the art's problem demanding prompt solution.

Be disclosed in that the information of this background of invention technology segment is merely intended to deepen to the present invention is general The understanding of background technology, and be not construed as recognizing or implying this information structure in any form Prior art the most known to those skilled in the art.

Summary of the invention

For solving the problems referred to above, it is an object of the invention to provide a kind of ladder merging multi-source information Level reservoir Adaptive synthesis dispatching patcher, fully merging, a large amount of meteorology, the hydrology, water quality etc. are many On the basis of source information, form the step reservoir tune being target with step reservoir comprehensive benefit to the maximum Degree method so that it is there is the functions such as dynamically analysis, check, Automatic adjusument, feedback improvement, Give full play to the flood control of step reservoir, generating, shipping, ecology, environmental Benefit of Water.The present invention Another object be to provide a kind of step reservoir Adaptive synthesis dispatching party merging multi-source information Method.

In order to achieve the above object, the present invention provide a kind of step reservoir merging multi-source information from Adapt to synthesis scheduling system, comprising:

External source information access module (1), endogenous information acquisition module (2), distributed information Transport module (3), multi-source information integration module (4), dispatching effect check module (5), Adaptive optimization module (6) and remote control center (7), wherein: described outer source information AM access module (1) uses internet encrypted mode to synchronize to receive beyond described dispatching patcher The external source meteorological data (WS1) of current scheduling period, external source hydrological data (HS1), outer External source weather forecast data (WP1) of source data of water quality (QS1) and next scheduling slot, The data storage that described external source information access module (1) receives is in remote control center (7) In；Described endogenous information acquisition module (2) is included in the upstream needle of step reservoir to dissimilar Sub basin arrange monitoring station and mining under reservoir river course key controlling section arrange Monitoring station, each monitoring station arranges the multiparameter integral type monitoring of one or more types Equipment gathers the endogenous meteorological data (WS2) of current scheduling period, endogenous hydrological data (HS2), endogenous data of water quality (QS2), endogenous reservoir running status data (RS), with For making up external source information access module (1) at white space, the default parameters of blank interval； The data that described endogenous information acquisition module (2) gathers is via distributed information transport module (3) In incoming remote control center (7)；Described distributed information transport module (3) is included in ladder The upstream needle communication node that different types of sub basin is arranged of level reservoir and at mining under reservoir The communication node that river course key controlling section is arranged；Described distributed information transport module (3) Layer three information communication network structure is used to carry out information bidirectional transmission, on the one hand being used for receiving The data that source information acquisition module (2) gathers, and successively it is uploaded to remote control center (7) Interior storage, and the teleinstruction that on the other hand can remote control center (7) be issued is successively It is issued to endogenous information acquisition module (2)；Described multi-source information integration module (4) is by external source Information access module (1), the data of endogenous information acquisition module (2) are standardized processing After be centrally stored in remote control center (7) in, and the gas of next scheduling slot can be produced As forecast data and hydrologic forecast data；Described dispatching effect is checked module (5) and is arranged at remotely In control centre (7), described dispatching effect checks module (5) can be when each be dispatched The initial time of section, by receiving the information that multi-source information integration module (4) provides, under analysis The flood control results of trip river course key controlling section, navigation benefit, ecological state, water environment are existing Shape and step reservoir power benefit, and check under whether current reservoir regulation mode be applicable to One scheduling slot；Described adaptive optimization module (6) is arranged in remote control center (7), Described adaptive optimization module (6) can play at next scheduling slot by being calculated The reservoir dispatching scheme of excellent comprehensive benefit, and scheduling scheme is transmitted to remote control center (7), the control room of step reservoir then it is issued to, new excellent to implement at next scheduling slot Change scheduling scheme；Described remote control center (7) and described external source information access module (1), Endogenous information acquisition module (2), distributed information transport module (3), multi-source information are integrated Module (4), dispatching effect check module (5), adaptive optimization module (6) communication connection Process with the duty and back-end data controlling modules, described remote control center (7) Including external source information server (71), endogenous information server (72), top layer communication network Terminal node (73), multi-source information server (74), performance analysis server (75), Optimize Analysis server (76).

Preferably, the sub basin in the upstream of described step reservoir includes mountain area type sub basin peace Prototype sub basin, wherein, uses tandem monitoring station distributed mode at described mountain area type sub basin Formula, uses netted monitoring station distribution pattern at plain type sub basin；Include in each monitoring station Weather monitoring device (21), hydrologic monitoring equipment (22), water quality monitoring equipment (23), Reservoir monitoring running state equipment (24)；Wherein said weather monitoring device (21) includes rain Quantity sensor, wind speed/wind transducer, air-temperature sensor, baroceptor, illumination meter, wet Degree sensor；Described hydrologic monitoring equipment (22) includes level sensor, flow transducer； Described water quality monitoring equipment (23) includes that cooling-water temperature sensor, acidity-basicity sensor, dissolved oxygen pass Sensor, permanganate index analyser, COD sensor, sonde-type algae luminoscope, Multiparameter nutritive salt sensor；Described reservoir monitoring running state equipment (24) includes Ba Qianshui Level sensor, tailwater elevation sensor, flow transducer；Each monitoring device remains for the most in advance The bidirectional port being connected with distributed information transport module (3), and by described bidirectional port The incoming remote control center of the data (7) that will monitor, and can be connect by described bidirectional port Receive and send instructions to control each monitoring device under remote control center (7)；Wherein, outside described The data storage that source information AM access module (1) receives is described external source information server (71) In；The data storage that described endogenous information acquisition module (2) gathers is in described endogenous information service In device (72).

Preferably, described distributed information transport module (3) include bottom communication network (31), Intermediate layer communication network (32), top layer communication network (33)；Wherein said bottom communication net Network (31) uses tandem communication node distribution pattern at mountain area type sub basin, at plain type Basin uses netted communication node distribution pattern；Bottom communication network in each sub basin (31) comprising multiple communication node and routing node, each communication node sets with neighbouring monitoring For carrying out wired connection by described bidirectional port, pass through local between each communication node simultaneously Net wireless network protocol carries out local area radio networking；Described intermediate layer communication network (32) each Individual node is by the sub basin information gathering transmission center group being arranged on each sub basin end outlet Become, mutual by the way of internet encrypted between the node in described intermediate layer communication network (32) Connection；The data sink of the communication node transmission of described bottom communication network (31) is logical to intermediate layer After the sub basin information gathering transmission center of news network (32), then it is uploaded to top layer communication network (33)；Described top layer communication network (33) includes at least one top layer communication network terminal Node (73), described top layer communication network terminal node (73) is arranged on remote control center (7) in and with endogenous information server (72) wired connection, and terminal node (73) with The sub basin information gathering transmission center of intermediate layer communication network (32) is by internet encrypted Mode connects.

Preferably, described multi-source information integration module (4) include information integrated unit (41), Weather forecast unit (42), hydrologic forecast unit (43)；Wherein said information integrated unit (41) receive the external source meteorological data (WS1) of current scheduling period, external source hydrological data (HS1), The endogenous meteorological data (WS2) of external source data of water quality (QS1) and current scheduling period, endogenous Hydrological data (HS2), endogenous data of water quality (QS2), endogenous reservoir running status data (RS) And external source weather forecast data (WP1) of next scheduling slot, weather forecast unit (42) The endogenous weather forecast data (WP2) of next scheduling slot of output, hydrologic forecast unit (43) The endogenous hydrologic forecast data (HP1) of next scheduling slot of output, and to the money received Material is standardized process, centralized stores and renewal；Wherein, only when described external source information access When module (1) is not provided that external source weather forecast data (WP1) of next scheduling slot, open Dynamic weather forecast unit (42), utilizes the current tune received in information integrated unit (41) Spend external source meteorological data (WS1) or the endogenous meteorological data (WS2) of period, use number Implement basin short-range weather according to driving method predict and provide the endogenous meteorology of next scheduling slot pre- Report data (WP2) is as supplementing, and the input of endogenous weather forecast data (WP2) is extremely believed Breath integrated unit (41) storage；Described hydrologic forecast unit (43) utilizes information integrated unit (41) the external source hydrological data (HS1) of current scheduling period or endogenous hydrological data (HS2) in And external source weather forecast data (WP1) of next scheduling slot or endogenous weather forecast data (WP2), data-driven method is used to generate the endogenous hydrologic forecast data of next scheduling slot (HP1) and by the input of endogenous hydrologic forecast data (HP1) deposit to information integrated unit (41) Storage.

Preferably, described dispatching effect is checked module (5) and is arranged at performance analysis server (75) In, described dispatching effect is checked module (5) and is included flood control results analytic unit (51), navigation Performance analysis unit (52), ecological safety analytic unit (53), water environment guarantee are analyzed single Unit (56) is checked in unit (54), power benefit analytic unit (55) and scheduling；Adjusting Spend the initial time of each scheduling slot in the phase, start described dispatching effect and check module (5) In each analytic unit be analyzed.

Preferably, the analysis method of each analytic unit during described dispatching effect checks module (5) It is respectively as follows:

A) described flood control results analytic unit (51) uses the flood control of step reservoir downstream river course to control The flood control safety fraction f of property section_t(F) flood control results is analyzed:

Wherein flood control safety fraction f_t(F) it is to be obtained by equation 1 below:

$f_t\left(F\right)=\frac{1}{M}\underset{j=1}{\overset{M}{\Σ}}{m}_j^t$ (formula 1), wherein,

$m_j^t=\left\{\begin{array}{ccc}\left({\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}-{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^t\right)/\left({\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}-{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^b\right)& {\mathrm{ZF}}_j^t\≤{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}& j=1,\mathrm{...},M\\ -\mathrm{\∞}& {\mathrm{ZF}}_j^t>{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}& j=1,\mathrm{...},M\end{array}\right.$

Wherein, f_t(F) it is flood control safety fraction；M is downstream river course flood control controlling section Number；For jth flood control controlling section at the flood control results of t；Represent that jth is prevented Flood controlling section at t actual water level,Represent that jth flood control controlling section is when t The warning line carved,For the bed elevation of jth section, want when downstream river course meets flood control When asking, flood control safety fraction f_t(F) ∈ [0,1], when(j=1 ..., M), i.e. can not When meeting flood control demand, then f_t(F)=-∞；

B) described navigation performance analysis unit (52) uses the navigation of step reservoir downstream river course to control The navigation discharge fraction f of property section_t(S) analyze downstream river course navigation effect:

Wherein navigation discharge fraction f_t(S) it is to be obtained by equation 2 below:

$f_t\left(S\right)=\frac{1}{P}\underset{k=1}{\overset{P}{\Σ}}{p}_k^t$ (formula 2), wherein,

$p_k^t=\left\{\begin{array}{cc}\left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^t-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\right)/\left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\&le;{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t<{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,f}\\ \left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t\right)/\left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,f}\&le;{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t\&le;{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{QS}}_k^t<{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }or{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t>{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }\end{array}\right.$

Wherein, f_t(S) it is navigation discharge fraction；P is downstream river course navigation controlling section Number；For kth navigation controlling section in the navigation effect of t；Represent that kth is led to Boat controlling section is at the flow of t；For kth navigation controlling section t institute The Minimum Navigable flow needed,Optimum in t for kth navigation controlling section Navigation discharge,For the kth navigation controlling section maximum navigation stream required for t Amount；

C) described ecological safety analytic unit (53) uses step reservoir downstream river course Ecology control The ecological flow approach degree f of property section processed_t(E) river channel ecology Guarantee Condition is analyzed:

Wherein ecological flow approach degree f_t(E) it is to be obtained by equation 3 below:

$f_t\left(E\right)=\frac{1}{R}\underset{l=1}{\overset{R}{\&Sigma;}}{r}_l^t$ (formula 3), wherein,

$r_l^t=\left\{\begin{array}{cc}\left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^t-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\right)/\left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\&le;{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t\&le;{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,f}\\ \left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t\right)/\left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,f}<{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t\&le;{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{QE}}_l^t<{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }or{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t>{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }\end{array}\right.$

Wherein, f_t(E) it is ecological flow approach degree；R is downstream river course Ecology controlling section Number；It it is the l Ecology controlling section Guarantee Of Environment effect in t；Represent The l Ecology controlling section is at the flow of t；It is the l Ecology controlling Section minimum ecological discharge required for t,It is the l Ecology controlling section At the optimum ecological flow of t,It is that the l Ecology controlling section is in t Required maximum ecological flow；

D) described water environment ensures that analytic unit (54) uses step reservoir downstream river course water environment The probability of meeting water quality standard f of controlling section_t(Q) river water quality Guarantee Condition is analyzed:

Wherein probability of meeting water quality standard f_t(Q) it is to be obtained by equation 4 below:

$f_t\left(Q\right)=\frac{1}{W}\underset{g=1}{\overset{W}{\&Sigma;}}{w}_g^t$ (formula 4), wherein,

