KR20050104482A - System and method for production plan using auto-demand-forecast - Google Patents

Abstract

The present invention relates to a production planning system and method through automatic demand forecasting, the product information disclosure step of releasing the productized ideas of the inventors of the member or the product of the manufacturer and the re-launching product of the member; A demand input step in which a consumer, a member, checks the published product information and the consumer virtually purchases, withholds, and does not purchase the corresponding product; A satisfaction input step of evaluating, by the consumer, satisfaction with a product selected from a function, a design, a price, a necessity, a delivery date / payment, an awareness, a quality, and a satisfaction evaluation item; A demand forecasting step of predicting demand using a ratio of the number of consumers who have made a purchase decision to the number of consumers who have decided to purchase, withhold, or not purchase; A supplementary evaluation step of evaluating the satisfaction of the consumers who have determined the reservation and non-purchase, and suggests complementary points of the corresponding products in descending order of satisfaction; If the demand forecasting results in marketability, the product is produced and sold, and if there is no marketability, the product is judged to be a production decision step of returning to the product information disclosure step by complementing the product according to the evaluation result of the satisfaction. By this configuration, the present invention discloses information such as design, price, function, etc. of ideas, new products, and relaunching products, and consumers can easily establish a production and sales plan by predicting demand based on evaluation. It can be effective.

Description

System and method for production plan using auto-demand-forecast}

The present invention relates to a production planning system and method through automatic demand forecasting, in particular, a production plan through the automatic demand forecasting, which can establish the production plan of the product by predicting the demand of consumers online with a sample of the manufacturer or the designer A system and method thereof are provided.

In general, even if the individual designer has an idea for a specific product, it is difficult to calculate the production cost to commercialize it, and thus it is difficult to determine the consumer price, and to determine the output by predicting the market research or demand required for the sale of the product. It is not easy to plan production.

In addition, small manufacturers also have difficulty in market research and forecasting demand, which can lead to product inventory and loss of business.

After a product is released to the market, a manufacturer like this goes to the consumer to find the cause of the sluggish sales, and to grasp the level of satisfaction or dissatisfaction with the design, function, and price of the product. Based on the identified information, it is possible to develop improved products through product pricing, complementary functions, and remodeling.

However, investigating the opinions of consumers about a specific product as described above has a big problem of spending time and money.

In view of the above problems, the present invention discloses product information or ideas on-line, and collects the opinions of consumers on the published product information or ideas, and predicts the demand to produce a production plan through automatic demand forecasting to establish a production plan. The purpose is to provide a planning system and method.

In addition, the present invention has another object to provide a production planning system and method through the automatic demand prediction that can provide information to the individual designer, such as manufacturing cost, minimum production quantity of a single product by opening the idea of the individual designer to the manufacturer.

In addition, the present invention discloses information such as the specifications, price, design, etc. of products that are poorly sold among products produced by manufacturers, and finds the reason for the sluggish sales through evaluation of consumers, and provides an opportunity to reenter the market. Another object is to provide a production planning system and method through automatic demand forecasting.

The present invention for achieving the above object is a product information disclosure step of disclosing the productized ideas of the inventors of the member or the product of the manufacturer and the relaunching product of the member; A demand input step in which a consumer, a member, checks the published product information and the consumer virtually purchases, withholds, and does not purchase the corresponding product; A satisfaction input step of evaluating, by the consumer, satisfaction with a product selected from a function, a design, a price, a necessity, a delivery date / payment, an awareness, a quality, and a satisfaction evaluation item; A demand forecasting step of predicting demand using a ratio of the number of consumers who have made a purchase decision to the number of consumers who have decided to purchase, withhold, or not purchase; A supplementary evaluation step of evaluating the satisfaction of the consumers who have determined the reservation and non-purchase, and suggests complementary points of the corresponding products in descending order of satisfaction; If the demand forecast results in marketability, the product is produced and sold, and if there is no marketability, the product is composed of a production judgment step of returning to the product information disclosure step by complementing the product according to the evaluation result of the customer's satisfaction.

When described in detail with reference to the accompanying drawings, the present invention configured as described above are as follows.

