CN106446426B - A kind of power transformer appraisal procedure based on health index - Google Patents

A kind of power transformer appraisal procedure based on health index Download PDF

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CN106446426B
CN106446426B CN201610865178.1A CN201610865178A CN106446426B CN 106446426 B CN106446426 B CN 106446426B CN 201610865178 A CN201610865178 A CN 201610865178A CN 106446426 B CN106446426 B CN 106446426B
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health index
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CN106446426A (en
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王建
辜超
朱文兵
朱孟兆
杜修明
周加斌
白德盟
马艳
彭飞
任敬国
李�杰
朱振华
陈玉峰
高静
杨勇
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Shandong Electric Power Co Ltd
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Shandong Electric Power Co Ltd
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Abstract

The power transformer appraisal procedure based on health index that the invention discloses a kind of, comprising the following steps: establish the Quantization Index System of power transformer;The historical state data of acquisition power transformer and current status data, essential information data, routine test data and operation/maintenance data including power transformer;The exceptional value that transformer fault reason generates is retained to the processing of test data normal stateization to the data of acquisition using statistical tool;The method analyzed by common coefficient, to determine the relevance of each variable in acquisition data;By common factor correlation analysis method, contribution margin of each evaluation index when evaluating transformer general health is obtained;Transformer health index evaluation model is established, calculating transformer health index evaluates transformer holistic health according to health index.The present invention being capable of thoroughly evaluating transformer holistic health.

Description

A kind of power transformer appraisal procedure based on health index
Technical field
The present invention relates to power transmission and transformation equipment states to evaluate field, and in particular to a kind of power transformer based on health index Appraisal procedure.
Background technique
Hub device of the power transformer as power grid, relationship power network safety operation, be it is the most expensive in power grid and Part and parcel.Every year since direct caused by scheduled outage maintenance, indirect expense number is huge, social influence is even more hardly possible To measure.For the defect for the power transmission and transforming equipment that accurately and efficiently finds to put into operation, failure rate is reduced, reduces operation risk, currently, The mode of repair based on condition of component is taken both at home and abroad.This maintenance mode depends on scientific, complete for power equipment health status and risk Face ground evaluation index system and calculation method.It therefore, is the power transmission and transforming equipment life-cycle for power transformer health Evaluation Important link in cycle evaluation.
There is research using transformer oil characterisitic parameter as main feature amount, the insulated aging life-span of transformer is commented Estimate, still, the characteristic parameter of reflection transformer health status is to be related to the index system of many-sided multivariable.
Currently, the determination of each index weights does not carry out index relationship deep usually according to expertise or technical standard Enter research.
Summary of the invention
To solve the shortcomings of the prior art, the power transformer assessment based on health index that the invention discloses a kind of It is pre- to improve transformer the purpose of the present invention is establishing the transformer synthesis health Evaluation model based on health index for method Accuracy is surveyed, guarantees the reliable and stable operation of transformer.
To achieve the above object, concrete scheme of the invention is as follows:
A kind of power transformer appraisal procedure based on health index, comprising the following steps:
Establish the Quantization Index System of power transformer;
The historical state data of acquisition power transformer and current status data;
What transformer fault reason generated is retained to the processing of test data normal stateization to the data of acquisition using statistical tool Exceptional value;
The method analyzed by common coefficient, to determine the relevance of each variable in acquisition data;
By common factor correlation analysis method, obtain each evaluation index when evaluating transformer general health Contribution margin;
Transformer health index evaluation model is established, calculating transformer health index evaluates transformer according to health index Holistic health.
Further, the historical state data of the power transformer includes the fortune inspection data of power transformer, family lacks It falls into, the current status data of equipment essential information, load data, power transformer includes the routine test number of power transformer According to.
Further, the method analyzed by common coefficient, it is first when relevance to determine each variable in acquisition data First determination has the non-quantization factor and common factor centainly influenced on test result, and the correlation degree of common factor and each variable is got over High coefficient value is bigger, and the correlation degree between common factor is mutual.
