WO2019205278A1 - Bus running state data adjustment processing method, smart terminal and storage medium - Google Patents

Bus running state data adjustment processing method, smart terminal and storage medium Download PDF

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WO2019205278A1
WO2019205278A1 PCT/CN2018/093655 CN2018093655W WO2019205278A1 WO 2019205278 A1 WO2019205278 A1 WO 2019205278A1 CN 2018093655 W CN2018093655 W CN 2018093655W WO 2019205278 A1 WO2019205278 A1 WO 2019205278A1
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bus
departure
schedule
shift
expected
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PCT/CN2018/093655
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French (fr)
Chinese (zh)
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邹亮
杨乐南
张洪斌
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深圳大学
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08GTRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS
    • G08G1/00Traffic control systems for road vehicles
    • G08G1/20Monitoring the location of vehicles belonging to a group, e.g. fleet of vehicles, countable or determined number of vehicles
    • G08G1/202Dispatching vehicles on the basis of a location, e.g. taxi dispatching
    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08GTRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS
    • G08G1/00Traffic control systems for road vehicles
    • G08G1/01Detecting movement of traffic to be counted or controlled
    • G08G1/0104Measuring and analyzing of parameters relative to traffic conditions

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  • the invention relates to the application field of the bus travel adjustment technology, in particular to a bus operation state data adjustment processing method, an intelligent terminal and a storage medium.
  • the technical problem to be solved by the present invention is that, in the prior art, since the bus return time cannot meet the expected departure time, the actual departure interval is seriously deviated from the expected departure interval, causing the problem that the bus breaks and the bus full load rate is out of balance.
  • the invention provides a bus operation state data adjustment processing method, an intelligent terminal and a storage medium, which aims to extend the interval of the previous departures in advance to eliminate the off-duty, and realize the fairness and rationality of the adjustment of the departure intervals in the early stage, and reduce the bus breaks. Balance the bus passenger load rate of each shift, improve the stability of bus operation, and facilitate passengers to travel.
  • bus operation state data adjustment processing method comprises:
  • the bus dynamic scheduling entropy model is constructed, and the bus schedule is adjusted according to the predicted bus return time data;
  • the dynamic scheduling entropy model of the bus is verified, and the full load rate of the bus before and after the shift is adjusted according to the validity of the detected dynamic scheduling entropy model.
  • the bus operation state data adjustment processing method wherein the bus departure time data corresponding to the bus departure schedule is compared with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and the result of obtaining the feasibility of the shift includes: :
  • the feasibility evaluation function of the shift and the feasibility function of the bus schedule are constructed to judge the feasibility of the shift and the bus schedule.
  • the bus operation state data adjustment processing method wherein comparing the bus departure time data corresponding to the desired bus departure timetable with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and evaluating the corresponding shift bus to start according to the expected timetable Feasibility, build the feasibility evaluation function of the shift:
  • f(t i , T i ) is the feasibility evaluation function of the next bus in accordance with the expected bus schedule.
  • t i is the expected departure time of the next i-th bus after the current dispatch, and it is assumed that t i is the expected bus schedule optimized according to the predicted passenger traffic volume distribution;
  • T i is the predicted return time of the next i-th bus after the current dispatch, including the on-station vehicle and the return-to-station vehicle, and the predicted return time of the to-be-launched vehicle in the station is defined as 0;
  • the bus operation state data adjustment processing method wherein the bus departure time data corresponding to the bus departure schedule is compared with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and the feasibility result of obtaining the bus schedule includes :
  • F(t 1 ,...,t N ;T 1 ,...,T N ) f(t 1 ,T 1 ) ⁇ f(t 2 ,T 2 )...f(t N ,T N );
  • bus dynamic scheduling entropy model is constructed according to the expected shift data that cannot be scheduled according to the expected timetable, and the public transit timetable according to the predicted bus return time data specifically includes:
  • the total difference between the bus departure intervals before and after the control adjustment is the smallest, and the rate of change of the bus departure interval is consistent.
  • the bus operation state data adjustment processing method wherein if the bus schedule is not feasible, as the node for adjusting the bus schedule, it is necessary to determine the farthest shift M that cannot be issued according to the expected schedule. And dynamically adjust the departure interval of the Mth and previous shifts;
  • the departure interval of the Mth and the previous shifts is dynamically adjusted, and the adjustment range is (T M -t M ); T M is the predicted return time of the Mth bus, and t M is the departure time of the Mth shift after the adjustment;
  • the total difference between the bus departure intervals before and after the control adjustment is the smallest, and the rate of change of the bus departure interval is consistent.
  • the bus operation state data adjustment processing method wherein the public transit dynamic scheduling entropy model is as follows:
  • H is the specified maximum departure time interval
  • k j is a constant, k j >0, and k j represents the rate of change of the bus departure interval before and after adjustment.
  • the bus operation state data adjustment processing method wherein when ⁇ j tends to be concentrated, the more consistent the distribution of the bus departure interval before and after the adjustment, the more satisfying the passenger demand distribution, the more fair the adjustment method; otherwise, the more unfair; the fairest;
  • the adjusted bus departure interval is an equal extension of the bus departure interval before the adjustment, ie:
  • ⁇ j is used as the index to calculate the entropy value.
  • ⁇ j distribution tends to be concentrated, it indicates that the distribution of the bus departure interval is more consistent, and the distribution of the passenger traffic volume is more consistent, the entropy value is larger;
  • the fairness evaluation function can be expressed as:
  • An intelligent terminal comprising: a memory, a processor, and a bus operation state data adjustment processing program stored on the memory and operable on the processor, the bus operation state data adjustment processing
  • the steps of the bus operation state data adjustment processing method as described above are implemented when the program is executed by the processor.
  • a storage medium wherein the storage medium stores a bus operation state data adjustment processing program, and the bus operation state data adjustment processing program is executed by a processor to implement the steps of the bus operation state data adjustment processing method as described above.
  • the invention discloses a bus operation state data adjustment processing method, an intelligent terminal and a storage medium, the method comprising: comparing the bus departure time data corresponding to the desired bus departure timetable with the dynamically predicted bus return time data. Yes, the results of the feasibility of obtaining the shift and the bus schedule; constructing the bus dynamic scheduling entropy model according to the expected shift data that cannot be scheduled according to the expected timetable, adjusting the bus schedule according to the predicted bus return time data; verifying the bus by example analysis
  • the dynamic scheduling entropy model adjusts the full load rate of the bus before and after the shift according to the validity of the detected dynamic scheduling entropy model.
  • the invention is based on a dynamic bus scheduling entropy model for predicting the return time, and pre-expanding the interval of each departure in advance to eliminate the off-duty, and realizes the fairness and rationality of the adjustment of the departure intervals in the early stage, reduces the bus breaks, and balances the shifts.
  • Bus passenger load rate improve the stability of bus operation, and facilitate passengers to travel.
  • FIG. 1 is a flow chart of a preferred embodiment of a method for adjusting bus operation status data according to the present invention
  • step S10 is a flowchart of step S10 in a preferred embodiment of the bus operation state data adjustment processing method of the present invention
  • step S20 is a flow chart of step S20 in the preferred embodiment of the bus operation state data adjustment processing method of the present invention.
  • FIG. 4 is a schematic diagram of a departure interval distribution of a timetable with an early peak as an example in a preferred embodiment of the bus operation state data adjustment processing method of the present invention
  • FIG. 5 is a schematic diagram of a departure interval distribution of a timetable with a night peak as an example in a preferred embodiment of the bus operation state data adjustment processing method of the present invention
  • FIG. 6 is a schematic diagram of an operating environment of a preferred embodiment of the smart terminal of the present invention.
  • bus operation state data adjustment processing method according to the preferred embodiment of the present invention, as shown in FIG. 1 , a bus operation state data adjustment processing method is applied to an intelligent terminal, wherein the bus operation state data adjustment processing method includes The following steps:
  • Step S10 Comparing the bus departure time data corresponding to the desired bus departure timetable with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and obtaining the feasibility of the shift and the bus schedule.
  • FIG. 2 is a flowchart of step S10 in the bus operation state data adjustment processing method provided by the present invention.
  • the step S10 includes:
  • f(t i , T i ) is the feasibility evaluation function of the next bus in accordance with the expected bus schedule.
  • t i is the expected departure time of the next i-th bus after the current dispatch, and it is assumed that t i is the expected bus schedule optimized according to the predicted passenger traffic volume distribution;
  • T i is the predicted return time of the next i-th bus after the current dispatch, including the on-station vehicle and the return-to-station vehicle, and the predicted return time of the to-be-launched vehicle in the station is defined as 0;
  • the evaluation function of the feasibility of constructing the bus schedule is as follows:
  • F(t 1 ,...,t N ;T 1 ,...,T N ) f(t 1 ,T 1 ) ⁇ f(t 2 ,T 2 )...f(t N ,T N );
  • Step S20 construct a bus dynamic scheduling entropy model according to the expected shift data that cannot be scheduled according to the expected timetable, and adjust the bus schedule according to the predicted bus return time data.
  • FIG. 3 is a flowchart of step S20 in the bus operation state data adjustment processing method provided by the present invention.
  • the step S20 includes:
  • bus schedule is not feasible, as the node for adjusting the bus schedule, it is necessary to determine the farthest shift that cannot be issued according to the expected schedule, and dynamically adjust the departure interval of the shift;
  • the advancement adjustment shift is determined, if the bus schedule is not feasible, as the node for adjusting the bus schedule, it is necessary to determine the farthest shift M that cannot be issued according to the expected schedule, as shown in the following formula.
  • the departure interval between the Mth and the previous shifts is dynamically adjusted to avoid bus breaks.
  • the adjustment range is determined.
  • T M is the Mth bus.
  • t M is the departure time of the Mth shift after adjustment.
  • the following two objectives should be considered: (1) deviation, that is, the total difference between the bus departure intervals before and after the adjustment is minimum; (2) fairness, that is, the rate of change of the bus departure interval before and after the adjustment. Consistency, assuming that the expected departure interval distribution matches the passenger demand distribution, the more consistent the change rate of the bus departure interval before and after the adjustment, the more satisfying the passenger demand distribution, the more fair (reasonable) the adjustment.
