AU2002311940A1 - Method and system for analyzing the effect of inflow and infiltration on a sewer system - Google Patents

Description

METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR ANALYZING THE EFFECT OF INFLOW AND INFILTRATION ON A SEWER SYSTEM

FIELD OF THE INVENTION

The present invention relates generally sewage flow monitoring and analysis

systems. More particularly, the present invention relates to a method and system of analyzing and/or predicting the effect of the inflow and/or infiltration of precipitation on

a sewer system.

BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

Tools for the accurate measurement of flow in a sewer network are an important

resource for managers, mechanics, engineers, and regulators of municipal and industrial

sewer networks. Accurate measurements of flow, and an understanding of what flow is expected to occur during a precipitation event, can help determine - and to predict - when

network problems such as overflows, leaks, breaks, clogs, and other blockages and overflows may occur. They can also help system engineers and designers understand when additional capacity must be built into the system, as well as to help them better manage a

network with its existing capacity.

Sewer network managers have attempted to analyze and predict what effect a rain event may have on a sewer network, but the prior attempts have been unsatisfactory

because they do not provide for reliable, real-time prediction while the rain event occurs, but rather they involve the measurement of a rain event after it is completed and the

comparison of the measured event to known data from previous similar events. In addition, the prior attempts to predict rain inflow and infiltration on a sewer network

involved significant, detailed modeling efforts, using data relating to the design of the

sewer network and/or network discharge sources. Such modeling exercises are time-

consuming and costly, and the accuracy of the modeling results depends on how closely modeling conditions to match the conditions under which the modeling was developed.

Accordingly, it is desirable to provide an improved method of, and system for, analyzing and/or predicting the effect of inflow and/or infiltration on a sewer network. The present invention is directed to such a system and method.

SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

It is therefore a feature and advantage of the present invention to provide an

improved method of analyzing and/or predicting the effect of inflow and/or infiltration on a sewer network. It is also a feature and advantage of the present invention to provide an

improved system for analyzing and/or predicting the effect of inflow and/or infiltration on a sewer network.

In accordance with a preferred embodiment of the present invention, a method of

determining the effect of precipitation on flow within a sewer network includes the steps of collecting, at a first location, data representative of a measured rain quantity over a first

time interval having a duration that is less than a twenty-four-hour period; maintaining, in

a memory, data representative of a modeled rain response at a second location over a second time interval, the second time interval having a duration that is longer than the

duration of the first time interval; calculating, in real time, a scaled rain response, the scaled rain response comprising a function of the modeled rain response and the measured

rain quantity; and reporting, in real time, the scaled rain response.

Optionally, the second location is a location within a sewer network, and the

calculating of the rain response requires no additional data relating to either the sewer network or any substance flowing within the sewer network. Also optionally, each

modeled rain response is indicative of an anticipated increase in flow at the second location over the second time interval. The modeled rain response may be capable of graphical

representation as a curve on a graph where a y-axis represents at least one of inflow and infiltration and an x-axis represents time. Also, the duration of the first time interval is

preferably shorter than a duration of a corresponding precipitation event.

Optionally, the method includes the additional step of identifying a cumulative

scaled rain response that corresponds to a sum of a plurality of scaled rain responses over

a plurality of time intervals. The method may also include the additional steps of measuring, using a flow meter at the second location, data representative of a measured flow; subtracting a basehne flow from the measured flow to result in an adjusted flow; and

comparing, using a processor, the adjusted flow to the scaled rain response to determine whether the adjusted flow substantially corresponds to the scaled rain response. The

baseline flow preferably represents expected flow during a non-precipitation event. The

comparing is preferably done using a goodness of fit test. If the comparing step

determines that the adjusted flow and the scaled rain response do not substantially

correspond, an alert may be reported. In accordance with an alternate embodiment of the present invention, a method of

predicting the effect of precipitation on flow within a sewer network includes the steps of

collecting data representative of a first measured rain quantity over a first time interval at a first location; creating, using a processor, multiple possible rain responses, wherein each

possible rain response represents a possible flow volume distribution at a second location

over a second time interval, the second time interval being longer than the first time interval; measuring, using a flow monitor, a measured flow volume distribution at the second location over the second time interval; comparing, using the processor, the possible

rain responses to the measured flow volume distribution; selecting, using the processor, a

modeled rain response that is the possible rain response that most closely corresponds to

the measured flow volume distribution; and storing the modeled rain response, the first

measured rain quantity, and the first time interval in a memory.

