WO2017071124A1 - System and method for location and behavior information prediction - Google Patents

System and method for location and behavior information prediction Download PDF

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Publication number
WO2017071124A1
WO2017071124A1 PCT/CN2016/070989 CN2016070989W WO2017071124A1 WO 2017071124 A1 WO2017071124 A1 WO 2017071124A1 CN 2016070989 W CN2016070989 W CN 2016070989W WO 2017071124 A1 WO2017071124 A1 WO 2017071124A1
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location
behavior information
module
information
behavior
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PCT/CN2016/070989
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French (fr)
Chinese (zh)
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蒋昌俊
闫春钢
陈闳中
丁志军
徐兵
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同济大学
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Publication of WO2017071124A1 publication Critical patent/WO2017071124A1/en
Priority to AU2018100673A priority Critical patent/AU2018100673A4/en

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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06FELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
    • G06F16/00Information retrieval; Database structures therefor; File system structures therefor
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H04ELECTRIC COMMUNICATION TECHNIQUE
    • H04WWIRELESS COMMUNICATION NETWORKS
    • H04W4/00Services specially adapted for wireless communication networks; Facilities therefor
    • H04W4/02Services making use of location information
    • H04W4/029Location-based management or tracking services

Definitions

  • the present invention relates to an information prediction system, and more particularly to a position and behavior information prediction system and method.
  • LBSN Location-based Social Network
  • Zheng Yu and other researchers based on the user's driving trajectory by mining the user's frequent movement sequence and establishing a probability transfer model, can better predict the user's next possible arrival location.
  • the user-based behavior pattern can effectively improve the accuracy of predicting the user's future arrival location. If the user's behavior pattern is combined with the recommendation system, the user can provide a recommendation service that is more in line with their living habits.
  • Periodic behavior is a kind of user behavior pattern. By mining the user's periodic behavior, it is possible to effectively discover the regularity of a user's behavior in time.
  • the main research directions of periodic behavior are divided into time series cycle acquisition and periodic mode acquisition.
  • the former obtains the potential period in the time series through the relevant algorithm.
  • the classical algorithm acquired in the time series period is the periodogram and the autocorrelation.
  • the periodogram is used alone, the period is inaccurate due to the spectral leakage problem, and it is used alone.
  • there are other timestamp events which lead to the correct cycle is not obvious.
  • Some researchers use the combination of cycle diagram and autocorrelation to effectively avoid the spectral leakage caused by the use of the periodic diagram alone. The cycle gets inaccurate.
  • the current time series period acquisition algorithm has mutual interference between periods when acquiring time series and multiple periods, resulting in inaccurate final results. And mining the user's periodic behavior needs to accurately obtain the user's change behavior at which stage of the current cycle, and the autocorrelation and cycle diagram can not mine this type of information.
  • an object of the present invention is to provide a position and behavior information prediction system and method for solving the cycle of low spectral acquisition accuracy, periodic spectrum spectral leakage and autocorrelation in the prior art. Not obvious and other issues.
  • the present invention provides a location and behavior information prediction system and method.
  • the location and behavior information prediction method is used to predict the location of the user's future arrival by mining the period of the user behavior;
  • the location and behavior information prediction method mainly includes the following steps:
  • the first step is to obtain the location and behavior information of the mobile client separately;
  • the second step is to classify the acquired location and behavior information to form a sequence of location information and a sequence of behavior information, respectively;
  • the position and behavior information of different classes are converted and processed and placed in the data storage structure, and the elements in each data storage structure can be randomly accessed; the data storage structure is traversed, the judgment conditions are cyclically executed, and multiple selections are performed. a different cycle;
  • the fourth step is to predict the location and behavior information of the mobile client according to the obtained period.
  • the first step further comprises: determining a specific time period; and selecting location and behavior information in the specific time period from the received location and behavior information.
  • the second step further comprises: classifying the location and behavior information in the specific time period; adding the category information generated in the classification process to each location and behavior information, and generating different types of location and behavior information according to the chronological order sequence.
  • the third step further comprises: setting a fixed relationship between the location in the data storage structure and the location element; determining the element value according to the fixed relationship, and randomly traversing each element in the data storage structure; determining according to the setting Relationships filter out accurate cycles and save.
  • a user location and behavior information recording method is used for recording current location and behavior information of the user and transmitting current location and behavior information to other receiving ends; and the method comprises the following steps:
  • the first step the location record module collects current location and behavior information
  • Step 2 The location recording module transmits the collected current location and behavior information to the information sending module;
  • the third step the information sending module sends the current location and behavior information to the outside.
  • the location recording module collects the current location and behavior information of the user, and transmits the collected current location and behavior information to the information sending module.
  • a mobile client comprising:
  • a location recording module that collects the current location and behavior information of the user.
  • the information sending module communicates with the location recording module; and is configured to send the current location and behavior information collected by the location recording module.
  • a location and behavior information prediction server includes: a location and behavior information processing module, a multi-cycle acquisition module, and a prediction module;
  • the location and behavior information processing module is configured to receive and store the current location and behavior information of the user, and obtain a set of specific time slot locations and behavior information of the specific mobile client from all current location and behavior information to form time series information. ;
  • the multi-cycle acquisition module is in communication with the location and behavior information processing module for finding all periods in the time series information;
  • the prediction module is in communication with the multi-cycle acquisition module for predicting location and behavior information of the user at a future point in time.
  • the location and behavior information processing module comprises
  • An information storage module configured to store current location and behavior information sent by the mobile client
  • An information acquisition module the module is in communication with the information storage module, and is configured to obtain current location and behavior information;
  • a location classification module the module is in communication with the information acquisition module, and is configured to obtain current location and behavior information
  • a timing module that communicates with the location classification module for generating a sequence of formation location and behavior information.
  • the multi-cycle acquisition module communicates with the location and behavior information processing module to receive the location and behavior information sequence; the multi-cycle acquisition module is configured to determine a plurality of cycles.
  • the prediction module communicates with the multi-cycle acquisition module to predict the location of the mobile client according to the period.
  • a location and behavior information prediction system includes a mobile client and a location and behavior information prediction server;
  • each mobile client continuously collects current location and behavior information of the user.
  • the location and behavior information prediction server is configured to predict the location and behavior information of the mobile client at a future time point from different time points.
  • the position and behavior information prediction system and method provided by the present invention have the following beneficial effects:
  • the present invention provides a position and behavior information prediction system and method, and the present invention can effectively avoid adverse effects such as cycle length differences and random fluctuations as compared with the conventional use cycle diagram and autocorrelation and the combination of the two.
  • Obtaining the influence of cycle precision, and reducing the mutual interference between different cycles in the multi-cycle acquisition process can more accurately acquire the multi-periodic behavior in the time series, and solve the problem that the cycle obtained in the traditional method is not obvious.
  • By mining the user's periodic behavior it is possible to effectively discover the regularity of a user's behavior in time, and can combine with the recommendation system to produce technical benefits.
  • the position and behavior information prediction method provided by the invention does not need to search for a potential period or a time series period, but through random traversal and judgment of the data storage structure, and filters the period information with higher precision, thereby reducing the period of the spectrum acquisition process due to the spectrum leakage problem.
  • the invention can accurately obtain the user's behavior in the current cycle by traversing and judging the data structure, and determine the judgment condition of each step traversal process by using parameters such as the number of times of repeated occurrences, thereby excavating the traditional autocorrelation and The exact period information that the periodogram cannot mine.
  • the invention can simultaneously acquire the occurrence time of the periodic behavior, and solves the problem that the periodic graph and the autocorrelation cannot predict the periodic behavior of the user. Point problem.
  • FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram of a position and behavior information prediction system of the present invention
  • FIG. 2 is a schematic diagram showing a method for predicting location and behavior information according to the present invention
  • FIG. 3 is a schematic diagram of a location and behavior information processing module of the present invention.
  • Figure 4 is a schematic view showing the multi-cycle searching step of the present invention.
  • the first embodiment provides a location and behavior information prediction method, and provides a location and behavior information prediction server end;
  • the location and behavior information prediction method is used to predict the location where the user arrives in the future by mining the period of the user behavior;
  • the location and behavior information prediction method mainly includes the following steps:
  • the first step obtaining the location and behavior information of the mobile client carried by the user;
  • the second step classifying the location and behavior information to form a sequence of location and behavior information
  • the third step put different types of location and behavior information in different collections, the elements in each collection can be randomly accessed; dynamically allocate storage space, constantly update the location and behavior information in the collection; perform judgment conditions, evaluate each The periodic strength between the location and behavior information, obtaining multiple different periods;
  • Step 4 Predict the location where the mobile client arrives at a future point in time based on the different cycles obtained.
  • the first step further includes: after taking the location and behavior information in the database according to the main code, selecting the location in the specific time period and Behavioral information.
