WO2021180245A1 - Server, data processing method and apparatus, and readable storage medium - Google Patents

Server, data processing method and apparatus, and readable storage medium Download PDF

Info

Publication number
WO2021180245A1
WO2021180245A1 PCT/CN2021/084226 CN2021084226W WO2021180245A1 WO 2021180245 A1 WO2021180245 A1 WO 2021180245A1 CN 2021084226 W CN2021084226 W CN 2021084226W WO 2021180245 A1 WO2021180245 A1 WO 2021180245A1
Authority
WO
WIPO (PCT)
Prior art keywords
predicted
target
infectious disease
historical
prediction model
Prior art date
Application number
PCT/CN2021/084226
Other languages
French (fr)
Chinese (zh)
Inventor
李映雪
贾文笑
王俊梅
李响
谢国彤
Original Assignee
平安科技(深圳)有限公司
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by 平安科技(深圳)有限公司 filed Critical 平安科技(深圳)有限公司
Publication of WO2021180245A1 publication Critical patent/WO2021180245A1/en

Links

Images

Classifications

    • GPHYSICS
    • G16INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR SPECIFIC APPLICATION FIELDS
    • G16HHEALTHCARE INFORMATICS, i.e. INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR THE HANDLING OR PROCESSING OF MEDICAL OR HEALTHCARE DATA
    • G16H50/00ICT specially adapted for medical diagnosis, medical simulation or medical data mining; ICT specially adapted for detecting, monitoring or modelling epidemics or pandemics
    • G16H50/80ICT specially adapted for medical diagnosis, medical simulation or medical data mining; ICT specially adapted for detecting, monitoring or modelling epidemics or pandemics for detecting, monitoring or modelling epidemics or pandemics, e.g. flu
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/04Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"

