CN108388967A - A kind of distributed energy load design system and design method - Google Patents
A kind of distributed energy load design system and design method Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The present invention relates to a kind of distributed energy load design system and design methods.Currently, the prediction of distributed cooling and heating load is the design average load simple superposition according to each enterprise customer, cannot reflecting regional well load condition.The present invention includes A class enterprise diagnosis module, B class enterprise diagnosis module, C class enterprise diagnosis module, coefficient of colligation determination module, region load prediction module, correction factor determination module, region load design module and energy resource supply side；A class enterprise diagnosis module, B class enterprise diagnosis modules and C class enterprise diagnosis modules are connect with coefficient of colligation determination module, coefficient of colligation determination module is connect with region load prediction module, load prediction module in region is connect with correction factor determination module, correction factor determination module is connect with region load design module, and region load design module is connect with energy resource supply side.The present invention considers the category of employment difference in region, region load reasonable design.
Description
Technical field
The invention belongs to distributed energy fields, and in particular to a kind of distributed energy load design system and design side
Method.
Background technology
Distributed energy resource system is that user's cooling and heating load is relied on to establish, and such as application No. is 201710389292.6 China
The precision of patent, cooling and heating load prediction has significant impact to distributed construction scale and the level of profitability.It is distributed cold at present
Heat load prediction is the design average load simple superposition according to each enterprise customer, obtains region average load, later according to flat
Equal load design system is installed scale, but this carry calculation pattern warp practice have shown that, cannot reflecting regional well it is negative
On the one hand lotus situation is because including multi industries in region, the load season of Different Industries and diurnal fluctuation differ greatly, separately
The development prospect of one side Different Industries is variant, does not consider influence of the development to load of enterprise at present.
Invention content
It is an object of the invention to overcome above-mentioned deficiency existing in the prior art, and provide a kind of reasonable in design
Distributed energy load design system and design method.
Technical solution is used by the present invention solves the above problems：A kind of distributed energy load design system, it is special
Sign is, including A class enterprise diagnosis module, B class enterprise diagnosis module, C class enterprise diagnosis module, coefficient of colligation determination module,
Region load prediction module, correction factor determination module, region load design module and energy resource supply side；A classes enterprise point
Analysis module, B class enterprise diagnosis modules and C class enterprise diagnosis modules are connect with coefficient of colligation determination module, the coefficient of colligation
Determination module is connect with region load prediction module, and the region load prediction module is connect with correction factor determination module, institute
It states correction factor determination module to connect with region load design module, the region load design module connects with energy resource supply side
It connects.It is reasonable in design, it can be integrated and be analyzed according to different industries, provide more rational distributed energy load design
As a result.
Furthermore, the A classes enterprise diagnosis module, B class enterprise diagnosis modules and C class enterprise diagnosis wired in parallel cloth
It sets.A class enterprise diagnosis module, B class enterprise diagnosis modules and C class enterprise diagnosis modules collect the feature of three kinds of different industries respectively
Coefficient, coefficient of variation and development coefficient etc.；In addition, it can include the enterprise diagnosis module of larger class.
A kind of design method of distributed energy load design system as described above, which is characterized in that the design side
Method is as follows：
（1）A classes enterprise, B are collected respectively by A class enterprise diagnosis module, B class enterprise diagnosis modules and C class enterprise diagnosis modules
Characteristic coefficient, coefficient of variation and the development coefficient of class enterprise and C classes enterprise；
（2）Analytical procedure（1）The A classes enterprise of middle collection, the characteristic coefficient of B classes enterprise and C classes enterprise, coefficient of variation and development system
Number, coefficient of colligation is provided in coefficient of colligation determination module；
（3）According to the load and step of A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise and C classes enterprise（2）In coefficient of colligation, in region load
Region predicted load is calculated in prediction module；
（4）According to step（3）In region predicted load, provide correction factor in correction factor determination module；According to repairing
Positive coefficient and region predicted load calculate region load design value in region load designs module；
（5）According to step（4）In region load design value matching is designed to the parameter of each equipment in energy resource supply side.
In above-mentioned design method, the characteristics of having considered different industries and every profession and trade, the region load design obtained
Value is more rationally, reliably.
Furthermore, in step（1）In, A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise and C classes enterprise include multiple enterprises；Feature system
Number, coefficient of variation and development coefficient are collected according to the mode of investigation or test.The data of collection have more generality.
Furthermore, in step（2）In, coefficient of colligation is provided according to industry development and stability of requirement factor.
Furthermore, in step（3）In, the calculation formula of region predicted load is：L0=LAθA+ LBθB + LCθC
+…；Wherein：L0For region predicted load；LA、LB、LC... it is respectively the load of A, B, C... different industries；θA、θA、
θA.... it is respectively the coefficient of colligation of different industries；θA=αAβAγA, θB=αBβBγB, θC=αCβCγC, wherein：αA、αB、αCRespectively
For the characteristic coefficient of A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise, C classes enterprise, value range 0-1；βA、βB、βCRespectively A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise
Industry, C classes enterprise coefficient of variation, value range 0-1；γA、γB、γCRespectively A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise, C classes enterprises
Development coefficient, value range 0-1.
