CN103227662A - Safety detection method and system of electric power communication equipment based on state control - Google Patents

Safety detection method and system of electric power communication equipment based on state control Download PDF

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Publication number
CN103227662A
CN103227662A CN2013101491415A CN201310149141A CN103227662A CN 103227662 A CN103227662 A CN 103227662A CN 2013101491415 A CN2013101491415 A CN 2013101491415A CN 201310149141 A CN201310149141 A CN 201310149141A CN 103227662 A CN103227662 A CN 103227662A
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power communication
safety detection
electric power
communication device
detection value
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CN103227662B (en
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李�杰
梁炯光
李卫军
萧琨
刘震宇
黄达林
钟远强
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Electric Power Dispatch Control Center of Guangdong Power Grid Co Ltd
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Guangdong University of Technology
Electric Power Dispatch Control Center of Guangdong Power Grid Co Ltd
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Abstract

The invention provides a safety detection method of electric power communication equipment based on state control. The method comprises the steps of obtaining a first safety detection value of the target equipment, giving a first alarm prompt when the detection value is less than or equal to a first safety threshold, giving a second alarm prompt when the detection value is greater than the first safety threshold and less than or equal to a second safety threshold, modifying a state into a shutdown state and giving a third alarm prompt when the detection value is greater than the second safety threshold, obtaining the second safety detection value of the equipment in the shutdown state, modifying the state into a running state and giving a fourth alarm prompt when the second safety detection value is less than or equal to an out-of-service threshold, modifying the state into an exit state, and giving a fifth alarm prompt when the second safety detection value is greater than the out-of-service threshold. The invention further provides a safety detection system of the electric power communication equipment based on the state control. The system ensures reliable running of a power grid, improves the power supply efficiency, and lowers the operating cost.

Description

A kind of electric power communication device safety detection method and system based on State Control
Technical field
The present invention relates to the electric power communication device detection range, particularly relate to a kind of electric power communication device safety detection method and system based on State Control.
Background technology
Power telecom network is the indivisible part of modern power network, is one of three big pillars of power grid security, stable, economy, high-quality operation.The reliability of the communication quality of raising electric power communication device, raising electric power communication device runs through the time-continuing process of whole electric power communication device life cycle.
Traditional electric power communication device safety detection, be whether unilateral detection electric power communication device exists potential safety hazard, then directly out of service for the equipment that has potential safety hazard, and in fact may there be certain error in safety monitoring, when detecting potential safety hazard, might not be that this electric power communication device can not continue to have moved again, out of service as directly there being the electric power communication device of potential safety hazard, not only reduce the power supplying efficiency of electric power system, and improved the operating cost of electric power system.
Summary of the invention
Based on this, be necessary the low and high problem of power system operation cost of the power system power supply efficient of mentioning at background, a kind of electric power communication device safety detection method and system based on State Control is provided.
The scheme that adopts:
A kind of electric power communication device safety detection method based on State Control comprises step:
Obtain the first safety detection value of target power communication equipment; Wherein, the initial condition of described target power communication equipment is a running status;
When the described first safety detection value is less than or equal to the first default secure threshold, send first alarm of the normal operation of described target power communication equipment; When the described first safety detection value greater than the described first default secure threshold, and when being less than or equal to the second default secure threshold, send second alarm that number of times is patrolled and examined in to described target power communication equipment increase; When the described first safety detection value during, be shut down condition with the status modifier of described target power communication equipment, and send immediately the 3rd alarm that the electric power communication device to shut down condition keeps in repair greater than the described second default secure threshold;
Obtain the second safety detection value of the electric power communication device of shut down condition;
When the described second safety detection value is less than or equal to default threshold value out of service, is running status with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of described shut down condition, and sends and drop into this electric power communication device the 4th alarm; When the described second safety detection value during greater than described default threshold value out of service, be exit status with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of described shut down condition, send the 5th alarm of adjusting current topological data.