  • the interval between the departures may only increase after the adjustment, so the sum of the difference intervals before and after the adjustment can be directly used to represent the total difference, taking into account that the adjustment range (T M -t M ) is Fixed, that is, the total difference is fixed, so this method does not need to consider the deviation, only need to consider the goal of fairness.
  • the fairness of this method is mainly reflected in whether the rate of change of bus departure interval before and after adjustment is consistent; entropy is a mathematical abstract concept, which is widely used in various fields and can be understood as the probability of occurrence of certain information, variable The greater the uncertainty, the greater the entropy.
  • the present invention regards the rate of change of each interval as a fair uncertainty, and the smaller the entropy, the better the fairness. Therefore, the present invention will use the "entropy" theory to design a fairness evaluation function of the adjustment method, and based on this, construct a prediction based on Dynamic bus scheduling entropy model for station time.
  • the base of the logarithm does not have a specified value, and generally takes 2, e, and 10, and the unit of measurement of the difference is different.
  • entropy is the smallest, the larger the information entropy value, the smaller the amount of information, which means that the disorder of information is higher, and the probability distribution tends to be scattered, if and only if When the entropy value is the largest.
  • the entropy theory is widely used in the research of difference and fair distribution.
  • the fairness evaluation function of the adjustment method is designed by using the theory of entropy.
  • k j is a constant, k j >0, which indicates the rate of change of the bus departure interval before and after the adjustment; normalization of k j results in:
  • the adjusted bus departure interval is The proportional extension of the bus departure interval before the adjustment, namely:
  • ⁇ j can be used as an index to calculate the entropy value.
  • the fairness evaluation function of the adjustment method can be expressed as:
  • the departure interval of the previous period is extended in advance to eliminate the problem of the off-duty.
  • the "entropy" theory is used to realize the fairness of the adjustment of the departure interval in the previous period, and the dynamic entropy model of the dynamic bus scheduling based on the predicted return time is constructed. as follows:
  • j 1, 2,..., M.
  • H(X) is a strictly convex function of the probability distribution p i .
  • the set of solutions consisting of constraint equations is a convex set. Therefore, the optimization problem is a convex programming problem, and its local optimal solution is its global optimal solution.
  • Lingo Operaational Optimization Analysis Software
  • the equation automatically selects a suitable solver, which is suitable for solving the model of the present invention.
  • the present invention can solve the model by using Lingo software.
  • the strategy of adjusting the bus schedule is to find the departure Q that can not meet the maximum departure interval constraint, and adjust the bus departure interval before the N shift to start at the maximum departure interval H, or when the departure is at the maximum departure interval.
  • T i the predicted return time
  • Step S30 verifying the dynamic dispatching entropy model of the bus by analyzing the example, and adjusting the full load rate of the bus before and after the shift according to the validity of the detected dynamic scheduling entropy model.
  • Actual departure interval Distribution obviously It is more similar to the distribution interval of t i , and it is more in line with the distribution of passengers' needs. It can avoid bus breaks as much as possible, improve the stability of bus operation, and balance the bus passenger load rate before and after.
  • the method of predicting passenger flow based on bus IC card technology and video counting technology provides more accurate passenger flow information support for static bus dispatch optimization, and the promotion and application of bus travel forecast technology enables the forecasting of public transport. It is possible to compare the time of returning to the station and compare it with the expected departure timetable, and then predict the potential bus stop problem in advance.
  • the invention applies the entropy theory to the dynamic scheduling of public transportation, dynamically adjusts the bus schedule based on the optimization of static bus scheduling, and constructs a dynamic bus scheduling “entropy” model based on the predicted return time. Finally, the model is given.
  • the method of solving and the example analysis demonstrate the effectiveness of the model. Therefore, it is feasible to dynamically adjust the bus schedule by predicting the bus return time to avoid the bus break and balance the bus full load rate before and after the shift.
  • the invention proposes a dynamic bus scheduling entropy model based on predicting the return time, by extending the interval of the previous departures in advance to eliminate the problem of off-duty, and using the entropy theory to realize the fairness of the adjustment of the departure intervals in the early stage; finally, through the morning and evening
  • the two models of the peak verified the model.
  • the results show that the model can maximize the distribution of the departure interval before and after the adjustment, reduce the bus breaks, balance the bus load rate of each shift, and improve the stability of the bus operation.
  • the present invention further provides an intelligent terminal, which includes a processor 10, a memory 20, and a display 30, based on the above-described bus operation state data adjustment processing method.
  • Figure 6 shows only some of the components of the smart terminal, but it should be understood that not all illustrated components may be implemented, and more or fewer components may be implemented instead.
  • the memory 20 may be an internal storage unit of the smart terminal, such as a hard disk or memory of the smart terminal, in some embodiments.
  • the memory 20 may also be an external storage device of the smart terminal in other embodiments, such as a plug-in hard disk equipped on the smart terminal, a smart memory card (SMC), and a secure digital (Secure) Digital, SD) cards, flash cards, etc. Further, the memory 20 may also include both an internal storage unit of the smart terminal and an external storage device.
  • the memory 20 is configured to store application software and various types of data installed on the smart terminal, such as the program code for installing the smart terminal.
  • the memory 20 can also be used to temporarily store data that has been output or is about to be output.
  • the bus operation state data adjustment processing program 40 is stored on the memory 20, and the bus operation state data adjustment processing program 40 can be executed by the processor 10, thereby implementing the bus operation state data adjustment processing method in the present application.
  • the processor 10 may be a Central Processing Unit (CPU), a microprocessor or other data processing chip for running program code or processing data stored in the memory 20, such as The bus operation state data adjustment processing method and the like are executed.
  • CPU Central Processing Unit
  • microprocessor or other data processing chip for running program code or processing data stored in the memory 20, such as The bus operation state data adjustment processing method and the like are executed.
  • the display 30 may be an LED display, a liquid crystal display, a touch-sensitive liquid crystal display, an OLED (Organic Light-Emitting Diode) touch sensor, or the like in some embodiments.
  • the display 30 is used to display information on the smart terminal and a user interface for displaying visualizations.
  • the components 10-30 of the intelligent terminal communicate with one another via a system bus.
  • the bus dynamic scheduling entropy model is constructed, and the bus schedule is adjusted according to the predicted bus return time data;
  • the dynamic dispatching entropy model of the bus is verified by a case study. According to the validity of the detected bus dynamics scheduling entropy model, the full load rate of the bus before and after the shift is adjusted.
  • the present invention also provides a storage medium, wherein the storage medium stores a bus operation state data adjustment processing program, and the bus operation state data adjustment processing program is implemented by the processor to implement the bus operation state data adjustment processing method. Step; specifically as described above.
  • the present invention provides a bus operation state data adjustment processing method, an intelligent terminal, and a storage medium, the method comprising: setting a bus departure time data corresponding to a desired bus departure schedule and a dynamically predicted bus return station The time data is compared to obtain the feasibility of the shift and the bus schedule; according to the shift data that is expected to be unable to start according to the expected schedule, the bus dynamic scheduling entropy model is constructed, and the bus schedule is adjusted according to the predicted bus return time data;
  • the example analysis verifies the dynamic scheduling entropy model of the bus, and adjusts the full load rate of the bus before and after the bus according to the validity of the detected dynamic scheduling entropy model.
  • the invention is based on a dynamic bus scheduling entropy model for predicting the return time, and pre-expanding the interval of each departure in advance to eliminate the off-duty, and realizes the fairness and rationality of the adjustment of the departure intervals in the early stage, reduces the bus breaks, and balances the shifts.
  • Bus passenger load rate improve the stability of bus operation, and facilitate passengers to travel.
  • a computer program to instruct related hardware (such as a processor, a controller, etc.), and the program can be stored in one.
  • the program when executed, may include the processes of the various method embodiments as described above.
  • the storage medium described therein may be a memory, a magnetic disk, an optical disk, or the like.

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Abstract

A bus running state data adjustment processing method, a smart terminal and a storage medium. The method comprises: comparing data concerning departure times of bus shifts corresponding to an expected bus departure schedule with data concerning dynamically predicted bus return times, so as to acquire a shift and bus schedule feasibility result; constructing a dynamic bus scheduling entropy model according to data concerning predicted shifts that cannot be departed according to the expected schedule, and adjusting the bus schedule according to the data concerning predicted bus return times; verifying the dynamic bus scheduling entropy model by means of an example analysis, and adjusting the bus full load rates between two adjacent shifts according to the detected validity of the dynamic bus scheduling entropy model.

Description

公交运行状态数据调整处理方法、智能终端及存储介质Bus operation status data adjustment processing method, intelligent terminal and storage medium 技术领域Technical field
本发明涉及公交行程调整技术应用领域,尤其涉及一种公交运行状态数据调整处理方法、智能终端及存储介质。The invention relates to the application field of the bus travel adjustment technology, in particular to a bus operation state data adjustment processing method, an intelligent terminal and a storage medium.
背景技术Background technique
至2017年,我国城市公交保有量达65.12万辆,开通线路条数达56,786条;2017年全年完成城市客运量1272.15亿人,其中公交完成722.87亿人,占比56.82%。无论是从公交系统规模,还是从公交承担的客运量角度,公交出行对满足城市居民出行需求均有着不可替代的地位。然而,我国大部分城市公交运行普遍存在乘客候车时间长、乘车拥挤等问题,其主要原因之一是公交运行稳定性差。以广州市某公交线路的实际运行数据为例,其上下行公交平均发车准点率约为70%,高峰时段公交发车准点率下降幅度超过30%。而导致公交发车准点率低的主要原因是,我国大部分城市公交主要采用静态公交调度方法,这种调度方式对道路的畅通性及车辆配置数要求较高,难以面对当前日益复杂、恶化的交通状况。By 2017, the number of urban public transport in China reached 651,200, and the number of open lines reached 56,786; in 2017, the city's passenger traffic was 127.215 billion, of which 72.287 billion were completed, accounting for 56.82%. Whether it is from the scale of the bus system or from the passenger volume of the bus, the bus travel has an irreplaceable position to meet the travel needs of urban residents. However, in most cities in China, there are widespread problems such as long waiting times for passengers and crowded passengers. One of the main reasons is the poor stability of public transportation. Taking the actual operation data of a bus line in Guangzhou as an example, the average on-time bus punctuality rate is about 70%, and the punctuality rate of bus departures during peak hours is more than 30%. The main reason for the low on-time rate of bus departures is that most cities in China use static bus dispatching methods. This type of dispatching method has high requirements for road smoothness and vehicle configuration, and it is difficult to face the increasingly complex and deteriorating current. traffic condition.