Further, common factor correlation analysis method is specifically and is obtained using statistical tool public between multivariable Correlate degree analysis chart show that relationship and each evaluation index between each parameter are evaluating transformer general health according to the figure Contribution margin when situation.
Further, it is mainly as follows to calculate step for transformer health index:
1) on the basis of common factor correlation analysis, contribution margin of the analysis common factor to health index;
2) weight of each health indicator is determined;
3) it is provided according to expertise and standard, formulates modifying factor;
4) weight is corrected by modifying factor;
5) it obtains health index, evaluates transformer holistic health.
Further, according to power transformer difference component, layering assessment is carried out to health status, calculation formula is as follows:
In formula, KiFor weight, HIFiFor health index, HIFmaxCorresponding health index when best for health status.
Further, transformer health status evaluation factor specifically includes: the paper insulation degree of polymerization, furfural, oil in solution gas Body, moisture, acid value, breakdown voltage, oil loss factor, infrared measurement of temperature, defective data, load histories, visual examination, equipment It is essential information and routine test, casing-appearance, casing-infrared measurement of temperature, casing-oil dissolved gas, casing-insulation resistance, cold But system-tour record, tap switch-tour record, tap switch-operation data, tap switch-acting characteristic, tap are opened Gas and non-ionizing energy loss-tour record are decomposed in pass-oil.
Further, defective data includes equipment itself and family's defect two parts, defect record should comprising operational inspection, Maintenance tour, live detection, the defect found in maintenance process, fault grading and defect elimination disposition.
Further, equipment essential information mainly includes transformer name plate information, voltage class, capacity, short-circuit impedance;Example Row test includes winding D.C. resistance, winding dielectric dissipation factor, capacitance, frequency response test, winding insulation resistance, absorbs Than or polarization index and leakage current.
Further, the classification of transformer health status is carried out according to health index:
Health index 85~100, transformer health status: situation is splendid;
Health index 70~85, transformer health status: situation is good;
Health index 50~70, transformer health status: good;
Health index 30~50, transformer health status: poor;
Health index 0~30, transformer health status: deterioration is serious.
Beneficial effects of the present invention:
The present invention comprehensively considers transformer history and current status data, including essential information, routine test, O&M number According to.
The present invention use statistical tool, be based on test data, between each parameter of transformer relationship and each parameter It to the contribution margin of total health indicator, analyzes and researches, derives each index weights, provide the calculating process of health index.
The present invention establishes power transformer index system from layering and starts with, and then by using statistical tool SPSS, to 87 Group transformer oil sample test data is analyzed, and has studied relationship between each factor and each parameter to total health index Contribution margin.Index system can be realized and be weighted using statistical tool SPSS, establish health indicator computation model.Future can grind this Study carefully and is extended to power transmission and transforming equipment evaluation field popularization and application.
Health index assessment models expanded application based on SPSS analysis uses SPSS in power transmission and transforming equipment, to various kinds of equipment It is analyzed, assigns weight, and carry out comprehensively dividing index evaluation its health status.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 common factor correlation analysis figure;
Health index evaluation model of the Fig. 2 based on Contribution Analysis.
Specific embodiment:
The present invention is described in detail with reference to the accompanying drawing:
The present invention establishes the transformer synthesis health Evaluation model based on health index, and the model is to transformer point Layer, sub-unit carry out many reference amounts statistical analysis, for historical data (fortune inspection data, family's defect, equipment essential information, load) With two levels of as-is data (routine test data), and different components, Quantization Index System is established.It proposes using statistics work Have SPSS (statistical product and service solutions), the relationship between research each parameter of transformer On the basis of, it obtains the public parameter degree of association and the contribution margin to health index, finally determines quantization weight using statistical method And the health index evaluation model based on Contribution Analysis.Finally, being demonstrated by taking the transformer of Shandong Power actual motion as an example Based on the validity of health index Transformer State Assessment model, scientific basis is provided for power transmission and transformation equipment state evaluation, maintenance.
