WO2022257190A1 - Quantum walk-based multi-feature simulation method for behavior trajectory sequences - Google Patents

Quantum walk-based multi-feature simulation method for behavior trajectory sequences Download PDF

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WO2022257190A1
WO2022257190A1 PCT/CN2021/102009 CN2021102009W WO2022257190A1 WO 2022257190 A1 WO2022257190 A1 WO 2022257190A1 CN 2021102009 W CN2021102009 W CN 2021102009W WO 2022257190 A1 WO2022257190 A1 WO 2022257190A1
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feature
sequence
sequences
behavior
quantum
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俞肇元
罗文�
张季一
袁林旺
王增杰
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南京师范大学
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06TIMAGE DATA PROCESSING OR GENERATION, IN GENERAL
    • G06T7/00Image analysis
    • G06T7/20Analysis of motion
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06NCOMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N10/00Quantum computing, i.e. information processing based on quantum-mechanical phenomena
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06TIMAGE DATA PROCESSING OR GENERATION, IN GENERAL
    • G06T2207/00Indexing scheme for image analysis or image enhancement
    • G06T2207/30Subject of image; Context of image processing
    • G06T2207/30241Trajectory

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  • the invention relates to the technical fields of quantum mechanics and traffic geography, in particular to a multi-feature simulation method of a behavior trajectory sequence based on quantum walks.
  • online car-hailing trajectory data not only records its driving trajectory, but also contains road traffic conditions, urban residents' travel patterns, urban structure and other social issues.
  • the sequence of online car-hailing behavior trajectories is the aggregation result of behavior trajectories at different spatial and temporal scales, reflecting the state or degree of online car-hailing behavior trajectories changing over time at different spatial scales.
  • Most of the current research on behavior trajectories focuses on the feature extraction and feature recognition of the trajectory data itself, seldom considers its structure and characteristics from the temporal and spatial distribution of behavioral trajectory sequences, and insufficient consideration is given to the spatiotemporal differentiation of behavioral trajectory sequences.
  • the technical problem to be solved by the present invention is to provide a multi-feature simulation method of behavior trajectory sequence based on quantum walk, based on the transformation and combination characteristics between individual behavior and group behavior, using quantum walk to simulate similar individuals from the perspective of multi-scale analysis feature structure, and realize the simulation of behavior trajectory.
  • the present invention provides a multi-feature simulation method of behavior trajectory sequence based on quantum walk, including the following steps:
  • step (1) generating the feature sequence of the complete set is specifically as follows: based on the basic assumption of quantum walk, in the inner city system gridded into m ⁇ n blocks, all possible distributions of behavioral features are defined as The ground state of the quantum walk is denoted as:
  • Equation (3) the dynamic evolution of the state vector depends on the adjacency matrix A, which is transformed into a matrix from the perspective of discrete points, and the state vector is effectively solved by matrix operations; so far, the ensemble feature based on quantum walk is constructed Sequence generation models.
  • the parameters are constantly adjusted based on the following rules: 2000 quantum walks are performed on the 56 blocks in the research area, and the control parameters are increased from 0.01 to 20 with an interval of 0.01; finally, all possible The characteristic sequence of the quantum walk realizes the generation of the complete characteristic sequence of the quantum walk.
  • the screening feature sequence is specifically: use the ReliefF feature selection algorithm to screen the behavioral trajectory feature sequence, and under the constraints of the actual behavioral trajectory time sequence S, the complete set of feature sequences generated in step (1) Perform ReliefF feature subset screening, which is expressed as:
  • Equation (4) Based on the weight of each feature, use the feature selection algorithm in Equation (4) to select from the ensemble feature sequence Filter out N feature sequences with larger feature weights, denoted as in
  • four sets of feature sequence sets with different numbers are screened from the full set of feature sequences at one time according to the size of the feature weights, and the corresponding numbers of feature sequences are 5, 10, 20 and 30 respectively.
  • step (3) constructing a feature sequence mapping mechanism is specifically: based on step (2) screening the obtained modality
  • the aliasing coupling relationship between the behavior track sequence and the behavior mode is respectively established, and expressed as:
  • the experimental configuration in the experimental verification is specifically as follows: the research area is gridded into 0.01 ° x 0.01 ° blocks, a total of 56, and the network car-hailing every ten minutes in each block is counted Traffic time series, the length is 144, and the final processing obtains the required experimental data;
  • s i is the actual behavior track sequence; is the simulated behavior track sequence; is the average value of the actual behavior trajectory sequence; l is the number of simulated samples.
  • the present invention analyzes the behavior track sequence from the perspective of multi-scale and multi-feature analysis, explores the coupling relationship between behavior track features and behavior track aggregation data, and constructs a robust multi-feature simulation of behavior track sequence method, and trying to apply it to intelligent transportation, resource and environmental protection, urban planning, social perception, etc., is a major breakthrough in the direction of behavioral trajectory modeling and simulation.
  • Fig. 1 is a schematic flow chart of the method of the present invention.
  • Fig. 2 is a schematic diagram of the simulation results of the behavior track sequence of the five feature sequences of the present invention.
  • Fig. 3 is a schematic diagram of the simulation results of behavior track sequences of 10 feature sequences of the present invention.
  • Fig. 4 is a schematic diagram of the simulation results of behavior track sequences of 20 feature sequences of the present invention.
  • Fig. 5 is a schematic diagram of the simulation results of behavior track sequences of 30 feature sequences of the present invention.
  • Fig. 6 is a schematic diagram of the accuracy evaluation of the simulation results of the behavior trajectory sequence of the five feature sequences of the present invention.
  • Fig. 7 is a schematic diagram of the accuracy evaluation of the simulation results of the behavior trajectory sequence of the 10 feature sequences of the present invention.
  • Fig. 8 is a schematic diagram of the accuracy evaluation of the simulation results of the behavior trajectory sequence of 20 feature sequences in the present invention.
  • Fig. 9 is a schematic diagram of the accuracy evaluation of the simulation results of the behavior track sequence of 30 feature sequences in the present invention.