在公交实际运行中,由于受到客流、交通状况等因素的影响,公交回站时间经常发生延误,使编制好的时刻表难以按计划执行,公交断班现象频发,为用户的出行带来不便。In the actual operation of the bus, due to the influence of passenger flow, traffic conditions and other factors, the bus return time often delays, making the prepared timetable difficult to implement according to the plan, frequent bus breaks, causing inconvenience to the user's travel. .
因此,现有技术还有待于改进和发展。Therefore, the prior art has yet to be improved and developed.
发明内容Summary of the invention
本发明要解决的技术问题在于,针对现有技术中由于公交回站时间不能满足期望发车时间,使实际发车间隔严重偏离期望发车间隔,引起公交断班、前后班次公交满载率失衡的问题,本发明提供一种公交运行状态数据调整处理方法、智能终端及存储介质,旨在提前延长前期各发车间隔以消除断班,并实现前期各发车间隔调整的公平性与合理性,减少公交断班,均衡各班次公交载客率,提高公交运行的稳定性,方便乘客出行。The technical problem to be solved by the present invention is that, in the prior art, since the bus return time cannot meet the expected departure time, the actual departure interval is seriously deviated from the expected departure interval, causing the problem that the bus breaks and the bus full load rate is out of balance. The invention provides a bus operation state data adjustment processing method, an intelligent terminal and a storage medium, which aims to extend the interval of the previous departures in advance to eliminate the off-duty, and realize the fairness and rationality of the adjustment of the departure intervals in the early stage, and reduce the bus breaks. Balance the bus passenger load rate of each shift, improve the stability of bus operation, and facilitate passengers to travel.
本发明解决技术问题所采用的技术方案如下:The technical solution adopted by the present invention to solve the technical problem is as follows:
一种公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其中,所述公交运行状态数据调整处理方法包括:A bus operation state data adjustment processing method, wherein the bus operation state data adjustment processing method comprises:
将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,获取班次和公交时刻表可行性的结果;Comparing the bus departure time data corresponding to the bus departure schedule with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and obtaining the feasibility of the shift and the bus schedule;
根据预期不能按期望时刻表发车的班次数据,构建公交动态调度熵模型,根据预测公交回站时间数据调整公交时刻表;According to the shift data that is expected to be unable to start according to the expected timetable, the bus dynamic scheduling entropy model is constructed, and the bus schedule is adjusted according to the predicted bus return time data;
通过算例分析验证公交动态调度熵模型,根据检测的公交动态调度熵模型的有效性,调整前后班次公交满载率。Through the analysis of the example, the dynamic scheduling entropy model of the bus is verified, and the full load rate of the bus before and after the shift is adjusted according to the validity of the detected dynamic scheduling entropy model.
所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其中,所述将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,获取班次可行性的结果具体包括:The bus operation state data adjustment processing method, wherein the bus departure time data corresponding to the bus departure schedule is compared with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and the result of obtaining the feasibility of the shift includes: :
将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,评价对应班次公交按期望时刻表发车的可行性;Comparing the bus departure time data corresponding to the bus departure schedule with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and evaluating the feasibility of the corresponding bus departure according to the expected timetable;
构建班次可行性评价函数和公交时刻表可行性的评价函数,分别判断班次和公交时刻表的可行性。The feasibility evaluation function of the shift and the feasibility function of the bus schedule are constructed to judge the feasibility of the shift and the bus schedule.
所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其中,将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,评价对应班次公交按期望时刻表发车的可行性,构建班次可行性评价函数:The bus operation state data adjustment processing method, wherein comparing the bus departure time data corresponding to the desired bus departure timetable with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and evaluating the corresponding shift bus to start according to the expected timetable Feasibility, build the feasibility evaluation function of the shift:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000001
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000001
其中,f(t i,T i)为接下来某一班次公交按照期望公交时刻表发车的可行性评价函数,当f(t i,T i)=1时表示可行,当f(t i,T i)=0时表示不可行; Among them, f(t i , T i ) is the feasibility evaluation function of the next bus in accordance with the expected bus schedule. When f(t i , T i )=1, it means feasible, when f(t i , When T i )=0, it means that it is not feasible;
t i为在当前发出班次后接下来第i班次公交的期望发车时刻,假设t i为根据预测乘客交通出行量分布优化后的期望公交时刻表; t i is the expected departure time of the next i-th bus after the current dispatch, and it is assumed that t i is the expected bus schedule optimized according to the predicted passenger traffic volume distribution;
T i为在当前发出班次后接下来第i辆公交预测回站时间,包括站内待发车辆与回站车辆,站场内待发车辆的预测回站时间定义为0; T i is the predicted return time of the next i-th bus after the current dispatch, including the on-station vehicle and the return-to-station vehicle, and the predicted return time of the to-be-launched vehicle in the station is defined as 0;
i=1,2,...,N,N为站内待发车辆与回站车辆总数。i=1, 2,...,N,N is the total number of vehicles in the station and the number of vehicles returning.
所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其中,将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,获取公交 时刻表可行性的结果具体包括:The bus operation state data adjustment processing method, wherein the bus departure time data corresponding to the bus departure schedule is compared with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and the feasibility result of obtaining the bus schedule includes :
评价接下来N个对应班次公交按期望公交时刻表发车的可行性,构建公交时刻表可行性的评价函数如下:Evaluate the feasibility of the next N corresponding shift buses according to the expected bus schedule. The evaluation function for constructing the bus schedule is as follows:
F(t 1,...,t N;T 1,...,T N)=f(t 1,T 1)·f(t 2,T 2)...f(t N,T N); F(t 1 ,...,t N ;T 1 ,...,T N )=f(t 1 ,T 1 )·f(t 2 ,T 2 )...f(t N ,T N );
F(t 1,...,t N;T 1,...,T N)为接下来N班次公交按照期望发车时刻表进行发车的可行性,当F(t 1,...,t N;T 1,...,T N)=1时,表示可行;F(t 1,...,t N;T 1,...,T N)=0时,表示不可行。 F(t 1 ,...,t N ;T 1 ,...,T N ) is the feasibility of the next N shifts according to the expected departure schedule, when F(t 1 ,...,t When N ; T 1 , . . . , T N )=1, it means feasible; when F(t 1 , . . . , t N ; T 1 , . . . , T N )=0, it means that it is not feasible.
所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其中,所述根据预期不能按期望时刻表发车的班次数据,构建公交动态调度熵模型,根据预测公交回站时间数据调整公交时刻表具体包括:The bus operation state data adjustment processing method, wherein the bus dynamic scheduling entropy model is constructed according to the expected shift data that cannot be scheduled according to the expected timetable, and the public transit timetable according to the predicted bus return time data specifically includes:
若期望公交时刻表不可行,作为调整公交时刻表的节点,需要确定最远的不能按照期望时刻表发车的班次,并对班次的发车间隔进行动态调整;If it is expected that the bus schedule is not feasible, as the node for adjusting the bus schedule, it is necessary to determine the farthest shift that cannot be issued according to the expected schedule, and dynamically adjust the departure interval of the shift;
在对公交时刻表进行动态调整时,控制调整前后各公交发车间隔的总差异最小,以及调整前后各阶段公交发车间隔变化率一致。When the bus schedule is dynamically adjusted, the total difference between the bus departure intervals before and after the control adjustment is the smallest, and the rate of change of the bus departure interval is consistent.
所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其中,若期望公交时刻表不可行,作为调整公交时刻表的节点,需要确定最远的不能按照期望时刻表发车的班次M,为
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000002
并对第M班次及之前班次的发车间隔进行动态调整;
The bus operation state data adjustment processing method, wherein if the bus schedule is not feasible, as the node for adjusting the bus schedule, it is necessary to determine the farthest shift M that cannot be issued according to the expected schedule.
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000002
And dynamically adjust the departure interval of the Mth and previous shifts;
对第M班次及之前班次的发车间隔进行动态调整,调整的幅度为(T M-t M);T M为第M辆公交预测回站时间,t M为调整后第M班次的发车时间; The departure interval of the Mth and the previous shifts is dynamically adjusted, and the adjustment range is (T M -t M ); T M is the predicted return time of the Mth bus, and t M is the departure time of the Mth shift after the adjustment;
在对公交时刻表进行动态调整时,控制调整前后各公交发车间隔的总差异最小,以及调整前后各阶段公交发车间隔变化率一致。When the bus schedule is dynamically adjusted, the total difference between the bus departure intervals before and after the control adjustment is the smallest, and the rate of change of the bus departure interval is consistent.
所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其中,构建公交动态调度熵模型如下:The bus operation state data adjustment processing method, wherein the public transit dynamic scheduling entropy model is as follows:
目标函数:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000003
Objective function:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000003
其中,H为规定的最大发车时间间隔;Where H is the specified maximum departure time interval;
约束条件:Restrictions:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000004
表示调整后第j班次公交发车时间
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000005
晚于等于第j辆公交预测回 站时间T j
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000004
Indicates the bus departure time of the jth shift after adjustment
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000005
Later than the jth bus predicted return time T j ;
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000006
表示调整后的前后班次公交发车间隔
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000007
小于等于最大允许发车间隔H且大于0;
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000006
Indicates the adjusted bus departure interval
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000007
Less than or equal to the maximum allowable departure interval H and greater than 0;
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000008
表示调整后第M班次的发车时间
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000009
应等于第M辆公交预测回站时间T M,后续班次能够按期望时刻表执行;
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000008
Indicates the departure time of the Mth shift after adjustment
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000009
It should be equal to the predicted transit time T M of the Mth bus, and the subsequent shifts can be executed according to the expected timetable;
j=1,2,...,M;j=1,2,...,M;
其中,
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000010
k j为常数,k j>0,k j表示调整前后公交发车间隔的变化率。
among them,
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000010
k j is a constant, k j >0, and k j represents the rate of change of the bus departure interval before and after adjustment.