And,
A kind of electric power communication device safety detecting system based on State Control comprises: the first safety detection unit, the second safety detection unit, status modifier unit and alarm unit;
The described first safety detection unit obtains the first safety detection value of target power communication equipment; Wherein, the initial condition of described target power communication equipment is a running status;
When the described first safety detection value was less than or equal to the first default secure threshold, described alarm unit sent first alarm of described target power communication equipment safe operation; When the described first safety detection value greater than the described first default secure threshold, and when being less than or equal to the second default secure threshold, described alarm unit sends second alarm that number of times is patrolled and examined in to described target power communication equipment increase; When the described first safety detection value during greater than the described second default secure threshold, described status modifier unit is a shut down condition with the status modifier of described target power communication equipment, and described alarm unit sends immediately the 3rd alarm that the electric power communication device to shut down condition keeps in repair;
The described second safety detection unit obtains the second safety detection value of the electric power communication device of shut down condition;
When the described second safety detection value is less than or equal to default threshold value out of service, described status modifier unit is a running status with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of described shut down condition, and described alarm unit sends this electric power communication device the 4th alarm of input; When the described second safety detection value during greater than described default threshold value out of service, described status modifier unit is an exit status with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of described shut down condition, and described alarm unit sends the 5th alarm of adjusting current topological data.
By detecting in real time the security of operation information of target power communication equipment, when the security information of equipment is less than or equal to the lower secure threshold of one of them numerical value, illustrate that this equipment operation is normal among the present invention; When this security information value is higher than the lower secure threshold of this numerical value, and when being less than or equal to the higher secure threshold of predetermined another numerical value, only be to send the prompting staff to increase warning to the number of times of this equipment routing inspection this moment, do not withdraw from this equipment; When this security information value is higher than the higher secure threshold of predetermined another numerical value, this moment, catastrophe failure might take place in equipment, and this equipment running status is revised as shut down condition, sent the alarm that this equipment is keeped in repair, this moment, this equipment was not abandoned, but on-line maintenance; Again by simulating the probability that this kind equipment breaks down once more in actual running environment network topology and the historical record, obtain the second safety monitoring value of the electric power communication device of shut down condition, determine whether the equipment of shut down condition is really released operation by this second safety detection value, soon it is out of service; By the present invention, can keep the normal operation of grid power supply on the one hand, do not need the relevant power supply circuits of regular cut-out the equipment of security alarm to occur with replacing; On the one hand, avoided the blindness waste of device resource; Both can guarantee the reliability of operation of power networks, and can improve power supplying efficiency again, cut operating costs.
Description of drawings
Fig. 1 is an embodiment flow chart of the inventive method;
Fig. 2 is another embodiment flow chart of the inventive method;
Fig. 3 is for using an embodiment flow chart of the inventive method;
Fig. 4 is a structure chart of system of the present invention;
Fig. 5 is another structure chart of system of the present invention;
Fig. 6 is another structure chart of system of the present invention.
Embodiment
The present invention proposes a kind of electric power communication device safety detection method based on State Control, and its flow process can comprise step with reference to shown in Figure 1:
S101, dynamically obtain the first safety detection value of target power communication equipment;
Dynamically obtain the first safety detection value of target power communication equipment; The initial condition of target power communication equipment is a running status;
S102, judge whether the first safety detection value is bigger than first secure threshold;
Judge whether the first safety detection value is bigger than first secure threshold, and first secure threshold is a preset value; When the first safety detection value is less than or equal to the first default secure threshold, promptly when being judged as not, carry out step S103; When the first safety detection value during, promptly, carry out step S104 when being judged as when being greater than default first secure threshold.
S103, send first alarm of the normal operation of target power communication equipment;
S104, judge whether big than second secure threshold of the first safety detection value;
Judge whether big than second secure threshold of the first safety detection value, second secure threshold is the value that sets in advance; When the first safety detection value greater than the first default secure threshold, and when being less than or equal to the second default secure threshold, promptly in this S104 step, when being judged as not, carry out step S105; When the first safety detection value during, promptly in this S104 step,, carry out step S106 when being judged as when being greater than default second secure threshold.
