TWI395965B - Fuel cell faulty predicting system and its establishing method - Google Patents
Fuel cell faulty predicting system and its establishing method Download PDFInfo
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- Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
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Description
本揭示內容是有關於一種監控裝置,且特別是有關於一種燃料電池監控裝置。The present disclosure relates to a monitoring device, and more particularly to a fuel cell monitoring device.
燃料電池因為可反覆回充,而深具環保價值。惟,燃料電池要被大量應用時,不免須先保證其可靠性;在重要的工業應用上,我們僅能幫燃料電池建立冗餘式(Redundant)結構來實現不斷電的構想;所需付出的成本則是一組使用效率低落的電池陣列。另一方面,多種燃料電池監控機制也已被提出來,以求及時發覺燃料電池之故障,而避免斷電造成的損失進一步擴大。Fuel cells are environmentally friendly because they can be recharged. However, when a fuel cell is to be used in a large number of applications, it is necessary to ensure its reliability first; in important industrial applications, we can only build a redundant structure for the fuel cell to realize the concept of uninterrupted power; The cost is a set of battery arrays that use inefficiencies. On the other hand, a variety of fuel cell monitoring mechanisms have also been proposed in order to detect fuel cell failures in a timely manner, and to avoid further losses caused by power outages.
因此,本揭示內容之一技術態樣是在提供一種燃料電池故障預測系統,其可在燃料電池尚未故障之時,便察覺將來可能故障之組件,而予以保養或更換。Accordingly, it is a technical aspect of the present disclosure to provide a fuel cell failure prediction system that can detect or repair a component that may be malfunctioning in the future when the fuel cell has not failed.
依據本技術態樣一實施方式,提出一種燃料電池故障預測系統,包括多個偵測器、一數位訊號處理單元、一灰色預測運算單元、一可拓類神經網路分類器及一顯示器。偵測器係用以監控一燃料電池系統之多個狀態訊號。數位訊號處理單元係用以根據上述多個狀態訊號產生至少一組特徵訊號。灰色預測運算單元係用以根據這組特徵訊號產生一組灰色預測訊號。可拓類神經運算單元係被以多個故障模型訓練而成,用以根據特徵訊號產生一偵測資料,且根據灰色預測訊號產生一預測資料。顯示器則係用以顯示偵測資料及預測資料。According to an embodiment of the present invention, a fuel cell fault prediction system is provided, including a plurality of detectors, a digital signal processing unit, a gray prediction operation unit, an extension type neural network classifier, and a display. The detector is used to monitor multiple status signals of a fuel cell system. The digital signal processing unit is configured to generate at least one set of characteristic signals according to the plurality of status signals. The gray prediction operation unit is configured to generate a set of gray prediction signals according to the set of characteristic signals. The extensional neurological operation unit is trained by using multiple fault models to generate a detection data according to the characteristic signal, and generate a prediction data according to the gray prediction signal. The display is used to display the detected data and forecast data.
值得注意的是,本技術態樣於另一實施方式中,更包括利用一無線訊號收發裝置,將特徵訊號無線傳輸至灰色預測運算單元及可拓類神經網路分類器。It should be noted that the technical aspect of the present invention further includes wirelessly transmitting the feature signal to the gray prediction operation unit and the extension type neural network classifier by using a wireless signal transceiver.
本揭示內容之另一技術態樣是在提供一種燃料電池故障預測系統建立方法,以不需要實際破壞多組燃料電池的方式,取得各種故障資料,進而建立前述之燃料電池故障預測系統。Another aspect of the present disclosure is to provide a fuel cell fault prediction system establishment method for obtaining various fault data without actually destroying a plurality of sets of fuel cells, thereby establishing the aforementioned fuel cell fault prediction system.