Definitions

  • This application relates to the field of intelligent decision-making, and is specifically applied to the field of medical technology, and in particular to a server, a data processing method, a device, and a readable storage medium.
  • Infectious diseases are a type of diseases caused by pathogens that can be transmitted from person to person, animal to animal, or person to animal, and they are usually highly transmissible.
  • the new coronavirus (Corona Virus Disease 2019, COVID-19) broke out on a large scale in countries around the world.
  • the inventor realized that due to the different outbreak periods corresponding to each epidemic area, the model training sample data corresponding to the epidemic area in the early stage of the epidemic is much lower than the epidemic area in the late epidemic period, resulting in the prediction model corresponding to the epidemic area in the early epidemic period. , There is a problem of low accuracy in predicting the epidemic diagnosis data, which makes it impossible to accurately formulate a response control strategy and medical resource allocation strategy for the epidemic area during the epidemic.
  • the embodiments of the present application provide a server, a data processing method, a device, and a readable storage medium. Using this method, a data processing method is provided for an epidemic area in the early stage of an epidemic (that is, an epidemic area with fewer training samples) , This method improves the accuracy of predicting the confirmed data of the target infectious disease.
  • an embodiment of the present application provides a server, the server includes a communication interface, a processor, and a memory, where:
  • the memory is used to store a computer program, and the computer program includes program instructions
  • the processor is configured to call the program instructions for receiving, through the communication interface, a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, and the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the Predict the first cumulative diagnosis data associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time in the predicted area; obtain the infection statistics data associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the to-be-predicted area and the implementation status of the first control measures, and Calling a target prediction model to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures, the target time is determined based on the predicted time; determined based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model The first cumulative diagnosis data;
  • the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted.
  • the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
  • an embodiment of the present application provides a data processing method, the data processing method is executed by a server, and the method includes:
  • the target time is determined based on the predicted time
  • the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted.
  • the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
  • an embodiment of the present application provides a data processing device, the data processing device is deployed on a server, and the device includes:
  • the acquisition module is configured to receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the area to be predicted that is associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time
  • the first cumulative confirmed data
  • the acquisition module is also used to acquire the infection statistics data associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of the first management and control measures, and call the target prediction model to analyze the infection statistics and the infection statistics. Perform data analysis on the implementation status of the first control measure, and the target time is determined based on the predicted time;
  • a processing module configured to determine the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model
  • the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted.
  • the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
  • an embodiment of the present application provides a computer-readable storage medium that stores instructions in the computer-readable storage medium, which when run on a computer, causes the computer to execute the following method:
  • the target time is determined based on the predicted time
  • the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted.
  • the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
  • a prediction model with higher accuracy is obtained based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area and the implementation status of historical control measures, and further based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and The implementation status of historical control measures revises the prediction model to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted.
  • FIG. 1 is a schematic flowchart of a data processing method provided by an embodiment of the present application
  • FIG. 2 is a schematic flowchart of another data processing method provided by an embodiment of the present application.
  • Fig. 3a is a schematic diagram of a training process of a prediction model provided by an embodiment of the present application.
  • FIG. 3b is a schematic diagram of obtaining sequence data according to a preset time sliding window according to an embodiment of the present application.
  • FIG. 3c is a schematic diagram of a process of correcting a prediction model to obtain a target prediction model according to an embodiment of the present application
  • FIG. 3d is a schematic diagram of changing from the implementation state of the first control measure to the implementation state of the second control measure according to an embodiment of the present application;
  • FIG. 4 is a schematic structural diagram of a data processing device provided by an embodiment of the present application.
  • Fig. 5 is a schematic structural diagram of a server provided by an embodiment of the present application.
  • the technical solution of the present application may involve the field of artificial intelligence technology, for example, it may specifically involve neural network technology, and can be applied to scenarios such as smart medical care, so as to realize digital medical care and push the construction of smart cities.
  • the data involved in this application such as diagnosis data, infection statistics, time information, and/or models, etc., can be stored in a database, or can be stored in a blockchain, which is not limited in this application.
  • server mentioned in the embodiment of the present application is not limited to one server, and may also be a server cluster.
  • FIG. 1 is a schematic flowchart of a data processing method provided by an embodiment of the present application.
  • the data processing method is executed by a server, and the data processing method includes the following steps:
  • S101 Receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict that the area to be predicted is associated with the first cumulative diagnosis data of the target infectious disease at the predicted time.
  • the server receives a first infection prediction request input by a user through a terminal device connected to the server, and the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the first cumulative diagnosis data associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time in the area to be predicted.
  • the first infection prediction request includes one or more of the identification information of the area to be predicted, the time to be predicted, and the identification information of the target infectious disease.
  • the predicted time is set by the user according to specific application scenarios.
  • infectious disease 1 occurred in city A in August 2019, and infectious disease 2 occurred in September 2019.
  • S102 Obtain the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures.
  • the target time is determined based on the predicted time.
  • the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures.
  • the prediction model is based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area.
  • the implementation status of historical control measures is determined, and the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the reference area for prediction is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
  • the stage of infectious disease can be divided into early stage and late stage of the epidemic.
  • the area in the early stage of the epidemic refers to the time when the infectious disease was found in the area (the time to determine the specific infectious disease stage in the area) is relatively long. Short, and/or the number of newly diagnosed infectious diseases daily is higher than the daily cured number of infectious diseases, and/or the daily newly diagnosed number is higher than the daily newly diagnosed number of the previous day.
  • the area in the late stage of the epidemic means that the time since the infectious disease was found in the area (the time to determine the specific infectious disease stage in the area) is longer, and/or the spread of the infectious disease has been controlled, and / Or the daily number of newly diagnosed infectious diseases is less than the daily cured number of infectious diseases, and/or the daily newly diagnosed number is lower than the daily newly diagnosed number of the previous day.
  • the prediction reference area mentioned in the embodiment of this application is the area in the late stage of the epidemic of the target infectious disease, and the area to be predicted is the area in the early stage of the epidemic of the target infectious disease, that is, the predicted reference area has an early occurrence time of the target infectious disease. In the region to be predicted.
  • the historical statistical data including historical infection statistics and the implementation status of historical control measures
  • the prediction model obtained according to the predicted reference area has a higher accuracy.
  • the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures are revised to the prediction model (that is, the migration of the prediction model), and the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted is obtained, and this data processing method is used to improve The accuracy of the target prediction model corresponding to the epidemic area in the early stage of the epidemic is determined.
  • the server After the server receives the first infection prediction request, it determines the target time according to the prediction time included in the first infection prediction request. For example, if the prediction time in the first infection prediction request is March 8, 2020, it can be set to March 1, 2020. Date to March 7, 2020 is determined as the target time. Further, the server obtains the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted, and calls the target prediction model to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures .
  • the server may determine the target time according to the prediction time included in the first infection prediction request and a preset duration, where the preset duration may be related to training data used by the target prediction model. For example, if the sequence duration of the sequence data (including training data and test data) used by the target prediction model is 7 days, the preset duration is 7 days. Further, the server can obtain historical statistical data and the status of management and control measures 7 days before the forecast time.
  • S103 Determine the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model.
  • the server outputs the first data analysis result and determines the first cumulative diagnosis data according to the analysis of the infection statistics data associated with the target infectious disease at the target time and the implementation status of the first control measures in the area to be predicted in the target prediction model. For example, if the first data analysis result of the target prediction model is 250,000, the server determines the first cumulative confirmed data according to the first infection prediction: the cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses in city A on March 8, 2020 is 250,000.
  • the server receives the first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, and the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the first infection prediction request associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted at the predicted time. Accumulated confirmed data. Furthermore, the server can obtain the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to perform data on the statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures. Analysis, where the target time is determined based on the predicted time. Further, the server determines the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model.
  • the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures.
  • the prediction model is based on the history of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area. Infection statistics and the implementation status of historical control measures are determined.
  • the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the reference area for prediction is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted. In this way, a data processing method is provided for epidemic areas in the early stage of the epidemic (that is, epidemic areas with fewer training samples), which improves the accuracy of predicting the confirmed data of the target infectious disease.
  • FIG. 2 is a schematic flowchart of another data processing method provided by an embodiment of the present application.
  • the data processing method is executed by a server, and the data processing method includes the following steps:
  • S201 Obtain historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted, and obtain historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the prediction reference region and a prediction model for determining the implementation status of historical control measures.
  • historical infection statistics are the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted; the implementation status of historical control measures is the implementation status of the daily control measures for the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, and the implementation status of the daily control measures in the area to be predicted Either the state of implementing control and the state of not implementing control.
  • the server obtains the historical daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted (that is, historical infection statistics) and the status of daily control measures (that is, the implementation status of historical control and control).
  • the date of discovery of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted is On X 1st
  • obtain the historical infection statistics data and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted so far (X 7th) that is, obtain the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses from X 1 to X 7
  • the implementation status of daily control measures in which data 0 and 1 indicate the implementation status of the control measures
  • the server obtains historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted as shown in Table 1:
  • the server obtains the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area and the specific method of determining the prediction model for the implementation status of historical control measures.
  • the server can determine at least one area in the late stage of the epidemic as the prediction reference area, and obtain the prediction reference area about the target.
  • the server trains the preset network model according to the historical infection statistics of the target in the predicted reference area and the implementation status of historical control measures to obtain a prediction model.
  • the preset network model can be one of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU). Any kind.
  • RNN Recurrent Neural Network
  • LSTM Long Short-Term Memory
  • GRU Gated Recurrent Unit
  • the server obtains the historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target in the predicted reference region, and preprocesses the historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target in the predicted reference region according to a preset time sliding window.
  • Obtain at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the prediction reference area and further, the server trains a preset network model according to the at least one piece of sequence data to obtain a prediction model.
  • the preset time sliding window includes the size of the time sliding window and the sliding step length.
  • the preset time sliding window can be set by the developer according to the experimental application scenario, and subsequent adjustments can be made according to the specific application scenario. Specific restrictions.
  • the size of the preset time sliding window can be 7 days or 10 days, and the step size is 1.
  • module 30 is the historical infection statistics data and the historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the three prediction reference regions
  • module 31 is the preset network model
  • Module 32 is a predictive model.
  • the server obtains the historical infection statistics data and the historical control measures implementation status of the predicted reference area as follows: the daily cumulative number of confirmed cases of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of the daily control measures from July 1st to July 10th.
  • the size of the sliding window is 7 days and the step length is 1 o'clock.
  • the server can compare the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses from July 1 to July 7 in at least one prediction reference area and the The implementation status of daily control measures, the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses from July 2 to July 8 and the implementation status of daily control measures, the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses and the implementation of daily control measures from July 3 to July 9
  • the status, the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses from July 4th to July 10th, and the implementation status of daily control measures are respectively determined as serial data.
  • the server can take the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses and the implementation status of daily control measures from July 1 to July 7 as input to the preset network model, and the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses and daily control measures on July 8
  • the implementation state of the measure is the output of the preset network model, and the preset network model 31 is trained in an analogous manner to obtain the prediction model 32.
  • the prediction model 32 can analyze and obtain the daily cumulative number of diagnoses and the implementation status of daily control measures at the predicted time point based on the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses in the first 7 days of the forecast time point and the implementation status of daily control measures.
  • the specific implementation manner for the server to obtain historical infection statistics on the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures may be that the server obtains historical consultation information about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
  • the information includes historical infection statistical data consultation information and historical control measures implementation status consultation information.
  • the server may call the text recognition algorithm model to obtain historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease from the historical infection statistical data consultation information, and call the text recognition algorithm model to obtain the pending information from the historical control measures implementation status consultation information. Forecast the implementation status of the historical control measures for the target infectious diseases in the region.
  • the text recognition algorithm may be a neural network model algorithm pre-trained by the developer based on experimental measurement data, such as a convolutional neural network algorithm, etc., which is not specifically limited here.
  • Historical consultation information can be news consultation information, government public consultation information, and so on.
  • the historical consultation information is news information
  • the server obtains the news information of target area A on the 1st of X: "As of 12:00 today, the number of confirmed cases in target area A is 83,000.
  • urban buses, subways, ferries, and long-distance passenger transportation will be suspended, and the resumption time will be notified separately.”
  • the server calls the convolutional neural network text recognition algorithm model from this
  • the consultation information the number of people diagnosed on X on 1st was 83,000
  • the consultation information on the implementation of management and control measures is "Urban buses, subways, ferries, and long-distance passenger transportation are suspended.”
  • the server can match the implementation information of the management and control measures with the preset text feature information (here can be channel closure, passenger suspension operation, isolation, prohibition of gathering, and flight limit).
  • the implementation status of the control measures for the target area A on X 1st is: implementation control status. That is, the server obtains the epidemic data of the target area A on the 1st of X: the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses is 83,000, and the state of control is implemented.
  • the preset text feature information can be set by the developer according to the experimental application scenario, and subsequent adjustments can be made according to the specific application scenario, which is not specifically limited here.
  • S202 Correct the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures to obtain a target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  • the server obtains historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures to correct the weight parameters of the fully connected layer of the prediction model to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted.
  • the server slides the window according to a preset time to predict the historical infection statistics data and historical control measures of the target infectious disease in the predicted area.
  • the implementation status of the measures is preprocessed to obtain at least one sequence data of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
  • the server modifies the aforementioned prediction model according to at least one sequence data of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted.
  • the preset time sliding window includes the size of the time sliding window and the sliding step length. The preset time sliding window can be set by the developer according to the experimental application scenario, and subsequent adjustments can be made according to the specific application scenario. Specific restrictions.
  • Module 33 is the historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
  • Module 34 is the prediction Model
  • module 35 is a target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted.
  • the server obtains the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures, it uses a preset sliding window with a window size of 7 steps and 1 to convert the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted
  • the historical control measures are processed as the sequence data shown in module 33. Further, the prediction model 34 is trained according to the sequence data, and the weight corresponding to the fully connected layer of the prediction model 34 is corrected to obtain the target corresponding to the area to be predicted Forecast model 35.
  • the server may divide at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted into a training sequence data set and a test sequence data set. Further, the server can modify the prediction model according to the training sequence data set. The candidate prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted is obtained, and the candidate prediction model is verified according to the test sequence data set and preset evaluation rules. If the verification is passed, it is determined that the candidate prediction model is the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted.
  • the server can divide at least one piece of sequence data into a training sequence data set and a test sequence data set according to a preset segmentation ratio.
  • the segmentation ratio is the number of training sequence data sets and the number of test sequence data sets. The ratio can be calculated and set by the developer based on experimental test data, and subsequent adjustments can be made according to specific application scenarios. For example, when the number of at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted is 1,200 pieces, the segmentation ratio can be 5:1, and the server can segment at least one piece of sequence data into training according to the segmentation ratio of 5:1 1000 sequence data sets and 200 test sequence data sets.
  • the preset evaluation rule is the evaluation rule corresponding to the predictive evaluation index.
  • the predictive evaluation index includes: Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Square Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (Mean Absolute Error, MAE, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and Symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error (SMAPE).
  • RMSE Root Mean Square Error
  • MSE Mean Square Error
  • MAE Mean Absolute Error
  • MAE Mean Absolute Percentage Error
  • SMAPE Symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error
  • the evaluation rule is that the model evaluation score of the candidate prediction model obtained according to the preset evaluation index MAPE calculation formula is less than the preset evaluation score threshold, then the candidate prediction model is determined, wherein the preset evaluation The score threshold is set by the developer after calculation based on experimental data, and can be adjusted accordingly according to specific application scenarios in the future, and there is no specific restriction here.
  • the calculation formula of the preset evaluation index MAPE is as follows:
  • MAPE is the model evaluation score corresponding to the candidate prediction model
  • n is the number of sequence data samples in the test sequence sample
  • i represents the i-th sequence data sample
  • Y i is the actual value corresponding to the i-th sequence data
  • g i (x) is the predicted value corresponding to the i-th sequence data.
  • S203 Receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict that the area to be predicted is associated with the first cumulative diagnosis data of the target infectious disease at the predicted time.
  • S204 Obtain the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures.
  • the target time is determined based on the predicted time.
  • S205 Determine the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model.
  • step S203 to step S205 please refer to the specific implementation manners of step S101 to step S103 in the foregoing embodiment, which will not be described in detail.
  • the server may also receive a second infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease.
  • the prediction request is used to indicate the second cumulative diagnosis data associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time in the predicted region.
  • the server may change the implementation status of the first control measure associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted to the implementation status of the second control measure, and call the target prediction model for the infection statistics and the second control measure.
  • Data analysis is performed on the implementation status of the measures, where the target time is determined based on the predicted time.
  • the server determines the second cumulative diagnosis data based on the second data analysis result output by the target prediction model. In this way, the first cumulative diagnosis data is compared with the second cumulative diagnosis data to help decision makers decide whether to continue to implement control.
  • the infection statistics data associated with the target infectious disease at the target time and the implementation status of the first control measures obtained by the server in the area to be predicted at the target time are shown in module 36, and the implementation status of the first control measure is implementation Control status.
  • the server changes the state of the first control measure to the state of implementation of the second control measure according to the second infection prediction request, that is, the state of no control measure.
  • the target prediction model is invoked to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the second control measure to obtain a second data analysis result, and determine the second cumulative diagnosis data according to the second data analysis result.
  • the server can also obtain the impact ratio of the implementation of control measures on the cumulative number of diagnoses based on the second cumulative diagnosis data and the aforementioned first cumulative diagnosis data.
  • the formula for calculating the impact ratio is as follows:
  • pred switched is the second cumulative diagnosis data
  • pred actual is the first cumulative diagnosis data
  • G is the ratio of the increase or decrease of the cumulative number of diagnoses.
  • the server obtains historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, and obtains historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the prediction reference area and the prediction of the determination of the historical control measure implementation status Model, further, the server can revise the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted.
  • the server receives a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the first cumulative confirmed data associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted at the predicted time.
  • the server can obtain the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to perform data on the statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures. Analysis, where the target time is determined based on the predicted time. Further, the server determines the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model. Through this method, the server obtains a highly accurate prediction model based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference region and the implementation status of historical control measures, and further based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted and The implementation status of historical control measures revises the prediction model to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted. Furthermore, it provides a data processing method for the epidemic area in the early stage of the epidemic (that is, the epidemic area with fewer training samples). This method improves the accuracy of predicting the confirmed data of the target infectious disease under the prediction time.
  • FIG. 4 is a schematic structural diagram of a data processing device provided by an embodiment of this application.
  • the data processing device is deployed on a server, and the device includes:
  • the obtaining module 40 is configured to receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict that the area to be predicted is associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time The first cumulative confirmed data;
  • the acquisition module 40 is also used to acquire the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to analyze the infection statistics data and Performing data analysis on the implementation status of the first control measure, and the target time is determined based on the predicted time;
  • the processing module 41 is configured to determine the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model;
  • the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted.
  • the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
  • the acquisition module 40 is further configured to acquire information about the target infection in the area to be predicted.
  • the historical infection statistics of the disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures and to obtain a prediction model determined based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of the historical management and control measures in the predicted reference area; the processing module 41 is also used for
  • the prediction model is revised according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures in the region to be predicted to obtain a target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  • the acquisition module 40 is specifically configured to acquire historical consultation information about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, and the historical consultation information includes historical infection statistical data consultation information and historical control measures implementation status consulting information;
  • the processing module 41 is specifically configured to call a text recognition algorithm model to obtain historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted from the historical infection statistics consulting information;
  • the processing module 41 Specifically used to call the text recognition algorithm model to obtain the historical control measure implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted from the historical control measure implementation status consultation information.
  • the processing module 41 is further configured to respond to the target infectious disease according to a preset time sliding window. Preprocess the historical infection statistics and historical control measures of the target infectious disease in the predicted region to obtain at least one sequence data of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted; At least one piece of sequence data of the target infectious disease modifies the prediction model to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  • the processing module 41 is specifically configured to divide at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted into a training sequence data set and a test sequence data set;
  • the preset evaluation rule is an evaluation rule corresponding to a predictive evaluation index, wherein the predictive evaluation index includes: root mean square error, mean square error, average absolute error, and symmetric average absolute percentage error. Any kind.
  • the acquisition module 40 is further configured to receive the data related to the area to be predicted and the A second infection prediction request associated with the target infectious disease, where the second infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the second cumulative confirmed data associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted at the predicted time;
  • the processing Module 41 is also used to change the implementation state of the first control measure associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted to the implementation state of the second control measure, and call the target prediction model Perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the second control measures, the target time is determined based on the predicted time; the second data analysis result is determined based on the second data analysis result output by the target prediction model Accumulated confirmed data.
  • the server may at least include a processor 501, a communication interface 502, and a memory 503; wherein the processor 501, the communication interface 502, and the memory 503 may be connected through a bus or other connection methods.
  • the memory 503 may also include a computer-readable storage medium, the computer-readable storage medium is used to store a computer program, the computer program includes program instructions, and the processor 501 is configured to execute the program instructions stored in the memory 503 .
  • the processor 501 (or CPU (Central Processing Unit, central processing unit)) is the computing core and control core of the server.
  • the processor 501 is configured to call the program instructions to execute: receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease through the communication interface 502, and the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the to be predicted
  • the first cumulative diagnosis data associated with the target infectious disease in the region at the predicted time obtain the infection statistics data associated with the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted at the target time and the implementation status of the first control measures, and call
  • the target prediction model performs data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first management and control measures.
  • the target time is determined based on the predicted time; the target time is determined based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model.
  • the first cumulative diagnosis data wherein, the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted, the prediction model It is determined based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area and the implementation status of historical control measures; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the target infectious disease in the to-be-predicted area.
  • the processor 501, the communication interface 502, and the memory 503 described in the embodiment of the present application can execute the implementation described in the method embodiment described in FIG. 1 or FIG. The implementation method of the data processing device described in FIG. 4 in the embodiment of the present application will not be repeated here.
  • the processor 501 before the target prediction model is invoked to analyze the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures, the processor 501 is further configured to obtain information about the target infection in the area to be predicted.
  • the historical infection statistics of the disease and the implementation status of historical control measures, and the prediction model determined based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of the historical control measures in the predicted reference area;
  • the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures modify the prediction model to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  • the specific implementation manner of the processor 501 described in the embodiment of the present application can perform the related implementation manner described in step S201 of the foregoing embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
  • the processor 501 is specifically configured to obtain historical consultation information about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, and the historical consultation information includes consultation information on historical infection statistical data and consultation on the implementation status of historical management and control measures. Information; call the text recognition algorithm model to obtain the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted from the historical infection statistical data consultation information; call the text recognition algorithm model from the historical control measures implementation status Obtain the implementation status of historical control measures for the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted from the consultation information.
  • the specific implementation manner of the processor 501 described in the embodiment of the present application can perform the related implementation manner described in step S201 of the foregoing embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
  • the processor 501 is further configured to compare the to-be-predicted area according to a sliding window of a preset time.
  • the area s historical infection statistics on the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures are preprocessed to obtain at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted; At least one piece of serial data of infectious diseases is modified to the prediction model to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  • the specific implementation manner of the processor 501 described in the embodiment of the present application can perform the related implementation manner described in step S202 of the foregoing embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
  • the processor 501 is specifically configured to divide at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted into a training sequence data set and a test sequence data set; according to the training sequence
  • the data set modifies the prediction model to obtain the candidate prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted; verifies the candidate prediction model according to the test sequence data set and preset evaluation rules; if the verification passes, the candidate prediction model is determined
  • the candidate prediction model is a target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  • the specific implementation manner of the processor 501 described in the embodiment of the present application can perform the related implementation manner described in step S202 of the foregoing embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
  • the preset evaluation rule is an evaluation rule corresponding to a predictive evaluation index, wherein the predictive evaluation index includes: root mean square error, mean square error, average absolute error, and symmetric average absolute percentage error. Any kind.
  • the specific implementation described in the embodiment of the present application can implement the related implementation described in step S202 of the foregoing embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
  • the processor 501 is further configured to receive data related to the area to be predicted and the A second infection prediction request associated with the target infectious disease, where the second infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the second cumulative diagnosis data associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted at the predicted time;
  • the implementation status of the first control measure associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted is changed to the implementation status of the second control measure at the target time, and the target prediction model is called to analyze the infection statistics and the infection statistics.
  • Data analysis is performed on the implementation status of the second control measure, the target time is determined based on the predicted time; the second cumulative diagnosis data is determined based on the second data analysis result output by the target prediction model.
  • the specific implementation manner of the processor 501 described in the embodiment of the present application can perform the related implementation manner described in step S205 of the foregoing embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
  • the processor 501 may be a central processing unit (Central Processing Unit, CPU), and the processor 501 may also be other general-purpose processors or digital signal processors (Digital Signal Processors, DSPs). ), Application Specific Integrated Circuit (ASIC), off-the-shelf programmable gate array (Field-Programmable Gate Array, FPGA) or other programmable logic devices, discrete gates or transistor logic devices, discrete a hardware components, etc.
  • the general-purpose processor may be a microprocessor or the processor may also be any conventional processor or the like.
  • the memory 503 may include a read-only memory and a random access memory, and provides instructions and data to the processor 501.
  • a part of the memory 503 may also include a non-volatile random access memory.
  • the memory 503 may also store device type information.
  • a computer storage medium such as a computer-readable storage medium
  • the computer-readable storage medium stores a computer program
  • the computer program includes program instructions
  • the program instructions are executed by a processor
  • the storage medium involved in this application such as a computer-readable storage medium, may be non-volatile or volatile.
  • the computer-readable storage medium may be the internal storage unit of the server described in any of the foregoing embodiments, such as the hard disk or memory of the server.
  • the computer-readable storage medium may also be an external storage device of the server, such as a plug-in hard disk equipped on the server, a smart memory card (SMC), or a secure digital (SD) card. , Flash Card, etc.
  • the computer-readable storage medium may also include both an internal storage unit of the server and an external storage device.
  • the computer-readable storage medium is used to store the computer program and other programs and data required by the server.
  • the computer-readable storage medium can also be used to temporarily store data that has been output or will be output.
  • a person of ordinary skill in the art can understand that all or part of the processes in the methods of the above-mentioned embodiments can be implemented by instructing relevant hardware through a computer program.
  • the program can be stored in a computer readable and readable storage medium. When the program is executed, it may include the processes of the above-mentioned method embodiments.
  • the readable storage medium may be a magnetic disk, an optical disk, a read-only memory (Read-Only Memory, ROM), or a random access memory (Random Access Memory, RAM), etc.
  • the computer-readable storage medium may mainly include a storage program area and a storage data area, where the storage program area may store an operating system, an application program required by at least one function, etc.; the storage data area may store information based on the blockchain node Use the created data, etc.
  • Blockchain essentially a decentralized database, is a series of data blocks associated with cryptographic methods. Each data block contains a batch of network transaction information for verification. The validity of the information (anti-counterfeiting) and the generation of the next block.
  • the blockchain can include the underlying platform of the blockchain, the platform product service layer, and the application service layer.

