WO2023155178A1 - 热带气旋影响下特定区域闪电特征研究方法及系统 - Google Patents
热带气旋影响下特定区域闪电特征研究方法及系统 Download PDFInfo
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- WO2023155178A1 WO2023155178A1 PCT/CN2022/076975 CN2022076975W WO2023155178A1 WO 2023155178 A1 WO2023155178 A1 WO 2023155178A1 CN 2022076975 W CN2022076975 W CN 2022076975W WO 2023155178 A1 WO2023155178 A1 WO 2023155178A1
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- G—PHYSICS
- G01—MEASURING; TESTING
- G01W—METEOROLOGY
- G01W1/00—Meteorology
- G01W1/10—Devices for predicting weather conditions
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- Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
- Y02—TECHNOLOGIES OR APPLICATIONS FOR MITIGATION OR ADAPTATION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
- Y02A—TECHNOLOGIES FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE
- Y02A90/00—Technologies having an indirect contribution to adaptation to climate change
- Y02A90/10—Information and communication technologies [ICT] supporting adaptation to climate change, e.g. for weather forecasting or climate simulation
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- the invention relates to a research method and system for lightning characteristics in a specific area under the influence of a tropical cyclone.
- Lightning is a strong discharge process that occurs between clouds or between clouds and the ground. It is also a serious natural disaster and has been rated as one of the ten most serious natural disasters. Forest and building fires caused by lightning not only cause huge economic losses, but also endanger people's lives.
- the invention provides a method for researching lightning characteristics in a specific area under the influence of a tropical cyclone, the method comprising the following steps: a. reading in a tropical cyclone data set and a lightning data set in batches according to time series, identifying the tropical cyclone data set and the Abnormal data in the lightning data set, and replace or delete; b. Filter tropical cyclones within a certain range from a specific area, and group them by tropical cyclone level; c. Filter lightning located in a specific area and count the occurrence of a specific area within an hour d.
- said step a includes:
- the data with null values is deleted, and the time format of the tropical cyclone data set and the lightning data set is unified as: hour-minute -Second.
- said step b includes:
- the geographical space distance is obtained by the following calculation formula:
- S is the distance between two points on the earth (km); R is the radius of the earth (km); L 1 and are the longitude and latitude of point A, L2 and are the longitude and latitude of point B.
- said step c specifically includes:
- said step d specifically includes the following steps:
- said step e specifically includes:
- the location of the weather station in the specific area is used as the origin of the coordinates, the east of the weather station is the positive direction of the x-axis, and the north of the weather station is the positive direction of the y-axis to establish a coordinate system.
- said step e specifically includes:
- the number of tropical cyclone points of different grades and the number of lightning in the specific area under the influence of the tropical cyclone within the range of 1000 km from the weather station in the specific area are counted separately to obtain the impact of the tropical cyclone on the lightning in the specific area within different distances .
- said step f specifically includes:
- the effect of the N known points on the predicted point is inversely proportional to the distance between them, and the distance predicted
- the weight of the known point closer to the point is greater, and the weight sum of all known points is 1;
- the inverse distance weighting method is used to interpolate to obtain the specific area when the tropical cyclone is in the unknown point coordinates total number of lightning bolts.
- the present invention provides a lightning feature research system in a specific area under the influence of a tropical cyclone.
- the system includes an identification module, a grouping module, a statistics module, a merger module, a processing module and a spatial distribution module, wherein: the identification module is used to classify Batch read in the tropical cyclone data set and the lightning data set, identify the abnormal data in the tropical cyclone data set and the lightning data set, and replace or delete them; the grouping module is used to filter tropical cyclones within a certain range from a specific area Cyclone, and grouped by tropical cyclone level; the statistical module is used to filter the lightning located in a specific area and count the number of lightning that occurred in a specific area per hour; the merge module is used to analyze the tropical cyclone data set and lightning The data sets are merged to obtain the latitude and longitude coordinates of the tropical cyclone at a certain moment, and the number of lightnings that occur in a specific area of the tropical cyclone at the same time; the processing module is
- the invention is aimed at studying the lightning situation in a specific area when a tropical cyclone occurs, and has universality. Moreover, the present invention divides tropical cyclones into different grades, different quadrants, and different distances, and adopts the inverse distance weighting method to interpolate to obtain the lightning spatial distribution in a specific area under the influence of tropical cyclones. The characteristics of lightning activity in a specific area can be intuitively obtained when the tropical cyclone is in different positions. The invention has important reference value for the forecast of lightning activity in a specific area under the influence of tropical cyclone.