  • a multi-feature simulation method for behavior trajectory sequences based on quantum walks includes the following steps:
  • the present invention abstracts drivers with the same or similar behavior trajectories as a class of quantized particles, then the movement process of such drivers on different grids can be described as the movement of particles between blocks
  • a class of behavior trajectories corresponds to a collapse of the quantized particle transfer process.
  • the quantum walk control parameter is the only parameter to generate a single feature sequence, which directly determines the structure of the feature sequence, that is, the structural characteristics of the corresponding probability distribution. Therefore, it is only necessary to continuously change the control parameters of the quantum walk to generate a complete set of feature sequences.
  • the movement process of drivers with the same or similar behavioral trajectories can be described as the transfer process of quantized particles between blocks in the study area, which is described by quantum walk.
  • the key is that under the given parameters, the walker starts from the fixed block and performs quantum tour on the basic skeleton composed of the adjacency matrix (topological structure) of the research area after gridding. Go, forming the dynamic evolution of the probability distribution of behavioral characteristics over time under a single type of behavioral trajectory.
  • a Hilbert space H composed of ground states is firstly defined, and the superposition state formed by the linear combination of ground states is also in this space. Therefore, the state
  • the dynamic evolution of the state vector depends on the adjacency matrix A, and the differential equations containing complex coefficients are difficult to solve directly. Therefore, it is transformed into a matrix from the perspective of discrete points, and the state vector is efficiently solved by matrix operations. So far, a quantum walk-based ensemble feature sequence generation model has been constructed.
  • the parameters are constantly adjusted based on the following rules: 2000 quantum walks are performed on 56 blocks in the research area, and the control parameters are increased from 0.01 to 20 with an interval of 0.01. In the end, all possible feature sequences of 56 blocks were obtained, realizing the generation of the full set of feature sequences of quantum walks.
  • the ensemble feature sequence generated in step 1 is only a general set of feature sequences, and it does not yet have the ability to reveal the heterogeneity of behavior trajectories between different blocks. Therefore, under the constraints of the actual behavior trajectory sequence, based on specific feature sequence screening criteria, adaptive analysis can obtain the feature sequence set containing the behavior trajectory characteristics of a specific block.
  • the mapping coupling relationship of behavior trajectory sequence lays the foundation.
  • the present invention uses the ReliefF feature selection algorithm to screen the behavior trajectory feature sequence, and under the constraints of the actual behavior trajectory time sequence S, the complete set of feature sequences generated by step (1) To filter the subset of ReliefF features, it can be expressed as:
  • Equation (4) Based on the weight of each feature, use the feature selection algorithm in Equation (4) to select from the ensemble feature sequence Filter out N feature sequences with larger feature weights, denoted as in
  • the feature sequence represents the probability that particles with the same or similar walking trajectories appear in different blocks, and there is a conversion mapping mechanism with the actual behavior trajectory sequence. Therefore, based on the eigenmodes of each block screened in step (2), the aliasing coupling relationship between the behavior trajectory sequence and the eigenmodes is established, and the mapping transformation from the simulated characteristic sequence to the actual behavior trajectory sequence is realized, and the fitting accuracy is achieved. Purpose.
  • step (2) Based on the obtained modes of step (2) screening The aliasing coupling relationship between the behavior track sequence and the behavior mode is respectively established, and expressed as:
  • This invention adopts the local area of the Second Ring Road of Chengdu in November 2016 (104.04214°E-104.12214°E, 30.65294°N-30.72294°N, GCJ- 02 coordinate system) trajectory data as the original data.
  • Data preprocessing is divided into two steps: first, the research area is gridded into 0.01°x0.01° blocks (56 in total), and then the time series of online car-hailing traffic every ten minutes in each block is counted (the length is 144), the final processing obtained the required experimental data.
  • the present invention When generating the feature sequence of the complete set, the present invention performs 2000 quantum walks on the research area block, and its control parameters are increased from 0.01 to 20 at intervals of 0.01. In order to explore the different granularity characteristics of the behavior track sequence, the present invention selects 5, 10, 20 and 30 feature sequences respectively to perform feature analysis and modeling simulation on the behavior track sequence. In order to compare and evaluate the effect of the simulation, the present invention selects the coefficient of determination (Coefficient of Determination, R 2 ) as an evaluation index, which is specifically defined as:
  • s i is the actual behavior track sequence; is the simulated behavior track sequence; is the average value of the actual behavior trajectory sequence; l is the number of simulated samples.
  • Figures 2-9 show the simulation results obtained by selecting 5, 10, 20 and 30 feature sequences and the accuracy evaluation of the simulation results, respectively.
  • the results show that the five feature sequences can basically simulate the overall change trend of the behavior trajectory sequence, and the modeling accuracy is 0.6026-0.9524, which can reveal the dominant distribution structure of the behavior trajectory sequence in a day.
  • the simulation effect of some blocks is relatively poor, such as N26, N40, and N49, and it is difficult to predict the fluctuations in the 0-48 period. This may be related to the spatial distribution of the stations, that is, there are few main roads near these three stations.
  • the modeling accuracies of 10, 20 and 30 feature sequences are 0.6926-0.9494, 0.6926-0.9913, 0.6926-0.9966, respectively, and the modeling accuracy of some sites with simple behavior trajectory features is no longer affected by the number of feature sequences, indicating that the its characteristics and laws. Since this method is a data-driven method, the introduced feature sequences may have collinearity, and the simulation results also have overfitting problems. Therefore, it is necessary to further optimize the feature sequence screening rules and improve the mapping transformation mechanism between feature sequences and behavior trajectory sequences.

Abstract

A quantum walk-based multi-feature simulation method for behavior trajectory sequences, comprising the following steps: (1) generating a full set of feature sequences; (2) screening feature sequences; (3) constructing a feature sequence mapping mechanism; and (4) performing experimental verification. On the basis of transformation and combination characteristics between individual behaviors and group behaviors, feature structures of similar individuals are simulated from the perspective of multi-scale parsing by using quantum walks, and the simulation of behavior trajectories is achieved.

