KR101566162B1 - System for hedging risk of fuel cell power generation business according to the increase of gas price - Google Patents

System for hedging risk of fuel cell power generation business according to the increase of gas price Download PDF

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KR101566162B1
KR101566162B1 KR1020150088726A KR20150088726A KR101566162B1 KR 101566162 B1 KR101566162 B1 KR 101566162B1 KR 1020150088726 A KR1020150088726 A KR 1020150088726A KR 20150088726 A KR20150088726 A KR 20150088726A KR 101566162 B1 KR101566162 B1 KR 101566162B1
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fuel cell
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김건택
이강석
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김건택
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Abstract

Disclosed is a system for hedging risk of fuel cell power generation business according to the increase of gas price. The system for hedging risk of fuel cell power generation business according to the increase of gas price can hedge the risk of fuel cell power generation business according to abnormal increase of gas price and can invigorate the fuel cell power generation business. The system includes: a gas price management unit, a temporary power sales price (TSP) management unit, a TSP approval confirming unit, a TSP adjusting unit, and a final power sales price (FSP) management unit.

Description

[Background Art] [0002] The risk hedging system of a fuel cell power generation business due to a rise in gas price is a system for hedging a risk of a fuel cell,

The risk hedge system of the fuel cell power generation business due to the rise in gas prices will be launched. More specifically, a risk hedge system for a fuel cell power generation business is disclosed in which a risk of a fuel cell power generation business due to an abnormal increase in gas price can be hedged and the fuel cell power generation business can be activated.

Renewable energy is energy that transforms existing fossil fuels or transforms renewable energy including sunlight, water, geothermal, precipitation, and biological organisms. These renewable energy sources include fuel cells, solar power, wind power, bio, waste and water power.

In order to promote the development and utilization of new and renewable energy, the renewable energy portfolio standard (RPS) system, which was enacted in January 2012, requires renewable energy portfolio standard It is a system that makes it mandatory to secure the amount of renewable energy generation. Since the early 2000s, the system has been introduced and operating globally in the UK, Sweden, Canada, Japan, Australia and the United States to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and grow the renewable energy market.

In Korea, 14 large-scale power generation companies such as KEPCO power subsidiary, District Heating Corporation, and Water Resources Corporation will be designated as RPS observers from January 1, 2012, to produce a part of the generated electricity as renewable energy and / To purchase a renewable energy certificate (REC). As a result of the addition of the REC trading system to the RPS system, there has been a market in which buyers and sellers of renewable energy can buy and sell renewable energy through REC. Since the RPS is mandatory, fines may be imposed or other sanctions may be imposed in accordance with the enforcement ordinance if the quota is not secured through production and / or purchase.

The mandatory supply of new and renewable energy starts from 2% in 2012 and is specified in the Enforcement Decree to increase to 10% after 2023.

The introduction of the RPS system has the following effects: First, it is possible to expand the supply of new and renewable energy by mandating the generation of new and renewable energy directly to the generation company. Second, there is no need for government finances to be implemented because the cost of implementation is conserved through the electricity market. Third, the cost of generating new and renewable energy is determined in the market, so competition and reasonable pricing are possible.

However, unlike solar power, wind power, and hydro power, the fuel price of renewable energy is unusually high when the price of raw material gas rises abnormally. Therefore, the fuel cost of the fuel cell and fuel cell power generation company There is a problem in that the REC transaction is not activated due to excessive and unpredictable risks of RPS observers who want to purchase RECs and financial institutions that want to do project financing (PF) transactions to fuel cell power generation companies.

An embodiment of the present invention provides a risk hedging system of a fuel cell power generation business that can prevent the risk of a fuel cell power generation business due to abnormal rise of gas prices and promote the fuel cell power generation business.

According to an aspect of the present invention,

A GP management unit receiving first information related to a transition of a gas price (GP) for a future fuel cell from a server of a third evaluation institution, storing the first information, and transmitting the first information in response to an external request;

The method comprising the steps of: receiving the first information from the GP management unit and storing the received first information, storing the first information at a preliminary sales unit price (at each step of the fuel cell power generation period divided into a plurality of stages based on at least the first information or the deformation information of the first information TSP n ) and stores it, and stores the second-1 information in response to an external request to a server of a development company and a financial institution to purchase a final renewable energy supply certificate FREC n A TSP management unit for transmitting to the server;

Information from the TSP management unit to the second-1 information, the second-2 information corresponding to the second-1 information from the server of the generation company, and the second-second information from the server of the financial institution to the second- 3 information and stores them, and determines whether the provisional turnover unit price (TSP n ) has been approved by the server of the generation company and the server of the financial institution based on at least the second-second information and the second- A TSP approval decision unit for determining whether the TSP is approved;

When the TSP approval determination unit determines that the provisional sales unit price (TSP n ) is disallowed, the second-second information and the second-third information are transmitted to the TSP management unit, and the TSP management unit is restarted A TSP changing unit for changing the second-1 information based on at least the second-2 information and the second-third information; And

If it is determined by the TSP approval determination unit that the provisional unit price (TSP n ) has been approved, third information related to the final unit price (FSP n ) is generated and stored, and in response to an external request, And an FSP management unit that transmits the third information to the fuel cell power generation business.

