CN102542358A - Method and device for optimizing forecast result in meteorological service system - Google Patents
Method and device for optimizing forecast result in meteorological service system Download PDFInfo
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- CN102542358A CN102542358A CN2011104555049A CN201110455504A CN102542358A CN 102542358 A CN102542358 A CN 102542358A CN 2011104555049 A CN2011104555049 A CN 2011104555049A CN 201110455504 A CN201110455504 A CN 201110455504A CN 102542358 A CN102542358 A CN 102542358A
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Abstract
The invention provides a method and a device for optimizing forecast result in a meteorological service system. The method comprises the steps of real-time recording a forecast result obtained by calculation; comparing the forecast result with data from an observation station; carrying out deviation statistics according to different sorts of weather forecast factors, and finding the deviation part from the forecast result; and displaying geographical position corresponding to the deviation part by use of a browser/server structure in combination with GIS (geographic information system) display technology.
Description
Technical field
Present invention relates in general to the weather service field, more specifically, relate to the optimization forecast result's who is used for the weather service system method and apparatus.
Background technology
At present, transaction processing system need be handled to a series of overall process free of discontinuities of aftertreatment from pre-treatment, holotype and could guarantee that the weather service system in time obtains required product.The trouble-free operation of transaction processing system needs its three processes---pre-treatment, holotype and aftertreatment true(-)running successively, and the operations staff guarantees correctness and continuity by hand.
Weather service disposal system of the prior art generally includes: data acquisition module is used to obtain weather service disposal system operation desired data; The parameter update module is used for according to current required processing and environment, automatically the required configuration file of updating real-time service operation; And the task processing module, be used for weather service disposal system operation desired data being carried out pre-treatment according to configuration file, the data after the pre-treatment are carried out parallel computation, and the data after calculating are carried out aftertreatment, obtain the meteorological product of multiple form.Generally speaking; Employing system of weather service of the prior art system carries update system time regularly timing tool every day; And according to system time real time modifying business operation desired data configuration file; Operation system realizes that real-time robotization need not the operation of manual intervention, utilizes state detection module and task processing module that required three processes of operation system are carried out successively, and guarantees the correctness of each process.
In the weather service system, numerical model forecast part is owing to the employing open source software, and the ambient field data source is various; And characteristics such as the application limitations of numerical model itself and theoretical defective own cause numerical model forecast and actual forecast result that the part deviation is arranged, these deviations some within allowed band, can the accurate instruction effect be arranged to the reality forecast; But some deviation is bigger; Then reality forecast result there is strong negative effect, at present, in weather service department; Mostly the bigger forecast result of these deviations is removed in employing manually, effort and can not effectively guarantee wrong numerical forecasting result's influence.
Summary of the invention
For this reason, the invention provides a kind of optimization forecast result's who is used for the weather service system method, may further comprise the steps: to calculate the forecast result carry out real time record; To forecast that result and research station data compare, not carry out deviation statistics, from the forecast result, find out the deviation part by the weather forecast element classification; And the employing browser/server structure, the GIS of combining geographic information system display technique will show with the corresponding geographic position of deviation part.
The weather forecast element comprises one or more in temperature, humidity, wind speed, the rainfall amount.
Deviation partly is the set that is higher than predetermined maximum threshold and is lower than the forecast result of predetermined minimum threshold.
Max-thresholds and minimum threshold are adjustable.
Also will predict the outcome weather forecast result with other countries compares and carries out deviation statistics this method.
In addition, a kind of optimization forecast result's who is used for the weather service system device is provided also, has comprised: logging modle, be used for to calculate the forecast result carry out real time record; The deviation statistics module is used for forecast result and research station data are compared, and does not carry out deviation statistics by the weather forecast element classification, from the forecast result, finds out the deviation part; And display module, display module adopts browser/server structure, and the GIS of combining geographic information system display technique will show with the corresponding geographic position of deviation part.
The weather forecast element comprises one or more in temperature, humidity, wind speed, the rainfall amount.
Deviation partly is the set that is higher than predetermined maximum threshold and is lower than the forecast result of predetermined minimum threshold.
This device also comprises: button is used to regulate max-thresholds and minimum threshold.
The deviation statistics module also is used for the weather forecast result with other countries of predicting the outcome is compared and carries out deviation statistics.
Description of drawings
When combining accompanying drawing to read, can understand the present invention better according to following detailed description.Should be emphasized that according to the standard practices in the industry, various parts are not drawn in proportion.In fact, in order clearly to discuss, the size of various parts can be by any increase or minimizing
Fig. 1 shows the process flow diagram according to the alarm method that is used for the weather service system of exemplary embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 2 shows the block diagram according to the alarm device that is used for the weather service system of exemplary embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 3 shows the process flow diagram according to the alarm method that is used for the weather service system of exemplary embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 4 shows the block diagram according to the alarm device that is used for the weather service system of exemplary embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 5 shows the process flow diagram according to the method for real-time monitoring that is used for the weather service system of exemplary embodiment of the present invention; And
Fig. 6 shows the block diagram according to the method for real-time monitoring that is used for the weather service system of exemplary embodiment of the present invention.
