JPH04359365A - Stock trading decision making supporting system - Google Patents

Abstract

PURPOSE:To support appropriate decision making in stock trading taking into account the influence of margin transaction by displaying a past transaction volume, polytical and economical information and judgement based on experience laws obtained from past practices. CONSTITUTION:A processor 1 stored daily stock prices and polytical and economical information affecting the stock prices from an external device 5 in a storage device 4. The information supporting the judgement for the trading is prepared and displayed on a display device 2 corresponding to a request given by a user through an input device 3. The judgement supporting information consists of stock price change information, the polytical and economical information and trading recommendation information. A display area 10 of the display screen of a display device 2 includes a stock price change information display area 20, a polytical and economical information display area 30 and a trading recommendation information display area 40. A moving change result obtained by moving the daily stock price change results of a brand in the past by six months, the transaction volume in the past and the judgement based on the experience laws obtained from the past practices are displayed.

Description

[Detailed description of the invention]

0001

BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION 1. Field of the Invention The present invention relates to a stock trading decision support system, and more particularly to a system that supports accurate decision making taking into account the influence of margin trading.

0002

[Prior Art] Conventional stock trading decision support systems include ``My First Stock Chart'' by Kunio Kawasaki, published by Nihon Keizai Shimbun, or ``My First Stock Chart'' by Kunio Kawasaki, published by Diamond Inc., and ``My First Stock Chart'' by Kunio Kawasaki, published by Diamond Inc.
"Introduction to Stock Charts". These systems display the daily fluctuation history of the stock price up to the current day of the stock they are focusing on, or further display the movement of the long-term moving average line and short-term moving average line on the display. Looking at this display, investors would decide whether to buy or sell the stock based on Granville's law or other principles such as buying if the short-term line exceeds the long-term line.

0003

[Problem to be Solved by the Invention] However, there is a margin trading system for stock trading, which is widely used by investors because it allows stocks to be bought and sold with own funds that are a few percent of the market value. This system can be used for six months, but investors may stop using it if they make a profit or make a loss within that time. However, a certain percentage always continue to use it until the six-month deadline. As a result, selling pressure, or credit pressure, will occur on the purchased stocks after six months. In conventional stock buying and selling decision-making support systems, information on this credit pressure is not provided, so there is a problem in that investors are unable to make accurate judgments that take into account the influence of margin trading.

SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION An object of the present invention is to provide a system that supports accurate decision making in consideration of the influence of margin trading, in order to solve the above-mentioned problems in a stock trading decision support system.

[0005]

[Means for Solving the Problems] In order to achieve the above-mentioned object, the present invention provides an overview of the past 6 stocks on a display.
Displays the daily fluctuation performance of the stock price for the month, and also displays the daily fluctuation performance of the stock price for the past 6 months in the interval from the current to 6 months on the same display, and in addition If there has been a day when the trading volume was abnormally high in the past, this is displayed over the stock price trend display, making it possible to judge credit pressure at a glance.

[0006]

[Operation] The stock trading decision support system of the present invention has a processing device, a display device, an input device, and a storage device, and the processing device receives daily stock prices from the outside,
After capturing political and economic information that affects stock prices and storing it in a storage device, it creates buy/sell decision support information in response to requests from users via an input device and displays it on a display device. The display screen of the display device includes a stock price fluctuation information display area, a political and economic information display area, and a buy/sell recommendation information display area, and the display of the stock price fluctuation information display area depends on input. A display of daily fluctuations in past stock prices, a display of past transaction volume, a display of moving fluctuation results obtained by moving the fluctuation results by six months, and a display of the fluctuation results for each stock given by the user via the device. The display includes a moving transaction volume display in which the volume display is moved by six months, and the display in the political and economic information display area includes an influence factor display regarding the stock given by the user via the input device;
The trade recommendation information display area displays past stock price fluctuation performance, past trading volume performance, and political and economic information regarding the issue given by the user via the input device. Since the system was created from the above, it is possible to support investors, who are users of the system, in making accurate decisions that take into account the influence of margin trading.

[0007]

[Embodiments] Hereinafter, embodiments of the present invention will be explained with reference to the drawings.

FIG. 1 is an overall configuration diagram of a stock trading decision support system according to the present invention. The system includes a processing device 1, a display device 2, an input device 3, and a storage device 4. The processing device 1 takes in daily stock prices and information such as political economy that affects stock prices from an external device 5, and
It is stored in the storage device 4. After that, in response to a request given by the user via the input device 3, buy/sell decision support information is created and displayed on the display device 2. The decision support information consists of stock price fluctuation information, political and economic information, and buying and selling recommendation information.