所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其中,当λ j趋于集中时,调整前后公交发车间隔分布越一致,越满足乘客需求分布,调整方法越公平;反之,则越不公平;最公平的结果是,调整后的公交发车间隔为调整前的公交发车间隔的等比例延长,即:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000011
The bus operation state data adjustment processing method, wherein when λ j tends to be concentrated, the more consistent the distribution of the bus departure interval before and after the adjustment, the more satisfying the passenger demand distribution, the more fair the adjustment method; otherwise, the more unfair; the fairest; As a result, the adjusted bus departure interval is an equal extension of the bus departure interval before the adjustment, ie:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000011
此时,k 1=k 2=...=k M=k,调整前后公交发车间隔分布均与乘客交通出行量流量分布保持一致; At this time, k 1 =k 2 =...=k M =k, the distribution of the bus departure interval before and after the adjustment is consistent with the traffic distribution of the passenger traffic;
根据熵的性质,将λ j作为计算熵值的指标,当λ j分布趋于集中时,表示公交发车间隔调整前后分布越一致,与乘客交通出行量分布越相符,熵值越大;调整方法的公平性评价函数可表示为:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000012
According to the nature of entropy, λ j is used as the index to calculate the entropy value. When the λ j distribution tends to be concentrated, it indicates that the distribution of the bus departure interval is more consistent, and the distribution of the passenger traffic volume is more consistent, the entropy value is larger; The fairness evaluation function can be expressed as:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000012
一种智能终端,其中,所述智能终端包括:存储器、处理器及存储在所述存储器上并可在所述处理器上运行的公交运行状态数据调整处理程序,所述公交运行状态数据调整处理程序被所述处理器执行时实现如上所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法的步骤。An intelligent terminal, comprising: a memory, a processor, and a bus operation state data adjustment processing program stored on the memory and operable on the processor, the bus operation state data adjustment processing The steps of the bus operation state data adjustment processing method as described above are implemented when the program is executed by the processor.
一种存储介质,其中,所述存储介质存储有公交运行状态数据调整处理程序,所述公交运行状态数据调整处理程序被处理器执行时实现如上所述公交运行状态数据调整处理方法的步骤。A storage medium, wherein the storage medium stores a bus operation state data adjustment processing program, and the bus operation state data adjustment processing program is executed by a processor to implement the steps of the bus operation state data adjustment processing method as described above.
本发明公开了一种公交运行状态数据调整处理方法、智能终端及存储介质,所述方法包括:将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,获取班次和公交时刻表可行性的结果;根据预 期不能按期望时刻表发车的班次数据,构建公交动态调度熵模型,根据预测公交回站时间数据调整公交时刻表;通过算例分析验证公交动态调度熵模型,根据检测的公交动态调度熵模型的有效性,调整前后班次公交满载率。本发明基于预测回站时间的动态公交调度熵模型,提前延长前期各发车间隔以消除断班,并实现了前期各发车间隔调整的公平性与合理性,减少了公交断班,均衡各班次公交载客率,提高公交运行的稳定性,方便乘客出行。The invention discloses a bus operation state data adjustment processing method, an intelligent terminal and a storage medium, the method comprising: comparing the bus departure time data corresponding to the desired bus departure timetable with the dynamically predicted bus return time data. Yes, the results of the feasibility of obtaining the shift and the bus schedule; constructing the bus dynamic scheduling entropy model according to the expected shift data that cannot be scheduled according to the expected timetable, adjusting the bus schedule according to the predicted bus return time data; verifying the bus by example analysis The dynamic scheduling entropy model adjusts the full load rate of the bus before and after the shift according to the validity of the detected dynamic scheduling entropy model. The invention is based on a dynamic bus scheduling entropy model for predicting the return time, and pre-expanding the interval of each departure in advance to eliminate the off-duty, and realizes the fairness and rationality of the adjustment of the departure intervals in the early stage, reduces the bus breaks, and balances the shifts. Bus passenger load rate, improve the stability of bus operation, and facilitate passengers to travel.
附图说明DRAWINGS
图1是本发明公交运行状态数据调整处理方法的较佳实施例的流程图;1 is a flow chart of a preferred embodiment of a method for adjusting bus operation status data according to the present invention;
图2是本发明公交运行状态数据调整处理方法的较佳实施例中步骤S10的流程图;2 is a flowchart of step S10 in a preferred embodiment of the bus operation state data adjustment processing method of the present invention;
图3是本发明公交运行状态数据调整处理方法的较佳实施例中步骤S20的流程图;3 is a flow chart of step S20 in the preferred embodiment of the bus operation state data adjustment processing method of the present invention;
图4是本发明公交运行状态数据调整处理方法的较佳实施例中以早高峰为例的时刻表的发车间隔分布示意图;4 is a schematic diagram of a departure interval distribution of a timetable with an early peak as an example in a preferred embodiment of the bus operation state data adjustment processing method of the present invention;
图5是本发明公交运行状态数据调整处理方法的较佳实施例中以晚高峰为例的时刻表的发车间隔分布示意图;5 is a schematic diagram of a departure interval distribution of a timetable with a night peak as an example in a preferred embodiment of the bus operation state data adjustment processing method of the present invention;
图6为本发明智能终端的较佳实施例的运行环境示意图。FIG. 6 is a schematic diagram of an operating environment of a preferred embodiment of the smart terminal of the present invention.
具体实施方式detailed description
为使本发明的目的、技术方案及优点更加清楚、明确,以下参照附图并举实施例对本发明进一步详细说明。应当理解,此处所描述的具体实施例仅仅用以解释本发明,并不用于限定本发明。The present invention will be further described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings. It is understood that the specific embodiments described herein are merely illustrative of the invention and are not intended to limit the invention.
为使本发明的目的、技术方案及优点更加清楚、明确,以下参照附图并举实施例对本发明进一步详细说明。应当理解,此处所描述的具体实施例仅仅用以解释本发明,并不用于限定本发明。The present invention will be further described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings. It is understood that the specific embodiments described herein are merely illustrative of the invention and are not intended to limit the invention.
本发明较佳实施例所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,如图1所示,一种公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,应用于智能终端,其中,所述公交运行状态数据调整处理方法包括以下步骤:The bus operation state data adjustment processing method according to the preferred embodiment of the present invention, as shown in FIG. 1 , a bus operation state data adjustment processing method is applied to an intelligent terminal, wherein the bus operation state data adjustment processing method includes The following steps:
步骤S10、将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预 测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,获取班次和公交时刻表可行性的结果。Step S10: Comparing the bus departure time data corresponding to the desired bus departure timetable with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and obtaining the feasibility of the shift and the bus schedule.
具体过程请参阅图2,其为本发明提供的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法中步骤S10的流程图。For the specific process, please refer to FIG. 2 , which is a flowchart of step S10 in the bus operation state data adjustment processing method provided by the present invention.
如图2所示,所述步骤S10包括:As shown in FIG. 2, the step S10 includes:
S11、将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,评价对应班次公交按期望时刻表发车的可行性;S11. Comparing the bus departure time data corresponding to the desired bus departure timetable with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and evaluating the feasibility of the corresponding shift bus according to the expected timetable;
S12、构建班次可行性评价函数和公交时刻表可行性的评价函数,分别判断班次和公交时刻表的可行性。S12, constructing the feasibility evaluation function of the shift and the feasibility evaluation function of the bus schedule, respectively determining the feasibility of the shift and the bus schedule.
具体地,首先,进行班次可行性评价,将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,评价对应班次公交按期望时刻表发车的可行性,构建班次可行性评价函数:Specifically, firstly, the feasibility evaluation of the shift is performed, and the bus departure time data corresponding to the desired bus departure schedule is compared with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and the feasibility of the corresponding shift bus according to the expected schedule is evaluated. , construct a shift feasibility evaluation function:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000013
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000013
其中,f(t i,T i)为接下来某一班次公交按照期望公交时刻表发车的可行性评价函数,当f(t i,T i)=1时表示可行,当f(t i,T i)=0时表示不可行; Among them, f(t i , T i ) is the feasibility evaluation function of the next bus in accordance with the expected bus schedule. When f(t i , T i )=1, it means feasible, when f(t i , When T i )=0, it means that it is not feasible;
t i为在当前发出班次后接下来第i班次公交的期望发车时刻,假设t i为根据预测乘客交通出行量分布优化后的期望公交时刻表; t i is the expected departure time of the next i-th bus after the current dispatch, and it is assumed that t i is the expected bus schedule optimized according to the predicted passenger traffic volume distribution;
T i为在当前发出班次后接下来第i辆公交预测回站时间,包括站内待发车辆与回站车辆,站场内待发车辆的预测回站时间定义为0; T i is the predicted return time of the next i-th bus after the current dispatch, including the on-station vehicle and the return-to-station vehicle, and the predicted return time of the to-be-launched vehicle in the station is defined as 0;
i=1,2,...,N,N为站内待发车辆与回站车辆总数。i=1, 2,...,N,N is the total number of vehicles in the station and the number of vehicles returning.