Embodiment
For the different parts of embodiment of the present invention, below describe many various embodiment or example are provided.The particular example of below describing element and layout is to simplify the present invention.Certainly these only are that example does not plan to limit.Moreover; First parts are formed on and can comprise on second parts that wherein first and second parts are with the embodiment of direct contact formation in below describing; And can comprise that also wherein additional parts formation is inserted into the embodiment in first and second parts, make first and second parts directly not contact.For the sake of simplicity with clear, can be at random with the various parts of different plotted.
To combine accompanying drawing to describe exemplary embodiment of the present invention in detail below.
Fig. 1 shows the process flow diagram according to the alarm method that is used for the weather service system of exemplary embodiment of the present invention.As shown in Figure 1, the invention provides a kind of optimization forecast result's who is used for the weather service system method, may further comprise the steps: S101, to calculate the forecast result carry out real time record; S103 will forecast that result and research station data compare, and not carry out deviation statistics by the weather forecast element classification, from the forecast result, find out the deviation part; And S105, adopting browser/server structure, the GIS of combining geographic information system display technique will show with the corresponding geographic position of deviation part.
Preferably, the weather forecast element comprises one or more in temperature, humidity, wind speed, the rainfall amount.
Preferably, deviation partly is the set that is higher than predetermined maximum threshold and is lower than the forecast result of predetermined minimum threshold.
Preferably, max-thresholds and minimum threshold are adjustable.
Preferably, also will predict the outcome weather forecast result with other countries compares and carries out deviation statistics.
Particularly; The data that forecast result and local research station are recorded and for example the weather forecast result of countries and regions such as Japan, the U.S. compare; Do not carry out deviation statistics by the weather forecast element classification again, will be in predefined numerical range other places data and reject automatically.
In addition, Fig. 2 shows the block diagram according to the alarm device that is used for the weather service system of exemplary embodiment of the present invention.As shown in Figure 2, what the invention provides a kind of optimization forecast result who is used for the weather service system adorns 200, comprising: logging modle 201, be used for to calculate the forecast result carry out real time record; Deviation statistics module 203 is used for forecast result and research station data are compared, and does not carry out deviation statistics by the weather forecast element classification, from the forecast result, finds out the deviation part; And display module 205, display module adopts browser/server structure, and the GIS of combining geographic information system display technique will show with the corresponding geographic position of deviation part.
Preferably, also comprise: button 207 is used to regulate max-thresholds and minimum threshold.
Preferably, the deviation statistics module also is used for the weather forecast result with other countries of predicting the outcome is compared and carries out deviation statistics.
In addition, Fig. 3 shows the process flow diagram according to the alarm method that is used for the weather service system of exemplary embodiment of the present invention.As shown in Figure 3, the invention provides a kind of alarm method that is used for the weather service system, may further comprise the steps: S301, Real-time and Dynamic statistical process data, analysis and prediction result; S303 when forecasting the result greater than predetermined maximum threshold and less than predetermined minimum threshold, generates warning information; And S305, adopting browser/server structure, the GIS of combining geographic information system display technique shows warning information, shows and the corresponding positional information of warning information simultaneously.
Preferably, in display alarm information, show the expression symbol of the weather forecast element corresponding with the forecast result.
Preferably, through alarm sound reminding business personnel.
Preferably, through alarm message reminding business personnel.
In addition, the present invention also provides a kind of alarm device 400 that is used for the weather service system, comprising: analysis module 401 is used for Real-time and Dynamic statistical process data, the analysis and prediction result; Warning information generation module 403 is used for when forecasting the result greater than predetermined maximum threshold and less than predetermined minimum threshold, generating warning information; And display module 405, display module adopts browser/server structure, and the GIS of combining geographic information system display technique shows warning information, shows and the corresponding positional information of warning information simultaneously.
This device can also comprise: alarm sound module 407 is used for through alarm sound reminding business personnel.
This device can also comprise: alarm message module 409 is used for through alarm message reminding business personnel.
In addition, Fig. 5 shows the process flow diagram according to the method for real-time monitoring that is used for the weather service system of exemplary embodiment of the present invention.As shown in Figure 5; The invention provides a kind of method for real-time monitoring that is used for the weather service system; Numerical model forecast part in the weather service system comprises pre-treatment portion, holotype portion and aftertreatment portion, may further comprise the steps: S501, set up the checkpoint in the source code of holotype portion; Operation result to guarantee holotype portion obtains real-time exhibition, and dynamically shows wherein completed part; S503 carries out the correctness analysis to the preparatory condition and the execution result of pre-treatment portion and aftertreatment portion, and whether demonstration in real time makes mistakes and make mistakes reason; And S505, notify the user through automatic alarm module with the part of makeing mistakes in pre-treatment portion and the aftertreatment portion.
