CN104933829A - Method for constructing geological disaster prediction and early-warning system - Google Patents
Method for constructing geological disaster prediction and early-warning system Download PDFInfo
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- CN104933829A CN104933829A CN201510256180.4A CN201510256180A CN104933829A CN 104933829 A CN104933829 A CN 104933829A CN 201510256180 A CN201510256180 A CN 201510256180A CN 104933829 A CN104933829 A CN 104933829A
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- G—PHYSICS
- G08—SIGNALLING
- G08B—SIGNALLING OR CALLING SYSTEMS; ORDER TELEGRAPHS; ALARM SYSTEMS
- G08B21/00—Alarms responsive to a single specified undesired or abnormal condition and not otherwise provided for
- G08B21/02—Alarms for ensuring the safety of persons
- G08B21/10—Alarms for ensuring the safety of persons responsive to calamitous events, e.g. tornados or earthquakes
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- G—PHYSICS
- G08—SIGNALLING
- G08B—SIGNALLING OR CALLING SYSTEMS; ORDER TELEGRAPHS; ALARM SYSTEMS
- G08B31/00—Predictive alarm systems characterised by extrapolation or other computation using updated historic data
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Abstract
The invention discloses a method for constructing a geological disaster prediction and early-warning system. According to the system, a plurality of models are established for disaster early-warning, and related data are acquired to be analyzed and processed by prediction models to obtain a prediction result. The prediction result is firstly stored in a database, and is finally issued by a GIS information issuing system. In addition, all monitoring data acquired by the system are subjected to fundamental analysis, correlation analysis and predictive analysis by means of the analyzing and processing subsystem of the system. Meanwhile, the data and the analysis result are tabulated through the Highchart technique and are finally transmitted to the GIS information issuing system for the related personnel to check and view. The system adopts the WEBGIS technique and GIS data are transmitted to a client browser after being analyzed and processed. Therefore, common data can be accessed and operated by different people at different places in different access modes. The versatility of the system is improved. At the same time, the service changing and transforming operation is more flexible. The entire system is more convenient in maintenance and management, compared with a C/S mode system.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to Computer I T field, and relate to hazard prediction and information management system method.。
Background technology
The framework of the existing Prediction System of Geological Hazard of state, the Early-warning Model of its disaster is fairly simple, predicts the outcome also more single.In addition, current disaster early warning system is generally all based on C/S framework.Adopt GIS technology and its technology of mode itself in conjunction with C/S framework is very ripe, its principal feature be interactivity strong, have that safe access mode, Internet traffic are low, fast response time, be beneficial to process mass data.But the GIS exploitation under employing C/S model, its shortcoming is also clearly, specifically comprises following shortcoming:
Program is specific aim exploitation, and change underaction, the difficulty of maintenance and management is larger;
Usually be confined to Small-scale LAN, be unfavorable for expansion;
Because every platform client computer of this structure all needs to install corresponding client-side program, the weak and poor compatibility of distributed function, can not realize rapid deployment and install and configuration;
Due to this number of disadvantages that this technology exists, make to adopt the GIS technology of C/S structure to bring larger limitation in its convenience and dirigibility, limit the popularity of application.
Summary of the invention
A kind of Prediction System of Geological Hazard framework comprises system maintenance subsystem, data administration subsystem, prediction subsystem, WEBGIS Information issued subsystem, analysis and consult subsystem, analyzing and processing subsystem and regional geohazards: central database system from physical arrangement aspect.In the foundation of forecast model, wherein make use of monitoring point selection, monitoring information process, deformation stage differentiation, Long-term forecasting, medium-short term prediction, face calamity forecast and the judge of multi-model result, collect and have tens prediction models, these models from different perspectives, different phase, with different parameters, analysis and synthesis judgement is carried out to the deformation tendency of various geologic hazard and catastrophe time.In addition, because WEBGIS is the GIS technology under B/S pattern, due to the technical characterstic of itself, therefore, it is possible to realize different personnel, from different places, with the access of different access waies and operation corporate data, greatly improve the practicality of system.
For achieving the above object, the invention provides following implementer's case:
S1: underlying hardware environment and development environment are built;
S2: geologic hazard central database is built;
S3: data administration subsystem is developed;
S4: prediction subsystem development;
S5: analyzing and processing subsystem development;
S6: IOS is developed;
S7: analysis and consult subsystem development;
S8:GIS Information issued subsystem development;
S9: system maintenance subsystem development.
Further, the underlying hardware environment described in S1 and development environment include hardware environment and the JAVA software development environments such as WEB server, GIS server, GIS database server.
Further, the geologic hazard centre data described in S2 is preserved in the middle of tables of data, and determine that corresponding table name claims and field name according to corresponding naming rule the vector data of system acquisition, raster data, text data, icon data.