  • the second step further includes: classifying the location and behavior information in the specific time period; adding the category information generated in the classification process to each location and behavior information to obtain different types of location and behavior information sequences.
  • the third step further includes: setting a fixed relationship between the position in the data storage structure and the position element in the position and behavior information sequence; and obtaining the position and behavior information in the position and behavior information sequence by the fixed relationship
  • the corresponding elements are placed in each position in the data storage structure in a bit position; a fixed relationship between the element values and the cycle reliability is set, and each element in the data storage structure is traversed to determine a period with high reliability and saved.
  • the principle of traversing the data storage structure in the third step is that there is a set of all the different time intervals in which all the specific class events occur, and the periods in the time series exist in the set.
  • the data storage structure selection matrix because the matrix can better preserve such information, can initially remove the error period by creating a suspect periodic matrix, and can effectively improve the random access based on the characteristics of the two-dimensional array random access.
  • the efficiency of accessing matrix elements Based on the characteristics of time series period and the basic idea of matrix storage, a dynamic update matrix multi-cycle acquisition algorithm is constructed to further judge whether the support degree of the suspect period in the matrix is greater than the set support threshold. If the current suspect period is a real period, Then dynamically modify the elements in the matrix to reduce the number of algorithm judgments, improve the execution efficiency of the algorithm, and finally obtain all the periodic behaviors in the time series.
  • a matrix as shown below is first established, wherein the first row and the first column are time stamps of the occurrence of the behavior.
  • the elements in the matrix are the difference between the column timestamp and the row timestamp.
  • the matrix is a matrix that is actually processed by multi-periodic behavior, and includes true periodic behavior and non-authentic periodic behavior.
  • the true periodic behavior has a support degree greater than the support threshold set by the algorithm, such as Equation 1.
  • reality_happened_time(x) represents the actual number of occurrences of the cycle
  • theory_happened_time(x) represents the number of theoretical occurrences.
  • the line number of each element is the timestamp of the first occurrence
  • the value of the element is the period of the periodic behavior. Since the periodic behavior occurs in a fixed period, the timestamp of the theoretical occurrence can be obtained from the start time and the size of the period, and the number of occurrences is counted.
  • the timestamps are sorted from small to large. If the first two consecutive timestamps are the first row and the second column is hit in the matrix, it is recorded as the actual occurrence. The total number of hits is the actual number of occurrences. , corresponding to the reality_happened_time(x) in Equation 1.
  • the time series multi-cycle acquisition process in the present invention mainly includes the following steps:
  • the first step uses the gradual increase of the matrix row number to simulate the same kind (the relationship between the timestamp category and the row or column) The sequence in which the states occur in the time series;
  • Step 2 Simulate the time interval between any timestamps by row corresponding subtraction
  • the third step in the suspected periodic matrix, after obtaining the set containing all the time intervals, the traversal of the entire matrix is started, and the line numbers of the elements larger than zero are stored as the suspected period;
  • the fourth step obtaining a time stamp according to the currently obtained suspected cycle, and obtaining the number of theoretical occurrences;
  • Step 5 Sort the timestamps of the theory from large to small. If one of the successive timestamps is the first row and the second column is hit in the matrix, it is recorded as the first actual occurrence. The number of hits is the actual number of occurrences;
  • the sixth step the actual number of occurrences (statistical acquisition) is more than the theoretical number, the actual occurrence of support is obtained, and compared with the threshold, greater than true, less than the cycle and then traversed;
  • Step 7 After the true storage, the zero is returned to the matrix, and after the matrix is dynamically updated, the updated matrix is looped through;
  • Step 8 Output all the filtered element values as the exact period size and the element line number as the first occurrence time
  • the second embodiment provides a user location and behavior information recording method for recording a current location and behavior information of a user; and transmitting current location and behavior information to other receiving ends;
  • the user location recording method includes the following steps:
  • the first step the location record module collects current location and behavior information
  • Step 2 The location recording module transmits the collected current location and behavior information to the information sending module;
  • the third step the information sending module sends the current location and behavior information to the receiving end.
  • the location recording module continuously collects the current location and behavior information of the user at a fixed time interval, and transmits the collected current location and behavior information to the information sending module.
  • the third embodiment provides a mobile client, each mobile client having a unique number for the information sending module to send the current location and behavior information according to the unique number of the mobile client.
  • the mobile client includes at least: a location recording module and an information sending module;
  • the location recording module collects the current location and behavior information of the user, and transmits the current location and behavior information to the information sending module; the information sending module is configured to send the current location and behavior information outward.
  • a fourth embodiment provides a location and behavior information processing server, including at least: a location and behavior information processing module, a multi-cycle acquisition module, and a prediction module;
  • the location and behavior information processing module is configured to store the current location and behavior information of the user by each mobile client number; and obtain a specific time slot location and behavior information collection of the specific mobile client from all current location and behavior information, and Sorting the elements in the collection to form time series information;
  • the multi-cycle acquisition module is connected to the location and behavior information processing module for finding all periodic letters in the time series information interest;
  • the prediction module is coupled to the multi-cycle acquisition module for processing each cycle information to predict location and behavior information of the user at a future point in time.
  • the location and behavior information processing module includes an information processing module, an information acquisition module, a location classification module, and a timing module;
  • the information storage module stores the location and behavior information of each mobile client as a group according to the number;
  • the obtaining module is connected to the information storage module, and obtains specific time slot location and behavior information of any mobile client from the information storage module;
  • the location classification module is connected with the information acquiring module to classify the specific time period position and behavior information.
  • the timing module is connected to the location classification module to form a sequence of positional and behavioral information in chronological order in the same location and behavioral information in a fixed time unit.
  • the multi-cycle acquisition module is coupled to the location and behavior information processing module for receiving the location and behavior information sequence formed by the location and behavior information processing module; the multi-cycle acquisition module finds each location and behavior information sequence from each location and behavior information sequence. The position and behavior information of the cycle in which the cycle is reproduced determines the cycle information.
  • the prediction module is connected to the multi-cycle acquisition module, and predicts various types of locations that the mobile client arrives at a future time point from different time points according to the period information.
  • a fifth embodiment provides a location and behavior information prediction system, including at least: a mobile client and a location and behavior information prediction server;
  • the mobile client is easy to carry and is used to collect the current location and behavior information of the mobile client itself;
  • the mobile client is configured to send the collected current location and behavior information to the location and behavior information prediction server;
  • the location and behavior information prediction server is configured to receive current location and behavior information of the user sent by the mobile client, and confirm various behavior activity periods of the user according to the current location and behavior information; location and behavior information prediction server The end is used to predict the location and behavior of the user at a future point in time based on the current location and behavior information.
  • the number of mobile clients is no less than two; each mobile client collects the user's current location and behavior information at regular intervals.
  • the location and behavior information prediction server is used to predict the location and behavior information of future time points of multiple mobile clients according to different periods from different time points.
  • the GPS acquisition module of the user mobile client is started to run as a background process (generally, the boot is set to boot), for each The user's current GPS latitude and longitude coordinates are collected in 5 seconds.
  • the user uses the mobile phone number as the unique identifier (the main code in the database), and sends the latitude and longitude coordinates to the position and behavior information to predict the GPS coordinates in the location and behavior information processing module in the server. Storage module. (GPS)
  • the GPS coordinate storage module accepts the latitude and longitude coordinates sent by the client and saves it to the MySQL database.
  • the stay location acquisition module in the startup location and behavior information processing module acquires a stay point for each user, saves the entry time and departure time of the stay point, and saves the acquired stay point to the stay point table.
  • the user's day of stay is usually obtained in a day-level task. Activate the stay point clustering module after completing the day of stay.
  • the stay point clustering module reads the data of the stay points of each user for the past 8 weeks (including the stay points of the day), and clusters the stay points using the OPTICS clustering algorithm. After the clustering is completed, the category information is added to the stay points. . Activate the cycle acquisition module.
  • the periodic acquisition module sequentially reads the stay point of a certain category of a certain user, and simultaneously generates a time series of the user reaching the stay point by using the time granularity of the time, and uses the time series multi-cycle acquisition algorithm to obtain the period of the user reaching the stay point. , save the cycle information to the database. Activate the user periodic behavior prediction module.
  • the periodic behavior of each user is read in turn, and the next time point at which the user arrives at the stay point of the category is predicted based on the starting time point, the period size, and the staying point category.
  • the behavior collection module of the user mobile client is started to run as a background process (generally set to start-up), and the current user is collected every 5 seconds.
  • Behavior information establish a behavioral causal connectivity graph, determine the behavior node of the behavior information in the causal connectivity graph, the user uses the mobile phone number as the unique identifier, and sends the behavior node information to the behavior information processing module in the behavior information prediction server.
  • Node storage module Node storage module.
  • the node storage module accepts the behavior node information sent by the client and saves it to the MySQL database.