S105, send second alarm that number of times is patrolled and examined in to target power communication equipment increase;
S106, be shut down condition, and send immediately the 3rd alarm that the electric power communication device to shut down condition keeps in repair the status modifier of target power communication equipment;
When receiving the 3rd alarm, carry out on-line maintenance, be not really this equipment to be logged off.
S107, obtain the second safety detection value of the electric power communication device of shut down condition;
S108, the threshold value out of service than default is big to judge the second safety detection value;
Judge whether the second safety detection value is bigger than default threshold value out of service, when the second safety detection value is less than or equal to default threshold value out of service, that is, when being judged as not, carry out step S109; When the second safety detection value during, that is,, carry out step S110 when being judged as when being greater than default threshold value out of service.
S109, be running status, and send and drop into this electric power communication device the 4th alarm the status modifier of the electric power communication device of shut down condition;
S110, be exit status, send the 5th alarm of adjusting current topological data the status modifier of the electric power communication device of shut down condition.
By detecting in real time the security of operation information of target power communication equipment, when the security information of equipment is less than or equal to the lower secure threshold of one of them numerical value, illustrate that this equipment operation is normal among the present invention; When this security information value is higher than the lower secure threshold of this numerical value, and when being less than or equal to the higher secure threshold of predetermined another numerical value, only be to send the prompting staff to increase warning to the number of times of this equipment routing inspection this moment, do not withdraw from this equipment; When this security information value is higher than the higher secure threshold of predetermined another numerical value, this moment, catastrophe failure might take place in equipment, and this equipment running status is revised as shut down condition, sent the alarm that this equipment is keeped in repair, this moment, this equipment was not abandoned, but on-line maintenance; Again by simulating the probability that this kind equipment breaks down once more in actual running environment network topology and the historical record, obtain the second safety monitoring value of the electric power communication device of shut down condition, determine whether the equipment of shut down condition is really released operation by this second safety detection value, soon it is out of service; By the present invention, can keep the normal operation of grid power supply on the one hand, do not need the relevant power supply circuits of regular cut-out the equipment of security alarm to occur with replacing; On the one hand, avoided the blindness waste of device resource; Both can guarantee the reliability of operation of power networks, and can improve power supplying efficiency again, cut operating costs.
In the above-described embodiment, step S101 can adopt but be not limited to following mode and dynamically obtain the first safety detection value; Comprise step:
According to historical failure Data capture environment factor fault weighted value that prestores and running status factor fault weighted value;
Obtain the real time execution environmental data of target power communication equipment and the product of environmental factor fault weighted value, obtain first environment factor failure rate; Wherein, the real time execution environmental data comprises: temperature, humidity, dust content or the like.
Obtain the product of the real-time running state data and the state factor fault weighted value of target power communication equipment, obtain the first running status factor failure rate; Wherein, the real-time running state data comprise: equipment performance index, traffic load, operation hours or the like;
Obtain the business datum of target power communication equipment according to the network topology data of obtaining in real time; Carry out the network topology data operation and can obtain the traffic load of target power communication equipment; This process is known by those skilled in the art, repeats no more the concrete operation method;
After the first environment factor failure rate and the first running status factor failure rate addition, multiplying each other with the business datum of target power communication equipment obtains the second safety detection value again.
In the above-described embodiment, step S107 can adopt but be not limited to following mode and dynamically obtain the second safety detection value;
Step comprises:
Obtain the probability that the electric power communication device of shut down condition breaks down once more according to the historical failure data that prestore;
Obtain the business datum of the electric power communication device of shut down condition according to the network topology data of default simulated environment; Carry out sunykatuib analysis in the network topology with the current true electrical network of process object adding simulation, obtain the business datum of processed object; Wherein, processed object is the electric power communication device of shut down condition;
Obtain the product of business datum of the electric power communication device of probability that the electric power communication device of shut down condition breaks down once more and shut down condition, obtain the second safety detection value.