Further, the data administration subsystem of stating described in S3 contains data dictionary management module, zoning data management module, disaster item data management module.Main Function is management database being carried out to data, functions such as specifically including increasing, delete, look into, change.
Further, the subsystem of prediction described in S4 contains data interface module, data preprocessing module and temporal prediction module.For various factor and the boundary condition affecting geologic hazard of dissimilar calamity kind, can set up and develop the geological hazards prediction forecasting model being suitable for different condition, for analysis geologic hazard deformation stage, unstability time provide theoretical foundation.
Further, analyzing and processing subsystem development described in S5 and IOS carry out analyzing and processing by according to the analyzing and processing model of the data of having built to the corresponding data got from database, and the result after analyzing and processing will be carried out corresponding arrangement by IOS and then be pushed to Center For Information Management.
Further, IOS Main Function described in S6 carries out input and output function to data, specifically includes the input/output module etc. of Monitoring Data input/output module, Back ground Information input/output module, spatial data input/output module and other attribute datas.
Further, the analysis and consult subsystem described in S7, except carrying out direct control to database, is inquired about outside basic data and raw data, can also be obtained from the result after analyzing and processing subsystem analyzing and processing.
Further, its function of the GIS Information issued subsystem described in S8 is then GIS data is carried out visual and by analysis after process data visual, and can to the function providing some historical datas and real time data to check.
Described system maintenance subsystem, mainly to the maintenance of infosystem itself, comprises user management module, authority management module, backup and recovery module, safety management module.The user of different identity will obtain corresponding system access right, and data backup module can carry out backup management to database, avoids loss of data.The maintenance module of system itself, manages to daily Information issued, is convenient to people to timely information inquiry.
Accompanying drawing explanation
Accompanying drawing of the present invention is described as follows.
The Organization Chart of Fig. 1 to be schematic flow sheet of the present invention be geological disaster forecasting early warning decision back-up system;
Fig. 2 is schematic flow sheet of the present invention.
Embodiment
Below in conjunction with accompanying drawing, the preferred embodiments of the present invention are described in detail.
Fig. 1 is the process flow diagram of the method for the invention, and this method comprises the following steps:
A kind of framework of geological disaster forecasting early warning decision back-up system is made up of eight parts, is respectively: data administration subsystem, IOS, analyzing and processing subsystem, prediction subsystem, analysis and consult subsystem, Information issued subsystem, system maintenance subsystem and geologic hazard central database system.Include following steps:
S1: underlying hardware environment and development environment are built;
S2: geologic hazard central database is built;
S3: data administration subsystem is developed;
S4: prediction subsystem development;
S5: analyzing and processing subsystem development;
S6: IOS is developed;
S7: analysis and consult subsystem development;
S8:GIS Information issued subsystem development.
S9: system maintenance subsystem development
Described geologic hazard central database system mainly carries out the tissue of data, management and use.System is specifically responsible for by multi-source, polynary geologic hazard data integration to geologic hazard central database, and data source unique, data consistent when guaranteeing that the heterogeneous database of each application system enters central database, complete.To keep synchronous between source data and target data simultaneously.Systematic selection ArcSDEGcodatabase geodata library model manages Highway Geological Disaster data, and therefore data schema comprises following Four processes: the foundation of disaster data standard, disaster data analyzing and processing, design data model, database physical realize.
Described data base management subsystem is divided into according to type: data dictionary management, zoning data management, disaster item data management.Main Function is management database being carried out to data.Data administration subsystem is divided into according to functional module: data processing module and data management module.Subsystem operates in inner LAN environment, adopts B/S architecture, and Database Systems adopt Oracl, and set up unified data server, geographic information data unifies centralized stores, to keep the consistance of data.Server end JCsDE is as Spatial Data Engine.Utilize WEBGIS technology to build foreground, the functions such as the inspection to data, data loading and Data Update are provided.
Described analyzing and processing subsystem, mainly includes Analysis on monitoring data processing module and spatial data analysis treatment module.
Described Monitoring Data processing module mainly according to different monitoring projects and different monitoring instrument acquired results used and the physical quantity variation size reflected and rule, is drawn achievement chart and is analyzed.Mainly contain fundamental surveillance information analysis, the association analysis of monitoring information and forecast analysis.
Described spatial data analysis treatment module major function is the Overlap Analysis, statistical study etc. that comprise analysis, buffer zone analysis, Overlap Analysis, raster data to the spatial analysis between each VectorLayer of geologic hazard, raster map layer, vector data.
Described IOS includes the input/output module etc. of Monitoring Data input/output module, Back ground Information input/output module, spatial data input/output module and other attribute datas.
Described Monitoring Data input/output module, major function is for disaster project monitoring data provide IO interface to become.
Described Back ground Information input/output module, major function is that the disaster point basic data provided for Center For Information Management and monitoring station provides IO interface.
