CN103714382A - Multi-index comprehensive evaluation method for reliability of urban rail train security detection sensor network - Google Patents

Multi-index comprehensive evaluation method for reliability of urban rail train security detection sensor network Download PDF

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CN103714382A
CN103714382A CN201310752571.6A CN201310752571A CN103714382A CN 103714382 A CN103714382 A CN 103714382A CN 201310752571 A CN201310752571 A CN 201310752571A CN 103714382 A CN103714382 A CN 103714382A
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贾利民
董宏辉
田寅
秦勇
滕志伟
胡月
马慧茹
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Beijing Jiaotong University
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Abstract

The invention belongs to the technical field of modern traffic safety, and discloses a multi-index comprehensive evaluation method for the reliability of an urban rail train security detection sensor network. A series of indexes influencing the reliability of the urban rail train security detection sensor network is summarized, and the four indexes of time delay, the occupation ratio, the packet loss probability and the error rate are selected as evaluation indexes. The measured values of the evaluation indexes are normalized through a fuzzy mathematic theory, subordinative function values are obtained as samples, a BP neural network is built, the samples are trained, a weight value and a threshold value are modified through a steepest descent method, the samples are trained repeatedly in the same way until the error of an actual output value and the error of a calculated output value are within an acceptable range, the training is finished, and the obtained BP neural network with expert knowledge can comprehensively evaluate the reliability of the urban rail train security detection sensor network. The brand-new method is provided for evaluating the performance of the urban rail train security detection sensor network, and theoretical and practical supports are provided for optimizing the performance of the urban rail train security detection sensor network.

Description

A kind of many index comprehensives of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability appraisal procedure
Technical field
The invention belongs to and belong to Modern Traffic safety technique field.Be particularly related to a kind of many index comprehensives of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability appraisal procedure.
Background technology
Urban railway transit train, as one of main transport agent of the large capacity public transport in city, ensures that its safe operation has extreme importance and key to whole urban track traffic.The construction of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network is the important prerequisite of carrying out city railway train monitoring in transit and safe early warning, it is the necessary basis of formulating the driving safe measures such as municipal rail train Security Strategies, municipal rail train system failure detection, municipal rail train Accident Causes Analysis, guaranteeing that it is the prerequisite of building municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network that municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network has height reliability, is the necessary condition that ensures safe train operation.
To the unfailing performance assessment of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network, be based on certain single index mostly at present, as time delay, packet loss, the bit error rate etc., or many indexs evaluation of introducing subjective factor, as expert's scoring.Yet single index or expert marking all can not reflect the reliability of safety detection Sensor Network comprehensively, objectively, the reliability that therefore must carry out objectively comprehensive assessment to many index could be more comprehensive, objective, reliably, accurately assess municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network.
Artificial neural network (Artificial Neural Networks, ANNs) be the artificial intelligence technology of 20th century develop rapidly eighties, it is the information processing system understanding of cerebral tissue structure and active mechanism being proposed based on the mankind, being can parallel processing information, carry out non-linear conversion and self-organization adjustment, has the complicated network system of adaptive learning ability and Error Tolerance.Neural network will be inputted sample and actual output as training sample, by calculating, sample be carried out to the training of abundant number of times, make neural network successfully set up the mapping relations of inputting with outlet chamber, and the neural network model after training just can solve similar problem.Neural network is developed so far, and has been each architectonical, and the most representative have BP neural network, adaptive resonance network, Hopfield network, a self-organized mapping network etc.BP neural network is to take the feed-forward type network that error back propagation study is algorithm, use gradient method of steepest descent to search for, square error minimum according to calculating output valve and real output value is principle, progressively weights and the threshold value of each layer of recursive resolve BP neural network.If calculate, the difference of output valve and real output value is undesirable just adjusts weights and threshold value recalculates, until calculate the difference of output valve and real output value, meets the requirements, and finishes to calculate, and obtains network model.