Furthermore, in step（4）In, the calculation formula of region load design value is：L=ξ×L0；Wherein：L is area
Domain load design value；ξ is correction factor, and characterization designs considered factor；L0For region predicted load.
Region load design value can be obtained according to above-mentioned calculation formula, accounted for according to synthesis the characteristics of every profession and trade, area
Needed for domain load design value is more in line with.
Compared with prior art, the present invention haing the following advantages and effect：
1, the category of employment difference for considering region, objectively responds the load characteristic of different industries.
2, for the load of certain industry, consider industrial characteristic coefficient, load fluctuation coefficient and development coefficient.
Description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is the structural schematic diagram of distributed energy load design system in the embodiment of the present invention.
Fig. 2 is the flow diagram of distributed energy load design method in the embodiment of the present invention.
In figure：A class enterprise diagnosis module 1, B class enterprise diagnosis module 2, C class enterprise diagnosis module 3, coefficient of colligation judgement
Module 4, region load prediction module 5, correction factor determination module 6, region load design module 7, energy resource supply side 8.
Specific implementation mode
The present invention is described in further detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and by embodiment, and following embodiment is to this hair
Bright explanation and the invention is not limited in following embodiments.
Embodiment.
Referring to Fig. 1 to Fig. 2, a kind of distributed energy load design system, including A class enterprise diagnosis module 1, B classes enterprise
Analysis module 2, C class enterprise diagnosis module 3, coefficient of colligation determination module 4, region load prediction module 5, correction factor judge mould
Block 6, region load design module 7 and energy resource supply side 8.
A class enterprise diagnosis module 1, B class enterprise diagnosis module 2 and C class enterprise diagnosis module 3 judge mould with coefficient of colligation
Block 4 connects, and A class enterprise diagnosis module 1, B class enterprise diagnosis module 2 and C class enterprise diagnosis module 3 are arranged in parallel；Coefficient of colligation
Determination module 4 is connect with region load prediction module 5, and region load prediction module 5 is connect with correction factor determination module 6, is repaiied
Positive coefficient determination module 6 is connect with region load design module 7, and region load design module 7 is connect with energy resource supply side 8.
A kind of design method of distributed energy load design system as described above, design method are as follows：
（1）Collect A classes enterprise respectively by A class enterprise diagnosis module 1, B class enterprise diagnosis module 2 and C class enterprise diagnosis module 3
Industry, B classes enterprise and C classes enterprise characteristic coefficient, coefficient of variation and development coefficient；
（2）Analytical procedure（1）The A classes enterprise of middle collection, the characteristic coefficient of B classes enterprise and C classes enterprise, coefficient of variation and development system
Number, coefficient of colligation is provided in coefficient of colligation determination module 4；
（3）According to the load and step of A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise and C classes enterprise（2）In coefficient of colligation, in region load
Region predicted load is calculated in prediction module 5；
（4）According to step（3）In region predicted load, provide correction factor in correction factor determination module 6；According to repairing
Positive coefficient and region predicted load calculate region load design value in region load designs module 7；
（5）According to step（4）In region load design value matching is designed to the parameter of each equipment in energy resource supply side 8.
In step（1）In, A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise and C classes enterprise include multiple enterprises；Characteristic coefficient, coefficient of variation
Mode with development coefficient according to investigation or test is collected.
In step（2）In, coefficient of colligation is provided according to industry development and stability of requirement factor.
In step（3）In, the calculation formula of region predicted load is：L0=LAθA+ LBθB + LCθC+…；Wherein：L0For
Region predicted load；LA、LB、LC... it is respectively the load of A, B, C... different industries；θA、θA、θA.... it is respectively difference
The coefficient of colligation of industry；θA=αAβAγA, θB=αBβBγB, θC=αCβCγC, wherein：αA、αB、αCRespectively A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise
Industry, C classes enterprise characteristic coefficient, value range 0-1；βA、βB、βCThe respectively fluctuation of A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise, C classes enterprise
Coefficient, value range 0-1；γA、γB、γCThe respectively development coefficient of A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise, C classes enterprise, value range
For 0-1.
In step（4）In, the calculation formula of region load design value is：L=ξ×L0；Wherein：L designs for region load
Value；ξ is correction factor, and characterization designs considered factor；L0For region predicted load.
Although the present invention is disclosed as above with embodiment, it is not limited to protection scope of the present invention, any to be familiar with
The technical staff of this technology changes and retouches made by without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention, should all belong to this hair
Bright protection domain.
