CN104021680A - Traffic flow prediction method and system based on mobile terminals - Google Patents

Traffic flow prediction method and system based on mobile terminals Download PDF

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Publication number
CN104021680A
CN104021680A CN201410272615.XA CN201410272615A CN104021680A CN 104021680 A CN104021680 A CN 104021680A CN 201410272615 A CN201410272615 A CN 201410272615A CN 104021680 A CN104021680 A CN 104021680A
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China
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base station
mobile terminal
traffic flow
section
time
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CN201410272615.XA
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郑世鹏
李建
蔡文晖
祁特
马晓艳
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Sky Sky Communication Technology (tianjin) Co Ltd
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Sky Sky Communication Technology (tianjin) Co Ltd
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Priority to CN201410272615.XA priority Critical patent/CN104021680A/en
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Abstract

The invention provides a traffic flow prediction method and system based on mobile terminals. The traffic flow prediction method based on the mobile terminals comprises the steps of acquiring the time when each mobile terminal is switched and connected to a second base station from a first base station, wherein the second base station and the first base station are located in the same road segment; acquiring the speed of each mobile terminal moving to the coverage area of the second base station from the coverage area of the first base station according to the time and the distance between the first base station and the second base station; predicating the conditions of a traffic flow of the road segment between the first base station and the second base station according to the moving speed of each mobile terminal. By means of the scheme, the conditions of the traffic flow can be accurately predicated in real time on a large scale, the traffic flow of a road can be predicated without arranging any additional device, the cost of system deployment is lowered, and the range of predication of the traffic flow of the road can be expanded.

Description

Traffic flow forecasting method based on mobile terminal and prognoses system
Technical field
The present invention relates to data analysis technique field, in particular to a kind of traffic flow forecasting method and a kind of system for forecasting traffic flow based on mobile terminal based on mobile terminal.
Background technology
At present, traffic flow perception and prognoses system have two kinds of forms, one is to present road traffic flow situation, be mainly used in two aspects: road traffic flow situation in one's respective area can be understood by a Shi Shi local government, and then can understand the road flowing pressure of one's respective area, with in the time running into emergency situations, can process in time; The 2nd, can notify in time pedestrian, facilitate pedestrian to select optimal route trip.
Along with social development, living standards of the people improve, thing followed traffic pressure also grows with each passing day, in correlation technique, traffic flow perception and prediction mainly carry out obtaining information by camera, and cost is higher, its scope, accuracy and real-time are restricted, cause supvr can not understand in time the traffic flow pressure in road conditions and the administrative area of travelling, easily cause traffic paralysis, for trip makes troubles.
Therefore, how can be accurately, in real time, the situation of predicting traffic flow on a large scale, and the lower deployment cost that can reduce system becomes technical matters urgently to be resolved hurrily.
Summary of the invention
The present invention is just based on the problems referred to above, a kind of new forecasting traffic flow scheme based on mobile terminal has been proposed, can be accurately, in real time, the situation of predicting traffic flow on a large scale, and can under the prerequisite without any extra equipment of increase, realize the traffic flow of road is predicted, reduce the cost that system is disposed, can expand the estimation range to road traffic flow simultaneously.
In view of this, the present invention proposes a kind of traffic flow forecasting method based on mobile terminal, comprising: obtain each mobile terminal in multiple mobile terminals and switch the time being connected to second base station of described the first base station in same section from the first base station; According to the described time, and distance between described the first base station and described the second base station is calculated described each mobile terminal and moves to from the coverage of described the first base station the operating rate of the coverage of described the second base station; According to the described operating rate of described each mobile terminal, predict the traffic flow situation in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station.