Landscapes

  • Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • Public Health (AREA)
  • Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Medical Informatics (AREA)
  • Economics (AREA)
  • Human Resources & Organizations (AREA)
  • Strategic Management (AREA)
  • Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Game Theory and Decision Science (AREA)
  • Quality & Reliability (AREA)
  • Tourism & Hospitality (AREA)
  • Marketing (AREA)
  • General Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Theoretical Computer Science (AREA)
  • Entrepreneurship & Innovation (AREA)
  • Operations Research (AREA)
  • Biomedical Technology (AREA)
  • Data Mining & Analysis (AREA)
  • Databases & Information Systems (AREA)
  • Development Economics (AREA)
  • Pathology (AREA)
  • Epidemiology (AREA)
  • General Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Primary Health Care (AREA)
  • Medical Treatment And Welfare Office Work (AREA)

Abstract

A server, a data processing method and apparatus, and a readable storage medium, which are applied in the field of medical technology. The server comprises a communication interface, a processor and a memory, the processor being configured to invoke program instructions in the memory for execution of: receiving a first infection prediction request by means of the communication interface; acquiring infection statistical data and an implementation state of a first management and control measure of a target infectious disease in a region to be predicted at a target time, and invoking a target prediction model to perform data analysis; and determining first cumulative data of confirmed cases on the basis of a first data analysis result outputted by the target prediction model. In this way, the accuracy of prediction of confirmed data of the target infectious disease is improved for regions in the early stage of the epidemic. The present invention relates to the blockchain technology, for example, the infection statistical data and the implementation state of the first management and control measure associated with the target infectious disease and the region to be predicted can be written into a blockchain for data analysis and prediction of the target infectious disease.