Claims (7)
1. a kind of distributed energy load design system, which is characterized in that including A class enterprise diagnosis module, B class enterprise diagnosis moulds
Block, C class enterprise diagnosis module, coefficient of colligation determination module, region load prediction module, correction factor determination module, region are negative
Lotus designs module and energy resource supply side；The A classes enterprise diagnosis module, B class enterprise diagnosis modules and C class enterprise diagnosis modules are equal
It is connect with coefficient of colligation determination module, the coefficient of colligation determination module is connect with region load prediction module, and the region is negative
Lotus prediction module is connect with correction factor determination module, and the correction factor determination module is connect with region load design module,
The region load design module is connect with energy resource supply side.
2. distributed energy load design system according to claim 1, which is characterized in that the A classes enterprise diagnosis mould
Block, B class enterprise diagnosis modules and C class enterprise diagnosis wired in parallel arrangement.
3. a kind of design side of distributed energy load design system as described in any one of claim 1-2 claims
Method, which is characterized in that the design method is as follows：
A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise are collected respectively by A class enterprise diagnosis module, B class enterprise diagnosis modules and C class enterprise diagnosis modules
Characteristic coefficient, coefficient of variation and the development coefficient of industry and C classes enterprise；
Analytical procedure（1）The A classes enterprise of middle collection, characteristic coefficient, coefficient of variation and the development coefficient of B classes enterprise and C classes enterprise,
Coefficient of colligation is provided in coefficient of colligation determination module；
According to the load and step of A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise and C classes enterprise（2）In coefficient of colligation, in region, load is pre-
It surveys in module and calculates region predicted load；
According to step（3）In region predicted load, provide correction factor in correction factor determination module；It is according to correcting
Number and region predicted load calculate region load design value in region load designs module；
According to step（4）In region load design value matching is designed to the parameter of each equipment in energy resource supply side.
4. distributed energy load design method according to claim 3, which is characterized in that in step（1）In, A classes enterprise
Industry, B classes enterprise and C classes enterprise include multiple enterprises；What characteristic coefficient, coefficient of variation and development coefficient foundation were investigated or were tested
Mode is collected.
5. distributed energy load design method according to claim 3, which is characterized in that in step（2）In, comprehensive system
It is several to be provided according to industry development and stability of requirement factor.
6. distributed energy load design method according to claim 3, which is characterized in that in step（3）In, region is negative
The calculation formula of lotus predicted value is：L0=LAθA+ LBθB + LCθC+…；Wherein：L0For region predicted load；LA、LB、LC... point
Not Wei A, B, C... different industries load；θA、θA、θA.... it is respectively the coefficient of colligation of different industries；θA=αAβAγA, θB
=αBβBγB, θC=αCβCγC, wherein：αA、αB、αCThe respectively characteristic coefficient of A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise, C classes enterprise, value model
It encloses for 0-1；βA、βB、βCThe respectively coefficient of variation of A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise, C classes enterprise, value range 0-1；γA、γB、
γCThe respectively development coefficient of A classes enterprise, B classes enterprise, C classes enterprise, value range 0-1.
7. distributed energy load design method according to claim 3, which is characterized in that in step（4）In, region is negative
The calculation formula of lotus design value is：L=ξ×L0；Wherein：L is region load design value；ξ is correction factor, and characterization design is examined
The factor of worry；L0For region predicted load.
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| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN112529272A (en) * | 2020-12-01 | 2021-03-19 | 山东理工大学 | Power load prediction method considering policy influence factors |
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| CN102402726A (en) * | 2011-11-04 | 2012-04-04 | 中国电力科学研究院 | Method for predicting electric quantity of large-scale distribution network based on regional load analysis |
| CN103606018A (en) * | 2013-12-04 | 2014-02-26 | 冶金自动化研究设计院 | System for dynamically predicating power load of iron and steel enterprise in short period |
| CN104166799A (en) * | 2014-08-13 | 2014-11-26 | 华电电力科学研究院 | Calculating method for design load of a natural gas distributed energy resource |
| CN104392281A (en) * | 2014-11-21 | 2015-03-04 | 上海卓源节能科技有限公司 | Control method of maximum demand of electricity for enterprise |
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Patent Citations (4)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN102402726A (en) * | 2011-11-04 | 2012-04-04 | 中国电力科学研究院 | Method for predicting electric quantity of large-scale distribution network based on regional load analysis |
| CN103606018A (en) * | 2013-12-04 | 2014-02-26 | 冶金自动化研究设计院 | System for dynamically predicating power load of iron and steel enterprise in short period |
| CN104166799A (en) * | 2014-08-13 | 2014-11-26 | 华电电力科学研究院 | Calculating method for design load of a natural gas distributed energy resource |
| CN104392281A (en) * | 2014-11-21 | 2015-03-04 | 上海卓源节能科技有限公司 | Control method of maximum demand of electricity for enterprise |
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| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
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| CN112529272A (en) * | 2020-12-01 | 2021-03-19 | 山东理工大学 | Power load prediction method considering policy influence factors |
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