CN103077435A - SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) index evaluation method based on combination weighting comprehensive evaluation model - Google Patents
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Abstract
本发明涉及一种基于组合加权综合评价模型的SEC指标评估方法,依据资产全寿命周期管理的特点,结合管理评价主体的要求,综合考虑评价指标体系和指标数据的特点,在对各类评价方法进行比较的基础上,针对指标体系内指标关联程度不一致的问题,提出了一种基于组合加权综合评价模型的SEC指标评估方法,来实现对资产全寿命周期安全管理、效能管理、成本管理及综合管理的评价。在确定了评价方法后,需要根据指标体系采集指标数据,进行指标数据预处理、指标权重方法选择及评价数学模型的构建。本发明适用于对资产全寿命管理进行评价。
The invention relates to a SEC index evaluation method based on a combined weighted comprehensive evaluation model. According to the characteristics of asset life cycle management, combined with the requirements of the management evaluation subject, and comprehensively considering the characteristics of the evaluation index system and index data, various evaluation methods On the basis of comparison, aiming at the problem of inconsistency in the index correlation degree in the index system, a SEC index evaluation method based on the combined weighted comprehensive evaluation model is proposed to realize the safety management, performance management, cost management and comprehensive evaluation of the asset life cycle. management evaluation. After determining the evaluation method, it is necessary to collect index data according to the index system, perform index data preprocessing, index weight method selection, and evaluation mathematical model construction. The present invention is suitable for evaluating asset life-cycle management.
Description
技术领域 technical field
本发明涉及一种基于组合加权综合评价模型的SEC指标评估方法,属电网资产全寿命周期管理评估分析技术领域。The invention relates to an SEC index evaluation method based on a combined weighted comprehensive evaluation model, and belongs to the technical field of evaluation and analysis of the life cycle management of power grid assets.
背景技术 Background technique
综合评价指对多目标结构系统或多属性体系结构系统,根据一定方法做出全局性、整体性的评价,再根据评价值择优或排序。综合评价由于影响因素较多,涉及面广,因此具有一定的复杂性,是评价问题研究的重点。目前对综合评价问题的研究大致可以分为两类:一类是对评价指标体系的研究;另一类是对综合评价方法的研究。对于评价体系的研究,不同领域、不同评价主体、不同目标往往差异很大,所以此方向的研究具有建设性的意义。Comprehensive evaluation refers to making a global and holistic evaluation of multi-objective structural systems or multi-attribute architectural systems according to certain methods, and then selecting or ranking according to the evaluation values. Comprehensive evaluation has certain complexity because of many influencing factors and involves a wide range of areas, so it is the focus of evaluation research. At present, the research on the comprehensive evaluation problem can be roughly divided into two categories: one is the research on the evaluation index system; the other is the research on the comprehensive evaluation method. For the research on the evaluation system, different fields, different evaluation subjects, and different goals are often very different, so research in this direction is of constructive significance.
供电企业资产全寿命周期管理评价要求既能体现评价实施的普适性,又能够在具体工作上体现针对性,可以根据不同的评价目标和评价需求调整指标数目而不影响评价。建立科学合理的指标体系、评估流程和评估模型,可以科学评估、引导、促进资产全寿命周期管理的健康快速发展,可以提高企业投资的有效性、提升财务表现,减少安全风险、完善企业安全战略决策机制、优化安全资源配置、整合安全管理体系与政策,减少维修成本、优化成本构成,最终实现企业资产管理水平的质的提升。The evaluation requirements for the asset life cycle management of power supply enterprises can not only reflect the universality of evaluation implementation, but also reflect the pertinence in specific work. The number of indicators can be adjusted according to different evaluation objectives and evaluation needs without affecting the evaluation. Establishing a scientific and reasonable index system, evaluation process and evaluation model can scientifically evaluate, guide and promote the healthy and rapid development of asset life cycle management, improve the effectiveness of corporate investment, improve financial performance, reduce safety risks, and improve corporate safety strategies Decision-making mechanism, optimization of security resource allocation, integration of security management systems and policies, reduction of maintenance costs, optimization of cost components, and ultimately a qualitative improvement in the level of enterprise asset management.