Description

一种基于量子游走的行为轨迹序列多特征模拟方法A Multi-feature Simulation Method of Behavioral Trajectory Sequence Based on Quantum Walk 技术领域technical field
本发明涉及量子力学和交通地理技术领域,尤其是一种基于量子游走的行为轨迹序列多特征模拟方法。The invention relates to the technical fields of quantum mechanics and traffic geography, in particular to a multi-feature simulation method of a behavior trajectory sequence based on quantum walks.
背景技术Background technique
大数据、物联网与精密定位技术的发展推动了城市感知的进步。随着社会活动的与日俱增,网约车轨迹数据不仅记录了其行车轨迹,还蕴藏着道路交通状态、城市居民出行规律、城市结构及其他社会问题。网约车行为轨迹序列是行为轨迹在不同时空尺度下的聚合结果,反映了网约车行为轨迹在不同空间尺度之下随时间的变化状态或程度。当前对行为轨迹的研究大多集中于对轨迹数据本身的特征提取与特征识别,较少从行为轨迹序列的时空分布来考虑其结构和特征,对行为轨迹序列的时空分异规律考虑不足。The development of big data, Internet of Things and precise positioning technology has promoted the progress of urban perception. With the increasing social activities, online car-hailing trajectory data not only records its driving trajectory, but also contains road traffic conditions, urban residents' travel patterns, urban structure and other social issues. The sequence of online car-hailing behavior trajectories is the aggregation result of behavior trajectories at different spatial and temporal scales, reflecting the state or degree of online car-hailing behavior trajectories changing over time at different spatial scales. Most of the current research on behavior trajectories focuses on the feature extraction and feature recognition of the trajectory data itself, seldom considers its structure and characteristics from the temporal and spatial distribution of behavioral trajectory sequences, and insufficient consideration is given to the spatiotemporal differentiation of behavioral trajectory sequences.
基于数据挖掘手段,当前对行为轨迹数据研究主要有城市规划和社会感知两个方向。在城市规划方向上,大多利用行为轨迹数据发现、识别并评估静态城市规划和城市结构。对于社会感知,大部分学者基于行为轨迹数据对城市内人群活动的动态变化、移动模式进行分析和监测。以上两个方向已有较多成熟的研究成果。近年来,各领域的学者都不断试图从行为轨迹数据中挖掘新的知识与经验,研究改进了各种理论方法,可将其归纳为四类:空间统计、时间序列方法、图论与复杂网络,以及机器学习。以上模型方法大多基于行为轨迹数据本身开展研究工作,取得了丰硕的研究成果,但对行为轨迹的聚合数据研究较少。Based on data mining methods, the current research on behavior trajectory data mainly focuses on urban planning and social perception. In the direction of urban planning, behavioral trajectory data is mostly used to discover, identify and evaluate static urban planning and urban structure. For social perception, most scholars analyze and monitor the dynamic changes and movement patterns of crowd activities in cities based on behavior trajectory data. There have been more mature research results in the above two directions. In recent years, scholars in various fields have been trying to mine new knowledge and experience from behavior trajectory data, and have improved various theoretical methods, which can be classified into four categories: spatial statistics, time series methods, graph theory and complex networks. , and machine learning. Most of the above model methods carry out research work based on the behavior trajectory data itself, and have achieved fruitful research results, but there are few studies on the aggregated data of behavior trajectory.
发明内容Contents of the invention
本发明所要解决的技术问题在于,提供一种基于量子游走的行为轨迹序列多特征模拟方法,基于个体行为与群体行为间的转化组合特性,从多尺度解析的视角利用量子游走模拟同类个体的特征结构,并实现对行为轨迹的模拟。The technical problem to be solved by the present invention is to provide a multi-feature simulation method of behavior trajectory sequence based on quantum walk, based on the transformation and combination characteristics between individual behavior and group behavior, using quantum walk to simulate similar individuals from the perspective of multi-scale analysis feature structure, and realize the simulation of behavior trajectory.
为解决上述技术问题,本发明提供一种基于量子游走的行为轨迹序列多特征模拟方法,包括如下步骤:In order to solve the above-mentioned technical problems, the present invention provides a multi-feature simulation method of behavior trajectory sequence based on quantum walk, including the following steps:
(1)生成全集特征序列;(1) Generate a complete set of feature sequences;
(2)筛选特征序列;(2) Screening feature sequences;
(3)构建特征序列映射机制;(3) Build a feature sequence mapping mechanism;
(4)实验验证。(4) Experimental verification.
优选的,步骤(1)中,生成全集特征序列具体为:基于量子游走的基本假设,在格网化为m×n个区块的城市内部系统中,将行为特征所有可能的分布定义为量子游走的基态,记为:Preferably, in step (1), generating the feature sequence of the complete set is specifically as follows: based on the basic assumption of quantum walk, in the inner city system gridded into m×n blocks, all possible distributions of behavioral features are defined as The ground state of the quantum walk is denoted as:
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000001
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000001
表示驾驶员在不同区块间的移动在量子游走模拟中体现为粒子在不同结点间的转移;Indicates that the movement of the driver between different blocks is reflected in the transfer of particles between different nodes in the quantum walk simulation;
定义一个由基态构成的希尔伯特空间H,且由基态线性组合而成的叠加态同样处于该空间中;因此,量子游走的状态|δ(k)>被定义为所有基态的线性叠加:Define a Hilbert space H composed of ground states, and the superposition state formed by the linear combination of the ground states is also in this space; therefore, the state |δ(k)> of the quantum walk is defined as the linear superposition of all ground states :
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000002
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000002
其中|a i(k)|∈[0,1],表示驾驶员在给定时间处于状态|i>的概率幅;根据随机性假设,基于酉变换,将状态向量|δ(k)>随时间的演化表示如下: where |a i (k)|∈[0,1] represents the probability amplitude that the driver is in the state |i> at a given time; according to the assumption of randomness and based on unitary transformation, the state vector |δ(k)> is randomized The evolution over time is expressed as follows:
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000003
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000003
如式(3)所示,状态向量的动态演变取决于邻接矩阵A,从离散点的视角将其转化为矩阵,并通过矩阵运算有效求解状态向量;至此,构建了基于量子游走的全集特征序列生成模型。As shown in Equation (3), the dynamic evolution of the state vector depends on the adjacency matrix A, which is transformed into a matrix from the perspective of discrete points, and the state vector is effectively solved by matrix operations; so far, the ensemble feature based on quantum walk is constructed Sequence generation models.
