CN102118775B - Method for predicting user number in area based on paging messages of mobile communication network - Google Patents
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Abstract
The invention discloses a method for predicting user number in an area based on paging messages of a mobile communication network, which comprises the steps of: selecting test software which can collect third-layer signalings of the mobile communication network and has a function of leading the signalings out; determining the test area; selecting a test point which is not positioned on the boundary of an LAC (Location Area Code) area in the test area; arranging testing equipment provided with the test software at the test point for T hours to collect data; deriving the relevant paging information and communication channel configuration parameters from the test software; calculating the number of paging groups; counting the total amount of paging messages containing TMSI (Temporary Mobile Subscriber Identity) and IMSI (International Mobile Subscriber Identity) of a PAGING REQUEST 1, a PAGING REQUEST 2 and a PAGING REQUEST 3 by utilizing a data processing tool; obtaining telephone traffic statistical data containing time, paging amount and the number of boot users; figuring out the number of times for paging of each person per day according to the telephone traffic statistical data; and obtaining the result of number of users in the LAC area, namely the total paging amount divided by the number of times for paging by each person per day equals to the number of users.
Description
Technical field:
The present invention relates to the communications field, relate in particular to the method for number of users in a kind of movement-based communication network beep-page message estimation range in the communications field.
Background technology
Statistics about tracking exchage amount in zone, especially the statistics of number of users increment in the number of users of other operator and unit interval, all most important for the network planning and market development competition, the research method of industry main flow has at present: market survey, call-on back by phone, operation analysis system etc.Wherein, market survey generally takes the form granting of question and answer with lottery to ask that the mode of certificate or network surveying carries out, and the method audient is in extensive range, and accuracy is high, but needs a large amount of manpowers carry out typing, statistics, analysis to feedback result; Operation analysis system, also do not have the ripe system can be for reference in the market; Consulting firm normally, according to development level and the population structure of local economy, is assessed the whole net in the whole city in conjunction with current correlation circumstance, has certain directive significance on macroscopic view.But carry out temporarily at present the Forecasting Methodology of the interior number of users in zone and increment without movement-based communication network beep-page message.
Due to the statistical method of existing tracking exchage amount and increment mainly by market survey, call-on back by phone, operation analysis system etc., and these methods generally have sample total is very big, population is individual mobility strong, by factors such as respondent's inaccuracy, so there is common shortcoming in these methods: the manpower and materials that need are more, the cycle long, have hysteresis quality on the time, cost than high, scope of statistics large, accuracy is not high.
Summary of the invention
The defect existed for prior art, one aspect of the present invention has proposed the method for number of users in a kind of movement-based communication network beep-page message estimation range, comprise: step 1, selection can gather the 3rd layer of signaling of mobile communications network and with the testing software of deriving the 3rd layer of signaling capability; Step 2, determine test zone; Step 3, in test zone, selection is not positioned at the test point of LAC district boundary; Step 4, be placed on test point T hour image data by the testing equipment that testing software is housed; Step 5 derives relevant paging information and parameter channel configuration from testing software; Step 6, calculate paging group quantity; Step 7, utilize data processing tools to count mobile communication paging message total amount; Step 8, calculate total paging amount; Step 9, obtain from switch the traffic measurement data that comprise time, paging amount, start number of users; Step 10, calculate every user paging every day number of times according to the traffic measurement data; In step 11， LAC district, the number of users results of measuring is number of users=total paging amount/every user's paging every day number of times.
The present invention discloses the method for other network user's number in a kind of movement-based communication network beep-page message estimation range on the other hand, comprise: step 1, selection can gather the 3rd layer of signaling of mobile communications network and with the testing software of deriving the 3rd layer of signaling capability; Step 2, determine test zone; Step 3, carry out DT voice continuous call with testing software to test zone and test and resolve obtained test data ，An LAC district and show to obtain test zone Nei LAC district and distribute; Step 4, in test zone, selection is not positioned at the test point of the boundary in LAC district; Step 5, be placed on test point T hour image data by the testing equipment that testing software is housed; Step 6 derives relevant paging information and parameter channel configuration from testing software; Step 7, calculate paging group quantity; Step 8, utilize data processing tools to count mobile communication paging message total amount; Step 9, calculate total paging amount; Step 10, obtain from switch the traffic measurement data that comprise time, paging amount, start number of users; Step 11, calculate the every user of present networks paging every day number of times according to the traffic measurement data; Step 12, obtain the user profile of other Virtual network operator by open channel; Step 13, utilize the every user of the present networks paging every day number of times calculated in the user profile obtained in step 12 and step 11 to obtain the every user of revised other network paging every day number of times; And in step 14， LAC district, the number of users results of measuring is number of users=total paging amount/revised other every user's paging every day number of times.