This method can further comprise: adopt browser/server structure to show the monitored results in the schedule time in the weather service system in real time.
Preferably, the schedule time is three days.
In addition, Fig. 6 shows the block diagram according to the method for real-time monitoring that is used for the weather service system of exemplary embodiment of the present invention.As shown in Figure 6; The invention provides a kind of real time monitoring apparatus 600 that is used for the weather service system; Numerical model forecast part in the weather service system comprises pre-treatment portion, holotype portion and aftertreatment portion, and real time monitoring apparatus 600 comprises: inspection display module 601 is used in the source code of holotype portion, setting up the checkpoint; Operation result to guarantee holotype portion obtains real-time exhibition, and dynamically shows wherein completed part; The display module 603 of makeing mistakes is used for the preparatory condition and the execution result of pre-treatment portion and aftertreatment portion are carried out the correctness analysis, and whether demonstration in real time makes mistakes and make mistakes reason; And the notification module 605 of makeing mistakes, be used for notifying the user with the part that pre-treatment portion and aftertreatment portion make mistakes through automatic alarm module.
This device further comprises: monitored results display module 607, monitored results display module 607 adopt browser/server structure to show the monitored results in the schedule time in the weather service system in real time.
Discuss some embodiment above, made those of ordinary skills can understand various aspects of the present invention better.It will be understood by those skilled in the art that can use at an easy rate the present invention design or change as the basis other be used to reach with here the identical purpose of the embodiment that introduces and/or realize the processing and the structure of same advantage.Those of ordinary skills should be appreciated that also this equivalent constructions does not deviate from the spirit and scope of the present invention, and under the situation that does not deviate from the spirit and scope of the present invention, can carry out multiple variation, replacement and change.
Claims (10)
1. a method that is used for the optimization forecast result of weather service system is characterized in that, may further comprise the steps:
To calculate the forecast result carry out real time record;
Said forecast result and research station data are compared, do not carry out deviation statistics, from said forecast result, find out the deviation part by the weather forecast element classification; And
Adopt browser/server structure, the GIS of combining geographic information system display technique will show with the corresponding geographic position of said deviation part.
2. method according to claim 1 is characterized in that, said weather forecast element comprises one or more in temperature, humidity, wind speed, the rainfall amount.
3. method according to claim 1 is characterized in that, said deviation partly is the set that is higher than predetermined maximum threshold and is lower than the forecast result of predetermined minimum threshold.
4. method according to claim 3 is characterized in that, said max-thresholds and said minimum threshold are adjustable.
5. method according to claim 1 is characterized in that, also the said weather forecast result who predicts the outcome with other countries is compared and carries out said deviation statistics.
6. a device that is used for the optimization forecast result of weather service system is characterized in that, comprising:
Logging modle, be used for to calculate the forecast result carry out real time record;
The deviation statistics module is used for said forecast result and research station data are compared, and does not carry out deviation statistics by the weather forecast element classification, from said forecast result, finds out the deviation part; And
Display module, said display module adopts browser/server structure, and the GIS of combining geographic information system display technique will show with the corresponding geographic position of said deviation part.
7. device according to claim 6 is characterized in that, said weather forecast element comprises one or more in temperature, humidity, wind speed, the rainfall amount.
8. device according to claim 6 is characterized in that, said deviation partly is the set that is higher than predetermined maximum threshold and is lower than the forecast result of predetermined minimum threshold.
9. device according to claim 8 is characterized in that, also comprises: button is used to regulate said max-thresholds and said minimum threshold.
10. device according to claim 6 is characterized in that, said deviation statistics module also is used for the said weather forecast result who predicts the outcome with other countries is compared and carries out said deviation statistics.
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| CN2011104555049A CN102542358A (en) | 2011-12-31 | 2011-12-31 | Method and device for optimizing forecast result in meteorological service system |
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Cited By (2)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
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| CN104915217A (en) * | 2015-07-13 | 2015-09-16 | 中国民用航空厦门空中交通管理站 | Compiling and publishing method of aviation weather terminal forecast |
| CN109146327A (en) * | 2018-09-19 | 2019-01-04 | 中国气象局气象探测中心 | A kind of Data Quality Assessment Methodology and system of surface-based observing station temperature element |
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| CN104915217A (en) * | 2015-07-13 | 2015-09-16 | 中国民用航空厦门空中交通管理站 | Compiling and publishing method of aviation weather terminal forecast |
| CN109146327A (en) * | 2018-09-19 | 2019-01-04 | 中国气象局气象探测中心 | A kind of Data Quality Assessment Methodology and system of surface-based observing station temperature element |
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Application publication date: 20120704 |