依據本技術態樣一實施方式,提出一種燃料電池故障預測系統建立方法,包括下列步驟:首先,設置多個偵測器以監控一燃料電池系統之多個狀態訊號。然後,利用狀態訊號建立一燃料電池模型,再利用燃料電池模型產生多組故障特徵訊號。接下來,根據故障特徵訊號來建立多個物元模型,且利用這些物元模型來訓練一可拓類神經網路系統。另一方面,這些故障特徵訊號也被用來建立一灰色預測模型。最後,將灰色預測模型設置於可拓類神經網路系統前,藉此,灰色預測模型可以根據所接收之一實測特徵訊號產生一預測特徵訊號予可拓類神經網路系統。According to an embodiment of the present technology, a method for establishing a fuel cell fault prediction system is provided, including the following steps: First, a plurality of detectors are provided to monitor a plurality of status signals of a fuel cell system. Then, a fuel cell model is established by using the state signal, and then the fuel cell model is used to generate a plurality of sets of fault characteristic signals. Next, a plurality of matter-element models are built according to the fault feature signals, and the matter-element models are used to train an extension-like neural network system. On the other hand, these fault signature signals are also used to create a gray prediction model. Finally, the gray prediction model is set in front of the extension type neural network system, whereby the gray prediction model can generate a prediction feature signal to the extension type neural network system according to one of the received measured characteristic signals.
值得注意的是,本技術態樣於其他實施方式中,提出建立燃料電池模型時,包括建立一電氣化學子模型與一熱動力學子模型。電氣化學子模型係用以描述燃料電池內活化陽極與陰極所產生之電壓降Vact 、描述燃料電池內之歐姆電壓降Vohmic 、以及描述燃料電池內由擴散限制之質量傳輸所引起的濃度損失Vcon 。另一方面,熱動力學子模型係用以描述燃料電池輸出熱動力學之可逆性電壓Ethermo 。此外,上述物元模型包括一抽風扇故障物元模型、一散熱系統故障物元模型、一燃料消耗過大物元模型、一氫氣壓力不足物元模型、一通氣孔堵塞物元模型及一過載物元模型。而且,每一種物元模型都包括一氫氣壓力故障特徵值、一燃料電池工作溫度特徵值、一燃料電池電壓特徵值、一燃料電池電流特徵值、一輸入空氣流量特徵值及一排氣口相對濕度特徵值。It should be noted that the present technical aspect, in other embodiments, proposes to establish a fuel cell model including establishing an electrochemical submodel and a thermodynamic submodel. Electrical sub-model to describe the system activated anode and the cathode within the fuel cell arising from a voltage drop V act, describe the ohmic drop within the fuel cell voltage V ohmic, and the losses described by the concentration of mass transfer due to diffusion limitations within the fuel cell V Con . On the other hand, the thermodynamic submodel is used to describe the reversible voltage E thermo of the fuel cell output thermodynamics. In addition, the matter element model includes a fan failure matter element model, a heat dissipation system fault matter element model, a fuel consumption oversized matter element model, a hydrogen pressure shortage matter element model, a vent hole blockage element model, and an overload matter element. model. Moreover, each matter element model includes a hydrogen pressure fault characteristic value, a fuel cell operating temperature characteristic value, a fuel cell voltage characteristic value, a fuel cell current characteristic value, an input air flow characteristic value, and an exhaust port relative Humidity characteristic value.
藉此,前述諸實施方式之燃料電池故障預測系統,可以偵測現時之訊號,而判斷其故障類別;而且,還可根據現時之訊號產生預測訊號,判斷將來可能產生之故障類別。In this way, the fuel cell fault prediction system of the foregoing embodiments can detect the current signal and determine the fault category; and, based on the current signal, generate a prediction signal to determine the fault category that may occur in the future.