然后,进行公交时刻表可行性评价,评价接下来N个对应班次公交按期望公交时刻表发车的可行性,构建公交时刻表可行性的评价函数如下:Then, the feasibility evaluation of the bus schedule is carried out to evaluate the feasibility of the next N corresponding shift buses according to the expected bus schedule. The evaluation function of the feasibility of constructing the bus schedule is as follows:
F(t 1,...,t N;T 1,...,T N)=f(t 1,T 1)·f(t 2,T 2)...f(t N,T N); F(t 1 ,...,t N ;T 1 ,...,T N )=f(t 1 ,T 1 )·f(t 2 ,T 2 )...f(t N ,T N );
F(t 1,...,t N;T 1,...,T N)为接下来N班次公交按照期望发车时刻表进行发车的可行性,当F(t 1,...,t N;T 1,...,T N)=1时,表示可行;F(t 1,...,t N;T 1,...,T N)=0时,表示不可行。 F(t 1 ,...,t N ;T 1 ,...,T N ) is the feasibility of the next N shifts according to the expected departure schedule, when F(t 1 ,...,t When N ; T 1 , . . . , T N )=1, it means feasible; when F(t 1 , . . . , t N ; T 1 , . . . , T N )=0, it means that it is not feasible.
步骤S20、根据预期不能按期望时刻表发车的班次数据,构建公交动态调度熵模型,根据预测公交回站时间数据调整公交时刻表。Step S20: construct a bus dynamic scheduling entropy model according to the expected shift data that cannot be scheduled according to the expected timetable, and adjust the bus schedule according to the predicted bus return time data.
具体的过程请参阅图3,其为本发明提供的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法 中步骤S20的流程图。For a specific process, please refer to FIG. 3, which is a flowchart of step S20 in the bus operation state data adjustment processing method provided by the present invention.
如图3所示,所述步骤S20包括:As shown in FIG. 3, the step S20 includes:
S21、若期望公交时刻表不可行,作为调整公交时刻表的节点,需要确定最远的不能按照期望时刻表发车的班次,并对班次的发车间隔进行动态调整;S21. If the bus schedule is not feasible, as the node for adjusting the bus schedule, it is necessary to determine the farthest shift that cannot be issued according to the expected schedule, and dynamically adjust the departure interval of the shift;
S22、在对公交时刻表进行动态调整时,控制调整前后各公交发车间隔的总差异最小,以及调整前后各阶段公交发车间隔变化率一致。S22. When the bus schedule is dynamically adjusted, the total difference of the bus departure intervals before and after the control adjustment is minimum, and the rate of change of the bus departure interval before and after the adjustment is the same.
具体地,先进性调整班次的确定,若期望公交时刻表不可行,作为调整公交时刻表的节点,需要确定最远的不能按照期望时刻表发车的班次M,如下公式所示,
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000014
并对第M班次及之前班次的发车间隔进行动态调整,以避免发生公交断班。
Specifically, if the advancement adjustment shift is determined, if the bus schedule is not feasible, as the node for adjusting the bus schedule, it is necessary to determine the farthest shift M that cannot be issued according to the expected schedule, as shown in the following formula.
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000014
The departure interval between the Mth and the previous shifts is dynamically adjusted to avoid bus breaks.
然后进行调整幅度的确定,为避免断班问题的发生,需对第M班次及之前班次的发车间隔进行动态调整,调整的幅度为(T M-t M),其中T M为第M辆公交预测回站时间,t M为调整后第M班次的发车时间。 Then, the adjustment range is determined. In order to avoid the problem of the shift, the departure interval of the Mth and the previous shifts needs to be dynamically adjusted. The adjustment range is (T M -t M ), where T M is the Mth bus. Predict the return time, t M is the departure time of the Mth shift after adjustment.
在对公交时刻表进行动态调整时,应该考虑以下两个目标:(1)偏差,即调整前后各公交发车间隔的总差异最小;(2)公平,即调整前后各阶段公交发车间隔变化率的一致性,假设期望发车间隔分布与乘客需求分布相匹配,则调整前后各阶段公交发车间隔变化率越一致就越满足乘客需求分布,则调整越公平(合理)。In the dynamic adjustment of the bus schedule, the following two objectives should be considered: (1) deviation, that is, the total difference between the bus departure intervals before and after the adjustment is minimum; (2) fairness, that is, the rate of change of the bus departure interval before and after the adjustment. Consistency, assuming that the expected departure interval distribution matches the passenger demand distribution, the more consistent the change rate of the bus departure interval before and after the adjustment, the more satisfying the passenger demand distribution, the more fair (reasonable) the adjustment.
考虑到本发明方法的特殊性,可假设调整后各发车间隔只可能增大,故可直接利用调整前后的间隔差的和来表示总差异,同时考虑到调整幅度(T M-t M)是固定的,即总差异是固定的,因此本方法不需要考虑偏差,只需要考虑公平这一目标。 Considering the particularity of the method of the present invention, it can be assumed that the interval between the departures may only increase after the adjustment, so the sum of the difference intervals before and after the adjustment can be directly used to represent the total difference, taking into account that the adjustment range (T M -t M ) is Fixed, that is, the total difference is fixed, so this method does not need to consider the deviation, only need to consider the goal of fairness.
本方法的公平性主要体现在调整前后各公交发车间隔变化率是否一致;熵,是一个数学上的抽象概念,被广泛的应用于各个领域,可理解成某种特定信息的出现概率,变量的不确定性越大,熵也就越大。本发明将各间隔变化率作为公平的不确定性,那么熵越小公平性越好,因此本发明将利用“熵”理论设计调整方法的公平性评价函数,并以此为基础构建基于预测回站时间的动态公交调度熵模型。The fairness of this method is mainly reflected in whether the rate of change of bus departure interval before and after adjustment is consistent; entropy is a mathematical abstract concept, which is widely used in various fields and can be understood as the probability of occurrence of certain information, variable The greater the uncertainty, the greater the entropy. The present invention regards the rate of change of each interval as a fair uncertainty, and the smaller the entropy, the better the fairness. Therefore, the present invention will use the "entropy" theory to design a fairness evaluation function of the adjustment method, and based on this, construct a prediction based on Dynamic bus scheduling entropy model for station time.
熵的概念最初来源于热力学,是对系统状态不确定性的一种度量。在信息论中,作为对系统无序性的一种度量,引入函数:The concept of entropy is originally derived from thermodynamics and is a measure of system state uncertainty. In information theory, as a measure of system disorder, the function is introduced:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000015
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000015
其中,p i表示某种信息的不确定程度或发生概率,满足: Where p i represents the degree of uncertainty or probability of occurrence of certain information, which satisfies:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000016
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000016
式中,对数的底数并无规定取值,一般取2、e、10,底数不同衡量信息的单位不同。信息熵值越小,信息量越大,信息的有序性越高,概率分布趋于集中,当
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000017
时,熵最小;信息熵值越大,信息量越小,意味着信息的无序性越高,概率分布趋于分散,当且仅当
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000018
时,熵值最大。
In the formula, the base of the logarithm does not have a specified value, and generally takes 2, e, and 10, and the unit of measurement of the difference is different. The smaller the information entropy value, the larger the amount of information, the higher the order of information, and the probability distribution tends to concentrate.
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000017
When entropy is the smallest, the larger the information entropy value, the smaller the amount of information, which means that the disorder of information is higher, and the probability distribution tends to be scattered, if and only if
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000018
When the entropy value is the largest.
熵理论在差异研究及公平分配方面应用广泛,为衡量公交发车间隔调整的公平性,利用“熵”理论设计了调整方法的公平性评价函数。The entropy theory is widely used in the research of difference and fair distribution. In order to measure the fairness of the adjustment of bus departure interval, the fairness evaluation function of the adjustment method is designed by using the theory of entropy.
假设有:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000019
Suppose there are:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000019
其中:Δt j为调整前的第j班次与第j-1班次间的公交发车间隔,即期望发车间隔,Δt j=t j-t j-1,t 0为当前发出班次公交的发车时刻; Where: Δt j is the bus departure interval between the jth shift and the j-1 shift before the adjustment, that is, the expected departure interval, Δt j =t j -t j-1 , and t 0 is the departure time of the current dispatched bus;
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000020
为调整后的第j班次与第j-1班次间的公交发车间隔,
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000021
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000022
为动态调整后的在当前发出班次后接下来第i班次公交发车时刻;定义
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000023
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000020
For the adjusted bus departure interval between the jth shift and the j-1 shift,
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000021
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000022
For the dynamically adjusted after the current dispatch, the next i-shift bus departure time; definition
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000023
k j为常数,k j>0,表示调整前后公交发车间隔的变化率;对k j进行归一化,得: k j is a constant, k j >0, which indicates the rate of change of the bus departure interval before and after the adjustment; normalization of k j results in:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000024
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000024
那么,当λ j趋于集中时,调整前后公交发车间隔分布越一致,越满足乘客需求分布,调整方法越公平;反之,则越不公平;最公平的结果是,调整后的公交发车间隔为调整前的公交发车间隔的等比例延长,即: Then, when λ j tends to concentrate, the more consistent the distribution of bus departures before and after the adjustment, the more satisfying the distribution of passenger demand, the more fair the adjustment method; on the contrary, the more unfair; the fairest result is that the adjusted bus departure interval is The proportional extension of the bus departure interval before the adjustment, namely:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000025
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000025
此时,k 1=k 2=...=k M=k,调整前后公交发车间隔分布均与乘客OD流量分布保持一致。 At this time, k 1 =k 2 =...=k M =k, the distribution of the bus departure interval before and after the adjustment is consistent with the passenger OD flow distribution.