The final unit cost FSPn for each step of the fuel cell power generation period included in the third information may have the same value.

The risk hedge system of the fuel cell power generation business due to the rise in the gas price,

SMP management unit that stores it receives the fourth information related to the SMP (SMP n) calculated at each stage of the fuel cell power generation period, and transmits the fourth information in response to an external request;

Receives the fourth information from the SMP management unit and stores it, generates 5-1 information related to the price of a provisional renewable energy supply certificate (TREC n ) based on the fourth information, stores the 5-1 information, A TREC management unit for sending the 5-1 information to the server of the generation company in response to the request;

5-2 information corresponding to the 5-1 information from the 5-1 information and the server of the generation company from the TREC management unit, and stores them, and based on at least the 5-2 information, A TREC approval decision unit for determining whether the provisional renewable energy supply certificate (TREC n ) price has been approved by the server;

When the TREC approval determination unit determines that the TREC price is disallowed, transmits the 5-2 information to the TREC management unit and restarts the TREC management unit to transmit the 5-2 information to the fifth -1 information to change the information; And

And the sixth information related to the final renewable energy supply certificate (FREC n ) price is stored and stored when the TREC price determination unit determines that the TREC price has been approved by the TREC approval determination unit, And a FREC management unit for transmitting information.

The risk hedge system of the fuel cell power generation business due to the rise in the gas price receives the third information from the FSP management unit, the fourth information from the SMP management unit, and the sixth information from the FREC management unit and stores them, (AC n ) differentially assigned to each step of the fuel cell power generation period according to Equation (1) based on the first information, the second information, the third information, the fourth information, and the sixth information, And an AC determination unit for transmitting the seventh information in response to an external request,

[Equation 1]

Seventh information AC n = fourth information SMP n + m sixth information REC n - third information FSP n )

In the above Equation 1, the units of the third information, the fourth information, the sixth information, and the seventh information are \ / kWh, m is 0.1 to 8, and n is 1 to 30 steps.

The risk hedge system of the fuel cell power generation business may further include a risk hedge system in which the TSP approval determination unit determines that the provisional selling unit price (TSP n ) is approved, the eighth information about the PF fund sent from the server of the financial institution And a PF fund manager for receiving and storing the eighth information and transmitting the eighth information according to an external request.

The weighted average final unit cost (WASP) over the entire period of the fuel cell power generation period may be 150-450 / kWh.

The risk hedge system of the fuel cell power generation business may be periodically or intermittently operated during the fuel cell power generation period to update the respective information with respect to the remaining period of the fuel cell power generation period.

According to the embodiment of the present invention, the risk hedge system of the fuel cell power generation business due to an increase in the gas price is a system in which a fuel cell power generation company and a fuel cell power generation company receive a renewable energy supply certificate (REC) even if the fuel cell gas price surges abnormally It is possible to hedge all the risks of financial institutions that are going to make project financing (PF) transactions to the RPS observers and fuel cell power generators who are going to purchase.

1 is a schematic diagram illustrating a risk hedge system and associated peripheral servers of a fuel cell power generation business according to an embodiment of the present invention.
FIG. 2 is an overall configuration diagram of a risk hedge system of a fuel cell power generation business according to an embodiment of the present invention. Referring to FIG.
3 is a flowchart illustrating a process of deriving a final selling price (FSP n ) in the risk hedging system of the fuel cell power generation business according to an embodiment of the present invention.
4 is a flowchart showing a process of deriving a final renewable energy supply certificate (FREC n ) price and a compensation amount (AC n ) in the risk hedge system of the fuel cell power generation business according to an embodiment of the present invention.
5 is a graph for explaining the operation and effect of the risk hedge system of the fuel cell power generation business according to an embodiment of the present invention.

Hereinafter, a risk hedge system for a fuel cell power generation business according to an embodiment of the present invention will be described in detail with reference to the drawings.

In this specification, "AC: amount of compensation" means the amount of compensation, "FREC: final renewable energy certificate" means final renewable energy supply certificate, and "FSP: final power sales price" , "GP: gas price" means gas price, "SMP: system marginal price" means grid limit price, "TREC: temporary renewable energy certificate" means provisional renewable energy supply certificate, "TSP: temporary power sales price" refers to provisional sales unit price, and "WASP: weighted average final sales price" refers to weighted average final unit sales price.

FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram illustrating a risk hedge system 100 and related peripheral servers 200, 300, 400, and 500 of a fuel cell power generation business according to an embodiment of the present invention.

Referring to FIG. 1, a risk hedge system 100 (hereinafter, simply referred to as a "risk hedge system") of a fuel cell power generation business due to an increase in gas price according to one embodiment of the present invention includes a third evaluation institution server And receives and / or exchanges (i.e., receives and transmits) various information with the power generation server 200, the generation company server 300, the financial institution server 400, and the power exchange server 500.

The risk hedge system 100 is operated by a fuel cell power generation company.

The third evaluation authority refers to an institution that evaluates the trend of future gas prices (GP) for a fuel cell, and is not a fuel cell power generation company, a development company, a financial institution, and an institution other than a power exchange. The third evaluation body may be, for example, the Korea Technology Assessment Institute.

2 is an overall configuration diagram of a risk hedge system 100 of a fuel cell power generation business according to an embodiment of the present invention.

2, the risk hedge system 100 includes a GP management unit 101, a TSP management unit 102, a TSP approval determination unit 103, a TSP change unit 104, an FSP management unit 105, an SMP management unit 106, a TREC management unit 107, a TREC approval determination unit 108, a TREC change unit 109, a FREC management unit 110, an AC determination unit 111, and a PF fund management unit 112.

The GP management unit 101 receives the first information related to the transition of the gas price GP for the future fuel cell from the server of the third evaluation institution, stores the first information, and transmits the first information in response to an external request. The fuel cell gas may include liquefied natural gas (LNG), city gas, or a combination thereof. The liquefied natural gas may be liquefied natural gas for power generation. The first information is indicative of the gas price per period, for example, it may be in the form of a graph.

The TSP management unit 102 receives the first information from the GP management unit 101, stores the first information, and stores the first information in the fuel cell power generation period divided into a plurality of stages based on at least the first information or the deformation information of the first information. Generates and stores the 2-1 information related to the provisional sales price (TSP n ) for each step, and stores the 2-1 information in response to an external request to purchase the final renewable energy supply certificate (FREC n ) To a server of a development company 300 and a server of a financial institution 400 to be developed. The TSP management unit 102 may further consider the first information and optionally the internal information when generating the second-1 information. The second-1 information may include a final unit cost FSPn (unit: \ / kWh) for each step of the fuel cell power generation period. The internal information may include a target return rate of the fuel cell power generation company and / or a cash flow of the fuel cell power generation company. The deformation information of the first information is information related to the trend of the future fuel cell gas price (GP) newly determined by consultation between stakeholders based on the first information. Such stakeholders may include REC buyers, financial institutions, city gas suppliers, fuel cell power generators, fuel cell manufacturers, fuel cell suppliers and / or heat trading operators as RPS observers.

The fuel cell power generation period is a total of 1 to 30 years, and the periods of the respective steps may be equal to or different from each other. The fuel cell power generation period is typically 20 years, but this can be extended depending on the interests of business people.

The final unit cost (FSPn) for each step of the fuel cell power generation period included in the second-1 information may decrease as the fuel cell power generation period elapses.

The TSP approval determination unit 103 receives the 2-1 information from the TSP management unit 102, the 2-2 information corresponding to the 2-1 information from the server 300 of the generation company, And stores the second 2-3 information corresponding to the second-1 information from the server of the first generation server and stores them. The server 300 of the generation company and the financial institution (TSP n ) has been approved by the server 400 of the server 400. The second-2 information and the second-third information may independently include an approval signal or a disapproval signal. And the second-2 information and the second-third information each include an unaccepted signal, the second-second information and the second-third information are respectively a final sales unit price FSPn ) (I.e., the revised unit cost of sales (unit: \ / kWh)).

If it is determined by the TSP approval decision unit 103 that the provisional selling price (TSP n ) is disallowed, the TSP change unit 104 transmits the second-second information and the second-third information to the TSP management unit 102 and restarts the TSP management unit 102 to change the second-1 information based on at least the second-second information and the second-third information. When the TSP management unit 102 changes the second-1 information, the TSP management unit 102 stores at least one of the first information and the internal information as well as the second-second information and the second- Additional considerations can be made. The second-1 information changed by the TSP management unit 102 is stored in the TSP management unit 102, and can be transmitted in response to an external request. When the second-1 information is changed, the second-second information and the second-third information may not be changed or changed independently of each other. In this case, until the unit price information of the changed second-1 information matches the unit price information of the changed or unchanged second-2 information and the second-third information (i.e., until they become identical) The management unit 102, the TSP approval determination unit 103, and the TSP changing unit 104 are repeatedly operated in this order.