請參考第1圖,第1圖是本揭示內容一實施方式之燃料電池故障預測系統的功能方塊圖。第1圖中,燃料電池故障預測系統包括多個偵測器110、一數位訊號處理單元120、一灰色預測運算單元130、一可拓類神經網路分類器140及一顯示器150。偵測器110係裝設在一個燃料電池系統100的各個部位,以監控燃料電池系統100之多個狀態訊號。數位訊號處理單元120係用以根據上述多個狀態訊號產生至少一組特徵訊號。灰色預測運算單元130係用以根據這組特徵訊號產生一組灰色預測訊號。可拓類神經網路分類器140係被以多個故障模型訓練而成,用以根據特徵訊號產生一偵測資料,且根據灰色預測訊號產生一預測資料。顯示器150則係用以顯示偵測資料及預測資料。茲介紹上述諸構件之建構方法及運作原理如下:請參考第2圖,第2圖是第1圖之燃料電池系統100的詳細結構示意圖,為了方便解釋,圖中更繪示數位訊號處理單元120等其他構件。對燃料電池系統100而言,常見的故障原因可區分為六種類別,分別是抽風扇故障、散熱系統故障、燃料消耗過大、氫氣壓力不足、通氣孔之堵塞與過載。而上述六種類別之任一種故障發生時,又分別會在下列六個狀態上產生數值變化,分別是氫氣壓力、工作溫度、電池電壓、電池電流、輸入空氣流量及排氣口相對濕度。因此,多個偵測器110被裝設在至少可以偵測到上列狀態的位置上,以監控燃料電池系統100之變化。其中那些偵測器110可包含一壓力偵測器111、一流量偵測器112及一電池偵測器113,其中電池偵測器113用以偵測燃料電池之電壓、電流、溫度、排水口濕度,而那些偵測器110所偵測到的多個狀態訊號便統一由數位訊號處理單元120將之數位化,以利後續之處理。更進一步來說,在其他實施方式中,數位訊號處理單元120可將數位化的狀態訊號傳遞給一組無線訊號收發裝置160,例如ZigBee,再由無線訊號收發裝置160傳遞給灰色預測運算單元130、可拓類神經網路分類器140及顯示器150,通常為一電腦170。Please refer to FIG. 1. FIG. 1 is a functional block diagram of a fuel cell fault prediction system according to an embodiment of the present disclosure. In the first figure, the fuel cell fault prediction system includes a plurality of detectors 110, a digital signal processing unit 120, a gray prediction operation unit 130, an extension type neural network classifier 140, and a display 150. The detector 110 is installed in various parts of a fuel cell system 100 to monitor a plurality of status signals of the fuel cell system 100. The digital signal processing unit 120 is configured to generate at least one set of characteristic signals according to the plurality of status signals. The gray prediction operation unit 130 is configured to generate a set of gray prediction signals according to the set of characteristic signals. The extension-type neural network classifier 140 is trained by using multiple fault models to generate a detection data according to the feature signal, and generate a prediction data according to the gray prediction signal. The display 150 is used to display the detected data and the predicted data. The construction method and operation principle of the above components are as follows: Please refer to FIG. 2, and FIG. 2 is a detailed structural diagram of the fuel cell system 100 of FIG. 1. For convenience of explanation, the digital signal processing unit 120 is further illustrated. Other components. For the fuel cell system 100, common causes of failure can be divided into six categories, namely, fan failure, heat dissipation system failure, excessive fuel consumption, insufficient hydrogen pressure, clogging and overload of the vent. When any of the above six types of faults occur, numerical changes occur in the following six states: hydrogen pressure, operating temperature, battery voltage, battery current, input air flow, and exhaust port relative humidity. Therefore, the plurality of detectors 110 are installed at positions where at least the above listed state can be detected to monitor changes in the fuel cell system 100. The detector 110 can include a pressure detector 111, a flow detector 112, and a battery detector 113. The battery detector 113 is used to detect the voltage, current, temperature, and drain of the fuel cell. Humidity, and the plurality of status signals detected by the detectors 110 are uniformly digitized by the digital signal processing unit 120 for subsequent processing. Further, in other embodiments, the digital signal processing unit 120 can transmit the digitized status signal to a group of wireless signal transceivers 160, such as ZigBee, and then to the gray prediction operation unit 130 by the wireless signal transceiver 160. The extension-type neural network classifier 140 and the display 150 are usually a computer 170.
