PT3161527T - Previsão de energia solar utilizando uma mistura de analisadores de componentes principais probabilísticos - Google Patents

Previsão de energia solar utilizando uma mistura de analisadores de componentes principais probabilísticos

Info

Publication number
PT3161527T
PT3161527T PT15741413T PT15741413T PT3161527T PT 3161527 T PT3161527 T PT 3161527T PT 15741413 T PT15741413 T PT 15741413T PT 15741413 T PT15741413 T PT 15741413T PT 3161527 T PT3161527 T PT 3161527T
Authority
PT
Portugal
Prior art keywords
mixture
solar power
principal component
power forecasting
component analyzers
Prior art date
Application number
PT15741413T
Other languages
English (en)
Inventor
Chakraborty Amit
Hackstein Holger
Yuan Chao
Original Assignee
Siemens Ag
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by Siemens Ag filed Critical Siemens Ag
Publication of PT3161527T publication Critical patent/PT3161527T/pt

Links

Classifications

    • G—PHYSICS
    • G01—MEASURING; TESTING
    • G01W—METEOROLOGY
    • G01W1/00—Meteorology
    • G01W1/10—Devices for predicting weather conditions
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G01—MEASURING; TESTING
    • G01W—METEOROLOGY
    • G01W1/00—Meteorology
    • G01W1/12—Sunshine duration recorders
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06F—ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
    • G06F17/00—Digital computing or data processing equipment or methods, specially adapted for specific functions
    • G06F17/10—Complex mathematical operations
    • G06F17/18—Complex mathematical operations for evaluating statistical data, e.g. average values, frequency distributions, probability functions, regression analysis
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06N—COMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N7/00—Computing arrangements based on specific mathematical models
    • G06N7/01—Probabilistic graphical models, e.g. probabilistic networks
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/06—Energy or water supply

Landscapes

  • Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • Theoretical Computer Science (AREA)
  • Environmental & Geological Engineering (AREA)
  • Economics (AREA)
  • Data Mining & Analysis (AREA)
  • Strategic Management (AREA)
  • Human Resources & Organizations (AREA)
  • Life Sciences & Earth Sciences (AREA)
  • Computational Mathematics (AREA)
  • Mathematical Analysis (AREA)
  • Mathematical Optimization (AREA)
  • Pure & Applied Mathematics (AREA)
  • Mathematical Physics (AREA)
  • Ecology (AREA)
  • Atmospheric Sciences (AREA)
  • Environmental Sciences (AREA)
  • Biodiversity & Conservation Biology (AREA)
  • Marketing (AREA)
  • Tourism & Hospitality (AREA)
  • Operations Research (AREA)
  • General Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Probability & Statistics with Applications (AREA)
  • Software Systems (AREA)
  • Algebra (AREA)
  • General Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Development Economics (AREA)
  • Quality & Reliability (AREA)
  • Entrepreneurship & Innovation (AREA)
  • Game Theory and Decision Science (AREA)
  • Public Health (AREA)
  • Water Supply & Treatment (AREA)
  • General Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Primary Health Care (AREA)
  • Bioinformatics & Cheminformatics (AREA)
  • Bioinformatics & Computational Biology (AREA)
  • Evolutionary Biology (AREA)
PT15741413T 2014-06-30 2015-06-29 Previsão de energia solar utilizando uma mistura de analisadores de componentes principais probabilísticos PT3161527T (pt)

Applications Claiming Priority (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
US201462018817P 2014-06-30 2014-06-30

Publications (1)

Publication Number Publication Date
PT3161527T true PT3161527T (pt) 2018-10-19

Family

ID=53718145

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
PT15741413T PT3161527T (pt) 2014-06-30 2015-06-29 Previsão de energia solar utilizando uma mistura de analisadores de componentes principais probabilísticos

Country Status (4)

Country Link
US (1) US10386544B2 (pt)
EP (1) EP3161527B1 (pt)
PT (1) PT3161527T (pt)
WO (1) WO2016003861A1 (pt)