The foregoing description only could be controlled the state variation of electric power communication device to obtain the safety detection value in real time when actual putting into operation, make corresponding warning and handle; But in fact, after operation a period of time, can according to historical data before next time cycle commencement of commercial operation, obtain the state of each electric power communication device in advance, obtain the 3rd safety detection value in advance; Static the 3rd safety detection value that obtains the target power communication equipment includes but not limited to following mode;
One of them execution mode, its flow process is with reference to figure 2, and step comprises:
S201, static state are obtained the 3rd safety detection value of target power communication equipment;
Specifically comprise step:
According to historical failure Data capture environment factor fault weighted value that prestores and running status factor fault weighted value;
Obtain the history run environmental data of target power communication equipment and the product of environmental factor fault weighted value, obtain second environment factor failure rate;
Obtain the history run status data of target power communication equipment and the product of state factor fault weighted value, obtain the second running status factor failure rate;
Obtain the business datum of target power communication equipment according to the network topology data of obtaining in real time; After obtaining the second environment factor failure rate and the second running status factor failure rate addition, multiplying each other with the business datum of target power communication equipment obtains the 3rd safety detection value again;
S202, judge whether the 3rd safety detection value is bigger than the 3rd secure threshold;
Whether disconnected the 3rd safety detection value is bigger than the 3rd secure threshold, when the 3rd safety detection value is less than or equal to the 3rd default secure threshold, that is, when being judged as not, carries out step S203; When the 3rd safety detection value during, that is,, carry out step S204 when being judged as when being greater than default the 3rd secure threshold.
S203, send the 6th alarm of the normal operation of target power communication equipment;
S204, be shut down condition, send the 7th alarm that the target power communication equipment is keeped in repair the status modifier of target power communication equipment.
In order to improve the service efficiency of electric power communication device, further reduce the electric power operation cost, make following improvement:
The state of obtaining is the product of the second safety detection value and default equipment evaluation value of the electric power communication device of exit status, obtains the 4th safety detection value; Wherein, Yu She equipment evaluation value is got different values at the second different safety detection values; As: when the second safety detection value was A1, the default corresponding value of the equipment value of evaluation was B1, B2, B3; As: when the second safety detection value was A2, the default corresponding value of the equipment value of evaluation was C1, C2, C3;
When the 4th safety detection value is less than or equal to the 4th default secure threshold, be idle state with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of exit status, send the 8th alarm;
When the 4th safety detection value greater than the 4th default secure threshold, and when being less than or equal to the 5th default secure threshold, sending state is the 9th alarm that the electric power communication device of exit status is reprocessed;
When the 4th safety detection value during greater than default the 5th secure threshold, the status modifier of electric power communication device that with state is exit status sends more the tenth alarm of exchange device for scrapping state.
As a concrete application scenarios of the inventive method, when specifically implementing, can carry out with reference to flow process shown in Figure 3;
The state of the electric power communication device of soon formally putting into operation is set to access state; To the test of being incorporated into the power networks of this equipment, if test is passed through, then this equipment is dropped into power network topology and formally operate, the modification state is: running status; If test is not passed through, the state of then revising equipment is an idle state; Acquisition state is the electric power communication device data of running status, carry out that static security detects and/dynamic security detects; Different testing results is made corresponding alarm; For the equipment that may cause electric network fault, be shut down condition with its status modifier, with prompting this equipment is carried out on-line maintenance;
If can keep in repair, then after the maintenance well, put into operation once more, be running status with its status modifier; If can not keep in repair, then its state is revised as exit status by shut down condition; Carrying out simulating Safety detects, obtain the simulating Safety detected value, it promptly is the second safety detection value of above-mentioned acquisition, when the second safety detection value is less than or equal to default when moving back fortune threshold value (promptly being the threshold value of presetting out of service), prove that this equipment is not really to be out of order, therefore be running status with its status modifier, put into operation once more; When the second safety detection value, judges whether with this equipment scrapping promptly to be when moving back the fortune threshold value greater than default, the state of obtaining is the product of the second safety detection value and default equipment evaluation value of the electric power communication device of exit status, obtains the 4th safety detection value; When the 4th safety detection value is less than or equal to the 4th default secure threshold, that is,, be idle state with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of exit status not with this equipment scrapping, send the 8th alarm;
When the 4th safety detection value greater than the 4th default secure threshold, and when being less than or equal to the 5th default secure threshold, that is, not with this equipment scrapping, sending state is the 9th alarm that the electric power communication device of exit status is reprocessed; After reprocessing successfully, be idle state with its status modifier;
When the 4th safety detection value during greater than default the 5th secure threshold, that is, with this equipment scrapping, the status modifier of electric power communication device that with state is exit status sends more the tenth alarm of exchange device for scrapping state.