If it is determined by the TSP approval decision unit 103 that the provisional selling price (TSP n ) has been approved, the FSP management unit 105 generates third information related to the final selling price (FSP n ) and stores it , And transmits the third information in response to an external request. The third information may include a final unit cost FSPn (unit: \ / kWh) for each stage of the fuel cell power generation period. The unit price information among the third information matches (i.e., is the same with) unit price information among the 2-1, 2-2, and 2-3 information that has not been changed or changed.

The third information FSP n may be 60-600 / kWh.

The final turnover unit price FSPn for each step of the fuel cell power generation period included in the third information may decrease as the fuel cell power generation period elapses. For example, if n = 4, then FSP1> FSP2> FSP3> FSP4.

The final unit cost FSPn for each step of the fuel cell power generation period included in the third information may have the same value. For example, when n = 4, FSP1 = FSP2 = FSP3 = FSP4.

The weighted average final unit cost (WASP) over the entire period of the fuel cell power generation period may be 150-450 / kWh.

The SMP management unit 106 receives and stores fourth information related to the systematic marginal price SMP n calculated for each step of the fuel cell power generation period, and transmits the fourth information in response to an external request. The fourth information may include a power selling price (unit: \ / kWh) for each stage of the fuel cell power generation period. The systematic marginal price (SMP n ) may be determined at the power exchange based on the gas price for the fuel cell.

The unit price of power sale for each step of the fuel cell power generation period included in the fourth information may increase as the fuel cell power generation period elapses.

The fourth information SMP n may be 50 to 300 kWh.

The TREC management unit 107 receives the fourth information from the SMP management unit 106 and stores the fourth information, and based on at least the fourth information, the 5-1 information related to the price of the provisional renewable energy supply certificate (TREC n ) And transmits the 5-1 information to the server 300 of the generation company in response to an external request. The 5-1 information may include a renewable energy supply certificate (unit: \ / kWh) for each stage of the fuel cell power generation period.

The renewable energy supply certificate for each step of the fuel cell power generation period included in the 5-1 information may increase as the fuel cell power generation period elapses.

The TREC approval decision unit 108 receives the 5-1 information from the TREC management unit 107 and the 5-2 information corresponding to the 5-1 information from the server of the generation company and stores them, And determines whether the provisional renewable energy supply certificate (TREC n ) price has been approved by the server 300 of the generation company based on the 5-2 information. The 5-2 information may include an acknowledgment signal or an unauthorized signal. The 5-2 information includes information related to the renewable energy supply certificate for each step of the fuel cell development period (i.e., the modified renewable energy supply certificate (unit: \ / kWh)).

TREC change unit 109 sends the 5-2 information to the TREC management unit 107 when the TREC price determination unit 108 determines that the TREC price is disallowed and resumes the TREC management unit 107 And changes the 5-1 information based on at least the 5-2 information. When the TREC management unit 107 changes the 5-1 information, the TREC management unit 107 may consider not only the 5-2 information but also at least one of the first information and the internal information. The 5-1 information changed by the TREC management unit 107 is stored in the TREC management unit 107 and can be transmitted in response to an external request. When the 5-1 information is changed, the 5-2 information may not be changed or changed. In this case, the TREC management unit 107, the TREC approval unit 107, the TREC management unit 107, the TREC management unit 107, The determination unit 108 and the TREC changing unit 109 are repeatedly operated in this order.

If the TREC price decision unit 108 determines that the TREC price has been approved by the TREC approval decision unit 108, the FREC management unit 110 generates and stores sixth information related to the final renewable energy supply certificate (FREC n ) price, And transmits the sixth information in response to the request of the second terminal. The sixth information may include a renewable energy supply certificate (unit: \ / kWh) for each stage of the fuel cell power generation period. The unit price information of the sixth information matches (i.e., is the same as) unit price information among the 5-1 information and the 5-2 information which are not changed or changed.

The sixth information (FREC n ) may be 30 to 200 kWh.

The renewable energy supply certificate for each step of the fuel cell power generation period included in the sixth information may increase as the fuel cell power generation period elapses.

The AC determination unit 111 receives the third information from the FSP management unit 105, the fourth information from the SMP management unit 106, and the sixth information from the FREC management unit 110 and stores them, , The seventh information related to the compensation amount (AC n ) differentially assigned to each step of the fuel cell power generation period according to Equation (1) based on the fourth information and the sixth information, and stores the seventh information, And transmits the seventh information in response to an external request:

[Equation 1]

Seventh information AC n = fourth information SMP n + m sixth information FREC n - third information FSP n )

In the above Equation 1, the units of the third information, the fourth information, the sixth information, and the seventh information are \ / kWh, m is 0.1 to 8, and n is 1 to 30 steps.

The seventh information AC n may be 0 to 350 / kWh.

The amount of compensation for each step of the fuel cell power generation period included in the seventh information may increase as the fuel cell power generation period elapses.

