WO2024067093A1 - Communication load forecasting method and apparatus, device, and storage medium - Google Patents

Communication load forecasting method and apparatus, device, and storage medium Download PDF

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Publication number
WO2024067093A1
WO2024067093A1 PCT/CN2023/118519 CN2023118519W WO2024067093A1 WO 2024067093 A1 WO2024067093 A1 WO 2024067093A1 CN 2023118519 W CN2023118519 W CN 2023118519W WO 2024067093 A1 WO2024067093 A1 WO 2024067093A1
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cell
communication load
cluster
cells
load prediction
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PCT/CN2023/118519
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French (fr)
Chinese (zh)
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张羽
李建国
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中兴通讯股份有限公司
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Publication of WO2024067093A1 publication Critical patent/WO2024067093A1/en

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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/04Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H04ELECTRIC COMMUNICATION TECHNIQUE
    • H04WWIRELESS COMMUNICATION NETWORKS
    • H04W24/00Supervisory, monitoring or testing arrangements
    • H04W24/08Testing, supervising or monitoring using real traffic
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H04ELECTRIC COMMUNICATION TECHNIQUE
    • H04WWIRELESS COMMUNICATION NETWORKS
    • H04W28/00Network traffic management; Network resource management
    • H04W28/02Traffic management, e.g. flow control or congestion control

Definitions

  • the present disclosure relates to the field of communication technology, and in particular to a communication load prediction method, device, equipment and storage medium.
  • Load control is to monitor the load of the wireless communication system in real time during the operation of the wireless communication system (that is, to continuously monitor the users (or services) that have been connected to the wireless communication system in real time).
  • the load control strategy is implemented to reasonably allocate communication resources to ensure the stable operation of the wireless communication system.
  • an embodiment of the present disclosure provides a communication load prediction method.
  • the method includes:
  • a communication load prediction result is obtained based on the real-time communication load data of the first cell and the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster to which the first cell belongs.
  • the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is constructed based on the historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster.
  • an embodiment of the present disclosure provides a communication load prediction device.
  • the device includes: a communication unit, configured to obtain real-time communication load data of a first cell;
  • a processing unit is used to obtain a communication load prediction result based on real-time communication load data of the first cell and a communication load prediction model corresponding to a target cell cluster to which the first cell belongs.
  • the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is constructed based on historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster.
  • an embodiment of the present disclosure provides an electronic device, which includes: a processor and a memory, wherein the memory stores instructions executable by the processor, and when the processor is configured to execute the instructions, the electronic device implements the method provided in the first aspect above.
  • an embodiment of the present disclosure provides a computer-readable storage medium.
  • the computer-readable storage medium stores computer instructions, and when the computer instructions are executed on a computer, the computer executes the method provided in the first aspect.
  • an embodiment of the present disclosure provides a computer program product comprising computer instructions, which, when executed on a computer, enables the computer to execute the method provided in the first aspect.
  • FIG1 is a schematic diagram of the structure of a communication system according to some embodiments.
  • FIG2 is a flow chart of a communication load prediction method according to some embodiments.
  • FIG3 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments.
  • FIG4 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments.
  • FIG5 is a schematic diagram of an elbow method positioning according to some embodiments.
  • FIG6 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments.
  • FIG7 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments.
  • FIG8 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments.
  • FIG9 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments.
  • FIG10 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments.
  • FIG11 is a schematic diagram showing the composition of a communication load prediction device according to some embodiments.
  • FIG. 12 is a schematic structural diagram of an electronic device according to some embodiments.
  • connection should be understood in a broad sense, for example, it can be a fixed connection, a detachable connection, or an integral connection.
  • connection For ordinary technicians in this field, the meaning of the above terms in the present disclosure can be understood according to the situation.
  • connection when describing the pipeline, the "connected” and “connection” used in the present disclosure have the meaning of conduction. The meaning needs to be understood in conjunction with the context.
  • words such as “exemplarily” or “for example” are used to indicate examples, illustrations or explanations. Any embodiment or design described as “exemplarily” or “for example” in the embodiments of the present disclosure should not be interpreted as being more preferred or more advantageous than other embodiments or designs. Specifically, the use of words such as “exemplarily” or “for example” is intended to present related concepts in a detailed manner.
  • the load of a wireless communication system is an important indicator for measuring the network operation capability.
  • a load control strategy for the wireless communication system it is necessary to implement a load control strategy for the wireless communication system, so that when the wireless communication system is about to be overloaded, an alarm prompt can be issued in time and the network can be optimized, thereby alleviating the problem of high load of the wireless communication system.
  • the embodiment of the present disclosure provides a communication load prediction method, which obtains the real-time communication load data of a cell, and then obtains the communication load prediction result of the cell based on the real-time communication load data of the cell and the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster to which the cell belongs. Compared with the communication load prediction result obtained by the management personnel based on manual experience, the accuracy of the communication load prediction is improved.
  • each cell in the target cell cluster can share the communication load prediction model corresponding to the cell cluster to predict the communication load, there is no need to establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to each cell separately, which reduces the consumption of computing resources.
  • the technical solution of the present disclosure can be applied to various communication systems.
  • GSM global system for mobile communications
  • CDMA code division multiple access
  • WCDMA wideband code division multiple access
  • LTE long term evolution
  • NR new radio
  • FDD frequency division duplexing
  • TDD time division duplexing
  • FIG1 is a schematic diagram of the structure of a communication system according to an exemplary embodiment.
  • the communication system includes a communication load prediction device 10, multiple base stations (such as base station 21 and base station 22) and multiple terminal devices (such as terminal device 31, terminal device 32, terminal device 33 and terminal device 34).
  • the communication load prediction device 10, multiple base stations and multiple terminal devices can be connected through a wired network or a wireless network.
  • the wired network or wireless network may include a router, a switch, a base station, or other devices that facilitate communication between the communication load prediction device 10, multiple base stations and multiple terminal devices, which is not limited by the embodiments of the present disclosure.
  • the communication load prediction device 10 may obtain information of multiple base stations. For example, the type of each base station, the number of multiple base stations, the number of cells served by a base station, the time series data generated by each cell in the process of the base station providing network services to the cells served by the base station, etc. After obtaining the time series data of each cell, the communication load prediction device 10 may cluster each cell based on the time series data of each cell to obtain multiple cell clusters, and then establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to each cell cluster.
  • the communication load prediction device 10 may be a computer device or a server.
  • the server may be an independent physical server, or a server cluster or distributed system composed of multiple physical servers, or a cloud server that provides basic cloud computing services such as cloud services, cloud databases, cloud computing, cloud functions, cloud storage, network services, cloud communications, middleware services, domain name services, security services, content delivery networks (CDN), and big data and artificial intelligence platforms.
  • the communication load prediction device 10 is a device including a display screen, which can display the clustering results of the cell clusters and the communication load prediction results of the cell when predicting the communication load of the cell.
  • the communication load prediction device 10 carries a network management system, which is used to manage multiple base stations connected to the communication load prediction device 10.
  • the network management system is used to collect time series data generated by each cell in the process of each base station providing network services to the cell served by the base station.
  • the base station is used to provide wireless access services for terminal devices.
  • each base station provides a service coverage area (also called a cell). Terminal devices entering the area can communicate with the base station via wireless signals. Accept the wireless access service provided by the base station.
  • the service coverage areas of the base stations may overlap, and the terminal devices in the overlapping areas can receive wireless signals from multiple base stations.
  • each of the multiple base stations can be connected to multiple terminal devices.
  • base station 21 is connected to terminal device 31 and terminal device 32.
  • Terminal device 31 and terminal device 32 can be located in the same cell, or terminal device 31 and terminal device 32 can be located in different cells. That is, a base station can provide network services to a terminal device in one cell, or can provide network services to terminal devices in multiple cells at the same time.
  • each of the multiple base stations may be an evolution node B (eNB), a next generation node B (gNB), a transmission receive point (TRP), a transmission point (TP), and any other access node.
  • the base station can be divided into a macro base station for providing macro cells (Macro cells), a micro base station for providing micro cells (Pico cells), and a femto base station for providing femto cells (Femto cells).
  • future base stations may also adopt other names.
  • the base station may be referred to as a network element.
  • the above communication system may also include other network elements, such as a mobility management entity (MME) network element, a serving gateway (SGW) network element, etc.
  • MME mobility management entity
  • SGW serving gateway
  • each of the multiple terminal devices may be a device with wireless transceiver function, such as a mobile phone, a tablet computer, a wearable device, a vehicle-mounted device, an augmented reality (AR)/virtual reality (VR) device, a notebook computer, an ultra-mobile personal computer (UMPC), a netbook, a personal digital assistant (PDA), etc.
  • a device with wireless transceiver function such as a mobile phone, a tablet computer, a wearable device, a vehicle-mounted device, an augmented reality (AR)/virtual reality (VR) device, a notebook computer, an ultra-mobile personal computer (UMPC), a netbook, a personal digital assistant (PDA), etc.
  • AR augmented reality
  • VR virtual reality
  • UMPC ultra-mobile personal computer
  • PDA personal digital assistant
  • FIG1 is an exemplary structural diagram, and the number of devices included in the communication system shown in FIG1 is not limited.
  • the number of base stations is not limited, and the number of terminal devices is not limited.
  • the communication system shown in FIG1 may also include other devices, which is not limited in the embodiments of the present disclosure.
  • Fig. 2 is a flow chart of a communication load prediction method according to an exemplary embodiment, the method is performed by a communication load prediction device.
  • the communication load prediction device may be the communication load prediction device 10 in the communication system shown in Fig. 1, and the method includes the following steps.
  • the communication load prediction device may obtain real-time communication load data of the first cell from a base station to which the first cell belongs through a network management system.
  • each base station or network element in the communication system shown in Figure 1 above periodically reports real-time communication load data of at least one first cell it serves to the communication load prediction device, so that when formulating a load control strategy for a first cell, the communication load prediction device can quickly obtain the real-time communication load data of the first cell.
  • Real-time communication load data includes one or more of the following data types: number of new radio (NR) carrier radio resource control (RRC) connections, NR carrier uplink physical resource block (PRB) utilization rate, NR carrier downlink PRB utilization rate, cell group uplink PRB utilization rate, cell group downlink PRB utilization rate, long term evolution (LTE) dynamic spectrum sharing (DSS) cell group uplink PRB utilization rate, LTE DSS cell group downlink PRB utilization number, LTE DSS cell group RRC connection number, LTE cell uplink PRB utilization number, LTE cell downlink PRB utilization number and LTE cell RRC connection number, etc.
  • NR new radio
  • RRC NR carrier radio resource control
  • PRB physical resource block
  • DSS dynamic spectrum sharing
  • S102 Obtain a communication load prediction result based on the real-time communication load data of the first cell and a communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster to which the first cell belongs.
  • the communication load prediction device pre-stores a communication load prediction model corresponding to the cell cluster to which each first cell belongs and a first correspondence.
  • the first correspondence includes a correspondence between identifiers of multiple first cells and identifiers of multiple cell clusters.
  • An identifier of a first cell is used to uniquely indicate a first cell, for example, it can be the name of the first cell, and an identifier of a cell cluster is used to uniquely indicate a cell cluster, for example, it can be the name of the cell cluster.
  • a cell cluster includes at least one cell.
  • the communication load prediction model can determine the identifier of the cell cluster corresponding to the identifier of the first cell based on the identifier of the first cell and the first corresponding relationship, and then use the cell cluster corresponding to the identifier of the cell cluster as the target cell cluster.
  • the real-time communication load data of the first cell can be input into the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster to which the first cell belongs to obtain a communication load prediction result.
  • the communication load prediction result is used to characterize the communication load change trend of the first cell at a future time, or the communication load prediction result is used to characterize the communication load data of the first cell at a future time.
  • the real-time communication load data of a first cell is the cell group uplink PRB utilization
  • the real-time cell group uplink PRB utilization of the first cell is output to the communication load prediction model, and the changing trend of the cell group uplink PRB utilization of the first cell at future times or the cell group uplink PRB utilization of the first cell at future times can be obtained.
  • the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is constructed based on historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster. Regarding how to construct the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster based on historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster, reference can be made to the description of S401 to S402 below, which will not be repeated here.
  • a communication load prediction method provided by the embodiment of the present disclosure obtains the real-time communication load data of a first cell, and then obtains the communication load prediction result based on the real-time communication load data of the first cell and the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster to which the cell belongs.
  • the accuracy of the communication load prediction is improved. So that when formulating a load control strategy for the first cell, the load control strategy of the first cell can be formulated according to the communication load prediction result with higher accuracy of the first cell, which improves the rationality of the formulation of the load control strategy.
  • the above-mentioned communication load prediction model is constructed based on the historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster, that is, at least one cell in the target cell cluster can share the communication load prediction model for communication load prediction, and there is no need to establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to each cell separately, which improves the accuracy of the communication load prediction while reducing the consumption of computing resources.
  • a communication load prediction method provided by the embodiments of the present disclosure also includes a process for determining the cell cluster. As shown in FIG3 , the method also includes the following steps.
  • the communication load prediction device before establishing a communication load prediction model corresponding to a cell cluster, needs to obtain historical communication load data of multiple second cells, so as to predict the communication load of multiple second cells according to the historical communication load data of the multiple second cells.
  • the second cells are clustered to determine the cell cluster to which each second cell belongs, and then a communication load prediction model corresponding to the cell cluster is established for each cell cluster.
  • the first cell is one of the plurality of second cells.
  • the communication load prediction device may collect historical communication load data of at least one cell served by each base station or network element from each base station side, base station portrait or network element in the communication system shown in FIG1 at a granularity of CollectDataStep (unit/minute) through the network management system.
  • the collection duration may be CollectDataTime (unit/day).
  • the plurality of second cells may be cells located in the same area or in different areas.
  • the area may be a street, a township, a municipal district or a city, and the embodiments of the present disclosure do not limit the scope of the division of the area.
  • the cells may be cells of different types.
  • the types of cells may be colleges and universities, subway platforms, subway lines, ground road transportation hubs, residential areas, commercial areas, urban villages, parks, office buildings and large supermarkets, and the embodiments of the present disclosure do not limit this.
  • the historical communication load data of a second cell may be time series data after a communication load prediction device collects the communication load data of the second cell at multiple historical moments and pre-processes the communication load data of the second cell at multiple historical moments.
  • the communication load device pre-processes the communication load data of a second cell at multiple historical moments, including one or more of the following.
  • the communication load prediction device can also perform data time axis deduplication. It is understandable that during the data collection process, repeated collection may occur within certain granularities, and the repeatedly collected data needs to be deduplicated.
  • the deduplication rule may be to retain the data that appears for the first time in the data set and delete the duplicate data after the first appearance.
  • the deduplication rule may also include the data that appears for the last time in the data set and delete the duplicate data before the last appearance.
  • the empty data at the head will be uniformly filled with the first non-empty data from the head; if the missing data is at the tail of the data set, the empty data at the tail will be uniformly filled with the first non-empty data from the tail; if the missing data is in the middle of the data set, the first non-empty data can be searched forward and backward respectively, and linear interpolation filling can be performed (mean filling and other schemes can also be used).
  • the communication load of the cell since the communication load of the cell is repeated in cycles based on weeks, the communication load data needs to be aligned according to the same relative time starting point between weeks (for example, all collection starts from Monday), and the load data CollectDataTime_aligned of a preset period (for example, two weeks) is retained as a training data set.
  • the communication load prediction device removes the communication load data with the time axis mark from the time axis and expands it into a length of The one-dimensional data samples are vectorized and the time series data of the cell is obtained.
  • the communication load prediction device predicts the communication load data of each second cell in the plurality of second cells at a plurality of historical moments. By performing the above preprocessing, the time series data of each second cell can be obtained, that is, the historical communication load data of each second cell can be obtained.
  • S202 Cluster the multiple second cells based on historical communication load data of the multiple second cells to obtain at least one cell cluster.
  • S202 may be implemented as the following steps, for example.
  • the communication load prediction device may determine the number of cell clusters based on the historical communication load data of the plurality of second cells and a preset cluster number determination algorithm.
  • the preset cluster number determination algorithm includes an elbow method, a silhouette coefficient method, a cluster evaluation index (Calinski Harabasz) method, and other cluster number determination algorithms.
  • the embodiment of the present disclosure takes the preset cluster number determination method as the elbow method as an example for illustration.
  • the embodiment of the present disclosure adopts the elbow method to locate the critical point of the curve of the sum of squares error (SSE) curve by increasing the number of clusters to reduce the intra-cluster variance, that is, the critical point where increasing or decreasing the number of clusters can no longer obtain a significant partitioning benefit, thereby determining the number of cell clusters to facilitate subsequent clustering of multiple second cells.
  • SSE sum of squares error
  • determining the number of cell clusters according to the elbow method and historical communication load data of a plurality of second cells may include the following steps.
  • k is the number of clusters
  • C is the number of clusters
  • Ci is the i-th cluster among C clusters
  • mi is the cluster center of the i-th class
  • j is the data point of the i-th class.
  • the disclosed embodiment uses the number of clusters corresponding to the peak point of the slowing trend of the intra-cluster variance and the increase of the number of clusters as the number of clusters of the clustering algorithm (ie, the number of cell clusters).
  • the intra-cluster variance and intra-cluster density may be replaced by other measurement methods including but not limited to intra-cluster average Euclidean distance, intra-cluster density, and the like.
  • A2. Determine the number of cell clusters based on the elbow method diagram.
  • the elbow method is a general method for determining the optimal number of clusters.
  • the main idea of the elbow method is to increase the number of clusters until the moment of diminishing returns stops, which is reflected in the graph as an elbow with a sudden increase in curvature.