$w_g^t=\left\{\begin{array}{cc}{\mathrm{SI}}_g^t/{\mathrm{TI}}_g^t& {\mathrm{SI}}_g^t\&GreaterEqual;{\mathrm{SI}}_g^{t,f}\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{SI}}_g^t<{\mathrm{SI}}_g^{t,f}\end{array}\right.$

Wherein, f_t(Q) it is probability of meeting water quality standard；W is downstream river course water environmental control section number；It it is the g section Effects of Water Quality in t；It is the g section water quality in t The number up to standard of index；It it is the g water environmental control section water quality index in t Number；Be the water quality index that meets needed for t of the g water environmental control section Few number up to standard；

E) described power benefit analytic unit (55) use step reservoir actual power generation sum with The ratio f of the generated energy sum of each step reservoir when routine dispactching runs_t(G) power benefit is analyzed Situation:

The ratio f of the generated energy sum of the most each step reservoir_t(G) it is to be obtained by equation 5 below Arrive:

f_t(G)=G_ot/G_dt(formula 5),

Wherein, actual power generation sum G of step reservoir in scheduling slot_otFor:

$G_{ot}=\underset{i=1}{\overset{N}{\&Sigma;}}{N}_i^{t,o}\mathrm{\&Delta;}t$

$N_i^{t,o}=A_i^t{Q}_i^{t,go}{\mathrm{\&Delta;H}}_i^{t,o}$

Wherein, generated energy sum G of each step reservoir when routine dispactching runs_dtFor:

$G_{dt}=\underset{i=1}{\overset{N}{\&Sigma;}}{N}_i^{t,d}\mathrm{\&Delta;}t$

$N_i^{t,d}=A_i^{t,gd}{Q}_i^{t,gd}{\mathrm{\&Delta;H}}_i^{t,d}$

Wherein, f_t(G) it is the power benefit index of step reservoir；G_otFor t period during actual motion The generated energy sum of each step reservoir；G_dtFor t period each step water under management and running pattern routinely The generated energy sum in storehouse,For reservoir i exerting oneself at period t during actual motion,Exist for reservoir i The comprehensive power factor of period t；For reservoir i during actual motion at the generating flow of period t；For reservoir i during actual motion in the water-head of period t；For water under scheduling method routinely Storehouse i exerts oneself period t's；For routine dispactching pattern lower storage reservoir i comprehensively exerting oneself of period t it is Number, withValue is identical；For routine dispactching operational mode lower storage reservoir i at the generating stream of period t Amount；For routine dispactching operational mode lower storage reservoir i in the water-head of period t, Δ t is period t's Duration；

F) described scheduling is checked unit (56) and is received flood control results analytic unit (51), navigation Performance analysis unit (52), ecological safety analytic unit (53), water environment guarantee are analyzed single The analysis result of unit (54), the most satisfied flood control of the check existing scheduling mode of step reservoir successively, Navigation, ecological, water environment obligate requirement, want if either side is unsatisfactory for obligating Ask, show that current reservoir dispatching mode does not have the feasibility continuing to implement at subsequent period, Then start adaptive optimization module (6) and carry out adaptive optimization adjustment.

Preferably, obligating requirement described in is: f_t(F)、f_t(S)、f_t(E)、f_t(Q) in, any value is equal It is not-∞, wherein, f_t(F) it is the flood control safety fraction of reservoir dispatching；f_t(S) it is step The navigation discharge fraction of reservoir operation；f_t(E) it is the ecological flow approach degree of reservoir dispatching； f_t(Q) it is the probability of meeting water quality standard of reservoir dispatching.

Preferably, described adaptive optimization module (6) is arranged at described optimization Analysis server (76) In, including response analysis unit (61), self adaptation optimizing unit (62)；Wherein response point Analysis unit (61) field data based on the long sequence of history, uses Artificial Neural Network, Non-by between step reservoir letdown flow and downstream river course controlling section flow, water level, water quality Linear response relationship function；Unit (56) is checked in scheduling in dispatching effect checks module (5) Check result shows that current reservoir dispatching mode does not have continuation at next scheduling slot and implements Feasibility time, start self adaptation optimizing unit (62), by receive the integrated mould of multi-source information Endogenous reservoir running status data (RS) that information integrated unit (41) in block (4) transmits With the endogenous hydrologic forecast data (HP1) of next scheduling slot, and according to nonlinear response relation Function, obtains the step reservoir optimal synthesis scheduling scheme at next scheduling slot；Described optimum Integrated dispatch scheme exports to top layer communication network terminal node (73) of remote control center (7) And it is issued to step reservoir implement.

The present invention also provides for a kind of dispatching method, and it uses the step water of above-mentioned fusion multi-source information Storehouse Adaptive synthesis dispatching patcher is scheduling, comprising:

1) synchronization of outer source information accesses: in schedule periods, by external source information access module (1) Synchronize receive the various data of the existing scheduling slot outside described dispatching patcher and be stored in remote In the external source information server (71) at process control center (7), and carry out data integrity check, Analyse whether to exist the default parameters of white space, blank interval；External source information server (71) In data regular afferent message integrated unit (41) be standardized process, centralized stores with Update；

2) the supplementary monitoring of interior source information: when external source information access module (1) there are blank Region, blank interval disappearance data time, start endogenous information acquisition module (2) and supplement Monitoring, gathers white space, the various data of blank interval, is used for making up external source information access The disappearance data of module (1)；

The updates that described endogenous information acquisition module (2) gathers transmit via distributed information Module (3) incoming intermediate layer communication network (32), then it is uploaded to top layer communication network (33) Terminal node (73), be finally stored in the endogenous information server of remote control center (7) (72) in；Information regular afferent message integrated unit (41) in endogenous information server (72) It is standardized process, centralized stores and renewal；

3) fusion of multi-source information: schedule periods is divided into T scheduling slot (t=1 ..., T), when Step 1) in external source information access module (1) be not provided that the foreign gas of next scheduling slot During as forecast data (WP1), start the weather forecast unit of multi-source information integration module (4) (42) the external source meteorological data of current scheduling period in information integrated unit (41), is utilized (WS1) data-driven method or endogenous meteorological data (WS2), is used to generate next scheduling The endogenous weather forecast data (WP2) of period is as supplementing；

Then start hydrologic forecast unit (43), utilize the external source hydrology of current scheduling period to provide The external source weather forecast money of material (HS1) or endogenous hydrological data (HS2) and next scheduling slot Material (WP1) or endogenous weather forecast data (WP2), under using data-driven method to generate The endogenous hydrologic forecast data (HP1) of one scheduling slot；

Periodically by external source information access module (1), endogenous information acquisition module (2), meteorology All kinds of data that forecast unit (42), hydrologic forecast unit (43) provide are standardized place After reason, the unified letter being stored in the multi-source information server (74) of remote control center (7) Breath collection, is scheduled for effect and checks module (5) and adaptive optimization module (6) selection；

4) reservoir dispatching effect analysis and check: at the initial time of each scheduling slot, Startup dispatching effect check module (5), utilization flood control results analytic unit (51) the most respectively, Navigation performance analysis unit (52), ecological safety analytic unit (53), water environment guarantee divide Dispatching effect is analyzed by analysis unit (54), power benefit analytic unit (55) respectively, Quantitative basis is provided；

Then use scheduling to check unit (56) and receive analysis result, analyze current cascade operation Whether mode meets is obligated requirement: if meeting, then at this step reservoir of next scheduling slot Scheduling mode does not adjusts；If either side is unsatisfactory for obligating requirement, start self adaptation excellent Change module (6) and carry out adaptive optimization adjustment；

5) step reservoir integrated dispatch adaptive analysis: when step 4) check result shows currently Reservoir dispatching mode is unsatisfactory for obligating when requiring, starts adaptive optimization module (6)；

First, use response analysis unit (61), receive in multi-source information integration module (4) The field data of the long sequence of history of information integrated unit (41), uses artificial neural network side Method, non-linear by between step reservoir letdown flow and downstream river course flow, water level, water quality Response relation function；

And then, use self adaptation optimizing unit (62), receive multi-source information integration module (4) When endogenous reservoir running status data (RS) of middle information integrated unit (41) is dispatched with next The endogenous hydrologic forecast data (HP1) of section, provides by response analysis unit (61) simultaneously Nonlinear response relation function, checks each analytic unit in module (5) according to dispatching effect Analysis method, find out can meet simultaneously flood control, navigation, ecology, water environment obligate want The letdown flow scope asked, and then use genetic algorithm to the comprehensive effect under different letdown flows Value carries out optimizing, obtains the step reservoir optimal synthesis scheduling scheme of next scheduling slot；

6) step reservoir integrated dispatch dynamic regulation: by step 5) in self adaptation optimizing unit (62) The optimal synthesis scheduling scheme obtained, the top layer communication network via remote control center (7) is whole End node (73) is issued to the control centre of step reservoir, at next scheduling slot by step 5) Optimal synthesis scheduling scheme implement；

7) in whole schedule periods, step 1 is repeated)-6).

Preferably, described step 5) in, the self adaptation of described adaptive optimization module (6) is sought The optimization method that excellent unit (62) is used is:

A) the Optimization goal TotalTarget of calculating step reservoir integrated dispatch:

Wherein Optimization goal TotalTarget is obtained by equation 6 below:

TotalTarget=α f_t(F)+β[f_t(G)*f_t(S)]+λ[f_t(E)*f_t(Q)] (formula 6),

Wherein, f_t(F)、f_t(G)、f_t(S)、f_t(E)、f_t(Q) the flood control peace of reservoir dispatching it is respectively Full fraction, power benefit index, navigation discharge fraction, ecological flow approach degree, water quality Compliance rate；α, β, λ be not Wei the weight of every corresponding index, and alpha+beta+λ=1, in the water-retention phase The 9-10 month, α=0.45, β=0.35, λ=0.20, in the 11-5 month in dry season, α=0.15, β=0.35, λ=0.50, in the 6-8 month in flood season, α=0.60, β=0.25, λ=0.15；

B) constraints in step reservoir integrated dispatch searching process is calculated:

B1) step reservoir water balance:

Wherein step reservoir water balance is obtained by equation 7 below:

$\left\{\begin{array}{cc}{V}_i^{t+1}=V_i^t+\left(I_1^t-Q_i^t\right)\&times;\mathrm{\&Delta;}t& i=1\\ V_i^{t+1}=V_i^t+\left(Q_{i-1}^t+{\mathrm{ql}}_{1-1,i}^t-Q_i^t\right)\&times;\mathrm{\&Delta;}t& i=2,\mathrm{...},N\end{array}\right.$ (formula 7),

Wherein,For the reservoir i average storage capacity in period t+1；For reservoir i in period t Average storage capacity；For most upstream one-level reservoir at the average reservoir inflow of period t；For reservoir I is at the average letdown flow of period t；For the average side between period t reservoir i-1 to reservoir i Side reservoir inflow, Δ t is the duration of period t；

B2) each step reservoir units limits:

The most each step reservoir units limits is obtained by equation 8 below:

$N_i^{t,\min }\&le;N_i^t\&le;N_i^{t,max}$ (formula 8),

Wherein,It is respectively reservoir i minimum in period t, EIAJ constraint；

B3) step reservoir water storage level and the constraint of water level daily amplitude:

Wherein step reservoir water storage level and water level daily amplitude retrain by equation 9 below .1 and public affairs Formula 9.2 obtains:

$Z_i^{t,min}\&le;Z_i^t\&le;Z_i^{t,max}$ (formula 9.1),

${\mathrm{\&Delta;Z}}_i^{t,\min }\&le;{\mathrm{\&Delta;Z}}_i^t\&le;{\mathrm{\&Delta;Z}}_i^{t,max}$ (formula 9.2),

Wherein,It is respectively the reservoir i minimum, peak level constraint in period t, This constraint includes that minimum, peak level that each reservoir has itself limit and set in schedule periods Regulation storage capacity correspondence water level limit, take common factor part,It is respectively reservoir i to exist The water level minimum daily amplitude allowed in period t and water level maximum daily amplitude, restrictive condition is dam peace Entirely, geological condition of reservoir area, reservoir area navigation safety, take common factor part；

B4) step reservoir letdown flow constraint:

Wherein the constraint of step reservoir letdown flow is obtained by equation 10 below:

$Q_i^{t,min}\&le;Q_i^t\&le;Q_i^{t,max}$ (formula 10),

Wherein,It is respectively reservoir i at the minimum of period t, maximum letdown flow about Bundle, this constraint includes that reservoir is in constraints b3) under allow water level minimum daily amplitude and water level Letdown flow, flood control flow, navigation discharge, ecological flow and the water ring that maximum daily amplitude is corresponding Border flow, takes common factor part.