First, Figure 1 is a production plan system configuration through the automatic demand prediction according to the present invention, as shown in this disclosure by the idea provided by the member of the designer or manufacturer, by examining the evaluation of the idea from the members A demand forecasting and ordering operator server 100 for predicting demand and providing information on production and sales of ideas of a designer who is a member, and relaying commercialization and sales of ideas between each member; By accessing the demand forecast and the ark operator server 100 through the Internet network, the idea is released, and the manufacturer receives the information such as the production unit price and the minimum production quantity, and the bidding information and ideas are evaluated by the consumer to demand Predictable designer PC 200; A manufacturer PC 300 that makes a production bid for the inventor's idea, publishes its product sample, evaluates the consumer, and predicts demand; A distributor PC 400 for distributing the products of the manufacturer and the inventor; It is composed of a consumer PC (500) for accessing the demand forecasting and ordering operator server 100 to perform an evaluation of the published ideas.

Hereinafter, the production planning system and method through the present invention automatic demand prediction configured as described above in more detail through specific embodiments as follows.

Example 1

Figure 2 is a flow chart according to the first embodiment of the production planning method through the automatic demand forecasting of the present invention, the designer using the designer (PC) as shown in the step of logging into the demand forecasting and ordering operator server (S201) )Wow; The inventor discloses the idea (S202); Confirming the published idea by the manufacturer and providing information such as a cost and a minimum quantity required to commercialize the idea (S203); Grasping the bidding contents of the manufacturer and selecting an advantageous manufacturer (S204); Publishing an idea including the conditions of the selected manufacturer (S205); Confirming the disclosed idea in a distributor and presenting a distribution margin and a distribution structure (S206); The inventor selects a distributor (S207); Publishing an idea of a product or a picture of a sample including a final consumer in consideration of the margins of the designer, the manufacturer and the distributor (S208); Viewing the information such as the published idea or sample and price, the virtual purchase by the consumer to evaluate the product (S209); Predicting demand based on the evaluation result of consumers in the demand prediction and the water repellent service provider server 100 (S210); Comparing the demand prediction result with a minimum orderable quantity of the manufacturer (S211); If the demand prediction result is less than the minimum order quantity of the manufacturer, correcting the corresponding idea and returning to step S202 (S212); If the demand forecasting result is more than the minimum orderable quantity, the inventor orders the selected manufacturer and distributor according to the prediction result, and produces and sells the product (S213).

This operation of the first embodiment of the present invention will be described in more detail.

First, in step S201, the designer having an idea for a specific product logs in to the demand forecaster and the ordering operator server 100 using the designer PC 200.

At this time, the inventor is a person registered as a member of the demand forecasting and ordering operator server 100, in addition to the member of the demand forecasting and ordering operator server 100 is composed of manufacturers, distributors and consumers.

The inventors, manufacturers, distributors and consumers include both domestic and foreign designers, manufacturers, distributors and consumers.

Next, in step S202, the logged in inventor reveals his or her idea.

This disclosure is protected so that only the manufacturer can see the idea.

Next, in step S203, the manufacturer as a member connects to the demand forecasting and ordering operator server 100 through the manufacturer PC 300 to confirm the idea of the disclosed inventor.

After confirming the idea as described above, the designer presents information such as cost and minimum quantity required to commercialize the idea and estimates it.

Then, in step S204 through the above process, the designer can check the production cost of the product and the minimum quantity available for production orders, etc., and selects a manufacturer who has a favorable quotation among the plurality of quotations.

If the designer finds that the estimate is not appropriate, he or she may stop waiting for the idea or wait for another manufacturer to estimate it.

Next, in step S205, the idea including the quotation contents of the manufacturer selected in step S204 is disclosed.

At this time, the disclosure status is restricted so that only the distributor who is a member can check.

Next, in step S206, the distributor connects to the demand forecasting and ordering operator server 100 through the distributor PC 400, checks the disclosed idea, and estimates the distribution structure, conditions, and distribution margin of the corresponding product. .

Next, in step S207, the inventor who disclosed the idea selects a distributor.

Next, in step S208, the information of the product including the end consumer considering the margin of the idea and the inventor, the manufacturer and the distributor is disclosed.

At this time, the degree of disclosure is such that the consumer as a member can confirm.

Next, in step S209, the consumer, who is a member, logs in to the demand forecasting and ordering operator server 100 using the consumer PC 500, checks the information such as the disclosed idea or sample and price, and then purchases Indicate the degree.

3 illustrates a specific example of the degree indication of the purchase intention.

3 is a flow chart showing the flow of the evaluation process for the corresponding idea of the consumer, as shown in the first step in step S310 to buy or withhold, considering the function, price, design, etc. of the idea, Decide not to.