- Fig. 1 is the flow chart of the method for researching lightning characteristics in specific areas under the influence of tropical cyclones of the present invention
- Fig. 2 is a schematic diagram of all tropical cyclone points of different quadrants and different grades provided by the embodiment of the present invention and the tropical cyclone points engraved with lightning at the same time: wherein, black is the tropical cyclone points, and gray is the tropical cyclone points engraved with lightning at the same time , (a) the first quadrant; (b) the second quadrant; (c) the third quadrant; (d) the fourth quadrant;
- Fig. 3 a is a schematic diagram of the number of tropical cyclones in different ranges provided by the embodiment of the present invention
- Fig. 3 b is a schematic diagram of the number of lightning in Shenzhen under the influence of tropical cyclones in different ranges provided by the embodiment of the present invention
- Figure 4 is a schematic diagram of the spatial distribution of lightning in Shenzhen under the influence of different levels of tropical cyclones provided by the embodiment of the present invention: wherein, (a) TD; (b) TS; (c) STS; (d) TY; (e) SSTY;
- Fig. 5 is a hardware architecture diagram of a system for researching lightning characteristics in a specific area under the influence of a tropical cyclone according to the present invention.
- FIG. 1 it is the operational flow diagram of the preferred embodiment of the method for researching lightning characteristics in specific areas under the influence of tropical cyclones of the present invention.
- Shenzhen area is taken as an example to study the characteristics of lightning in the Shenzhen area under the influence of tropical cyclones. It is worth noting that this method is universal, not only suitable for the study of lightning conditions in Shenzhen, but also suitable for other regions.
- Step S1 read in the tropical cyclone data set and the lightning data set in batches according to time series, identify abnormal data in the tropical cyclone data set and the lightning data set, and replace or delete them.
- Step S1 read in the tropical cyclone data set and the lightning data set in batches according to time series, identify abnormal data in the tropical cyclone data set and the lightning data set, and replace or delete them.
- this embodiment deletes the data with null values after reading the tropical cyclone data set and the lightning data set in time series, And the time format of the tropical cyclone data set and the lightning data set is unified as: hour-minute-second.
- step S2 the tropical cyclones within 1000km from the Shenzhen meteorological station are screened and grouped according to the grade of the tropical cyclones. in particular:
- this embodiment selects the tropical cyclones within 1000km from the Shenzhen weather station. According to the latitude and longitude coordinates of the Shenzhen meteorological station and the latitude and longitude coordinates of the tropical cyclone, the geographical space distance between the two is calculated.
- S is the distance between two points on the earth (km); R is the radius of the earth (km); L 1 and are the longitude and latitude of point A, L2 and are the longitude and latitude of point B.
- Step S3 screening the lightning in the Shenzhen area and counting the number of lightning in the Shenzhen area per hour. in particular:
- the lightning data set is not limited to the lightning located in Shenzhen, it is necessary to filter out the lightning located only in the Shenzhen area. According to the longitude and latitude coordinates when the lightning occurs, it is judged one by one whether the lightning is located in the Shenzhen area. Make hourly statistics on the filtered data set, which is divided into 24 hours (Beijing time) such as: 0:00-1:00, 1:00-2:00...23:00-24:00 (Beijing time). The total number of lightning strikes in the Shenzhen area within an hour.
- step S4 the tropical cyclone data set and the lightning data set are merged according to time series to obtain the number of lightning that occurs in the Shenzhen area at the same moment of the tropical cyclone. in particular:
- the processed tropical cyclone data set and lightning data set were merged according to the time series to obtain the level of tropical cyclone, latitude and longitude coordinates and the total number of lightning in Shenzhen within one hour at that moment.
- Step S5 study the characteristics of lightning in Shenzhen under the influence of tropical cyclones in different quadrants and different distances.