In order to study power transformer health status, it is necessary first to establish index system.Reflect transformer health status Characteristic quantity includes electrology characteristic, chemical characteristic, mechanical property and appearance presentation.It is divided into ontology, casing, tap from component level to open It closes, cooling system and non-ionizing energy loss, each section proportion in evaluation are reflected by the calculating of final health index.
One, Oil-Paper Insulation is tested
Since oilpaper is under electricity, hot service condition, and with excessive oxygen, water function in environment, degrade, it can Pass through aging substance (such as CO, CO of generation of degrading in test oil2, furfural etc.) and the paper insulation degree of polymerization, measure transformer health Situation.
(1) the paper insulation degree of polymerization
The degree of polymerization reflects the tensile strength mechanical property of paper, and with new diseases, degree of polymerization criterion also can constantly more Newly.Currently, it is believed that the new paper insulated degree of polymerization of transformer is mostly 1000 or so.Paper insulation degree of polymerization criterion such as 1 institute of table Show.
1 paper insulation degree of polymerization limit value of table
(2) furfural
In cardboard deterioration process, cellulose macromolecule degradation after, just formation a kind of main oxygen helerocyclics.Transformation Device operational process, influence furfural content because being known as many aspects, the manufacturing process including oilpaper ratio and itself, transformer fortune Row time, service condition, load factor, transformer's oil-treatment mode.The failures such as insulation hot-spot aging, overload occur for transformer Also furfural content can be caused to increase.For furfural content by transformer oil sampled measurements, content is low, shows transformer oilpaper intensity Height, performance is good, and transformer integral status is good.
(3) oil dissolved gas
Oil dissolved gas is a kind of widely applied malfunction monitoring and preventive means.Transformer oil and Oil-Paper Insulation Under electric heating stress long term, the change of molecular structure occurs, generates various characteristic gas, example by series of chemical Such as hydrogen, hydrocarbon, hydro carbons.
Development certain methods, can be used for differentiating the ratio of oil dissolved gas to judge power transformer interior fault Such as: overheat, bad electrical contact, shelf depreciation.CO/CO2< 5 shows oilpaper fast degradation.CO2When/CO > 7, show to insulate Aging or large area cryogenic overheating failure.Certainly, when transformer breaks down, transformer oil can also decomposite CO, CO2Gas Body.The either deterioration of transformer oilpaper or failure, can all be attributed to transformer health status, therefore, comprehensively consider CO, CO2
Two, operation/maintenance data and routine test
Equipment essential information mainly includes transformer name plate information, voltage class, capacity, short-circuit impedance etc..Routine test Including winding D.C. resistance, winding dielectric dissipation factor, capacitance, frequency response test, winding insulation resistance, absorptance or pole Change index, leakage current etc., if meet technical stipulation requirement.
(1) defective data
Including equipment itself and family's defect two parts.Defect record should be maked an inspection tour, comprising operational inspection, maintenance with electric-examination The defect surveyed, found in maintenance process, fault grading and defect elimination disposition.
(2) load histories
Equipment is in nearly 12 months, the maximum load value monthly recorded, and overload or long-term emergent overload operating provisions can make Transformer performance deterioration.
(3) infrared measurement of temperature
Infrared thermal imagery can detect transformer body, pigtail splice, cable termination, and Infrared Thermogram, which is shown, should be no different room temperature Liter, the temperature difference and/or relative temperature difference, can disclose inside transformer hidden danger.
(4) visual examination
Main to make an inspection tour record by consulting, equipment appearance is intact, foreign;Just whether lead and busbar connector, connector Often;It whether reliable is grounded;Noise and vibration;Whether unobstructed foreign in air duct etc..
Three, transformer part
(1) transformer body
The important examination part of transformer health status, including core inductance, winding dielectric loss, short-circuit impedance, leakage current, And oil test, infrared measurement of temperature and daily fortune examine data: situations such as appearance, short circuit current, leakage of oil.