Description

一种服务器、数据处理方法、装置及可读存储介质Server, data processing method, device and readable storage medium
本申请要求于2020年11月2日提交中国专利局、申请号为202011203198.5,发明名称为“一种服务器、数据处理方法、装置及可读存储介质”的中国专利申请的优先权,其全部内容通过引用结合在本申请中。This application claims the priority of the Chinese patent application filed with the Chinese Patent Office on November 2, 2020, the application number is 202011203198.5, and the invention title is "a server, data processing method, device, and readable storage medium", and its entire content Incorporated in this application by reference.
技术领域Technical field
本申请涉及智能决策领域,具体应用于医疗技术领域,尤其涉及一种服务器、数据处理方法、装置及可读存储介质。This application relates to the field of intelligent decision-making, and is specifically applied to the field of medical technology, and in particular to a server, a data processing method, a device, and a readable storage medium.
背景技术Background technique
传染疾病是由病原体引起的能在人与人、动物与动物或人与动物之间进行相互传播的一类疾病,通常具有很强的传播性。例如,2019年新型冠状病毒(Corona Virus Disease 2019,COVID-19)在全球各国大规模爆发,截止2020年8月3日,全球已有220多个国家和地区累计报告逾1800万名确诊病例,逾68万名患者死亡,目前仍在持续扩散中。为了在疫情期间制定出更优的管控策略、医疗资源分配策略,亟需建立预测模型对各个疫情地区的疫情发展状态进行预估。Infectious diseases are a type of diseases caused by pathogens that can be transmitted from person to person, animal to animal, or person to animal, and they are usually highly transmissible. For example, in 2019, the new coronavirus (Corona Virus Disease 2019, COVID-19) broke out on a large scale in countries around the world. As of August 3, 2020, more than 18 million confirmed cases have been reported in more than 220 countries and regions around the world. More than 680,000 patients have died, and the spread is still ongoing. In order to formulate better management and control strategies and medical resource allocation strategies during the epidemic, it is urgent to establish a prediction model to estimate the development status of the epidemic in each epidemic area.
但发明人意识到,由于各个疫情地区对应的疫情爆发期不同,处于疫情早期的疫情地区对应的模型训练样本数据远低于处于疫情晚期的疫情地区,导致处于疫情早期的疫情地区对应的预测模型,存在对疫情确诊数据预测的准确度较低的问题,进而致使无法准确地在疫情期间对该疫情地区制定出响应的管控策略和医疗资源分配策略。However, the inventor realized that due to the different outbreak periods corresponding to each epidemic area, the model training sample data corresponding to the epidemic area in the early stage of the epidemic is much lower than the epidemic area in the late epidemic period, resulting in the prediction model corresponding to the epidemic area in the early epidemic period. , There is a problem of low accuracy in predicting the epidemic diagnosis data, which makes it impossible to accurately formulate a response control strategy and medical resource allocation strategy for the epidemic area during the epidemic.
可见,如何针对处于疫情早期的疫情地区提供一种数据处理方法,以提升对目标传染病确诊数据预测的准确性,是一个亟待解决的问题。It can be seen that how to provide a data processing method for the epidemic area in the early stage of the epidemic to improve the accuracy of the prediction of the confirmed data of the target infectious disease is an urgent problem to be solved.
发明内容Summary of the invention
本申请实施例提供了一种服务器、数据处理方法、装置及可读存储介质,采用这样的方法,针对处于疫情早期的疫情地区(即训练样本较少的疫情地区)提供了一种数据处理方法,该方法提升了对目标传染病确诊数据预测的准确性。The embodiments of the present application provide a server, a data processing method, a device, and a readable storage medium. Using this method, a data processing method is provided for an epidemic area in the early stage of an epidemic (that is, an epidemic area with fewer training samples) , This method improves the accuracy of predicting the confirmed data of the target infectious disease.
第一方面,本申请实施例提供了一种服务器,所述服务器包括通信接口、处理器和存储器,其中:In the first aspect, an embodiment of the present application provides a server, the server includes a communication interface, a processor, and a memory, where:
所述存储器用于存储计算机程序,所述计算机程序包括程序指令;The memory is used to store a computer program, and the computer program includes program instructions;
所述处理器被配置调用所述程序指令,用于通过所述通信接口接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,所述第一感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第一累计确诊数据;获取所述待预测地区在目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据;The processor is configured to call the program instructions for receiving, through the communication interface, a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, and the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the Predict the first cumulative diagnosis data associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time in the predicted area; obtain the infection statistics data associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the to-be-predicted area and the implementation status of the first control measures, and Calling a target prediction model to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures, the target time is determined based on the predicted time; determined based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model The first cumulative diagnosis data;
其中,所述目标预测模型是依照所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正后得到,所述预测模型是根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定;所述预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间,早于所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间。Wherein, the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted. The historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
第二方面,本申请实施例提供了一种数据处理方法,所述数据处理方法由服务器执行,所述方法包括:In the second aspect, an embodiment of the present application provides a data processing method, the data processing method is executed by a server, and the method includes:
接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,所述第一感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第一累计确诊数据;Receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the first cumulative confirmed data associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted at the predicted time ;
获取所述待预测地区在目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管 控措施实施状态,并调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;Acquire the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the region to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to perform the statistics on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures Data analysis, the target time is determined based on the predicted time;
基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据;Determining the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model;
其中,所述目标预测模型是依照所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正后得到,所述预测模型是根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定;所述预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间,早于所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间。Wherein, the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted. The historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
第三方面,本申请实施例提供了一种数据处理装置,所述数据处理装置部署于服务器,所述装置包括:In a third aspect, an embodiment of the present application provides a data processing device, the data processing device is deployed on a server, and the device includes:
获取模块,用于接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,所述第一感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第一累计确诊数据;The acquisition module is configured to receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the area to be predicted that is associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time The first cumulative confirmed data;
所述获取模块,还用于获取所述待预测地区在目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;The acquisition module is also used to acquire the infection statistics data associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of the first management and control measures, and call the target prediction model to analyze the infection statistics and the infection statistics. Perform data analysis on the implementation status of the first control measure, and the target time is determined based on the predicted time;
处理模块,用于基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据;A processing module, configured to determine the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model;
其中,所述目标预测模型是依照所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正后得到,所述预测模型是根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定;所述预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间,早于所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间。Wherein, the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted. The historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
第四方面,本申请实施例提供了一种计算机可读存储介质,所述计算机可读存储介质中存储有指令,当其在计算机上运行时,使得计算机执行以下方法:In a fourth aspect, an embodiment of the present application provides a computer-readable storage medium that stores instructions in the computer-readable storage medium, which when run on a computer, causes the computer to execute the following method:
接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,所述第一感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第一累计确诊数据;Receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the first cumulative confirmed data associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted at the predicted time ;
获取所述待预测地区在目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;Acquire the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the region to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to perform the statistics on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures Data analysis, the target time is determined based on the predicted time;
基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据;Determining the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model;
其中,所述目标预测模型是依照所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正后得到,所述预测模型是根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定;所述预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间,早于所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间。Wherein, the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted. The historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
本申请实施例中,根据预测参考地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态得到准确度较高的预测模型,进一步地根据待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正,得到与待预测地区对应的目标预测模型,通过这样的数据处理方法提升了处于疫情早期的疫情地区对应的预测模型的准确度。In the embodiments of this application, a prediction model with higher accuracy is obtained based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area and the implementation status of historical control measures, and further based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and The implementation status of historical control measures revises the prediction model to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted. Through this data processing method, the accuracy of the prediction model corresponding to the epidemic area in the early stage of the epidemic is improved.
附图说明Description of the drawings
为了更清楚地说明本申请实施例或现有技术中的技术方案,下面将对实施例或现有技术描述中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍,显而易见地,下面描述中的附图仅仅是本申请 的一些实施例,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其他的附图。In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present application or the prior art, the following will briefly introduce the drawings that need to be used in the description of the embodiments or the prior art. Obviously, the drawings in the following description are only These are some embodiments of the present application. For those of ordinary skill in the art, other drawings can be obtained based on these drawings without creative work.
图1是本申请实施例提供的一种数据处理方法的流程示意图;FIG. 1 is a schematic flowchart of a data processing method provided by an embodiment of the present application;
图2是本申请实施例提供的另一种数据处理方法的流程示意图;2 is a schematic flowchart of another data processing method provided by an embodiment of the present application;
图3a是本申请实施例提供的一种预测模型的训练过程的示意图;Fig. 3a is a schematic diagram of a training process of a prediction model provided by an embodiment of the present application;
图3b是本申请实施例提供的一种根据预设时间滑动窗口得到序列数据的示意图;FIG. 3b is a schematic diagram of obtaining sequence data according to a preset time sliding window according to an embodiment of the present application; FIG.
图3c是本申请实施例提供的一种对预测模型进行修正得到目标预测模型的过程的示意图;FIG. 3c is a schematic diagram of a process of correcting a prediction model to obtain a target prediction model according to an embodiment of the present application;
图3d是本申请实施例提供的一种从第一管控措施实施状态更改为第二管控措施实施状态的示意图;FIG. 3d is a schematic diagram of changing from the implementation state of the first control measure to the implementation state of the second control measure according to an embodiment of the present application;
图4是本申请实施例提供的一种数据处理装置的结构示意图;FIG. 4 is a schematic structural diagram of a data processing device provided by an embodiment of the present application;
图5是本申请实施例提供的一种服务器的结构示意图。Fig. 5 is a schematic structural diagram of a server provided by an embodiment of the present application.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
下面将结合本申请实施例中的附图,对本申请实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本申请一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本申请中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本申请保护的范围。The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present application will be clearly and completely described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings in the embodiments of the present application. Obviously, the described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present application, rather than all the embodiments. Based on the embodiments in this application, all other embodiments obtained by those of ordinary skill in the art without creative work shall fall within the protection scope of this application.
本申请的技术方案可涉及人工智能技术领域,如可具体涉及神经网络技术,可应用于智慧医疗等场景,以实现数字医疗,推送智慧城市的建设。可选的,本申请涉及的数据如确诊数据、感染统计数据、时间信息和/或模型等可存储于数据库中,或者可以存储于区块链中,本申请不做限定。The technical solution of the present application may involve the field of artificial intelligence technology, for example, it may specifically involve neural network technology, and can be applied to scenarios such as smart medical care, so as to realize digital medical care and push the construction of smart cities. Optionally, the data involved in this application, such as diagnosis data, infection statistics, time information, and/or models, etc., can be stored in a database, or can be stored in a blockchain, which is not limited in this application.
需要知晓的是,本申请实施例中提到的服务器不限于一个服务器,也可以是服务器集群。It should be known that the server mentioned in the embodiment of the present application is not limited to one server, and may also be a server cluster.
请参见图1,是本申请实施例提供的一种数据处理方法的流程示意图,该数据处理方法由服务器执行,该数据处理方法包括如下步骤:Please refer to FIG. 1, which is a schematic flowchart of a data processing method provided by an embodiment of the present application. The data processing method is executed by a server, and the data processing method includes the following steps:
S101:接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,该第一感染预测请求用于指示预测该待预测地区在预测时间下与目标传染疾病关联第一累计确诊数据。S101: Receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict that the area to be predicted is associated with the first cumulative diagnosis data of the target infectious disease at the predicted time.
服务器接收用户通过服务器连接的终端设备输入的第一感染预测请求,该第一感染预测请求用于指示预测待预测地区在预测时间下与目标传染疾病关联的第一累计确诊数据。其中,该第一感染预测请求包括:待预测地区的标识信息、待预测时间、目标传染疾病的标识信息中的一种或多种。其中,预测时间为用户根据具体应用场景设定。The server receives a first infection prediction request input by a user through a terminal device connected to the server, and the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the first cumulative diagnosis data associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time in the area to be predicted. Wherein, the first infection prediction request includes one or more of the identification information of the area to be predicted, the time to be predicted, and the identification information of the target infectious disease. Among them, the predicted time is set by the user according to specific application scenarios.
示例性地,城市A在2019年8月发生传染疾病1,并在2019年9月发生传染疾病2,在2020年3月4日用户输入第一感染预测请求:“3月5日,针对传染疾病1城市A的累计确诊数据”。Exemplarily, infectious disease 1 occurred in city A in August 2019, and infectious disease 2 occurred in September 2019. On March 4, 2020, the user entered the first infection prediction request: "March 5, for infection The cumulative diagnosis data of disease 1 city A".
S102:获取该待预测地区在目标时间下与目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用目标预测模型对该感染统计数据和该第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,该目标时间是基于预测时间确定的。S102: Obtain the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures. The target time is determined based on the predicted time.
其中,目标预测模型是依照待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正后得到,该预测模型是根据预测参考地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定,并且该预测参考地区关于目标传染疾病的发生时间早于待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的发生时间。Among them, the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures. The prediction model is based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area. The implementation status of historical control measures is determined, and the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the reference area for prediction is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
需要知晓的是,传染病阶段可以分为疫情早期和疫情晚期,处于疫情早期的地区是指在该地区发现该传染疾病存在的时间距今(判断该地区具体处于哪个传染病阶段的时间)较短,和/或该传染病的每日新增确诊人数高于传染病的每日治愈人数,和/或每日新增确诊 人数高于前一天的每日新增确诊人数。处于疫情晚期的地区是指在该地区发现该传染疾病存在的时间距今(判断该地区具体处于哪个传染病阶段的时间)较长,和/或该传染病的疫情传播状况已经得到控制,和/或该传染病的每日新增确诊人数小于传染病的每日治愈人数,和/或每日新增确诊人数低于前一天的每日新增确诊人数。本申请实施例所提及的预测参考地区是处于该目标传染疾病的疫情晚期的地区,待预测地区是处于该目标传染经的疫情早期的地区,即预测参考地区关于目标传染疾病的发生时间早于待预测地区。What needs to be known is that the stage of infectious disease can be divided into early stage and late stage of the epidemic. The area in the early stage of the epidemic refers to the time when the infectious disease was found in the area (the time to determine the specific infectious disease stage in the area) is relatively long. Short, and/or the number of newly diagnosed infectious diseases daily is higher than the daily cured number of infectious diseases, and/or the daily newly diagnosed number is higher than the daily newly diagnosed number of the previous day. The area in the late stage of the epidemic means that the time since the infectious disease was found in the area (the time to determine the specific infectious disease stage in the area) is longer, and/or the spread of the infectious disease has been controlled, and / Or the daily number of newly diagnosed infectious diseases is less than the daily cured number of infectious diseases, and/or the daily newly diagnosed number is lower than the daily newly diagnosed number of the previous day. The prediction reference area mentioned in the embodiment of this application is the area in the late stage of the epidemic of the target infectious disease, and the area to be predicted is the area in the early stage of the epidemic of the target infectious disease, that is, the predicted reference area has an early occurrence time of the target infectious disease. In the region to be predicted.
通过这样的方式,可知预测参考地区针对目标传染疾病的历史统计数据(包括历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态)较为充足,则根据预测参考地区得到的预测模型准确度较高,进一步地根据待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正(即进行预测模型的迁移),得到与待预测地区对应的目标预测模型,通过这样的数据处理方法提升了处于疫情早期的疫情地区对应的目标预测模型的准确度。In this way, it can be known that the historical statistical data (including historical infection statistics and the implementation status of historical control measures) for the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is relatively sufficient, and the prediction model obtained according to the predicted reference area has a higher accuracy. The historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures are revised to the prediction model (that is, the migration of the prediction model), and the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted is obtained, and this data processing method is used to improve The accuracy of the target prediction model corresponding to the epidemic area in the early stage of the epidemic is determined.
服务器接收第一感染预测请求后,根据第一感染预测请求中包括的预测时间确定目标时间,例如第一感染预测请求中的预测时间为2020年3月8日,则可以将2020年3月1日至2020年3月7日确定为目标时间。进一步地,服务器获取待预测地区在目标时间下与目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用目标预测模型对该感染统计数据和该第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析。After the server receives the first infection prediction request, it determines the target time according to the prediction time included in the first infection prediction request. For example, if the prediction time in the first infection prediction request is March 8, 2020, it can be set to March 1, 2020. Date to March 7, 2020 is determined as the target time. Further, the server obtains the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted, and calls the target prediction model to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures .
在一个实施例中,服务器可以根据第一感染预测请求中包括的预测时间和预设时长确定目标时间,其中,预设时长可以是根据目标预测模型所使用的训练数据相关。例如,目标预测模型所使用的序列数据(包括训练数据和测试数据)的序列时长为7天,则该预设时长为7天。进一步地,服务器可以获取距离预测时间前7天的历史统计数据和管控措施状态。In one embodiment, the server may determine the target time according to the prediction time included in the first infection prediction request and a preset duration, where the preset duration may be related to training data used by the target prediction model. For example, if the sequence duration of the sequence data (including training data and test data) used by the target prediction model is 7 days, the preset duration is 7 days. Further, the server can obtain historical statistical data and the status of management and control measures 7 days before the forecast time.
S103:基于目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定第一累计确诊数据。S103: Determine the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model.
服务器根据目标预测模型的待预测地区在目标时间下与目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态的分析,输出第一数据分析结果,确定第一累计确诊数据。例如,目标预测模型的第一数据分析结果为25万人,则服务器根据第一感染预测,确定第一累计确诊数据为:城市A在2020年3月8日的累计确诊人数为25万人。The server outputs the first data analysis result and determines the first cumulative diagnosis data according to the analysis of the infection statistics data associated with the target infectious disease at the target time and the implementation status of the first control measures in the area to be predicted in the target prediction model. For example, if the first data analysis result of the target prediction model is 250,000, the server determines the first cumulative confirmed data according to the first infection prediction: the cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses in city A on March 8, 2020 is 250,000.
本申请实施例中,服务器接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,该第一感染预测请求用于指示预测该待预测地区在预测时间下与目标传染疾病关联的第一累计确诊数据。进而,服务器可以获取该待预测地区在目标时间下与目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用该目标预测模型对该然统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,其中,该目标时间是基于预测时间确定的。进一步地,服务器基于目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定第一累计确诊数据。需要知晓的是,目标预测模型是依照待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正后得到,该预测模型是根据预测参考地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定,该预测参考地区关于目标传染疾病的发生时间早于该待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的发病时间。通过这样的方式,针对处于疫情早期的疫情地区(即训练样本较少的疫情地区)提供了一种数据处理方法,该方法提升了对目标传染病确诊数据预测的准确性。In this embodiment of the application, the server receives the first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, and the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the first infection prediction request associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted at the predicted time. Accumulated confirmed data. Furthermore, the server can obtain the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to perform data on the statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures. Analysis, where the target time is determined based on the predicted time. Further, the server determines the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model. What needs to be known is that the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures. The prediction model is based on the history of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area. Infection statistics and the implementation status of historical control measures are determined. The occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the reference area for prediction is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted. In this way, a data processing method is provided for epidemic areas in the early stage of the epidemic (that is, epidemic areas with fewer training samples), which improves the accuracy of predicting the confirmed data of the target infectious disease.
请参见图2,是本申请实施例提供的另一种数据处理方法的流程示意图,该数据处理方法由服务器执行,该数据处理方法包括如下步骤:Please refer to FIG. 2, which is a schematic flowchart of another data processing method provided by an embodiment of the present application. The data processing method is executed by a server, and the data processing method includes the following steps:
S201:获取待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态,并获取预测参考地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定的预测模型。S201: Obtain historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted, and obtain historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the prediction reference region and a prediction model for determining the implementation status of historical control measures.
其中,历史感染统计数据为该待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的每日累计确诊人数;历史管控措施实施状态为该待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的每日管控措施实施状态,每日管控措施实施状态为实施管控状态和未实施管控状态中的任一种。Among them, historical infection statistics are the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted; the implementation status of historical control measures is the implementation status of the daily control measures for the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, and the implementation status of the daily control measures in the area to be predicted Either the state of implementing control and the state of not implementing control.