請一併參考第3A圖、第3B圖、第3C圖及第3D圖,第3A圖是第1圖之可拓類神經網路分類器140之類神經網路的結構示意圖,第3B圖是第3A圖之可拓距離示意 圖,第3C圖是第3B圖之權重調整前的可拓距離示意圖,第3D圖是第3B圖之權重調整後的可拓距離示意圖。具體而言,可拓類神經網路擁有接受不同種類變數作為輸入之適應性,第3A圖包含了輸入層、演算層與輸出層。此架構之流程首先將輸入資料分類並建構成物元模型後進入到可拓類神經網路中,輸入層的數量則是由物元模型之特徵數量所決定,而輸出層則是由資料的類別數決定並存放計算後之可拓距離,最後由屬於各類別之輸出層的可拓距離值(ED值)的最小值,決策出資料之類別。Please refer to FIG. 3A, FIG. 3B, FIG. 3C and FIG. 3D together. FIG. 3A is a schematic structural diagram of a neural network such as the extension type neural network classifier 140 of FIG. 1 , and FIG. 3B is a schematic diagram. The extension distance of Figure 3A shows FIG. 3C is a schematic diagram of the extension distance before the weight adjustment of FIG. 3B, and FIG. 3D is a schematic diagram of the extension distance after the weight adjustment of FIG. 3B. Specifically, the extension-like neural network has the adaptability of accepting different kinds of variables as inputs, and the 3A diagram includes the input layer, the calculation layer, and the output layer. The process of this architecture first classifies the input data and constructs the matter element model and then enters the extension class neural network. The number of input layers is determined by the number of features of the matter element model, while the output layer is composed of data. The number of categories determines and stores the calculated extension distance. Finally, the minimum value of the extension distance value (ED value) belonging to the output layer of each category determines the category of the data.
可拓類神經網路的學習法則可分為非監督式的學習與監督式學習,而非監督式學習是由目前的擁有的特徵樣本值來進行學習,藉由學習找出資料的規律性與相關性,而當有一個資料要輸入辨識時,是尋找最相似者作為辨識結果。本實施方式使用的可拓類神經網路學習法是使用監督式學習,監督式學習是透過學習來調整權重,藉由不斷地學習與訓練來進行調整修正權重與辨識,以此來降低可拓類神經網路的輸出值與目標輸出值之間的差距,由此來提升可拓類神經網路辨識的準確率。因此在學習前必須有學習樣本X={X1 ,X2 ,X3 ,...XPm },而每一個樣本包含著資料的特徵與類別Xi m ={Xi1 m ,Xi2 m ,Xi3 m ,...Xin m },學習樣本以符號P表示,PM 則為樣本的總數,m則為特徵總數。總誤差設為PN ,總誤差比率則設為ET ,E T =P N /P M 。而可拓類神經監督式學習之演算步驟如下:The learning rules of extension-like neural networks can be divided into unsupervised learning and supervised learning. Non-supervised learning is based on the current possessed feature sample values, and learning to find out the regularity of data. Relevance, and when there is a data to be input for identification, it is to find the most similar one as the identification result. The extension-type neural network learning method used in the present embodiment uses supervised learning. The supervised learning is to adjust the weight through learning, and the adjustment weights and identification are adjusted by continuous learning and training, thereby reducing the extension. The difference between the output value of the neural network and the target output value, thereby improving the accuracy of the extension neural network identification. Therefore, there must be a learning sample X={X 1 , X 2 , X 3 ,...X Pm } before learning, and each sample contains the characteristics and categories of the data X i m ={X i1 m ,X i2 m , X i3 m ,...X in m }, the learning samples are represented by the symbol P, P M is the total number of samples, and m is the total number of features. The total error is set to P N and the total error ratio is set to E T , E T = P N / P M . The calculation steps of the extension-like neuromonitoring learning are as follows:
步驟1:將學習資料利用可拓物元模型來建立輸入與輸出之權重值,而物元之表示式如下所示:
步驟2:計算出每項特徵之權重中心值,以Zk 表示,如下所式:Z k ={z k 1 ,z k 2 ,z k 3 ,...z kn }Step 2: Calculate the weight center value of each feature, expressed as Z k , as follows: Z k ={ z k 1 , z k 2 , z k 3 ,... z kn }
步驟3:讀取i-th訓練樣本資料與特徵數k,如下所示:
步驟4:利用x i k
開始計算可拓距離(Extension distance,ED),如下所示:
步驟5:尋找所有類別的最小可拓距離:
步驟6:調整k類別與k*類別之權重值。Step 6: Adjust the weight values of the k category and the k* category.