Summary of the invention
The object of this invention is to provide a kind of many index comprehensives of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability appraisal procedure, it is characterized in that, the method selects to affect the index of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability, choose time delay, occupation rate, packet loss and bit error rate four indices and input sample as network, use BP neural network in conjunction with fuzzy mathematics theory, municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability to be assessed, comprise the steps:
(1) process sample, the four indices such as time delay, occupation rate, packet loss and the bit error rate are measured, use the subordinate function in fuzzy mathematics theory to be normalized measured value, by formula, calculate corresponding membership function value, make it have relative comparability, and be quantized to one can more interval [1,1] in, as the sample input value of BP neural network input layer, sample output valve is corresponding Sensor Network reliability score value;
(2) build BP neural network, determine network structure, set up BP neural network model.BP neural network comprises an input layer, a plurality of hidden layer and an output layer; Adopt is the most also that most widely used three layers of BP neural network with an input layer, a hidden layer and an output layer are as the BP neural network structure building;
(3) training sample, inputs each index membership function value, calculates the output valve of BP neural network hidden layer by formula, and the output valve of hidden layer is the input value of output layer, calculates the output valve of output layer by formula;
(4) adjust weights, according to real output value with calculate the poor of output valve, adjust weights, return to scheme the 3rd step, recalculate hidden layer output valve and output layer output valve, so adjust weights, calculate, adjust again weights, calculate again, until BP neural network real output value and calculating output valve error are less than the minimal value of setting, reach network convergence state, finish to calculate, obtain final weights;
(5) computed reliability, the BP neural network now obtaining has expert's experimental knowledge, with this model, just can calculate according to indices measured value the reliability of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network.
Described step (2) builds BP neural network, because every evaluation index varies in size on the impact of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability, for every evaluation index is compared mutually in system, there is relative comparability, must use fuzzy mathematics theory to do normalized to every evaluation index, every evaluation index after processing could be as the training sample of BP neural network, time delay, utilization factor, packet loss, the bit error rate is quantitative target, different is time delay, packet loss, the bit error rate is reverse index, the smaller the better, and utilization factor belongs to forward index, be the bigger the better.
Beneficial effect of the present invention: the present invention crosses and measures the multinomial performance index that affect Sensor Network reliability, according to municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network, the four indices data such as test time delay, occupation rate, packet loss and the bit error rate, in conjunction with fuzzy mathematics theory, use BP neural network, the unfailing performance of municipal rail train safety monitoring Sensor Network is carried out to comprehensive, objective, reliable, assessment accurately, and to this Sensor Network reliability marking, make it more directly perceived, be convenient to people and understand.Use fuzzy mathematics theory by each index measurement value normalization, calculate its membership function value, make it have comparability, by building BP neural network, sample is carried out to enough training, obtain having the BP neural network of expertise, the unfailing performance of assessment municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network, for the net assessment of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network performance provides reference and foundation, for ensureing that safe train operation provides technical support.
Accompanying drawing explanation
Fig. 1 is concrete operations process flow diagram of the present invention.
Fig. 2 is three layers of BP neural network topology structure figure of the present invention.
Embodiment
The invention provides a kind of many index comprehensives of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability appraisal procedure, below in conjunction with accompanying drawing, preferred embodiment is elaborated;
Embodiment 1:
Figure 1 shows that many index comprehensives of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability appraisal procedure process flow diagram, contain following steps:
(1) process sample.
Because every evaluation index varies in size on the impact of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability, for every evaluation index can be compared mutually in system, there is relative comparability, must use fuzzy mathematics theory to do normalized to every evaluation index, the every evaluation index after processing just can be used as the training sample of BP neural network.Time delay, utilization factor, packet loss, the bit error rate are quantitative target, and time delay that different is, packet loss, the bit error rate are reverse indexs, the smaller the better, and utilization factor belongs to forward index, is the bigger the better.The present invention is utilizing BP neural network to do before comprehensive assessment train safety detection Sensor Network reliability, use fuzzy mathematics theory, first the actual measured value of every evaluation index is done to normalized, according to membership function, measured value is normalized in [1,1] this dimensionless interval.
The normalization formula of forward index:
A k i = ( a k i - p ‾ k ) / | p ‾ k | - - - ( 1 )
The normalization formula of reverse index:
A k i = ( p ‾ k - a k i ) / | p ‾ k | - - - ( 2 )
Transfer index measurement value to membership function value on interval [1,1]:
x k i = ( 1 - e - A k i ) / ( 1 + e - A k i ) - - - ( 3 )
Wherein,
Figure BDA0000451301100000044
be i measured value of k evaluation index, be the mean value of k all measured values of evaluation index,
Figure BDA0000451301100000046
for intermediate conversion variable,
Figure BDA0000451301100000047
be the membership function value of i measured value correspondence in interval [1,1] of k evaluation index, the i.e. input value of BP neural network input layer.