Described testing software can carry out the mobile communication information of eating dishes without rice or wine.
Described relevant paging information and parameter channel configuration comprise AGBLK, MFRMS.
The paging group quantity of combination BCCH/SDCCH community is N=(3-AGBLK) * MRFMS, and the paging group quantity of non-combination BCCH/SDCCH community is N=(9-AGBLK) * MFRMS.
Mobile communication paging message total amount comprises TMSI total amount and IMSI total amount.
Total paging amount is N* (TMSI total amount+IMSI total amount).
The test point of selecting not to be positioned at the boundary in LAC district in test zone comprises: by the method for drive test, at selected regional build-in test to determine the border in LAC district.
The signal strength signal intensity of selected test point will meet certain condition, can receive descending PAGING REQUEST, does not lose beep-page message.
Described traffic measurement data further comprise registered user's number, caller number of times and called number of times.
Advantage of the present invention is included in this specification, protects within the scope of the present invention and by following claim.This partial content should be understood as to limitations on claims.Below in conjunction with accompanying drawing, the further aspect of the present invention and advantage are discussed.Generality description and the following detailed description that should understand front of the present invention are all exemplary and explanat, are intended to provide of the present invention the further illustrating to claimed.
The accompanying drawing explanation
Fig. 1 is the schematic diagram according to number of users in embodiment of the present invention prediction present networks;
Fig. 2 predicts the schematic diagram of number of users in other mobile communications network according to embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 3 is the LAC Division schematic diagram according to one embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 4 is the method flow diagram according to number of users in present networks in an embodiment of the invention movement-based communication network beep-page message estimation range;
Fig. 5 is the method flow diagram according to number of users in other carrier networks in an embodiment of the invention movement-based communication network beep-page message estimation range.
Embodiment
In order to solve ubiquitous problem in prior art, the present invention proposes the method for traffic carrying capacity in a kind of movement-based communication network beep-page message estimation range, this zone can be a paging zone or several paging zone, need to determine according to the real network setting, described method is mainly by the beep-page message collection kit, beep-page message such as network in collecting zones such as driver test system commonly used, then resolve in beep-page message with the handset identities identification code (comprise IMSI (international mobile subscriber identity), TMSI (temporary mobile subscriber identity), PTMSI (customer temporary identity sign)) and calculate total paging amount, comprehensive other data (relation of the number of users of registering on switch under same case as counted and paging total amount) are set up the traffic model between paging amount and number of users again, and then utilize the beep-page message total amount to extrapolate the situation of change of number of users and traffic carrying capacity.
The GSM network of below take carries out the principle introduction as the method that example proposes the present invention, the principle and computational methods of other network (as CDMA, CDMA-EVDO, WCDMA, TD-SCDMA).
The configuration of paging channel
Gsm protocol 05.02 (3GPP 23122) regulation, mobile phone is kept in touch by control channel and network under resident community, and under idle condition, mobile phone is monitored PAGING REQUEST (paging request) message that comprises own identity code (comprising IMSI, TMSI, PTMSI) and completes page response.Beep-page message is to carry out on 0 time slot of BCCH (Broadcast Control Channel, Broadcast Control Channel), and 0 time slot logically is divided into multi-frame structure, and the transmitting time of each multi-frame is 235.4ms, and a multi-frame equals 51 frames.Multi-frame, according to different frame structures, has different paging capacities: non-combination BCCH/SDCCH (Stand-Alone Dedicated Control Channel, Separate Dedicated Control Channel), and every multi-frame can provide 9 paging blocks; Combination BCCH/SDCCH, every multi-frame can provide 3 paging blocks.
During common signal channel Configuration Type BCCHTYPE=COMB (combination), BCCH channel and the combination of SDCCH channel: paging group quantity N=(3-AGBLK) * MFRMS.