When needs electrification communication equipment, can from the cluster tool of idle state, receive, advance as the testing process that is incorporated into the power networks, repeat above-mentioned flow process.
The present invention also proposes a kind of electric power communication device safety detecting system based on State Control, and its structural representation comprises with reference to figure 4: the first safety detection unit, the second safety detection unit, status modifier unit and alarm unit;
The first safety detection unit obtains the first safety detection value of target power communication equipment; Wherein, the initial condition of target power communication equipment is a running status;
When the first safety detection value was less than or equal to the first default secure threshold, alarm unit sent first alarm of target power communication equipment safe operation; When the first safety detection value greater than the first default secure threshold, and when being less than or equal to the second default secure threshold, alarm unit sends second alarm that number of times is patrolled and examined in to target power communication equipment increase; When the first safety detection value during greater than default second secure threshold, the status modifier unit is a shut down condition with the status modifier of target power communication equipment, and alarm unit sends immediately the 3rd alarm that the electric power communication device to shut down condition keeps in repair;
The second safety detection unit obtains the second safety detection value of the electric power communication device of shut down condition;
When the second safety detection value was less than or equal to default threshold value out of service, the status modifier unit was a running status with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of shut down condition, and alarm unit sends this electric power communication device the 4th alarm of input; When the second safety detection value during greater than default threshold value out of service, the status modifier unit is an exit status with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of shut down condition, and alarm unit sends the 5th alarm of adjusting current topological data.
By detecting in real time the security of operation information of target power communication equipment, when the security information of equipment is less than or equal to the lower secure threshold of one of them numerical value, illustrate that this equipment operation is normal among the present invention; When this security information value is higher than the lower secure threshold of this numerical value, and when being less than or equal to the higher secure threshold of predetermined another numerical value, only be to send the prompting staff to increase warning to the number of times of this equipment routing inspection this moment, do not withdraw from this equipment; When this security information value is higher than the higher secure threshold of predetermined another numerical value, this moment, catastrophe failure might take place in equipment, and this equipment running status is revised as shut down condition, sent the alarm that this equipment is keeped in repair, this moment, this equipment was not abandoned, but on-line maintenance; Again by simulating the probability that this kind equipment breaks down once more in actual running environment network topology and the historical record, obtain the second safety monitoring value of the electric power communication device of shut down condition, determine whether the equipment of shut down condition is really released operation by this second safety detection value, soon it is out of service; By the present invention, can keep the normal operation of grid power supply on the one hand, do not need the relevant power supply circuits of regular cut-out the equipment of security alarm to occur with replacing; On the one hand, avoided the blindness waste of device resource; Both can guarantee the reliability of operation of power networks, and can improve power supplying efficiency again, cut operating costs.
In one embodiment, first detecting unit comprises:
First acquisition module is used for according to the historical failure Data capture environment factor fault weighted value and the running status factor fault weighted value that prestore;
First computing module is used to obtain the real time execution environmental data of target power communication equipment and the product of environmental factor fault weighted value, obtains first environment factor failure rate;
Second computing module is used to obtain the product of the real-time running state data and the state factor fault weighted value of target power communication equipment, obtains the first running status factor failure rate;
The 3rd computing module is used for the business datum according to the network topology data acquisition target power communication equipment that obtains in real time; After the first environment factor failure rate and the first running status factor failure rate addition, multiplying each other with the business datum of target power communication equipment obtains the second safety detection value again.
In one embodiment, second detecting unit comprises:
Second acquisition module is used for obtaining the probability that the electric power communication device of shut down condition breaks down once more according to the historical failure data that prestore;
The 3rd acquisition module, the network topology data that are used for the default simulated environment of basis obtain the business datum of the electric power communication device of shut down condition;
The 4th computing module is used to obtain the product of business datum of the electric power communication device of probability that the electric power communication device of shut down condition breaks down once more and shut down condition, obtains the second safety detection value.