服务器获取待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史每日累计确诊人数(即历史感染统计数据)和每日管控措施状态(即历史管控实施状态),例如,待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的发现日期是X月1日,获取该待预测地区至今(X月7日)关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态,即获取X月1日至X月7日每日累计确诊人数和每日管控措施实施状态,其中以数据0和1表示该管控措施实施状态,则服务器获取待预测地区的关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态如表1所示:The server obtains the historical daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted (that is, historical infection statistics) and the status of daily control measures (that is, the implementation status of historical control and control). For example, the date of discovery of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted is On X 1st, obtain the historical infection statistics data and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted so far (X 7th), that is, obtain the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses from X 1 to X 7 The implementation status of daily control measures, in which data 0 and 1 indicate the implementation status of the control measures, and the server obtains historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted as shown in Table 1:
表1Table 1
日期date 每日确诊人数(万人)Daily confirmed number (10,000 people) 是否实施管控措施Whether to implement control measures
X月1日X month 1 11 00
X月2日 X month 2 2.52.5 00
X月3日 X month 3 44 00
X月4日X month 4 6.56.5 00
X月5日X month 5 7.57.5 00
X月6日 X month 6 99 00
X月7日X 7th 1212 00
服务器获取预测参考地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定的预测模型的具体方式可以服务器将至少一个处于疫情晚期的地区确定为预测参考地区,获取预测参考地区关于目标的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态,进一步地,服务器根据该预测参考地区关于目标的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预设网络模型进行训练,得到预测模型。其中,预设网络模型可以为循环神经网络模型(Recurrent Neural Network,RNN)、长短时记忆神经网络模型(Long Short-Term Memory,LSTM)和门控循环单元网络(Gated Recurrent Unit,GRU)中的任一种。The server obtains the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area and the specific method of determining the prediction model for the implementation status of historical control measures. The server can determine at least one area in the late stage of the epidemic as the prediction reference area, and obtain the prediction reference area about the target. Historical infection statistics and the implementation status of historical control measures. Further, the server trains the preset network model according to the historical infection statistics of the target in the predicted reference area and the implementation status of historical control measures to obtain a prediction model. Among them, the preset network model can be one of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU). Any kind.
具体地,服务器获取预测参考地区关于目标的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态,并根据预设时间滑动窗口对预测参考地区关于目标的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态进行预处理,得到预测参考地区关于该目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据,进一步地,服务器根据该至少一条序列数据对预设网络模型进行训练,得到预测模型。其中,预设时间滑动窗口包括时间滑动窗口大小和滑动步长,该预设时间滑动窗口可以为开发人员根据实验应用场景设定的,后续可根据具体应用场景进行相应的调整,在此不做具体限定。例如,预设时间滑动窗口的大小可以为7天或10天,步长为1。Specifically, the server obtains the historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target in the predicted reference region, and preprocesses the historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target in the predicted reference region according to a preset time sliding window. Obtain at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the prediction reference area, and further, the server trains a preset network model according to the at least one piece of sequence data to obtain a prediction model. Among them, the preset time sliding window includes the size of the time sliding window and the sliding step length. The preset time sliding window can be set by the developer according to the experimental application scenario, and subsequent adjustments can be made according to the specific application scenario. Specific restrictions. For example, the size of the preset time sliding window can be 7 days or 10 days, and the step size is 1.
示例性地,如图3a所示,为预测模型的训练过程,其中模块30为3个预测参考地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态,模块31为预设网络模型,模块32为预测模型。服务器获取预测参考地区的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态为:为7月1日至7月10日的关于目标传染疾病的每日累计确诊人数和每日管控措施实施状态。在预设时间滑动窗口的大小为7天,步长为1时,如图3b所示,服务器可以将至少一个预测参考地区的7月1日至7月7日的每日累计确诊人数和每日管控措施实施状态、7月2日至7月8日的每日累计确诊人数和每日管控措施实施状态、7月3日至7月9日的 每日累计确诊人数和每日管控措施实施状态、7月4日至7月10日的每日累计确诊人数和每日管控措施实施状态分别确定为序列数据。进一步地,服务器可以将7月1日至7月7日的每日累计确诊人数和每日管控措施实施状态为预设网络模型的输入,7月8日的每日累计确诊人数和每日管控措施实施状态为预设网络模型的输出,以此类推的方式对预设网络模型31进行训练,得到预测模型32。该预测模型32可以根据预测时间点的前7天的每日累计确诊人数和每日管控措施实施状态,分析得到预测时间点的每日累计确诊人数和每日管控措施实施状态。Illustratively, as shown in FIG. 3a, it is the training process of the prediction model, where the module 30 is the historical infection statistics data and the historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the three prediction reference regions, and the module 31 is the preset network model. Module 32 is a predictive model. The server obtains the historical infection statistics data and the historical control measures implementation status of the predicted reference area as follows: the daily cumulative number of confirmed cases of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of the daily control measures from July 1st to July 10th. At the preset time, the size of the sliding window is 7 days and the step length is 1 o'clock. As shown in Figure 3b, the server can compare the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses from July 1 to July 7 in at least one prediction reference area and the The implementation status of daily control measures, the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses from July 2 to July 8 and the implementation status of daily control measures, the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses and the implementation of daily control measures from July 3 to July 9 The status, the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses from July 4th to July 10th, and the implementation status of daily control measures are respectively determined as serial data. Furthermore, the server can take the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses and the implementation status of daily control measures from July 1 to July 7 as input to the preset network model, and the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses and daily control measures on July 8 The implementation state of the measure is the output of the preset network model, and the preset network model 31 is trained in an analogous manner to obtain the prediction model 32. The prediction model 32 can analyze and obtain the daily cumulative number of diagnoses and the implementation status of daily control measures at the predicted time point based on the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses in the first 7 days of the forecast time point and the implementation status of daily control measures.
在一个实施例中,服务器获取待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态的具体实施方式可以是,服务器获取待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史咨询信息,该历史咨询信息包括历史感染统计数据咨询信息和历史管控措施实施状态咨询信息。进一步地,服务器可以调用文本识别算法模型从该历史感染统计数据咨询信息中获取待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据,并调用文本识别算法模型从历史管控措施实施状态咨询信息中获取待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史管控措施实施状态。In one embodiment, the specific implementation manner for the server to obtain historical infection statistics on the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures may be that the server obtains historical consultation information about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted. The information includes historical infection statistical data consultation information and historical control measures implementation status consultation information. Further, the server may call the text recognition algorithm model to obtain historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease from the historical infection statistical data consultation information, and call the text recognition algorithm model to obtain the pending information from the historical control measures implementation status consultation information. Forecast the implementation status of the historical control measures for the target infectious diseases in the region.
其中,文本识别算法可以为开发人员根据实验测算数据预先训练的神经网络模型算法,例如卷积神经网络算法等,在此不做具体限定。历史咨询信息可以是新闻咨询信息、政府公开咨询信息等。Among them, the text recognition algorithm may be a neural network model algorithm pre-trained by the developer based on experimental measurement data, such as a convolutional neural network algorithm, etc., which is not specifically limited here. Historical consultation information can be news consultation information, government public consultation information, and so on.
示例性地,历史咨询信息为新闻资讯信息,服务器获取目标地区A在X月1日的新闻资讯信息为:“截止于今日12:00,目标地区A的确诊人数为8.3万人,为了全力做好疫情防控工作,确保人民群众生命安全和身体健康,现发出如下通告:城市公交、地铁、轮渡、长途客运暂停运营,恢复时间另行通知。”服务器调用卷积神经网络文本识别算法模型从该咨询信息中获取到X月1日的确诊人数为8.3万人,管控措施实施咨询信息为“城市公交、地铁、轮渡、长途客运暂停运营”。进一步地,服务器可以将该管控措施实施资讯信息与预设文本特征信息(此处可以为通道关闭、客运暂停运营、隔离、禁止聚集和航班限次)进行匹配,可见匹配成功,则服务器将确该目标地区A在X月1日的管控措施实施状态为:实施管控状态。即,服务器获取该目标地区A的在X月1日的疫情数据为:每日累计确诊人数为8.3万人,实施管控状态。需要知晓的是,预设文本特征信息可以为开发人员根据实验应用场景设定的,后续可根据具体应用场景进行相应的调整,在此不做具体限定。Exemplarily, the historical consultation information is news information, and the server obtains the news information of target area A on the 1st of X: "As of 12:00 today, the number of confirmed cases in target area A is 83,000. In order to do our best To do a good job in the prevention and control of the epidemic to ensure the safety and health of the people, the following notice is hereby issued: urban buses, subways, ferries, and long-distance passenger transportation will be suspended, and the resumption time will be notified separately." The server calls the convolutional neural network text recognition algorithm model from this According to the consultation information, the number of people diagnosed on X on 1st was 83,000, and the consultation information on the implementation of management and control measures is "Urban buses, subways, ferries, and long-distance passenger transportation are suspended." Further, the server can match the implementation information of the management and control measures with the preset text feature information (here can be channel closure, passenger suspension operation, isolation, prohibition of gathering, and flight limit). It can be seen that the matching is successful, and the server will confirm The implementation status of the control measures for the target area A on X 1st is: implementation control status. That is, the server obtains the epidemic data of the target area A on the 1st of X: the daily cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses is 83,000, and the state of control is implemented. It should be known that the preset text feature information can be set by the developer according to the experimental application scenario, and subsequent adjustments can be made according to the specific application scenario, which is not specifically limited here.
S202:根据该待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对该预测模型进行修正,得到待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。S202: Correct the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures to obtain a target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
服务器获取该待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对该预测模型的全连接层的权重参数进行修正,得到待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。The server obtains historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures to correct the weight parameters of the fully connected layer of the prediction model to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted.
在一个实施例中,服务器获取待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态之后,服务器根据预设时间滑动窗口对待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态进行预处理,得到该待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据。进一步地,服务器根据该待预测地区关于该目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据对前述预测模型进行修正,得到该待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。其中,预设时间滑动窗口包括时间滑动窗口大小和滑动步长,该预设时间滑动窗口可以为开发人员根据实验应用场景设定的,后续可根据具体应用场景进行相应的调整,在此不做具体限定。In one embodiment, after the server obtains the historical infection statistics data and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, the server slides the window according to a preset time to predict the historical infection statistics data and historical control measures of the target infectious disease in the predicted area. The implementation status of the measures is preprocessed to obtain at least one sequence data of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted. Further, the server modifies the aforementioned prediction model according to at least one sequence data of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted. Among them, the preset time sliding window includes the size of the time sliding window and the sliding step length. The preset time sliding window can be set by the developer according to the experimental application scenario, and subsequent adjustments can be made according to the specific application scenario. Specific restrictions.
示例性地,如图3c所示,为对预测模型进行修正得到目标预测模型的过程,其中模块33为待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态,模块34为预测模型,模块35为待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。服务器获取待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态之后,利用窗口大小为7步长为1 的预设滑动窗口,将待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态处理为如模块33所示的序列数据,进一步地,根据该序列数据对预测模型34进行训练,修正预测模型34的全连接层对应的权重,得到待预测地区对应的目标预测模型35。Illustratively, as shown in FIG. 3c, it is the process of revising the prediction model to obtain the target prediction model. Module 33 is the historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted. Module 34 is the prediction Model, module 35 is a target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted. After the server obtains the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures, it uses a preset sliding window with a window size of 7 steps and 1 to convert the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted And the historical control measures are processed as the sequence data shown in module 33. Further, the prediction model 34 is trained according to the sequence data, and the weight corresponding to the fully connected layer of the prediction model 34 is corrected to obtain the target corresponding to the area to be predicted Forecast model 35.
在一个实施例中,服务器可以将待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据切分为训练序列数据集和测试序列数据集,进一步地,服务器根据该训练序列数据集对预测模型进行修正,得到待预测地区对应的候选预测模型,并根据测试序列数据集和预设评价规则,验证该候选预测模型。若验证通过,则确定该候选预测模型为待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。In one embodiment, the server may divide at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted into a training sequence data set and a test sequence data set. Further, the server can modify the prediction model according to the training sequence data set. The candidate prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted is obtained, and the candidate prediction model is verified according to the test sequence data set and preset evaluation rules. If the verification is passed, it is determined that the candidate prediction model is the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted.
需要知晓的是,服务器可以按照预设的切分比例将至少一条序列数据切分为训练序列数据集和测试序列数据集,该切分比例为训练序列数据集的数量与测试序列数据集的数量之比,可以由开发人员根据实验测试数据测算设定,后续可根据具体应用场景进行相应的调整。例如,当待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据的数量为1200条时,切分比例可以为5:1,服务器可以按照5:1的切分比例将至少一条序列数据切分为训练序列数据集1000条和测试序列数据集200条。What needs to be known is that the server can divide at least one piece of sequence data into a training sequence data set and a test sequence data set according to a preset segmentation ratio. The segmentation ratio is the number of training sequence data sets and the number of test sequence data sets. The ratio can be calculated and set by the developer based on experimental test data, and subsequent adjustments can be made according to specific application scenarios. For example, when the number of at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted is 1,200 pieces, the segmentation ratio can be 5:1, and the server can segment at least one piece of sequence data into training according to the segmentation ratio of 5:1 1000 sequence data sets and 200 test sequence data sets.
其中,预设评价规则为预测评价指标对应的评价规则,该预测评价指标包括:均方根误差(Root Mean Square Error,RMSE)、均方误差(Mean Square Error,MSE)、平均绝对误差(Mean Absolute Error,MAE、平均绝对百分比误差(Mean Absolute Percentage Error,MAPE)和对称平均绝对百分比误差(SymmetricMean Absolute Percentage Error,SMAPE)中的任一种。Among them, the preset evaluation rule is the evaluation rule corresponding to the predictive evaluation index. The predictive evaluation index includes: Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Square Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (Mean Absolute Error, MAE, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and Symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error (SMAPE).
示例性地,预测评价指标为MAPE时,评价规则为根据预设评价指标MAPE计算公式得到的关于候选预测模型的模型评价分数小于预设评价分数阈值则确定该候选预测模型,其中,预设评价分数阈值为开发人员根据实验数据测算后设定,后续可根据具体应用场景进行相应的调整,在此不进行具体限制。预设评价指标MAPE的计算公式如下所示:Exemplarily, when the predictive evaluation index is MAPE, the evaluation rule is that the model evaluation score of the candidate prediction model obtained according to the preset evaluation index MAPE calculation formula is less than the preset evaluation score threshold, then the candidate prediction model is determined, wherein the preset evaluation The score threshold is set by the developer after calculation based on experimental data, and can be adjusted accordingly according to specific application scenarios in the future, and there is no specific restriction here. The calculation formula of the preset evaluation index MAPE is as follows:
Figure PCTCN2021084226-appb-000001
Figure PCTCN2021084226-appb-000001
其中,MAPE为该候选预测模型对应的模型评价分数,n为测试序列样本中的序列数据样本个数,i表示第i个序列数据样本。Y i为第i个序列数据对应的实际值,g i(x)为第i个序列数据对应的预测值。 Among them, MAPE is the model evaluation score corresponding to the candidate prediction model, n is the number of sequence data samples in the test sequence sample, and i represents the i-th sequence data sample. Y i is the actual value corresponding to the i-th sequence data, and g i (x) is the predicted value corresponding to the i-th sequence data.
S203:接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,该第一感染预测请求用于指示预测该待预测地区在预测时间下与目标传染疾病关联第一累计确诊数据。S203: Receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict that the area to be predicted is associated with the first cumulative diagnosis data of the target infectious disease at the predicted time.
S204:获取该待预测地区在目标时间下与目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用目标预测模型对该感染统计数据和该第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,该目标时间是基于预测时间确定的。S204: Obtain the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures. The target time is determined based on the predicted time.
S205:基于目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定第一累计确诊数据。S205: Determine the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model.
其中,步骤S203-步骤S205的具体实施方式可参见前述实施例步骤S101-步骤S103的具体实施方式,对此不再进行详细叙述。For the specific implementation manners of step S203 to step S205, please refer to the specific implementation manners of step S101 to step S103 in the foregoing embodiment, which will not be described in detail.
在一个实施例中,服务器基于目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定第一累计确诊数据之后,服务器还可以接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第二感染预测请求,该第二感染预测请求用于指示预测待预测地区在预测时间下与目标传染疾病关联的第二累计确诊数据。进一步地,服务器可以将待预测地区在目标时间下与目标传染疾病关联的第一管控措施实施状态更改为第二管控措施实施状态,并调用该目标预测模型对该感染统计数据和该第二管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,其中,该目标时间是基于预测时间确定的。服务器基于该目标预测模型输出的第二数据分析结果确定第二累计确诊数据。通过这样的 方式,将第一累计确诊数据和第二累计确诊数据进行对比,帮助决策者做出决策要不要继续实施管控。In one embodiment, after the server determines the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model, the server may also receive a second infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease. The prediction request is used to indicate the second cumulative diagnosis data associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time in the predicted region. Further, the server may change the implementation status of the first control measure associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted to the implementation status of the second control measure, and call the target prediction model for the infection statistics and the second control measure. Data analysis is performed on the implementation status of the measures, where the target time is determined based on the predicted time. The server determines the second cumulative diagnosis data based on the second data analysis result output by the target prediction model. In this way, the first cumulative diagnosis data is compared with the second cumulative diagnosis data to help decision makers decide whether to continue to implement control.
示例性地,如图3d所示,服务器获取的待预测地区在目标时间下与目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态如模块36所示,第一管控措施实施状态为实施管控状态。如模块37所示,服务器根据第二感染预测请求将第一管控措施状态更改为第二管控措施实施状态,即未实施管控状态。进一步地,调用该目标预测模型对该感染统计数据和该第二管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,得到第二数据分析结果,并根据该第二数据分析结果确定第二累计确诊数据。服务器还可以根据第二累计确诊数据和前述第一累计确诊数据得到实施管控措施对累计确诊人数的影响比例,计算影响比例的公式如下所示:Illustratively, as shown in FIG. 3d, the infection statistics data associated with the target infectious disease at the target time and the implementation status of the first control measures obtained by the server in the area to be predicted at the target time are shown in module 36, and the implementation status of the first control measure is implementation Control status. As shown in module 37, the server changes the state of the first control measure to the state of implementation of the second control measure according to the second infection prediction request, that is, the state of no control measure. Further, the target prediction model is invoked to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the second control measure to obtain a second data analysis result, and determine the second cumulative diagnosis data according to the second data analysis result. The server can also obtain the impact ratio of the implementation of control measures on the cumulative number of diagnoses based on the second cumulative diagnosis data and the aforementioned first cumulative diagnosis data. The formula for calculating the impact ratio is as follows:
G=(pred switched-pred actual)/pred actual G=(pred switched -pred actual )/pred actual
其中,pred switched为第二累计确诊数据,pred actual为第一累计确诊数据,G为累计确诊人数增多或减少的比例。通过实施这样的方法,用户可以根据G值进行是否继续实施管控或是否实施管控的决策。 Among them, pred switched is the second cumulative diagnosis data, pred actual is the first cumulative diagnosis data, and G is the ratio of the increase or decrease of the cumulative number of diagnoses. By implementing such a method, the user can make a decision whether to continue to implement the control or whether to implement the control based on the G value.
本申请实施例中,服务器获取待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态,并获取预测参考地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定的预测模型,进一步地,服务器可以根据该待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对该预测模型进行修正,得到待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。服务器接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,该第一感染预测请求用于指示预测该待预测地区在预测时间下与目标传染疾病关联的第一累计确诊数据。进而,服务器可以获取该待预测地区在目标时间下与目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用该目标预测模型对该然统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,其中,该目标时间是基于预测时间确定的。进一步地,服务器基于目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定第一累计确诊数据。通过这样的方法,服务器根据预测参考地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态得到准确度较高的预测模型,进一步地根据待预测地区关于目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正,得到与待预测地区对应的目标预测模型,进一步地,针对处于疫情早期的疫情地区(即训练样本较少的疫情地区)提供了一种数据处理方法,该方法在预测时间下,提升了对目标传染病确诊数据预测的准确性。In the embodiment of this application, the server obtains historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, and obtains historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the prediction reference area and the prediction of the determination of the historical control measure implementation status Model, further, the server can revise the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of historical control measures to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted. The server receives a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the first cumulative confirmed data associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted at the predicted time. Furthermore, the server can obtain the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to perform data on the statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures. Analysis, where the target time is determined based on the predicted time. Further, the server determines the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model. Through this method, the server obtains a highly accurate prediction model based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference region and the implementation status of historical control measures, and further based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted and The implementation status of historical control measures revises the prediction model to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted. Furthermore, it provides a data processing method for the epidemic area in the early stage of the epidemic (that is, the epidemic area with fewer training samples). This method improves the accuracy of predicting the confirmed data of the target infectious disease under the prediction time.