The fuel cell power generation period is, for example, 20 years in total, and each stage period is divided into four stages of 2 to 8 years, 2 to 6 years, 2 to 6 years, and 2 to 6 years, (FSP n) and (AC n) the seventh information, the first and the 75 ~ 600 \ / kWh and 0 \ / kWh respectively in step 1, the each of the step 2 70 ~ 540 \ / kWh and a 30 to 150 \ / kWh and 50 to 200 kWh respectively in the third stage and 60 to 480 kWh and 100 to 350 kWh, respectively in the third stage and 65 to 510 kWh and 50 to 200 kWh, respectively.

The PF fund manager 112 determines that the provisional selling price (TSP n ) has been approved by the TSP approval determination unit 103, the eighth information about the PF fund sent from the server 400 of the financial institution And stores the received eighth information in response to an external request. The eighth information may include a PF fund size for each period, a interest amount for each period, a repayment date of interest, a repayment method of interest, a repayment date of principal, a principal repayment method, or a combination thereof.

The GP management unit 101, the TSP management unit 102, the TSP approval determination unit 103, the TSP change unit 104, the FSP management unit 105, the SMP management unit 106, the TREC management unit 107, The TREC change unit 109, the FREC management unit 110, the AC determination unit 111 and the PF fund management unit 112 may be configured as individual servers, or two or more may be modularized into one server .

The risk hedging system 100 may be operated periodically or intermittently during the fuel cell power generation period to update the respective information with respect to the remaining period of the fuel cell power generation period.

3 is a flowchart illustrating a process of deriving a final selling price (FSP n ) in the risk hedging system 100 of the fuel cell power generation business according to an embodiment of the present invention.

Referring to FIG. 3, the GP management unit receives the first information related to the transition of the gas price (GP) for the future fuel cell from the server of the third evaluation institution (S11) and sends it to the TSP management unit (S12).

The TSP management unit receives the first information and optionally the internal information (S'12) and generates second-1 information related to a provisional unit cost (TSP n ) for each step of the fuel cell development period based on the first information and the internal information , And transmits this information to the TSP approval approval determination unit (S13). In addition, the TSP management unit also transmits the second-1 information to the power generation server and the financial institution server (S14 and S15).

The generation server and the financial institution server each generate at least second-2 information and second-third information on the basis of the second-1 information, and transmit the information to the TSP approval determination unit (S16 and S17 ).

The TSP approval determination unit determines the provisional selling price (TSP n ) (i.e., the second (TSP)) based on at least the second-second information and the second-third information by a server of the generation company and a server of the financial institution -1 information) is approved, and transmits the second-1 information, the second-2 information, and / or the second-third information to the TSP changing unit or the FSP managing unit according to the determination result, The TSP change unit or the FSP management unit. Specifically, the TSP approval determination unit determines whether the second-2 information and the second-third information include an approval signal or an disapproval signal, respectively, and determines whether the second-2 information and the second- The second-2 information and the second-third information are transmitted to the TSP changing unit to activate the TSP changing unit, and when the at least one of the second-2 information and the second- 2-3 information includes an approval signal, unit price information among the 2-1 information, the 2-2 information, and the 2-3 information is transmitted to the FSP management unit to operate the FSP management unit.

If it is determined by the TSP approval determination unit that the provisional selling price (TSP n ) (i.e., the 2-1 information) is disallowed by the TSP approval determination unit, the TSP change unit may update the 2-2 information and the 2-3 Information to the TSP management unit, restarts the TSP management unit, and causes the TSP management unit to transmit the second-1 information to the TSP management unit based on at least the second-2 information and the second- (S18). At this time, the TSP changing unit may change the second-1 information by further considering at least one of the first information and the inner information, as well as the price information of the second-second information and the second-third information . When the second-1 information is changed as described above, the second-second information and the second-third information may not be changed or changed independently of each other.

The FSP manager third information related to the potential selling price (TSP n) when it is determined that (i. E., The second-first information) is accepted, the final selling price (FSP n) by the determiner whether the TSP approved And transmits the third information in response to an external request (S19). The unit price information of the third information is the same as the unit price information of the 2-1, 2-2, and 2-3 information that have not been changed or changed.

The PF (Project Financing) fund management unit, when it is determined by the TSP approval determination unit that the provisional sales unit price (TSP n ) (i.e., the 2-1 information) is approved, (S20), stores the eighth information on the PF fund, and transmits the eighth information in response to an external request (S21). The eighth information may include a PF fund size for each period, a interest amount for each period, a repayment date of interest, a repayment method of interest, a repayment date of principal, a principal repayment method, or a combination thereof.

4 is a flowchart showing a process of deriving a final renewable energy supply certificate (FREC n ) price and a compensation amount (AC n ) in the risk hedge system 100 of the fuel cell power generation business according to an embodiment of the present invention.

4, the SMP management unit receives the fourth information related to the SMP (SMP n) calculated at each stage of the fuel cell power generation period from the power exchange server (S22) and stores it, and the external request And sends the fourth information to the TREC management unit in response to the response (S23).