根据评价主体的评价要求,目前应用非常广、效果明确、且相对适合的多属性评价方法主要有加权综合法、目标规划法、TOPSIS 法,该类方法对评价对象描述比较精确,可以处理多决策者、多指标、动态的对象,但缺点是无法涉及有模糊因素的对象;统计分析方法有主成分分析法、聚类分析方法等,该类方法具有全面性、可比性、客观合理性的优点,但缺点是因子负荷符号交替使得函数意义不明确、需要大量的统计数据、没有反映客观发展水平;系统工程方法有层次分析法等,该类方法优点是可靠度比较高、误差小,但缺点是评价对象的因素不能太多。由于该评价指标体系存在分层较多、指标数量较多、指标不易简化,指标间的关联程度相差较大、指标可量化、指标数据积累量较少的特点。According to the evaluation requirements of the evaluation subject, the currently widely used multi-attribute evaluation methods with clear effects and relatively suitable methods mainly include the weighted comprehensive method, the goal programming method, and the TOPSIS method. These methods describe the evaluation objects more accurately and can handle multiple decisions. object, multiple indicators, and dynamic objects, but the disadvantage is that it cannot involve objects with fuzzy factors; statistical analysis methods include principal component analysis, cluster analysis, etc., which have the advantages of comprehensiveness, comparability, and objective rationality , but the disadvantage is that the meaning of the function is unclear due to the alternation of factor load symbols, a large amount of statistical data is required, and it does not reflect the objective development level; systems engineering methods include analytic hierarchy process, etc. The advantages of this type of method are relatively high reliability and small error, but the disadvantages There cannot be too many factors to be evaluated. Because the evaluation index system has the characteristics of many layers, a large number of indicators, difficult to simplify the indicators, large differences in the degree of correlation between indicators, quantifiable indicators, and less accumulation of indicator data.
经过综合比较发现加权综合评价法对指标的数量和指标体系的复杂程度上没有要求,并且不需要进行指标体系的简化,可以根据不同的评价需求可以通过选取对应的指标来实现,对于指标体系内指标关联程度不一致的问题可以通过线性加权与非线性加权组合评价解决。因此结合管理评价主体的要求,评价指标体系的特点和数据的特点,选择组合加权评价方法实现对资产全寿命周期安全管理、效能管理、成本管理及综合管理的评价。After a comprehensive comparison, it is found that the weighted comprehensive evaluation method has no requirements for the number of indicators and the complexity of the indicator system, and does not need to simplify the indicator system. It can be realized by selecting corresponding indicators according to different evaluation requirements. For the index system The problem of inconsistent index correlation can be solved by combining linear weighting and nonlinear weighting evaluation. Therefore, combined with the requirements of the management evaluation subject, the characteristics of the evaluation index system and the characteristics of the data, the combined weighted evaluation method is selected to realize the evaluation of the safety management, efficiency management, cost management and comprehensive management of the asset life cycle.
发明内容 Contents of the invention
本发明目的是,根据现有技术对资产全寿命周期综合管理的各种评价方法存在的缺陷,本发明公开一种基于组合加权综合评价模型的SEC指标评估方法。The purpose of the present invention is to disclose an SEC index evaluation method based on a combined weighted comprehensive evaluation model based on the defects of various evaluation methods for comprehensive asset life cycle management in the prior art.
本发明的技术方案是,本发明基于组合加权综合评价模型的SEC指标评估方法包括以下步骤:The technical solution of the present invention is that the SEC index evaluation method based on the combined weighted comprehensive evaluation model of the present invention comprises the following steps:
(1)全面分析评价指标体系构建的基础,建立了适应于“五大”(大规划、大建设、大运行、大检修、大营销)体系的SEC指标体系。(1) Comprehensively analyzed the foundation of the construction of the evaluation index system, and established the SEC index system suitable for the "five major" (big planning, big construction, big operation, big maintenance, big marketing) systems.
(2)结合评价指标体系构建一个将线性加权和非线性加权相结合的组合加权综合评价模型。(2) Combining with the evaluation index system, construct a combined weighted comprehensive evaluation model that combines linear weighting and nonlinear weighting.
(3)依据资产全寿命周期管理安全、成本和效能管理的特点和每个方面内部指标具有一定的互补性、外部指标关联性小等特征,利用基于组合加权综合评价模型的SEC指标评估方法对资产全寿命管理的情况进行评价。(3) According to the characteristics of asset life cycle management safety, cost and efficiency management and the internal indicators of each aspect have a certain degree of complementarity and the external indicators are less relevant, the SEC index evaluation method based on the combined weighted comprehensive evaluation model is used to evaluate the Evaluate the status of asset life-cycle management.
本发明构建的一个将线性加权和非线性加权相结合的组合加权综合评价模型,采用对安全管理评价值、效能管理评价值和周期成本管理评价值的综合集结,根据不同的信息集结方式构建的综合评价模型具体如下:A combined weighted comprehensive evaluation model constructed by the present invention that combines linear weighting and nonlinear weighting uses a comprehensive collection of safety management evaluation values, efficiency management evaluation values, and cycle cost management evaluation values, and is constructed according to different information aggregation methods The comprehensive evaluation model is as follows:
T=f(wsS,weE,wcC)T=f(w s S,w e E,w c C)
其中,T为资产全寿命周期管理状况综合评价值,S为资产安全管理评价值,E为资产效能管理评价值,C为资产周期成本管理评价值,ws为安全管理在全寿命周期管理中的权重;we为效能管理在全寿命周期管理中的权重;wc为周期成本管理在全寿命周期管理中的权重。Among them, T is the comprehensive evaluation value of asset life cycle management status, S is the asset safety management evaluation value, E is the asset performance management evaluation value, C is the asset cycle cost management evaluation value, w s is the safety management in the whole life cycle management w e is the weight of efficiency management in the whole life cycle management; w c is the weight of cycle cost management in the whole life cycle management.