  • the calculation method of the elbow method includes: first calculate the number from 1 to (In order to obtain the upper limit of the range of cluster numbers, n can be the number of at least one first cell, or it can be pre-set by the management personnel) and the corresponding intra-cluster variances, and then the number of clusters corresponding to the point where the curve descends most slowly, that is, the point where the curvature of the elbow method image is the largest, is taken as the number of cell clusters.
  • the clustering result with the smallest similarity between classes is the one with the largest difference.
  • the distance between the two cells is used to characterize the similarity between the communication load variation trends of the two second cells.
  • the communication load prediction device can determine the distance between any two second cells based on historical communication load data of multiple second cells and a preset distance algorithm.
  • the preset distance algorithm includes distance algorithms such as the Euclidean distance (ED) algorithm, the dynamic time warping distance (DTW) algorithm, the Hausdorff distance algorithm, the hidden Markov model distance (HMM Distance) algorithm, and the longest common subsequence distance (LCS Distance) algorithm.
  • the embodiments of the present disclosure are described by taking the preset distance algorithms as the Euclidean distance algorithm and the DTW distance algorithm as examples.
  • determining the distance between any two cells in the plurality of second cells based on historical communication load data of the plurality of second cells and the preset distance algorithm may include the following steps.
  • the Euclidean distance between cell 1 and cell 2 can be expressed by the following formula.
  • Dist_euclidean is the Euclidean distance between cell 1 and cell 2, that is, the Euclidean distance between any cells.
  • determining the distance between any two cells in the plurality of second cells based on historical communication load data of the plurality of second cells and the preset distance algorithm may include the following steps.
  • the DTW distance sets aside the limitation of the Euclidean distance.
  • the idea is to find a continuous, mutually corresponding matching relationship that includes all the points in the two time series (this matching can be the i-th point corresponding to the j-th point).
  • the DTW distance is more accurate for waveform fitting.
  • the disclosed embodiment still uses the distance between each pair of "points" in the two sequences to calculate the similarity, even if the number of points in the two sequences may be different.
  • the time axis can be warped, we do not take a pair of points in the two sequences in turn to calculate the distance, but each point may correspond to multiple points in the other sequence. Each point must be used and cannot be skipped. It must be in the original order, and the point pairs cannot cross. Dynamic programming is usually used to complete the calculation.
  • the above two time series are understood as two cells, that is, the DTW distance between the two cells is obtained.
  • the distance between any two cells among the multiple second cells can be obtained.
  • the embodiment of the present disclosure does not limit the execution order of S2021 and S2022.
  • S2023 Based on the number of cell clusters and the distance between any two cells in the plurality of second cells, cluster the plurality of second cells to obtain at least one cell cluster.
  • the plurality of second cells can be clustered based on the number of cell clusters, the distance between any two cells among a plurality of second cells, and the historical communication load data of the plurality of second cells, in combination with a preset clustering algorithm, to obtain at least one cell cluster.
  • the preset clustering algorithm includes a k-means clustering algorithm and a k-shape clustering algorithm
  • at least one cell cluster may be at least one cell cluster with the largest similarity and the smallest difference within the cluster and the smallest similarity and the largest difference between clusters.
  • a cell cluster includes at least one second cell.
  • the k-shape clustering algorithm is an efficient and accurate time series clustering method.
  • the k-shape clustering algorithm optimizes the distance calculation method, the centroid calculation method, and introduces a method for extracting frequency domain features. It can improve the computational efficiency of time series while supporting amplitude scaling and translation invariance.
  • the k-shape clustering algorithm uses a shape-based distance (SBD) based on cross-correlation measurement to identify the same pattern while ignoring the differences in amplitude and phase.
  • SBD shape-based distance
  • the clustering process includes the following steps.
  • the TimeSeriesScalerMeanVariance method is used to normalize the data into a standard distribution with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1, eliminating the influence of the dimension and facilitating the calculation of cross-correlation.
  • K cluster centers are initialized according to the number of cell clusters k, and the distance between any two cells in the multiple second cells (such as Euclidean distance) is used as a metric to perform k-means clustering on the historical communication load data of all second cells in the training set, and the training is performed until convergence.
  • the clustering process may further include: D4, cluster visualization, and calculation of mutual correlations.
  • the clustering process is visualized to facilitate staff to observe the clustering situation.
  • the number and type of cells in each cluster (such as the type of cells described in S201) are counted during the clustering process, and the correlation between the clustering results is calculated to measure the Measures the accuracy of the k-means clustering algorithm on the data set.
  • the clustering process includes the following steps.
  • k cluster centers are initialized, and the shape-based distance (SBD) distance based on cross-correlation measurement is used as the metric to perform k-shape clustering on the time series data of multiple first cells in the training set, and the training is carried out until convergence.
  • SBD shape-based distance
  • the cross-correlation measure is a statistical metric. Even if the two time series Seq 1 and Seq 2 are not aligned, the cross-correlation measure can be used to determine the similarity between the two time series Seq 1 and Seq 2 .
  • the calculation method of R wm (Seq 1 ,Seq 2 ) can be expressed by the following formula.
  • the goal is to calculate w that maximizes CCw(Seq 1 , Seq 2 ), that is, to obtain the best move of Seq 1 relative to Seq 2 .
  • the calculation method of the SBD distance is represented by the following formula.
  • the clustering process may further include: E4, cluster visualization and calculation of mutual correlation.
  • the clustering process is visualized, which makes it easier for network managers to observe the clustering situation, count the number and type of cells in each cluster during the clustering process, and calculate the cross-correlation of the clustering results to measure the accuracy of the k-shape clustering algorithm on the data set.
  • the k-shape clustering algorithm is suitable for load scenarios where the load change trend is learned and the influence of the absolute value of the load can be ignored.
  • the k-means clustering algorithm may be used for clustering the plurality of second cells. If the preset distance algorithm used to determine the distance between any two cells in S2022 is the DTW distance algorithm, then the k-shape clustering algorithm may be used for clustering the plurality of second cells.
  • the DTW distance algorithm has higher requirements for computing resources than the Euclidean distance algorithm.
  • the DTW distance algorithm can be used. If there are no high-precision requirements for clustering results and/or no computing devices with high computing power, the Euclidean distance algorithm can be used.
  • the target cell cluster is one of the at least one cell cluster.
  • the communication load prediction device can regard at least one cell included in the cell cluster as an outlier and mark it, so that the network management personnel can adjust the load control strategy of at least one cell included in the cell cluster in a targeted manner.
  • the communication load prediction device can establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to each cell based on the historical communication load data of each cell in the cell cluster, so as to formulate a load control strategy corresponding to each cell in the cell cluster.
  • the communication load prediction device may issue a prompt message to modify the networking or antenna coverage of the cell, so as to prompt the network administrator to take corresponding measures for the cell.
  • a communication load prediction method provided by the embodiment of the present disclosure, after determining at least one cell cluster, if the first cell is a cell newly added to the communication system shown in Figure 1 above, it is necessary to determine the cell cluster to which the first cell belongs. As shown in Figure 6, the method also includes the following steps.
  • the communication load prediction device can obtain the communication load data of the first cell at multiple historical moments through the base station to which the first cell belongs, and then perform the preprocessing described in S201 on the communication load data of the first cell at multiple historical moments to obtain the historical communication load data of the first cell.
  • the base station to which the first cell belongs actively reports the communication load data of the first cell at multiple historical moments to the communication load prediction device, and the communication load prediction model performs the preprocessing described in S201 on the communication load data of the first cell at multiple historical moments to obtain the historical communication load data of the first cell.
  • the plurality of historical moments is 28 days.
  • S302 Determine the distance between the first cell and the cluster center of each cell cluster based on the historical communication load data of the first cell.
  • the communication load prediction device can determine the distance between the first cell and the cluster center of each cell cluster based on the historical communication load data of the first cell and a preset distance algorithm, that is, determine the similarity between the first cell and the cluster center of each cell.
  • the communication load prediction device determines the distance between the first cell and the cluster center of each cell cluster based on the historical communication load data of the first cell and a preset distance algorithm, please refer to the description of how to determine the distance between two second cells in S2022 above, which will not be repeated here.
  • S303 Take the cell cluster whose cluster center is closest to the first cell as the cell cluster to which the first cell belongs.
  • the cell cluster whose cluster center is closest to the first cell can be used as the cell cluster to which the first cell belongs.
  • a communication load prediction method provided by an embodiment of the present disclosure also involves the establishment process of the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster, as shown in FIG7 , the method also includes the following steps.
  • S401 Determine a cell that meets a preset condition from the target cell cluster based on the cluster center of the target cell cluster.
  • the communication load prediction device in order to improve the rate at which the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is established, can determine the cells that meet the preset conditions from the target cell cluster based on the cluster center of the target cell cluster. Then, based on the historical communication load data of the cells that meet the preset conditions in the target cell cluster, a communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is established, so that the amount of data in the data set of the communication load prediction model can be reduced, and the rate at which the communication load prediction model is established can be improved.
  • S401 may be implemented as the following steps, for example.
  • S4012 All cells in the target cell cluster whose distances to the cluster center are less than or equal to a preset threshold are regarded as cells meeting a preset condition.
  • the preset threshold may be preset by a network administrator.
  • the change trend of the cell's communication load can represent the change trend of the communication load of other cells in the target cell cluster. Therefore, all cells in the target cell cluster whose distance to the cluster center is less than or equal to the preset threshold can be regarded as cells that meet the preset conditions.
  • S401 may also be implemented as the following steps, for example.
  • S4013 Determine the distance between each cell in the target cell cluster and the cluster center.
  • S4014 Take the first N cells in the target cell cluster that are closest to the cluster center as cells that meet the preset conditions.
  • N is a positive integer, for example, N is 2.
  • the change trend of the communication load of the first N cells closest to the cluster center in the target cell cluster can represent the change trend of the communication load of at least one cell in the target cell cluster. Therefore, the first N cells closest to the cluster center in the target cell cluster can be regarded as cells that meet the preset conditions.
  • S402 Establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster based on historical communication load data of cells that meet preset conditions.
  • S402 may be implemented as the following steps, for example.
  • the historical communication load data of the cells that meet the preset conditions can be modeled and processed, including but not limited to manual adjustment strategies, load prediction methods based on window filtering, and load prediction methods based on machine learning, to generate multiple training samples, so as to optimize the historical communication load data of the cells that meet the preset conditions, strengthen the characteristics of the historical communication load data of the cells that meet the preset conditions, and improve the generalization performance of the communication load prediction model completed by subsequent training.
  • the initial model is trained until the error of the initial model converges, and a communication load prediction model corresponding to the trained target cell cluster is obtained.
  • the communication load prediction model is built based on long short-term memory networks (LSTM).
  • LSTM long short-term memory networks
  • the communication load prediction device may send the communication load prediction model to each cell of at least one cell included in the target cell cluster.
  • a cell After receiving the communication load prediction model sent by the communication load prediction device, a cell can combine its own real-time communication load data to numerically restore the parameters of the communication load prediction model, and then use the numerically restored communication load prediction model as the communication load prediction model of the cell and store it for use in subsequent formulation of load control strategies for the cell.
  • each cell in a cell cluster is obtained through clustering, which means that each cell in a cell cluster has a high similarity in the communication load change trend.
  • the communication load prediction model corresponding to a cell cluster is constructed based on the historical communication load data of the cells in the cell cluster that meet the preset conditions, and the change trend of the communication load of the cells that meet the preset conditions is representative for each cell in the cell cluster, so the historical communication load data of the cells that meet the preset conditions can be used as a representative of the historical communication load data of each cell in the cell cluster to construct the communication load prediction model corresponding to the cell cluster.
  • each cell in the cell cluster can share the communication load prediction model corresponding to the cell cluster to predict the communication load, without having to establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to each cell for each cell, thereby reducing the consumption of computing resources.
  • the above mainly introduces the solution provided by the embodiment of the present disclosure from the perspective of the method.
  • it includes hardware structures and/or software modules corresponding to the execution of each function.
  • the present disclosure can be implemented in the form of hardware or a combination of hardware and computer software. Whether a function is executed in the form of hardware or computer software driving hardware depends on the specific application and design constraints of the technical solution. Professional and technical personnel can use different methods to implement the described functions for each specific application, but such implementation should not be considered to exceed the scope of the present disclosure.
  • FIG11 is a schematic diagram of the composition of a communication load prediction device according to some embodiments.
  • the communication load prediction device is used to execute the communication load prediction method described above.
  • the communication load prediction device 2000 includes a communication unit 2001 and a processing unit 2002. In some embodiments, the communication load prediction device 2000 may also include a storage unit 2003.
  • the communication unit 2001 is used to obtain real-time communication load data of the first cell.
  • Processing unit 2002 is used to obtain a communication load prediction result based on the real-time communication load data of the first cell and the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster to which the first cell belongs.
  • the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is constructed based on the historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster.
  • the processing unit 2002 is further used to determine cells meeting preset conditions from the target cell cluster based on the cluster center of the target cell cluster; and to establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster based on historical communication load data of the cells meeting the preset conditions.
  • the processing unit 2002 is used to: determine the distance between each cell in the target cell cluster and the cluster center; and take all cells in the target cell cluster whose distance to the cluster center is less than or equal to a preset threshold as cells meeting preset conditions.
  • the processing unit 2002 is used to: determine the distance between each cell in the target cell cluster and the cluster center; and take the first N cells in the target cell cluster that are closest to the cluster center as cells that meet preset conditions, where N is a positive integer.
  • the processing unit 2002 is used to: generate multiple training samples based on historical communication load data of cells that meet preset conditions; train the initial model based on the multiple training samples to obtain a communication load prediction model corresponding to the trained target cell cluster.
  • the communication load prediction model is constructed based on a long-short time neural network.
  • the communication unit 2001 is further used to obtain historical communication load data of the first cell.
  • the processing unit 2002 is further configured to: determine the distance between the first cell and the cluster center of each cell cluster based on the historical communication load data of the first cell; and take the cell cluster whose cluster center is closest to the first cell as the cell cluster to which the first cell belongs.
  • the communication unit 2001 is further used to obtain historical communication load data of multiple second cells, and the first cell is one of the multiple second cells.
  • the processing unit 2002 is further configured to: perform clustering processing on the multiple second cells based on historical communication load data of the multiple second cells to obtain at least one cell cluster, wherein the target cell cluster is one of the at least one cell cluster.
  • the processing unit 2002 is used to: determine the number of cell clusters based on historical communication load data of multiple second cells; for any two cells among the multiple second cells, determine the distance between the two second cells based on the historical communication load data of the two cells, and the distance between the two second cells is used to characterize the similarity between the two second cells in the communication load change trend; based on the number of cell clusters and the distance between any two second cells among the multiple second cells, cluster the multiple second cells to obtain at least one cell cluster.
  • the above-mentioned real-time communication load data includes one or more of the following data types: the number of new radio interface NR carrier radio resource control RRC connections, the NR carrier uplink physical resource block PRB utilization rate, the NR carrier downlink PRB utilization rate, the cell group uplink PRB utilization rate, the cell group downlink PRB utilization rate, the Long Term Evolution LTE dynamic spectrum sharing DSS cell group uplink PRB usage number, the LTE DSS cell group downlink PRB usage number, the LTE DSS cell group RRC connection number, the LTE cell uplink PRB usage number, the LTE cell downlink PRB usage number and the LTE cell RRC connection number.
  • the storage unit 2003 is used to store real-time communication load data of the first cell.
  • the storage unit 2003 is also used to store the communication load prediction model corresponding to each cell cluster.
  • the storage unit 2003 is also used to store historical communication load data of each cell.
  • the units in Fig. 11 may also be referred to as modules.
  • a processing unit may be referred to as a processing module.
  • the various units in FIG. 11 are implemented in the form of software function modules and sold or used as independent products, they can be stored in a computer-readable storage medium.
  • the technical solution of the embodiment of the present disclosure is essentially or the part that contributes to the prior art or all or part of the technical solution can be embodied in the form of a software product.
  • the computer software product is stored in a storage medium, including several instructions for a computer device (which can be a personal computer, a server, or a network device, etc.) or a processor (processor) to perform all or part of the steps of the method described in each embodiment of the present disclosure.
  • the storage medium for storing computer software products includes: U disk, mobile hard disk, read-only memory (ROM), random access memory (RAM), disk or optical disk, etc.
  • the embodiment of the present disclosure provides a structural schematic diagram of an electronic device, which may be the above-mentioned communication load prediction device.
  • the electronic device 3000 The electronic device includes: a processor 3002 , a communication interface 3003 and a bus 3004 .
  • the electronic device may further include a memory 3001 .
  • the processor 3002 may be a device that implements or executes various exemplary logic blocks, modules, and circuits described in conjunction with the disclosure of the present disclosure.
  • the processor 3002 may be a central processing unit, a general-purpose processor, a digital signal processor, an application-specific integrated circuit, a field programmable gate array, or other programmable logic devices, transistor logic devices, hardware components, or any combination thereof.
  • the processor 3002 may be a device that implements or executes various exemplary logic blocks, modules, and circuits described in conjunction with the disclosure of the present disclosure.
  • the processor 3002 may also be a combination that implements computing functions, such as a combination of one or more microprocessors, a combination of a DSP and a microprocessor, and the like.
  • the communication interface 3003 is used to connect with other devices through a communication network.
  • the communication network can be Ethernet, wireless access network, wireless local area network (WLAN), etc.
  • the memory 3001 may be a read-only memory (ROM) or other types of static storage devices that can store static information and instructions, a random access memory (RAM) or other types of dynamic storage devices that can store information and instructions, or an electrically erasable programmable read-only memory (EEPROM), a disk storage medium or other magnetic storage device, or any other medium that can be used to carry or store desired program codes in the form of instructions or data structures and can be accessed by a computer, but is not limited to these.