In this technical scheme, determine the operating rate of mobile terminal by the time of switching between the base station in same section according to mobile terminal, and then the traffic flow situation of road is predicted, make can realize the traffic flow of road is predicted without the extra equipment cost of increase, avoid using camera to carry out monitoring and controlling forecast to road traffic flow in correlation technique, reduced the cost dropping into.In addition, due to extensively popularizing of mobile terminal, therefore can there is the area of base station to carry out the prediction of road traffic flow in all construction, expand the estimation range of road traffic flow.Particularly, if determine the speed of running of mobile terminal, the speed that user travels in this section is described, proves this road section traffic volume in order; Otherwise, if the speed that mobile terminal switches to the second base station from the first base station is slower, illustrate that user's travelling speed is slow, prove that the situation of blocking up has appearred in this section.Utilize the traffic of the prediction of speed road that mobile terminal (as mobile phone) switches between base station.
In technique scheme, preferably, according to the described operating rate of described each mobile terminal, the step of predicting the traffic flow situation in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is specially: while having the described operating rate of the mobile terminal of the first predetermined quantity to be less than or equal to the first set rate in described multiple mobile terminals, determine that the traffic flow in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is in congestion status; And the described operating rate that has the mobile terminal of the second predetermined quantity in described multiple mobile terminals is while being more than or equal to the second set rate, determines that the traffic flow in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is in unimpeded state.
In this technical scheme, the terminal quantity that the first predetermined quantity and the second predetermined quantity can switch according to reality between the first base station and the second base station is determined, as can be, in the time that the operating rate that has mobile terminal over half is less than the first set rate, determined congestion in road; In the time that the operating rate that has mobile terminal over half is greater than the second set rate, determine the coast is clear.Wherein, the first predetermined quantity and the second predetermined quantity can be identical, also can be different.
In technique scheme, preferably, described the first set rate is less than described the second set rate.
In this technical scheme, if congestion in road, the operating rate of mobile terminal is slower, can set a critical threshold value (i.e. the first set rate); Similarly, if way is unimpeded, the operating rate of mobile terminal is very fast, also can set a critical threshold value (i.e. the second set rate), because whether faster the first set rate and the second set rate be respectively for weighing the whether slow and standard of running of mobile terminal speed, therefore, the first set rate is less than the second set rate.
In technique scheme, preferably, the described traffic flow forecasting method based on mobile terminal also comprises: the traffic flow situation that shows the section between described the first base station and described the second base station predicting; And/or the traffic flow modes in section between described the first base station and described second base station of prediction is sent to designated equipment shows.
In this technical scheme, after road traffic flow is predicted, can directly be shown by prognoses system, also can be sent to by predicting the outcome other equipment, as the large-size screen monitors of user's mobile phone or command centre etc. show, so that user or commanding grasp the real-time traffic states in section intuitively.
In technique scheme, preferably, obtaining described each mobile terminal switches the step of time that is connected to described the second base station and is specially from described the first base station: record described each mobile terminal first with the mutual very first time point in described the first base station, and described each mobile terminal first with mutual the second time point in described the second base station; The time interval between described the second time point and point of the described very first time switches from described the first base station the time that is connected to described the second base station as described each mobile terminal.
According to a second aspect of the invention, a kind of system for forecasting traffic flow based on mobile terminal has also been proposed, comprise: acquiring unit, switches the time being connected to second base station of described the first base station in same section from the first base station for obtaining the each mobile terminal of multiple mobile terminals; Computing unit, for described time of getting according to described acquiring unit, and the described each mobile terminal of distance calculating between described the first base station and described the second base station moves to the operating rate of the coverage of described the second base station from the coverage of described the first base station; Predicting unit, for according to the described operating rate of described each mobile terminal, predicts the traffic flow situation in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station.