  • the node acquisition module in the behavior information processing module is configured to acquire a behavior node for each user, save the start time and end time of the behavior node, and save the acquired behavior node to the node table.
  • the behavior node of the user's day is usually obtained by a day-level task.
  • the node clustering module is activated after all behavior nodes are acquired on the day of completion.
  • the node clustering module reads the behavior node data of each user in the past 8 weeks (including the behavior nodes of the day), and clusters the behavior nodes using the OPTICS clustering algorithm, and adds the category information to the behavior nodes after the clustering is completed. Activate the cycle acquisition module.
  • the periodic acquisition module sequentially reads the behavior node of a certain category of a certain user, and generates a time series of the behavior node of the user by using the time series multi-cycle acquisition algorithm to acquire the period of the behavior node, and saves the period information. To the database. Activate the user periodic behavior prediction module.
  • the periodic behavior of each user is read in turn, and the next time point of the behavioral node in the causal connected graph is predicted based on the starting time point, the period size, and the behavior node category, that is, the behavior of the user is predicted.
  • the main research directions of periodic behavior are divided into time series period acquisition and periodic pattern acquisition.
  • the former obtains the potential period in the time series through the relevant algorithm.
  • the classical algorithm acquired in the time series period is the periodogram and the autocorrelation.
  • the periodogram is used alone, the period is inaccurate due to the spectral leakage problem, and it is used alone.
  • the time of autocorrelation there are other timestamp events, which lead to the correct cycle is not obvious.
  • Some researchers use the combination of cycle diagram and autocorrelation to effectively avoid the spectral leakage caused by the use of the periodic diagram alone. The cycle gets inaccurate.
  • the current time series period acquisition algorithm has mutual interference between periods when acquiring time series and multiple periods, resulting in inaccurate final results.
  • mining the user's periodic behavior needs to accurately obtain the user's change behavior at which stage of the current cycle, and the autocorrelation and cycle diagram can not mine this type of information.
  • the position and behavior information prediction system and method provided by the invention can effectively avoid the adverse effects such as the difference of the cycle length and the random fluctuation of the acquisition cycle precision, compared with the traditional use cycle diagram and autocorrelation and the combination of the two.
  • the impact while reducing the mutual interference between different periods in the multi-cycle acquisition process, can more accurately obtain the multi-periodic behavior in the time series, and solve the problem that the period obtained in the traditional method is not obvious;
  • the periodic behavior can effectively discover the regularity of the user's behavior in time, and can be combined with the recommendation system to produce technical benefits; the invention does not need to find the potential cycle or time series cycle, but through the random traversal of the data storage structure.
  • the invention can simultaneously acquire the time point of the periodic behavior, and solve the cycle diagram and the autocorrelation cannot predict the user periodicity
  • the problem at the point in time when the behavior occurs; the present invention is capable of passing
  • the traversal and judgment of the data structure accurately obtains which phase of the current cycle the user changes behavior, and uses the parameters such as the number of times of repeated occurrences to determine the judgment condition of each step of the traversal process, thereby excavating the traditional autocorrelation and the cycle diagram cannot be excavated. Precise cycle information.

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Abstract

A method for location and behavior information prediction, firstly acquiring the location and behavior information of the a mobile client and storing same, based on classification, in a data storage structure; traversing the data storage structure, circularly performing determination to obtain a cycle; and predicting, according to the cycle, customer location and behavior information. A user location and behavior information recording method for recording and sending the current location and behavior information, comprising: a location recording module collecting the current location and behavior information; the location recording module sending the collected current location and behavior information to an information transmitting module; and the information transmitting module externally sending the current location and behavior information. A mobile client for collecting and sending user location and behavior information. A location and behavior information prediction server for predicting location and behavior information. A location and behavior information prediction system, comprising a mobile client and a location and behavior information prediction server.

Description

一种位置和行为信息预测系统及方法Position and behavior information prediction system and method 技术领域Technical field
本发明涉及一种信息预测系统,特别是涉及一种位置和行为信息预测系统及方法。The present invention relates to an information prediction system, and more particularly to a position and behavior information prediction system and method.
背景技术Background technique
在LBSN(Location-based Social Network基于位置的社会网络)领域,用户行为模式的获取已经引起了广大学者的关注,并产生了较多的研究成果。其中,郑宇等科研人员基于用户行驶轨迹,通过挖掘用户的频繁移动序列,并建立概率转移模型,能够较好的预测用户下一个可能到达地点。总体来说,基于用户的行为模式能够有效提高预测用户未来到达地点的准确率,若用户的行为模式与推荐系统相结合,能够为用户提供更符合其生活习惯的推荐服务。In the field of LBSN (Location-based Social Network), the acquisition of user behavior patterns has attracted the attention of scholars and produced more research results. Among them, Zheng Yu and other researchers based on the user's driving trajectory, by mining the user's frequent movement sequence and establishing a probability transfer model, can better predict the user's next possible arrival location. In general, the user-based behavior pattern can effectively improve the accuracy of predicting the user's future arrival location. If the user's behavior pattern is combined with the recommendation system, the user can provide a recommendation service that is more in line with their living habits.
周期性行为是用户行为模式的一种,通过挖掘用户的周期性行为,能够有效的发现用户某一行为在时间上的规律性。目前,周期性行为的主要研究方向分为时间序列周期获取以及周期模式获取。前者通过相关算法获取时间序列中的潜在周期,时间序列周期获取的经典算法是周期图与自相关,在单独使用周期图时,其存在因谱泄漏问题导致周期获取不准确的情况,而单独使用自相关时,又存在因其它时间戳事件的发生,导致正确的周期不明显,一些科研人员使用周期图与自相关相结合的方法,能够有效的避免了在单独使用周期图时谱泄漏产生的周期获取不准确的问题。Periodic behavior is a kind of user behavior pattern. By mining the user's periodic behavior, it is possible to effectively discover the regularity of a user's behavior in time. At present, the main research directions of periodic behavior are divided into time series cycle acquisition and periodic mode acquisition. The former obtains the potential period in the time series through the relevant algorithm. The classical algorithm acquired in the time series period is the periodogram and the autocorrelation. When the periodogram is used alone, the period is inaccurate due to the spectral leakage problem, and it is used alone. At the time of autocorrelation, there are other timestamp events, which lead to the correct cycle is not obvious. Some researchers use the combination of cycle diagram and autocorrelation to effectively avoid the spectral leakage caused by the use of the periodic diagram alone. The cycle gets inaccurate.
综上,目前时间序列周期获取算法在获取时间序列多周期时均存在周期间互相干扰的情况,导致最终结果的不准确。而挖掘用户的周期性行为需要准确的获取用户在当前周期的哪个阶段发生改行为,自相关与周期图均不能挖掘该类信息。In summary, the current time series period acquisition algorithm has mutual interference between periods when acquiring time series and multiple periods, resulting in inaccurate final results. And mining the user's periodic behavior needs to accurately obtain the user's change behavior at which stage of the current cycle, and the autocorrelation and cycle diagram can not mine this type of information.
发明内容Summary of the invention
鉴于以上所述现有技术的缺点,本发明的目的在于提供一种位置和行为信息预测系统及方法,用于解决现有技术中周期获取准确度低、周期图的谱泄漏、自相关的周期不明显等问题。In view of the above-mentioned shortcomings of the prior art, an object of the present invention is to provide a position and behavior information prediction system and method for solving the cycle of low spectral acquisition accuracy, periodic spectrum spectral leakage and autocorrelation in the prior art. Not obvious and other issues.
为实现上述目的及其他相关目的,本发明提供一种位置和行为信息预测系统及方法。To achieve the above and other related objects, the present invention provides a location and behavior information prediction system and method.
优选地,位置和行为信息预测方法,用于通过挖掘用户行为的周期,预测用户未来到达的位置;位置和行为信息预测方法主要包括以下步骤: Preferably, the location and behavior information prediction method is used to predict the location of the user's future arrival by mining the period of the user behavior; the location and behavior information prediction method mainly includes the following steps:
第一步、分别获取移动客户端的位置和行为信息;The first step is to obtain the location and behavior information of the mobile client separately;
第二步、对获取的位置和行为信息分类,分别形成位置信息序列和行为信息序列;The second step is to classify the acquired location and behavior information to form a sequence of location information and a sequence of behavior information, respectively;
第三步、将不同类的位置和行为信息经过换算和处理后放在数据存储结构中,每个数据存储结构中的元素可随机访问;遍历所述数据存储结构,循环执行判断条件,选取多个不同的周期;In the third step, the position and behavior information of different classes are converted and processed and placed in the data storage structure, and the elements in each data storage structure can be randomly accessed; the data storage structure is traversed, the judgment conditions are cyclically executed, and multiple selections are performed. a different cycle;
第四步、根据获得的周期,预测移动客户端的位置和行为信息。The fourth step is to predict the location and behavior information of the mobile client according to the obtained period.