- the coordinate system is established with the location of the Shenzhen weather station as the coordinate origin, the east of the weather station as the positive direction of the x-axis, and the north of the weather station as the positive direction of the y-axis.
- Tropical cyclone points where lightning occurs can be obtained when they are located in different quadrants (see Figure 3a).
- step S6 interpolation is performed with the inverse distance weighting method based on the existing data to obtain the spatial distribution of lightning in Shenzhen under the influence of tropical cyclones.
- the inverse distance weighting method assumes that all known points will have a certain effect on the value of the predicted point, and the effect of the value of any known point on the value of the predicted point is related to the distance. The closer the known point is to the predicted point, the greater the effect, and the farther the distance, the smaller the effect.
- the N known points closest to the estimated predicted point have an effect on the predicted point, and the effect of the N known points on the predicted point is inversely proportional to the distance between them.
- the weight of known points closer to the predicted point is greater, and the weight sum of all known points is 1.
- the total number of lightnings in Shenzhen when the tropical cyclone is in the unknown point coordinates is interpolated by using the inverse distance weighting method ( See Figure 4).
- FIG. 5 it is a hardware architecture diagram of a system 10 for researching lightning characteristics in a specific area under the influence of tropical cyclones according to the present invention.
- the system includes: an identification module 101 , a grouping module 102 , a statistical module 103 , a merging module 104 , a processing module 105 and a spatial distribution module 106 . in:
- the identification module 101 is used to read in batches of tropical cyclone data sets and lightning data sets in time series, identify abnormal data in the tropical cyclone data sets and the lightning data sets, and replace or delete them;
- the grouping module 102 is used for screening tropical cyclones within a certain range from a specific area, and grouping by tropical cyclone grade;
- the statistical module 103 is used to screen the lightning located in a specific area and count the number of lightnings that occur in a specific area per hour;
- the merging module 104 is used to merge the tropical cyclone data set and the lightning data set in time series, to obtain the latitude and longitude coordinates of the tropical cyclone at a certain moment, and the number of lightnings that occur in a specific area of the tropical cyclone at the same moment;
- the processing module 105 is used to study the lightning characteristics of a specific area under the influence of a tropical cyclone in different quadrants and different distances;