(2) bushing shell for transformer
Whether met the requirements including oil dissolved gas, infrared measurement of temperature, dielectric loss, insulation resistance, external insulation creep distance.
(3) sub-connecting switch of transformer
The O&M debugging recording of tap switch, including leakage of oil, oil level, tap mechanism whether slide piece, whether switching times More than regulation, on-line oil filter pressure whether abnormal and oil dissolved gas.
(4) transformer cooling system
It include mainly in Daily Round Check, whether motor fan operating condition, cooling device surface is cleaned, and whether air duct is unobstructed Foreign, if having leakage of oil, water, whether controller is normal.
(5) non-ionizing energy loss
Including five building blocks such as light and heavy gas movement, pressure relief valve and oil temperature oil levels.
Single test data can reflect the performance in terms of transformer, if thoroughly evaluating transformer is wanted integrally to be good for Health situation needs to integrate each test result and related defects information.The method for using health index herein, is determined, data There are equipment essential information, live O&M record, routine test result etc. in source.Collect and arranges the levels skills such as country, industry, enterprise Art standard, it is counter arrange, administrative provisions etc., using statistical tool, have studied the relationship of each index, indices divided and are added Power.
Four multi-variables analyses based on statistical tool
(1) data normal state
The important assumed condition of multi-variables analysis is that data belong to normal distribution.Test result is usual and off-gauge normal state Distribution, but there is the degree of deviation to some extent.Firstly, nonnormal data is carried out using transformation tool by SPSS tool Normal stateization processing.SPSS is a kind of data statistic analysis tool, is docked convenient for data, has built-in VBA language, powerful statistics Processing function.Using SPSS to the processing of test data normal stateization after, there are off-limits excessively high exceptional value in initial data, It can be ignored in multi-variables analysis, need to pre-process exceptional value, retain the exceptional value that transformer fault reason generates.
(2) common coefficient is analyzed
A few class transformer testing projects as a result, there may be unknown relevance, the method analyzed by common coefficient, To determine the relevance of each variable.SPSS tool is utilized herein, it is for statistical analysis to multiple test result, obtain different tests Connection and influence of the public influence factor to each project between project.
Box represents test result in Fig. 1, and e1~e12 expression has the non-quantization factor centainly influenced, example on test result Such as ambient temperature and humidity, electromagnetic environment interference, test error etc..C1~C5 is common factor, the correlation degree of they and each variable Higher, coefficient value is bigger.Correlation degree between C1~C5 be it is mutual, indicated with four-headed arrow.
(3) common factor correlation analysis
In the evaluation of power transformer health status, the performance condition of Oil-Paper Insulation is one of most important index. In general, the service life of Oil-Paper Insulation directly determines the oil-immersed transformer service life.Therefore, herein mainly for 87 groups of transformers Oil sample test data, it is for statistical analysis, the relationship between each parameter is had studied first, secondly, showing that each evaluation index is being commented Contribution margin when valence transformer general health.Common factor correlation analysis is shown in Fig. 1 between multivariable.
As shown in Figure 1, being divided into one group with similar property or the substance generated with same chemical reaction.Electricity, Under hot service condition, when oilpaper degradation aging or transformer break down, gas CO, CO are decomposed in oil2Usually together and Raw chemical product;Transformer well cuts, moisture content are higher, easier breakdown, the big parameter of this influence relationship, divide It is same group.H2、CH4、C2H6It is the parameter of one group of highlights correlations, it is related to common factor C3.
Positive association degree is most strong between C2 and C3, is 0.53;The degree of association of C1 and C3 is taken second place, incidence coefficient 0.47;C4 with Then be negative relevant relationship between C5.Relationship analysis between each characteristic parameter and common factor, to further determine that ginseng Amount weight and health index are laid a good foundation.