In this technical scheme, determine the operating rate of mobile terminal by the time of switching between the base station in same section according to mobile terminal, and then the traffic flow situation of road is predicted, make can realize the traffic flow of road is predicted without the extra equipment cost of increase, avoid using camera to carry out monitoring and controlling forecast to road traffic flow in correlation technique, reduced the cost dropping into.In addition, due to extensively popularizing of mobile terminal, therefore can there is the area of base station to carry out the prediction of road traffic flow in all construction, expand the estimation range of road traffic flow.Particularly, if determine the speed of running of mobile terminal, the speed that user travels in this section is described, proves this road section traffic volume in order; Otherwise, if the speed that mobile terminal switches to the second base station from the first base station is slower, illustrate that user's travelling speed is slow, prove that the situation of blocking up has appearred in this section.Utilize the traffic of the prediction of speed road that mobile terminal (as mobile phone) switches between base station.
In technique scheme, preferably, described predicting unit specifically for: while having the described operating rate of the mobile terminal of the first predetermined quantity to be less than or equal to the first set rate, determine that the traffic flow in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is in congestion status in described multiple mobile terminals; And the described operating rate that has the mobile terminal of the second predetermined quantity in described multiple mobile terminals is while being more than or equal to the second set rate, determines that the traffic flow in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is in unimpeded state.
In this technical scheme, the terminal quantity that the first predetermined quantity and the second predetermined quantity can switch according to reality between the first base station and the second base station is determined, as can be, in the time that the operating rate that has mobile terminal over half is less than the first set rate, determined congestion in road; In the time that the operating rate that has mobile terminal over half is greater than the second set rate, determine the coast is clear.Wherein, the first predetermined quantity and the second predetermined quantity can be identical, also can be different.
In technique scheme, preferably, described the first set rate is less than described the second set rate.
In this technical scheme, if congestion in road, the operating rate of mobile terminal is slower, can set a critical threshold value (i.e. the first set rate); Similarly, if way is unimpeded, the operating rate of mobile terminal is very fast, also can set a critical threshold value (i.e. the second set rate), because whether faster the first set rate and the second set rate be respectively for weighing the whether slow and standard of running of mobile terminal speed, therefore, the first set rate is less than the second set rate.
In technique scheme, preferably, the described system for forecasting traffic flow based on mobile terminal, also comprises: display unit, for showing the traffic flow situation in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station that described predicting unit predicts; And/or interactive unit, for being sent to designated equipment, the traffic flow modes in the section between described the first base station and described second base station of described predicting unit prediction shows.
In this technical scheme, after road traffic flow is predicted, can directly be shown by prognoses system, also can be sent to by predicting the outcome other equipment, as the large-size screen monitors of user's mobile phone or command centre etc. show, so that user or commanding grasp the real-time traffic states in section intuitively.
In technique scheme, preferably, described acquiring unit comprises: record cell, for record described each mobile terminal first with the mutual very first time point in described the first base station, and described each mobile terminal first with mutual the second time point in described the second base station; Processing unit, switches from described the first base station the time that is connected to described the second base station as described each mobile terminal for the time interval between described second time point of described recording unit records and described very first time point.
By above technical scheme, can under the prerequisite without any extra equipment of increase, can realize the traffic flow of road is predicted, reduce the cost that system is disposed, can expand the estimation range to road traffic flow simultaneously.
Brief description of the drawings
Fig. 1 shows the schematic flow diagram of the traffic flow forecasting method based on mobile terminal according to an embodiment of the invention;
Fig. 2 shows the schematic block diagram of the system for forecasting traffic flow based on mobile terminal according to an embodiment of the invention;
Fig. 3 shows the schematic block diagram of road traffic flow prognoses system according to another embodiment of the invention;
Fig. 4 shows the schematic flow diagram of road traffic flow prediction method according to another embodiment of the invention.
Embodiment
In order more clearly to understand above-mentioned purpose of the present invention, feature and advantage, below in conjunction with the drawings and specific embodiments, the present invention is further described in detail.It should be noted that, in the situation that not conflicting, the feature in the application's embodiment and embodiment can combine mutually.
A lot of details are set forth in the following description so that fully understand the present invention; but; the present invention can also adopt other to be different from other modes described here and implement, and therefore, protection scope of the present invention is not subject to the restriction of following public specific embodiment.