FIG. 2 is an explanatory diagram of the display screen of the display device 2. As shown in FIG. Reference numeral 10 denotes the entire display area, which includes a stock price fluctuation information display area 20, a political and economic information display area 30, and a buy/sell recommendation information display area 40.

In the display of the stock price fluctuation information display area 20, the horizontal axis 21 represents calendar days, the vertical axis 22 represents stock prices, and the input device 3
A past daily stock price fluctuation performance display 23, a past transaction volume display 25, and a moving fluctuation performance display 24 in which the fluctuation performance has been moved by six months, regarding the stock given by the user via the This includes a moving transaction volume display 26 in which the transaction volume display has been moved by six months.

The display in the political and economic information display area 30 includes an influence factor display 31 and a situation display 32 regarding the brand given by the user via the input device 3.

[0012] The display in the buy/sell recommendation information display area 40 is created from past stock price fluctuation records, past trading volume records, and political and economic information regarding the issue given by the user via the input device 3. It is something.

Next, a detailed description will be given of the procedure by which the processing device 1 creates the above three types of decision support information to be displayed on the display device 2.

First, the procedure for creating stock price fluctuation information to be displayed in area 20 will be explained. Past daily stock prices and trading volumes of all stocks are input to the processing device 1 from an external device 5. The processing device 1 stores the input stock price and trading volume in the storage device 4. Thereafter, when a desired stock is input by the user via the input device 3, the processing device 1 reads out the stock price and trading volume for each past day of a predetermined length regarding the stock from the storage device 4, and It is displayed in the area 20 of the screen 10 of the display device 2 as a performance display 23 and a past transaction amount display 25. Further, a moving fluctuation performance display 24 in which the fluctuation performance has been moved by 6 months and a moving transaction volume display 26 in which the transaction volume display has been moved by 6 months are displayed together in the area 20. Here, the predetermined length is usually 6 months or more. Further, displays 25 and 26 indicate the size of the volume by length.

Investors who are users use the stock price fluctuation information display in area 20 as follows. Fluctuation performance display 2
Extrapolate 3 to the right to predict stock prices in the near future. It is compared with the movement fluctuation performance display 24. For example, as shown in the figure, if there is a day 27 on the right side where the stock price indicated by the movement fluctuation result display 24 is higher than the expected stock price and the trading volume indicated by the moving transaction volume display 26 is abnormally large, then 6 on day 27. The user decides to ``sell'' because there is a large amount of margin transaction balances that are due for settlement in the month, and there is strong pressure to sell on the credit due date. In this way, the user can judge credit pressure at a glance from the expected stock price, the stock price indicated by the moving fluctuation performance display 24, and the moving transaction volume display 26, thereby making it possible to support buying and selling decisions.

Next, the procedure for creating political and economic information to be displayed in area 30 will be explained. Objective information regarding politics and economy that affects stock prices is input to the processing device 1 from the outside 5. The processing device 1 stores the input information in the storage device 4. The contents of the stored objective information are shown in FIG. General information 3
01 and information 302 by company brand. General information 30
1 consists of an influencing factor 310, a current situation 320, and a future situation 321. The influencing factors 310 represent factors such as supply and demand, interest rates, prices of oil and the like, international conflicts, and securities administration using character codes. The current situation 320 and the future situation 321 are based on each of the influencing factors 310.
Current and near-future influences are expressed by identification codes that mean "buying phase,""sellingphase," or "waiting phase." The information 302 for each company stock includes influencing factors 311, current situation 322, future situation 323, and expected profit per share 330 for all the companies. Influencing factor 3
11 represents factors such as profit using character codes. The current phase 322 and the future phase 323 each represent the current and near future influence of each of the influencing factors 311 using identification codes that mean "buy phase,""sellphase," or "wait phase." It is something. The expected earnings per share 330 is the expected earnings per share figure for the current fiscal year.

Thereafter, the processing device 1 reads the general information 301 from the storage device 4 and displays it in the area 3 of the screen 10 of the display device 2.
Display at a predetermined position in 0. In other words, influencing factor 31
0 is displayed in characters in area 33, and the current situation 320 and future situation 321 are shown in areas 33 and 34, respectively, as "buying situation".
``Selling phase'' is displayed with a white circle, ``selling phase'' is displayed with a black circle, and ``waiting phase'' is displayed with symbols such as an equal sign. Further, when the user inputs a desired brand through the input device 3, the influencing factors 311, current situation 322, and future situation 323 regarding the brand are read out from the storage device 4, and areas 36, 37, 3
8 with letters or symbols. By viewing this political and economic information display together with the stock price fluctuation information display in area 20, the user can use it to make buying and selling decisions.