请参见图4,为本申请实施例提供的一种数据处理装置的结构示意图,该数据处理装置部署于服务器,所述装置包括:Please refer to FIG. 4, which is a schematic structural diagram of a data processing device provided by an embodiment of this application. The data processing device is deployed on a server, and the device includes:
获取模块40,用于接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,所述第一感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第一累计确诊数据;The obtaining module 40 is configured to receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict that the area to be predicted is associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time The first cumulative confirmed data;
所述获取模块40,还用于获取所述待预测地区在目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;The acquisition module 40 is also used to acquire the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to analyze the infection statistics data and Performing data analysis on the implementation status of the first control measure, and the target time is determined based on the predicted time;
处理模块41,用于基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据;The processing module 41 is configured to determine the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model;
其中,所述目标预测模型是依照所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正后得到,所述预测模型是根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定;所述预 测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间,早于所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间。Wherein, the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted. The historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
在一个实施例中,所述调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析之前,所述获取模块40,还用于获取待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态,并获取根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定的预测模型;所述处理模块41,还用于根据所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。In one embodiment, before the target prediction model is invoked to analyze the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first management and control measures, the acquisition module 40 is further configured to acquire information about the target infection in the area to be predicted. The historical infection statistics of the disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures, and to obtain a prediction model determined based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of the historical management and control measures in the predicted reference area; the processing module 41 is also used for The prediction model is revised according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures in the region to be predicted to obtain a target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
在一个实施例中,所述获取模块40,具体用于获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史咨询信息,所述历史咨询信息包括历史感染统计数据咨询信息和历史管控措施实施状态咨询信息;所述处理模块41,具体用于调用文本识别算法模型从所述历史感染统计数据咨询信息中获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据;所述处理模块41,具体用于调用所述文本识别算法模型从所述历史管控措施实施状态咨询信息中获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史管控措施实施状态。In one embodiment, the acquisition module 40 is specifically configured to acquire historical consultation information about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, and the historical consultation information includes historical infection statistical data consultation information and historical control measures implementation status Consulting information; the processing module 41 is specifically configured to call a text recognition algorithm model to obtain historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted from the historical infection statistics consulting information; the processing module 41 , Specifically used to call the text recognition algorithm model to obtain the historical control measure implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted from the historical control measure implementation status consultation information.
在一个实施例中,所述获取待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态之后,所述处理模块41,还用于根据预设时间滑动窗口对所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态进行预处理,得到所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据;根据所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。In one embodiment, after the acquisition of historical infection statistics on the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures in the area to be predicted, the processing module 41 is further configured to respond to the target infectious disease according to a preset time sliding window. Preprocess the historical infection statistics and historical control measures of the target infectious disease in the predicted region to obtain at least one sequence data of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted; At least one piece of sequence data of the target infectious disease modifies the prediction model to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
在一个实施例中,所述处理模块41,具体用于将所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据切分为训练序列数据集和测试序列数据集;In one embodiment, the processing module 41 is specifically configured to divide at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted into a training sequence data set and a test sequence data set;
根据所述训练序列数据集对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的候选预测模型;根据所述测试序列数据集和预设评价规则,验证所述候选预测模型;若验证通过,则确定所述候选预测模型为所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。Correct the prediction model according to the training sequence data set to obtain the candidate prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted; verify the candidate prediction model according to the test sequence data set and preset evaluation rules; if the verification passes , It is determined that the candidate prediction model is the target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
在一个实施例中,所述预设评价规则为预测评价指标对应的评价规则,其中,所述预测评价指标包括:均方根误差、均方误差、平均绝对误差和对称平均绝对百分比误差中的任一种。In one embodiment, the preset evaluation rule is an evaluation rule corresponding to a predictive evaluation index, wherein the predictive evaluation index includes: root mean square error, mean square error, average absolute error, and symmetric average absolute percentage error. Any kind.
在一个实施例中,所述基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据之后,所述获取模块40,还用于接收与所述待预测地区和所述目标传染疾病关联的第二感染预测请求,所述第二感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在所述预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第二累计确诊数据;所述处理模块41,还用于将所述待预测地区在所述目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的所述第一管控措施实施状态更改为第二管控措施实施状态,并调用所述目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第二管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;基于所述目标预测模型输出的第二数据分析结果确定所述第二累计确诊数据。In one embodiment, after the first cumulative diagnosis data is determined based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model, the acquisition module 40 is further configured to receive the data related to the area to be predicted and the A second infection prediction request associated with the target infectious disease, where the second infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the second cumulative confirmed data associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted at the predicted time; the processing Module 41 is also used to change the implementation state of the first control measure associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted to the implementation state of the second control measure, and call the target prediction model Perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the second control measures, the target time is determined based on the predicted time; the second data analysis result is determined based on the second data analysis result output by the target prediction model Accumulated confirmed data.
需要说明的是,本申请实施例所描述的数据处理装置的各单元模块的功能可根据图1或图2所述的方法实施例中的方法具体实现,其具体实现过程可以参照图1或图2的方法实施例的相关描述,此处不再赘述。It should be noted that the functions of the unit modules of the data processing device described in the embodiment of the present application can be specifically implemented according to the method in the method embodiment described in FIG. 1 or FIG. 2, and the specific implementation process can refer to FIG. 1 or FIG. The related description of the method embodiment of 2 will not be repeated here.
基于上述方法实施例以及装置项实施例的描述,本申请实施例还提供一种服务器。请参见图5,该服务器可至少包括处理器501、通信接口502以及存储器503;其中,处理器501、通信接口502以及存储器503可通过总线或者其它连接方式进行连接。所述存储器503中还可以包括计算机可读存储介质,该计算机可读存储介质用于存储计算机程序,所述计算机程序包括程序指令,所述处理器501用于执行所述存储器503存储的程序指令。 处理器501(或称CPU(Central Processing Unit,中央处理器))是服务器的计算核心以及控制核心,其适于实现一条或多条指令,具体适于加载并执行一条或多条指令从而实现上述数据处理方法实施例中的相应方法流程或相应功能。其中,处理器501被配置调用所述程序指令执行:通过通信接口502接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,所述第一感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第一累计确诊数据;获取所述待预测地区在目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据;其中,所述目标预测模型是依照所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正后得到,所述预测模型是根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定;所述预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间,早于所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间。具体实现中,本申请实施例中所描述的处理器501、通信接口502和存储器503可执行本申请实施例提供的图1或图2所述的方法实施例所描述的实现方式,也可执行本申请实施例图4所描述的数据处理装置的实现方法,在此不再赘述。Based on the description of the foregoing method embodiment and the device item embodiment, an embodiment of the present application also provides a server. Referring to FIG. 5, the server may at least include a processor 501, a communication interface 502, and a memory 503; wherein the processor 501, the communication interface 502, and the memory 503 may be connected through a bus or other connection methods. The memory 503 may also include a computer-readable storage medium, the computer-readable storage medium is used to store a computer program, the computer program includes program instructions, and the processor 501 is configured to execute the program instructions stored in the memory 503 . The processor 501 (or CPU (Central Processing Unit, central processing unit)) is the computing core and control core of the server. It is suitable for implementing one or more instructions, and specifically for loading and executing one or more instructions to achieve the above The corresponding method flow or corresponding function in the data processing method embodiment. Wherein, the processor 501 is configured to call the program instructions to execute: receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease through the communication interface 502, and the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the to be predicted The first cumulative diagnosis data associated with the target infectious disease in the region at the predicted time; obtain the infection statistics data associated with the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted at the target time and the implementation status of the first control measures, and call The target prediction model performs data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first management and control measures. The target time is determined based on the predicted time; the target time is determined based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model. The first cumulative diagnosis data; wherein, the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted, the prediction model It is determined based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area and the implementation status of historical control measures; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the target infectious disease in the to-be-predicted area. When the infectious disease occurred. In specific implementation, the processor 501, the communication interface 502, and the memory 503 described in the embodiment of the present application can execute the implementation described in the method embodiment described in FIG. 1 or FIG. The implementation method of the data processing device described in FIG. 4 in the embodiment of the present application will not be repeated here.
在一个实施例中,所述调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析之前,所述处理器501,还用于获取待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态,并获取根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定的预测模型;根据所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。具体实现中,本申请实施例中所描述的处理器501的具体实现方式可执行前述实施例步骤S201所描述的相关实现方式,此处不再赘述。In one embodiment, before the target prediction model is invoked to analyze the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures, the processor 501 is further configured to obtain information about the target infection in the area to be predicted. The historical infection statistics of the disease and the implementation status of historical control measures, and the prediction model determined based on the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of the historical control measures in the predicted reference area; The historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures modify the prediction model to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted. In specific implementation, the specific implementation manner of the processor 501 described in the embodiment of the present application can perform the related implementation manner described in step S201 of the foregoing embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
在一个实施中,所述处理器501,具体用于获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史咨询信息,所述历史咨询信息包括历史感染统计数据咨询信息和历史管控措施实施状态咨询信息;调用文本识别算法模型从所述历史感染统计数据咨询信息中获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据;调用所述文本识别算法模型从所述历史管控措施实施状态咨询信息中获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史管控措施实施状态。具体实现中,本申请实施例中所描述的处理器501的具体实现方式可执行前述实施例步骤S201所描述的相关实现方式,此处不再赘述。In an implementation, the processor 501 is specifically configured to obtain historical consultation information about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, and the historical consultation information includes consultation information on historical infection statistical data and consultation on the implementation status of historical management and control measures. Information; call the text recognition algorithm model to obtain the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted from the historical infection statistical data consultation information; call the text recognition algorithm model from the historical control measures implementation status Obtain the implementation status of historical control measures for the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted from the consultation information. In specific implementation, the specific implementation manner of the processor 501 described in the embodiment of the present application can perform the related implementation manner described in step S201 of the foregoing embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
在一个实施例中,所述获取待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态之后,所述处理器501还用于根据预设时间滑动窗口对所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态进行预处理,得到所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据;根据所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。具体实现中,本申请实施例中所描述的处理器501的具体实现方式可执行前述实施例步骤S202所描述的相关实现方式,此处不再赘述。In one embodiment, after the acquisition of historical infection statistics on the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures in the area to be predicted, the processor 501 is further configured to compare the to-be-predicted area according to a sliding window of a preset time. The area’s historical infection statistics on the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures are preprocessed to obtain at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted; At least one piece of serial data of infectious diseases is modified to the prediction model to obtain the target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted. In the specific implementation, the specific implementation manner of the processor 501 described in the embodiment of the present application can perform the related implementation manner described in step S202 of the foregoing embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
在一个实施例中,所述处理器501,具体用于将所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据切分为训练序列数据集和测试序列数据集;根据所述训练序列数据集对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的候选预测模型;根据所述测试序列数据集和预设评价规则,验证所述候选预测模型;若验证通过,则确定所述候选预测模型为所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。具体实现中,本申请实施例中所描述的处理器501的具体实现方式可执行前述实施例步骤S202所描述的相关实现方式,此处不再赘述。In one embodiment, the processor 501 is specifically configured to divide at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted into a training sequence data set and a test sequence data set; according to the training sequence The data set modifies the prediction model to obtain the candidate prediction model corresponding to the area to be predicted; verifies the candidate prediction model according to the test sequence data set and preset evaluation rules; if the verification passes, the candidate prediction model is determined The candidate prediction model is a target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted. In the specific implementation, the specific implementation manner of the processor 501 described in the embodiment of the present application can perform the related implementation manner described in step S202 of the foregoing embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
在一个实施例中,所述预设评价规则为预测评价指标对应的评价规则,其中,所述预测评价指标包括:均方根误差、均方误差、平均绝对误差和对称平均绝对百分比误差中的任一种。具体实现中,本申请实施例中所描述具体实现方式可执行前述实施例步骤S202所描述的相关实现方式,此处不再赘述。In one embodiment, the preset evaluation rule is an evaluation rule corresponding to a predictive evaluation index, wherein the predictive evaluation index includes: root mean square error, mean square error, average absolute error, and symmetric average absolute percentage error. Any kind. In specific implementation, the specific implementation described in the embodiment of the present application can implement the related implementation described in step S202 of the foregoing embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
在一个实施例中,所述基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据之后,所述处理器501,还用于接收与所述待预测地区和所述目标传染疾病关联的第二感染预测请求,所述第二感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在所述预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第二累计确诊数据;将所述待预测地区在所述目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的所述第一管控措施实施状态更改为第二管控措施实施状态,并调用所述目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第二管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;基于所述目标预测模型输出的第二数据分析结果确定所述第二累计确诊数据。具体实现中,本申请实施例中所描述的处理器501的具体实现方式可执行前述实施例步骤S205所描述的相关实现方式,此处不再赘述。In one embodiment, after the first cumulative diagnosis data is determined based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model, the processor 501 is further configured to receive data related to the area to be predicted and the A second infection prediction request associated with the target infectious disease, where the second infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the second cumulative diagnosis data associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted at the predicted time; The implementation status of the first control measure associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted is changed to the implementation status of the second control measure at the target time, and the target prediction model is called to analyze the infection statistics and the infection statistics. Data analysis is performed on the implementation status of the second control measure, the target time is determined based on the predicted time; the second cumulative diagnosis data is determined based on the second data analysis result output by the target prediction model. In the specific implementation, the specific implementation manner of the processor 501 described in the embodiment of the present application can perform the related implementation manner described in step S205 of the foregoing embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
应当理解,在本申请实施例中,所称处理器501可以是中央处理单元(Central Processing Unit,CPU),该处理器501还可以是其他通用处理器、数字信号处理器(Digital Signal Processor,DSP)、专用集成电路(Application Specific Integrated Circuit,ASIC)、现成可编程门阵列(Field-Programmable Gate Array,FPGA)或者其他可编程逻辑器件、分立门或者晶体管逻辑器件、分立a硬件组件等。通用处理器可以是微处理器或者该处理器也可以是任何常规的处理器等。It should be understood that in the embodiments of the present application, the processor 501 may be a central processing unit (Central Processing Unit, CPU), and the processor 501 may also be other general-purpose processors or digital signal processors (Digital Signal Processors, DSPs). ), Application Specific Integrated Circuit (ASIC), off-the-shelf programmable gate array (Field-Programmable Gate Array, FPGA) or other programmable logic devices, discrete gates or transistor logic devices, discrete a hardware components, etc. The general-purpose processor may be a microprocessor or the processor may also be any conventional processor or the like.
该存储器503可以包括只读存储器和随机存取存储器,并向处理器501提供指令和数据。存储器503的一部分还可以包括非易失性随机存取存储器。例如,存储器503还可以存储设备类型的信息。The memory 503 may include a read-only memory and a random access memory, and provides instructions and data to the processor 501. A part of the memory 503 may also include a non-volatile random access memory. For example, the memory 503 may also store device type information.
在本申请的另一实施例中提供一种计算机存储介质如计算机可读存储介质,所述计算机可读存储介质存储有计算机程序,所述计算机程序包括程序指令,所述程序指令被处理器执行时实现本申请实施例提供的图1或图2所述的方法实施所描述的实现方式。In another embodiment of the present application, a computer storage medium such as a computer-readable storage medium is provided, the computer-readable storage medium stores a computer program, the computer program includes program instructions, and the program instructions are executed by a processor The method described in FIG. 1 or FIG. 2 provided in the embodiment of the present application is implemented in the described implementation manner.
可选的,本申请涉及的存储介质如计算机可读存储介质可以是非易失性的,也可以是易失性的。Optionally, the storage medium involved in this application, such as a computer-readable storage medium, may be non-volatile or volatile.
所述计算机可读存储介质可以是前述任一实施例所述的服务器的内部存储单元,例如服务器的硬盘或内存。所述计算机可读存储介质也可以是所述服务器的外部存储设备,例如所述服务器上配备的插接式硬盘,智能存储卡(Smart Media Card,SMC),安全数字(Secure Digital,SD)卡,闪存卡(Flash Card)等。进一步地,所述计算机可读存储介质还可以既包括所述服务器的内部存储单元也包括外部存储设备。所述计算机可读存储介质用于存储所述计算机程序以及所述服务器所需的其他程序和数据。所述计算机可读存储介质还可以用于暂时地存储已经输出或者将要输出的数据。The computer-readable storage medium may be the internal storage unit of the server described in any of the foregoing embodiments, such as the hard disk or memory of the server. The computer-readable storage medium may also be an external storage device of the server, such as a plug-in hard disk equipped on the server, a smart memory card (SMC), or a secure digital (SD) card. , Flash Card, etc. Further, the computer-readable storage medium may also include both an internal storage unit of the server and an external storage device. The computer-readable storage medium is used to store the computer program and other programs and data required by the server. The computer-readable storage medium can also be used to temporarily store data that has been output or will be output.
本领域普通技术人员可以理解实现上述实施例方法中的全部或部分流程,是可以通过计算机程序来指令相关的硬件来完成,所述的程序可存储于一计算机可读取可读存储介质中,该程序在执行时,可包括如上述各方法的实施例的流程。A person of ordinary skill in the art can understand that all or part of the processes in the methods of the above-mentioned embodiments can be implemented by instructing relevant hardware through a computer program. The program can be stored in a computer readable and readable storage medium. When the program is executed, it may include the processes of the above-mentioned method embodiments.
其中,所述的可读存储介质可为磁碟、光盘、只读存储记忆体(Read-Only Memory,ROM)或随机存储记忆体(Random Access Memory,RAM)等。所述的计算机可读存储介质可主要包括存储程序区和存储数据区,其中,存储程序区可存储操作系统、至少一个功能所需的应用程序等;存储数据区可存储根据区块链节点的使用所创建的数据等。Wherein, the readable storage medium may be a magnetic disk, an optical disk, a read-only memory (Read-Only Memory, ROM), or a random access memory (Random Access Memory, RAM), etc. The computer-readable storage medium may mainly include a storage program area and a storage data area, where the storage program area may store an operating system, an application program required by at least one function, etc.; the storage data area may store information based on the blockchain node Use the created data, etc.
其中,本申请所指区块链是分布式数据存储、点对点传输、共识机制、加密算法等计算机技术的新型应用模式。区块链(Blockchain),本质上是一个去中心化的数据库,是一串使用密码学方法相关联产生的数据块,每一个数据块中包含了一批次网络交易的信息,用 于验证其信息的有效性(防伪)和生成下一个区块。区块链可以包括区块链底层平台、平台产品服务层以及应用服务层等。Among them, the blockchain referred to in this application is a new application mode of computer technology such as distributed data storage, point-to-point transmission, consensus mechanism, and encryption algorithm. Blockchain, essentially a decentralized database, is a series of data blocks associated with cryptographic methods. Each data block contains a batch of network transaction information for verification. The validity of the information (anti-counterfeiting) and the generation of the next block. The blockchain can include the underlying platform of the blockchain, the platform product service layer, and the application service layer.
以上所揭露的仅为本申请的部分实施例而已,当然不能以此来限定本申请之权利范围,本领域普通技术工作人员可以理解实现上述实施例的全部或部分流程,并依本申请权利要求所作的等同变化,仍属于本申请所涵盖的范围。The above-disclosed are only part of the embodiments of the application. Of course, it cannot be used to limit the scope of rights of the application. Those of ordinary skill in the art can understand all or part of the process of implementing the above-mentioned embodiments and follow the claims of this application. The equivalent changes made are still within the scope of this application.