  • ROM read-only memory
  • RAM random access memory
  • EEPROM electrically erasable programmable read-only memory
  • disk storage medium or other magnetic storage device or any other medium that can be used to carry or store desired program codes in the form of instructions or data structures and can be accessed by a computer, but is not limited to these.
  • the memory 3001 may exist independently of the processor 3002, and the memory 3001 may also be connected to the processor 3002 via the bus 3004 to store instructions or program codes.
  • the processor 3002 calls and executes the instructions or program codes stored in the memory 3001, the communication load prediction method provided in the embodiment of the present disclosure can be implemented.
  • the memory 3001 may also be integrated with the processor 3002 .
  • the bus 3004 may be an extended industry standard architecture (EISA) bus, etc.
  • the bus 3004 may be divided into an address bus, a data bus, a control bus, etc.
  • FIG12 only uses one thick line, but does not mean that there is only one bus or one type of bus.
  • the embodiment of the present disclosure also provides a computer-readable storage medium. All or part of the processes in the above method embodiments can be completed by computer instructions to instruct the relevant hardware, and the program can be stored in the above computer-readable storage medium. When the program is executed, it can include the processes of the above method embodiments.
  • the computer-readable storage medium can be the memory or memory of any of the above embodiments.
  • the above computer-readable storage medium can also be an external storage device of the above communication load prediction device, such as a plug-in hard disk, a smart memory card (smart media card, SMC), a secure digital (secure digital, SD) card, a flash card (flash card), etc. equipped on the above communication load prediction device.
  • the above computer-readable storage medium can also include both the internal storage unit of the above communication load prediction device and an external storage device.
  • the above computer-readable storage medium is used to store the above computer program and other programs and data required by the above communication load prediction device.
  • the above computer-readable storage medium can also be used to temporarily store data that has been output or is to be output.
  • the readable storage medium includes a non-transient computer-readable storage medium.
  • the present disclosure also provides a computer program product.
  • the computer product includes a computer program.
  • the program product runs on a computer, the computer executes any one of the communication load prediction methods provided in the above embodiments.

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Abstract

The present disclosure provides a communication load forecasting method and apparatus, a device, and a storage medium. The method comprises: acquiring real-time communication load data of a first cell; and obtaining a communication load forecasting result on the basis of the real-time communication load data of the first cell and a communication load forecasting model corresponding to a target cell cluster to which the first cell belongs, the communication load forecasting model corresponding to the target cell cluster being constructed on the basis of historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster.

Description

通信负荷预测方法、装置、设备及存储介质Communication load prediction method, device, equipment and storage medium
本公开要求于2022年09月29日提交的、申请号为202211200891.6的中国专利申请的优先权,其全部内容通过引用结合在本申请中。This disclosure claims priority to Chinese patent application No. 202211200891.6, filed on September 29, 2022, the entire contents of which are incorporated by reference into this application.
技术领域Technical Field
本公开涉及通信技术领域,尤其涉及一种通信负荷预测方法、装置、设备及存储介质。The present disclosure relates to the field of communication technology, and in particular to a communication load prediction method, device, equipment and storage medium.
背景技术Background technique
无线通信技术近来发展迅速,已经成为人类生活中重要的一部分。为了保证无线通信系统可以正常运行,需要为无线通信系统制定负荷控制策略。负荷控制是在无线通信系统运行过程中对无线通信系统的负荷进行实时监控(即对已经接入到无线通信系统的用户(或业务)进行连续实时监测),在检测到无线通信系统的通信负荷过高影响到无线通信系统稳定运行时实施负荷控制策略,从而合理调配通信资源,以保证无线通信系统的稳定运行。Wireless communication technology has developed rapidly in recent years and has become an important part of human life. In order to ensure the normal operation of the wireless communication system, it is necessary to formulate a load control strategy for the wireless communication system. Load control is to monitor the load of the wireless communication system in real time during the operation of the wireless communication system (that is, to continuously monitor the users (or services) that have been connected to the wireless communication system in real time). When it is detected that the communication load of the wireless communication system is too high and affects the stable operation of the wireless communication system, the load control strategy is implemented to reasonably allocate communication resources to ensure the stable operation of the wireless communication system.
发明内容Summary of the invention
第一方面,本公开实施例提供一种通信负荷预测方法。该方法包括:In a first aspect, an embodiment of the present disclosure provides a communication load prediction method. The method includes:
获取第一小区的实时通信负荷数据;Acquire real-time communication load data of the first cell;
基于第一小区的实时通信负荷数据以及第一小区所属的目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型,得到通信负荷预测结果,目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型基于目标小区簇中至少一个小区的历史通信负荷数据来构建得到。A communication load prediction result is obtained based on the real-time communication load data of the first cell and the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster to which the first cell belongs. The communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is constructed based on the historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster.
第二方面,本公开实施例提供一种通信负荷预测装置。该装置包括:通信单元,用于获取第一小区的实时通信负荷数据;In a second aspect, an embodiment of the present disclosure provides a communication load prediction device. The device includes: a communication unit, configured to obtain real-time communication load data of a first cell;
处理单元,用于基于第一小区的实时通信负荷数据以及第一小区所属的目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型,得到通信负荷预测结果,目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型基于目标小区簇中至少一个小区的历史通信负荷数据来构建得到。A processing unit is used to obtain a communication load prediction result based on real-time communication load data of the first cell and a communication load prediction model corresponding to a target cell cluster to which the first cell belongs. The communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is constructed based on historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster.
第三方面,本公开实施例提供了一种电子设备。该电子设备包括:处理器和存储器;存储器存储有处理器可执行的指令;处理器被配置为执行指令时,使得电子设备实现如上述第一方面所提供的方法。In a third aspect, an embodiment of the present disclosure provides an electronic device, which includes: a processor and a memory, wherein the memory stores instructions executable by the processor, and when the processor is configured to execute the instructions, the electronic device implements the method provided in the first aspect above.
第四方面,本公开实施例提供了一种计算机可读存储介质。该计算机可读存储介质存储计算机指令,当该计算机指令在计算机上运行时,使得计算机执行第一方面所提供的方法。In a fourth aspect, an embodiment of the present disclosure provides a computer-readable storage medium. The computer-readable storage medium stores computer instructions, and when the computer instructions are executed on a computer, the computer executes the method provided in the first aspect.
第五方面,本公开实施例提供了一种包含计算机指令的计算机程序产品,当该计算机指令在计算机上运行时,使得计算机执行第一方面所提供的方法。In a fifth aspect, an embodiment of the present disclosure provides a computer program product comprising computer instructions, which, when executed on a computer, enables the computer to execute the method provided in the first aspect.
附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
附图用来提供对本发明技术方案的进一步理解,并且构成说明书的一部分,与本公开的实施例一起用于解释本发明的技术方案,并不构成对本发明技术方案的限制。The accompanying drawings are used to provide a further understanding of the technical solution of the present invention and constitute a part of the specification. Together with the embodiments of the present invention, they are used to explain the technical solution of the present invention and do not constitute a limitation on the technical solution of the present invention.
图1为根据一些实施例的一种通信系统的结构示意图;FIG1 is a schematic diagram of the structure of a communication system according to some embodiments;
图2为根据一些实施例的一种通信负荷预测方法的流程示意图;FIG2 is a flow chart of a communication load prediction method according to some embodiments;
图3为根据一些实施例的另一种通信负荷预测方法的流程示意图;FIG3 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments;
图4为根据一些实施例的又一种通信负荷预测方法的流程示意图;FIG4 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments;
图5为根据一些实施例的一种肘方法定位的示意图; FIG5 is a schematic diagram of an elbow method positioning according to some embodiments;
图6为根据一些实施例的又一种通信负荷预测方法的流程示意图;FIG6 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments;
图7为根据一些实施例的又一种通信负荷预测方法的流程示意图;FIG7 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments;
图8为根据一些实施例的又一种通信负荷预测方法的流程示意图;FIG8 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments;
图9为根据一些实施例的又一种通信负荷预测方法的流程示意图;FIG9 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments;
图10为根据一些实施例的又一种通信负荷预测方法的流程示意图;FIG10 is a flow chart of another communication load prediction method according to some embodiments;
图11为根据一些实施例的一种通信负荷预测装置的组成示意图;FIG11 is a schematic diagram showing the composition of a communication load prediction device according to some embodiments;
图12为根据一些实施例的一种电子设备的结构示意图。FIG. 12 is a schematic structural diagram of an electronic device according to some embodiments.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
为使本领域的技术人员更好地理解本公开实施例的技术方案,下面将结合本公开实施例中的附图,对本公开实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本公开一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本公开中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本公开保护的范围。In order to enable those skilled in the art to better understand the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present disclosure, the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present disclosure will be clearly and completely described below in conjunction with the drawings in the embodiments of the present disclosure. Obviously, the described embodiments are only part of the embodiments of the present disclosure, not all of the embodiments. Based on the embodiments in the present disclosure, all other embodiments obtained by ordinary technicians in the field without creative work are within the scope of protection of the present disclosure.
在本公开的描述中,除非另有说明,“/”表示“或”的意思,例如,A/B可以表示A或B。本文中的“和/或”仅仅是一种描述关联对象的关联关系,表示可以存在三种关系,例如,A和/或B,可以表示:仅A,仅B,以及A和B。术语“第一”、“第二”仅用于描述目的,而不能理解为指示或暗示相对重要性或者隐含指明所指示的技术特征的数量。由此,限定有“第一”、“第二”的特征可以明示或者隐含地包括一个或者更多个该特征。在本公开的描述中,除非另有说明,“至少一个”是指一个或多个,“多个”的含义是两个或两个以上。In the description of the present disclosure, unless otherwise specified, "/" means "or", for example, A/B can mean A or B. "And/or" in this article is merely a description of the association relationship of associated objects, indicating that there may be three relationships, for example, A and/or B can mean: only A, only B, and A and B. The terms "first" and "second" are used for descriptive purposes only and cannot be understood as indicating or implying relative importance or implicitly indicating the number of technical features indicated. Thus, the features defined as "first" and "second" may explicitly or implicitly include one or more of the features. In the description of the present disclosure, unless otherwise specified, "at least one" means one or more, and "multiple" means two or more.
在本公开的描述中,需要说明的是,除非另有明确的规定和限定,术语“相连”、“连接”应做广义理解,例如,可以是固定连接,也可以是可拆卸连接,或一体地连接。对于本领域的普通技术人员而言,可以根据情况理解上述术语在本公开中的含义。另外,在对管线进行描述时,本公开中所用“相连”、“连接”则具有进行导通的意义。意义需结合上下文进行理解。In the description of the present disclosure, it should be noted that, unless otherwise clearly specified and limited, the terms "connected" and "connection" should be understood in a broad sense, for example, it can be a fixed connection, a detachable connection, or an integral connection. For ordinary technicians in this field, the meaning of the above terms in the present disclosure can be understood according to the situation. In addition, when describing the pipeline, the "connected" and "connection" used in the present disclosure have the meaning of conduction. The meaning needs to be understood in conjunction with the context.
在本公开实施例中,“示例性地”或者“例如”等词用于表示作例子、例证或说明。本公开实施例中被描述为“示例性地”或者“例如”的任何实施例或设计方案不应被解释为比其它实施例或设计方案更优选或更具优势。确切而言,使用“示例性地”或者“例如”等词旨在以详细方式呈现相关概念。In the embodiments of the present disclosure, words such as "exemplarily" or "for example" are used to indicate examples, illustrations or explanations. Any embodiment or design described as "exemplarily" or "for example" in the embodiments of the present disclosure should not be interpreted as being more preferred or more advantageous than other embodiments or designs. Specifically, the use of words such as "exemplarily" or "for example" is intended to present related concepts in a detailed manner.
随着无线通信技术的发展,尤其随着第四代通讯技术(4th generation mobile communication technology,4G)和第五代移动通信技术(5th generation mobile communication technology,5G)的不断演进,无线通信系统面临越来越严重的负荷问题。无线通信系统的负荷是衡量网络运营能力的一项重要指标,当无线通信系统的负荷达到一定的门限时,将会出现容量瓶颈、导致网络延迟或丢包。为了保证用户的网络使用感知,需要对无线通信系统实施负荷控制策略,以便于在无线通信系统将要出现高负荷情况时,及时发出告警提示并对网络进行优化,从而缓解无线通信系统高负荷的问题。With the development of wireless communication technology, especially with the continuous evolution of the fourth generation of mobile communication technology (4G) and the fifth generation of mobile communication technology (5G), wireless communication systems are facing more and more serious load problems. The load of a wireless communication system is an important indicator for measuring the network operation capability. When the load of a wireless communication system reaches a certain threshold, there will be a capacity bottleneck, resulting in network delay or packet loss. In order to ensure the user's perception of network usage, it is necessary to implement a load control strategy for the wireless communication system, so that when the wireless communication system is about to be overloaded, an alarm prompt can be issued in time and the network can be optimized, thereby alleviating the problem of high load of the wireless communication system.
在制定负荷控制策略时,需要对无线通信系统的通信负荷进行预测,进而根据通信负荷的预测结果来制定负荷控制策略。目前对于无线通信系统的通信负荷的预测,一种方案是由网络管理人员基于人工经验进行预测的,这种方案中通信负荷预测的精准度不高;另一种方案是针对每一个小区的无线通信系统,建立每一个小区对应的通信负荷预测模型,这种方案中决策过于细化,造成了算力资源消耗过高,并且增加了管理的难度和成本。因此,如何提升通信负荷 预测的精准度并降低算力资源的消耗是亟待解决的问题。When formulating a load control strategy, it is necessary to predict the communication load of the wireless communication system, and then formulate a load control strategy based on the predicted results of the communication load. Currently, there are two ways to predict the communication load of the wireless communication system: one is for network managers to predict based on manual experience. The accuracy of the communication load prediction in this solution is not high. Another solution is to establish a communication load prediction model for each cell of the wireless communication system. In this solution, the decision is too detailed, resulting in excessive consumption of computing resources and increased management difficulty and cost. Therefore, how to increase the communication load Improving prediction accuracy and reducing the consumption of computing resources are issues that need to be addressed urgently.
基于此,本公开实施例提供一种通信负荷预测方法,通过获取一个小区的实时通信负荷数据,进而基于该小区的实时通信负荷数据和该小区所属的目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型,得到该小区的通信负荷预测结果。相对于管理人员基于人工经验得到的通信负荷预测结果,提升了通信负荷预测的精准度。同时,由于上述通信负荷模型是基于该目标小区簇中至少一个小区的历史通信负荷数据来构建得到的,也就是该目标小区簇中的每个小区均可共用该小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型进行通信负荷的预测,无需针对每一个小区单独建立一个小区对应的通信负荷预测模型,降低了算力资源的消耗。Based on this, the embodiment of the present disclosure provides a communication load prediction method, which obtains the real-time communication load data of a cell, and then obtains the communication load prediction result of the cell based on the real-time communication load data of the cell and the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster to which the cell belongs. Compared with the communication load prediction result obtained by the management personnel based on manual experience, the accuracy of the communication load prediction is improved. At the same time, since the above-mentioned communication load model is constructed based on the historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster, that is, each cell in the target cell cluster can share the communication load prediction model corresponding to the cell cluster to predict the communication load, there is no need to establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to each cell separately, which reduces the consumption of computing resources.
在一些实施例中,本公开的技术方案可以适用于各种通信系统。例如:全球移动通信系统(global system for mobile communications,GSM),码分多址接入(code division multiple access,CDMA)系统,宽带码分多址接入(wideband code division multiple access,WCDMA)系统,长期演进(long term evolution,LTE)系统、新空口(new radio,NR)系统、频分双工(frequency division duplexing,FDD)系统、时分双工(time division duplexing,TDD)系统等。为了便于描述,本公开的技术方案可适用的各种通信系统均以下述图1所示的通信系统为例进行举例说明。In some embodiments, the technical solution of the present disclosure can be applied to various communication systems. For example: global system for mobile communications (GSM), code division multiple access (CDMA) system, wideband code division multiple access (WCDMA) system, long term evolution (LTE) system, new radio (NR) system, frequency division duplexing (FDD) system, time division duplexing (TDD) system, etc. For the convenience of description, various communication systems to which the technical solution of the present disclosure can be applied are illustrated by taking the communication system shown in FIG. 1 as an example.
图1为根据示例性实施例的一种通信系统的结构示意图。该通信系统包括通信负荷预测装置10、多个基站(例如基站21和基站22)和多个终端设备(例如终端设备31、终端设备32、终端设备33和终端设备34)。通信负荷预测装置10、多个基站和多个终端设备三者之间可以通过有线网络或无线网络连接。有线网络或无线网络可以包括路由器,交换器,基站,或者促进通信负荷预测装置10、多个基站和多个终端设备之间通信的其他设备,本公开实施例对此不作限制。FIG1 is a schematic diagram of the structure of a communication system according to an exemplary embodiment. The communication system includes a communication load prediction device 10, multiple base stations (such as base station 21 and base station 22) and multiple terminal devices (such as terminal device 31, terminal device 32, terminal device 33 and terminal device 34). The communication load prediction device 10, multiple base stations and multiple terminal devices can be connected through a wired network or a wireless network. The wired network or wireless network may include a router, a switch, a base station, or other devices that facilitate communication between the communication load prediction device 10, multiple base stations and multiple terminal devices, which is not limited by the embodiments of the present disclosure.