优选的,基于以下规则不断调整参数:在研究区域的56个区块上进行2000次量子游走,其控制参数从0.01增加至20,且间隔为0.01;最终,得到了56个区块所有可能的特征序列,实现了量子游走的全集特征序列生成。Preferably, the parameters are constantly adjusted based on the following rules: 2000 quantum walks are performed on the 56 blocks in the research area, and the control parameters are increased from 0.01 to 20 with an interval of 0.01; finally, all possible The characteristic sequence of the quantum walk realizes the generation of the complete characteristic sequence of the quantum walk.
优选的,步骤(2)中,筛选特征序列具体为:以ReliefF特征选择算法来筛选行为轨迹特征序列,在实际行为轨迹时间序S的约束下,对步骤(1)生成的全集特征序列
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000004
进行ReliefF特征子集筛选,将其表示为:
Preferably, in step (2), the screening feature sequence is specifically: use the ReliefF feature selection algorithm to screen the behavioral trajectory feature sequence, and under the constraints of the actual behavioral trajectory time sequence S, the complete set of feature sequences generated in step (1)
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000004
Perform ReliefF feature subset screening, which is expressed as:
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000005
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000005
基于每个特征的权重,使用式(4)中的特征选择算法从全集特征序列
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000006
中筛选N个特征权重较大的特征序列,记为
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000007
其中
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000008
Based on the weight of each feature, use the feature selection algorithm in Equation (4) to select from the ensemble feature sequence
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000006
Filter out N feature sequences with larger feature weights, denoted as
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000007
in
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000008
优选的,依据特征权重大小一次从全集特征序列中筛选了四组不同数量的特征序列集合,相应的特征序列数分别为5、10、20和30。Preferably, four sets of feature sequence sets with different numbers are screened from the full set of feature sequences at one time according to the size of the feature weights, and the corresponding numbers of feature sequences are 5, 10, 20 and 30 respectively.
优选的,步骤(3)中,构建特征序列映射机制具体为:基于步骤(2)筛选所得模态
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000009
分别建立了行为轨迹序列与行为模态间的混叠耦合关系,并将其表示为:
Preferably, in step (3), constructing a feature sequence mapping mechanism is specifically: based on step (2) screening the obtained modality
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000009
The aliasing coupling relationship between the behavior track sequence and the behavior mode is respectively established, and expressed as:
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000010
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000010
优选的,步骤(4)中,实验验证中的实验配置具体为:将研究区域格网化为0.01°x0.01°的区块,共56个,统计各区块内每十分钟的网约车流量时间序列,长度为144,最终处理得到了所需实验数据;Preferably, in step (4), the experimental configuration in the experimental verification is specifically as follows: the research area is gridded into 0.01 ° x 0.01 ° blocks, a total of 56, and the network car-hailing every ten minutes in each block is counted Traffic time series, the length is 144, and the final processing obtains the required experimental data;
在生成全集特征序列时,在研究区域区块上进行了2000次量子游走,其控制参数以0.01的间隔从0.01增加至20,分别选取5、10、20和30个特征序列对行为轨迹序列进行特征解析和建模模拟,选取决定系数R 2作为评价的指标,具体定义为: When generating the feature sequences of the complete set, 2000 quantum walks were carried out on the study area block, and its control parameters were increased from 0.01 to 20 at intervals of 0.01, and 5, 10, 20, and 30 feature sequences were selected for behavior trajectory sequences Carry out feature analysis and modeling simulation, and select the coefficient of determination R2 as the evaluation index, which is specifically defined as:
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000011
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000011
其中,s i为实际行为轨迹序列;
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000012
为模拟得到的行为轨迹序列;
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000013
为实际行为轨迹序列的平均值;l为模拟样本个数。
Among them, s i is the actual behavior track sequence;
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000012
is the simulated behavior track sequence;
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000013
is the average value of the actual behavior trajectory sequence; l is the number of simulated samples.
本发明的有益效果为:本发明从多尺度多特征解析的视角分析行为轨迹序列,探索行为轨迹特征与行为轨迹聚合数据之间的耦合关系,构建强鲁棒性的行为轨迹序列的多特征模拟方法,并尝试将其应用于智能交通、资源与环境保护、城市规划、社会感知等方面,是行为轨迹建模与模拟方向上的一大突破。The beneficial effects of the present invention are: the present invention analyzes the behavior track sequence from the perspective of multi-scale and multi-feature analysis, explores the coupling relationship between behavior track features and behavior track aggregation data, and constructs a robust multi-feature simulation of behavior track sequence method, and trying to apply it to intelligent transportation, resource and environmental protection, urban planning, social perception, etc., is a major breakthrough in the direction of behavioral trajectory modeling and simulation.
附图说明Description of drawings
图1为本发明的方法流程示意图。Fig. 1 is a schematic flow chart of the method of the present invention.
图2为本发明5个特征序列的行为轨迹序列模拟结果示意图。Fig. 2 is a schematic diagram of the simulation results of the behavior track sequence of the five feature sequences of the present invention.
图3为本发明10个特征序列的行为轨迹序列模拟结果示意图。Fig. 3 is a schematic diagram of the simulation results of behavior track sequences of 10 feature sequences of the present invention.
图4为本发明20个特征序列的行为轨迹序列模拟结果示意图。Fig. 4 is a schematic diagram of the simulation results of behavior track sequences of 20 feature sequences of the present invention.
图5为本发明30个特征序列的行为轨迹序列模拟结果示意图。Fig. 5 is a schematic diagram of the simulation results of behavior track sequences of 30 feature sequences of the present invention.