(1)更新權重上、下限值大小,運算步驟如下:
(2)更新權重中心值大小,運算步驟如下:
步驟7:重複步驟3至步驟7之步驟,直到所有學習資料皆讀取並學習完成分類完畢。Step 7: Repeat steps 3 through 7 until all learning materials are read and learned to complete the classification.
步驟8:當所有資料之分類程序都已達到收斂狀態或總誤差率到達到目標值則停止,否之則返回步驟3繼續。Step 8: Stop when all the classification procedures of the data have reached the convergence state or the total error rate reaches the target value, otherwise return to step 3 to continue.
經過以上幾個步驟後,本實施方式並藉由可拓類神經網路之監督式學習法,從中學習與調整權重值,由不斷學習及訓練下,所修正權重值與辨識率,可降低可拓類神經網路之輸出值與目標輸出值之間的差距,因此可提升可拓類神經網路辨識之準確率。After the above steps, the present embodiment learns and adjusts the weight value by using the supervised learning method of the extension type neural network, and the weight value and the recognition rate can be reduced by continuous learning and training. The difference between the output value of the extension neural network and the target output value can improve the accuracy of the extension neural network identification.
請一併參考第4圖與第5圖,第4圖是第3A圖之可 拓類神經網路的學習步驟流程圖,第5圖是第3A圖之可拓類神經網路的操作步驟流程圖。從第4圖中可清楚的看出可拓類神經之學習方式,以及如何結束學習,本學習只要達到診斷著想要之辨識率就可跳出迴圈,並逕行可拓類神經診斷燃料電池之故障辨識。從第5圖中則可清楚的看出可拓類神經之運作方式。Please refer to Figure 4 and Figure 5 together. Figure 4 is the picture of Figure 3A. A flow chart of the learning steps of the extension neural network, and FIG. 5 is a flow chart of the operation steps of the extension type neural network of FIG. 3A. It can be clearly seen from Fig. 4 that the learning method of the extension-like nerve and how to end the learning, the learning can jump out of the circle as long as the diagnosis rate is diagnosed, and the fault of the extension-type neurological diagnosis fuel cell can be broken. Identification. It can be clearly seen from Figure 5 that the extensional nerves operate.
然而,在建立上述之可拓類神經網路分類器140時,必須取得足夠多的故障樣本。而若以真實的燃料電池系統100進行破壞性的故障資料蒐集,則耗費成本及時間皆相當可觀。因此,本揭示內容之另一技術態樣是在提供一種燃料電池故障預測系統建立方法,以不需要實際破壞多組燃料電池的方式,取得各種故障資料,進而建立前述之燃料電池故障預測系統。However, when establishing the above-described extension-type neural network classifier 140, it is necessary to obtain enough fault samples. If the destructive fault data collection is performed by the real fuel cell system 100, the cost and time are considerable. Therefore, another technical aspect of the present disclosure is to provide a fuel cell fault prediction system establishing method, which can obtain various fault data without actually destroying multiple sets of fuel cells, thereby establishing the aforementioned fuel cell fault prediction system.
依據本技術態樣一實施方式,提出一種燃料電池故障預測系統建立方法,包括下列步驟:首先,設置多個偵測器以監控一燃料電池系統之多個狀態訊號。然後,利用狀態訊號建立一燃料電池模型,再利用燃料電池模型產生多組故障特徵訊號。接下來,根據故障特徵訊號來建立多個物元模型,且利用這些物元模型來訓練一拓類神經網路系統。另一方面,這些故障特徵訊號也被用來建立一灰色預測模型。最後,將灰色預測模型設置於拓類神經網路系統前,藉此,灰色預測模型可以根據所接收之一實測特徵訊號產生一預測特徵訊號予可拓類神經網路系統。According to an embodiment of the present technology, a method for establishing a fuel cell fault prediction system is provided, including the following steps: First, a plurality of detectors are provided to monitor a plurality of status signals of a fuel cell system. Then, a fuel cell model is established by using the state signal, and then the fuel cell model is used to generate a plurality of sets of fault characteristic signals. Next, a plurality of matter-element models are built based on the fault feature signals, and the matter-element models are used to train a class-extension neural network system. On the other hand, these fault signature signals are also used to create a gray prediction model. Finally, the gray prediction model is set in front of the extension neural network system, whereby the gray prediction model can generate a prediction feature signal to the extension type neural network system according to one of the received measured characteristic signals.