因此,根据熵的性质,可以将λ j作为计算熵值的指标,当λ j分布趋于集中时,意味着公交发车间隔调整前后分布越一致,与乘客交通出行量分布越相符,熵值越大。因此,调整方法的公平性评价函数可表示为: Therefore, according to the nature of entropy, λ j can be used as an index to calculate the entropy value. When the λ j distribution tends to be concentrated, it means that the distribution before and after the bus departure interval adjustment is more consistent, and the distribution with the passenger traffic volume is more consistent, and the entropy value is more Big. Therefore, the fairness evaluation function of the adjustment method can be expressed as:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000026
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000026
为根据预测公交回站时间,提前延长前期各发车间隔以消除断班问题,利用“熵”理论实现前期各发车间隔调整的公平性,构建了基于预测回站时间的动态公交调度“熵”模型如下:In order to predict the return time of the bus according to the forecast, the departure interval of the previous period is extended in advance to eliminate the problem of the off-duty. The "entropy" theory is used to realize the fairness of the adjustment of the departure interval in the previous period, and the dynamic entropy model of the dynamic bus scheduling based on the predicted return time is constructed. as follows:
目标函数:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000027
其中,H为规定的最大发车时间间隔;
Objective function:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000027
Where H is the specified maximum departure time interval;
约束条件:Restrictions:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000028
表示调整后第j班次公交发车时间
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000029
晚于等于第j辆公交预测回站时间T j
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000028
Indicates the bus departure time of the jth shift after adjustment
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000029
Later than the jth bus predicted return time T j ;
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000030
表示调整后的前后班次公交发车间隔
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000031
小于等于最大允许发车间隔H且大于0;
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000030
Indicates the adjusted bus departure interval
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000031
Less than or equal to the maximum allowable departure interval H and greater than 0;
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000032
表示调整后第M班次的发车时间
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000033
应等于第M辆公交预测回站时间T M,后续班次能够按期望时刻表执行;
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000032
Indicates the departure time of the Mth shift after adjustment
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000033
It should be equal to the predicted transit time T M of the Mth bus, and the subsequent shifts can be executed according to the expected timetable;
j=1,2,…,M。j=1, 2,..., M.
模型求解如下:The model is solved as follows:
(1)T j≤t 0+H*j (1) T j ≤ t 0 + H*j
熵函数的性质之一为H(X)是概率分布p i的严格上凸函数,显然,由约束条件式构成的解的集合为凸集。因此,该最优化问题为凸规划问题,其局部最优解就是它的全局最优解。Lingo(运筹优化分析软件)是一套非常经典的用于求解线性规划、二次规划、整数规划及非线性规划最优化问题的综合工具,具有一系列完全内置的求解程序,并能够通过读取方程式自动选择合适的求解器,适用于本发明模型的求解,本发明可以利用Lingo软件对模型进行求解。 One of the properties of the entropy function is that H(X) is a strictly convex function of the probability distribution p i . Obviously, the set of solutions consisting of constraint equations is a convex set. Therefore, the optimization problem is a convex programming problem, and its local optimal solution is its global optimal solution. Lingo (Operational Optimization Analysis Software) is a very classic tool for solving linear programming, quadratic programming, integer programming and nonlinear programming optimization problems. It has a series of fully built solvers and can be read by The equation automatically selects a suitable solver, which is suitable for solving the model of the present invention. The present invention can solve the model by using Lingo software.
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000034
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000034
本发明中,受最大发车时间间隔H的约束,
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000035
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000036
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000037
不满足约束条件,目标函数无可行解。此时,采取的调整公交时刻表的策略为找到最远不能满足最大发车间隔约束的发车班次Q,将N班次之前的公交发车间隔调整为按最大发车间隔H发车,或当按最大发车间隔发车而无车可发时,按预测回站时间T i发车,即:
In the present invention, subject to the maximum departure time interval H,
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000035
If
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000036
then
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000037
The constraint does not satisfy the constraint and the objective function has no feasible solution. At this time, the strategy of adjusting the bus schedule is to find the departure Q that can not meet the maximum departure interval constraint, and adjust the bus departure interval before the N shift to start at the maximum departure interval H, or when the departure is at the maximum departure interval. When there is no car to be sent, the car will start at the predicted return time T i , namely:
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000038
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000038
其中,
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000039
among them,
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000039
对于第Q班次之后的班次的发车间隔,则从第Q班次公交开始,按照(1)方法进行调整。For the departure interval of the shift after the Qth shift, start from the bus of the Qth shift and adjust according to the method of (1).
步骤S30、通过算例分析验证公交动态调度熵模型,根据检测的公交动态调度熵模型的有效性,调整前后班次公交满载率。Step S30, verifying the dynamic dispatching entropy model of the bus by analyzing the example, and adjusting the full load rate of the bus before and after the shift according to the validity of the detected dynamic scheduling entropy model.
为进一步对模型进行说明,检验模型的有效性,以下分别取08:00-09:00早高峰、18:00-19:00晚高峰两个比较容易出现公交断班问题的时段进行算例分析。In order to further explain the model and verify the validity of the model, the following examples are taken from 08:00-09:00 morning peak, 18:00-19:00 night peak, and two time periods where bus breaks are more likely to occur. .
算例一Example 1
以08:00-09:00早高峰期间公交调度为例,当前班次公交的发出时间t 0=08:00,站场内与回站途中公交车辆数N=8,假设最大发车间隔约束H=15min,接下来8个班次的期望公交发车时间t i及对应班次预测回站时间T i、调整后的发车时间表
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000040
未经调整的实际发车时间
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000041
如下:
Taking the bus dispatch during the morning peak period of 08:00-09:00 as an example, the time of the current bus departure is t 0 = 08:00, and the number of buses in the station and back to the station is N=8, assuming the maximum departure interval constraint H= 15min, the expected bus departure time t i for the next 8 shifts and the corresponding scheduled shift back time T i , adjusted departure schedule
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000040
Unadjusted actual departure time
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000041
as follows:
表1 调整前后接下来8个班次公交发车时间情况(算例一)Table 1 Bus departure time for the next 8 shifts before and after adjustment (Case 1)
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000042
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000042
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000043
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000043
观察发现,在算例一中:1)若不对公交时刻表进行调整,则可能有
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000044
导致公交断班现象的发生,降低公交运行的稳定性,而经过动态调整后的发车间隔均能够满足最大发车时间间隔H=15min的约束;2)如图4(t i
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000045
时刻表的发车间隔分布)所示,为期望发车间隔t i、调整后发车间隔
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000046
实际发车间隔
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000047
的分布情况,显然
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000048
与t i的发车间隔分布更加相似,更符合乘客的需求分布情况,能够尽可能避免公交断班,提高公交运行的稳定性,及平衡前后班次公交载客率。
Observed and found that in the first example: 1) If the bus schedule is not adjusted, there may be
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000044
This leads to the occurrence of bus breaks and reduces the stability of bus operation. The dynamically adjusted departure interval can meet the constraint of maximum departure time interval H=15min; 2) as shown in Figure 4 (t i ,
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000045
The departure interval of the timetable is shown as the expected departure interval t i and the adjusted departure interval.
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000046
Actual departure interval
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000047
Distribution, obviously
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000048
It is more similar to the distribution interval of t i , and it is more in line with the distribution of passengers' needs. It can avoid bus breaks as much as possible, improve the stability of bus operation, and balance the bus passenger load rate before and after.
算例二Study 2
以18:00-19:00晚高峰期间公交调度为例,当前班次公交的发出时间t 0=18:00,站场内与回站途中公交车辆数N=11,假设最大发车间隔约束H=15min,接下来11个班次的期望公交发车时间t i及对应班次预测回站时间T i、调整后的发车时间表
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000049
未经调整的实际发车时间
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000050
如下:
Taking the bus dispatch during the peak period of 18:00-19:00 as an example, the current dispatch time of the bus is t 0 = 18:00, and the number of buses in the station and the returning station is N=11, assuming the maximum departure interval constraint H= 15min, the expected bus departure time t i for the next 11 shifts and the corresponding shift time T i , the adjusted departure schedule
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000049
Unadjusted actual departure time
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000050
as follows:
表2 调整前后接下来11个班次公交发车时间情况(算例二)Table 2 Bus departure time of the next 11 shifts before and after adjustment (Case 2)
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000051
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000051
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000052
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000052
观察发现,在算例二中,虽然在没有调整在情况下也不会出现发车间隔
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000053
的情况,但依然存在由于公交预测回站时间不满期望发车时间,使实际发车间隔与期望发车间隔存在显著差异的情况,进而导致公交运行的稳定性降低、前后班次公交载客率失衡,如期望的Δt 7=Δt 8=6min,实际的
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000054
动态调整后的
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000055
如图5(t i
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000056
时刻表的发车间隔分布)所示,为期望发车间隔t i、调整后发车间隔
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000057
实际发车间隔
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000058
的分布情况。
Observed that in the second example, although there is no adjustment in the case, there will be no departure interval.
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000053
The situation, but there is still a situation in which the bus stop time is not satisfied with the expected departure time, so that there is a significant difference between the actual departure interval and the expected departure interval, which leads to a decrease in the stability of the bus operation and an imbalance in the bus load rate before and after the trip. Δt 7 = Δt 8 = 6min, actual
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000054
Dynamically adjusted
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000055
Figure 5 (t i ,
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000056
The departure interval of the timetable is shown as the expected departure interval t i and the adjusted departure interval.
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000057
Actual departure interval
Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-000058
Distribution.
随着智能公交的不断发展,基于公交IC卡技术、视频计数技术等预测客流分布方法为静态公交调度优化提供了更为准确的客流信息支持,而公交行程预测技术的推广应用,使通过预测公交回站时间,并与期望发车时刻表进行比较,进而提前预测潜在的公交断班问题成为可能。本发明将熵理论应用到了公交动态调度当中,在静态公交调度优化的基础上对公交时刻表进行动态调整,构建了基于预测回站时间的动态公交调度“熵”模型,最后,给出了模型的求解方法,并进行算例分析验证了该模型的有效性。因此,利用预测公交回站时间动态调整公交时刻表,以避免发生公交断班,均衡前后班次的公交满载率,具有现实可行性。With the continuous development of intelligent public transport, the method of predicting passenger flow based on bus IC card technology and video counting technology provides more accurate passenger flow information support for static bus dispatch optimization, and the promotion and application of bus travel forecast technology enables the forecasting of public transport. It is possible to compare the time of returning to the station and compare it with the expected departure timetable, and then predict the potential bus stop problem in advance. The invention applies the entropy theory to the dynamic scheduling of public transportation, dynamically adjusts the bus schedule based on the optimization of static bus scheduling, and constructs a dynamic bus scheduling “entropy” model based on the predicted return time. Finally, the model is given. The method of solving and the example analysis demonstrate the effectiveness of the model. Therefore, it is feasible to dynamically adjust the bus schedule by predicting the bus return time to avoid the bus break and balance the bus full load rate before and after the shift.