在一些实施例中,通信负荷预测装置10可以获取到多个基站的信息。例如:每个基站的类型、多个基站的数量、一个基站所服务的小区的数量、该基站向该基站服务的小区提供网络服务过程中每个小区所产生的时序数据等。通信负荷预测装置10在获取到每个小区的时序数据后,可以基于每个小区的时序数据对每个小区进行聚类,得到多个小区簇,进而建立每个小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型。In some embodiments, the communication load prediction device 10 may obtain information of multiple base stations. For example, the type of each base station, the number of multiple base stations, the number of cells served by a base station, the time series data generated by each cell in the process of the base station providing network services to the cells served by the base station, etc. After obtaining the time series data of each cell, the communication load prediction device 10 may cluster each cell based on the time series data of each cell to obtain multiple cell clusters, and then establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to each cell cluster.
在一些实施例中,通信负荷预测装置10可以是计算机设备或服务器。服务器可以是独立的物理服务器,也可以是多个物理服务器构成的服务器集群或者分布式系统,还可以是提供云服务、云数据库、云计算、云函数、云存储、网络服务、云通信、中间件服务、域名服务、安全服务、内容分发网络(content delivery network,CDN)、以及大数据和人工智能平台等基础云计算服务的云服务器。在一些实施例中,上述通信负荷预测装置10为包括显示屏的装置,在显示屏中能够显示小区簇的聚类结果以及在对小区进行通信负荷预测时显示该小区的通信负荷预测结果。In some embodiments, the communication load prediction device 10 may be a computer device or a server. The server may be an independent physical server, or a server cluster or distributed system composed of multiple physical servers, or a cloud server that provides basic cloud computing services such as cloud services, cloud databases, cloud computing, cloud functions, cloud storage, network services, cloud communications, middleware services, domain name services, security services, content delivery networks (CDN), and big data and artificial intelligence platforms. In some embodiments, the communication load prediction device 10 is a device including a display screen, which can display the clustering results of the cell clusters and the communication load prediction results of the cell when predicting the communication load of the cell.
在一些实施例中,通信负荷预测装置10承载有网管系统,网管系统用于管理与通信负荷预测装置10连接的多个基站。例如,网管系统用于采集每个基站向该基站服务的小区提供网络服务过程中每个小区所产生的时序数据。In some embodiments, the communication load prediction device 10 carries a network management system, which is used to manage multiple base stations connected to the communication load prediction device 10. For example, the network management system is used to collect time series data generated by each cell in the process of each base station providing network services to the cell served by the base station.
在一些实施例中,基站用于为终端设备提供无线接入服务。详细来说,每个基站都提供一个服务覆盖区域(又可称为蜂窝)。进入该区域的终端设备可通过无线信号与基站通信,以此来 接受基站提供的无线接入服务。基站的服务覆盖区域之间可能存在交叠,处于交叠区域内的终端设备可收到来自多个基站的无线信号。In some embodiments, the base station is used to provide wireless access services for terminal devices. Specifically, each base station provides a service coverage area (also called a cell). Terminal devices entering the area can communicate with the base station via wireless signals. Accept the wireless access service provided by the base station. The service coverage areas of the base stations may overlap, and the terminal devices in the overlapping areas can receive wireless signals from multiple base stations.
在一些实施例中,多个基站中的每个基站可以连接多个终端设备。例如基站21连接终端设备31和终端设备32。终端设备31和终端设备32可以位于同一个小区,终端设备31和终端设备32也可以位于不同的小区。也即一个基站可以向一个小区的终端设备提供网络服务,也可以同时向多个小区的终端设备提供网络服务。In some embodiments, each of the multiple base stations can be connected to multiple terminal devices. For example, base station 21 is connected to terminal device 31 and terminal device 32. Terminal device 31 and terminal device 32 can be located in the same cell, or terminal device 31 and terminal device 32 can be located in different cells. That is, a base station can provide network services to a terminal device in one cell, or can provide network services to terminal devices in multiple cells at the same time.
在一些实施例中,多个基站中的每个基站(例如基站21)可以是演进型基站(evolution nodeB,eNB)、下一代基站(generation nodeB,gNB)、收发点(transmission receive point,TRP)、传输点(transmission point,TP)以及某种其它接入节点中的任一节点。根据所提供的服务覆盖区域的大小,基站又可分为用于提供宏蜂窝(Macro cell)的宏基站、用于提供微蜂窝(Pico cell)的微基站和用于提供毫微微蜂窝(Femto cell)的毫微微基站。随着无线通信技术的不断演进,未来的基站也可以采用其他的名称。In some embodiments, each of the multiple base stations (e.g., base station 21) may be an evolution node B (eNB), a next generation node B (gNB), a transmission receive point (TRP), a transmission point (TP), and any other access node. According to the size of the service coverage area provided, the base station can be divided into a macro base station for providing macro cells (Macro cells), a micro base station for providing micro cells (Pico cells), and a femto base station for providing femto cells (Femto cells). With the continuous evolution of wireless communication technology, future base stations may also adopt other names.
在一些实施例中,基站可以称作网元。上述通信系统还可以包括其他网元,例如移动性管理实体(mobility management entity,MME)网元,服务网关(serving gateway,SGW)网元等。In some embodiments, the base station may be referred to as a network element. The above communication system may also include other network elements, such as a mobility management entity (MME) network element, a serving gateway (SGW) network element, etc.
在一些实施例中,多个终端设备中的每个终端设备(例如终端设备31),可以是一种具有无线收发功能的设备,例如手机、平板电脑、可穿戴设备、车载设备、增强现实(augmented reality,AR)/虚拟现实(virtual reality,VR)设备、笔记本电脑、超级移动个人计算机(ultra-mobile personal computer,UMPC)、上网本、个人数字助理(personal digital assistant,PDA)等。本公开实施例对终端设备的种类不作限制。In some embodiments, each of the multiple terminal devices (e.g., terminal device 31) may be a device with wireless transceiver function, such as a mobile phone, a tablet computer, a wearable device, a vehicle-mounted device, an augmented reality (AR)/virtual reality (VR) device, a notebook computer, an ultra-mobile personal computer (UMPC), a netbook, a personal digital assistant (PDA), etc. The disclosed embodiments do not limit the type of terminal device.
可以理解的是,图1是示例性的结构图,图1示出的通信系统包括的设备的数量不受限制。例如基站的数量不受限制以及终端设备的数量不受限制。并且,除图1所示的设备外,图1示出的通信系统还可以包括其他设备,本公开实施例对此不予限定。It is understood that FIG1 is an exemplary structural diagram, and the number of devices included in the communication system shown in FIG1 is not limited. For example, the number of base stations is not limited, and the number of terminal devices is not limited. In addition, in addition to the devices shown in FIG1, the communication system shown in FIG1 may also include other devices, which is not limited in the embodiments of the present disclosure.
接下来,图2为根据示例性实施例的一种通信负荷预测方法的流程示意图,该方法由通信负荷预测装置执行。通信负荷预测装置可以是图1所示的通信系统中的通信负荷预测装置10,该方法包括以下步骤。Next, Fig. 2 is a flow chart of a communication load prediction method according to an exemplary embodiment, the method is performed by a communication load prediction device. The communication load prediction device may be the communication load prediction device 10 in the communication system shown in Fig. 1, and the method includes the following steps.
S101、获取第一小区的实时通信负荷数据。S101. Obtain real-time communication load data of a first cell.
在一些实施例中,在为一个小区(例如第一小区)制定负荷控制策略时,通信负荷预测装置可以通过网管系统从该第一小区所属基站中获取该第一小区的实时通信负荷数据。In some embodiments, when formulating a load control strategy for a cell (eg, a first cell), the communication load prediction device may obtain real-time communication load data of the first cell from a base station to which the first cell belongs through a network management system.
在一些实施例中,上述图1所示的通信系统中的每个基站或者网元周期性的向通信负荷预测装置上报自身所服务的至少一个第一小区的实时通信负荷数据,以便于在为一个第一小区制定负荷控制策略时,通信负荷预测装置可以快速获取到该第一小区的实时通信负荷数据。In some embodiments, each base station or network element in the communication system shown in Figure 1 above periodically reports real-time communication load data of at least one first cell it serves to the communication load prediction device, so that when formulating a load control strategy for a first cell, the communication load prediction device can quickly obtain the real-time communication load data of the first cell.
实时通信负荷数据包括以下数据类型中的一种或多种:新空口(new radio,NR)载波无线资源控制(radio resource control,RRC)连接数、NR载波上行物理资源块(physical resource block,PRB)使用率、NR载波下行PRB使用率、小区组上行PRB使用率、小区组下行PRB使用率、长期演进(long term evolution,LTE)动态频谱共享(dynamic spectrum sharing,DSS)小区组上行PRB使用率、LTE DSS小区组下行PRB使用数、LTE DSS小区组RRC连接数、LTE小区上行PRB使用数、LTE小区下行PRB使用数和LTE小区RRC连接数等。 Real-time communication load data includes one or more of the following data types: number of new radio (NR) carrier radio resource control (RRC) connections, NR carrier uplink physical resource block (PRB) utilization rate, NR carrier downlink PRB utilization rate, cell group uplink PRB utilization rate, cell group downlink PRB utilization rate, long term evolution (LTE) dynamic spectrum sharing (DSS) cell group uplink PRB utilization rate, LTE DSS cell group downlink PRB utilization number, LTE DSS cell group RRC connection number, LTE cell uplink PRB utilization number, LTE cell downlink PRB utilization number and LTE cell RRC connection number, etc.
S102、基于第一小区的实时通信负荷数据以及第一小区所属的目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型,得到通信负荷预测结果。S102: Obtain a communication load prediction result based on the real-time communication load data of the first cell and a communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster to which the first cell belongs.
在一些实施例中,通信负荷预测装置中预先存储有各个第一小区所属的小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型以及第一对应关系。第一对应关系包括多个第一小区的标识与多个小区簇的标识之间的对应关系。一个第一小区的标识用于唯一指示一个第一小区,例如可以是第一小区的名称,一个小区簇的标识用于唯一指示一个小区簇,例如可以是小区簇的名称。In some embodiments, the communication load prediction device pre-stores a communication load prediction model corresponding to the cell cluster to which each first cell belongs and a first correspondence. The first correspondence includes a correspondence between identifiers of multiple first cells and identifiers of multiple cell clusters. An identifier of a first cell is used to uniquely indicate a first cell, for example, it can be the name of the first cell, and an identifier of a cell cluster is used to uniquely indicate a cell cluster, for example, it can be the name of the cell cluster.
在一些实施例中,一个小区簇包括至少一个小区。In some embodiments, a cell cluster includes at least one cell.
在得到一个第一小区的实时通信负荷数据之后,通信负荷预测模型可以基于该第一小区的标识以及第一对应关系,确定第一小区的标识对应的小区簇的标识,进而将该小区簇的标识对应的小区簇作为目标小区簇。After obtaining real-time communication load data of a first cell, the communication load prediction model can determine the identifier of the cell cluster corresponding to the identifier of the first cell based on the identifier of the first cell and the first corresponding relationship, and then use the cell cluster corresponding to the identifier of the cell cluster as the target cell cluster.
在确定目标小区簇之后,可以将该第一小区的实时通信负荷数据输入至该第一小区所属的目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型中,得到通信负荷预测结果。通信负荷预测结果用于表征该第一小区在未来时刻的通信负荷变化趋势,或者,通信负荷预测结果用于表征该第一小区在未来时刻的通信负荷数据。After determining the target cell cluster, the real-time communication load data of the first cell can be input into the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster to which the first cell belongs to obtain a communication load prediction result. The communication load prediction result is used to characterize the communication load change trend of the first cell at a future time, or the communication load prediction result is used to characterize the communication load data of the first cell at a future time.
示例性地,若一个第一小区的实时通信负荷数据为小区组上行PRB利用率,则将该第一小区的实时小区组上行PRB利用率输出至通信负荷预测模型中,可以得到该第一小区的小区组上行PRB利用率在未来时刻的变化趋势或者该第一小区在未来时刻的小区组上行PRB利用率。Exemplarily, if the real-time communication load data of a first cell is the cell group uplink PRB utilization, the real-time cell group uplink PRB utilization of the first cell is output to the communication load prediction model, and the changing trend of the cell group uplink PRB utilization of the first cell at future times or the cell group uplink PRB utilization of the first cell at future times can be obtained.
在一些实施例中,目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型基于目标小区簇中至少一个小区的历史通信负荷数据来构建得到。关于如何基于目标小区簇中至少一个小区的历史通信负荷数据来构建得到目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型,可以参照下述S401至S402的描述,在此不予赘述。In some embodiments, the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is constructed based on historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster. Regarding how to construct the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster based on historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster, reference can be made to the description of S401 to S402 below, which will not be repeated here.
基于图2所示的实施例,至少带来以下有益效果:本公开实施例提供的一种通信负荷预测方法,该方法通过获取一个第一小区的实时通信负荷数据后,基于该第一小区的实时通信负荷数据和该小区所属的目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型,得到通信负荷预测结果。相对于网络管理人员基于人工经验得到的通信负荷预测结果,提升了通信负荷预测的精准度。以便于在为该第一小区制定负荷控制策略时,可以根据该第一小区精准度更高的通信负荷预测结果制定该第一小区的负荷控制策略,提升了负荷控制策略制定的合理性。且上述通信负荷预测模型是基于目标小区簇中至少一个小区的历史通信负荷数据来构建得到的,也就是该目标小区簇中的至少一个小区可以共用该通信负荷预测模型进行通信负荷预测,无需针对每一个小区单独建立一个小区对应的通信负荷预测模型,实现了提升通信负荷预测的精准度的同时降低了算力资源的消耗。Based on the embodiment shown in FIG2 , at least the following beneficial effects are brought about: a communication load prediction method provided by the embodiment of the present disclosure obtains the real-time communication load data of a first cell, and then obtains the communication load prediction result based on the real-time communication load data of the first cell and the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster to which the cell belongs. Compared with the communication load prediction result obtained by the network management personnel based on manual experience, the accuracy of the communication load prediction is improved. So that when formulating a load control strategy for the first cell, the load control strategy of the first cell can be formulated according to the communication load prediction result with higher accuracy of the first cell, which improves the rationality of the formulation of the load control strategy. And the above-mentioned communication load prediction model is constructed based on the historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster, that is, at least one cell in the target cell cluster can share the communication load prediction model for communication load prediction, and there is no need to establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to each cell separately, which improves the accuracy of the communication load prediction while reducing the consumption of computing resources.
上述实施例着重介绍了目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型的使用过程,在一些实施例中,本公开实施例提供的一种通信负荷预测方法还包括对小区簇的确定过程,如图3所示,该方法还包括以下步骤。The above embodiments focus on the use process of the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster. In some embodiments, a communication load prediction method provided by the embodiments of the present disclosure also includes a process for determining the cell cluster. As shown in FIG3 , the method also includes the following steps.
S201、获取多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据。S201. Obtain historical communication load data of multiple second cells.
在一个实施例中,在建立一个小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型之前,通信负荷预测装置需要获取多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据,以根据多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据对多个第 二小区进行聚类,确定每个第二小区所属的小区簇,进而为每个小区簇建立该小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型。上述第一小区为多个第二小区中的一个。In one embodiment, before establishing a communication load prediction model corresponding to a cell cluster, the communication load prediction device needs to obtain historical communication load data of multiple second cells, so as to predict the communication load of multiple second cells according to the historical communication load data of the multiple second cells. The second cells are clustered to determine the cell cluster to which each second cell belongs, and then a communication load prediction model corresponding to the cell cluster is established for each cell cluster. The first cell is one of the plurality of second cells.
示例性地,通信负荷预测装置可以通过网管系统以粒度CollectDataStep(单位/分钟)从上述图1所示的通信系统中的各个基站侧、基站画像或网元处采集每个基站或网元服务的至少一个小区的历史通信负荷数据。采集时长可以为CollectDataTime(单位/天)。Exemplarily, the communication load prediction device may collect historical communication load data of at least one cell served by each base station or network element from each base station side, base station portrait or network element in the communication system shown in FIG1 at a granularity of CollectDataStep (unit/minute) through the network management system. The collection duration may be CollectDataTime (unit/day).
在一些实施例中,多个第二小区可以是位于同一个区域的小区,也可以是位于不同区域的小区。区域可以是一个街道,也可以是一个乡镇、一个市辖区或者一个城市,本公开实施例对于区域的划分范围不作限制。小区可以是不同类型的小区。例如小区的类型可以是高校、地铁站台、地铁沿线、地面道路交通枢纽、居民区、商业区、城中村、公园、写字楼和大型商超等,本公开实施例对此不作限制。In some embodiments, the plurality of second cells may be cells located in the same area or in different areas. The area may be a street, a township, a municipal district or a city, and the embodiments of the present disclosure do not limit the scope of the division of the area. The cells may be cells of different types. For example, the types of cells may be colleges and universities, subway platforms, subway lines, ground road transportation hubs, residential areas, commercial areas, urban villages, parks, office buildings and large supermarkets, and the embodiments of the present disclosure do not limit this.
在一些实施例中,对于多个第二小区中的各个第二小区,一个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据可以是通信负荷预测装置采集该第二小区在多个历史时刻的通信负荷数据之后,对该第二小区在多个历史时刻的通信负荷数据经过预处理后的时序数据。In some embodiments, for each second cell among multiple second cells, the historical communication load data of a second cell may be time series data after a communication load prediction device collects the communication load data of the second cell at multiple historical moments and pre-processes the communication load data of the second cell at multiple historical moments.
示例性地,通信负荷装置对一个第二小区在多个历史时刻的通信负荷数据进行预处理,包括以下一项或多项。Exemplarily, the communication load device pre-processes the communication load data of a second cell at multiple historical moments, including one or more of the following.