The invention has the beneficial effects as follows:

1, the present invention is achieved multi-source monitoring numbers such as endogenous, external sources by multiple modules coupling technology According to acquisition, completely can obtain the firsthand information such as meteorology, the hydrology, water quality in real time comprehensively, Avoid the occurrence of the parameter disappearance of white space, blank interval, simultaneously by merging multi-source data guarantor Demonstrate,prove the reliability implementing step reservoir integrated dispatch；Additionally, also significantly lower in monitoring cost, Avoid the overlapping redundancy between the Monitoring Data of multi-service unit；

2, the invention provides a kind of efficient new-type distributed information transport module, by mountain Zone type and the two distinct types of sub basin of plain type, be respectively arranged communication node targetedly Distribution pattern, improves transmission quality so that reverse instruction transmission also has operability, with Time can also reduce cost；

3, the present invention is on the basis of Multi-source Information Fusion, provides for step reservoir integrated dispatch Dynamically analyzing and the function checked, the self adaptation simultaneously additionally providing step reservoir integrated dispatch is sought Excellent and feedback improves function, relative to existing reservoir operation method, it is possible to realize step reservoir Flood control, generating, shipping, ecology, being obviously improved of the comprehensive benefit such as water environment so that ladder Level reservoir combined regulation more reasonability is with intelligent.

Accompanying drawing explanation

By Figure of description and be used for subsequently illustrating together with Figure of description the present invention some The detailed description of the invention of principle, further feature that the present invention is had and advantage will be clear from or More specifically illustrated.

Fig. 1 is that the step reservoir Adaptive synthesis scheduling merging multi-source information according to the present invention is The structural representation of system.

Fig. 2 is the framework of the information communication network of the distributed information transport module according to the present invention Schematic diagram.

Fig. 3 is the dispatching method flow chart according to the present invention.

Fig. 4 is monitoring station and the control using the present invention that certain step reservoir is implemented integrated dispatch Property cross sectional plane figure.

Fig. 5 is to use the present invention detailed process schematic diagram to certain step reservoir integrated dispatch.

Fig. 6 is to use the present invention to certain step reservoir integrated dispatch and the result using routine dispactching Comparison diagram.

It is to be appreciated that Figure of description shows the concrete structure of the present invention with being not necessarily to scale, And for illustrating that the n-lustrative feature of some principle of the present invention also can be taked in Figure of description The technique of painting slightly simplified.The specific design feature of invention disclosed herein includes the most concrete Size, direction, position and profile will partly be come really by the environment specifically applied and to use Fixed.

In several accompanying drawings of Figure of description, identical reference represents that the present invention's is identical Or the part of equivalent.

Detailed description of the invention

Elaborate a lot of detail in the following description so that fully understanding the present invention.But It is that the present invention can implement to be much different from alternate manner described here, art technology Personnel can do similar popularization in the case of intension of the present invention, and therefore the present invention is not subject to The restriction of following public specific embodiment.

Below, in conjunction with accompanying drawing, the specific embodiment of the present invention is described.Refer to Fig. 1 extremely Shown in Fig. 6, the present invention provides a kind of step reservoir Adaptive synthesis scheduling merging multi-source information System.

As it is shown in figure 1, the step reservoir Adaptive synthesis scheduling merging multi-source information of the present invention System structure includes external source information access module 1, endogenous information acquisition module 2, distributed information Transport module 3, multi-source information integration module 4, dispatching effect check module 5, adaptive optimization Module 6 and remote control center 7.Wherein:

Described external source information access module 1 includes that meteorological data receives equipment 11, hydrological data connects Receiving unit 12, data of water quality receive equipment 13, weather forecast data receives equipment 14.

Described endogenous information acquisition module 2 include weather monitoring device 21, hydrologic monitoring equipment 22, Water quality monitoring equipment 23, reservoir monitoring running state equipment 24；

Described distributed information transport module 3 includes bottom communication network 31, intermediate layer communication network Network 32, top layer communication network 33；

Described multi-source information integration module 4 include information integrated unit 41, weather forecast unit 42, Hydrologic forecast unit 43；

Described dispatching effect is checked module 5 and is included that flood control results analytic unit 51, navigation benefit are divided Analysis unit 52, ecological safety analytic unit 53, water environment ensure analytic unit 54, power benefit Unit 56 is checked in analytic unit 55, scheduling；

Described adaptive optimization module 6 includes response analysis unit 61, self adaptation optimizing unit 62；

Described remote control center 7 include external source information server 71, endogenous information server 72, Top layer communication network terminal node 73, multi-source information server 74, performance analysis server 75, Optimize Analysis server 76.

In above-mentioned dispatching patcher, the mutual relation of modules and funtion part is as described below:

By the way of internet encrypted, the meteorological data of described external source information access module 1 connects Receiving unit 11, hydrological data receive equipment 12, data of water quality receives equipment 13 and synchronizes respectively to connect It is received in the basin at step reservoir place the external source of the current scheduling period in (hereinafter referred to as basin) Meteorological data WS1, external source hydrological data HS1, external source data of water quality QS1 (present situation data), These present situation data come from the meteorological department beyond native system, hydraulic department, environmental administration Monitoring gained Deng service unit；Weather forecast data receives equipment 14 and then receives meteorological department External source weather forecast data WP1 of next scheduling slot provided；External source information access module 1 It is incoming and be stored in remotely that the above data (data) received first passes through internet encrypted mode In the external source information server 71 of control centre 7.

As shown in Figure 2 and Figure 4, described endogenous information acquisition module 2 in upstream, basin with subflow Territory is that unit carries out information gathering, and the type of sub basin includes mountain area type sub basin and plain type Basin two class, different types of sub basin is arranged different distributions type by the upstream needle in basin Monitoring station, and simultaneously river course key controlling section in the downstream in basin arranges monitoring station Point, arranges the multiparameter integral type monitoring device of one or more types at each monitoring station, Gather the endogenous meteorological data WS2 of current scheduling period, endogenous hydrological data HS2, endogenous water Matter data QS2, endogenous reservoir running status data RS (present situation data), be used for making up external source Information access module 1 is at white space, the default parameters of blank interval；Endogenous information gathering mould The above data (data) that block 2 collects is incoming remotely via distributed information transport module 3 In the endogenous information server 72 of control centre 7.

Specifically, mountain area type sub basin uses tandem monitoring station distribution pattern, to adapt to mountain Zone type sub basin has the feature of obvious upstream and downstream；And plain type sub basin uses netted monitoring station Point distribution pattern, interweaves, without the feature (example of obvious upstream and downstream adapting to the plain type sub basin network of waterways Plain type sub basin arranges monitoring station 1,2 as shown in Figure 2 ... N and mountain area type subflow Monitoring station 1 is arranged in territory)；Meanwhile, described endogenous information acquisition module 2 is in lower reaches river course Crucial controlling section also arrange multiple monitoring station.In the above each monitoring station, all It is provided with the multiparameter integral type monitoring device of one or more types, described monitoring device bag Include weather monitoring device 21, hydrologic monitoring equipment 22, water quality monitoring equipment 23, reservoir operation shape State monitoring device 24.

Wherein, weather monitoring device 21 includes rain sensor, wind speed/wind transducer, temperature Sensor, baroceptor, illumination meter, humidity sensor, can be used for Real-time Collection and currently adjust Spend the endogenous meteorological data WS2 of period, it include rainfall, wind speed, wind direction, temperature, air pressure, Illumination, humidity；

Hydrologic monitoring equipment 22 includes level sensor, flow transducer, can be used for Real-time Collection The endogenous hydrological data HS2 of current scheduling period, it includes water level, flow；

Water quality monitoring equipment 23 include cooling-water temperature sensor, acidity-basicity sensor, dissolved oxygen sensor, Permanganate index analyser, COD sensor, sonde-type algae luminoscope, join more Number nutritive salt sensor, can be used for endogenous data of water quality QS2 of Real-time Collection current scheduling period, It include water temperature, pH value, dissolved oxygen, permanganate index, COD, chlorophyll, Ammonia nitrogen, total phosphorus, total nitrogen；

Reservoir monitoring running state equipment 24 include upstream water level sensor, tailwater elevation sensor, Flow transducer, for endogenous reservoir running status data RS of Real-time Collection current scheduling period, Including each step reservoir upper pond level, the level of tail water, by flood releasing structure and hydrogenerator The storage outflow of group；

Each multiparameter integral type monitoring device remains for and distributed information transport module 3 the most in advance Bottom communication network 31 connect bidirectional port, by this bidirectional port, data successively can be passed Enter remote control center 7, it is possible to receive remote control center by this port and send instructions for 7 times Control each monitoring device.

How the data (data) that internally source information acquisition module 2 gathers below is via distributed The incoming remote control center of information transmission modular 37 is described in detail:

As it is shown in figure 1, described distributed information transport module 3 uses layer three information communication network Structure carries out information bidirectional transmission, i.e. include bottom communication network 31, intermediate layer communication network 32, Top layer communication network 33.

As in figure 2 it is shown, in distributed information transport module 3, in basin upstream needle to inhomogeneity The sub basin (plain type sub basin and mountain area type sub basin) of type arranges the logical of different distributions type News node, the river course key controlling section at lower reaches also arranges communication node simultaneously.

Specifically, in distributed information transport module 3, bottom communication network 31 is according to endogenous Each monitoring station of information acquisition module 2 and carry out the space of correspondence and arrange, in upstream, basin Tandem communication node distribution pattern is used for mountain area type sub basin；For plain type sub basin Use netted communication node distribution pattern；Bottom communication network 31 in each sub basin comprises A series of communication node (not shown)s and routing node, each communication node is with neighbouring Equipment in the monitoring station of endogenous information acquisition module 2 is had by reserved bidirectional port Line connect, between simultaneous communications node by local area network wireless mesh network protocol carry out local without Line networking.

Each node (intermediate layer communication network node 1,2...N) of intermediate layer communication network 32 by It is arranged on the sub basin information gathering transmission center composition at each sub basin end outlet, described Each node of intermediate layer communication network 32 in basin each other by the way of internet encrypted Interconnection；During the data (data) of the communication node transmission of above-mentioned bottom communication network 31 is pooled to After the sub basin information gathering transmission center of interbed communication network 32, then it is uploaded to top layer communication network Network 33.

Wherein top layer communication network 33 includes at least one top layer communication network terminal node 73, In being arranged on remote control center 7 and with endogenous information server 72 wired connection, top layer simultaneously In the sub basin information gathering transmission of communication network terminal node 73 and intermediate layer communication network 32 The heart connects by the way of internet encrypted.

On the whole, distributed information transport module 3 one aspect is used for receiving endogenous information gathering The data (data) that module 2 gathers, and successively (bottom communication network 31-intermediate layer communication network Network 32-top layer communication network 33) it is uploaded to storage in remote control center 7, i.e. bottom communication net Network 31 is wireless incoming intermediate layer communication network 32, then it is uploaded to top layer by internet encrypted mode The top layer communication network terminal node 73 of communication network 33, then saved by top layer communication network terminal Point 73 and the wired connection of endogenous information server 72, be finally stored in remote control center 7 Endogenous information server 72 in；On the other hand also can be issued by remote control center 7 is long-range Instruction successively issues (top layer communication network 33-intermediate layer communication network 32-bottom communication network 31) Each monitoring device (on-site terminal) to endogenous information acquisition module 2.

Described multi-source information integration module 4 is arranged at the multi-source information service of remote control center 7 In device 74, wherein information integrated unit 41 is for separate sources, different time sections, difference The meteorology of spatial and temporal resolution, the hydrology, water quality, the data (data) of reservoir running status are carried out Standardization, centralized stores and renewal；Weather forecast unit 42 utilizes information integrated unit 41 In the meteorological data of current scheduling period, use data-driven method to generate next scheduling slot Weather forecast data；It is current that hydrologic forecast unit 43 utilizes that information integrated unit 41 provides The weather forecast data of the hydrological data of scheduling slot and next scheduling slot, uses data-driven Method generates the hydrologic forecast data of next scheduling slot.

Specifically, information integrated unit 41 receives external source information access module 1 and interior source information is adopted The external source meteorological data WS1 of the current scheduling period that collection module 2 provides and endogenous meteorological data WS2, external source hydrological data HS1 and endogenous hydrological data HS2, external source data of water quality QS1 and, Endogenous data of water quality QS2, endogenous reservoir running status data RS (present situation data) and next tune Spend external source weather forecast data WP1 of period, and next of weather forecast unit 42 output is adjusted Spend endogenous weather forecast data WP2 of period and next scheduling of hydrologic forecast unit 43 output Endogenous hydrologic forecast data HP1 of period, to these separate sources, different spatial and temporal resolution Data are standardized process, centralized stores and renewal；

Wherein, only the foreign gas of next scheduling slot it is not provided that when external source information access module 1 During as forecast data WP1, just start weather forecast unit 42, utilize information integrated unit 41 In external source meteorological data WS1 or the endogenous meteorological data WS2 of current scheduling period, use number Basin short-range weather prediction is implemented, it is provided that the endogenous meteorology of next scheduling slot is pre-according to driving method Report data WP2 is as supplementing, and inputs to information integrated unit 41 and store；

And hydrologic forecast unit 43 utilizes in information integrated unit 41 outside the current scheduling period Source hydrological data HS1 or endogenous hydrological data HS2 and the external source weather forecast of next scheduling slot Data WP1 or endogenous weather forecast data WP2, use data-driven method to generate next scheduling Endogenous hydrologic forecast data HP1 of period, including step reservoir reservoir inflow and crucial controlling The hydrologic condition of section, and input to information integrated unit 41 and store.