Fig. 1 shows the schematic flow diagram of the traffic flow forecasting method based on mobile terminal according to an embodiment of the invention.
As shown in Figure 1, traffic flow forecasting method based on mobile terminal according to an embodiment of the invention, comprise: step 102, obtain each mobile terminal in multiple mobile terminals and switch the time being connected to second base station of described the first base station in same section from the first base station; Step 104, according to the described time, and distance between described the first base station and described the second base station is calculated described each mobile terminal and moves to from the coverage of described the first base station the operating rate of the coverage of described the second base station; Step 106, according to the described operating rate of described each mobile terminal, predicts the traffic flow situation in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station.
In this technical scheme, determine the operating rate of mobile terminal by the time of switching between the base station in same section according to mobile terminal, and then the traffic flow situation of road is predicted, make can realize the traffic flow of road is predicted without the extra equipment cost of increase, avoid using camera to carry out monitoring and controlling forecast to road traffic flow in correlation technique, reduced the cost dropping into.In addition, due to extensively popularizing of mobile terminal, therefore can there is the area of base station to carry out the prediction of road traffic flow in all construction, expand the estimation range of road traffic flow.Particularly, if determine the speed of running of mobile terminal, the speed that user travels in this section is described, proves this road section traffic volume in order; Otherwise, if the speed that mobile terminal switches to the second base station from the first base station is slower, illustrate that user's travelling speed is slow, prove that the situation of blocking up has appearred in this section.Utilize the traffic of the prediction of speed road that mobile terminal (as mobile phone) switches between base station.
In technique scheme, preferably, according to the described operating rate of described each mobile terminal, the step of predicting the traffic flow situation in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is specially: while having the described operating rate of the mobile terminal of the first predetermined quantity to be less than or equal to the first set rate in described multiple mobile terminals, determine that the traffic flow in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is in congestion status; And the described operating rate that has the mobile terminal of the second predetermined quantity in described multiple mobile terminals is while being more than or equal to the second set rate, determines that the traffic flow in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is in unimpeded state.
In this technical scheme, the terminal quantity that the first predetermined quantity and the second predetermined quantity can switch according to reality between the first base station and the second base station is determined, as can be, in the time that the operating rate that has mobile terminal over half is less than the first set rate, determined congestion in road; In the time that the operating rate that has mobile terminal over half is greater than the second set rate, determine the coast is clear.Wherein, the first predetermined quantity and the second predetermined quantity can be identical, also can be different.
In technique scheme, preferably, described the first set rate is less than described the second set rate.
In this technical scheme, if congestion in road, the operating rate of mobile terminal is slower, can set a critical threshold value (i.e. the first set rate); Similarly, if way is unimpeded, the operating rate of mobile terminal is very fast, also can set a critical threshold value (i.e. the second set rate), because whether faster the first set rate and the second set rate be respectively for weighing the whether slow and standard of running of mobile terminal speed, therefore, the first set rate is less than the second set rate.
In technique scheme, preferably, the described traffic flow forecasting method based on mobile terminal also comprises: the traffic flow situation that shows the section between described the first base station and described the second base station predicting; And/or the traffic flow modes in section between described the first base station and described second base station of prediction is sent to designated equipment shows.
In this technical scheme, after road traffic flow is predicted, can directly be shown by prognoses system, also can be sent to by predicting the outcome other equipment, as the large-size screen monitors of user's mobile phone or command centre etc. show, so that user or commanding grasp the real-time traffic states in section intuitively.
In technique scheme, preferably, obtaining described each mobile terminal switches the step of time that is connected to described the second base station and is specially from described the first base station: record described each mobile terminal first with the mutual very first time point in described the first base station, and described each mobile terminal first with mutual the second time point in described the second base station; The time interval between described the second time point and point of the described very first time switches from described the first base station the time that is connected to described the second base station as described each mobile terminal.