Claims (20)

  1. 一种服务器,所述服务器包括通信接口、处理器和存储器,其中:A server, the server includes a communication interface, a processor, and a memory, wherein:
    所述存储器用于存储计算机程序,所述计算机程序包括程序指令;The memory is used to store a computer program, and the computer program includes program instructions;
    所述处理器被配置调用所述程序指令,用于通过所述通信接口接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,所述第一感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第一累计确诊数据;获取所述待预测地区在目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据;The processor is configured to call the program instructions for receiving, through the communication interface, a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, and the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the Predict the first cumulative diagnosis data associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time in the predicted area; obtain the infection statistics data associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the to-be-predicted area and the implementation status of the first control measures, and Calling a target prediction model to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures, the target time is determined based on the predicted time; determined based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model The first cumulative diagnosis data;
    其中,所述目标预测模型是依照所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正后得到,所述预测模型是根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定;所述预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间,早于所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间。Wherein, the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted. The historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
  2. 根据权利要求1所述服务器,其中,所述处理器用于调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析之前,所述处理器,还用于:4. The server according to claim 1, wherein the processor is configured to call a target prediction model to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measure, the processor is further configured to:
    获取待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态,并获取根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定的预测模型;Obtain historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, and obtain a prediction model determined based on the historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area;
    根据所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。The prediction model is revised according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures in the region to be predicted to obtain a target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  3. 根据权利要求2所述服务器,其中,所述处理器,具体用于:The server according to claim 2, wherein the processor is specifically configured to:
    获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史咨询信息,所述历史咨询信息包括历史感染统计数据咨询信息和历史管控措施实施状态咨询信息;Acquiring historical consulting information about the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted, where the historical consulting information includes historical infection statistical data consulting information and historical management and control measures implementation status consulting information;
    调用文本识别算法模型从所述历史感染统计数据咨询信息中获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据;Calling a text recognition algorithm model to obtain historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted from the historical infection statistics consulting information;
    调用所述文本识别算法模型从所述历史管控措施实施状态咨询信息中获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史管控措施实施状态。The text recognition algorithm model is invoked to obtain the historical control measure implementation status of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted from the historical control measure implementation status consultation information.
  4. 根据权利要求2所述服务器,其中,所述处理器用于获取待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态之后,所述处理器,还用于:The server according to claim 2, wherein after the processor is configured to obtain historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, the processor is further configured to:
    根据预设时间滑动窗口对所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态进行预处理,得到所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据;Preprocess the historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted according to a preset sliding window to obtain at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted ;
    根据所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。Correcting the prediction model according to at least one sequence data of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted to obtain a target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  5. 根据权利要求4所述服务器,其中,所述处理器,具体用于:The server according to claim 4, wherein the processor is specifically configured to:
    将所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据切分为训练序列数据集和测试序列数据集;Dividing at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted into a training sequence data set and a test sequence data set;
    根据所述训练序列数据集对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的候选预测模型;Correcting the prediction model according to the training sequence data set to obtain a candidate prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted;
    根据所述测试序列数据集和预设评价规则,验证所述候选预测模型;Verifying the candidate prediction model according to the test sequence data set and preset evaluation rules;
    若验证通过,则确定所述候选预测模型为所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。If the verification is passed, it is determined that the candidate prediction model is the target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  6. 根据权利要求5所述服务器,其中,所述预设评价规则为预测评价指标对应的评价 规则,其中,所述预测评价指标包括:均方根误差、均方误差、平均绝对误差和对称平均绝对百分比误差中的任一种。The server according to claim 5, wherein the preset evaluation rule is an evaluation rule corresponding to a predictive evaluation index, wherein the predictive evaluation index includes: root mean square error, mean square error, mean absolute error, and symmetric mean absolute Any of the percentage errors.
  7. 根据权利要求1-6任一项所述服务器,其中,所述处理器用于基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据之后,所述处理器,还用于:The server according to any one of claims 1 to 6, wherein the processor is configured to determine the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model, the processor further uses At:
    接收与所述待预测地区和所述目标传染疾病关联的第二感染预测请求,所述第二感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在所述预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第二累计确诊数据;Receive a second infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the second infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict that the area to be predicted is associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time The second cumulative diagnosis data;
    将所述待预测地区在所述目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的所述第一管控措施实施状态更改为第二管控措施实施状态,并调用所述目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第二管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;Change the implementation state of the first control measure associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted to the implementation state of the second control measure, and call the target prediction model to analyze the infection statistics Perform data analysis with the implementation status of the second control measure, and the target time is determined based on the predicted time;
    基于所述目标预测模型输出的第二数据分析结果确定所述第二累计确诊数据。The second cumulative diagnosis data is determined based on the second data analysis result output by the target prediction model.
  8. 一种数据处理方法,所述数据处理方法由服务器执行,所述数据处理方法包括:A data processing method, the data processing method is executed by a server, and the data processing method includes:
    接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,所述第一感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第一累计确诊数据;Receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the first cumulative confirmed data associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted at the predicted time ;
    获取所述待预测地区在目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;Acquire the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the region to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to perform the statistics on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures Data analysis, the target time is determined based on the predicted time;
    基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据;Determining the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model;
    其中,所述目标预测模型是依照所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正后得到,所述预测模型是根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定;所述预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间,早于所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间。Wherein, the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted. The historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
  9. 根据权利要求8所述的方法,其中,所述处理器用于调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析之前,所述方法还包括:The method according to claim 8, wherein before the processor is configured to invoke a target prediction model to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first management and control measure, the method further comprises:
    获取待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态,并获取根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定的预测模型;Obtain historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, and obtain a prediction model determined based on the historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area;
    根据所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。The prediction model is revised according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures in the region to be predicted to obtain a target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  10. 根据权利要求9所述的方法,其中,所述方法还包括:The method according to claim 9, wherein the method further comprises:
    获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史咨询信息,所述历史咨询信息包括历史感染统计数据咨询信息和历史管控措施实施状态咨询信息;Acquiring historical consulting information about the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted, where the historical consulting information includes historical infection statistical data consulting information and historical management and control measures implementation status consulting information;
    调用文本识别算法模型从所述历史感染统计数据咨询信息中获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据;Calling a text recognition algorithm model to obtain historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted from the historical infection statistics consulting information;
    调用所述文本识别算法模型从所述历史管控措施实施状态咨询信息中获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史管控措施实施状态。The text recognition algorithm model is invoked to obtain the historical control measure implementation status of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted from the historical control measure implementation status consultation information.
  11. 根据权利要求9所述的方法,其中,所述获取待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态之后,所述方法还包括:The method according to claim 9, wherein after said obtaining historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, the method further comprises:
    根据预设时间滑动窗口对所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态进行预处理,得到所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据;Preprocess the historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted according to a preset sliding window to obtain at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted ;
    根据所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。Correcting the prediction model according to at least one sequence data of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted to obtain a target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  12. 根据权利要求11所述的方法,其中,所述根据所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型,包括:11. The method according to claim 11, wherein said correcting said prediction model according to at least one piece of sequence data of said target infectious disease in said region to be predicted to obtain a target prediction model corresponding to said region to be predicted, include:
    将所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据切分为训练序列数据集和测试序列数据集;Dividing at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted into a training sequence data set and a test sequence data set;
    根据所述训练序列数据集对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的候选预测模型;Correcting the prediction model according to the training sequence data set to obtain a candidate prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted;
    根据所述测试序列数据集和预设评价规则,验证所述候选预测模型;Verifying the candidate prediction model according to the test sequence data set and preset evaluation rules;
    若验证通过,则确定所述候选预测模型为所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。If the verification is passed, it is determined that the candidate prediction model is the target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  13. 根据权利要求8-12任一项所述的方法,其中,所述基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据之后,所述方法还包括:The method according to any one of claims 8-12, wherein, after the first cumulative diagnosis data is determined based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model, the method further comprises:
    接收与所述待预测地区和所述目标传染疾病关联的第二感染预测请求,所述第二感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在所述预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第二累计确诊数据;Receive a second infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the second infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict that the area to be predicted is associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time The second cumulative diagnosis data;
    将所述待预测地区在所述目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的所述第一管控措施实施状态更改为第二管控措施实施状态,并调用所述目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第二管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;Change the implementation state of the first control measure associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted to the implementation state of the second control measure, and call the target prediction model to analyze the infection statistics Perform data analysis with the implementation status of the second control measure, and the target time is determined based on the predicted time;
    基于所述目标预测模型输出的第二数据分析结果确定所述第二累计确诊数据。The second cumulative diagnosis data is determined based on the second data analysis result output by the target prediction model.
  14. 一种数据处理装置,所述数据处理装置部署于服务器,所述数据处理装置包括:A data processing device, the data processing device is deployed on a server, and the data processing device includes:
    获取模块,用于接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,所述第一感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第一累计确诊数据;The acquisition module is configured to receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the area to be predicted that is associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time The first cumulative confirmed data;
    所述获取模块,还用于获取所述待预测地区在目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;The acquisition module is also used to acquire the infection statistics data associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted and the implementation status of the first management and control measures, and call the target prediction model to analyze the infection statistics and the infection statistics. Perform data analysis on the implementation status of the first control measure, and the target time is determined based on the predicted time;
    处理模块,用于基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据;A processing module, configured to determine the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model;
    其中,所述目标预测模型是依照所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正后得到,所述预测模型是根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定;所述预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间,早于所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间。Wherein, the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted. The historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
  15. 一种计算机可读存储介质,所述计算机可读存储介质中存储有程序指令,所述程序指令被执行时,用于实现以下方法:A computer-readable storage medium in which program instructions are stored, and when the program instructions are executed, they are used to implement the following methods:
    接收与待预测地区和目标传染疾病关联的第一感染预测请求,所述第一感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第一累计确诊数据;Receive a first infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the first infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict the first cumulative confirmed data associated with the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted at the predicted time ;
    获取所述待预测地区在目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的感染统计数据和第一管控措施实施状态,并调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;Acquire the infection statistics data and the implementation status of the first control measures associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the region to be predicted, and call the target prediction model to perform the statistics on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measures Data analysis, the target time is determined based on the predicted time;
    基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据;Determining the first cumulative diagnosis data based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model;
    其中,所述目标预测模型是依照所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对预测模型进行修正后得到,所述预测模型是根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定;所述预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的发生时间,早于所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾 病的发生时间。Wherein, the target prediction model is obtained by revising the prediction model according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical control measures in the area to be predicted. The historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures are determined; the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area is earlier than the occurrence time of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted.
  16. 根据权利要求15所述的计算机可读存储介质,其中,所述处理器用于调用目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第一管控措施实施状态进行数据分析之前,所述程序指令被执行时还用于实现:The computer-readable storage medium according to claim 15, wherein the processor is configured to invoke a target prediction model to perform data analysis on the infection statistics and the implementation status of the first control measure before the program instructions are executed Time is also used to achieve:
    获取待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态,并获取根据预测参考地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态确定的预测模型;Obtain historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, and obtain a prediction model determined based on the historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the predicted reference area;
    根据所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。The prediction model is revised according to the historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease and the implementation status of historical management and control measures in the region to be predicted to obtain a target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  17. 根据权利要求16所述的计算机可读存储介质,其中,所述程序指令被执行时还用于实现:The computer-readable storage medium according to claim 16, wherein the program instructions are also used to implement:
    获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史咨询信息,所述历史咨询信息包括历史感染统计数据咨询信息和历史管控措施实施状态咨询信息;Acquiring historical consulting information about the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted, where the historical consulting information includes historical infection statistical data consulting information and historical management and control measures implementation status consulting information;
    调用文本识别算法模型从所述历史感染统计数据咨询信息中获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据;Calling a text recognition algorithm model to obtain historical infection statistics of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted from the historical infection statistics consulting information;
    调用所述文本识别算法模型从所述历史管控措施实施状态咨询信息中获取所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史管控措施实施状态。The text recognition algorithm model is invoked to obtain the historical control measure implementation status of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted from the historical control measure implementation status consultation information.
  18. 根据权利要求16所述的计算机可读存储介质,其中,所述获取待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态之后,所述程序指令被执行时还用于实现:The computer-readable storage medium according to claim 16, wherein after the acquisition of historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted, the program instructions are also used when executed accomplish:
    根据预设时间滑动窗口对所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的历史感染统计数据和历史管控措施实施状态进行预处理,得到所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据;Preprocess the historical infection statistics and historical control measures implementation status of the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted according to a preset sliding window to obtain at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted ;
    根据所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。Correcting the prediction model according to at least one sequence data of the target infectious disease in the region to be predicted to obtain a target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  19. 根据权利要求18所述的计算机可读存储介质,其中,执行所述根据所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型,包括:The computer-readable storage medium according to claim 18, wherein the execution of the correction of the prediction model based on at least one piece of sequence data related to the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted is executed to obtain the area corresponding to the area to be predicted The target prediction model includes:
    将所述待预测地区关于所述目标传染疾病的至少一条序列数据切分为训练序列数据集和测试序列数据集;Dividing at least one piece of sequence data about the target infectious disease in the area to be predicted into a training sequence data set and a test sequence data set;
    根据所述训练序列数据集对所述预测模型进行修正,得到所述待预测地区对应的候选预测模型;Correcting the prediction model according to the training sequence data set to obtain a candidate prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted;
    根据所述测试序列数据集和预设评价规则,验证所述候选预测模型;Verifying the candidate prediction model according to the test sequence data set and preset evaluation rules;
    若验证通过,则确定所述候选预测模型为所述待预测地区对应的目标预测模型。If the verification is passed, it is determined that the candidate prediction model is the target prediction model corresponding to the region to be predicted.
  20. 根据权利要求15-19任一项所述的计算机可读存储介质,其中,所述基于所述目标预测模型输出的第一数据分析结果确定所述第一累计确诊数据之后,所述程序指令被执行时还用于实现:The computer-readable storage medium according to any one of claims 15-19, wherein, after the first cumulative diagnosis data is determined based on the first data analysis result output by the target prediction model, the program instructions are It is also used to achieve:
    接收与所述待预测地区和所述目标传染疾病关联的第二感染预测请求,所述第二感染预测请求用于指示预测所述待预测地区在所述预测时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的第二累计确诊数据;Receive a second infection prediction request associated with the area to be predicted and the target infectious disease, where the second infection prediction request is used to instruct to predict that the area to be predicted is associated with the target infectious disease at the predicted time The second cumulative diagnosis data;
    将所述待预测地区在所述目标时间下与所述目标传染疾病关联的所述第一管控措施实施状态更改为第二管控措施实施状态,并调用所述目标预测模型对所述感染统计数据和所述第二管控措施实施状态进行数据分析,所述目标时间是基于所述预测时间确定的;Change the implementation state of the first control measure associated with the target infectious disease at the target time in the area to be predicted to the implementation state of the second control measure, and call the target prediction model to analyze the infection statistics Perform data analysis with the implementation status of the second control measure, and the target time is determined based on the predicted time;
    基于所述目标预测模型输出的第二数据分析结果确定所述第二累计确诊数据。The second cumulative diagnosis data is determined based on the second data analysis result output by the target prediction model.
PCT/CN2021/084226 2020-11-02 2021-03-31 Server, data processing method and apparatus, and readable storage medium WO2021180245A1 (en)