Described dispatching effect is checked module 5 and is arranged at the performance analysis service of remote control center 7 In device 75, including flood control results analytic unit 51, navigation performance analysis unit 52, ecological peace Complete analysis unit 53, water environment ensure analytic unit 54, power benefit analytic unit 55, scheduling Check unit 56, for the initial time at next scheduling slot, by receiving the integrated list of information The information that unit 41 provides, analyzes the flood control of step reservoir downstream river course key controlling section respectively Front ladder is worked as in effect, navigation benefit, ecological state, Water Environment Status quo, power benefit and check Whether level reservoir regulation mode is applicable to next scheduling slot.In schedule periods each scheduling time The initial time of section, starts above-mentioned dispatching effect and checks module 5.

Wherein flood control results analytic unit 51 receives the external source hydrology that information integrated unit 41 provides Data HS1 and endogenous hydrological data HS2, analyze the flood control results of downstream river course controlling section Present situation；Navigation performance analysis unit 52 receives the external source hydrology money that information integrated unit 41 provides Material HS1 and endogenous hydrological data HS2, analyzes the navigation effect feelings of downstream navigation controlling section Condition；Ecological safety analytic unit 53 receives the external source hydrological data that information integrated unit 41 provides HS1 and endogenous hydrological data HS2, analyzes the downstream water ecology control under reservoir operation influence on system operation The Guarantee Of Environment present situation of property section processed；Water environment ensures that analytic unit 54 receives information integrated unit 41 external source data of water quality QS1 provided and endogenous data of water quality QS2, analyze reservoir dispatching The water quality Guarantee Condition of the downstream key water environmental Kuznets Curves section under influence on system operation；Generating effect is divided Analysis unit 55 receives endogenous reservoir running status data RS that information integrated unit 41 provides, point The power benefit of analysis step reservoir；Scheduling is checked unit 56 and is received above-mentioned analytic unit 51～54 Whether analysis result, check the existing scheduling mode of step reservoir successively and meet and control flood, open the navigation or air flight, give birth to State, water environment obligate requirement, if either side is unsatisfactory for obligating requirement, then table The scheduling mode of bright current step reservoir does not have the feasible of continuation enforcement at next scheduling slot Property, adaptive optimization module 6 need to be started and carry out adaptive optimization adjustment.

Described adaptive optimization module 6 is arranged at the optimization Analysis server of remote control center 7 In 76, including response analysis unit 61, self adaptation optimizing unit 62；Wherein response analysis unit 61 for by reservoir dispatching letdown flow and step reservoir downstream river course controlling section stream Nonlinear response relation function between amount, water level, water quality；Based on this function, from Adapt to optimizing unit 62 and can play optimal synthesis benefit at next scheduling slot by being calculated Reservoir dispatching scheme, and by the top layer communication of scheduling scheme transmission to remote control center 7 Network end nodes 73, is successively issued to each reservoir dispatching center, with when next is dispatched Section implements new Optimized Operation scheme；

Wherein response analysis unit 61 field data based on the long sequence of history, uses artificial neuron Network method, by step reservoir letdown flow and downstream river course controlling section flow, water level, Nonlinear response relation function between water quality；Scheduling school in dispatching effect checks module 5 Nuclear unit 56 check result shows that current reservoir dispatching mode does not has at next scheduling slot When continuing the feasibility implemented, start self adaptation optimizing unit 62, by receiving multi-source information collection Become endogenous reservoir running status data RS of information integrated unit 41 transmission in module 4 with under Endogenous hydrologic forecast data HP1 of one scheduling slot, provides by response analysis unit 61 simultaneously Nonlinear response relation function, find out and can meet flood control, navigation, ecology, water environment simultaneously The letdown flow scope obligating requirement, and then use genetic algorithm to different in the range of this Comprehensive effect value under letdown flow carries out optimizing, obtains to play optimum at next scheduling slot The step reservoir optimal synthesis scheduling scheme of comprehensive benefit；The optimum of self adaptation optimizing unit 62 is combined Close scheduling scheme and export to top layer communication network terminal node (73) of remote control center 7, Successively it is issued to each step reservoir implement.

Described remote control center 7 is for controlling duty and the back-end data of above-mentioned each unit Process, including external source information server 71, endogenous information server 72, top layer communication network eventually End node 73, multi-source information server 74, performance analysis server 75, optimization Analysis server 76。

The step reservoir Adaptive synthesis dispatching patcher using above-mentioned fusion multi-source information is scheduling Dispatching method include:

1) synchronization of outer source information accesses: in schedule periods, by external source information access module 1 Synchronization receives the service units such as the meteorological department outside native system, hydraulic department, environmental administration The external source meteorological data WS1 of current scheduling period of monitoring, external source hydrological data in this basin HS1, external source data of water quality QS1 (present situation data) and the external source weather forecast of next scheduling slot These data (data) are first stored in the external source letter of remote control center 7 by data WP1 In breath server 71, and carry out data (data) integrity check, analyse whether to there is blank Region, the default parameters of blank interval；The regular incoming letter of data in external source information server 71 Breath integrated unit 41 is standardized process, centralized stores and renewal；

2) the supplementary monitoring of interior source information: when external source information access module 1 there are white space, During the default parameters of blank interval, start endogenous information acquisition module 2 and carry out supplementing monitoring, i.e. The necessary multiparameter integral type monitoring device of necessary monitoring station is started in necessary sub basin, Gather the endogenous meteorological data WS2, endogenous of the current scheduling period of white space, blank interval Hydrological data HS2, endogenous data of water quality QS2, endogenous reservoir running status data RS (present situation Data), for making up the disappearance data of external source information access module 1；

The updates that described endogenous information acquisition module 2 gathers, first via distributed information The bottom communication network 31 wireless incoming intermediate layer communication network 32 of transport module 3, then by interconnecting The mode of net encryption is uploaded to the top layer communication network terminal node 73 of top layer communication network 33, It is stored in eventually in the endogenous information server 72 of remote control center 7；Endogenous information server 72 In information regular afferent message integrated unit 41 be standardized processing, centralized stores and renewal；

3) fusion of multi-source information: schedule periods is divided into T scheduling slot (t=1 ..., T), when Step 1) in external source information access module 1 be not provided that the foreign gas of next scheduling slot is as in advance During report data WP1, start the weather forecast unit 42 of multi-source information integration module 4, utilize letter The meteorological money of external source meteorological data WS1 or endogenous of the current scheduling period in breath integrated unit 41 Material WS2, uses data-driven method to generate the endogenous weather forecast data of next scheduling slot WP2 is as supplementing；

Then, start hydrologic forecast unit 43, utilize the external source hydrological data of current scheduling period External source weather forecast data WP1 of HS1 or endogenous hydrological data HS2 and next scheduling slot Or endogenous weather forecast data WP2, use data-driven method to generate the interior of next scheduling slot Source hydrologic forecast data HP1, including crucial controlling section hydrologic condition, step reservoir warehouse-in Flow；

Periodically by external source information access module 1, endogenous information acquisition module 2, weather forecast unit 42, space division when all kinds of separate sources of hydrologic forecast unit 43 offer, different time sections, difference After the meteorology of resolution, the hydrology, water quality, reservoir running status data are standardized processing, deposit The unified information collection being stored in the multi-source information server 74 of remote control center 7, is scheduled for effect Fruit checks module 5 and adaptive optimization module 6 is selected；

4) reservoir dispatching effect analysis and check: at the initial time of each scheduling slot, Start dispatching effect and check module 5, use flood control results analytic unit 51, navigation the most respectively Performance analysis unit 52, ecological safety analytic unit 53, water environment ensure analytic unit 54, send out Electricity performance analysis unit 55 is to flood control, shipping, Ecology, water environment, the dispatching effect of generating It is analyzed respectively, the concrete effect current reservoir dispatching implemented for watershed management department Quantitative basis is provided；

And then, use scheduling to check unit 56 and receive the analysis result of above-mentioned analytic unit 51～54, Analyze the flood control in current cascade operation mode, whether navigation, ecology, water environment effect meet Obligate requirement: if being satisfied by, then in this reservoir dispatching mode of next scheduling slot not Adjust；If either side is unsatisfactory for obligating requirement, then show current reservoir dispatching Mode does not have the feasibility continuing to implement at next scheduling slot, need to start adaptive optimization mould Block 6 carries out adaptive optimization adjustment；

Wherein, the concrete analysis computational methods of each analytic unit during dispatching effect checks module 5 As described below:

A) flood control results analytic unit 51 uses step reservoir downstream river course flood control controlling section Flood control safety fraction f_t(F) flood control results is analyzed:

Wherein flood control safety fraction f_t(F) obtained by equation 1 below:

$f_t\left(F\right)=\frac{1}{M}\underset{j=1}{\overset{M}{\&Sigma;}}{m}_j^t$ (formula 1), wherein,

$m_j^t=\left\{\begin{array}{ccc}\left({\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}-{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^t\right)/\left({\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}-{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^b\right)& {\mathrm{ZF}}_j^t\&le;{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}& j=1,\mathrm{...},M\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{ZF}}_j^t>{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}& j=1,\mathrm{...},M\end{array}\right.$

Wherein, f_t(F) it is flood control safety fraction；M is downstream river course flood control controlling section Number；For jth flood control controlling section at the flood control results of t；Represent that jth is prevented Flood controlling section at t actual water level,Represent that jth flood control controlling section is when t The warning line carved,For the bed elevation of jth section, want when downstream river course meets flood control When asking, flood control safety fraction f_t(F) ∈ [0,1], when(j=1 ..., M), i.e. can not When meeting flood control demand, then f_t(F)=-∞；

B) navigation performance analysis unit 52 uses step reservoir downstream river course navigation controlling section Navigation discharge fraction f_t(S) analyze downstream river course navigation effect:

Wherein navigation discharge fraction f_t(S) it is to be obtained by equation 2 below:

$f_t\left(S\right)=\frac{1}{P}\underset{k=1}{\overset{P}{\&Sigma;}}{p}_k^t$ (formula 2), wherein,

$p_k^t=\left\{\begin{array}{cc}\left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^t-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\right)/\left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\&le;{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t<{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,f}\\ \left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t\right)/\left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,f}\&le;{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t\&le;{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{QS}}_k^t<{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }or{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t>{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }\end{array}\right.$

Wherein, f_t(S) it is navigation discharge fraction；P is downstream river course navigation controlling section Number；For kth navigation controlling section in the navigation effect of t；Represent that kth is led to Boat controlling section is at the flow of t；For kth navigation controlling section t institute The Minimum Navigable flow needed,Optimum in t for kth navigation controlling section Navigation discharge,For the kth navigation controlling section maximum navigation stream required for t Amount；

C) ecological safety analytic unit 53 uses step reservoir downstream river course Ecology controlling to break The ecological flow approach degree f in face_t(E) river channel ecology Guarantee Condition is analyzed:

Wherein ecological flow approach degree f_t(E) it is to be obtained by equation 3 below:

$f_t\left(E\right)=\frac{1}{R}\underset{l=1}{\overset{R}{\&Sigma;}}{r}_l^t$ (formula 3), wherein,

$r_l^t=\left\{\begin{array}{cc}\left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^t-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\right)/\left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\&le;{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t\&le;{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,f}\\ \left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t\right)/\left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,f}<{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t\&le;{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{QE}}_l^t<{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }or{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t>{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }\end{array}\right.$

Wherein, f_t(E) it is ecological flow approach degree；R is downstream river course Ecology controlling section Number；It it is the l Ecology controlling section Guarantee Of Environment effect in t；Represent The l Ecology controlling section is at the flow of t；It is the l Ecology controlling Section minimum ecological discharge required for t,It is the l Ecology controlling section At the optimum ecological flow of t,It is that the l Ecology controlling section is in t Required maximum ecological flow；

D) water environment ensures that analytic unit 54 uses step reservoir downstream river course water environmental control The probability of meeting water quality standard f of section_t(Q) river water quality Guarantee Condition is analyzed:

Wherein probability of meeting water quality standard f_t(Q) it is to be obtained by equation 4 below:

$f_t\left(Q\right)=\frac{1}{W}\underset{g=1}{\overset{W}{\&Sigma;}}{w}_g^t$ (formula 4), wherein,

$w_g^t=\left\{\begin{array}{cc}{\mathrm{SI}}_g^t/{\mathrm{TI}}_g^t& {\mathrm{SI}}_g^t\&GreaterEqual;{\mathrm{SI}}_g^{t,f}\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{SI}}_g^t<{\mathrm{SI}}_g^{t,f}\end{array}\right.$

Wherein, f_t(Q) it is probability of meeting water quality standard；W is downstream river course water environmental control section number；It it is the g section Effects of Water Quality in t；It is the g section water quality in t The number up to standard of index；It it is the g water environmental control section water quality index in t Number；Be the water quality index that meets needed for t of the g water environmental control section Few number up to standard；