Five, transformer health index evaluation model
Establish the health index model analyzed based on SPSS;The establishment process of the model includes:
Nonnormal data is carried out normal state processing using transformation tool by the multi-variables analysis based on statistical tool;
It is for statistical analysis to multiple test result using SPSS tool, obtain connection between different test items and Influence of the public influence factor to each project;
It is mainly as follows that transformer health index calculates step:
1) on the basis of common factor relationship analysis, contribution margin of the analysis common factor to health index HI;
2) each health indicator weight is further determined;
3) it is provided according to expertise and standard, formulates modifying factor;
4) weight is corrected by modifying factor;
5) it obtains health index, evaluates transformer holistic health.
Wherein, the first step is crucial step, and the health index evaluation model based on Contribution Analysis is shown in Fig. 2.
As shown in Fig. 2, influence of the C4 to health index is maximum, including breakdown voltage, furfural, moisture these three ginsengs Amount, therefore, assigns highest weighting to it in appraisement system.Transformer water content in oil in transformer insulated deterioration in characteristics process, Important function is played.Furfural content reflects the performance of transformer Oil-Paper Insulation to a certain degree, and furfural content is higher, then table Bright insulation performance is poorer.It is almost the same by statisticalling analyze the grouping obtained and weight and existing conclusion.To transformer health When status evaluation, weight distribution is also needed further to be corrected using correction factor, make evaluation procedure closer to production scene It is practical.Finally, the weight and health index HIF of each main project are obtained.
According to power transformer difference component, layering assessment is carried out to health status, calculation formula is as follows.
In formula, KiFor weight, HIFiFor health index, HIFmaxCorresponding health index when best for health status.
The classification of 2 health index of table
3 transformer health status evaluation factor weight of table and score value
More detailed examples of implementation:
The main transformer device of the Zhenyang 110kV station 2, specifications and models SZ10-50000/110, voltage class 220kV, capacity are 50MVA, the type of cooling be it is self cooling, Shandong Luneng MountTaielectric Equipment Co., Ltd production, put into operation in April, 2008, run 22 Year, scrap the time limit 30 years.
No. 2 main transformer devices of 220kV Bao Dou substation, specifications and models SFPSZ9-150000/220, voltage class 220kV, Capacity is 150MVA, and Shandong Power Equipment Co., Ltd.'s production puts into operation, run 14 years, scrapped the time limit 30 years in December, 2002. The operation of two transformers and test data are shown in Table 4.
The corresponding main transformer data of Zhenyang station 2 of serial number (1) calculate to obtain the Zhenyang 110kV station 2 using formula (1) in table 4 Number transformer HIF% is 49.182, is located at 30%~50% section, and overall operation situation is poor, is approached or only slight beyond standard Limit value should monitor operation, arrange interruption maintenance in due course.The equipment actual state: hydrogen is exceeded serious, and accounts for hydrogen hydrocarbon total amount 90% or more, total hydrocarbon is exceeded, CH475% or more total hydrocarbon is accounted for, characteristic gas criterion is judged as shelf depreciation.Three-ratio method is encoded to 010, it is judged as shelf depreciation.High-pressure side neutral bushing dielectric loss is exceeded, and capacitance is close to warning value, and main transformer routine test is just Often.To sum up, the equipment overall operation situation is poor, and approaches and scrap the time limit.It follows that the meter that this paper health index method obtains Calculation value and actual state are coincide substantially.
For comprehensive verification model validation, different voltages grade, different operating conditions and the 220kV treasured with different defects are chosen All station owner's transformers, wherein serial number (2) is its essential information and test data.Compared with example 1, though equally there is defect, The two property is different, and test data also differs larger, and it is 78.052 that HIF, which is calculated, by model, and model result shows this Equipment operation condition is good.Actual operating state: the transformer station high-voltage side bus 14 years, indices are normal, no bad condition, though There is subcooler aspect major defect, has eliminated, at present normal operation.Evaluation result and actual state are coincide preferable.