所述综合评价模型的子模型包括:The sub-models of the comprehensive evaluation model include:
1、安全管理评价模型1. Safety management evaluation model
其中,Ts为安全管理的全寿命周期阶段数;wi s为第i个安全管理阶段的权重;nsi为第i个安全管理阶段评价指标的个数;wij s为第i个安全管理阶段下第j个指标在该阶段的权重;xij s为第i个安全管理阶段下第j个指标在该阶段的指标值。Among them, T s is the number of life cycle stages of safety management; w i s is the weight of the i-th safety management stage; n si is the number of evaluation indicators of the i-th safety management stage; w ij s is the i-th safety management The weight of the jth index in the management stage at this stage; x ij s is the index value of the jth index in the i-th security management stage at this stage.
2、效能管理评估模型2. Efficiency Management Evaluation Model
全寿命周期的效能管理主要在大规划、大建设、大运行、大检修体系下进行考核,为此,建立效能管理的评估模型如下:The efficiency management of the whole life cycle is mainly assessed under the system of large-scale planning, large-scale construction, large-scale operation, and large-scale maintenance. Therefore, the evaluation model of efficiency management is established as follows:
其中,Te为安全管理的全寿命周期阶段数;wi e为第i个安全管理阶段的权重;nei为第i个安全管理阶段评价指标的个数;wij e第i个安全管理阶段下第j个指标在该阶段的权重;xij e为第i个安全管理阶段下第j个指标在该阶段的指标值。Among them, T e is the number of stages in the life cycle of safety management; w i e is the weight of the i-th safety management stage; n ei is the number of evaluation indicators in the i-th safety management stage; w ij e is the weight of the i-th safety management stage The weight of the jth index in this stage under the stage; x ij e is the index value of the jth index in this stage under the i-th security management stage.
3、成本管理评估模型3. Cost management evaluation model
全寿命周期的效能管理主要大规划、大建设、大运行、大检修体系下进行考核,建立成本管理的评估模型如下:The performance management of the whole life cycle is mainly assessed under the system of large-scale planning, large-scale construction, large-scale operation, and large-scale maintenance. The evaluation model of cost management is established as follows:
其中,Tc为安全管理的全寿命周期阶段数;wi c为第i个安全管理阶段的权重;nci为第i个安全管理阶段评价指标的个数;wij c为第i个安全管理阶段下第j个指标在该阶段的权重;xij c为第i个安全管理阶段下第j个指标在该阶段的指标值。Among them, T c is the number of life cycle stages of safety management; w i c is the weight of the i-th safety management stage; n ci is the number of evaluation indicators of the i-th safety management stage; w ij c is the i-th safety management The weight of the jth index in the management stage at this stage; x ij c is the index value of the jth index in the i-th security management stage at this stage.
4、线性加权综合评价模型4. Linear weighted comprehensive evaluation model
采用线性加权的思想将安全管理评估值、效能管理评估值和周期成本管理评估值进行综合,建立评价模型如下:Using the idea of linear weighting to integrate the safety management evaluation value, efficiency management evaluation value and cycle cost management evaluation value, the evaluation model is established as follows:
其中,ws为安全管理在资产全寿命周期管理中的权重;we效能管理在资产全寿命周期管理中的权重;wc为周期成本管理在资产全寿命周期管理中的权重。Among them, w s is the weight of safety management in asset life cycle management; w e is the weight of efficiency management in asset life cycle management; w c is the weight of cycle cost management in asset life cycle management.