The TREC management unit generates and stores the 5-1 information based on at least the fourth information, and sends the 5-1 information to the TREC approval determination unit in response to an external request (S24). The TREC management unit also transmits the 5-1 information to the generation server (S25).

The generation server generates 5-2 information based on the 5-1 information, stores the 5-2 information, and transmits the 5-2 information to the TREC approval determination unit in response to an external request (S26).

The TREC approval determination unit may determine whether the provisional renewable energy supply certificate (TREC n ) price (i.e., the 5-1 information) has been approved by the server of the generation company based on at least the 5-2 information And transmits the 5-1 information and / or the price information of the 5-2 information to the TREC changing unit or the FREC managing unit according to the determination result, and activates the TREC changing unit or the FREC managing unit. Specifically, the TREC approval determination unit determines whether the 5-2 information includes an approval signal or an disapproval signal, and when the 5-2 information includes a signal that is not approved, the TREC approval determination unit determines whether the 5-2 information And transmits the unit price information to the TREC changing unit to operate the TREC changing unit. When the fifth-to-second information includes an acknowledgment signal, the unit price information of the 5-1 information or the 5-2 information is transmitted to the FREC managing unit And activates the FREC management unit.

If the TREC change determining unit determines that the provisional renewable energy supply certificate (TREC n ) price (i.e., the 5-1 information) is disallowed by the TREC approval determination unit, Information to the TREC management unit, restarts the TREC management unit, and causes the TREC management unit to change the 5-1 information based on at least the 5-2 information of the 5-2 information (S27). At this time, the TREC changing unit may change the 5-1 information by further considering at least one of the fourth information and the internal information, as well as the 5-2 information, among the 5-2 information. If the 5-1 information is changed, the 5-2 information may not be changed or changed.

If the FREC management unit determines that the provisional renewable energy supply certificate (TREC n ) price (i.e., the 5-1 information) has been approved by the TREC approval approval determiner, the final renewable energy supply certificate (FREC n) storing this by generating a sixth information related to the price, and sends out the sixth information in response to an external request portion AC determined (S28). The unit price information of the sixth information is the same as the unit price information of the 5-1 information and the 5-2 information which are not changed or changed.

The AC determination unit receives the third information, the fourth information, and the sixth information from the FSP management unit, the SMP management unit, and the FREC management unit in FIG. 3 (S29, S30, and S28) Determines the seventh information related to the compensation amount (AC n ) differentially assigned to each step of the fuel cell power generation period, stores the seventh information, and transmits the seventh information in response to an external request (S31).

5 is a graph for explaining the operation and effect of the risk hedging system 100 of the fuel cell power generation business according to an embodiment of the present invention.

Referring to FIG. 5, the price of the fuel cell gas increases gradually as the power generation period elapses (see the trend line).

If the gas price rises abnormally such as R 1 and R 2 during the power generation period, the systematic marginal price (SMP n ) and the renewable energy supply certificate (REC n ) price will abnormally skyrocket. In this case, the final selling price (FSP n ) also surges abnormally according to Equation (1).

Conventionally, when a power generation company purchases a renewable energy supply certificate (REC n ) from a fuel cell power generation company, the power generation company assumes an unlimited liability due to a surge in the gas price, renewable energy supply certificates (REC n) to pay the purchase price or, on the contrary, despite the fuel cell power generation operators of the gas price increase to bear unlimited liability in accordance with the surge of gas prices and limited renewable energy supply certificates (REC n) Only the method of receiving the payout was discussed. Therefore, in the past, none of the power generation companies, the fuel cell power generation companies, and the financial institutions intending to deal with the project financing (PF) transactions with the fuel cell power generation companies are willing to bear unlimited responsibility for the rise in gas prices. There is a problem that it is difficult to be done.

In order to solve the above problems, a risk hedge system 100 for a fuel cell power generation business according to an embodiment of the present invention has been developed.

For example, if the 20-year fuel cell power generation period is divided into four stages as shown in FIG. 6, namely, the first stage is 6 years, the second stage is 4 years, the third stage is 5 years and the fourth stage is 5 years, (SMP n ) and final renewable energy supply certificate (FREC n ) prices will increase as the price of gas increases. Therefore, as each stage progresses, the average unit cost of sales of the fuel cell power plant (SMP n + 2 × final FRP n ) is also increased. In this case, the risk hedge system 100 derives the provisional sales unit price by subtracting the step-by-step differential compensation amount from the average step-by-step unit price, and consults with the power generation company and the financial institution to calculate the final sales unit price (FSP 1 , FSP 2 , FSP 3 And FSP 4 ). In the first step higher than the step-by-step the final selling price (FSP 1), a step-by-step by Price (BP 1), after step 2, the step-by-step the final selling price (FSP 2, FSP 3, FSP 4) , a step-by-step by Price (BP 2, BP 3 , and BP 4 ), as well as the difference from the standard prices (BP 2 , BP 3 , and BP 4 ) at each step as the power generation period elapses, and the weighted average sales unit (WASP) will be lowered. The step-by-step reference price means an average price of the gas price during each stage of the development period. However, the present invention is not limited thereto, and in FIG. 5, FSP1, FSP2, FSP3, and FSP4 may be located on the same horizontal line (i.e., a straight line with a slope of 0).