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JP6733374B2 (ja) * 2016-07-05 2020-07-29 日本電気株式会社 推定システム、推定方法および推定プログラム
US10140738B1 (en) * 2017-05-25 2018-11-27 Palo Alto Research Center Incorporated System and method for interpreting machine-learning results
KR102346944B1 (ko) * 2017-07-12 2022-01-05 오씨아이 주식회사 태양광 발전량 및 부하량 예측을 통한 전기 에너지 충/방전 관리 시스템 및 방법
CN107506867B (zh) * 2017-08-31 2021-09-21 国网冀北电力有限公司廊坊供电公司 一种基于动态建模的光伏出力预测方法
CN107622279A (zh) * 2017-09-05 2018-01-23 重庆邮电大学 高炉内部状态的分类方法
CN109146162B (zh) * 2018-08-07 2019-07-23 河海大学 一种基于集成循环神经网络的概率风速预测方法
CN111027732B (zh) * 2018-10-09 2023-06-06 中国电力科学研究院有限公司 一种多风电场出力场景的生成方法及系统
CN109726867B (zh) * 2018-12-27 2020-07-28 北京恒泰实达科技股份有限公司 一种基于多模式集合的高分辨率电力气象预报方法
CN109919353B (zh) * 2019-01-11 2022-07-05 杭州电子科技大学 一种基于空间相关性的arima模型的分布式光伏预测方法
US11009625B2 (en) * 2019-03-27 2021-05-18 The Climate Corporation Generating and conveying comprehensive weather insights at fields for optimal agricultural decision making
CN111027612B (zh) * 2019-12-04 2024-01-30 国网天津市电力公司电力科学研究院 基于加权熵fcm的能源计量数据特征约简方法及装置
CN111260030B (zh) * 2020-01-13 2021-01-05 润联软件系统(深圳)有限公司 基于a-tcn电力负荷预测方法、装置、计算机设备及存储介质
CN111563776B (zh) * 2020-05-08 2021-07-16 国网江苏省电力有限公司扬州供电分公司 一种基于K近邻异常检测和Prophet模型的电量分解和预测方法
KR102347164B1 (ko) * 2020-05-13 2022-01-03 고려대학교 산학협력단 일사량 예측 장치 및 방법
US11553618B2 (en) 2020-08-26 2023-01-10 PassiveLogic, Inc. Methods and systems of building automation state load and user preference via network systems activity
CN112101681B (zh) * 2020-09-25 2023-04-28 北京师范大学 基于遥感ndpi时间序列监测冬小麦干热风灾害的方法
US20230010757A1 (en) * 2021-07-12 2023-01-12 PassiveLogic, Inc. Device energy use determination
US11830383B2 (en) 2021-09-08 2023-11-28 PassiveLogic, Inc. External activating of quiescent device

Family Cites Families (8)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
ES2297491T3 (es) * 2003-08-20 2008-05-01 New Energy Options, Inc. Procedimiento y sistema para predecir la produccion de energia solar.
US8180664B2 (en) * 2004-12-01 2012-05-15 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. Methods and systems for forecasting with model-based PDF estimates
FR2941328B1 (fr) 2009-01-19 2012-11-02 Commissariat Energie Atomique Procede de prevision de la production electrique d'un dispositif photovoltaique
US20100299287A1 (en) * 2009-05-22 2010-11-25 Alcatel-Lucent Usa Inc. Monitoring time-varying network streams using state-space models
US9753455B2 (en) * 2009-06-22 2017-09-05 Johnson Controls Technology Company Building management system with fault analysis
WO2011130297A2 (en) * 2010-04-13 2011-10-20 The Regents Of The University Of California Methods of using generalized order differentiation and integration of input variables to forecast trends
US8942959B2 (en) * 2012-03-29 2015-01-27 Mitsubishi Electric Research Laboratories, Inc. Method for predicting outputs of photovoltaic devices based on two-dimensional fourier analysis and seasonal auto-regression
US20140278108A1 (en) * 2013-03-13 2014-09-18 Locus Energy, Llc Methods and Systems for Optical Flow Modeling Applications for Wind and Solar Irradiance Forecasting

Also Published As

Publication number Publication date
EP3161527B1 (en) 2018-08-01
WO2016003861A1 (en) 2016-01-07
US10386544B2 (en) 2019-08-20
US20170205537A1 (en) 2017-07-20
EP3161527A1 (en) 2017-05-03

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