Fig. 2 shows the schematic block diagram of the system for forecasting traffic flow based on mobile terminal according to an embodiment of the invention.
As shown in Figure 2, system for forecasting traffic flow 200 based on mobile terminal according to an embodiment of the invention, comprise: acquiring unit 202, switches the time being connected to second base station of described the first base station in same section from the first base station for obtaining the each mobile terminal of multiple mobile terminals; Computing unit 204, for described time of getting according to described acquiring unit 202, and the described each mobile terminal of distance calculating between described the first base station and described the second base station moves to the operating rate of the coverage of described the second base station from the coverage of described the first base station; Predicting unit 206, for according to the described operating rate of described each mobile terminal, predicts the traffic flow situation in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station.
In this technical scheme, determine the operating rate of mobile terminal by the time of switching between the base station in same section according to mobile terminal, and then the traffic flow situation of road is predicted, make can realize the traffic flow of road is predicted without the extra equipment cost of increase, avoid using camera to carry out monitoring and controlling forecast to road traffic flow in correlation technique, reduced the cost dropping into.In addition, due to extensively popularizing of mobile terminal, therefore can there is the area of base station to carry out the prediction of road traffic flow in all construction, expand the estimation range of road traffic flow.Particularly, if determine the speed of running of mobile terminal, the speed that user travels in this section is described, proves this road section traffic volume in order; Otherwise, if the speed that mobile terminal switches to the second base station from the first base station is slower, illustrate that user's travelling speed is slow, prove that the situation of blocking up has appearred in this section.Utilize the traffic of the prediction of speed road that mobile terminal (as mobile phone) switches between base station.
In technique scheme, preferably, described predicting unit 206 specifically for: while having the described operating rate of the mobile terminal of the first predetermined quantity to be less than or equal to the first set rate, determine that the traffic flow in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is in congestion status in described multiple mobile terminals; And the described operating rate that has the mobile terminal of the second predetermined quantity in described multiple mobile terminals is while being more than or equal to the second set rate, determines that the traffic flow in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is in unimpeded state.
In this technical scheme, the terminal quantity that the first predetermined quantity and the second predetermined quantity can switch according to reality between the first base station and the second base station is determined, as can be, in the time that the operating rate that has mobile terminal over half is less than the first set rate, determined congestion in road; In the time that the operating rate that has mobile terminal over half is greater than the second set rate, determine the coast is clear.Wherein, the first predetermined quantity and the second predetermined quantity can be identical, also can be different.
In technique scheme, preferably, described the first set rate is less than described the second set rate.
In this technical scheme, if congestion in road, the operating rate of mobile terminal is slower, can set a critical threshold value (i.e. the first set rate); Similarly, if way is unimpeded, the operating rate of mobile terminal is very fast, also can set a critical threshold value (i.e. the second set rate), because whether faster the first set rate and the second set rate be respectively for weighing the whether slow and standard of running of mobile terminal speed, therefore, the first set rate is less than the second set rate.
In technique scheme, preferably, the described system for forecasting traffic flow based on mobile terminal 200, also comprises: display unit 208, for showing the traffic flow situation in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station that described predicting unit 206 predicts; And/or interactive unit 210, be sent to designated equipment for the traffic flow modes in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station that described predicting unit 206 is predicted and show.
In this technical scheme, after road traffic flow is predicted, can directly be shown by prognoses system, also can be sent to by predicting the outcome other equipment, as the large-size screen monitors of user's mobile phone or command centre etc. show, so that user or commanding grasp the real-time traffic states in section intuitively.
In technique scheme, preferably, described acquiring unit 202 comprises: record cell 2022, for record described each mobile terminal first with the mutual very first time point in described the first base station, and described each mobile terminal first with mutual the second time point in described the second base station; Processing unit 2024, switches from described the first base station the time that is connected to described the second base station as described each mobile terminal for the time interval between described the second time point that described record cell 2022 is recorded and point of the described very first time.