本发明提出了一种基于预测回站时间的动态公交调度熵模型,通过提前延长前期各发车间隔以消除断班的问题,并利用熵理论实现前期各发车间隔调整的公平性;最后,通过早晚高峰两个实例对模型进行了验证,结果表明该模型能够最大程度使调整前后的发车间隔分布形态一致,减少公交断班,均衡各班次公交载 客率,提高了公交运行稳定性。The invention proposes a dynamic bus scheduling entropy model based on predicting the return time, by extending the interval of the previous departures in advance to eliminate the problem of off-duty, and using the entropy theory to realize the fairness of the adjustment of the departure intervals in the early stage; finally, through the morning and evening The two models of the peak verified the model. The results show that the model can maximize the distribution of the departure interval before and after the adjustment, reduce the bus breaks, balance the bus load rate of each shift, and improve the stability of the bus operation.
进一步地,如图6所示,基于上述公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,本发明还相应提供了一种智能终端,所述智能终端包括处理器10、存储器20及显示器30。图6仅示出了智能终端的部分组件,但是应理解的是,并不要求实施所有示出的组件,可以替代的实施更多或者更少的组件。Further, as shown in FIG. 6, the present invention further provides an intelligent terminal, which includes a processor 10, a memory 20, and a display 30, based on the above-described bus operation state data adjustment processing method. Figure 6 shows only some of the components of the smart terminal, but it should be understood that not all illustrated components may be implemented, and more or fewer components may be implemented instead.
所述存储器20在一些实施例中可以是所述智能终端的内部存储单元,例如智能终端的硬盘或内存。所述存储器20在另一些实施例中也可以是所述智能终端的外部存储设备,例如所述智能终端上配备的插接式硬盘,智能存储卡(Smart Media Card,SMC),安全数字(Secure Digital,SD)卡,闪存卡(Flash Card)等。进一步地,所述存储器20还可以既包括所智能终端的内部存储单元也包括外部存储设备。所述存储器20用于存储安装于所述智能终端的应用软件及各类数据,例如所述安装智能终端的程序代码等。所述存储器20还可以用于暂时地存储已经输出或者将要输出的数据。在一实施例中,存储器20上存储有公交运行状态数据调整处理程序40,该公交运行状态数据调整处理程序40可被处理器10所执行,从而实现本申请中公交运行状态数据调整处理方法。The memory 20 may be an internal storage unit of the smart terminal, such as a hard disk or memory of the smart terminal, in some embodiments. The memory 20 may also be an external storage device of the smart terminal in other embodiments, such as a plug-in hard disk equipped on the smart terminal, a smart memory card (SMC), and a secure digital (Secure) Digital, SD) cards, flash cards, etc. Further, the memory 20 may also include both an internal storage unit of the smart terminal and an external storage device. The memory 20 is configured to store application software and various types of data installed on the smart terminal, such as the program code for installing the smart terminal. The memory 20 can also be used to temporarily store data that has been output or is about to be output. In an embodiment, the bus operation state data adjustment processing program 40 is stored on the memory 20, and the bus operation state data adjustment processing program 40 can be executed by the processor 10, thereby implementing the bus operation state data adjustment processing method in the present application.
所述处理器10在一些实施例中可以是一中央处理器(Central Processing Unit,CPU),微处理器或其他数据处理芯片,用于运行所述存储器20中存储的程序代码或处理数据,例如执行所述公交运行状态数据调整处理方法等。The processor 10, in some embodiments, may be a Central Processing Unit (CPU), a microprocessor or other data processing chip for running program code or processing data stored in the memory 20, such as The bus operation state data adjustment processing method and the like are executed.
所述显示器30在一些实施例中可以是LED显示器、液晶显示器、触控式液晶显示器以及OLED(Organic Light-Emitting Diode,有机发光二极管)触摸器等。所述显示器30用于显示在所述智能终端的信息以及用于显示可视化的用户界面。所述智能终端的部件10-30通过系统总线相互通信。The display 30 may be an LED display, a liquid crystal display, a touch-sensitive liquid crystal display, an OLED (Organic Light-Emitting Diode) touch sensor, or the like in some embodiments. The display 30 is used to display information on the smart terminal and a user interface for displaying visualizations. The components 10-30 of the intelligent terminal communicate with one another via a system bus.
在一实施例中,当处理器10执行所述存储器20中公交运行状态数据调整处理程序40时实现以下步骤:In an embodiment, when the processor 10 executes the bus operation state data adjustment processing program 40 in the memory 20, the following steps are implemented:
将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,获取班次和公交时刻表可行性的结果;Comparing the bus departure time data corresponding to the bus departure schedule with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and obtaining the feasibility of the shift and the bus schedule;
根据预期不能按期望时刻表发车的班次数据,构建公交动态调度熵模型,根据预测公交回站时间数据调整公交时刻表;According to the shift data that is expected to be unable to start according to the expected timetable, the bus dynamic scheduling entropy model is constructed, and the bus schedule is adjusted according to the predicted bus return time data;
通过算例分析验证公交动态调度熵模型,根据检测的公交动态调度熵模型的 有效性,调整前后班次公交满载率。The dynamic dispatching entropy model of the bus is verified by a case study. According to the validity of the detected bus dynamics scheduling entropy model, the full load rate of the bus before and after the shift is adjusted.
本发明还提供一种存储介质,其中,所述存储介质存储有公交运行状态数据调整处理程序,所述公交运行状态数据调整处理程序被处理器执行时实现所述公交运行状态数据调整处理方法的步骤;具体如上所述。The present invention also provides a storage medium, wherein the storage medium stores a bus operation state data adjustment processing program, and the bus operation state data adjustment processing program is implemented by the processor to implement the bus operation state data adjustment processing method. Step; specifically as described above.
综上所述,本发明提供一种公交运行状态数据调整处理方法、智能终端及存储介质,所述方法包括:将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,获取班次和公交时刻表可行性的结果;根据预期不能按期望时刻表发车的班次数据,构建公交动态调度熵模型,根据预测公交回站时间数据调整公交时刻表;通过算例分析验证公交动态调度熵模型,根据检测的公交动态调度熵模型的有效性,调整前后班次公交满载率。本发明基于预测回站时间的动态公交调度熵模型,提前延长前期各发车间隔以消除断班,并实现了前期各发车间隔调整的公平性与合理性,减少了公交断班,均衡各班次公交载客率,提高公交运行的稳定性,方便乘客出行。In summary, the present invention provides a bus operation state data adjustment processing method, an intelligent terminal, and a storage medium, the method comprising: setting a bus departure time data corresponding to a desired bus departure schedule and a dynamically predicted bus return station The time data is compared to obtain the feasibility of the shift and the bus schedule; according to the shift data that is expected to be unable to start according to the expected schedule, the bus dynamic scheduling entropy model is constructed, and the bus schedule is adjusted according to the predicted bus return time data; The example analysis verifies the dynamic scheduling entropy model of the bus, and adjusts the full load rate of the bus before and after the bus according to the validity of the detected dynamic scheduling entropy model. The invention is based on a dynamic bus scheduling entropy model for predicting the return time, and pre-expanding the interval of each departure in advance to eliminate the off-duty, and realizes the fairness and rationality of the adjustment of the departure intervals in the early stage, reduces the bus breaks, and balances the shifts. Bus passenger load rate, improve the stability of bus operation, and facilitate passengers to travel.
当然,本领域普通技术人员可以理解实现上述实施例方法中的全部或部分流程,是可以通过计算机程序来指令相关硬件(如处理器,控制器等)来完成,所述的程序可存储于一计算机可读取的存储介质中,所述程序在执行时可包括如上述各方法实施例的流程。其中所述的存储介质可为存储器、磁碟、光盘等。Certainly, those skilled in the art can understand that all or part of the processes in the foregoing embodiments can be implemented by a computer program to instruct related hardware (such as a processor, a controller, etc.), and the program can be stored in one. In a computer readable storage medium, the program, when executed, may include the processes of the various method embodiments as described above. The storage medium described therein may be a memory, a magnetic disk, an optical disk, or the like.
应当理解的是,本发明的应用不限于上述的举例,对本领域普通技术人员来说,可以根据上述说明加以改进或变换,所有这些改进和变换都应属于本发明所附权利要求的保护范围。It is to be understood that the application of the present invention is not limited to the above-described examples, and those skilled in the art can make modifications and changes in accordance with the above description, all of which are within the scope of the appended claims.

Claims (10)

  1. 一种公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其特征在于,所述公交运行状态数据调整处理方法包括:A method for adjusting a bus operation state data, wherein the bus operation state data adjustment processing method comprises:
    将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,获取班次和公交时刻表可行性的结果;Comparing the bus departure time data corresponding to the bus departure schedule with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and obtaining the feasibility of the shift and the bus schedule;
    根据预期不能按期望时刻表发车的班次数据,构建公交动态调度熵模型,根据预测公交回站时间数据调整公交时刻表;According to the shift data that is expected to be unable to start according to the expected timetable, the bus dynamic scheduling entropy model is constructed, and the bus schedule is adjusted according to the predicted bus return time data;
    通过算例分析验证公交动态调度熵模型,根据检测的公交动态调度熵模型的有效性,调整前后班次公交满载率。Through the analysis of the example, the dynamic scheduling entropy model of the bus is verified, and the full load rate of the bus before and after the shift is adjusted according to the validity of the detected dynamic scheduling entropy model.
  2. 根据权利要求1所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其特征在于,所述将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,获取班次可行性的结果具体包括:The bus operation state data adjustment processing method according to claim 1, wherein the bus departure time data corresponding to the desired bus departure time table is compared with the dynamically predicted bus return time data to obtain the shift. The results of the feasibility include:
    将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,评价对应班次公交按期望时刻表发车的可行性;Comparing the bus departure time data corresponding to the bus departure schedule with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and evaluating the feasibility of the corresponding bus departure according to the expected timetable;
    构建班次可行性评价函数和公交时刻表可行性的评价函数,分别判断班次和公交时刻表的可行性。The feasibility evaluation function of the shift and the feasibility function of the bus schedule are constructed to judge the feasibility of the shift and the bus schedule.