图6为本发明5个特征序列的行为轨迹序列模拟结果精度评定示意图。Fig. 6 is a schematic diagram of the accuracy evaluation of the simulation results of the behavior trajectory sequence of the five feature sequences of the present invention.
图7为本发明10个特征序列的行为轨迹序列模拟结果精度评定示意图。Fig. 7 is a schematic diagram of the accuracy evaluation of the simulation results of the behavior trajectory sequence of the 10 feature sequences of the present invention.
图8为本发明20个特征序列的行为轨迹序列模拟结果精度评定示意图。Fig. 8 is a schematic diagram of the accuracy evaluation of the simulation results of the behavior trajectory sequence of 20 feature sequences in the present invention.
图9为本发明30个特征序列的行为轨迹序列模拟结果精度评定示意图。Fig. 9 is a schematic diagram of the accuracy evaluation of the simulation results of the behavior track sequence of 30 feature sequences in the present invention.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
如图1所示,一种基于量子游走的行为轨迹序列多特征模拟方法,包括如下步骤:As shown in Figure 1, a multi-feature simulation method for behavior trajectory sequences based on quantum walks includes the following steps:
(1)生成全集特征序列;(1) Generate a complete set of feature sequences;
(2)筛选特征序列;(2) Screening feature sequences;
(3)构建特征序列映射机制;(3) Build a feature sequence mapping mechanism;
(4)实验验证。(4) Experimental verification.
为满足量子游走的基本假设,本发明将具有相同或相似行为轨迹的驾驶员抽象为一类量子化粒子,则此类驾驶员在不同格网上的运动过程可描述为粒子在区块间的转移过程,一类行为轨迹对应于量子化粒子转移过程的一次坍塌。在未对系统施加观测时,粒子会以一定的概率出现在多个可能的区块,形成该粒子出现在各区块的概率随时间的动态演化过程,从而模拟得到与此类行为轨迹序列对应的单一特征序列。In order to meet the basic assumption of quantum walk, the present invention abstracts drivers with the same or similar behavior trajectories as a class of quantized particles, then the movement process of such drivers on different grids can be described as the movement of particles between blocks In the transfer process, a class of behavior trajectories corresponds to a collapse of the quantized particle transfer process. When no observation is applied to the system, the particle will appear in multiple possible blocks with a certain probability, forming the dynamic evolution process of the probability of the particle appearing in each block over time, and then simulating the corresponding behavior trajectory sequence single character sequence.
然而,城市内部行为轨迹结构复杂,不同区域间异质性强,单一特征序列难以表征城市内部行为轨迹序列的多模态、繁结构特征。因此,考虑制备具有不同结构、不同振荡特性的全集特征序列,是行为轨迹序列特征解析与建模模拟的“基”。在实现上,量子游走控制参数是生成单一特征序列的唯一参数,它直接决定了特征序列的结构,即相应概率分布的结构特征。因此,只需不断变化量子游走的控制参数,即可生成全集特征序列。However, the structure of behavioral trajectories within a city is complex, with strong heterogeneity among different regions, and it is difficult for a single feature sequence to represent the multimodal and complex structural characteristics of a behavioral trajectory sequence within a city. Therefore, considering the preparation of a full set of feature sequences with different structures and different oscillation characteristics is the "basis" for feature analysis and modeling of behavioral trajectory sequences. In terms of implementation, the quantum walk control parameter is the only parameter to generate a single feature sequence, which directly determines the structure of the feature sequence, that is, the structural characteristics of the corresponding probability distribution. Therefore, it is only necessary to continuously change the control parameters of the quantum walk to generate a complete set of feature sequences.
具有相同或相似行为轨迹的驾驶员的运动过程可描述为量子化粒子在研究区域区块间的转移过程,并用量子游走加以描述。在特征序列生成的过程中,其关键是在给定的参数下,游走者从固定的区块出发,在格网化后研究区域的邻接矩阵(拓扑结构)构成的基本骨架上进行量子游走,形成单一类型行为轨迹下行为特征概率分布随时间的动态演化。The movement process of drivers with the same or similar behavioral trajectories can be described as the transfer process of quantized particles between blocks in the study area, which is described by quantum walk. In the process of feature sequence generation, the key is that under the given parameters, the walker starts from the fixed block and performs quantum tour on the basic skeleton composed of the adjacency matrix (topological structure) of the research area after gridding. Go, forming the dynamic evolution of the probability distribution of behavioral characteristics over time under a single type of behavioral trajectory.
基于量子游走的基本假设,在格网化为m×n个区块的城市内部系统中,可将行为特征所有可能的分布定义为量子游走的基态,记为:Based on the basic assumption of quantum walk, in the urban internal system gridded into m×n blocks, all possible distributions of behavioral characteristics can be defined as the ground state of quantum walk, which is denoted as:
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000014
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000014
表示驾驶员在不同区块间的移动在量子游走模拟中体现为粒子在不同结点间的转移。It means that the movement of the driver between different blocks is reflected in the transfer of particles between different nodes in the quantum walk simulation.
为了让粒子能够动态调整出现在不同区块的概率,首先定义一个由基态构成的希尔伯特空间H,且由基态线性组合而成的叠加态同样处于该空间中。因此,量子游走的状态|δ(k)>可以被定义为所有基态的线性叠加:In order to allow particles to dynamically adjust the probability of appearing in different blocks, a Hilbert space H composed of ground states is firstly defined, and the superposition state formed by the linear combination of ground states is also in this space. Therefore, the state |δ(k)> of the quantum walk can be defined as a linear superposition of all ground states:
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000015
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000015
其中|a i(k)|∈[0,1],表示驾驶员在给定时间处于状态|i>的概率幅。不同于经典随机游走,量子游走不是一个马尔科夫链。根据随机性假设,基于酉变换,可将状态向量|δ(k)>随时间的演化表示如下: where |a i (k)|∈[0,1], represents the probability amplitude that the driver is in state |i> at a given time. Unlike classical random walks, quantum walks are not a Markov chain. According to the assumption of randomness, based on the unitary transformation, the evolution of the state vector |δ(k)> over time can be expressed as follows:
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000016
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000016
如式(3)所示,状态向量的动态演变取决于邻接矩阵A,且含有复数系数的微分方程是难以直接求解的。因此,从离散点的视角将其转化为矩阵,并通过矩阵运算有效求解状态向量。至此,构建了基于量子游走的全集特征序列生成模型。As shown in formula (3), the dynamic evolution of the state vector depends on the adjacency matrix A, and the differential equations containing complex coefficients are difficult to solve directly. Therefore, it is transformed into a matrix from the perspective of discrete points, and the state vector is efficiently solved by matrix operations. So far, a quantum walk-based ensemble feature sequence generation model has been constructed.