1)数据时间轴处理。1) Data timeline processing.
可以理解的是,在数据采集过程中可能会出现某几个粒度内漏采的情况,如果缺失时间轴上的某些数据,则进行数据时间轴填补,对应的填补数据为空。It is understandable that during the data collection process, some data may be missed at certain granularities. If some data on the time axis is missing, the data time axis is filled, and the corresponding filled data is empty.
在一些实施例中,在进行数据时间轴填补之后,通信负荷预测装置还可以进行数据时间轴去重。可以理解的是,在数据采集过程中可能会出现某几个粒度内重复采集,需要对重复采集的数据进行去重。In some embodiments, after filling the data time axis, the communication load prediction device can also perform data time axis deduplication. It is understandable that during the data collection process, repeated collection may occur within certain granularities, and the repeatedly collected data needs to be deduplicated.
在一些实施例中,去重规则可以是保留数据集中第一次出现的数据,删除第一次出现的数据后的重复数据。去重规则也可以是包括数据集中最后一次出现的数据,删除最后一次出现的数据前的重复数据,本公开实施例对于去重规则的设定不作限制。In some embodiments, the deduplication rule may be to retain the data that appears for the first time in the data set and delete the duplicate data after the first appearance. The deduplication rule may also include the data that appears for the last time in the data set and delete the duplicate data before the last appearance. The embodiments of the present disclosure do not limit the setting of the deduplication rule.
2)数据补全处理。2) Data completion processing.
在一些实施例中,如果缺失的数据在数据集头部,则统一将头部空数据填充为自头部器第一个非空数据;如果缺失的数据在数据集尾部,则统一将尾部空数据填充为自尾部起第一个非空数据;如果缺失的数据在数据集中部,则可以向前、向后分别查找第一个非空数据,进行线性插值填充(也可以是均值填充等方案)。In some embodiments, if the missing data is at the head of the data set, the empty data at the head will be uniformly filled with the first non-empty data from the head; if the missing data is at the tail of the data set, the empty data at the tail will be uniformly filled with the first non-empty data from the tail; if the missing data is in the middle of the data set, the first non-empty data can be searched forward and backward respectively, and linear interpolation filling can be performed (mean filling and other schemes can also be used).
3)序列对齐截取处理。3) Sequence alignment and truncation processing.
在一些实施例中,由于小区的通信负荷是以周为基本单位进行重复循环重复的,需要将通信负荷数据按照同样的周间相对时间起始点进行对齐(例如均从周一开始采集),并保留预设周期(例如两周)的负荷数据CollectDataTime_aligned,作为训练数据集。In some embodiments, since the communication load of the cell is repeated in cycles based on weeks, the communication load data needs to be aligned according to the same relative time starting point between weeks (for example, all collection starts from Monday), and the load data CollectDataTime_aligned of a preset period (for example, two weeks) is retained as a training data set.
4)数据向量化处理。4) Data vectorization processing.
在一些实施例中,通信负荷预测装置将带有时间轴标记的通信负荷数据剥离时间轴,展开成为长度为的一维数据样本,并进行向量化处理,得到该小区的时序数据。In some embodiments, the communication load prediction device removes the communication load data with the time axis mark from the time axis and expands it into a length of The one-dimensional data samples are vectorized and the time series data of the cell is obtained.
通信负荷预测装置对多个第二小区中的各个第二小区在多个历史时刻的通信负荷数据进 行上述预处理,可以得到各个第二小区的时序数据,也即得到各个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据。The communication load prediction device predicts the communication load data of each second cell in the plurality of second cells at a plurality of historical moments. By performing the above preprocessing, the time series data of each second cell can be obtained, that is, the historical communication load data of each second cell can be obtained.
S202、基于多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据,对多个第二小区进行聚类处理,得到至少一个小区簇。S202: Cluster the multiple second cells based on historical communication load data of the multiple second cells to obtain at least one cell cluster.
在一些实施例中,如图4所示,S202例如可以实现为以下步骤。In some embodiments, as shown in FIG. 4 , S202 may be implemented as the following steps, for example.
S2021、基于多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据,确定小区簇数量。S2021. Determine the number of cell clusters based on historical communication load data of multiple second cells.
在一些实施例中,通信负荷预测装置在获取到多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据之后,可以基于多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据和预设聚类数量确定算法,确定小区簇数量。预设聚类数量确定算法包括肘方法(Elbow method)、轮廓系数法、聚类评价指标(Calinski Harabasz)法等聚类数量确定算法。In some embodiments, after acquiring the historical communication load data of the plurality of second cells, the communication load prediction device may determine the number of cell clusters based on the historical communication load data of the plurality of second cells and a preset cluster number determination algorithm. The preset cluster number determination algorithm includes an elbow method, a silhouette coefficient method, a cluster evaluation index (Calinski Harabasz) method, and other cluster number determination algorithms.
示例性地,本公开实施例以预设聚类数量确定方法为肘方法为例进行举例说明。Exemplarily, the embodiment of the present disclosure takes the preset cluster number determination method as the elbow method as an example for illustration.
如图5所示,本公开实施例采用肘方法定位通过增加簇数以降低簇内方差和(sum of squares error,SSE)曲线的曲线临界点,即增减簇数不能再获得大幅划分收益的临界点,从而确定小区簇数量,以便于后续对于多个第二小区进行聚类。As shown in Figure 5, the embodiment of the present disclosure adopts the elbow method to locate the critical point of the curve of the sum of squares error (SSE) curve by increasing the number of clusters to reduce the intra-cluster variance, that is, the critical point where increasing or decreasing the number of clusters can no longer obtain a significant partitioning benefit, thereby determining the number of cell clusters to facilitate subsequent clustering of multiple second cells.
在一些实施例中,根据肘方法和多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据确定小区簇数量,可以包括以下步骤。In some embodiments, determining the number of cell clusters according to the elbow method and historical communication load data of a plurality of second cells may include the following steps.
A1、计算簇内方差和。A1. Calculate the intra-cluster variance sum.
可以理解的是,聚类的目的是在具备最强概括能力的前提下,尽可能多地涵盖全部样本,因此本公开实施例采用SSE来衡量,SSE可以如下述公式所示。
It can be understood that the purpose of clustering is to cover as many samples as possible under the premise of having the strongest generalization ability, so the embodiment of the present disclosure uses SSE for measurement, and SSE can be shown as the following formula.
在上述公式中,k为聚类数量,C为簇的数量,Ci为C个簇中的第i个簇,mi为第i类的聚类中心,j为第i类的的数据点。In the above formula, k is the number of clusters, C is the number of clusters, Ci is the i-th cluster among C clusters, mi is the cluster center of the i-th class, and j is the data point of the i-th class.
随着分类簇数量的增加,簇内方差和会逐步减少,且减少的速率会变换。本公开实施例将簇内方差和随着簇数量增长的变缓趋势峰值点时刻对应的簇数,作为聚类算法的聚类数量(也即小区簇数量)。As the number of classification clusters increases, the intra-cluster variance and the sum will gradually decrease, and the rate of decrease will change. The disclosed embodiment uses the number of clusters corresponding to the peak point of the slowing trend of the intra-cluster variance and the increase of the number of clusters as the number of clusters of the clustering algorithm (ie, the number of cell clusters).
在一些实施例中,簇内方差和可以替换为包括但不限于簇内平均欧式距离、簇内密度等其他度量方法。In some embodiments, the intra-cluster variance and intra-cluster density may be replaced by other measurement methods including but not limited to intra-cluster average Euclidean distance, intra-cluster density, and the like.
A2、根据肘方法图,确定小区簇数量。A2. Determine the number of cell clusters based on the elbow method diagram.
肘方法是用于确定最佳聚类数量的通用方法。肘方法的主要思路在于增加簇的数量,直至回报的减少的时刻停止,反映在图像中即为一个曲度骤增的肘部。The elbow method is a general method for determining the optimal number of clusters. The main idea of the elbow method is to increase the number of clusters until the moment of diminishing returns stops, which is reflected in the graph as an elbow with a sudden increase in curvature.
肘方法的计算方法包括:首先计算出数量从1到(为可能取得聚类数量范围的上限,n可以是至少一个第一小区的数量,也可以是管理人员预先设定的)分别对应的簇内方差和,再取曲线下降变缓最快、即肘方法图像曲度最大处对应的簇数量作为小区簇数量。The calculation method of the elbow method includes: first calculate the number from 1 to ( In order to obtain the upper limit of the range of cluster numbers, n can be the number of at least one first cell, or it can be pre-set by the management personnel) and the corresponding intra-cluster variances, and then the number of clusters corresponding to the point where the curve descends most slowly, that is, the point where the curvature of the elbow method image is the largest, is taken as the number of cell clusters.
因此,通过上述A1和A2可以得到小区簇数量。Therefore, the number of cell clusters can be obtained through the above A1 and A2.
S2022、对于多个第二小区中的任意两个小区,基于两个小区的历史通信负荷数据,确定两个第二小区之间的距离。S2022. For any two cells among the multiple second cells, determine the distance between the two second cells based on historical communication load data of the two cells.
在一些实施例中,在确定了小区簇数量之后,还需要确定多个第二小区中任意两个小区之间的距离,定义距离度量以衡量类内相似度差异与类间差异,以得到类内相似度最大差异最小、 而类间相似度最小差异最大的聚类结果。In some embodiments, after determining the number of cell clusters, it is also necessary to determine the distance between any two cells in the plurality of second cells, and define a distance metric to measure the intra-class similarity difference and the inter-class difference, so as to obtain the maximum intra-class similarity and the minimum inter-class difference. The clustering result with the smallest similarity between classes is the one with the largest difference.
两个小区之间的距离用于表征两个第二小区在通信负荷变化趋势上的相似度。The distance between the two cells is used to characterize the similarity between the communication load variation trends of the two second cells.
在一些实施例中,通信负荷预测装置可以基于多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据和预设距离算法,确定任意两个第二小区之间的距离。预设距离算法包括欧氏距离(euclidean distance,ED)算法、动态时间规整距离(dynamic time warping distance,DTW)算法、豪斯多夫距离(hausdorff distance)算法、隐马尔科夫模型距离(hidden markov model distance,HMM Distance)算法、最长公共子序列距离(longest common subsequence distance,LCS Distance)算法等距离算法。In some embodiments, the communication load prediction device can determine the distance between any two second cells based on historical communication load data of multiple second cells and a preset distance algorithm. The preset distance algorithm includes distance algorithms such as the Euclidean distance (ED) algorithm, the dynamic time warping distance (DTW) algorithm, the Hausdorff distance algorithm, the hidden Markov model distance (HMM Distance) algorithm, and the longest common subsequence distance (LCS Distance) algorithm.
示例性地,本公开实施例以预设距离算法为欧式距离算法和DTW距离算法为例进行举例说明。Exemplarily, the embodiments of the present disclosure are described by taking the preset distance algorithms as the Euclidean distance algorithm and the DTW distance algorithm as examples.
在一些实施例中,在预设距离算法为欧式距离算法的情况下,基于多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据和预设距离算法,确定多个第二小区中任意两个小区之间的距离可以包括以下步骤。In some embodiments, when the preset distance algorithm is a Euclidean distance algorithm, determining the distance between any two cells in the plurality of second cells based on historical communication load data of the plurality of second cells and the preset distance algorithm may include the following steps.
B1、等长截取时间序列。B1. Time series intercepted by equal length.
可以理解的是,序列间的欧氏距离在时间序列领域的计算,是发生在同一时间戳下一一对应的点对之间的距离度量,因此须保证序列等长以计算任意两个小区之间的欧式距离。It can be understood that the calculation of the Euclidean distance between sequences in the field of time series is a distance measurement between corresponding point pairs at the same timestamp, so the sequences must be of equal length to calculate the Euclidean distance between any two cells.
示例性地,对于不等长的两个时间序列Seq1=(x1,x2,……,xn)和Seq2=(y1,y2,……,ym),在m和n均为大于1的整数且m大于n的情况下,为了保证两个序列等长,将长序列Seq2保留前n个样本点,以使得Seq2=(y1,y2,……,yn),使Seq2与Seq1等长。Exemplarily, for two time series of unequal lengths Seq 1 =(x 1 , x 2 ,…, x n ) and Seq 2 =(y 1 , y 2 ,…, y m ), when m and n are both integers greater than 1 and m is greater than n, in order to ensure that the two sequences are equal in length, the first n sample points of the long sequence Seq 2 are retained so that Seq 2 =(y 1 , y 2 ,…, yn ), making Seq 2 the same length as Seq 1 .
B2、计算欧式距离。B2. Calculate the Euclidean distance.
示例性地,以Seq1为小区1、Seq2为小区2为例,则小区1与小区2之间的欧式距离可以由以下公式表示。
Exemplarily, taking Seq 1 as cell 1 and Seq 2 as cell 2 as an example, the Euclidean distance between cell 1 and cell 2 can be expressed by the following formula.
在上述公式中,Dist_euclidean为小区1与小区2之间的欧式距离,也即任意小区之间的欧式距离。In the above formula, Dist_euclidean is the Euclidean distance between cell 1 and cell 2, that is, the Euclidean distance between any cells.
在一些实施例中,在预设距离算法为DTW距离算法的情况下,基于多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据和预设距离算法,确定多个第二小区中任意两个小区之间的距离,可以包括以下步骤。In some embodiments, when the preset distance algorithm is a DTW distance algorithm, determining the distance between any two cells in the plurality of second cells based on historical communication load data of the plurality of second cells and the preset distance algorithm may include the following steps.
C1、计算距离矩阵。C1. Calculate the distance matrix.
对于两个时间序列来说,DTW距离抛开了欧氏距离的限制,思想是要寻找到一个连续的、包含两个时间序列中所有点的、互相对应的匹配关系(这种匹配可以是第i个点对应第j个点),DTW距离对于波形的拟合更加精确。本公开实施例依然采用两个序列中每一对“点”之间的距离来计算形似度,即使两个序列中的点的个数可能不一样。不过,因为可以warping规整时间轴,所以,我们并不是在两个序列中依次取一对点来计算距离,而是每个点有可能对应于另一个序列中的多个点,每个点都须用到,不可跳过,要按照原始的次序,点对不可交叉,通常采用动态规划的方法来完成计算。For two time series, the DTW distance sets aside the limitation of the Euclidean distance. The idea is to find a continuous, mutually corresponding matching relationship that includes all the points in the two time series (this matching can be the i-th point corresponding to the j-th point). The DTW distance is more accurate for waveform fitting. The disclosed embodiment still uses the distance between each pair of "points" in the two sequences to calculate the similarity, even if the number of points in the two sequences may be different. However, because the time axis can be warped, we do not take a pair of points in the two sequences in turn to calculate the distance, but each point may correspond to multiple points in the other sequence. Each point must be used and cannot be skipped. It must be in the original order, and the point pairs cannot cross. Dynamic programming is usually used to complete the calculation.
示例性地,对于不等长的两个时间序列Seq3=(x1,x2,……,xi)和Seq4=(y1,y2,……,yj),在i和j均为大于1的整数且i大于j的情况下,首先计算两个时间序列间各个点之间的距离矩阵。Exemplarily, for two time series of unequal lengths Seq 3 =(x 1 ,x 2 ,..., xi ) and Seq 4 =(y 1 ,y 2 ,...,y j ), when i and j are both integers greater than 1 and i is greater than j, the distance matrix between each point in the two time series is first calculated.
C2、动态规划寻找最优解。 C2. Dynamic programming to find the optimal solution.
寻找一条从矩阵左上角到右下角的路径,使得路径上的元素和最小,则此为一个动态规划算法,起始条件为在上述公式中,为两个时间序列之间的距离,M为距离矩阵。递推规则由以下公式表示。
Find a path from the upper left corner to the lower right corner of the matrix so that the sum of the elements on the path is minimized. This is a dynamic programming algorithm with the starting condition being In the above formula, is the distance between two time series, M is the distance matrix. The recursive rule is expressed by the following formula.
进而得到两个时间序列之间的DTW距离。将上述两个时间序列理解为两个小区,也即得到了两个小区之间的DTW距离。Then the DTW distance between the two time series is obtained. The above two time series are understood as two cells, that is, the DTW distance between the two cells is obtained.
对多个小区中的任意两个小区均进行上述B1和B2的处理,或者C1和C2的处理,可以得到多个第二小区中任意两个小区之间的距离。By performing the above-mentioned processing of B1 and B2, or the processing of C1 and C2 on any two cells among the multiple cells, the distance between any two cells among the multiple second cells can be obtained.
需要说明的是,对于上述S2021和S2022,可以先执行S2021,再执行S2022;也可以先执行S2022,再执行S2021;还可以同时执行S2021和S2022。本公开实施例对于S2021与S2022的执行先后顺序不作限制。It should be noted that, for the above S2021 and S2022, S2021 may be executed first and then S2022; S2022 may be executed first and then S2021; S2021 and S2022 may also be executed simultaneously. The embodiment of the present disclosure does not limit the execution order of S2021 and S2022.
S2023、基于小区簇数量以及多个第二小区中任意两个小区之间的距离,对多个第二小区进行聚类处理,得到至少一个小区簇。S2023: Based on the number of cell clusters and the distance between any two cells in the plurality of second cells, cluster the plurality of second cells to obtain at least one cell cluster.
在一些实施例中,在确定了小区簇数量以及多个第二小区中任意两个小区之间的距离之后,可以基于小区簇数量、多个第二小区中任意两个小区之间的距离以及多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据,结合预设聚类算法,对多个第二小区进行聚类处理,得到至少一个小区簇。In some embodiments, after determining the number of cell clusters and the distance between any two cells among a plurality of second cells, the plurality of second cells can be clustered based on the number of cell clusters, the distance between any two cells among a plurality of second cells, and the historical communication load data of the plurality of second cells, in combination with a preset clustering algorithm, to obtain at least one cell cluster.