After the decision is made, in step S320, the consumer directly inputs satisfaction of the function, design, price, necessity, delivery / payment method, recognition, and quality of the idea.

In the step S320, the evaluation process of the consumer may be more complicated according to the case, but in consideration of the reduction of the evaluation cost of the consumer due to the complex evaluation process is determined to the extent that the accurate evaluation can be made.

In operation S330, the demand for the idea is automatically predicted.

Next, in step S210, the demand forecasting and ordering operator server 100 collects the evaluations of the consumers to automatically predict demand and point out improvements of the corresponding idea.

The automatic demand prediction predicts the demand by calculating the ratio of the consumer who has indicated the purchase to the person who participated in the evaluation, the consumer who is under consideration, and the consumer who has selected a non-purchase.

In addition to the demand forecast, the improvement of the corresponding idea is confirmed by checking the satisfaction evaluation result of the consumer who has selected the non-purchasing and considering.

In other words, in the satisfaction evaluation result of consumers who have selected non-purchase, it is possible to check the improvement of the idea by checking whether the satisfaction with the price is lowered or the satisfaction with the function is lowered, and disclose it to the designer so that the designer can revise and supplement his idea. Make sure

Next, in step S211, it is determined whether the demand demand result of the product is greater than or equal to the minimum order quantity of the manufacturer.

Next, in step S212, if the demand prediction result is less than the minimum quantity available from the manufacturer in step S211, the designer improves the part that satisfies the customer's satisfaction of the non-purchase and withholding of the idea in step S210. Repeat step S202.

On the contrary, if the demand prediction result of the product in step S211 is equal to or greater than the minimum available quantity of the manufacturer, the designer orders the selected manufacturer to produce the product as in step S213, and distributes the produced product through a distributor. I can sell it.

Through the above process, individual designers who have no experience in manufacturing, distribution, etc., and cannot afford market research, can commercialize their ideas by collectively processing manufacturing, distribution, and demand forecasting.

Example 2

Figure 4 is a flow chart according to another embodiment of the present invention, as shown in the step of publishing the product to be relaunched by the manufacturer logged in to the demand forecaster and the order provider server 100 through the manufacturer PC (S410) )Wow; Performing evaluation by consumers who are members of the published product (S420); Analyzing demand results of the demand forecasting and ordering operator server 100 to automatically predict demand and interpreting satisfaction of the relaunching product (S430); Determining whether the product can be relaunched as a result of the demand prediction (S440); In the case of the product which cannot be relaunched as a result of the determination in step S440, after the product is supplemented according to the result of analyzing the satisfaction of the consumer, returning to step S410 (S450); As a result of the determination in step S440, if the product is capable of relaunching, the step includes producing and selling the corresponding product (S460).

The re-launch product is a product manufactured by the manufacturer and introduced to the market, but the product has been poor in sales, and refers to a product that the manufacturer wants to reintroduce into the market by supplementing the product.

When the relaunched product enters the market and sells again, the manufacturer finds a way to solve the previous sluggishness, and in this case, the demand prediction of the product is necessary.

In order to predict such demand, the manufacturer discloses information such as photos, functions, and prices of the corresponding relaunch product, as in step S410.

Next, in step S420, the consumers who are members select the purchase, withhold, and no purchase as in the first embodiment, and display the satisfaction with the design, the price, the function, and the like.

Next, in step S430, the demand forecasting and ordering operator server 100 calculates the purchase rate of the consumers, predicts the demand, and evaluates and analyzes the satisfaction of the consumers who have selected the pending and non-purchasing.

Next, in step S440 it is checked whether the product can be re-launched according to the demand prediction result.

At this time, the product that can be relaunched corresponds to the case where the demand prediction result is more than the set reference value, and the reference value is set in consideration of the price of the product and the size of the market.

Next, in step S450, when the demand prediction result is not a product that can be relaunched, the product that is to be relaunched is returned to the step S410 by referring to the customer's satisfaction.

The supplement intensively supplements the low satisfaction level in the satisfaction evaluated by the consumer.

That is, if the satisfaction with the design is lowered, the design of the product is redesigned, or if the satisfaction with the function is lowered, the product to be relaunched by supplementing the functions such as the improvement of the function and the development of other functions is disclosed.

On the other hand, if it is determined that relaunching is possible in step S440, the relaunch product is produced and sold as in step S460.