在本发明中,基于以下规则不断调整参数:在研究区域的56个区块上进行2000次量子游走,其控制参数从0.01增加至20,且间隔为0.01。最终,得到了56个区块所有可能的特征序列,实现了量子游走的全集特征序列生成。In the present invention, the parameters are constantly adjusted based on the following rules: 2000 quantum walks are performed on 56 blocks in the research area, and the control parameters are increased from 0.01 to 20 with an interval of 0.01. In the end, all possible feature sequences of 56 blocks were obtained, realizing the generation of the full set of feature sequences of quantum walks.
虽然城市内部行为轨迹复杂,但受制于客观条件限制,部分理想特征序列几乎不可能存在于实际行为轨迹序列中。城市土地利用、功能区划分等改善了人群的行为特征,加大了区块间行为轨迹序列的异质性,因此不同区块上的特征序列具有一定差异。步骤1生成的全集特征序列只是一个通用的特征序列集合,还不具备揭示不同区块间行为轨迹异质性的能力。因此,在实际行为轨迹序列的约束下,基于特定的特征序列筛选准则, 自适应解析得到蕴含特定区块行为轨迹特征的特征序列集合,为揭示各区块行为轨迹多尺度特征和探索特征序列与实际行为轨迹序列的映射耦合关系奠定基础。Although the internal behavior trajectory of the city is complex, subject to objective conditions, it is almost impossible for some ideal feature sequences to exist in the actual behavior trajectory sequence. Urban land use and functional zoning have improved the behavioral characteristics of the population and increased the heterogeneity of behavioral trajectory sequences between blocks, so the characteristic sequences on different blocks have certain differences. The ensemble feature sequence generated in step 1 is only a general set of feature sequences, and it does not yet have the ability to reveal the heterogeneity of behavior trajectories between different blocks. Therefore, under the constraints of the actual behavior trajectory sequence, based on specific feature sequence screening criteria, adaptive analysis can obtain the feature sequence set containing the behavior trajectory characteristics of a specific block. The mapping coupling relationship of behavior trajectory sequence lays the foundation.
本发明以ReliefF特征选择算法来筛选行为轨迹特征序列,在实际行为轨迹时间序S的约束下,对步骤(1)生成的全集特征序列
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000017
进行ReliefF特征子集筛选,可将其表示为:
The present invention uses the ReliefF feature selection algorithm to screen the behavior trajectory feature sequence, and under the constraints of the actual behavior trajectory time sequence S, the complete set of feature sequences generated by step (1)
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000017
To filter the subset of ReliefF features, it can be expressed as:
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000018
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000018
基于每个特征的权重,使用式(4)中的特征选择算法从全集特征序列
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000019
中筛选N个特征权重较大的特征序列,记为
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000020
其中
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000021
Based on the weight of each feature, use the feature selection algorithm in Equation (4) to select from the ensemble feature sequence
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000019
Filter out N feature sequences with larger feature weights, denoted as
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000020
in
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000021
在本发明中,依据特征权重大小一次从全集特征序列中筛选了四组不同数量的特征序列集合,相应的特征序列数分别为5、10、20和30。In the present invention, four groups of feature sequence sets with different numbers are screened from the complete set of feature sequences at one time according to the feature weights, and the corresponding numbers of feature sequences are 5, 10, 20 and 30 respectively.
在本发明中,特征序列表征的是具有相同或相似游走轨迹的粒子出现在不同区块的概率,与实际行为轨迹序列还存在一个转化映射机制。因此,基于步骤(2)筛选所得的各区块的特征模态,建立行为轨迹序列与特征模态间的混叠耦合关系,实现模拟的特征序列向实际行为轨迹序列的映射转化,达到拟合的目的。In the present invention, the feature sequence represents the probability that particles with the same or similar walking trajectories appear in different blocks, and there is a conversion mapping mechanism with the actual behavior trajectory sequence. Therefore, based on the eigenmodes of each block screened in step (2), the aliasing coupling relationship between the behavior trajectory sequence and the eigenmodes is established, and the mapping transformation from the simulated characteristic sequence to the actual behavior trajectory sequence is realized, and the fitting accuracy is achieved. Purpose.
基于步骤(2)筛选所得模态
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000022
分别建立了行为轨迹序列与行为模态间的混叠耦合关系,并将其表示为:
Based on the obtained modes of step (2) screening
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000022
The aliasing coupling relationship between the behavior track sequence and the behavior mode is respectively established, and expressed as:
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000023
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000023
本发明采用盖亚数据开放计划(https://gaia.didichuxing.com)提供的2016年11月成都市二环局部区域(104.04214°E-104.12214°E,30.65294°N-30.72294°N,GCJ-02坐标系)轨迹数据作为原始数据。数据预处理分为两步:首先将该研究区域格网化为0.01°x0.01°的区块(共56个),然后统计各区块内每十分钟的网约车流量时间序列(长度为144),最终处理得到了所需实验数据。This invention adopts the local area of the Second Ring Road of Chengdu in November 2016 (104.04214°E-104.12214°E, 30.65294°N-30.72294°N, GCJ- 02 coordinate system) trajectory data as the original data. Data preprocessing is divided into two steps: first, the research area is gridded into 0.01°x0.01° blocks (56 in total), and then the time series of online car-hailing traffic every ten minutes in each block is counted (the length is 144), the final processing obtained the required experimental data.