优选地,第一步中还包括:确定一个特定时段;从接收到的位置和行为信息中选取特定时段中的位置和行为信息。Preferably, the first step further comprises: determining a specific time period; and selecting location and behavior information in the specific time period from the received location and behavior information.
优选地,第二步中还包括:对特定时段中的位置和行为信息进行分类;将分类过程中产生的类别信息加入每条位置和行为信息中,按照时间顺序生成不同类的位置和行为信息序列。Preferably, the second step further comprises: classifying the location and behavior information in the specific time period; adding the category information generated in the classification process to each location and behavior information, and generating different types of location and behavior information according to the chronological order sequence.
优选地,第三步中还包括:设定的数据存储结构中位置和该位置元素之间的固定关系;按照固定关系求得元素值,随机遍历数据存储结构中各个元素;根据设定的判定关系筛选出准确的周期并保存。Preferably, the third step further comprises: setting a fixed relationship between the location in the data storage structure and the location element; determining the element value according to the fixed relationship, and randomly traversing each element in the data storage structure; determining according to the setting Relationships filter out accurate cycles and save.
优选地,一种用户位置和行为信息记录方法,用于记录用户的当前位置和行为信息并向其他接收端发送当前位置和行为信息;其特征在于,包括以下步骤:Preferably, a user location and behavior information recording method is used for recording current location and behavior information of the user and transmitting current location and behavior information to other receiving ends; and the method comprises the following steps:
第一步:位置记录模块采集当前位置和行为信息;The first step: the location record module collects current location and behavior information;
第二步:位置记录模块将采集到的当前位置和行为信息传送至信息发送模块;Step 2: The location recording module transmits the collected current location and behavior information to the information sending module;
第三步:信息发送模块将当前位置和行为信息向外发送。The third step: the information sending module sends the current location and behavior information to the outside.
优选地,位置记录模块采集用户当前位置和行为信息,并将采集的当前位置和行为信息传送至信息发送模块。Preferably, the location recording module collects the current location and behavior information of the user, and transmits the collected current location and behavior information to the information sending module.
优选地,一种移动客户端,其特征在于,包括:Preferably, a mobile client, comprising:
位置记录模块,采集用户的当前位置和行为信息,A location recording module that collects the current location and behavior information of the user.
信息发送模块,与位置记录模块通信;用于向外发送位置记录模块采集的当前位置和行为信息。The information sending module communicates with the location recording module; and is configured to send the current location and behavior information collected by the location recording module.
优选地,一种位置和行为信息预测服务器端包括:位置和行为信息处理模块.多周期获取模块和预测模块;Preferably, a location and behavior information prediction server includes: a location and behavior information processing module, a multi-cycle acquisition module, and a prediction module;
优选地,位置和行为信息处理模块,用于接收并存储用户的当前位置和行为信息,并从所有当前位置和行为信息中获取特定移动客户端的特定时段位置和行为信息的集合,形成时间序列信息; Preferably, the location and behavior information processing module is configured to receive and store the current location and behavior information of the user, and obtain a set of specific time slot locations and behavior information of the specific mobile client from all current location and behavior information to form time series information. ;
优选地,多周期获取模块与位置和行为信息处理模块通信,用于找出时间序列信息中的所有周期;Preferably, the multi-cycle acquisition module is in communication with the location and behavior information processing module for finding all periods in the time series information;
优选地,预测模块与多周期获取模块通信,用于预测用户在未来时间点的位置和行为信息。Preferably, the prediction module is in communication with the multi-cycle acquisition module for predicting location and behavior information of the user at a future point in time.
优选地,位置和行为信息处理模块包括Preferably, the location and behavior information processing module comprises
信息存储模块,用于存储移动客户端发送的当前位置和行为信息;An information storage module, configured to store current location and behavior information sent by the mobile client;
信息获取模块,该模块与信息存储模块通信,用于获取当前位置和行为信息;An information acquisition module, the module is in communication with the information storage module, and is configured to obtain current location and behavior information;
位置分类模块,该模块与信息获取模块通信,用于获取当前位置和行为信息;a location classification module, the module is in communication with the information acquisition module, and is configured to obtain current location and behavior information;
时序模块,该模块与位置分类模块通信,用于生成形成位置和行为信息序列。A timing module that communicates with the location classification module for generating a sequence of formation location and behavior information.
优选地,多周期获取模块与位置和行为信息处理模块通信,接收位置和行为信息序列;多周期获取模块用于确定多个周期。Preferably, the multi-cycle acquisition module communicates with the location and behavior information processing module to receive the location and behavior information sequence; the multi-cycle acquisition module is configured to determine a plurality of cycles.
优选地,预测模块与多周期获取模块通信,根据周期预测移动客户端的位置。Preferably, the prediction module communicates with the multi-cycle acquisition module to predict the location of the mobile client according to the period.
优选地,一种位置和行为信息预测系统包括移动客户端以及位置和行为信息预测服务器端;Preferably, a location and behavior information prediction system includes a mobile client and a location and behavior information prediction server;
优选地,移动客户端为多个,每个移动客户端连续采集用户的当前位置和行为信息。Preferably, there are multiple mobile clients, and each mobile client continuously collects current location and behavior information of the user.
优选地,位置和行为信息预测服务器端用于从不同的时间点出发,对移动客户端未来时间点的位置和行为信息进行预测。Preferably, the location and behavior information prediction server is configured to predict the location and behavior information of the mobile client at a future time point from different time points.
如上所述,本发明提供的一种位置和行为信息预测系统及方法,具有以下有益效果:As described above, the position and behavior information prediction system and method provided by the present invention have the following beneficial effects:
本发明提供的一种位置和行为信息预测系统及方法,与传统的使用周期图和自相关以及二者相结合的方法相比,本发明能有效规避如周期长短差异的不利影响以及随机起伏对获取周期精度的影响,同时降低了多周期获取过程中,不同周期之间的相互干扰作用,能够更加准确的获取时间序列中的多周期性行为,解决了传统方法中获得的周期不明显的问题;通过挖掘用户的周期性行为,能够有效的发现用户某一行为在时间上的规律性,可以与推荐系统结合产生技术效益。本发明提供的位置和行为信息预测方法不用通过寻找潜在周期或时间序列周期,而是通过数据存储结构的随机遍历和判断,筛选精度更高的周期信息,降低了因谱泄漏问题对周期获取进程的不利影响。本发明能够通过对数据结构的遍历与判断准确的获取用户在当前周期的哪个阶段发生改行为,并利用时间重复发生次数等参数确定每一步遍历过程的判断条件,从而挖掘出传统的自相关与周期图无法挖掘出的精确周期信息。本发明同时能获取周期性行为的发生时间点,解决了周期图与自相关无法预测用户周期性行为发生时间 点的问题。The present invention provides a position and behavior information prediction system and method, and the present invention can effectively avoid adverse effects such as cycle length differences and random fluctuations as compared with the conventional use cycle diagram and autocorrelation and the combination of the two. Obtaining the influence of cycle precision, and reducing the mutual interference between different cycles in the multi-cycle acquisition process, can more accurately acquire the multi-periodic behavior in the time series, and solve the problem that the cycle obtained in the traditional method is not obvious. By mining the user's periodic behavior, it is possible to effectively discover the regularity of a user's behavior in time, and can combine with the recommendation system to produce technical benefits. The position and behavior information prediction method provided by the invention does not need to search for a potential period or a time series period, but through random traversal and judgment of the data storage structure, and filters the period information with higher precision, thereby reducing the period of the spectrum acquisition process due to the spectrum leakage problem. The adverse effects. The invention can accurately obtain the user's behavior in the current cycle by traversing and judging the data structure, and determine the judgment condition of each step traversal process by using parameters such as the number of times of repeated occurrences, thereby excavating the traditional autocorrelation and The exact period information that the periodogram cannot mine. The invention can simultaneously acquire the occurrence time of the periodic behavior, and solves the problem that the periodic graph and the autocorrelation cannot predict the periodic behavior of the user. Point problem.
附图说明DRAWINGS
图1显示为本发明的位置和行为信息预测系统示意图;1 is a schematic diagram of a position and behavior information prediction system of the present invention;
图2显示为本发明的位置和行为信息预测方法示意图;2 is a schematic diagram showing a method for predicting location and behavior information according to the present invention;
图3显示为本发明的位置和行为信息处理模块示意图;3 is a schematic diagram of a location and behavior information processing module of the present invention;
图4显示为本发明的多周期寻找步骤示意图。Figure 4 is a schematic view showing the multi-cycle searching step of the present invention.
具体实施方式detailed description
以下由特定的具体实施例说明本发明的实施方式,熟悉此技术的人士可由本说明书所揭露的内容轻易地了解本发明的其他优点及功效。The embodiments of the present invention are described below by way of specific embodiments, and those skilled in the art can readily understand other advantages and functions of the present invention from the disclosure.