An example of Fig. 5 is shown in Table 1 below.

The first stage (n = 1) The second stage (n = 2) The third stage (n = 3) Fourth step (n = 4) The base price (BP n ) 288 315 341 375 System Marginal Price (SMP n ) + 2 x Final Renewable Energy Supply Certificate (FREC n ) 315 333 356 375 The amount of compensation (AC n ) 0 40 74 112 Final selling price (FSP n ) 315 293 282 263 Weighted Average Unit Price (WASP) 290

Referring to FIG. 5 and Table 1, both the fuel cell power generation company and the generation company bear the limited liability even if the gas price surges during the power generation period abnormally. Accordingly, financial institutions can also make project financing (PF) transactions with the fuel cell power generation company without any burden. Specifically, the fuel cell power generation company can recover the renewable energy supply certificate (REC n ) and the electricity sales price stably during the development period, and can easily finance the project financing (PF) from the financial institution, It is possible to temporarily stop the fuel cell power generation and avoid the risk during the period in which the price surpasses the abnormal rise and surges. Also, a developer who purchases a renewable energy supply certificate (REC n ) from the fuel cell power generation company can purchase a renewable energy supply certificate (REC n ) at a limited price without any risk throughout the entire development period. In addition, since the financial institution can stably recover the sales price of the renewable energy supply certificate (REC n ) from the power generation company and the power sales price from the power exchange during the generation of the fuel cell, the fuel cell power generation company Project financing (PF) transactions. As a result, the fuel cell power generation business can be activated.

While the present invention has been described with reference to the drawings, it is to be understood that the invention is not limited to the disclosed embodiments, but, on the contrary, is intended to cover various modifications and equivalent arrangements included within the spirit and scope of the appended claims. Accordingly, the true scope of the present invention should be determined by the technical idea of the appended claims.

100: Risk hedge system 200: Third rating agency server
300: Generation company server 400: Financial institution server
500: Power Exchange server

Claims (15)