Optionally, the method also includes the steps of collecting data representative of a second measured rain quantity over a third time interval at the first location; calculating, in real time by a processor, a scaled rain response comprising a function of the modeled

rain response and the second measured rain quantity; and reporting, in real time, the scaled

rain response.

Also optionally, the second location is a location within a sewer network, and the

calculating of the rain response requires no additional data relating to either the sewer

network or any substance flowing within the sewer network. Further, the selecting step may include a goodness of fit test on the measured flow volume distribution and the

plurality of possible rain responses. Preferably, the modeled rain response is capable of graphical representation as a curve on a graph where a y-axis represents at least one of

inflow and infiltration and an x-axis represents time. Also preferably, the first time interval

has a duration that is shorter than a duration of a corresponding precipitation event.

As an additional option, the method may include the additional steps of measuring,

using a flow meter at the second location, data representative of a measured flow; subtracting a baseline flow from the measured flow to result in an adjusted flow, the

baseline flow corresponding to a non-precipitation event; and comparing, using a processor, the adjusted flow to the scaled rain response to determine whether the adjusted

flow substantially corresponds to the scaled rain response. With this option, if the

comparing step determines that the adjusted flow and the selected rain response do not

substantially correspond, an alert may be reported.

In accordance with an additional alternate embodiment, a sewer network flow

analysis system includes a processor, a memory in communication with the processor, and

a rain gauge in communication with the processor. The processor is programmed to accept, from the rain gauge, data representative of a measured rain quantity over a first time

interval that is less than a twenty-four-hour period. The memory maintains data representative of a modeled rain response at a location in a sewer network over a second

time interval having a duration that is longer than the duration of the first time interval.

The processor is further programmed to calculate, in real time, a scaled rain response

comprising a function of the modeled rain response and the measured rain quantity. In

addition, the processor is also programmed to report, in real time, the scaled rain response. There have thus been outlined the more important features of the invention in order

that the detailed description thereof that follows maybe better understood, and in order that

the present contribution to the art may be better appreciated. There are, of course,

additional features of the invention that will be described below and which will form at

least part of the subject matter of the claims appended hereto.

In this respect, before explaining at least one embodiment of the invention in detail,

it is to be understood that the invention is not limited in its application to the details of construction and to the arrangements of the components set forth in the following

description or illustrated in the drawings. The invention is capable of other embodiments

and of being practiced and carried out in various ways. Also, it is to be understood that the

phraseology and terminology employed herein, as well as the abstract included below, are

for the purpose of description and should not be regarded as limiting in any way.

As such, those skilled in the art will appreciate that the concept and objectives,

upon which this disclosure is based, may be readily utilized as a basis for the design of other structures, methods and systems for carrying out the several purposes of the present invention.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

FIG. 1 illustrates an exemplary sewer network experiencing inflow and infiltration

during a precipitation event.

FIG. 2 is an internal diagram of an exemplary computing device having a processor and a memory. FIG. 3 is a flowchart that illustrates the steps by which the present invention may

learn the effects of inflow and infiltration on a sewer network.

FIG. 4 is a flowchart that illustrates the steps by which the present invention may

anticipate the effects of a precipitation event on a sewer network. FIG. 5 illustrates exemplary rain responses to a measured rain event.

FIG. 6 illustrates an exemplary accumulation of rain responses in accordance with

the present invention.

FIG. 7 illustrates an example of a total computed rain response.

FIG. 8 illustrates the comparison of an exemplary computed rain response with an

exemplary actual rain response.

FIG. 9 illustrates the development of a scaled rain response as a function of a

quantity of rain and a modeled rain response.

DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF PREFERRED

EMBODIMENTS OF THE INVENTION

A preferred embodiment of the present invention provides an improved method of

analyzing and/or predicting the effects of inflow and infiltration on a sewer network. Once determined, the information and knowledge of these effects can be used to help sewer

network managers detect discrepancies and/or unexpected network conditions, identify

flow monitor malfunctions, and plan for system expansions.

FIG. 1 provides an illustration of the general concepts of rain-dependent inflow and

infiltration on an exemplary sewer network. Referring to FIG. 1, a sewer network 2 contains a wastewater substance 4 that flows within the sewer network. Various flow

monitors 6 and 8 are stationed at various points throughout the sewer network. Each flow

monitor measures the velocity and/or volume and/or other parameters relating to the flow

at a monitoring point within the sewer network. The monitors may be of any standard

design or type that is capable of measuring flow velocity, either directly or indirectly by performing calculations on one or more measured parameters. Such a monitor is described in, for example, U.S. Patent No. 5,198,989, to Petroff; U.S. Patent No. 4,630,474, to

Petroff: and U.S. Patent No. 4,397,191, to Forden.