The foregoing description only could be controlled the state variation of electric power communication device to obtain the safety detection value in real time when actual putting into operation, make corresponding warning and handle; But in fact, after operation a period of time, can according to historical data before next time cycle commencement of commercial operation, obtain the state of each electric power communication device in advance, obtain the 3rd safety detection value in advance; Static the 3rd safety detection value that obtains the target power communication equipment includes but not limited to following mode; Please refer to Fig. 5, the electric power communication device safety detecting system based on State Control also comprise: the 3rd safety detection unit;
The 3rd safety detection unit is according to the historical failure Data capture environment factor fault weighted value and the running status factor fault weighted value that prestore; Obtain the history run environmental data of target power communication equipment and the product of environmental factor fault weighted value, obtain second environment factor failure rate; Obtain the history run status data of target power communication equipment and the product of state factor fault weighted value, obtain the second running status factor failure rate; Obtain the business datum of target power communication equipment according to the network topology data of obtaining in real time; After obtaining the second environment factor failure rate and the second running status factor failure rate addition, multiplying each other with the business datum of target power communication equipment obtains the 3rd safety detection value again;
When the 3rd safety detection value was less than or equal to the 3rd default secure threshold, alarm unit sent the 6th alarm of the normal operation of target power communication equipment; When the 3rd safety detection value during greater than default the 3rd secure threshold, the status modifier unit is a shut down condition with the status modifier of target power communication equipment, and alarm unit sends the 7th alarm that the target power communication equipment is keeped in repair.
In order to improve the service efficiency of electric power communication device, further reduce the electric power operation cost, make following improvement: with reference to figure 6, the electric power communication device safety detecting system based on State Control also comprise: the 4th safety detection unit;
The 4th safety detection unit obtains the product of the second safety detection value and default equipment evaluation value that state is the electric power communication device of exit status, obtains the 4th safety detection value; Wherein, Yu She equipment evaluation value is got different values at the second different safety detection values;
When the 4th safety detection value was less than or equal to the 4th default secure threshold, the status modifier unit was an idle state with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of exit status, and alarm unit sends the 8th alarm of the idleness of equipment;
When the 4th safety detection value greater than the 4th default secure threshold, and when being less than or equal to the 5th default secure threshold, it is the 9th alarm that the electric power communication device of exit status is reprocessed that alarm unit sends state;
When the 4th safety detection value during greater than default the 5th secure threshold, the status modifier unit with state be the status modifier of electric power communication device of exit status for scrapping state, alarm unit sends more the tenth alarm of exchange device.
The above embodiment has only expressed several execution mode of the present invention, and it describes comparatively concrete and detailed, but can not therefore be interpreted as the restriction to claim of the present invention.Should be pointed out that for the person of ordinary skill of the art without departing from the inventive concept of the premise, can also make some distortion and improvement, these all belong to protection scope of the present invention.Therefore, the protection range of patent of the present invention should be as the criterion with claims.

Claims (10)

1. the electric power communication device safety detection method based on State Control is characterized in that, comprises step:
Obtain the first safety detection value of target power communication equipment; Wherein, the initial condition of described target power communication equipment is a running status;
When the described first safety detection value is less than or equal to the first default secure threshold, send first alarm of the normal operation of described target power communication equipment; When the described first safety detection value greater than the described first default secure threshold, and when being less than or equal to the second default secure threshold, send second alarm that number of times is patrolled and examined in to described target power communication equipment increase; When the described first safety detection value during, be shut down condition with the status modifier of described target power communication equipment, and send immediately the 3rd alarm that the electric power communication device to shut down condition keeps in repair greater than the described second default secure threshold;
Obtain the second safety detection value of the electric power communication device of shut down condition;
When the described second safety detection value is less than or equal to default threshold value out of service, is running status with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of described shut down condition, and sends and drop into this electric power communication device the 4th alarm; When the described second safety detection value during greater than described default threshold value out of service, be exit status with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of described shut down condition, send the 5th alarm of adjusting current topological data.