在生成全集特征序列时,本发明在研究区域区块上进行了2000次量子游走,其控制参数以0.01的间隔从0.01增加至20。为探究行为轨迹序列的不同颗粒度特征,本发明分别选取5、10、20和30个特征序列对行为轨迹序列进行特征解析和建模模拟。为 了对比评价模拟的效果,本发明选取决定系数(Coefficient of Determination,R 2)作为评价的指标,具体定义为: When generating the feature sequence of the complete set, the present invention performs 2000 quantum walks on the research area block, and its control parameters are increased from 0.01 to 20 at intervals of 0.01. In order to explore the different granularity characteristics of the behavior track sequence, the present invention selects 5, 10, 20 and 30 feature sequences respectively to perform feature analysis and modeling simulation on the behavior track sequence. In order to compare and evaluate the effect of the simulation, the present invention selects the coefficient of determination (Coefficient of Determination, R 2 ) as an evaluation index, which is specifically defined as:
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000024
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000024
其中,s i为实际行为轨迹序列;
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000025
为模拟得到的行为轨迹序列;
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000026
为实际行为轨迹序列的平均值;l为模拟样本个数。
Among them, s i is the actual behavior track sequence;
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000025
is the simulated behavior track sequence;
Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-000026
is the average value of the actual behavior trajectory sequence; l is the number of simulated samples.
以56个区块内每十分钟的网约车流量时间序列作为实验数据,完成了行为轨迹序列的模拟实验。图2-图9分别表示选择5、10、20和30个特征序列得到的模拟结果以及模拟结果精度评定。结果表明,5个特征序列基本能模拟行为轨迹序列的总体变化趋势,建模精度为0.6026-0.9524,能揭示行为轨迹序列在一天内的主导分布结构。但部分区块模拟效果相对较差,如N26、N40、N49,难以预测出0-48时段的波动情况,这可能与站点的空间分布有关,即这三个站点附近主干道路较少,对其特征揭示不足,模拟效果相对较差。此外,5个特征序列的模拟结果对细节的捕捉尚存不足,难以反应轨迹序列的高频振荡。随着特征序列逐渐增多,模拟效果逐步提升,对微小振荡的捕捉效果也得以提升。10、20和30个特征序列建模精度分别为0.6926-0.9494,0.6926-0.9913,0.6926-0.9966,部分行为轨迹特征简单的站点的建模精度不再受特征序列数目的影响,表明已完全揭示了其特征和规律。由于该方法是数据驱动的方法,引入的特征序列可能存在共线性,模拟结果也存在过拟合问题,因此需进一步优化特征序列筛选规则,完善特征序列与行为轨迹序列间的映射转化机制。Taking the time series of online car-hailing traffic every ten minutes in 56 blocks as the experimental data, the simulation experiment of the behavior trajectory sequence was completed. Figures 2-9 show the simulation results obtained by selecting 5, 10, 20 and 30 feature sequences and the accuracy evaluation of the simulation results, respectively. The results show that the five feature sequences can basically simulate the overall change trend of the behavior trajectory sequence, and the modeling accuracy is 0.6026-0.9524, which can reveal the dominant distribution structure of the behavior trajectory sequence in a day. However, the simulation effect of some blocks is relatively poor, such as N26, N40, and N49, and it is difficult to predict the fluctuations in the 0-48 period. This may be related to the spatial distribution of the stations, that is, there are few main roads near these three stations. Its characteristics are not revealed enough, and the simulation effect is relatively poor. In addition, the simulation results of the five characteristic sequences are still insufficient to capture the details, and it is difficult to reflect the high-frequency oscillation of the trajectory sequence. With the gradual increase of the characteristic sequence, the simulation effect is gradually improved, and the capture effect of the micro oscillation is also improved. The modeling accuracies of 10, 20 and 30 feature sequences are 0.6926-0.9494, 0.6926-0.9913, 0.6926-0.9966, respectively, and the modeling accuracy of some sites with simple behavior trajectory features is no longer affected by the number of feature sequences, indicating that the its characteristics and laws. Since this method is a data-driven method, the introduced feature sequences may have collinearity, and the simulation results also have overfitting problems. Therefore, it is necessary to further optimize the feature sequence screening rules and improve the mapping transformation mechanism between feature sequences and behavior trajectory sequences.

Claims (7)

  1. 一种基于量子游走的行为轨迹序列多特征模拟方法,其特征在于,包括如下步骤:A quantum walk-based multi-feature simulation method for behavior trajectory sequences, characterized in that it comprises the following steps:
    (1)生成全集特征序列;(1) Generate a complete set of feature sequences;
    (2)筛选特征序列;(2) Screening feature sequences;
    (3)构建特征序列映射机制;(3) Build a feature sequence mapping mechanism;
    (4)实验验证。(4) Experimental verification.
  2. 如权利要求1所述的基于量子游走的行为轨迹序列多特征模拟方法,其特征在于,步骤(1)中,生成全集特征序列具体为:基于量子游走的基本假设,在格网化为m×n个区块的城市内部系统中,将行为特征所有可能的分布定义为量子游走的基态,记为:The multi-feature simulation method of behavior track sequence based on quantum walk as claimed in claim 1, characterized in that, in step (1), generating a full set of feature sequences is specifically: based on the basic assumption of quantum walk, in gridding as In the urban internal system of m×n blocks, all possible distributions of behavioral characteristics are defined as the ground state of the quantum walk, which is recorded as:
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100001
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100001
    表示驾驶员在不同区块间的移动在量子游走模拟中体现为粒子在不同结点间的转移;Indicates that the movement of the driver between different blocks is reflected in the transfer of particles between different nodes in the quantum walk simulation;
    定义一个由基态构成的希尔伯特空间H,且由基态线性组合而成的叠加态同样处于该空间中;因此,量子游走的状态|δ(k)>被定义为所有基态的线性叠加:Define a Hilbert space H composed of ground states, and the superposition state formed by the linear combination of the ground states is also in this space; therefore, the state |δ(k)> of the quantum walk is defined as the linear superposition of all ground states :
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100002
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100002
    其中|a i(k)|∈[0,1],表示驾驶员在给定时间处于状态|i>的概率幅;根据随机性假设,基于酉变换,将状态向量|δ(k)>随时间的演化表示如下: where |a i (k)|∈[0,1] represents the probability amplitude that the driver is in the state |i> at a given time; according to the assumption of randomness and based on unitary transformation, the state vector |δ(k)> is randomized The evolution over time is expressed as follows:
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100003
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100003
    如式(3)所示,状态向量的动态演变取决于邻接矩阵A,从离散点的视角将其转化为矩阵,并通过矩阵运算有效求解状态向量;至此,构建了基于量子游走的全集特征序列生成模型。As shown in Equation (3), the dynamic evolution of the state vector depends on the adjacency matrix A, which is transformed into a matrix from the perspective of discrete points, and the state vector is effectively solved by matrix operations; so far, the ensemble feature based on quantum walk is constructed Sequence generation models.