请参阅图1至图4。须知,本说明书所附图式所绘示的结构,均仅用以配合说明书所揭示的内容,以供熟悉此技术的人士了解与阅读,并非用以限定本发明可实施的限定条件,故不具技术上的实质意义,任何结构的修饰、比例关系的改变或大小的调整,在不影响本实用新型所能产生的功效及所能达成的目的下,均应仍落在本实用新型所揭示的技术内容所能涵盖的范围内。同时,本说明书中所引用的如“上”、“下”、“左”、“右”、“中间”及“一”等的用语,亦仅为便于叙述的明了,而非用以限定本发明可实施的范围,其相对关系的改变或调整,在无实质变更技术内容下,当亦视为本发明可实施的范畴。Please refer to Figure 1 to Figure 4. It is to be understood that the structures of the present invention are intended to be in accordance with the disclosure of the specification, and are not intended to limit the scope of the invention. The technical significance, the modification of any structure, the change of the proportional relationship or the adjustment of the size, without affecting the effects and the achievable purposes of the present invention, should still fall within the scope of the present invention. Within the scope of the technical content. In the meantime, the terms "upper", "lower", "left", "right", "intermediate" and "one" as used in this specification are also for convenience of description, and are not intended to limit the present. The scope of the invention can be implemented, and the change or adjustment of the relative relationship is considered to be within the scope of the invention.
第一个实施例提供一种位置和行为信息预测方法,提供位置和行为信息预测服务器端;The first embodiment provides a location and behavior information prediction method, and provides a location and behavior information prediction server end;
如图2所示,位置和行为信息预测方法,用于通过挖掘用户行为的周期,预测用户未来到达的位置;位置和行为信息预测方法主要包括以下步骤:As shown in FIG. 2, the location and behavior information prediction method is used to predict the location where the user arrives in the future by mining the period of the user behavior; the location and behavior information prediction method mainly includes the following steps:
第一步:获取用户携带的移动客户端的位置和行为信息;The first step: obtaining the location and behavior information of the mobile client carried by the user;
第二步:对位置和行为信息进行分类,形成位置和行为信息序列;The second step: classifying the location and behavior information to form a sequence of location and behavior information;
第三步:将不同类的位置和行为信息放在不同的集合中,每个集合中的元素可随机访问;动态分配存储空间,不断更新集合中的位置和行为信息;执行判断条件,评估各位置和行为信息之间存在的周期性强弱,获得多个不同的周期;The third step: put different types of location and behavior information in different collections, the elements in each collection can be randomly accessed; dynamically allocate storage space, constantly update the location and behavior information in the collection; perform judgment conditions, evaluate each The periodic strength between the location and behavior information, obtaining multiple different periods;
第四步:根据获得的不同的周期,预测移动客户端在未来时间点到达的位置。Step 4: Predict the location where the mobile client arrives at a future point in time based on the different cycles obtained.
第一步中还包括:按照主码取出数据库中位置和行为信息后,选取特定时段中的位置和 行为信息。The first step further includes: after taking the location and behavior information in the database according to the main code, selecting the location in the specific time period and Behavioral information.
第二步中还包括:对所述特定时段中的位置和行为信息进行分类;将分类过程中产生的类别信息加入每条位置和行为信息中,得到不同类的位置和行为信息序列。The second step further includes: classifying the location and behavior information in the specific time period; adding the category information generated in the classification process to each location and behavior information to obtain different types of location and behavior information sequences.
第三步中还包括:将位置和行为信息序列中,设定的数据存储结构中位置和该位置元素之间的固定关系;将位置和行为信息序列中位置和行为信息通过该固定关系求得对应元素,按位放置于数据存储结构中的各个位置中;设定元素值与周期可靠性的固定关系,遍历判断数据存储结构中的各个元素,以确定可靠性较大的周期并保存。The third step further includes: setting a fixed relationship between the position in the data storage structure and the position element in the position and behavior information sequence; and obtaining the position and behavior information in the position and behavior information sequence by the fixed relationship The corresponding elements are placed in each position in the data storage structure in a bit position; a fixed relationship between the element values and the cycle reliability is set, and each element in the data storage structure is traversed to determine a period with high reliability and saved.
第三步中遍历数据存储结构的原理为:存在一个包含所有特定类别事件发生的所有不同的时间间隔的集合,时间序列中的周期存在于该集合中。本实施例中,数据存储结构选择矩阵,因为矩阵能够较好的保存这类信息,通过创建疑似周期矩阵,能够初步的去除错误周期,并且基于二维数组随机访问的特点,能够更有效的提高访问矩阵元素的效率。基于时间序列周期的特点以及矩阵存储的基本思想,构建动态更新矩阵多周期获取算法,通过进一步判断矩阵中的疑似周期的支持度是否大于所设的支持度阈值,如果当前疑似周期是真实周期,则动态修改矩阵中的元素以减少算法判断次数,提高算法的执行效率,最终获取该时间序列中的所有周期性行为。The principle of traversing the data storage structure in the third step is that there is a set of all the different time intervals in which all the specific class events occur, and the periods in the time series exist in the set. In this embodiment, the data storage structure selection matrix, because the matrix can better preserve such information, can initially remove the error period by creating a suspect periodic matrix, and can effectively improve the random access based on the characteristics of the two-dimensional array random access. The efficiency of accessing matrix elements. Based on the characteristics of time series period and the basic idea of matrix storage, a dynamic update matrix multi-cycle acquisition algorithm is constructed to further judge whether the support degree of the suspect period in the matrix is greater than the set support threshold. If the current suspect period is a real period, Then dynamically modify the elements in the matrix to reduce the number of algorithm judgments, improve the execution efficiency of the algorithm, and finally obtain all the periodic behaviors in the time series.
根据周期性行为总是以相同的时间间隔发生的实际情况,以及矩阵随机存取的特性,首先建立如下所示的矩阵,其中第一行与第一列为该行为的发生时间戳。矩阵中的元素为列时间戳与行时间戳的差。According to the actual situation in which the periodic behavior always occurs at the same time interval, and the characteristics of the matrix random access, a matrix as shown below is first established, wherein the first row and the first column are time stamps of the occurrence of the behavior. The elements in the matrix are the difference between the column timestamp and the row timestamp.
该矩阵为多周期性行为实际处理的矩阵,其中包含着真实周期性行为与非真实周期性行为,真实周期性行为其发生的支持度大于算法所设置的支持度阈值,如公式1。The matrix is a matrix that is actually processed by multi-periodic behavior, and includes true periodic behavior and non-authentic periodic behavior. The true periodic behavior has a support degree greater than the support threshold set by the algorithm, such as Equation 1.
公式1Formula 1
其中reality_happened_time(x)代表该周期实际发生次数,theory_happened_time(x)代表理论发生次数。在矩阵中,每个元素的行号为第一次发生的时间戳,元素的值为该周期性行为的周期大小。因周期性行为以固定周期发生,则可由开始发生时间以及周期大小得到理论发生的时间戳,并统计其发生的次数。讲理论发生时间戳从小到大排序,若以其中连续的两个时间戳第一个为行且第二个为列能够在矩阵中命中,则记为实际发生,总的命中次数为实际发生次数,对应公式1中的reality_happened_time(x)。Where reality_happened_time(x) represents the actual number of occurrences of the cycle, and theory_happened_time(x) represents the number of theoretical occurrences. In the matrix, the line number of each element is the timestamp of the first occurrence, and the value of the element is the period of the periodic behavior. Since the periodic behavior occurs in a fixed period, the timestamp of the theoretical occurrence can be obtained from the start time and the size of the period, and the number of occurrences is counted. When the theory occurs, the timestamps are sorted from small to large. If the first two consecutive timestamps are the first row and the second column is hit in the matrix, it is recorded as the actual occurrence. The total number of hits is the actual number of occurrences. , corresponding to the reality_happened_time(x) in Equation 1.