Applications Claiming Priority (2)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN202011203198.5A CN112102959B (en) 2020-11-02 2020-11-02 Server, data processing method, data processing device and readable storage medium
CN202011203198.5 2020-11-02

Publications (1)

Publication Number Publication Date
WO2021180245A1 true WO2021180245A1 (en) 2021-09-16

Family

ID=73784496

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
PCT/CN2021/084226 WO2021180245A1 (en) 2020-11-02 2021-03-31 Server, data processing method and apparatus, and readable storage medium

Country Status (2)

Country Link
CN (1) CN112102959B (en)
WO (1) WO2021180245A1 (en)

Cited By (3)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN114596966A (en) * 2022-01-11 2022-06-07 南京邮电大学 Epidemic situation prediction analysis method and system for epidemic disease intelligent monitoring system
WO2023123625A1 (en) * 2021-12-31 2023-07-06 中国科学院深圳先进技术研究院 Urban epidemic space-time prediction method and system, terminal and storage medium
CN117690600A (en) * 2024-02-01 2024-03-12 北方健康医疗大数据科技有限公司 Knowledge-graph-based infectious disease prediction method, system, terminal and storage medium

Families Citing this family (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN112102959B (en) * 2020-11-02 2021-03-23 平安科技(深圳)有限公司 Server, data processing method, data processing device and readable storage medium
CN113707336B (en) * 2021-08-26 2024-06-21 深圳平安智慧医健科技有限公司 Infectious disease prevention and treatment early warning method, device, equipment and medium based on data analysis

Citations (5)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
AU2020100564A4 (en) * 2020-04-14 2020-05-21 Phan, Hung Thanh Mr CORONAVIRUS IMPACT ON THE WORLD ECONOMY PROBLEMS SOLVING: I invent the equation for solving the forecast of number of COVID-19 cases in the future so to help a country can re open the business as early as possible in the minimizes of COVID-19
CN111462917A (en) * 2020-03-02 2020-07-28 珠海中科先进技术研究院有限公司 Epidemic situation early warning method and system based on space geographic analysis and machine learning
CN111599485A (en) * 2020-05-26 2020-08-28 中南林业科技大学 Infectious disease propagation law prediction method, device, equipment and storage medium
CN111798989A (en) * 2020-07-07 2020-10-20 医渡云(北京)技术有限公司 Method and related equipment for predicting epidemic situation development trend based on prevention and control measures
CN112102959A (en) * 2020-11-02 2020-12-18 平安科技(深圳)有限公司 Server, data processing method, data processing device and readable storage medium

Family Cites Families (1)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN108846503B (en) * 2018-05-17 2022-07-08 电子科技大学 Dynamic respiratory system disease ill person number prediction method based on neural network

Patent Citations (5)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN111462917A (en) * 2020-03-02 2020-07-28 珠海中科先进技术研究院有限公司 Epidemic situation early warning method and system based on space geographic analysis and machine learning
AU2020100564A4 (en) * 2020-04-14 2020-05-21 Phan, Hung Thanh Mr CORONAVIRUS IMPACT ON THE WORLD ECONOMY PROBLEMS SOLVING: I invent the equation for solving the forecast of number of COVID-19 cases in the future so to help a country can re open the business as early as possible in the minimizes of COVID-19
CN111599485A (en) * 2020-05-26 2020-08-28 中南林业科技大学 Infectious disease propagation law prediction method, device, equipment and storage medium
CN111798989A (en) * 2020-07-07 2020-10-20 医渡云(北京)技术有限公司 Method and related equipment for predicting epidemic situation development trend based on prevention and control measures
CN112102959A (en) * 2020-11-02 2020-12-18 平安科技(深圳)有限公司 Server, data processing method, data processing device and readable storage medium

Non-Patent Citations (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Title
SHAO NIAN, CHEN YU, CHENG JIN, CHEN WEN-BIN: "Some Novel Statistical Time Delay Dynamic Model by Statistics Data from CCDC on Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia", KONGZHI LILUN YU YINGYONG - CONTROL THEORY & APPLICATIONS, vol. 37, no. 4, 30 April 2020 (2020-04-30), CN, pages 697 - 704, XP009530304, ISSN: 1000-8152 *
ZHANG JIANXUN ; ZHANG HONG ; ZENG QINGSEN: "The Spreading Model of SARS Based on Neural Network", COMPUTER ENGINEERING AND APPLICATIONS, no. 23, 31 December 2004 (2004-12-31), pages 188 - 191, XP009530305, ISSN: 1002-8331 *

Cited By (5)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
WO2023123625A1 (en) * 2021-12-31 2023-07-06 中国科学院深圳先进技术研究院 Urban epidemic space-time prediction method and system, terminal and storage medium
CN114596966A (en) * 2022-01-11 2022-06-07 南京邮电大学 Epidemic situation prediction analysis method and system for epidemic disease intelligent monitoring system
CN114596966B (en) * 2022-01-11 2024-04-19 南京邮电大学 Epidemic situation prediction analysis method and system for epidemic intelligent monitoring system
CN117690600A (en) * 2024-02-01 2024-03-12 北方健康医疗大数据科技有限公司 Knowledge-graph-based infectious disease prediction method, system, terminal and storage medium
CN117690600B (en) * 2024-02-01 2024-04-30 北方健康医疗大数据科技有限公司 Knowledge-graph-based infectious disease prediction method, system, terminal and storage medium

Also Published As

Publication number Publication date
CN112102959B (en) 2021-03-23
CN112102959A (en) 2020-12-18

Similar Documents

Publication Publication Date Title
WO2021180245A1 (en) Server, data processing method and apparatus, and readable storage medium
CN110674880B (en) Network training method, device, medium and electronic equipment for knowledge distillation
Dag et al. Onewaytests: An R Package for One-Way Tests in Independent Groups Designs.
WO2021208721A1 (en) Federated learning defense method, apparatus, electronic device, and storage medium
WO2021155706A1 (en) Method and device for training business prediction model by using unbalanced positive and negative samples
WO2021190657A1 (en) Data processing method and apparatus, electronic device, and storage medium
WO2021190658A1 (en) Infectious disease prediction device, method, and apparatus, and storage medium
WO2021238262A1 (en) Vehicle recognition method and apparatus, device, and storage medium
WO2019205325A1 (en) Method for determining risk level of user, terminal device, and computer-readable storage medium
WO2022116424A1 (en) Method and apparatus for training traffic flow prediction model, electronic device, and storage medium
CN102469103B (en) Trojan event prediction method based on BP (Back Propagation) neural network
CN110942248B (en) Training method and device for transaction wind control network and transaction risk detection method
WO2021180244A1 (en) Disease risk prediction system, method and apparatus, device and medium
WO2021004324A1 (en) Resource data processing method and apparatus, and computer device and storage medium
WO2020253038A1 (en) Model construction method and apparatus
CN112507121B (en) Customer service violation quality inspection method and device, computer equipment and storage medium
CN112365007B (en) Model parameter determining method, device, equipment and storage medium
WO2021139432A1 (en) Artificial intelligence-based user rating prediction method and apparatus, terminal, and medium
CN113889262A (en) Model-based data prediction method and device, computer equipment and storage medium
CN114219596B (en) Data processing method and related equipment based on decision tree model
CN113298121A (en) Message sending method and device based on multi-data source modeling and electronic equipment
CN111968750A (en) Server, data processing method, data processing device and readable storage medium
CN111933303A (en) Event prediction method and device, electronic equipment and storage medium
Šuster et al. Analysis of predictive performance and reliability of classifiers for quality assessment of medical evidence revealed important variation by medical area
WO2022178971A1 (en) Data processing method and apparatus, device and readable medium

Legal Events

Date Code Title Description
121 Ep: the epo has been informed by wipo that ep was designated in this application

Ref document number: 21766878

Country of ref document: EP

Kind code of ref document: A1

NENP Non-entry into the national phase

Ref country code: DE

122 Ep: pct application non-entry in european phase

Ref document number: 21766878

Country of ref document: EP

Kind code of ref document: A1