One or more rain gauges such as 10 and 12 are also stationed at various points above the sewer network to collect precipitation data such as rain and/or snow volume,

precipitation event duration, and precipitation event intensities. During a precipitation

event 14 such as a period of rain, rain may enter the system 2 through direct discharge

points 16, such as a storm drain or other opening into the sewer network, where the rain

becomes inflow 18 into the sewer network. Alternatively, the precipitation may seep into

the sewer network as infiltration 20 through soil and/or other earthen materials, as well as through cracks and other openings within the sewer network above and/or under the soil.

Typically, inflow 18 occurs during the rain event and for a brief period of time after the

rain event as storm water runoff flows into a storm drain. Infiltration 20, however,

typically occurs for a longer period of time as precipitation migrates through soils, rocks,

and other materials before reaching the sewer network. For example, FIG. 1 illustrates that

infiltration 22 is occurring even though the precipitation event 14 has passed beyond the

point of the infiltration 22. The amount and the locations of the monitors, rain gauges, precipitation events,

and flow volumes illustrated in FIG. 1 are merely intended as illustrative of an example of

a sewer network that is equipped with the present invention. Any number and location of

monitors and rain gauges may be used in connection with any precipitation event. The present invention employs a computer system using a computer processor and

a memory. An internal diagram of such a system is illustrated in FIG. 2. At a minimum,

the system includes one or more memory devices 30 and 32 and a processor 34. The

computer also includes a communications port 31 that serves to receive data from the flow monitors and rain gauges. Each rain gauge and each flow monitor is in communication

with the computer system, whether by direct wiring or through a remote communication

medium, such as dial-in lines, a wireless transceiver, and/or an Internet connection.

Optionally, the computer system may be integral with one or more of the rain gauges or

flow monitors. The data collected by the rain gauges and flow monitors is delivered to the processor and memory for storage, analysis, and use.

The processor uses the data collected by the flow meters and rain gauges to learn the sewer network's typical response to a precipitation event and to predict the effects of

future precipitation events, in real time as they occur. FIG. 3 illustrates the steps that such a system may perform to learn the rain response of a sewer network to a precipitation

event. These steps include the collection 50 of rain quantity data over one or more discrete

periods of time. The time periods are relatively brief, in each case less than a twenty-four

hour period, and preferably in smaller intervals such as five-minute intervals, ten-minute intervals, fifteen-minute intervals, thirty-minute intervals, or any other interval that is less than twenty-four hours. The smaller the interval, the better that the system may anticipate

rain responses, as the system will have data related to smaller time increments.

Using the processor, the system then generates 52 one or more possible rain

responses representing the increase in flow that the sewer network will experience over a

period of time in response to the rain. Preferably the system generates a large number of rain responses, such as one hundred, two hundred, or more in order to provide multiple

possibilities of rain response prediction. Using a display, each rain response may be optionally depicted as a hydrograph showing an immediate response to the inflow and/or infiltration of the rain, with an abrupt or gradual decrease in flow as the system returns to

normal conditions after the rain event.

The system also collects 54 data representative of actual flow volume and

compares 56 the possible rain responses identified in step 52 to the actual flow volume. Using a goodness of fit test to compare the rain responses to measured flow volume, the

system selects 58, as the modeled rain response, the possible rain response having the best

fit with the measured flow volume. The modeled rain response is stored 60 in a database, along with its corresponding rain quantity and rain time interval. The steps illustrated in

FIG. 3 are preferably repeated over multiple time intervals, as well as during multiple rain events, in order to provide a broadly populated database of possible rain responses

corresponding to varying rain intensities and rain time intervals. In addition, the process

may be repeated for different flow monitors and rain gauges to provide data relating to

various locations throughout the sewer network. Optionally and preferably, the steps illustrated in FIG. 3 are periodically repeated

over various time periods, such as weekly, monthly, and/or annually, to provide periodic,

automatic calibration of the modeled rain response. In addition, as such time periods pass,

the database of possible rain responses become more populated, thus providing more

accurate determination of the modeled rain response over time.

FIG. 4 illustrates the steps that the present invention may follow to predict a rain

response using the data that was collected and stored as shown in FIG. 3. Referring to FIG.