- the spatial distribution module 106 is used to perform interpolation using the inverse distance weighting method according to the level of the tropical cyclone, the latitude and longitude coordinates of the tropical cyclone, and the number of lightnings that occurred in a specific area within one hour of the occurrence of the tropical cyclone, so as to obtain the space of lightning in a specific area under the influence of the tropical cyclone. Distribution.
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Abstract
Description
Claims (10)
- 一种热带气旋影响下特定区域闪电特征研究方法,其特征在于,该方法包括如下步骤:a.按时间序列分批读入热带气旋数据集和闪电数据集,识别所述热带气旋数据集和所述闪电数据集中的异常数据,并进行替代或删除;b.筛选距离特定区域一定范围内的热带气旋,并按热带气旋等级进行分组;c.筛选位于特定区域的闪电并统计每小时内特定区域发生的闪电数;d.按时间序列对热带气旋数据集和闪电数据集进行合并,得到某时刻下热带气旋的经纬度坐标,及热带气旋同时刻特定区域发生的闪电数;e.分不同象限、不同距离研究热带气旋影响下特定区域的闪电特征;f.根据热带气旋等级、热带气旋经纬度坐标、该热带气旋发生一小时内特定区域发生的闪电数,利用反距离权重法进行插值,得到热带气旋影响下特定区域闪电的空间分布情况。
- 如权利要求1所述的方法,其特征在于,所述的步骤a包括:按时间序列读取所述热带气旋数据集和所述闪电数据集后对存在空值的数据进行删除,并将所述热带气旋数据集和所述闪电数据集的时间格式统一为:时-分-秒。
- 如权利要求2所述的方法,其特征在于,所述的步骤b包括:根据所述特定区域的经纬度坐标和热带气旋的经纬度坐标,计算所述特定区域与热带气旋之间的地理空间距离;根据热带气旋等级,即热带低压、热带风暴、强热带风暴、台风、强台风、超强台风进行分组;由于超强台风和强台风样本数相对于其他强度类别的热带气旋要少一些,故将超强台风和强台风合并为一类,将其命名为SSTY,最终得到五类不同等级的热带气旋数据集。
- 如权利要求4所述的方法,其特征在于,所述的步骤c具体包括:根据闪电发生时的经纬度坐标来逐一判断该闪电是否位于所述特定区域;对筛选后的数据集做逐时统计,即分为:0:00-1:00,1:00-2:00…23:00-24:00二十四个时次,统计每小时内所述特定区域的闪电总数。
- 如权利要求5所述的方法,其特征在于,所述的步骤d具体包括如下步骤:将处理后的热带气旋数据集和闪电数据集根据时间序列进行合并,得到该时刻下热带气旋的等级、经纬度坐标及一小时内所述特定区域发生的闪电总数。
- 如权利要求6所述的方法,其特征在于,所述的步骤e具体包括:以所述特定区域内气象站的位置为坐标原点,气象站以东为x轴正方向,气象站以北为y轴正方向建立坐标系,分别按照等级统计第一象限、第二象限、第三象限、第四象限的热带气旋点数和同时刻所述特定区域有闪电发生的热带气旋点数,从而得到不同等级的热带气旋位于不同象限时对所述特定区域闪电的影响。
- 如权利要求7所述的方法,其特征在于,所述的步骤e具体包括:分别统计距离所述特定区域内气象站1000km范围内每100km内不同等级的热带气旋点数和热带气旋影响下所述特定区域的闪电数,得到不同距离范围内热带气旋对所述特定区域闪电的影响。
- 如权利要求8所述的方法,其特征在于,所述的步骤f具体包括:在估计预测点数值时,假设距离估计预测点最近的N个已知点对该预测点有作用,则所述N个已知点对预测点的作用和它们之间的距离成反比,距离预测点更近的已知点的权重更大,所有已知点的权重和为1;根据已得到的数据,即热带气旋等级、热带气旋经纬度坐标、该热带气旋 发生一小时内所述特定区域的闪电总数,利用反距离权重法进行插值得到热带气旋在未知点坐标时所述特定区域的闪电总数。
- 一种热带气旋影响下特定区域闪电特征研究系统,其特征在于,该系统包括识别模块、分组模块、统计模块、合并模块、处理模块以及空间分布模块,其中:所述识别模块用于按时间序列分批读入热带气旋数据集和闪电数据集,识别所述热带气旋数据集和所述闪电数据集中的异常数据,并进行替代或删除;所述分组模块用于筛选距离特定区域一定范围内的热带气旋,并按热带气旋等级进行分组;所述统计模块用于筛选位于特定区域的闪电并统计每小时内特定区域发生的闪电数;所述合并模块用于按时间序列对热带气旋数据集和闪电数据集进行合并,得到某时刻下热带气旋的经纬度坐标,及热带气旋同时刻特定区域发生的闪电数;所述处理模块用于分不同象限、不同距离研究热带气旋影响下特定区域的闪电特征;所述空间分布模块用于根据热带气旋等级、热带气旋经纬度坐标、该热带气旋发生一小时内特定区域发生的闪电数,利用反距离权重法进行插值,得到热带气旋影响下特定区域闪电的空间分布情况。
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| CN119782441A (zh) * | 2024-12-16 | 2025-04-08 | 中科天机气象科技有限公司 | 气象数据的降尺度方法、装置、设备、介质及产品 |
| CN120145017A (zh) * | 2025-03-11 | 2025-06-13 | 南京大学 | 一种基于可视化信息的弱天气强迫强降水事件客观识别方法 |
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| CN118734089A (zh) * | 2024-07-30 | 2024-10-01 | 苏州市气象局 | 高空切断冷涡伴随气旋识别方法及系统 |
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| CN119782441B (zh) * | 2024-12-16 | 2025-09-09 | 中科天机气象科技有限公司 | 气象数据的降尺度方法、装置、设备、介质及产品 |
| CN120145017A (zh) * | 2025-03-11 | 2025-06-13 | 南京大学 | 一种基于可视化信息的弱天气强迫强降水事件客观识别方法 |
| CN120145017B (zh) * | 2025-03-11 | 2025-11-07 | 南京大学 | 一种基于可视化信息的弱天气强迫强降水事件客观识别方法 |
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