The above process is equally applicable to a new product of a manufacturer, and the process of Example 2 is omitted from the distributor's quotation and selection. If the manufacturer does not have a separate distribution channel, the distribution of a member distributor is performed. Route is available.

Through this process, the manufacturer can predict the demand for a new product or a relaunched product, and can reduce the inventory of the product by performing a product supplement and determining the manufacturing quantity according to the prediction result.

The present invention has been shown and described with reference to certain preferred embodiments, but the present invention is not limited to the above-described embodiments and has ordinary skill in the art to which the present invention pertains without departing from the concept of the present invention. Various changes and modifications are possible by the user.

As described above, the present invention discloses information such as design, price, and function of ideas, new products, and relaunching products, and the members can estimate the demand based on the evaluation and establish the production and sales plan of the product. There is.

In addition, individual designers who have no experience in production, distribution, and market research can batch-process their ideas into productization, distribution, and market research, thereby avoiding the cost and time lost of individual research.

1 is a block diagram of a production planning system through automatic demand prediction according to the present invention.

2 is a flow chart of a production planning method through automatic demand forecasting according to an embodiment of the present invention.

3 is a detailed flowchart of step S110 in FIG.

4 is a flow chart of a production planning method through automatic demand forecasting according to another embodiment of the present invention.

* Description of the symbols for the main parts of the drawings *

100: demand forecasting and ordering operator server 200: planner PC

300: Manufacturer PC 400: Distributor PC

500: Consumer PC

Claims (4)

Disclosing information on ideas or products provided by members who are designers or manufacturers, surveying evaluations of those ideas from members of consumers, predicting demand for productized ideas or products, and producing ideas of members' designers And a demand forecasting and ordering operator server which provides information on distribution and relays the commercialization and sale of ideas between each member. The idea is made by accessing the demand forecasting and ark operator server through the internet network, receiving information such as production unit price and minimum production quantity from the manufacturer, and sending the idea including the manufacturer's quotation to the member distributor. A designer PC which can disclose the distribution path and the margin and determine the final consumer price, and disclose the idea information including the final consumer price to be evaluated by the consumer to predict demand; A production PC for making estimates of the ideas of the inventors, and releasing new products or re-launching products of the inventors to be evaluated by consumers and predicting demand; A distributor PC for estimating distribution information about the inventor's productized idea or the manufacturer's new product and the relaunch product; Production plan system through the automatic demand forecast, characterized in that consisting of a consumer PC that is connected to the demand forecasting and ordering operator server to perform an evaluation of an open idea or product. The method of claim 1, wherein the demand forecasting and ordering operator server allows a consumer member to virtually purchase, withhold, and not purchase a publicly disclosed idea or product, and functions, design, price, necessity, and delivery date for each selection. Production planning system through automatic demand forecasting, characterized by measuring at least two satisfactions with payment, recognition, and quality to predict demand and evaluating satisfaction to determine improvement of idea or product. A product information disclosure step of releasing productized ideas of the inventors as members or information of products and relaunching products of the manufacturers as members; A demand input step in which a consumer, a member, checks the published product information and the consumer virtually purchases, withholds, and does not purchase the corresponding product; A satisfaction input step of evaluating, by the consumer, satisfaction with a product selected from a function, a design, a price, a necessity, a delivery date / payment, an awareness, a quality, and a satisfaction evaluation item; A demand forecasting step of predicting demand using a ratio of the number of consumers who have made a purchase decision to the number of consumers who have decided to purchase, withhold, or not purchase; A supplementary evaluation step of evaluating the satisfaction of the consumers who have determined the reservation and non-purchase, and suggests complementary points of the corresponding products in descending order of satisfaction; If the demand forecast results in marketability, the product is produced and sold, and if there is no marketability, the product is judged by a production judgment step of supplementing the product according to the evaluation result of the consumer and returning to the product information disclosure step. Production planning method. The process of claim 3, wherein the process of commercializing the idea of the designer in the product information disclosure step is to selectively disclose the designer's idea only to the member manufacturer to receive production information such as cost and minimum order quantity for productizing the idea. Steps; Selectively exposing an idea including the production information quotation only to a distributor who is a member and receiving a quotation for distribution of a corresponding product; The production planning method through the automatic demand prediction, characterized in that the step of determining the consumer price including the designer's margin in the production and distribution estimates.