如图4所示,本发明中的时间序列多周期获取过程主要包括下列步骤:As shown in FIG. 4, the time series multi-cycle acquisition process in the present invention mainly includes the following steps:
第一步:该法利用矩阵行列号逐渐递增的特性模拟同类(时间戳类别与行或者列的关系) 时间序列中,状态发生的先后顺序;The first step: the method uses the gradual increase of the matrix row number to simulate the same kind (the relationship between the timestamp category and the row or column) The sequence in which the states occur in the time series;
第二步:又以行对应减列模拟任何时间戳之间的时间间隔;Step 2: Simulate the time interval between any timestamps by row corresponding subtraction;
第三步:当疑似周期矩阵中,得到包含所有时间间隔的集合后,开始对整个矩阵进行遍历,将大于零的元素的行号存储为疑似周期;The third step: in the suspected periodic matrix, after obtaining the set containing all the time intervals, the traversal of the entire matrix is started, and the line numbers of the elements larger than zero are stored as the suspected period;
第四步:根据当前得到的疑似周期得出时间戳,得出理论发生次数;The fourth step: obtaining a time stamp according to the currently obtained suspected cycle, and obtaining the number of theoretical occurrences;
第五步:将理论发生时间戳由大到小排序,若以其中连续的连个时间戳第一个为行且第二个为列能够在矩阵中命中,记为第一次实际发生,总命中次数为实际发生次数;Step 5: Sort the timestamps of the theory from large to small. If one of the successive timestamps is the first row and the second column is hit in the matrix, it is recorded as the first actual occurrence. The number of hits is the actual number of occurrences;
第六步:实际发生数(统计获得)比理论发生数,获得实际发生支持度,并与阈值比较,大于为真,小于循环再遍历;The sixth step: the actual number of occurrences (statistical acquisition) is more than the theoretical number, the actual occurrence of support is obtained, and compared with the threshold, greater than true, less than the cycle and then traversed;
第七步:遇真存储后,将该处归零,动态更新矩阵后,循环遍历更新过的矩阵;Step 7: After the true storage, the zero is returned to the matrix, and after the matrix is dynamically updated, the updated matrix is looped through;
第八步:输出所有筛选出的元素值为准确周期的大小和元素行号作为首次发生时间;Step 8: Output all the filtered element values as the exact period size and the element line number as the first occurrence time;
如图1所示,第二种实施例提供一种用户位置和行为信息记录方法,用于记录用户的当前位置和行为信息;并向其他接收端发送当前位置和行为信息;As shown in FIG. 1, the second embodiment provides a user location and behavior information recording method for recording a current location and behavior information of a user; and transmitting current location and behavior information to other receiving ends;
用户位置记录方法包括以下步骤:The user location recording method includes the following steps:
第一步:位置记录模块采集当前位置和行为信息;The first step: the location record module collects current location and behavior information;
第二步:位置记录模块将采集到的当前位置和行为信息传送至信息发送模块;Step 2: The location recording module transmits the collected current location and behavior information to the information sending module;
第三步:信息发送模块将当前位置和行为信息发送至接收端。The third step: the information sending module sends the current location and behavior information to the receiving end.
位置记录模块按照固定的时间间隔连续采集用户当前位置和行为信息,并将采集的当前位置和行为信息传送至信息发送模块。The location recording module continuously collects the current location and behavior information of the user at a fixed time interval, and transmits the collected current location and behavior information to the information sending module.
第三种实施例提供一种移动客户端,每个移动客户端都有唯一编号,用于信息发送模块按移动客户端的唯一编号发送当前位置和行为信息。The third embodiment provides a mobile client, each mobile client having a unique number for the information sending module to send the current location and behavior information according to the unique number of the mobile client.
如图1所示,移动客户端,至少包括:位置记录模块、信息发送模块;As shown in FIG. 1 , the mobile client includes at least: a location recording module and an information sending module;
位置记录模块采集用户的当前位置和行为信息,并将当前位置和行为信息传送至信息发送模块;信息发送模块用于向外发送当前位置和行为信息。The location recording module collects the current location and behavior information of the user, and transmits the current location and behavior information to the information sending module; the information sending module is configured to send the current location and behavior information outward.
如图1所示,第四个实施例中提供一种位置和行为信息处理服务器端,至少包括:位置和行为信息处理模块、多周期获取模块和预测模块;As shown in FIG. 1 , a fourth embodiment provides a location and behavior information processing server, including at least: a location and behavior information processing module, a multi-cycle acquisition module, and a prediction module;
位置和行为信息处理模块用于按各移动客户端编号,存储用户的当前位置和行为信息;并从所有当前位置和行为信息中获取特定移动客户端的特定时段位置和行为信息的集合,并将该集合中的元素分类排序,形成时间序列信息;The location and behavior information processing module is configured to store the current location and behavior information of the user by each mobile client number; and obtain a specific time slot location and behavior information collection of the specific mobile client from all current location and behavior information, and Sorting the elements in the collection to form time series information;
多周期获取模块与位置和行为信息处理模块连接,用于找出时间序列信息中的所有周期信 息;The multi-cycle acquisition module is connected to the location and behavior information processing module for finding all periodic letters in the time series information interest;
预测模块与所述多周期获取模块连接,用于处理各周期信息,以预测用户在未来时间点的位置和行为信息。The prediction module is coupled to the multi-cycle acquisition module for processing each cycle information to predict location and behavior information of the user at a future point in time.
如图3所示,位置和行为信息处理模块包括信息处理模块、信息获取模块、位置分类模块和时序模块;信息存储模块按照编号,将每个移动客户端的位置和行为信息存储为一组;信息获取模块与信息存储模块连接,从信息存储模块中获得任一移动客户端的特定时段位置和行为信息;位置分类模块与信息获取模块连接,将特定时段位置和行为信息分类。时序模块与位置分类模块连接,按照固定的时间单位,在同类位置和行为信息按照时间顺序形成位置和行为信息序列。As shown in FIG. 3, the location and behavior information processing module includes an information processing module, an information acquisition module, a location classification module, and a timing module; the information storage module stores the location and behavior information of each mobile client as a group according to the number; The obtaining module is connected to the information storage module, and obtains specific time slot location and behavior information of any mobile client from the information storage module; the location classification module is connected with the information acquiring module to classify the specific time period position and behavior information. The timing module is connected to the location classification module to form a sequence of positional and behavioral information in chronological order in the same location and behavioral information in a fixed time unit.
多周期获取模块与位置和行为信息处理模块连接,用于接收位置和行为信息处理模块形成的位置和行为信息序列;多周期获取模块从各位置和行为信息序列中找出各位置和行为信息序列中的周期重现的位置和行为信息,确定周期信息。The multi-cycle acquisition module is coupled to the location and behavior information processing module for receiving the location and behavior information sequence formed by the location and behavior information processing module; the multi-cycle acquisition module finds each location and behavior information sequence from each location and behavior information sequence. The position and behavior information of the cycle in which the cycle is reproduced determines the cycle information.
预测模块与所述多周期获取模块连接,根据所述周期信息,从不同时间点预测移动客户端在未来时间点到达的各类位置。The prediction module is connected to the multi-cycle acquisition module, and predicts various types of locations that the mobile client arrives at a future time point from different time points according to the period information.
第五种实施例提供一种位置和行为信息预测系统,至少包括:移动客户端和位置和行为信息预测服务器端;A fifth embodiment provides a location and behavior information prediction system, including at least: a mobile client and a location and behavior information prediction server;
移动客户端便于携带,用于采集移动客户端自身的当前位置和行为信息;The mobile client is easy to carry and is used to collect the current location and behavior information of the mobile client itself;
移动客户端用于将采集的当前位置和行为信息发送至位置和行为信息预测服务器端;The mobile client is configured to send the collected current location and behavior information to the location and behavior information prediction server;
位置和行为信息预测服务器端,用于接收所述移动客户端发来的用户当前位置和行为信息,并将根据该当前位置和行为信息确认用户的各类行为活动周期;位置和行为信息预测服务器端用于根据当前位置和行为信息,对用户在未来的时间点到达的位置和发生的行为进行预测。The location and behavior information prediction server is configured to receive current location and behavior information of the user sent by the mobile client, and confirm various behavior activity periods of the user according to the current location and behavior information; location and behavior information prediction server The end is used to predict the location and behavior of the user at a future point in time based on the current location and behavior information.
移动客户端数量不少于两个;每个移动客户端按照固定的时间间隔采集用户的当前位置和行为信息。The number of mobile clients is no less than two; each mobile client collects the user's current location and behavior information at regular intervals.
位置和行为信息预测服务器端用于从不同的时间点出发,根据不同的周期,对多个移动客户端未来时间点的位置和行为信息进行预测。The location and behavior information prediction server is used to predict the location and behavior information of future time points of multiple mobile clients according to different periods from different time points.
在第五个实施例中,本发明提供的位置和行为信息预测系统及方法(GPS坐标及)中,启动用户移动客户端的GPS采集模块作为后台进程运行(一般开机设为开机启动),以每5秒采集一次用户的当前GPS经纬度坐标,用户以手机号作为唯一标识(数据库中的主码),并讲经纬度坐标发送至位置和行为信息预测服务器端中位置和行为信息处理模块中的GPS坐标 存储模块。(GPS)In the fifth embodiment, in the location and behavior information prediction system and method (GPS coordinates and) provided by the present invention, the GPS acquisition module of the user mobile client is started to run as a background process (generally, the boot is set to boot), for each The user's current GPS latitude and longitude coordinates are collected in 5 seconds. The user uses the mobile phone number as the unique identifier (the main code in the database), and sends the latitude and longitude coordinates to the position and behavior information to predict the GPS coordinates in the location and behavior information processing module in the server. Storage module. (GPS)
GPS坐标存储模块接受客户端发送过来的经纬度坐标,并将其保存至MySQL数据库中。The GPS coordinate storage module accepts the latitude and longitude coordinates sent by the client and saves it to the MySQL database.