2. the electric power communication device safety detection method based on State Control according to claim 1 is characterized in that, the described step of obtaining the first safety detection value of target power communication equipment comprises:
According to historical failure Data capture environment factor fault weighted value that prestores and running status factor fault weighted value;
Obtain the real time execution environmental data of described target power communication equipment and the product of described environmental factor fault weighted value, obtain first environment factor failure rate;
Obtain the product of the real-time running state data and the described state factor fault weighted value of described target power communication equipment, obtain the first running status factor failure rate;
Obtain the business datum of described target power communication equipment according to the described network topology data of obtaining in real time; After described first environment factor failure rate and the described first running status factor failure rate addition, multiplying each other with the business datum of described target power communication equipment obtains the described second safety detection value again.
3. the electric power communication device safety detection method based on State Control according to claim 1 is characterized in that, the step of the second safety detection value of the described electric power communication device that obtains shut down condition comprises:
The probability that the electric power communication device that obtains shut down condition according to the described historical failure data that prestore breaks down once more;
Obtain the business datum of the electric power communication device of described shut down condition according to the network topology data of described default simulated environment;
Obtain the product of business datum of the electric power communication device of probability that the electric power communication device of described shut down condition breaks down once more and described shut down condition, obtain the described second safety detection value.
4. the electric power communication device safety detection method based on State Control according to claim 1 is characterized in that, also comprises step:
According to described historical failure Data capture environment factor fault weighted value that prestores and running status factor fault weighted value;
Obtain the history run environmental data of described target power communication equipment and the product of described environmental factor fault weighted value, obtain second environment factor failure rate;
Obtain the history run status data of described target power communication equipment and the product of described state factor fault weighted value, obtain the second running status factor failure rate;
Obtain the business datum of described target power communication equipment according to the described network topology data of obtaining in real time; After obtaining described second environment factor failure rate and the described second running status factor failure rate addition, multiplying each other with the business datum of described target power communication equipment obtains described the 3rd safety detection value again;
When described the 3rd safety detection value is less than or equal to the 3rd default secure threshold, send the 6th alarm of the normal operation of described target power communication equipment; When described the 3rd safety detection value during greater than described the 3rd default secure threshold, be shut down condition with the status modifier of described target power communication equipment, send the 7th alarm that described target power communication equipment is keeped in repair.
5. according to each described electric power communication device safety detection method of claim 1 to 4, it is characterized in that, also comprise step based on State Control:
The state of obtaining is the product of the second safety detection value and default equipment evaluation value of the electric power communication device of exit status, obtains the 4th safety detection value; Wherein, described default equipment evaluation value is got different values at the second different safety detection values;
When described the 4th safety detection value is less than or equal to the 4th default secure threshold, be idle state with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of exit status, send the 8th alarm;
When described the 4th safety detection value greater than the 4th default secure threshold, and when being less than or equal to the 5th default secure threshold, sending state is the 9th alarm that the electric power communication device of exit status is reprocessed;
When described the 4th safety detection value during greater than default the 5th secure threshold, the status modifier of electric power communication device that with described state is exit status sends more the tenth alarm of exchange device for scrapping state.
6. the electric power communication device safety detecting system based on State Control is characterized in that, comprising: the first safety detection unit, the second safety detection unit, status modifier unit and alarm unit;
The described first safety detection unit obtains the first safety detection value of target power communication equipment; Wherein, the initial condition of described target power communication equipment is a running status;
When the described first safety detection value was less than or equal to the first default secure threshold, described alarm unit sent first alarm of described target power communication equipment safe operation; When the described first safety detection value greater than the described first default secure threshold, and when being less than or equal to the second default secure threshold, described alarm unit sends second alarm that number of times is patrolled and examined in to described target power communication equipment increase; When the described first safety detection value during greater than the described second default secure threshold, described status modifier unit is a shut down condition with the status modifier of described target power communication equipment, and described alarm unit sends immediately the 3rd alarm that the electric power communication device to shut down condition keeps in repair;
The described second safety detection unit obtains the second safety detection value of the electric power communication device of shut down condition;
When the described second safety detection value is less than or equal to default threshold value out of service, described status modifier unit is a running status with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of described shut down condition, and described alarm unit sends this electric power communication device the 4th alarm of input; When the described second safety detection value during greater than described default threshold value out of service, described status modifier unit is an exit status with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of described shut down condition, and described alarm unit sends the 5th alarm of adjusting current topological data.