A GP management unit receiving first information related to a transition of a gas price (GP) for a future fuel cell from a server of a third evaluation institution, storing the first information, and transmitting the first information in response to an external request;
The method comprising the steps of: receiving the first information from the GP management unit and storing the received first information, storing the first information at a preliminary sales unit price (at each step of the fuel cell power generation period divided into a plurality of stages based on at least the first information or the deformation information of the first information TSP n ) and stores it, and stores the second-1 information in response to an external request to a server of a development company and a financial institution to purchase a final renewable energy supply certificate FREC n A TSP management unit for transmitting to the server;
Information from the TSP management unit to the second-1 information, the second-2 information corresponding to the second-1 information from the server of the generation company, and the second-second information from the server of the financial institution to the second- 3 information and stores them, and determines whether the provisional turnover unit price (TSP n ) has been approved by the server of the generation company and the server of the financial institution based on at least the second-second information and the second- A TSP approval decision unit for determining whether the TSP is approved;
When the TSP approval determination unit determines that the provisional sales unit price (TSP n ) is disallowed, the second-second information and the second-third information are transmitted to the TSP management unit, and the TSP management unit is restarted A TSP changing unit for changing the second-1 information based on at least the second-2 information and the second-third information; And
If it is determined by the TSP approval determination unit that the provisional unit price (TSP n ) has been approved, third information related to the final unit price (FSP n ) is generated and stored, and in response to an external request, The risk hedging system of the fuel cell power generation business due to the rise in the gas price including the FSP management unit for transmitting the third information.
The method according to claim 1,
And the final selling unit price (FSPn) of each step of the fuel cell power generation period included in the third information is all the same value.
The method according to claim 1,
SMP management unit that stores it receives the fourth information related to the SMP (SMP n) calculated at each stage of the fuel cell power generation period, and transmits the fourth information in response to an external request;
Receives the fourth information from the SMP management unit and stores it, generates 5-1 information related to the price of a provisional renewable energy supply certificate (TREC n ) based on the fourth information, stores the 5-1 information, A TREC management unit for sending the 5-1 information to the server of the generation company in response to the request;
5-2 information corresponding to the 5-1 information from the 5-1 information and the server of the generation company from the TREC management unit, and stores them, and based on at least the 5-2 information, A TREC approval decision unit for determining whether the provisional renewable energy supply certificate (TREC n ) price has been approved by the server;
When the TREC approval determination unit determines that the TREC price is disallowed, transmits the 5-2 information to the TREC management unit and restarts the TREC management unit to transmit the 5-2 information to the fifth -1 information to change the information; And
And the sixth information related to the final renewable energy supply certificate (FREC n ) price is stored and stored when the TREC price determination unit determines that the TREC price has been approved by the TREC approval determination unit, The risk hedging system of the fuel cell power generation business due to the rise in the gas price, which further includes a FREC management unit that transmits information.
The method of claim 3,
Receives the third information from the FSP management unit, the fourth information from the SMP management unit, and the sixth information from the FREC management unit and stores them, and based on the third information, the fourth information, and the sixth information Determines seventh information related to a compensation amount (AC n ) differentially assigned to each step of the fuel cell power generation period according to Equation (1), stores the seventh information, and transmits the seventh information in response to an external request The risk hedging system of the fuel cell power generation business due to the rise in the gas price further including the AC decision section:
[Equation 1]
Seventh information AC n = fourth information SMP n + m sixth information REC n - third information FSP n )
In the above Equation 1, the units of the third information, the fourth information, the sixth information, and the seventh information are \ / kWh, m is 0.1 to 8, and n is 1 to 30 steps.
The method according to claim 1,
When it is determined by the TSP approval determination unit that the provisional selling price (TSP n ) has been approved, the eighth information on the PF funds transmitted from the server of the financial institution is received and stored, And a PF fund management unit for transmitting the eighth information by the first and second information processing units.
The method of claim 3,
The fourth information (SMP n) increases the fuel cell power generation system of the business risk hedge of the gas price increase to as the fuel cell, the gas price increase.
The method according to claim 1,
Wherein the third information (FSP n ) decreases as the gas price for the fuel cell increases.
The method of claim 3,
The systematic marginal price (SMP n ) is determined by the power exchange.
The method according to claim 1,
Wherein the fuel cell power generation period is a total of 1 to 30 years, and the periods of the steps are equal to or different from each other.
5. The method of claim 4,
Wherein the third information FSP n decreases as the fuel cell power generation period elapses and the seventh information AC n increases as the fuel cell power generation period elapses. Risk hedge system.
11. The method of claim 10,
The fuel cell power generation period is a total of 20 years, and each stage period is subdivided into four stages of 2 to 8 years, 2 to 6 years, 2 to 6 years and 2 to 6 years, and the third information (FSP n ) and The seventh information AC n is 75-600 / kWh and 0 / kWh in the first stage, 70-540 / kWh and 30-150 / kWh, respectively in the first stage, The risk hedge system of the fuel cell power generation business due to the increase of the gas prices of 65 ~ 510 \ / kWh and 50 ~ 200 \ / kWh respectively in the first stage and 60 ~ 480 \ / kWh and 100 ~ 350 \ .
5. The method of claim 4,
The third information FSP n is 60 to 600 kWh, the fourth information SMP n is 50 to 300 kWh, the sixth information FREC n is 30 to 200 kWh, , And the seventh information (AC n ) is a risk hedging system of a fuel cell power generation business due to an increase in gas price of 0 to 350 / kWh.
The method according to claim 1,
The risk hedging system of the fuel cell power generation business due to the rise in the gas price of 150 ~ 450 \ / kWh weighted average final sales cost (WASP) over the entire period of the fuel cell power generation period.
The method according to claim 1,
The GP management unit, the TSP management unit, the TSP approval determination unit, the TSP change / management unit, and the FSP management unit may be configured as individual servers, or two or more may be modularized to form a single server, Risk hedge system for battery power generation business.
15. The method according to any one of claims 1 to 14,
The risk hedge system of the fuel cell power generation business is operated periodically or intermittently during the fuel cell power generation period to renew the information about the remaining period of the fuel cell power generation period, Hedge system.
KR1020150088726A 2015-06-22 2015-06-22 System for hedging risk of fuel cell power generation business according to the increase of gas price KR101566162B1 (en)

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Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
KR20190008796A (en) 2017-07-17 2019-01-25 사샤 라파엘 뒤메이 Hedging System for Prices of Petroleum Products

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JP2008009570A (en) 2006-06-27 2008-01-17 Chubu Electric Power Co Inc Apparatus for calculating generation cost of power plant
JP2008084095A (en) 2006-09-28 2008-04-10 Chugoku Electric Power Co Inc:The Power trading risk management apparatus and power trading risk management method

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* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
JP2008009570A (en) 2006-06-27 2008-01-17 Chubu Electric Power Co Inc Apparatus for calculating generation cost of power plant
JP2008084095A (en) 2006-09-28 2008-04-10 Chugoku Electric Power Co Inc:The Power trading risk management apparatus and power trading risk management method

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* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
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