值得注意的是,本技術態樣於其他實施方式中,提出建立燃料電池模型時,包括建立一電氣化學子模型與一熱 動力學子模型。電氣化學子模型係用以描述燃料電池內活化陽極與陰極所產生之電壓降Vact 、描述燃料電池內之歐姆電壓降Vohmic 、以及描述燃料電池內由擴散限制之質量傳輸所引起的濃度損失Vcon 。另一方面,熱動力學子模型係用以描述燃料電池輸出熱動力學之可逆性電壓Ethermo 。此外,上述物元模型包括一抽風扇故障物元模型、一散熱系統故障物元模型、一燃料消耗過大物元模型、一氫氣壓力不足物元模型、一通氣孔堵塞物元模型及一過載物元模型。而且,每一種物元模型都包括一氫氣壓力故障特徵值、一燃料電池工作溫度特徵值、一燃料電池電壓特徵值、一燃料電池電流特徵值、一輸入空氣流量特徵值及一排氣口相對濕度特徵值。It should be noted that the present technical aspect, in other embodiments, proposes to establish a fuel cell model including establishing an electrochemical submodel and a thermodynamic submodel. Electrical sub-model to describe the system activated anode and the cathode within the fuel cell arising from a voltage drop V act, describe the ohmic drop within the fuel cell voltage V ohmic, and the losses described by the concentration of mass transfer due to diffusion limitations within the fuel cell V Con . On the other hand, the thermodynamic submodel is used to describe the reversible voltage E thermo of the fuel cell output thermodynamics. In addition, the matter element model includes a fan failure matter element model, a heat dissipation system fault matter element model, a fuel consumption oversized matter element model, a hydrogen pressure shortage matter element model, a vent hole blockage element model, and an overload matter element. model. Moreover, each matter element model includes a hydrogen pressure fault characteristic value, a fuel cell operating temperature characteristic value, a fuel cell voltage characteristic value, a fuel cell current characteristic value, an input air flow characteristic value, and an exhaust port relative Humidity characteristic value.
具體而言,實際燃料電池之輸出電壓是由一熱力學的輸出電壓減去各種消耗引起的電壓損失:V=Ethermo
+Vact
+Vohmic
+Vcon
Ethermo
表示燃料電池輸出熱動力學之可逆性電壓:
Vact
是由於活化陽極與陰極所產生之電壓降:
Vohmic 稱為歐姆電壓降,因電荷傳送之電阻將導致燃料電池的電壓損失,這是遵循歐姆定律。若能使用較薄之電解質膜與高導電材料,可將燃料電池之歐姆損失達到最小化: Vohmic =-I FC (R M +R C )V ohmic called ohmic voltage drop due to charge transfer resistance would result in a voltage loss of the fuel cell, which is to follow Ohm's law. If thinner the electrolyte membrane and the highly conductive material, the ohmic losses may be minimized fuel cells: V ohmic = - I FC ( R M + R C)
R M =ρMl /A R M = ρMl / A
Vcon 表示由擴散限制之質量傳輸所引起之濃度損失:Vcon =-B ln[1-(J /J MAX )]上式中B(單位:伏特/V)表示為任何類型燃料電池之常數,J MAX 為最大電流密度,J 為電池所產生之電流密度。V con represents the concentration loss caused by diffusion-limited mass transfer: V con =- B ln[1-( J / J MAX )] where B (unit: volt/V) is expressed as a constant for any type of fuel cell , J MAX is the maximum current density, and J is the current density generated by the battery.