7. the electric power communication device safety detecting system based on State Control according to claim 6 is characterized in that, described first detecting unit comprises:
First acquisition module is used for according to the historical failure Data capture environment factor fault weighted value and the running status factor fault weighted value that prestore;
First computing module is used to obtain the real time execution environmental data of described target power communication equipment and the product of described environmental factor fault weighted value, obtains first environment factor failure rate;
Second computing module is used to obtain the product of the real-time running state data and the described state factor fault weighted value of described target power communication equipment, obtains the first running status factor failure rate;
The 3rd computing module is used for obtaining according to the described network topology data of obtaining in real time the business datum of described target power communication equipment; After described first environment factor failure rate and the described first running status factor failure rate addition, multiplying each other with the business datum of described target power communication equipment obtains the described second safety detection value again.
8. the electric power communication device safety detecting system based on State Control according to claim 6 is characterized in that, described second detecting unit comprises:
Second acquisition module is used for the probability that breaks down once more according to the electric power communication device that the described historical failure data that prestore are obtained shut down condition;
The 3rd acquisition module is used for obtaining according to the network topology data of described default simulated environment the business datum of the electric power communication device of described shut down condition;
The 4th computing module is used to obtain the product of business datum of the electric power communication device of probability that the electric power communication device of described shut down condition breaks down once more and described shut down condition, obtains the described second safety detection value.
9. the electric power communication device safety detecting system based on State Control according to claim 6 is characterized in that, described electric power communication device safety detecting system based on State Control also comprises: the 3rd safety detection unit;
Described the 3rd safety detection unit is according to described historical failure Data capture environment factor fault weighted value that prestores and running status factor fault weighted value; Obtain the history run environmental data of described target power communication equipment and the product of described environmental factor fault weighted value, obtain second environment factor failure rate; Obtain the history run status data of described target power communication equipment and the product of described state factor fault weighted value, obtain the second running status factor failure rate; Obtain the business datum of described target power communication equipment according to the described network topology data of obtaining in real time; After obtaining described second environment factor failure rate and the described second running status factor failure rate addition, multiplying each other with the business datum of described target power communication equipment obtains described the 3rd safety detection value again;
When described the 3rd safety detection value was less than or equal to the 3rd default secure threshold, described alarm unit sent the 6th alarm of the normal operation of described target power communication equipment; When described the 3rd safety detection value during greater than described the 3rd default secure threshold, described status modifier unit is a shut down condition with the status modifier of described target power communication equipment, and described alarm unit sends the 7th alarm that described target power communication equipment is keeped in repair.
10. according to each described electric power communication device safety detecting system of claim 6 to 9, it is characterized in that described electric power communication device safety detecting system based on State Control also comprises: the 4th safety detection unit based on State Control;
Described the 4th safety detection unit obtains the product of the second safety detection value and default equipment evaluation value that state is the electric power communication device of exit status, obtains the 4th safety detection value; Wherein, described default equipment evaluation value is got different values at the second different safety detection values;
When described the 4th safety detection value was less than or equal to the 4th default secure threshold, described status modifier unit was an idle state with the status modifier of the electric power communication device of exit status, and described alarm unit sends the 8th alarm of the idleness of equipment;
When described the 4th safety detection value greater than the 4th default secure threshold, and when being less than or equal to the 5th default secure threshold, it is the 9th alarm that the electric power communication device of exit status is reprocessed that described alarm unit sends state;
When described the 4th safety detection value during greater than default the 5th secure threshold, described status modifier unit with described state be the status modifier of electric power communication device of exit status for scrapping state, described alarm unit sends more the tenth alarm of exchange device.
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