E) power benefit analytic unit 55 uses step reservoir actual power generation sum to adjust with conventional The ratio f of the generated energy sum of each step reservoir when degree runs_t(G) power benefit situation is analyzed:

The ratio f of the generated energy sum of the most each step reservoir_t(G) it is to be obtained by equation 5 below Arrive:

f_t(G)=G_ot/G_dt(formula 5), wherein,

Wherein, actual power generation sum G of step reservoir in scheduling slot_otFor:

$G_{ot}=\underset{i=1}{\overset{N}{\&Sigma;}}{N}_i^{t,o}\mathrm{\&Delta;}t$

$N_i^{t,o}=A_i^t{Q}_i^{t,go}{\mathrm{\&Delta;H}}_i^t$

Wherein, generated energy sum G of each step reservoir when routine dispactching runs_dtFor:

$G_{dt}=\underset{i=1}{\overset{N}{\&Sigma;}}{N}_i^{t,d}\mathrm{\&Delta;}t$

$N_i^{t,o}=A_i^t{Q}_i^{t,go}{\mathrm{\&Delta;H}}_i^{t,o}$

Wherein, f_t(G) it is the power benefit index of step reservoir；G_otFor t period during actual motion The generated energy sum of each step reservoir；G_dtFor t period each step water under management and running pattern routinely The generated energy sum in storehouse,For the exerting oneself at i period t of reservoir during actual motion,Exist for reservoir i The comprehensive power factor of period t；For reservoir i during actual motion at the generating flow of period t；For reservoir i during actual motion in the water-head of period t；For water under scheduling method routinely Storehouse i exerts oneself period t's；For routine dispactching pattern lower storage reservoir i comprehensively exerting oneself of period t it is Number, withValue is identical；For routine dispactching operational mode lower storage reservoir i at the generating stream of period t Amount；For routine dispactching operational mode lower storage reservoir i in the water-head of period t, Δ t is period t's Duration；

F) scheduling is checked unit 56 and is received the analysis result of above-mentioned analytic unit 51～54, analyzes Whether the flood control in current cascade operation mode, navigation, ecology, water environment effect meet pressure Constraint requirements: if being satisfied by, then do not adjust in this reservoir dispatching mode of next scheduling slot Whole；If either side is unsatisfactory for obligating requirement, then show current reservoir dispatching mode Not there is at next scheduling slot the feasibility continuing to implement, adaptive optimization module 6 need to be started Carry out adaptive optimization adjustment；Wherein, either side is unsatisfactory for obligating requirement and refers to f_t(F)、f_t(S)、f_t(E)、f_t(Q) in, any value is-∞, wherein, and f_t(F) it is reservoir dispatching Flood control safety fraction；f_t(S) it is the navigation discharge fraction of reservoir dispatching；f_t(E) it is ladder The ecological flow approach degree of level reservoir operation；f_t(Q) it is the probability of meeting water quality standard of reservoir dispatching；

5) step reservoir integrated dispatch adaptive analysis: when step 4) check result show work as Front step reservoir regulation mode, when next scheduling slot does not have the feasibility continuing to implement, opens Dynamic adaptive optimization module 6；

First, use response analysis unit 61, receive information collection in multi-source information integration module 4 Become the field data of the long sequence of history of unit 41, use Artificial Neural Network, by step Nonlinear response relation letter between reservoir letdown flow and downstream river course flow, water level, water quality Numberization；

And then, use self adaptation optimizing unit 62, receive information in multi-source information integration module 4 Endogenous reservoir running status data RS of the current scheduling period of integrated unit 41 is dispatched with next Endogenous hydrologic forecast data HP1 of period, the step simultaneously provided by response analysis unit 61 Nonlinear response between reservoir operation letdown flow and downstream river course flow, water level, water quality is closed Be function, according to above-mentioned steps 4) in dispatching effect check each analytic unit 51～55 in module 5 Circular, find out the pressure that can simultaneously meet flood control, navigation, ecology, water environment The letdown flow scope of constraint requirements, is Optimization goal to the maximum with reservoir dispatching comprehensive benefit, It is constrained to limit with the water balance of step reservoir, units limits, restriction of water level, letdown flow Condition, and then use genetic algorithm that the comprehensive effect value under different letdown flows is carried out optimizing, Obtain to play the step reservoir optimal synthesis dispatching party of optimal synthesis benefit at next scheduling slot Case；

Specifically, the self adaptation optimizing unit 62 of described adaptive optimization module 6 is used specifically Method is as follows:

A) the Optimization goal TotalTarget of calculating step reservoir integrated dispatch:

Wherein Optimization goal TotalTarget is obtained by equation 6 below:

TotalTarget=α f_t(F)+β[f_t(G)*f_t(S)]+λ[f_t(E)*f_t(Q)] (formula 6),

Wherein, f_t(F)、f_t(G)、f_t(S)、f_t(E)、f_t(Q) the flood control peace of reservoir dispatching it is respectively Full fraction, power benefit index, navigation discharge fraction, ecological flow approach degree, water quality Compliance rate；α, β, λ be not Wei the weight of every corresponding index, and alpha+beta+λ=1；

B) constraints in step reservoir integrated dispatch searching process is calculated:

B1) step reservoir water balance:

Wherein step reservoir water balance is obtained by equation 7 below:

$\left\{\begin{array}{cc}{V}_i^{t+1}=V_i^t+\left(I_1^t-Q_i^t\right)\&times;\mathrm{\&Delta;}t& i=1\\ V_i^{t+1}=V_i^t+\left(Q_{i-1}^t+{\mathrm{ql}}_{1-1,i}^t-Q_i^t\right)\&times;\mathrm{\&Delta;}t& i=2,\mathrm{...},N\end{array}\right.$ (formula 7),

Wherein,For the reservoir i average storage capacity in period t+1；For reservoir i in period t Average storage capacity；For most upstream one-level reservoir at the average reservoir inflow of period t；For reservoir I is at the average letdown flow of period t；For the average side between period t reservoir i-1 to reservoir i Side reservoir inflow, Δ t is the duration of period t；

B2) each step reservoir units limits:

The most each step reservoir units limits is obtained by equation 8 below:

$N_i^{t,\min }\&le;N_i^t\&le;N_i^{t,max}$ (formula 8),

Wherein,It is respectively reservoir i minimum in period t, EIAJ constraint；

B3) step reservoir water storage level and the constraint of water level daily amplitude:

Wherein step reservoir water storage level and water level daily amplitude retrain by equation 9 below .1 and public affairs Formula 9.2 obtains:

$Z_i^{t,min}\&le;Z_i^t\&le;Z_i^{t,max}$ (formula 9.1),

${\mathrm{\&Delta;Z}}_i^{t,min}\&le;{\mathrm{\&Delta;Z}}_i^t\&le;{\mathrm{\&Delta;Z}}_i^{t,max}$ (formula 9.2),

Wherein,It is respectively the reservoir i minimum, peak level constraint in period t, This constraint includes that minimum, peak level that each reservoir has itself limit and set in schedule periods Regulation storage capacity correspondence water level limit, take common factor part,It is respectively reservoir i to exist The water level minimum daily amplitude allowed in period t and water level maximum daily amplitude, restrictive condition is dam peace Entirely, geological condition of reservoir area, reservoir area navigation safety, take common factor part；

B4) step reservoir letdown flow constraint:

Wherein the constraint of step reservoir letdown flow is obtained by equation 10 below:

$Q_i^{t,\min }\&le;Q_i^t\&le;Q_i^{t,max}$ (formula 10),

Wherein,It is respectively reservoir i at the minimum of period t, maximum letdown flow about Bundle, this constraint includes that reservoir is in constraints b3) under allow water level minimum daily amplitude and water level Letdown flow, flood control flow, navigation discharge, ecological flow and the water ring that maximum daily amplitude is corresponding Border flow, takes common factor part；

6) step reservoir integrated dispatch dynamic regulation: by step 5) in self adaptation optimizing unit 62 The optimal synthesis scheduling scheme of output, via the top layer communication network terminal of remote control center 7 Node 73 is successively issued to the control centre of each step reservoir, at next scheduling slot by step 5) New departure implement；

7) in whole schedule periods, step 1 is repeated)-6).

Below the specific embodiment of the present invention is described in detail.In the present embodiment, choose Three step reservoirs on tributary, the Changjiang river are scheduler object, and the fusion using the present invention to provide is many The step reservoir Adaptive synthesis dispatching patcher of source information and dispatching method, carry out described three ladders The integrated dispatch of level reservoir.The master stream total length in this tributary is about 380km, and total drop is 1430m, Hydraulic power potentials enriches, and exploit condition is good, for rational exploitation and utilization water resource, carries out cascade development, On this tributary, swim over to downstream build dam D1, dam D2, dam D3 respectively (such as figure Shown in 4) totally three power stations, define step reservoir.Above-mentioned step reservoir had concurrently generating, Flood control, shipping, ecology, the comprehensive benefit of water environment.

Endogenous information acquisition module 2 is not provided with weather monitoring station for gathering weather monitoring department The data such as the meteorological data of sub basin and weather forecast data, the hydrology, water quality.As shown in Figure 4, The basin gross area about 500km², by catchment area, (wherein, basin is divided into 40 sub basin Mountain area type sub basin 35, plain type sub basin 5), wherein have in 30 sub basin The permanent weather monitoring station of weather monitoring Department formation, can issue once meteorological every 6 hours Information, including rainfall, wind speed, wind direction, temperature, air pressure, illumination, humidity；Other 10 Sub basin (including 6 mountain area type sub basin, 4 plain type sub basin) is dilute due to signs of human habitation Few, physical features is dangerously steep, is not provided with permanent weather monitoring station temporarily, therefore when implementing scheduling, for Make up the problem that the distribution of permanent weather monitoring station is not enough, be not provided with permanent weather monitoring station Sub basin in multiple monitoring station is set, at each monitoring station, one or more classes are set The multiparameter integral type monitoring device of type.Wherein at least include built-in integral type in monitoring station Multifunctional meteorological monitoring device 21, it includes rain sensor, wind speed/wind transducer, temperature Sensor, baroceptor, illumination meter, humidity sensor, Contents for Monitoring and the frequency are with permanent Property weather monitoring station is identical, including rainfall, wind speed, wind direction, temperature, air pressure, illumination, Humidity.

Rain sensor uses the CG-04 model of Qing Sheng Electronic Science and Technology Co., Ltd., measures scope Being 0～80mm/h, certainty of measurement is ± 0.2mm, and resolution is 0.3mm, holds footpath, the mouth of a river and isWind speed/wind transducer uses the CEM inductosyn of Shanghai gloomy wound electronics, Measurement scope is 0～80m/s, precision be 0.3m/s resolution be 0.1m/s, wind direction measure scope Being 0～360 °, precision is 4 °, and resolution is 1 °；Air-temperature sensor uses Shanghai with a times detection The DT-8891D model of Science and Technology Ltd., the scope of measurement is-30～55 DEG C, and precision is 0.5 DEG C, Resolution is 0.1 DEG C；Baroceptor uses Hao Jie Electron equipment Co., Ltd PTJ501 model, Measurement scope is 0～100Kpa, and synthesis precision is 0.5%FS, 1.0%FS, and illumination meter uses sea The LI-250A model of Hua Yan instrument and equipment company limited, can show instantaneous intensity of illumination or 15 The meansigma methods of intensity of illumination in second；Company's T H-101B model when humidity sensor uses virtue, Humidity error 5%～8%.

In above-mentioned monitoring station, the monitoring station (monitoring point) of controlling section includes that the hydrology is supervised Measurement equipment 22, it includes level sensor, flow sensor, is used for measuring river controlling and breaks The water level in face, flow.Wherein, level sensor uses Hangzhou U.S. control limited public affairs of automatic technology Department's MIK-P260 model, measurement scope is 0～200m, and certainty of measurement is 0.01m, and flow velocity is surveyed Amount uses the acoustic Doppler velocimetry of Rowe Technologies company of the U.S., can connect for a long time The flow velocity in continuous monitoring river course, measures scope 0.001m/s-30m/s, and resolution and precision are 0.01m/s, be arranged in sub basin outlet, at the warehouse-in of tributary and downstream flood control between two dams, navigation, Ecological, water environmental control section is after Measure section each several part mean flow rate, many by calling The controlling section information of source information integration module 4, uses velocity_area method, calculates controlling The flow of section.

The monitoring station of controlling section also includes water quality monitoring equipment 23, multi-parameter water quality divide Analyzer forms, and uses Zhong Kepuchuan Science and Technology Ltd. to produce in the present embodiment WDC-PC03 multiparameter water quality analyzer, built-in cooling-water temperature sensor, acidity-basicity sensor, molten Solve oxygen sensor, permanganate index analyser, COD sensor, sonde-type algae Luminoscope, multiparameter nutritive salt sensor, be arranged in downstream river course water environmental control section, For Real-time Collection data of water quality, such as water temperature, pH value, dissolved oxygen, permanganate index, change Learn oxygen demand, chlorophyll, ammonia nitrogen, total phosphorus, total nitrogen etc..