From above-mentioned concrete transfer process, can find out, the measured value of forward index is larger, the membership function value corresponding with it is larger, when measured value reach a certain height, membership function value approaches " saturated ", and the application of formula (3) can prevent that evaluation index measured value is excessive and cause comprehensive assessment inaccurate.
(2) build BP neural network, determine network structure, set up network model.
BP neural network structure comprises input layer, output layer and one or more hidden layer.Generally, a hidden layer just can make neural network have certain precision and ability to express; The present invention adopts three layers of BP neural network with an input layer, a hidden layer and an output layer as the BP neural network structure building.
BP neural network input layer unit number by train safety detection Sensor Network reliability assessment index number, determined.The present invention adopts time delay, utilization factor, packet loss, bit error rate four indices to assess.If input layer vector X=is (x 1, x 2..., x n) t,
Figure 2013107525716100002DEST_PATH_IMAGE004
k=(1,2 ..., p), input layer unit number P=4 in the present invention.X wherein ibe i sample,
Figure BDA0000451301100000051
i the measured value corresponding membership function value in interval [1,1] that is k evaluation index is input layer input value, and n is sample number.
One of output layer unit, is the reliability score value of train safety detection Sensor Network, and the present invention adopts centesimal system scoring.Output vector is made as Y=(y 1, y 2..., y n) t,
Figure 2013107525716100002DEST_PATH_IMAGE005
s=(1,2 ..., m), output layer unit number m=1 in the present invention.Wherein
Figure BDA0000451301100000053
it is the output valve of s unit of output layer in the i time training.
Hidden layer is to exist in order to calculate, and does not possess concrete meaning, and hidden layer unit number q can calculate by formula.
q = p + m + a - - - ( 4 )
In formula, a is the constant between [1,10].If hidden layer output vector is output layer input vector is U=(u 1, u 2..., u n) t,
Figure 2013107525716100002DEST_PATH_IMAGE007
t=(1,2 ..., q).Wherein
Figure BDA0000451301100000056
it is the output valve of t unit of hidden layer in the i time training.
If input layer is v to hidden layer weight vector, hidden layer is w to output layer weight vector.BP neural network topology structure as shown in Figure 2.
(3) training sample.
BP neural network belongs to feed-forward type network, and training process comprises forward-propagating and two stages of error back propagation.First, input layer input sample, processes through hidden layer, passes to output layer, and this is the forward-propagating stage.If actual output with calculate output valve and be not inconsistent, by error with certain form backpropagation, be transmitted to hidden layer and pass to again input layer, error is shared equally to each layer of unit, obtain each layer of elemental error signal, revise each layer of weights, this is the error back propagation stage.The continuous adjustment process of weights is the training process of network.
From input layer to hidden layer:
Initial weight ν and initial threshold θ are set, are all made as random minimum value.
The membership function value of input evaluation index, as the input sample of BP neural network, is calculated the output valve of hidden layer and output layer.
If t neuronal activation value of hidden layer is in the i time training
Figure BDA0000451301100000061
s t i = Σ k = 1 p ν kt x k i - θ t , ( t = 1,2 , . . . , q ) - - - ( 5 )
In formula (5), ν ktfor k neuron of BP neural network input layer and hidden layer t the neuronic weights that are connected,
Figure BDA0000451301100000063
be i measured value of k evaluation index corresponding membership function value in interval [1,1], i.e. input layer input value, θ tt the neuronic threshold value for hidden layer.
Hidden layer neuron activation function adopts sigmoid function:
f(x)=1/[1+exp(-x)] (6)
T neuron output value of hidden layer
Figure 2013107525716100002DEST_PATH_IMAGE009
u t i = f ( s t i ) , ( t = 1,2 , . . . q ) - - - ( 7 )
From hidden layer to output layer:
The output valve of hidden layer neuron now
Figure BDA0000451301100000066
be the neuronic input value of output layer, output layer neuronal activation value is
l s i = Σ t = 1 q w ts u t i - r s , ( s = 1,2 , . . . m ) - - - ( 8 )
W in formula (7) tsfor t neuron of BP neural network hidden layer and s neuron of output layer connected be connected weights, r ss the neuronic threshold value for output layer.
Output layer neuron activation functions is the same with hidden layer neuron activation function, adopts sigmoid function:
f(x)=1/[1+exp(-x)] (9)
S neuron output value of output layer is
Figure BDA0000451301100000069
y s i = f ( l s i ) , ( t = 1,2 , . . . q ) - - - ( 10 )
(4) adjust weights.