Described spatial data input/output module, mainly utilizes family JcSDE spatial database engine technology the spatial data such as vector data, raster data to be provided to the interface of input and output.Comprise data loading, special layer generate, special layer plays up, the IO interface of the spatial data such as map printing.
Other described attribute data input/output modules, mainly refer to the IO interface providing disaster attribute information and Project Management Information etc.
Described prediction subsystem, specifically contains data interface module, data preprocessing module and temporal prediction module.Can for various factor and the boundary condition affecting geologic hazard of dissimilar calamity kind, set up and develop the geological hazards prediction forecasting model being suitable for different condition, for analysis geologic hazard deformation stage, unstability time provide theoretical foundation, Geological Hazards Monitoring information processing, deformation stage differentiation, forecasting model are selected and calculate even multi-model forecast result judge organically to combine by prediction subsystem.
Described GIS Information issued subsystem information is issued subsystem and is mainly applied Jc1MS technology, sets up Regional Road disaster information and issues subsystem.This subsystem major function is published on internet by disaster information, achieves the Hazard zoning comprehensive information searching based on Regional Road road network.
Described system maintenance subsystem is in order to ensure the normal operation of Geological Hazards Monitoring forecast decision support system (DSS), system maintenance, mainly to the maintenance of infosystem itself, comprises user management module, authority management module, backup and recovery module, safety management module.
What finally illustrate is, above embodiment is only in order to illustrate technical scheme of the present invention and unrestricted, although with reference to preferred embodiment to invention has been detailed description, those of ordinary skill in the art is to be understood that, can modify to technical scheme of the present invention or equivalent replacement, and not departing from aim and the scope of the technical program, it all should be encompassed in the middle of right of the present invention.
Claims (11)
1. a Prediction System of Geological Hazard framework, is characterized in that: using the basis of geologic hazard central database system as the system of geological disaster forecasting early warning.Combine the polynary and multi-source data of all regional geohazards: monitoring and predictions.The unified ArcSDEGeodatabase Geographical data model that adopts manages and stores.In addition, data type can be divided into spatial data and the large class of attribute data two by form.Be divided into region base data, disaster base data, disaster monitoring data by Data Source, predict the outcome the four large classes such as data.By the main body of monitoring and prediction, zoning data (storage area basic data, regional prediction forecast data, region project data) and disaster project data geologic hazard data is divided into (to store disaster item base data, disaster project monitoring data, disaster project analysis forecast data etc.
2. a Prediction System of Geological Hazard framework, is characterized in that: adopt data base management subsystem to manage geologic hazard central database.Specifically include data dictionary management, zoning data management, disaster item data management three aspect.
3. by data dictionary management according to claim 2, it is characterized in that to manage the various data dictionaries used in system, comprise increase, deletion, amendment and inquiry.The feature of zoning data management comprises spatial data and attribute data management.The geologic hazard project data aspect of model is that it is mainly monomer Highway Geological Disaster monitoring and prediction in region and provides data.
4. a Prediction System of Geological Hazard framework, is characterized in that: IOS can Monitoring Data input and output, Back ground Information input and output, spatial data input and output and other attribute datas input and output etc.
Monitoring Data input/output module: major function is for disaster project monitoring data (mainly comprise the monitoring scheme of calamity point project, net, dynamic monitoring information, Historical Monitoring information etc. are arranged in monitoring) provide IO interface to become;
Spatial data input/output module: mainly utilize family JcSDE spatial database engine technology the spatial data such as vector data, raster data to be provided to the interface of input and output.Comprise data loading, special layer generate, special layer plays up, the IO interface of the spatial data such as map printing.Other attribute data input/output modules: mainly refer to the IO interface that disaster attribute information and Project Management Information etc. are provided.
5. a Prediction System of Geological Hazard framework, is characterized in that: analyzing and processing subsystem mainly comprises: Analysis on monitoring data process, spatial data analysis treatment.Monitoring Data processing module major function is according to different monitoring projects and different monitoring instrument acquired results used and the physical quantity variation size reflected and rule, draw achievement chart to analyze, mainly contain fundamental surveillance information analysis, the association analysis of monitoring information, forecast analysis.
6. a Prediction System of Geological Hazard framework, is characterized in that: analysis and consult subsystem mainly comprises information comprehensive analysis inquiry and information visualization analysis and consult.System, in various modes such as form, figure, thematic maps, by intrasystem Various types of data and information representation out, and is simply added up, is classified, spatial contrast analysis, time series analysis, lasts the various analysis such as comparative analysis, analysis of mechanism.