藉此,在建立了燃料電池模型後,就可以模擬各種故障狀態,進而取得足夠多的樣本來訓練可拓類神經網路分類器140,而毋須耗費過多的成本與時間進行實際故障之偵測。Therefore, after the fuel cell model is established, various fault states can be simulated, and then enough samples can be obtained to train the extension-type neural network classifier 140 without excessive cost and time for actual fault detection. .
最後,灰色預測運算單元130之運作原理與建立方式介紹如下:灰色系統理論主要是用於研究少樣本或者是少量的資訊的不確定性,而使用灰色理論的關聯度可以用有價值的資訊來解決不可知資訊的系統問題,所以灰色理論常被運用在資訊不易收集和環境常激烈變動的狀態,要完成預測之目的,首先要建立預測之模型,即利用過去之歷史資料,利用統計或建模方法,產生一組預測之數學模型。傳統的預測方法如時間序列法(Time series method)、統計方
法或最近的人工智慧方法如專家系統與類神經網路均需大量的歷時史資料,才能得到較佳的預測結果,而灰色理論中的灰色預測GM(1,1)僅需要少量的樣本即可以推測出未來的數值變化,而且只需要6個數據就可以進行預測,因為它可以將不規則的數列通過累加生成後出現指數規則,再以累加生成數建立微分方程,因此可以最少6組數據就可以建模,若將以灰色理論之GM(1,1)為主要預測模型,設原始檢測資料之矩陣為X=(x(1),x(2),...,x(n)),則根據灰色理論GM(1,1)模型,則系統變化狀態可利用一階微分方程描述如下:
Z
=(z
(1)z
(2)…z
(n
))其中:,;在上式中,x(t)為在第t次檢測到的數據,在灰色理論中,上式的一階微分方程稱為白化方程式,可用於描述白色系統(或資料非常完全的系統),對於灰色系統或預測可將式近似為下式:以及。在上式中a和b兩參數之最佳解,可利用最小平方法(least square method)求解,則有:
最後,請參考第6圖,第6圖是第1圖之燃料電池故障預測系統的工作步驟流程圖。第6圖中,本實施方式之燃料電池故障預測系統在偵測器110及數位訊號處理單元120裝設妥當、灰色預測運算單元130及可拓類神經網路分類器140建構完成後,便可運作如下:首先,如步驟201所示,偵測器110取得燃料電池系統100的多個狀態訊號;然後,如步驟202所示,數位訊號處理單元120將狀態訊號數位化,取出特徵值,形成至少一組特徵訊號後傳遞給 灰色預測運算單元130及可拓類神經網路分類器140。接下來,如步驟203所示,灰色預測運算單元130根據特徵訊號產生一組灰色預測訊號,以反應燃料電池系統100下一個週期可能產生的狀態訊號。當然,與此同時,上述之特徵訊號亦可逕自輸入可拓類神經網路分類器140以確認燃料電池系統100當下週期有無故障。承上所述,如步驟204所示,可拓類神經網路分類器140利用可拓類神經網路分析灰色預測訊號,以實現潛在故障症兆分析,進而產生偵測資料與預測資料。最後,如步驟205所示,偵測資料與預測資料會被傳遞至顯示器150以提醒使用者是否須更換零件進行維修,而不必待燃料電池系統100真正發生故障。Finally, please refer to Figure 6, which is a flow chart of the working steps of the fuel cell fault prediction system of Figure 1. In the sixth embodiment, after the detector 110 and the digital signal processing unit 120 are properly installed, the gray prediction operation unit 130 and the extension type neural network classifier 140 are constructed, the fuel cell failure prediction system of the present embodiment can be constructed. The operation is as follows: First, as shown in step 201, the detector 110 obtains a plurality of status signals of the fuel cell system 100; then, as shown in step 202, the digital signal processing unit 120 digitizes the status signals and extracts the feature values to form At least one set of characteristic signals is passed to The gray prediction operation unit 130 and the extension type neural network classifier 140. Next, as shown in step 203, the gray prediction operation unit 130 generates a set of gray prediction signals according to the characteristic signals to reflect the status signals that may be generated by the fuel cell system 100 in the next cycle. Of course, at the same time, the above characteristic signal can also be input from the extension type neural network classifier 140 to confirm whether the fuel cell system 100 has a fault in the current cycle. As described above, as shown in step 204, the extension-type neural network classifier 140 analyzes the gray prediction signal using the extension-type neural network to implement a potential fault symptom analysis, thereby generating detection data and prediction data. Finally, as shown in step 205, the detected data and the predicted data are passed to the display 150 to alert the user whether the parts need to be replaced for repair without having to actually fail the fuel cell system 100.