在一些实施例中,预设聚类算法包括k均值聚类(k-means clustering algorithm)算法和k波形聚类(k-shape clustering algorithm)算法,至少一个小区簇可以是簇内相似度最大差异最小、而簇间相似度最小差异最大的至少一个小区簇。一个小区簇包括至少一个第二小区。In some embodiments, the preset clustering algorithm includes a k-means clustering algorithm and a k-shape clustering algorithm, and at least one cell cluster may be at least one cell cluster with the largest similarity and the smallest difference within the cluster and the smallest similarity and the largest difference between clusters. A cell cluster includes at least one second cell.
在一些实施例中,k-shape聚类算法是一种高效且准确的时间序列聚类方法,k-shape聚类算法优化了距离计算方法、质心计算方法、引入了提取频域特征的方法,能在支持振幅缩放与平移不变性的基础上,同时提升对于时间序列的计算效率。k-shape聚类算法使用基于互相关测量的距离尺度(shape-based distance,SBD)能够识别相同的模式,而忽略幅度与相位的差异。In some embodiments, the k-shape clustering algorithm is an efficient and accurate time series clustering method. The k-shape clustering algorithm optimizes the distance calculation method, the centroid calculation method, and introduces a method for extracting frequency domain features. It can improve the computational efficiency of time series while supporting amplitude scaling and translation invariance. The k-shape clustering algorithm uses a shape-based distance (SBD) based on cross-correlation measurement to identify the same pattern while ignoring the differences in amplitude and phase.
在一些实施例中,在预设聚类算法为k-means聚类算法的情况下,聚类过程包括以下步骤。In some embodiments, when the preset clustering algorithm is the k-means clustering algorithm, the clustering process includes the following steps.
D1、随机初始化生成聚类。D1. Randomly initialize and generate clusters.
确保使用相同的随机种子seed生成随机数,以保证每次随机生成的初始化聚类结果稳定性,即每次实验都具有相同的初始簇选择与分布。Make sure to use the same random seed to generate random numbers to ensure the stability of the initial clustering results each time, that is, each experiment has the same initial cluster selection and distribution.
D2、数据规范化。D2. Data normalization.
使用TimeSeriesScalerMeanVariance方法将数据规范化为均值为0、标准差为1的标准分布,消除量纲的影响,便于计算互相关性。The TimeSeriesScalerMeanVariance method is used to normalize the data into a standard distribution with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1, eliminating the influence of the dimension and facilitating the calculation of cross-correlation.
D3、k-means聚类。D3. k-means clustering.
根据小区簇数量k进行k个聚类中心的初始化,根据多个第二小区中任意两个小区之间的距离(例如欧式距离)作为度量,对训练集中的全部第二小区的历史通信负荷数据进行k-means聚类,训练直至收敛。K cluster centers are initialized according to the number of cell clusters k, and the distance between any two cells in the multiple second cells (such as Euclidean distance) is used as a metric to perform k-means clustering on the historical communication load data of all second cells in the training set, and the training is performed until convergence.
在一些实施例中,聚类过程还可以包括:D4、聚类可视化以及计算互相关性。In some embodiments, the clustering process may further include: D4, cluster visualization, and calculation of mutual correlations.
可以理解的是,聚类过程可视化,便于工作人员观察聚类情况。统计聚类过程中每个簇中小区的数量与类型(例如S201中所描述的小区的类型),并计算聚类结果的互相关性,以衡 量该k-means聚类算法在该数据集上表现的精度。It is understandable that the clustering process is visualized to facilitate staff to observe the clustering situation. The number and type of cells in each cluster (such as the type of cells described in S201) are counted during the clustering process, and the correlation between the clustering results is calculated to measure the Measures the accuracy of the k-means clustering algorithm on the data set.
在一些实施例中,在预设聚类算法为k-shape聚类算法的情况下,聚类过程包括以下步骤。In some embodiments, when the preset clustering algorithm is a k-shape clustering algorithm, the clustering process includes the following steps.
E1、随机初始化生成聚类。E1. Randomly initialize and generate clusters.
确保使用相同的随机种子seed生成随机数,以保证每次随机生成的初始化聚类结果稳定性,即每次实验都具有相同的初始簇选择与分布。Make sure to use the same random seed to generate random numbers to ensure the stability of the initial clustering results each time, that is, each experiment has the same initial cluster selection and distribution.
E2、使用TimeSeriesScalerMeanVariance方法将数据规范化为均值为0、标准差为1的标准分布,消除量纲的影响,便于计算互相关性。E2. Use the TimeSeriesScalerMeanVariance method to normalize the data into a standard distribution with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1 to eliminate the impact of the dimension and facilitate the calculation of cross-correlation.
E3、k-shape聚类。E3. k-shape clustering.
根据聚类数量k进行k个聚类中心的初始化,使用基于互相关测量的距离测度(shape-based distance,SBD)距离作为度量,对训练集中的多个第一小区的时序数据进行k-shape聚类,训练直至收敛。According to the number of clusters k, k cluster centers are initialized, and the shape-based distance (SBD) distance based on cross-correlation measurement is used as the metric to perform k-shape clustering on the time series data of multiple first cells in the training set, and the training is carried out until convergence.
对于两个时间序列Seq1=(x1,x2,……,xn)和Seq2=(y1,y2,……,ym),互相关测度是一种统计度量,即使Seq1和Seq2两个时间序列没有对齐,也可以用互相关测度来确定Seq1和Seq2两个时间序列的相似度。For two time series Seq 1 = (x 1 , x 2 , …, x n ) and Seq 2 = (y 1 , y 2 , …, y m ), the cross-correlation measure is a statistical metric. Even if the two time series Seq 1 and Seq 2 are not aligned, the cross-correlation measure can be used to determine the similarity between the two time series Seq 1 and Seq 2 .
为了实现平移不变性,计算互相关时保持Seq2序列不变,并将Seq1在Seq2上滑动,计算Seq1的每一个位移的内积,记为CCw(Seq1,Seq2)=Rw-m(Seq1,Seq2),w∈1,2,……,2m-1,Rw-m(Seq1,Seq2)的计算方式可以由以下公式表示。
In order to achieve translation invariance, Seq 2 is kept unchanged when calculating the cross-correlation, and Seq 1 is slid on Seq 2 to calculate the inner product of each displacement of Seq 1 , which is recorded as CCw(Seq 1 ,Seq 2 )=R wm (Seq 1 ,Seq 2 ),w∈1,2,……,2m-1. The calculation method of R wm (Seq 1 ,Seq 2 ) can be expressed by the following formula.
目标是计算得到使CCw(Seq1,Seq2)最大的w,即可得到Seq1相对于Seq2的最佳移动。The goal is to calculate w that maximizes CCw(Seq 1 , Seq 2 ), that is, to obtain the best move of Seq 1 relative to Seq 2 .
在一些实施例中,SBD距离的计算方法由以下公式表示。
In some embodiments, the calculation method of the SBD distance is represented by the following formula.
在一些实施例中,聚类过程还可以包括:E4、聚类可视化以及计算互相关性。In some embodiments, the clustering process may further include: E4, cluster visualization and calculation of mutual correlation.
可以理解的是,聚类过程可视化,便于网络管理人员观察聚类情况,统计聚类过程中每个簇中小区的数量与类型,并计算聚类结果的互相关性,以衡量该k-shape聚类算法在该数据集上表现的精度。It can be understood that the clustering process is visualized, which makes it easier for network managers to observe the clustering situation, count the number and type of cells in each cluster during the clustering process, and calculate the cross-correlation of the clustering results to measure the accuracy of the k-shape clustering algorithm on the data set.
需要说明的是,k-shape聚类算法相对于k-means聚类算法,适用于习得的是负荷变化趋势,而可以忽略负荷绝对值大小影响的负荷场景。It should be noted that, compared with the k-means clustering algorithm, the k-shape clustering algorithm is suitable for load scenarios where the load change trend is learned and the influence of the absolute value of the load can be ignored.
在一些实施例中,若上述S2022中确定多个第二小区中任意两个小区之间的距离采用的预设距离算法为欧式距离算法,则后续对于多个第二小区进行聚类是可以采用k-means聚类算法。若上述S2022中确定任意两个小区之间的距离采用的预设距离算法为DTW距离算法,则后续对于多个第二小区进行聚类可以采用k-shape聚类算法。In some embodiments, if the preset distance algorithm used to determine the distance between any two cells in the plurality of second cells in S2022 is the Euclidean distance algorithm, then the k-means clustering algorithm may be used for clustering the plurality of second cells. If the preset distance algorithm used to determine the distance between any two cells in S2022 is the DTW distance algorithm, then the k-shape clustering algorithm may be used for clustering the plurality of second cells.
可以理解的是,DTW距离算法对于算力资源的要求高于欧式距离算法对于算力资源的要求。在对于聚类结果具有高精度要求、且具有高算力的计算设备的场景下,可以采用DTW距离算法。若未对聚类结果具有高精度要求,和/或未具有高算力的计算设备的场景下,则可以采用欧式距离算法。It is understandable that the DTW distance algorithm has higher requirements for computing resources than the Euclidean distance algorithm. In scenarios where there are high-precision requirements for clustering results and computing devices with high computing power, the DTW distance algorithm can be used. If there are no high-precision requirements for clustering results and/or no computing devices with high computing power, the Euclidean distance algorithm can be used.
如此,完成了基于小区簇数量以及多个第二小区中任意两个小区之间的距离对多个第二小区进行聚类,得到至少一个小区簇。上述目标小区簇为至少一个小区簇中的一个。 In this way, clustering of the plurality of second cells based on the number of cell clusters and the distance between any two cells in the plurality of second cells is completed to obtain at least one cell cluster. The target cell cluster is one of the at least one cell cluster.
在一些实施例中,若某一个小区簇中的小区数量过少,例如该小区簇中仅包括两个小区,则为该小区簇统一建立通信负荷预测模型的意义不大,通信负荷预测装置可以将该小区簇中所包括的至少一个小区视作离群点并进行标记,以便于网络管理人员有针对性的对该小区簇所包括的至少一个小区进行负荷控制策略的调整。同时,通信负荷预测装置可以根据该小区簇中的每一个小区的历史通信负荷数据,建立每一个小区对应的通信负荷预测模型,以便于后续为该小区簇中的每个小区制定每个小区对应的负荷控制策略。In some embodiments, if the number of cells in a cell cluster is too small, for example, the cell cluster includes only two cells, it is not meaningful to establish a unified communication load prediction model for the cell cluster. The communication load prediction device can regard at least one cell included in the cell cluster as an outlier and mark it, so that the network management personnel can adjust the load control strategy of at least one cell included in the cell cluster in a targeted manner. At the same time, the communication load prediction device can establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to each cell based on the historical communication load data of each cell in the cell cluster, so as to formulate a load control strategy corresponding to each cell in the cell cluster.
在一些实施例中,若通信负荷预测装置识别出某一个小区的连接用户过少,通信负荷预测装置可以发出用于提示对该小区修改组网或天线覆盖的提示信息,以提示网络管理人员对该小区进行相应处理。In some embodiments, if the communication load prediction device identifies that a cell has too few connected users, the communication load prediction device may issue a prompt message to modify the networking or antenna coverage of the cell, so as to prompt the network administrator to take corresponding measures for the cell.
上述实施例介绍了如何对多个第二小区进行聚类得到至少一个小区簇的过程。在一些实施例中,本公开实施例提供的一种通信负荷预测方法,在确定了至少一个小区簇后,若第一小区为新加入上述图1所示的通信系统的小区时,需要确定该第一小区所属的小区簇。如图6所示,该方法还包括以下步骤。The above embodiment introduces the process of how to cluster multiple second cells to obtain at least one cell cluster. In some embodiments, a communication load prediction method provided by the embodiment of the present disclosure, after determining at least one cell cluster, if the first cell is a cell newly added to the communication system shown in Figure 1 above, it is necessary to determine the cell cluster to which the first cell belongs. As shown in Figure 6, the method also includes the following steps.
S301、获取第一小区的历史通信负荷数据。S301. Obtain historical communication load data of the first cell.
在一些实施例中,当第一小区加入图1所示的通信系统时,通信负荷预测装置可以通过第一小区所属的基站获取到第一小区在多个历史时刻的通信负荷数据,进而对该第一小区在多个历史时刻的通信负荷数据进行上述S201所述的预处理,得到该第一小区的历史通信负荷数据。In some embodiments, when the first cell joins the communication system shown in Figure 1, the communication load prediction device can obtain the communication load data of the first cell at multiple historical moments through the base station to which the first cell belongs, and then perform the preprocessing described in S201 on the communication load data of the first cell at multiple historical moments to obtain the historical communication load data of the first cell.
在一些实施例中,当第一小区加入图1所示的通信系统时,第一小区所属的基站主动向通信负荷预测装置上报该第一小区在多个历史时刻的通信负荷数据,通信负荷预测模型对该第一小区在多个历史时刻的通信负荷数据进行上述S201所述的预处理,得到该第一小区的历史通信负荷数据。In some embodiments, when the first cell joins the communication system shown in Figure 1, the base station to which the first cell belongs actively reports the communication load data of the first cell at multiple historical moments to the communication load prediction device, and the communication load prediction model performs the preprocessing described in S201 on the communication load data of the first cell at multiple historical moments to obtain the historical communication load data of the first cell.
示例性地,多个历史时刻为28天。Exemplarily, the plurality of historical moments is 28 days.
S302、基于第一小区的历史通信负荷数据,确定第一小区与各个小区簇的簇中心的距离。S302: Determine the distance between the first cell and the cluster center of each cell cluster based on the historical communication load data of the first cell.
在一些实施例中,通信负荷预测装置在获取到第一小区的历史通信负荷数据之后,可以基于第一小区的历史通信负荷数据和预设距离算法,确定第一小区与各个小区簇的簇中心的距离,也即确定第一小区与各个小区的簇中心之间的相似度。In some embodiments, after acquiring the historical communication load data of the first cell, the communication load prediction device can determine the distance between the first cell and the cluster center of each cell cluster based on the historical communication load data of the first cell and a preset distance algorithm, that is, determine the similarity between the first cell and the cluster center of each cell.
关于通信负荷预测装置如何基于第一小区的历史通信负荷数据和预设距离算法,确定第一小区与各个小区簇的簇中心的距离的描述,可以参照上述S2022中关于如何确定两个第二小区之间的距离的描述,在此不予赘述。For the description of how the communication load prediction device determines the distance between the first cell and the cluster center of each cell cluster based on the historical communication load data of the first cell and a preset distance algorithm, please refer to the description of how to determine the distance between two second cells in S2022 above, which will not be repeated here.
S303、以簇中心与第一小区距离最近的小区簇作为第一小区所属的小区簇。S303: Take the cell cluster whose cluster center is closest to the first cell as the cell cluster to which the first cell belongs.
可以理解的是,若第一小区与某个小区簇的簇中心的距离最近,代表第一小区与该小区簇的簇中心的相似度最高,故可以以簇中心与第一小区距离最近的小区簇作为第一小区所属的小区簇。It can be understood that if the first cell is closest to the cluster center of a cell cluster, it means that the first cell has the highest similarity with the cluster center of the cell cluster. Therefore, the cell cluster whose cluster center is closest to the first cell can be used as the cell cluster to which the first cell belongs.
上述实施例介绍了目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型的使用过程、对多个第二小区的聚类过程以及确定一个小区所属的小区簇的确定过程。在一些实施例中,本公开实施例提供的一种通信负荷预测方法还涉及对于目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型的建立过程,如图7所示,该方法还包括以下步骤。The above embodiments introduce the use process of the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster, the clustering process of multiple second cells, and the determination process of the cell cluster to which a cell belongs. In some embodiments, a communication load prediction method provided by an embodiment of the present disclosure also involves the establishment process of the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster, as shown in FIG7 , the method also includes the following steps.
S401、基于目标小区簇的簇中心,从目标小区簇中确定符合预设条件的小区。 S401. Determine a cell that meets a preset condition from the target cell cluster based on the cluster center of the target cell cluster.
在一些实施例中,为了提升目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型建立的速率,通信负荷预测装置可以基于目标小区簇的簇中心,从目标小区簇中确定符合预设条件的小区。进而根据目标小区簇中符合预设条件的小区的历史通信负荷数据,建立目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型,如此,能够降低通信负荷预测模型的数据集中的数据量,提升通信负荷预测模型建立的速率。In some embodiments, in order to improve the rate at which the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is established, the communication load prediction device can determine the cells that meet the preset conditions from the target cell cluster based on the cluster center of the target cell cluster. Then, based on the historical communication load data of the cells that meet the preset conditions in the target cell cluster, a communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is established, so that the amount of data in the data set of the communication load prediction model can be reduced, and the rate at which the communication load prediction model is established can be improved.
在一些实施例中,如图8所示,S401例如可以实现为以下步骤。In some embodiments, as shown in FIG. 8 , S401 may be implemented as the following steps, for example.
S4011、确定目标小区簇中各个小区与簇中心之间的距离。S4011. Determine the distance between each cell in the target cell cluster and the cluster center.
关于S4011中如何确定目标小区簇中各个小区与簇中心之间的距离的描述,可以参照上述S2022中关于如何确定两个小区之间的距离的描述,在此不予赘述。For the description of how to determine the distance between each cell in the target cell cluster and the cluster center in S4011, reference may be made to the description of how to determine the distance between two cells in S2022, which will not be described in detail here.