  3. 如权利要求2所述的基于量子游走的行为轨迹序列多特征模拟方法,其特征在于,基于以下规则不断调整参数:在研究区域的56个区块上进行2000次量子游走,其 控制参数从0.01增加至20,且间隔为0.01;最终,得到了56个区块所有可能的特征序列,实现了量子游走的全集特征序列生成。The multi-feature simulation method of behavior track sequence based on quantum walk as claimed in claim 2, characterized in that parameters are constantly adjusted based on the following rules: 2000 quantum walks are performed on 56 blocks in the research area, and its control parameters Increased from 0.01 to 20 with an interval of 0.01; finally, all possible feature sequences of 56 blocks were obtained, realizing the generation of the full set of feature sequences of quantum walks.
  4. 如权利要求1所述的基于量子游走的行为轨迹序列多特征模拟方法,其特征在于,步骤(2)中,筛选特征序列具体为:以ReliefF特征选择算法来筛选行为轨迹特征序列,在实际行为轨迹时间序S的约束下,对步骤(1)生成的全集特征序列
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100004
    进行ReliefF特征子集筛选,将其表示为:
    The behavioral trajectory sequence multi-feature simulation method based on quantum walk as claimed in claim 1, it is characterized in that, in step (2), screening characteristic sequence is specifically: screen behavioral trajectory characteristic sequence with ReliefF feature selection algorithm, in actual Under the constraints of the time series S of behavioral trajectories, the feature sequence of the complete set generated in step (1)
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100004
    Perform ReliefF feature subset screening, which is expressed as:
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100005
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100005
    基于每个特征的权重,使用式(4)中的特征选择算法从全集特征序列
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100006
    中筛选N个特征权重较大的特征序列,记为
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100007
    其中
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100008
    Based on the weight of each feature, use the feature selection algorithm in Equation (4) to select from the ensemble feature sequence
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100006
    Filter out N feature sequences with larger feature weights, denoted as
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100007
    in
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100008
  5. 如权利要求4所述的基于量子游走的行为轨迹序列多特征模拟方法,其特征在于,依据特征权重大小一次从全集特征序列中筛选了四组不同数量的特征序列集合,相应的特征序列数分别为5、10、20和30。The multi-feature simulation method of behavior trajectory sequence based on quantum walk as claimed in claim 4, characterized in that, according to the feature weight size, four sets of feature sequence sets with different numbers are screened from the feature sequence of the complete set at one time, and the corresponding feature sequence numbers 5, 10, 20 and 30 respectively.
  6. 如权利要求1所述的基于量子游走的行为轨迹序列多特征模拟方法,其特征在于,步骤(3)中,构建特征序列映射机制具体为:基于步骤(2)筛选所得模态
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100009
    分别建立了行为轨迹序列与行为模态间的混叠耦合关系,并将其表示为:
    The multi-feature simulation method of behavior trajectory sequence based on quantum walk as claimed in claim 1, characterized in that, in step (3), constructing a feature sequence mapping mechanism is specifically: based on step (2) to screen the obtained modality
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100009
    The aliasing coupling relationship between the behavior track sequence and the behavior mode is respectively established, and expressed as:
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100010
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100010
  7. 如权利要求1所述的基于量子游走的行为轨迹序列多特征模拟方法,其特征在于,步骤(4)中,实验验证中的实验配置具体为:将研究区域格网化为0.01°x0.01°的区块,共56个,统计各区块内每十分钟的网约车流量时间序列,长度为144,最终处理得到了所需实验数据;The multi-feature simulation method of behavior trajectory sequence based on quantum walk as claimed in claim 1, characterized in that, in step (4), the experimental configuration in the experimental verification is specifically: gridding the research area to 0.01 ° x0. There are 56 blocks at 01°, and the time series of online car-hailing traffic every ten minutes in each block is counted, the length is 144, and the required experimental data is finally processed;
    在生成全集特征序列时,在研究区域区块上进行了2000次量子游走,其控制参数以0.01的间隔从0.01增加至20,分别选取5、10、20和30个特征序列对行为轨迹序列进行特征解析和建模模拟,选取决定系数R 2作为评价的指标,具体定义为: When generating the feature sequences of the complete set, 2000 quantum walks were carried out on the study area block, and its control parameters were increased from 0.01 to 20 at intervals of 0.01, and 5, 10, 20, and 30 feature sequences were selected for behavior trajectory sequences Carry out feature analysis and modeling simulation, and select the coefficient of determination R2 as the evaluation index, which is specifically defined as:
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100011
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100011
    其中,s i为实际行为轨迹序列;
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100012
    为模拟得到的行为轨迹序列;
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100013
    为实际行为轨迹序列的平均值;l为模拟样本个数。
    Among them, s i is the actual behavior track sequence;
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100012
    is the simulated behavior track sequence;
    Figure PCTCN2021102009-appb-100013
    is the average value of the actual behavior trajectory sequence; l is the number of simulated samples.
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