启动位置和行为信息处理模块中的逗留点获取模块,对每一个用户分别获取逗留点,保存逗留点的进入时间以及离开时间,并将获取到的逗留点保存至逗留点表。通常以天级别的任务获取用户当天的逗留点。完成当天逗留点获取后激活逗留点聚类模块。The stay location acquisition module in the startup location and behavior information processing module acquires a stay point for each user, saves the entry time and departure time of the stay point, and saves the acquired stay point to the stay point table. The user's day of stay is usually obtained in a day-level task. Activate the stay point clustering module after completing the day of stay.
逗留点聚类模块读取每个用户过去8周的逗留点数据(包含当天的逗留点),并对这些逗留点使用OPTICS聚类算法进行聚类,聚类完成后给逗留点加上类别信息。激活周期获取模块。The stay point clustering module reads the data of the stay points of each user for the past 8 weeks (including the stay points of the day), and clusters the stay points using the OPTICS clustering algorithm. After the clustering is completed, the category information is added to the stay points. . Activate the cycle acquisition module.
周期获取模块依次读取某个用户的某个类别的逗留点,同时以天为时间粒度生成用户到达该类逗留点的时间序列,使用时间序列多周期获取算法获取用户到达该类逗留点的周期,将周期信息保存至数据库。激活用户周期性行为预测模块。The periodic acquisition module sequentially reads the stay point of a certain category of a certain user, and simultaneously generates a time series of the user reaching the stay point by using the time granularity of the time, and uses the time series multi-cycle acquisition algorithm to obtain the period of the user reaching the stay point. , save the cycle information to the database. Activate the user periodic behavior prediction module.
依次读取每个用户的周期性行为,并基于起始时间点、周期大小和逗留点类别预测用户到达该类别逗留点的下一个时间点。The periodic behavior of each user is read in turn, and the next time point at which the user arrives at the stay point of the category is predicted based on the starting time point, the period size, and the staying point category.
第六个实施例中,本发明提供的位置和行为信息预测系统及方法中,启动用户移动客户端的行为采集模块作为后台进程运行(一般设置为开机启动),以每5秒采集一次用户的当前行为信息,建立行为因果连通图,确定当天行为信息在因果连通图中所在的行为节点,用户以手机号作为唯一标识,并将行为节点信息发送至行为信息预测服务器端中行为信息处理模块中的节点存储模块。In the sixth embodiment, in the location and behavior information prediction system and method provided by the present invention, the behavior collection module of the user mobile client is started to run as a background process (generally set to start-up), and the current user is collected every 5 seconds. Behavior information, establish a behavioral causal connectivity graph, determine the behavior node of the behavior information in the causal connectivity graph, the user uses the mobile phone number as the unique identifier, and sends the behavior node information to the behavior information processing module in the behavior information prediction server. Node storage module.
节点存储模块接受客户端发送过来的行为节点信息,并将其保存至MySQL数据库中。The node storage module accepts the behavior node information sent by the client and saves it to the MySQL database.
启动行为信息处理模块中的节点获取模块,对每一个用户分别获取行为节点,保存行为节点的开始时间以及结束时间,并将获取到的行为节点保存至节点表。通常以天级别的任务获取用户当天的行为节点。完成当天所有行为节点获取后激活节点聚类模块。The node acquisition module in the behavior information processing module is configured to acquire a behavior node for each user, save the start time and end time of the behavior node, and save the acquired behavior node to the node table. The behavior node of the user's day is usually obtained by a day-level task. The node clustering module is activated after all behavior nodes are acquired on the day of completion.
节点聚类模块读取每个用户过去8周的行为节点数据(包含当天的行为节点),并对这些行为节点使用OPTICS聚类算法进行聚类,聚类完成后给行为节点加上类别信息。激活周期获取模块。The node clustering module reads the behavior node data of each user in the past 8 weeks (including the behavior nodes of the day), and clusters the behavior nodes using the OPTICS clustering algorithm, and adds the category information to the behavior nodes after the clustering is completed. Activate the cycle acquisition module.
周期获取模块依次读取某个用户的某个类别的行为节点,同时以天为时间粒度生成用户的行为节点的时间序列,使用时间序列多周期获取算法获取该行为节点的周期,将周期信息保存至数据库。激活用户周期性行为预测模块。The periodic acquisition module sequentially reads the behavior node of a certain category of a certain user, and generates a time series of the behavior node of the user by using the time series multi-cycle acquisition algorithm to acquire the period of the behavior node, and saves the period information. To the database. Activate the user periodic behavior prediction module.
依次读取每个用户的周期性行为,并基于起始时间点、周期大小和行为节点类别预测用户的行为因果连通图中同类行为节点出现的下一个时间点,即预测用户的行为。 The periodic behavior of each user is read in turn, and the next time point of the behavioral node in the causal connected graph is predicted based on the starting time point, the period size, and the behavior node category, that is, the behavior of the user is predicted.
现有技术中,周期性行为的主要研究方向分为时间序列周期获取以及周期模式获取。前者通过相关算法获取时间序列中的潜在周期,时间序列周期获取的经典算法是周期图与自相关,在单独使用周期图时,其存在因谱泄漏问题导致周期获取不准确的情况,而单独使用自相关时,又存在因其它时间戳事件的发生,导致正确的周期不明显,一些科研人员使用周期图与自相关相结合的方法,能够有效的避免了在单独使用周期图时谱泄漏产生的周期获取不准确的问题。In the prior art, the main research directions of periodic behavior are divided into time series period acquisition and periodic pattern acquisition. The former obtains the potential period in the time series through the relevant algorithm. The classical algorithm acquired in the time series period is the periodogram and the autocorrelation. When the periodogram is used alone, the period is inaccurate due to the spectral leakage problem, and it is used alone. At the time of autocorrelation, there are other timestamp events, which lead to the correct cycle is not obvious. Some researchers use the combination of cycle diagram and autocorrelation to effectively avoid the spectral leakage caused by the use of the periodic diagram alone. The cycle gets inaccurate.
综上,目前时间序列周期获取算法在获取时间序列多周期时均存在周期间互相干扰的情况,导致最终结果的不准确。而挖掘用户的周期性行为需要准确的获取用户在当前周期的哪个阶段发生改行为,自相关与周期图均不能挖掘该类信息。本发明提供的位置和行为信息预测系统及方法,与传统的使用周期图和自相关以及二者相结合的方法相比,能有效规避如周期长短差异的不利影响以及随机起伏对获取周期精度的影响,同时降低了多周期获取过程中,不同周期之间的相互干扰作用,能够更加准确的获取时间序列中的多周期性行为,解决了传统方法中获得的周期不明显的问题;通过挖掘用户的周期性行为,能够有效的发现用户某一行为在时间上的规律性,可以与推荐系统结合产生技术效益;本发明不用通过寻找潜在周期或时间序列周期,而是通过数据存储结构的随机遍历和判断,筛选精度更高的周期信息,降低了因谱泄漏问题对周期获取进程的不利影响;本发明同时能获取周期性行为的发生时间点,解决了周期图与自相关无法预测用户周期性行为发生时间点的问题;本发明能够通过对数据结构的遍历与判断准确的获取用户在当前周期的哪个阶段发生改行为,并利用时间重复发生次数等参数确定每一步遍历过程的判断条件,从而挖掘出传统的自相关与周期图无法挖掘出的精确周期信息。In summary, the current time series period acquisition algorithm has mutual interference between periods when acquiring time series and multiple periods, resulting in inaccurate final results. And mining the user's periodic behavior needs to accurately obtain the user's change behavior at which stage of the current cycle, and the autocorrelation and cycle diagram can not mine this type of information. The position and behavior information prediction system and method provided by the invention can effectively avoid the adverse effects such as the difference of the cycle length and the random fluctuation of the acquisition cycle precision, compared with the traditional use cycle diagram and autocorrelation and the combination of the two. The impact, while reducing the mutual interference between different periods in the multi-cycle acquisition process, can more accurately obtain the multi-periodic behavior in the time series, and solve the problem that the period obtained in the traditional method is not obvious; The periodic behavior can effectively discover the regularity of the user's behavior in time, and can be combined with the recommendation system to produce technical benefits; the invention does not need to find the potential cycle or time series cycle, but through the random traversal of the data storage structure. And judging, filtering the cycle information with higher precision, reducing the adverse effect of the spectral leakage problem on the cycle acquisition process; the invention can simultaneously acquire the time point of the periodic behavior, and solve the cycle diagram and the autocorrelation cannot predict the user periodicity The problem at the point in time when the behavior occurs; the present invention is capable of passing The traversal and judgment of the data structure accurately obtains which phase of the current cycle the user changes behavior, and uses the parameters such as the number of times of repeated occurrences to determine the judgment condition of each step of the traversal process, thereby excavating the traditional autocorrelation and the cycle diagram cannot be excavated. Precise cycle information.