Fig. 3 shows the schematic block diagram of road traffic flow prognoses system according to another embodiment of the invention.
As shown in Figure 3, road traffic flow prognoses system 300 according to another embodiment of the invention, comprises middleware unit 302, unit, backstage 304 and unit, foreground 306 3 parts.
Wherein, middleware unit 302, is responsible for obtaining the data of operator, and docks with unit, foreground 306, unit, backstage 304, completes the mutual of data, comprising:
Dock unit 3022 and business datum with operator and import unit 3024, be mainly used in, by interface mode or data importing mode, obtaining operator's data;
Dock unit 3026 with background system, complete docking of data and background system;
Dock unit 3028 with background system, complete output data and push to foreground system.
Unit, backstage 304, is mainly to realize data analysis and processing, comprising:
System modelling unit 3042, the building of the model of completion system;
Business diagnosis unit 3044, analyzes service logic and flow process;
Data Mining unit 3046, by the user mobile phone signaling data of operator, obtains road traffic flow situation, and predicts.
Unit, foreground 306, is mainly to realize presenting of interface, foreground, comprises two kinds of interface presentation modes:
Unified large-size screen monitors 3024, for leader unifies to check the large screen device of unification of Regional Traffic Flow situation;
Mobile APP3064, for particular user provides real-time traffic continuous query and prediction.
The flow process of its traffic flow perception and prediction describes in further detail as shown in Figure 4.
Fig. 4 shows the schematic flow diagram of road traffic flow prediction method according to another embodiment of the invention.
As shown in Figure 4, road traffic flow prediction method according to another embodiment of the invention, comprising:
Step 402, obtains the personal mobile phone signaling data of operator by middleware, comprising: cell-phone number, base station IDs and time point;
Step 404, screens near the user terminal in some base station, as analyzing samples;
Step 406, records the time point of the next base station of these user terminal access;
Step 408, by analyzing two base station IDs, determines the distance of two base stations, simultaneously according to some writing time, determines that twice writing time is poor, and then determines the travelling speed of this user terminal;
Step 410, by analysis user sample, and the travelling speed of the different user terminals of calculating place between base station, determines the travelling speed of great amount of samples;
Step 412, by the travelling speed of great amount of samples, and then road traffic flow situation in definite one's respective area;
Step 414, real-time road traffic stream information sends to middleware;
Step 416, after middleware arranges and gathers, sends to foreground and presents system, as unified large-size screen monitors and common APP;
Step 418, different user uses according to individual application scenarios, and wherein, department head checks and emergency command by unified large-size screen monitors; Individual subscriber views the trip circuit that is applicable to oneself by mobile APP.
More than be described with reference to the accompanying drawings technical scheme of the present invention, consider that the road traffic flow perception and the prognoses system that in correlation technique, propose are to carry out obtaining information by camera under normal circumstances, not only cost is higher, and limited coverage area, its real-time and accuracy are meanwhile also limited, therefore for perception and the prediction of interior road traffic flow on a large scale, conventionally can not provide in time, effectively help, causing traffic to go wrong can not be solved timely and effectively.Therefore, the present invention proposes a kind of new road traffic flow perception and prediction scheme, can be accurately, in real time, the situation of predicting traffic flow on a large scale, and can under the prerequisite without any extra equipment of increase, realize the traffic flow of road is predicted, reduce the cost that system is disposed, can expand the estimation range to road traffic flow simultaneously.
The foregoing is only the preferred embodiments of the present invention, be not limited to the present invention, for a person skilled in the art, the present invention can have various modifications and variations.Within the spirit and principles in the present invention all, any amendment of doing, be equal to replacement, improvement etc., within all should being included in protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (10)

1. the traffic flow forecasting method based on mobile terminal, is characterized in that, comprising:
Obtaining each mobile terminal in multiple mobile terminals switches the time being connected to second base station of described the first base station in same section from the first base station;
According to the described time, and distance between described the first base station and described the second base station is calculated described each mobile terminal and moves to from the coverage of described the first base station the operating rate of the coverage of described the second base station;
According to the described operating rate of described each mobile terminal, predict the traffic flow situation in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station.