  3. 根据权利要求2所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其特征在于,将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,评价对应班次公交按期望时刻表发车的可行性,构建班次可行性评价函数:The bus operation state data adjustment processing method according to claim 2, wherein the bus departure time data corresponding to the desired bus departure timetable is compared with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and the corresponding bus is evaluated. According to the feasibility of starting the schedule, construct a shift feasibility evaluation function:
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100001
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100001
    其中,f(t i,T i)为接下来某一班次公交按照期望公交时刻表发车的可行性评价函数,当f(t i,T i)=1时表示可行,当f(t i,T i)=0时表示不可行; Among them, f(t i , T i ) is the feasibility evaluation function of the next bus in accordance with the expected bus schedule. When f(t i , T i )=1, it means feasible, when f(t i , When T i )=0, it means that it is not feasible;
    t i为在当前发出班次后接下来第i班次公交的期望发车时刻,假设t i为根据预测乘客交通出行量分布优化后的期望公交时刻表; t i is the expected departure time of the next i-th bus after the current dispatch, and it is assumed that t i is the expected bus schedule optimized according to the predicted passenger traffic volume distribution;
    T i为在当前发出班次后接下来第i辆公交预测回站时间,包括站内待发车辆与回站车辆,站场内待发车辆的预测回站时间定义为0; T i is the predicted return time of the next i-th bus after the current dispatch, including the on-station vehicle and the return-to-station vehicle, and the predicted return time of the to-be-launched vehicle in the station is defined as 0;
    t=1,2,…,N,N为站内待发车辆与回站车辆总数。t=1,2,...,N,N is the total number of vehicles in the station and the number of vehicles returning.
  4. 根据权利要求2所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其特征在于,将期望公交发车时刻表对应的各公交班次发车时间数据与动态预测的公交回站时间数据进行比对,获取公交时刻表可行性的结果具体包括:The bus operation state data adjustment processing method according to claim 2, wherein the bus departure time data corresponding to the desired bus departure timetable is compared with the dynamically predicted bus return time data, and the bus schedule is obtained. The results of the feasibility include:
    评价接下来N个对应班次公交按期望公交时刻表发车的可行性,构建公交时刻表可行性的评价函数如下:Evaluate the feasibility of the next N corresponding shift buses according to the expected bus schedule. The evaluation function for constructing the bus schedule is as follows:
    F(t 1,...,t N;T 1,...,T N)=f(t 1,T 1)·f(t 2,T 2)…f(t N,T N); F(t 1 , . . . , t N ; T 1 , . . . , T N )=f(t 1 , T 1 )·f(t 2 , T 2 )...f(t N , T N );
    F(t 1,...,t N;T 1,...,T N)为接下来N班次公交按照期望发车时刻表进行发车的可行性,当F(t 1,...,t N;T 1,...,T N)=1时,表示可行;F(t 1,...,t N;T 1,...,T N)=0时,表示不可行。 F(t 1 ,...,t N ;T 1 ,...,T N ) is the feasibility of the next N shifts according to the expected departure schedule, when F(t 1 ,...,t When N ; T 1 , . . . , T N )=1, it means feasible; when F(t 1 , . . . , t N ; T 1 , . . . , T N )=0, it means that it is not feasible.
  5. 根据权利要求1所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其特征在于,所述根据预期不能按期望时刻表发车的班次数据,构建公交动态调度熵模型,根据预测公交回站时间数据调整公交时刻表具体包括:The bus operation state data adjustment processing method according to claim 1, wherein the bus dynamic scheduling entropy model is constructed according to the shift data that is expected to be unable to start according to the expected timetable, and the bus time is adjusted according to the predicted bus return time data. The table specifically includes:
    若期望公交时刻表不可行,作为调整公交时刻表的节点,需要确定最远的不能按照期望时刻表发车的班次,并对班次的发车间隔进行动态调整;If it is expected that the bus schedule is not feasible, as the node for adjusting the bus schedule, it is necessary to determine the farthest shift that cannot be issued according to the expected schedule, and dynamically adjust the departure interval of the shift;
    在对公交时刻表进行动态调整时,控制调整前后各公交发车间隔的总差异最小,以及调整前后各阶段公交发车间隔变化率一致。When the bus schedule is dynamically adjusted, the total difference between the bus departure intervals before and after the control adjustment is the smallest, and the rate of change of the bus departure interval is consistent.
  6. 根据权利要求5所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其特征在于,若期望公交时刻表不可行,作为调整公交时刻表的节点,需要确定最远的不能按照期望时刻表发车的班次M,为
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100002
    并对第M班次及之前班次的发车间隔进行动态调整;
    The bus operation state data adjustment processing method according to claim 5, wherein if the bus schedule is not feasible, as the node for adjusting the bus schedule, it is necessary to determine the farthest shift M that cannot be issued according to the expected schedule. for
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100002
    And dynamically adjust the departure interval of the Mth and previous shifts;
    对第M班次及之前班次的发车间隔进行动态调整,调整的幅度为(T M-t M);T M为第M辆公交预测回站时间,t M为调整后第M班次的发车时间; The departure interval of the Mth and the previous shifts is dynamically adjusted, and the adjustment range is (T M -t M ); T M is the predicted return time of the Mth bus, and t M is the departure time of the Mth shift after the adjustment;
    在对公交时刻表进行动态调整时,控制调整前后各公交发车间隔的总差异最小,以及调整前后各阶段公交发车间隔变化率一致。When the bus schedule is dynamically adjusted, the total difference between the bus departure intervals before and after the control adjustment is the smallest, and the rate of change of the bus departure interval is consistent.
  7. 根据权利要求6所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其特征在于, 构建公交动态调度熵模型如下:The bus operation state data adjustment processing method according to claim 6, wherein the dynamic transit scheduling entropy model is constructed as follows:
    目标函数:
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100003
    Objective function:
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100003
    其中,H为规定的最大发车时间间隔;Where H is the specified maximum departure time interval;
    约束条件:Restrictions:
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100004
    表示调整后第j班次公交发车时间
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100005
    晚于等于第j辆公交预测回站时间T j
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100004
    Indicates the bus departure time of the jth shift after adjustment
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100005
    Later than the jth bus predicted return time T j ;
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100006
    表示调整后的前后班次公交发车间隔
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100007
    小于等于最大允许发车间隔H且大于0;
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100006
    Indicates the adjusted bus departure interval
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100007
    Less than or equal to the maximum allowable departure interval H and greater than 0;
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100008
    表示调整后第M班次的发车时间
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100009
    应等于第M辆公交预测回站时间T M,后续班次能够按期望时刻表执行;
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100008
    Indicates the departure time of the Mth shift after adjustment
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100009
    It should be equal to the predicted transit time T M of the Mth bus, and the subsequent shifts can be executed according to the expected timetable;
    j=1,2,...,M;j=1,2,...,M;
    其中,
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100010
    k j为常数,k j>0,k j表示调整前后公交发车间隔的变化率。
    among them,
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100010
    k j is a constant, k j >0, and k j represents the rate of change of the bus departure interval before and after adjustment.
  8. 根据权利要求7所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法,其特征在于,当λ j趋于集中时,调整前后公交发车间隔分布越一致,越满足乘客需求分布,调整方法越公平;反之,则越不公平;最公平的结果是,调整后的公交发车间隔为调整前的公交发车间隔的等比例延长,即:
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100011
    The bus operation state data adjustment processing method according to claim 7, wherein when λ j tends to be concentrated, the more consistent the distribution of the bus departure interval before and after the adjustment, the more satisfying the passenger demand distribution, the more fair the adjustment method; The more unfair; the fairest result is that the adjusted bus departure interval is an equal extension of the bus departure interval before the adjustment, ie:
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100011
    此时,k 1=k 2=…=k M=k,调整前后公交发车间隔分布均与乘客交通出行量流量分布保持一致; At this time, k 1 =k 2 =...=k M =k, the distribution of the bus departure interval before and after the adjustment is consistent with the traffic distribution of the passenger traffic;
    根据熵的性质,将λ j作为计算熵值的指标,当λ j分布趋于集中时,表示公交发车间隔调整前后分布越一致,与乘客交通出行量分布越相符,熵值越大;调整 方法的公平性评价函数可表示为:
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100012
    According to the nature of entropy, λ j is used as the index to calculate the entropy value. When the λ j distribution tends to be concentrated, it indicates that the distribution of the bus departure interval is more consistent, and the distribution of the passenger traffic volume is more consistent, the entropy value is larger; The fairness evaluation function can be expressed as:
    Figure PCTCN2018093655-appb-100012
  9. 一种智能终端,其特征在于,所述智能终端包括:存储器、处理器及存储在所述存储器上并可在所述处理器上运行的公交运行状态数据调整处理程序,所述公交运行状态数据调整处理程序被所述处理器执行时实现如权利要求1-8任一项所述的公交运行状态数据调整处理方法的步骤。An intelligent terminal, comprising: a memory, a processor, and a bus operation state data adjustment processing program stored on the memory and operable on the processor, the bus operation state data The step of implementing the bus operation state data adjustment processing method according to any one of claims 1-8 when the adjustment processing program is executed by the processor.
  10. 一种存储介质,其特征在于,所述存储介质存储有公交运行状态数据调整处理程序,所述公交运行状态数据调整处理程序被处理器执行时实现权利要求1-8任一项所述公交运行状态数据调整处理方法的步骤。A storage medium, characterized in that the storage medium stores a bus operation state data adjustment processing program, and the bus operation state data adjustment processing program is executed by a processor to implement the bus operation according to any one of claims 1-8 The steps of the state data adjustment processing method.
PCT/CN2018/093655 2018-04-28 2018-06-29 Bus running state data adjustment processing method, smart terminal and storage medium WO2019205278A1 (en)

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