4 transformer station high-voltage side bus of table and test data
Above-mentioned, although the foregoing specific embodiments of the present invention is described with reference to the accompanying drawings, not protects model to the present invention The limitation enclosed, those skilled in the art should understand that, based on the technical solutions of the present invention, those skilled in the art are not Need to make the creative labor the various modifications or changes that can be made still within protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (8)

1. a kind of power transformer appraisal procedure based on health index, characterized in that the following steps are included:
Establish the Quantization Index System of power transformer;
The historical state data of acquisition power transformer and current status data;
The exception that transformer fault reason generates is retained to the processing of test data normal stateization to the data of acquisition using statistical tool Value;
The method analyzed by common coefficient, to determine the relevance of each variable in acquisition data;
By common factor correlation analysis method, contribution of each evaluation index when evaluating transformer general health is obtained Value;
Transformer health index evaluation model is established, it is whole to evaluate transformer according to health index for calculating transformer health index Health status;
It is mainly as follows that transformer health index calculates step:
1) on the basis of common factor correlation analysis, contribution margin of the analysis common factor to health index;
2) weight of each health indicator is determined;
3) it is provided according to expertise and standard, formulates modifying factor;
4) weight is corrected by modifying factor;
5) it obtains health index, evaluates transformer holistic health;
According to power transformer difference component, layering assessment is carried out to health status, calculation formula is as follows:
In formula, KiFor weight, HIFiFor health index, HIFmaxCorresponding health index when best for health status.
2. a kind of power transformer appraisal procedure based on health index as described in claim 1, characterized in that the electric power The historical state data of transformer include power transformer fortune inspection data, family's defect, equipment essential information, load data, The current status data of power transformer includes the routine test data of power transformer.
3. a kind of power transformer appraisal procedure based on health index as described in claim 1, characterized in that by public The method of coefficient analysis, come when determining the relevance for acquiring each variable in data, it is first determined have a fixing to test result The higher coefficient value of correlation degree of loud non-quantization factor and common factor, common factor and each variable is bigger, common factor it Between correlation degree be mutual.
4. a kind of power transformer appraisal procedure based on health index as described in claim 1, characterized in that common factor Correlation analysis method is specifically common factor correlation analysis figure between multivariable to be obtained using statistical tool, according to the figure Obtain the contribution margin of relationship and each evaluation index when evaluating transformer general health between each parameter.
5. a kind of power transformer appraisal procedure based on health index as described in claim 1, characterized in that quantizating index Transformer health status evaluation factor in system specifically includes: the paper insulation degree of polymerization, furfural, oil dissolved gas, moisture, acid Value, breakdown voltage, oil loss factor, infrared measurement of temperature, defective data, load histories, visual examination, equipment essential information and Routine test, casing-appearance, casing-infrared measurement of temperature, casing-oil dissolved gas, casing-insulation resistance, cooling system-patrol Depending in record, tap switch-tour record, tap switch-operation data, tap switch-acting characteristic, tap switch-oil points Solve gas and non-ionizing energy loss-tour record.
6. a kind of power transformer appraisal procedure based on health index as claimed in claim 5, characterized in that defective data Including equipment itself and family's defect two parts, defect record should include operational inspection, maintenance tour, live detection, overhaul The defect found in journey, fault grading and defect elimination disposition.
7. a kind of power transformer appraisal procedure based on health index as claimed in claim 5, characterized in that equipment is basic Information mainly includes transformer name plate information, voltage class, capacity, short-circuit impedance;Routine test include winding D.C. resistance, around Group dielectric dissipation factor, capacitance, frequency response test, winding insulation resistance, absorptance or polarization index and leakage current.
8. a kind of power transformer appraisal procedure based on health index as described in claim 1, characterized in that according to health Index carries out the classification of transformer health status:
Health index 85~100, transformer health status: situation is splendid;
Health index 70~85, transformer health status: situation is good;
Health index 50~70, transformer health status: good;
Health index 30~50, transformer health status: poor;
Health index 0~30, transformer health status: deterioration is serious.
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