2. the traffic flow forecasting method based on mobile terminal according to claim 1, it is characterized in that, according to the described operating rate of described each mobile terminal, predict that the step of the traffic flow situation in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is specially:
While having the described operating rate of the mobile terminal of the first predetermined quantity to be less than or equal to the first set rate, determine that the traffic flow in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is in congestion status in described multiple mobile terminals; And
While having the described operating rate of the mobile terminal of the second predetermined quantity to be more than or equal to the second set rate, determine that the traffic flow in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is in unimpeded state in described multiple mobile terminals.
3. the traffic flow forecasting method based on mobile terminal according to claim 2, is characterized in that, described the first set rate is less than described the second set rate.
4. the traffic flow forecasting method based on mobile terminal according to claim 1, is characterized in that, also comprises:
Show the traffic flow situation in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station predicting; And/or
The traffic flow modes in the section between described the first base station and described second base station of prediction is sent to designated equipment to be shown.
5. according to the traffic flow forecasting method based on mobile terminal described in any one in claim 1 to 4, it is characterized in that, obtain described each mobile terminal and switch the step of time that is connected to described the second base station from described the first base station and be specially:
Record described each mobile terminal first with the mutual very first time point in described the first base station, and described each mobile terminal first with mutual the second time point in described the second base station;
The time interval between described the second time point and point of the described very first time switches from described the first base station the time that is connected to described the second base station as described each mobile terminal.
6. the system for forecasting traffic flow based on mobile terminal, is characterized in that, comprising:
Acquiring unit, switches the time being connected to second base station of described the first base station in same section from the first base station for obtaining the each mobile terminal of multiple mobile terminals;
Computing unit, for described time of getting according to described acquiring unit, and the described each mobile terminal of distance calculating between described the first base station and described the second base station moves to the operating rate of the coverage of described the second base station from the coverage of described the first base station;
Predicting unit, for according to the described operating rate of described each mobile terminal, predicts the traffic flow situation in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station.
7. the system for forecasting traffic flow based on mobile terminal according to claim 6, is characterized in that, described predicting unit specifically for:
While having the described operating rate of the mobile terminal of the first predetermined quantity to be less than or equal to the first set rate, determine that the traffic flow in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is in congestion status in described multiple mobile terminals; And
While having the described operating rate of the mobile terminal of the second predetermined quantity to be more than or equal to the second set rate, determine that the traffic flow in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station is in unimpeded state in described multiple mobile terminals.
8. the system for forecasting traffic flow based on mobile terminal according to claim 7, is characterized in that, described the first set rate is less than described the second set rate.
9. the system for forecasting traffic flow based on mobile terminal according to claim 6, is characterized in that, also comprises:
Display unit, for showing the traffic flow situation in the section between described the first base station and described the second base station that described predicting unit predicts; And/or
Interactive unit, shows for the traffic flow modes in the section between described the first base station and described second base station of described predicting unit prediction is sent to designated equipment.
10. according to the system for forecasting traffic flow based on mobile terminal described in any one in claim 6 to 9, it is characterized in that, described acquiring unit comprises:
Record cell, for record described each mobile terminal first with the mutual very first time point in described the first base station, and described each mobile terminal first with mutual the second time point in described the second base station;
Processing unit, switches from described the first base station the time that is connected to described the second base station as described each mobile terminal for the time interval between described second time point of described recording unit records and described very first time point.
CN201410272615.XA 2014-06-18 2014-06-18 Traffic flow prediction method and system based on mobile terminals Pending CN104021680A (en)

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Cited By (6)

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