4, the system maintains 70 the modeled rain responses in a memory, and it receives 72

actual rain quantity data over a time interval from one or more flow monitors. The system

then calculates 74 a scaled rain response as a function of the modeled rain response and the rain quantity. The function is preferably done by multiplication of the modeled rain

response, which corresponds to a known rain quantity, by the factor by which the actual rain quantity exceeds the known rain quantity. A graphic illustration of an exemplary

multiplication of a modeled rain response by a rain quantity in a time interval is illustrated

in FIG. 9. Returning to FIG. 4, the scaled rain response is then reported 76. This report may be in the form of a direct communication to a user via a display, electronic mail, sonic

alert, printout, or other communications medium, or the reporting may be simply the delivery of the selected rain response data to a processor, a storage medium such as a

computer memory, or a transmission medium such as an analog or digital signal for further

handling, use, or storage. Steps 72-74 may be repeated, and the scaled rain responses summed, to yield a cumulative rain response (as described below in the discussion relating

to FIG. 6). The scaled or cumulative rain response may be used to determine whether sewer

network problems, such as pipe leaks, overflows, or monitor errors are occurring by

comparing the selected rain response to actual measured data. These steps, which also are

illustrated in FIG. 4, include the steps of measuring 78 actual sewer flow, using a flow

monitor, and subtracting 80 a baseline flow from the measured sewer flow. The baseline flow represents the flow that normally occurs at the flow monitor's location during non- precipitation conditions, and the subtraction of baseline flow from measured sewer flow

results in an adjusted flow that is representative of the inflow and infiltration on the system

from the rain event. The system then compares 82 the adjusted flow to the scaled or cumulative rain response to determine whether the adjusted flow substantially corresponds

to the scaled or cumulative rain response. If there is a substantial difference between the

adjusted flow and the selected rain response, then the system may alert 86 a user or another system or device of a potential problem in the sewer network. The alert may be, for

example, a direct communication to a user via a display, electronic mail, sonic alert, printout, or other commumcations medium, or the alert may be as simple as the delivery of the correspondence data to a processor, a storage medium such as a computer memory,

or a transmission medium such as an analog or digital signal for further handling, use, or

storage.

The determination of scaled rain response may also be used to calculate or predict

net flow between two points in a sewer network. For example, if flow is measured at an upstream point in the network, the system can predict the flow at a downstream location

using the scaled determination of inflow and infiltration. The prediction may also be configured to account for the amount of time that it takes a unit of flow to travel from the

upstream location to the downstream location.

FIGs. 5-8 provide a graphic illustration of the determination of rain response

following the steps of FIG. 2. Referring to FIG. 5, a sewer network's response to an interval of rain may be illustrated as a hydrograph. A hydrograph is a graph showing a

property of a fluid, in this case sewer flow volume, over a period of time. In FIG. 5, the fluid property is shown on a y-axis and the time is shown on the x-axis. The graph typically follows the shape of a parabola, sine wave, or other shape having a rising portion,

a crest or a peak, and a hyperbola or recession curve. Examples of two hydrographs of rain

responses over a period of time, such as twenty-four hours, are illustrated in FIG. 5.

Different sewer networks, different locations within a sewer network, and even different

rain events having different intensities and/or time intervals will yield different rain

responses, as illustrated by the two different hydrographs in FIG. 5. A similar type of graph, a hyetograph, would illustrate a quantity of rain over a period of time. As noted above, each interval of rain represents only a portion of an overall rain event, such as a period during which an inch of rain is received, or a period within which

1/lOOth of an inch of rain is received, or any interval of a total rain event. The overall rain

response is determined by accumulating a plurality of hydrographs as illustrated by

example in FIG. 6. For example, the first rain tip may yield a rain response identified as

curve 100, while the second rain tip, which occurred after the rain tip, would yield a peak

that is later in time. The response curves for the second tip 110, the third tip 120, and any number of additional tips are added to the first rain response curve to yield a total rain response. This continues for as many rain increments as desired to yield the overall rain

response of the system. After several overall rain responses are computed, an example of

which is illustrated in FIG. 7 as 170, FIG. 8 illustrates that the computed overall rain

response 170 may be compared to the actual rain response 180 to find the computed rain

response that has the best fit with the actual rain response. This comparison is done using

a goodness of fit test, such as the such as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the Pearson's chi- square test, or any other such test.

The many features and advantages of the invention are apparent from the detailed

specification, and thus, it is intended by the appended claims to cover all such features and

advantages of the invention which fall within the true spirit and scope of the invention.

Further, since numerous modifications and variations will readily occur to those skilled in

the art, it is not desired to limit the invention to the exact construction and operation

illustrated and described, and accordingly, all suitable modifications and equivalents may be resorted to, all of which may fall within the scope of the invention.