5、非线性加权综合评价模型5. Nonlinear weighted comprehensive evaluation model
采用非线性加权的思想将安全管理评价值、效能管理评价值和周期成本管理评价值进行综合,建立评价模型如下:Using the idea of nonlinear weighting to integrate the safety management evaluation value, efficiency management evaluation value and cycle cost management evaluation value, the evaluation model is established as follows:
T=λ1T1+λ2T2T=λ 1 T1+λ 2 T2
其中,λ1=δ1/(δ1+δ2),λ2=δ2/(δ1+δ2),
具体地,组合加权模型如下:Specifically, the combined weighting model is as follows:
本发明的有益效果是,根据“五大”体系建设的要求,特别是依据电力企业资产全寿命周期管理评价的评价目标的复杂性、模糊性和层次性的特点,构建一个将线性加权和非线性加权相结合的组合加权综合评价模型。利用该模型的SEC指标评估方法对资产全寿命管理的情况进行评价。本发明方法可以根据不同的评价需求通过选取对应的指标来实现,对于指标体系内指标关联程度不一致的问题可以通过线性加权与非线性加权组合评价解决。The beneficial effect of the present invention is that, according to the requirements of the "five major" system construction, especially according to the characteristics of the complexity, ambiguity and hierarchy of the evaluation objectives of the asset life cycle management evaluation of electric power enterprises, a combination of linear weighting and nonlinear Combined weighted comprehensive evaluation model. The SEC index evaluation method of this model is used to evaluate the situation of asset life-cycle management. The method of the present invention can be realized by selecting corresponding indicators according to different evaluation requirements, and the problem of inconsistency in the degree of correlation of indicators in the indicator system can be solved through combined evaluation of linear weighting and nonlinear weighting.
本发明适用于对资产全寿命管理进行评价。The invention is suitable for evaluating the life-cycle management of assets.
附图说明 Description of drawings
图1为本发明结构框图。Fig. 1 is a structural block diagram of the present invention.
具体实施方式 Detailed ways
本发明的具体实施方式如下:The specific embodiment of the present invention is as follows:
(1)全面分析了评价指标体系构建的基础。根据“五大”体系建设的要求,特别是依据电力企业资产全寿命周期管理评价(多属性评价)的评价目标的复杂性、模糊性和层次性的特点,提出多维多层次多角度分解的思想,从安全、效能、成本三个方面将评价目标分解成具体、定量化、可执行、考核部门明确的细分指标;提出详细的评价实施流程和评价指标筛选方法和步骤。(1) The foundation of the construction of the evaluation index system is comprehensively analyzed. According to the requirements of the "five major" system construction, especially based on the complexity, ambiguity and hierarchical characteristics of the evaluation objectives of the asset life cycle management evaluation (multi-attribute evaluation) of electric power enterprises, the idea of multi-dimensional, multi-level and multi-angle decomposition is proposed. From the three aspects of safety, efficiency, and cost, the evaluation objectives are decomposed into specific, quantitative, executable, and subdivided indicators specified by the assessment department; detailed evaluation implementation processes and evaluation index screening methods and steps are proposed.
(2)结合评价指标体系构建一个将线性加权和非线性加权相结合的组合加权综合评价模型。(2) Combining with the evaluation index system, construct a combined weighted comprehensive evaluation model that combines linear weighting and nonlinear weighting.
组合加权综合评价模型中的线性加权综合评价模型为:The linear weighted comprehensive evaluation model in the combined weighted comprehensive evaluation model is:
其中,ws为安全管理在资产全寿命周期管理中的权重;we效能管理在资产全寿命周期管理中的权重;wc为周期成本管理在资产全寿命周期管理中的权重;Among them, w s is the weight of safety management in asset life cycle management; w e is the weight of efficiency management in asset life cycle management; w c is the weight of cycle cost management in asset life cycle management;
组合加权综合评价模型中的非线性加权综合评价模型为:The nonlinear weighted comprehensive evaluation model in the combined weighted comprehensive evaluation model is:
T=λ1T1+λ2T2T=λ 1 T1+λ 2 T2
其中,λ1=δ1/(δ1+δ2),λ2=δ2/(δ1+δ2),
所述组合加权综合评价模型为:
(3)依据资产全寿命周期管理安全、成本和效能管理的特点和每个方面内部指标具有一定的互补性、外部指标关联性小等特征,利用基于组合加权综合评价模型的SEC指标评估方法对资产全寿命管理的情况进行评估。(3) According to the characteristics of asset life cycle management safety, cost and efficiency management and the internal indicators of each aspect have a certain degree of complementarity and the external indicators are less relevant, the SEC index evaluation method based on the combined weighted comprehensive evaluation model is used to evaluate the An assessment of the status of asset life-cycle management.
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CN103473604A (en) * | 2013-08-22 | 2013-12-25 | 国家电网公司 | Method for evaluating comprehensive property of day-ahead power generation plan |
CN103473604B (en) * | 2013-08-22 | 2016-08-10 | 国家电网公司 | A method for comprehensive performance evaluation of day-ahead power generation plan |
CN104484724A (en) * | 2014-12-29 | 2015-04-01 | 国家电网公司华中分部 | Extra-high voltage drop point plan optimal selection method based on cloud model |
CN111291955A (en) * | 2018-12-07 | 2020-06-16 | 国网浙江省电力有限公司 | Distribution network asset overall process management evaluation method and system |
CN113191690A (en) * | 2021-05-26 | 2021-07-30 | 广东电网有限责任公司 | Metering asset inspection management platform |
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