上述实施例仅例示性说明本实用新型的原理及其功效,而非用于限制本实用新型。任何熟悉此技术的人士皆可在不违背本实用新型的精神及范畴下,对上述实施例进行修饰或改变。因此,举凡所属技术领域中具有通常知识者在未脱离本实用新型所揭示的精神与技术思想下所完成的一切等效修饰或改变,仍应由本实用新型的权利要求所涵盖。 The above embodiments are merely illustrative of the principles of the present invention and its effects, and are not intended to limit the present invention. Modifications or variations of the above-described embodiments may be made by those skilled in the art without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention. Therefore, all equivalent modifications or changes made by those skilled in the art without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention are still covered by the appended claims.

Claims (14)

  1. 一种位置和行为信息预测方法,其特征在于:包括以下步骤:A method for predicting location and behavior information, comprising: the following steps:
    第一步、分别获取一移动客户端的位置和行为信息;The first step is to separately obtain the location and behavior information of a mobile client;
    第二步、对获取的所述位置和行为信息分类,分别形成位置信息序列和行为信息序列;a second step of classifying the acquired location and behavior information to form a sequence of location information and a sequence of behavior information;
    第三步、将不同类的位置和行为信息经过换算和处理后放在数据存储结构中,每个所述数据存储结构中的元素可随机访问;遍历所述数据存储结构,循环执行判断条件,选取多个不同的周期;In the third step, the location and behavior information of different classes are converted and processed and placed in the data storage structure, and the elements in each of the data storage structures are randomly accessible; the data storage structure is traversed, and the judgment conditions are cyclically executed. Select multiple different cycles;
    第四步、根据获得的周期,预测移动客户端的位置和行为信息。The fourth step is to predict the location and behavior information of the mobile client according to the obtained period.
  2. 根据权利要求2所述的位置和行为信息预测方法,其特征在于:第一步中还包括:确定一个特定时段;从接收到的位置和行为信息中选取特定时段中的位置和行为信息。The location and behavior information prediction method according to claim 2, wherein the first step further comprises: determining a specific time period; and selecting location and behavior information in the specific time period from the received location and behavior information.
  3. 根据权利要求2所述的位置和行为信息预测方法,其特征在于:第二步中还包括:对所述特定时段中的位置和行为信息进行分类;将分类过程中产生的类别信息加入每条位置和行为信息中,按照时间顺序生成不同类的位置和行为信息序列。The position and behavior information prediction method according to claim 2, wherein the second step further comprises: classifying the position and behavior information in the specific time period; and adding the category information generated in the classification process to each piece. In the position and behavior information, different types of position and behavior information sequences are generated in chronological order.
  4. 根据权利要求3所述的位置和行为信息预测方法,其特征在于:第三步中还包括:设定的数据存储结构中位置和该位置元素之间的固定关系;按照所述固定关系求得元素值,随机遍历所述数据存储结构中各个元素;根据设定的判定关系筛选出准确的周期并保存。The position and behavior information prediction method according to claim 3, wherein the third step further comprises: a fixed relationship between the position in the set data storage structure and the position element; and obtaining the fixed relationship according to the fixed relationship The element value randomly traverses each element in the data storage structure; selects an accurate period according to the set judgment relationship and saves it.
  5. 一种用户位置和行为信息记录方法,用于记录用户的当前位置和行为信息并向其他接收端发送所述当前位置和行为信息;其特征在于,包括以下步骤:A user location and behavior information recording method for recording a current location and behavior information of a user and transmitting the current location and behavior information to other receiving ends; and the method includes the following steps:
    第一步:所述位置记录模块采集所述当前位置和行为信息;a first step: the location record module collects the current location and behavior information;
    第二步:所述位置记录模块将采集到的当前位置和行为信息传送至所述信息发送模块;The second step: the location recording module transmits the collected current location and behavior information to the information sending module;
    第三步:所述信息发送模块将所述当前位置和行为信息向外发送。The third step: the information sending module sends the current location and behavior information to the outside.
  6. 根据权利要求5所述的用户位置和行为信息记录方法,其特征在于:所述位置记录模块采集用户当前位置和行为信息,并将采集的当前位置和行为信息传送至所述信息发送模块。 The user location and behavior information recording method according to claim 5, wherein the location recording module collects current location and behavior information of the user, and transmits the collected current location and behavior information to the information sending module.
  7. 一种移动客户端,其特征在于,包括:A mobile client, comprising:
    位置记录模块,采集用户的当前位置和行为信息,A location recording module that collects the current location and behavior information of the user.
    信息发送模块,与所述位置记录模块通信;用于向外发送所述位置记录模块采集的当前位置和行为信息。The information sending module is configured to communicate with the location recording module, and is configured to send the current location and behavior information collected by the location recording module.
  8. 一种位置和行为信息预测服务器端,其特征在于,包括:位置和行为信息处理模块.多周期获取模块和预测模块;A location and behavior information prediction server is characterized in that it comprises: a location and behavior information processing module, a multi-cycle acquisition module and a prediction module;
    位置和行为信息处理模块,用于接收并存储用户的当前位置和行为信息,并从所有当前位置和行为信息中获取特定移动客户端的特定时段位置和行为信息的集合,形成时间序列信息;a location and behavior information processing module, configured to receive and store a current location and behavior information of the user, and obtain a set of specific time slot locations and behavior information of the specific mobile client from all current location and behavior information to form time series information;
    多周期获取模块,与所述位置和行为信息处理模块通信,用于找出所述时间序列信息中的所有周期;a multi-cycle acquisition module, configured to communicate with the location and behavior information processing module, to find all cycles in the time series information;
    预测模块,与所述多周期获取模块通信,用于预测用户在未来时间点的位置和行为信息。The prediction module is in communication with the multi-cycle acquisition module for predicting location and behavior information of the user at a future point in time.
  9. 根据权利要求8所述的位置和行为信息预测服务器端,其特征在于:所述位置和行为信息处理模块包括The location and behavior information prediction server according to claim 8, wherein said location and behavior information processing module comprises
    信息存储模块,用于存储移动客户端发送的当前位置和行为信息;An information storage module, configured to store current location and behavior information sent by the mobile client;
    信息获取模块,与所述信息存储模块通信,用于获取当前所述位置和行为信息;An information acquiring module, configured to communicate with the information storage module, to obtain the current location and behavior information;
    位置分类模块,与所述信息获取模块通信,用于将当前所述位置和行为信息分类;a location classification module, configured to communicate with the information acquisition module, to classify the current location and behavior information;
    所述时序模块,与所述位置分类模块通信,用于生成形成位置和行为信息序列。The timing module is in communication with the location classification module for generating a location and behavior information sequence.
  10. 根据权利要求9所述的位置和行为信息预测服务器端,其特征在于:所述多周期获取模块与所述位置和行为信息处理模块通信,接收所述位置和行为信息序列;所述多周期获取模块用于确定多个周期。The location and behavior information prediction server according to claim 9, wherein said multi-cycle acquisition module communicates with said location and behavior information processing module to receive said location and behavior information sequence; said multi-cycle acquisition The module is used to determine multiple cycles.
  11. 根据权利要求10所述的位置和行为信息预测服务器端,其特征在于:所述预测模块与所述多周期获取模块通信,根据所述周期预测移动客户端的位置。The location and behavior information prediction server according to claim 10, wherein the prediction module is in communication with the multi-cycle acquisition module, and predicts a location of the mobile client according to the period.
  12. 一种位置和行为信息预测系统,其特征在于:包括如权利要求7中所述的移动客户端以 及如权利要求8至11中任一项所述的位置和行为信息预测服务器端;A location and behavior information prediction system, comprising: the mobile client as claimed in claim 7 And the location and behavior information prediction server end according to any one of claims 8 to 11;
  13. 根据权利要求12所述的位置和行为信息预测系统,其特征在于:所述移动客户端为多个,每个所述移动客户端连续采集用户的当前位置和行为信息。The location and behavior information prediction system according to claim 12, wherein the plurality of mobile clients are multiple, and each of the mobile clients continuously collects current location and behavior information of the user.
  14. 根据权利要求13所述的位置和行为信息预测系统,其特征在于:所述位置和行为信息预测服务器端用于从不同的时间点出发,对所述移动客户端未来时间点的位置和行为信息进行预测。 The location and behavior information prediction system according to claim 13, wherein the location and behavior information predicts location and behavior information of the mobile client for future time points from different time points. Make predictions.
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