7. information comprehensive analysis inquiry according to claim 6, it is characterized in that, that the information collected is carried out induction-arrangement, the thematic form forming all kinds of practicality provides inquiry, and query contents is input in electronic document or printer with the form of form, directly generate a series of form such as basic condition statistical form, structure analysis table preset.Utilize comprehensive inquiry analysis, implementation space inquiry, spatial measuring, output function, special topic inquiry.
8. information visualization analysis and consult according to claim 6, it is characterized in that, adopt electronic map technique, spatial information and the attribute informations etc. thereof such as the base map layers of regional geohazards:, landslide probability zonation is extracted from database, make thematic maps, realize fast query, gather, the present condition and developing tendency of display area geologic hazard.
9. a Prediction System of Geological Hazard framework, it is characterized in that: prediction subsystem is for dissimilar calamity kind, various factor and the boundary condition affecting geologic hazard, set up and develop the geological hazards prediction forecasting model being suitable for different condition, for analysis geologic hazard deformation stage, unstability time provide theoretical foundation, Geological Hazards Monitoring information processing, deformation stage differentiation, forecasting model are selected and calculate even multi-model forecast result judge organically to combine by prediction subsystem.Specifically contain data interface module, data preprocessing module and temporal prediction module.
10. data interface module according to claim 9, is characterized in that: adopt database technology, manages the prediction information on landslide.The interior perhaps object of data-interface is mainly concerned with two aspects: one is extract the information relevant with geologic hazard stability or catastrophe from geological hazard database, attribute data is converted to the set of the concrete numerical value needed for prediction analytical calculation.Prediction analytical calculation obtained by another content, and the numeric type result about catastrophe grade is stored in attribute list, by with vector graphics dynamic link.
11. data preprocessing module according to claim 9, is characterized in that: this module is that spatial prediction forecast prepares data to the pre-service of vector data, raster data, is facilitate temporal prediction by the pre-service of Monitoring Data.The pre-service of Monitoring Data is primary study object, mainly contains non-negative, filtering, Accumulating generation, the disposal route such as level and smooth, and the function such as many monitoring points information fusion, multivariate information fusion, qualitative information quantification and Precursor abnormal information identification.
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| CN106951725A (en) * | 2017-05-12 | 2017-07-14 | 成都理工大学 | A kind of computational methods of small watershed raceway groove rockfill unstability |
| CN107562953A (en) * | 2017-09-28 | 2018-01-09 | 成都万江港利科技股份有限公司 | A kind of river information system based on GIS geographical information technologies |
| CN108333598A (en) * | 2017-12-31 | 2018-07-27 | 广州中海达定位技术有限公司 | A kind of geological disaster monitoring system and method |
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| CN108804086A (en) * | 2018-06-07 | 2018-11-13 | 铁永波 | A kind of cities and towns geological disaster digital management system |
| CN109657866A (en) * | 2017-12-25 | 2019-04-19 | 广州地理研究所 | The construction method of geological disaster Ecological security assessment model based on maximum entropy model |
| CN109764988A (en) * | 2017-11-09 | 2019-05-17 | 深圳市地质局 | Monitoring on Earth Pressure station and geological disaster monitoring and warning system |
| CN109764801A (en) * | 2017-11-09 | 2019-05-17 | 深圳市地质局 | Displacement monitoring station and geology monitoring and warning system |
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| CN114519921A (en) * | 2022-02-24 | 2022-05-20 | 重庆大学 | Modularization landslide monitoring and early warning system based on industry cloud |
| CN117037427A (en) * | 2023-08-23 | 2023-11-10 | 旺苍县地质环境监测站 | Geological disaster networking monitoring and early warning system |
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| CN109657866A (en) * | 2017-12-25 | 2019-04-19 | 广州地理研究所 | The construction method of geological disaster Ecological security assessment model based on maximum entropy model |
| CN108333598A (en) * | 2017-12-31 | 2018-07-27 | 广州中海达定位技术有限公司 | A kind of geological disaster monitoring system and method |
| CN108804086A (en) * | 2018-06-07 | 2018-11-13 | 铁永波 | A kind of cities and towns geological disaster digital management system |
| CN110264058A (en) * | 2019-06-11 | 2019-09-20 | 深圳市燃气集团股份有限公司 | A kind of method for early warning and system of the geological disaster based on gas ductwork |
| CN110991720A (en) * | 2019-11-25 | 2020-04-10 | 中国长江三峡集团有限公司 | Geological disaster monitoring, early warning, preventing and treating system |
| CN114519921A (en) * | 2022-02-24 | 2022-05-20 | 重庆大学 | Modularization landslide monitoring and early warning system based on industry cloud |
| CN117037427A (en) * | 2023-08-23 | 2023-11-10 | 旺苍县地质环境监测站 | Geological disaster networking monitoring and early warning system |
| CN117037427B (en) * | 2023-08-23 | 2024-02-20 | 旺苍县地质环境监测站 | Geological disaster networking monitoring and early warning system |
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