Claims (19)

What is claimed is:

1. A method of determining the effect of precipitation on flow within a sewer network, comprising:

collecting data representative of a measured rain quantity over a first time interval at a first location, wherein the first time interval has a duration that is less than a twenty- four-hour period;

maintaining, in a memory, data representative of a modeled rain response at a second location over a second time interval, the second time interval having a duration that

is longer than the duration of the first time interval;

calculating, in real time, a scaled rain response, the scaled rain response

comprising a function of the modeled rain response and the measured rain quantity; and

reporting, in real time, the scaled rain response.

2. The method of claim 1 wherein the second location is a location within a sewer

network, and the calculating requires no additional data relating to either the sewer network or any substance flowing within the sewer network.

3. The method of claim 1 wherein each modeled rain response comprises an

anticipated increase in flow at the second location over the second time interval.

4. The method of claim 1 wherein the modeled rain response is capable of graphical

representation as a curve on a graph where a y-axis represents at least one of inflow and

infiltration and an x-axis represents time.

5. The method of claim 1 wherein the duration of the first time interval is shorter than a duration of a corresponding precipitation event.

6. The method of claim 1 comprising the additional step of identifying a cumulative scaled rain response, the cumulative scaled rain response comprising a sum of a plurality

of scaled rain responses over a plurality of time intervals.

7. The method of claim 1 comprising the additional steps of

measuring, using a flow meter at the second location, data representative of a

measured flow; subtracting a baseline flow from the measured flow to result in an adjusted flow; and

comparing, using a processor, the adjusted flow to the scaled rain response to determine whether the adjusted flow substantially corresponds to the scaled rain response.

8. The method of claim 7 wherein the comparing step determines that the adjusted flow and the scaled rain response do not substantially correspond, and comprising the

additional step of reporting an alert.

9. The method of claim 7 wherein the baseline flow comprises a flow corresponding to a non-precipitation event.

10. The method of claim 7 wherein the comparing step comprises a goodness of fit test.

11. A method of predicting the effect of precipitation on flow within a sewer network,

comprising:

collecting data representative of a first measured rain quantity over a first time interval at a first location;

creating, using a processor, a plurality of possible rain responses, each possible rain

response comprising a distribution of possible flow volumes at a second location over a second time interval, the second time interval being longer than the first time interval;

measuring, using a flow monitor, a measured flow volume distribution at the second location over the second time interval; comparing, using the processor, the plurality of possible rain responses to the

measured flow volume distribution;

selecting, using the processor, a modeled rain response, the modeled rain response

being the possible rain response that most closely corresponds to the measured flow volume distribution; and

storing the modeled rain response, the first measured rain quantity, and the first time interval in a memory.

12. The method of claim 11 further comprising

collecting data representative of a second measured rain quantity over a third time

interval at the first location; calculating, in real time by a processor, a scaled rain response, the scaled rain response comprising a function of the modeled rain response and the second measured rain

quantity; and reporting, in real time, the scaled rain response.

13. The method of claim 12 wherein the second location is a location within a sewer

network, and the calculating requires no additional data relating to either the sewer network or any substance flowing within the sewer network.

14. The method of claim 11 wherein the selecting step comprises performing a goodness of fit test on the measured flow volume distribution and the plurality of possible

rain responses.

15. The method of claim 11 wherein the modeled rain response is capable of graphical

representation as a curve on a graph where a y-axis represents at least one of inflow and infiltration and an x-axis represents time.

16. The method of claim 11 wherein the first time interval has a duration that is shorter than a duration of a corresponding precipitation event.

17. The method of claim 12 comprising the additional steps of:

measuring, using a flow meter at the second location, data representative of a measured flow;

subtracting a baseline flow from the measured flow to result in an adjusted flow, the baseline flow coπesponding to a non-precipitation event; and

comparing, using a processor, the adjusted flow to the scaled rain response to determine whether the adjusted flow substantially corresponds to the scaled rain response.

18. The method of claim 17 wherein the comparing step determines that the adjusted

flow and the selected rain response do not substantially correspond, and comprising the

additional step of reporting an alert.

19. A sewer network flow analysis system, comprising: a processor;

a memory in communication with the processor; and

a rain gauge in communication with the processor; and

wherein the processor is programmed to accept, from the rain gauge, data

representative of a measured rain quantity over a first time interval that is less than a twenty-four-hour period;

wherein the memory maintains data representative of a modeled rain response at a location in a sewer network over a second time interval, the second time interval having

a duration that is longer than the duration of the first time interval;

wherein the processor is further programmed to calculate, in real time, a scaled rain

response comprising a function of the modeled rain response and the measured rain

quantity; and wherein the processor is further programmed to report, in real time, the scaled rain response.