If known real output value is
Figure 2013107525716100002DEST_PATH_IMAGE013
real output value with the difference of calculating output valve is
Figure DEST_PATH_IMAGE014
Utilize method of steepest descent, according to formula, adjust output layer weights ω ts:
Δω ts = η ( d s i - y s i ) y s i ( 1 - y s i ) u t i
ω ts(i+1)=ω ts(i)+Δω ts
Wherein, η is scale-up factor, i.e. learning rate is made as between [0,1] one compared with decimal.ω ts(i+1) be the i+1 time training in hidden layer to output layer weights.
Utilize method of steepest descent, according to formula, adjust output layer weights ν kt:
Δν kt = η Σ s = 1 m ( d s i - y s i ) y s i ( 1 - y s i ) ω ts u t i ( 1 - u t i ) x k i
ν kt(i+1)=ν kt(i)Δν kt
Wherein, ν kt(i+1) be the i+1 time training in input layer to hidden layer weights.
Return to step (3), train next time, until BP neural network real output value and calculating output valve error are less than the minimal value of setting, reach network convergence state.
(5) computed reliability
The BP neural network model now obtaining has expert's experimental knowledge, according to the index measurement value providing, just can assess arbitrary safety detection Sensor Network reliability, according to the reliability score value of output, just can understand the reliability standard of Sensor Network.

Claims (5)

1. many index comprehensives of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability appraisal procedure, is characterized in that, contains following steps:
(1) process sample, the four indices such as time delay, occupation rate, packet loss and the bit error rate are measured, use the subordinate function in fuzzy mathematics theory to be normalized measured value, by formula, calculate corresponding membership function value, make it have relative comparability, and be quantized to one can more interval [1,1] in, as the sample input value of BP neural network input layer, sample output valve is corresponding Sensor Network reliability score value;
(2) build BP neural network, determine network structure, set up BP neural network model.BP neural network comprises an input layer, a plurality of hidden layer and an output layer; Adopt is the most also that most widely used three layers of BP neural network with an input layer, a hidden layer and an output layer are as the BP neural network structure building;
(3) training sample, inputs each index membership function value, calculates the output valve of BP neural network hidden layer by formula, and the output valve of hidden layer is the input value of output layer, calculates the output valve of output layer by formula;
(4) adjust weights, according to real output value with calculate the poor of output valve, adjust weights, return to scheme the 3rd step, recalculate hidden layer output valve and output layer output valve, so adjust weights, calculate, adjust again weights, calculate again, until BP neural network real output value and calculating output valve error are less than the minimal value of setting, reach network convergence state, finish to calculate, obtain final weights;
(5) computed reliability, the BP neural network now obtaining has expert's experimental knowledge, with this model, just can calculate according to indices measured value the reliability of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network.
2. a kind of many index comprehensives of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability appraisal procedure according to claim 1, it is characterized in that, described step (2) builds BP neural network, because every evaluation index varies in size on the impact of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability, for every evaluation index is compared mutually in system, there is relative comparability, must use fuzzy mathematics theory to do normalized to every evaluation index, every evaluation index after processing could be as the training sample of BP neural network, time delay, utilization factor, packet loss, the bit error rate is quantitative target, different is time delay, packet loss, the bit error rate is reverse index, the smaller the better, and utilization factor belongs to forward index, be the bigger the better.
3. a kind of many index comprehensives of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability appraisal procedure according to claim 2, is characterized in that, described utilization fuzzy mathematics theory is done normalized to every evaluation index, sets up evaluation index normalization model,
The normalization formula of forward index:
Figure 2013107525716100001DEST_PATH_IMAGE001
The normalization formula of reverse index:
Figure 2013107525716100001DEST_PATH_IMAGE002
Transfer index measurement value to membership function value on interval [1,1]:
Figure 2013107525716100001DEST_PATH_IMAGE003
Wherein,
Figure FDA0000451301090000024
be i measured value of k evaluation index,
Figure FDA0000451301090000025
be the mean value of k all measured values of evaluation index,
Figure FDA0000451301090000026
for intermediate conversion variable,
Figure FDA0000451301090000027
be that i measured value of k evaluation index is in interval
Figure FDA00004513010900000212
the membership function value of interior correspondence, the i.e. input value of BP neural network input layer.