As shown in Figure 4, in this example, it is (the most anti-that 3 flood control controlling sections are set in downstream Flood controlling section F₁、F₂、F₃), 2 navigation controlling section (i.e. navigation controlling sections S₁、S₂), 2 Ecology controlling section (i.e. Ecology controlling section E₁、E₂)、2 Individual water environmental control section (i.e. water environmental control section Q₁、Q₂), above-mentioned different controls Property section constraints provided by local hydraulic department, environmental administration, as it is shown on figure 3, be The dispatching method flow chart of the present invention, concrete scheduling process includes:

1) synchronization of outer source information accesses: in schedule periods, by external source information access module 1 Synchronize the foreign gas receiving the current scheduling period monitored in this basin of each business department as money Material WS1, external source hydrological data HS1, external source data of water quality QS1, and weather forecast department External source weather forecast data WP1 of next scheduling slot provided；Data is first stored in remotely In the external source information server 71 of control centre 7；

2) the supplementary monitoring of interior source information: for sub basin and the control of above-mentioned external source loss of learning Section, the supplementary monitoring of source information in implementing, including the current scheduling period of weather monitoring station Endogenous meteorological data WS2, endogenous hydrological data HS2, endogenous data of water quality QS2, endogenous water Storehouse running status data RS, for making up the data defect of external source information access module 1；

The updates that described endogenous information acquisition module 2 gathers, first via distributed information The bottom communication network 31 wireless incoming intermediate layer communication network 32 of transport module 3, then by interconnecting The mode of net encryption is uploaded to the terminal node 73 of top layer communication network 33, is finally stored in remotely In the endogenous information server 72 of control centre 7；

3) fusion of multi-source information: schedule periods is divided into T scheduling slot (t=1 ..., T), When external source information access module 1 cannot provide the external source weather forecast data of next scheduling slot During WP1, start the weather forecast unit 42 of multi-source information integration module 4, utilize information integrated External source meteorological data WS1 or the endogenous meteorological data WS2 of the current scheduling period in unit 41, Data-driven method is used to generate endogenous weather forecast data WP2 of next scheduling slot as benefit Fill；Then, start hydrologic forecast unit 43, utilize the endogenous hydrological data of current scheduling period External source weather forecast data WP1 of HS2 and next scheduling slot or endogenous weather forecast data WP2, uses data-driven method to generate endogenous hydrologic forecast data HP1 of next scheduling slot, Including crucial controlling section hydrologic condition, step reservoir reservoir inflow；And then, periodically will outward Source information AM access module 1, endogenous information acquisition module 2, weather forecast unit 42, hydrologic forecast All kinds of separate sources that unit 43 provides, different time sections, the meteorology of different spatial and temporal resolution, After the hydrology, water quality, reservoir running status data are standardized processing, it is stored in remotely control Unified information collection in the multi-source information server 74 at center 7, is scheduled for effect and checks module 5 Select with adaptive optimization module 6；

4) reservoir dispatching effect analysis and check: at the initial time of each scheduling slot, Start dispatching effect and check module 5, use flood control results analytic unit 51, navigation the most respectively Performance analysis unit 52, ecological safety analytic unit 53, water environment ensure analytic unit 54, send out Electricity performance analysis unit 55 is adopted with the following method to flood control, generating, shipping, Ecology, water ring Border dispatching effect is analyzed respectively:

A) flood control results analytic unit 51 uses step reservoir downstream river course flood control controlling section Flood control safety fraction f_t(F) flood control results is analyzed:

Wherein flood control safety fraction f_t(F) it is to be obtained by equation 1 below:

$f_t\left(F\right)=\frac{1}{3}\underset{j=1}{\overset{3}{\&Sigma;}}{m}_j^t$ (formula 1), wherein,

$m_j^t=\left\{\begin{array}{ccc}\left({\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}-{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^t\right)/\left({\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}-{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^b\right)& {\mathrm{ZF}}_j^t\&le;{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}& j=1,2,3\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{ZF}}_j^t>{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}& j=1,2,3\end{array}\right.$

Wherein,Represent that the jth flood control in downstream river course 3 flood control controlling section controls Property section at t actual water level,Represent jth flood control controlling section t warning water Position,Bed elevation for jth section；When satisfied flood control requires, safety guarantee rate f_t(F) ∈ [0,1], whenTime, it is impossible to when meeting flood control demand, make f_t(F)=-∞；

B) navigation performance analysis unit 52 uses step reservoir downstream river course navigation controlling section Navigation discharge fraction f_t(S) analyze downstream river course navigation effect situation:

Wherein navigation discharge fraction f_t(S) it is to be obtained by equation 2 below:

$f_t\left(S\right)=\frac{1}{2}\underset{k=1}{\overset{2}{\&Sigma;}}{p}_k^t$ (formula 2), wherein,

$p_k^t=\left\{\begin{array}{cc}\left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^t-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\right)/\left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\&le;{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t<{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,f}\\ \left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t\right)/\left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,f}\&le;{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t\&le;{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{QS}}_k^t<{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }or{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t>{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }\end{array}\right.$

Wherein,Represent the kth navigation control in 2 navigation controlling sections in downstream river course Property section processed is at the flow of t；Required for jth navigation controlling section t Minimum Navigable flow,For jth navigation controlling section t optimum navigation stream Amount,For the maximum navigation discharge required for jth navigation controlling section t；

C) ecological safety analytic unit 53 uses step reservoir downstream river course Ecology controlling to break The ecological flow approach degree f in face_t(E) river channel ecology Guarantee Condition is analyzed:

Wherein ecological flow approach degree f_t(E) it is to be obtained by equation 3 below:

$f_t\left(E\right)=\frac{1}{R}\underset{l=1}{\overset{2}{\&Sigma;}}{r}_l^t$ (formula 3), wherein,

$r_l^t=\left\{\begin{array}{cc}\left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^t-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\right)/\left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\&le;{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t\&le;{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,f}\\ \left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t\right)/\left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,f}<{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t\&le;{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{QE}}_l^t<{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }or{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t>{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }\end{array}\right.$

Wherein,Represent the l Ecology of 2 Ecology controlling sections in downstream river course Controlling section is at the flow of t；It is that the l Ecology controlling section is in t Required minimum ecological discharge,It is the l Ecology controlling section t optimum Ecological flow,It it is the maximum life required for t of the l Ecology controlling section State flow；

D) water environment ensures that analytic unit 54 uses step reservoir downstream river course water environmental control The probability of meeting water quality standard f of section_t(Q) river water quality Guarantee Condition is analyzed:

Wherein probability of meeting water quality standard f_t(Q) it is to be obtained by equation 4 below:

$f_t\left(Q\right)=\frac{1}{2}\underset{g=1}{\overset{2}{\&Sigma;}}{w}_g^t$ (formula 4), wherein,

$w_g^t=\left\{\begin{array}{cc}{\mathrm{SI}}_g^t/{\mathrm{TI}}_g^t& {\mathrm{SI}}_g^t\&GreaterEqual;{\mathrm{SI}}_g^{t,f}\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{SI}}_g^t<{\mathrm{SI}}_g^{t,f}\end{array}\right.$

Wherein,For the g water environment control of W water environmental control section in downstream river course Property section processed at the probability of meeting water quality standard of t,Represent the g water environmental control of downstream river course Section is in the water quality number up to standard of t；It is that the g water environmental control section is in t Water quality index number；It is that the g water environmental control section meets needed for t The number of low water quality up to standard；

E) power benefit analytic unit 55 uses step reservoir actual power generation sum to adjust with conventional The ratio f of the generated energy sum of each step reservoir when degree runs_t(G) (power benefit index) divides Analysis power benefit situation:

The ratio f of the generated energy sum of the most each step reservoir_t(G) it is to be obtained by equation 5 below Arrive:

f_t(G)=G_ot/G_dt(formula 5),

Wherein, actual power generation sum G of step reservoir in scheduling slot_otFor:

$G_{ot}=\underset{i=1}{\overset{3}{\&Sigma;}}{N}_i^{t,o}\mathrm{\&Delta;}t$

$N_i^{t,o}=A_i^t{Q}_i^{t,go}{\mathrm{\&Delta;H}}_i^{t,o}$

Wherein, generated energy sum G of each step reservoir when routine dispactching runs_dtFor:

$\begin{array}{cc}{G}_{dt}=\underset{i=1}{\overset{3}{\&Sigma;}}{N}_i^{t,d}\mathrm{\&Delta;}t& N_i^{t,d}=A_i^{t,gd}{Q}_i^{t,gd}{\mathrm{\&Delta;H}}_i^{t,d}\end{array}$

Wherein, f_t(G) it is the power benefit index of step reservoir；G_otFor t period during actual motion The generated energy sum of each step reservoir；G_dtFor t period each step water under management and running pattern routinely The generated energy sum in storehouse,For reservoir i exerting oneself at period t during actual motion,During for reservoir i The comprehensive power factor of section t, value is between 7.5-8.5；For during actual motion during reservoir i Section t generating flow；For reservoir i period t water-head during actual motion；For adjusting routinely Degree pattern lower storage reservoir i period t exerts oneself；For comprehensively the exerting oneself of i period t under routine dispactching pattern Coefficient, withValue is identical；For routine dispactching operational mode lower storage reservoir i period t generating flow；For routine dispactching operational mode lower storage reservoir i period t water-head, Δ t is the duration of t；

5) step reservoir integrated dispatch adaptive analysis: use scheduling to check unit 56 and receive State step 4) in each analytic unit acquired results, analyze the flood control in current cascade operation mode, It is strong that navigation, ecology, the most satisfied local hydraulic department of water environment effect, environmental administration provide Restriction beam request: if being satisfied by, then do not do in this reservoir dispatching mode of next scheduling slot Adjust；If either side is unsatisfactory for obligating requirement, i.e. f_t(F)、f_t(S)、f_t(E)、f_t(Q) appoint in One value is-∞, then show that current reservoir dispatching mode does not have continuation at next scheduling slot The feasibility implemented, need to start adaptive optimization module and carry out adaptive optimization adjustment；

When step 4) check result show that current reservoir dispatching mode is at next scheduling slot When not there is the feasibility continuing to implement, start adaptive optimization module 6；

First, response analysis unit 61 is used to receive information in multi-source information integration module 4 integrated The field data of the long sequence of history of unit 41, uses Artificial Neural Network, by step water Nonlinear response relation between storehouse scheduling letdown flow and downstream river course flow, water level, water quality Function；And then, use self adaptation optimizing unit 62, receive in multi-source information integration module 4 Endogenous reservoir running status data RS of information integrated unit 41 is endogenous with next scheduling slot Hydrologic forecast data HP1, simultaneously under the reservoir dispatching by response analysis unit 61 offer Nonlinear response relation function between vent flow and downstream river course flow, water level, water quality, depends on According to following optimization method, find out the pressure that can simultaneously meet flood control, navigation, ecology, water environment The letdown flow scope of constraint requirements, and then use genetic algorithm to combining under different letdown flows Close effect value and carry out optimizing, obtain to play at next scheduling slot the step of optimal synthesis benefit Reservoir optimal synthesis scheduling scheme；

The concrete grammar that the self adaptation optimizing unit 62 of described adaptive optimization module 6 is used is such as The lower Optimization goal TotalTarget for calculating step reservoir integrated dispatch according to equation 6 below:

TotalTarget=α f_t(F)+β[f_t(G)*f_t(S)]+λ[f_t(E)*f_t(Q)] (formula 6),

Wherein f_t(F)、f_t(G)、f_t(S)、f_t(E)、f_t(Q) flood control safety of reservoir dispatching it is respectively Fraction, power benefit index, navigation discharge fraction, ecological flow approach degree, water quality reach Mark rate；α, β, λ be not Wei the weight of every corresponding index, and alpha+beta+λ=1, dispatch in difference Period (water-retention phase, dry season, flood season) gives each index difference weighted value, at water-retention phase (9-10 Month), α=0.45, β=0.35, λ=0.20, dry season (the 11-5 month) α=0.15, β=0.35, λ=0.50, flood season (the 6-8 month) α=0.60, β=0.25, λ=0.15；

Wherein, according to constraints b1 in above-mentioned step reservoir integrated dispatch searching process)-b4) Retrain；

6) step reservoir integrated dispatch dynamic regulation: by step 5) in self adaptation optimizing unit defeated The optimal synthesis scheduling scheme gone out, reversely via the top layer communication network terminal of remote control center Node is successively issued to the control centre of each step reservoir, at next scheduling slot by step 5) New departure is implemented；

7) in whole schedule periods, step 1 is repeated) to 6).

The concrete scheduling process of above-mentioned steps is as it is shown in figure 5, according to above-mentioned steps, to step water Annual integrated dispatch is implemented in storehouse, the annual letdown flow process of dam D3 as shown in Figure 6, step The reservoir generated energy whole year reaches 9,000,000,000 kW h, ratio routine dispactching growth by 5.25%, and control flood, Navigation, ecology, water environment have been satisfied by constraints, and step reservoir comprehensive benefit is able to maximum Change.