The processing device 1 can also display other judgment materials on the screen as follows based on objective information regarding politics and economy. The user inputs the desired brand and PER via the input device 3. PER is the stock price divided by the expected earnings per share. If the user inputs that the PER is x times,
The processing device 1 reads the value of the expected earnings per share of the stock from the expected earnings per share 330 in the storage device 4, calculates the stock price by multiplying it by the above x, and displays the line 28 in the future portion of the calendar day on the screen 20. indicate. For example, by inputting the average PER of all stocks and displaying that line, you can see whether the stocks of that stock are above or below the average level, which is useful for making buying and selling decisions. Also, those who have the judgment that at least x times will be maintained can decide not to sell below this line.

Finally, the procedure for creating the buying/selling recommendation information displayed in the area 40 will be explained. The buy/sell recommendation information is a stock buy/sell recommendation signal obtained from the pattern of the current curve on the left of the screen 20, that is, the past stock price performance, and the curve on the right, which is obtained by moving the credit pressured stock price, that is, the stock price performance by 6 months. Screen 2 in advance
0, recommended buying and selling information is linked based on past empirical rules for each pattern of the current fluctuation performance display 23 on the left and the movement fluctuation performance display 24 on the right. That is, the processing device 1 inputs a large number of characteristic patterns obtained from past empirical rules and the corresponding trading signals from the external device 5, converts them into a database as described later, and prepares them in the storage device 40. Then, as will be described in detail later, the processing device 1 compares the pattern displayed on the screen with the pattern in this database, and if they match, displays a signal corresponding to the pattern in the area 40. For example, as shown in (1) in Figure 4, in a pattern in which the line 23 is above the line 24 in the current vicinity and both are flat, the overall judgment of the political and economic information displayed in the area 30 is "buying" based on past empirical rules. In the case of "Selling situation", the symbol is "recommended to buy", and in the case of "selling situation", the symbol is displayed as "waiting recommendation" in the area 40 as a white circle and a black circle. Also, (2
), even if the line 23 is above the line 24 in the current vicinity, if both are in a pattern of steep upward slope to the right, the overall judgment of the political and economic information displayed in the area 30 based on past empirical rules will indicate a "buying phase". ”, the symbol is displayed as “recommended to wait”, and in the case of “sell phase”, the symbol is displayed as “recommended to sell” in the area 40 as a white circle and a black circle.

[0020] The trading recommendation information creation process will be described in detail below. FIG. 5 is a configuration diagram of a database for creating trade recommendation information stored in the storage device 40. The database consists of comparison features 51, comprehensive judgments 52, and recommendation signals 53. These patterns include pattern 1 and pattern 2, and as many sets as necessary are prepared. The comparison feature 51 is the vertical relationship 511 between the line 23 and the line 24, the slope 512 of the line 23, and the slope 513 of the line 24.
It consists of For example, in pattern 1, line 24 is currently above line 23, line 23 has a flat slope, and line 2
The slope of 4 is a flat plate, and it is a set of symbols that means ``buy recommendation'' when the overall judgment of political and economic information is ``buying situation.'' Similarly, other patterns are symbols that are obtained from past experiences. In this way, a large number of characteristic patterns and their corresponding buying and selling signals are prepared in a database based on past empirical rules. When the user inputs a desired brand through the input device 3, the processing device 1 calculates the stock price fluctuation information regarding the brand based on the stock price fluctuation information created by the method described above.
The vertical relationship between line 23 and line 24, the slope of line 23, and line 24
Find the slope of The vertical relationship is determined as the difference between the values of both lines at the current time, and the slope is determined as the sign of the slope of the straight line when a curve of a certain length is approximated by a straight line. The least squares method can be used as an approximation method. Next, based on the political and economic information created in the above-mentioned manner regarding the stock, the weighted average is used to determine whether it is a "buying situation", "selling situation" or "a selling situation".
A comprehensive judgment is requested as a "waiting phase." Then, the set of the obtained vertical relationship, the slope of the line 23, the slope of the line 24, and the comprehensive judgment is converted into the vertical relationship 511 of the lines 23 and 24 in the database for creating trading recommendation information in the storage device 4, The slope 512 of the line 23, the slope 513 of the line 24, and the overall judgment 52 are compared, and the recommendation signal 53 of the one that matches is read out, and if this is ``recommended to buy,'' then a white circle is displayed, and ``recommended to sell'' is selected.
If so, a black circle is displayed in the area 40, and if it is "recommended to wait", an equal sign is displayed in the area 40. The user can use this display to make decisions on buying and selling stocks of the brand.