S4012、将目标小区簇中所有与簇中心的距离小于或等于预设阈值的小区均作为符合预设条件的小区。S4012: All cells in the target cell cluster whose distances to the cluster center are less than or equal to a preset threshold are regarded as cells meeting a preset condition.
预设阈值可以是网络管理人员预先设定的。The preset threshold may be preset by a network administrator.
可以理解的是,一个小区与簇中心的距离越近,也即该小区与簇中心的相似度越高,说明该小区在通信负荷上的变化趋势对于该簇中心对应的目标小区簇中的至少一个小区来说具有代表性,也就是该小区的通信负荷变化趋势能够代表目标小区簇中的其他小区在通信负荷变化趋势,故可以将目标小区簇中所有与簇中心的距离小于或等于预设阈值的小区均作为符合预设条件的小区。It can be understood that the closer a cell is to the cluster center, that is, the higher the similarity between the cell and the cluster center, the more representative the change trend of the cell's communication load is for at least one cell in the target cell cluster corresponding to the cluster center. In other words, the change trend of the cell's communication load can represent the change trend of the communication load of other cells in the target cell cluster. Therefore, all cells in the target cell cluster whose distance to the cluster center is less than or equal to the preset threshold can be regarded as cells that meet the preset conditions.
在一些实施例中,如图9所示,S401例如还可以实现为以下步骤。In some embodiments, as shown in FIG. 9 , S401 may also be implemented as the following steps, for example.
S4013、确定目标小区簇中各个小区与簇中心之间的距离。S4013: Determine the distance between each cell in the target cell cluster and the cluster center.
同样地,关于S4013中如何确定目标小区簇中各个小区与簇中心之间的距离的描述,可以参照上述S2022中关于如何确定两个小区之间的距离的描述,在此不予赘述。Similarly, for the description of how to determine the distance between each cell in the target cell cluster and the cluster center in S4013, reference may be made to the description of how to determine the distance between two cells in S2022, which will not be repeated here.
S4014、将目标小区簇中与簇中心距离最近的前N个小区作为符合预设条件的小区。S4014: Take the first N cells in the target cell cluster that are closest to the cluster center as cells that meet the preset conditions.
N为正整数,例如,N为2。N is a positive integer, for example, N is 2.
可以理解的是,一个小区与簇中心的距离越近,也即该小区与簇中心的相似度越高,说明该小区在通信负荷上的变化趋势对于该簇中心对应的目标小区簇中的至少一个小区来说具有代表性,也就是该小区的通信负荷变化趋势从一定程度上能够反映出目标小区簇中的其他小区在通信负荷变化趋势。而目标小区簇中与簇中心距离最近的前N个小区的通信负荷变化趋势,能够代表目标小区簇中的至少一个小区在通信负荷上的变化趋势。故可以将目标小区簇中与簇中心距离最近的前N个小区作为符合预设条件的小区。It can be understood that the closer a cell is to the cluster center, that is, the higher the similarity between the cell and the cluster center, the more representative the change trend of the communication load of the cell is for at least one cell in the target cell cluster corresponding to the cluster center, that is, the change trend of the communication load of the cell can reflect the change trend of the communication load of other cells in the target cell cluster to a certain extent. The change trend of the communication load of the first N cells closest to the cluster center in the target cell cluster can represent the change trend of the communication load of at least one cell in the target cell cluster. Therefore, the first N cells closest to the cluster center in the target cell cluster can be regarded as cells that meet the preset conditions.
S402、基于符合预设条件的小区的历史通信负荷数据,建立目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型。S402: Establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster based on historical communication load data of cells that meet preset conditions.
在一些实施例中,如图10所示,S402例如可以实现为以下步骤。In some embodiments, as shown in FIG. 10 , S402 may be implemented as the following steps, for example.
S4021、以符合预设条件的小区的历史通信负荷数据,生成多个训练样本。S4021. Generate multiple training samples based on historical communication load data of cells that meet preset conditions.
在一些实施例中,在确定符合预设条件的小区之后,可以对符合预设条件的小区的历史通信负荷数据进行包括但不限于人工调整策略、基于划窗滤波的负荷预测方法以及基于机器学习的负荷预测方法等建模处理,生成多个训练样本,以达到优化预设条件的小区的历史通信负荷数据、强化预设条件的小区的历史通信负荷数据的特征以提高后续训练完成的通信负荷预测模型的泛化性能的作用。 In some embodiments, after determining the cells that meet the preset conditions, the historical communication load data of the cells that meet the preset conditions can be modeled and processed, including but not limited to manual adjustment strategies, load prediction methods based on window filtering, and load prediction methods based on machine learning, to generate multiple training samples, so as to optimize the historical communication load data of the cells that meet the preset conditions, strengthen the characteristics of the historical communication load data of the cells that meet the preset conditions, and improve the generalization performance of the communication load prediction model completed by subsequent training.
S4022、基于多个训练样本,对初始模型进行训练,得到训练完成的目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型。S4022: Based on multiple training samples, train the initial model to obtain a communication load prediction model corresponding to the trained target cell cluster.
基于多个训练样本,对初始模型进行训练,直至初始模型的误差收敛,得到训练完成的目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型。Based on multiple training samples, the initial model is trained until the error of the initial model converges, and a communication load prediction model corresponding to the trained target cell cluster is obtained.
在一些实施例中,通信负荷预测模型是基于长短时神经网络(long short-term memory networks,LSTM)构建的。In some embodiments, the communication load prediction model is built based on long short-term memory networks (LSTM).
在一些实施例中,在目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型训练完成之后,通信负荷预测装置可以向目标小区簇所包括的至少一个小区中的每一个小区发送通信负荷预测模型。In some embodiments, after the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is trained, the communication load prediction device may send the communication load prediction model to each cell of at least one cell included in the target cell cluster.
一个小区在接收到通信负荷预测装置发送的通信负荷预测模型后,可以结合自身的实时通信负荷数据,对通信负荷预测模型的参数进行数值还原,进而将数值还原后的通信负荷预测模型作为本小区的通信负荷预测模型并进行存储,以便于后续为该小区制定负荷控制策略时使用。After receiving the communication load prediction model sent by the communication load prediction device, a cell can combine its own real-time communication load data to numerically restore the parameters of the communication load prediction model, and then use the numerically restored communication load prediction model as the communication load prediction model of the cell and store it for use in subsequent formulation of load control strategies for the cell.
基于图8所示的实施例至少带来以下有益效果:可以理解的是,一个小区簇中的各个小区是经过聚类得到的,代表一个小区簇中的各个小区在通信负荷变化趋势上的相似度较高。一个小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型是基于该小区簇中符合预设条件的小区的历史通信负荷数据构建的,而符合预设条件的小区在通信负荷上的变化趋势对于该小区簇中的各个小区来说具有代表性,故可以将符合预设条件的小区的历史通信负荷数据作为该小区簇中的各个小区的历史通信负荷数据的代表来构建该小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型。进而该小区簇中的各个小区可以共用该小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型进行通信负荷的预测,无需针对每一个小区来建立每个小区对应的通信负荷预测模型,降低了算力资源的消耗。Based on the embodiment shown in FIG8 , at least the following beneficial effects are brought about: It can be understood that each cell in a cell cluster is obtained through clustering, which means that each cell in a cell cluster has a high similarity in the communication load change trend. The communication load prediction model corresponding to a cell cluster is constructed based on the historical communication load data of the cells in the cell cluster that meet the preset conditions, and the change trend of the communication load of the cells that meet the preset conditions is representative for each cell in the cell cluster, so the historical communication load data of the cells that meet the preset conditions can be used as a representative of the historical communication load data of each cell in the cell cluster to construct the communication load prediction model corresponding to the cell cluster. In addition, each cell in the cell cluster can share the communication load prediction model corresponding to the cell cluster to predict the communication load, without having to establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to each cell for each cell, thereby reducing the consumption of computing resources.
上述主要从方法的角度对本公开实施例提供的方案进行了介绍。为了实现上述功能,其包含了执行各个功能相应的硬件结构和/或软件模块。本领域技术人员应该很容易意识到,结合本文中所公开的实施例描述的各示例的单元及算法步骤,本公开能够以硬件或硬件和计算机软件的结合形式来实现。某个功能究竟以硬件还是计算机软件驱动硬件的方式来执行,取决于技术方案的特定应用和设计约束条件。专业技术人员可以对每个特定的应用来使用不同方法来实现所描述的功能,但是这种实现不应认为超出本公开的范围。The above mainly introduces the solution provided by the embodiment of the present disclosure from the perspective of the method. In order to achieve the above functions, it includes hardware structures and/or software modules corresponding to the execution of each function. Those skilled in the art should easily realize that, in combination with the units and algorithm steps of each example described in the embodiment disclosed in this article, the present disclosure can be implemented in the form of hardware or a combination of hardware and computer software. Whether a function is executed in the form of hardware or computer software driving hardware depends on the specific application and design constraints of the technical solution. Professional and technical personnel can use different methods to implement the described functions for each specific application, but such implementation should not be considered to exceed the scope of the present disclosure.
图11为根据一些实施例的一种通信负荷预测装置的组成示意图。该通信负荷预测装置用于执行上述所述的通信负荷预测方法。该通信负荷预测装置2000包括通信单元2001和处理单元2002。在一些实施例中,上述通信负荷预测装置2000还可以包括存储单元2003。FIG11 is a schematic diagram of the composition of a communication load prediction device according to some embodiments. The communication load prediction device is used to execute the communication load prediction method described above. The communication load prediction device 2000 includes a communication unit 2001 and a processing unit 2002. In some embodiments, the communication load prediction device 2000 may also include a storage unit 2003.
在一些实施例中,通信单元2001用于获取第一小区的实时通信负荷数据。In some embodiments, the communication unit 2001 is used to obtain real-time communication load data of the first cell.
处理单元2002,用于基于第一小区的实时通信负荷数据以及第一小区所属的目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型,得到通信负荷预测结果,目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型基于目标小区簇中至少一个小区的历史通信负荷数据来构建得到。Processing unit 2002 is used to obtain a communication load prediction result based on the real-time communication load data of the first cell and the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster to which the first cell belongs. The communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is constructed based on the historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster.
在一些实施例中,上述处理单元2002,还用于基于目标小区簇的簇中心,从目标小区簇中确定符合预设条件的小区;基于符合预设条件的小区的历史通信负荷数据,建立目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型。In some embodiments, the processing unit 2002 is further used to determine cells meeting preset conditions from the target cell cluster based on the cluster center of the target cell cluster; and to establish a communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster based on historical communication load data of the cells meeting the preset conditions.
在一些实施例中,上述处理单元2002,用于:确定目标小区簇中各个小区与簇中心之间的距离;将目标小区簇中所有与簇中心的距离小于或等于预设阈值的小区均作为符合预设条件的小区。 In some embodiments, the processing unit 2002 is used to: determine the distance between each cell in the target cell cluster and the cluster center; and take all cells in the target cell cluster whose distance to the cluster center is less than or equal to a preset threshold as cells meeting preset conditions.
在一些实施例中,上述处理单元2002,用于:确定目标小区簇中各个小区与簇中心之间的距离;将目标小区簇中与簇中心距离最近的前N个小区作为符合预设条件的小区,N为正整数。In some embodiments, the processing unit 2002 is used to: determine the distance between each cell in the target cell cluster and the cluster center; and take the first N cells in the target cell cluster that are closest to the cluster center as cells that meet preset conditions, where N is a positive integer.
在一些实施例中,上述处理单元2002,用于:以符合预设条件的小区的历史通信负荷数据,生成多个训练样本;基于多个训练样本,对初始模型进行训练,得到训练完成的目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型。In some embodiments, the processing unit 2002 is used to: generate multiple training samples based on historical communication load data of cells that meet preset conditions; train the initial model based on the multiple training samples to obtain a communication load prediction model corresponding to the trained target cell cluster.
在一些实施例中,上述通信负荷预测模型是基于长短时神经网络构建的。In some embodiments, the communication load prediction model is constructed based on a long-short time neural network.
在一些实施例中,上述通信单元2001,还用于获取第一小区的历史通信负荷数据。In some embodiments, the communication unit 2001 is further used to obtain historical communication load data of the first cell.
上述处理单元2002,还用于:基于第一小区的历史通信负荷数据,确定第一小区与各个小区簇的簇中心的距离;以簇中心与第一小区距离最近的小区簇作为第一小区所属的小区簇。The processing unit 2002 is further configured to: determine the distance between the first cell and the cluster center of each cell cluster based on the historical communication load data of the first cell; and take the cell cluster whose cluster center is closest to the first cell as the cell cluster to which the first cell belongs.
在一些实施例中,上述通信单元2001,还用于获取多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据,第一小区为多个第二小区中的一个。In some embodiments, the communication unit 2001 is further used to obtain historical communication load data of multiple second cells, and the first cell is one of the multiple second cells.
上述处理单元2002,还用于:基于多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据,对多个第二小区进行聚类处理,得到至少一个小区簇,目标小区簇为至少一个小区簇中的一个。The processing unit 2002 is further configured to: perform clustering processing on the multiple second cells based on historical communication load data of the multiple second cells to obtain at least one cell cluster, wherein the target cell cluster is one of the at least one cell cluster.
在一些实施例中,上述处理单元2002,用于:基于多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据,确定小区簇数量;对于多个第二小区中任意两个小区,基于两个小区的历史通信负荷数据,确定两个第二小区之间的距离,两个第二小区之间的距离用于表征两个第二小区在通信负荷变化趋势上的相似度;基于小区簇数量以及多个第二小区中任意两个第二小区之间的距离,对多个第二小区进行聚类处理,得到至少一个小区簇。In some embodiments, the processing unit 2002 is used to: determine the number of cell clusters based on historical communication load data of multiple second cells; for any two cells among the multiple second cells, determine the distance between the two second cells based on the historical communication load data of the two cells, and the distance between the two second cells is used to characterize the similarity between the two second cells in the communication load change trend; based on the number of cell clusters and the distance between any two second cells among the multiple second cells, cluster the multiple second cells to obtain at least one cell cluster.
在一些实施例中,上述实时通信负荷数据包括以下数据类型中的一种或多种:新空口NR载波无线资源控制RRC连接数、NR载波上行物理资源块PRB使用率、NR载波下行PRB利用率、小区组上行PRB利用率、小区组下行PRB利用率、长期演进LTE动态频谱共享DSS小区组上行PRB使用数、LTE DSS小区组下行PRB使用数、LTE DSS小区组RRC连接数、LTE小区上行PRB使用数、LTE小区下行PRB使用数和LTE小区RRC连接数。In some embodiments, the above-mentioned real-time communication load data includes one or more of the following data types: the number of new radio interface NR carrier radio resource control RRC connections, the NR carrier uplink physical resource block PRB utilization rate, the NR carrier downlink PRB utilization rate, the cell group uplink PRB utilization rate, the cell group downlink PRB utilization rate, the Long Term Evolution LTE dynamic spectrum sharing DSS cell group uplink PRB usage number, the LTE DSS cell group downlink PRB usage number, the LTE DSS cell group RRC connection number, the LTE cell uplink PRB usage number, the LTE cell downlink PRB usage number and the LTE cell RRC connection number.
在一些实施例中,存储单元2003,用于存储第一小区的实时通信负荷数据。In some embodiments, the storage unit 2003 is used to store real-time communication load data of the first cell.
在一些实施例中,存储单元2003,还用于存储各个小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型。In some embodiments, the storage unit 2003 is also used to store the communication load prediction model corresponding to each cell cluster.
在一些实施例中,存储单元2003,还用于存储各个小区的历史通信负荷数据。In some embodiments, the storage unit 2003 is also used to store historical communication load data of each cell.
图11中的单元也可以称为模块。例如,处理单元可以称为处理模块。The units in Fig. 11 may also be referred to as modules. For example, a processing unit may be referred to as a processing module.
图11中的各个单元如果以软件功能模块的形式实现并作为独立的产品销售或使用时,可以存储在一个计算机可读取存储介质中。基于这样的理解,本公开实施例的技术方案本质上或者说对现有技术做出贡献的部分或者该技术方案的全部或部分可以以软件产品的形式体现出来。该计算机软件产品存储在一个存储介质中,包括若干指令用以使得一台计算机设备(可以是个人计算机,服务器,或者网络设备等)或处理器(processor)执行本公开各个实施例所述方法的全部或部分步骤。存储计算机软件产品的存储介质包括:U盘、移动硬盘、只读存储器(read-only memory,ROM)、随机存取存储器(random access memory,RAM)、磁碟或者光盘等各种可以存储程序代码的介质。If the various units in FIG. 11 are implemented in the form of software function modules and sold or used as independent products, they can be stored in a computer-readable storage medium. Based on this understanding, the technical solution of the embodiment of the present disclosure is essentially or the part that contributes to the prior art or all or part of the technical solution can be embodied in the form of a software product. The computer software product is stored in a storage medium, including several instructions for a computer device (which can be a personal computer, a server, or a network device, etc.) or a processor (processor) to perform all or part of the steps of the method described in each embodiment of the present disclosure. The storage medium for storing computer software products includes: U disk, mobile hard disk, read-only memory (ROM), random access memory (RAM), disk or optical disk, etc. Various media that can store program codes.
在采用硬件的形式实现上述集成的模块的功能的情况下,本公开实施例提供了一种电子设备的结构示意图,该电子设备可以是上述通信负荷预测装置。如图12所示,该电子设备3000 包括:处理器3002,通信接口3003以及总线3004。在一些实施例中,电子设备还可以包括存储器3001。In the case of implementing the functions of the above-mentioned integrated modules in the form of hardware, the embodiment of the present disclosure provides a structural schematic diagram of an electronic device, which may be the above-mentioned communication load prediction device. As shown in FIG. 12 , the electronic device 3000 The electronic device includes: a processor 3002 , a communication interface 3003 and a bus 3004 . In some embodiments, the electronic device may further include a memory 3001 .