During common signal channel Configuration Type BCCHTYPE=NCOMB (non-combination), BCCH channel and SDCCH channel do not combine: paging group quantity N=(9-AGBLK) * MFRMS.
Wherein the span of AGBLK (access allows the reserved block number) is (0,1,2), and the span of MFRMS (paging channel multi-frame number) is (1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9).
Suppose that channel type is NCOMB, AGBLK=1, MFRMS=4, the paging group quantity of non-combination BCCH/SDCCH community is N=(9-1) * 4=32.
IMSI and paging group relation
IMSI is unique identifier that gsm system is distributed to the mobile subscriber, this identification code is in all positions, it is all effective being included in the roaming district, it takes E.212 coded system to be stored in SIM card, HLR and VLR, by wave point and MAP interface, transmit, the composition form is MCC+MNC+MSIN, and wherein MCC (Mobile Country Code MCC) is 3,2 of MNC (Mobile Network Code), 10 of MSIN (mobile client identification code).The distribution principle of IMSI is: comprise at most 15 numerals between 0-9, for example 460-01-6102286282.MCC worldwide distributes unitedly, and MSIN is distributed by carriers in the world oneself.If there is a more than GSM PLMN (public land mobile network) in a country, each PLMN will distribute unique MNC.IMSI divides timing, and follow PLMN at most only needs to analyze MCC+MNC with regard to addressable principle.To snap in when net its IMSI just fixing opening for each user.Travelling carriage (MS) can calculate according to the configuring condition of last 3 and this lane place paging channel of self IMSI the paging group under it, and then calculates the paging sub-channel positions of this paging group.In each community, each paging group is corresponding to a paging subchannel.
Under MS paging group=((IMSI mod 1000) mod N, wherein N is paging group quantity.
Suppose N=32, IMSI is 460-01-6102286282, and the paging group under this user is
Affiliated paging group G=(460016102286282mod (1000)) mod (32)=26.
The calculating of total paging amount
Known mobile phone is only listened to the content of the paging subchannel under it, the beep-page message of ignoring other groups, the received message of such mobile phone is seldom a part of, but the rule of grouping is the IMSI according to the user, 1000 deliverys are obtained to latter three of IMSI, again paging group is counted to the N delivery for latter three, obtain several G that are less than N, this IMSI is assigned to the G group.Because user's IMSI number is Random assignment, so G also obtains at random, the registered user's number in existing network in each VLR (VLR Visitor Location Register) is more than 150,000, and IMSI is 15 figure places.
Gsm protocol stipulates that each MS can listen to all beep-page message Si in this paging group, i ∈ [1, N], and the interior total paging amount Total Paging of this LAC (lane place) is referred to as T:T ≈ Si*N=(S_IMSI+S_TMSI) * N.
The relation of total paging amount and number of users
Most of user behavior in somewhere generally can not change in following period of time, at present GSM network internal trigger paging has three kinds of situations: called, note, multimedia message, aspect from paging zone, the traffic behavior of user every day in district is fixed basically, it is the fluctuation little (except public holidays) of the average telephone traffic of every user, average calling and called number of times, average received note number of times, therefore the paging amount should be also basicly stable, and then can extrapolate number of users according to paging amount and number of users corresponding relation.
Extract historical data from the existing network switch, count respectively the relation of the number of users of registering on switch in various situations and total paging amount.Below the number of users with somewhere operator is calculated:
| The index explanation | The VLR number of users (ten thousand families) of starting shooting | The paging request number of times | The every paging number of times of every user |
| X area MGW1 mean value | 8.91 | 44056 | 0.4944 |
| X area MGW2 mean value | 8.92 | 41674 | 0.4671 |
| X area MGW3 mean value | 9.37 | 42046 | 0.4488 |
| X area MGW4 mean value | 9.18 | 42236 | 0.4602 |
| X area MGW5 mean value | 9.78 | 47598 | 0.4869 |
| X area MGW6 mean value | 10.08 | 49187 | 0.4879 |
| X area MGW7 mean value | 10.56 | 49653 | 0.4700 |
| X area MGW8 mean value | 7.98 | 35258 | 0.4416 |
Can be calculated the every user in this operator somewhere and per hour contribute paging approximately 0.4702 time by above.