The principle of being illustrative for property of above-described embodiment explanation present invention and effect thereof, but this Bright it is not limited to above-mentioned embodiment.Those skilled in the art all can be without prejudice to the present invention's Under spirit and the scope, in claims, above-described embodiment is modified.Cause This protection scope of the present invention, should cover such as claims of the present invention.

Claims (10)

1. merging a step reservoir Adaptive synthesis dispatching patcher for multi-source information, its feature exists In: described dispatching patcher includes: external source information access module (1), endogenous information acquisition module (2), distributed information transport module (3), multi-source information integration module (4), scheduling effect Fruit checks module (5), adaptive optimization module (6) and remote control center (7), its In:

Described external source information access module (1) use internet encrypted mode synchronize receive from The external source meteorological data (WS1) of the current scheduling period beyond described dispatching patcher, allogenic water Literary composition data (HS1), external source data of water quality (QS1) and next scheduling slot foreign gas as Forecast data (WP1), the data storage that described external source information access module (1) receives exists In remote control center (7)；

Described endogenous information acquisition module (2) is included in the upstream needle of step reservoir to dissimilar Sub basin arrange monitoring station and mining under reservoir river course key controlling section arrange Monitoring station, each monitoring station arranges the multiparameter integral type monitoring of one or more types Equipment gathers the endogenous meteorological data (WS2) of current scheduling period, endogenous hydrological data (HS2), endogenous data of water quality (QS2), endogenous reservoir running status data (RS), with For making up external source information access module (1) at white space, the default parameters of blank interval； The data that described endogenous information acquisition module (2) gathers is via distributed information transport module (3) In incoming remote control center (7)；

Described distributed information transport module (3) is included in the upstream needle of step reservoir to inhomogeneity Communication node that the sub basin of type is arranged and arranging at mining under reservoir river course key controlling section Communication node；Described distributed information transport module (3) uses layer three information communication network knot Structure carries out information bidirectional transmission, to be on the one hand used for receiving endogenous information acquisition module (2) collection Data, and be successively uploaded in remote control center (7) storage, and on the other hand can The teleinstruction that remote control center (7) issues successively is issued to endogenous information acquisition module (2)；

Described multi-source information integration module (4) is by external source information access module (1), endogenous letter The data of breath acquisition module (2) is centrally stored in remote control center (7) after being standardized processing In, and weather forecast data and the hydrologic forecast data of next scheduling slot can be produced；

Described dispatching effect is checked module (5) and is arranged in remote control center (7), described Dispatching effect checks module (5) can be at the initial time of each scheduling slot, by receiving The information that multi-source information integration module (4) provides, analyzes downstream river course key controlling section Flood control results, navigation benefit, ecological state, Water Environment Status quo and step reservoir power benefit, And check whether current reservoir regulation mode is applicable to next scheduling slot；

In described adaptive optimization module (6) is arranged at remote control center (7), described from Adapt to optimize module (6) and can play optimal synthesis at next scheduling slot by being calculated The reservoir dispatching scheme of benefit, and scheduling scheme is transmitted to remote control center (7), Then the control room of step reservoir it is issued to, to implement new Optimized Operation at next scheduling slot Scheme；

Described remote control center (7) and described external source information access module (1), endogenous letter Breath acquisition module (2), distributed information transport module (3), multi-source information integration module (4), Dispatching effect checks module (5), adaptive optimization module (6) communicates to connect to control each The duty of module and back-end data process, and described remote control center (7) includes that external source is believed Breath server (71), endogenous information server (72), top layer communication network terminal node (73), Multi-source information server (74), performance analysis server (75), optimization Analysis server (76).

The step reservoir Adaptive synthesis of fusion multi-source information the most according to claim 1 is adjusted Degree system, it is characterised in that: the sub basin in the upstream of described step reservoir includes mountain area type Basin and plain type sub basin, wherein, use tandem monitoring station at described mountain area type sub basin Point distribution pattern, uses netted monitoring station distribution pattern at plain type sub basin；

Include in each monitoring station weather monitoring device (21), hydrologic monitoring equipment (22), Water quality monitoring equipment (23), reservoir monitoring running state equipment (24)；

Wherein said weather monitoring device (21) include rain sensor, wind speed/wind transducer, Air-temperature sensor, baroceptor, illumination meter, humidity sensor；

Described hydrologic monitoring equipment (22) includes level sensor, flow transducer；

Described water quality monitoring equipment (23) includes cooling-water temperature sensor, acidity-basicity sensor, dissolving Oxygen sensor, permanganate index analyser, COD sensor, sonde-type algae are glimmering Light instrument, multiparameter nutritive salt sensor；

Described reservoir monitoring running state equipment (24) includes upstream water level sensor, tail water water Level sensor, flow transducer；

Each monitoring device remains for two-way with what distributed information transport module (3) was connected the most in advance Port, and the incoming remote control center of the data (7) that will be monitored by described bidirectional port, And can pass through to send instructions to control respectively under described bidirectional port reception remote control center (7) Individual monitoring device；Wherein, the data storage that described external source information access module (1) receives exists In described external source information server (71)；The money that described endogenous information acquisition module (2) gathers Material is stored in described endogenous information server (72).

The step reservoir Adaptive synthesis of fusion multi-source information the most according to claim 2 is adjusted Degree system, it is characterised in that: described distributed information transport module (3) includes bottom communication net Network (31), intermediate layer communication network (32), top layer communication network (33)；

Wherein said bottom communication network (31) uses tandem communication joint at mountain area type sub basin Point distribution pattern, uses netted communication node distribution pattern at plain type sub basin；Each height Bottom communication network (31) in basin comprises multiple communication node and routing node, and each leads to News node and neighbouring monitoring device carry out wired connection by described bidirectional port, simultaneously each Local area radio networking is carried out by local area network wireless procotol between communication node；

Each node in described intermediate layer communication network (32) is by being arranged on each sub basin end The sub basin information gathering transmission center composition in exit, described intermediate layer communication network (32) Node between interconnect by the way of internet encrypted；Described bottom communication network (31) The data sink of communication node transmission is to the sub basin information gathering of intermediate layer communication network (32) After transmission center, then it is uploaded to top layer communication network (33)；

Described top layer communication network (33) includes at least one top layer communication network terminal node (73), described top layer communication network terminal node (73) is arranged on remote control center (7) In and with endogenous information server (72) wired connection, and terminal node (73) is with middle The sub basin information gathering transmission center of layer communication network (32) is by the way of internet encrypted Connect.

The step reservoir Adaptive synthesis of fusion multi-source information the most according to claim 3 is adjusted Degree system, it is characterised in that: described multi-source information integration module (4) includes information integrated unit (41), weather forecast unit (42), hydrologic forecast unit (43)；

Wherein said information integrated unit (41) receives the external source meteorological data of current scheduling period (WS1), external source hydrological data (HS1), external source data of water quality (QS1) and current scheduling The endogenous meteorological data (WS2) of period, endogenous hydrological data (HS2), endogenous data of water quality (QS2), endogenous reservoir running status data (RS) and the foreign gas of next scheduling slot As forecast data (WP1), next scheduling slot of exporting of weather forecast unit (42) interior Next scheduling slot that source weather forecast data (WP2), hydrologic forecast unit (43) export Endogenous hydrologic forecast data (HP1), and the data received is standardized process, Centralized stores and renewal；

Wherein, only next scheduling slot it is not provided that when described external source information access module (1) During external source weather forecast data (WP1), start weather forecast unit (42), utilize information The external source meteorological data (WS1) of the current scheduling period received in integrated unit (41) or The endogenous meteorological data of person (WS2), uses data-driven method to implement basin short-range weather prediction And provide endogenous weather forecast data (WP2) conduct of next scheduling slot to supplement, and by interior Source weather forecast data (WP2) input stores to information integrated unit (41)；

When described hydrologic forecast unit (43) utilizes current scheduling in information integrated unit (41) The external source hydrological data (HS1) of section or endogenous hydrological data (HS2) and next scheduling slot External source weather forecast data (WP1) or endogenous weather forecast data (WP2), use data Driving method generates the endogenous hydrologic forecast data (HP1) of next scheduling slot and by the endogenous hydrology Forecast data (HP1) input stores to information integrated unit (41).

The step reservoir Adaptive synthesis of fusion multi-source information the most according to claim 4 is adjusted Degree system, it is characterised in that: described dispatching effect is checked module (5) and is arranged at performance analysis clothes In business device (75), described dispatching effect check module (5) include flood control results analytic unit (51), Navigation performance analysis unit (52), ecological safety analytic unit (53), water environment guarantee divide Unit (56) is checked in analysis unit (54), power benefit analytic unit (55) and scheduling； The initial time of each scheduling slot in schedule periods, starts described dispatching effect and checks module (5) each analytic unit in is analyzed.

The step reservoir Adaptive synthesis of fusion multi-source information the most according to claim 5 is adjusted Degree system, it is characterised in that: described dispatching effect checks each analytic unit in module (5) Analysis method is respectively as follows:

A) described flood control results analytic unit (51) uses the flood control of step reservoir downstream river course to control The flood control safety fraction f of property section_t(F) flood control results is analyzed:

Wherein flood control safety fraction f_t(F) it is to be obtained by equation 1 below:

$f_t\left(F\right)=\frac{1}{M}\underset{j=1}{\overset{M}{\&Sigma;}}{m}_j^t$ (formula 1), wherein,

$m_j^t=\left\{\begin{array}{ccc}({\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}-{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^t)/({\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}-{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^b)& {\mathrm{ZF}}_j^t\&le;{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}& j=1,...,M\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{ZF}}_j^t>{\mathrm{ZF}}_j^{t,c}& j=1,...,M\end{array}\right.$

Wherein, f_t(F) it is flood control safety fraction；M is downstream river course flood control controlling section Number；For jth flood control controlling section at the flood control results of t；Represent that jth is prevented Flood controlling section at t actual water level,Represent that jth flood control controlling section is when t The warning line carved,For the bed elevation of jth section, want when downstream river course meets flood control When asking, flood control safety fraction f_t(F) ∈ [0,1], whenI.e. can not When meeting flood control demand, then f_t(F)=-∞；

B) described navigation performance analysis unit (52) uses the navigation of step reservoir downstream river course to control The navigation discharge fraction f of property section_t(S) analyze downstream river course navigation effect:

Wherein navigation discharge fraction f_t(S) it is to be obtained by equation 2 below:

$f_t\left(S\right)=\frac{1}{P}\underset{k=1}{\overset{P}{\&Sigma;}}{p}_k^t$ (formula 2), wherein,

$p_k^t=\left\{\begin{array}{cc}\left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^t-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\right)/\left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\&le;{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t<{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,f}\\ \left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t\right)/\left({\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,f}\&le;{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t<{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{QS}}_k^t<{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\min }or{\mathrm{QS}}_k^t>{\mathrm{QS}}_k^{t,\max }\end{array}\right.$

Wherein, f_t(S) it is navigation discharge fraction；P is downstream river course navigation controlling section Number；For kth navigation controlling section in the navigation effect of t；Represent that kth is led to Boat controlling section is at the flow of t；For kth navigation controlling section t institute The Minimum Navigable flow needed,Optimum in t for kth navigation controlling section Navigation discharge,For the kth navigation controlling section maximum navigation stream required for t Amount；

C) described ecological safety analytic unit (53) uses step reservoir downstream river course Ecology control The ecological flow approach degree f of property section processed_t(E) river channel ecology Guarantee Condition is analyzed:

Wherein ecological flow approach degree f_t(E) it is to be obtained by equation 3 below:

$f_t\left(E\right)=\frac{1}{R}\underset{l=1}{\overset{R}{\&Sigma;}}{r}_l^t$ (formula 3), wherein,

$r_l^t=\left\{\begin{array}{cc}\left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^t-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\right)/\left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\&le;{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t\&le;{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,f}\\ \left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t\right)/\left({\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }-{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }\right)& {\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,f}<{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t\&le;{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{QE}}_l^t<{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\min }or{\mathrm{QE}}_l^t>{\mathrm{QE}}_l^{t,\max }\end{array}\right.$

Wherein, f_t(E) it is ecological flow approach degree；R is downstream river course Ecology controlling section Number；It it is the l Ecology controlling section Guarantee Of Environment effect in t；Represent The l Ecology controlling section is at the flow of t；It is the l Ecology controlling Section minimum ecological discharge required for t,It is the l Ecology controlling section At the optimum ecological flow of t,It is that the l Ecology controlling section is in t Required maximum ecological flow；

D) described water environment ensures that analytic unit (54) uses step reservoir downstream river course water environment The probability of meeting water quality standard f of controlling section_t(Q) river water quality Guarantee Condition is analyzed:

Wherein probability of meeting water quality standard f_t(Q) it is to be obtained by equation 4 below:

$f_t\left(Q\right)=\frac{1}{W}\underset{g=1}{\overset{W}{\&Sigma;}}{w}_g^t$ (formula 4), wherein,