处理器3002,可以是实现或执行结合本公开公开内容所描述的各种示例性的逻辑方框,模块和电路。该处理器3002可以是中央处理器,通用处理器,数字信号处理器,专用集成电路,现场可编程门阵列或者其他可编程逻辑器件、晶体管逻辑器件、硬件部件或者其任意组合。处理器3002可以实现或执行结合本公开公开内容所描述的各种示例性的逻辑方框,模块和电路。所述处理器3002也可以是实现计算功能的组合,例如包含一个或多个微处理器组合,DSP和微处理器的组合等。The processor 3002 may be a device that implements or executes various exemplary logic blocks, modules, and circuits described in conjunction with the disclosure of the present disclosure. The processor 3002 may be a central processing unit, a general-purpose processor, a digital signal processor, an application-specific integrated circuit, a field programmable gate array, or other programmable logic devices, transistor logic devices, hardware components, or any combination thereof. The processor 3002 may be a device that implements or executes various exemplary logic blocks, modules, and circuits described in conjunction with the disclosure of the present disclosure. The processor 3002 may also be a combination that implements computing functions, such as a combination of one or more microprocessors, a combination of a DSP and a microprocessor, and the like.
通信接口3003,用于与其他设备通过通信网络连接。该通信网络可以是以太网、无线接入网、无线局域网(wireless local area networks,WLAN)等。The communication interface 3003 is used to connect with other devices through a communication network. The communication network can be Ethernet, wireless access network, wireless local area network (WLAN), etc.
存储器3001,可以是只读存储器(read-only memory,ROM)或可存储静态信息和指令的其他类型的静态存储设备,随机存取存储器(random access memory,RAM)或者可存储信息和指令的其他类型的动态存储设备,也可以是电可擦可编程只读存储器(electrically erasable programmable read-only memory,EEPROM)、磁盘存储介质或者其他磁存储设备、或者能够用于携带或存储具有指令或数据结构形式的期望的程序代码并能够由计算机存取的任何其他介质,但不限于此。The memory 3001 may be a read-only memory (ROM) or other types of static storage devices that can store static information and instructions, a random access memory (RAM) or other types of dynamic storage devices that can store information and instructions, or an electrically erasable programmable read-only memory (EEPROM), a disk storage medium or other magnetic storage device, or any other medium that can be used to carry or store desired program codes in the form of instructions or data structures and can be accessed by a computer, but is not limited to these.
作为一种示例,存储器3001可以独立于处理器3002存在,存储器3001也可以通过总线3004与处理器3002相连接,用于存储指令或者程序代码。处理器3002调用并执行存储器3001中存储的指令或程序代码时,能够实现本公开实施例提供的通信负荷预测方法。As an example, the memory 3001 may exist independently of the processor 3002, and the memory 3001 may also be connected to the processor 3002 via the bus 3004 to store instructions or program codes. When the processor 3002 calls and executes the instructions or program codes stored in the memory 3001, the communication load prediction method provided in the embodiment of the present disclosure can be implemented.
作为另一种示例,存储器3001也可以和处理器3002集成在一起。As another example, the memory 3001 may also be integrated with the processor 3002 .
总线3004,可以是扩展工业标准结构(extended industry standard architecture,EISA)总线等。总线3004可以分为地址总线、数据总线、控制总线等。为便于表示,图12中仅用一条粗线表示,但并不表示仅有一根总线或一种类型的总线。The bus 3004 may be an extended industry standard architecture (EISA) bus, etc. The bus 3004 may be divided into an address bus, a data bus, a control bus, etc. For ease of representation, FIG12 only uses one thick line, but does not mean that there is only one bus or one type of bus.
通过以上的实施方式的描述,所属领域的技术人员可以清楚地了解到,为描述的方便和简洁,仅以上述各功能模块的划分进行举例说明。在实际应用中,可以根据需要而将上述功能分配由不同的功能模块完成,即将通信负荷预测装置的内部结构划分成不同的功能模块,以完成以上描述的全部或者部分功能。Through the description of the above implementation mode, the technicians in the relevant field can clearly understand that for the convenience and simplicity of description, only the division of the above functional modules is used as an example. In practical applications, the above functions can be assigned to different functional modules as needed, that is, the internal structure of the communication load prediction device can be divided into different functional modules to complete all or part of the functions described above.
本公开实施例还提供了一种计算机可读存储介质。上述方法实施例中的全部或者部分流程可以由计算机指令来指示相关的硬件完成,该程序可存储于上述计算机可读存储介质中,该程序在执行时,可包括如上述各方法实施例的流程。计算机可读存储介质可以是前述任一实施例的或内存。上述计算机可读存储介质也可以是上述通信负荷预测装置的外部存储设备,例如上述通信负荷预测装置上配备的插接式硬盘,智能存储卡(smart media card,SMC),安全数字(secure digital,SD)卡,闪存卡(flash card)等。进一步地,上述计算机可读存储介质还可以既包括上述通信负荷预测装置的内部存储单元也包括外部存储设备。上述计算机可读存储介质用于存储上述计算机程序以及上述通信负荷预测装置所需的其他程序和数据。上述计算机可读存储介质还可以用于暂时地存储已经输出或者将要输出的数据。所述可读存储介质,包括非暂态计算机可读存储介质。The embodiment of the present disclosure also provides a computer-readable storage medium. All or part of the processes in the above method embodiments can be completed by computer instructions to instruct the relevant hardware, and the program can be stored in the above computer-readable storage medium. When the program is executed, it can include the processes of the above method embodiments. The computer-readable storage medium can be the memory or memory of any of the above embodiments. The above computer-readable storage medium can also be an external storage device of the above communication load prediction device, such as a plug-in hard disk, a smart memory card (smart media card, SMC), a secure digital (secure digital, SD) card, a flash card (flash card), etc. equipped on the above communication load prediction device. Further, the above computer-readable storage medium can also include both the internal storage unit of the above communication load prediction device and an external storage device. The above computer-readable storage medium is used to store the above computer program and other programs and data required by the above communication load prediction device. The above computer-readable storage medium can also be used to temporarily store data that has been output or is to be output. The readable storage medium includes a non-transient computer-readable storage medium.
本公开实施例还提供一种计算机程序产品。该计算机产品包含计算机程序,当该计算机程 序产品在计算机上运行时,使得该计算机执行上述实施例中所提供的任一项通信负荷预测方法。The present disclosure also provides a computer program product. The computer product includes a computer program. When the program product runs on a computer, the computer executes any one of the communication load prediction methods provided in the above embodiments.
尽管在此结合各实施例对本公开进行了描述,然而,在实施所要求保护的本公开过程中,本领域技术人员通过查看附图、公开内容、以及所附权利要求书,可理解并实现公开实施例的其他变化。在权利要求中,“包括”(Comprising)一词不排除其他组成部分或步骤,“一”或“一个”不排除多个的情况。单个处理器或其他单元可以实现权利要求中列举的若干项功能。相互不同的从属权利要求中记载了某些措施,但这并不表示这些措施不能组合起来产生良好的效果。Although the present disclosure is described herein in conjunction with various embodiments, in the process of implementing the claimed disclosure, those skilled in the art may understand and implement other variations of the disclosed embodiments by viewing the drawings, the disclosure, and the appended claims. In the claims, the word "comprising" does not exclude other components or steps, and "one" or "an" does not exclude multiple situations. A single processor or other unit may implement several functions listed in a claim. Certain measures are recorded in different dependent claims, but this does not mean that these measures cannot be combined to produce good results.
尽管结合特征及其实施例对本公开进行了描述,显而易见的,在不脱离本公开的精神和范围的情况下,可对其进行各种修改和组合。相应地,本说明书和附图仅仅是所附权利要求所界定的本公开的示例性说明,且视为已覆盖本公开范围内的任意和所有修改、变化、组合或等同物。显然,本领域的技术人员可以对本公开进行各种改动和变型而不脱离本公开的精神和范围。这样,倘若本公开的这些修改和变型属于本公开权利要求及其等同技术的范围之内,则本公开也意图包含这些改动和变型在内。Although the present disclosure has been described in conjunction with features and embodiments thereof, it is apparent that various modifications and combinations may be made thereto without departing from the spirit and scope of the present disclosure. Accordingly, this specification and the drawings are merely exemplary illustrations of the present disclosure as defined by the appended claims, and are deemed to have covered any and all modifications, variations, combinations or equivalents within the scope of the present disclosure. Obviously, those skilled in the art may make various modifications and variations to the present disclosure without departing from the spirit and scope of the present disclosure. Thus, if these modifications and variations of the present disclosure fall within the scope of the claims of the present disclosure and their equivalents, the present disclosure is also intended to include these modifications and variations.
以上,仅为本公开的具体实施方式,但本公开的保护范围并不局限于此,任何在本公开揭露的技术范围内的变化或替换,都应涵盖在本公开的保护范围之内。因此,本公开的保护范围应该以权利要求的保护范围为准。 The above are only specific embodiments of the present disclosure, but the protection scope of the present disclosure is not limited thereto. Any changes or substitutions within the technical scope disclosed in the present disclosure should be included in the protection scope of the present disclosure. Therefore, the protection scope of the present disclosure should be based on the protection scope of the claims.

Claims (13)

  1. 一种通信负荷预测方法,包括:A communication load prediction method, comprising:
    获取第一小区的实时通信负荷数据;Acquire real-time communication load data of the first cell;
    基于所述第一小区的实时通信负荷数据以及所述第一小区所属的目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型,得到通信负荷预测结果,所述目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型基于所述目标小区簇中至少一个小区的历史通信负荷数据来构建得到。A communication load prediction result is obtained based on the real-time communication load data of the first cell and the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster to which the first cell belongs. The communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is constructed based on the historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster.
  2. 根据权利要求1所述的方法,其中,所述目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型通过以下步骤来构建:The method according to claim 1, wherein the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is constructed by the following steps:
    基于所述目标小区簇的簇中心,从所述目标小区簇中确定符合预设条件的小区;Based on the cluster center of the target cell cluster, determining a cell that meets a preset condition from the target cell cluster;
    基于所述符合预设条件的小区的历史通信负荷数据,建立所述目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型。Based on the historical communication load data of the cells meeting the preset conditions, a communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is established.
  3. 根据权利要求2所述的方法,其中,所述基于所述目标小区簇的簇中心,从所述目标小区簇中确定符合预设条件的小区,包括:The method according to claim 2, wherein the determining, based on the cluster center of the target cell cluster, a cell that meets a preset condition from the target cell cluster comprises:
    确定所述目标小区簇中各个小区与所述簇中心之间的距离;Determining the distance between each cell in the target cell cluster and the cluster center;
    将所述目标小区簇中所有与所述簇中心的距离小于或等于预设阈值的小区均作为所述符合预设条件的小区。All cells in the target cell cluster whose distances from the cluster center are less than or equal to a preset threshold are taken as cells meeting the preset condition.
  4. 根据权利要求2所述的方法,其中,所述基于所述目标小区簇的簇中心,从所述目标小区簇中确定符合预设条件的小区,包括:The method according to claim 2, wherein the determining, based on the cluster center of the target cell cluster, a cell that meets a preset condition from the target cell cluster comprises:
    确定所述目标小区簇中各个小区与所述簇中心之间的距离;Determining the distance between each cell in the target cell cluster and the cluster center;
    将所述目标小区簇中与所述簇中心距离最近的前N个小区作为所述符合预设条件的小区,N为正整数。The first N cells in the target cell cluster that are closest to the cluster center are used as the cells that meet the preset conditions, where N is a positive integer.
  5. 根据权利要求2至4任一项所述的方法,其中,所述基于所述符合预设条件的小区的历史通信负荷数据,建立所述目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型,包括:The method according to any one of claims 2 to 4, wherein the establishing the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster based on the historical communication load data of the cell that meets the preset conditions comprises:
    以所述符合预设条件的小区的历史通信负荷数据,生成多个训练样本;Generate multiple training samples using the historical communication load data of the cells meeting the preset conditions;
    基于所述多个训练样本,对初始模型进行训练,得到训练完成的所述目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型。Based on the multiple training samples, the initial model is trained to obtain a communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster that has been trained.
  6. 根据权利要求5所述的方法,其中,所述通信负荷预测模型是基于长短时神经网络构建的。The method according to claim 5, wherein the communication load prediction model is constructed based on a long-short time neural network.
  7. 根据权利要求1至4任一项所述的方法,还包括:The method according to any one of claims 1 to 4, further comprising:
    获取所述第一小区的历史通信负荷数据;Acquire historical communication load data of the first cell;
    基于所述第一小区的历史通信负荷数据,确定所述第一小区与各个小区簇的簇中心的距离;Determining, based on historical communication load data of the first cell, distances between the first cell and cluster centers of each cell cluster;
    以簇中心与所述第一小区距离最近的小区簇作为所述第一小区所属的小区簇。The cell cluster whose cluster center is closest to the first cell is used as the cell cluster to which the first cell belongs.
  8. 根据权利要求1至4任一项所述的方法,还包括:The method according to any one of claims 1 to 4, further comprising:
    获取多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据,所述第一小区为所述多个第二小区中的一个;Acquire historical communication load data of a plurality of second cells, the first cell being one of the plurality of second cells;
    基于所述多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据,对所述多个第二小区进行聚类处理,得到至少一个小区簇,所述目标小区簇为所述至少一个小区簇中的一个。Based on the historical communication load data of the plurality of second cells, clustering processing is performed on the plurality of second cells to obtain at least one cell cluster, and the target cell cluster is one of the at least one cell cluster.
  9. 根据权利要求8所述的方法,其中,所述基于所述多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据,对所述多个第二小区进行聚类处理,得到至少一个小区簇,包括:The method according to claim 8, wherein the clustering of the plurality of second cells based on the historical communication load data of the plurality of second cells to obtain at least one cell cluster comprises:
    基于所述多个第二小区的历史通信负荷数据,确定小区簇数量;determining the number of cell clusters based on the historical communication load data of the plurality of second cells;
    对于所述多个第二小区中任意两个小区,基于所述两个小区的历史通信负荷数据,确 定所述两个第二小区之间的距离,所述两个第二小区之间的距离用于表征两个第二小区在通信负荷变化趋势上的相似度;For any two cells among the plurality of second cells, based on the historical communication load data of the two cells, determine determining a distance between the two second cells, where the distance between the two second cells is used to characterize a similarity between the two second cells in a communication load change trend;
    基于所述小区簇数量以及所述多个第二小区中任意两个第二小区之间的距离,对所述多个第二小区进行聚类处理,得到所述至少一个小区簇。Based on the number of cell clusters and the distance between any two second cells in the multiple second cells, clustering processing is performed on the multiple second cells to obtain the at least one cell cluster.
  10. 根据权利要求1所述的方法,其中,所述实时通信负荷数据包括以下数据类型中的一种或多种:The method according to claim 1, wherein the real-time communication load data includes one or more of the following data types:
    新空口NR载波无线资源控制RRC连接数、NR载波上行物理资源块PRB使用率、NR载波下行PRB利用率、小区组上行PRB利用率、小区组下行PRB利用率、长期演进LTE动态频谱共享DSS小区组上行PRB使用数、LTE DSS小区组下行PRB使用数、LTE DSS小区组RRC连接数、LTE小区上行PRB使用数、LTE小区下行PRB使用数和LTE小区RRC连接数。Number of new air interface NR carrier radio resource control RRC connections, NR carrier uplink physical resource block PRB utilization rate, NR carrier downlink PRB utilization rate, cell group uplink PRB utilization rate, cell group downlink PRB utilization rate, Long Term Evolution LTE dynamic spectrum sharing DSS cell group uplink PRB usage number, LTE DSS cell group downlink PRB usage number, LTE DSS cell group RRC connections number, LTE cell uplink PRB usage number, LTE cell downlink PRB usage number and LTE cell RRC connections number.
  11. 一种通信负荷预测装置,包括:A communication load prediction device, comprising:
    通信单元,用于获取第一小区的实时通信负荷数据;A communication unit, configured to obtain real-time communication load data of the first cell;
    处理单元,用于基于所述第一小区的实时通信负荷数据以及所述第一小区所属的目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型,得到通信负荷预测结果,所述目标小区簇对应的通信负荷预测模型基于所述目标小区簇中至少一个小区的历史通信负荷数据来构建得到。A processing unit is used to obtain a communication load prediction result based on the real-time communication load data of the first cell and a communication load prediction model corresponding to a target cell cluster to which the first cell belongs, wherein the communication load prediction model corresponding to the target cell cluster is constructed based on historical communication load data of at least one cell in the target cell cluster.
  12. 一种电子设备,包括:处理器和用于存储所述处理器可执行指令的存储器;An electronic device comprises: a processor and a memory for storing instructions executable by the processor;
    其中,所述处理器被配置为执行所述指令,使得所述电子设备执行如权利要求1-10中任一项所述的通信负荷预测方法。The processor is configured to execute the instructions so that the electronic device performs the communication load prediction method as described in any one of claims 1-10.
  13. 一种计算机可读存储介质,其中,所述计算机可读存储介质上存储有计算机指令,当所述计算机指令在电子设备上运行时,使得所述电子设备执行如权利要求1-10中任一项所述的通信负荷预测方法。 A computer-readable storage medium, wherein computer instructions are stored on the computer-readable storage medium, and when the computer instructions are executed on an electronic device, the electronic device executes the communication load prediction method as described in any one of claims 1-10.
PCT/CN2023/118519 2022-09-29 2023-09-13 Communication load forecasting method and apparatus, device, and storage medium WO2024067093A1 (en)

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