A MS can listen to all beep-page messages in this group fully, the group forming criterion of beep-page message is fixed in a paging zone, in being assigned to every group, number of users is substantially equal, paging amount in every group also correspondence is equal to, just can extrapolate total paging amount so calculate the paging amount of a group, and then extrapolate number of users and increment according to total paging amount and number of users corresponding relation.Adopt the schematic diagram of number of users in said method prediction present networks referring to Fig. 1.
Substantially similar in habits and customs a period of time of user in one panel region, traffic model is also fixed substantially, the mutual flow-transfer of the client between different telecom operators, and the whole traffic model of each telecom operators is also substantially similar.Difference along with many factors such as the market strategy (as the set meal rate) of different telecom operators, the network coverage, user's main flow age bracket populations, cause the behavior of client's traffic there are differences, so when the number of users that calculates other operators and increment, for guaranteeing that the accuracy of calculating need to be revised this species diversity, and then proofread and correct user's traffic model of other operators.The user data report that bearing calibration can publish in conjunction with other channel of the other side, as monthly magazine, quarterly report, annual report etc., or the operation situation report of regular each telecom operators of this locality that announce of districts and cities siphunculus office etc., utilize in the related data announced in these reports and measurement period increment situation of change etc., comprehensively extrapolate the correction factor that this telecom operators' number of users calculates, and then user's traffic model of more accurate these telecom operators, reach the accurate budget that completes more accurately increment in this telecom operators' number of users and unit interval.Adopt said method to predict that other mobile communications network schematic diagram is referring to Fig. 2.
According to above-mentioned principle, the present invention proposes the method for traffic carrying capacity in movement-based communication network beep-page message estimation range.
Referring to Fig. 4, an embodiment of the invention have provided the concrete grammar of the interior number of users of present networks in a kind of movement-based communication network beep-page message estimation range.
Combination BCCH/SDCCH community: paging group quantity N=(3-AGBLK) * MRFMS;
Non-combination BCCH/SDCCH community: paging group quantity N=(9-AGBLK) * MFRMS.
Step 601, calculate every user paging every day number of times according to the traffic measurement data, in order to make data, more has generality, can get the data calculating mean value of M days, and M is positive integer, but will avoid user's fluctuation of weekend and festivals or holidays.
If want to grasp the situation of change of customer volume in certain panel region, for example current season has increased how many users than preceding quarter, whether the user of other operators changes etc., can utilize this method periodically to carry out measuring and calculation in this zone, repeating step 100-700 to be to obtain the current period user situation, corresponding measuring and calculating that can the completing user variable quantity.
Referring to Fig. 5, another embodiment of the invention has provided the concrete grammar of the interior number of users of other carrier networks in a kind of movement-based communication network beep-page message estimation range.
Step 10, select testing software, selection can gather the 3rd layer of signaling of mobile communications network and with the testing software of deriving the 3rd layer of signaling capability, in order to derive entrained TMSI& in beep-page message; IMSI, but for example in Adoption Network driver test system commonly used carry out as testing software.
Combination BCCH/SDCCH community: paging group quantity N=(3-AGBLK) * MRFMS;
Non-combination BCCH/SDCCH community: paging group quantity N=(9-AGBLK) * MFRMS.
Step 50, calculate total paging amount, utilizes two results in step 41 and 42, total paging amount=paging group N* (TMSI total amount+IMSI total amount).
The method that the present invention proposes has solved the ubiquitous problem of existing method, and outstanding behaviours goes out following advantage:
Versatility: be adapted at carrying out in all mobile communications networks, applicable mobile network comprises GSM, CDMA, CDMA-EVDO, WCDMA, TD-SCDMA etc.
High efficiency: can use common paging information collection kit (as driver test system commonly used in network etc.) to complete test analysis within one day, analysis result can directly apply to network planning investment, business development assessment, market competition situation analysis etc., for the company management decision-making provides the data reference.
Low-cost: the special analysis tool without exploitation, without a large amount of manpower and materials, Data Collection number, analysis, the calculating that only need to carry out beep-page message with driver test system commonly used in network get final product.
Real-time: can obtain the most direct client's number in the very first time, the mobile and variation of supervisory user in real time, without very long Data Collection and statistical analysis cycle.