4. a kind of many index comprehensives of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability appraisal procedure according to claim 1, is characterized in that, described step (2) builds BP neural network model
If input layer vector X=is (x 1, x 2..., x n) t,
Figure 2013107525716100001DEST_PATH_IMAGE004
k=(1,2 ... p), x wherein ibe i sample,
Figure FDA0000451301090000029
i the measured value corresponding membership function value in interval [1,1] that is k evaluation index is input layer input value, and n is sample number;
Output vector is made as Y=(y 1, y 2..., y n) t,
Figure 2013107525716100001DEST_PATH_IMAGE005
s=(1,2 ..., m), wherein
Figure FDA00004513010900000211
it is the output valve of s unit of output layer in the i time training; This output layer unit is the reliability score value of train safety detection Sensor Network;
Hidden layer is to exist in order to calculate, and does not possess concrete meaning, and hidden layer unit number q can calculate by formula,
Figure 2013107525716100001DEST_PATH_IMAGE006
In formula, a is the constant between [1,10], and establishing hidden layer output vector is that output layer input vector is U=(u 1, u 2..., u n) t,
Figure DEST_PATH_IMAGE007
t=(1,2 ..., q).Wherein it is the output valve of t unit of hidden layer in the i time training;
If input layer is v to hidden layer weight vector, hidden layer is w to output layer weight vector.
5. a kind of many index comprehensives of municipal rail train safety detection Sensor Network reliability appraisal procedure according to claim 1, is characterized in that, described step (3) training sample, sets up sample training model,
From input layer to hidden layer:
Initial weight υ and initial threshold θ are set, are all made as random minimum value;
The membership function value of input evaluation index, as the input sample of BP neural network, is calculated the output valve of hidden layer and output layer;
If t neuronal activation value of hidden layer is in the i time training
Figure FDA0000451301090000035
Figure DEST_PATH_IMAGE008
In formula (5), ν ktfor k neuron of BP neural network input layer and hidden layer t the neuronic weights that are connected, be i measured value of k evaluation index corresponding membership function value in interval [1,1], i.e. input layer input value, θ tfor t neuronic threshold value of hidden layer,
Hidden layer neuron activation function adopts sigmoid function:
f(x)=1/[1+exp(-x)] (6)
T neuron output value of hidden layer
Figure FDA0000451301090000038
From hidden layer to output layer:
The output valve of hidden layer neuron now
Figure FDA00004513010900000310
be the neuronic input value of output layer, output layer neuronal activation value is
W in formula (7) tsfor t neuron of BP neural network hidden layer and s neuron of output layer connected be connected weights, r ss the neuronic threshold value for output layer.
Output layer neuron activation functions is the same with hidden layer neuron activation function, adopts sigmoid function:
Figure DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
S neuron output value of output layer is
Figure DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
Described step (4) is adjusted weights, comprising: establishing known real output value is real output value with the difference of calculating output valve is
Figure FDA0000451301090000046
Utilize method of steepest descent, according to formula, adjust output layer weights ω ts:
Figure DEST_PATH_IMAGE013
ω ts(i+1)=ω ts(i)+Δω ts
Wherein, η is scale-up factor, i.e. learning rate is made as between [0,1] one compared with decimal; ω ts(i+1) be the i+1 time training in hidden layer to output layer weights;
Utilize method of steepest descent, according to formula, adjust output layer weights ν kt:
Figure FDA0000451301090000048
ν kt(i+1)=ν kt(i)+Δν kt
Wherein, ν kt(i+1) be the i+1 time training in input layer to hidden layer weights; Return to step (3), train next time, until BP neural network real output value and calculating output valve error are less than the minimal value of setting, reach network convergence state, finish to calculate, obtain final weights.
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CN105046377A (en) * 2015-09-06 2015-11-11 河海大学 Method for screening optimum indexes of reservoir flood control dispatching scheme based on BP neural network
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CN113326962A (en) * 2020-02-28 2021-08-31 南京理工大学 Subway train ATO speed curve prediction method based on BP neural network
CN113219282A (en) * 2021-04-30 2021-08-06 华能国际电力股份有限公司上海石洞口第二电厂 Novel microcomputer protection constant value checking method
CN113219282B (en) * 2021-04-30 2022-12-27 华能国际电力股份有限公司上海石洞口第二电厂 Novel microcomputer protection constant value checking method
CN113923139A (en) * 2021-12-15 2022-01-11 北京城市轨道交通咨询有限公司 Method and device for evaluating reliability of train control data communication system
CN113923139B (en) * 2021-12-15 2022-03-01 北京城市轨道交通咨询有限公司 Method and device for evaluating reliability of train control data communication system

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