雖然本發明已以諸實施方式揭露如上,然其並非用以限定本發明,任何熟習此技藝者,在不脫離本發明之精神和範圍內,當可作各種之更動與潤飾,因此本發明之保護範圍當視後附之申請專利範圍所界定者為準。The present invention has been disclosed in the above embodiments, but it is not intended to limit the invention, and it is obvious to those skilled in the art that various modifications and refinements can be made without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention. The scope of protection is subject to the definition of the scope of the patent application attached.
100‧‧‧燃料電池系統100‧‧‧ fuel cell system
110‧‧‧偵測器110‧‧‧Detector
111‧‧‧壓力偵測器111‧‧‧ Pressure detector
112‧‧‧流量偵測器112‧‧‧Flow detector
113‧‧‧電池偵測器113‧‧‧Battery Detector
120‧‧‧數位訊號處理單元120‧‧‧Digital Signal Processing Unit
130‧‧‧灰色預測運算單元130‧‧‧ Gray Prediction Unit
140‧‧‧可拓類神經網路分類器140‧‧‧Extreme-like neural network classifier
150‧‧‧顯示器150‧‧‧ display
160‧‧‧無線訊號收發裝置160‧‧‧Wireless signal transceiver
170‧‧‧電腦170‧‧‧ computer
201-205‧‧‧步驟201-205‧‧‧Steps
為讓本揭示內容之上述和其他目的、特徵、優點與實施例能更明顯易懂,所附圖式之說明如下:第1圖是本揭示內容一實施方式之燃料電池故障預測系統的功能方塊圖。The above and other objects, features, advantages and embodiments of the present disclosure will be more apparent and understood. The description of the drawings is as follows: FIG. 1 is a functional block of a fuel cell fault prediction system according to an embodiment of the present disclosure. Figure.
第2圖是第1圖之燃料電池系統100的詳細結構示意圖。Fig. 2 is a detailed structural view of the fuel cell system 100 of Fig. 1.
第3A圖是第1圖之可拓類神經網路分類器140之類 神經網路的結構示意圖。Figure 3A is an extension-like neural network classifier 140 of Figure 1 or the like. Schematic diagram of the structure of the neural network.
第3B圖是第3A圖之可拓距離示意圖。Figure 3B is a schematic diagram of the extension distance of Figure 3A.
第3C圖是第3B圖之權重調整前的可拓距離示意圖。Figure 3C is a schematic diagram of the extension distance before the weight adjustment of Figure 3B.
第3D圖是第3B圖之權重調整後的可拓距離示意圖。The 3D diagram is a schematic diagram of the extension distance after weight adjustment in FIG. 3B.
第4圖是第3A圖之可拓類神經網路的學習步驟流程圖。Figure 4 is a flow chart of the learning steps of the extension-like neural network of Figure 3A.
第5圖是第3A圖之可拓類神經網路的操作步驟流程圖。Figure 5 is a flow chart showing the operational steps of the extension-like neural network of Figure 3A.
第6圖是第1圖之燃料電池故障預測系統的工作步驟流程圖。Figure 6 is a flow chart showing the working steps of the fuel cell failure prediction system of Figure 1.
100...燃料電池系統100. . . Fuel cell system
110...偵測器110. . . Detector
120...數位訊號處理單元120. . . Digital signal processing unit
130...灰色預測運算單元130. . . Gray prediction unit
140...可拓類神經網路分類器140. . . Extension class neural network classifier
150...顯示器150. . . monitor
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