Note that the vertical relationship between the line 23 and the line 24 is not only the vertical relationship at the current time, but also the vertical relationship between the current value of the line 23 and the line 24.
A vertical relationship with the value after 1 month, 2 months, ..., 5 months may be added and included in the comparison feature 51 item for creating a recommended cause of death.

[0022] As shown in the above embodiments, according to the present invention, past daily stock price fluctuation results are displayed, moving fluctuation results are displayed by moving the fluctuation results by 6 months, and past trading volume is displayed. Since political and economic information and judgments based on empirical rules obtained from past examples are displayed, it has the effect of supporting accurate stock buying and selling decisions that take into account the influence of margin trading.

[0023]

[Effects of the Invention] According to the present invention, it is possible to display the daily fluctuation results of past stock prices, display the moving fluctuation results obtained by moving the fluctuation results by 6 months, display the past trading volume, and display political and economic information. , judgments based on empirical rules obtained from past examples are displayed, which has the effect of supporting accurate stock buying and selling decisions that take into account the influence of margin trading.

[Brief explanation of drawings]

FIG. 1 is an overall configuration diagram of a stock trading decision support system according to the present invention.

FIG. 2 is an explanatory diagram of a display screen of a display device that is a component of the system.

FIG. 3 is a diagram showing the contents of objective information regarding political economy.

FIG. 4 is a diagram for explaining the principle of creating trading recommendation information.

FIG. 5 is a configuration diagram of a database for creating trading recommendation information.

[Explanation of symbols]

DESCRIPTION OF SYMBOLS 1...Processing device, 2...Display device, 3...Input device, 4...Storage device, 10...Entire display area, 20...Stock price fluctuation information display area, 30...Political and economic information display area, 40...Buy and sell recommended information display area.

Claims (3)

[Claims] 1. A stock trading decision support system comprising a processing device (1), a display device (2), an input device (3), and a storage device (4), the processing device (1) comprising: a processing device (1); , imports daily stock prices and trading volume from the outside (5), stores them in the storage device (4), and then creates buy/sell decision support information in response to requests given by users via the input device (3). and is displayed on the display device (2), and the display device (
The display screen 2) has a stock price fluctuation information display area (2) within it.
0), and the stock price fluctuation information display area (2
0) displays a past daily stock price fluctuation result display (23), a past trading volume display (25), and the fluctuation of the stock given by the user via the input device (3). A stock trading decision support system including a moving fluctuation performance display (24) in which the performance is moved by 6 months, and a moving trading volume display (26) in which the trading volume display is moved by 6 months. 2. A stock trading decision support system comprising a processing device (1), a display device (2), an input device (3), and a storage device (4), wherein the processing device (1) comprises: , takes in daily stock prices, trading volume, political and economic information that affects stock prices, etc. from the outside (5), stores them in the storage device (4), and then receives information given from the user via the input device (3). In response to requests, buying and selling decision support information is created and displayed on the display device (2), and the display screen of the display device (2) includes a stock price fluctuation information display area (20) and a political and an economic information display area (30), and the display of the stock price fluctuation information display area (20) is performed using the input device (3).
Display of past daily stock price fluctuation results (23), past transaction volume display (25), and moving fluctuation results obtained by moving the fluctuation results by 6 months regarding the issue given by the user via . display (24) and a moving transaction volume display (26) in which the transaction volume display has been moved by 6 months, and the display in the political and economic information display area (30) is controlled via the input device (3). A stock buying/selling decision support system that includes an influencing factor display (31) and a situation display (32) regarding a stock given by a user. 3. A stock trading decision support system comprising a processing device (1), a trading volume, a display device (2), an input device (3), and a storage device (4), the processing device (
1) takes in daily stock prices and political and economic information that affects stock prices from the outside (5), stores them in the storage device (4), and then inputs information from the user via the input device (3). In response to a request, buy/sell decision support information is created and displayed on a display device (2), and the display screen of the display device (2) includes a stock price fluctuation information display area (20); It includes a political and economic information display area (30), a buy/sell recommendation information display area (40), and a stock price fluctuation information display area (
The display 20) includes a past daily stock price fluctuation performance display (23), a past trading volume display (25), and a display of the fluctuation for the issue given by the user via the input device (3). Movement change results display with results moved by 6 months (24)
and a moving transaction volume display (26) in which the transaction volume display has been moved by six months, and the display in the political and economic information display area (30) is based on input from the user via the input device (3). It includes an influence factor display (31) and a situation display (32) regarding a given stock, and the display in the buy/sell recommendation information display area (40) is based on input from the user via the input device (3). A stock buying and selling decision support system created from past stock price fluctuations, past trading volume, and political and economic information regarding the stocks listed.