Accuracy: compare statistical method in the market, method statistic provided by the invention is more accurate, and estimation range is more flexible etc.
Although only the execution mode about foregoing description has limitedly illustrated the present invention, those of ordinary skill in the art should understand and the invention is not restricted to above-mentioned execution mode, in the situation that do not depart from, spirit of the present invention plays various modifications or modification is all possible.Therefore, protection scope of the present invention should be only by appended claim and be equal to requirement and determine.
Claims (10)
1. the method for number of users in a movement-based communication network beep-page message estimation range comprises:
Step 1, selection can gather the 3rd layer of signaling of mobile communications network and with the testing software of deriving the 3rd layer of signaling capability;
Step 2, determine test zone;
Step 3, in test zone, selection is not positioned at the test point of LAC district boundary;
Step 4, be placed on test point by the testing equipment that testing software is housed and complete once image data circularly in 24 hours;
Step 5 derives relevant paging information and parameter channel configuration from testing software;
Step 6, calculate paging group quantity;
Step 7, utilize data processing tools to count mobile communication paging message total amount;
Step 8, calculate total paging amount;
Step 9, obtain from switch the traffic measurement data that comprise time, paging amount, start number of users;
Step 10, calculate every user paging every day number of times according to the traffic measurement data;
In step 11， LAC district, the number of users results of measuring is number of users=total paging amount/every user's paging every day number of times.
2. the method for other network user's number in a movement-based communication network beep-page message estimation range comprises:
Step 1, selection can gather the 3rd layer of signaling of mobile communications network and with the testing software of deriving the 3rd layer of signaling capability;
Step 2, determine test zone;
Step 3, carry out DT voice continuous call with testing software to test zone and test and resolve obtained test data ，An LAC district and show to obtain test zone Nei LAC district and distribute;
Step 4, in test zone, selection is not positioned at the test point of the boundary in LAC district;
Step 5, be placed on test point by the testing equipment that testing software is housed and complete once image data circularly in 24 hours;
Step 6 derives relevant paging information and parameter channel configuration from testing software;
Step 7, calculate paging group quantity;
Step 8, utilize data processing tools to count mobile communication paging message total amount;
Step 9, calculate total paging amount;
Step 10, obtain from switch the traffic measurement data that comprise time, paging amount, start number of users;
Step 11, calculate the every user of present networks paging every day number of times according to the traffic measurement data;
Step 12, obtain the user profile of other Virtual network operator by open channel;
Step 13, utilize the every user of the present networks paging every day number of times calculated in the user profile obtained in step 12 and step 11 to obtain the every user of revised other network paging every day number of times; And
In step 14， LAC district, the number of users results of measuring is the number of users=total paging amount/every user of revised other network paging every day number of times.
3. method according to claim 1 and 2, is characterized in that, described testing software can carry out the mobile communication information of eating dishes without rice or wine.
4. method according to claim 1 and 2, is characterized in that, described relevant paging information and parameter channel configuration comprise AGBLK, MFRMS.
5. method according to claim 4, is characterized in that, the paging group quantity of combination BCCH/SDCCH community is N=(3-AGBLK) * MRFMS, and the paging group quantity of non-combination BCCH/SDCCH community is N=(9-AGBLK) * MFRMS.
6. method according to claim 5, is characterized in that, mobile communication paging message total amount comprises TMSI total amount and IMSI total amount.
7. method according to claim 6, is characterized in that, total paging amount is N*(TMSI total amount+IMSI total amount).
8. method according to claim 1 and 2, is characterized in that, the described test point be not positioned at LAC district boundary of selecting in test zone comprises: by the method for drive test, at selected regional build-in test to determine the border in LAC district.
9. method according to claim 1 and 2, is characterized in that, the signal strength signal intensity of selected test point will meet can receive descending PAGING REQUEST, does not lose beep-page message.
10. method according to claim 1 and 2, is characterized in that, described traffic measurement data further comprise registered user's number, caller number of times and called number of times.
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| CN106792868B (en) * | 2015-11-25 | 2019-10-11 | 中国联合网络通信集团有限公司 | A kind of method and device obtaining paging amount |
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| CN100388746C (en) * | 2002-11-21 | 2008-05-14 | 中兴通讯股份有限公司 | Method for measuring user's busy hour telephone traffic |
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