$w_g^t=\left\{\begin{array}{cc}{\mathrm{SI}}_g^t/{\mathrm{TI}}_g^t& {\mathrm{SI}}_g^t\&GreaterEqual;{\mathrm{SI}}_g^{t,f}\\ -\mathrm{\&infin;}& {\mathrm{SI}}_g^t<{\mathrm{SI}}_g^{t,f}\end{array}\right.$

Wherein, f_t(Q) it is probability of meeting water quality standard；W is downstream river course water environmental control section number；It it is the g section Effects of Water Quality in t；It is the g section water quality in t The number up to standard of index；It it is the g water environmental control section water quality index in t Number；Be the water quality index that meets needed for t of the g water environmental control section Few number up to standard；

E) described power benefit analytic unit (55) use step reservoir actual power generation sum with The ratio f of the generated energy sum of each step reservoir when routine dispactching runs_t(G) power benefit is analyzed Situation:

The ratio f of the generated energy sum of the most each step reservoir_t(G) it is to be obtained by equation 5 below Arrive:

f_t(G)=G_ot/G_dt(formula 5),

Wherein, actual power generation sum G of step reservoir in scheduling slot_otFor:

$G_{ot}=\underset{i=1}{\overset{N}{\&Sigma;}}{N}_i^{t,o}\mathrm{\&Delta;}t$

$N_i^{t,o}=A_i^t{Q}_i^{t,go}{\mathrm{\&Delta;H}}_i^{t,o}$

Wherein, generated energy sum G of each step reservoir when routine dispactching runs_dtFor:

$G_{dt}=\underset{i=1}{\overset{N}{\&Sigma;}}{N}_i^{t,d}\mathrm{\&Delta;}t$

$N_i^{t,d}=A_i^{t,gd}{Q}_i^{t,gd}{\mathrm{\&Delta;H}}_i^{t,d}$

Wherein, f_t(G) it is the power benefit index of step reservoir；G_otFor t period during actual motion The generated energy sum of each step reservoir；G_dtFor t period each step water under management and running pattern routinely The generated energy sum in storehouse,For reservoir i exerting oneself at period t during actual motion,Exist for reservoir i The comprehensive power factor of period t；For reservoir i during actual motion at the generating flow of period t；For reservoir i during actual motion in the water-head of period t；For water under scheduling method routinely Storehouse i exerts oneself period t's；For routine dispactching pattern lower storage reservoir i comprehensively exerting oneself of period t it is Number, withValue is identical；For routine dispactching operational mode lower storage reservoir i at the generating stream of period t Amount；For routine dispactching operational mode lower storage reservoir i in the water-head of period t, Δ t is period t's Duration；

F) described scheduling is checked unit (56) and is received flood control results analytic unit (51), navigation Performance analysis unit (52), ecological safety analytic unit (53), water environment guarantee are analyzed single The analysis result of unit (54), the most satisfied flood control of the check existing scheduling mode of step reservoir successively, Navigation, ecological, water environment obligate requirement, want if either side is unsatisfactory for obligating Ask, show that current reservoir dispatching mode does not have the feasibility continuing to implement at subsequent period, Then start adaptive optimization module (6) and carry out adaptive optimization adjustment.

The step reservoir Adaptive synthesis of fusion multi-source information the most according to claim 6 is adjusted Degree system, it is characterised in that obligating requirement described in: is: f_t(F)、f_t(S)、f_t(E)、f_t(Q) in Any value is not the most-∞, wherein, f_t(F) it is the flood control safety fraction of reservoir dispatching；f_t(S) Navigation discharge fraction for reservoir dispatching；f_t(E) it is the ecological flow of reservoir dispatching Approach degree；f_t(Q) it is the probability of meeting water quality standard of reservoir dispatching.

The step reservoir Adaptive synthesis of fusion multi-source information the most according to claim 7 is adjusted Degree system, it is characterised in that: described adaptive optimization module (6) is arranged at described optimization and analyzes In server (76), including response analysis unit (61), self adaptation optimizing unit (62)；

Wherein said response analysis unit (61) field data based on the long sequence of history, uses Artificial Neural Network, by step reservoir letdown flow and downstream river course controlling section flow, Nonlinear response relation function between water level, water quality；

Unit (56) check result is checked in scheduling in described dispatching effect checks module (5) Show that current reservoir dispatching mode does not have the feasibility continuing to implement at next scheduling slot Time, start self adaptation optimizing unit (62), by receiving in multi-source information integration module (4) Endogenous reservoir running status data (RS) transmitted of information integrated unit (41) adjust with next Spend the endogenous hydrologic forecast data (HP1) of period, and according to nonlinear response relation function, To the step reservoir optimal synthesis scheduling scheme at next scheduling slot；

Described optimal synthesis scheduling scheme exports to the top layer communication network of remote control center (7) Terminal node (73) and be issued to step reservoir implement.

9. a dispatching method, it uses the step merging multi-source information described in claim 8 Reservoir Adaptive synthesis dispatching patcher is scheduling, and described dispatching method includes:

1) synchronization of outer source information accesses: in schedule periods, by external source information access module (1) Synchronize receive the various data of the existing scheduling slot outside described dispatching patcher and be stored in remote In the external source information server (71) at process control center (7), and carry out data integrity check, Analyse whether to exist the default parameters of white space, blank interval；External source information server (71) In data regular afferent message integrated unit (41) be standardized process, centralized stores with Update；

2) the supplementary monitoring of interior source information: when external source information access module (1) there are blank Region, blank interval disappearance data time, start endogenous information acquisition module (2) and supplement Monitoring, gathers white space, the various data of blank interval, is used for making up external source information access The disappearance data of module (1)；

The updates that described endogenous information acquisition module (2) gathers transmit via distributed information Module (3) incoming intermediate layer communication network (32), then it is uploaded to top layer communication network (33) Terminal node (73), be finally stored in the endogenous information server of remote control center (7) (72) in；Information regular afferent message integrated unit (41) in endogenous information server (72) It is standardized process, centralized stores and renewal；

3) fusion of multi-source information: schedule periods is divided into T scheduling slot (t=1 ..., T), when Step 1) in external source information access module (1) be not provided that the foreign gas of next scheduling slot During as forecast data (WP1), start the weather forecast unit of multi-source information integration module (4) (42) the external source meteorological data of current scheduling period in information integrated unit (41), is utilized (WS1) data-driven method or endogenous meteorological data (WS2), is used to generate next scheduling The endogenous weather forecast data (WP2) of period is as supplementing；

Then start hydrologic forecast unit (43), utilize the external source hydrology of current scheduling period to provide The external source weather forecast money of material (HS1) or endogenous hydrological data (HS2) and next scheduling slot Material (WP1) or endogenous weather forecast data (WP2), under using data-driven method to generate The endogenous hydrologic forecast data (HP1) of one scheduling slot；

Periodically by external source information access module (1), endogenous information acquisition module (2), meteorology All kinds of data that forecast unit (42), hydrologic forecast unit (43) provide are standardized place After reason, the unified letter being stored in the multi-source information server (74) of remote control center (7) Breath collection, is scheduled for effect and checks module (5) and adaptive optimization module (6) selection；

4) reservoir dispatching effect analysis and check: at the initial time of each scheduling slot, Startup dispatching effect check module (5), utilization flood control results analytic unit (51) the most respectively, Navigation performance analysis unit (52), ecological safety analytic unit (53), water environment guarantee divide Dispatching effect is analyzed by analysis unit (54), power benefit analytic unit (55) respectively, Quantitative basis is provided；

Then use scheduling to check unit (56) and receive analysis result, analyze current cascade operation Whether mode meets is obligated requirement: if meeting, then at this step reservoir of next scheduling slot Scheduling mode does not adjusts；If either side is unsatisfactory for obligating requirement, start self adaptation excellent Change module (6) and carry out adaptive optimization adjustment；

5) step reservoir integrated dispatch adaptive analysis: when step 4) check result shows currently Reservoir dispatching mode is unsatisfactory for obligating when requiring, starts adaptive optimization module (6)；

First, use response analysis unit (61), receive in multi-source information integration module (4) The field data of the long sequence of history of information integrated unit (41), uses artificial neural network side Method, non-linear by between step reservoir letdown flow and downstream river course flow, water level, water quality Response relation function；

And then, use self adaptation optimizing unit (62), receive multi-source information integration module (4) When endogenous reservoir running status data (RS) of middle information integrated unit (41) is dispatched with next The endogenous hydrologic forecast data (HP1) of section, provides by response analysis unit (61) simultaneously Nonlinear response relation function, checks each analytic unit in module (5) according to dispatching effect Analysis method, find out can meet simultaneously flood control, navigation, ecology, water environment obligate want The letdown flow scope asked, and then use genetic algorithm to the comprehensive effect under different letdown flows Value carries out optimizing, obtains the step reservoir optimal synthesis scheduling scheme of next scheduling slot；

6) step reservoir integrated dispatch dynamic regulation: by step 5) in self adaptation optimizing unit (62) The optimal synthesis scheduling scheme obtained, the top layer communication network via remote control center (7) is whole End node (73) is issued to the control centre of step reservoir, at next scheduling slot by step 5) Optimal synthesis scheduling scheme implement；

7) in whole schedule periods, step 1 is repeated)-6).

Dispatching method the most according to claim 9, it is characterised in that: described step 5) In, the optimizing that self adaptation optimizing unit (62) of described adaptive optimization module (6) is used Method is:

A) the Optimization goal TotalTarget of calculating step reservoir integrated dispatch:

Wherein Optimization goal TotalTarget is obtained by equation 6 below:

TotalTarget=α f_t(F)+β[f_t(G)*f_t(S)]+λ[f_t(E)*f_t(Q)] (formula 6),

Wherein, f_t(F)、f_t(G)、f_t(S)、f_t(E)、f_t(Q) the flood control peace of reservoir dispatching it is respectively Full fraction, power benefit index, navigation discharge fraction, ecological flow approach degree, water quality Compliance rate；α, β, λ be not Wei the weight of every corresponding index, and alpha+beta+λ=1, in the water-retention phase The 9-10 month, α=0.45, β=0.35, λ=0.20, in the 11-5 month in dry season, α=0.15, β=0.35, λ=0.50, in the 6-8 month in flood season, α=0.60, β=0.25, λ=0.15；

B) constraints in step reservoir integrated dispatch searching process is calculated:

B1) step reservoir water balance:

Wherein step reservoir water balance is obtained by equation 7 below:

$\left\{\begin{array}{cc}{V}_i^{t+1}=V_i^t+(I_1^t-Q_i^t)\&times;\mathrm{\&Delta;}t& i=1\\ V_i^{t+1}=V_i^t+(Q_{i-1}^t+{\mathrm{ql}}_{i-1,i}^t-Q_i^t)\&times;\mathrm{\&Delta;}t& i=2,...,N\end{array}\right.$ (formula 7),

Wherein,For the reservoir i average storage capacity in period t+1；For reservoir i in period t Average storage capacity；For most upstream one-level reservoir at the average reservoir inflow of period t；For reservoir I is at the average letdown flow of period t；For the average side between period t reservoir i-1 to reservoir i Side reservoir inflow, Δ t is the duration of period t；

B2) each step reservoir units limits:

The most each step reservoir units limits is obtained by equation 8 below:

$N_i^{t,min}\&le;N_i^t\&le;N_i^{t,\max }$ (formula 8),

Wherein,It is respectively reservoir i minimum in period t, EIAJ constraint；

B3) step reservoir water storage level and the constraint of water level daily amplitude:

Wherein step reservoir water storage level and water level daily amplitude retrain by equation 9 below .1 and public affairs Formula 9.2 obtains:

$Z_i^{t,min}\&le;Z_i^t\&le;Z_i^{t,max}$ (formula 9.1),

${\mathrm{\&Delta;Z}}_i^{t,min}\&le;{\mathrm{\&Delta;Z}}_i^t\&le;{\mathrm{\&Delta;Z}}_i^{t,max}$ (formula 9.2),

Wherein,It is respectively the reservoir i minimum, peak level constraint in period t, This constraint includes that minimum, peak level that each reservoir has itself limit and set in schedule periods Regulation storage capacity correspondence water level limit, take common factor part,It is respectively reservoir i to exist The water level minimum daily amplitude allowed in period t and water level maximum daily amplitude, restrictive condition is dam peace Entirely, geological condition of reservoir area, reservoir area navigation safety, take common factor part；

B4) step reservoir letdown flow constraint:

Wherein the constraint of step reservoir letdown flow is obtained by equation 10 below:

$Q_i^{t,\min }\&le;Q_i^t\&le;Q_i^{t,\max },$ (formula 10),

Wherein,It is respectively reservoir i at the minimum of period t, maximum letdown flow about Bundle, this constraint includes that reservoir is in constraints b3) under allow water level minimum daily amplitude and water level Letdown flow, flood control flow, navigation discharge, ecological flow and the water ring that maximum daily amplitude is corresponding Border flow, takes common factor part.